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Foreign Affairs<br />

educating its people. Any family is focused on<br />

educating its young. Any sacrifice is not too big for a<br />

good education.<br />

Try to <strong>get</strong> into a Japanese university? Unless you are<br />

at the very top (globally) for<strong>get</strong> it.<br />

In Singapore, chewing gum is banned as it pollutes<br />

the pavements and the entire country.<br />

We may laugh at it, but it creates<br />

dedication and respect shared by<br />

all.<br />

True that manufacturing in<br />

China or Korea are tops (cars<br />

for instance), true that IT<br />

companies (TATA, etc.) are<br />

tops, true that consumer<br />

electronics from Asia are<br />

tops, but… is it all rosy? Is<br />

it all where we should be<br />

heading? Maybe not, because<br />

it is not without problems.<br />

Wiki says: Asia’s large economic<br />

disparities are a source of major<br />

continuing tension in the region. Some nations<br />

like Japan, India and China are topping the chart, but<br />

not all are.<br />

The large number of cheap labour in the region,<br />

particularly in China and India, cannot continue.<br />

The rising standard of living will eventually lead<br />

to levelling of salaries and wages. That means the<br />

competitive advantage will go away.<br />

India and Pakistan are both nuclear powers and not<br />

exactly the best of friends. That means that military<br />

spending is a factor. China is arming as well and the<br />

expenses have to be met from the national coffers.<br />

In essence: it cannot be spent on alleviating poverty<br />

and creating more jobs.<br />

The more interesting threat for the future is the<br />

potential global danger posed by the economy of<br />

Asia as it grows the accumulation of foreign exchange<br />

reserves. The countries/regions with the largest<br />

foreign reserves are mostly in Asia :<br />

• China (Mainland) $2 454 billion<br />

• Hong Kong $245 billion<br />

• Japan $1 019 billion<br />

• India $ 284 billion<br />

• Taiwan $ 372 billion<br />

• The Republic of Korea $ 286 billion<br />

• Singapore $ 206 billion<br />

This increasingly means that the interchangeability<br />

of the Euro, USD and GBP are heavily influenced by<br />

Asian central banks.<br />

Isn’t this good? Well, yes. But if we look at what<br />

happened in Middle East in the 1970’s, we might see<br />

the same happening now. Asia is pooling so<br />

much money that they have problems<br />

spending it. The oil producers<br />

of Middle East had the same<br />

problem.<br />

Commitment of untold<br />

billions to long-term<br />

projects is good, but if<br />

<strong>there</strong> should be a hiccup?<br />

As happened in the 1980’s<br />

when the oil producers<br />

(Iran being one of them)<br />

had to re-prioritise? Then<br />

suddenly the infrastructure<br />

projects will have to slow<br />

down, the social system might<br />

have to take a knock… and then we<br />

have 4,4 billion unhappy people. And<br />

that will not be great for anybody.<br />

Pollution and energy consumption will be a growing<br />

problem. China has tons of coal, but coal is not green!<br />

The day that 4,4 billion people will be consuming<br />

energy (electricity, oil, gas, heating, air con, industry,<br />

the works) as we see in Europe and US will be the day<br />

where we are seriously running out of energy. Unless<br />

we do something.<br />

Is it all doom and gloom when<br />

looking into the future?<br />

No, as long as we have the chance to eradicate<br />

poverty and to bring the rest of the world into the<br />

same standard as we otherwise see in US and<br />

Europe. Never mind that countries like Japan,<br />

Singapore, Taiwan and so on have passed Europe in<br />

living standards. We talk about the other countreis<br />

that is not-so-well-off.<br />

Sustainable energy (wind, solar, wave) is a reality<br />

and we see Asia being on the forefront. Universal<br />

standards will mean something. The millennium<br />

goals will be achieved. And isn’t that what we want<br />

as humanity?<br />

So, the question is: Asia <strong>–</strong> where art thou going?>HOLA MAHIGH-SCHOOL 43

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