Investor Presentation March 2012.pdf - Sappi
Investor Presentation March 2012.pdf - Sappi
Investor Presentation March 2012.pdf - Sappi
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Forward looking statements<br />
Certain statements in this release that are neither reported financial results nor other historical information, are forward-looking<br />
statements, including but not limited to statements that are predictions of or indicate future earnings, savings, synergies, events,<br />
trends, plans or objectives.<br />
The words “believe”, “anticipate”, “expect”, “intend”, “estimate”, “plan”, “assume”, “positioned”, “will”, “may”, “should”, “risk” and other<br />
similar expressions, which are predictions of or indicate future events and future trends, which do not relate to historical matters,<br />
identify forward-looking statements. You should not rely on forward-looking statements because they involve known and unknown<br />
risks, uncertainties and other factors which are in some cases beyond our control and may cause our actual results, performance or<br />
achievements to differ materially from anticipated future results, performance or achievements expressed or implied by such forwardlooking<br />
statements (and from past results, performance or achievements). Certain factors that may cause such differences include<br />
but are not limited to:<br />
• the highly cyclical nature of the pulp and paper industry (and the factors that contribute to such cyclicality, such as levels of<br />
demand, production capacity, production, input costs including raw material, energy and employee costs, and pricing);<br />
• the impact on our business of the global economic downturn;<br />
• unanticipated production disruptions (including as a result of planned or unexpected power outages);<br />
• changes in environmental, tax and other laws and regulations;<br />
• adverse changes in the markets for our products;<br />
• consequences of our leverage, including as a result of adverse changes in credit markets that affect our ability to raise capital<br />
when needed;<br />
• adverse changes in the political situation and economy in the countries in which we operate or the effect of governmental efforts to<br />
address present or future economic or social problems;<br />
• the impact of restructuring, investments, acquisitions and dispositions (including related financing), any delays, unexpected costs<br />
or other problems experienced in connection with dispositions or with integrating acquisitions and achieving expected savings and<br />
synergies; and<br />
• currency fluctuations.<br />
We undertake no obligation to publicly update or revise any of these forward-looking statements, whether to reflect new information<br />
or future events or circumstances or otherwise.<br />
Regulation G disclosure<br />
Certain non-GAAP financial information is contained in this presentation that management believe may be useful in comparing the<br />
company’s operating results from period to period. Reconciliation's of certain of the non-GAAP measures to the corresponding GAAP<br />
measures can be found in the quarterly results booklet for the relevant period. These booklets are located in the ‘<strong>Investor</strong> Info’<br />
section of www.sappi.com.<br />
| Roadbook | <strong>March</strong> 2012
• Group Overview<br />
| Roadbook | <strong>March</strong> 2012<br />
• Products<br />
• Strategy<br />
• Results<br />
• Divisional Overviews<br />
• North America<br />
• Europe<br />
• South Africa<br />
• Conclusions
<strong>Sappi</strong> at a glance<br />
<strong>Sappi</strong> Fine Paper<br />
(75% ’11 sales)<br />
<strong>Sappi</strong> Fine Paper<br />
Europe<br />
<strong>Sappi</strong> Fine Paper<br />
North America<br />
| Roadbook | <strong>March</strong> 2012<br />
2011 sales - $7.2bn<br />
@ 15,600 Employees<br />
<strong>Sappi</strong> Southern Africa<br />
(25% ’11 sales)<br />
Paper & Paper<br />
Packaging<br />
Saiccor<br />
(Chemical Cellulose)<br />
Forests<br />
Coated fine paper<br />
62%<br />
<strong>Sappi</strong> Trading<br />
Jiangxi Chenming<br />
(China JV)<br />
8%<br />
7%<br />
15%<br />
Uncoated fine paper<br />
Coated specialties<br />
Pulp<br />
7%<br />
Commodity paper<br />
1%<br />
Other
Geographic diversification<br />
Global presence enables <strong>Sappi</strong> to take advantage of opportunities where markets are strong<br />
¹ For the FY2011<br />
� 13 Sales offices on 6<br />
continents<br />
54%<br />
| Roadbook | <strong>March</strong> 2012<br />
21%<br />
� 3 Paper Mills<br />
25%<br />
Sales By Source 1 (US$)<br />
� 8 Paper Mills<br />
� 6 Pulp and Paper Mills<br />
� 1 Chemical Cellulose Mill<br />
� 555,000ha Forests<br />
46%<br />
22%<br />
13%<br />
19%<br />
Sales By Destination 1 (US$)<br />
� 1 Fine Paper Mill (JV)<br />
Europe<br />
North America<br />
Southern Africa<br />
Asia & other
Pulp Integration<br />
<strong>Sappi</strong> sells slightly more pulp than it buys.<br />
<strong>Sappi</strong> Group Pulp Balance (‘000 tons)<br />
1200<br />
900<br />
600<br />
300<br />
0<br />
-300<br />
-600<br />
-900<br />
-1200<br />
| Roadbook | <strong>March</strong> 2012<br />
Net sales Net Purchases<br />
-881<br />
152<br />
Fine Paper Europe Fine Paper N.<br />
America<br />
* Includes 800kt Saiccor chemical cellulose<br />
910<br />
181<br />
<strong>Sappi</strong> Southern Africa <strong>Sappi</strong> Group<br />
104% Integrated
Currency sensitivity<br />
10c change in ZAR/USD rate:<br />
• Annual impact ‐ US$8 million on operating income<br />
Change in USD/EURO rate:<br />
• Small direct impact on operating income –<br />
� In Europe, we export paper in USD and buy USD denominated pulp<br />
• Macro‐economic impact on European export economies<br />
� impact on advertising demand<br />
� a strengthening USD against the Euro is a positive for <strong>Sappi</strong>, but<br />
currently being offset by poor economic conditions<br />
| Roadbook | <strong>March</strong> 2012
Other sensitivities<br />
Some of the more important factors which impact the group’s operating profit excluding special<br />
items, based on anticipated revenue and cost levels, are summarized in the table below.<br />
| Roadbook | <strong>March</strong> 2012<br />
*Excludes Depreciation<br />
Sensitivities Change SFPE SFPNA SA Group<br />
Euro'm US$'m ZAR'm US$'m<br />
Net Selling Prices 1% 27 13 127 68<br />
Variable Costs 1% 16 8 66 39<br />
Sales Volume 1% 9 5 50 25<br />
Fixed Costs 1% 6 5 44 19<br />
Brent Crude Oil Price US$ 1 3 2 4 6<br />
Pulp Prices US$ 10 (6) 2 35 (1)<br />
Wood Prices 1% 2 2 3 6<br />
ZAR/US$ 10c - - 63 9<br />
Euro/US$ 10c - 3 - 3
• Group Overview<br />
| Roadbook | <strong>March</strong> 2012<br />
• Products<br />
• Strategy<br />
• Results<br />
• Divisional Overviews<br />
• North America<br />
• Europe<br />
• South Africa<br />
• Conclusions
Printing & Writing Paper Grade Structure<br />
FIBER QUALITY<br />
100% chemical pulp fiber furnish<br />
| Roadbook | <strong>March</strong> 2012<br />
Increasing mechanical/recovered fiber content<br />
Newsprint<br />
Coated Fine Paper (CWF)<br />
Uncoated Woodfree (UWF)<br />
Coated Mechanical (CGW/LWC)<br />
Supercalendered (SC‐A)<br />
Supercalendered (SC‐B)<br />
Machine Finished Specialities (MFS)<br />
Improved Newsprint<br />
PAPER QUALITY
Industry Consolidation<br />
Capacity share of top 5 Coated Woodfree Paper producers<br />
100%<br />
80%<br />
60%<br />
40%<br />
20%<br />
0%<br />
| Roadbook | <strong>March</strong> 2012<br />
Source: EMGE <strong>March</strong> 2011<br />
33%<br />
Europe North America Global<br />
Rest of World<br />
81%<br />
60%<br />
93%<br />
27%<br />
46%<br />
25%<br />
38%<br />
1990 2011 1990 2011 1990 2011 1990 2011
Global Coated Woodfree Paper Balance<br />
million metric tons<br />
35<br />
30<br />
25<br />
20<br />
15<br />
10<br />
5<br />
0<br />
1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015<br />
| Roadbook | <strong>March</strong> 2012<br />
Source: EMGE, <strong>Sappi</strong><br />
97%<br />
Demand Capacity<br />
84%<br />
79%
Global Coated Mechanical Paper Balance<br />
million metric tons<br />
25<br />
20<br />
15<br />
10<br />
5<br />
| Roadbook | <strong>March</strong> 2012<br />
Source: EMGE, <strong>Sappi</strong><br />
87%<br />
Demand Capacity<br />
80% 87%<br />
0<br />
1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015
Energy costs<br />
| Roadbook | <strong>March</strong> 2012<br />
Natural Gas<br />
<strong>Sappi</strong> FY2011 Energy Usage<br />
(% split based on US$ consumption)<br />
Coal<br />
33%<br />
8%<br />
18%<br />
29%<br />
15%<br />
Oil<br />
Purchased Electricity<br />
Biomass & Other<br />
• Sensitivity: 1% energy input cost change = US$6 million impact on operating<br />
income
Chemical cellulose<br />
• Uses wood as its raw material, but not a paper pulp<br />
• Diverse range of end use products<br />
• Fibres (woven and non-woven textiles) and films<br />
• Chemicals and pharmaceuticals<br />
• Acetates and plastics<br />
• Largest single facility and biggest market share<br />
• Well placed for exports to Asia<br />
• Good growth rates for most products – textiles “cellulose gap”<br />
| Roadbook | <strong>March</strong> 2012
Industry overview – Chemical Cellulose<br />
Major Global Market Segments<br />
(Total 2011 demand = 5m tons)<br />
Ethers<br />
Acetate<br />
* Viscose Staple Fiber<br />
| Roadbook | <strong>March</strong> 2012<br />
Source: <strong>Sappi</strong><br />
Others<br />
VSF*<br />
<strong>Sappi</strong><br />
Birla<br />
RGE<br />
Rayonier<br />
Tembec<br />
Others<br />
Global Top 5 Chemical<br />
Cellulose Producers<br />
0<br />
2011 % Capacity<br />
53% of Global Capacity<br />
5<br />
10<br />
15<br />
Global capacity 5.8m tons<br />
20
Key Demand Drivers for Textiles<br />
Key Demand Drivers for Textiles<br />
� Population growth<br />
� Increasing requirement for more comfortable clothing<br />
� Rising urbanization and standard of living in the Greater Asian Region<br />
� Middle class in Asia is rapidly increasing in size and purchasing power<br />
� Asian middle class to grow to 2.7 billion by 2030 from the current 1.9 billion people<br />
| Roadbook | <strong>March</strong> 2012<br />
Source : Lenzing/Asian Development Bank<br />
Million<br />
Metric<br />
Tons<br />
65.8<br />
Textile Fibres Consumption<br />
123.5<br />
Forecast<br />
113.3<br />
100.7<br />
86.8<br />
72.5<br />
2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030
What is driving textile prices?<br />
• Increasing demand for textiles<br />
• Food security becoming an issue<br />
• Arable land increasingly scarce<br />
• Land degradation<br />
• Urbanisation<br />
• Growth in demand for biofuels<br />
• All non-food crops under pressure due to need for food<br />
• Genetically modified crops can only help so much<br />
| Roadbook | <strong>March</strong> 2012<br />
Source : National Cotton Council of America<br />
US cents/pound<br />
180<br />
160<br />
140<br />
120<br />
100<br />
80<br />
60<br />
40<br />
20<br />
World Cotton Price - "A" Index
Share of Historical & Future Fibre Production<br />
• Production of cotton is forecast<br />
to remain stagnant or shrink<br />
• Growth in total fibre<br />
consumption will be covered by<br />
man-made fibres<br />
| Roadbook | <strong>March</strong> 2012<br />
Million Metric<br />
Tons<br />
140<br />
Wool<br />
120<br />
Cotton<br />
100<br />
Man‐made Cellulosic Fibres<br />
80<br />
Synthetic Fibres<br />
Fibre Production<br />
Forecast<br />
• However certain moisture<br />
management properties of<br />
cellulose fibres cannot be<br />
60<br />
40<br />
substituted by oil based<br />
20<br />
synthetic fibres, enhancing<br />
0<br />
opportunity for cellulosics Source : Lenzing<br />
“Cellulose Gap”<br />
1900 1920 1940 1960 1980 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030
Capacity additions<br />
+‐ 3 Million tons of Capacity Announcements for 2012/4<br />
| Roadbook | <strong>March</strong> 2012<br />
Toba<br />
Stora Enocell<br />
Sun Paper<br />
Chenming<br />
Jilin<br />
Chenming<br />
Hubei<br />
Capacity Directed at China 2013<br />
Sodra Morrum<br />
Hunan<br />
Cosmo<br />
Fujian<br />
Qingshan<br />
China Bamboo,<br />
Fujian<br />
Nanping<br />
Cloquet<br />
Jilin<br />
Bahia<br />
less Ow n<br />
Thurso<br />
Paper<br />
Excellence<br />
Lee and Man
Competitor cash costs<br />
+ 25%<br />
Average<br />
Cash Cost<br />
‐ 30%<br />
| Roadbook | <strong>March</strong> 2012<br />
Below Average Cost<br />
<strong>Sappi</strong> = 27%<br />
Others = 28%<br />
Source: RISI/sappi<br />
World Competitor CC Cash Costs into VSF<br />
includes 80% of supply volumes<br />
Above Average Cost<br />
45%
• Group Overview<br />
| Roadbook | <strong>March</strong> 2012<br />
• Products<br />
• Strategy<br />
• Results<br />
• Divisional Overviews<br />
• North America<br />
• Europe<br />
• South Africa<br />
• Conclusions
The Past Year<br />
• Good start to 2011 – weaker in the 2 nd half<br />
• European uncertainty and CWF export declines<br />
• Excellent SA Chemical Cellulose performance<br />
• Continued underperformance of SA paper operations incl.<br />
strikes<br />
• North America performed well<br />
• Successful refinance<br />
• A year of major intervention in tough markets<br />
• Closures of Biberist and Adamas<br />
• Restructure of Southern African operations<br />
• Restructuring and impairment charges affect profit and EPS<br />
• Reasonable Q1 2012<br />
• traction with implementation of strategy<br />
| Roadbook | <strong>March</strong> 2012
Strategic Overview<br />
• Refined strategy with emphasis on value creation<br />
• Focus<br />
• Increasing importance of growth - Not at the expense of<br />
the balance sheet<br />
• Internal actions to improve EU and SA<br />
• Benefits in Europe have started<br />
• Benefits in South Africa to start in 2H 2012<br />
| Roadbook | <strong>March</strong> 2012
Strategy<br />
Four key elements<br />
• Improving Europe and South Africa, starting to see results<br />
• Maintain performance in NA and Chemical Cellulose, focus on<br />
volumes<br />
• Invest in high growth & margin businesses with leading<br />
positions<br />
• Chemical cellulose – focus on contracting volumes<br />
• Release – pattern development<br />
• Forests – self sufficiency and cost<br />
• Reduce Debt<br />
Day-to-day focus on maximisation of profitability and cash<br />
| Roadbook | <strong>March</strong> 2012<br />
generation
• Group Overview<br />
| Roadbook | <strong>March</strong> 2012<br />
• Products<br />
• Strategy<br />
• Results<br />
• Divisional Overviews<br />
• North America<br />
• Europe<br />
• South Africa<br />
• Conclusions
| Roadbook | <strong>March</strong> 2012<br />
Q1 2012 Summary<br />
• European business performance benefits from<br />
restructuring and cost reduction actions – US$100m per<br />
annum cost reductions on track<br />
• South African chemical cellulose business performed<br />
strongly – achieved highest quarterly profit margin in 3<br />
years<br />
• North America negatively affected by pulp prices and<br />
technical issues at Somerset<br />
27
Operating Profit excluding special items*<br />
150<br />
125<br />
100<br />
75<br />
50<br />
25<br />
0<br />
-25<br />
| Roadbook | <strong>March</strong> 2012<br />
25<br />
2009: $33m 2010: $339m 2011: $404m<br />
-17 -13<br />
38<br />
81<br />
54<br />
75<br />
129 137 127<br />
60<br />
80<br />
100<br />
1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q** 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q<br />
*Refer to the supplementary information in this presentation for a reconciliation to reported operating profit and page 16 in our Q1 2012 results booklet for a<br />
definition of special items.<br />
**Q1 2011 included an extra week
EBITDA* Trend<br />
250<br />
200<br />
150<br />
100<br />
50<br />
0<br />
| Roadbook | <strong>March</strong> 2012<br />
106 82 93<br />
Q1<br />
Q2<br />
Q3<br />
150 193 156 176<br />
Q4<br />
Q1<br />
Q2<br />
Q3<br />
227 246 228<br />
Q4<br />
Q1**<br />
Q2<br />
164<br />
Q3<br />
*EBITDA as shown above excludes special items. Refer to page 16 in our Q1 2012 results announcement booklet for a definition of special items.<br />
**Q1 2011 included extra week<br />
2009: $431m 2010: $752m<br />
2011: $821m<br />
183 194<br />
Q4<br />
Q1
Divisional Operating Margins*<br />
25%<br />
20%<br />
15%<br />
10%<br />
5%<br />
0%<br />
-5%<br />
-10%<br />
| Roadbook | <strong>March</strong> 2012<br />
European actions driving recovery<br />
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1<br />
2009 2010 2011<br />
*The divisional operating margins exclude special items. Refer to page 15 in our Q1 2012 results announcement booklet for a definition of special items.<br />
Q1 2012<br />
Margins:<br />
Southern<br />
Africa 15.8%<br />
Europe 3.5%<br />
North America<br />
2.8%
Net Debt Development<br />
Debt reduction remains a focus<br />
US$ m<br />
3,000<br />
2,500<br />
2,000<br />
1,500<br />
1,000<br />
| Roadbook | <strong>March</strong> 2012<br />
Q109*<br />
Rights Offer to finance<br />
European Acquisition<br />
Q209<br />
Q309<br />
Q409<br />
Q110<br />
Q210<br />
Q310<br />
* Cash proceeds of US$536m for European Acquisition from rights offer not offset against debt<br />
European Acquisition<br />
completed<br />
Major Refinancing<br />
completed<br />
Q410<br />
Q111<br />
Q211<br />
Repaid $140m<br />
South African debt<br />
Q311<br />
Q411<br />
Q112
Debt maturity profile<br />
Strong liquidity and maturity profile<br />
Cash on hand: US$401 million<br />
RCF US$324 million – undrawn<br />
As at December 2012<br />
1 000<br />
900<br />
800<br />
700<br />
600<br />
500<br />
400<br />
300<br />
200<br />
100<br />
0<br />
USD million<br />
401<br />
129<br />
70<br />
Note: Based on <strong>Sappi</strong> quarter end reported exchange rates of US$/€ $1:€1.2948 and US$/ZAR<br />
$1:ZAR 8.0862<br />
| Roadbook | <strong>March</strong> 2012<br />
21<br />
183<br />
376<br />
703*<br />
26<br />
Includes 2014<br />
$300m and<br />
€350m Bonds<br />
RCF Headroom;<br />
Unutilised<br />
324<br />
Includes 2018<br />
€250m Bond<br />
62<br />
326<br />
(September fiscal year end)<br />
2021 $350m Bond<br />
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2018 2021 2032<br />
Cash Securitisation Overdraft SPH Term Debt RCF SSA<br />
350<br />
221<br />
* Net of $50m unamortised IFRS adjustments relating<br />
mainly to upfront costs and discounts on the 2014 bonds
• Group Overview<br />
| Roadbook | <strong>March</strong> 2012<br />
• Products<br />
• Strategy<br />
• Results<br />
• Divisional Overviews<br />
• North America<br />
• Europe<br />
• South Africa<br />
• Conclusions
Who We Are<br />
� Leading North American coated paper producer<br />
� 2011 Net Sales: $1.52B<br />
� 2011 EBITDA: $203M (EBITDA margin of 13.4%)<br />
� Two integrated coated freesheet mills and dedicated sheeting center and one specialties<br />
mill<br />
� 1.2M short tons of paper production capacity<br />
� 1.1M short tons of pulp production capacity<br />
� Three businesses: Coated Paper, Pulp and Specialties<br />
SFPNA Net Sales by Product (2011) US Coated Freesheet Capacity Shares<br />
Specialties<br />
12%<br />
| Roadbook | <strong>March</strong> 2012<br />
Pulp<br />
13%<br />
Coated<br />
75%<br />
Verso, 12%<br />
Other, 16%<br />
NewPage,<br />
42%<br />
SFPNA, 29%
SFPNA has driven improvements through selected<br />
investment and strategic actions<br />
Grade change<br />
optimization<br />
2006<br />
Product and<br />
brand alignment<br />
with customer<br />
segments<br />
$(30)M<br />
| Roadbook | <strong>March</strong> 2012<br />
Rebuild SPM1<br />
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011<br />
Significant<br />
product redesign,<br />
performance pay<br />
tied to key<br />
financial metrics<br />
Implemented<br />
Lean Six Sigma<br />
Shut Muskegon<br />
Right sized fixed<br />
costs<br />
Operating Income<br />
Somerset Pulp<br />
Mill Upgrade<br />
Emerged from<br />
recession 4 quarters<br />
ahead of<br />
competitors<br />
Approved<br />
Chemical Cellulose<br />
and Somerset PM3<br />
rebuild<br />
Achieved 14%<br />
RONOA<br />
$129M
Q1 2007= 1<br />
| Roadbook | <strong>March</strong> 2012<br />
US Coated Paper Prices and Shipments<br />
1.3<br />
1.2<br />
1.1<br />
1.0<br />
0.9<br />
0.8<br />
0.7<br />
0.6<br />
0.5<br />
0.4<br />
Domestic CFS shipments Total US CFS consumption CFS #3 60lb Rolls prices<br />
US Industry Shipments and total US consumption – Source AF&PA and RISI indexed to Q1 2007<br />
36
SFPNA Release Papers - What is Release Paper?<br />
| Roadbook | <strong>March</strong> 2012
SFPNA key advantages<br />
• Well invested, premier asset portfolio with fully integrated facilities<br />
• Established brands with strong market position<br />
| Roadbook | <strong>March</strong> 2012<br />
• Exposure to most attractive end‐market segments<br />
• Unmatched reputation for product innovation and customer service<br />
• A low cost producer with strong free cash flow profile<br />
• Results driven management team with proven track record of<br />
execution<br />
• Defined and focused opportunities for driving further profitable growth
• Group Overview<br />
| Roadbook | <strong>March</strong> 2012<br />
• Products<br />
• Strategy<br />
• Results<br />
• Divisional Overviews<br />
• North America<br />
• Europe<br />
• South Africa<br />
• Conclusions
<strong>Sappi</strong> Fine Paper Europe<br />
• # 1 in Coated Woodfree paper with 25.8% capacity<br />
share<br />
• # 2 in Mechanical Coated Paper with 13.5% capacity<br />
share<br />
• # 1 in high quality Flexpack<br />
• Total paper capacity of 3.7m Tons<br />
• 2011 Sales: $3,965m<br />
• 2011 EBITDA: $300m<br />
| Roadbook | <strong>March</strong> 2012
Strategy for healthy profit and cash generation<br />
Rightsizing capacity<br />
• ‐> Closure of Kangas 2010 (200KT MCR)<br />
• ‐> Closure of Biberist 2011 (435KT WFC)<br />
• ‐> M‐real closure of Äänekoski 2012 (180kt WFC, sold by <strong>Sappi</strong>)<br />
• ‐> We are full!<br />
Substantial cost reduction<br />
• ‐> Runrate for €100m cost reduction achieved in Q1<br />
• ‐> FTE reduction of 12%, no strikes, no disturbance to service<br />
• ‐> More to come …<br />
• ‐> Biberist products carouselled with no loss of market share<br />
Grow Specialities<br />
• ‐> Successful launch of Fusion White Top Liner<br />
• ‐> Digital inkjet product Jaz.in eclusive arrangement with HP<br />
• ‐> Specialities grew by 4.5% in 2011<br />
| Roadbook | <strong>March</strong> 2012
Key strengths<br />
• Well invested assets at the heart of the<br />
European market<br />
• Best service provider<br />
• Consistent strong cash generation<br />
• Decisive Management team with strong<br />
execution track record.<br />
• Becoming a low cost producer<br />
• Opportunities in highly profitable<br />
specialities market<br />
• Ability to cope with further market<br />
shrinkage<br />
| Roadbook | <strong>March</strong> 2012
SFPE cost/ton<br />
• Index Variable Cost / ton: October 2010 = 100%<br />
• Index Quarterly Cash Fixed Cost: Q1‐2011 = 100%<br />
| Roadbook | <strong>March</strong> 2012<br />
• Sustainable improvement of $100million<br />
• Manpower reduction of 764 FTEs<br />
• Capacity reduction (Biberist +Äänekoski): 700Ktons
Q1 2007 = 100<br />
| Roadbook | <strong>March</strong> 2012<br />
W. Europe Coated Paper Deliveries & Prices<br />
1.20<br />
1.10<br />
1.00<br />
0.90<br />
0.80<br />
0.70<br />
0.60<br />
Q1<br />
2007<br />
Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1<br />
2008<br />
Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1<br />
2009<br />
Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1<br />
2010<br />
Western Europe Shipments Incl. Export – Source Cepifine, Cepiprint and RISI indexed to Calendar Q1 2007<br />
Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1<br />
2011<br />
Q2 Q3 Q4<br />
CWF MCR CWF 100gsm sheets prices LWC 60gsm offset reels prices<br />
44
Market development<br />
• Differing ViewS –CWF Western Europe<br />
15.0%<br />
10.0%<br />
5.0%<br />
0.0%<br />
-5.0%<br />
-10.0%<br />
-15.0%<br />
-20.0%<br />
| Roadbook | <strong>March</strong> 2012<br />
10.7%<br />
7.9%<br />
10.4%<br />
Growth Rates Western Europe CWF<br />
1.0%1.1%<br />
2.8%<br />
-6.7%<br />
8.1%<br />
2.0%<br />
1.1% 0.8%<br />
-2.4%<br />
-17.1%<br />
EMGE RISI SAPPI PPPC<br />
1.3%<br />
-4.5%<br />
-0.8% -1.0%<br />
-2.7%
Market development<br />
| Roadbook | <strong>March</strong> 2012<br />
• Differing Views –MC Western Europe
Summary<br />
� Cost reduction leads to<br />
sustainable improvement<br />
� <strong>Sappi</strong> is competitive in<br />
service, quality and cost in<br />
Europe<br />
� Capacity is right sized<br />
� Cash generative and<br />
profitable<br />
� Management with strong<br />
executive track record<br />
� Highly attractive and growing<br />
specialities business<br />
| Roadbook | <strong>March</strong> 2012
• Group Overview<br />
| Roadbook | <strong>March</strong> 2012<br />
• Products<br />
• Strategy<br />
• Results<br />
• Divisional Overviews<br />
• North America<br />
• Europe<br />
• South Africa<br />
• Conclusions
<strong>Sappi</strong> Southern Africa<br />
• # 1 in Chemical Cellulose with 14% capacity share<br />
• Wide range of paper, tissue & packaging;<br />
• 567,000ha of forests in Southern Africa<br />
• Total paper capacity of 1.08m tons<br />
• Total pulp capacity of 2.02m tons<br />
• 2011 Sales: $1,801m<br />
• 2011 Op. Income: $199m<br />
| Roadbook | <strong>March</strong> 2012
Strategy for Southern Africa<br />
Grow Chemical Cellulose<br />
• Saiccor expansion by 215k ton (Sep 2008)<br />
• Ngodwana expansion by 210k ton (Apr 2013)<br />
• Lowest quartile cost base<br />
• Market growth of >6% per annum<br />
Forestry resources / renewable energy<br />
• Low cost wood resources in SA and elsewhere<br />
• Renewable energy projects at our operations<br />
Match our assets to our resources and the market<br />
• Closure of Adamas Jul 2011 (40k ton)<br />
• Planned closure of fibre lines Mar 2012 (300k ton)<br />
• Planned reduction of paper capacity Mar 2012 (100k ton)<br />
• Address future environmental issues<br />
• Substantial cost reduction<br />
| Roadbook | <strong>March</strong> 2012
Ngodwana Chemical Cellulose Project<br />
• Only 2 known lower cost producers<br />
• Timber<br />
• Logistics<br />
• Why are our costs so low<br />
| Roadbook | <strong>March</strong> 2012<br />
• Cost of growing fibre<br />
• Proximity of forests to Ngodwana<br />
• Good logistics to main markets<br />
• Project time line<br />
• All major contracts concluded<br />
• Equipment delivery completed: Nov‐2012<br />
• Tie into existing plant: Mar‐2013<br />
• Chemical cellulose production: Apr‐2013
Strategy – Southern Africa<br />
• Increase access to and beneficiation of low cost plantation<br />
fiber<br />
• Expand access to plantation land in Southern Africa<br />
• R&D focus on new commercial uses for fiber<br />
• Grow our pulp and chemical cellulose businesses<br />
• BEE – sustainable and continuous improvement in our<br />
audited BEE score<br />
| Roadbook | <strong>March</strong> 2012
Wood Resources<br />
• <strong>Sappi</strong> owns and manages 555,000ha’s of timber plantations<br />
– Supplies 70% of wood requirements<br />
– all own plantations are FSC certified and 82% of fibre used is certified<br />
• Global wood prices being driven by increasing demand<br />
– Paper and paper products<br />
– Bio energy/fuel<br />
• Seeking to expand resource<br />
– South Africa<br />
– Southern Africa<br />
| Roadbook | <strong>March</strong> 2012<br />
$/ODMT<br />
120<br />
100<br />
80<br />
60<br />
40<br />
20<br />
Source – Wood Resource Quarterly<br />
South Africa US South Brazil Int Avg
| Roadbook | <strong>March</strong> 2012<br />
NBSK Pulp Price*<br />
1,100<br />
1,000<br />
900<br />
800<br />
700<br />
600<br />
500<br />
400<br />
300<br />
Jan-03<br />
Jan-04<br />
Jan-05<br />
• Pulp prices stabilizing<br />
Jan-06<br />
* Source: Average monthly FOEX delivered European prices<br />
NBSK (US$/ton) NBSK (EUR/ton)<br />
Jan-07<br />
Jan-08<br />
Jan-09<br />
Jan-10<br />
Jan-11<br />
Jan-12<br />
54<br />
$831/ton<br />
€644/ton
Low cost wood resources – Eastern Cape project<br />
• 30 000 ha of tree plantations by 2020;<br />
• Supply ± 450k ton/annum;<br />
• Ownership with communities;<br />
• <strong>Sappi</strong> as Implementation Partner;<br />
• 12 600 ha in Project Pipeline;<br />
• 690 ha planted to date;<br />
| Roadbook | <strong>March</strong> 2012<br />
55<br />
• 500 direct and 1500 indirect jobs /10 000 ha;<br />
• Grant funding. Supplemented by <strong>Sappi</strong> and IDC;
Renewable energy and energy levy<br />
• Selling electricity to Eskom from:<br />
| Roadbook | <strong>March</strong> 2012<br />
• Ngodwana<br />
• Saiccor<br />
• Access to biomass resources to<br />
improve energy self sufficiency<br />
• Energy levy of 2.5c/kW on generated electricity;<br />
• Exeption for co‐generation & renewable energy<br />
• Gazetted 15 Dec 2011<br />
56
Restructuring update<br />
• Adamas<br />
• Fixed cost reduction of R77m<br />
• Profitable products carouselled<br />
• Site cleaned and being offered for sale<br />
• SG&A functions<br />
• Marketing, Sales & Supply Chain<br />
completed<br />
• Procurement, HR, Communications,<br />
Finance � shared services<br />
• Other opportunities being<br />
investigated<br />
• Cost savings of R39m<br />
| Roadbook | <strong>March</strong> 2012
Improving our operations and products<br />
• Aligning capacity with demand<br />
• Closing highest cost lines<br />
• Address future environmental costs<br />
• Reduces cost by R250 million p.a.<br />
• Lowest cost producer<br />
| Roadbook | <strong>March</strong> 2012<br />
• Simplified product range<br />
• Value for money products<br />
• Excellent, efficient service<br />
• Niche market opportunities
Summary<br />
• Investing in Chemical Cellulose<br />
• Low cost producer<br />
• Fast growing market<br />
• Excellent customer relationships<br />
• Growing forestry assets<br />
• Improving paper business<br />
• Better use of timber<br />
• Improving cost position<br />
• Profitable with growth<br />
opportunities<br />
| Roadbook | <strong>March</strong> 2012
• Group Overview<br />
| Roadbook | <strong>March</strong> 2012<br />
• Products<br />
• Strategy<br />
• Results<br />
• Divisional Overviews<br />
• North America<br />
• Europe<br />
• South Africa<br />
• Conclusions
Strategic Overview<br />
• Growth plans progressing well – realistic expectations and confidence in<br />
our track record. No other major projects in the next few years<br />
• Fixing our EU and SA businesses an on-going process, minimise cash<br />
expenditure and take out costs<br />
• Optimisation of NA and Chemical Cellulose businesses on-going – signs<br />
of pulp price turning<br />
• Debt remains important focus – refinancing has lowered cost, maturities<br />
still good but intend to bring levels down to below $2bn post CC projects<br />
and reduce gearing (e.g. Net debt:EBITDA) to a different order of<br />
magnitude<br />
| Roadbook | <strong>March</strong> 2012
| Roadbook | <strong>March</strong> 2012<br />
Conclusion<br />
• We have a sound strategy<br />
• We believe in what we are doing<br />
• Traction on actions to date<br />
• World is uncertain<br />
• Totally committed to achieving more<br />
wins and accelerating value creation for<br />
shareholders through improved profit,<br />
strategic positioning and debt reduction
| Roadbook | <strong>March</strong> 2012<br />
Inspired by life