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International Centre for Geohazards (ICG)

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Partners in <strong>ICG</strong><br />

<strong>Centre</strong> of Excellence –<br />

<strong>International</strong> <strong>Centre</strong> <strong>for</strong><br />

<strong>Geohazards</strong> (<strong>ICG</strong>)<br />

Annual Report - 2009<br />

20031103-7 31 March 2010<br />

Client: The Research Council of Norway<br />

Contact person: Are Birger Carlson<br />

Contract reference: SFF – <strong>ICG</strong> 146035/420<br />

For the Norwegian Geotechnical Institute<br />

Report prepared by:<br />

Postal address: P.O. Box 3930 Ullevaal Stadion, N-0806 OSLO, NORWAY Telephone: (+47) 22 02 30 00 Postal account: 0814 51 60643<br />

Street address: Sognsveien 72, OSLO Telefax: (+47) 22 23 04 48 Bank account: 5096 05 01281<br />

Internet: http://www.ngi.no e -mail: ngi@ngi.no Business No. 958 254 318 MVA<br />

BS EN ISO 9001, Certified by BSI, Registration No. FS 32989<br />

Suzanne Lacasse<br />

Managing Director<br />

Farrokh Nadim<br />

Director, <strong>ICG</strong><br />

Reviewed by: Suzanne Lacasse<br />

Bjørn Kalsnes


<strong>International</strong> <strong>Centre</strong> <strong>for</strong> <strong>Geohazards</strong> Report No.: 20031103-7<br />

Date: 2010-03-31<br />

Rev.: -<br />

Annual Report - 2009 Rev. date:<br />

Page: 2<br />

Summary<br />

The "<strong>International</strong> <strong>Centre</strong> <strong>for</strong> <strong>Geohazards</strong>" (<strong>ICG</strong>) is one the 13 <strong>Centre</strong>s of Excellence<br />

(Senter <strong>for</strong> Fremragende Forskning, SFF) established by The Research Council of<br />

Norway (RCN) in 2003. The Norwegian Geotechnical Institute (NGI) is the host<br />

organisation <strong>for</strong> <strong>ICG</strong>. Partners in the centre are the University of Oslo (UiO), the<br />

Norwegian University of Science and Technology (NTNU), NORSAR, and the<br />

Geological Survey of Norway (NGU).<br />

Results and activities in 2009<br />

The research plan was followed and the goals set <strong>for</strong> the year were achieved. With<br />

respect to four major goals of <strong>ICG</strong>, a) in-kind contribution from the partners, b)<br />

complementary projects from the industry, c) number of PhD candidates, and d)<br />

international networking, the results have exceeded by far the goals and expectations.<br />

The focus of <strong>ICG</strong>’s research in 2009 was on:<br />

- Assessment of the risks associated with geohazards to individuals and society.<br />

- Development and improvement of methods <strong>for</strong> modelling the mechanical processes<br />

underlying the physical phenomena of different geohazards and <strong>for</strong> evaluating<br />

the consequences of geohazards.<br />

- <strong>Geohazards</strong> prevention and risk mitigation strategies.<br />

- Collaborative research ef<strong>for</strong>ts with European partners in European Commission’s<br />

7 th Framework Programme (FP7).<br />

- Graduate university programmes on geohazards at UiO and NTNU<br />

Joint workshops, seminars, and project meetings contributed to further enhance the<br />

good collaboration among the five partners.<br />

The large-scale integrating project SafeLand (Living with landslide risk in Europe:<br />

Assessment, effects of global change and risk management strategies) within FP7<br />

started in May 2009. <strong>ICG</strong> is the coordinator of this project, which has 27 European<br />

partners and several international partners from USA and Asia.<br />

There is considerable interest and enthusiasm about the activities of <strong>ICG</strong>, both in<br />

Norway and abroad.<br />

Challenges <strong>for</strong> 2010<br />

The overall research plan remains essentially unchanged. The main challenges <strong>for</strong>eseen<br />

<strong>for</strong> 2010 include:<br />

Finding complementary funding sources to maintain the high activity level at <strong>ICG</strong><br />

through the end of 2012.<br />

Research on complex issues such as vulnerability and risk assessment, tsunami runup<br />

estimation, disintegration of material during sliding, rainfall-induced landslides,<br />

earthquake response, etc.<br />

Identification of the niches where the combined expertise of <strong>ICG</strong> partners could be<br />

put into practical use on the international arena.<br />

Networking with centres of expertise who work on the societal aspects of the risk<br />

associated with geohazards.<br />

Further work on identifying the most appropriate strategies <strong>for</strong> geohazards<br />

prevention and risk mitigation.<br />

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<strong>International</strong> <strong>Centre</strong> <strong>for</strong> <strong>Geohazards</strong> Report No.: 20031103-7<br />

Date: 2010-03-31<br />

Rev.: -<br />

Annual Report - 2009 Rev. date:<br />

Page: 3<br />

Implementing the achievements made at <strong>ICG</strong> in practical use within the partner<br />

organisations.<br />

Attracting PhD candidates, post-docs and guest researchers to Norway.<br />

Active participation in the research programmes on natural hazards and risk<br />

management in the 7 th Frame Programme.<br />

Running and planning new international conferences, seminars and workshops.<br />

Increased publication in highly respected scientific journals.<br />

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<strong>International</strong> <strong>Centre</strong> <strong>for</strong> <strong>Geohazards</strong> Report No.: 20031103-7<br />

Date: 2010-03-31<br />

Rev.: -<br />

Annual Report - 2009 Rev. date:<br />

Page: 4<br />

Contents<br />

1 BACKGROUND ......................................................................................................................... 5<br />

2 ORGANISATION OF <strong>ICG</strong> ......................................................................................................... 5<br />

3 ACTIVITIES OF <strong>ICG</strong>’S STEERING COMMITTEE ................................................................ 9<br />

4 TECHNICAL ACTIVITIES OF <strong>ICG</strong> IN 2009 ........................................................................... 9<br />

4.1 Core research activities ..................................................................................................... 9<br />

4.2 The FP7 Project SafeLand .............................................................................................. 10<br />

4.3 Earthquake triggered landslides in southern Chile / Patagonia ....................................... 13<br />

5 NATIONAL AND INTERNATIONAL COOPERATION, AND OTHER <strong>ICG</strong><br />

ACTIVITIES IN 2009 ............................................................................................................... 15<br />

5.1 <strong>ICG</strong> Publications in 2009 ................................................................................................ 15<br />

5.2 Workshops and international contacts ............................................................................ 15<br />

5.3 Web site........................................................................................................................... 16<br />

6 DOCTORAL CANDIDATES AND GUEST RESEARCHERS IN 2009 ................................ 17<br />

7 ACCOUNTING 2009................................................................................................................ 18<br />

7.1 Cash funding (kNOK) ..................................................................................................... 18<br />

7.2 In kind (kNOK) ............................................................................................................... 19<br />

7.3 Total (kNOK) .................................................................................................................. 19<br />

8 PLANNED ACTIVITIES AND BUDGET FOR 2010 ............................................................. 19<br />

8.1 Research Projects and Education .................................................................................... 19<br />

8.2 <strong>International</strong> networking ................................................................................................. 19<br />

8.3 EU projects in the 7 th Framework Programme ................................................................ 20<br />

8.4 IPCC work....................................................................................................................... 20<br />

8.5 Organising conferences and workshops in 2010 ............................................................. 20<br />

8.6 <strong>ICG</strong> budget <strong>for</strong> 2010 ....................................................................................................... 21<br />

Appendix A – <strong>ICG</strong> Publications in 2009<br />

Review and reference document<br />

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<strong>International</strong> <strong>Centre</strong> <strong>for</strong> <strong>Geohazards</strong> Report No.: 20031103-7<br />

Date: 2010-03-31<br />

Rev.: -<br />

Annual Report - 2009 Rev. date:<br />

Page: 5<br />

1 BACKGROUND<br />

The "<strong>International</strong> <strong>Centre</strong> <strong>for</strong> <strong>Geohazards</strong>" (<strong>ICG</strong>) is a <strong>Centre</strong> of Excellence<br />

(Senter <strong>for</strong> Fremragende Forskning, SFF) established by the Research Council<br />

of Norway in 2003. The Norwegian <strong>Centre</strong>s of Excellence scheme is designed<br />

to stimulate Norwegian research groups to set up centres devoted to long-term<br />

basic research. The intention is to raise the quality of Norwegian research and<br />

bring more researchers and research groups up to a high international standard.<br />

<strong>ICG</strong> is a consortium of five partners. Norwegian Geotechnical Institute (NGI)<br />

is the host organisation <strong>for</strong> <strong>ICG</strong>. Other partners in the centre are University of<br />

Oslo (UiO), Norwegian University of Science and Technology (NTNU),<br />

NORSAR, and Geological Survey of Norway (NGU). The consortium may be<br />

expanded with "associated partners" subject to agreement by all five main partners.<br />

<strong>ICG</strong>’s objective is to be an international centre of expertise on basic and<br />

applied research on geo-related natural hazards (geohazards), such as landslides,<br />

earthquakes and tsunamis. However, the frameworks and methodologies<br />

developed <strong>for</strong> the assessment of hazard, vulnerability and risk may also be<br />

applied <strong>for</strong> other types of threats. The main aim of <strong>ICG</strong> is to develop<br />

knowledge that can help save lives and reduce damage to infrastructure and the<br />

environment. Another aim is to train graduate students and highly-qualified<br />

researchers from Norway and abroad.<br />

<strong>ICG</strong> prioritised international networking, and its status of “<strong>Centre</strong> of<br />

Excellence” contributed to opening many doors. In 2008, <strong>ICG</strong> was awarded the<br />

status of “World <strong>Centre</strong> of Excellence” in Japan, by the <strong>International</strong><br />

Consortium <strong>for</strong> Landslides.<br />

2 ORGANISATION OF <strong>ICG</strong><br />

<strong>ICG</strong> has its own Board of Directors (Steering Committee). Each of the <strong>ICG</strong><br />

partners, NGI, NTNU, UiO, NORSAR and NGU, has a representative on the<br />

Steering Committee. In addition, the Steering Committee has at least one<br />

external representative from Norway and one international representative. The<br />

Research Council of Norway may also appoint a member to the Steering Committee.<br />

<strong>ICG</strong> has associated partners, e.g. University of Tromsø, but they do not<br />

have a representative on the Steering Committee. As the host organisation,<br />

NGI appointed the director of <strong>ICG</strong>, and NGI’s representative is the chairman of<br />

the Steering Committee.<br />

The activities of the <strong>ICG</strong> are grouped into three categories:<br />

1. Research projects<br />

2. Training and education<br />

3. <strong>International</strong> networking and dissemination of in<strong>for</strong>mation<br />

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<strong>International</strong> <strong>Centre</strong> <strong>for</strong> <strong>Geohazards</strong> Report No.: 20031103-7<br />

Date: 2010-03-31<br />

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Annual Report - 2009 Rev. date:<br />

Page: 6<br />

The organisation chart and the project chart of <strong>ICG</strong> are shown on the following<br />

pages. The <strong>ICG</strong> projects and other <strong>ICG</strong> activities are elaborated further later in<br />

the report.<br />

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<strong>International</strong> <strong>Centre</strong> <strong>for</strong> <strong>Geohazards</strong> Report No.: 20031103-7<br />

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Page: 7<br />

Board of Directors<br />

Prof. Kaare Høeg (UiO/NGI), Chairman Prof. Herbert Einstein (MIT)<br />

Dr Øystein Nordgulen (NGU) Prof. Steinar Nordal (NTNU)<br />

Prof. Andreas Kääb (UiO) Hallvard Berg (NVE)<br />

Anders Dahle (NORSAR) Tor-Inge Tjelta (Statoil)<br />

<strong>ICG</strong> Project 1<br />

Project Manager<br />

Researchers<br />

Students<br />

Technical Adviser<br />

Prof. Kaare Høeg<br />

<strong>ICG</strong> Project 2<br />

Project Manager<br />

Researchers<br />

Students<br />

Organisation chart of <strong>ICG</strong> as of 31 December 2009<br />

<strong>ICG</strong> Project 3<br />

Project Manager<br />

Researchers<br />

Students<br />

NGI<br />

Suzanne Lacasse<br />

Managing Director<br />

Dr. Farrokh Nadim, Director<br />

Bjørn Kalsnes, Deputy Director<br />

Tini van der Harst, Administrative Assistant<br />

<strong>ICG</strong> Research Projects and Themes<br />

<strong>ICG</strong> Project 4<br />

Project Manager<br />

Researchers<br />

Students<br />

<strong>ICG</strong> Project 5<br />

Project Manager<br />

Researchers<br />

Students<br />

<strong>International</strong> Scientific Advisors<br />

Prof. Gholamreza Mesri (U.of Illinois)<br />

Prof. Herbert H. Einstein (MIT)<br />

Prof. Steven Kramer (U. of Washington)<br />

Prof. Kok-Kwang Phoon (Nat. U. of Singapore)<br />

Theme A - Theme Coordinator Theme B - Theme Coordinator Theme C - Theme Coordinator<br />

<strong>ICG</strong> Project N<br />

Project Manager<br />

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Researchers<br />

Students


<strong>International</strong> <strong>Centre</strong> <strong>for</strong> <strong>Geohazards</strong> Report No.: 20031103-7<br />

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<strong>ICG</strong> Project Project Managers Post-docs & Guest Researchers<br />

Risk and vulnerability analysis <strong>for</strong> geohazards Dr Suzanne Lacasse (NGI) Zhihong Li, Mona Khaleghy-Rad<br />

Earthquakes – hazard, risk and loss estimation Prof. Hilmar Bungum (NORSAR) Dr Daniela Kühn, Filippo Marchi<br />

Stability of rock slopes Dr Reginald Hermanns (NGU)<br />

Geomechanical modelling Prof. Steinar Nordal (NTNU) Ariane Locat<br />

Offshore geohazards Dr Maarten Vanneste (NGI) Cody Jones, Jean-Sébastien L'Heureux, Guillaume Sauvin<br />

Slope instability assessment and hazard zonation Dr Kalle Kronholm (NGI) Mads-Peter Dahl, Maria Mammoliti<br />

Tsunami modelling and prediction Dr Carl Harbitz (NGI) Dr Sara Bazin, Dr Gunilla Kaiser<br />

Monitoring, remote sensing and early warning systems Prof. Andreas Kääb (UiO) Dr Regula Frauenfelder, Florian Köllner, Alexandre Tourette<br />

PhD-candidates at UiO & NTNU:<br />

Maj Gøril Glåmen (NTNU)<br />

Guro Grøneng (NTNU)<br />

Harald Iwe (UiO)<br />

Trond Nordvik (NTNU)<br />

Bård Romsdal (UiO)<br />

Samson Degago (NTNU)<br />

Anders Gylland (NTNU)<br />

Annika Bihs (NTNU)<br />

Magnus Sparrevik (NTNU)<br />

Håkon Heyerdahl (UiO)<br />

Misganu Debella Gilo (UiO)<br />

Hom Nath Gharti (UiO)<br />

Rolv Bredesen (UiO)<br />

David Unteregger (NTNU)<br />

Martina Böhme (NTNU)<br />

Technical Adviser<br />

Prof. Kaare Høeg<br />

Project chart of <strong>ICG</strong> as of 31 December 2009<br />

Dr. Farrokh Nadim, Director<br />

Bjørn Kalsnes, Deputy Director<br />

Tini van der Harst, Administrative Assistent<br />

Themes covering several projects Theme Coordinator<br />

Geophysics <strong>for</strong> geohazards<br />

Prevention and mitigation of geohazards<br />

<strong>ICG</strong>-affiliated PhD-candidates in other<br />

universities than UiO and NTNU:<br />

Chang Shin Gue (Cambridge Univ., UK)<br />

Sook Ling Lee (Cambridge Univ., UK)<br />

Tom Rune Lauknes (Univ. of Tromsø)<br />

Dr Isabelle Lecomte (NORSAR)<br />

Dr Farrokh Nadim (NGI)<br />

PhDs awarded in 2009:<br />

Hedda Breien (UiO)<br />

José Cepeda (UiO)<br />

Gunnstein Sælevik (UiO)<br />

Gustav Grimstad (NTNU)<br />

Jean-Sébastien L'Heureux (NTNU)<br />

<strong>International</strong> Scientific Advisors<br />

Prof. Gholamreza Mesri (U.of Illinois)<br />

Prof. Herbert H. Einstein (MIT)<br />

Prof. Steven Kramer (U. of Washington)<br />

Prof. Kok-Kwang Phoon (Nat. U. of Singapore<br />

Professors from Norway active in <strong>ICG</strong>:<br />

Anders Elverhøi (UiO)<br />

Bernd Etzelmüller (UiO)<br />

Leiv-Jacob Gelius (UiO)<br />

Bjørn Gjevik (UiO)<br />

Lars Grande (NTNU)<br />

Svein Hamran (UiO)<br />

Kaare Høeg (UiO)<br />

Andreas Kääb (UiO)<br />

Hans Petter Langtangen (UiO)<br />

Terje Midtbø (NTNU)<br />

Farrokh Nadim (NTNU & UiO)<br />

Bjørn Nilsen (NTNU)<br />

Steinar Nordal (NTNU)<br />

Geir Kleivstul Pedersen (UiO)<br />

Hans Petter Jostad (NTNU)<br />

Thomas Benz (NTNU)<br />

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<strong>International</strong> <strong>Centre</strong> <strong>for</strong> <strong>Geohazards</strong> Report No.: 20031103-7<br />

Date: 2010-03-31<br />

Rev.: -<br />

Annual Report - 2009 Rev. date:<br />

Page: 9<br />

3 ACTIVITIES OF <strong>ICG</strong>’S STEERING COMMITTEE<br />

The main responsibility of <strong>ICG</strong>’s Steering Committee is to set the priorities in<br />

the yearly research plans. The Steering Committee also acts as a technical<br />

advisor to the Director of <strong>ICG</strong>.<br />

The Steering Committee shall also discuss and deal with<br />

annual budget<br />

annual technical report(s)<br />

annual financial report<br />

The annual technical and financial report (this document) is prepared by the<br />

Director of the <strong>Centre</strong> and delivered to the Managing Director of NGI, who is<br />

responsible <strong>for</strong> reporting the activities of <strong>ICG</strong> to The Research Council of<br />

Norway.<br />

The <strong>ICG</strong> Steering Committee is composed of:<br />

Prof. Kaare Høeg (UiO/NGI), Chairman<br />

Dr Øystein Nordgulen (NGU)<br />

Prof. Andreas Kääb (UiO)<br />

Mr Anders Dahle (NORSAR)<br />

Prof. Steinar Nordal (NTNU)<br />

Mr Hallvard Berg (NVE)<br />

Mr Tor-Inge Tjelta (Statoil)<br />

Prof. Herbert Einstein (MIT, USA)<br />

The Steering Committee held 2 meetings in 2009:<br />

Meeting No. 1/09: 23 March 2009<br />

Meeting No. 2/09: 4 December 2009<br />

The following meetings in 2010 are planned:<br />

Meeting No. 1/10: 26 March 2010<br />

Meeting No. 2/10: 3 December 2010<br />

One of the main topics of discussion <strong>for</strong> the <strong>ICG</strong> Steering Committee in 2010<br />

is the evaluation of different models <strong>for</strong> <strong>ICG</strong>’s future after 2012.<br />

4 TECHNICAL ACTIVITIES OF <strong>ICG</strong> IN 2009<br />

4.1 Core research activities<br />

<strong>ICG</strong> divided its technical activities in 2009 into eight projects, and significant<br />

progress was done on each:<br />

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Risk and vulnerability analysis <strong>for</strong> geohazards<br />

Earthquakes – hazard, risk and loss estimation<br />

Stability of rock slopes<br />

Geomechanical modelling<br />

Offshore geohazards<br />

Slope instability assessment and hazard zonation<br />

Tsunami modelling and prediction<br />

Monitoring, remote sensing and early warning systems<br />

In addition to these projects, two "themes" that involve several projects were<br />

given high priority, and a Theme Coordinator was designated <strong>for</strong> streamlining<br />

the lateral cooperation among the technical projects in each theme:<br />

Applications of geophysics to geohazards<br />

Prevention and mitigation of geohazards<br />

Detailed in<strong>for</strong>mation about the <strong>ICG</strong> technical projects and themes is available<br />

on the <strong>ICG</strong> web site www.geohazards.no.<br />

In 2009 the partners in the <strong>ICG</strong> were involved in several high profile national<br />

and international projects. Two of these projects are presented below.<br />

4.2 The FP7 Project SafeLand<br />

Statistics from The <strong>Centre</strong> <strong>for</strong> Research on the Epidemiology of Disasters<br />

(CRED) show that, on average, landslides are responsible <strong>for</strong> a small<br />

percentage of all fatalities from natural hazards worldwide. The socioeconomic<br />

impact of landslides is underestimated because landslides are usually<br />

not separated from other natural hazard triggers, such as extreme precipitation,<br />

earthquakes or floods. This underestimation contributes to reducing the<br />

awareness and concern of both authorities and general public about landslide<br />

risk. In the last century, according to the EM-DAT data base 16,000 people<br />

have lost their lives because of landslides and the material losses amounted to<br />

over USD 1700 mill. in Europe during the 20th century (see Fig. 4.1). The<br />

actual casualty figures shown below are likely to be greatly underestimated in<br />

the EM-DAT because events with less than 10 persons killed are not reported.<br />

Furthermore, the number of people affected by landslides is much larger than<br />

reported. For example in Italy, while about 500 people have been killed by<br />

landslides over the past 25 years, the total number of persons impacted is 50<br />

times that number.<br />

As a consequence of climate change and increase in exposure in many parts of<br />

the world, the risk associated with landslides is growing. In areas with high<br />

demographic density, protection works often cannot be built because of<br />

economic or environmental constraints, and is it not always possible to<br />

evacuate people because of societal reasons. One needs to <strong>for</strong>ecast the<br />

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<strong>International</strong> <strong>Centre</strong> <strong>for</strong> <strong>Geohazards</strong> Report No.: 20031103-7<br />

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occurrence of landslide and the hazard and risk associated with them. Climate<br />

change, increased susceptibility of surface soil to instability, anthropogenic<br />

activities, growing urbanisation, uncontrolled land-use and increased<br />

vulnerability of population and infrastructure as a result, contribute to the<br />

growing landslide risk. According to the Thematic Strategy <strong>for</strong> Soil Protection<br />

(COM232/2006), landslides are one of the main eight threats to European soils.<br />

Water has a major role in triggering of landslides.<br />

Fig. 4.1 Number of fatalities (left) and cost of damage (right) caused by<br />

landslides 1903 to 2004. Source: EM-DAT – The OFDA/CRED<br />

<strong>International</strong> Disaster database.<br />

The project SafeLand (Living with landslide risk in Europe: Assessment, effects<br />

of global change, and risk management strategies) is a Large-scale integrating<br />

Collaborative research project funded by the Seventh Framework Programme<br />

<strong>for</strong> research and technological development (FP7) of the European<br />

Commission. Thematically the project belongs to Cooperation Theme 6<br />

Environment (including climate change), Sub-Activity 6.1.3 Natural Hazards.<br />

The project team, which comprises 27 organisations from 13 European<br />

countries, is coordinated by <strong>ICG</strong>.<br />

SafeLand will develop generic quantitative risk assessment and management<br />

tools and strategies <strong>for</strong> landslides at local, regional, European and societal<br />

scales and establish the baseline <strong>for</strong> the risk associated with landslides in<br />

Europe, to improve our ability to <strong>for</strong>ecast landslide hazard and detect hazard<br />

and risk zones. The scientific work packages in SafeLand are organised in five<br />

Areas:<br />

Area 1 focuses on improving the knowledge on triggering mechanisms,<br />

processes and thresholds, including climate-related and anthropogenic<br />

triggers (e.g. the quick-clay slide at Kattmarksvegen, Namsos, see Fig.<br />

4.1) and on run-out models in landslide hazard assessment;<br />

Area 2 harmonises quantitative risk assessment methodologies <strong>for</strong><br />

different spatial scales, looking into uncertainties, vulnerability,<br />

landslide susceptibility, landslide frequency, and identifying hotspots in<br />

Europe with higher landslide hazard and risk;<br />

Area 3 focuses on future climate change scenarios and changes in<br />

demography and infrastructure, resulting in the evolution of hazard and<br />

risk in Europe at selected hotspots;<br />

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Area 4 addresses the technical and practical issues related to monitoring<br />

and early warning <strong>for</strong> landslides, and identifies the best technologies<br />

available both in the context of hazard assessment and in the context of<br />

design of early warning systems;<br />

Area 5 provides a toolbox of risk mitigation strategies and guidelines<br />

<strong>for</strong> choosing the most appropriate risk management strategy.<br />

Maintaining the database of case studies, dissemination of the project results,<br />

and project management and coordination are defined in Work Packages 6, 7<br />

and 8.<br />

Fig. 4.2 Quick-clay slide triggered by road construction activities at<br />

Kattmarksvegen, Namsos, Norway, on 13 March 2009.<br />

The growing hazard and risk, the need to protect people and property, the<br />

expected climate change and the reality <strong>for</strong> society in Europe to live with<br />

hazard and risk and the need to manage risk are the reasons <strong>for</strong> the project<br />

consortium to carry out the SafeLand Research. SafeLand has <strong>for</strong> objectives to:<br />

1. Provide policy-makers, public administrators, researchers, scientists,<br />

educators and other stakeholders with an improved harmonised<br />

framework and methodology <strong>for</strong> the assessment and quantification of<br />

landslide risk in Europe's regions;<br />

2. evaluate the changes in risk pattern caused by climate change, human<br />

activity and policy changes; and<br />

3. provide guidelines <strong>for</strong> choosing the most appropriate risk management<br />

strategies, including risk mitigation and prevention measures.<br />

SafeLand will develop and implement an integrated and comprehensive<br />

approach to help guide decision-making. The methodologies developed will be<br />

tested in selected hazard and risk "hotspots” in Europe, in turn improving<br />

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knowledge, methodologies and integration strategies <strong>for</strong> the management of<br />

landslide risk. SafeLand stresses the necessity of integrating the technology<br />

and social aspects to ensure that the risk assessment and management strategies<br />

are realistic and representative of the <strong>for</strong>ces at play in an actual situation.<br />

Global changes, due to both climate and human activity, will provide insight in<br />

future risk patterns. The landslide risk assessment and management strategies<br />

developed in the SafeLand project will be implemented to <strong>for</strong>ecast future risk.<br />

When the research is completed, SafeLand will provide Member States with<br />

the means to contribute to the Soil Framework Directive, using well understood<br />

and commonly adopted risk assessment and management terminology and<br />

methodology and harmonised approaches and tools, and will have insight in the<br />

potential effects of global change (climatic and anthropogenic) scenarios.<br />

4.3 Earthquake triggered landslides in southern Chile / Patagonia<br />

On April 21 st , 2007, the Aysén Fjord Earthquake (Mw 6.2) in southern Chile<br />

triggered hundreds of landslides in the epicentral area along the fjord coast and<br />

surroundings (Fig. 4.3). The seismicity was associated with tectonic activity in<br />

the Liquiñe-Ofqui Fault Zone (LOFZ), a major structural feature of the region.<br />

The landslides included rock slides and avalanches, rock falls, shallow soil and<br />

soil-rock slides, and debris flows. Some of the major rock slides and rock<br />

avalanches caused large tsunamis that impacted the fjord coasts.<br />

Fig. 4.3 Distribution of landslides triggered by the April 21, 2007 Aysén<br />

earthquake (Sepulveda et al., in press).<br />

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Fig. 4.4 Tectonic setting of the April 21, 2007 Aysén earthquake (red box<br />

corresponds to Fig. 4.3).<br />

Preliminary results suggest that at least two general families of NE and NW<br />

trending faults are present in the area. These fault systems have been active<br />

with changing geometries. The changes can be documented both in the mineral<br />

fabrics (fault de<strong>for</strong>mation deeper in the crust) and the orientation of fractures<br />

(near surface de<strong>for</strong>mation). The de<strong>for</strong>mation is not concentrated along a single<br />

fault line but spreads over a wider area. In coincidence with de<strong>for</strong>med deposits<br />

not older than the last glaciations, this indicates that fault de<strong>for</strong>mation is<br />

relatively young and ongoing today.<br />

The faults provide important break-away or sliding surfaces <strong>for</strong> the most<br />

voluminous rockslides. However, rock failures at all sites are controlled by<br />

multiple failure surfaces. While fault zones <strong>for</strong>m large failure surfaces with<br />

persistence of tens to hundreds of metres, minor structures <strong>for</strong>m more complex<br />

failure planes cutting through intact or damaged fault rock. Land- and seabased<br />

photogrammetric analyses of rockslide release surfaces allow one to<br />

estimate some properties of the displaced materials and rupture planes. The<br />

comparison of digital elevation models will permit computation of accurate and<br />

precise volume/epicentral distance relations of the rockslides. These data sets<br />

will be used <strong>for</strong> dynamic rock slope stability analyses. Preliminary results<br />

indicate that largest rockslide volumes broke away close to major fault<br />

structures. Areas not affected by faults have not experienced large volume<br />

break-offs but superficial soil slides.<br />

Entrainment of surface material into the rockslides can be substantial.<br />

Preliminary estimates of entrainment of soil and vegetation into the Punta Cola<br />

rock avalanche indicate that those materials comprised 15-20% of the entire<br />

rock avalanche volume. In addition, detailed topography using terrestrial laser<br />

scanning also allows understanding the sequence of sliding. Landslide deposits<br />

in <strong>for</strong>m lobes with high soil content overlying fresh bedrock landslide debris<br />

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suggest secondary landslides were caused by scouring of valley walls by<br />

rockslides with high mobility (Fig. 4.5).<br />

Fig. 4.5 Soil rich landslide deposits in <strong>for</strong>m of a lobe (in the <strong>for</strong>eground of<br />

photo) in the run-out area of the Punta Cola rock avalanche indicate<br />

that scouring by the highly mobile rock avalanche along valley walls<br />

caused secondary landslides contributing significantly to the total<br />

landslide volume. The terrestrial laser scanner point cloud (right)<br />

with similar view as the photograph (left) reveals the morphology of<br />

the different deposits, including the soil rich lobe deposited onto the<br />

rock avalanche deposits.<br />

5 NATIONAL AND INTERNATIONAL COOPERATION, AND OTHER<br />

<strong>ICG</strong> ACTIVITIES IN 2009<br />

5.1 <strong>ICG</strong> Publications in 2009<br />

The <strong>ICG</strong> Publication List <strong>for</strong> 2009 is given in Appendix A.<br />

5.2 Workshops and international contacts<br />

<strong>ICG</strong> organised two workshops in 2009:<br />

Workshop on Seabed Sediment Pore Pressure: Genesis, Measurement<br />

and Implication <strong>for</strong> Design/Analysis, 24-25 March, Oslo.<br />

Workshop on Geomechanical Modelling, 31 August & 1 September,<br />

Trondheim.<br />

The first workshop was an <strong>International</strong> event co-sponsored by the National<br />

Science Foundation. About 50 participants from Europe, North America, Asia<br />

and Australia participated in the workshop. In addition to representatives from<br />

the academia and industry, 12 PhD-candidates were among the participants.<br />

The second workshop was organised by NTNU at Teveltunet near Trondheim.<br />

The workshop gathered more than 20 PhD candidates and professionals <strong>for</strong> two<br />

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days to discuss the computational mechanics issues related to the <strong>ICG</strong> activities<br />

in geomechanics.<br />

Regarding international activities, NGI/<strong>ICG</strong> continued work on its regional<br />

network programme in Asia, which aims to increase the local competence in<br />

managing risks associated with different types of landslides. NORSAR/<strong>ICG</strong><br />

continued work on the RESIS programme in Central America. RESIS aims at<br />

assessing the risk associated with earthquakes in several urban areas and road<br />

networks in Central America.<br />

Several projects in Asia aiming at increasing the local competence in managing<br />

risks associated with tsunamis continued in 2009. These projects involved the<br />

<strong>ICG</strong> partners NGI, NORSAR and UiO. These projects have also involved a<br />

stronger research related focus on vulnerability issues on a local scale.<br />

The <strong>ICG</strong> partners NORSAR and NGI are involved in several institutional cooperation<br />

projects in India and Pakistan with focus on problems related to<br />

earthquakes, landslides and tsunamis.<br />

Under the leadership of NGU, the <strong>ICG</strong> project on rockslides started<br />

collaboration with several organisations in South American countries where<br />

rockslides represent a major geohazards. An example of such collaboration in<br />

Chile is presented in Section 4.3 of this report.<br />

The most important new international activity of <strong>ICG</strong> in 2009 was the start-up<br />

of the large, integrating project SafeLand within the European Commission’s<br />

7 th Framework Programme. The SafeLand project is described in Section 4.2 of<br />

this report.<br />

5.3 Web site<br />

The web site of <strong>ICG</strong> is www.geohazards.no. The web site is being redesigned<br />

and it is the main channel <strong>for</strong> disseminating in<strong>for</strong>mation about <strong>ICG</strong> to the<br />

general public, as well as the specialists.<br />

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6 DOCTORAL CANDIDATES AND GUEST RESEARCHERS IN 2009<br />

So far 12 candidates have completed their PhD studies with support of <strong>ICG</strong> (3<br />

in 2007, 4 in 2008 and 5 in 2009). The first table below presents the list of PhD<br />

candidates with studies underway or completed in 2009. <strong>ICG</strong> counted 24<br />

candidates at the end of 2009, and five among them completed their PhD in<br />

2009.<br />

The second table lists the post-doctoral researchers and other guest who spent<br />

extended research period at <strong>ICG</strong> in 2009: four post-docs, one visiting professor<br />

and 10 visiting researchers, most of whom are completing their PhD’s.<br />

<strong>ICG</strong>’s PhD-candidates in 2009<br />

Name Nationality University Financial source <strong>ICG</strong> Project<br />

Maj Gøril Glåmen Norway NTNU NTNU Risk & vulnerability<br />

Guro Grøneng Norway NTNU <strong>ICG</strong> Rockslides<br />

Harald Iwe Norway UiO NGI/<strong>ICG</strong> Monitoring, RS & GIT<br />

Bård Romstad Norway UiO UiO/<strong>ICG</strong> Monitoring, RS & GIT<br />

Trond Nordvik Norway NTNU NTNU Monitoring, RS & GIT<br />

Jean-Sébastien Canada NTNU NTNU/Vegvesenet/ Offshore geohazards<br />

L’Heureux*<br />

Gustav Grimstad* Norway NTNU NTNU Geomechanics<br />

Samson Degago Ethiopia NTNU NTNU Geomechanics<br />

Anders Gylland Norway NTNU <strong>ICG</strong>/NTNU Geomechanics<br />

Annika Bihs Germany NTNU NTNU Geomechanics<br />

Magnus Sparrevik Sweden NTNU NGI Risk & vulnerability<br />

Håkon Heyerdahl Norway UiO NGI Slope instability<br />

Hedda Breien* Norway UiO Vista Programme Offshore geohazards<br />

José Cepeda* El Salvador UiO <strong>ICG</strong> / Quota Prog. Slope instability<br />

Misganu Debella Gilo Ethiopia UiO UiO Monitoring, RS & GIT<br />

Hom Nath Gharti Nepal UiO UiO Earthquake risk<br />

Tom Rune Lauknes Norway UiT <strong>ICG</strong>/NORUT/NRS Monitoring, RS & GIT<br />

Chang Shin Gue Malaysia Cambridge<br />

Univ., UK<br />

NGI/<strong>ICG</strong> Offshore geohazards<br />

Sook Ling Lee Malaysia Cambridge NGI/<strong>ICG</strong> Offshore geohazards<br />

Univ., UK<br />

Rolv Bredesen Norway UiO UiO / Simula Tsunamis<br />

Gunnstein Sælevik* Norway UiO UiO Tsunamis<br />

Håkon Heyerdahl Norway UiO NGI Slope instability<br />

David Unteregger Austria NTNU NTNU Geomechanics<br />

Martina Böhme Germany NTNU NGU / NTNU Rockslides<br />

* PhD thesis successfully defended and doctoral degree awarded in 2009.<br />

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Post-doctoral and guest researchers at <strong>ICG</strong> in 2009<br />

Position Name Nationality Academic<br />

degree<br />

Financial source<br />

Post-doc. Dr Daniela Kühn Germany Ph.D. NORSAR<br />

Post-doc. Dr Regula Frauenfelder Switzerland Ph.D. NGI<br />

Post-doc.<br />

Dr Jean-Sébastien<br />

L’Heureux<br />

Canada Ph.D. <strong>ICG</strong>/NGU<br />

Post-doc. Dr Sara Bazin France Ph.D. IPGP / <strong>ICG</strong><br />

Visiting<br />

professor<br />

Dr Gunilla Kaiser Germany Ph.D. Univ. of Kiel<br />

Guest<br />

researcher<br />

Ariane Locat Canada MSc <strong>ICG</strong><br />

Guest<br />

researcher<br />

Mads-Peter Dahl Denmark MSc Roskilde Univ.<br />

Guest<br />

Andreas Drexel Austria MSc EU-ERASMUS<br />

researcher<br />

Guest<br />

researcher<br />

Guest<br />

researcher<br />

Guest<br />

researcher<br />

Guest<br />

researcher<br />

Guest<br />

researcher<br />

Guest<br />

researcher<br />

Guest<br />

researcher<br />

Guest<br />

researcher<br />

Mona Khaleghy Rad<br />

Iran /<br />

Canada<br />

MSc <strong>ICG</strong><br />

Zhihong Li China MSc China / <strong>ICG</strong><br />

Cody Jones USA MSc NSF<br />

Guillaume Sauvin France MSc <strong>ICG</strong><br />

Filippo Marchi Portugal MSc <strong>ICG</strong> / U. Bologna<br />

Maria Mammoliti Italy MSc <strong>ICG</strong><br />

Florian Köllner Germany MSc <strong>ICG</strong><br />

Alexandre Tourette France MSc <strong>ICG</strong><br />

7 ACCOUNTING 2009<br />

7.1 Cash funding (kNOK)<br />

The numbers below are minimum estimates. The actual cash funding from <strong>ICG</strong><br />

partners and other industrial sources are greater.<br />

Activity<br />

RCN NGI<br />

Funding<br />

SUM<br />

NGU/NORSAR/<br />

UiO/NTNU<br />

Other/<br />

Industrial<br />

Technical Projects 11,210 5,000 5,000 5,500 26,710<br />

Non-technical activities 1,390 500 500 - 2,390<br />

Administration & Steering<br />

Committee meetings<br />

1,400 500 -<br />

-<br />

1,900<br />

Total 14,000 6,000 5,500 5,500 31,000<br />

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7.2 In kind (kNOK)<br />

The numbers below are minimum estimates. The actual numbers are higher.<br />

Contribution NGI NGU NTNU UiO NORSAR Sum “In<br />

kind”<br />

Personnel 2,000 200 0 * 0 * 200 2,400<br />

IT 500 500 100 100 500 1,700<br />

Office spaces 2,000 600 500 500 300 3,900<br />

Laboratory/Equipment 500 50 100 100 100 850<br />

Project work /<br />

proposals/ etc.<br />

1,000 200 500 500 700 2,900<br />

Stipend to PhD- 900 130 1,900 1,300 - 4,230<br />

candidates<br />

TOTAL 6,900 1,680 3,100 2,500 1,800 15,980<br />

* Included in "Project work / proposals/ etc."<br />

7.3 Total (kNOK)<br />

The total funding in 2009 is there<strong>for</strong>e 46,980 kNOK, which is very close to the<br />

level of funding of <strong>ICG</strong> in earlier years.<br />

8 PLANNED ACTIVITIES AND BUDGET FOR 2010<br />

8.1 Research Projects and Education<br />

The following projects were approved <strong>for</strong> 2010 by the Board of Directors:<br />

Vulnerability and risk analysis <strong>for</strong> geohazards<br />

Earthquake hazard, risk and loss<br />

Stability of rock slopes<br />

Geomechanical modelling<br />

Offshore geohazards<br />

SafeLand issues<br />

Tsunami modelling and prediction<br />

Remote sensing, monitoring and early warning systems<br />

In addition, 2 cross-expertise areas that involve several projects have assigned<br />

"theme coordinators":<br />

Applications of geophysics to geohazards<br />

Prevention and mitigation<br />

The graduate (MSc and PhD) programmes initiated respectively in 2003 and<br />

2005 at UiO and NTNU are continuing.<br />

8.2 <strong>International</strong> networking<br />

Travels to disaster prevention and natural hazard centres in USA, China, Japan,<br />

India and Vietnam are planned. Active participation (lecturing) in 5-10<br />

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international conferences is planned <strong>for</strong> 2010. In most cases, <strong>ICG</strong><br />

representatives are asked to give keynote or state-of-the-art lectures. In<br />

particular, <strong>ICG</strong> will be presenting its work to the community “Young<br />

Geotechnical engineers” (criterion less than 35 years of age), the first <strong>for</strong><br />

Europe (June 2010) and the second <strong>for</strong> North America (September 2010).<br />

8.3 EU projects in the 7 th Framework Programme<br />

The <strong>ICG</strong> partners had an impressive success rate in the proposals submitted to<br />

the 7 th Framework Programme (FP7) in topics related to geohazards. The<br />

following FP7 projects with strong <strong>ICG</strong> participation have already started:<br />

MOVE (Methods <strong>for</strong> the Improvement of Vulnerability Assessment in<br />

Europe) – Kick-off date: 1 October 2008.<br />

SafeLand (Living with landslide risk in Europe: Assessment, effects of<br />

global change and risk management strategies) – Kick-off date: 1 May<br />

2009.<br />

SHARE (Seismic Hazard Harmonization in Europe) – Kick-off date: 1<br />

June 2009.<br />

SYNER-G (Systemic Seismic Vulnerability and Risk Analysis <strong>for</strong><br />

Buildings, Lifeline Networks and Infrastructures Safety Gain) – Kickoff<br />

date: 11 November 2009.<br />

In addition to the projects that are already underway, the proposal <strong>for</strong> the<br />

project MATRIX (New Multi-HAzard and MulTi-RIsK Assessment MethodS<br />

<strong>for</strong> Europe) was submitted to the European Commission on 5 Janaury 2010 and<br />

is being evaluated.<br />

8.4 IPCC work<br />

<strong>ICG</strong>’s Director Farrokh Nadim was nominated (by the Norwegian<br />

Government) and accepted (by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate<br />

Change, IPCC) as one of the Lead Authors of the IPCC Special Report on<br />

“Managing the Risks of Extreme Events and Disasters to Advance Climate<br />

Change Adaptation” (SREX). Other Lead authors from Norway are Prof.<br />

Karen O’Brien (University of Oslo) and Dr Åsgeir Sorteberg (University of<br />

Bergen). The Lead Authors of SREX had their kick-off meeting in Panama<br />

City, Panama, 9-12 November 2009. SREX is planned to be issued in January<br />

2012.<br />

8.5 Organising conferences and workshops in 2010<br />

<strong>ICG</strong> is co-sponsoring the 7 th European Conference on Numerical Methods in<br />

Geotechnical Engineering (NUMEG) in Trondheim, 2-4 June.<br />

In collaboration with <strong>ICG</strong>, the Czech Geological Survey is organising three<br />

workshops in 2010 to assess the best strategies <strong>for</strong> the transfer of know-how<br />

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<strong>for</strong> exploitation of the results of geological studies aimed at prediction of<br />

natural hazards. The first workshop was held in Prague in March, and the other<br />

two are planned to be held in Central America (summer 2010) and in Oslo<br />

(September 2010). These workshops are funded by Norwegian Financial<br />

Mechanism within the EEA Financial Mechanism.<br />

8.6 <strong>ICG</strong> budget <strong>for</strong> 2010<br />

The table below reflects funding from The Research Council of Norway only.<br />

Considerable cash and in-kind contributions from the <strong>ICG</strong> partners and other<br />

sources of funding come in addition to the amounts below (see Section 7).<br />

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<strong>ICG</strong> budget in 2010 based on funding from The Research Council of Norway<br />

Funding from<br />

Activity<br />

Research<br />

Council (kNOK)<br />

Comments SUM<br />

8 technical projects 9,360 See Section 8.1.<br />

Graduate programmes on<br />

geohazards<br />

Total <strong>for</strong> technical<br />

projects = kNOK 10,390<br />

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500<br />

Coordination of 2 themes 530 See Section 8.1.<br />

IT solutions, EU Proposals, web<br />

site & in<strong>for</strong>mation, conference<br />

participation, etc.<br />

810<br />

<strong>International</strong> networking 200<br />

Administration & Steering<br />

Committee meetings<br />

1,400<br />

Contingency 100<br />

Total kNOK 12,900<br />

Total <strong>for</strong> other activities =<br />

kNOK 2,510<br />

The total expenditure charged to the funds provided by The Research Council<br />

of Norway is budgeted to be kNOK 12,900 in 2010. The annual funding from<br />

the RCN is 12 MNOK in 2010 and 2011, and 8 MNOK in 2012. The unused<br />

funds from the RCN in 2009 were about kNOK 900, which have been<br />

transferred to the <strong>ICG</strong> budget <strong>for</strong> 2010.


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Appendix A – <strong>ICG</strong> Publications in 2009 Page: A1<br />

Appendix A - <strong>ICG</strong> Publications in 2009<br />

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Appendix A – <strong>ICG</strong> Publications in 2009 Page: A2<br />

NOTE: <strong>ICG</strong> Publication numbers 1 – 257 are listed in previous <strong>ICG</strong> Annual<br />

Reports. Some earlier references missing in the previous lists are<br />

included below.<br />

258. Zakeri, A. (2009)<br />

Estimating Drag Forces on Suspended and Laid-on-Seafloor Pipelines Caused<br />

by Clay-Rich Submarine Debris Flow Impact.<br />

4 th international symposium <strong>for</strong> submarine mass movement and consequences,<br />

November 2009.<br />

259. Polom, U., Vanneste, M. et al. (2009)<br />

Joint interpretation of shallow marine seismic, land seismic, and geotechnical<br />

investigations of the Nidelv delta fjord-valley fill in Trondheim, Norway<br />

Near Surface 2009, 15 th European Meeting of Environmental and Engineering<br />

Geophysics, Dublin, Ireland, 7-9 September 2009.<br />

260. Kalle Kronholm, Knut Stalsberg, Idar Barstad, Hans-Olav Hygen, Christian<br />

Jaedicke, Kari Sletten, Ketil Isaksen, Asgeir Sorteberg (2009)<br />

Klimaendringer gir endringer i skredhyppigheten.<br />

KLIMA.<br />

261. Fabio Vittorio De Blasio and May-Britt Sæter (2009)<br />

Small-scale experimental simulation of talus evolution<br />

Earth Surface Processes and Land<strong>for</strong>ms, in press<br />

262. Mienert, Vanneste, Haflidason, Bünz (2009)<br />

Outer-shelf cracking on the Norwegian Margin: A consequence of climateinduced<br />

gas-hydrate dissociation at outcrop zones?<br />

<strong>International</strong> Journal of Earth Sciences (invited manuscript)<br />

263. Cepeda, J., Díaz, M. R., Nadim, F., Høeg, K., and Elverhøi, A. (in review).<br />

"An empirical threshold model <strong>for</strong> rainfall-induced landslides: application to the<br />

Metropolitan Area of San Salvador, El Salvador." Landslides.<br />

264. Lang, D.H. and Gutiérrez C., F.V. (2009)<br />

RISe: Illustrating geo-referenced data of seismic risk and loss assessment studies<br />

using Google Earth, Earthquake Spectra (accepted).<br />

265. Zakeri, A. (2008)<br />

Submarine Debris Flow Impact on Pipelines: Recent Advances in the State-ofthe-Art<br />

and Future Outlook.<br />

Proc. GeoHalifax 2009, Halifax, Nova Scotia, Canada. September 20-24, 9 pp.<br />

266 (Martina Böhme, Aline Saintot, Iain H. C. Henderson, Helge Henriksen, and<br />

Reginald L. Hermanns<br />

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<strong>International</strong> <strong>Centre</strong> <strong>for</strong> <strong>Geohazards</strong> Report No.: 20031103-7<br />

Date: 2010-03-31<br />

Rev.:<br />

Annual Report - 2009 Rev. date:<br />

Appendix A – <strong>ICG</strong> Publications in 2009 Page: A3<br />

"Rock-slope instabilities in Sogn & Fjordane County, Norway: a detailed<br />

structural and geomorphological analysis").<br />

Publication number reserved.<br />

267. Cepeda, J, Chávez, J.A., and Cruz Martínez, C. (2010)<br />

Procedure <strong>for</strong> the selection of runout model parameters from landslide backanalyses:<br />

application to the Metropolitan Area of San Salvador, El Salvador.<br />

Landslides, ISSN1612-5118 (Online); DOI 10.1007/s10346-010-0197-9.<br />

268. Hermanns, R.L., Blikra, L.H. and Longva, O. (2009)<br />

Relation between rockslide dam and valley morphology and its impact on<br />

rockslide dam longevity and control on potential breach development based on<br />

examples from Norway and the Andes<br />

Proc. of the Conference on long term stability of dams, October, Graz/Austria.<br />

269. Løvholt, F., Pedersen, G. and Glimsdal, S. (2009)<br />

Coupling of dispersive tsunami propagation and shallow water coastal response.<br />

The Open Oceanography Journal, August 11, 2009<br />

270. Harbitz, C.B., Glimsdal, S., Løvholt, F., Pedersen, G.K., Vanneste, M.W.B,<br />

Eidsvig, U.M.K, and Bungum, H. (2009).<br />

Tsunami hazard assessment and early warning systems <strong>for</strong> the North East<br />

Atlantic.<br />

Proceedings of the DEWS Midterm Conference 2009, Potsdam, Germany, 7-8<br />

July 2009.<br />

271. Løvholt, F., Kühn, D., Glimsdal, S., Bungum, H., and Harbitz, C.B. (2009).<br />

Tsunami hazard studies in South East Asia.<br />

Proceedings of the DEWS Midterm Conference 2009, Potsdam, Germany, 7-8<br />

July 2009.<br />

272. Henderson, I.H.C., Lauknes, T.R., Osmundsen, P.T., Dehls, J., Larsen, Y. &<br />

Redfield, T.F. (2009)<br />

“A structural, geomorphological and InSAR study of an active rockslope failure<br />

development”<br />

Geol Soc London Spec. Pub. Slope Tectonics<br />

273. Uzielli, M., Lacasse, S., Nadim, F. (2009).<br />

Probabilistic risk estimation <strong>for</strong> geohazards: a simulation approach.<br />

Proceedings of the 2nd <strong>International</strong> Symposium on Geotechnical Safety and<br />

Risk. Gifu, June 11-12, 2009. Rotterdam: Balkema.<br />

274. L’Heureux, J. S., Hansen. L., Longva, O., Emdal, A., & Grande, L. O.:<br />

A multidisciplinary study of submarine landslides at the Nidelva fjord delta,<br />

mid-Norway, - Implications <strong>for</strong> geohazard assessments. Norwegian Journal of<br />

Geology, Vol. xxx, pp. xx. Trondheim xxxx,<br />

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<strong>International</strong> <strong>Centre</strong> <strong>for</strong> <strong>Geohazards</strong> Report No.: 20031103-7<br />

Date: 2010-03-31<br />

Rev.:<br />

Annual Report - 2009 Rev. date:<br />

Appendix A – <strong>ICG</strong> Publications in 2009 Page: A4<br />

275. Eidsvig, U., Medina-Cetina, Z., Kveldsvik, V., Glimsdal, S., Harbitz, C.B. and<br />

Sandersen, F. (2009)<br />

Risk Assessment of a Tsunamigenic Rockslide at Åknes.<br />

Natural Hazards, 10.1007/s11069-009-9460-6.<br />

276. G. Hu, T. Yan, Z. Liu, M. Vanneste, L. Dong (2009)<br />

Size distribution of submarine landslides along the middle continental slope of<br />

the East China Sea.<br />

Journal of Ocean University of China. In press.<br />

277. Gue, C.S., Soga, K., Bolton, M. and Thysyanthan, N.I. (2009)<br />

Centrifuge modelling of submarine landslide flows<br />

Proc. Int. Conf. on Physical Modelling in Geotechnics (ICPMG2010), in Zurich,<br />

Switzerland<br />

278 Iain H. C. Henderson & Aline Saintot (2009)<br />

Regional spatial variations in rockslide distribution from structural geology<br />

ranking: an example from Storfjorden, western Norway<br />

Geol Soc London Spec. Pub. Slope Tectonics<br />

279. A. Saintot, I.H.C. Henderson and M.H. Derron (2009)<br />

Inheritance of ductile and brittle structures in the development of large rock<br />

slope instabilities: examples from Western Norway.<br />

Publication number reserved.<br />

280. Jaedicke, C., Lied, K. and Kronholm, K. (2009)<br />

Integrated database <strong>for</strong> rapid mass movements in Norway<br />

Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, 9, 469–479, 2009<br />

281. Molina, S., D.H. Lang and C.D. Lindholm (2009)<br />

SELENA: An open-source tool <strong>for</strong> seismic risk and loss assessment using a<br />

logic tree computation procedure.<br />

Computer & Geosciences, In press.<br />

282. Henderson, I.H.C., Ganerød, G.V. & Braathen, A. (2009)<br />

The relationship between particle characteristics and frictional strength in basal<br />

fault breccias: implications <strong>for</strong> fault-rock evolution and rockslide susceptibility.<br />

Tectonophysics.<br />

283. Hermanns, R.L., Hewitt, K., Strom, A., Evans, S.G., Dunning, S.A., & Scarascia<br />

Mugnozza, G. (2009). Rockslide Dam Classification. Chapter in the book<br />

“Natural and artificial rockslide dams” in the Springer “Lectures in earth<br />

science” series. Editors are: Evans, S.G., Hermanns, R.L., Strom, A.L. and<br />

Scarascia-Mugnozza, G.<br />

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<strong>International</strong> <strong>Centre</strong> <strong>for</strong> <strong>Geohazards</strong> Report No.: 20031103-7<br />

Date: 2010-03-31<br />

Rev.:<br />

Annual Report - 2009 Rev. date:<br />

Appendix A – <strong>ICG</strong> Publications in 2009 Page: A5<br />

284. Hermanns (Publication number reserved)<br />

285. Degago, S.A., Olsson, M., Grimstad, G. and Nordal, S.(2010)<br />

Time- and stress-compressibility of clays during primary consolidation<br />

To be published in the 7th European Conference on Numerical Methods in<br />

Geotechnical Engineering (NUMGE 2010), Trondheim, June 2-4, 2010.<br />

286. Gylland, A.S. and Jostad, H.P. (2010)<br />

On the effect of updated geometry in analysis of progressive failure<br />

To be published in the 7th European Conference on Numerical Methods in<br />

Geotechnical Engineering (NUMGE 2010), Trondheim, June 2-4, 2010.<br />

287. Gylland, A.S., Sayd, M.S., Jostad, H.P. and Bernander, S. (2010)<br />

Investigation of soil property sensitivity in progressive failure<br />

To be published in the 7th European Conference on Numerical Methods in<br />

Geotechnical Engineering (NUMGE 2010), Trondheim, June 2-4, 2010.<br />

288. Degago, S.A., Ebeltoft, R. and Nordal, S. (2008)<br />

Effect of rock fall geometries impacting soil cushion: A numerical procedure<br />

Proc. 12th Intern. Conf. of <strong>International</strong> Association <strong>for</strong> Computer Methods and<br />

Advances in Geomechanics (IACMAG), 1-6 October, 2008, Goa, India<br />

289. Degago, S.A., Grimstad, G., Jostad, H.P. and Nordal, S. (2009)<br />

The non-uniqueness of the end-of-primary (EOP) void ratio-effective stress<br />

relationship<br />

Proc. 17th <strong>International</strong> Conference on Soil Mechanics and Geotechnical<br />

Engineering, 5-9 October 2009, Alexandria, Egypt, pp. 324-327,<br />

doi:10.3233/978-1-60750-031-5-324<br />

290. Welkner, D. , Eberhardt, E., Hermanns, R.L. (2010)<br />

Hazard investigation of the Portillo Rock Avalanche site, central Andes, Chile,<br />

using an integrated field mapping and numerical modelling approach<br />

Submitted to Engineering Geology<br />

291. Li, Z., Nadim,F., Huang, H., Uzielli, M. and Lacasse, S. (2009)<br />

Quantitative vulnerability estimation <strong>for</strong> scenario-based landslide hazards.<br />

Landslides, DOI 10.1007/s10346-009-0190-3<br />

292. Fauqué , L., Hermanns, R.L., Hewitt, K., Rosas, M., Wilson, C., Baumann, V.,<br />

Lagorio, S. and Di Tommaso, I. (2010)<br />

Mega-Deslizamientos de la Pared sur del Cerro Aconcagua y su Relación son<br />

Depósitos Asignados a la Glaciación Pleistocena.<br />

Accepted <strong>for</strong> the Revista de la Associacion Geologica Argentina.<br />

293. Grimstad, G., Degago, S.A., Nordal, S. and Karstunen, M. (2010).<br />

Modeling creep and rate effects in structured anisotropic soft clays.<br />

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<strong>International</strong> <strong>Centre</strong> <strong>for</strong> <strong>Geohazards</strong> Report No.: 20031103-7<br />

Date: 2010-03-31<br />

Rev.:<br />

Annual Report - 2009 Rev. date:<br />

Appendix A – <strong>ICG</strong> Publications in 2009 Page: A6<br />

Accepted <strong>for</strong> publication in Acta Geotechnica Journal.<br />

294. Nadim, F., Cepeda, J., Sandersen, F., Jaedicke, C., and Heyerdahl, H. (2009)<br />

Prediction of rainfall-induced landslides through empirical and numerical<br />

models.<br />

Proc. of the First Italian Workshop on Landslides (IWL 2009), Naples, Italy, 8-<br />

10 June, pp. 206-215.<br />

295. Nadim, F. (2009)<br />

Risk assessment and management <strong>for</strong> geohazards.<br />

Proc. of the 2nd Int. Symposium on Geotechnical Safety & Risk, Gifu, Japan,<br />

11-12 June (IS-Gifu 2009), Keynote lecture, pp 13-26.<br />

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Kontroll- og referanseside/<br />

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The Research Council of Norway<br />

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Contract reference<br />

SFF – <strong>ICG</strong> 146035/420<br />

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<strong>International</strong> <strong>Centre</strong> <strong>for</strong> <strong>Geohazards</strong> – Annual report <strong>for</strong> 2009<br />

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Farrokh Nadim<br />

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Farrokh Nadim<br />

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20031103-7<br />

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2010-03-31<br />

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