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Summary• Sources of value for flexibility– Cut downside risk– Expand upside potential• VAR chart is a neat way to representthe sources of value for flexibility• Spreadsheet with simulation is apowerful tool for estimating value offlexibilityGarage Case, etc de Neufville, Scholtes and Wang Slide 23 of 2312

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Summary• Sources of value for flexibility– Cut downside risk– Expand upside potential• VAR chart is a neat way to representthe sources of value for flexibility• Spreadsheet with simulation is apowerful tool for estimating value offlexibilityGarage Case, etc de Neufville, Scholtes and Wang Slide 23 of 2312

Page 1 and 2: Value of Flexibilityan introduction
Page 3 and 4: CDFCumulative Probability100%80%60%
Page 5 and 6: Excel Analysis Sequence toillustrat
Page 7 and 8: Step 1: Set up base caseDemand grow
Page 9 and 10: Recognizing uncertainty =>different
Page 11: Sources of value for flexibility:2)