George W Bush and the Evangelicals

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Figure 3: Predicted Party Identification and Presidential Vote of Evangelical Protestants from Models Including Controls for Demographic Characteristics, 1964-2004 Source: 1964-2004 National Election Studies Note: Party identification ranges from strong Democrat (1) to strong Republican (7).
Figure 4: Party Alignments of Frequently and Infrequently Attending Evangelical Protestants and the Congressional Party Alignment on Cultural Issues, 1970-2004 Source: 1970-2004 National Election Studies and Congressional Quarterly Note: All three series are standardized (mean = 50, standard deviation = 25). The evangelical party alignment is the percentage Republican minus the percentage Democrat. The congressional alignment is the percentage of Republican members voting on the conservative side on all cultural issues minus the percentage of Democratic members voting conservative on cultural issues in each year.
Page 1 and 2: George W. Bush and the Evangelicals
Page 3 and 4: agreement and partisanship, but to
Page 5 and 6: vote Republican than they have been
Page 7 and 8: Data and Measurement In order to ex
Page 9 and 10: percentage of these two groups iden
Page 11 and 12: Democratic identifications through
Page 13 and 14: 7 presidential vote. The models inc
Page 15 and 16: difference between the voting behav
Page 17 and 18: have been asked about-with the same
Page 19 and 20: loadings on several observed indica
Page 21 and 22: direct effect only on moral attitud
Page 23 and 24: References Abramowitz, Alan I. 2004
Page 25 and 26: Marsden, George M. 1980. Fundamenta
Page 27: Figure 2: Voting for Republican Pre
Page 31 and 32: Figure 6: The Impact of Belief Orth
Page 33 and 34: Table 1: Statistical Significance o
Page 35 and 36: Table 3: Percentage of Frequently-A
Page 37 and 38: Appendix B: Changes Over Time in th
Page 39 and 40: High-Commitment Evangelicals Low-Co
Page 41: High-Commitment Evangelicals Low-Co

George W Bush and the Evangelicals

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