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Front Panel Painting “LIFE” By William T Chua MD

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B. Risk Modification: Its Safety and Limitations<br />

In 2007, a meta-analysis of antithrombotic therapy for SPAF was conducted. Its objective was<br />

to characterize the efficacy and safety of anticoagulants and antiplatelet agents for SPAF. All<br />

published randomized trials of antithrombotic therapy for SPAF with a mean follow-up of 3<br />

months were included and 29 trials were identified involving a total of 28,044 participants and<br />

mean follow-up of 1.5 years. Treatment comparisons included: warfarin vs. placebo (6 trials;<br />

N=2900), aspirin vs. placebo (7 trials; N=3990) and warfarin vs. aspirin (8 trials; N=3647). 9<br />

Table 4 shows the six key randomized controlled studies in the prevention of stroke in AF. They<br />

pointed out that warfarin reduced the risk of stroke by 64% compared to placebo, that it was<br />

better than aspirin in reducing thromboembolism and stroke by 38% and that aspirin (ASA) had<br />

only limited efficacy of 19% reduction of stroke compared to placebo. 9 Of these studies, all<br />

were for primary prevention with only EAFT that showed secondary prevention with warfarin.<br />

To achieve the beneficial effect of anticoagulation, the international normalized ratio (INR)<br />

should be from 2 to 3 and at a higher intensity of anticoagulation of 2.5 to 3.5 for those with<br />

mechanical prosthetic valve. 10<br />

Table 4: Reductions in thromboembolic risk with warfarin compared with placebo 11<br />

Study<br />

Primary<br />

Outcome<br />

Annual Rate<br />

Warfarin<br />

Placebo<br />

RRR<br />

(%)<br />

P-value<br />

TIA and AF<br />

Primary Prevention<br />

AFASAK<br />

SPAF<br />

BAATAF<br />

CAFA<br />

SPINAF<br />

Secondary<br />

Prevention<br />

EAFT<br />

S, NSE, TIA, ICB<br />

S, NSE<br />

S<br />

S, NSE, ICB, FB<br />

S<br />

2.7<br />

2.3<br />

0.4<br />

3.4<br />

0.9<br />

6.2<br />

7.1<br />

3.0<br />

4.6<br />

4.3<br />

56<br />

67<br />

86<br />

26<br />

79<br />

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