Part 1 Detailed Breakdown of Contact Information of the Survey and ...

Public Opinion Programme, the University of Hong Kong2004 LegCo Direct Election: Survery on Individual ConstituencyNT East Frequency TablePart 1 Detailed Breakdown of Contact Information of the Survey andCalculation of Overall Response RateTable 1Calculation of overall response rateOverall Response Rate =Successful casesSuccessful cases + Incomplete cases + Refusal cases by eligiblerespondents ^ + Refusal cases by prorated-eligible respondents*= 1,0091,009 + 42 + 12 + 562[(1,009 + 42 + 12 / (1,009 + 42 + 12 + 658))= 71.6%^ Including “household-level refusal” and “known respondent refusal”.*Figure obtained by prorata.Table 2Detailed breakdown of contact information of the surveyFrequencyPercentageRespondents’ ineligibility confirmed 2,078 36.1Fax/ data line 113 2.0Invalid number 852 14.8Call-forwarding/ mobile/ pager number 26 0.5Non-residential number 175 3.0Special technological difficulties 254 4.4No eligible respondents 658 11.4Respondents’ eligibility not confirmed 1,846 32.0Line busy 92 1.6No answer 915 15.9Answering device 21 0.4Call-blocking 128 2.2Language problem 124 2.1Interview terminated before the screening question 562 9.7Others 4 0.1Respondents’ eligibility confirmed, but failed to completethe interview836 14.6Household-level refusal 4 0.1Known respondent refusal 8 0.1Appointment date beyond the fieldwork period 767 13.3Partial interview 42 0.8Miscellaneous 15 0.3Successful cases 1009 17.5Total 5,769 100.0AppendixII-1

Public Opinion Programme, the University of Hong Kong2004 LegCo Direct Election: Survery on Individual ConstituencyNT East Frequency TablePart 2 General QuestionsTable 3a If the Legislative Council elections were to be held tomorrow, and you had the rightto vote, which candidate or list would you vote for(Interviewers read out the names ofcandidates who would stand for elections, A13 and A14. The random order of the names wouldbe displayed on the computer. Only one answer is allowed. )FrequencyPercentageAndrew Cheng of DP 63 12.5James Tien of LP 59 11.8Emily Lau of Frontier 48 9.6Independent Andrew Wong 44 8.8Ronny Tong of A45 Concern Gp 44 8.7Lau Kong Wah of DAB 41 8.3Any list from the pro-democratic camp 22 4.3Leung Kwok Hung of AFA 15 2.9Nelson Wong of DP 14 2.8David Chu of HKPA 12 2.4Any list from the pro-China camp 3 0.6Choy Kan Pui of HKPA 2 0.4Gary Fan of DP 2 0.4Richard Tsoi of HKCTU 1 0.3Depend on the overall team-up and will not 2 0.4vote for a specific candidateCast blank votes / Elect nobody 20 4.1Won’t vote 17 3.4Not yet decide/Don’t know/Hard to say 91 12.5Total 502 100.0Missing 5AppendixII-2

Public Opinion Programme, the University of Hong Kong2004 LegCo Direct Election: Survery on Individual ConstituencyNT East Frequency TableNew Territories EastTable 5Candidate /ListVote share obtained by each candidate if the respondents’ first choice dropped out from elections.AC NW GF EL RT JT RTO LKW CKP DC LKH AWAC 18.0% 17.3% 21.8% 17.0% 18.8% 21.0% 18.0% 17.0% 17.6% 18.3% 19.0%NW 5.8% 4.1% 4.7% 3.8% 4.2% 4.6% 4.2% 3.8% 3.8% 3.8% 3.9%GF 1.1% 0.8% 1.1% 0.5% 0.8% 1.4% 0.6% 0.5% 0.5% 0.5% 0.6%EL 17.3% 13.4% 13.0% 13.0% 15.0% 15.0% 13.8% 13.0% 13.2% 13.4% 15.4%RT 0.8% 0.5% 0.3% 0.8% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.8%JT 18.6% 16.3% 15.9% 17.7% 16.2% 16.7% 18.9% 16.2% 17.0% 16.1% 18.2%RTO 15.6% 12.5% 11.9% 13.0% 11.9% 13.3% 12.4% 11.9% 12.1% 13.6% 12.8%LKW 11.2% 11.2% 11.1% 11.3% 11.1% 14.4% 12.6% 11.4% 11.8% 11.2% 13.1%CKP 0.5% 0.5% 0.5% 0.6% 0.5% 0.6% 0.5% 2.3% 0.5% 0.5% 0.6%DC 3.3% 3.3% 3.2% 3.3% 3.2% 3.9% 4.1% 3.9% 3.2% 3.3% 3.6%LKH 4.7% 4.1% 4.1% 5.0% 4.1% 5.0% 4.4% 4.2% 4.1% 4.1% 4.7%AW 12.6% 12.3% 11.9% 13.8% 11.9% 16.9% 12.0% 14.1% 11.9% 12.1% 12.3%APD 7.7% 6.3% 5.9% 6.1% 5.9% 6.1% 6.6% 6.2% 5.9% 6.0% 6.0% 6.4%APC 0.8% 0.8% 0.8% 0.8% 0.8% 0.8% 0.8% 1.1% 0.8% 0.8% 0.8% 0.8%Initials:[A1] Andrew Cheng of DP AC [A2] Nelson Wong of DP NW[A3] Gary Fan of DP GF [A4] Emily Lau of Frontier EL[A5] Richard Tsoi of HKCTU RT [A6] James Tien of LP JT[A7] Ronny Tong of A45 Concern Gp RTO [A8] Lau Kong Wah of DAB LKW[A9] Choy Kan Pui of HKPA CKP [A10] David Chu of HKPA DC[A11] Leung Kwok Hung of AFA LKH [A12] Independent Andrew Wong AW[A13] Any list from the pro-democratic camp APD [A14] Any list from the pro-China camp APCFirst choiceSecond choice* Reading method: This table’s horizontal-axis and vertical-axis indicate the respondents’ first choices and second choices respectively, while the shaded areaindicates the absence of a specific candidate or a list. In other words, the first column of this table shows the vote shares obtained by other candidates if AndrewCheng dropped out. (For example, Nelson Wong would obtain 5.8% of vote share and Gary Fan would obtain 1.1% of vote share, etc.).AppendixII-5

New Territories EastPublic Opinion Programme, the University of Hong Kong2004 LegCo Direct Election: Survery on Individual ConstituencyNT East Frequency TableTable 6Candidate /ListACVote share obtained by each candidate if two of them dropped out from elections (Andrew Cheng and another one dropped out).AC NW GF EL RT JT RTO LKW CKP DC LKH AWNW 6.6% 9.8% 5.8% 6.3% 7.5% 6.6% 5.8% 5.8% 6.1% 6.0%GF 2.5% 2.0% 1.1% 1.4% 2.0% 1.1% 1.1% 1.1% 1.1% 1.1%EL 18.7% 17.5% 17.5% 20.6% 21.8% 18.2% 17.3% 17.5% 18.2% 20.7%RT 1.1% 0.8% 1.4% 1.4% 2.5% 0.9% 0.8% 1.1% 0.8% 1.4%JT 19.2% 18.6% 21.3% 18.9% 19.8% 21.7% 18.9% 19.8% 18.8% 21.0%RTO 16.4% 15.6% 17.9% 15.6% 17.5% 16.2% 15.6% 15.9% 17.4% 17.0%LKW 11.4% 11.2% 11.8% 11.2% 14.9% 13.1% 11.5% 12.0% 11.9% 13.4%CKP 0.6% 0.5% 0.6% 0.5% 0.6% 0.6% 2.3% 0.6% 0.6% 0.6%DC 3.3% 3.3% 3.7% 3.3% 4.0% 4.2% 4.0% 3.3% 3.3% 3.7%LKH 4.7% 4.6% 6.9% 4.9% 6.0% 5.0% 4.8% 4.7% 4.7% 5.4%AW 13.1% 12.6% 15.3% 12.6% 18.3% 14.0% 15.1% 12.6% 12.8% 13.3%APD 8.1% 7.9% 8.4% 7.7% 8.0% 8.7% 8.0% 7.7% 7.8% 7.7% 8.8%APC 0.8% 0.8% 0.9% 0.8% 0.9% 0.8% 1.1% 0.8% 0.8% 0.8% 0.9%Initials:[A1] Andrew Cheng of DP AC [A2] Nelson Wong of DP NW[A3] Gary Fan of DP GF [A4] Emily Lau of Frontier EL[A5] Richard Tsoi of HKCTU RT [A6] James Tien of LP JT[A7] Ronny Tong of A45 Concern Gp RTO [A8] Lau Kong Wah of DAB LKW[A9] Choy Kan Pui of HKPA CKP [A10] David Chu of HKPA DC[A11] Leung Kwok Hung of AFA LKH [A12] Independent Andrew Wong AW[A13] Any list from the pro-democratic camp APD [A14] Any list from the pro-China camp APC* Reading method: The table’s shaded area indicates the absence of a specific candidate or a list. For example, the second column of this table shows the voteshares obtained by other candidates if both and dropped out. (For example, would obtain 2.5% of vote share and would obtain 18.7% of vote share, etc.).AppendixII-6

Public Opinion Programme, the University of Hong Kong2004 LegCo Direct Election: Survery on Individual ConstituencyNT East Frequency TableTable 7Vote share obtained by each candidate if two of them dropped out from elections (Nelson Wong and another one dropped out).New Territories EastCandidate /ListAC NW GF EL RT JT RTO LKW CKP DC LKH AWAC 17.6% 23.3% 17.3% 19.0% 21.1% 18.3% 17.3% 17.9% 18.4% 19.1%NWGF 2.5% 1.9% 0.8% 1.1% 1.6% 0.8% 0.8% 0.8% 0.8% 0.8%EL 18.7% 16.8% 16.8% 19.3% 20.3% 17.5% 16.5% 16.8% 17.4% 19.7%RT 1.1% 0.5% 1.4% 0.5% 0.5% 0.5% 0.5% 0.5% 0.5% 1.1%JT 19.2% 15.8% 18.0% 16.0% 16.7% 18.6% 16.0% 16.8% 15.8% 17.8%RTO 16.4% 12.1% 13.9% 12.1% 13.4% 12.6% 12.1% 12.3% 13.7% 12.9%LKW 11.4% 10.8% 11.4% 10.8% 13.9% 12.0% 11.0% 11.5% 10.8% 12.7%CKP 0.6% 0.5% 0.6% 0.5% 0.5% 0.5% 2.2% 0.5% 0.5% 0.5%DC 3.3% 3.2% 3.3% 3.1% 3.7% 3.9% 3.8% 3.1% 3.2% 3.5%LKH 4.7% 3.9% 5.0% 3.9% 4.8% 4.2% 4.1% 3.9% 4.0% 4.6%AW 13.1% 11.8% 14.1% 11.8% 16.8% 12.0% 14.2% 11.8% 12.0% 12.1%APD 8.1% 6.1% 6.4% 6.0% 6.1% 6.5% 6.3% 6.0% 6.1% 6.1% 6.5%APC 0.8% 0.8% 0.8% 0.8% 0.8% 0.8% 1.1% 0.8% 0.8% 0.8% 0.8%Initials:[A1] Andrew Cheng of DP AC [A2] Nelson Wong of DP NW[A3] Gary Fan of DP GF [A4] Emily Lau of Frontier EL[A5] Richard Tsoi of HKCTU RT [A6] James Tien of LP JT[A7] Ronny Tong of A45 Concern Gp RTO [A8] Lau Kong Wah of DAB LKW[A9] Choy Kan Pui of HKPA CKP [A10] David Chu of HKPA DC[A11] Leung Kwok Hung of AFA LKH [A12] Independent Andrew Wong AW[A13] Any list from the pro-democratic camp APD [A14] Any list from the pro-China camp APCAppendixII-7

Public Opinion Programme, the University of Hong Kong2004 LegCo Direct Election: Survery on Individual ConstituencyNT East Frequency TableTable 8Vote share obtained by each candidate if two of them dropped out from elections (Gary Fan and another one dropped out).New Territories EastCandidate /ListAC NW GF EL RT JT RTO LKW CKP DC LKH AWAC 17.6% 22.1% 17.3% 19.2% 21.9% 18.3% 17.3% 17.9% 18.5% 19.3%NW 6.6% 5.0% 4.1% 4.4% 4.9% 4.5% 4.1% 4.1% 4.1% 4.2%GFEL 17.5% 16.8% 13.0% 15.0% 15.1% 13.8% 13.0% 13.2% 13.4% 15.4%RT 0.8% 0.5% 1.4% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.8%JT 18.6% 15.8% 17.7% 16.2% 16.7% 18.9% 16.2% 17.0% 16.1% 18.2%RTO 15.6% 12.1% 13.0% 11.9% 13.3% 12.4% 11.9% 12.1% 13.6% 12.8%LKW 11.2% 10.8% 11.3% 11.1% 14.4% 12.6% 11.4% 11.8% 11.2% 13.1%CKP 0.5% 0.5% 0.6% 0.5% 0.6% 0.5% 2.3% 0.5% 0.5% 0.6%DC 3.3% 3.2% 3.3% 3.2% 3.9% 4.1% 3.9% 3.2% 3.3% 3.6%LKH 4.6% 3.9% 5.0% 4.1% 5.0% 4.4% 4.2% 4.1% 4.1% 4.7%AW 12.6% 11.8% 13.8% 11.9% 16.9% 12.1% 14.1% 11.9% 12.1% 12.3%APD 7.9% 6.1% 6.1% 5.9% 6.1% 6.6% 6.2% 5.9% 6.0% 6.0% 6.4%APC 0.8% 0.8% 0.8% 0.8% 0.8% 0.8% 1.1% 0.8% 0.8% 0.8% 0.8%Initials:[A1] Andrew Cheng of DP AC [A2] Nelson Wong of DP NW[A3] Gary Fan of DP GF [A4] Emily Lau of Frontier EL[A5] Richard Tsoi of HKCTU RT [A6] James Tien of LP JT[A7] Ronny Tong of A45 Concern Gp RTO [A8] Lau Kong Wah of DAB LKW[A9] Choy Kan Pui of HKPA CKP [A10] David Chu of HKPA DC[A11] Leung Kwok Hung of AFA LKH [A12] Independent Andrew Wong AW[A13] Any list from the pro-democratic camp APD [A14] Any list from the pro-China camp APCAppendixII-8

Public Opinion Programme, the University of Hong Kong2004 LegCo Direct Election: Survery on Individual ConstituencyNT East Frequency TableTable 9Vote share obtained by each candidate if two of them dropped out from elections (Emily Lau and another one dropped out).New Territories EastCandidate /ListAC NW GF EL RT JT RTO LKW CKP DC LKH AWAC 23.3% 22.1% 22.1% 24.7% 27.4% 23.1% 21.8% 22.5% 23.7% 25.1%NW 9.8% 5.0% 4.7% 5.2% 6.1% 5.2% 4.7% 4.8% 4.7% 4.9%GF 2.0% 1.9% 1.1% 1.4% 2.2% 1.2% 1.1% 1.1% 1.4% 1.2%ELRT 1.4% 1.4% 1.4% 0.9% 0.8% 0.9% 0.8% 0.8% 0.8% 1.4%JT 21.3% 18.0% 17.7% 18.0% 18.4% 20.8% 18.0% 18.8% 17.9% 20.8%RTO 17.9% 13.9% 13.0% 13.3% 14.9% 13.6% 13.0% 13.2% 14.8% 14.5%LKW 11.8% 11.4% 11.3% 11.3% 14.9% 12.8% 11.6% 12.1% 11.5% 13.6%CKP 0.6% 0.6% 0.6% 0.6% 0.6% 0.6% 2.3% 0.6% 0.6% 0.6%DC 3.7% 3.3% 3.3% 3.3% 4.0% 4.2% 4.0% 3.3% 3.4% 4.3%LKH 6.9% 5.0% 5.0% 5.0% 6.3% 5.6% 5.2% 5.0% 5.1% 6.1%AW 15.3% 14.1% 13.8% 13.8% 19.8% 14.0% 16.2% 13.8% 14.0% 14.2%APD 8.4% 6.4% 6.1% 6.1% 6.3% 7.0% 6.4% 6.1% 6.2% 6.1% 6.6%APC 0.9% 0.8% 0.8% 0.8% 0.9% 0.8% 1.2% 0.8% 0.8% 0.8% 0.9%Initials:[A1] Andrew Cheng of DP AC [A2] Nelson Wong of DP NW[A3] Gary Fan of DP GF [A4] Emily Lau of Frontier EL[A5] Richard Tsoi of HKCTU RT [A6] James Tien of LP JT[A7] Ronny Tong of A45 Concern Gp RTO [A8] Lau Kong Wah of DAB LKW[A9] Choy Kan Pui of HKPA CKP [A10] David Chu of HKPA DC[A11] Leung Kwok Hung of AFA LKH [A12] Independent Andrew Wong AW[A13] Any list from the pro-democratic camp APD [A14] Any list from the pro-China camp APCAppendixII-9

Public Opinion Programme, the University of Hong Kong2004 LegCo Direct Election: Survery on Individual ConstituencyNT East Frequency TableTable 10 Vote share obtained by each candidate if two of them dropped out from elections (Richard Tsoi and another one dropped out).New Territories EastCandidate /ListAC NW GF EL RT JT RTO LKW CKP DC LKH AWAC 17.3% 17.3% 22.1% 18.8% 21.0% 18.0% 17.0% 17.6% 18.3% 19.1%NW 5.8% 4.1% 4.7% 4.4% 4.6% 4.2% 3.8% 3.8% 3.8% 3.9%GF 1.1% 0.8% 1.1% 0.8% 1.4% 0.6% 0.5% 0.5% 0.5% 0.6%EL 17.5% 16.8% 13.0% 15.0% 15.0% 13.8% 13.0% 13.2% 13.4% 15.4%RTJT 18.9% 16.0% 16.2% 18.0% 16.9% 19.2% 16.5% 17.3% 16.3% 18.5%RTO 15.6% 12.1% 11.9% 13.3% 13.3% 12.4% 11.9% 12.1% 13.6% 12.9%LKW 11.2% 10.8% 11.1% 11.3% 14.4% 12.6% 11.4% 11.8% 11.2% 13.2%CKP 0.5% 0.5% 0.5% 0.6% 0.6% 0.5% 2.3% 0.5% 0.5% 0.6%DC 3.3% 3.1% 3.2% 3.3% 3.9% 4.1% 3.9% 3.2% 3.3% 3.7%LKH 4.9% 3.9% 4.1% 5.0% 5.0% 4.4% 4.2% 4.1% 4.1% 4.8%AW 12.6% 11.8% 11.9% 13.8% 16.9% 12.0% 14.1% 11.9% 12.1% 12.3%APD 7.7% 6.0% 5.9% 6.1% 6.1% 6.6% 6.2% 5.9% 6.0% 6.0% 6.5%APC 0.8% 0.8% 0.8% 0.8% 0.8% 0.8% 1.1% 0.8% 0.8% 0.8% 0.8%Initials:[A1] Andrew Cheng of DP AC [A2] Nelson Wong of DP NW[A3] Gary Fan of DP GF [A4] Emily Lau of Frontier EL[A5] Richard Tsoi of HKCTU RT [A6] James Tien of LP JT[A7] Ronny Tong of A45 Concern Gp RTO [A8] Lau Kong Wah of DAB LKW[A9] Choy Kan Pui of HKPA CKP [A10] David Chu of HKPA DC[A11] Leung Kwok Hung of AFA LKH [A12] Independent Andrew Wong AW[A13] Any list from the pro-democratic camp APD [A14] Any list from the pro-China camp APCAppendixII-10

Public Opinion Programme, the University of Hong Kong2004 LegCo Direct Election: Survery on Individual ConstituencyNT East Frequency TableTable 11 Vote share obtained by each candidate if two of them dropped out from elections (James Tien and another one dropped out).New Territories EastCandidate /ListAC NW GF EL RT JT RTO LKW CKP DC LKH AWAC 19.0% 19.2% 24.7% 18.8% 23.7% 20.9% 18.8% 20.1% 20.4% 22.2%NW 6.3% 4.4% 5.2% 4.4% 5.4% 5.0% 4.2% 4.2% 4.2% 5.2%GF 1.4% 1.1% 1.4% 0.8% 1.7% 0.9% 0.8% 0.8% 0.8% 0.9%EL 20.6% 19.3% 15.0% 15.0% 17.2% 16.5% 15.2% 15.8% 15.4% 18.4%RT 1.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.9% 0.3% 0.6% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 1.5%JTRTO 17.5% 13.4% 13.3% 14.9% 13.3% 14.5% 13.3% 13.6% 15.1% 14.6%LKW 14.9% 13.9% 14.4% 14.9% 14.4% 16.1% 14.7% 15.3% 14.6% 18.1%CKP 0.6% 0.5% 0.6% 0.6% 0.6% 0.6% 2.4% 0.6% 0.6% 0.6%DC 4.0% 3.7% 3.9% 4.0% 3.9% 5.1% 5.3% 3.9% 3.9% 5.0%LKH 6.0% 4.8% 5.0% 6.3% 5.0% 5.4% 5.3% 5.0% 5.1% 6.1%AW 18.3% 16.8% 16.9% 19.8% 16.9% 17.2% 20.4% 16.9% 17.2% 17.4%APD 8.0% 6.1% 6.1% 6.3% 6.1% 6.8% 6.5% 6.1% 6.2% 6.4% 6.7%APC 0.9% 0.8% 0.8% 0.9% 0.8% 0.8% 1.8% 0.8% 0.8% 0.8% 0.9%Initials:[A1] Andrew Cheng of DP AC [A2] Nelson Wong of DP NW[A3] Gary Fan of DP GF [A4] Emily Lau of Frontier EL[A5] Richard Tsoi of HKCTU RT [A6] James Tien of LP JT[A7] Ronny Tong of A45 Concern Gp RTO [A8] Lau Kong Wah of DAB LKW[A9] Choy Kan Pui of HKPA CKP [A10] David Chu of HKPA DC[A11] Leung Kwok Hung of AFA LKH [A12] Independent Andrew Wong AW[A13] Any list from the pro-democratic camp APD [A14] Any list from the pro-China camp APCAppendixII-11

Public Opinion Programme, the University of Hong Kong2004 LegCo Direct Election: Survery on Individual ConstituencyNT East Frequency TableTable 12 Vote share obtained by each candidate if two of them dropped out from elections (Ronny Tong and another one dropped out).New Territories EastCandidate /ListAC NW GF EL RT JT RTO LKW CKP DC LKH AWAC 21.1% 21.9% 27.4% 21.0% 23.7% 22.2% 21.0% 22.0% 23.1% 23.2%NW 7.5% 4.9% 6.1% 4.6% 5.4% 5.1% 4.6% 4.7% 4.7% 4.8%GF 2.0% 1.6% 2.2% 1.4% 1.7% 1.4% 1.4% 1.4% 1.4% 1.4%EL 21.8% 20.3% 15.1% 15.0% 17.2% 16.0% 15.0% 15.3% 16.1% 17.5%RT 2.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.8% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.8%JT 19.8% 16.7% 16.7% 18.4% 16.9% 19.9% 16.9% 18.1% 16.9% 19.5%RTOLKW 13.1% 12.0% 12.6% 12.8% 12.6% 16.1% 12.8% 13.4% 12.8% 14.7%CKP 0.6% 0.5% 0.5% 0.6% 0.5% 0.6% 2.3% 0.6% 0.6% 0.6%DC 4.2% 3.9% 4.1% 4.2% 4.1% 5.1% 5.1% 4.1% 4.2% 4.5%LKH 5.0% 4.2% 4.4% 5.6% 4.4% 5.4% 5.1% 4.4% 4.5% 5.1%AW 14.0% 12.0% 12.1% 14.0% 12.0% 17.2% 14.5% 12.0% 12.3% 12.5%APD 8.7% 6.5% 6.6% 7.0% 6.6% 6.8% 6.8% 6.6% 6.7% 6.7% 7.1%APC 0.8% 0.8% 0.8% 0.8% 0.8% 0.8% 1.1% 0.8% 0.8% 0.8% 0.8%Initials:[A1] Andrew Cheng of DP AC [A2] Nelson Wong of DP NW[A3] Gary Fan of DP GF [A4] Emily Lau of Frontier EL[A5] Richard Tsoi of HKCTU RT [A6] James Tien of LP JT[A7] Ronny Tong of A45 Concern Gp RTO [A8] Lau Kong Wah of DAB LKW[A9] Choy Kan Pui of HKPA CKP [A10] David Chu of HKPA DC[A11] Leung Kwok Hung of AFA LKH [A12] Independent Andrew Wong AW[A13] Any list from the pro-democratic camp APD [A14] Any list from the pro-China camp APCAppendixII-12

Public Opinion Programme, the University of Hong Kong2004 LegCo Direct Election: Survery on Individual ConstituencyNT East Frequency TableTable 13 Vote share obtained by each candidate if two of them dropped out from elections (Lau Kong Wah and another one dropped out).New Territories EastCandidate /ListAC NW GF EL RT JT RTO LKW CKP DC LKH AWAC 18.3% 18.3% 23.1% 18.0% 20.9% 22.2% 18.1% 18.8% 19.3% 20.6%NW 6.6% 4.5% 5.2% 4.2% 5.0% 5.1% 4.2% 4.3% 4.3% 4.5%GF 1.1% 0.8% 1.2% 0.6% 0.9% 1.4% 0.6% 0.6% 0.6% 0.6%EL 18.2% 17.5% 13.8% 13.8% 16.5% 16.0% 13.9% 14.2% 14.2% 17.0%RT 0.9% 0.5% 0.3% 0.9% 0.6% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.9%JT 21.7% 18.6% 18.9% 20.8% 19.2% 19.9% 19.8% 20.3% 19.0% 22.1%RTO 16.2% 12.6% 12.4% 13.6% 12.4% 14.5% 12.5% 12.8% 14.2% 13.7%LKWCKP 2.3% 2.2% 2.3% 2.3% 2.3% 2.4% 2.3% 2.3% 2.3% 2.4%DC 4.0% 3.8% 3.9% 4.0% 3.9% 5.3% 5.1% 4.5% 4.0% 5.1%LKH 4.8% 4.1% 4.2% 5.2% 4.2% 5.3% 5.1% 4.2% 4.3% 5.1%AW 15.1% 14.2% 14.1% 16.2% 14.1% 20.4% 14.5% 14.4% 14.5% 14.5%APD 8.0% 6.3% 6.2% 6.4% 6.2% 6.5% 6.8% 6.2% 6.4% 6.3% 6.9%APC 1.1% 1.1% 1.1% 1.2% 1.1% 1.8% 1.1% 1.1% 1.2% 1.1% 1.2%Initials:[A1] Andrew Cheng of DP AC [A2] Nelson Wong of DP NW[A3] Gary Fan of DP GF [A4] Emily Lau of Frontier EL[A5] Richard Tsoi of HKCTU RT [A6] James Tien of LP JT[A7] Ronny Tong of A45 Concern Gp RTO [A8] Lau Kong Wah of DAB LKW[A9] Choy Kan Pui of HKPA CKP [A10] David Chu of HKPA DC[A11] Leung Kwok Hung of AFA LKH [A12] Independent Andrew Wong AW[A13] Any list from the pro-democratic camp APD [A14] Any list from the pro-China camp APCAppendixII-13

Public Opinion Programme, the University of Hong Kong2004 LegCo Direct Election: Survery on Individual ConstituencyNT East Frequency TableTable 14 Vote share obtained by each candidate if two of them dropped out from elections (Choy Kan Pui and another one dropped out).Candidate /ListAC NW GF EL RT JT RTO LKW CKP DC LKH AWAC 17.3% 17.3% 21.8% 17.0% 18.8% 21.0% 18.1% 17.6% 18.3% 19.0%NW 5.8% 4.1% 4.7% 3.8% 4.2% 4.6% 4.2% 3.8% 3.8% 3.9%GF 1.1% 0.8% 1.1% 0.5% 0.8% 1.4% 0.6% 0.5% 0.5% 0.6%New Territories EastEL 17.3% 16.5% 13.0% 13.0% 15.2% 15.0% 13.9% 13.2% 13.4% 15.4%RT 0.8% 0.5% 0.3% 0.8% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.8%JT 18.9% 16.0% 16.2% 18.0% 16.5% 16.9% 19.8% 17.3% 16.3% 18.4%RTO 15.6% 12.1% 11.9% 13.0% 11.9% 13.3% 12.5% 12.1% 13.6% 12.8%LKW 11.5% 11.0% 11.4% 11.6% 11.4% 14.7% 12.8% 12.1% 11.4% 13.4%CKPDC 3.3% 3.1% 3.2% 3.3% 3.2% 3.9% 4.1% 4.5% 3.3% 3.6%LKH 4.7% 3.9% 4.1% 5.0% 4.1% 5.0% 4.4% 4.2% 4.1% 4.7%AW 12.6% 11.8% 11.9% 13.8% 11.9% 16.9% 12.0% 14.4% 12.1% 12.3%APD 7.7% 6.0% 5.9% 6.1% 5.9% 6.1% 6.6% 6.2% 6.0% 6.0% 6.4%APC 0.8% 0.8% 0.8% 0.8% 0.8% 0.8% 0.8% 1.1% 0.8% 0.8% 0.8%Initials:[A1] Andrew Cheng of DP AC [A2] Nelson Wong of DP NW[A3] Gary Fan of DP GF [A4] Emily Lau of Frontier EL[A5] Richard Tsoi of HKCTU RT [A6] James Tien of LP JT[A7] Ronny Tong of A45 Concern Gp RTO [A8] Lau Kong Wah of DAB LKW[A9] Choy Kan Pui of HKPA CKP [A10] David Chu of HKPA DC[A11] Leung Kwok Hung of AFA LKH [A12] Independent Andrew Wong AW[A13] Any list from the pro-democratic camp APD [A14] Any list from the pro-China camp APCAppendixII-14

Public Opinion Programme, the University of Hong Kong2004 LegCo Direct Election: Survery on Individual ConstituencyNT East Frequency TableTable 15 Vote share obtained by each candidate if two of them dropped out from elections (David Chu and another one dropped out).New Territories EastCandidate /ListAC NW GF EL RT JT RTO LKW CKP DC LKH AWAC 17.9% 17.9% 22.5% 17.6% 20.1% 22.0% 18.8% 17.6% 18.8% 19.7%NW 5.8% 4.1% 4.8% 3.8% 4.2% 4.7% 4.3% 3.8% 3.9% 4.0%GF 1.1% 0.8% 1.1% 0.5% 0.8% 1.4% 0.6% 0.5% 0.6% 0.6%EL 17.5% 16.8% 13.2% 13.2% 15.8% 15.3% 14.2% 13.2% 13.6% 15.7%RT 1.1% 0.5% 0.3% 0.8% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.9%JT 19.8% 16.8% 17.0% 18.8% 17.3% 18.1% 20.3% 17.3% 17.2% 19.4%RTO 15.9% 12.3% 12.1% 13.2% 12.1% 13.6% 12.8% 12.1% 13.9% 13.1%LKW 12.0% 11.5% 11.8% 12.1% 11.8% 15.3% 13.4% 12.1% 11.9% 14.0%CKP 0.6% 0.5% 0.5% 0.6% 0.5% 0.6% 0.6% 2.3% 0.6% 0.6%DCLKH 4.7% 4.0% 4.1% 5.1% 4.1% 5.1% 4.5% 4.3% 4.1% 4.8%AW 12.8% 12.0% 12.1% 14.0% 12.1% 17.2% 12.3% 14.5% 12.1% 12.5%APD 7.8% 6.1% 6.0% 6.2% 6.0% 6.2% 6.7% 6.4% 6.0% 6.1% 6.6%APC 0.8% 0.8% 0.8% 0.8% 0.8% 0.8% 0.8% 1.2% 0.8% 0.8% 0.9%Initials:[A1] Andrew Cheng of DP AC [A2] Nelson Wong of DP NW[A3] Gary Fan of DP GF [A4] Emily Lau of Frontier EL[A5] Richard Tsoi of HKCTU RT [A6] James Tien of LP JT[A7] Ronny Tong of A45 Concern Gp RTO [A8] Lau Kong Wah of DAB LKW[A9] Choy Kan Pui of HKPA CKP [A10] David Chu of HKPA DC[A11] Leung Kwok Hung of AFA LKH [A12] Independent Andrew Wong AW[A13] Any list from the pro-democratic camp APD [A14] Any list from the pro-China camp APCAppendixII-15

Public Opinion Programme, the University of Hong Kong2004 LegCo Direct Election: Survery on Individual ConstituencyNT East Frequency TableTable 16 Vote share obtained by each candidate if two of them dropped out from elections (Leung Kwok Hung and another one dropped out).Candidate /ListAC NW GF EL RT JT RTO LKW CKP DC LKH AWAC 18.4% 18.5% 23.7% 18.3% 20.4% 23.1% 19.3% 18.3% 18.8% 20.3%NW 6.1% 4.1% 4.7% 3.8% 4.2% 4.7% 4.3% 3.8% 3.9% 3.9%GF 1.1% 0.8% 1.4% 0.5% 0.8% 1.4% 0.6% 0.5% 0.6% 0.6%New Territories EastEL 18.2% 17.4% 13.4% 13.4% 15.4% 16.1% 14.2% 13.4% 13.6% 16.1%RT 0.8% 0.5% 0.3% 0.8% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.8%JT 18.8% 15.8% 16.1% 17.9% 16.3% 16.9% 19.0% 16.3% 17.2% 18.3%RTO 17.4% 13.7% 13.6% 14.8% 13.6% 15.1% 14.2% 13.6% 13.9% 14.6%LKW 11.9% 10.8% 11.2% 11.5% 11.2% 14.6% 12.8% 11.4% 11.9% 13.2%CKP 0.6% 0.5% 0.5% 0.6% 0.5% 0.6% 0.6% 2.3% 0.6% 0.6%DC 3.3% 3.2% 3.3% 3.4% 3.3% 3.9% 4.2% 4.0% 3.3% 4.2%LKHAW 13.3% 12.1% 12.3% 14.2% 12.3% 17.4% 12.5% 14.5% 12.3% 12.5%APD 7.7% 6.1% 6.0% 6.1% 6.0% 6.4% 6.7% 6.3% 6.0% 6.1% 6.5%APC 0.8% 0.8% 0.8% 0.8% 0.8% 0.8% 0.8% 1.1% 0.8% 0.8% 0.8%Initials:[A1] Andrew Cheng of DP AC [A2] Nelson Wong of DP NW[A3] Gary Fan of DP GF [A4] Emily Lau of Frontier EL[A5] Richard Tsoi of HKCTU RT [A6] James Tien of LP JT[A7] Ronny Tong of A45 Concern Gp RTO [A8] Lau Kong Wah of DAB LKW[A9] Choy Kan Pui of HKPA CKP [A10] David Chu of HKPA DC[A11] Leung Kwok Hung of AFA LKH [A12] Independent Andrew Wong AW[A13] Any list from the pro-democratic camp APD [A14] Any list from the pro-China camp APCAppendixII-16

Public Opinion Programme, the University of Hong Kong2004 LegCo Direct Election: Survery on Individual ConstituencyNT East Frequency TableTable 17 Vote share obtained by each candidate if two of them dropped out from elections (Andrew Wong and another one dropped out).New Territories EastCandidate /ListAC NW GF EL RT JT RTO LKW CKP DC LKH AWAC 19.1% 19.3% 25.1% 19.1% 22.2% 23.2% 20.6% 19.0% 19.7% 20.3%NW 6.0% 4.2% 4.9% 3.9% 5.2% 4.8% 4.5% 3.9% 4.0% 3.9%GF 1.1% 0.8% 1.2% 0.6% 0.9% 1.4% 0.6% 0.6% 0.6% 0.6%EL 20.7% 19.7% 15.4% 15.4% 18.4% 17.5% 17.0% 15.4% 15.7% 16.1%RT 1.4% 1.1% 0.8% 1.4% 1.5% 0.8% 0.9% 0.8% 0.9% 0.8%JT 21.0% 17.8% 18.2% 20.8% 18.5% 19.5% 22.1% 18.4% 19.4% 18.3%RTO 17.0% 12.9% 12.8% 14.5% 12.9% 14.6% 13.7% 12.8% 13.1% 14.6%LKW 13.4% 12.7% 13.1% 13.6% 13.2% 18.1% 14.7% 13.4% 14.0% 13.2%CKP 0.6% 0.5% 0.6% 0.6% 0.6% 0.6% 0.6% 2.4% 0.6% 0.6%DC 3.7% 3.5% 3.6% 4.3% 3.7% 5.0% 4.5% 5.1% 3.6% 4.2%LKH 5.4% 4.6% 4.7% 6.1% 4.8% 6.1% 5.1% 5.1% 4.7% 4.8%AWAPD 8.8% 6.5% 6.4% 6.6% 6.5% 6.7% 7.1% 6.9% 6.4% 6.6% 6.5%APC 0.9% 0.8% 0.8% 0.9% 0.8% 0.9% 0.8% 1.2% 0.8% 0.9% 0.8%Initials:[A1] Andrew Cheng of DP AC [A2] Nelson Wong of DP NW[A3] Gary Fan of DP GF [A4] Emily Lau of Frontier EL[A5] Richard Tsoi of HKCTU RT [A6] James Tien of LP JT[A7] Ronny Tong of A45 Concern Gp RTO [A8] Lau Kong Wah of DAB LKW[A9] Choy Kan Pui of HKPA CKP [A10] David Chu of HKPA DC[A11] Leung Kwok Hung of AFA LKH [A12] Independent Andrew Wong AW[A13] Any list from the pro-democratic camp APD [A14] Any list from the pro-China camp APCAppendixII-17

Public Opinion Programme, the University of Hong Kong2004 LegCo Direct Election: Survery on Individual ConstituencyNT East Frequency TableTable 18 If [choice in Q1] dropped out from elections, which one of them above would youvote for(Interviewer can remind the respondents of names of remaining candidates or parties.Only one answer is allowed.)FrequencyPercentage ofrespondentsBase=346Percentage oftotal sampleBase=507Andrew Cheng of DP 50 14.6 Emily Lau of Frontier 38 11.0 James Tien of LP 35 10.0 Independent Andrew Wong 33 9.6 Ronny Tong of A45 Concern Gp 30 8.6 Lau Kong Wah of DAB 24 6.9 Nelson Wong of DP 15 4.4 Leung Kwok Hung of AFA 10 2.9 Any list from the pro-democratic camp 10 2.8 Gary Fan of DP 9 2.7 David Chu of HKPA 9 2.6 Richard Tsoi of HKCTU 7 1.9 Choy Kan Pui of HKPA 6 1.6 Any list from the pro-China camp 1 0.3 0.2Cast blank votes / Elect nobody 11 3.2 Won’t vote 27 7.7 Not yet decide/Don’t know/Hard to say 32 9.1 Total 346 100.0Missing 1AppendixII-18

Public Opinion Programme, the University of Hong Kong2004 LegCo Direct Election: Survery on Individual ConstituencyNT East Frequency TableTable 19 If [choice in Q2] dropped out from elections, which one of them above wouldyou vote for(Interviewer can remind the respondents of names of remaining 10candidates. Only one answer is allowed.)FrequencyPercentage ofrespondentsBase=266Percentage oftotal sampleBase=507Emily Lau of Frontier 34 12.9 Andrew Cheng of DP 29 10.9 Nelson Wong of DP 25 9.3 Independent Andrew Wong 16 5.9 David Chu of HKPA 15 5.7 Richard Tsoi of HKCTU 14 5.2 Leung Kwok Hung of AFA 13 4.7 James Tien of LP 12 4.5 Gary Fan of DP 8 3.0 Any list from the pro-democratic camp 7 2.8 Lau Kong Wah of DAB 6 2.4 Ronny Tong of A45 Concern Gp 6 2.4 Any list from the pro-China camp 2 0.7 Depend on the overall team-up and will notvote for a specific candidate 2 0.7 Cast blank votes / Elect nobody 11 4.1 Won’t vote 43 16.1 Not yet decide/Don’t know/Hard to say 23 8.8 Total 266 100.0Missing 0AppendixII-19

Public Opinion Programme, the University of Hong Kong2004 LegCo Direct Election: Survery on Individual ConstituencyNT East Frequency TableTable 20 If [Interviewer to read out the first five choices ascendingly] and some independentcandidates took part in the election in your district, which parties or candidates you would neversupport? (Multiple answers are allowed, interviewers to probe if there are any other answers)Percentage ofresponsesBase: 698responses outof 507Percentage ofrespondentsFrequency respondents Base=495DAB 151 21.7 30.6AFA 67 9.6 13.5DP 64 9.1 12.9HKPA 53 7.5 10.6Frontier 51 7.4 10.4LP 33 4.7 6.6A45 Concern Group 21 3.0 4.3HKCTU 19 2.7 3.8No party affiliation / Independent 17 2.4 3.4Support nobody 21 3.0 4.3Not yet decide / Don’t know / Hard to say 170 24.3 34.2Won’t answer hypothetical question /Actual situation is different 31 4.5 6.4Total 698 100.0Missing 12Table 21 [Only ask those who supported Democratic Party or pro-democratic camp in Q1-Q3]If Democratic Party and pro-democratic camp took part in the election in one list, would you votefor this list?FrequencyPercentage ofrespondentsBase=264Percentage oftotal sampleBase=507Yes 150 56.9 No 44 16.5 Not yet decide/Don’t know/Hard to say 70 26.6 .8Total 264 100.0Missing 3AppendixII-20

Public Opinion Programme, the University of Hong Kong2004 LegCo Direct Election: Survery on Individual ConstituencyNT East Frequency TableTable 22 Will you vote for a list, no matter you like or dislike the candidates on the list, for thepurpose of supporting the camp which appeals to you?Frequency PercentageYes 99 43.7No 118 52.1Not yet decide/Don’t know/Hard to say 10 4.2Total 226 100.0Missing 1Table 23 If the camp you support gave out some instructions to the electorates on the allocationof votes, such as casting your vote to another list belonging to the same camp according to yourID card number or birthday, would you follow?Frequency PercentageYes 39 17.3No 172 76.1Not yet decide/Don’t know/Hard to say 15 6.6Total 226 100.0Missing 1Table 24Are you a registered voter?Frequency PercentageYes (including those who have just registered) 424 84.0No 81 16.0Total 505 100.0Missing 2AppendixII-21

Public Opinion Programme, the University of Hong Kong2004 LegCo Direct Election: Survery on Individual ConstituencyNT East Frequency TableTable 25 Only for registered votersWhen did you register as a voter Deduced from theyear, input exact numberFrequencyPercentage ofrespondentsBase=424Percentage oftotal sampleBase=507This year, 2004, which means nomore than 1 year ) )Last year, 2003, which means nomore than 2 years ) )No more than 3 years 9) 2.0) )No more than 4 years 21 ) 97 4.9 ) 22.9 ) 19.14 years or above 111 26.2 21.9Forgotten 215 50.9 42.4Total 424 100.0Missing 0Table 26 Only for registered votersDid you vote in the District Council Election lastNovember?FrequencyPercentage ofrespondentsBase=424Yes 249 58.7 49.1No: because the councillors wereautomatically elected 30 ) 7.0 ) 5.9 )No: can vote but has not voted 95 ) 22.5 ) 18.7 )Percentage oftotal sampleBase=507No: not yet registered at that time 46 ) 171 10.9 ) 40.4 9.1 ) 33.7Forgotten 4 1.0 0.8Total 424 100.0Missing 0AppendixII-22

Public Opinion Programme, the University of Hong Kong2004 LegCo Direct Election: Survery on Individual ConstituencyNT East Frequency TableTable 27 Only for registered votersHave you ever voted in the past Council elections indifferent tiers?FrequencyPercentage ofrespondentsBase= 423Percentage oftotal sampleBase=507Yes 349 82.4 68.8No: not yet registered at that time 49 ) 11.6 ) 9.7 )No: can vote but has not voted 24 ) 74 5.7 ) 17.3 4.7 ) 14.4Forgotten 1 0.3 0.2Total 423 100.0Missing 1Table 28 Only for registered votersWill you vote in the coming Legislative CouncilElection in SeptemberFrequencyPercentage ofrespondentsBase=424Definitely yes 210 ) 49.4 ) 41.4 )Percentage oftotal sampleBase=507Most likely yes 120 ) 330 28.3 ) 77.8 23.7 ) 65.1Most likely no 15 ) 3.5 ) 3.0 )Definitely no 12 ) 27 2.7 ) 6.3 2.4 ) 5.4Not yet decide/Don’t know/Hardto say 68 16.0 13.4Total 424 100.0Missing 0Table 29Did you participate in the July 1 rally last yearFrequencyPercentageYes 75 14.8No 430 85.2Total 505 100.0Missing 2AppendixII-23

Public Opinion Programme, the University of Hong Kong2004 LegCo Direct Election: Survery on Individual ConstituencyNT East Frequency TableTable 30Did you participate in the January 1 rallyFrequencyPercentageYes 11 2.2No 493 97.7Don’t know / Forgotten 1 0.1Total 505 100.0Missing 2AppendixII-24