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Oct - Old Ottawa South

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THE OSCARlOCTOBER 2013Page 35FINANCIAL PLANNINGPanic Doesn’t PayBy Rick Sutherland, CLU,CFP, FDS, R.F.PThe US market dropped about 5%during the month of August. Thiscaused memories of 2008-2009 tosurface. Some investors began to feelanxious and wanted to make decisionsabout how to protect themselvesagainst losses. People oftenfeel tempted to alter their investmentplan in an attempt to avoid loss duringmarket declines. Historical datahowever, shows that this strategytends to backfire.Fidelity Investments recentlyconducted a study of actual results oftheir client portfolios with the viewto understand whether attempting totime the market really works. Theylooked at three sub groups over theperiod from the fourth quarter of2008 and the first quarter of 2009,near the bottom of the market downturn,until the first quarter of 2013,which was the market high at thetime of the study.The first group sold all equities inthe fourth quarter of 2008 or the firstquarter of 2009. This group remainedout of the equity markets as of thefirst quarter 2013. The second groupsold all equities in the fourth quarterof 2008 or the first quarter of 2009and then came back into equitiesprior to the end of the first quarter of2013. The third group did not sell anyequity holdings and remained investedin equities throughout the periodup to the first quarter of 2013.The results were significant. Thefirst group, who sold their equityholdings and stayed out, saw theirinvestments grow by about 15% overthis time period. The second group,who sold their equities and thenlater reinvested back into equitiessaw their investments grow by about50% and the third group, who stayedinvested in equities, saw their investmentsgrow by almost 85% over thissame time period. Results did varysomewhat based on the total allocationto equities. Higher bond and cashallocations tempered the growth.We looked back at our articles thatappeared in OSCAR during the lastquarter of 2008 and the first quarterof 2009. Our essays had a “don’tpanic - stick to your plan” strategythroughout this period of dread andpanic. Those who followed this adviceshould have reaped the benefitssimilar to those in the third group ofthe Fidelity study.There will be another significantmarket decline at some point in thefuture, and it may be sooner than youwould expect. When the next significantmarket setback occurs, and wepromise you it will, we encourageyou to read our short essays here inOSCAR. We will be recommendingthe same strategy. Don’t panic,remain calm and stay invested to suityour objectives and plans. Better yet,if you have the resources, continueto invest. Significant market setbackshave always gone down in history asprudent buying opportunities for thefuture.The foregoing is for general informationpurposes and is the opinion ofthe writer. This information is notintended to provide personal adviceincluding, without limitation, investment,financial, legal, accountingor tax advice. Please call or writeto Rick Sutherland CLU, CFP, FDS,R.F.P., to discuss your particularcircumstances or suggest a topicfor future articles at 613-798-2421or E-mail rick@invested-interest.ca. Mutual Funds provided throughFundEX Investments Inc.PERSONAL FINANCIAL PLANNINGAre you uncertain about achieving your financial goals?Call today for your free, confidential, second opinion.RICK SUTHERLAND, CLU, CFP, FDS, R.F.P.1276 Wellington Street <strong>Ottawa</strong>, ON K1Y 3A7613-798-2421email: rick@invested-interest.caweb: www.invested-interest.caMutual funds provided through FundEX Investments Inc.OUR OOSBUSINESSAND RESOURCES DIRECTORYis OPEN FOR BUSINESSFind directory atwww.oldottawasouth.caParticipation is FREEWE WELCOME YOURCOMMENTS AND SUGGESTIONS.A voluntary project for thecommunity, thanks to all who have helped.Contact > > > Gail Stewart and Isla Jordanat businesses@oldottawasouth

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