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Private equity sponsors struggle to make sense of the new ...

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Small TalkSo, how was your pota<strong>to</strong> yield this year?Wall Street’s rogues apparently aren’t nearly as slick <strong>the</strong>y think<strong>the</strong>y are. The Securities and Exchange Commission, in March,nabbed ano<strong>the</strong>r insider trading ring using insider informationabout M&A <strong>to</strong> trade ahead <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> deals. The guilty parties tried <strong>to</strong> hide<strong>the</strong>ir activity by using ill-conceived code words <strong>to</strong> discuss <strong>the</strong> specifics <strong>of</strong><strong>the</strong> trades over email.UBS Securities’ Igor Poteroba tipped <strong>of</strong>f friends Aleksey Koval andAlexander Vorobiev ahead <strong>of</strong> at least 11 transactions, according <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong>SEC. In various exchanges documented byregula<strong>to</strong>rs, Poteroba at different times used“frequent flier miles,” “coupons” for a weddingregistry, and pota<strong>to</strong> harvests as code for<strong>the</strong> trades.In one exchange, Koval describes a frequentflyer program he signed up for. “I gotfive thousand <strong>of</strong> sign-in bonus miles, butthinking maybe if I fly <strong>of</strong>ten, I will get additionalthree <strong>to</strong> five K miles.”Poteroba <strong>the</strong>n responded that Koval “should sign up for ano<strong>the</strong>rflight, if you can, since <strong>the</strong>y are providing bonus mileage soon.”Next time, <strong>the</strong>y might be better served discussing sports, <strong>the</strong> wea<strong>the</strong>r,or something people actually talk about.THEMIDDLEMARKET.COMMay’s web exclusives, found only atTheMiddleMarket.com. You can also followMergers & Acquisitions on Twitter athttp://twitter.com/TheMiddleMarket.Chemicals in Demand<strong>Private</strong> <strong>equity</strong> has targeted <strong>the</strong> chemicals space, butmuch <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> event-driven activity over <strong>the</strong> past few yearshas started <strong>to</strong> wane, making it <strong>to</strong>ugh for platforms <strong>to</strong> buildthrough add-on strategies.Destination SydneyDrawn by a growinggross domestic product, <strong>the</strong>investment banks, led byGreenhill & Co., Lazard andMoelis & Co., are rushing <strong>to</strong>Australia.The Leveraged LoanMarket Comes <strong>to</strong> LifeAfter three dead quarters,<strong>the</strong> primary loan marke<strong>the</strong>ld a steady heartbeatthrough <strong>the</strong> first quarter <strong>of</strong>2010. Marketwatchers anticipate an even stronger quarter<strong>to</strong> follow.Flipping Through <strong>the</strong> ArchivesIn early 2009, few k<strong>new</strong> what was going <strong>to</strong> become <strong>of</strong> private <strong>equity</strong>.Mergers & Acquisitions, that March, <strong>to</strong>ok a close look at how <strong>the</strong> industrywould re-invent itself. The consensus among deal pros was thatsurvival would require a significant <strong>make</strong>over and that it wouldn’t comewithout significant casualties.With <strong>the</strong> economy on <strong>the</strong> mend, this past March, <strong>the</strong> <strong>Private</strong> EquityCouncil unveiled a <strong>new</strong> study, declaring vic<strong>to</strong>ry for <strong>the</strong> asset class byshowing that PE-backed companies managed <strong>the</strong> difficult environment betterthan o<strong>the</strong>r highly leveraged companies.The PEC cited that <strong>the</strong> defaultrate for private <strong>equity</strong>-backed companies was 2.84% during 2008 and 2009versus a 6.2% annualized default rate for “similarly financed businesses.”The PEC <strong>to</strong>ok aim at a few competing studies, saying that <strong>the</strong> resultsflew in <strong>the</strong> face <strong>of</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r research from <strong>the</strong> past two years, citingspecifically research from Moody’s, Standard & Poor’s and <strong>the</strong> Bos<strong>to</strong>n ConsultingGroup, all <strong>of</strong> which predicted more pain for <strong>the</strong> industry.The <strong>Private</strong> Equity Council is an advocacy group that was formed in2006 with backing from <strong>the</strong> largest buyoutgroups, such as Kohlberg Kravis Roberts, ProvidenceEquity Partners,The Blacks<strong>to</strong>ne Groupand o<strong>the</strong>rs.While <strong>the</strong> study is among <strong>the</strong> first since<strong>the</strong> recession technically ended, <strong>the</strong> loomingrefinancing cliff, in which $770 billion inleveraged loans will mature by 2015, meansthat PE-backed companies are far from ou<strong>to</strong>f <strong>the</strong> woods. According <strong>to</strong> Thomson Reuters, roughly aquarter <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> leveraged loan volume for 2010 was related <strong>to</strong> “amendand-extend”facilities, as <strong>of</strong> mid March, implying that many groups maysimply be putting <strong>of</strong>f <strong>the</strong> pain.Moody’s, meanwhile, issued its own research in March, showing tha<strong>to</strong>f <strong>the</strong> 163 non—financial corporate defaults last year, 77 came fromPE-backed companies.May 2010 MERGERS & ACQUISITIONS 7

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