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Investor Presentation March 2012.pdf - Sappi

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Forward looking statements<br />

Certain statements in this release that are neither reported financial results nor other historical information, are forward-looking<br />

statements, including but not limited to statements that are predictions of or indicate future earnings, savings, synergies, events,<br />

trends, plans or objectives.<br />

The words “believe”, “anticipate”, “expect”, “intend”, “estimate”, “plan”, “assume”, “positioned”, “will”, “may”, “should”, “risk” and other<br />

similar expressions, which are predictions of or indicate future events and future trends, which do not relate to historical matters,<br />

identify forward-looking statements. You should not rely on forward-looking statements because they involve known and unknown<br />

risks, uncertainties and other factors which are in some cases beyond our control and may cause our actual results, performance or<br />

achievements to differ materially from anticipated future results, performance or achievements expressed or implied by such forwardlooking<br />

statements (and from past results, performance or achievements). Certain factors that may cause such differences include<br />

but are not limited to:<br />

• the highly cyclical nature of the pulp and paper industry (and the factors that contribute to such cyclicality, such as levels of<br />

demand, production capacity, production, input costs including raw material, energy and employee costs, and pricing);<br />

• the impact on our business of the global economic downturn;<br />

• unanticipated production disruptions (including as a result of planned or unexpected power outages);<br />

• changes in environmental, tax and other laws and regulations;<br />

• adverse changes in the markets for our products;<br />

• consequences of our leverage, including as a result of adverse changes in credit markets that affect our ability to raise capital<br />

when needed;<br />

• adverse changes in the political situation and economy in the countries in which we operate or the effect of governmental efforts to<br />

address present or future economic or social problems;<br />

• the impact of restructuring, investments, acquisitions and dispositions (including related financing), any delays, unexpected costs<br />

or other problems experienced in connection with dispositions or with integrating acquisitions and achieving expected savings and<br />

synergies; and<br />

• currency fluctuations.<br />

We undertake no obligation to publicly update or revise any of these forward-looking statements, whether to reflect new information<br />

or future events or circumstances or otherwise.<br />

Regulation G disclosure<br />

Certain non-GAAP financial information is contained in this presentation that management believe may be useful in comparing the<br />

company’s operating results from period to period. Reconciliation's of certain of the non-GAAP measures to the corresponding GAAP<br />

measures can be found in the quarterly results booklet for the relevant period. These booklets are located in the ‘<strong>Investor</strong> Info’<br />

section of www.sappi.com.<br />

| Roadbook | <strong>March</strong> 2012


• Group Overview<br />

| Roadbook | <strong>March</strong> 2012<br />

• Products<br />

• Strategy<br />

• Results<br />

• Divisional Overviews<br />

• North America<br />

• Europe<br />

• South Africa<br />

• Conclusions


<strong>Sappi</strong> at a glance<br />

<strong>Sappi</strong> Fine Paper<br />

(75% ’11 sales)<br />

<strong>Sappi</strong> Fine Paper<br />

Europe<br />

<strong>Sappi</strong> Fine Paper<br />

North America<br />

| Roadbook | <strong>March</strong> 2012<br />

2011 sales - $7.2bn<br />

@ 15,600 Employees<br />

<strong>Sappi</strong> Southern Africa<br />

(25% ’11 sales)<br />

Paper & Paper<br />

Packaging<br />

Saiccor<br />

(Chemical Cellulose)<br />

Forests<br />

Coated fine paper<br />

62%<br />

<strong>Sappi</strong> Trading<br />

Jiangxi Chenming<br />

(China JV)<br />

8%<br />

7%<br />

15%<br />

Uncoated fine paper<br />

Coated specialties<br />

Pulp<br />

7%<br />

Commodity paper<br />

1%<br />

Other


Geographic diversification<br />

Global presence enables <strong>Sappi</strong> to take advantage of opportunities where markets are strong<br />

¹ For the FY2011<br />

� 13 Sales offices on 6<br />

continents<br />

54%<br />

| Roadbook | <strong>March</strong> 2012<br />

21%<br />

� 3 Paper Mills<br />

25%<br />

Sales By Source 1 (US$)<br />

� 8 Paper Mills<br />

� 6 Pulp and Paper Mills<br />

� 1 Chemical Cellulose Mill<br />

� 555,000ha Forests<br />

46%<br />

22%<br />

13%<br />

19%<br />

Sales By Destination 1 (US$)<br />

� 1 Fine Paper Mill (JV)<br />

Europe<br />

North America<br />

Southern Africa<br />

Asia & other


Pulp Integration<br />

<strong>Sappi</strong> sells slightly more pulp than it buys.<br />

<strong>Sappi</strong> Group Pulp Balance (‘000 tons)<br />

1200<br />

900<br />

600<br />

300<br />

0<br />

-300<br />

-600<br />

-900<br />

-1200<br />

| Roadbook | <strong>March</strong> 2012<br />

Net sales Net Purchases<br />

-881<br />

152<br />

Fine Paper Europe Fine Paper N.<br />

America<br />

* Includes 800kt Saiccor chemical cellulose<br />

910<br />

181<br />

<strong>Sappi</strong> Southern Africa <strong>Sappi</strong> Group<br />

104% Integrated


Currency sensitivity<br />

10c change in ZAR/USD rate:<br />

• Annual impact ‐ US$8 million on operating income<br />

Change in USD/EURO rate:<br />

• Small direct impact on operating income –<br />

� In Europe, we export paper in USD and buy USD denominated pulp<br />

• Macro‐economic impact on European export economies<br />

� impact on advertising demand<br />

� a strengthening USD against the Euro is a positive for <strong>Sappi</strong>, but<br />

currently being offset by poor economic conditions<br />

| Roadbook | <strong>March</strong> 2012


Other sensitivities<br />

Some of the more important factors which impact the group’s operating profit excluding special<br />

items, based on anticipated revenue and cost levels, are summarized in the table below.<br />

| Roadbook | <strong>March</strong> 2012<br />

*Excludes Depreciation<br />

Sensitivities Change SFPE SFPNA SA Group<br />

Euro'm US$'m ZAR'm US$'m<br />

Net Selling Prices 1% 27 13 127 68<br />

Variable Costs 1% 16 8 66 39<br />

Sales Volume 1% 9 5 50 25<br />

Fixed Costs 1% 6 5 44 19<br />

Brent Crude Oil Price US$ 1 3 2 4 6<br />

Pulp Prices US$ 10 (6) 2 35 (1)<br />

Wood Prices 1% 2 2 3 6<br />

ZAR/US$ 10c - - 63 9<br />

Euro/US$ 10c - 3 - 3


• Group Overview<br />

| Roadbook | <strong>March</strong> 2012<br />

• Products<br />

• Strategy<br />

• Results<br />

• Divisional Overviews<br />

• North America<br />

• Europe<br />

• South Africa<br />

• Conclusions


Printing & Writing Paper Grade Structure<br />

FIBER QUALITY<br />

100% chemical pulp fiber furnish<br />

| Roadbook | <strong>March</strong> 2012<br />

Increasing mechanical/recovered fiber content<br />

Newsprint<br />

Coated Fine Paper (CWF)<br />

Uncoated Woodfree (UWF)<br />

Coated Mechanical (CGW/LWC)<br />

Supercalendered (SC‐A)<br />

Supercalendered (SC‐B)<br />

Machine Finished Specialities (MFS)<br />

Improved Newsprint<br />

PAPER QUALITY


Industry Consolidation<br />

Capacity share of top 5 Coated Woodfree Paper producers<br />

100%<br />

80%<br />

60%<br />

40%<br />

20%<br />

0%<br />

| Roadbook | <strong>March</strong> 2012<br />

Source: EMGE <strong>March</strong> 2011<br />

33%<br />

Europe North America Global<br />

Rest of World<br />

81%<br />

60%<br />

93%<br />

27%<br />

46%<br />

25%<br />

38%<br />

1990 2011 1990 2011 1990 2011 1990 2011


Global Coated Woodfree Paper Balance<br />

million metric tons<br />

35<br />

30<br />

25<br />

20<br />

15<br />

10<br />

5<br />

0<br />

1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015<br />

| Roadbook | <strong>March</strong> 2012<br />

Source: EMGE, <strong>Sappi</strong><br />

97%<br />

Demand Capacity<br />

84%<br />

79%


Global Coated Mechanical Paper Balance<br />

million metric tons<br />

25<br />

20<br />

15<br />

10<br />

5<br />

| Roadbook | <strong>March</strong> 2012<br />

Source: EMGE, <strong>Sappi</strong><br />

87%<br />

Demand Capacity<br />

80% 87%<br />

0<br />

1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015


Energy costs<br />

| Roadbook | <strong>March</strong> 2012<br />

Natural Gas<br />

<strong>Sappi</strong> FY2011 Energy Usage<br />

(% split based on US$ consumption)<br />

Coal<br />

33%<br />

8%<br />

18%<br />

29%<br />

15%<br />

Oil<br />

Purchased Electricity<br />

Biomass & Other<br />

• Sensitivity: 1% energy input cost change = US$6 million impact on operating<br />

income


Chemical cellulose<br />

• Uses wood as its raw material, but not a paper pulp<br />

• Diverse range of end use products<br />

• Fibres (woven and non-woven textiles) and films<br />

• Chemicals and pharmaceuticals<br />

• Acetates and plastics<br />

• Largest single facility and biggest market share<br />

• Well placed for exports to Asia<br />

• Good growth rates for most products – textiles “cellulose gap”<br />

| Roadbook | <strong>March</strong> 2012


Industry overview – Chemical Cellulose<br />

Major Global Market Segments<br />

(Total 2011 demand = 5m tons)<br />

Ethers<br />

Acetate<br />

* Viscose Staple Fiber<br />

| Roadbook | <strong>March</strong> 2012<br />

Source: <strong>Sappi</strong><br />

Others<br />

VSF*<br />

<strong>Sappi</strong><br />

Birla<br />

RGE<br />

Rayonier<br />

Tembec<br />

Others<br />

Global Top 5 Chemical<br />

Cellulose Producers<br />

0<br />

2011 % Capacity<br />

53% of Global Capacity<br />

5<br />

10<br />

15<br />

Global capacity 5.8m tons<br />

20


Key Demand Drivers for Textiles<br />

Key Demand Drivers for Textiles<br />

� Population growth<br />

� Increasing requirement for more comfortable clothing<br />

� Rising urbanization and standard of living in the Greater Asian Region<br />

� Middle class in Asia is rapidly increasing in size and purchasing power<br />

� Asian middle class to grow to 2.7 billion by 2030 from the current 1.9 billion people<br />

| Roadbook | <strong>March</strong> 2012<br />

Source : Lenzing/Asian Development Bank<br />

Million<br />

Metric<br />

Tons<br />

65.8<br />

Textile Fibres Consumption<br />

123.5<br />

Forecast<br />

113.3<br />

100.7<br />

86.8<br />

72.5<br />

2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030


What is driving textile prices?<br />

• Increasing demand for textiles<br />

• Food security becoming an issue<br />

• Arable land increasingly scarce<br />

• Land degradation<br />

• Urbanisation<br />

• Growth in demand for biofuels<br />

• All non-food crops under pressure due to need for food<br />

• Genetically modified crops can only help so much<br />

| Roadbook | <strong>March</strong> 2012<br />

Source : National Cotton Council of America<br />

US cents/pound<br />

180<br />

160<br />

140<br />

120<br />

100<br />

80<br />

60<br />

40<br />

20<br />

World Cotton Price - "A" Index


Share of Historical & Future Fibre Production<br />

• Production of cotton is forecast<br />

to remain stagnant or shrink<br />

• Growth in total fibre<br />

consumption will be covered by<br />

man-made fibres<br />

| Roadbook | <strong>March</strong> 2012<br />

Million Metric<br />

Tons<br />

140<br />

Wool<br />

120<br />

Cotton<br />

100<br />

Man‐made Cellulosic Fibres<br />

80<br />

Synthetic Fibres<br />

Fibre Production<br />

Forecast<br />

• However certain moisture<br />

management properties of<br />

cellulose fibres cannot be<br />

60<br />

40<br />

substituted by oil based<br />

20<br />

synthetic fibres, enhancing<br />

0<br />

opportunity for cellulosics Source : Lenzing<br />

“Cellulose Gap”<br />

1900 1920 1940 1960 1980 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030


Capacity additions<br />

+‐ 3 Million tons of Capacity Announcements for 2012/4<br />

| Roadbook | <strong>March</strong> 2012<br />

Toba<br />

Stora Enocell<br />

Sun Paper<br />

Chenming<br />

Jilin<br />

Chenming<br />

Hubei<br />

Capacity Directed at China 2013<br />

Sodra Morrum<br />

Hunan<br />

Cosmo<br />

Fujian<br />

Qingshan<br />

China Bamboo,<br />

Fujian<br />

Nanping<br />

Cloquet<br />

Jilin<br />

Bahia<br />

less Ow n<br />

Thurso<br />

Paper<br />

Excellence<br />

Lee and Man


Competitor cash costs<br />

+ 25%<br />

Average<br />

Cash Cost<br />

‐ 30%<br />

| Roadbook | <strong>March</strong> 2012<br />

Below Average Cost<br />

<strong>Sappi</strong> = 27%<br />

Others = 28%<br />

Source: RISI/sappi<br />

World Competitor CC Cash Costs into VSF<br />

includes 80% of supply volumes<br />

Above Average Cost<br />

45%


• Group Overview<br />

| Roadbook | <strong>March</strong> 2012<br />

• Products<br />

• Strategy<br />

• Results<br />

• Divisional Overviews<br />

• North America<br />

• Europe<br />

• South Africa<br />

• Conclusions


The Past Year<br />

• Good start to 2011 – weaker in the 2 nd half<br />

• European uncertainty and CWF export declines<br />

• Excellent SA Chemical Cellulose performance<br />

• Continued underperformance of SA paper operations incl.<br />

strikes<br />

• North America performed well<br />

• Successful refinance<br />

• A year of major intervention in tough markets<br />

• Closures of Biberist and Adamas<br />

• Restructure of Southern African operations<br />

• Restructuring and impairment charges affect profit and EPS<br />

• Reasonable Q1 2012<br />

• traction with implementation of strategy<br />

| Roadbook | <strong>March</strong> 2012


Strategic Overview<br />

• Refined strategy with emphasis on value creation<br />

• Focus<br />

• Increasing importance of growth - Not at the expense of<br />

the balance sheet<br />

• Internal actions to improve EU and SA<br />

• Benefits in Europe have started<br />

• Benefits in South Africa to start in 2H 2012<br />

| Roadbook | <strong>March</strong> 2012


Strategy<br />

Four key elements<br />

• Improving Europe and South Africa, starting to see results<br />

• Maintain performance in NA and Chemical Cellulose, focus on<br />

volumes<br />

• Invest in high growth & margin businesses with leading<br />

positions<br />

• Chemical cellulose – focus on contracting volumes<br />

• Release – pattern development<br />

• Forests – self sufficiency and cost<br />

• Reduce Debt<br />

Day-to-day focus on maximisation of profitability and cash<br />

| Roadbook | <strong>March</strong> 2012<br />

generation


• Group Overview<br />

| Roadbook | <strong>March</strong> 2012<br />

• Products<br />

• Strategy<br />

• Results<br />

• Divisional Overviews<br />

• North America<br />

• Europe<br />

• South Africa<br />

• Conclusions


| Roadbook | <strong>March</strong> 2012<br />

Q1 2012 Summary<br />

• European business performance benefits from<br />

restructuring and cost reduction actions – US$100m per<br />

annum cost reductions on track<br />

• South African chemical cellulose business performed<br />

strongly – achieved highest quarterly profit margin in 3<br />

years<br />

• North America negatively affected by pulp prices and<br />

technical issues at Somerset<br />

27


Operating Profit excluding special items*<br />

150<br />

125<br />

100<br />

75<br />

50<br />

25<br />

0<br />

-25<br />

| Roadbook | <strong>March</strong> 2012<br />

25<br />

2009: $33m 2010: $339m 2011: $404m<br />

-17 -13<br />

38<br />

81<br />

54<br />

75<br />

129 137 127<br />

60<br />

80<br />

100<br />

1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q** 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q<br />

*Refer to the supplementary information in this presentation for a reconciliation to reported operating profit and page 16 in our Q1 2012 results booklet for a<br />

definition of special items.<br />

**Q1 2011 included an extra week


EBITDA* Trend<br />

250<br />

200<br />

150<br />

100<br />

50<br />

0<br />

| Roadbook | <strong>March</strong> 2012<br />

106 82 93<br />

Q1<br />

Q2<br />

Q3<br />

150 193 156 176<br />

Q4<br />

Q1<br />

Q2<br />

Q3<br />

227 246 228<br />

Q4<br />

Q1**<br />

Q2<br />

164<br />

Q3<br />

*EBITDA as shown above excludes special items. Refer to page 16 in our Q1 2012 results announcement booklet for a definition of special items.<br />

**Q1 2011 included extra week<br />

2009: $431m 2010: $752m<br />

2011: $821m<br />

183 194<br />

Q4<br />

Q1


Divisional Operating Margins*<br />

25%<br />

20%<br />

15%<br />

10%<br />

5%<br />

0%<br />

-5%<br />

-10%<br />

| Roadbook | <strong>March</strong> 2012<br />

European actions driving recovery<br />

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1<br />

2009 2010 2011<br />

*The divisional operating margins exclude special items. Refer to page 15 in our Q1 2012 results announcement booklet for a definition of special items.<br />

Q1 2012<br />

Margins:<br />

Southern<br />

Africa 15.8%<br />

Europe 3.5%<br />

North America<br />

2.8%


Net Debt Development<br />

Debt reduction remains a focus<br />

US$ m<br />

3,000<br />

2,500<br />

2,000<br />

1,500<br />

1,000<br />

| Roadbook | <strong>March</strong> 2012<br />

Q109*<br />

Rights Offer to finance<br />

European Acquisition<br />

Q209<br />

Q309<br />

Q409<br />

Q110<br />

Q210<br />

Q310<br />

* Cash proceeds of US$536m for European Acquisition from rights offer not offset against debt<br />

European Acquisition<br />

completed<br />

Major Refinancing<br />

completed<br />

Q410<br />

Q111<br />

Q211<br />

Repaid $140m<br />

South African debt<br />

Q311<br />

Q411<br />

Q112


Debt maturity profile<br />

Strong liquidity and maturity profile<br />

Cash on hand: US$401 million<br />

RCF US$324 million – undrawn<br />

As at December 2012<br />

1 000<br />

900<br />

800<br />

700<br />

600<br />

500<br />

400<br />

300<br />

200<br />

100<br />

0<br />

USD million<br />

401<br />

129<br />

70<br />

Note: Based on <strong>Sappi</strong> quarter end reported exchange rates of US$/€ $1:€1.2948 and US$/ZAR<br />

$1:ZAR 8.0862<br />

| Roadbook | <strong>March</strong> 2012<br />

21<br />

183<br />

376<br />

703*<br />

26<br />

Includes 2014<br />

$300m and<br />

€350m Bonds<br />

RCF Headroom;<br />

Unutilised<br />

324<br />

Includes 2018<br />

€250m Bond<br />

62<br />

326<br />

(September fiscal year end)<br />

2021 $350m Bond<br />

2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2018 2021 2032<br />

Cash Securitisation Overdraft SPH Term Debt RCF SSA<br />

350<br />

221<br />

* Net of $50m unamortised IFRS adjustments relating<br />

mainly to upfront costs and discounts on the 2014 bonds


• Group Overview<br />

| Roadbook | <strong>March</strong> 2012<br />

• Products<br />

• Strategy<br />

• Results<br />

• Divisional Overviews<br />

• North America<br />

• Europe<br />

• South Africa<br />

• Conclusions


Who We Are<br />

� Leading North American coated paper producer<br />

� 2011 Net Sales: $1.52B<br />

� 2011 EBITDA: $203M (EBITDA margin of 13.4%)<br />

� Two integrated coated freesheet mills and dedicated sheeting center and one specialties<br />

mill<br />

� 1.2M short tons of paper production capacity<br />

� 1.1M short tons of pulp production capacity<br />

� Three businesses: Coated Paper, Pulp and Specialties<br />

SFPNA Net Sales by Product (2011) US Coated Freesheet Capacity Shares<br />

Specialties<br />

12%<br />

| Roadbook | <strong>March</strong> 2012<br />

Pulp<br />

13%<br />

Coated<br />

75%<br />

Verso, 12%<br />

Other, 16%<br />

NewPage,<br />

42%<br />

SFPNA, 29%


SFPNA has driven improvements through selected<br />

investment and strategic actions<br />

Grade change<br />

optimization<br />

2006<br />

Product and<br />

brand alignment<br />

with customer<br />

segments<br />

$(30)M<br />

| Roadbook | <strong>March</strong> 2012<br />

Rebuild SPM1<br />

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011<br />

Significant<br />

product redesign,<br />

performance pay<br />

tied to key<br />

financial metrics<br />

Implemented<br />

Lean Six Sigma<br />

Shut Muskegon<br />

Right sized fixed<br />

costs<br />

Operating Income<br />

Somerset Pulp<br />

Mill Upgrade<br />

Emerged from<br />

recession 4 quarters<br />

ahead of<br />

competitors<br />

Approved<br />

Chemical Cellulose<br />

and Somerset PM3<br />

rebuild<br />

Achieved 14%<br />

RONOA<br />

$129M


Q1 2007= 1<br />

| Roadbook | <strong>March</strong> 2012<br />

US Coated Paper Prices and Shipments<br />

1.3<br />

1.2<br />

1.1<br />

1.0<br />

0.9<br />

0.8<br />

0.7<br />

0.6<br />

0.5<br />

0.4<br />

Domestic CFS shipments Total US CFS consumption CFS #3 60lb Rolls prices<br />

US Industry Shipments and total US consumption – Source AF&PA and RISI indexed to Q1 2007<br />

36


SFPNA Release Papers - What is Release Paper?<br />

| Roadbook | <strong>March</strong> 2012


SFPNA key advantages<br />

• Well invested, premier asset portfolio with fully integrated facilities<br />

• Established brands with strong market position<br />

| Roadbook | <strong>March</strong> 2012<br />

• Exposure to most attractive end‐market segments<br />

• Unmatched reputation for product innovation and customer service<br />

• A low cost producer with strong free cash flow profile<br />

• Results driven management team with proven track record of<br />

execution<br />

• Defined and focused opportunities for driving further profitable growth


• Group Overview<br />

| Roadbook | <strong>March</strong> 2012<br />

• Products<br />

• Strategy<br />

• Results<br />

• Divisional Overviews<br />

• North America<br />

• Europe<br />

• South Africa<br />

• Conclusions


<strong>Sappi</strong> Fine Paper Europe<br />

• # 1 in Coated Woodfree paper with 25.8% capacity<br />

share<br />

• # 2 in Mechanical Coated Paper with 13.5% capacity<br />

share<br />

• # 1 in high quality Flexpack<br />

• Total paper capacity of 3.7m Tons<br />

• 2011 Sales: $3,965m<br />

• 2011 EBITDA: $300m<br />

| Roadbook | <strong>March</strong> 2012


Strategy for healthy profit and cash generation<br />

Rightsizing capacity<br />

• ‐> Closure of Kangas 2010 (200KT MCR)<br />

• ‐> Closure of Biberist 2011 (435KT WFC)<br />

• ‐> M‐real closure of Äänekoski 2012 (180kt WFC, sold by <strong>Sappi</strong>)<br />

• ‐> We are full!<br />

Substantial cost reduction<br />

• ‐> Runrate for €100m cost reduction achieved in Q1<br />

• ‐> FTE reduction of 12%, no strikes, no disturbance to service<br />

• ‐> More to come …<br />

• ‐> Biberist products carouselled with no loss of market share<br />

Grow Specialities<br />

• ‐> Successful launch of Fusion White Top Liner<br />

• ‐> Digital inkjet product Jaz.in eclusive arrangement with HP<br />

• ‐> Specialities grew by 4.5% in 2011<br />

| Roadbook | <strong>March</strong> 2012


Key strengths<br />

• Well invested assets at the heart of the<br />

European market<br />

• Best service provider<br />

• Consistent strong cash generation<br />

• Decisive Management team with strong<br />

execution track record.<br />

• Becoming a low cost producer<br />

• Opportunities in highly profitable<br />

specialities market<br />

• Ability to cope with further market<br />

shrinkage<br />

| Roadbook | <strong>March</strong> 2012


SFPE cost/ton<br />

• Index Variable Cost / ton: October 2010 = 100%<br />

• Index Quarterly Cash Fixed Cost: Q1‐2011 = 100%<br />

| Roadbook | <strong>March</strong> 2012<br />

• Sustainable improvement of $100million<br />

• Manpower reduction of 764 FTEs<br />

• Capacity reduction (Biberist +Äänekoski): 700Ktons


Q1 2007 = 100<br />

| Roadbook | <strong>March</strong> 2012<br />

W. Europe Coated Paper Deliveries & Prices<br />

1.20<br />

1.10<br />

1.00<br />

0.90<br />

0.80<br />

0.70<br />

0.60<br />

Q1<br />

2007<br />

Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1<br />

2008<br />

Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1<br />

2009<br />

Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1<br />

2010<br />

Western Europe Shipments Incl. Export – Source Cepifine, Cepiprint and RISI indexed to Calendar Q1 2007<br />

Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1<br />

2011<br />

Q2 Q3 Q4<br />

CWF MCR CWF 100gsm sheets prices LWC 60gsm offset reels prices<br />

44


Market development<br />

• Differing ViewS –CWF Western Europe<br />

15.0%<br />

10.0%<br />

5.0%<br />

0.0%<br />

-5.0%<br />

-10.0%<br />

-15.0%<br />

-20.0%<br />

| Roadbook | <strong>March</strong> 2012<br />

10.7%<br />

7.9%<br />

10.4%<br />

Growth Rates Western Europe CWF<br />

1.0%1.1%<br />

2.8%<br />

-6.7%<br />

8.1%<br />

2.0%<br />

1.1% 0.8%<br />

-2.4%<br />

-17.1%<br />

EMGE RISI SAPPI PPPC<br />

1.3%<br />

-4.5%<br />

-0.8% -1.0%<br />

-2.7%


Market development<br />

| Roadbook | <strong>March</strong> 2012<br />

• Differing Views –MC Western Europe


Summary<br />

� Cost reduction leads to<br />

sustainable improvement<br />

� <strong>Sappi</strong> is competitive in<br />

service, quality and cost in<br />

Europe<br />

� Capacity is right sized<br />

� Cash generative and<br />

profitable<br />

� Management with strong<br />

executive track record<br />

� Highly attractive and growing<br />

specialities business<br />

| Roadbook | <strong>March</strong> 2012


• Group Overview<br />

| Roadbook | <strong>March</strong> 2012<br />

• Products<br />

• Strategy<br />

• Results<br />

• Divisional Overviews<br />

• North America<br />

• Europe<br />

• South Africa<br />

• Conclusions


<strong>Sappi</strong> Southern Africa<br />

• # 1 in Chemical Cellulose with 14% capacity share<br />

• Wide range of paper, tissue & packaging;<br />

• 567,000ha of forests in Southern Africa<br />

• Total paper capacity of 1.08m tons<br />

• Total pulp capacity of 2.02m tons<br />

• 2011 Sales: $1,801m<br />

• 2011 Op. Income: $199m<br />

| Roadbook | <strong>March</strong> 2012


Strategy for Southern Africa<br />

Grow Chemical Cellulose<br />

• Saiccor expansion by 215k ton (Sep 2008)<br />

• Ngodwana expansion by 210k ton (Apr 2013)<br />

• Lowest quartile cost base<br />

• Market growth of >6% per annum<br />

Forestry resources / renewable energy<br />

• Low cost wood resources in SA and elsewhere<br />

• Renewable energy projects at our operations<br />

Match our assets to our resources and the market<br />

• Closure of Adamas Jul 2011 (40k ton)<br />

• Planned closure of fibre lines Mar 2012 (300k ton)<br />

• Planned reduction of paper capacity Mar 2012 (100k ton)<br />

• Address future environmental issues<br />

• Substantial cost reduction<br />

| Roadbook | <strong>March</strong> 2012


Ngodwana Chemical Cellulose Project<br />

• Only 2 known lower cost producers<br />

• Timber<br />

• Logistics<br />

• Why are our costs so low<br />

| Roadbook | <strong>March</strong> 2012<br />

• Cost of growing fibre<br />

• Proximity of forests to Ngodwana<br />

• Good logistics to main markets<br />

• Project time line<br />

• All major contracts concluded<br />

• Equipment delivery completed: Nov‐2012<br />

• Tie into existing plant: Mar‐2013<br />

• Chemical cellulose production: Apr‐2013


Strategy – Southern Africa<br />

• Increase access to and beneficiation of low cost plantation<br />

fiber<br />

• Expand access to plantation land in Southern Africa<br />

• R&D focus on new commercial uses for fiber<br />

• Grow our pulp and chemical cellulose businesses<br />

• BEE – sustainable and continuous improvement in our<br />

audited BEE score<br />

| Roadbook | <strong>March</strong> 2012


Wood Resources<br />

• <strong>Sappi</strong> owns and manages 555,000ha’s of timber plantations<br />

– Supplies 70% of wood requirements<br />

– all own plantations are FSC certified and 82% of fibre used is certified<br />

• Global wood prices being driven by increasing demand<br />

– Paper and paper products<br />

– Bio energy/fuel<br />

• Seeking to expand resource<br />

– South Africa<br />

– Southern Africa<br />

| Roadbook | <strong>March</strong> 2012<br />

$/ODMT<br />

120<br />

100<br />

80<br />

60<br />

40<br />

20<br />

Source – Wood Resource Quarterly<br />

South Africa US South Brazil Int Avg


| Roadbook | <strong>March</strong> 2012<br />

NBSK Pulp Price*<br />

1,100<br />

1,000<br />

900<br />

800<br />

700<br />

600<br />

500<br />

400<br />

300<br />

Jan-03<br />

Jan-04<br />

Jan-05<br />

• Pulp prices stabilizing<br />

Jan-06<br />

* Source: Average monthly FOEX delivered European prices<br />

NBSK (US$/ton) NBSK (EUR/ton)<br />

Jan-07<br />

Jan-08<br />

Jan-09<br />

Jan-10<br />

Jan-11<br />

Jan-12<br />

54<br />

$831/ton<br />

€644/ton


Low cost wood resources – Eastern Cape project<br />

• 30 000 ha of tree plantations by 2020;<br />

• Supply ± 450k ton/annum;<br />

• Ownership with communities;<br />

• <strong>Sappi</strong> as Implementation Partner;<br />

• 12 600 ha in Project Pipeline;<br />

• 690 ha planted to date;<br />

| Roadbook | <strong>March</strong> 2012<br />

55<br />

• 500 direct and 1500 indirect jobs /10 000 ha;<br />

• Grant funding. Supplemented by <strong>Sappi</strong> and IDC;


Renewable energy and energy levy<br />

• Selling electricity to Eskom from:<br />

| Roadbook | <strong>March</strong> 2012<br />

• Ngodwana<br />

• Saiccor<br />

• Access to biomass resources to<br />

improve energy self sufficiency<br />

• Energy levy of 2.5c/kW on generated electricity;<br />

• Exeption for co‐generation & renewable energy<br />

• Gazetted 15 Dec 2011<br />

56


Restructuring update<br />

• Adamas<br />

• Fixed cost reduction of R77m<br />

• Profitable products carouselled<br />

• Site cleaned and being offered for sale<br />

• SG&A functions<br />

• Marketing, Sales & Supply Chain<br />

completed<br />

• Procurement, HR, Communications,<br />

Finance � shared services<br />

• Other opportunities being<br />

investigated<br />

• Cost savings of R39m<br />

| Roadbook | <strong>March</strong> 2012


Improving our operations and products<br />

• Aligning capacity with demand<br />

• Closing highest cost lines<br />

• Address future environmental costs<br />

• Reduces cost by R250 million p.a.<br />

• Lowest cost producer<br />

| Roadbook | <strong>March</strong> 2012<br />

• Simplified product range<br />

• Value for money products<br />

• Excellent, efficient service<br />

• Niche market opportunities


Summary<br />

• Investing in Chemical Cellulose<br />

• Low cost producer<br />

• Fast growing market<br />

• Excellent customer relationships<br />

• Growing forestry assets<br />

• Improving paper business<br />

• Better use of timber<br />

• Improving cost position<br />

• Profitable with growth<br />

opportunities<br />

| Roadbook | <strong>March</strong> 2012


• Group Overview<br />

| Roadbook | <strong>March</strong> 2012<br />

• Products<br />

• Strategy<br />

• Results<br />

• Divisional Overviews<br />

• North America<br />

• Europe<br />

• South Africa<br />

• Conclusions


Strategic Overview<br />

• Growth plans progressing well – realistic expectations and confidence in<br />

our track record. No other major projects in the next few years<br />

• Fixing our EU and SA businesses an on-going process, minimise cash<br />

expenditure and take out costs<br />

• Optimisation of NA and Chemical Cellulose businesses on-going – signs<br />

of pulp price turning<br />

• Debt remains important focus – refinancing has lowered cost, maturities<br />

still good but intend to bring levels down to below $2bn post CC projects<br />

and reduce gearing (e.g. Net debt:EBITDA) to a different order of<br />

magnitude<br />

| Roadbook | <strong>March</strong> 2012


| Roadbook | <strong>March</strong> 2012<br />

Conclusion<br />

• We have a sound strategy<br />

• We believe in what we are doing<br />

• Traction on actions to date<br />

• World is uncertain<br />

• Totally committed to achieving more<br />

wins and accelerating value creation for<br />

shareholders through improved profit,<br />

strategic positioning and debt reduction


| Roadbook | <strong>March</strong> 2012<br />

Inspired by life

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