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Shell Gas to Liquid (GTL): Technology to help the Marine Industry

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<strong>Shell</strong> <strong>Gas</strong> <strong>to</strong> <strong>Liquid</strong> (<strong>GTL</strong>):<br />

<strong>Technology</strong> <strong>to</strong> <strong>help</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>Marine</strong> <strong>Industry</strong><br />

Mark Harrison<br />

General Manager, <strong>Shell</strong> <strong>Marine</strong> Products<br />

29 th International Bunker Conference<br />

Copenhagen, Denmark<br />

24 th April 2008<br />

<strong>Shell</strong> <strong>Marine</strong> Products


Disclaimer statement<br />

This presentation contains forward-looking statements concerning <strong>the</strong><br />

financial condition, results of operations and businesses of Royal<br />

Dutch <strong>Shell</strong>. All statements o<strong>the</strong>r than statements of his<strong>to</strong>rical fact are,<br />

or may be deemed <strong>to</strong> be, forward-looking statements. Forwardlooking<br />

statements are statements of future expectations that are<br />

based on management’s current expectations and assumptions and<br />

involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties that could cause<br />

actual results, performance or events <strong>to</strong> differ materially from those<br />

expressed or implied in <strong>the</strong>se statements. Forward-looking statements<br />

include, among o<strong>the</strong>r things, statements concerning <strong>the</strong> potential<br />

exposure of Royal Dutch <strong>Shell</strong> <strong>to</strong> market risks and statements<br />

expressing management’s expectations, beliefs, estimates, forecasts,<br />

projections and assumptions. These forward-looking statements are<br />

identified by <strong>the</strong>ir use of terms and phrases such as ‘‘anticipate’’,<br />

‘‘believe’’, ‘‘could’’, ‘‘estimate’’, ‘‘expect’’, ‘‘intend’’, ‘‘may’’, ‘‘plan’’,<br />

‘‘objectives’’, ‘‘outlook’’, ‘‘probably’’, ‘‘project’’, ‘‘will’’, ‘‘seek’’,<br />

‘‘target’’, ‘‘risks’’, ‘‘goals’’, ‘‘should’’ and similar terms and phrases.<br />

There are a number of fac<strong>to</strong>rs that could affect <strong>the</strong> future operations<br />

of Royal Dutch <strong>Shell</strong> and could cause those results <strong>to</strong> differ materially<br />

from those expressed in <strong>the</strong> forward-looking statements included in<br />

this Report, including (without limitation): (a) price fluctuations in<br />

crude oil and natural gas; (b) changes in demand for <strong>the</strong> Group’s<br />

products; (c) currency fluctuations; (d) drilling and production results;<br />

(e) reserve estimates; (f) loss of market and industry competition; (g)<br />

environmental and physical risks; (h) risks associated with <strong>the</strong><br />

identification of suitable potential acquisition properties and targets,<br />

and successful negotiation and completion of such transactions; (i) <strong>the</strong><br />

risk of doing business in developing countries and countries subject <strong>to</strong><br />

international sanctions;<br />

(j) legislative, fiscal and regula<strong>to</strong>ry developments including<br />

potential litigation and regula<strong>to</strong>ry effects arising from<br />

recategorisation of reserves;(k) economic and financial market<br />

conditions in various countries and regions; (l) political risks,<br />

project delay or advancement, approvals and cost estimates; and<br />

(m) changes in trading conditions. All forward-looking statements<br />

contained in this presentation are expressly qualified in <strong>the</strong>ir<br />

entirety by <strong>the</strong> cautionary statements contained or referred <strong>to</strong> in<br />

this section. Readers should not place undue reliance on forwardlooking<br />

statements. Each forward-looking statement speaks only as<br />

of <strong>the</strong> date of this presentation. Nei<strong>the</strong>r Royal Dutch <strong>Shell</strong> nor any<br />

of its subsidiaries undertake any obligation <strong>to</strong> publicly update or<br />

revise any forward-looking statement as a result of new<br />

information, future events or o<strong>the</strong>r information. In light of <strong>the</strong>se<br />

risks, results could differ materially from those stated, implied or<br />

inferred from <strong>the</strong> forward-looking statements contained in this<br />

document. The United States Securities and Exchange Commission<br />

(SEC) permits oil and gas companies, in <strong>the</strong>ir filings with <strong>the</strong> SEC,<br />

<strong>to</strong> disclose only proved reserves that a company has demonstrated<br />

by actual production or conclusive formation tests <strong>to</strong> be<br />

economically and legally producible under existing economic and<br />

operating conditions. We use certain terms in this presentation,<br />

such as “oil in place" that <strong>the</strong> SEC's guidelines strictly prohibit us<br />

from including in filings with <strong>the</strong> SEC. U.S. Inves<strong>to</strong>rs are urged <strong>to</strong><br />

consider closely <strong>the</strong> disclosure in our Form 20-F, File No 1-32575<br />

and disclosure in our Forms 6-K file No, 1-32575, available on <strong>the</strong><br />

SEC website www.sec.gov. You can also obtain <strong>the</strong>se forms from<br />

<strong>the</strong> SEC by calling 1-800-SEC-0330.<br />

<strong>Shell</strong> <strong>Marine</strong> Products


Three Hard Truths…<br />

- Global energy demand is accelerating<br />

– Conventional supply will struggle <strong>to</strong> keep pace<br />

– Climate stresses<br />

<strong>Shell</strong> <strong>Marine</strong> Products


Demand continues <strong>to</strong> grow apace<br />

• Global transport fuel demand forecast <strong>to</strong> rise by 45% from 2006 <strong>to</strong> 2030<br />

• <strong>Marine</strong> fuel demand forecast <strong>to</strong> rise by c.50% from 2006 <strong>to</strong> 2030<br />

Million Barrels per Day<br />

70<br />

60<br />

50<br />

40<br />

30<br />

20<br />

10<br />

0<br />

Global transport fuel demand<br />

Jet fuels / Avgas<br />

<strong>Marine</strong> fuels<br />

Diesel (incl. <strong>GTL</strong>)<br />

LPG / CNG<br />

<strong>Gas</strong>oline<br />

2006 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030<br />

Source: <strong>Shell</strong> calculations based on IEA and PIRA data<br />

Bio-diesel<br />

Bio-gasoline<br />

<strong>Marine</strong> Fuels<br />

LPG/CNG<br />

<strong>Gas</strong>oline<br />

<strong>Shell</strong> <strong>Marine</strong> Products<br />

Jet Fuels/Avgas<br />

Diesel (incl. <strong>GTL</strong>)


Future fuels – <strong>Gas</strong> <strong>to</strong> <strong>Liquid</strong><br />

<strong>Shell</strong> <strong>Marine</strong> Products


What is <strong>Gas</strong> <strong>to</strong> <strong>Liquid</strong>s?<br />

� The <strong>Gas</strong> <strong>to</strong> <strong>Liquid</strong>s process converts natural gas in<strong>to</strong> high quality liquid products.<br />

<strong>Shell</strong> Bintulu <strong>GTL</strong> Plant, Malaysia<br />

Natural gas <strong>GTL</strong> plant converts natural gas<br />

using Fischer-Tropsch process<br />

Products include transport<br />

fuels and lubricants<br />

<strong>Shell</strong> <strong>Marine</strong> Products


<strong>Shell</strong> has been a <strong>GTL</strong> leader for over 30 years<br />

and we’re investing <strong>to</strong> deliver even greater<br />

benefits in <strong>the</strong> future<br />

• At forefront of <strong>GTL</strong> technology for over 30 years<br />

– Proprietary technology throughout production process<br />

– Opened Bintulu <strong>GTL</strong> plant in 1993<br />

– Building world’s largest <strong>GTL</strong> plant in Qatar<br />

• Investing in R&D <strong>to</strong> reduce CO 2 production<br />

– Future generations of <strong>GTL</strong> plants could improve process efficiency.<br />

• Bringing <strong>the</strong> benefits of <strong>GTL</strong> Fuel <strong>to</strong> our cus<strong>to</strong>mers<br />

– <strong>Shell</strong> fuel containing <strong>GTL</strong> Fuel available at ~4900 service stations in Europe and Asia<br />

– Winning technical partnership with Audi<br />

<strong>Shell</strong> <strong>Marine</strong> Products


<strong>GTL</strong> Properties and Benefits<br />

Excellent properties:<br />

� Colourless, clean burning<br />

� High cetane number, virtually sulphur-free<br />

� Reduces local pollution even compared <strong>to</strong><br />

so-called “sulphur-free” diesel<br />

� Convenient and easy <strong>to</strong> use<br />

Syn<strong>the</strong>tic fuel Refinery diesel<br />

Cetane number 75-80 48-56<br />

Syn<strong>the</strong>tic fuel enables development of<br />

dedicated engines:<br />

� Reduced emissions<br />

� Lower fuel consumption<br />

� Better driveability<br />

� Less noise<br />

<strong>Shell</strong> <strong>Marine</strong> Products


<strong>Gas</strong> <strong>to</strong> <strong>Liquid</strong> – Applications<br />

<strong>Shell</strong> <strong>Marine</strong> Products


<strong>GTL</strong> Diesel for Road Transportation<br />

London<br />

Bus trial with Daimler-Chrysler<br />

USA<br />

Dept. of Transport<br />

Yosemite Water<br />

USA & France<br />

Audi Le Mans racing<br />

100% <strong>GTL</strong> Fuel<br />

Diesel/<br />

<strong>GTL</strong> Fuel blend<br />

London<br />

Toyota trial<br />

Germany<br />

Fleet trial with Volkswagen<br />

3,000 Retail sites<br />

across Europe<br />

Qatar<br />

Buses for Asian Games<br />

Greece<br />

<strong>Shell</strong> Diesel 2004<br />

Thailand<br />

<strong>Shell</strong> Pura Diesel<br />

China<br />

Michelin Bibendum Challenge<br />

<strong>Shell</strong> <strong>Marine</strong> Products<br />

Japan<br />

Heavy Duty truck fleet trial<br />

Japan<br />

Aichi <strong>GTL</strong>-hybrid bus<br />

China<br />

Bus trial Shanghai


<strong>GTL</strong> Kerosene for Aviation<br />

Syn<strong>the</strong>tic jet fuel agreement signing ceremony Successful trial on 1 st Feb 08 of <strong>GTL</strong> kerosene as fuel for A380<br />

• Better engine performance, longer engine life, more energy per kg, air quality improvement<br />

• Agreement signed with industry leaders on 13 th Nov 07 <strong>to</strong> research <strong>the</strong> benefits in engines<br />

• Used on 1 st Feb 08 <strong>to</strong> fuel one engine of an A 380 flight from Fil<strong>to</strong>n <strong>to</strong> Toulouse<br />

<strong>Shell</strong> <strong>Marine</strong> Products


<strong>GTL</strong> <strong>Gas</strong>oil for <strong>Marine</strong><br />

<strong>Marine</strong> Auxiliary engine<br />

Benefit (%)<br />

80<br />

60<br />

40<br />

20<br />

0<br />

Indicative <strong>GTL</strong> emissions benefit<br />

over conventional marine gasoil<br />

NOx SOx<br />

Emission type<br />

PM<br />

� <strong>GTL</strong> leads <strong>to</strong> significant reduction in key local<br />

emissions<br />

� Improved <strong>to</strong>xicity and biodegradability also a<br />

benefit in sensitive marine environments<br />

<strong>Shell</strong> <strong>Marine</strong> Products<br />

Source: <strong>Shell</strong>


<strong>GTL</strong> Base Oils for high quality lubricants<br />

5W-40<br />

� <strong>Shell</strong>’s <strong>GTL</strong> plant will be <strong>the</strong> largest <strong>to</strong>p-tier plant in <strong>the</strong><br />

world<br />

� It will produce more than 1 million tpa <strong>GTL</strong> Base Oils – a<br />

step change for <strong>the</strong> Lubricants industry<br />

� <strong>GTL</strong> Base Oils enable production of low-viscosity lubricants<br />

with improved fuel economy<br />

� <strong>Shell</strong> will be world’s leading manufacturer of<br />

Group III base oils<br />

� <strong>Shell</strong> is <strong>the</strong> leading branded finished Lubricants marketer<br />

� <strong>Shell</strong> is <strong>the</strong> only company with commercial <strong>GTL</strong> Base Oil<br />

experience<br />

<strong>Shell</strong> <strong>Marine</strong> Products


<strong>Gas</strong> <strong>to</strong> <strong>Liquid</strong> – <strong>Marine</strong><br />

<strong>Shell</strong> <strong>Marine</strong> Products


<strong>GTL</strong> for <strong>the</strong> <strong>Marine</strong> <strong>Industry</strong><br />

Pollution levels across Europe � <strong>GTL</strong> Fuels deliver a reduction in NOx, SOx<br />

Source: CAFE study, 2000<br />

and PM<br />

� <strong>GTL</strong> Fuels and Lubricants are more efficient<br />

� Limited supply of <strong>GTL</strong> Fuels so need <strong>to</strong> use<br />

where most beneficial<br />

� Environmentally sensitive areas<br />

� Megacities<br />

� Drilling fluids<br />

� <strong>GTL</strong> Fuels provide <strong>the</strong> opportunity for fur<strong>the</strong>r<br />

improvements in energy efficiency and<br />

emission reduction<br />

<strong>Shell</strong> <strong>Marine</strong> Products


Shaping a sustainable future<br />

• Cooperation between government, industry,<br />

NGOs and academia focused on:<br />

� Prioritization of energy options, including R&D<br />

based on rigorous cost effectiveness analysis<br />

� Energy efficiency/conservation and <strong>the</strong><br />

environment<br />

Sustainable Propulsion Project<br />

• Raise public and industry awareness<br />

around <strong>the</strong> world on “intelligent use of<br />

energy” – a shift in mindset.<br />

• Cities as <strong>the</strong> driving force of quicker and<br />

practical actions <strong>to</strong>wards Energy Efficiency<br />

• (Collective) Leadership – requires a stepchange<br />

in effectiveness<br />

<strong>Shell</strong> <strong>Marine</strong> Products


Thank you<br />

<strong>Shell</strong> <strong>Marine</strong> Products

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