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Foreign Affairs<br />
educating its people. Any family is focused on<br />
educating its young. Any sacrifice is not too big for a<br />
good education.<br />
Try to <strong>get</strong> into a Japanese university? Unless you are<br />
at the very top (globally) for<strong>get</strong> it.<br />
In Singapore, chewing gum is banned as it pollutes<br />
the pavements and the entire country.<br />
We may laugh at it, but it creates<br />
dedication and respect shared by<br />
all.<br />
True that manufacturing in<br />
China or Korea are tops (cars<br />
for instance), true that IT<br />
companies (TATA, etc.) are<br />
tops, true that consumer<br />
electronics from Asia are<br />
tops, but… is it all rosy? Is<br />
it all where we should be<br />
heading? Maybe not, because<br />
it is not without problems.<br />
Wiki says: Asia’s large economic<br />
disparities are a source of major<br />
continuing tension in the region. Some nations<br />
like Japan, India and China are topping the chart, but<br />
not all are.<br />
The large number of cheap labour in the region,<br />
particularly in China and India, cannot continue.<br />
The rising standard of living will eventually lead<br />
to levelling of salaries and wages. That means the<br />
competitive advantage will go away.<br />
India and Pakistan are both nuclear powers and not<br />
exactly the best of friends. That means that military<br />
spending is a factor. China is arming as well and the<br />
expenses have to be met from the national coffers.<br />
In essence: it cannot be spent on alleviating poverty<br />
and creating more jobs.<br />
The more interesting threat for the future is the<br />
potential global danger posed by the economy of<br />
Asia as it grows the accumulation of foreign exchange<br />
reserves. The countries/regions with the largest<br />
foreign reserves are mostly in Asia :<br />
• China (Mainland) $2 454 billion<br />
• Hong Kong $245 billion<br />
• Japan $1 019 billion<br />
• India $ 284 billion<br />
• Taiwan $ 372 billion<br />
• The Republic of Korea $ 286 billion<br />
• Singapore $ 206 billion<br />
This increasingly means that the interchangeability<br />
of the Euro, USD and GBP are heavily influenced by<br />
Asian central banks.<br />
Isn’t this good? Well, yes. But if we look at what<br />
happened in Middle East in the 1970’s, we might see<br />
the same happening now. Asia is pooling so<br />
much money that they have problems<br />
spending it. The oil producers<br />
of Middle East had the same<br />
problem.<br />
Commitment of untold<br />
billions to long-term<br />
projects is good, but if<br />
<strong>there</strong> should be a hiccup?<br />
As happened in the 1980’s<br />
when the oil producers<br />
(Iran being one of them)<br />
had to re-prioritise? Then<br />
suddenly the infrastructure<br />
projects will have to slow<br />
down, the social system might<br />
have to take a knock… and then we<br />
have 4,4 billion unhappy people. And<br />
that will not be great for anybody.<br />
Pollution and energy consumption will be a growing<br />
problem. China has tons of coal, but coal is not green!<br />
The day that 4,4 billion people will be consuming<br />
energy (electricity, oil, gas, heating, air con, industry,<br />
the works) as we see in Europe and US will be the day<br />
where we are seriously running out of energy. Unless<br />
we do something.<br />
Is it all doom and gloom when<br />
looking into the future?<br />
No, as long as we have the chance to eradicate<br />
poverty and to bring the rest of the world into the<br />
same standard as we otherwise see in US and<br />
Europe. Never mind that countries like Japan,<br />
Singapore, Taiwan and so on have passed Europe in<br />
living standards. We talk about the other countreis<br />
that is not-so-well-off.<br />
Sustainable energy (wind, solar, wave) is a reality<br />
and we see Asia being on the forefront. Universal<br />
standards will mean something. The millennium<br />
goals will be achieved. And isn’t that what we want<br />
as humanity?<br />
So, the question is: Asia <strong>–</strong> where art thou going?>HOLA MAHIGH-SCHOOL 43