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Importance of LH on the local economy - Lacor Hospital > Home

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30median USh 8,000. Multiplying <strong>the</strong> median by <strong>the</strong> number <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> out-patients in 2010/2011 obtained <strong>the</strong>amount <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> USh 1,333,464,000 (US $ 574,027).Adding up <strong>the</strong> estimated total expenditures <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> out-patients for food and n<strong>on</strong>-food items and for transport,<strong>the</strong> total amount is USh 1,666,830,000 (US $ 717,533).The 2003 study did not analyze <strong>the</strong> expenditures made by in-patients and <strong>the</strong>ir care-takers and by outpatients.This probably led to a c<strong>on</strong>siderable underestimati<strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>the</strong> <strong>Lacor</strong> <strong>Hospital</strong> indirect c<strong>on</strong>tributi<strong>on</strong> to<strong>the</strong> <strong>local</strong> ec<strong>on</strong>omy.The study team is aware that <strong>the</strong> assumpti<strong>on</strong>s <strong>on</strong> which calculati<strong>on</strong>s are based are debatable. However, <strong>the</strong>team also believes that <strong>the</strong> assumpti<strong>on</strong>s have an intrinsic logic and can give reas<strong>on</strong>able approximati<strong>on</strong> to<strong>the</strong> reality.Excluding <strong>the</strong> expenditures <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> out and in-patients could certainly lead to a significant underestimate <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>the</strong>financial amount <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> m<strong>on</strong>ey flowing into <strong>the</strong> <strong>local</strong> ec<strong>on</strong>omy because <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>the</strong> presence <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>the</strong> hospital.07.9 The ripple effectThe ripple (or multiplier) effect <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>the</strong> funds injected by <strong>the</strong> <strong>Lacor</strong> <strong>Hospital</strong> Complex into <strong>the</strong> <strong>local</strong> ec<strong>on</strong>omywas calculated using <strong>the</strong> formula proposed by Coppedge in 1970 which is still widely used: 1/ 1- (x) (y) (z).In this study:• x is <strong>the</strong> percentage <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> income coming from outside Gulu District that <strong>Lacor</strong> <strong>Hospital</strong> Complex spent• y is <strong>the</strong> percentage <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>the</strong> <strong>Lacor</strong> <strong>Hospital</strong> Complex expenditures carried out within Gulu District(including salaries, payment to suppliers, unpaid patients debts, expenditures <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>the</strong> c<strong>on</strong>vent andm<strong>on</strong>astery attached to <strong>the</strong> hospital)• z is <strong>the</strong> percentage <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> income spent by small scale businesses <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>the</strong> <strong>Lacor</strong> Trading Centre withinGulu DistrictThe team chose to calculate z <strong>on</strong> <strong>the</strong> basis <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>the</strong> spending patterns <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>the</strong> various businesses operating in<strong>the</strong> <strong>Lacor</strong> trading centre because it is here that <strong>the</strong> bulk <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>the</strong> m<strong>on</strong>ey flowing from and through <strong>Lacor</strong><strong>Hospital</strong> to <strong>the</strong> <strong>local</strong> ec<strong>on</strong>omy ends up.The interviews carried out revealed that 71% <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>the</strong> small businesses owners buy <strong>the</strong>ir supplies exclusivelyin Gulu. The remaining 29% buy <strong>the</strong>ir supplies both in Gulu and outside it, mainly in <strong>the</strong> nearby districts <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g>Amuru, Nwoya and Oyam.• The team estimated that <strong>the</strong> 71% <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> business owners who make purchases exclusively within Guluspend around 95% <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>the</strong>ir funds for re-stocking <strong>the</strong>ir business and for <strong>the</strong>ir pers<strong>on</strong>al and familyneeds. The remaining 29% <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> traders spend about 80% <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>the</strong>ir income in Gulu• From <strong>the</strong> answers obtained, calculated was <strong>the</strong> estimated income <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>the</strong>se 71% <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> business ownersand this amounted to about 58% <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>the</strong> total income <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> all <strong>the</strong> traders included in <strong>the</strong> sample <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> 80small scale businesses.• It is assumed that this sample is representative <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>the</strong> whole <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>the</strong> trading centre, and so it can betaken that 95% <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> 58% <strong>the</strong> total income <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>the</strong> trading centre is spent in Gulu District; (.95*.58 =.55) implying that 55% <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>the</strong> trading centre income is actually spent within Gulu District.• About 80% <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>the</strong> remaining 42% <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>the</strong> trading centre income is spent within Gulu District (.8*.42 =.33)

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