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Technology and market perspective for future Value Added Materials

Full text of the market study - European Commission - Europa

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The investors emphasised that work with<br />

VAMs is a high-risk type of businesses.<br />

Capital intensiveness, commercialization<br />

risks, technology risks — all these factors<br />

influence capital funds’ willingness to allocate<br />

resources.<br />

Quotations garnered from our interviews<br />

reflect these factors:<br />

‘There [are] a lot of interesting things in materials<br />

science — the point is nevertheless to identify<br />

the commercial need <strong>for</strong> it. It’s not that easy<br />

to see it often. It could be a really light <strong>and</strong><br />

durable material, but you need 1 billion dollars<br />

to commercialize it — the magnitude of money<br />

is very large here — on billion scales — the risk<br />

is tremendous <strong>and</strong> the time <strong>perspective</strong> is large.<br />

The material may be cool, but the amount of<br />

investments needed <strong>and</strong> the risks involved<br />

outweigh its potential to pay off.’<br />

‘You need to consider different commercial<br />

needs that you believe in, that are not only<br />

technically do-able, but also manufactured in<br />

such a way that it brings a high yield, with notso-high<br />

production costs <strong>and</strong> not-so-high risks.’<br />

‘People come with new materials <strong>and</strong> technologies<br />

all the time, but these produce small<br />

changes in very complicated systems <strong>and</strong> require<br />

[a] huge amount of money. It takes a long<br />

time, depending on what they do. Even if in the<br />

lab the results are good it may not be the same<br />

when tested in the industry. Many don’t underst<strong>and</strong><br />

how much time <strong>and</strong> money it takes to<br />

bring a new technology to the <strong>market</strong>. It is<br />

common that people put a lot of money in R&D<br />

of a material <strong>and</strong> then they search <strong>for</strong> its applications:<br />

i.e. start from the technical side <strong>and</strong> try<br />

to match with some commercial needs. These<br />

applications can pay <strong>for</strong> all [the] money you<br />

need to invest, but one needs to start from the<br />

commercial side.’<br />

Reasons <strong>for</strong> not investing<br />

Our in<strong>for</strong>mants revealed several reasons<br />

<strong>for</strong> not investing in new developing businesses<br />

in the area of materials industry.<br />

The investors’ views can be summarised as<br />

follows:<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

too capital intensive (example: hydrogen<br />

storage);<br />

political complexity (example: hydropower,<br />

nuclear power);<br />

limited <strong>market</strong> (example: wave energy);<br />

<strong>market</strong> not ready (example: energy<br />

storage);<br />

technological challenges (example:<br />

superconductivity facing complex<br />

technical problems, fuel cells, batteries<br />

— lot of R&D resources were invested<br />

with little success, hydropower<br />

— no mature technology);<br />

<br />

lack of trust in <strong>market</strong> potential;<br />

not profitable business (example:<br />

transports, environmental related<br />

businesses, unless policy regulates the<br />

<strong>market</strong>);<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

investor doesn’t know much about the<br />

specific <strong>market</strong> (example: prostheses<br />

or biomaterials);<br />

risky business (example: health effects<br />

of nanotechnologies);<br />

overinvested sector (example: ICT).<br />

Many interviewed investors, especially<br />

those who invest in clean tech <strong>and</strong> med<br />

tech, are materials or technology experts<br />

themselves or have other technical backgrounds.<br />

They are updated with the research<br />

<strong>and</strong> developments in their field—<br />

they have a clear view on where the breakthroughs<br />

are happening <strong>and</strong> the potential<br />

of development in the field.<br />

The decision of how to invest partly reflects<br />

the companies’ current investment<br />

portfolio <strong>and</strong> partly the respondent’s assessment<br />

on the <strong>future</strong> of a potential in-<br />

42

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