Shell Gas to Liquid (GTL): Technology to help the Marine Industry
Shell Gas to Liquid (GTL): Technology to help the Marine Industry
Shell Gas to Liquid (GTL): Technology to help the Marine Industry
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<strong>Shell</strong> <strong>Gas</strong> <strong>to</strong> <strong>Liquid</strong> (<strong>GTL</strong>):<br />
<strong>Technology</strong> <strong>to</strong> <strong>help</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>Marine</strong> <strong>Industry</strong><br />
Mark Harrison<br />
General Manager, <strong>Shell</strong> <strong>Marine</strong> Products<br />
29 th International Bunker Conference<br />
Copenhagen, Denmark<br />
24 th April 2008<br />
<strong>Shell</strong> <strong>Marine</strong> Products
Disclaimer statement<br />
This presentation contains forward-looking statements concerning <strong>the</strong><br />
financial condition, results of operations and businesses of Royal<br />
Dutch <strong>Shell</strong>. All statements o<strong>the</strong>r than statements of his<strong>to</strong>rical fact are,<br />
or may be deemed <strong>to</strong> be, forward-looking statements. Forwardlooking<br />
statements are statements of future expectations that are<br />
based on management’s current expectations and assumptions and<br />
involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties that could cause<br />
actual results, performance or events <strong>to</strong> differ materially from those<br />
expressed or implied in <strong>the</strong>se statements. Forward-looking statements<br />
include, among o<strong>the</strong>r things, statements concerning <strong>the</strong> potential<br />
exposure of Royal Dutch <strong>Shell</strong> <strong>to</strong> market risks and statements<br />
expressing management’s expectations, beliefs, estimates, forecasts,<br />
projections and assumptions. These forward-looking statements are<br />
identified by <strong>the</strong>ir use of terms and phrases such as ‘‘anticipate’’,<br />
‘‘believe’’, ‘‘could’’, ‘‘estimate’’, ‘‘expect’’, ‘‘intend’’, ‘‘may’’, ‘‘plan’’,<br />
‘‘objectives’’, ‘‘outlook’’, ‘‘probably’’, ‘‘project’’, ‘‘will’’, ‘‘seek’’,<br />
‘‘target’’, ‘‘risks’’, ‘‘goals’’, ‘‘should’’ and similar terms and phrases.<br />
There are a number of fac<strong>to</strong>rs that could affect <strong>the</strong> future operations<br />
of Royal Dutch <strong>Shell</strong> and could cause those results <strong>to</strong> differ materially<br />
from those expressed in <strong>the</strong> forward-looking statements included in<br />
this Report, including (without limitation): (a) price fluctuations in<br />
crude oil and natural gas; (b) changes in demand for <strong>the</strong> Group’s<br />
products; (c) currency fluctuations; (d) drilling and production results;<br />
(e) reserve estimates; (f) loss of market and industry competition; (g)<br />
environmental and physical risks; (h) risks associated with <strong>the</strong><br />
identification of suitable potential acquisition properties and targets,<br />
and successful negotiation and completion of such transactions; (i) <strong>the</strong><br />
risk of doing business in developing countries and countries subject <strong>to</strong><br />
international sanctions;<br />
(j) legislative, fiscal and regula<strong>to</strong>ry developments including<br />
potential litigation and regula<strong>to</strong>ry effects arising from<br />
recategorisation of reserves;(k) economic and financial market<br />
conditions in various countries and regions; (l) political risks,<br />
project delay or advancement, approvals and cost estimates; and<br />
(m) changes in trading conditions. All forward-looking statements<br />
contained in this presentation are expressly qualified in <strong>the</strong>ir<br />
entirety by <strong>the</strong> cautionary statements contained or referred <strong>to</strong> in<br />
this section. Readers should not place undue reliance on forwardlooking<br />
statements. Each forward-looking statement speaks only as<br />
of <strong>the</strong> date of this presentation. Nei<strong>the</strong>r Royal Dutch <strong>Shell</strong> nor any<br />
of its subsidiaries undertake any obligation <strong>to</strong> publicly update or<br />
revise any forward-looking statement as a result of new<br />
information, future events or o<strong>the</strong>r information. In light of <strong>the</strong>se<br />
risks, results could differ materially from those stated, implied or<br />
inferred from <strong>the</strong> forward-looking statements contained in this<br />
document. The United States Securities and Exchange Commission<br />
(SEC) permits oil and gas companies, in <strong>the</strong>ir filings with <strong>the</strong> SEC,<br />
<strong>to</strong> disclose only proved reserves that a company has demonstrated<br />
by actual production or conclusive formation tests <strong>to</strong> be<br />
economically and legally producible under existing economic and<br />
operating conditions. We use certain terms in this presentation,<br />
such as “oil in place" that <strong>the</strong> SEC's guidelines strictly prohibit us<br />
from including in filings with <strong>the</strong> SEC. U.S. Inves<strong>to</strong>rs are urged <strong>to</strong><br />
consider closely <strong>the</strong> disclosure in our Form 20-F, File No 1-32575<br />
and disclosure in our Forms 6-K file No, 1-32575, available on <strong>the</strong><br />
SEC website www.sec.gov. You can also obtain <strong>the</strong>se forms from<br />
<strong>the</strong> SEC by calling 1-800-SEC-0330.<br />
<strong>Shell</strong> <strong>Marine</strong> Products
Three Hard Truths…<br />
- Global energy demand is accelerating<br />
– Conventional supply will struggle <strong>to</strong> keep pace<br />
– Climate stresses<br />
<strong>Shell</strong> <strong>Marine</strong> Products
Demand continues <strong>to</strong> grow apace<br />
• Global transport fuel demand forecast <strong>to</strong> rise by 45% from 2006 <strong>to</strong> 2030<br />
• <strong>Marine</strong> fuel demand forecast <strong>to</strong> rise by c.50% from 2006 <strong>to</strong> 2030<br />
Million Barrels per Day<br />
70<br />
60<br />
50<br />
40<br />
30<br />
20<br />
10<br />
0<br />
Global transport fuel demand<br />
Jet fuels / Avgas<br />
<strong>Marine</strong> fuels<br />
Diesel (incl. <strong>GTL</strong>)<br />
LPG / CNG<br />
<strong>Gas</strong>oline<br />
2006 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030<br />
Source: <strong>Shell</strong> calculations based on IEA and PIRA data<br />
Bio-diesel<br />
Bio-gasoline<br />
<strong>Marine</strong> Fuels<br />
LPG/CNG<br />
<strong>Gas</strong>oline<br />
<strong>Shell</strong> <strong>Marine</strong> Products<br />
Jet Fuels/Avgas<br />
Diesel (incl. <strong>GTL</strong>)
Future fuels – <strong>Gas</strong> <strong>to</strong> <strong>Liquid</strong><br />
<strong>Shell</strong> <strong>Marine</strong> Products
What is <strong>Gas</strong> <strong>to</strong> <strong>Liquid</strong>s?<br />
� The <strong>Gas</strong> <strong>to</strong> <strong>Liquid</strong>s process converts natural gas in<strong>to</strong> high quality liquid products.<br />
<strong>Shell</strong> Bintulu <strong>GTL</strong> Plant, Malaysia<br />
Natural gas <strong>GTL</strong> plant converts natural gas<br />
using Fischer-Tropsch process<br />
Products include transport<br />
fuels and lubricants<br />
<strong>Shell</strong> <strong>Marine</strong> Products
<strong>Shell</strong> has been a <strong>GTL</strong> leader for over 30 years<br />
and we’re investing <strong>to</strong> deliver even greater<br />
benefits in <strong>the</strong> future<br />
• At forefront of <strong>GTL</strong> technology for over 30 years<br />
– Proprietary technology throughout production process<br />
– Opened Bintulu <strong>GTL</strong> plant in 1993<br />
– Building world’s largest <strong>GTL</strong> plant in Qatar<br />
• Investing in R&D <strong>to</strong> reduce CO 2 production<br />
– Future generations of <strong>GTL</strong> plants could improve process efficiency.<br />
• Bringing <strong>the</strong> benefits of <strong>GTL</strong> Fuel <strong>to</strong> our cus<strong>to</strong>mers<br />
– <strong>Shell</strong> fuel containing <strong>GTL</strong> Fuel available at ~4900 service stations in Europe and Asia<br />
– Winning technical partnership with Audi<br />
<strong>Shell</strong> <strong>Marine</strong> Products
<strong>GTL</strong> Properties and Benefits<br />
Excellent properties:<br />
� Colourless, clean burning<br />
� High cetane number, virtually sulphur-free<br />
� Reduces local pollution even compared <strong>to</strong><br />
so-called “sulphur-free” diesel<br />
� Convenient and easy <strong>to</strong> use<br />
Syn<strong>the</strong>tic fuel Refinery diesel<br />
Cetane number 75-80 48-56<br />
Syn<strong>the</strong>tic fuel enables development of<br />
dedicated engines:<br />
� Reduced emissions<br />
� Lower fuel consumption<br />
� Better driveability<br />
� Less noise<br />
<strong>Shell</strong> <strong>Marine</strong> Products
<strong>Gas</strong> <strong>to</strong> <strong>Liquid</strong> – Applications<br />
<strong>Shell</strong> <strong>Marine</strong> Products
<strong>GTL</strong> Diesel for Road Transportation<br />
London<br />
Bus trial with Daimler-Chrysler<br />
USA<br />
Dept. of Transport<br />
Yosemite Water<br />
USA & France<br />
Audi Le Mans racing<br />
100% <strong>GTL</strong> Fuel<br />
Diesel/<br />
<strong>GTL</strong> Fuel blend<br />
London<br />
Toyota trial<br />
Germany<br />
Fleet trial with Volkswagen<br />
3,000 Retail sites<br />
across Europe<br />
Qatar<br />
Buses for Asian Games<br />
Greece<br />
<strong>Shell</strong> Diesel 2004<br />
Thailand<br />
<strong>Shell</strong> Pura Diesel<br />
China<br />
Michelin Bibendum Challenge<br />
<strong>Shell</strong> <strong>Marine</strong> Products<br />
Japan<br />
Heavy Duty truck fleet trial<br />
Japan<br />
Aichi <strong>GTL</strong>-hybrid bus<br />
China<br />
Bus trial Shanghai
<strong>GTL</strong> Kerosene for Aviation<br />
Syn<strong>the</strong>tic jet fuel agreement signing ceremony Successful trial on 1 st Feb 08 of <strong>GTL</strong> kerosene as fuel for A380<br />
• Better engine performance, longer engine life, more energy per kg, air quality improvement<br />
• Agreement signed with industry leaders on 13 th Nov 07 <strong>to</strong> research <strong>the</strong> benefits in engines<br />
• Used on 1 st Feb 08 <strong>to</strong> fuel one engine of an A 380 flight from Fil<strong>to</strong>n <strong>to</strong> Toulouse<br />
<strong>Shell</strong> <strong>Marine</strong> Products
<strong>GTL</strong> <strong>Gas</strong>oil for <strong>Marine</strong><br />
<strong>Marine</strong> Auxiliary engine<br />
Benefit (%)<br />
80<br />
60<br />
40<br />
20<br />
0<br />
Indicative <strong>GTL</strong> emissions benefit<br />
over conventional marine gasoil<br />
NOx SOx<br />
Emission type<br />
PM<br />
� <strong>GTL</strong> leads <strong>to</strong> significant reduction in key local<br />
emissions<br />
� Improved <strong>to</strong>xicity and biodegradability also a<br />
benefit in sensitive marine environments<br />
<strong>Shell</strong> <strong>Marine</strong> Products<br />
Source: <strong>Shell</strong>
<strong>GTL</strong> Base Oils for high quality lubricants<br />
5W-40<br />
� <strong>Shell</strong>’s <strong>GTL</strong> plant will be <strong>the</strong> largest <strong>to</strong>p-tier plant in <strong>the</strong><br />
world<br />
� It will produce more than 1 million tpa <strong>GTL</strong> Base Oils – a<br />
step change for <strong>the</strong> Lubricants industry<br />
� <strong>GTL</strong> Base Oils enable production of low-viscosity lubricants<br />
with improved fuel economy<br />
� <strong>Shell</strong> will be world’s leading manufacturer of<br />
Group III base oils<br />
� <strong>Shell</strong> is <strong>the</strong> leading branded finished Lubricants marketer<br />
� <strong>Shell</strong> is <strong>the</strong> only company with commercial <strong>GTL</strong> Base Oil<br />
experience<br />
<strong>Shell</strong> <strong>Marine</strong> Products
<strong>Gas</strong> <strong>to</strong> <strong>Liquid</strong> – <strong>Marine</strong><br />
<strong>Shell</strong> <strong>Marine</strong> Products
<strong>GTL</strong> for <strong>the</strong> <strong>Marine</strong> <strong>Industry</strong><br />
Pollution levels across Europe � <strong>GTL</strong> Fuels deliver a reduction in NOx, SOx<br />
Source: CAFE study, 2000<br />
and PM<br />
� <strong>GTL</strong> Fuels and Lubricants are more efficient<br />
� Limited supply of <strong>GTL</strong> Fuels so need <strong>to</strong> use<br />
where most beneficial<br />
� Environmentally sensitive areas<br />
� Megacities<br />
� Drilling fluids<br />
� <strong>GTL</strong> Fuels provide <strong>the</strong> opportunity for fur<strong>the</strong>r<br />
improvements in energy efficiency and<br />
emission reduction<br />
<strong>Shell</strong> <strong>Marine</strong> Products
Shaping a sustainable future<br />
• Cooperation between government, industry,<br />
NGOs and academia focused on:<br />
� Prioritization of energy options, including R&D<br />
based on rigorous cost effectiveness analysis<br />
� Energy efficiency/conservation and <strong>the</strong><br />
environment<br />
Sustainable Propulsion Project<br />
• Raise public and industry awareness<br />
around <strong>the</strong> world on “intelligent use of<br />
energy” – a shift in mindset.<br />
• Cities as <strong>the</strong> driving force of quicker and<br />
practical actions <strong>to</strong>wards Energy Efficiency<br />
• (Collective) Leadership – requires a stepchange<br />
in effectiveness<br />
<strong>Shell</strong> <strong>Marine</strong> Products
Thank you<br />
<strong>Shell</strong> <strong>Marine</strong> Products