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Ashika Monthly Insight August 2016

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STRONG ON CONSUMPTION<br />

Cloud services are growing due to organizations pursuing a digital business strategy. Among Indian companies, Mind Tree<br />

and Peristent Systems have gained importance among other global IT companies followed by Tech Mahindra, L&T Infotech<br />

and Hexaware Technologies as shown below.<br />

Mind Tree is leading in the digital services category globally<br />

However, recently IT sector performance has been soft<br />

due to delayed client spending mostly due to uncertainty<br />

around two factors:<br />

• The upcoming presidential election in the US will<br />

play a crucial part: India’s export of software services<br />

accounted for $82 bn in the financial year March<br />

2015, according to the Reserve Bank of India. 60%<br />

of the export revenues came from North America.<br />

Recently, America has doubled the fees for certain<br />

categories of H1B and L1 visas to $4,000 and<br />

$4,500 respectively which will adversely affect the<br />

Indian IT companies. Nasscom said the decision’s<br />

financial implications for the Indian technology<br />

sector would be around $400 mn a year. In addition<br />

the US presidential elections’ candidates are Hilary<br />

Clinton and Donald Trump out of which the latter is<br />

not so favorable to outsourcing of employees. He<br />

has been frequently accusing India and China of<br />

taking unfair “advantage of the United States” and<br />

also told “H-1B, whatever it is, I use it but I don’t like<br />

it. I want to scrap all H-1B visas.” IT industry may<br />

face setbacks if Donald Trump wins the elections.<br />

• Brexit may likely cause a delay in consumer<br />

spending: The unexpected and most eventful event of<br />

the UK leaving from the EU finally happened and will<br />

likely have its repercussions over the coming years.<br />

Many clients have delayed their client spending<br />

because of the uncertain impact from this event. If<br />

the UK currency -Pound depreciates further, current IT<br />

contracts, if not re-negotiated, would either become<br />

loss making propositions or would not yield the same<br />

kind of margin. However, this may cause a temporary<br />

setback for Indian IT firms but according to Nasscom<br />

President “in the longer term, Brexit holds<br />

opportunities for India”<br />

Below are the companies whose exposure to the US and<br />

European countries are given below. Tier 2 IT firms like<br />

Persistent Systems and Hexaware derive more than 80%<br />

of the revenues from North America while NIIT Technology<br />

has the highest exposure (35%)to the European markets,<br />

followed by Tech Mahindra which has around 29% of<br />

exposure in Europe. Attrition rate of Infosys and Cyient has<br />

been the highest >=20% off-late.<br />

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