<strong>Urbanisation</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>Namibia</strong>1. IntroductionWorld urbanisation trends have been irreversible s<strong>in</strong>ce the second half of the 20th century.The world’s population is <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>gly found <strong>in</strong> the cities. For the first time <strong>in</strong> history, morethan half (3.3 billion) of the world’s population lived <strong>in</strong> urban areas by 2008 (UNDP, 2010). Itis estimated that by 2030, 60% of the world’s population will be liv<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> urban areas. Thereare currently 19 megacities <strong>in</strong> the world and there are expected to be 27 by 2020 (UNFPA,2011). <strong>Urbanisation</strong> is simply def<strong>in</strong>ed as the shift from a rural to urban society, and <strong>in</strong>volvesan <strong>in</strong>crease <strong>in</strong> the number of people <strong>in</strong> urban areas dur<strong>in</strong>g a particular year. <strong>Urbanisation</strong> isthe outcome of social, economic and political developments that leads to urban concentrationand growth of large cities, changes <strong>in</strong> land use and transformation from rural to metropolitanpattern of organisation and governance. This rush to the cities is also caused <strong>in</strong> part by theattraction of opportunities for wealth generation and economic development (Aryeetey-Attoh,1997; Bulmuo, 2011). In African context, the rapid urbanisation has seen a large number ofrural population becom<strong>in</strong>g urban residents. It is generally acknowledged that urbanisationbr<strong>in</strong>gs sharp <strong>in</strong>crease <strong>in</strong> consumer and <strong>in</strong>vestment demand, but also generates huge need <strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>frastructure, public services and hous<strong>in</strong>g.Notwithstand<strong>in</strong>g the economic development brought about through urbanisation, rapidgrowth of cities also causes severe ecological, economic and social problems which<strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>gly become difficult to manage <strong>in</strong> a susta<strong>in</strong>able way (Firebaugh, 1979; Hanson, 2007).It is recognised that <strong>in</strong> most develop<strong>in</strong>g countries about 30% of urban populations are liv<strong>in</strong>g<strong>in</strong> slums or <strong>in</strong>formal settlements, i.e. where vacant state-owned or private land is occupiedillegally and is used for illegal slum hous<strong>in</strong>g (Konadu-Agyemang, 2001; Zulu et al. 2011). Insub-Saharan Africa, it is reported that new urban settlements are <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>gly tak<strong>in</strong>g the formof slums (Alabaster, 2010). Often, slums or <strong>in</strong>formal settlements are built on high-risk locationswhich make them more vulnerable to disastrous conditions <strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g floods, storms, and<strong>in</strong>fectious diseases among others. Nevertheless, unplanned or <strong>in</strong>formal urban development <strong>in</strong>developed countries is also a major issue.In 1960, of the total population of 280 million <strong>in</strong> Africa, only 18.8% was urban mak<strong>in</strong>g it tobe viewed a typically rural cont<strong>in</strong>ent. By 1990, 33% of Africa’s 645 million people were liv<strong>in</strong>g<strong>in</strong> urban areas. Currently more than 40% of Africa’s population is urban and it is projectedthat this proportion will <strong>in</strong>crease to 60% (1.23 billion) by 2050 (UN-Habitat 2010). Thus rapidurbanisation is a dist<strong>in</strong>guish<strong>in</strong>g characteristic of contemporary Africa and it is greatly spurredby rural- urban migration.2
<strong>Urbanisation</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>Namibia</strong>The urban population of SADC <strong>in</strong>creased from 20.5 million <strong>in</strong> 1990 to 34 million <strong>in</strong> 2010 and isestimated to <strong>in</strong>crease to 39 million <strong>in</strong> 2020 and further to 52 million <strong>in</strong> 2030 1 (Figure 1). S<strong>in</strong>ce2010, 59% of the SADC population live <strong>in</strong> urban areas a figure that is projected to reach over75% by mid-century.Figure 1: Urban Population 1950-2050Accord<strong>in</strong>g to the 1991 <strong>Namibia</strong> Population and Hous<strong>in</strong>g Census, the urban population of<strong>Namibia</strong> stood at 28%. Subsequently, this population <strong>in</strong>creased to 33% <strong>in</strong> 2001 and further to42% <strong>in</strong> 2011 (NSA, 2012). This trend is not unique to <strong>Namibia</strong> but it is also observed <strong>in</strong> mostsouthern African countries where levels of urbanisation are estimated to have reached over50% (i.e. 61% <strong>in</strong> Botswana, 62% South Africa). 2 In <strong>Namibia</strong>, urbanisation is spurred primarilyby rural- urban migration, although rural re-classification and growth of urban centres are alsocontribut<strong>in</strong>g factors (Pendleton et al. 2012). This <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g movement of people from rural tourban areas has ensured a rapid and unprecedented urbanisation <strong>in</strong> the country.At <strong>in</strong>dependence most of the urban population <strong>in</strong> <strong>Namibia</strong> was <strong>in</strong> the central and southernparts of the country, and the northern and north-eastern parts were predom<strong>in</strong>antly rural. Thedevelopment of towns <strong>in</strong> <strong>Namibia</strong> stems from their pre-<strong>in</strong>dependence status, as service townsfor transportation of raw materials and farm products primarily to South Africa. Currently,through the Local Authority Act 23 of 1992 they are clearly dist<strong>in</strong>guished as municipalities,towns and villages. Municipalities are the highest level of local authority; they are autonomousby law both f<strong>in</strong>ancially and adm<strong>in</strong>istratively. Towns are expected to grow <strong>in</strong>to autonomousand proclaimed municipalities when economic conditions permit, that is to make them<strong>in</strong>dependent f<strong>in</strong>ancially and adm<strong>in</strong>istratively.1UN-HABITAT, The State of African Cities 2010: Governance, Inequality and Land Markets. Nairobi (2010:207)2UN-HABITAT: State of African Cities 20103