Centre of Excellence – International Centre for Geohazards (ICG)
Centre of Excellence – International Centre for Geohazards (ICG)
Centre of Excellence – International Centre for Geohazards (ICG)
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Partners in <strong>ICG</strong><br />
<strong>Centre</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>Excellence</strong> <strong>–</strong><br />
<strong>International</strong> <strong>Centre</strong> <strong>for</strong><br />
<strong>Geohazards</strong> (<strong>ICG</strong>)<br />
Annual Report - 2008<br />
20031103-6 31 March 2009<br />
Client: The Research Council <strong>of</strong> Norway<br />
Contact person: Are Birger Carlson<br />
Contract reference: SFF <strong>–</strong> <strong>ICG</strong> 146035/420<br />
For the Norwegian Geotechnical Institute<br />
Report prepared by:<br />
Postal address: P.O. Box 3930 Ullevaal Stadion, N-0806 OSLO, NORWAY Telephone: (+47) 22 02 30 00 Postal account: 0814 51 60643<br />
Street address: Sognsveien 72, OSLO Telefax: (+47) 22 23 04 48 Bank account: 5096 05 01281<br />
Internet: http://www.ngi.no e -mail: ngi@ngi.no Business No. 958 254 318 MVA<br />
BS EN ISO 9001, Certified by BSI, Registration No. FS 32989<br />
Suzanne Lacasse<br />
Managing Director<br />
Farrokh Nadim<br />
Director, <strong>ICG</strong><br />
Reviewed by: Suzanne Lacasse<br />
Bjørn Kalsnes
<strong>International</strong> <strong>Centre</strong> <strong>for</strong> <strong>Geohazards</strong> Report No.: 20031103-6<br />
Date: 2009-03-31<br />
Rev.: -<br />
Annual Report - 2008 Rev. date:<br />
Page: 2<br />
Summary<br />
The "<strong>International</strong> <strong>Centre</strong> <strong>for</strong> <strong>Geohazards</strong>" (<strong>ICG</strong>) is one the 13 <strong>Centre</strong>s <strong>of</strong> <strong>Excellence</strong><br />
(Senter <strong>for</strong> Fremragende Forskning, SFF) established by The Research Council <strong>of</strong><br />
Norway (RCN) in 2003. The Norwegian Geotechnical Institute (NGI) is the host<br />
organisation <strong>for</strong> <strong>ICG</strong>. Partners in the centre are the University <strong>of</strong> Oslo (UiO), the<br />
Norwegian University <strong>of</strong> Science and Technology (NTNU), NORSAR, and the<br />
Geological Survey <strong>of</strong> Norway (NGU).<br />
Results and activities in 2008<br />
• The research plan was followed and the goals set <strong>for</strong> the year were achieved. With<br />
respect to four major goals <strong>of</strong> <strong>ICG</strong>, a) in-kind contribution from the partners, b)<br />
complementary projects from the industry, c) number <strong>of</strong> PhD candidates, and d)<br />
international networking, the results have exceeded by far the goals and expectations.<br />
<strong>ICG</strong> is now internationally recognised as a centre <strong>of</strong> expertise in geohazards. This is<br />
even mentioned in the English version <strong>of</strong> Wikepdia (see figure below:<br />
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Geohazard). The geohazard examples cited by<br />
Wikepedia and the external links provided all relate to <strong>ICG</strong> activities.<br />
<strong>ICG</strong>’s current research topics<br />
Definition <strong>of</strong> “Geohazard” in Wikepedia and reference to <strong>ICG</strong>.<br />
• The focus <strong>of</strong> <strong>ICG</strong>’s research in 2008 was on:<br />
- Assessment <strong>of</strong> the risks associated with geohazards to individuals and society.<br />
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<strong>International</strong> <strong>Centre</strong> <strong>for</strong> <strong>Geohazards</strong> Report No.: 20031103-6<br />
Date: 2009-03-31<br />
Rev.: -<br />
Annual Report - 2008 Rev. date:<br />
Page: 3<br />
- Development and improvement <strong>of</strong> methods <strong>for</strong> modelling the mechanical processes<br />
underlying the physical phenomena <strong>of</strong> different geohazards and <strong>for</strong> evaluating<br />
the consequences <strong>of</strong> geohazards.<br />
- <strong>Geohazards</strong> prevention and risk mitigation strategies<br />
- Graduate university programmes on geohazards at UiO and NTNU<br />
• Joint workshops, seminars, and project meetings contributed to further enhance the<br />
good collaboration among the five partners.<br />
• <strong>ICG</strong> was designated as a World <strong>Centre</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>Excellence</strong> on Landslides by the<br />
<strong>International</strong> Consortium on Landslides (ICL) during the 1 st World Landslide Forum<br />
in Tokyo (http://www.iclhq.org/WLFweb/List_<strong>of</strong>_WCoEs__uploaded_.pdf)<br />
• The proposal <strong>for</strong> the EU large-scale integrating project SafeLand (Living with<br />
landslide risk in Europe: Assessment, effects <strong>of</strong> global change and risk management<br />
strategies) was ranked as the top proposal (among 7 proposals) in its call in EU’s 7 th<br />
Framework Programme, and will start in May 2009. <strong>ICG</strong> is the coordinator <strong>of</strong> this<br />
project, which has 25 European partners and several international partners from USA<br />
and Asia.<br />
• There is considerable interest and enthusiasm about the activities <strong>of</strong> <strong>ICG</strong>, both in<br />
Norway and abroad.<br />
Challenges <strong>for</strong> 2009<br />
The overall research plan remains essentially unchanged. The main challenges <strong>for</strong>eseen<br />
<strong>for</strong> 2009 include:<br />
• Finding complementary funding sources to maintain the high activity level at <strong>ICG</strong>.<br />
• Research on complex issues such as vulnerability and risk assessment, tsunami runup<br />
estimation, disintegration <strong>of</strong> material during sliding, rainfall-induced landslides,<br />
earthquake response, etc.<br />
• Identification <strong>of</strong> the niches where the combined expertise <strong>of</strong> <strong>ICG</strong> partners could be<br />
put into practical use on the international arena.<br />
• Networking with centres <strong>of</strong> expertise who work on the societal aspects <strong>of</strong> the risk<br />
associated with geohazards.<br />
• Further work on identifying the most appropriate strategies <strong>for</strong> geohazards<br />
prevention and risk mitigation.<br />
• Attracting PhD candidates, post-docs and guest researchers to Norway.<br />
• Active participation in the research programmes on natural hazards and risk<br />
management in the 7 th Frame Programme.<br />
• Running and planning new international conferences, seminars and workshops.<br />
• Increased publication in highly respected scientific journals.<br />
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<strong>International</strong> <strong>Centre</strong> <strong>for</strong> <strong>Geohazards</strong> Report No.: 20031103-6<br />
Date: 2009-03-31<br />
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Page: 4<br />
Contents<br />
1 BACKGROUND ......................................................................................................................... 5<br />
2 ORGANISATION OF <strong>ICG</strong> ......................................................................................................... 5<br />
3 ACTIVITIES OF <strong>ICG</strong>’S STEERING COMMITTEE ................................................................ 8<br />
4 TECHNICAL ACTIVITIES OF <strong>ICG</strong> IN 2008 ........................................................................... 9<br />
4.1 Core research activities ..................................................................................................... 9<br />
4.2 S<strong>of</strong>tware <strong>for</strong> earthquake risk calculation ........................................................................... 9<br />
4.3 Multidisciplinary study <strong>of</strong> shoreline landslides .............................................................. 11<br />
5 NATIONAL AND INTERNATIONAL COOPERATION, AND OTHER <strong>ICG</strong><br />
ACTIVITIES IN 2008 ............................................................................................................... 14<br />
5.1 <strong>ICG</strong> Publications in 2008 ................................................................................................ 14<br />
5.2 <strong>International</strong> contacts and activities ................................................................................ 14<br />
5.3 Web site ........................................................................................................................... 15<br />
6 DOCTORAL CANDIDATES AND GUEST RESEARCHERS IN 2008 ................................ 15<br />
7 ACCOUNTING 2008 ................................................................................................................ 16<br />
7.1 Cash funding (kNOK) ..................................................................................................... 16<br />
7.2 In kind (kNOK) ............................................................................................................... 17<br />
8 PLANNED ACTIVITIES AND BUDGET FOR 2009 ............................................................. 17<br />
8.1 Research Projects and Education .................................................................................... 17<br />
8.2 <strong>International</strong> networking ................................................................................................. 17<br />
8.3 EU projects in the 7 th Framework Programme ................................................................ 18<br />
8.4 Organising workshops in 2009 ........................................................................................ 18<br />
8.5 <strong>ICG</strong> budget <strong>for</strong> 2009 ....................................................................................................... 18<br />
Appendix A <strong>–</strong> <strong>ICG</strong> Publications in 2008<br />
Review and reference document<br />
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<strong>International</strong> <strong>Centre</strong> <strong>for</strong> <strong>Geohazards</strong> Report No.: 20031103-6<br />
Date: 2009-03-31<br />
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Annual Report - 2008 Rev. date:<br />
Page: 5<br />
1 BACKGROUND<br />
The "<strong>International</strong> <strong>Centre</strong> <strong>for</strong> <strong>Geohazards</strong>" (<strong>ICG</strong>) is a <strong>Centre</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>Excellence</strong><br />
(Senter <strong>for</strong> Fremragende Forskning, SFF) established by the Research Council<br />
<strong>of</strong> Norway in 2003. The Norwegian <strong>Centre</strong>s <strong>of</strong> <strong>Excellence</strong> scheme is designed<br />
to stimulate Norwegian research groups to set up centres devoted to long-term<br />
basic research. The intention is to raise the quality <strong>of</strong> Norwegian research and<br />
bring more researchers and research groups up to a high international standard.<br />
<strong>ICG</strong> is a consortium <strong>of</strong> five partners. Norwegian Geotechnical Institute (NGI)<br />
is the host organisation <strong>for</strong> <strong>ICG</strong>. Other partners in the centre are University <strong>of</strong><br />
Oslo (UiO), Norwegian University <strong>of</strong> Science and Technology (NTNU),<br />
NORSAR, and Geological Survey <strong>of</strong> Norway (NGU). The consortium may be<br />
expanded with "associated partners" subject to agreement by all five main partners.<br />
<strong>ICG</strong>’s objective is to be an international centre <strong>of</strong> expertise on basic and<br />
applied research on geo-related natural hazards (geohazards), such as landslides,<br />
earthquakes and tsunamis. However, the frameworks and methodologies<br />
developed <strong>for</strong> the assessment <strong>of</strong> hazard, vulnerability and risk may also be<br />
applied <strong>for</strong> other types <strong>of</strong> threats. The main aim <strong>of</strong> <strong>ICG</strong> is to develop<br />
knowledge that can help save lives and reduce damage to infrastructure and the<br />
environment. Another aim is to train graduate students and highly-qualified<br />
researchers from Norway and abroad.<br />
2 ORGANISATION OF <strong>ICG</strong><br />
<strong>ICG</strong> has its own Board <strong>of</strong> Directors (Steering Committee). Each <strong>of</strong> the <strong>ICG</strong><br />
partners, NGI, NTNU, UiO, NORSAR and NGU, has a representative on the<br />
Steering Committee. In addition, the Steering Committee has at least one<br />
external representative from Norway and one international representative. The<br />
Research Council <strong>of</strong> Norway may also appoint a member to the Steering Committee.<br />
<strong>ICG</strong> has associated partners, e.g. University <strong>of</strong> Tromsø, but they do not<br />
have a representative on the Steering Committee. As the host organisation,<br />
NGI appointed the director <strong>of</strong> <strong>ICG</strong>, and NGI’s representative is the chairman <strong>of</strong><br />
the Steering Committee.<br />
The activities <strong>of</strong> the <strong>ICG</strong> are grouped into three categories:<br />
1. Research projects<br />
2. Training and education<br />
3. <strong>International</strong> networking and dissemination <strong>of</strong> in<strong>for</strong>mation<br />
The organisation chart and the project chart <strong>of</strong> <strong>ICG</strong> are shown on the following<br />
pages. The <strong>ICG</strong> projects and other <strong>ICG</strong> activities are elaborated further later in<br />
the report.<br />
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<strong>International</strong> <strong>Centre</strong> <strong>for</strong> <strong>Geohazards</strong> Report No.: 20031103-6<br />
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Board <strong>of</strong> Directors<br />
Pr<strong>of</strong>. Kaare Høeg (UiO/NGI), Chairman Pr<strong>of</strong>. Herbert Einstein (MIT)<br />
Dr Øystein Nordgulen (NGU) Pr<strong>of</strong>. Steinar Nordal (NTNU)<br />
Pr<strong>of</strong>. Anders Elverhøi (UiO) Hallvard Berg (NVE)<br />
Anders Dahle (NORSAR) Tor-Inge Tjelta (Statoil)<br />
<strong>ICG</strong> Project 1<br />
Project Manager<br />
Researchers<br />
Students<br />
Technical Adviser<br />
Pr<strong>of</strong>. Kaare Høeg<br />
<strong>ICG</strong> Project 2<br />
Project Manager<br />
Researchers<br />
Students<br />
Organisation chart <strong>of</strong> <strong>ICG</strong> as <strong>of</strong> 31 December 2008<br />
<strong>ICG</strong> Project 3<br />
Project Manager<br />
Researchers<br />
Students<br />
NGI<br />
Suzanne Lacasse<br />
Managing Director<br />
Dr. Farrokh Nadim, Director<br />
Bjørn Kalsnes, Deputy Director<br />
Tini van der Harst, Administrative Assistant<br />
<strong>ICG</strong> Research Projects and Themes<br />
<strong>ICG</strong> Project 4<br />
Project Manager<br />
Researchers<br />
Students<br />
<strong>ICG</strong> Project 5<br />
Project Manager<br />
Researchers<br />
Students<br />
<strong>International</strong> Scientific Advisors<br />
Pr<strong>of</strong>. Gholamreza Mesri (U.<strong>of</strong> Illinois)<br />
Pr<strong>of</strong>. Herbert H. Einstein (MIT)<br />
Pr<strong>of</strong>. Steven Kramer (U. <strong>of</strong> Washington)<br />
Pr<strong>of</strong>. Kok-Kwang Phoon (Nat. U. <strong>of</strong> Singapore)<br />
Theme A - Theme Coordinator Theme B - Theme Coordinator Theme C - Theme Coordinator<br />
<strong>ICG</strong> Project N<br />
Project Manager<br />
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Researchers<br />
Students
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<strong>ICG</strong> Project Project Managers Post-docs & Guest Researchers<br />
Risk and vulnerability analysis <strong>for</strong> geohazards Dr Suzanne Lacasse (NGI) Dr Zenon Medina-Cetina, Zhihong Li, Dr Jean Hutchinson<br />
Earthquakes <strong>–</strong> hazard, risk and loss estimation Pr<strong>of</strong>. Hilmar Bungum (NORSAR) Dr Daniela Kühn<br />
Stability <strong>of</strong> rock slopes Dr Lars H. Blikra (NGU) Dr Caterina Melchiorre<br />
Geomechanical modelling Pr<strong>of</strong>. Steinar Nordal (NTNU) Dr Lewis Edgers<br />
Offshore geohazards Dr Maarten Vanneste (NGI) Eugene Morgan, Dr Laurie Baise<br />
Slope instability assessment and hazard zonation Dr Kalle Kronholm (NGI) Andreas Drexel, Robert Behling,<br />
Slide Dynamics and mechanics <strong>of</strong> disintegration Pr<strong>of</strong>. Anders Elverhøi (UiO) Dr Fabio De Blasio<br />
Tsunami modelling and prediction Dr Carl Harbitz (NGI) Natalia Zamora, Vania Lima<br />
Monitoring, remote sensing and early warning systems Ralph Omli (NGI) Dr Regula Frauenfelder, Guillaume Sauvin<br />
PhD-candidates at UiO & NTNU:<br />
Maj Gøril Glåmen (NTNU)<br />
Gustav Grimstad (NTNU<br />
Guro Grøneng (NTNU)<br />
Jean-Sébastien L'Heureux (NTNU)<br />
Harald Iwe (UiO)<br />
Trond Nordvik (NTNU)<br />
Bård Romsdal (UiO)<br />
Samson Degago (NTNU)<br />
Hedda Breien (UiO)<br />
José Cepeda (UiO)<br />
Anders Gylland (NTNU)<br />
Annika Bihs (NTNU)<br />
Magnus Sparrevik (NTNU)<br />
Håkon Heyerdahl (UiO)<br />
Misganu Debella Gilo (UiO)<br />
Technical Adviser<br />
Pr<strong>of</strong>. Kaare Høeg<br />
Project chart <strong>of</strong> <strong>ICG</strong> as <strong>of</strong> 31 December 2008<br />
Dr. Farrokh Nadim, Director<br />
Bjørn Kalsnes, Deputy Director<br />
Tini van der Harst, Administrative Assistant<br />
Themes covering several projects Theme Coordinator<br />
Geophysics <strong>for</strong> geohazards<br />
GIT applications in geohazards<br />
Prevention and mitigation <strong>of</strong> geohazards<br />
<strong>ICG</strong>-affiliated PhD-candidates in other<br />
universities than UiO and NTNU:<br />
Chang Shin Gue (Cambridge Univ., UK)<br />
Sook Ling Lee (Cambridge Univ., UK)<br />
Tom Rune Lauknes (Univ. <strong>of</strong> Tromsø)<br />
Dr Isabelle Lecomte (NORSAR)<br />
Pr<strong>of</strong>. Andreas Kääb (UiO)<br />
Dr Farrokh Nadim (NGI)<br />
PhDs awarded in 2008:<br />
Graziella Devoli (UiO)<br />
Vidar Kveldsvik (NTNU)<br />
Finn Løvholt (UiO)<br />
Arash Zakeri (UiO)<br />
<strong>International</strong> Scientific Advisors<br />
Pr<strong>of</strong>. Gholamreza Mesri (U.<strong>of</strong> Illinois)<br />
Pr<strong>of</strong>. Herbert H. Einstein (MIT)<br />
Pr<strong>of</strong>. Steven Kramer (U. <strong>of</strong> Washington)<br />
Pr<strong>of</strong>. Kok-Kwang Phoon (Nat. U. <strong>of</strong> Singapore<br />
Pr<strong>of</strong>essors from Norway active in <strong>ICG</strong>:<br />
Anders Elverhøi (UiO)<br />
Bernd Etzelmüller (UiO)<br />
Leiv-Jacob Gelius (UiO)<br />
Bjørn Gjevik (UiO)<br />
Lars Grande (NTNU)<br />
Svein Hamran (UiO)<br />
Kaare Høeg (UiO)<br />
Andreas Kääb (UiO)<br />
Hans Petter Langtangen (UiO)<br />
Terje Midtbø (NTNU)<br />
Farrokh Nadim (NTNU & UiO)<br />
Bjørn Nilsen (NTNU)<br />
Steinar Nordal (NTNU)<br />
Geir Kleivstul Pedersen (UiO)<br />
Hans Petter Jostsad (NTNU)<br />
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3 ACTIVITIES OF <strong>ICG</strong>’S STEERING COMMITTEE<br />
The main responsibility <strong>of</strong> <strong>ICG</strong>’s Steering Committee is to set the priorities in<br />
the yearly research plans. The Steering Committee also acts as a technical<br />
advisor to the Director <strong>of</strong> <strong>ICG</strong>.<br />
The Steering Committee shall also discuss and deal with<br />
• annual budget<br />
• annual technical report(s)<br />
• annual financial report<br />
The annual technical and financial report (this document) is prepared by the<br />
Director <strong>of</strong> the <strong>Centre</strong> and delivered to the Managing Director <strong>of</strong> NGI, who is<br />
responsible <strong>for</strong> reporting the activities <strong>of</strong> <strong>ICG</strong> to The Research Council <strong>of</strong><br />
Norway.<br />
The <strong>ICG</strong> Steering Committee is composed <strong>of</strong>:<br />
Pr<strong>of</strong>. Kaare Høeg (UiO/NGI), Chairman<br />
Dr Øystein Nordgulen (NGU)<br />
Pr<strong>of</strong>. Anders Elverhøi (UiO) *<br />
Mr Anders Dahle (NORSAR)<br />
Pr<strong>of</strong>. Steinar Nordal (NTNU)<br />
Mr Hallvard Berg (NVE)<br />
Mr Tor-Inge Tjelta (Statoil)<br />
Pr<strong>of</strong>. Herbert Einstein (MIT, USA)<br />
* Pr<strong>of</strong>. Andreas Kääb (UiO) replaced Pr<strong>of</strong>. Anders Elverhøi from 1 Jan. 2009.<br />
The Steering Committee held 2 meetings in 2008:<br />
Meeting No. 1/08: 26 March 2008<br />
Meeting No. 2/08: 3 December 2008<br />
The following meetings in 2009 are planned:<br />
Meeting No. 1/09: 23 March 2008<br />
Meeting No. 2/09: 4 December 2008<br />
One <strong>of</strong> the main topics <strong>of</strong> discussion <strong>for</strong> the <strong>ICG</strong> Steering Committee in 2009<br />
is the evaluation <strong>of</strong> different models <strong>for</strong> <strong>ICG</strong>’s future after 2012.<br />
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4 TECHNICAL ACTIVITIES OF <strong>ICG</strong> IN 2008<br />
4.1 Core research activities<br />
<strong>ICG</strong> divided its technical activities in 2008 into nine projects, and significant<br />
progress was done on each:<br />
• Risk and vulnerability analysis <strong>for</strong> geohazards<br />
• Earthquakes <strong>–</strong> hazard, risk and loss estimation<br />
• Stability <strong>of</strong> rock slopes<br />
• Geomechanical modelling<br />
• Offshore geohazards<br />
• Slope instability assessment and hazard zonation<br />
• Slide Dynamics and mechanics <strong>of</strong> disintegration (this project terminated on<br />
31 December 2008)<br />
• Tsunami modelling and prediction<br />
• Monitoring, remote sensing and early warning systems<br />
In addition to these projects, three "themes" that involve several projects were<br />
given high priority, and a Theme Coordinator was designated <strong>for</strong> streamlining<br />
the lateral cooperation among the technical projects in each theme:<br />
• Applications <strong>of</strong> geophysics to geohazards<br />
• Applications <strong>of</strong> Geographical In<strong>for</strong>mation Technology (GIT) to geohazards<br />
(the activities in this theme were merged into the <strong>ICG</strong> project on<br />
monitoring, remote sensing and early warning systems from 1 January<br />
2009)<br />
• Prevention and mitigation <strong>of</strong> geohazards<br />
Detailed in<strong>for</strong>mation about the <strong>ICG</strong> technical projects and themes is available<br />
on the <strong>ICG</strong> web site www.geohazards.no.<br />
In 2008 the partners in the <strong>ICG</strong> were involved in several high pr<strong>of</strong>ile national<br />
and international projects. Two <strong>of</strong> these projects are presented below.<br />
4.2 S<strong>of</strong>tware <strong>for</strong> earthquake risk calculation<br />
The best known s<strong>of</strong>tware system <strong>for</strong> earthquake risk and loss calculation to<br />
date is HAZUS, which was developed <strong>for</strong> use in the United States by the<br />
Federal Emergency Management Agency. The HAZUS approach is based on<br />
the so-called capacity-spectrum method (see Figures 4.1 and 4.2). It combines<br />
the seismic ground-motion input in terms <strong>of</strong> a response spectrum (spectral<br />
acceleration versus spectral displacement) with the building’s specific capacity<br />
curve representing its inelastic behaviour under a lateral seismic load. The<br />
philosophy behind this approach is that any building is structurally damaged by<br />
the earthquake-induced permanent horizontal displacement, and not by the<br />
acceleration per se. For each building and building typology the interstorey<br />
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drift is a function <strong>of</strong> the applied lateral <strong>for</strong>ce that can be analytically<br />
determined and trans<strong>for</strong>med into building capacity curves (capacity to<br />
withstand accelerations without permanent displacements). Building capacity<br />
curves naturally vary between different building types, and also between<br />
different regions, reflecting on building code regulations and local construction<br />
practice.<br />
Figure 4.1 Estimation <strong>of</strong> earthquake-induced damage using the capacityspectrum<br />
method.<br />
Figure 4.2 Probability <strong>of</strong> a structure with spectral displacement dp on<br />
Figure 4.1 being in different states <strong>of</strong> damage after the<br />
earthquake.<br />
The HAZUS approach is attractive from a scientific/technical perspective.<br />
However, the fact that it is tailored so intimately to the U.S. situations and<br />
embedded in a specific GIS s<strong>of</strong>tware makes it difficult to apply in other<br />
environments and geographical regions. Aware <strong>of</strong> the need <strong>for</strong> a more<br />
internationally accessible tool <strong>for</strong> seismic risk estimation, the <strong>International</strong><br />
<strong>Centre</strong> <strong>for</strong> <strong>Geohazards</strong> (<strong>ICG</strong>), through NORSAR and the University <strong>of</strong><br />
Alicante, has developed a Matlab-based s<strong>of</strong>tware in order to compute the<br />
seismic risk in urban areas using the capacity spectrum method, SELENA<br />
(SEimic Loss EstimatioN using a logic tree Approach, see webpage<br />
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http://www.norsar.no/pc-35-68-SELENA.aspx). With SELENA one is able to<br />
compute the probabilities <strong>for</strong> a given building typology to suffer structural<br />
damage in the predefined damage states (none, slight, moderate, extensive and<br />
complete). Through the correlation <strong>of</strong> these damage probabilities with the<br />
actual building stock, absolute damage estimates (number <strong>of</strong> damaged<br />
buildings or damaged building floor area) can be computed. Furthermore, the<br />
combination <strong>of</strong> damage with a suitable loss model which includes both<br />
building value and demographic data allows the prediction <strong>of</strong> estimated<br />
economic losses and casualties.<br />
During the last years, SELENA has developed into a stand-alone s<strong>of</strong>tware<br />
package that can be applied to any environment worldwide. One <strong>of</strong> its main<br />
features is the implementation <strong>of</strong> a logic tree computation scheme which<br />
allows the weighting <strong>of</strong> all types <strong>of</strong> input parameters and the final provision <strong>of</strong><br />
outputs in terms <strong>of</strong> mean values and confidence intervals. The fact that both<br />
input files and output files are given as ASCII text files facilitates the use <strong>of</strong><br />
any Geographic In<strong>for</strong>mation System in order to illustrate the results. Recently,<br />
a separate s<strong>of</strong>tware package has been developed which can be used in parallel<br />
to SELENA in order to illustrate input and output in<strong>for</strong>mation on Google<br />
Earth. RISe - Risk Illustrator <strong>for</strong> SELENA is a user-friendly, open-source<br />
s<strong>of</strong>tware that assists the user during the different stages <strong>of</strong> the risk computation<br />
process. RISe is distributed as freeware together with SELENA through the<br />
NORSAR/<strong>ICG</strong> webpage (http://www.norsar.no).<br />
SELENA is one <strong>of</strong> the s<strong>of</strong>tware packages that will be used in the recently<br />
initiated international project GEM (The Global Earthquake Model:<br />
http://www.globalquakemodel.org/), which aims to develop an independent<br />
standard <strong>for</strong> modelling, monitoring, and communicating earthquake risk<br />
worldwide.<br />
4.3 Multidisciplinary study <strong>of</strong> shoreline landslides<br />
The periodic occurrence <strong>of</strong> landslide in near-shore environments is common<br />
worldwide and poses a constant threat to coastal communities.<br />
Multidisciplinary studies on a regional scale have been instrumental in<br />
improving our understanding landslide processes in the submarine realm and<br />
on land, but have seldom been done in near-shore areas. The <strong>ICG</strong> study <strong>of</strong><br />
shoreline landslides integrated geological, geotechnical, geophysical and<br />
geomorphological data from land and sea in order to better understand nearshore<br />
mass wasting processes, their origin and their development.<br />
In the selected study area, Trondheim in mid-Norway, numerous shoreline<br />
landslides took place during the last century. These landslides have resulted in<br />
loss <strong>of</strong> life, tsunamis and significant damage to near-shore infrastructures. The<br />
long historical record <strong>of</strong> landslides in the Trondheim fjord, combined with its<br />
accessibility and proximity to NTNU and NGU, <strong>of</strong>fers a series <strong>of</strong> advantages<br />
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that makes this site particularly interesting <strong>for</strong> improving the knowledge <strong>of</strong><br />
shoreline mass wasting processes.<br />
The integration <strong>of</strong> high resolution seismic surveys and detailed bathymetric<br />
maps acquired in the fjord, with sedimentological, geotechnical and 14 Cdatings<br />
data from both land and fjord provided new inputs <strong>for</strong> establishing the<br />
stratigraphy and geological development in Trondheim fjord. The geological<br />
model was combined with detailed morphological analyses <strong>of</strong> slide scars and<br />
limit equilibrium analyses in order to understand landslide failure mechanisms<br />
in near-shore areas. The results <strong>of</strong> the study showed that many <strong>of</strong> the<br />
investigated landslides started as translational failures with glide planes<br />
associated to distinct weak layers in the stratigraphy. These beds were<br />
deposited rapidly from turbiditic flows originating from large landslides <strong>of</strong><br />
terrestrial origin. The provenance and mode <strong>of</strong> deposition <strong>of</strong> the weak layers<br />
explain their clay-rich nature with higher water content, greater plasticity,<br />
higher sensitivity and lower shear resistance compared to the surrounding,<br />
more slowly deposited soil layers. The analyses further showed that many<br />
factors may act in concert to trigger a near-shore slope failure (Figure 4.4A).<br />
These factors relate either to the geological attributes <strong>of</strong> the landslide material<br />
(e.g. presence <strong>of</strong> weak layer), or to transient external events affecting the<br />
shoreline environment (e.g. rainfall, tidal variations, etc.).<br />
Figure 4.3 Regional perspective <strong>of</strong> the Trondheim fjord showing detailed<br />
bathymetry with location <strong>of</strong> historical landslides and a large<br />
channel system.<br />
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A prerequisite <strong>for</strong> the occurrence <strong>of</strong> the weak, clay-rich beds, as those found in<br />
this study, is the presence <strong>of</strong> prehistoric clay-slide activity in the catchment and<br />
a low-to-moderately-sloping fjord margin on which the turbiditic beds<br />
accumulate. As sensitive glacio-marine sediments and clay-slides are common<br />
in uplifted fjord valleys <strong>of</strong> Canada and Scandinavia, and to a lesser extent in<br />
Alaska, beds with similar origin as those found in this study could play an<br />
important role <strong>for</strong> the stability <strong>of</strong> other near-shore areas. The results from this<br />
study also illustrate the importance <strong>of</strong> detailed morphological analyses,<br />
combined with a robust geological model including the physical/geotechnical<br />
properties <strong>of</strong> sediments on- and <strong>of</strong>f-shore, in order to per<strong>for</strong>m proper shoreline<br />
slope stability assessment. The results <strong>of</strong> this research are presented through a<br />
series <strong>of</strong> journal papers and conference proceedings (see <strong>ICG</strong> Publications 230<br />
and 253 in Appendix A).<br />
Figure 4.4 A) Schematic representation <strong>of</strong> the pre-failure and failure<br />
conditions in Trondheim fjord and B) Conceptual<br />
representation <strong>of</strong> the different stages <strong>of</strong> sliding, from initial<br />
sliding to generation <strong>of</strong> debris flows and turbidity currents) (Not<br />
to scale).<br />
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5 NATIONAL AND INTERNATIONAL COOPERATION, AND OTHER<br />
<strong>ICG</strong> ACTIVITIES IN 2008<br />
5.1 <strong>ICG</strong> Publications in 2008<br />
The <strong>ICG</strong> Publication List <strong>for</strong> 2008 is given in Appendix A.<br />
5.2 <strong>International</strong> contacts and activities<br />
In addition to the contacts and projects listed in the <strong>ICG</strong> Annual Reports <strong>for</strong><br />
2003 through 2006, the following new international projects and contacts were<br />
initiated.<br />
Two international workshops in connection with the Åknes/Tafjord project in<br />
August 2007: a workshop in Oslo hazard and risk assessment using event trees<br />
(see Section 4.3), and a field trip and workshop in Geiranger on the potential<br />
Åknes rock slide and tsunami. Most <strong>of</strong> the top international tsunami experts<br />
attended the latter workshop.<br />
NGI/<strong>ICG</strong> continued work on two regional network programmes, one in Asia<br />
and one in Central America, to increase the local competence in managing<br />
risks related to different types <strong>of</strong> landslides. NORSAR/<strong>ICG</strong> continued work on<br />
the RESIS programme in Central America. RESIS aims to assess the risk<br />
associated with earthquakes in several urban areas and road networks in<br />
Central America. Work also continued on a third regional project in the<br />
Caribbean to increase the local competence in managing risks related to<br />
tsunamis, earthquakes and landslides. The <strong>ICG</strong> partners NGI, NORSAR and<br />
UiO are involved in the Caribbean project.<br />
The <strong>ICG</strong> partners NORSAR and NGI are involved in several institutional cooperation<br />
projects in India and Pakistan with focus on problems related to<br />
earthquakes, landslides and tsunamis.<br />
<strong>ICG</strong> personnel were heavily involved in the organisation <strong>of</strong> several large and<br />
important conferences, the most important <strong>of</strong> which were:<br />
• 10 th <strong>International</strong> Symposium on Landslides and Engineered Slopes,<br />
Xi’an, China, June-July 2008<br />
• First World Landslide Forum, Tokyo, Japan, 18-21 November 2008<br />
• 33 rd <strong>International</strong> Geological Congress, Oslo, August 2008<br />
The latter event (33IGC) was the largest scientific conference ever held in<br />
Norway with over 6000 participants. <strong>Geohazards</strong> was one <strong>of</strong> the major themes<br />
<strong>of</strong> 33IGC. In addition to the many geohazards-related technical sessions that<br />
were convened by the <strong>ICG</strong> researchers, two special sessions were arranged by<br />
<strong>ICG</strong>: a "<strong>Geohazards</strong> Day" with invited international experts, and the<br />
Symposium <strong>Geohazards</strong>: A tribute to Pr<strong>of</strong>essor "Kaare Høeg" (Pr<strong>of</strong>. Høeg is<br />
the chairman <strong>of</strong> <strong>ICG</strong> Steering Committee).<br />
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5.3 Web site<br />
The web site <strong>of</strong> <strong>ICG</strong> is www.geohazards.no. The web site was redesigned in<br />
May 2005, and it is the main channel <strong>for</strong> disseminating in<strong>for</strong>mation about <strong>ICG</strong><br />
to the general public, as well as the specialists.<br />
6 DOCTORAL CANDIDATES AND GUEST RESEARCHERS IN 2008<br />
<strong>ICG</strong>’s PhD-candidates in 2008<br />
Name Nationality University Financial source<br />
Graziella Devoli<br />
Appointment<br />
period in 2008<br />
* Italy UiO NGI 01/01 <strong>–</strong> 31/05 100<br />
Maj Gøril Glåmen Norway NTNU NTNU 01/01 <strong>–</strong> 31/12 100<br />
Guro Grøneng Norway NTNU <strong>ICG</strong> 01/01 <strong>–</strong> 31/12 100<br />
Harald Iwe Norway UiO NGI/<strong>ICG</strong> 01/01 <strong>–</strong> 31/12 25<br />
Vidar Kveldsvik * Norway NTNU NGI/<strong>ICG</strong> 01/01 <strong>–</strong> 30/06 100<br />
Finn Løvholt * Norway UiO NGI/<strong>ICG</strong> 01/01 <strong>–</strong> 30/04 75<br />
Bård Romstad Norway UiO UiO/<strong>ICG</strong> 01/01 <strong>–</strong> 31/12 100<br />
Trond Nordvik Norway NTNU NTNU 01/01 <strong>–</strong> 31/12 100<br />
Jean-Sébastien L’Heureux Canada NTNU NTNU/Vegvesenet/<strong>ICG</strong> 01/01 <strong>–</strong> 31/12 100<br />
Gustav Grimstad Norway NTNU NTNU 01/01 <strong>–</strong> 31/12 100<br />
Samson Degago Ethiopia NTNU NTNU 01/01 <strong>–</strong> 31/12 100<br />
Anders Gylland Norway NTNU <strong>ICG</strong>/NTNU 01/08 <strong>–</strong> 31/12 100<br />
Annika Bihs Germany NTNU NTNU 01/08 <strong>–</strong> 31/12 100<br />
Magnus Sparrevik Sweden NTNU NGI 01/02 <strong>–</strong> 31/12 50<br />
Håkon Heyerdahl Norway UiO NGI 01/08 <strong>–</strong> 31/12 50<br />
Hedda Breien Norway UiO Vista Programme 01/01 <strong>–</strong> 31/12 100<br />
José Cepeda El Salvador UiO <strong>ICG</strong> / Quota Prog. 01/01 <strong>–</strong> 31/12 100<br />
Arash Zakeri * Canada UiO <strong>ICG</strong> 01/01 <strong>–</strong> 30/11 100<br />
Misganu Debella Gilo Ethiopia UiO UiO 01/08 <strong>–</strong> 31/12 100<br />
Tom Rune Lauknes Norway UiT <strong>ICG</strong>/NORUT/NRS 01/01 <strong>–</strong> 31/12 100<br />
Chang Shin Gue Malaysia Cambridge<br />
Univ., UK<br />
NGI/<strong>ICG</strong> 01/01 <strong>–</strong> 31/12 100<br />
Sook Ling Lee Malaysia Cambridge<br />
Univ., UK<br />
NGI/<strong>ICG</strong> 01/01 <strong>–</strong> 31/12 100<br />
*<br />
PhD thesis successfully defended and doctoral degree awarded in 2008.<br />
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Percent<br />
engagement
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Post-doctoral and guest researchers at <strong>ICG</strong> in 2008<br />
Position Name Nationality Academic Appointment Financial source<br />
degree period in 2008<br />
Post-doc. Dr Zenon Medina-Cetina Mexico Ph.D. 01/01 <strong>–</strong> 31/08 NGI<br />
Post-doc. Dr Daniela Kühn Germany Ph.D. 08/10 <strong>–</strong> 31/12 NORSAR<br />
Post-doc. Dr Fabio De Blasio Italy Ph.D. 01/01 <strong>–</strong> 31/12 UiO / <strong>ICG</strong><br />
Post-doc. Dr Caterina Melchiorre Italy Ph.D. 15/09 <strong>–</strong> 31/12 NGU<br />
Post-doc. Dr Regula Frauenfelder Switzerland Ph.D. 01/01 <strong>–</strong> 31/12 NGI<br />
Visiting<br />
pr<strong>of</strong>essor<br />
Pr<strong>of</strong>. Lewis Edgers USA Ph.D. 01/01 <strong>–</strong> 31/05 NGI<br />
Visiting<br />
pr<strong>of</strong>essor<br />
Pr<strong>of</strong>. Jean Hutchinson Canada Ph.D. 01/02 <strong>–</strong> 15/02 NGI<br />
Visiting<br />
pr<strong>of</strong>essor<br />
Pr<strong>of</strong>. Laurie Baise USA Ph.D. 01/06 <strong>–</strong> 30/06 NSF<br />
Guest<br />
researcher<br />
Andreas Drexel Austria MSc 15/10 <strong>–</strong> 31/12 EU-ERASMUS<br />
Guest<br />
researcher<br />
Robert Behling Germany MSc 01/01 <strong>–</strong> 31/03 <strong>ICG</strong><br />
Guest<br />
researcher<br />
Zhihong Li China MSc 01/09 <strong>–</strong> 31/12 China<br />
Guest<br />
researcher<br />
Natalia Zamora Costa Rica MSc 01/02 <strong>–</strong> 31/07 <strong>ICG</strong><br />
Guest<br />
researcher<br />
Eugene Morgan USA MSc 15/01 <strong>–</strong> 31/07 NSF<br />
Guest<br />
researcher<br />
Guillaume Sauvin France MSc 15/06 <strong>–</strong> 15/08 <strong>ICG</strong><br />
Guest<br />
researcher<br />
Vania Lima Portugal MSc 15/01 <strong>–</strong> 15/04 <strong>ICG</strong><br />
7 ACCOUNTING 2008<br />
7.1 Cash funding (kNOK)<br />
The numbers below are minimum estimates. The actual cash funding from <strong>ICG</strong><br />
partners and other industrial sources are greater.<br />
Activity<br />
RCN NGI<br />
Funding<br />
SUM<br />
NGU/NORSAR/<br />
UiO/NTNU<br />
Other/<br />
Industrial<br />
Technical Projects 10,450 5,000 5,000 5,500 25,950<br />
Non-technical activities 2,260 500 500 - 3,260<br />
Administration & Steering<br />
Committee meetings<br />
1,290 500 -<br />
-<br />
1,790<br />
Total 14,000 6,000 5,500 5,500 31,000<br />
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7.2 In kind (kNOK)<br />
The numbers below are minimum estimates. The actual numbers are higher.<br />
Contribution NGI NGU NTNU UiO NORSAR<br />
Personnel 2,000 200 0 * 0 * 200<br />
IT 500 500 100 100 500<br />
Office spaces 2,000 600 500 500 300<br />
Laboratory/Equipment 500 50 100 100 100<br />
Project work / proposals/ etc. 1,000 200 500 500 700<br />
Stipend to PhD-candidates 900 130 1,900 1,300 -<br />
TOTAL 6,900 1,680 3,100 2,500 1,800<br />
* Included in "Project work / proposals/ etc."<br />
8 PLANNED ACTIVITIES AND BUDGET FOR 2009<br />
8.1 Research Projects and Education<br />
The following projects were approved <strong>for</strong> 2009 by the Board <strong>of</strong> Directors:<br />
• Risk and vulnerability analysis <strong>for</strong> geohazards<br />
• Earthquake hazard, risk and loss<br />
• Stability <strong>of</strong> rock slopes<br />
• Geomechanical modelling<br />
• Offshore geohazards<br />
• Slope instability assessment and hazard zonation<br />
• Tsunami modelling and prediction<br />
• Remote sensing, monitoring and early warning systems<br />
In addition, 2 cross-expertise areas that involve several projects have assigned<br />
"theme coordinators":<br />
• Applications <strong>of</strong> geophysics to geohazards<br />
• Prevention and mitigation<br />
The graduate (MSc and PhD) programmes initiated respectively in 2003 and<br />
2005 at UiO and NTNU are continuing.<br />
8.2 <strong>International</strong> networking<br />
Travels to disaster prevention and natural hazard centres in USA, China, Japan<br />
and Taiwan are planned. Active participation (lecturing) in 10-20 international<br />
conferences is planned <strong>for</strong> 2009. In most cases, <strong>ICG</strong> representatives are asked<br />
to give keynote or state-<strong>of</strong>-the-art lectures.<br />
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8.3 EU projects in the 7 th Framework Programme<br />
The <strong>ICG</strong> partners had an impressive success rate in the proposals submitted to<br />
the 7 th Framework Programme (FP7) in topics related to geohazards. The<br />
following FP7 projects with strong <strong>ICG</strong> participation have already started or<br />
will start in 2009:<br />
• MOVE (Methods <strong>for</strong> the Improvement <strong>of</strong> Vulnerability Assessment in<br />
Europe) <strong>–</strong> Kick-<strong>of</strong>f date: 1 October 2008.<br />
• SHARE (Seismic Hazard Harmonization in Europe) <strong>–</strong> Kick-<strong>of</strong>f date: 1<br />
June 2009.<br />
• SafeLand (Living with landslide risk in Europe: Assessment, effects <strong>of</strong><br />
global change and risk management strategies) <strong>–</strong> Kick-<strong>of</strong>f date: 1 May<br />
2009.<br />
The last project is a large integrating project with 25 European partners which<br />
will be coordinated by <strong>ICG</strong>. The key to the success <strong>of</strong> the proposal <strong>for</strong> the<br />
SafeLand project was the strong financial support (kNOK 500) from The<br />
Research Council <strong>of</strong> Norway’s PES initiative in the project development phase.<br />
8.4 Organising workshops in 2009<br />
<strong>ICG</strong> is organising three workshops in 2009:<br />
• Workshop on Seabed Sediment Pore Pressure: Genesis, Measurement<br />
and Implication <strong>for</strong> Design/Analysis, 24-25 March, Oslo.<br />
• Workshop on Geomechanical Modelling, 31 August & 1 September,<br />
Trondheim.<br />
• Workshop on Risk Mitigation <strong>for</strong> <strong>Geohazards</strong>: under planning.<br />
The first workshop was an <strong>International</strong> event co-sponsored by the National<br />
Science Foundation. About 50 participants from Europe, North America, Asia<br />
and Australia participated in the workshop. In addition to representatives from<br />
the academia and industry, 12 PhD-candidates were among the participants.<br />
8.5 <strong>ICG</strong> budget <strong>for</strong> 2009<br />
The table below reflects funding from The Research Council <strong>of</strong> Norway only.<br />
Considerable cash and in-kind contributions from the <strong>ICG</strong> partners and other<br />
sources <strong>of</strong> funding come in addition to the amounts below (see Section 7).<br />
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<strong>ICG</strong> budget in 2009 based on funding from The Research Council <strong>of</strong> Norway<br />
Funding from<br />
Activity<br />
Research<br />
Council (kNOK)<br />
Comments SUM<br />
8 technical projects 10,180 See Section 8.1.<br />
Graduate programmes on<br />
geohazards<br />
Total <strong>for</strong> technical<br />
projects = kNOK 11,210<br />
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500<br />
Coordination <strong>of</strong> 2 themes 530 See Section 8.1.<br />
IT solutions, EU Proposals, web<br />
site & in<strong>for</strong>mation, conference<br />
participation<br />
840<br />
<strong>International</strong> networking 250<br />
Administration & Steering<br />
Committee meetings<br />
1,400<br />
Contingency 300<br />
Total kNOK 14,000<br />
Total <strong>for</strong> non-technical activities =<br />
kNOK 2,790<br />
The total expenditure charged to the funds provided by The Research Council<br />
<strong>of</strong> Norway is budgeted to be kNOK 14,000 in 2009. The annual funding from<br />
the RCN is planned to be reduced to 12 MNOK in 2010 and 2011, and 8<br />
MNOK in 2012.
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Appendix A <strong>–</strong> <strong>ICG</strong> Publications in 2008 Page: A1<br />
Appendix A - <strong>ICG</strong> Publications in 2008<br />
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Rev.:<br />
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Appendix A <strong>–</strong> <strong>ICG</strong> Publications in 2008 Page: A2<br />
NOTE: <strong>ICG</strong> Publication numbers 1 <strong>–</strong> 189 are listed in previous <strong>ICG</strong> Annual<br />
Reports. Some earlier references missing in the previous lists are<br />
included below.<br />
190 Yang, S.L., Vanneste, M., Forsberg, C.F. and Solheim, A. (2008)<br />
Sediment properties in the upper part <strong>of</strong> the Hinlopen-Yermak landslide,<br />
northern Svalbard continental margin<br />
Paper No. 2008-TPC-384, 18th international <strong>of</strong>fshore and polar engineering<br />
conference (ISOPE), Vancouver, Canada, July 2008.<br />
191. Lecomte, I., Thollet, I., Juliussen, H. and Hamran, S.-E. (2008)<br />
Using geophysics on a terminal moraine damming a glacial lake: the Flatbre<br />
debris flow case, Western Norway.<br />
Advances in Geosciences (ADGEO), 14, pp. 301-307. ISSN 1680-7340<br />
print/ISSN 1680-7359 online, www.adv-geosci-net/14/301/2008/.<br />
192. Lecomte, I. Bano, Hamran, Dalsegg, and Nielsen, K.M. (2008)<br />
Mapping quick-clay sites <strong>for</strong> geohazard assessment: the Finneidfjord case study,<br />
Norway.<br />
Extended abstract <strong>for</strong> EAGE Near Surface 2008 <strong>–</strong> 14th European Meeting <strong>of</strong><br />
Environmental and Engineering Geophysics, Kraków, Poland, 15-17 September<br />
2008<br />
193. Cepeda, J. (2008)<br />
The 2005 Tate's Cairn debris flow: Back-analysis, <strong>for</strong>ward predictions and a<br />
sensitivity analysis.<br />
Proc. <strong>of</strong> the 2007 <strong>International</strong> Forum on Landslide Disaster Management,<br />
Hong Kong, 20 pp.<br />
194. Zakeri, A., Høeg, K. and Nadim, F. (2008)<br />
Submarine Debris Flow Impact on Pipeline: Drag Forces, Mitigation, and<br />
Control.<br />
Proc. Offshore Technology Conference ’08, Houston, Texas, 5-8 May 2008,<br />
paper OTC 19173, 10 pp.<br />
195. Zakeri, A. (2008).<br />
A potentially devastating <strong>of</strong>fshore geohazard - Submarine debris flow impact on<br />
pipelines.<br />
Exploration and Production, Oil and Gas Review 2008 (OTC edition), volume 6<br />
(1), 118-121.<br />
196. Zakeri, A., Høeg, K. and Nadim, F. (2008)<br />
Submarine Debris Flow Impact on Pipelines - Part I: Experimental Program<br />
Coastal Engineering, pp. 10, doi:10.1016/j.coastaleng.2008.06.003<br />
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<strong>International</strong> <strong>Centre</strong> <strong>for</strong> <strong>Geohazards</strong> Report No.: 20031103-6<br />
Date: 2009-03-31<br />
Rev.:<br />
Annual Report - 2008 Rev. date:<br />
Appendix A <strong>–</strong> <strong>ICG</strong> Publications in 2008 Page: A3<br />
197. Zakeri, A., Høeg, K. and Nadim, F. (2008)<br />
Submarine Debris Flow Impact on Pipelines - Part II: Numerical Analysis.<br />
Coastal Engineering, 56(1) (2009) pp. 10, doi:10.1016/j.coastaleng.2009.01.002<br />
198. Issler, D. and Gauer, P. (2008)<br />
Exploring the significance <strong>of</strong> the fluidized flow regime <strong>for</strong> avalanche hazard<br />
mapping<br />
Annals <strong>of</strong> Glaciology, 49, 2008, pp. 193-198<br />
199. Nadim, F., Schack Pedersen, S.A., Schmidt-Thomé, P., Sigmundsson, F. and<br />
Engdahl, M. (2008)<br />
Natural hazards in Nordic Countries<br />
Episodes, Vol. 31, No.1, March 2008, pp 176-184<br />
200. Nadim, F., and Lacasse, S. (2008)<br />
Effects <strong>of</strong> global change on risk associated with geohazards in megacities.<br />
Keynote Lecture, Development <strong>of</strong> Urban Areas and Geotechnical Engineering,<br />
St. Petersburg, Russia, 16<strong>–</strong>19 June 2008.<br />
201. Zakeri, A. (2008)<br />
Review <strong>of</strong> State-<strong>of</strong>-the-art: Drag <strong>for</strong>ces on Submarine Pipelines and Piles<br />
Caused by Landslide or Debris Flow Impact.<br />
Journal <strong>of</strong> Offshore Mechanics and Arctic Engineering, Vol. 130. DOI:<br />
10.1115/ 1.2957922 (Pro<strong>of</strong> copy)<br />
202. Løvholt, F., Pedersen, G. and Gisler, G. (2008)<br />
"Oceanic propagation <strong>of</strong> a potential tsunami from the La Palma Island"<br />
Journal <strong>of</strong> Geophysical Research<br />
203. Devoli, G., De Blasio, F.V., Elverhøi, A. and Høeg, K. (2008)<br />
Statistical Analysis <strong>of</strong> Landslide Events in Central america and their Run-out<br />
Distance<br />
Geotechnical and Geological Engineering (online), DOI 10.1007/s10706-008-<br />
9209-0<br />
204. Nielsen, K.M. (2008)<br />
Seismic surface wave analysis <strong>for</strong> the determination <strong>of</strong> soil shear-strength in<br />
sites exposed to landslides<br />
Master Thesis in Geosciences, Univeristy <strong>of</strong> Oslo, faculty <strong>of</strong> Mathematics and<br />
Natural Sciences.<br />
205. Lacasse, S. (2007)<br />
Assessment and mitigation <strong>of</strong> geohazards from a geotechnical perspective<br />
The 2007 Nagadi Endowment Lecture. Mysore, India, 31 st October 2007.<br />
206. Uzielli, M., Lacasse, S., Nadim, F. and Phoon, K.K. (2006)<br />
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<strong>International</strong> <strong>Centre</strong> <strong>for</strong> <strong>Geohazards</strong> Report No.: 20031103-6<br />
Date: 2009-03-31<br />
Rev.:<br />
Annual Report - 2008 Rev. date:<br />
Appendix A <strong>–</strong> <strong>ICG</strong> Publications in 2008 Page: A4<br />
Soil variability analysis <strong>for</strong> geotechnical practice<br />
2nd <strong>International</strong> Workshop on Characterisation and Engineering Properties <strong>of</strong><br />
Natural Soils, Singapore, 29 November-1 December 2006<br />
207. Lacasse,S., Nadim, F., Høeg, K. and Gregersen, O. (2004)<br />
Risk Assessment in Geotechnical Engineering: The Importance <strong>of</strong> Engineering<br />
Judgement<br />
Proc. <strong>of</strong> the Conference on Advances in Geotechnical Engineering: The<br />
Skempton conference, Vol. 1, pp. 856-867. London, 2004.<br />
208. Leynaud, D., Mienert, J. and Vanneste, M. (2008)<br />
Submarine mass movement on glaciated and non-glaciated European continental<br />
margins: a review <strong>of</strong> triggering mechanisms and preconditions to failure"<br />
Marine and Petroleum Geology, Vol. xxx (2008), 15 pp,<br />
doi:10.1016/j.marpetgoe.2008.02.008<br />
209. Gauer, P., Issler, D., Lied, K., Kristensen, K. and Sandersen, F. (2008)<br />
On snow avalanche flow regimes: Inferences from observations and<br />
measurements<br />
Proc. <strong>of</strong> the <strong>International</strong> Snow Science Workshop 2008, September 21-27,<br />
Whistler, Bristish Columbia, Canada<br />
210. Gauer, P., Medina-Cetina, Z., Lied, K. and Kristensen, K. (2008)<br />
Probabilistic calibration <strong>of</strong> avalanche block models<br />
Proc. <strong>of</strong> the <strong>International</strong> Snow Science Workshop 2008, September 21- 27,<br />
Whistler, Bristish Columbia, Canada<br />
211. Zakeri, A., Høeg, K and Nadim, F. (2008)<br />
Submarine Debris Flow Impact on Pipelines: Numerical Modeling <strong>of</strong> Drag<br />
Forces <strong>for</strong> Mitigation and Control Measures<br />
SPE Projects, Facilities and Construction<br />
212. Uzielli, M., Nadim F., Lacasse, S. and Kaynia A.M. (2008)<br />
A conceptual framework <strong>for</strong> quantitative estimation <strong>of</strong> physical vulnerability to<br />
landslides<br />
Engineering Geology, Vol. 102, No. 3-4, pp. 251-256,<br />
doi:10.1016/j.enggeo.2008.03.011<br />
213. Jaedicke, Solheim, A., Blikra, L.H., Stalsberg, K., Sorteberg, A., Aaheim, A.,<br />
Kronholm, K, Vikhamaer-Schuler, D., Isaksen, K., Sletten, K., Kristensen, K.,<br />
Barstad, I., Melchiorre, C., Høydal, Ø.A. and Mestl, H. (2008)<br />
Spatial and temporal variations <strong>of</strong> Norwegian geohazards in a changing climate,<br />
the GeoExtreme Project.<br />
Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, Vol. 8, pp. 893-904.<br />
214. Lacasse, S. and Nadim, F. (2007)<br />
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<strong>International</strong> <strong>Centre</strong> <strong>for</strong> <strong>Geohazards</strong> Report No.: 20031103-6<br />
Date: 2009-03-31<br />
Rev.:<br />
Annual Report - 2008 Rev. date:<br />
Appendix A <strong>–</strong> <strong>ICG</strong> Publications in 2008 Page: A5<br />
Landslide Risk Management Country Report <strong>for</strong> Norway<br />
<strong>International</strong> Forum on Landslide Disaster Management, Hong Kong,<br />
November 2007<br />
215. Lacasse, S. (2007)<br />
Report on Session 3: Innovation and Digital Technology<br />
<strong>International</strong> Forum on Landslide Disaster Management, Hong Kong,<br />
November 2007<br />
216. Lacasse, S., Eidsvig, U., Nadim, F., Høeg, K. and Blikra, L.H. (2008)<br />
Event Tree Analysis <strong>of</strong> Åknes Rock Slide Hazard<br />
4 th Canadian Conference on <strong>Geohazards</strong>, Université Laval, 20-24 May 2008,<br />
Québec, Canada<br />
217. Eidsvig, U., Lacasse, S., Nadim, F. and Blikra, L.H. (2008)<br />
Quantification <strong>of</strong> rock slide hazard with event tree analysis<br />
NGM-2008, Sandefjord, pp. 153-161<br />
218. Løvholt, F. (2008)<br />
Instabilities <strong>of</strong> Boussinesq models in non-uni<strong>for</strong>m depth<br />
<strong>International</strong> Journal <strong>for</strong> Numerical Methods in fluid mechanics<br />
219. Cassidy, M.J., Uzielli, M. and Lacasse, S. (2008)<br />
Probability risk assessment <strong>of</strong> landslides: A case study at Finneidfjord<br />
Canadian Geotechnical Journal, Vol.45, Nr. 9:1250-1267. Doi:10.1139/T08-<br />
055<br />
220. Bungum, H., Pettenati, F., Schweitzer, J., Sirovich, L. and Faleide, J.I. (2008)<br />
The MS 5.4 October 23, 1940, Osl<strong>of</strong>jord earthquake: Reanalysis based on<br />
macroseismic and instrumental data.<br />
Bulletin <strong>of</strong> the Seismological Society <strong>of</strong> America, resubmitted following review..<br />
221. Sharma, M.L., Douglas, J., Bungum, H. and Kotadia, J. (2008)<br />
Ground motion prediction equations based on data from the Himalayan and<br />
Zagros regions.<br />
Journal <strong>of</strong> Earthquake Engineering, under review<br />
222. Kalsnes, B., Nadim, F. and Glade, T. (2008)<br />
Effects <strong>of</strong> global change on landslide risk<br />
Proc. 1st World Landslide Forum, Tokyo, 18-21 November 2008, pp. 19-33.<br />
223. Fabio V. De Blasio 1,2* and Anders Elverhøi 1,2<br />
Properties <strong>of</strong> mass-transport deposits as inferred from dynamic modeling <strong>of</strong><br />
subaqueous mass wasting: a short review<br />
to be published on: SEPM special volume, 2009<br />
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<strong>International</strong> <strong>Centre</strong> <strong>for</strong> <strong>Geohazards</strong> Report No.: 20031103-6<br />
Date: 2009-03-31<br />
Rev.:<br />
Annual Report - 2008 Rev. date:<br />
Appendix A <strong>–</strong> <strong>ICG</strong> Publications in 2008 Page: A6<br />
224. F.V. De Blasio and M-B Sæter<br />
Rolling friction on a granular medium<br />
To be published on: Physical Review E.<br />
225. F.V. De Blasio<br />
F.V. De Blasio. Rheology <strong>of</strong> a fragmenting granular medium and the riddle <strong>of</strong><br />
the anomalous low friction <strong>of</strong> large rock avalanches<br />
to be published in: Granular Matter.<br />
226. Jaedicke, C. and Kleven, A. (2008)<br />
Long-term precipitation and slide activity in south-eastern Norway, autumn<br />
2000<br />
Hydrological Processes, Vol. 22, Nr. 24, pp.495-505. Published online in Wiley<br />
InterScience (www.interscience.wiley.com) DOI: 10.1002/hyp.6878<br />
227. Kaynia, A.M., Papathoma-Köhle, M., Neuhäuser, B., Ratzinger, K., Wenzel, H.,<br />
Medina-Cetina, Z. (2008)<br />
Probabilistic assessment <strong>of</strong> vulnerability to landslide: Application to the village<br />
<strong>of</strong> Lichtenstein, Baden-Württemburg, Germany<br />
Engineering Geology, 101, pp. 33-48, doi:10.1017/j.enggeo.2008.03.008<br />
228. Zakeri, A. (2009).<br />
Submarine debris flow impact on suspended (free-span) pipelines: normal and<br />
longitudinal drag <strong>for</strong>ces.<br />
Submitted to Ocean Engineering, doi:1.0.1016/j.oceaneng.2009-01-018<br />
229. Zakeri, A., Guangying Si, Jeffrey D.G. Marr, Kaare Høeg (2009).<br />
Experimental investigation <strong>of</strong> subaqueous clay-rich debris flows,<br />
turbidity generation and sediment deposition, Submitted to the<br />
Symposium <strong>of</strong> Submarine Mass Movement and Consequeces<br />
230. L’Heureux, J.-S., L. Hansen, and O. Longva (2009).<br />
Development <strong>of</strong> the submarine channel in front <strong>of</strong> the Nidelva River,<br />
Trondheimsfjorden, Norway.<br />
Marine Geology, doi:10.1016/j.margeo.2009.01.005.<br />
231. Vanneste, M., Madshus, C., Sparrevik, P., Westerdahl, H. and Løvholt, J.H.<br />
(2008)<br />
On the use <strong>of</strong> a seabed-coupled shear wave source to determine geodynamic and<br />
geotechnical properties.<br />
Geoteknikkdagen 2008, 9 p.<br />
232. Uzielli, M., Duzgun, S. and Vangelsten, B.V. (2006)<br />
A First-Order Second-Moment Framework <strong>for</strong> Probabilistic Estimation <strong>of</strong><br />
Vulnerability to Landslides (Eds: Nadim, F., Pöttler, R., Einstein, H.,<br />
Klapperich, H., Kramer, S.)<br />
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<strong>International</strong> <strong>Centre</strong> <strong>for</strong> <strong>Geohazards</strong> Report No.: 20031103-6<br />
Date: 2009-03-31<br />
Rev.:<br />
Annual Report - 2008 Rev. date:<br />
Appendix A <strong>–</strong> <strong>ICG</strong> Publications in 2008 Page: A7<br />
2006 ECI Conference on <strong>Geohazards</strong>, Lillehammer, Norway, <strong>International</strong><br />
Symposium Series, 18-21 June 2006<br />
233. Vangelsten, B.V., Lacasse, S., Uzielli, M. (2007)<br />
Probabilistic risk estimation <strong>for</strong> a Norwegian clay slope<br />
Proc. 14th European Conference on Soil Mechanics and Geotechnical<br />
Engineering, Madrid, September 24-27, 2007, pp- 875-882 (CD-ROM).<br />
234. Bungum, H., Pascal, C., Olesen, O., Lindholm, C., Vestøl, O., Atakan, K. and<br />
Gibbons, S. (2009). To what extent is the present seismicity <strong>of</strong> Norway driven<br />
by postglacial rebound? Journal <strong>of</strong> the Geological Society <strong>of</strong> London, under<br />
review.<br />
235. Galiana-Merino, J.J., Lebrun, M. and Lindholm, C.D. (2009). Ambient<br />
vibrations analyzed <strong>for</strong> site characterization by array techniques. Journal <strong>of</strong><br />
Seismology, under review.<br />
236. Lang, D.H., Molina-Palacios, S. and Lindholm, C.D. (2008)<br />
Towards near-real-time damage estimation using a CSM-based tool <strong>for</strong> seismic<br />
risk assessment.<br />
Journal <strong>of</strong> Earthquake Engineering 12 (S2): 199<strong>–</strong>210.<br />
237. Molina, S., Lang D.H. and Lindholm, C.D. (2009). SELENA <strong>–</strong> An open-source<br />
tool <strong>for</strong> seismic risk and loss assessment using a logic tree computation<br />
procedure. Computers & Geosciences, submitted.<br />
238. Prasad, J.S.R., Singh, Y., Kaynia, A.M. and Lindholm, C.D. (2009). Socio-<br />
Economic Clustering in Seismic Risk Assessment <strong>of</strong> Urban Housing Stock.<br />
Earthquake Spectra, in press.<br />
239. Molina-Palacios, S., Galiana-Merino, J.J., Jiménez-Delgado, A., Zaragoza-<br />
Martínez, F., Jiménez, M.J., Gimeno-Nieves, E., Lang, D.H. and Lindholm,<br />
C.D. (2008)<br />
Seismic risk scenarios <strong>for</strong> urban areas <strong>of</strong> Alicante Province (southeast Spain)<br />
14th World Conf. on Earthq. Eng. WCEE, Beijing/China, 2008.<br />
240. Molina, S., Elias, C., Lang, D.H., Lindholm, C.D. (2008)<br />
Soil characteristics identification <strong>of</strong> urban areas in San Salvador (El Salvador)<br />
using H/V spectral ratio technique.<br />
31st General Assembly <strong>of</strong> the European Seismological Commission ESC 2008,<br />
Crete, Greece, September 2008.<br />
241. Abrahamczyk, L., Schwarz, J., Lang, D.H., Leipold, M., Genes, M.C., Bikce, M.<br />
and Kacin, S. (2008)<br />
Building monitoring <strong>for</strong> seismic risk assessment (I): Instrumentation <strong>of</strong> RC<br />
frame structures as a part <strong>of</strong> the SERAMAR project<br />
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<strong>International</strong> <strong>Centre</strong> <strong>for</strong> <strong>Geohazards</strong> Report No.: 20031103-6<br />
Date: 2009-03-31<br />
Rev.:<br />
Annual Report - 2008 Rev. date:<br />
Appendix A <strong>–</strong> <strong>ICG</strong> Publications in 2008 Page: A8<br />
14th World Conf. on Earthq. Eng. WCEE, Beijing/China, 2008.<br />
242. Schwarz, J., Lang, D.H. , Kaufmann, C. and Ende, C. (2007)<br />
Empirical ground-motion relations <strong>for</strong> Cali<strong>for</strong>nian strong-motion data based on<br />
instrumental subsoil classification<br />
Proc. <strong>of</strong> the Ninth Canadian Conference on Earthquake Engineering, Ottawa,<br />
Ontario, Canada, 2007.<br />
243. Cepeda, J., Høeg, K. and Nadim, F. (2009)<br />
Landslide-triggering rainfall thresholds: A conceptual framework.<br />
Quarterly Journal <strong>of</strong> Engineering Geology and Hydrogeology<br />
244. Devoli, G., Cepeda, J. and Kerle, N. (2009)<br />
The 1998 Casita volcano flank failure revisited — New insights into geological<br />
setting and failure mechanisms<br />
Engineering Geology 02906 (2009) 19 pp<br />
(online doi:10.1016/j.enggeo.2008.12.00)<br />
245. Romstad, B. (Publication number reserved)<br />
246. Lang, D.H. and Schwarz, J. (2007): The application <strong>of</strong> ambient seismic noise <strong>for</strong><br />
engineering purposes. Proceedings NATO Advanced Research Workshop<br />
'Increasing Seismic Safety by Combining Engineering Technologies and<br />
Seismological Data', Dubrovnik, Croatia, 2007. Extended abstract.<br />
247. Lang, D.H., R. Merlos, L. Holliday, Manuel A. Lopez M. (2007). Vivienda de<br />
Bahareque in El Salvador. EERI World Housing Encyclopedia. Paper #141.<br />
248. Lang, D.H., L. Holliday, O. G. Flores Beltetón (2007). Vivienda de Adobe in<br />
Guatemala. EERI World Housing Encyclopedia. Paper #144.<br />
249. Lang, D.H., A. Amador, L. Holliday, C. Romero, and A. Ugarte (2008).<br />
Vivienda de Minifalda in Nicaragua. EERI World Housing Encyclopedia. Paper<br />
#148.<br />
250. Schwarz, J., Langhammer, T., Leipold, M., Abrahamczyk, L., Kaufmann, Ch.,<br />
Lang, D.H., and Riedel, S. (2008): Bewertung der Erdbebenverletzbarkeit eines<br />
Gebaeudebestandes in innerstaedtischen Grossraeumen - Phase 1 des<br />
SERAMAR Projektes. D-A-CH Mitteilungsblatt, Band 83, Sept. 2008, S2-S10<br />
(in German).<br />
251. Rautela, P., Joshi, G.Ch., Singh, Y., and Lang, D.H. (2008). Koti Banal<br />
Architecture <strong>of</strong> Uttarakhand, India. EERI World Housing Encyclopedia.<br />
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<strong>International</strong> <strong>Centre</strong> <strong>for</strong> <strong>Geohazards</strong> Report No.: 20031103-6<br />
Date: 2009-03-31<br />
Rev.:<br />
Annual Report - 2008 Rev. date:<br />
Appendix A <strong>–</strong> <strong>ICG</strong> Publications in 2008 Page: A9<br />
252. Morgan, E.C., Vanneste, M., Longva, O., Lecomte, I., McAdoo, B., Baise, L.<br />
Evaluating gas-generated pore pressure with seismic reflection data in a<br />
landslide-prone area: an example from Finneidfjord, Norway.<br />
253. L’Heureux, J.S., Longva, O., Glimsdal, S., Hansen, L., Harbitz, C.B., Gauer, P.<br />
Causes <strong>for</strong> the 1888 shoreline landslide and tsunami in Trondheimsfjorden, mid-<br />
Norway. workshop in Ischia, <strong>International</strong> Conference on Seafloor Mapping <strong>for</strong><br />
Geohazard Assessment, 11-13 May, Ischia, Italy<br />
254. Vanneste, M., Winkelmann, D., Harbitz, C.B., De Blasio, F.V., Glimsdal, S.,<br />
Mienert, J., Forsberg, C.F. Geophysical Mapping <strong>of</strong> the Hinlopen-Yermak<br />
landslide complex, and implications <strong>for</strong> landslide dynamics and tsunami<br />
simulations. workshop in Ischia, <strong>International</strong> Conference on Seafloor Mapping<br />
<strong>for</strong> Geohazard Assessment, 11-13 May, Ischia, Italy<br />
255. Frauenfelder, R. (publication number reserved)<br />
256. Grøneng, G. Nilsen, B. and Sandven, R. (2009)<br />
Shear strength estimation <strong>for</strong> Åknes sliding area in western Norway<br />
<strong>International</strong> Journal <strong>of</strong> Rock Mechanics & Mining Sciences 46 (2009) 479-488<br />
257. Kveldsvik, V., Kaynia, A.M., Nadim, F., Bhasin, R., Nilsen, B. and Einstein,<br />
H.H. (2009)<br />
Dynamic distinct-element analysis <strong>of</strong> the 800m high A˚ knes rock slope<br />
<strong>International</strong> Journal <strong>of</strong> Rock Mechanics & Mining Sciences 46 (2009) 686<strong>–</strong>698<br />
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Kontroll- og referanseside/<br />
Review and reference page<br />
Oppdragsgiver/Client<br />
The Research Council <strong>of</strong> Norway<br />
Kontraktsreferanse/<br />
Contract reference<br />
SFF <strong>–</strong> <strong>ICG</strong> 146035/420<br />
Dokumenttittel/Document title<br />
<strong>International</strong> <strong>Centre</strong> <strong>for</strong> <strong>Geohazards</strong> <strong>–</strong> Annual report <strong>–</strong> 2008<br />
Prosjektleder/Project Manager<br />
Farrokh Nadim<br />
Utarbeidet av/Prepared by<br />
Farrokh Nadim<br />
Emneord/Keywords<br />
Land, fylke/Country, County<br />
Kommune/Municipality<br />
Sted/Location<br />
Kartblad/Map<br />
UTM-koordinater/UTM-coordinates<br />
Kvalitetssikring i henhold til/Quality assurance according to<br />
NS-EN ISO9001<br />
Kontrollert<br />
av/<br />
Reviewed<br />
by<br />
FNa<br />
Kontrolltype/<br />
Type <strong>of</strong> review<br />
Helhetsvurdering/<br />
General<br />
Evaluation *<br />
SL Språk/Style<br />
SL<br />
Teknisk/Technical<br />
- Skjønn/Intelligence<br />
- Total/Extensive<br />
- Tverrfaglig/<br />
Interdisciplinary<br />
THa Ut<strong>for</strong>ming/Layout 2009.03.31<br />
SL Slutt/Final 2009.03.31<br />
Kopiering/Copy quality<br />
Dokument nr/Document No.<br />
20031103-6<br />
Dato/Date<br />
2009-03-31<br />
Distribusjon/Distribution<br />
� Fri/Unlimited<br />
� Begrenset/Limited<br />
� Ingen/None<br />
Havområde/Offshore area<br />
Feltnavn/Field name<br />
Sted/Location<br />
Felt, blokknr./Field, Block No.<br />
Dokument/Document Revisjon 1/Revision 1 Revisjon 2/Revision 2<br />
Kontrollert/Reviewed Kontrollert/Reviewed Kontrollert/Reviewed<br />
Dato/Date<br />
2009.03.31<br />
Sign. Dato/Date Sign. Dato/Date Sign.<br />
* Gjennomlesning av hele rapporten og skjønnsmessig vurdering av innhold og presentasjons<strong>for</strong>m/<br />
On the basis <strong>of</strong> an overall evaluation <strong>of</strong> the report, its technical content and <strong>for</strong>m <strong>of</strong> presentation<br />
Dokument godkjent <strong>for</strong> utsendelse/<br />
Document approved <strong>for</strong> release<br />
Dato/Date<br />
31 March 2009<br />
Sign.