DR. BHIM RAO AMBEDKAR UNIVERSITY, AGRA .M.A. <strong>ECONOMICS</strong><strong>SEMESTER</strong> <strong>WISE</strong> - DETAILED SYLLABUSSECOND <strong>SEMESTER</strong>OPTIONAL PAPER – 204 (D)ECONOMETRICSUNIT 1: Basic EconometricsNature, meaning and scope of econometrics; Simple and general linear regression model — Assumptions,Estimation (through OLS approach) and properties of estimators; Gauss-Markov theorem; Concepts andderivation of R2 and adjusted R2; Concept and analysis of variance Approach and its application inregression analysis; Estimation of non-linear equations — parabolic, exponential, geometric, hyperbolic,modified exponential; Gomertz and logistic functions.UNIT 2: Problems in Regression AnalysisNature, test, consequences and remedial steps of problems of hetero-scedasticity; Multi-collinearity andauto-correlation; Problems of specification error; Errors of measurement.Regressions with Qualitative Independent VariablesDummy variable technique — Testing structural stability of regression models comparing to regressions,interaction effects, seasonal analysis, piecewise linear regression, use of dummy variables, regressionwith dummy dependent variables; The LPM, Logit, Probit and Tobit models — Applications.UNIT 3: Dynamic Econometric ModelAutoregressive and distributed lag models — Koyak model, Partial adjustment model, adaptiveexpectations; Instrumental variables; Problem of auto-correlation — Application; Almon approach todistributed-lag models; Error correlation mechanism, Causality test, Granger test and Sim’s test.Page 40
DR. BHIM RAO AMBEDKAR UNIVERSITY, AGRA .Simultaneous Equation ModelsIntroduction and examples; The simultaneous equation bias and inconsistency of OLS estimators; Theidentification problem; Rules of identification — order and rank conditions; Methods of estimatingsimultaneous equation system; Recursive methods and OLS; Indirect least squares (ILS); 2SLS, 3SLS andML methods — Applications.UNIT 4: Time Series AnalysisStationarity, unit roots, co-integration-spurious regression, Dickey-Fuller test, Engle-Granger test,Random walk model, Forecasting with ARIMA modeling; Box-Jenkins methodology; Vector autoregression;Problems with VAR modelling — Applications; Time varying parameters and Kalman filter.UNIT 5: Panel Data TechniquesPanel data techniques — Random coefficients model; Fix effects model; Random effect model.Multivariate AnalysisMultivariate probability distribution, marginal and conditional probability distribution, multivariatenormal distribution and its properties; Hotelling T-scale; Discriminant analysis.Recommended Books• Amemiya, T., Advanced Econometrics, Harvard <strong>University</strong> Press, Cambridge, Mass.• Baltagi, B.H., Econometrics, Springer, New York.• Dongherty, C., Introduction to Econometrics, Oxford <strong>University</strong> Press, New York.• Goldberger, A.S., Introductory Econometrics, Harvard <strong>University</strong> Press, Cambridge, Mass.• Gujarati, D.N., Basic Econometrics, McGraw Hill, New Delhi.• Hill R. C., E.G. William and G.G. Judge, Undergraduate Econometrics, Wiley, New York.• Kennedy. P., A Guide to Econometrics , MIT Press, New York.• Kmenta, J., Elements of Econometrics , <strong>University</strong> of Michigan Press, New York.• Koutsoyiannis, A., Theory of Econometrics , The Macmillan Press Ltd., London.• Krishna, K.L., Econometric Applications in India, Oxford <strong>University</strong> Press, New Delhi.• Maddala, G.S., Econometrics Methods and Application, Aldershot U.K.• Theil, H., Introduction to Econometrics, Prentice Hall of India, New Delhi.Page 41
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