2016 Pregame.com College Football Betting Guide

• QUICK REFERENCE TEAM WRITE-UPS • BRAD POWERS’ POWER RATINGS 

•ATS & OVER/UNDER RECORDS FROM THE L4Y’S • OVERALL & SEASON STATS THE L4Y 

•AWESOME TEAM ANGLES •PERCENTAGE OF STARTS BY EACH CLASS 

•A LOOK BACK AT LY’S NUMBERS AND A LOOK AHEAD TO THIS YEAR 

•PERCENTAGE OF RETURING STATS FOR EACH POSITION • PLUS EVEN MORE FEATURES 

PREPARED BY RALPH MICHAELS AND BRAD POWERS

PREGAME.COM is proud to present………….. 

Ralph was raised in the home of handicappers – Cleveland, 

Ohio. Starting in the industry as a key member of Phil Steele’s 

early team who expanded Northcoast Sports during the mid- 

90s. Ralph’s personal following grew fast, allowing him to strike 

out on his own as the founder of California Sports. Bookie 

crushing basketball results came quickly – including the rare 

feat of back-to-back College Basketball World Championships 

at the Sports Monitor. Results so good that California Sports 

became a household name; one of the few public handicappers 

in history syndicates bet big enough to move lines instantly 

upon his pick releases. Wiseguys in the late 90s would explain 

the reason for a big move by simply saying “best bet from Cal.” 

These many accomplishments impressed Phil Steele enough to 

offer Ralph Michaels the top job. Over the next dozen years as 

General Manager of Phil Steele Publications and lead handicapper 

of Northcoast Sports, Ralph managed the creation of some 

of the most popular sports betting content ever, including Phil 

Steele’s College Football Preview Magazine and Northcoast’s 

Power Sweep Newsletter. Content displaying expertise so elite 

that Ralph was invited into college football’s most exclusive 

club: Heisman Trophy Voter. For nearly a decade Ralph’s opinion 

was counted equally side-by-side the most respected college 

football journalist in the country! 

Ralph Michaels has a math mind, steady searching for a value 

in the numbers – in addition to matchup edges, situational advantages, 

and hidden gems of information. Ralph finds more 

big bets in the college versions of football and basketball, but 

his handicapping approach also uncovers selective winners in 

the professional leagues. Small conferences are particularly 

profitable due to mispriced injuries and his profiling of exploitable 

coaching tendencies. 

Brad Powers started in the industry as a key 

contributor to Phil Steele Publications. For six 

years, Brad was the main writer for Phil Steele's 

daily blog while also being the lead college football 

writer for Northcoast Sports' Power Sweep 

newsletter. 

Brad contributed significantly to numerous preseason 

national award watch lists such as the 

Lombardi, Outland, Nagurski, Maxwell, Bednarik 

and Thorpe while also appearing as a guest on 

countless radio shows - including a weekly 1- 

hour featured segment on SiriusXM College 

Sports Nation with Bill King for 5 years. Last 

season, Brad Powers placed third in Playbook’s 

prestigious Wise Guys contest. 

As far as his handicapping philosophy goes, 

Brad is in constant search for finding value in 

the numbers – in addition to matchup edges, 

situational advantages, and hidden gems of information. 

Brad finds more big bets in the college 

versions of football and basketball, but his 

handicapping approach also uncovers selective 

winners in the pros. Small conferences are particularly 

his specialty. 

Brad Power's educational background includes a 

cum laude graduate degree from Bowling Green 

State University with a B.S. in Journalism. He 

also graduated #1 in his high school class. He 

currently resides in Las Vegas.

2015 FINAL Overall Pts/G Conference 

ATLANTIC W L Pct Own Opp W L Pct 

Clemson 14 1 93.3% 38.5 21.7 9 0 100.0% 

Florida State 10 3 76.9% 31.7 17.5 6 2 75.0% 

Louisville 8 5 61.5% 28.7 24.1 5 3 62.5% 

North Carolina State7 6 53.8% 33.2 25.8 3 5 37.5% 

Syracuse 4 8 33.3% 27.3 31.0 2 6 25.0% 

Wake Forest 3 9 25.0% 17.4 24.6 1 7 12.5% 

Boston College 3 9 25.0% 17.2 15.3 0 8 0.0% 

COASTAL W L Pct Own Opp W L Pct 

North Carolina 11 3 78.6% 40.7 24.5 8 1 88.9% 

Pittsburgh 8 5 61.5% 28.2 26.1 6 2 75.0% 

Miami (FL) 8 5 61.5% 27.8 28.2 5 3 62.5% 

Duke 8 5 61.5% 31.5 25.4 4 4 50.0% 

Virginia Tech 7 6 53.8% 31.0 26.3 4 4 50.0% 

Virginia 4 8 33.3% 25.8 32.2 3 5 37.5% 

Georgia Tech 3 9 25.0% 29.3 25.8 1 7 12.5% 

BRAD POWER 

2016 POWER RATINGS 

Rank Team Rating 

2 Clemson 94.58 

5 Florida St 93.32 

17 Louisville 85.44 

20 North Carolina 84.79 

25 Miami (FL) 84.34 

32 Pittsburgh 81.81 

38 Virginia Tech 79.90 

46 NC State 77.16 

48 Georgia Tech 76.88 

54 Boston Coll 74.78 

56 Duke 73.90 

64 Virginia 71.94 

71 Wake Forest 70.63 

74 Syracuse 69.60

A Look Back… 

2015 : 3-9, 0-8 (#7 ACC-Atlantic) 

Ret Starters: OFF-2, DEF-6 

NCAA Rank Off - Def: #127 - #1 

SOS: #59 Adjusted Off – Def: #123 - #3 

Recruiting: Conf – Ov: #14 - #62 

Final Rank (Power rating): #76 (66.4) 

Boston College 

The Eagles in ’16 

HC here: Steve Addazio – 4 th 

Ret Starters: OFF-7.3*, DEF-7.2 


Fr. So. ‘15 starts by class: Jr. Sr. 

8.7% 31.4% 21.6% 38.3% 

LAS VEGAS WIN TOTALS 

Eagles are 1-11 ATS as an AF Season Win's (odds) Record result 

after a home game (s’/9/23/06) 2016 6.5 (-110) 

2015 5.5 (-135) 3-9 und 

2014 5.5 (+235) 7-5 OV 

2013 4.5 (+100) 7-5 OV 

2012 4.5 (n/a) 2-10 und 

PPG (tm-opp) YPG (tm-opp) Plays Yds/ply TO's 

2015 All 1.9 (17.2-15.2) 21.3 (276-254) 63-63 4.4-4.1 3 

’15 conf only -9.2 (9.1-18.4) -64.2 (230-294) 61-67 3.8-4.4 -5 

2014 All 4.9 (26.2-21.3) 59.5 (384-324) 68-63 5.7-5.1 1 

’14 conf only 1.1 (22.9-21.8) -2.8 (329-332) 63-66 5.2-5.1 0 

2013 All -1.2 (27.7-28.9) -60.2 (367-427) 61-72 6.0-5.9 3 

’13 conf only -1.2 (26.8-28.0) -54.1 (344-398) 61-73 5.7-5.5 1 

2012 All -9.8 (19.8-29.7) -106.6 (349-456) 68-82 5.1-5.6 -5 

’12 conf only -15.2 (19.2-34.5) -119.9 (346-466) 70-81 5.0-5.7 -8 

Percentage of stats back for 2016 (OL starts, Def Tackles) 

Pass Rush Rec OL DL LB’s DB’s 

100% 84% 74% 55% 57% 67% 72% 

It’s not often that you go 3-9 and still are +2 ppg and +21 ypg on the 

season but that was the case for the Eagles last year. BC finished #123 

in adjusted offense and #3 in adjusted defense. They only had 3 

returning starters back on offense so they were expected to be poor 

and despite only 6 returning starters on defense they finished #1 in 

the NCAA in ypg allowed! 

This year the offense has 8 back but you could see a new QB in 

Kentucky transfer Patrick Towles. They do get RB Jon Hilliman back 

from injury (missed most of last season) and only have to replace their 

No. 4 receiver and a pair of OL starters. 

The D does lose a pair of DL that combined for 10 sacks and 26 tfl’s 

while also losing their top LB tackler and their top DB tackler. While 

they remain one of the best in the country (allowed ONLY 15 TD’s on 

the year despite a poor offense), they do lose their DC to Michigan. 

The Eagles start off their season in Ireland with a conference game vs 

Ga Tech. They figure to be favored in 4 of their next 6 games and may 

need to beat both UConn and WF in the last 2 to get back to a bowl. 

Schedule with SouthPoint June Line 

Date Day Opponent 

9/3 Sat (N) Georgia Tech 

9/10 Sat at UMass 

9/17 Sat at Virginia Tech 

9/24 Sat Wagner 

10/1 Sat Buffalo 

10/7 Fri Clemson 

10/22 Sat Syracuse 

10/29 Sat at NC St 

11/5 Sat Louisville 

11/11 Fri at Florida St 

11/19 Sat Connecticut 

11/26 Sat at Wake Forest 

open 

Boston College is 10-2 to the 

UNDER off a loss the last 2 years 

Logs Courtesy of SportsDatabase.com 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

SU 2-10 7-6 7-6 3-9 

Home 2-4 5-1 3-4 3-4 

Away 0-6 2-4 4-1 0-4 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

ATS 4-8 7-6 8-5 3-7 

HF 2-0 3-1 2-1 0-3 

HD 2-2 2-0 2-2 0-3 

AF 0-1 0-2 1-1 0-1 

AD 0-5 1-2 3-0 2-0 

vs Conf 2-6 6-2 5-3 2-5 

Non Conf 2-2 1-4 3-2 1-2 

Off SU Loss 4-5 3-2 4-1 2-5 

Loss by 10+ pts 3-2 3-1 2-0 2-2 

Off SU Win 0-2 4-3 3-4 1-1 

Win by 10+ pts 0-2 4-3 3-4 1-1 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

Over/Under 5-6 8-5 6-7 1-9 

as HF 0-1 2-2 1-2 0-3 

as HD 3-1 2-0 3-1 0-2 

as AF 1-0 2-0 0-2 0-1 

as AD 1-4 0-3 1-2 1-2 

vs Conf 4-4 5-3 3-5 1-6 

vs Non Conf 1-2 3-2 3-2 0-3 

Off SU Loss 4-4 4-1 1-4 1-6 

Loss by 10+ pts 2-3 3-1 1-1 0-4 

Off SU Win 0-2 4-3 5-2 0-2 

Win by 10+ pts 0-2 4-3 5-2 0-2


2015 : 14-1, 8-0 (#1 ACC-Atlantic) 

Ret Starters: OFF-6*, DEF-3 





Clemson 

The Tigers in ’16 

HC here: Dabo Swinney – 9 th 

Ret Starters: OFF-7.7*, DEF-4 



8.8% 25.8% 44.8% 20.6% 


The Tigers are 12-1 ATS as an Season Win's (odds) Record result 

AD after a home win (s’/9/20/03) 2016 10.5 (-110) 

2015 8.5 (-180) 12-0 OV 

2014 8.5 (-105) 9-3 OV 

2013 10.5 (+165) 10-2 und 

2012 8.5 (n/a) 10-2 OV 


2015 All 16.8 (38.5-21.7) 201.5 (515-313) 80-65 6.4-4.9 -2 

’15 conf only 17.8 (38.8-21.0) 266.9 (545-278) 82-61 6.6-4.6 -3 

2014 All 14.2 (30.8-16.7) 147.5 (408-261) 76-65 5.4-4.0 6 

’14 conf only 7.8 (25.5-17.8) 116.1 (381-265) 76-64 5.0-4.1 0 

2013 All 18.0 (40.2-22.2) 151.0 (508-357) 80-71 6.4-5.0 6 

’13 conf only 19.4 (40.4-21.0) 150.1 (517-367) 82-71 6.3-5.1 7 

2012 All 16.2 (41.0-24.8) 116.2 (513-396) 82-70 6.3-5.7 1 

’12 conf only 19.1 (46.5-27.4) 119.4 (543-423) 83-72 6.5-5.9 -1 



100% 91% 73% 59% 44% 51% 39% 

Dabo Swinney has done a great job here. Last year, despite returning 

only 9 starters, they had one of their best seasons in school history 

before losing to Alabama in the National Championship game. 

The Heisman favorite coming into the season is QB Deshaun Watson 

who passed for 4,104 yards and had 1,219 gross yards rushing. The 

Tigers also return their 1,500-yard RB, their leading receiver and they 

get back Mike Williams who led the team with 1,030 receiving yards 

in 2014 (was injured in last year’s opener). Last year Clemson returned 

only one OL starter and this year they have three back. 

The defense is a different story as 5 of their top 6 tacklers depart. The 

DL loses both DE’s who combined for 24.5 of the DL’s 34 sacks. The 

LB’s also lose a pair of starters including the team’s top tackler while 

the secondary losses both safeties and a CB (all 3 were drafted). Keep 

in mind, they only returned 3 starters last year and still played well. 

The schedule is manageable as they could be at least a TD favorite in 

11 of their 12 games but do have to play at Florida State where they 

are 1-11 in their last 12 trips. 



9/3 Sat at Auburn 

9/10 Sat Troy 

9/17 Sat SC St 

9/22 Thu at Georgia Tech 


10/7 Fri at Boston College 

10/15 Sat NC St 

10/29 Sat at Florida St 


11/12 Sat Pittsburgh 


11/26 Sat South Carolina 

open 

Clemson is 10-0-1 ATS as a FAV 

after being an AD (s’/ 11/5/05) 


2012 2013 2014 2015 

SU 11-2 11-2 10-3 14-1 

Home 6-1 6-1 7-0 7-0 

Away 3-1 4-1 2-3 5-0 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

ATS 9-4 7-6 6-7 8-6 

HF 3-4 3-2 4-3 3-3 

HD 0-0 1-1 0-0 0-0 

AF 3-0 2-2 0-3 2-3 

AD 1-0 0-1 1-1 0-0 

vs Conf 7-1 4-4 3-5 4-4 

Non Conf 2-3 3-2 3-2 4-2 

Off SU Loss 2-0 1-1 2-1 0-0 

Loss by 10+ pts 2-0 1-1 1-1 0-0 

Off SU Win 6-4 5-5 4-5 7-6 

Win by 10+ pts 6-4 5-5 4-5 7-6 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

Over/Under 6-6 9-4 4-9 9-6 

as HF 3-3 3-2 2-5 3-4 

as HD 0-0 2-0 0-0 0-0 

as AF 2-1 2-2 1-2 4-1 

as AD 1-0 1-0 1-1 0-0 

vs Conf 5-3 5-3 2-6 6-3 

vs Non Conf 1-3 4-1 2-3 3-3 

Off SU Loss 1-1 2-0 2-1 0-0 

Loss by 10+ pts 1-1 2-0 1-1 0-0 

Off SU Win 5-4 6-4 1-8 8-6 

Win by 10+ pts 5-4 6-4 1-8 8-6


2015 : 8-5, 4-4 (T #4-#5 ACC-Coastal) 






Duke 

The Blue Devils in ’16 

HC here: David Cutcliffe – 9 th 




7.7% 12.6% 38.1% 41.6% 

The Blue Devils are 6-1 to 

the OVER as an AF the L3Y 


Season Win's (odds) Record result 

2016 5.5 (-110) 

2015 7 (-150) 7-5 push 

2014 8.5 (+160) 9-3 OV 

2013 5.5 (+120) 10-2 OV 

2012 4 (n/a) 6-6 OV 


2015 All 6.2 (31.5-25.4) 44.7 (439-395) 79-74 5.5-5.4 -1 

’15 conf only -5.0 (27.5-32.5) -45.2 (401-446) 77-76 5.2-5.9 -2 

2014 All 10.6 (32.4-21.8) -1.4 (398-400) 74-76 5.4-5.3 6 

’14 conf only 1.9 (27.0-25.1) -72.6 (351-424) 72-75 4.9-5.7 3 

2013 All 6.1 (32.8-26.6) 8.1 (426-418) 73-74 5.9-5.7 1 

’13 conf only -0.4 (29.4-29.9) -73.4 (378-451) 70-77 5.4-5.9 0 

2012 All -4.5 (31.5-36.0) -60.0 (409-469) 76-70 5.4-6.7 2 

’12 conf only -11.0 (28.1-39.1) -140.4 (381-521) 75-74 5.1-7.1 10 



100% 78% 50% 60% 52% 48% 76% 

David Cutcliffe has done a tremendous job in Durham guiding the Blue 

Devils to 4 straight bowls (27 wins in last 3 years) and last year they 

won their first bowl game since 1961. 

Duke’s biggest loss on offense may be that OC Scottie Montgomery 

took the East Carolina HC position. The Blue Devils do return QB 

Thomas Sirk who did rupture his Achilles this off-season but expects 

to play. Duke losses their “top” back who had 542 yards and 4.3 ypc 

but Jela Duncan (460 yds, 6.9) and Shaun Wilson (424 yds, 5.0) return. 

They return 2 of their top 3 receivers. All 5 OL started all 13 games and 

while 3 are back, 1 st team ACC Centers aren’t easy to replace. 

The defense also returns 6 starters but losses it’s superstar in ACC 

Defensive Player of the Year S Jeremy Cash. The team must also 

replace their top tackler as well as 3 DL but do return 5 of their top 7 

tacklers and 10 of their top 11 DB’s. 

While the Blue Devils figure to be favored in 4 of their first 6 games, 

they could be an underdog in at least 5 of their final 6 games and will 

struggle to match last year’s 8 wins. 



9/3 Sat NC Central 

9/10 Sat Wake Forest 

9/17 Sat at Northwestern 

9/24 Sat at Notre Dame 

10/1 Sat Virginia 

10/8 Sat Army 

10/14 Fri at Louisville 

10/29 Sat at Georgia Tech 

11/5 Sat Virginia Tech 

11/10 Thu North Carolina 

11/19 Sat at Pittsburgh 

11/26 Sat at Miami (FL) 

open 

Duke is 15-2-1 ATS away after a 

road loss (since/ Sep 21, 2002) 


2012 2013 2014 2015 

SU 6-7 10-4 9-4 8-5 

Home 5-2 5-2 5-2 3-3 

Away 1-4 5-0 4-1 4-2 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

ATS 6-7 11-3 9-4 7-6 

HF 4-0 3-1 5-2 1-3 

HD 1-2 2-1 0-0 1-1 

AF 0-0 2-0 1-1 3-0 

AD 1-4 3-0 2-1 1-1 

vs Conf 3-5 7-2 5-3 3-5 

Non Conf 3-2 4-1 4-1 4-1 

Off SU Loss 2-4 2-1 2-1 2-3 

Loss by 10+ pts 2-3 2-0 2-0 0-2 

Off SU Win 3-3 8-2 6-3 4-3 

Win by 10+ pts 3-3 8-2 6-3 4-3 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

Over/Under 8-3 6-8 4-8 6-7 

as HF 2-1 2-2 2-4 1-3 

as HD 2-0 2-1 0-0 0-2 

as AF 0-0 0-2 0-2 1-2 

as AD 3-2 1-2 1-2 2-0 

vs Conf 5-2 4-5 2-6 5-3 

vs Non Conf 3-1 2-3 2-2 1-4 

Off SU Loss 3-1 3-0 1-2 3-2 

Loss by 10+ pts 2-1 2-0 1-1 1-1 

Off SU Win 4-2 3-7 3-6 3-4 

Win by 10+ pts 4-2 3-7 3-6 3-4


2015 : 10-3, 6-2 (#2 ACC-Atlantic) 






Florida St 

The Seminoles in ’16 

HC here: Jimbo Fisher – 7 th 




18.6% 28.8% 31.6% 21.1% 


Seminoles are 0-7 ATS as a FAV Season Win's (odds) Record result 

after a win as a dog (s’/ 1/2/97) 2016 9.5 (+100) 

2015 9.5 (-120) 10-2 OV 

2014 11 (-400) 12-0 OV 

2013 10.5 (+110) 12-0 OV 

2012 10 (n/a) 10-2 push 


2015 All 14.2 (31.7-17.5) 87.1 (424-337) 65-72 6.5-4.7 0 

’15 conf only 9.0 (27.0-18.0) 58.3 (411-353) 64-70 6.5-5.0 2 

2014 All 8.1 (33.7-25.6) 44.4 (441-397) 69-72 6.4-5.5 -6 

’14 conf only 12.6 (35.9-23.3) 63.5 (450-387) 69-71 6.5-5.5 -2 

2013 All 39.5 (51.6-12.1) 237.6 (519-281) 68-69 7.7-4.1 17 

’13 conf only 39.0 (50.7-11.7) 241.7 (519-277) 68-69 7.6-4.0 14 

2012 All 24.6 (39.3-14.7) 217.0 (471-254) 67-66 7.0-3.9 -8 

’12 conf only 22.2 (37.7-15.4) 207.3 (479-272) 69-68 7.0-4.0 -9 



47% 94% 99% 100% 74% 35% 45% 

You know you’re program is in great shape when a “rebuilding” season 

still equates to 10 wins and a major bowl appearance. This year’s team 

looks ready to be right back in the mix for a CFB Playoff berth. 

Florida State is the ONLY team to return all 11 offensive starters but 

they actually only return 45% of their passing yards with the departure 

of Everett Golson. RB Dalvin Cook was one of only six players 

nationally that averaged 140 ypg or more rushing and he was the only 

one to average over 6.9 ypc (7.4). The starting receivers are obviously 

all back and the OL will benefit from injuries last season as 9 players 

made starts and everyone is back giving them incredible depth. 

The DL returns 4 of the top 6 and while they lose their top 2 LB’s they 

do get back a part-time 2014 starter who missed last year. The biggest 

shoes to fill are those of CB Jalen Ramsey, the #5 overall draft pick and 

they also lose a safety who was their #3 tackler. 

The schedule is not easy as they play OIe Miss, USF and Florida in nonconference 

action. They also have to travel to Miami and Louisville in 

ACC play but get the all-important game vs Clemson at home. 



9/5 Mon (N) Ole Miss 

9/10 Sat Char Southern 

9/17 Sat at Louisville 

9/24 Sat at USF 

10/1 Sat North Carolina 



10/29 Sat Clemson 


11/11 Fri Boston College 

11/19 Sat at Syracuse 

11/26 Sat Florida 

open 

Florida St is 21-6 ATS after a 

loss as a dog (s’/10/19/85) 


2012 2013 2014 2015 

SU 12-2 14-0 13-1 10-3 

Home 6-1 7-0 7-0 7-0 

Away 4-1 5-0 4-0 3-2 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

ATS 5-9 11-2 3-11 8-5 

HF 4-3 6-0 1-6 5-2 

HD 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 

AF 0-5 4-1 2-2 2-2 

AD 0-0 0-0 0-0 1-0 

vs Conf 3-6 7-1 3-6 5-3 

Non Conf 2-3 4-1 0-5 3-2 

Off SU Loss 1-1 0-0 0-0 2-0 

Loss by 10+ pts 0-1 0-0 0-0 1-0 

Off SU Win 3-8 10-2 3-10 5-5 

Win by 10+ pts 3-8 10-2 3-10 5-5 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

Over/Under 4-8 10-4 6-7 6-7 

as HF 3-2 6-1 0-6 5-2 

as HD 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 

as AF 1-4 4-1 3-1 0-4 

as AD 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-1 

vs Conf 3-6 7-2 4-5 3-5 

vs Non Conf 1-2 3-2 2-2 3-2 

Off SU Loss 1-1 0-0 0-0 1-1 

Loss by 10+ pts 0-1 0-0 0-0 0-1 

Off SU Win 3-7 9-4 5-7 4-6 

Win by 10+ pts 3-7 9-4 5-7 4-6


2015 : 3-9, 1-7 (#7 ACC-Coastal) 






Georgia Tech 

The Yellow Jackets in ’16 

HC here: Paul Johnson – 9 th 




11.7% 17.8% 28.0% 42.4% 


Yellow Jackets are 2-12 ATS Season Win's (odds) Record result 

after a loss as a fav (s’/ 10/2/10) 2016 6.5 (ev) 

2015 7.5 (-160) 3-9 und 

2014 6.5 (-130) 10-2 OV 

2013 8.5 (-120) 7-5 und 

2012 7.5 (n/a) 6-6 und 


2015 All 3.5 (29.2-25.8) 10.0 (378-368) 65-63 5.9-5.8 -7 

’15 conf only -7.8 (23.5-31.2) -29.7 (350-380) 65-63 5.4-6.0 -8 

2014 All 12.1 (37.9-25.7) 65.2 (477-411) 71-65 6.7-6.3 11 

’14 conf only 12.1 (37.0-24.9) 71.6 (470-398) 70-64 6.7-6.2 8 

2013 All 12.2 (35.1-22.8) 69.5 (430-360) 70-65 6.1-5.5 -4 

’13 conf only 7.9 (31.1-23.2) 66.1 (420-354) 72-62 5.9-5.7 -7 

2012 All 5.3 (33.6-28.3) 67.1 (441-374) 72-66 6.2-5.7 4 

’12 conf only 9.0 (37.2-28.2) 66.4 (454-388) 71-67 6.4-5.8 8 



98% 81% 84% 50% 67% 66% 33% 

Coming off an Orange Bowl winning season and a 2-0 start to last year, 

the Yellow Jackets were actually favored at Notre Dame. However, 

they would shockingly finish the season 1-9 SU/ATS in their final 10 

games and missed out on a bowl for the first time since 1996. 

QB Justin Thomas is now a senior and his 13-8 ratio was due to having 

to pass when trailing for most of the season. The top 2 returning backs 

were both freshman last season so obviously the exceptions are high 

while the top two returning receivers had 89 targets of the team’s 192 

attempts having to only replace 16 receptions. A 2-year starting C is 

one of the 2 starters back on the OL but they do lose 80 career starts. 

Of the 6 starters gone on defense, two come from the front 7 but four 

come from the secondary. Overall, they lose their best defender in DT 

Adam Gotsis (2 nd round NFL draft pick) and also lose 3 of their top 4 

tacklers. They must get better pressure (only 14 sacks last season). 

The Yellow Jackets could match last year’s 3 wins by game 3 as they 

will be favored in all 3. They figure to be favored in at least 3 more 

games as they look to return to bowl action. 



9/3 Sat (N) Boston College 

9/10 Sat Mercer 

9/17 Sat Vanderbilt 

9/22 Thu Clemson 

10/1 Sat Miami (FL) 


10/15 Sat Ga Southern 

10/29 Sat Duke 

11/5 Sat at North Carolina 



11/26 Sat at Georgia 

open 

GT is 12-1 ATS as an AD after 

being a dog (s’/ 11/08/97) 


2012 2013 2014 2015 

SU 7-7 7-6 11-3 3-9 

Home 4-3 5-2 5-1 3-4 

Away 2-3 2-3 5-1 0-5 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

ATS 9-5 5-6 10-4 3-9 

HF 4-3 4-1 2-3 2-3 

HD 0-0 0-1 1-0 1-1 

AF 1-0 1-0 2-0 0-4 

AD 2-2 0-3 3-1 0-1 

vs Conf 7-2 3-3 7-2 1-7 

Non Conf 2-3 2-3 3-2 2-2 

Off SU Loss 5-2 2-3 2-1 1-7 

Loss by 10+ pts 3-1 2-1 0-0 0-3 

Off SU Win 3-3 2-3 8-2 1-2 

Win by 10+ pts 3-3 2-3 8-2 1-2 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

Over/Under 6-6 8-5 8-6 6-6 

as HF 4-2 3-3 2-3 4-1 

as HD 0-0 1-0 0-1 0-2 

as AF 0-0 1-1 2-0 1-3 

as AD 2-2 3-0 2-2 1-0 

vs Conf 4-4 4-4 4-5 4-4 

vs Non Conf 2-2 4-1 4-1 2-2 

Off SU Loss 2-3 4-1 3-0 4-4 

Loss by 10+ pts 1-2 3-0 0-0 2-1 

Off SU Win 4-2 3-4 4-6 1-2 

Win by 10+ pts 4-2 3-4 4-6 1-2


2015 : 8-5, 5-3 (#3 ACC-Atlantic) 






Louisville 

The Cardinals in ’16 

HC here: Bobby Petrino – 3 rd / 7 th 




16.3% 18.7% 31.4% 33.6% 


Cardinals are 0-10 ATS as a FAV Season Win's (odds) Record result 

after a win as a dog (s’/ 11/24/01) 2016 9 (+110) 

2015 7.5 (+115) 7-5 und 

2014 7.5 (-230) 9-3 OV 

2013 10.5 (-155) 11-1 OV 

2012 9 (n/a) 10-2 OV 


2015 All 4.6 (28.7-24.1) 83.3 (416-333) 69-69 6.0-4.8 -1 

’15 conf only 1.0 (26.0-25.0) 53.0 (378-325) 67-67 5.6-4.8 -2 

2014 All 9.4 (31.2-21.8) 86.2 (395-309) 72-65 5.5-4.8 4 

’14 conf only 7.8 (27.0-19.2) 71.9 (367-295) 71-65 5.2-4.5 5 

2013 All 23.0 (35.2-12.2) 208.5 (461-252) 69-60 6.7-4.2 17 

’13 conf only 13.4 (28.6-15.2) 147.3 (424-277) 70-62 6.1-4.5 11 

2012 All 7.4 (31.2-23.8) 78.2 (419-341) 71-64 5.9-5.3 11 

’12 conf only 3.4 (31.0-27.6) 82.7 (445-362) 71-67 6.2-5.4 7 



100% 99% 100% 65% 62% 59% 85% 

After starting off 0-3 for the first time since 1984, the Cardinals won 8 

of their last 10 games and with 17 returning starters could be a dark 

horse National Title contender in 2016. 

Sophomore QB Lamar Jackson (1,840 passing, 1,143 gross rushing) is 

coming off a spectacular bowl performance where he threw for 227 

and ran for 226 . The main skill players at RB/WR are all back with the 

only starting losses coming from the OL. The Cardinals started TEN 

players at OL with 5 back that made 40 starts last season and 5 gone 

that combined for 23 starts. 

Last season Louisville returned only 4 defensive starters and still 

finished #14 in adjusted defense. This year 8 are back but they do lose 

both DE’s including the 12 th pick in the draft, Sheldon Rankins. The only 

other starter gone was their #2 LB and they move in S Josh Harvey- 

Clemons to LB (#3 tackler last year). 

We’ll know how good the Cardinals are early as they host Florida State 

in week #3 and travel to Clemson in week #5. Besides a late road trip 

to Houston, they will be favored in their other 9 games. 



9/1 Thu Charlotte 

9/9 Fri at Syracuse 

9/17 Sat Florida St 

9/24 Sat at Marshall 

10/1 Sat at Clemson 

10/14 Fri Duke 


10/29 Sat at Virginia 

11/5 Sat at Boston College 


11/17 Thu at Houston 

11/26 Sat Kentucky 

open 

Louisville is 12-0 ATS as an AF 

after a loss (since/ Sep 7, 2002) 


2012 2013 2014 2015 

SU 11-2 12-1 9-4 8-5 

Home 6-1 6-1 5-1 4-2 

Away 4-1 5-0 4-2 3-2 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

ATS 6-7 6-7 7-6 7-6 

HF 3-4 2-5 2-3 2-3 

HD 0-0 0-0 0-1 1-0 

AF 1-3 3-2 3-1 1-1 

AD 1-0 0-0 2-0 1-2 

vs Conf 3-4 2-5 4-4 3-5 

Non Conf 3-3 4-2 3-2 4-1 

Off SU Loss 1-1 1-0 2-1 3-2 

Loss by 10+ pts 0-1 0-0 1-0 1-1 

Off SU Win 4-6 4-7 4-5 3-4 

Win by 10+ pts 4-6 4-7 4-5 3-4 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

Over/Under 7-5 3-10 5-8 6-6 

as HF 4-2 2-5 2-3 3-2 

as HD 0-0 0-0 1-0 0-1 

as AF 2-2 1-4 1-3 1-1 

as AD 0-1 0-0 1-1 2-1 

vs Conf 4-3 1-6 2-6 4-4 

vs Non Conf 3-2 2-4 3-2 2-2 

Off SU Loss 0-2 0-1 1-2 2-3 

Loss by 10+ pts 0-1 0-0 1-0 1-1 

Off SU Win 6-3 3-8 4-5 4-3 

Win by 10+ pts 6-3 3-8 4-5 4-3


2015 : 8-5, 5-3 (#3 ACC-Coastal) 






Miami 

The Hurricanes in ’16 

HC here: Mark Richt – 1 st 




1.8% 35.9% 28.5% 33.8% 


Hurricanes are 2-19 ATS as a fav Season Win's (odds) Record result 

off a loss as a fav (s’/11/8/03) 2016 6.5 (-125) 

2015 5.5 (-215) 8-6 OV 

2014 7.5 (-125) 6-6 und 

2013 9.5 (+150) 9-3 und 

2012 6 (n/a) 7-5 OV 


2015 All -0.4 (27.8-28.2) -8.4 (396-405) 67-70 5.9-5.8 11 

’15 conf only -7.5 (24.9-32.4) -66.3 (372-438) 66-72 5.6-6.1 4 

2014 All 4.9 (29.2-24.3) 101.5 (430-329) 64-69 6.7-4.8 -1 

’14 conf only 0.1 (23.9-23.8) 75.3 (402-326) 64-67 6.2-4.9 1 

2013 All 7.1 (33.8-26.8) -0.5 (426-426) 63-74 6.8-5.8 5 

’13 conf only -1.5 (31.2-32.8) -48.1 (434-482) 63-78 6.9-6.2 -1 

2012 All 0.9 (31.4-30.5) -46.3 (440-486) 68-80 6.5-6.1 7 

’12 conf only 3.6 (35.4-31.8) -34.8 (470-505) 72-82 6.5-6.2 7 



99% 99% 60% 100% 67% 76% 46% 

It’s been 13 years since Miami had a double-digit win season and 

ironically their new head coach Mark Richt averaged nearly 10 wins 

per year in his 15-year tenure at Georgia but was still let go. 

Richt inherits an offense led by 3,000-yard passer in Brad Kaaya who 

could be a first-round pick in next year’s draft along with a 1,000-yard 

rusher and they have all 5 of their OL starters back (85 career starts). 

The only losses are a pair of receivers so this could be the most potent 

offense here in more than a decade. 

The defense has underperformed greatly as of late and while they lose 

5 starters, they are more experienced than you think. They return 7 of 

the top 9 DL, welcome back their top 2 tacklers at LB and also return 

3 of their top 4 tacklers from the secondary despite returning only 16 

starts from 2015 among all DB’s. 

The schedule will see the Hurricanes heavily favored in each of their 

first 3 games. However, a brutal month of October could see them an 

underdog in 3 games. They do close the season with 4 games in which 

they should be favored in. 



9/3 Sat Florida A&M 

9/10 Sat Fla Atlantic 

9/17 Sat at Appalachian St 




10/20 Thu at Virginia Tech 






open 

Miami is 17-2 ATS as a dog after 

a loss (since/ Oct 24, 1998) 


2012 2013 2014 2015 

SU 7-5 9-4 6-7 8-5 

Home 4-2 6-1 5-2 5-1 

Away 3-2 3-2 1-4 3-3 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

ATS 9-3 5-8 5-8 6-6 

HF 2-1 2-4 4-2 1-2 

HD 3-0 1-0 0-1 1-1 

AF 2-0 2-2 1-1 1-1 

AD 2-1 0-1 0-3 3-1 

vs Conf 8-0 2-6 3-5 5-3 

Non Conf 1-3 3-2 2-3 1-3 

Off SU Loss 4-1 0-3 2-4 4-0 

Loss by 10+ pts 2-1 0-3 2-3 3-0 

Off SU Win 4-2 5-4 3-3 2-6 

Win by 10+ pts 4-2 5-4 3-3 2-6 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

Over/Under 6-5 7-6 4-9 7-5 

as HF 1-1 4-2 3-3 1-2 

as HD 0-3 0-1 0-1 2-0 

as AF 2-0 3-1 0-2 1-1 

as AD 3-0 0-1 1-2 3-1 

vs Conf 5-3 5-3 1-7 5-3 

vs Non Conf 1-2 2-3 3-2 2-2 

Off SU Loss 0-4 3-0 2-4 3-1 

Loss by 10+ pts 0-2 3-0 2-3 3-0 

Off SU Win 5-1 4-5 2-4 4-4 

Win by 10+ pts 5-1 4-5 2-4 4-4


2015 : 11-3, 8-0 (#1 ACC-Coastal) 






North Carolina 

The Tar Heels in ’16 

HC here: Larry Fedora – 5 th 

Ret Starters: OFF-6.9, DEF-6.3 



3.6% 20.3% 39.5% 36.6% 


Tar Heels face 7 teams with Season Win's (odds) Record result 

new Head Coaches this year 2016 8.5 (-125) 

2015 8 (-115) 11-1 OV 

2014 8.5 (+135) 6-6 und 

2013 9.5 (+170) 6-6 und 

2012 7.5 (n/a) 8-4 OV 


2015 All 16.2 (40.7-24.5) 51.0 (487-436) 67-79 7.3-5.5 7 

’15 conf only 15.8 (41.9-26.1) 45.6 (488-442) 66-81 7.3-5.5 8 

2014 All -5.8 (33.2-39.0) -68.1 (430-498) 77-76 5.6-6.5 0 

’14 conf only -6.4 (30.0-36.4) -59.4 (414-474) 75-75 5.6-6.3 -3 

2013 All 8.2 (32.7-24.5) 22.5 (426-403) 73-76 5.9-5.3 2 

’13 conf only 5.8 (28.1-22.4) 11.1 (400-389) 70-76 5.7-5.1 1 

2012 All 14.9 (40.6-25.7) 96.0 (486-390) 75-75 6.5-5.2 7 

’12 conf only 4.4 (37.2-32.9) 30.9 (484-453) 77-79 6.3-5.8 2 



15% 67% 73% 80% 75% 31% 73% 

After 3 relatively disappointing seasons and a frustrating loss to South 

Carolina in last year’s opener, the Larry Fedora era wasn’t looking 

great (just 21-18). However, the Tar Heels proceeded to win 11 games 

in a row and nearly upset Clemson in the ACC Championship game. 

Only two QB’s threw for over 3,000 yards and rushed for over 700 

yards last season and the Tar Heels must replace Marquise Williams 

(Clemson’s DeShaun Watson was the other). It’ll certainly help the 

new QB to have RB Ejijah Hood (1,463 rush yards, 6.7) in the backfield 

especially with 4 OL starters back. They also return their top receivers 

in Mack Hollins (24.8 ypc!) and Ryan Switzer (7 punt return TD’s). 

The biggest concern on defense is at LB where the Tar Heels lost their 

top 2 tacklers (176 tackles gone, 89 returning) and have little depth. 

They do return their top 3 tacklers in the secondary and can only 

improve upon their rush defense (gave up 424 rush ypg in final 3). 

They could be favored in as many as 9 games this year with the 

exceptions coming against Georgia in the opener (in Atlanta) and then 

road trips to Florida State and Miami, Fl in conference play. 



9/3 Sat (N) Georgia 

9/10 Sat at Illinois 

9/17 Sat James Madison 






11/5 Sat Georgia Tech 

11/10 Thu at Duke 

11/19 Sat Citadel 

11/25 Fri NC St 

open 

North Carolina is 5-1 to the 

UNDER as an AF the last 4 years 


2012 2013 2014 2015 

SU 8-4 7-6 6-7 11-3 

Home 6-1 4-3 4-2 7-0 

Away 2-3 2-3 2-4 4-0 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

ATS 6-6 7-5 5-8 8-6 

HF 5-2 3-2 2-3 5-2 

HD 0-0 1-0 0-1 0-0 

AF 1-3 1-0 0-0 2-1 

AD 0-1 0-3 3-3 1-0 

vs Conf 3-5 5-3 4-4 6-3 

Non Conf 3-1 2-2 1-4 2-3 

Off SU Loss 3-1 3-2 3-3 1-1 

Loss by 10+ pts 1-0 1-1 2-3 0-0 

Off SU Win 2-5 4-2 2-4 7-4 

Win by 10+ pts 2-5 4-2 2-4 7-4 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

Over/Under 6-3 4-9 5-7 8-6 

as HF 5-1 3-3 2-2 4-3 

as HD 0-0 0-1 0-1 0-0 

as AF 0-2 0-1 0-0 1-2 

as AD 1-0 0-3 3-3 1-0 

vs Conf 4-2 2-6 3-5 6-3 

vs Non Conf 2-1 2-3 2-2 2-3 

Off SU Loss 2-2 1-5 4-2 2-0 

Loss by 10+ pts 0-1 0-3 3-2 0-0 

Off SU Win 4-1 3-3 1-5 6-5 

Win by 10+ pts 4-1 3-3 1-5 6-5


2015 : 7-6, 3-5 (#4 ACC-Atlantic) 






NC State 

The Wolfpack in ’16 

HC here: Dave Doeren – 4 th 




10.8% 39.2% 18.5% 31.5% 


Wolfpack are 1-10 ATS away Season Win's (odds) Record result 

after a road win (s’/ 10/16/82) 2016 6 (-110) 

2015 7.5 (-105) 7-5 und 

2014 5.5 (-140) 7-5 OV 

2013 6.5 (-185) 3-9 und 

2012 8 (n/a) 6-6 und 


2015 All 7.4 (33.2-25.8) 62.2 (413-351) 73-64 5.6-5.5 9 

’15 conf only -2.2 (27.4-29.6) -17.3 (379-396) 71-70 5.4-5.7 6 

2014 All 3.2 (30.2-27.0) 35.5 (409-373) 68-71 6.0-5.2 5 

’14 conf only -6.6 (24.6-31.2) -38.5 (352-391) 66-72 5.3-5.4 2 

2013 All -7.3 (22.8-30.2) 4.1 (404-399) 79-68 5.1-5.9 0 

’13 conf only -17.0 (16.9-33.9) -65.0 (367-432) 78-69 4.7-6.3 -3 

2012 All 2.5 (28.1-25.6) 16.5 (421-405) 80-73 5.3-5.5 -9 

’12 conf only -0.6 (28.4-29.0) -30.7 (436-467) 82-80 5.3-5.9 -7 



3% 78% 88% 45% 79% 89% 68% 

While head coach Dave Doeren has done a solid job here in his 3 years, 

it is worth noting that he sports a 12-2 record in non-conference action 

but just a 6-18 record in ACC play. 

The Wolf Pack must replace a 2-year starting QB and their OC but they 

will do so with a “package deal”. Ryan Finely transferred in from Boise 

State after the former Broncos’ OC took the same position here. An 

injury cost RB Matthew Dayes (865 rush, 6.5) the final 5 games of last 

year and he should easily top 1,000 this year if healthy. The receiving 

unit did take a hit when their #2 receiver was lost in the summer. The 

OL will be down a notch as they are without 3 starters including a 3- 

year starter at LT and a 3-year starting Center (lose 100 career starts). 

Only 3 starters depart for the Wolfpack on defense but their losses will 

be felt in the team’s top DL (10.5 sacks) and top CB. They do return 4 

LB’s that were among the top 11 tacklers on the team. 

The early schedule is again very easy as they will be a favorite in each 

of their first 4 games. However, starting with hosting Notre Dame in 

game #5, NC State could be an underdog in 6 of their last 8 games. 



9/1 Thu William & Mary 

9/10 Sat at East Carolina 

9/17 Sat Old Dominion 


10/8 Sat Notre Dame 



10/29 Sat Boston College 




11/25 Fri at North Carolina 

open 

NC St is 11-1 ATS as a dog after 

a loss as an AF (s’/ 10/1/88) 


2012 2013 2014 2015 

SU 7-6 3-9 8-5 7-6 

Home 5-1 3-5 4-3 3-3 

Away 2-3 0-4 3-2 4-2 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

ATS 5-8 3-8 8-5 6-7 

HF 3-2 2-2 2-3 2-2 

HD 1-0 1-3 1-1 0-2 

AF 0-2 0-1 1-0 4-0 

AD 1-2 0-2 3-1 0-2 

vs Conf 4-4 1-6 5-3 2-6 

Non Conf 1-4 2-2 3-2 4-1 

Off SU Loss 3-2 1-6 3-2 2-3 

Loss by 10+ pts 2-1 1-5 3-2 2-2 

Off SU Win 2-5 1-2 5-2 3-4 

Win by 10+ pts 2-5 1-2 5-2 3-4 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

Over/Under 5-7 6-6 6-7 7-6 

as HF 0-4 1-3 2-3 2-2 

as HD 0-1 2-2 2-0 2-0 

as AF 0-2 0-1 1-0 2-2 

as AD 3-0 3-0 0-4 0-2 

vs Conf 3-5 4-4 3-5 4-4 

vs Non Conf 2-2 2-2 3-2 3-2 

Off SU Loss 0-5 6-2 1-4 3-2 

Loss by 10+ pts 0-3 5-2 1-4 3-1 

Off SU Win 4-2 0-3 5-2 3-4 

Win by 10+ pts 4-2 0-3 5-2 3-4


2015 : 8-5, 6-2 (#2 ACC-Coastal) 






Pittsburgh 

The Panthers in ’16 

HC here: Pat Narduzzi – 2 nd 




14.7% 15.0% 42.3% 28.0% 


Panthers are 2-12-1 ATS as a Season Win's (odds) Record result 

fav after a HF loss (s’/11/13/82) 2016 7 (+100) 

2015 6 (-125) 8-4 OV 

2014 7.5 (+110) 6-6 und 

2013 5.5 (-110) 6-6 OV 

2012 7 (n/a) 6-6 und 


2015 All 2.2 (28.2-26.1) 14.4 (378-363) 66-64 5.8-5.7 0 

’15 conf only 4.2 (27.0-22.8) 38.5 (391-352) 70-61 5.6-5.8 5 

2014 All 5.5 (31.8-26.3) 76.2 (435-359) 71-64 6.2-5.6 -5 

’14 conf only 1.1 (30.8-29.6) 45.4 (438-393) 69-67 6.4-5.9 -4 

2013 All -0.8 (26.3-27.2) -5.4 (362-368) 66-67 5.5-5.5 -1 

’13 conf only -6.4 (22.4-28.8) -50.2 (329-379) 67-66 4.9-5.7 -2 

2012 All 5.5 (26.6-21.1) 59.5 (390-331) 68-67 5.7-4.9 12 

’12 conf only 4.7 (25.1-20.4) 69.9 (387-317) 70-61 5.5-5.2 5 



93% 74% 47% 80% 76% 72% 80% 

Pat Narduzzi in his first season as head coach got Pitt to 8 wins (first 

time since 2010) and their 5 losses came to teams that finished a 

combined 52-15. This year’s team looks even stronger. 

Pitt returned 8 starters on offense last year and finished a respectable 

#37 in adjusted offense. But, let’s remember that their returning QB 

was benched in game #2 and RB James Conner (1765, 5.9 in ’14) was 

injured in the opener. This year they return QB Nathan Peterman plus 

with Conner back have two 1,000 yard rushers (Qadree Ollison had 

1,121 yards last year). They do lose their star WR Tyler Boyd to the NFL 

and their OC to Georgia. They very well may run the ball more 

especially behind their four returning OL (99 career starts). 

Each unit on defense loss a starter but with 8 back and being in the 

second season of HC’s Pat Narduzzi’s defensive schemes they’ll be 

expected to improve. It was huge boost for Ejaun Price (11.5 sacks, 

19.5 tfl’s) to be granted a 6 th year as he is a difference maker. 

The non-conference schedule is tough with games against Penn St and 

Oklahoma St but Pitt figures to be favored in as many as 8 games. 



9/3 Sat Villanova 

9/10 Sat Penn St 

9/17 Sat at Oklahoma St 


10/1 Sat Marshall 



10/27 Thu Virginia Tech 





open 

PITT is 10-1-1 ATS as an AD 

after an away game (s’/ 10/26/96) 


2012 2013 2014 2015 

SU 6-7 7-6 6-7 8-5 

Home 4-2 4-3 3-4 3-3 

Away 2-4 2-3 3-2 5-2 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

ATS 7-5 5-7 5-7 6-7 

HF 3-1 2-1 2-4 1-3 

HD 1-1 1-2 1-0 0-2 

AF 2-1 0-2 1-1 2-1 

AD 1-1 0-1 1-1 3-1 

vs Conf 3-3 2-5 4-3 4-4 

Non Conf 4-2 3-2 1-4 2-3 

Off SU Loss 3-3 4-1 2-3 2-2 

Loss by 10+ pts 2-1 3-1 0-1 1-0 

Off SU Win 4-1 1-5 2-4 4-4 

Win by 10+ pts 4-1 1-5 2-4 4-4 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

Over/Under 5-6 6-7 8-5 6-7 

as HF 1-1 1-2 3-3 2-2 

as HD 2-0 2-1 0-1 1-1 

as AF 0-3 1-1 2-0 0-3 

as AD 1-2 0-2 2-1 3-1 

vs Conf 2-5 4-4 5-3 2-6 

vs Non Conf 3-1 2-3 3-2 4-1 

Off SU Loss 2-4 2-4 2-4 2-2 

Loss by 10+ pts 1-2 2-2 1-1 0-1 

Off SU Win 3-2 3-3 5-1 3-5 

Win by 10+ pts 3-2 3-3 5-1 3-5


2015 : 4-8, 2-6 (#5 ACC-Atlantic) 






Syracuse 

The Orange in ’16 

HC here: Dino Babers – 1 st 




17.4% 26.9% 31.8% 23.9% 


The Orange are 10-1 ATS after Season Win's (odds) Record result 

allowing 35 or more points 2016 4 (-110) 

2015 4.5 (-125) 4-8 und 

2014 5.5 (-140) 3-9 und 

2013 4.5 (-120) 6-6 OV 

2012 5.5 (n/a) 7-5 OV 


2015 All -3.8 (27.2-31.0) -118.6 (320-439) 63-71 5.1-6.2 5 

’15 conf only -8.0 (25.2-33.2) -151.5 (313-464) 61-74 5.1-6.3 4 

2014 All -7.2 (17.1-24.3) -19.3 (330-349) 67-70 4.9-5.0 -1 

’14 conf only -11.9 (12.9-24.8) -66.9 (270-337) 64-70 4.2-4.8 -5 

2013 All -2.7 (22.7-25.4) 9.7 (377-367) 74-69 5.1-5.3 2 

’13 conf only -12.6 (15.5-28.1) -32.9 (351-384) 72-70 4.9-5.5 0 

2012 All 5.2 (30.0-24.8) 97.5 (476-378) 79-66 6.0-5.7 -2 

’12 conf only 7.1 (30.4-23.3) 74.4 (460-386) 77-67 6.0-5.8 5 



100% 93% 88% 37% 33% 98% 93% 

After back-to-back losing seasons, the Orange parted ways with Scott 

Shafer and made a great hire bringing in Dino Babers from Bowling 

Green who led the Falcons to a MAC title last year. 

How much will Syracuse’s offense change under Babers? Last year the 

Orange threw 306 passes and Babers previous team, Bowling Green, 

COMPLETED 398 passes! All 3 QB’s who took snaps are back but the 

job is still open as they look for the best fit. The top 3 RB’s are also 

returning and will have to adjust to pass blocking and catching the ball 

more. The top 3 receivers return and they will see their numbers skyrocket 

this year. The only losses are on the OL where three 3-year 

starters must be replaced (lose 115 career starts, only 34 return). 

The defense much like the offense returns 8 starters with the only 

losses coming on the DL. 5 of the top 6 LB’s are back and they return 

9 of the top 10 DB’s as 8 of them were frosh or sophomores last year. 

The schedule is difficult as they play 10 bowl teams from last year and 

the Orange could find themselves an underdog in as many as 11 games 

(only the opener vs FCS Colgate will be their clear favorite role). 



9/2 Fri Colgate 

9/9 Fri Louisville 

9/17 Sat USF 

9/24 Sat at Connecticut 

10/1 Sat (N) Notre Dame 








open 

Syracuse is 12-1 ATS as an AF 

after a road game (s’/ 10/22/98) 


2012 2013 2014 2015 

SU 8-5 7-6 3-9 4-8 

Home 4-1 4-2 1-5 4-3 

Away 3-3 2-3 2-3 0-5 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

ATS 7-5 8-5 4-8 8-4 

HF 1-1 3-0 0-3 2-1 

HD 1-0 1-1 1-2 4-0 

AF 1-0 0-0 2-0 0-0 

AD 2-2 2-3 1-2 2-2 

vs Conf 4-2 4-4 3-5 6-2 

Non Conf 3-3 4-1 1-3 2-2 

Off SU Loss 3-1 4-2 2-6 5-3 

Loss by 10+ pts 1-1 3-1 2-5 4-2 

Off SU Win 4-3 3-3 2-1 2-1 

Win by 10+ pts 4-3 3-3 2-1 2-1 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

Over/Under 8-4 6-7 2-9 10-2 

as HF 1-1 2-1 1-1 3-0 

as HD 1-0 1-1 1-2 2-2 

as AF 1-0 0-0 0-2 0-0 

as AD 3-1 3-2 0-3 4-0 

vs Conf 5-2 3-5 1-7 6-2 

vs Non Conf 3-2 3-2 1-2 4-0 

Off SU Loss 3-1 3-3 1-7 6-2 

Loss by 10+ pts 1-0 1-3 1-6 5-1 

Off SU Win 4-3 3-3 0-2 3-0 

Win by 10+ pts 4-3 3-3 0-2 3-0


2015 : 4-8, 3-5 (#6 ACC-Coastal) 






Virginia 

The Cavaliers in ’16 

HC here: Bronco Mendenhall – 1 st 




3.8% 13.6% 35.2% 47.3% 


The Cavs are 0-7 ATS as a dog Season Win's (odds) Record result 

after being an AF (s’/11/13/03) 2016 4.5 (-130) 

2015 4.5 (+105) 4-8 und 

2014 3.5 (-105) 5-7 OV 

2013 4.5 (-120) 2-10 und 

2012 6 (n/a) 4-8 und 


2015 All -6.4 (25.8-32.2) -28.5 (383-412) 70-66 5.5-6.2 -9 

’15 conf only -2.0 (27.1-29.1) 5.2 (400-395) 73-64 5.5-6.2 0 

2014 All 1.8 (25.8-24.1) 21.0 (374-353) 74-69 5.1-5.1 5 

’14 conf only -3.4 (20.9-24.2) -13.9 (342-356) 70-68 4.9-5.2 1 

2013 All -13.5 (19.8-33.2) -35.2 (368-404) 83-71 4.4-5.7 -5 

’13 conf only -18.0 (16.5-34.5) -59.8 (358-417) 82-70 4.3-6.0 4 

2012 All -6.2 (22.8-28.9) 43.2 (397-353) 74-69 5.3-5.1 -14 

’12 conf only -9.1 (21.0-30.1) 14.9 (368-353) 74-68 5.0-5.2 -5 



100% 98% 59% 67% 27% 86% 76% 

The Cavaliers have had only one winning season since 2007 and this 

year made a surprisingly good hire by bringing in Bronco Mendenhall 

who led BYU to a bowl game in all 11 years coaching there. 

QB Matt Johns did complete 61.3% of his passes last year but also 

threw 17 interceptions. The RB’s all return and perhaps we saw the 

coming out of Albert Reid (360, 5.5) in the season finale as he had 103 

yards on 9 carries. They return 3 of their top 5 receivers with RB 

Taquan Mizzell being their leader as he had an ACC-record for RB’s (75 

receptions for 721 yards). The OL must replace a pair of starters but 6 

return that made multiple starters last season. 

Bronco Mendenhall is known for his defenses but he’ll have to start 

fresh up front losing all 3 DL while also having to replace a LB and DB. 

The secondary was injury plagued last year so there is some 

experienced depth led by All-ACC Quin Blanding at Safety. 

The schedule, like usual, is difficult as they have a pair of road trips in 

non-conference action against bowl teams from last year. Overall, 

they could be an underdog in as many as 8 games. 



9/3 Sat Richmond 

9/10 Sat at Oregon 


9/24 Sat Central Mich 

10/1 Sat at Duke 








open 

Virginia is 8-0 ATS as a dog after 

a loss as a dog (Nov 23, 2013) 


2012 2013 2014 2015 

SU 4-8 2-10 5-7 4-8 

Home 3-4 2-6 5-2 4-3 

Away 1-4 0-4 0-5 0-5 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

ATS 3-9 5-6 7-4 9-3 

HF 1-4 1-2 2-1 0-2 

HD 0-2 2-2 3-0 3-1 

AF 0-0 0-0 0-1 0-0 

AD 2-3 2-2 2-2 5-0 

vs Conf 2-6 3-4 3-4 7-1 

Non Conf 1-3 2-2 4-0 2-2 

Off SU Loss 2-5 4-4 4-2 5-2 

Loss by 10+ pts 1-3 4-3 2-0 3-0 

Off SU Win 0-4 0-2 2-2 3-1 

Win by 10+ pts 0-4 0-2 2-2 3-1 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

Over/Under 5-6 9-3 4-8 6-6 

as HF 2-2 3-0 2-2 2-0 

as HD 1-1 3-2 0-3 2-2 

as AF 0-0 0-0 1-0 0-0 

as AD 2-3 3-1 1-3 1-4 

vs Conf 4-4 6-2 1-7 3-5 

vs Non Conf 1-2 3-1 3-1 3-1 

Off SU Loss 3-4 8-1 2-4 5-2 

Loss by 10+ pts 2-2 7-1 0-2 1-2 

Off SU Win 2-2 1-1 2-3 1-3 

Win by 10+ pts 2-2 1-1 2-3 1-3


2015 : 7-6, 4-4 (T #4-#5 ACC-Coastal) 






Virginia Tech 

The Hokies in ’16 

HC here: Justin Fuente – 1 st 




9.4% 33.2% 26.6% 30.8% 


Hokies are 2-13 ATS as a fav Season Win's (odds) Record result 

off a road win (s’/9/17/11) 

2016 6.5 (-130) 

2015 8 (+115) 6-6 und 

2014 7.5 (-215) 6-6 und 

2013 9.5 (+140) 8-4 und 

2012 9 (n/a) 6-6 und 


2015 All 4.7 (31.0-26.3) 15.2 (385-370) 72-67 5.3-5.6 4 

’15 conf only 2.1 (25.4-23.2) -18.6 (324-343) 70-67 4.7-5.1 -1 

2014 All 3.9 (24.1-20.2) 21.5 (365-344) 74-67 4.9-5.2 -4 

’14 conf only -1.9 (19.4-21.2) 0.1 (341-341) 72-69 4.7-5.0 -5 

2013 All 3.2 (22.5-19.3) 72.4 (356-284) 71-62 5.0-4.6 7 

’13 conf only 5.2 (22.8-17.5) 80.0 (368-288) 70-61 5.3-4.7 5 

2012 All 2.2 (25.1-22.8) 44.0 (377-333) 73-70 5.2-4.8 -4 

’12 conf only -3.1 (24.1-27.2) 68.7 (395-326) 77-67 5.1-4.8 -1 



42% 82% 87% 80% 45% 62% 62% 

After roaming the Hokies’ sidelines for nearly three decades, Frank 

Beamer retired at the end of last season after leading Virginia Tech to 

23 straight bowl games. New head coach Justin Fuente does inherit an 

experienced team that has underachieved as of late. 

Gone is a 1.5-year starting QB and while Brendan Motely started 6 

games because of an injury, he could get supplanted by a Fuente JUCO 

recruit (Jerod Evans). The Hokies also lost a part-time starting TE and 

an OL starter but return everyone else including a 1,000-yard rusher 

in Travon McMillian and their first-ever 1,000-yard receiver Isaiah 

Ford. 90 career starts are back on the OL. 

Bud Foster did stay on as the DC so much will be the same for the unit 

which finished #36 in adjusted D last season but still allowed the most 

ppg (26.3) here since 1987. The secondary returns intact but they do 

lose 4 starters in their front 7. 

The schedule will see the Hokies favored in 3 of their first 4 games with 

the exception coming vs Tennessee. They do avoid Florida St, Clemson 

and Louisville from the Atlantic but have to play at NC, Pitt and ND. 



9/3 Sat Liberty 

9/10 Sat (N) Tennessee 


9/24 Sat East Carolina 



10/20 Thu Miami (FL) 

10/27 Thu at Pittsburgh 





open 

Va Tech is 11-1-1 ATS as a HD 

off a loss (since/ Sep 10, 1988) 


2012 2013 2014 2015 

SU 7-6 8-5 7-6 7-6 

Home 5-1 4-2 3-4 2-4 

Away 1-4 4-1 3-2 4-2 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

ATS 4-9 4-8 6-7 6-7 

HF 2-3 2-3 1-4 2-2 

HD 1-0 0-0 1-1 1-1 

AF 0-3 0-3 1-2 2-2 

AD 0-2 2-0 2-0 1-1 

vs Conf 2-6 4-4 3-5 4-4 

Non Conf 2-3 0-4 3-2 2-3 

Off SU Loss 3-3 1-2 2-4 3-3 

Loss by 10+ pts 3-1 0-0 0-1 1-1 

Off SU Win 1-5 3-5 3-3 3-3 

Win by 10+ pts 1-5 3-5 3-3 3-3 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

Over/Under 5-7 4-8 3-8 6-6 

as HF 1-3 1-5 1-2 2-2 

as HD 0-1 0-0 1-1 1-1 

as AF 2-1 1-2 0-3 2-1 

as AD 1-1 1-1 1-1 0-2 

vs Conf 3-5 3-5 2-6 1-6 

vs Non Conf 2-2 1-3 1-2 5-0 

Off SU Loss 3-3 2-2 2-3 2-3 

Loss by 10+ pts 1-3 0-1 1-0 2-0 

Off SU Win 2-3 2-6 1-5 3-3 

Win by 10+ pts 2-3 2-6 1-5 3-3


2015 : 3-9, 1-7 (#6 ACC-Atlantic) 






Wake Forest 

The Demon Deacons in ’16 

HC here: Dave Clawson – 3 rd 




26.9% 21.6% 26.5% 25.0% 


Demon Deacons are 0-8 ATS away Season Win's (odds) Record result 

after being an AF (s’/11/15/97) 2016 5.5 (+110) 

2015 3.5 (-125) 3-9 und 

2014 3.5 (-165) 3-9 und 

2013 5.5 (-170) 4-8 und 

2012 6 (n/a) 5-7 und 


2015 All -7.2 (17.4-24.6) -30.3 (333-364) 70-65 4.8-5.6 -13 

’15 conf only -12.4 (15.0-27.4) -113.6 (296-410) 66-68 4.5-6.0 -8 

2014 All -11.6 (14.8-26.4) -153.0 (216-369) 64-71 3.4-5.2 -2 

’14 conf only -17.4 (12.1-29.5) -206.8 (193-400) 63-72 3.1-5.6 -1 

2013 All -5.8 (18.3-24.1) -75.5 (291-366) 67-73 4.4-5.0 -2 

’13 conf only -12.9 (15.5-28.4) -116.3 (266-382) 67-72 4.0-5.3 -8 

2012 All -13.3 (18.5-31.8) -130.5 (301-432) 69-75 4.4-5.8 8 

’12 conf only -12.9 (16.5-29.4) -127.7 (286-414) 70-78 4.1-5.3 5 



99% 100% 76% 82% 91% 40% 78% 

It’s been 7 straight losing seasons for the Demon Deacons but head 

coach Dave Clawson has gone to the youth movement in each of his 

first two years and with 16 returning starters, this is best team yet. 

The good news is that Wake Forest returns all but two offensive 

starters. However, the bad news is they finished #115 in total offense 

a year ago. They are far more experienced as both RB’s were freshman 

in 2015 as were 4 of their top 7 receivers. They bring back both QB’s 

who played last year. The OL does lose a 3-year starter but again 3 

freshman made a combined 25 starts. 

The defense is far more experienced this season needing to replace a 

DT, a pair of LB’s and a DB. The stop unit only allowed 24.6 ppg and 

held their final 4 foes Louisville, ND, Clemson and Duke all under their 

scoring average by over 6 points per game. If the DL can produce more 

pressure this unit will help the Demon Deacons win games. 

The schedule is quite favorable as the Demon Deacons could be 

favored in 5-6 games (only favored in a total of 3 games the last 2 years 

combined) and could get to their first bowl in 5 years. 



9/1 Thu Tulane 


9/17 Sat Delaware 

9/24 Sat at Indiana 




10/29 Sat Army 





open 

Wake Forest is 16-4 ATS as a dog 

after a home loss (s’/ 10/1/05) 


2012 2013 2014 2015 

SU 5-7 4-8 3-9 3-9 

Home 4-3 3-3 3-3 1-5 

Away 1-4 1-5 0-6 2-4 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

ATS 5-7 5-7 6-6 6-6 

HF 2-2 0-2 0-1 1-0 

HD 1-2 2-2 3-1 2-3 

AF 0-0 1-0 0-0 0-1 

AD 2-3 2-3 2-4 3-2 

vs Conf 4-4 3-5 4-4 4-4 

Non Conf 1-3 2-2 2-2 2-2 

Off SU Loss 4-2 3-4 4-4 5-3 

Loss by 10+ pts 2-2 1-3 3-3 2-3 

Off SU Win 1-4 2-2 2-1 0-3 

Win by 10+ pts 1-4 2-2 2-1 0-3 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

Over/Under 3-7 3-9 4-8 5-6 

as HF 2-1 0-2 0-1 1-0 

as HD 1-1 1-3 1-3 2-2 

as AF 0-0 0-1 0-0 0-1 

as AD 0-5 2-3 3-3 2-3 

vs Conf 1-6 2-6 3-5 4-4 

vs Non Conf 2-1 1-3 1-3 1-2 

Off SU Loss 2-4 2-5 2-6 2-6 

Loss by 10+ pts 2-2 1-3 1-5 2-3 

Off SU Win 1-3 1-3 2-1 2-0 

Win by 10+ pts 1-3 1-3 2-1 2-0


EAST W L Pct Own Opp W L Pct 

Michigan State 12 2 85.7% 29.8 21.7 8 1 88.9% 

Ohio State 12 1 92.3% 35.7 15.1 7 1 87.5% 

Michigan 10 3 76.9% 31.4 16.4 6 2 75.0% 

Penn State 7 6 53.8% 23.2 21.8 4 4 50.0% 

Indiana 6 7 46.2% 36.5 37.6 2 6 25.0% 

Rutgers 4 8 33.3% 27.1 34.9 1 7 12.5% 

Maryland 3 9 25.0% 24.7 34.4 1 7 12.5% 

WEST W L Pct Own Opp W L Pct 

Iowa 12 2 85.7% 30.9 20.4 8 1 88.9% 

Northwestern 10 3 76.9% 19.5 18.6 6 2 75.0% 

Wisconsin 10 3 76.9% 26.8 13.7 6 2 75.0% 

Nebraska 6 7 46.2% 32.8 27.8 3 5 37.5% 

Minnesota 6 7 46.2% 22.5 25.2 2 6 25.0% 

Illinois 5 7 41.7% 22.7 23.3 2 6 25.0% 

Purdue 2 10 16.7% 25.1 36.5 1 7 12.5% 

BRAD POWERS’ 



7 Michigan 89.95 

8 Ohio State 89.60 

15 Michigan St 85.53 

29 Iowa 83.32 

30 Nebraska 83.05 

33 Wisconsin 81.15 

36 Penn State 79.97 

43 Northwestern 77.73 

53 Minnesota 75.31 

61 Indiana 73.13 

75 Maryland 69.55 

78 Illinois 68.89 

83 Rutgers 67.62 

85 Purdue 67.38


2015 : 5-7, 2-6 (T #5-#6 BigTen-West) 






Illinois 

The Fighting Illini in ’16 

HC here: Lovie Smith – 1 st 




4.2% 12.2% 39.2% 44.5% 


Illini are 12-2 ATS as an AD 


after losing as a fav (s’/ 9/10/88) 2016 4.5 (-110) 

2015 3.5 (-170) 5-7 OV 

2014 4.5 (-175) 6-6 OV 

2013 3.5 (-160) 4-8 OV 

2012 6 (n/a) 2-10 und 


2015 All -0.6 (22.7-23.2) 21.8 (373-351) 76-72 4.9-4.9 4 

’15 conf only -8.5 (16.9-25.4) -16.5 (357-373) 72-73 4.9-5.1 2 

2014 All -8.1 (25.9-34.0) -89.2 (367-456) 68-76 5.4-6.0 -3 

’14 conf only -11.1 (23.5-34.6) -156.1 (326-482) 67-74 4.9-6.5 1 

2013 All -5.8 (29.7-35.4) -54.8 (427-482) 72-72 5.9-6.7 -10 

’13 conf only -16.4 (24.4-40.8) -105.4 (401-506) 73-73 5.5-6.9 -9 

2012 All -15.4 (16.7-32.1) -90.9 (297-388) 66-67 4.5-5.8 -12 

’12 conf only -23.4 (11.8-35.1) -147.1 (272-419) 65-70 4.2-6.0 -11 



100% 52% 52% 60% 70% 9% 35% 

After going 5-7 last season as the interim, head coach Bill Cubit was 

shockingly fired by new AD Josh Whitman in March. Not many coaches 

who were HC’s in the NFL have taken a HC job in college the next 

season (Dan Devine, Nick Saban and Bobby Petrino come to mind) and 

now Lovie Smith gets added to the list. 

It’s easier to install a new offense when you have a returning starter 

at QB in Wes Lunt. Gone is the Illini’s #2 RB (only 15 yds less than 

starter) and their #1 receiver with a pair of OL (one was 6 th round pick). 

Last season Illinois threw the ball 57% of the time but expect this team 

with their new staff to be much closer to 50% in 2016. 

Illinois allowed 23 first downs or less in every game last season (only 

other team to accomplish this was Missouri). However, they will have 

to replace 7 defensive starters as they lose their top 3 tacklers and 6 

of their top 7. One LB job will be manned by an All-Pac-12 Cal transfer 

in Hardy Nickerson whose dad is the DC. 

The schedule could see them favored in only 4 games which means 

they’ll have to pull a few upsets to get to a bowl. 



9/3 Sat Murray St 


9/17 Sat Western Mich 

10/1 Sat at Nebraska 

10/8 Sat Purdue 

10/15 Sat at Rutgers 

10/22 Sat at Michigan 

10/29 Sat Minnesota 

11/5 Sat Michigan St 

11/12 Sat at Wisconsin 

11/19 Sat Iowa 


open 

Illinois 10-1 ATS as a HD after a 

win as a fav (s’/ 11/12/94) 


2012 2013 2014 2015 

SU 2-10 4-8 6-7 5-7 

Home 2-5 3-4 5-2 4-2 

Away 0-5 1-3 1-4 1-4 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

ATS 3-9 5-6 5-8 5-7 

HF 2-3 1-1 1-3 2-1 

HD 1-1 3-2 2-1 1-2 

AF 0-0 0-1 0-0 1-0 

AD 0-5 1-2 2-3 1-3 

vs Conf 1-7 3-5 4-4 3-5 

Non Conf 2-2 2-1 1-4 2-2 

Off SU Loss 2-7 3-4 3-3 1-5 

Loss by 10+ pts 2-6 3-3 3-3 1-3 

Off SU Win 0-2 2-1 2-4 3-2 

Win by 10+ pts 0-2 2-1 2-4 3-2 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

Over/Under 5-6 7-5 6-7 4-8 

as HF 2-2 2-0 3-1 1-2 

as HD 0-2 4-1 0-3 0-3 

as AF 0-0 0-1 0-0 1-0 

as AD 3-2 1-2 3-2 2-2 

vs Conf 3-5 4-4 4-4 3-5 

vs Non Conf 2-1 3-1 2-3 1-3 

Off SU Loss 3-5 4-3 3-3 2-4 

Loss by 10+ pts 2-5 3-3 3-3 2-2 

Off SU Win 2-0 2-2 3-3 1-4 

Win by 10+ pts 2-0 2-2 3-3 1-4


2015 : 6-7, 2-6 (#4 BigTen-East) 






Indiana 

The Hoosiers in ’16 

HC here: Kevin Wilson – 6 th 




12.6% 19.2% 37.1% 31.1% 


Hoosiers are 2-13 ATS as an AD Season Win's (odds) Record result 


2015 6 (+150) 6-6 push 

2014 5.5 (+170) 5-7 und 

2013 5.5 (-190) 4-8 und 

2012 4 (n/a) 1-11 und 


2015 All -1.1 (36.5-37.6) -5.2 (504-509) 81-80 6.2-6.4 8 

’15 conf only -4.5 (35.1-39.6) -36.4 (475-511) 78-80 6.1-6.4 2 

2014 All -7.8 (25.1-32.8) -28.8 (405-434) 71-74 5.7-5.9 -2 

’14 conf only -17.1 (18.9-36.0) -123.4 (328-452) 66-71 5.0-6.4 -3 

2013 All -0.4 (38.4-38.8) -19.4 (509-528) 77-78 6.6-6.7 -3 

’13 conf only -6.5 (35.4-41.9) -71.1 (489-560) 78-76 6.3-7.4 -1 

2012 All -4.5 (30.8-35.2) -21.5 (442-464) 78-76 5.7-6.1 -3 

’12 conf only -12.1 (28.9-41.0) -105.8 (409-515) 75-77 5.5-6.7 -2 



6% 52% 80% 60% 37% 85% 100% 

Only ONE Power-5 team had two 1,000 yard rushers, a 3,000 yard 

passer and a 1,000 yard receiver in 2015 and how many of you would 

have guessed it was Indiana? However, that was the case as the 

Hoosiers notched just their 2 nd bowl appearance since 1993. 

The Hoosiers do return a QB with starting experience as Zander 

Diamont took all the snaps for the last 6 games of 2014 as an injury 

replacement but he has plenty of competition led by JUCO Richard 

Lagow. One of their two 1,000 yard rushers return as do their top 3 

receivers. The OL returns 3 starters including Dan Feeney who would 

have been drafted had he come out. 

The defense is unusual as they lose all 4 DL starters while the back 7 

returns nearly intact (did lose a starting LB/S in summer). The defense 

is led by Marcus Oliver (first Hoosier to top 100 tackles since 2009) but 

has a lot to ground to make up as they allowed 37.6 ppg a year ago. 

The schedule will see the Hoosiers favored in each of the first 3 games 

while they should also be favored in Big Ten home games against 

Maryland and Purdue and possibly a road trip to Rutgers. 



9/1 Thu at FIU 

9/10 Sat Ball St 



10/8 Sat at Ohio St 

10/15 Sat Nebraska 


10/29 Sat Maryland 





open 

Indiana is 12-4 to the OVER off a 

win the last 4 seasons 


2012 2013 2014 2015 

SU 4-8 5-7 4-8 6-7 

Home 2-4 5-3 3-3 3-4 

Away 2-4 0-4 1-5 3-2 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

ATS 6-6 5-7 4-7 7-6 

HF 1-2 3-3 2-2 2-2 

HD 2-1 1-1 0-1 2-1 

AF 1-0 0-0 0-1 2-0 

AD 2-3 1-3 2-3 0-2 

vs Conf 4-4 3-5 2-5 4-4 

Non Conf 2-2 2-2 2-2 3-2 

Off SU Loss 4-3 4-3 4-3 2-4 

Loss by 10+ pts 1-2 2-3 3-2 0-2 

Off SU Win 2-2 0-4 0-3 5-1 

Win by 10+ pts 2-2 0-4 0-3 5-1 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

Over/Under 8-3 9-3 6-6 9-2 

as HF 1-1 5-1 1-3 3-0 

as HD 3-0 2-0 1-1 2-1 

as AF 1-0 0-0 1-0 1-0 

as AD 3-2 2-2 3-2 1-1 

vs Conf 6-2 6-2 4-4 6-2 

vs Non Conf 2-1 3-1 2-2 3-0 

Off SU Loss 5-2 5-2 4-4 5-1 

Loss by 10+ pts 3-0 4-1 3-3 2-0 

Off SU Win 3-1 3-1 2-1 4-1 

Win by 10+ pts 3-1 3-1 2-1 4-1


2015 : 12-2, 8-0 (#1 BigTen-West) 






Iowa 

The Hawkeyes in ’16 

HC here: Kirk Ferentz – 18 th 




4.5% 28.6% 29.9% 37.0% 


The Hawkeyes are 7-0 ATS as Season Win's (odds) Record result 

an AF off a win (s’/ 9/14/13) 2016 8.5 (-110) 

2015 7.5 (-115) 12-0 OV 

2014 8.5 (-120) 7-5 und 

2013 5.5 (-120) 8-4 OV 

2012 8 (n/a) 4-8 und 


2015 All 10.6 (30.9-20.4) 45.1 (386-341) 67-69 5.8-5.0 11 

’15 conf only 10.8 (29.6-18.8) 21.8 (374-352) 66-72 5.7-4.9 11 

2014 All 2.6 (28.2-25.6) 55.8 (400-344) 73-65 5.5-5.3 -6 

’14 conf only 4.8 (31.2-26.5) 90.0 (417-327) 75-64 5.5-5.1 -4 

2013 All 7.4 (26.3-18.9) 73.9 (377-303) 72-66 5.3-4.6 -1 

’13 conf only 3.8 (23.4-19.6) 52.5 (362-309) 68-67 5.4-4.6 -1 

2012 All -3.6 (19.3-22.9) -71.2 (310-382) 66-69 4.7-5.5 12 

’12 conf only -6.4 (18.8-25.1) -126.1 (287-413) 65-71 4.4-5.8 9 



99% 62% 51% 60% 64% 59% 73% 

After a magical 12-0 regular season, Iowa’s CFB playoff dreams came 

down to a 4 th & 2 play from the 3-yard line with 1:54 left in the Big Ten 

Championship. However, they couldn’t hold MSU. The hangover was 

clearly apparent as they were crushed by Stanford in the Rose Bowl. 

The offense returns their leader in QB CJ Beathard who had a 17-5 

ratio. They do have to replace their #1 RB and 3 of their top 5 receivers. 

They also lose a pair of OL who were all Big-Ten performers who 

combined for 87 career starts (just 52 career starts return). 

Last year’s top 20 defense losses their #2, #3 & #4 tacklers but return 

the other 12 in the top 15. Each defensive unit has one starter to 

replace and they are led by LB Josey Jewell (126 tackles) and CB 

Desmond King who won the Jim Thorpe Award last year as the nation’s 

top defensive back (8 interceptions, 13 pbu’s). 

The schedule sets up for Iowa to make another run as they will be 

favored in at least 10 games. They host Northwestern, Wisconsin, 

Michigan and Nebraska and their 5 Big Ten road games come against 

teams who were a combined 10-30 in conference last year. 



9/3 Sat Miami (OH) 

9/10 Sat Iowa St 

9/17 Sat N Dakota St 


10/1 Sat Northwestern 

10/8 Sat at Minnesota 

10/15 Sat at Purdue 

10/22 Sat Wisconsin 

11/5 Sat at Penn St 

11/12 Sat Michigan 


11/25 Fri Nebraska 

open 

Iowa is 10-1-1 ATS at home off a 

loss as an AF (s’/ 11/1/80) 


2012 2013 2014 2015 

SU 4-8 8-5 7-6 12-2 

Home 2-5 4-3 4-3 7-0 

Away 1-3 4-1 3-2 5-0 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

ATS 3-8 8-5 6-7 8-6 

HF 1-4 2-3 2-4 2-5 

HD 1-0 0-1 1-0 0-0 

AF 0-0 3-0 2-0 4-0 

AD 1-3 2-0 1-1 1-0 

vs Conf 3-5 5-3 5-3 5-4 

Non Conf 0-3 3-2 1-4 3-2 

Off SU Loss 2-4 3-1 3-2 0-1 

Loss by 10+ pts 1-2 3-0 1-0 0-0 

Off SU Win 1-3 5-3 3-4 7-5 

Win by 10+ pts 1-3 5-3 3-4 7-5 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

Over/Under 4-7 6-5 7-5 8-6 

as HF 3-2 2-2 4-2 5-2 

as HD 0-1 0-1 0-0 0-0 

as AF 0-0 1-1 0-2 2-2 

as AD 1-3 2-0 1-1 0-1 

vs Conf 3-5 4-4 5-2 5-4 

vs Non Conf 1-2 2-1 2-3 3-2 

Off SU Loss 2-4 2-1 3-2 1-0 

Loss by 10+ pts 0-3 2-1 0-1 0-0 

Off SU Win 2-2 3-4 3-3 7-5 

Win by 10+ pts 2-2 3-4 3-3 7-5


2015 : 3-9, 1-7 (T #6-#7 BigTen-East) 






Maryland 

The Terrapins in ’16 

HC here: DJ Durkin – 1 st 

Ret Starters: OFF-7.3, DEF-5 



8.4% 15.2% 38.4% 38.0% 


The Terrapins are 7-0 to the Season Win's (odds) Record result 

OVER at home as a pick or 2016 4.5 (+110) 

2015 4.5 (-140) 3-9 und 

favorite (s’/ 11/23/13) 

2014 6.5 (+110) 6-6 und 

2013 6.5 (-140) 7-5 OV 

2012 4 (n/a) 4-8 push 


2015 All -9.8 (24.7-34.4) -46.2 (375-421) 69-76 5.4-5.6 -18 

’15 conf only -13.0 (22.2-35.2) -30.2 (368-398) 71-72 5.2-5.5 -9 

2014 All -1.7 (28.5-30.2) -94.3 (342-436) 65-80 5.3-5.5 0 

’14 conf only -7.6 (25.2-32.9) -99.5 (327-427) 65-78 5.1-5.5 -2 

2013 All 0.8 (26.2-25.3) 22.5 (397-374) 69-74 5.8-5.1 -7 

’13 conf only -12.0 (20.1-32.1) -70.2 (347-417) 67-77 5.2-5.4 -11 

2012 All -7.1 (20.1-27.2) -51.8 (285-337) 65-68 4.4-5.0 -8 

’12 conf only -10.2 (19.5-29.8) -88.2 (286-375) 65-71 4.4-5.3 -1 



100% 60% 88% 38% 61% 68% 30% 

A 3-win season had Maryland looking for a new HC and they found a 

good one in former Michigan DC DJ Durkin. Durkin’s coordinators may 

not be household manes but he also has 2 former head coaches as 

assistants in Mike London (Virginia) and Pete Lembo (Ball State). 

The Terrapins offense was in the bottom 25% last year so while they 

return all their skill players except for their #1 RB, they have work to 

do. That’s especially true at QB where combined, they had a very poor 

15-29 ratio in 2015. The OL breaks in 3 new starters and not only will 

they be learning new schemes, they are lightly experienced. 

The stop unit has even more holes including a pair of DL, a LB and 3 

from the secondary including 6 of their top 9 tacklers. The biggest 

losses are DE Yannick Ngakoue who had a school-record 13.5 sacks 

and CB Sean Davis was drafted in the second round. 

The schedule does set up nicely as they could be favored in each of 

their first four games. A 4-0 start there and Durkin could have the 

Terps right back in bowl contention as they also have winnable games 

vs Minnesota and Rutgers at home in conference play. 



9/3 Sat Howard 

9/9 Fri at FIU 

9/17 Sat at UCF 







11/12 Sat Ohio St 


11/26 Sat Rutgers 

open 

Maryland is 0-8 ATS after a win 

as a fav (since’/ 10/05/13) 


2012 2013 2014 2015 

SU 4-8 7-6 7-6 3-9 

Home 2-4 3-3 2-4 2-4 

Away 2-4 3-2 5-1 1-4 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

ATS 6-6 7-6 6-7 7-5 

HF 0-2 2-2 2-2 2-1 

HD 2-2 1-0 0-2 1-1 

AF 0-0 2-1 0-1 1-0 

AD 4-2 1-1 4-1 2-2 

vs Conf 4-4 3-5 4-4 5-3 

Non Conf 2-2 4-1 2-3 2-2 

Off SU Loss 3-4 3-2 4-1 6-3 

Loss by 10+ pts 2-2 2-2 3-0 5-2 

Off SU Win 3-1 3-4 1-6 0-2 

Win by 10+ pts 3-1 3-4 1-6 0-2 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

Over/Under 5-5 8-5 7-5 7-4 

as HF 0-1 2-2 4-0 2-0 

as HD 2-1 1-0 1-1 1-1 

as AF 0-0 2-1 0-1 1-0 

as AD 3-3 2-0 1-3 1-3 

vs Conf 3-4 6-2 4-4 5-3 

vs Non Conf 2-1 2-3 3-1 2-1 

Off SU Loss 2-4 4-1 2-2 5-3 

Loss by 10+ pts 2-2 3-1 1-2 5-1 

Off SU Win 3-1 3-4 4-3 1-1 

Win by 10+ pts 3-1 3-4 4-3 1-1


2015 : 10-3, 6-2 (#3 BigTen-East) 






Michigan 

The Wolverines in ’16 

HC here: Jim Harbaugh – 2 nd 




0.4% 9.6% 23.6% 66.4% 


Wolverines are 1-10 ATS away Season Win's (odds) Record result 

after a win at home (s’/ 11/5/11) 2016 10 (-110) 

2015 7.5 (+105) 9-3 OV 

2014 7.5 (-190) 5-7 und 

2013 9.5 (+105) 7-5 und 

2012 8.5 (n/a) 18-4 und 


2015 All 15.0 (31.4-16.4) 115.2 (396-281) 70-63 5.7-4.5 -4 

’15 conf only 11.0 (32.0-21.0) 62.3 (382-320) 68-66 5.6-4.8 -4 

2014 All -1.5 (20.9-22.4) 21.7 (333-311) 63-65 5.3-4.8 -16 

’14 conf only -4.1 (19.4-23.5) -39.1 (297-337) 61-67 4.9-5.0 -6 

2013 All 5.4 (32.2-26.8) 2.0 (373-371) 69-70 5.4-5.3 5 

’13 conf only 2.4 (31.6-29.2) -26.0 (370-396) 71-73 5.2-5.4 10 

2012 All 10.0 (29.8-19.8) 63.1 (383-320) 63-65 6.1-4.9 -9 

’12 conf only 14.1 (30.8-16.6) 82.7 (381-299) 62-65 6.2-4.6 -1 



2% 72% 92% 80% 74% 15% 77% 

After improving Michigan’s win total by 5 games in 2015, expectations 

are through the roof for the Wolverines in year 2 under head coach 

Jim Harbaugh. 

Last year Harbaugh used a transfer QB from Iowa named Jake Rudock 

to get to 10 wins and Rudock became a 6th round draft choice. This 

year his signal caller could be a transfer again as John O’Korn 

(Houston) is battling Wilton Speight. The only other departures on the 

offense is a TE (although All-American Jake Butt retuns) and one OL 

(105 career starts back). 

The defense has a few more holes to fill and they lose 5 of their front 

7. They do return a couple of players at DL who were injured last year 

and they will move S Jabrill Peppers to LB to offset the losses. They 

have one of the nation’s top secondaries. 

The Wolverines figure to be huge favorites in each of their first 7 

games of the season as their only road trip is to Rutgers. However, 

they have 3 tough road games to close in Michigan State, Iowa and 

Ohio State which will determine their conference and CFB playoff fate. 



9/3 Sat Hawaii 

9/10 Sat UCF 

9/17 Sat Colorado 




10/22 Sat Illinois 

10/29 Sat at Michigan St 


11/12 Sat at Iowa 

11/19 Sat Indiana 


open 

Michigan is 7-0 ATS away after a 

road loss (since/ Oct 11, 2003) 


2012 2013 2014 2015 

SU 8-5 7-6 5-7 10-3 

Home 6-0 5-2 4-3 5-2 

Away 2-3 2-3 1-4 4-1 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

ATS 5-7 7-6 5-6 7-6 

HF 3-3 4-2 3-4 4-2 

HD 0-0 1-0 0-0 0-1 

AF 2-0 0-2 0-0 2-2 

AD 0-3 2-1 2-2 0-1 

vs Conf 4-4 5-3 4-3 4-4 

Non Conf 1-3 2-3 1-3 3-2 

Off SU Loss 2-1 3-2 4-2 2-1 

Loss by 10+ pts 1-1 0-1 2-2 1-0 

Off SU Win 3-5 3-4 0-4 5-4 

Win by 10+ pts 3-5 3-4 0-4 5-4 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

Over/Under 6-7 6-7 4-8 8-5 

as HF 3-3 4-2 2-5 3-3 

as HD 0-0 1-0 0-0 1-0 

as AF 1-1 1-1 0-1 3-1 

as AD 0-3 0-3 2-2 0-1 

vs Conf 3-5 4-4 3-5 7-1 

vs Non Conf 3-2 2-3 1-3 1-4 

Off SU Loss 2-2 2-3 3-3 2-1 

Loss by 10+ pts 1-1 0-1 2-2 1-0 

Off SU Win 3-5 3-4 0-5 6-3 

Win by 10+ pts 3-5 3-4 0-5 6-3


2015 : 12-2, 7-1 (T #1-#2 BigTen-East) 






Michigan St 

The Spartans in ’16 

HC here: Mark Dantonio – 10 th 




5.6% 19.6% 25.2% 49.7% 


Spartans are 10-1-1 ATS as 


a single digit dog (s’/12/1/11) 2016 7.5 (-130) 

2015 9.5 (-155) 11-1 OV 

2014 9.5 (+100) 10-2 OV 

2013 8.5 (-120) 11-1 OV 

2012 8 (n/a) 6-6 und 


2015 All 8.1 (29.8-21.7) 35.6 (386-350) 71-64 5.4-5.5 14 

’15 conf only 11.2 (31.6-20.3) 88.3 (408-319) 74-61 5.5-5.2 10 

2014 All 21.5 (43.0-21.5) 185.0 (501-316) 76-62 6.6-5.1 19 

’14 conf only 19.8 (39.5-19.8) 191.4 (487-296) 75-63 6.5-4.7 11 

2013 All 16.1 (29.4-13.2) 133.6 (386-252) 71-62 5.4-4.0 13 

’13 conf only 17.8 (30.2-12.4) 129.5 (404-275) 71-63 5.7-4.3 11 

2012 All 3.7 (20.0-16.3) 84.9 (359-274) 74-63 4.9-4.4 2 

’12 conf only 1.2 (19.9-18.6) 59.8 (353-293) 72-65 4.9-4.5 1 



5% 93% 35% 46% 32% 73% 80% 

Michigan State joins Alabama as the only teams to finish in the AP top 

10 each of the last 3 seasons. While the Spartans lose 12 starters, they 

do return 26 players with starting experience. 

The biggest challenge will be replacing QB Connor Cook who went 34- 

5 as a starter but Tyler O’Connor is a senior and did make one start 

last season (upset win at Ohio St). The RB unit is set as their top 3 all 

return led by LJ Scott. The Spartans do lose both starting WR’s 

including Aaron Burbridge. The OL also takes a big hit with all the 3 

departing seniors having a combined 118 career starts. 

The biggest question mark on defense could be the DL that loses 3 

starters including DE Shilique Calhoun. They do have an All-American 

candidate at DT in Malik McDowell. The LB corps returns a couple of 

starters led by Riley Bullough and could get add in Ed Davis (petitioning 

for a 6 th year). 10 of the top 12 are back in the secondary. 

While they must play at Notre Dame early in the season (they have a 

bye prior), they get all important Big 10 games vs Wisconsin, Michigan 

and Ohio State at home where they are 52-12 the last 9 years. 



9/2 Fri Furman 




10/8 Sat BYU 


10/22 Sat at Maryland 






open 

Michigan St is 18-4-1 ATS after a 

win as an AD (s’/ 11/02/85) 


2012 2013 2014 2015 

SU 7-6 13-1 11-2 12-2 

Home 2-5 7-0 6-1 7-0 

Away 4-1 4-1 4-1 4-1 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

ATS 5-8 10-4 9-4 5-9 

HF 0-6 3-4 5-2 3-4 

HD 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 

AF 2-1 3-0 3-1 0-3 

AD 2-0 1-0 0-1 2-0 

vs Conf 3-5 7-2 5-3 5-4 

Non Conf 2-3 3-2 4-1 0-5 

Off SU Loss 3-3 1-0 2-0 1-0 

Loss by 10+ pts 0-1 0-0 2-0 0-0 

Off SU Win 2-4 9-3 6-4 4-8 

Win by 10+ pts 2-4 9-3 6-4 4-8 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

Over/Under 2-10 6-8 8-4 7-7 

as HF 0-6 2-5 4-3 3-4 

as HD 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 

as AF 1-1 1-2 2-1 3-0 

as AD 0-2 0-1 1-0 1-1 

vs Conf 2-6 4-5 3-4 5-4 

vs Non Conf 0-4 2-3 5-0 2-3 

Off SU Loss 1-5 1-0 1-1 0-1 

Loss by 10+ pts 0-1 0-0 1-1 0-0 

Off SU Win 1-4 5-7 6-3 6-6 

Win by 10+ pts 1-4 5-7 6-3 6-6


2015 : 6-7, 2-6 (T #5-#6 BigTen-West) 






Minnesota 

The Golden Gophers in ’16 

HC here: Tracy Claeys – 1 st 




7.7% 27.6% 25.5% 39.2% 


Gophers are 0-9 ATS as a dog Season Win's (odds) Record result 

after being an AF (s’/ 10/8/94) 2016 6 (-110) 

2015 5.5 (-175) 5-7 und 

2014 6.5 (+120) 8-4 OV 

2013 5.5 (-120) 8-4 OV 

2012 4.5 (n/a) 6-6 OV 


2015 All -2.7 (22.5-25.2) 13.0 (359-346) 67-71 5.3-4.9 -4 

’15 conf only -5.6 (24.2-29.9) -27.9 (347-375) 63-72 5.5-5.2 -2 

2014 All 4.2 (28.4-24.2) -10.8 (357-368) 66-68 5.5-5.4 10 

’14 conf only 5.5 (30.5-25.0) 13.9 (366-352) 67-63 5.5-5.6 7 

2013 All 3.5 (25.7-22.2) -29.9 (343-373) 66-66 5.2-5.7 3 

’13 conf only -4.8 (18.8-23.5) -50.2 (320-371) 66-64 4.9-5.8 0 

2012 All -2.6 (22.1-24.7) -37.2 (321-359) 65-68 4.9-5.3 -2 

’12 conf only -10.4 (17.1-27.5) -102.2 (273-375) 62-66 4.4-5.7 -8 



99% 90% 68% 46% 65% 75% 42% 

Since 1995, Tracey Claeys had been a defensive assistant for Jerry Kill. 

When Kill stepped down for medical reasons in the middle of last 

season, Claeys was named head coach and the Gophers would play 

well covering in 5 of those 6 games including a bowl win. 

The new offense (Claeys surprisingly fired long-time Kill assistant Matt 

Limegrover) will have all but one skill player back (lose their #1 

receiver). QB Mitch Leidner averaged 242 passing ypg in the final 7 and 

they have a great 1-2 punch of sophomore RB’s. The OL does lose 108 

career starts (just 37 return). 

The defense loses its #1 and #3 tacklers as well as 4 of their top 6. 

However, the DL does return 3 starters and the LB’s return 6 of their 

top 7. The weakest link will be the secondary as they lose a pair of All- 

Big Ten performers at CB and also lose their leading tackler. 

The schedule will see the Golden Gophers favored in each of their first 

3 games and they also get conference bottom-feeders Rutgers and 

Purdue at home. They could be favored in as many as 7 of their first 9 

games and should be back in a bowl for a 5 th straight year. 



9/1 Thu Oregon St 

9/10 Sat Indiana St 

9/24 Sat Colorado St 


10/8 Sat Iowa 








open 

Minnesota is 7-0 ATS as an AD 

after being a dog (s’/ 10/19/13) 


2012 2013 2014 2015 

SU 6-7 8-5 8-5 6-7 

Home 4-3 5-2 6-1 3-4 

Away 2-3 3-2 2-3 2-3 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

ATS 6-7 9-4 8-5 7-6 

HF 2-0 3-1 3-2 1-3 

HD 1-3 2-1 1-0 2-1 

AF 1-1 1-0 0-1 1-1 

AD 0-3 3-1 3-1 2-1 

vs Conf 2-6 6-2 6-2 5-3 

Non Conf 4-1 3-2 2-3 2-3 

Off SU Loss 3-3 2-2 3-1 6-1 

Loss by 10+ pts 3-2 2-2 1-1 4-0 

Off SU Win 3-3 6-2 4-4 0-5 

Win by 10+ pts 3-3 6-2 4-4 0-5 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

Over/Under 5-7 6-7 6-7 7-6 

as HF 0-1 2-2 2-3 3-1 

as HD 2-2 1-2 0-1 2-1 

as AF 1-1 1-0 0-1 1-1 

as AD 1-2 2-2 2-2 1-2 

vs Conf 3-5 3-5 4-4 6-2 

vs Non Conf 2-2 3-2 2-3 1-4 

Off SU Loss 3-3 1-3 2-2 4-3 

Loss by 10+ pts 2-3 1-3 1-1 3-1 

Off SU Win 1-4 4-4 4-4 3-2 

Win by 10+ pts 1-4 4-4 4-4 3-2


2015 : 6-7, 3-5 (#4 BigTen-West) 






Nebraska 

The Cornhuskers in ’16 

HC here: Mike Riley – 2 nd 




7.7% 14.4% 46.0% 31.9% 


The Huskers are 9-2 to the 


OVER vs non-conf (s’/ 1/1/14) 2016 8.5 (-110) 

2015 8 (-120) 5-7 und 

2014 8.5 (+155) 9-3 OV 

2013 9.5 (+100) 8-3 und 

2012 8.5 (n/a) 10-2 OV 


2015 All 5.0 (32.8-27.8) 46.5 (447-400) 73-68 6.1-5.9 -12 

’15 conf only 2.2 (30.6-28.4) 28.1 (404-376) 71-68 5.7-5.5 -11 

2014 All 11.4 (37.8-26.4) 68.6 (452-384) 73-71 6.2-5.4 -2 

’14 conf only 6.2 (33.4-27.1) -4.7 (390-394) 70-72 5.5-5.5 -2 

2013 All 7.1 (31.9-24.8) 41.6 (412-371) 74-71 5.6-5.2 -11 

’13 conf only 2.8 (27.2-24.5) 65.0 (384-319) 74-70 5.2-4.5 -16 

2012 All 7.2 (34.8-27.6) 100.1 (461-361) 74-69 6.2-5.2 -12 

’12 conf only -0.3 (29.1-29.4) 87.8 (427-339) 75-66 5.7-5.2 -9 



100% 69% 90% 35% 47% 100% 64% 

There may not have been a more hard-luck team in 2015 than the 

Cornhuskers who lost 5 games in the final seconds (did get a fortunate 

win over Michigan State due to a controversial call). This year’s team 

looks to be much improved in year 2 under head coach Mike Riley. 

It isn’t often when a 3-year starting QB has to come into spring looking 

over his shoulder but the coaching staff was not happy with Tommy 

Armstrong throwing 16 interceptions last year. The RB’s return their 

#1 (765 yards) and the receivers are set as the top 6 are all back led by 

Jordan Westerkamp. The OL maybe the biggest question mark as they 

must replace 3 starters and return only 24 career starts. 

The defense last year allowed their WORST ppg average SINCE 1948 

(30.3). While the entire front 4 will be new, 3 have experience as you 

can see above with 47% of the DL tackles returning. The rest of the 

defense is set as they return 5 of their top 6 tacklers. 

The schedule could see the Cornhuskers favored in 6 of their first 7 

games but they do have 3 tough road trips in the back half (Wisconsin, 

Ohio State and Iowa) where they figure to be a dog in each. 



9/3 Sat Fresno St 

9/10 Sat Wyoming 

9/17 Sat Oregon 









11/25 Fri at Iowa 

open 

Nebraska is 9-1 ATS as a dog 

away from home the L3Y 


2012 2013 2014 2015 

SU 10-4 9-4 9-4 6-7 

Home 7-0 5-3 6-1 3-4 

Away 3-2 3-1 3-2 2-3 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

ATS 7-7 7-6 8-4 6-7 

HF 6-1 3-4 3-3 1-3 

HD 0-0 0-1 0-0 1-2 

AF 0-3 1-1 2-0 1-2 

AD 0-1 2-0 2-1 2-0 

vs Conf 4-5 4-4 4-3 3-5 

Non Conf 3-2 3-2 4-1 3-2 

Off SU Loss 1-2 3-1 2-1 4-3 

Loss by 10+ pts 0-2 3-1 0-1 1-0 

Off SU Win 5-5 4-4 5-3 2-3 

Win by 10+ pts 5-5 4-4 5-3 2-3 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

Over/Under 8-5 6-7 8-5 8-5 

as HF 3-3 4-3 3-4 3-1 

as HD 0-0 1-0 0-0 1-2 

as AF 1-2 1-1 2-0 1-2 

as AD 1-0 0-2 2-1 2-0 

vs Conf 5-4 3-5 4-4 4-4 

vs Non Conf 3-1 3-2 4-1 4-1 

Off SU Loss 1-2 1-3 2-1 5-2 

Loss by 10+ pts 1-1 1-3 0-1 1-0 

Off SU Win 6-3 4-4 5-4 2-3 

Win by 10+ pts 6-3 4-4 5-4 2-3


2015 : 10-3, 6-2 (T #2-#3 BigTen-West) 






Northwestern 

The Wildcats in ’16 

HC here: Pat Fitzgerald – 11 th 

Ret Starters: OFF-6*, DEF-6.2 



10.4% 21.1% 21.1% 47.5% 


The Wildcats are 11-2 to the Season Win's (odds) Record result 

UNDER as a HF the L3Y 

2016 6.5 (-120) 

2015 6.5 (+110) 10-2 OV 

2014 7.5 (+115) 5-7 und 

2013 8.5 (-105) 5-7 und 

2012 6 (n/a) 9-3 OV 


2015 All 0.9 (19.5-18.6) 8.2 (327-319) 73-70 4.5-4.5 1 

’15 conf only -1.8 (18.5-20.2) -39.3 (294-333) 69-72 4.3-4.6 3 

2014 All -2.2 (23.0-25.2) -31.2 (353-384) 78-73 4.5-5.3 4 

’14 conf only -3.9 (21.2-25.1) -32.8 (332-365) 77-69 4.3-5.3 3 

2013 All -0.9 (26.2-27.1) -23.9 (400-424) 74-78 5.4-5.5 3 

’13 conf only -10.1 (18.6-28.8) -64.1 (358-422) 74-75 4.8-5.6 -1 

2012 All 9.2 (31.7-22.5) 16.5 (395-378) 74-72 5.3-5.3 14 

’12 conf only 6.8 (31.6-24.9) -1.2 (393-394) 71-74 5.5-5.3 9 



85% 99% 45% 72% 53% 80% 62% 

Last year the Wildcats went 10-3 overall and 6-2 in B10 play. In 2014 

they went 3-5 in conference action, but if you take a look at the 

conference ypg for the last 2 years, you’ll note that they were 

“BETTER” in 2014 at -32.8 ypg compared to -39.9 ypg last year. 

The returning starters are also a bit misleading as the Wildcats lose 3 

rec’s, a slot back and one OL yet their leading receiver had only 355 

yards because they ran the ball 63% of the time. The star on offense is 

RB Justin Jackson and 2 nd -year QB Clayton Thorson figures to be much 

improved throwing (just 7-9 ratio last year). The OL does return 64 

career starts. 

The defense allowed just 18.6 ppg and 319 ypg a year ago (their best 

since the 1995 Rose Bowl season). They do have question marks at DE 

but return 5 of their top 6 LB’s and 5 of their top 8 DB’s. 

The schedule could see them favored in each of their first three games 

but they do have tough road trips to Iowa, Michigan State and Ohio 

State in conference play and it’s tough seeing them matching last 

year’s 10-win total. 




9/10 Sat Illinois St 

9/17 Sat Duke 










open 

Northwestern is 1-11 ATS as a 

HF off a road loss (s’/ 10/16/93) 


2012 2013 2014 2015 

SU 10-3 5-7 5-7 10-3 

Home 6-1 3-4 2-5 6-1 

Away 3-2 2-3 3-2 3-1 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

ATS 12-1 3-9 4-7 8-5 

HF 5-0 1-4 0-4 2-2 

HD 2-0 0-2 1-1 2-1 

AF 1-0 1-1 1-0 0-0 

AD 2-1 1-2 2-2 3-1 

vs Conf 7-1 1-7 3-4 5-3 

Non Conf 5-0 2-2 1-3 3-2 

Off SU Loss 3-0 1-6 1-4 1-1 

Loss by 10+ pts 1-0 0-3 0-1 1-1 

Off SU Win 8-1 1-3 3-2 6-4 

Win by 10+ pts 8-1 1-3 3-2 6-4 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

Over/Under 5-6 4-8 5-7 5-8 

as HF 2-2 1-4 1-3 0-4 

as HD 0-2 1-1 1-2 2-1 

as AF 0-1 2-0 1-0 0-0 

as AD 2-1 0-3 2-2 2-2 

vs Conf 4-4 2-6 4-4 4-4 

vs Non Conf 1-2 2-2 1-3 1-4 

Off SU Loss 0-3 1-6 3-3 2-0 

Loss by 10+ pts 0-1 1-2 1-1 2-0 

Off SU Win 4-3 2-2 2-3 3-7 

Win by 10+ pts 4-3 2-2 2-3 3-7


2015 : 12-1, 7-1 (T #1-#2 BigTen-East) 






Ohio St 

The Buckeyes in ’16 

HC here: Urban Meyer – 5 th 




1.7% 35.3% 30.1% 32.9% 


The Buckeyes are 9-0 ATS 


as a B10 AD the last 7 years 2016 9.5 (+105) 

2015 11 (-130) 11-1 push 

2014 10.5 (+135) 11-1 OV 

2013 11.5 (+140) 12-0 OV 

2012 9 (n/a) 12-0 OV 


2015 All 20.6 (35.7-15.1) 122.8 (434-311) 69-69 6.3-4.5 3 

’15 conf only 20.4 (35.2-14.9) 96.8 (425-329) 67-69 6.4-4.8 3 

2014 All 22.8 (44.8-22.0) 169.2 (512-342) 73-69 7.0-5.0 7 

’14 conf only 24.7 (46.3-21.7) 168.0 (502-334) 69-71 7.2-4.7 10 

2013 All 22.9 (45.5-22.6) 134.5 (512-377) 72-71 7.2-5.3 5 

’13 conf only 19.6 (43.6-24.0) 115.2 (514-399) 70-73 7.4-5.4 3 

2012 All 14.3 (37.2-22.8) 64.2 (424-360) 70-71 6.1-5.1 3 

’12 conf only 11.2 (36.9-25.6) 80.1 (422-342) 70-69 6.1-5.0 -2 



40% 28% 19% 40% 45% 48% 35% 

The Buckeyes have incredibly gone 50-4 under Urban Meyer but they 

will have their work cut out for them as the Buckeyes enter the season 

as the least experienced team in the country with only 6 starters back. 

It does help that of the 3 returning starters on offense, QB JT Barrett 

is one of them. Remember, Barrett was 5 th in the Heisman voting in 

2014. The other two starters are both on the OL. In fact, the offense 

has only one player back besides Barrett that had over 100 rush yards 

last year and has only one player back that had over 100 receiving 

yards and it’s the same player in Curtis Samuel. 

The defense is in the same position as they return only 3 starters but 

they do get back their defensive leader and #1 tackler LB Raekwon 

McMillan. Overall, seven of the team’s top 15 tacklers are back so 

there is more experience than you think. 

The schedule is more difficult than previous seasons as the Buckeyes 

play at Oklahoma in Week 3 and also play at Wisconsin, at Penn State 

and at Michigan State in conference action. They do get the allimportant 

game vs Michigan at home in the finale. 



9/3 Sat Bowling Green 

9/10 Sat Tulsa 

9/17 Sat at Oklahoma 










open 

Ohio St is 14-1 ATS away after a 

home loss (since Oct 22, 1988) 


2012 2013 2014 2015 

SU 12-0 12-2 14-1 12-1 

Home 8-0 7-0 6-1 6-1 

Away 4-0 5-0 4-0 5-0 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

ATS 7-5 6-7 10-5 6-7 

HF 4-4 3-3 4-3 1-6 

HD 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 

AF 0-1 3-2 1-2 4-1 

AD 2-0 0-0 1-0 0-0 

vs Conf 6-2 3-5 5-4 4-4 

Non Conf 1-3 3-2 5-1 2-3 

Off SU Loss 0-0 0-1 1-0 1-0 

Loss by 10+ pts 0-0 0-1 1-0 0-0 

Off SU Win 6-5 6-5 8-5 4-7 

Win by 10+ pts 6-5 6-5 8-5 4-7 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

Over/Under 6-6 10-4 12-3 4-8 

as HF 4-4 4-3 7-0 1-5 

as HD 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 

as AF 1-0 4-1 2-1 2-3 

as AD 0-2 0-0 1-0 0-0 

vs Conf 4-4 6-3 8-1 2-5 

vs Non Conf 2-2 4-1 4-2 2-3 

Off SU Loss 0-0 1-0 1-0 1-0 

Loss by 10+ pts 0-0 1-0 1-0 0-0 

Off SU Win 5-6 8-4 11-2 2-8 

Win by 10+ pts 5-6 8-4 11-2 2-8


2015 : 7-6, 4-4 (#4 BigTen-East) 






Penn St 

The Nittany Lions in ’16 

HC here: James Franklin – 3 rd 




8.4% 35.7% 33.6% 22.4% 


Nittany Lions are 3-14 ATS as Season Win's (odds) Record result 

an AD after a win (s’/ 10/26/02) 2016 6.5 (-110) 

2015 7.5 (-160) 7-5 und 

2014 7.5 (+100) 6-6 und 

2013 8.5 (+150) 7-5 und 

2012 6.5 (n/a) 8-4 OV 


2015 All 1.3 (23.2-21.8) 24.2 (349-324) 64-68 5.5-4.8 4 

’15 conf only 0.8 (23.8-23.0) 23.9 (370-346) 64-71 5.8-4.9 -1 

2014 All 2.0 (20.6-18.6) 57.1 (335-278) 73-65 4.6-4.3 -5 

’14 conf only -6.6 (14.0-20.6) -7.3 (268-275) 72-68 3.7-4.1 -1 

2013 All 2.5 (28.7-26.2) 51.8 (433-381) 76-72 5.7-5.3 -2 

’13 conf only -5.6 (26.4-32.0) -10.4 (419-430) 77-75 5.5-5.7 1 

2012 All 10.0 (29.1-19.1) 64.1 (418-353) 78-72 5.4-4.9 9 

’12 conf only 11.6 (32.6-21.0) 82.1 (437-355) 81-72 5.4-4.9 5 



8% 84% 86% 82% 36% 72% 72% 

The James Franklin era has been a bit of a disappointment with backto-back 

7-6 seasons (just 6-10 in Big Ten play) but this year’s team 

could be his best yet especially on offense. 

It’s rare that you lose a 2 nd round draft choice at QB and have realistic 

expectations that you’ll get more production out of the position. The 

offense is changing to a “spread” with a new OC and the mobile 

sophomore Trace McSorely fits the bill. The skill positions are led by 

1,000-yard rusher Saquon Barkley and 1,000-yard receiver Chris 

Godwin. The OL also returns 91 career starts. 

There are only a handful of units that lost as much as the Penn St DL 

as 3 of their 4 starters depart and they did so as 2 nd , 3 rd and 6 th round 

draft choices. The LB corps loses a starter but also gets one back after 

getting injured in the opener last season. The secondary also has 2 

holes to fill but have experienced replacements. 

While Penn State has two tough road games in the month of 

September (Pitt and Michigan), they do get key games vs Ohio St, Iowa 

and Michigan St all at home where they are 61-17 the last 11 years. 



9/3 Sat Kent St 


9/17 Sat Temple 






11/5 Sat Iowa 




open 

Penn St is 7-0-1 ATS as an AF 

after a HF loss (‘/ Oct 1, 1998) 


2012 2013 2014 2015 

SU 8-4 7-5 7-6 7-6 

Home 5-2 5-2 3-4 6-1 

Away 3-2 1-3 2-2 0-4 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

ATS 9-3 5-7 6-6 4-9 

HF 5-1 3-3 3-2 4-2 

HD 0-0 1-0 1-1 0-1 

AF 1-0 0-1 0-2 0-2 

AD 3-1 1-2 0-1 0-2 

vs Conf 6-2 3-5 1-6 3-5 

Non Conf 3-1 2-2 5-0 1-4 

Off SU Loss 4-0 4-1 2-3 0-5 

Loss by 10+ pts 2-0 2-1 1-1 0-4 

Off SU Win 5-2 1-5 3-3 4-3 

Win by 10+ pts 5-2 1-5 3-3 4-3 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

Over/Under 6-5 7-5 5-7 5-7 

as HF 2-3 3-3 2-3 1-5 

as HD 0-0 1-0 1-0 1-0 

as AF 0-1 1-0 0-3 1-1 

as AD 3-1 2-1 0-1 1-0 

vs Conf 6-1 5-3 1-6 4-3 

vs Non Conf 0-4 2-2 4-1 1-4 

Off SU Loss 1-3 3-2 2-3 3-2 

Loss by 10+ pts 0-2 2-1 1-1 2-2 

Off SU Win 5-1 4-2 2-4 2-4 

Win by 10+ pts 5-1 4-2 2-4 2-4


2015 : 2-10, 1-7 (#7 BigTen-West) 






Purdue 

The Boilermakers in ’16 

HC here: Darrell Hazell – 4 th 




8.0% 18.6% 47.0% 26.5% 


Purdue is 1-10 ATS as a HD 


after a home game (s’/ 10/1/11) 2016 4.5 (-110) 

2015 4.5 (-145) 2-10 und 

2014 3.5 (+100) 3-9 und 

2013 5.5 (+175) 1-11 und 

2012 6.5 (n/a) 6-6 und 


2015 All -11.4 (25.1-36.5) -90.4 (369-459) 77-75 4.8-6.1 -5 

’15 conf only -14.6 (22.5-37.1) -125.2 (342-467) 75-73 4.5-6.5 -4 

2014 All -7.8 (23.8-31.7) -71.4 (345-416) 70-75 5.0-5.6 -5 

’14 conf only -11.0 (22.1-33.1) -93.0 (341-434) 68-76 5.1-5.7 -3 

2013 All -23.1 (14.9-38.0) -177.0 (283-460) 62-74 4.6-6.2 -2 

’13 conf only -26.2 (13.0-39.2) -241.2 (258-500) 59-77 4.4-6.5 2 

2012 All -2.5 (28.7-31.2) -13.2 (403-416) 74-73 5.5-5.7 -2 

’12 conf only -9.5 (23.6-33.1) -56.8 (377-434) 71-73 5.3-5.9 1 



56% 92% 78% 65% 87% 100% 64% 

There are only a handful of Power-5 programs that would keep a HC 

who took over a 6-7 program 3 years ago and has produced just SIX 

wins in 3 seasons (6-30). That is the case here as head coach Darrell 

Hazell enters 2016 on the hot seat. 

Purdue loses one of their 2 QB’s from last season but returning is David 

Blough who won the job after a few games but was injured late in the 

season. The top 3 RB’s all join him back as does their #1 receiver and 

7 of their top 8 pass catchers. The OL suffers the other 2 losses but 

they still return 82 career starts. 

The defense struggled down the stretch last year as they allowed 42 

ppg their last 5 games. This year the Boilermakers only have to replace 

three starters but two of those players were multi-year starting CB’s. 

Last season Purdue allowed 62.3% with those experienced cover men 

so expect teams to pass against them often. 

The non-conference schedule is manageable but the Big Ten schedule 

includes 4 home games against teams who were a combined 24-8 in 

conference play last year (most winnable games on road). 



9/3 Sat EKU 

9/10 Sat Cincinnati 

9/24 Sat Nevada 



10/15 Sat Iowa 







open 

Boilermakers are 7-0-2 ATS as 

an AF off a HD loss (s’/ 11/10/90) 


2012 2013 2014 2015 

SU 6-7 1-11 3-9 2-10 

Home 4-3 1-6 2-5 2-5 

Away 2-3 0-5 1-3 0-5 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

ATS 6-7 4-8 6-6 6-6 

HF 3-1 0-1 1-2 1-0 

HD 0-2 2-4 1-3 1-5 

AF 0-2 0-0 0-0 0-0 

AD 3-0 2-3 3-1 4-1 

vs Conf 3-5 3-5 4-4 5-3 

Non Conf 3-2 1-3 2-2 1-3 

Off SU Loss 3-3 3-7 5-3 6-3 

Loss by 10+ pts 2-2 2-6 4-3 4-2 

Off SU Win 2-4 1-0 1-2 0-2 

Win by 10+ pts 2-4 1-0 1-2 0-2 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

Over/Under 7-5 6-6 6-6 7-5 

as HF 3-0 0-1 2-1 0-1 

as HD 0-2 3-3 2-2 5-1 

as AF 1-1 0-0 0-0 0-0 

as AD 1-2 3-2 2-2 2-3 

vs Conf 4-4 4-4 4-4 5-3 

vs Non Conf 3-1 2-2 2-2 2-2 

Off SU Loss 4-2 5-5 3-5 4-5 

Loss by 10+ pts 2-2 3-5 3-4 2-4 

Off SU Win 3-3 1-0 2-1 2-0 

Win by 10+ pts 3-3 1-0 2-1 2-0


2015 : 4-8, 1-7 (T #6-#7 BigTen-East) 






Rutgers 

The Scarlet Knights in ’16 

HC here: Chris Ash – 1 st 




13.6% 19.3% 40.2% 26.9% 


The Scarlet Knights are 6-2 to Season Win's (odds) Record result 

the OVER as an AD the L2Y 2016 4.5 (-125) 

2015 5 (-145) 4-8 und 

2014 4.5 (+165) 7-5 OV 

2013 6.5 (+110) 6-6 und 

2012 8.5 (n/a) 9-3 OV 


2015 All -7.8 (27.1-34.9) -85.0 (377-462) 67-67 5.6-6.9 -2 

’15 conf only -20.5 (21.2-41.8) -166.9 (339-506) 67-69 5.1-7.3 1 

2014 All -3.5 (26.7-30.2) -52.8 (390-443) 65-69 6.0-6.4 -2 

’14 conf only -14.0 (20.8-34.8) -105.9 (345-450) 65-69 5.3-6.6 -5 

2013 All -3.2 (26.5-29.8) -47.6 (365-413) 69-73 5.3-5.7 -12 

’13 conf only -11.0 (23.0-34.0) -84.3 (359-443) 71-70 5.0-6.3 -9 

2012 All 7.3 (21.5-14.2) 18.3 (330-312) 63-68 5.2-4.6 10 

’12 conf only 6.0 (19.0-13.0) 2.4 (325-323) 62-67 5.2-4.8 10 



100% 72% 64% 80% 88% 10% 93% 

After a disastrous on and off-field 2015 season, the Scarlet Knights 

decided to bring in former Ohio State DC Chris Ash as they try to 

replicate what Houston did with former OSU OC Tom Herman last 

year. Ash also then hired Herman’s WR coach from LY as his OC. 

If you look at Rutgers scoring average you’ll see that it has increased 

each of the last 4 seasons despite having a new OC each year, with this 

being the fifth straight season. The offense which finished #58 in the 

adjusted numbers only has to replace one OL and one receiver 

although he was their best player and was a 3 rd round draft choice. 

The defense however has to replace all 3 starting LB’s which happened 

to be the team’s top 3 tacklers last season including Steve Longa who 

was only the 2 nd player in school history to have 3 straight 100 tackle 

seasons. The DL looks like a team strength as they return 7 of the top 

8 while secondary should be improved after an injury plagued season. 

The schedule will see the Scarlet Knights huge underdogs in 4 of their 

first 6 games and they figure to be favored in only 4 games. They will 

most likely miss out on a bowl game for the 2 nd straight season. 



9/3 Sat at Washington 

9/10 Sat Howard 

9/17 Sat New Mexico 

9/24 Sat Iowa 









open 

Rutgers has covered 8 of their 

last 10 versus non-conf foes. 


2012 2013 2014 2015 

SU 9-4 6-7 8-5 4-8 

Home 4-2 5-2 4-2 2-5 

Away 5-1 1-4 2-3 2-3 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

ATS 7-6 5-8 7-5 4-7 

HF 3-3 2-4 2-2 1-1 

HD 0-0 0-1 1-1 1-3 

AF 1-1 0-2 0-0 1-0 

AD 3-1 2-1 2-2 1-3 

vs Conf 5-2 2-5 3-4 2-6 

Non Conf 2-4 3-3 4-1 2-1 

Off SU Loss 1-2 1-5 3-1 2-4 

Loss by 10+ pts 1-1 1-4 2-1 1-3 

Off SU Win 6-3 3-3 3-4 1-3 

Win by 10+ pts 6-3 3-3 3-4 1-3 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

Over/Under 3-9 5-8 7-5 7-5 

as HF 1-4 2-4 3-1 2-1 

as HD 0-0 1-0 0-2 2-2 

as AF 1-1 1-1 0-0 0-1 

as AD 1-3 1-2 3-1 3-1 

vs Conf 1-6 3-4 5-3 5-3 

vs Non Conf 2-3 2-4 2-2 2-2 

Off SU Loss 0-3 1-5 3-1 3-4 

Loss by 10+ pts 0-2 1-4 3-1 2-3 

Off SU Win 3-5 3-3 3-4 3-1 

Win by 10+ pts 3-5 3-3 3-4 3-1


2015 : 10-3, 6-2 (T #2-#3 BigTen-West) 






Wisconsin 

The Badgers in ’16 

HC here: Paul Chryst – 2 nd 




12.3% 23.2% 26.7% 37.9% 


Wisconsin’s Defense was #1 in Season Win's (odds) Record result 

the FBS LY allowing 13.7 PPG 2016 7 (-110) 

2015 10 (+160) 9-3 und 

2014 9.5 (-150) 10-2 OV 

2013 8.5 (-210) 9-3 OV 

2012 9.5 (n/a) 7-5 und 


2015 All 13.1 (26.8-13.7) 110.1 (379-269) 72-61 5.3-4.4 3 

’15 conf only 9.4 (24.2-14.9) 107.5 (362-255) 73-61 5.0-4.2 -1 

2014 All 13.8 (34.6-20.8) 174.8 (469-294) 69-60 6.8-4.9 -9 

’14 conf only 10.2 (32.7-22.4) 157.8 (451-293) 67-62 6.7-4.8 -6 

2013 All 18.5 (34.8-16.3) 175.8 (481-305) 70-65 6.9-4.7 1 

’13 conf only 18.8 (34.9-16.1) 175.8 (471-296) 70-62 6.7-4.8 1 

2012 All 10.4 (29.6-19.1) 70.7 (393-323) 66-67 6.0-4.8 3 

’12 conf only 15.2 (34.9-19.7) 120.6 (439-319) 68-68 6.4-4.7 8 



9% 82% 49% 63% 81% 77% 44% 

Paul Chryst returned to Wisconsin last year and did an admirable job 

getting the Badgers to 10 wins for the 5 th time in the last 7 years 

(although UW was favored in 11 of their 12 regular season games). 

On offense, the QB battle will not be settled until the summer as they 

do have to replace a 3.5-year starter at QB. However, Joel Stave had a 

combined 20-21 ratio the last 2 seasons. The top 3 RB’s are back as are 

4 of the top 5 receivers and RB Corey Clement should be much 

healthier. The OL returns 4 starters and should be much improved 

after the Badgers averaged just 150 rush ypg (lowest since 1995). 

After ranking No. 1 in the country in scoring defense last year, the 

Badgers return 15 of their top 20 tacklers. They do lose All-American 

LB Joe Schobert and 1 st -team All-Big Ten CB Michael Caputo. One 

other major loss to mention is DC Dave Aranda. 

Speaking of Aranda, the Badgers must face him and his new team LSU 

in the opener (at Lambeau). The Badgers also pull Michigan, Michigan 

State and Ohio State all from the Big Ten East and could find 

themselves an underdog in at least 5 games. 



9/3 Sat (N) LSU 

9/10 Sat Akron 

9/17 Sat Georgia St 










open 

UW is 1-5 ATS after scoring 40 or 

more pts (s’/ 11/01/13) 


2012 2013 2014 2015 

SU 8-6 9-4 11-3 10-3 

Home 5-2 6-1 7-0 5-2 

Away 2-3 3-2 3-1 4-0 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

ATS 6-8 9-3 6-7 7-6 

HF 2-5 6-1 3-4 3-4 

HD 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 

AF 1-1 2-1 2-2 3-1 

AD 1-1 1-0 0-0 0-0 

vs Conf 6-3 5-2 4-5 4-4 

Non Conf 0-5 4-1 2-2 3-2 

Off SU Loss 3-2 2-1 1-2 3-0 

Loss by 10+ pts 0-0 0-0 1-0 1-0 

Off SU Win 3-5 6-2 5-5 4-5 

Win by 10+ pts 3-5 6-2 5-5 4-5 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

Over/Under 6-6 5-8 7-5 5-8 

as HF 2-4 2-5 5-2 2-5 

as HD 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 

as AF 1-1 1-2 0-3 2-2 

as AD 1-0 1-1 0-0 0-0 

vs Conf 5-3 3-5 5-3 3-5 

vs Non Conf 1-3 2-3 2-2 2-3 

Off SU Loss 2-2 2-1 1-1 2-1 

Loss by 10+ pts 0-0 0-0 0-0 1-0 

Off SU Win 4-4 3-6 5-4 2-7 

Win by 10+ pts 4-4 3-6 5-4 2-7


TEAM W L Pct Own Opp W L Pct 

Oklahoma 11 2 84.6% 43.5 22.0 8 1 88.9% 

Texas Christian 11 2 84.6% 42.1 27.2 7 2 77.8% 

Oklahoma State 10 3 76.9% 39.5 30.5 7 2 77.8% 

Baylor 10 3 76.9% 48.1 28.3 6 3 66.7% 

West Virginia 8 5 61.5% 34.0 24.6 4 5 44.4% 

Texas Tech 7 6 53.8% 45.1 43.6 4 5 44.4% 

Texas 5 7 41.7% 26.4 30.3 4 5 44.4% 

Kansas State 6 7 46.2% 29.9 31.5 3 6 33.3% 

Iowa State 3 9 25.0% 25.0 32.7 2 7 22.2% 

Kansas 0 12 0.0% 15.3 46.1 0 9 0.0% 




4 Oklahoma 93.86 

19 Baylor 84.95 

22 TCU 84.76 

24 Oklahoma St 84.60 

28 Texas 83.42 

39 West Virginia 79.63 

49 Kansas St 76.42 

52 Texas Tech 75.33 

73 Iowa State 69.65 

103 Kansas 59.57


2015 : 10-3, 6-3 (#4 BIG 12) 

Ret Starters: OFF-9 DEF-9 





Baylor 

The Bears in ’16 

HC here: Jim Grobe – 1 st (interim) 


Recruiting: Conf – Ov: #2* - #17* 


1.1% 22.1% 34.7% 42.1% 


The Bears are 0-7 ATS after Season Win's (odds) Record result 

a win as an AD (s’/ 9/20/97) 2016 9.5 (+100) 

2015 10 (-120) 9-3 Und 

2014 9.5 (-160) 11-1 OV 

2013 7.5 (-175) 11-1 OV 

2012 6 (n/a) 7-5 OV 


2015 All 19.8 (48.1-28.3) 219.7 (616-397) 85-76 7.3-5.2 0 

’15 conf only 13.7 (42.7-29.0) 137.8 (550-413) 84-78 6.5-5.3 -1 

2014 All 22.7 (48.2-25.5) 199.6 (581-382) 88-72 6.6-5.3 13 

’14 conf only 16.1 (45.3-29.2) 140.4 (557-417) 90-73 6.2-5.7 11 

2013 All 28.8 (52.4-23.5) 258.5 (619-360) 83-76 7.5-4.8 13 

’13 conf only 22.1 (47.8-25.7) 222.5 (582-360) 84-75 6.9-4.8 5 

2012 All 7.2 (44.5-37.2) 70.0 (572-502) 82-83 6.9-6.1 2 

’12 conf only 0.7 (41.7-41.0) 61.1 (582-521) 84-82 6.9-6.3 -1 



58% 79% 40% 22% 21% 73% 74% 

Baylor football was clearly the main story this past off-season but not 

for the right reasons. After parting ways with Art Briles the Bears hired 

Jim Grobe as their interim HC on May 30th. Grobe was the Wake 

Forest HC from 2001-2013. He has some big shoes to fill considering 

the Bears have averaged 10 wins per season the last 5 years. 

The positive news for Baylor is that Seth Russell returns at QB after 

missing the last 6 games a year ago. When he was injured he led the 

nation is passing efficiency. Behind him are a pair or RB’s which each 

topped 1,000 yards rushing last year but unfortunately they’ll only 

have one starting OL back to open up holes (144 career starts lost). At 

receiver they do lose their top player to the NFL. 

The defense has to replace all 3 starters on the DL including a pair of 

All-Big 12 performers. The LB corps returns 5 of their top 6 while the 

secondary returns 7 of their top 9. 

The non-conference schedule is weak, as usual and with key games 

against Oklahoma State and TCU at home, the Bears despite all the 

turmoil could find themselves favored in 10 games. 



9/3 Sat Northwestern St 

9/10 Sat SMU 

9/16 Fri at Rice 

9/24 Sat Oklahoma St 

10/1 Sat at Iowa St 

10/15 Sat Kansas 

10/29 Sat at Texas 

11/5 Sat TCU 


11/19 Sat Kansas St 

11/25 Fri (N) Texas Tech 

12/3 Sat at West Virginia 

open 

Baylor is 7-0 ATS as a DOG after 

being a favorite (s’/11/19/11) 


2012 2013 2014 2015 

SU 8-5 11-2 11-2 10-3 

Home 5-1 7-0 6-0 4-2 

Away 1-4 3-1 4-1 4-1 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

ATS 9-4 9-4 7-6 6-7 

HF 2-2 7-0 4-2 2-4 

HD 2-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 

AF 0-1 1-3 2-2 2-3 

AD 3-1 0-0 1-0 0-0 

vs Conf 7-2 6-3 4-5 4-5 

Non Conf 2-2 3-1 3-1 2-2 

Off SU Loss 3-2 0-1 1-0 2-1 

Loss by 10+ pts 2-0 0-1 1-0 1-0 

Off SU Win 5-2 8-3 5-6 4-5 

Win by 10+ pts 5-2 8-3 5-6 4-5 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

Over/Under 7-4 9-4 8-5 8-5 

as HF 2-1 5-2 4-2 4-2 

as HD 1-1 0-0 0-0 0-0 

as AF 1-0 2-2 2-2 2-3 

as AD 2-1 0-0 0-1 0-0 

vs Conf 5-3 5-4 5-4 4-5 

vs Non Conf 2-1 4-0 3-1 4-0 

Off SU Loss 3-2 1-0 1-0 2-1 

Loss by 10+ pts 1-1 1-0 1-0 1-0 

Off SU Win 3-2 7-4 7-4 5-4 

Win by 10+ pts 3-2 7-4 7-4 5-4


2015 : 0-12, 0-9 (#10 BIG 12) 

Ret Starters: OFF 3*, DEF-3 





Kansas 

The Jayhawks in ’16 

HC here: David Beatty – 2 nd 




23.9% 9.8% 37.1% 29.2% 


The Jayhawks are 12-4 to 


the UNDER as an AD the L3Y 2016 1.5 (-110) 

2015 1.5 (-260) 0-12 und 

2014 3 (-155) 3-9 push 

2013 3.5 (-120) 3-9 und 

2012 3.5 (n/a) 1-11 und 


2015 All -30.8 (15.2-46.1) -229.3 (332-561) 75-81 4.4-7.0 -7 

’15 conf only -35.8 (12.0-47.8) -266.9 (300-567) 73-81 4.1-7.0 -10 

2014 All -15.4 (17.8-33.2) -129.1 (324-453) 70-72 4.6-6.3 3 

’14 conf only -18.6 (17.0-35.6) -162.4 (307-470) 69-74 4.4-6.3 0 

2013 All -16.5 (15.3-31.8) -138.1 (295-433) 69-74 4.3-5.8 1 

’13 conf only -23.2 (14.0-37.2) -179.4 (275-455) 68-74 4.1-6.1 0 

2012 All -17.8 (18.2-36.1) -121.5 (360-482) 73-71 5.0-6.8 -3 

’12 conf only -24.4 (15.7-40.1) -143.2 (358-501) 72-69 5.0-7.2 -7 



100% 56% 55% 63% 39% 88% 87% 

Kansas enters this season with 15 straight losses and they have gotten 

outgained in 14 straight versus FBS. Incredibly, they haven’t won a 

road game since 2009 (have lost 35 straight). However, they are in 

much better shape in year 2 under David Beaty (had just 6 returning 

starters last year). 

Last year Kansas lost their projected starting QB in the spring so a 

freshman and sophomore split time and both are back. They also 

return their leading rusher and 7 of their top 9 receivers. However, 

they do lose their leading receiver as well as their most productive TE. 

The OL had 9 players which made at least 4 starts and 6 are back 

including 3 returning starters. 

There’s only one way your defense can go when you gave up the most 

points per game (46.1) and the most yards per game (561) in the 

country. The unit only loses 3 starters, two on the DL and a safety but 

one of the losses was their top pass rusher. Still they return their top 

5 tacklers and 9 of their top 10 in the secondary. 

The schedule will give the Jayhawks an opportunity to gain confidence 

right away as they are a big favorite vs Rhode Island and also host Ohio 

(pick-em) in week 2. They also host Iowa State in conference play. 



9/3 Sat Rhode Island 

9/10 Sat Ohio 

9/17 Sat at Memphis 

9/29 Thu at Texas Tech 

10/8 Sat TCU 

10/15 Sat at Baylor 





11/19 Sat Texas 

11/26 Sat at Kansas St 

open 

Kansas is 8-0 ATS after a win as 

an AF (since/ Oct 3, 1998) 


2012 2013 2014 2015 

SU 1-11 3-9 3-9 0-12 

Home 1-5 3-4 3-3 0-7 

Away 0-6 0-5 0-6 0-5 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

ATS 5-7 4-8 5-6 2-9 

HF 0-2 0-2 1-1 0-0 

HD 3-1 2-3 3-1 1-6 

AF 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 

AD 2-4 2-3 1-4 1-3 

vs Conf 4-5 4-5 4-4 2-7 

Non Conf 1-2 0-3 1-2 0-2 

Off SU Loss 5-5 4-4 4-3 2-8 

Loss by 10+ pts 4-1 4-3 4-2 2-6 

Off SU Win 0-1 0-3 1-2 0-0 

Win by 10+ pts 0-1 0-3 1-2 0-0 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

Over/Under 4-6 5-7 4-8 6-6 

as HF 0-1 1-1 1-1 0-0 

as HD 1-3 4-1 1-3 4-3 

as AF 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 

as AD 3-2 0-5 2-4 2-3 

vs Conf 4-5 4-5 3-6 4-5 

vs Non Conf 0-1 1-2 1-2 2-1 

Off SU Loss 4-5 3-5 2-6 5-6 

Loss by 10+ pts 1-3 3-4 2-4 4-5 

Off SU Win 0-1 1-2 1-2 0-0 

Win by 10+ pts 0-1 1-2 1-2 0-0


2015 : 6-7, 3-6 (#8 BIG 12) 






Kansas St 


HC here: Bill Snyder – 8 th / 25 th 




16.4% 14.7% 28.0% 40.9% 


Wildcats are 15-4 ATS as a HF Season Win's (odds) Record result 

off a loss as a dog (s’/11/5/92) 2016 5.5 (-125) 

2015 7 (-130) 6-6 und 

2014 7.5 (-140) 9-3 OV 

2013 8.5 (+155) 7-5 und 

2012 8 (n/a) 11-1 OV 


2015 All -1.5 (29.9-31.5) -118.5 (334-452) 67-72 5.0-6.2 -3 

’15 conf only -7.2 (29.2-36.4) -153.6 (331-485) 70-73 4.7-6.6 -4 

2014 All 12.6 (35.8-23.2) 52.3 (422-369) 69-68 6.2-5.5 8 

’14 conf only 11.8 (33.7-21.9) 53.0 (433-380) 67-69 6.5-5.5 12 

2013 All 10.3 (33.2-22.9) 43.8 (403-359) 64-71 6.3-5.1 0 

’13 conf only 7.7 (32.8-25.1) 26.5 (398-372) 65-72 6.2-5.1 2 

2012 All 16.7 (38.8-22.2) 26.1 (401-375) 65-70 6.2-5.4 19 

’12 conf only 15.6 (38.9-23.3) 12.2 (397-385) 65-70 6.1-5.5 19 



80% 90% 59% 26% 62% 100% 55% 

You don’t expect a bowl team to have gotten outgained against every 

Power-5 team they faced (they did outgain 0-12 Kansas, but that was 

only by 48 yards). Overall, the Wildcats were outgained by 154 yards 

per game in Big 12 play but Hall of Fame head coach Bill Snyder 

somehow managed to get them into a bowl game. 

This year the offense returns their starter at QB but he could get 

supplanted by last year’s projected starter who was out for the year in 

week 1. While the leading rusher is back, they do lose 4 multi-year OL 

starters with a hefty 130 combined career starts (just 17 career starts 

return). The receiving unit returns two of their top 3. 

The defense must replace a pair of starters from the DL and the 

secondary. However, they have plenty of depth on the DL as 6 of the 

top 8 are back and overall, the defense returns their top 5 tacklers (3 

of them were LB’s). 

The Wildcats open up the season as big underdogs at Stanford and 

despite the fact they have to play at Oklahoma, Baylor and TCU, they 

figure to remain in bowl contention for a 7 th straight season. 



9/2 Fri at Stanford 


9/24 Sat Missouri St 


10/8 Sat Texas Tech 







12/3 Sat at TCU 

open 

Kansas St is 10-1 ATS away 

after a win an AF (s’/11/1/97) 


2012 2013 2014 2015 

SU 11-2 8-5 9-4 6-7 

Home 7-0 5-3 6-1 4-3 

Away 4-1 2-2 3-2 2-3 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

ATS 9-3 8-5 8-5 6-7 

HF 6-1 3-4 5-1 0-3 

HD 0-0 1-0 1-0 3-1 

AF 1-1 1-0 0-1 2-0 

AD 2-0 2-1 2-2 1-2 

vs Conf 7-1 6-3 6-3 5-4 

Non Conf 2-2 2-2 2-2 1-3 

Off SU Loss 1-0 5-0 2-1 2-4 

Loss by 10+ pts 1-0 3-0 1-1 1-2 

Off SU Win 7-3 3-4 6-3 4-2 

Win by 10+ pts 7-3 3-4 6-3 4-2 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

Over/Under 7-5 5-8 8-5 8-4 

as HF 6-0 3-4 4-2 2-0 

as HD 0-0 0-1 0-1 2-2 

as AF 1-2 0-1 1-0 1-1 

as AD 0-2 2-1 2-2 2-1 

vs Conf 5-4 4-5 5-4 6-3 

vs Non Conf 2-1 1-3 3-1 2-1 

Off SU Loss 1-0 2-3 2-1 4-2 

Loss by 10+ pts 1-0 1-2 1-1 1-2 

Off SU Win 6-5 3-4 5-4 4-2 

Win by 10+ pts 6-5 3-4 5-4 4-2


2015 : 3-9, 2-7 (#9 BIG 12) 






Iowa St 

The Cyclones in ’16 

HC here: Matt Campbell – 1 st 




12.9% 20.8% 29.9% 36.4% 


The Cyclones are 6-1 to the 


OVER off a SU win the L3Y 2016 3.5 (+100) 

2015 3 (-140) 3-9 push 

2014 3.5 (-140) 2-10 und 

2013 5.5 (+175) 3-9 und 

2012 4.5 (n/a) 6-6 OV 


2015 All -7.7 (25.0-32.7) -45.1 (408-453) 76-74 5.4-6.2 -11 

’15 conf only -10.6 (25.4-36.0) -61.8 (422-484) 77-75 5.5-6.4 -11 

2014 All -15.7 (23.2-38.8) -156.4 (373-529) 76-81 4.9-6.5 0 

’14 conf only -19.8 (23.0-42.8) -190.5 (381-571) 78-84 4.9-6.8 1 

2013 All -11.2 (24.8-36.0) -100.1 (363-463) 75-77 4.8-6.1 -1 

’13 conf only -15.2 (24.3-39.6) -128.3 (355-483) 75-77 4.7-6.3 -5 

2012 All 0.6 (24.5-23.9) -78.0 (364-442) 71-77 5.1-5.7 0 

’12 conf only -3.3 (24.2-27.6) -146.6 (353-500) 69-79 5.1-6.3 5 



46% 81% 53% 22% 67% 78% 66% 

After 6 straight losing seasons, Paul Rhoads was shown the door at the 

end of last year and the Cylcones made a great hire bringing in Matt 

Campbell from Toledo (35-15). 

On offense, the Cyclones return one of their two QB’s from last season 

and after a 10-4 ratio last year the job is Joel Lanning’s to lose in the 

fall. Sophomore RB Mike Warren averaged 131 yards per game and 

6.0 ypc in his last 10 games of 2015 while Iowa State also welcomes 

back their top receiver. The OL is another matter for the new head 

coach as only one starter returns (just 25 career starts). 

The defense returns in good shape but they did recently lose their 3 rd 

leading tackler (a LB) this summer. The DL loses their top sack man but 

the secondary returns their leading tacklers and 5 players who started 

at least 6 games last year. 

The schedule, like usual for the Cyclones is very difficult as they must 

play road games at Iowa, TCU, Oklahoma State and Texas in the first 

half of the season. They do have several winnable home games and 

could top 3 wins for the first time since 2012. 



9/3 Sat UNI 



9/24 Sat San Jose St 

10/1 Sat Baylor 




11/3 Thu Oklahoma 

11/12 Sat at Kansas 


11/26 Sat West Virginia 

open 

Iowa St is 7-0 ATS as a FAV after 

a loss as an AD (Oct 22, 2005) 


2012 2013 2014 2015 

SU 6-7 3-9 2-10 3-9 

Home 3-4 1-5 1-6 3-3 

Away 3-2 2-4 1-4 0-6 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

ATS 5-6 6-6 5-6 6-6 

HF 1-0 1-1 1-2 2-0 

HD 1-3 2-2 2-2 2-2 

AF 1-0 0-0 0-1 0-0 

AD 2-2 3-3 2-1 2-4 

vs Conf 3-5 5-4 3-5 5-4 

Non Conf 2-1 1-2 2-1 1-2 

Off SU Loss 3-3 4-5 3-5 5-3 

Loss by 10+ pts 3-1 2-2 2-3 3-2 

Off SU Win 1-3 2-0 2-0 0-3 

Win by 10+ pts 1-3 2-0 2-0 0-3 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

Over/Under 4-8 7-4 5-7 4-7 

as HF 0-1 0-2 1-2 0-1 

as HD 2-3 2-1 3-1 1-3 

as AF 1-0 0-0 0-1 0-0 

as AD 1-3 5-1 1-3 3-3 

vs Conf 3-6 6-3 4-5 4-5 

vs Non Conf 1-2 1-1 1-2 0-2 

Off SU Loss 2-4 5-3 3-6 2-6 

Loss by 10+ pts 2-2 1-3 2-4 1-4 

Off SU Win 1-4 2-0 2-0 2-1 

Win by 10+ pts 1-4 2-0 2-0 2-1


2015 : 11-2, 8-1 (#1 BIG 12) 






Oklahoma 

The Sooners in ’16 

HC here: Bob Stoops – 18 th 




10.5% 22.8% 33.7% 33.0% 


Sooners are 0-8-1 ATS as an AF Season Win's (odds) Record result 

after a road win (s’/ 1/1/88) 2016 10 (-110) 

2015 9 (-110) 11-1 OV 

2014 10.5 (-110) 8-4 und 

2013 9.5 (+160) 10-2 OV 

2012 10 (n/a) 10-2 OV 


2015 All 21.5 (43.5-22.0) 165.8 (530-364) 78-76 6.8-4.8 9 

’15 conf only 26.8 (47.2-20.4) 192.2 (539-347) 77-74 7.0-4.7 14 

2014 All 10.5 (36.4-25.9) 82.1 (465-383) 73-74 6.4-5.1 -5 

’14 conf only 7.7 (37.0-29.3) 66.1 (477-411) 74-74 6.5-5.6 -4 

2013 All 10.8 (32.8-22.1) 72.8 (423-350) 72-65 5.8-5.4 9 

’13 conf only 5.2 (29.1-23.9) 39.9 (398-358) 70-67 5.7-5.4 1 

2012 All 12.7 (38.2-25.5) 99.5 (498-398) 77-70 6.4-5.7 -4 

’12 conf only 15.2 (41.9-26.7) 105.6 (511-406) 78-73 6.6-5.6 -2 



92% 92% 54% 49% 73% 28% 75% 

It’s been a common theme for the Sooners that when expectations are 

high, they falter. The last 4 times they’ve been in the preseason Top 5, 

they haven’t finished in the Top 15. However, when expectations are 

low like they were last year (preseason #19), they surprise (finished 

#5). This year they are the prohibitive favorite in the Big 12. 

Baker Mayfield certainly enjoyed his new OC, Lincoln Riley as he was 

No. 1 among Power-5 players in TD responsible for (minus) TO’s with 

36. Samaje Perine (1349, 6.0) and Joe Mixon (753, 6.7) form arguably 

the best 1-2 punch at RB in the country. The Soonerd do lose their star 

WR Sterling Shepard and the OL also loses their top two players. 

The DL loses their top player but return their next top 5 guys. The 

cause for concern is in the LB unit which loses 5 of their top 6 including 

a pair of All-Big 12 performers. The secondary is strong with 3 full-time 

starters back as they return 9 of their top 11. 

The Sooners must play a pair of non-conference teams that won major 

bowls last year in Houston and Ohio State. Still, OU could be favored 

in every game with a road trip to TCU being their most difficult. 



9/3 Sat (N) Houston 

9/10 Sat UL Monroe 



10/8 Sat (N) Texas 


10/22 Sat at Texas Tech 


11/3 Thu at Iowa St 




open 

Oklahoma is 10-0 ATS after a 

loss as a dog (since/ 10/23/99) 


2012 2013 2014 2015 

SU 10-3 11-2 8-5 11-2 

Home 4-2 6-0 3-3 6-0 

Away 5-0 4-1 4-1 5-0 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

ATS 6-7 8-5 5-8 9-4 

HF 2-4 4-2 2-4 4-2 

HD 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 

AF 3-2 1-1 3-2 3-0 

AD 0-0 2-1 0-0 1-0 

vs Conf 5-4 4-5 3-6 7-2 

Non Conf 1-3 4-0 2-2 2-2 

Off SU Loss 2-0 1-1 1-3 1-0 

Loss by 10+ pts 1-0 1-1 0-1 0-0 

Off SU Win 4-6 6-4 4-4 7-4 

Win by 10+ pts 4-6 6-4 4-4 7-4 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

Over/Under 6-5 7-5 9-4 8-5 

as HF 2-2 3-3 3-3 4-2 

as HD 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 

as AF 3-2 2-0 5-0 3-0 

as AD 0-0 1-1 0-0 1-0 

vs Conf 6-2 4-4 7-2 7-2 

vs Non Conf 0-3 3-1 2-2 1-3 

Off SU Loss 2-0 2-0 3-1 1-0 

Loss by 10+ pts 1-0 2-0 1-0 0-0 

Off SU Win 4-4 5-4 5-3 7-4 

Win by 10+ pts 4-4 5-4 5-3 7-4


2015 : 10-3, 7-2 (T #2-#3 BIG 12) 






Oklahoma St 

The Cowboys in ’16 

HC here: Mike Gundy – 12 th 




0.7% 32.9% 47.9% 18.5% 


The Cowboys are 3-9 ATS as Season Win's (odds) Record result 

an AF the last 4 seasons 

2016 8.5 (-120) 

2015 7 (-190) 10-2 OV 

2014 7.5 (-115) 6-6 und 

2013 10.5 (+170) 10-2 und 

2012 8.5 (n/a) 7-5 und 


2015 All 9.1 (39.5-30.5) 40.9 (480-439) 75-77 6.4-5.7 13 

’15 conf only 6.2 (41.0-34.8) 10.9 (483-472) 77-80 6.3-5.9 7 

2014 All -3.6 (27.6-31.2) -53.2 (379-432) 70-75 5.4-5.8 -8 

’14 conf only -10.7 (23.9-34.6) -117.8 (348-466) 68-78 5.1-5.9 -9 

2013 All 17.5 (39.1-21.6) 63.8 (449-385) 76-81 5.9-4.8 15 

’13 conf only 15.8 (37.9-22.1) 40.4 (425-384) 74-81 5.7-4.8 11 

2012 All 17.5 (45.7-28.2) 125.3 (547-422) 78-80 7.0-5.3 0 

’12 conf only 8.8 (38.8-30.0) 47.6 (503-455) 75-82 6.7-5.6 -1 



83% 58% 72% 91% 53% 77% 71% 

Mike Gundy has a done a great job in Stillwater leading the Cowboys 

to 4 double-digit win seasons in the last 6 years. This year’s team could 

be poised to make yet another run at a Big 12 Championship. 

Last season QB Mason Rudolph split time with JW Walsh and the two 

combined for a 34-10 ratio but Walsh only threw 1 of those 10 int’s 

and departs this year. The top 2 RB’s return but it will not be a surprise 

if another Sanders (Barry Jr. from Stanford) leads the Cowboys is 

rushing. The receiving corps does lose its #2 and #4 but of the top 7 

from last season, 5 are back. The OL welcomes back all 5 starters that 

have a combined 101 career starts. 

The DL takes the biggest hit by far as both DE’s are gone including the 

#32 pick in the draft (Emmanuel Ogbah). The duo combined for 28 of 

the unit’s 47.5 TFL’s and 18.5 of the unit’s 28 sacks. Only one LB starter 

departs but they do lose their best DB in Kevin Peterson. 

The schedule sees them play the top 3 Big 12 teams (Oklahoma, TCU 

and Baylor) all on the road but the Cowboys could be favored in every 

other game meaning 10 wins is possible yet again. 



9/3 Sat SE Louisiana 












open 

OSU is 1-11 ATS as an AD after 

being a HD (since/ Oct 30, 99) 


2012 2013 2014 2015 

SU 8-5 10-3 7-6 10-3 

Home 6-1 5-1 4-2 5-2 

Away 1-4 4-1 2-3 5-0 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

ATS 8-5 8-5 5-7 5-8 

HF 6-0 3-2 1-2 2-2 

HD 0-1 1-0 0-2 1-2 

AF 0-3 2-2 0-1 1-3 

AD 1-1 0-0 2-2 1-0 

vs Conf 5-4 6-3 2-6 4-5 

Non Conf 3-1 2-2 3-1 1-3 

Off SU Loss 3-2 0-2 2-4 0-2 

Loss by 10+ pts 2-0 0-0 2-3 0-2 

Off SU Win 4-3 7-3 2-3 5-5 

Win by 10+ pts 4-3 7-3 2-3 5-5 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

Over/Under 8-4 5-7 7-6 8-5 

as HF 3-2 1-3 3-1 3-1 

as HD 1-0 0-1 0-2 3-0 

as AF 1-2 2-2 0-1 2-2 

as AD 2-0 0-0 3-1 0-1 

vs Conf 5-4 3-5 4-5 7-2 

vs Non Conf 3-0 2-2 3-1 1-3 

Off SU Loss 3-2 2-0 4-2 1-1 

Loss by 10+ pts 2-0 0-0 3-2 1-1 

Off SU Win 5-2 3-6 2-4 7-3 

Win by 10+ pts 5-2 3-6 2-4 7-3


2015 : 11-2, 7-2 (T #2-#3 BIG 12) 






TCU 

The Horned Frogs in ’16 

HC here: Gary Patterson – 16 th 

Ret Starters: OFF-4, DEF-7.7 



13.3% 25.6% 14.7% 46.3% 


The Horned Frogs have covered Season Win's (odds) Record result 

their last 7 as dogs the L3Y 2016 8.5 (-110) 

2015 10 (-150) 10-2 push 

2014 8 (+130) 11-1 OV 

2013 9.5 (+180) 4-8 und 

2012 8.5 (n/a) 7-5 und 


2015 All 14.8 (42.1-27.2) 164.5 (563-398) 83-77 6.8-5.2 0 

’15 conf only 11.0 (39.0-28.0) 136.9 (553-416) 83-79 6.7-5.3 -1 

2014 All 27.5 (46.5-19.0) 191.2 (533-342) 80-73 6.7-4.7 18 

’14 conf only 22.8 (47.6-24.8) 139.2 (546-406) 79-75 6.9-5.4 12 

2013 All -0.2 (25.1-25.2) -11.6 (345-356) 69-74 5.0-4.8 -2 

’13 conf only -4.9 (20.9-25.8) -6.2 (349-355) 71-74 4.9-4.8 -7 

2012 All 5.7 (28.3-22.6) 64.7 (389-324) 70-66 5.5-4.9 3 

’12 conf only -1.0 (27.2-28.2) 33.1 (404-371) 73-67 5.5-5.5 -1 



5% 28% 52% 34% 58% 97% 66% 

Gary Patterson has built TCU into a national power in his 16 years and 

despite making the step up to the Big 12, the Horned Frogs are off 

back-to-back AP Top 10 finishes. This year’s team does have plenty of 

questions specifically on offense. 

The shoes of Trevone Boykin will be tough to fill and battling into the 

summer will be Texas A&M transfer Kenny Hill (2649, 23-8 in ’14) and 

Foster Saywer. The backfield also losses a 1,000-yard rusher and the 

receiving unit loses its leader Josh Doctson who was a first-round draft 

pick. The OL also lost 4 starters (117 career starts lost)!. 

The defense is another matter as they get back many players who 

missed last season due to injury. They return 4 DL who earned at least 

6 starts in a season and the entire LB corps returns intact. They do lose 

a pair of starters in the secondary. 

The schedule sees them with a key non-conference game against 

Arkansas (at home) and while they do get both Oklahoma schools at 

home, they have to travel to both Baylor and Texas meaning the Frogs 

will have to pull a few upsets to notch another Top 10 finish. 



9/3 Sat S Dakota St 

9/10 Sat Arkansas 


9/24 Sat at SMU 

10/1 Sat Oklahoma 






11/25 Fri at Texas 


open 

TCU is 12-1 ATS after a win as 

an AF (since/ Oct 22, 2011) 


2012 2013 2014 2015 

SU 7-6 4-8 12-1 11-2 

Home 2-4 3-3 7-0 6-0 

Away 5-1 1-4 4-1 4-2 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

ATS 5-8 4-8 11-2 7-6 

HF 2-1 1-4 6-0 3-2 

HD 0-2 1-0 1-0 1-0 

AF 0-2 0-2 2-2 1-4 

AD 3-1 2-1 1-0 1-0 

vs Conf 3-6 3-6 7-2 5-4 

Non Conf 2-2 1-2 4-0 2-2 

Off SU Loss 3-2 2-5 1-0 1-1 

Loss by 10+ pts 3-0 1-3 0-0 0-1 

Off SU Win 1-6 2-2 9-2 6-4 

Win by 10+ pts 1-6 2-2 9-2 6-4 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

Over/Under 4-8 6-6 8-5 6-7 

as HF 1-1 3-2 3-3 2-3 

as HD 0-2 1-0 1-0 0-1 

as AF 0-2 0-2 3-1 3-2 

as AD 2-2 1-2 1-0 0-1 

vs Conf 4-5 3-6 6-3 3-6 

vs Non Conf 0-3 3-0 2-2 3-1 

Off SU Loss 2-3 4-3 0-1 0-2 

Loss by 10+ pts 2-1 3-1 0-0 0-1 

Off SU Win 2-5 1-3 7-4 6-4 

Win by 10+ pts 2-5 1-3 7-4 6-4


2015 : 5-7, 4-5 (T #5-#7 BIG 12) 






Texas 

The Longhorns in ’16 

HC here: Charlie Strong – 3 rd 




29.2% 20.1% 18.9% 31.8% 


Texas has gone UNDER the 


Vegas win-total the L4Y 

2016 6.5 (-125) 

2015 6.5 (+130) 5-7 und 

2014 8.5 (+270) 6-6 und 

2013 9.5 (-165) 8-4 und 

2012 9 (n/a) 8-4 und 


2015 All -3.9 (26.4-30.3) -81.8 (371-453) 65-80 5.7-5.6 11 

’15 conf only -2.8 (25.3-28.1) -59.5 (373-433) 68-80 5.5-5.4 7 

2014 All -2.5 (21.4-23.8) -11.2 (337-349) 69-74 4.9-4.7 -3 

’14 conf only -0.2 (23.2-23.4) 19.9 (377-357) 72-74 5.3-4.8 -2 

2013 All 3.5 (29.3-25.8) 1.5 (409-407) 77-74 5.3-5.5 4 

’13 conf only 6.6 (30.4-23.9) 27.4 (400-372) 79-71 5.1-5.2 4 

2012 All 6.5 (35.7-29.2) 30.5 (435-404) 69-68 6.3-5.9 5 

’12 conf only -2.2 (31.7-33.9) -24.7 (417-441) 68-70 6.1-6.3 -3 



100% 81% 63% 58% 66% 68% 82% 

From 2001-2009, Texas won at least 10 games in every season but 

they’ve only reached 9 wins one time in the last 6 seasons and are 

coming off back-to-back losing seasons. Clearly, head coach Charlie 

Strong is on the Hot Seat. 

The Longhorns return both QB’s which played last season, but it looks 

as though they’ve found their QB in freshman Shane Buechele. He will 

be surrounded by some experience as the Longhorns return a pair a 

big RB’s in Chris Warren and D’Onta Foreman and also return 3 of their 

top 4 receivers. Three starting OL also return (49 career starts). 

The back 7 of the defense losses a pair of starters including their most 

productive LB and most productive DB. However, sophomore LB Malik 

Jefferson looks poised for a breakout season and they return 11 of the 

top 12 in the secondary. 

The schedule will see them open up with Notre Dame at home and 

they must also play at California and at Oklahoma State in the first 

month (all 3 beat Texas a year ago). Pull off an upset or two early and 

the Horns should be looking at easily their best season under Strong. 



9/4 Sun Notre Dame 

9/10 Sat UTEP 

9/17 Sat at California 


10/8 Sat (N) Oklahoma 







11/25 Fri TCU 

open 

Texas is 6-1 to the UNDER as an 

AD the last 3 seasons 


2012 2013 2014 2015 

SU 9-4 8-5 6-7 5-7 

Home 4-2 4-2 3-3 3-3 

Away 4-1 3-2 3-1 1-4 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

ATS 6-7 6-7 7-6 6-6 

HF 2-4 3-2 1-1 2-1 

HD 0-0 0-1 1-2 2-0 

AF 2-1 1-2 3-0 0-1 

AD 1-1 1-1 0-1 1-3 

vs Conf 3-6 5-4 5-4 5-4 

Non Conf 3-1 1-3 2-2 1-2 

Off SU Loss 1-3 2-2 4-2 4-3 

Loss by 10+ pts 1-1 2-2 3-1 2-2 

Off SU Win 5-3 3-5 2-4 2-2 

Win by 10+ pts 5-3 3-5 2-4 2-2 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

Over/Under 8-5 5-8 4-9 5-7 

as HF 3-3 2-3 1-1 2-1 

as HD 0-0 0-1 1-2 1-1 

as AF 2-1 3-0 0-3 0-1 

as AD 1-1 0-2 0-1 1-3 

vs Conf 5-4 2-7 3-6 3-6 

vs Non Conf 3-1 3-1 1-3 2-1 

Off SU Loss 4-0 1-3 2-4 3-4 

Loss by 10+ pts 2-0 1-3 1-3 3-1 

Off SU Win 3-5 3-5 2-4 2-2 

Win by 10+ pts 3-5 3-5 2-4 2-2


2015 : 7-6, 4-5 (T #5-#7 BIG 12) 






Texas Tech 

The Red Raiders in ’16 

HC here: Kliff Kingsbury – 4 th 




15.7% 17.1% 21.0% 46.2% 


Red Raiders are 7-0 ATS as an Season Win's (odds) Record result 

AD after a HD loss (S’/ 9/17/94) 2016 7 (-125) 

2015 6 (-105) 7-5 OV 

2014 6.5 (-150) 4-8 und 

2013 7.5 (+145) 4-8 und 

2012 7 (n/a) 4-8 und 


2015 All 1.5 (45.1-43.6) 31.8 (579-548) 83-79 7.0-6.9 2 

’15 conf only -2.9 (44.0-46.9) 39.6 (596-556) 87-81 6.8-6.9 -3 

2014 All -10.8 (30.5-41.2) -8.6 (504-513) 76-82 6.6-6.3 -13 

’14 conf only -13.2 (29.6-42.8) -34.1 (506-540) 78-81 6.5-6.6 -9 

2013 All 5.2 (35.8-30.5) 92.5 (511-419) 87-78 5.9-5.4 -14 

’13 conf only -4.2 (32.6-36.8) 52.5 (491-438) 88-78 5.6-5.6 -11 

2012 All 5.7 (37.5-31.8) 128.5 (496-367) 76-68 6.5-5.4 -13 

’12 conf only -5.6 (33.6-39.1) 33.1 (469-436) 75-73 6.3-6.0 -10 



93% 38% 53% 32% 35% 29% 77% 

Kliff Kingsbury has had an up and down tenure in Lubbock and while 

last season’s offense averaged a school record 45.1 ppg, they also 

allowed a school-record 548 ypg and 43.6 ppg on defense. 

The leader of the offense returns in QB Patrick Mahomes who had a 

36-15 ratio last year (3-7 ratio in his first 3 road games). They do lose 

a rare two-time 1,000-yard rusher at RB and also have to replace their 

leading receiver. The OL also loses their top guys as three 3-year 

starters depart including a pair of all-conference players and their 

center (131 career starts gone and just 33 return). 

Last year’s extremely poor defense will have their work cut out for 

them again as they have to replace their top 3 DL and top 2 LB’s. There 

is very little depth to replace them as the front 7 starters played as 

much as any team in the country. The secondary must replace one CB 

but have 9 players back with starting experience. 

The schedule could see them as a favorite in 4 or 5 of their first 6 

games but the second half of the schedule could see them an 

underdog in 4 or 5 of the 6 games. 



9/3 Sat SF Austin 

9/10 Sat at Arizona St 

9/17 Sat La Tech 

9/29 Thu Kansas 








11/25 Fri Baylor 

open 

Texas Tech is 10-1 ATS as a HF 

after a win as a HF (s’/ 11/9/02) 


2012 2013 2014 2015 

SU 8-5 8-5 4-8 7-6 

Home 4-2 4-2 2-4 4-2 

Away 3-2 3-2 2-3 3-2 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

ATS 6-7 6-7 5-6 7-5 

HF 2-2 1-3 0-2 3-0 

HD 1-1 1-0 2-1 1-1 

AF 2-0 3-0 0-1 0-1 

AD 0-2 0-2 2-2 2-1 

vs Conf 3-6 3-6 5-3 5-4 

Non Conf 3-1 3-1 0-3 2-1 

Off SU Loss 1-4 1-4 4-2 3-2 

Loss by 10+ pts 1-2 1-3 4-2 2-1 

Off SU Win 4-3 4-3 1-3 4-3 

Win by 10+ pts 4-3 4-3 1-3 4-3 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

Over/Under 8-3 9-4 6-6 9-3 

as HF 1-1 3-1 2-1 3-0 

as HD 1-1 0-1 1-2 2-0 

as AF 1-1 3-0 0-1 0-1 

as AD 2-0 1-1 2-2 1-2 

vs Conf 6-3 7-2 4-5 7-2 

vs Non Conf 2-0 2-2 2-1 2-1 

Off SU Loss 3-2 3-2 2-5 4-1 

Loss by 10+ pts 1-2 2-2 2-4 2-1 

Off SU Win 5-1 5-2 3-1 5-2 

Win by 10+ pts 5-1 5-2 3-1 5-2


2015 : 8-5, 4-5 (T #5-#7 BIG 12) 






West Virginia 

The Mountaineers in ’16 

HC here: Dana Holorsen – 6 th 




5.6% 18.5% 39.2% 36.7% 


Mountaineers are 6-0 to the 


UNDER after a 10+ pt loss the L2Y 2016 7 (-110) 

2015 8 (+150) 7-5 und 

2014 4.5 (+110) 6-6 OV 

2013 5.5 (-210) 4-8 und 

2012 8.5 (n/a) 7-5 und 


2015 All 9.4 (34.0-24.6) 83.2 (480-396) 81-75 5.9-5.3 9 

’15 conf only 1.6 (29.9-28.3) 24.3 (437-412) 81-77 5.4-5.4 2 

2014 All 5.8 (33.5-27.6) 100.4 (500-399) 84-74 5.9-5.4 -15 

’14 conf only 4.1 (31.2-27.1) 86.2 (481-395) 83-75 5.8-5.3 -12 

2013 All -7.0 (26.3-33.3) -44.0 (411-455) 74-77 5.5-5.9 -4 

’13 conf only -9.8 (27.9-37.7) -95.2 (416-511) 77-82 5.4-6.2 0 

2012 All 1.4 (39.5-38.1) 29.5 (502-472) 77-76 6.5-6.3 7 

’12 conf only -3.7 (39.7-43.3) 21.8 (515-493) 80-73 6.4-6.8 1 



100% 47% 78% 78% 63% 21% 47% 

Dana Holgorsen has had an up and down tenure in Morgantown but 

the Mountaineers a year ago did post their best season since joining 

the Big 12 in 2012. 

WV returns 8 starters on offense but the team’s success will clearly lie 

with OB Skyler Howard (26-14 ratio) showing continued improvement. 

The Mountaineers do lose a 1,500 yard rusher. The receiving corps is 

in solid shape with 3 of their top 4 back and the OL only loses one 

starter but he was a 3-yr LT (84 career starts back). 

The defense will be cause for concern as the Mountaineers 3-3-5 

defense returns just 2 DL and 2 DB’s as they lost 4 starters to the NFL 

Draft. Overall, they lose 5 of their top 6 tacklers and their entire LB 

corps has to be rebuilt. On the bright side, of the expected starters, all 

of them figure to be upperclassmen. 

The schedule features a pair of solid non-conference match-ups 

against Missouri and BYU. They also get key conference games vs TCU, 

Oklahoma and Baylor all at home and could surprise a team or two 

just like in 2014 when they hosted all 3. 



9/3 Sat Missouri 

9/10 Sat Youngstown St 

9/24 Sat (N) BYU 



10/22 Sat TCU 







open 

WV is 0-7 ATS as a FAV after a 

road loss (since/ Oct 20, 2012) 


2012 2013 2014 2015 

SU 7-6 4-8 7-6 8-5 

Home 4-3 3-3 3-3 6-1 

Away 2-2 1-4 4-1 1-4 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

ATS 5-8 3-9 7-6 5-8 

HF 2-4 0-3 1-2 4-3 

HD 1-0 1-2 2-1 0-0 

AF 1-1 0-1 2-2 1-1 

AD 1-1 2-2 1-0 0-3 

vs Conf 4-5 3-6 4-5 3-6 

Non Conf 1-3 0-3 3-1 2-2 

Off SU Loss 2-3 2-5 2-3 0-5 

Loss by 10+ pts 1-2 2-3 1-2 0-3 

Off SU Win 2-5 1-3 4-3 4-3 

Win by 10+ pts 2-5 1-3 4-3 4-3 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

Over/Under 6-6 6-6 4-9 4-8 

as HF 3-3 1-2 0-3 1-5 

as HD 1-0 2-1 1-2 0-0 

as AF 0-2 1-0 0-4 0-2 

as AD 2-0 2-2 1-0 2-1 

vs Conf 5-4 6-3 1-8 3-6 

vs Non Conf 1-2 0-3 3-1 1-2 

Off SU Loss 3-2 4-3 0-5 2-3 

Loss by 10+ pts 2-1 3-2 0-3 0-3 

Off SU Win 2-4 2-2 3-4 2-5 

Win by 10+ pts 2-4 2-2 3-4 2-5

2015 FINAL 

Overall Pts/G Conference 

NORTH W L Pct Own Opp W L Pct 

Stanford 12 2 85.7% 37.8 22.6 9 1 90.0% 

Oregon 9 4 69.2% 43.0 37.5 7 2 77.8% 

Washington State 9 4 69.2% 31.5 27.7 6 3 66.7% 

California 8 5 61.5% 37.9 30.7 4 5 44.4% 

Washington 7 6 53.8% 30.6 18.8 4 5 44.4% 

Oregon State 2 10 16.7% 19.0 37.0 0 9 0.0% 

SOUTH W L Pct Own Opp W L Pct 

Utah 10 3 76.9% 30.6 22.3 6 3 66.7% 

USC 8 6 57.1% 33.9 25.7 6 4 60.0% 

UCLA 8 5 61.5% 32.2 26.0 5 4 55.6% 

Arizona State 6 7 46.2% 34.6 33.5 4 5 44.4% 

Arizona 7 6 53.8% 37.4 35.8 3 6 33.3% 

Colorado 4 9 30.8% 24.6 27.5 1 8 11.1% 

BRAD POWER 



9 Stanford 89.38 

11 Washington 88.95 

13 USC 86.24 

14 UCLA 86.15 

18 Oregon 85.42 

37 Utah 79.94 

40 Washington St 79.35 

44 Arizona St 77.69 

45 Arizona 77.21 

50 California 76.23 

59 Colorado 73.19 

88 Oregon St 65.90


2015 : 7-6, 3-6 (#5 PAC-12 South) 






Arizona 


HC here: Rich Rodriguez – 5 th 




2.4% 27.3% 35.0% 35.3% 


The Wildcats are 8-1 ATS as Season Win's (odds) Record result 

a double-digit HD 

2016 6 (-110) 

2015 7 (-210) 6-6 und 

2014 7.5 (+125) 10-2 OV 

2013 7.5 (-120) 7-6 und 

2012 5.5 (n/a) 7-5 OV 


2015 All 1.6 (37.4-35.8) 28.2 (495-467) 76-79 6.5-5.9 -4 

’15 conf only -9.4 (30.9-40.3) -20.6 (464-485) 78-77 5.9-6.3 -9 

2014 All 6.3 (34.5-28.2) 12.6 (464-451) 81-80 5.7-5.7 8 

’14 conf only 4.1 (33.4-29.3) -44.3 (425-469) 80-82 5.3-5.7 7 

2013 All 9.2 (33.5-24.2) 57.4 (458-401) 79-76 5.8-5.3 4 

’13 conf only -0.9 (29.1-30.0) 22.9 (460-437) 83-78 5.5-5.6 -2 

2012 All 2.8 (38.2-35.3) 27.2 (526-499) 83-83 6.3-6.0 -1 

’12 conf only -5.3 (34.2-39.6) -25.8 (494-520) 80-82 6.2-6.3 -4 



85% 48% 38% 60% 57% 73% 62% 

After a Fiesta Bowl appearance in 2014, expectations were high for 

the Wildcats last year but after a 3-0 start in non-conference action 

they slipped to just 3-6 in Pac-12 play (worst since 2011). 

QB Anu Solomon had solid numbers last year but while he was injured, 

freshman Brandon Dawkins opened some eyes and will push Solomon 

for the job. RB Nick Wilson returns but they lose 2 of their 3 rushers 

who topped 700 yards. The receiving corps also losses 3 of its top 4 

producers. The OL must replace 2 multi-year starters but 5 are back 

that made 3 or more starts. 

Last year the Wildcats finished #101 in adjusted defense and while 

they had 6 starters back 2 LB’s missed most of the season including 

Scooby Wright III. This year they bring back 4 of the top 6 DL and also 

get back LB Cody Ippolito who missed last year. They also welcome 

back 6 of the top 8 DB’s. 

The schedule will again give the Wildcats an opportunity to start off 

3-0 but they could be an underdog in their next 6 games. They do 

close the season with 3 winnable games. 



9/3 Sat (N) BYU 

9/10 Sat Grambling St 


9/24 Sat Washington 

10/1 Sat at UCLA 

10/8 Sat at Utah 

10/15 Sat USC 

10/29 Sat Stanford 

11/5 Sat at Washington St 


11/19 Sat at Oregon St 

11/25 Fri Arizona St 

open 

Arizona is 7-2 to the OVER after 

a loss by 10+ points the L4Y 


2012 2013 2014 2015 

SU 8-5 8-5 10-4 7-6 

Home 6-2 4-2 6-1 4-2 

Away 1-3 3-3 4-1 3-4 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

ATS 6-7 6-6 5-8 6-7 

HF 2-4 2-1 2-3 2-2 

HD 2-0 1-0 0-1 1-1 

AF 0-0 2-1 1-1 2-1 

AD 2-2 0-3 2-1 1-3 

vs Conf 4-5 3-6 4-5 4-5 

Non Conf 2-2 3-0 1-3 2-2 

Off SU Loss 2-3 3-2 1-1 3-3 

Loss by 10+ pts 0-2 1-1 0-1 2-2 

Off SU Win 4-3 2-4 3-7 3-3 

Win by 10+ pts 4-3 2-4 3-7 3-3 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

Over/Under 9-3 5-8 5-9 10-2 

as HF 4-1 0-4 3-3 3-1 

as HD 2-0 0-1 0-1 2-0 

as AF 0-0 2-1 1-1 3-0 

as AD 2-2 2-1 0-3 2-1 

vs Conf 7-2 3-6 3-7 6-2 

vs Non Conf 2-1 2-2 2-2 4-0 

Off SU Loss 5-0 2-3 2-1 3-2 

Loss by 10+ pts 2-0 2-0 1-1 2-1 

Off SU Win 4-2 3-4 2-8 6-0 

Win by 10+ pts 4-2 3-4 2-8 6-0


2015 : 6-7, 4-5 (#94 PAC-12 South) 






Arizona St 

The Sun Devils in ’16 

HC here: Todd Graham – 5 th 




7.0% 17.5% 23.1% 52.4% 


Sun Devils are 1-10 ATS after a Season Win's (odds) Record result 

loss as a HF (s’/11/16/02) 

2016 5 (-120) 

2015 8.5 (+130) 6-6 und 

2014 6.5 (-160) 9-3 OV 

2013 9.5 (+220) 10-2 OV 

2012 5 (n/a) 7-5 OV 


2015 All 1.2 (34.6-33.5) 13.6 (477-464) 82-74 5.8-6.2 2 

’15 conf only -0.1 (35.8-35.9) 12.5 (491-478) 84-72 5.8-6.7 1 

2014 All 9.0 (36.9-27.9) 25.2 (442-417) 75-74 5.9-5.6 14 

’14 conf only 2.4 (31.8-29.3) -15.0 (417-432) 76-75 5.5-5.7 6 

2013 All 13.1 (39.7-26.6) 84.9 (457-372) 79-67 5.8-5.5 15 

’13 conf only 14.3 (41.2-26.9) 87.5 (457-370) 78-68 5.9-5.5 13 

2012 All 14.1 (38.4-24.3) 113.8 (465-351) 78-73 6.0-4.8 6 

’12 conf only 7.2 (34.3-27.1) 78.7 (448-369) 82-74 5.4-5.0 6 



1% 84% 45% 22% 85% 78% 29% 

Coming off his best season here head coach Todd Graham had 15 

returning starters last season and expectations were high but ASU lost 

5 of their last 7 games to finish only 6-7. 

The offense will have a new QB with no experience and it’ll be tough 

to replace the 30-9 ratio of last season. The RB’s do return their top 2 

as Demario Richard and Kalen Ballage combined for 1,757 and 5.3 ypc. 

ASU returns one WR and their TE but lose their 1,000-yard guy and 3 

of the top 4 producers. The OL like most of the offense returns only 

one starter and only have 15 career starts. 

ASU loses a pair of starters up front on defense including their MVP in 

Antonio Longino. The LB crew returns intact but the secondary returns 

only one starter and that is a sophomore CB. However, there is depth 

at safety as last year’s backups played significant minutes. 

The early season schedule is manageable as despite the low season 

win total, the Sun Devils could be favored in their first 4 games (6 

overall). They do have to play league powers USC, Oregon and 

Washington all on the road. 



9/3 Sat N Arizona 


9/16 Fri at UTSA 

9/24 Sat California 

10/1 Sat at USC 

10/8 Sat UCLA 

10/15 Sat at Colorado 

10/22 Sat Washington St 


11/10 Thu Utah 


11/25 Fri at Arizona 

open 

Arizona St is 10-1-1 ATS home 

after a loss as an AD (s’/10/31/09) 


2012 2013 2014 2015 

SU 8-5 10-4 10-3 6-7 

Home 4-2 7-1 5-1 5-2 

Away 3-3 3-1 4-2 1-3 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

ATS 9-4 7-7 6-7 6-7 

HF 4-1 5-3 2-2 3-3 

HD 0-1 0-0 1-1 0-1 

AF 2-0 2-1 2-2 0-0 

AD 2-2 0-1 1-1 2-2 

vs Conf 5-4 6-4 4-5 5-4 

Non Conf 4-0 1-3 2-2 1-3 

Off SU Loss 2-3 2-1 2-1 3-3 

Loss by 10+ pts 1-2 1-1 1-0 2-2 

Off SU Win 6-1 4-6 4-5 3-3 

Win by 10+ pts 6-1 4-6 4-5 3-3 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

Over/Under 6-6 9-4 8-5 5-7 

as HF 2-2 5-2 2-2 3-3 

as HD 0-1 0-0 1-1 0-1 

as AF 1-1 2-1 2-2 0-0 

as AD 2-2 1-0 2-0 1-2 

vs Conf 4-5 6-3 5-4 4-4 

vs Non Conf 2-1 3-1 3-1 1-3 

Off SU Loss 2-3 1-1 3-0 2-3 

Loss by 10+ pts 1-2 1-1 1-0 1-2 

Off SU Win 4-3 7-3 5-4 3-3 

Win by 10+ pts 4-3 7-3 5-4 3-3


2015 : 8-5, 4-5 (#4 PAC-12 North) 






California 

The Colden Bears in ’16 

HC here: Sonny Dykes – 4 th 




0.0% 14.7% 39.6% 45.6% 


Golden Bears are 1-10 ATS after Season Win's (odds) Record result 

a game as a HD (s’/ 10/27/12) 2016 4 (-120) 

2015 5 (-180) 7-5 OV 

2014 2.5 (-150) 5-7 OV 

2013 4.5 (+110) 1-11 und 

2012 6.5 (n/a) 3-9 und 


2015 All 7.2 (37.9-30.7) 75.5 (529-454) 76-74 7.0-6.1 4 

’15 conf only -1.4 (31.7-33.1) 45.8 (512-466) 77-75 6.7-6.2 -1 

2014 All -1.5 (38.2-39.8) -16.7 (495-512) 81-82 6.1-6.3 -3 

’14 conf only -6.6 (37.6-44.1) -62.8 (487-550) 79-84 6.1-6.5 -5 

2013 All -22.9 (23.0-45.9) -76.0 (454-530) 87-75 5.2-7.1 -15 

’13 conf only -27.8 (19.4-47.2) -101.3 (419-521) 85-75 5.0-7.0 -15 

2012 All -10.1 (23.0-33.1) -50.0 (391-441) 68-78 5.8-5.7 -7 

’12 conf only -14.0 (19.3-33.3) -84.5 (367-451) 68-78 5.4-5.8 -6 



4% 80% 19% 69% 37% 23% 67% 

After a disastrous 1-11 first season in 2013, Sonny Dykes has improved 

the win total significantly in each of the last two years getting to 5 wins 

in 2014 and last year notched 8 wins for the first time since 2009. 

The Bears must find a replacement for the NFL’s #1 pick in the draft, 

Jarred Goff. Davis Webb transferred in late May and is Mel Kiper’s #1 

senior QB. Webb threw for 2,539 at Texas Tech in 2014 with a 24-13 

ratio. Cal used a RB-by-committee and all 3 players are back. It’s the 

polar opposite from the receiving corps which will be without their top 

6 receivers from last season. The OL does return 89 career starts. 

The Bears gave up 45.9 ppg in 2013 but got that number down to 30.7 

ppg last year. This year the Bears defense losses 6 starters with one 

from the DL, 2 LB’s and 3 DB’s. Unfortunately, all of those players were 

among the top 6 tacklers from last season. 

The schedule takes the Bears to Sydney, Australia in the opener and 

they also have to play at San Diego State and host a much improved 

Texas team in non-conference play. They then pull USC and UCLA from 

the Pac-12 South and could be favored in only 4 games. 



8/26 Fri (N) Hawaii 

9/10 Sat at San Diego St 



10/1 Sat Utah 


10/21 Fri Oregon 

10/27 Thu at USC 




11/26 Sat UCLA 

open 

Cal is 8-0 ATS as a HF after a 

win at home (since/ 9/22/07) 


2012 2013 2014 2015 

SU 3-9 1-11 5-7 8-5 

Home 2-5 1-6 2-4 5-1 

Away 1-4 0-5 3-2 2-4 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

ATS 4-8 2-10 7-5 6-7 

HF 1-2 0-1 1-3 3-2 

HD 1-3 1-5 1-1 0-1 

AF 1-0 0-0 0-0 1-1 

AD 1-3 1-4 5-0 1-3 

vs Conf 2-7 2-7 5-4 3-6 

Non Conf 2-1 0-3 2-1 3-1 

Off SU Loss 2-6 2-8 2-4 1-4 

Loss by 10+ pts 1-4 2-7 2-1 1-2 

Off SU Win 2-1 0-1 4-1 4-3 

Win by 10+ pts 2-1 0-1 4-1 4-3 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

Over/Under 5-6 5-7 7-5 4-8 

as HF 0-2 1-0 3-1 2-2 

as HD 2-2 3-3 0-2 0-1 

as AF 0-1 0-0 0-0 1-1 

as AD 3-1 1-4 3-2 0-4 

vs Conf 4-5 2-7 5-4 2-7 

vs Non Conf 1-1 3-0 2-1 2-1 

Off SU Loss 4-3 3-7 4-2 2-3 

Loss by 10+ pts 3-2 2-7 2-1 2-1 

Off SU Win 1-2 1-0 3-2 2-5 

Win by 10+ pts 1-2 1-0 3-2 2-5


2015 : 4-9, 1-8 (#6 PAC-12 South) 






Colorado 

The Buffaloes in ’16 

HC here: Mike MacIntyre – 4 th 




10.5% 28.1% 40.7% 20.7% 


Buffaloes are 1-10 ATS as a DOG Season Win's (odds) Record result 

after a win as a dog (s’/4/4/00) 2016 4.5 (-110) 

2015 4.5 (-160) 4-9 und 

2014 4.5 (+145) 2-10 und 

2013 3.5 (-160) 4-8 * 

2012 4 (n/a) 1-11 und 


2015 All -2.8 (24.6-27.5) -20.1 (397-417) 78-73 5.1-5.7 1 

’15 conf only -12.7 (19.7-32.3) -89.6 (361-451) 75-73 4.8-6.1 -4 

2014 All -10.5 (28.5-39.0) -21.8 (439-461) 83-70 5.3-6.6 -10 

’14 conf only -13.8 (29.2-43.0) -50.9 (446-497) 84-70 5.3-7.1 -11 

2013 All -12.8 (25.4-38.2) -98.1 (370-468) 69-77 5.3-6.1 -3 

’13 conf only -23.9 (20.3-44.2) -188.5 (343-532) 70-80 4.9-6.7 -7 

2012 All -28.2 (17.8-46.0) -185.8 (303-489) 69-69 4.4-7.1 -19 

’12 conf only -30.7 (17.2-47.9) -185.5 (307-493) 69-69 4.4-7.2 -16 



81% 84% 64% 81% 71% 92% 73% 

It’s make or break time for HC Mike MacIntyre as his Buffaloes are 3- 

8, 2-10 and 4-9 in his first 3 seasons here. Colorado has been close to 

breaking through as they have suffered 8 losses in Pac-12 play the last 

two years by 7 points or less. 

QB Sefo Liufau suffered a lisfranc injury last year and his productivity 

struggled. He missed all of spring practice and Colorado was expecting 

a transfer to join them at QB but he went to Cal leaving Colorado in 

dire straits if Liufau isn’t healthy. The Buffs do have their top RB 

returning and the OL does have 76 career starts. The receiving unit 

also only loses one player but it’s a huge loss in Nelson Spruce who 

had posted back-to-back 1,000 yard seasons. 

The defense last year improved by 11.5 ppg and are in solid shape. 

They return 10 of the top 12 DL, 5 LB’s who have been full-time 

starters and 5 of their top 7 DB’s. 

The schedule will see them favored in 3 of their first 5 games but they 

could be an underdog in at least 6 of their final 7 games meaning a 9 th 

straight season without a bowl is more likely than not. 



9/2 Fri (N) Colorado St 

9/10 Sat Idaho St 



10/1 Sat Oregon St 


10/15 Sat Arizona St 

10/22 Sat at Stanford 

11/3 Thu UCLA 

11/12 Sat at Arizona 


11/26 Sat Utah 

open 

Colorado is 7-0 ATS as a FAV 

after a road win (since/ 10/13/01) 


2012 2013 2014 2015 

SU 1-11 4-8 2-10 4-9 

Home 0-6 2-3 1-5 2-4 

Away 1-4 0-5 1-4 1-5 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

ATS 3-9 5-6 6-5 5-7 

HF 0-1 1-1 1-0 1-1 

HD 1-4 1-2 4-1 1-3 

AF 0-0 0-0 0-1 0-1 

AD 2-3 2-3 1-2 2-2 

vs Conf 3-6 4-5 5-3 4-5 

Non Conf 0-3 1-1 1-2 1-2 

Off SU Loss 3-7 3-4 4-4 4-4 

Loss by 10+ pts 3-5 3-4 3-2 2-2 

Off SU Win 0-1 1-2 2-0 1-2 

Win by 10+ pts 0-1 1-2 2-0 1-2 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

Over/Under 6-5 7-3 7-5 3-9 

as HF 0-0 0-2 0-1 0-1 

as HD 2-3 3-0 4-1 1-3 

as AF 0-0 0-0 1-0 0-1 

as AD 4-1 3-1 2-2 2-2 

vs Conf 5-4 6-2 6-3 3-6 

vs Non Conf 1-1 1-1 1-2 0-3 

Off SU Loss 6-3 4-2 6-3 2-5 

Loss by 10+ pts 5-3 4-2 3-3 2-2 

Off SU Win 0-1 2-1 1-1 1-3 

Win by 10+ pts 0-1 2-1 1-1 1-3


2015 : 9-4, 7-2 (#2 PAC-12 North) 






Oregon 

The Ducks in ’16 

HC here: Mark Helfrich – 4 th 




2.8% 29.7% 22.0% 45.5% 


Ducks are 1-11-1 ATS after a Season Win's (odds) Record result 

road loss (s’/11/13/04) 

2016 8 (-110) 

2015 9.5 (-135) 9-3 und 

2014 10.5 (-150) 11-1 OV 

2013 10.5 (-195) 10-2 und 

2012 10.5 (n/a) 11-1 OV 


2015 All 5.5 (43.0-37.5) 52.9 (538-485) 76-80 7.1-6.0 5 

’15 conf only 3.1 (40.9-37.8) 53.5 (542-488) 74-80 7.4-6.1 2 

2014 All 21.8 (45.4-23.6) 117.3 (547-430) 75-78 7.3-5.5 23 

’14 conf only 20.8 (44.6-23.8) 127.7 (538-410) 76-77 7.1-5.4 12 

2013 All 25.0 (45.5-20.5) 194.9 (565-370) 75-80 7.6-4.6 11 

’13 conf only 16.1 (41.9-25.8) 138.0 (540-402) 77-82 7.1-4.9 2 

2012 All 28.0 (49.6-21.6) 163.2 (537-374) 81-76 6.6-4.9 21 

’12 conf only 28.6 (49.8-21.2) 144.8 (535-390) 81-76 6.6-5.1 21 



20% 93% 72% 42% 40% 22% 94% 

Last year the Ducks lost 4 games in a season for the first time since 

2007 and much of it had to do with a defense that allowed a schoolrecord 

37.5 ppg (also nagging injuries at QB). 

The Ducks will go to the well again this season signing a Big Sky QB 

transfer for the second straight year. Last year Vernon Adams from 

Eastern Washington finished with a 26-6 ratio while this season they 

will ask former Montana State QB Dakota Prukop to do the same thing 

after earning 1 st -team FCS All-American honors last year. All the top 

RB’s return led by Royce Freeman who had 1,836 yards last year while 

they return 6 of their top 7 receivers (lose top guy). The OL is another 

story as 3 starters depart. 

The defense loses their top 3 tacklers as the DL loses 3 starters while 

4 of their top 5 LB’s also depart giving them a very inexperienced front 

7. On the bright side, they return all 4 starters in the secondary. 

The schedule will see them get key Pac-12 North games against 

Washington and Stanford at home (beat both on the road last year) 

but they also have 5 road trips against bowl teams from a year ago. 



9/3 Sat UC Davis 






10/21 Fri at California 






open 

Oregon is 12-2 ATS after a win 

as a dog (since/ Nov 15, 2003) 


2012 2013 2014 2015 

SU 12-1 11-2 13-2 9-4 

Home 6-1 7-0 6-1 5-2 

Away 4-0 3-2 4-0 4-1 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

ATS 8-5 8-5 10-5 7-6 

HF 3-4 4-3 4-3 2-5 

HD 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 

AF 4-0 3-2 3-1 1-0 

AD 0-0 0-0 0-0 4-0 

vs Conf 7-2 4-5 8-2 6-3 

Non Conf 1-3 4-0 2-3 1-3 

Off SU Loss 1-0 0-2 1-0 2-1 

Loss by 10+ pts 0-0 0-1 0-0 1-0 

Off SU Win 7-4 7-3 9-4 5-4 

Win by 10+ pts 7-4 7-3 9-4 5-4 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

Over/Under 7-5 7-6 6-7 8-4 

as HF 3-3 5-2 3-3 5-1 

as HD 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 

as AF 3-1 2-3 1-2 0-1 

as AD 0-0 0-0 0-0 2-2 

vs Conf 6-3 4-5 3-5 6-3 

vs Non Conf 1-2 3-1 3-2 2-1 

Off SU Loss 1-0 2-0 0-0 1-2 

Loss by 10+ pts 0-0 1-0 0-0 0-1 

Off SU Win 5-5 4-6 5-7 7-2 

Win by 10+ pts 5-5 4-6 5-7 7-2


2015 : 2-10, 0-9 (#6 PAC-12 North) 






Oregon St 

The Beavers in ’16 

HC here: Gary Andersen – 2 nd 




15.2% 23.5% 37.1% 24.2% 


Beavers are 2-10 ATS after a Season Win's (odds) Record result 

10+ pts loss the last 2 seasons 2016 3.5 (-110) 

2015 4 (-110) 2-10 und 

2014 6.5 (-205) 5-7 und 

2013 8.5 (-210) 6-6 und 

2012 5.5 (n/a) 9-3 OV 


2015 All -18.0 (19.0-37.0) -145.1 (336-482) 66-75 5.1-6.4 -4 

’15 conf only -24.6 (17.8-42.3) -208.0 (341-549) 65-78 5.2-7.1 -5 

2014 All -5.9 (25.7-31.6) -12.8 (394-406) 71-71 5.6-5.8 3 

’14 conf only -12.8 (23.7-36.4) -80.9 (376-457) 70-74 5.4-6.2 0 

2013 All 3.4 (34.8-31.4) 30.4 (467-437) 75-71 6.2-6.1 3 

’13 conf only 1.0 (33.4-32.4) 28.4 (467-439) 76-72 6.1-6.1 2 

2012 All 11.9 (32.5-20.6) 77.5 (431-354) 73-69 5.9-5.2 8 

’12 conf only 7.1 (29.7-22.6) 44.1 (425-381) 73-70 5.9-5.4 1 



70% 65% 80% 60% 49% 65% 76% 

Gary Andersen inherited only 9 returning starters last year and was 

changing schemes on both sides of the ball. He had a tough first season 

to say the least but when you finished #111 & #117 out of 128 teams 

in offense and defense there’s only one way to go, right? 

Last year true freshman Seth Collins who basically played 6 games 

before an injury, still led the team in passing and rushing. While back, 

it looks as if Collins will move to WR with the job seemingly going to 

Utah St transfer Darell Garretson who Andersen recruited while there. 

They are also without their top RB but freshman Ryan Nall gained 455 

yards (6.2 ypc) and he’s ready to take over. The OL loses 2 starters but 

they were both All-Pac12. The receivers also have their top 2 back. 

The DL used only 6 players last year and half of that group departs 

including the unit’s top 2 sack men. The LB’s return 3 of their 4 starters 

but the loss was their top tackler. The secondary also loses the top 

tackler from their group but the next 8 players are back. 

The schedule could find them an underdog in at least 10 games 

meaning they will have to pull several upsets to get to a bowl. 



9/1 Thu at Minnesota 

9/17 Sat Idaho St 

9/24 Sat Boise St 








11/19 Sat Arizona 


open 

Oregon St is 3-14 ATS after a 

game as a dog (s’/ 9/21/13) 


2012 2013 2014 2015 

SU 9-4 7-6 5-7 2-10 

Home 6-1 2-4 3-4 2-4 

Away 3-2 4-2 2-3 0-6 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

ATS 8-4 7-6 2-10 3-9 

HF 4-1 1-3 1-3 1-1 

HD 1-1 0-1 1-2 0-3 

AF 0-1 2-1 0-2 0-0 

AD 3-0 3-0 0-3 2-4 

vs Conf 5-3 6-3 1-8 2-7 

Non Conf 3-1 1-3 1-2 1-2 

Off SU Loss 3-0 3-3 1-5 3-6 

Loss by 10+ pts 1-0 2-1 0-4 2-6 

Off SU Win 4-4 4-2 1-4 0-2 

Win by 10+ pts 4-4 4-2 1-4 0-2 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

Over/Under 7-5 7-6 6-6 6-6 

as HF 2-2 2-2 2-2 1-1 

as HD 1-1 0-1 1-2 2-1 

as AF 0-1 2-1 2-0 0-0 

as AD 3-1 2-1 1-2 3-3 

vs Conf 5-4 5-4 5-4 5-4 

vs Non Conf 2-1 2-2 1-2 1-2 

Off SU Loss 2-0 2-4 5-1 5-4 

Loss by 10+ pts 0-0 2-1 3-1 5-3 

Off SU Win 5-4 4-2 1-4 1-1 

Win by 10+ pts 5-4 4-2 1-4 1-1


2015 : 12-2, 8-1 (#1 PAC-12 North) 






Stanford 

The Cardinal in ’16 

HC here: David Shaw – 6 th 




3.9% 20.1% 14.9% 61.0% 


Cardinal are 2-12 ATS away Season Win's (odds) Record result 

after a win as a HD (s’/10/29/83) 2016 8.5 (+100) 

2015 9 (+100) 10-2 OV 

2014 8.5 (-125) 7-5 und 

2013 9.5 (-120) 10-2 OV 

2012 7.5 (n/a) 10-2 OV 


2015 All 15.2 (37.8-22.6) 67.2 (436-368) 66-66 6.6-5.6 1 

’15 conf only 16.8 (40.9-24.1) 69.0 (452-383) 68-65 6.7-5.9 -1 

2014 All 10.8 (27.2-16.4) 106.2 (389-282) 66-67 5.9-4.2 -5 

’14 conf only 4.3 (23.8-19.4) 88.9 (395-306) 66-70 6.0-4.4 -6 

2013 All 13.3 (32.3-19.0) 62.2 (405-343) 64-71 6.3-4.9 0 

’13 conf only 14.8 (33.7-18.9) 58.5 (415-356) 65-72 6.4-4.9 0 

2012 All 10.6 (27.9-17.2) 38.2 (374-336) 68-71 5.5-4.7 9 

’12 conf only 11.0 (28.7-17.7) 57.3 (397-340) 70-71 5.7-4.8 2 



3% 72% 67% 40% 32% 55% 75% 

David Shaw has done a tremendous job replacing Jim Harbaugh at 

Stanford including 4 major bowl appearances, 2 Rose Bowl wins and 4 

seasons with at least 11 wins. 

Except for 9 games over the last 7 years a QB named Luck or Hogan 

has been in charge so there’s some big shoes to fill for probable starter 

Keller Chryst. At least Heisman favorite Christian McCaffery returns 

and while his 2,019 rush yards are well documented from last year he 

also led the team in receiving with 645 yards. The OL also has some 

big shoes to fill as they lose 3 starters, two of which were draft choices 

included last year’s Outland Trophy winner. The receiving unit also 

loses 2 of their top 3. 

The defense loses 5 starters but last year they came into the season 

with only 3 returnees. 2 of the top 3 DL depart a long with a pair of 

LB’s. The secondary is experienced with 5 of the top 7 back. 

If you’re surprised by the low season win total, don’t be as the Cardinal 

do have to play at UCLA, at Washington and at Notre Dame and at 

Oregon and figure to be an underdog in all 4. 



9/2 Fri Kansas St 

9/17 Sat USC 


9/30 Fri at Washington 








11/26 Sat Rice 

open 

Stanford is 21-4-1 ATS as an AD 

after a win as a HF (s’/11/16/85) 


2012 2013 2014 2015 

SU 12-2 11-3 8-5 12-2 

Home 7-0 7-0 4-2 6-1 

Away 4-2 3-2 3-3 4-1 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

ATS 8-5 7-7 6-6 9-4 

HF 1-4 3-3 3-2 4-2 

HD 1-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 

AF 3-1 1-3 1-3 2-2 

AD 2-0 1-0 1-1 1-0 

vs Conf 5-4 7-3 3-5 7-2 

Non Conf 3-1 0-4 3-1 2-2 

Off SU Loss 1-1 2-0 3-1 2-0 

Loss by 10+ pts 0-0 0-0 1-1 1-0 

Off SU Win 7-3 5-6 2-5 7-3 

Win by 10+ pts 7-3 5-6 2-5 7-3 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

Over/Under 4-10 6-8 3-9 8-6 

as HF 4-2 3-3 1-4 4-3 

as HD 0-1 0-1 0-0 0-0 

as AF 0-4 1-3 0-4 1-3 

as AD 0-2 0-1 1-1 1-0 

vs Conf 3-7 4-6 2-7 6-4 

vs Non Conf 1-3 2-2 1-2 2-2 

Off SU Loss 1-1 1-1 1-4 0-2 

Loss by 10+ pts 0-0 0-0 1-1 0-1 

Off SU Win 3-8 5-6 2-5 8-3 

Win by 10+ pts 3-8 5-6 2-5 8-3


2015 : 8-5, 5-4 (#3 PAC-12 South) 






UCLA 

The Bruins in ’16 

HC here: Jim Mora – 5 th 




5.6% 11.5% 39.9% 43.0% 


Bruins are 0-6 ATS in the 2 nd of Season Win's (odds) Record result 

back-to-back home games. 2016 8.5 (+100) 

2015 9.5 (+160) 8-4 und 

2014 9.5 (-115) 9-3 und 

2013 8.5 (+200) 9-3 OV 

2012 6 (n/a) 9-3 OV 


2015 All 6.2 (32.2-26.0) 64.2 (466-402) 75-80 6.3-5.0 0 

’15 conf only 4.0 (32.8-28.8) 54.9 (471-416) 76-82 6.2-5.1 3 

2014 All 5.4 (33.5-28.1) 69.3 (468-399) 76-77 6.1-5.2 0 

’14 conf only 5.2 (33.9-28.7) 71.0 (475-404) 77-77 6.2-5.3 0 

2013 All 13.8 (36.9-23.2) 62.5 (448-386) 74-76 6.1-5.1 10 

’13 conf only 5.0 (31.1-26.1) -16.2 (393-409) 71-76 5.5-5.4 11 

2012 All 6.9 (34.4-27.6) 48.6 (465-416) 78-74 5.9-5.6 7 

’12 conf only 5.7 (33.4-27.7) 15.9 (430-414) 75-74 5.7-5.6 2 



98% 40% 33% 43% 68% 72% 100% 

After UCLA failed to notch 8 wins in a season for 6 straight years, Jim 

Mora has guided the Bruins to at least 8 wins in each of his 4 years 

here. However, last year’s season did end on a sour note losing 3 of 

their last 4 including to cross-town rival USC (first time since 2011). 

You will see above that UCLA had 43% of their starts made by seniors 

last year, mostly on the offense. QB Josh Rosen was an exception as 

he started as a true frosh finishing with a 23-11 ratio. At RB they’ll have 

to replace the 2,900 rush yards Paul Perkins had the last 2 years. The 

receivers also must replace their top 2 players and 4 of the top 5. The 

OL has 2 starters back but they do have 58 career starts. 

The defense only loses 2 starters. The reality is it’s even less than that 

as the empty slot on the DL will be filled by a 2-year starter in Eddie 

Vanderdoes, who took a medical redshirt last year. The only other hole 

is at LB but they’ve recruited well there. 

The schedule does feature a pair of tough non-conf road games at 

Texas A&M and BYU. However, their Pac-12 schedule is favorable as 

they host Stanford, Utah and USC and avoid Washington and Oregon. 



9/3 Sat at Texas A&M 

9/10 Sat UNLV 

9/17 Sat at BYU 






11/3 Thu at Colorado 


11/19 Sat USC 


open 

UCLA is 6-1 to the UNDER as an 

AD the last 3 seasons. 


2012 2013 2014 2015 

SU 9-5 10-3 10-3 8-5 

Home 5-2 5-1 3-3 4-2 

Away 4-2 4-2 5-0 4-2 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

ATS 8-6 9-4 5-8 5-8 

HF 2-2 4-1 2-3 1-5 

HD 2-1 0-1 0-1 0-0 

AF 2-2 1-0 2-3 3-0 

AD 2-0 2-2 0-0 1-2 

vs Conf 5-5 5-4 4-5 4-5 

Non Conf 3-1 4-0 1-3 1-3 

Off SU Loss 2-2 1-2 1-2 2-2 

Loss by 10+ pts 1-1 0-2 1-1 1-2 

Off SU Win 5-4 7-2 4-5 3-5 

Win by 10+ pts 5-4 7-2 4-5 3-5 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

Over/Under 8-6 6-7 5-7 4-8 

as HF 1-3 4-1 1-4 1-4 

as HD 2-1 1-0 0-0 0-0 

as AF 3-1 0-1 3-2 1-2 

as AD 2-0 0-4 0-0 1-2 

vs Conf 6-4 3-6 3-5 3-5 

vs Non Conf 2-2 3-1 2-2 1-3 

Off SU Loss 1-3 1-2 1-1 2-2 

Loss by 10+ pts 1-1 1-1 1-1 2-1 

Off SU Win 6-3 4-5 4-5 2-5 

Win by 10+ pts 6-3 4-5 4-5 2-5


2015 : 8-6, 6-3 (T #1-#2 PAC-12 South) 






USC 

The Trojans in ’16 

HC here: Clay Helton – 1 st 




11.4% 31.8% 27.9% 28.9% 


The Trojans are 8-24 ATS 


off a win (since 9/8/12) 

2016 7.5 (+100) 

2015 8.5 (-150) 8-4 und 

2014 8.5 (-185) 8-4 und 

2013 10.5 (+170) 9-4 und 

2012 10.5 (n/a) 7-5 und 


2015 All 8.2 (33.9-25.7) 37.1 (438-401) 71-70 6.2-5.7 11 

’15 conf only 2.8 (30.9-28.1) -2.0 (401-403) 71-69 5.6-5.9 9 

2014 All 10.7 (35.8-25.2) 49.6 (458-408) 76-77 6.0-5.3 11 

’14 conf only 7.6 (32.1-24.6) 23.5 (424-401) 71-78 5.9-5.1 6 

2013 All 8.5 (29.7-21.2) 64.7 (400-335) 66-67 6.1-5.0 5 

’13 conf only 5.6 (31.0-25.4) 18.1 (400-382) 65-70 6.2-5.5 5 

2012 All 7.8 (32.1-24.3) 38.9 (433-394) 66-74 6.6-5.3 -2 

’12 conf only 8.0 (34.0-26.0) 69.7 (469-399) 68-74 6.9-5.4 -4 



6% 81% 95% 93% 33% 50% 92% 

While new HC Clay Helton is in his “1 st season” he does have 10 games 

of coaching experience here as he was the interim for the 2013 Las 

Vegas Bowl and the final 7 games last year being named the 

permanent head coach prior to the Pac-12 Championship. 

For the first time in 4 seasons, Cody Kessler will not be the USC QB 

with Max Browne (12 attempts last year) the most likely to take over 

(only starter USC has to replace on offense). Helton’s new offense will 

go back to the ground where USC returns their top 2 rushers and all 5 

starting OL are back (131 career starts). The top 8 receivers also return 

led by JuJu Smith-Schuster (1,454 yards last year). 

The defense will return to a 5-2 look as Helton brought back DC Clancy 

Pendergast (DC here in ’13). However, the only returning player in the 

front 7 is LB Cameron Smith who was a freshman-AA. The secondary 

returns intact and will be counted on. 

The schedule could be the toughest in the entire country as they open 

up with defending champ Alabama, play at Stanford, at Utah, at 

Washington and at UCLA in Pac-12 play and close with Notre Dame. 



9/3 Sat (N) Alabama 

9/10 Sat Utah St 


9/23 Fri at Utah 




10/27 Thu California 




11/26 Sat Notre Dame 

open 

USC is 9-0 ATS as a FAV after a 

loss on the road (s’/9/22/12) 


2012 2013 2014 2015 

SU 7-6 10-4 9-4 8-6 

Home 4-2 5-2 5-1 5-2 

Away 2-3 4-2 3-3 3-2 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

ATS 3-10 7-7 7-6 6-8 

HF 3-1 3-3 4-2 4-3 

HD 0-2 1-0 0-0 0-0 

AF 0-5 1-2 2-1 2-1 

AD 0-0 1-2 1-1 0-2 

vs Conf 3-6 5-4 5-4 4-6 

Non Conf 0-4 2-3 2-2 2-2 

Off SU Loss 2-3 4-0 4-0 3-2 

Loss by 10+ pts 1-1 2-0 1-0 3-1 

Off SU Win 1-6 3-6 2-6 2-6 

Win by 10+ pts 1-6 3-6 2-6 2-6 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

Over/Under 5-8 4-10 5-7 6-7 

as HF 0-4 1-5 3-2 3-3 

as HD 1-1 0-1 0-0 0-0 

as AF 3-2 2-1 1-2 0-3 

as AD 0-0 1-2 0-2 2-0 

vs Conf 4-5 4-5 2-7 4-5 

vs Non Conf 1-3 0-5 3-0 2-2 

Off SU Loss 1-4 1-3 0-3 2-3 

Loss by 10+ pts 0-2 1-1 0-0 1-3 

Off SU Win 4-3 3-6 4-4 4-3 

Win by 10+ pts 4-3 3-6 4-4 4-3


2015 : 10-3, 6-3 (T #1-#2 PAC-12 South) 






Utah 

The Utes in ’16 

HC here: Kyle Whittingham – 12 th 




7.0% 14.3% 39.2% 39.5% 


The Utes are 10-1 ATS versus Season Win's (odds) Record result 

non-conf foes the L3Y 

2016 7.5 (+100) 

2015 7.5 (-130) 9-3 OV 

2014 4.5 (-165) 8-4 OV 

2013 5.5 (+145) 5-7 und 

2012 8 (n/a) 5-7 und 


2015 All 8.3 (30.6-22.3) -3.8 (363-367) 71-71 5.1-5.2 13 

’15 conf only 7.0 (30.0-23.0) 21.0 (386-365) 72-71 5.4-5.2 4 

2014 All 6.4 (31.3-24.9) -5.4 (388-393) 73-74 5.4-5.3 5 

’14 conf only -4.7 (24.6-29.2) -84.2 (344-428) 71-74 4.8-5.8 1 

2013 All 1.2 (29.2-28.0) -1.1 (397-398) 72-74 5.5-5.4 -9 

’13 conf only -6.7 (25.6-32.2) -39.8 (364-404) 74-72 5.0-5.6 -12 

2012 All 1.6 (26.7-25.1) -39.0 (324-363) 66-68 4.9-5.3 4 

’12 conf only -2.0 (26.1-28.1) -71.8 (323-395) 64-69 5.0-5.7 0 



0% 21% 38% 83% 50% 12% 84% 

Last year the Utes had their best year since joining the Pac-12 as they 

got to 10 wins for the first time since 2010 (final year of Mountain 

West) and the dean of Pac-12 coaches is Kyle Wittingham who now 

enters his 12 th year here in Salt Lake City. 

The good news for Utah is that they return 6 starters on offense. The 

bad news for the Utes is that the 5 starters they lost include a 4-year 

starting QB, a 3-year starting center, a RB with back-to-back 1,000+ 

yards and their top 3 receivers. There’s a 3-way battle at QB and RB 

Joe Williams proved capable in the short term as an injury 

replacement late last season. 

The defense also loses 5 starters including the team’s top 2 tacklers (2 

LB’s), two DL with a combined 9 sacks and 19 TFL’s and the team’s #4 

tackler (SS). The DL rotated players and the secondary has depth so 

they should field another solid defense. 

The schedule should see them favored in their first 3 non-conference 

games and if they beat USC at home on September 23 rd , they could 

start 7-0 and be favored in as many as 9 games. 



9/1 Thu S Utah 

9/10 Sat BYU 

9/17 Sat at San Jose St 

9/23 Fri USC 






11/10 Thu at Arizona St 



open 

Utah is 13-2 ATS as an AD off a 

loss at home (since/10/6/90) 


2012 2013 2014 2015 

SU 5-7 5-7 9-4 10-3 

Home 4-2 4-3 3-3 6-1 

Away 1-5 1-4 5-1 3-2 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

ATS 5-7 6-6 9-4 6-7 

HF 2-2 2-2 2-2 2-5 

HD 2-0 2-1 0-1 0-0 

AF 0-3 0-0 1-1 1-1 

AD 1-2 2-3 4-0 2-1 

vs Conf 4-5 3-6 5-4 3-6 

Non Conf 1-2 3-0 4-0 3-1 

Off SU Loss 4-3 4-3 2-2 0-3 

Loss by 10+ pts 3-2 1-3 1-1 0-1 

Off SU Win 1-3 1-3 6-2 5-4 

Win by 10+ pts 1-3 1-3 6-2 5-4 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

Over/Under 5-6 5-7 4-9 6-7 

as HF 2-1 3-1 2-2 0-7 

as HD 1-1 0-3 1-0 0-0 

as AF 2-1 0-0 1-1 2-0 

as AD 0-3 2-3 0-4 3-0 

vs Conf 5-4 3-6 2-7 4-5 

vs Non Conf 0-2 2-1 2-2 2-2 

Off SU Loss 3-4 2-5 2-2 0-3 

Loss by 10+ pts 3-2 1-3 1-1 0-1 

Off SU Win 2-2 2-2 1-7 6-3 

Win by 10+ pts 2-2 2-2 1-7 6-3


2015 : 7-6, 4-5 (T #4-#5 PAC-12 North) 






Washington 

The Huskies in ’16 

HC here: Chris Peterson – 3 rd 




15.7% 38.8% 15.0% 30.4% 


Huskies are 0-8 ATS home 


after being a HD (s’/9/15/07) 2016 9 (-110) 

2015 4 (-350) 6-6 OV 

2014 9.5 (+175) 8-5 und 

2013 7.5 (-130) 8-4 OV 

2012 7.5 (n/a) 7-5 und 


2015 All 11.8 (30.6-18.8) 51.2 (403-352) 67-72 6.0-4.9 5 

’15 conf only 9.0 (29.0-20.0) 11.0 (388-377) 68-73 5.7-5.2 6 

2014 All 5.4 (30.2-24.8) -22.0 (389-411) 72-76 5.4-5.4 12 

’14 conf only 2.2 (26.2-24.0) -28.3 (378-406) 71-76 5.3-5.4 4 

2013 All 15.1 (37.9-22.8) 110.8 (499-389) 79-78 6.4-5.0 7 

’13 conf only 9.2 (37.1-27.9) 60.4 (476-416) 78-78 6.1-5.3 6 

2012 All -0.2 (24.0-24.2) -2.2 (355-357) 70-67 5.1-5.4 5 

’12 conf only -1.1 (23.3-24.4) 1.9 (359-357) 70-67 5.2-5.3 4 



99% 80% 38% 80% 75% 64% 80% 

Chris Peterson took over a program that went 9-4 in 2013 but after 

going just 15-12 his first two years, expectations are through the roof 

heading into 2016 (won last 3 games of 2015 by 31 ppg). 

Last year the Huskies went with freshman QB Jake Browning and he 

performed admirably with a 63% completion rate and a 16-10 ratio. 

Another freshman in RB Myles Gaskin came on late averaging 130 ypg 

the season’s final 5 games. The receiving unit takes the biggest hit as 

Washington will be without their top 2, but they do get back John Ross 

who missed all of last season. The OL returns 9 of the top 10. 

The 3-4 defense loses a DT and a pair of LB’s that were #1 and #2 on 

the team in sacks. The secondary also loses their #1 tackler but 7 of 

the top 8 are back. What needs to be mentioned is that DC Pete 

Kwiatkowski last year had only 4 defensive starters returning and 

molded that group into the #9 ranked adjusted defense. 

The Huskies will be heavily favored in each of their 3 non-conference 

games but each of their 5 Pac-12 road games come against teams that 

played in a bowl a year ago. 




9/10 Sat Idaho 

9/17 Sat Portland St 


9/30 Fri Stanford 





11/12 Sat USC 


11/25 Fri at Washington St 

open 

Washington is 7-0 ATS after a 

loss as a dog (since/ 11/1/14) 


2012 2013 2014 2015 

SU 7-6 9-4 8-6 7-6 

Home 5-1 6-1 4-3 4-3 

Away 2-4 1-3 4-2 2-3 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

ATS 8-5 7-5 7-7 8-4 

HF 1-1 4-2 2-2 4-2 

HD 4-0 0-1 1-2 0-1 

AF 1-1 0-0 2-1 1-0 

AD 1-3 1-2 2-1 2-1 

vs Conf 6-3 4-5 6-3 4-4 

Non Conf 2-2 3-0 1-4 4-0 

Off SU Loss 4-1 1-3 4-1 4-1 

Loss by 10+ pts 3-1 1-2 2-1 2-1 

Off SU Win 4-3 5-2 3-5 3-3 

Win by 10+ pts 4-3 5-2 3-5 3-3 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

Over/Under 5-7 6-7 3-10 5-8 

as HF 0-1 2-4 1-3 3-3 

as HD 1-3 0-1 1-2 0-1 

as AF 1-1 0-0 1-2 1-0 

as AD 2-2 3-0 0-2 0-4 

vs Conf 4-5 5-4 2-6 3-6 

vs Non Conf 1-2 1-3 1-4 2-2 

Off SU Loss 2-2 2-2 1-4 1-5 

Loss by 10+ pts 1-2 2-1 1-2 1-2 

Off SU Win 3-4 4-4 2-5 4-2 

Win by 10+ pts 3-4 4-4 2-5 4-2


2015 : 9-4, 6-3 (#3 PAC-12 North) 






Washington St 

The Cougars in ’16 

HC here: Mike Leach – 5 th 




6.7% 28.9% 28.2% 36.3% 


Cougars are 18-4-1 ATS as an AD Season Win's (odds) Record result 


2015 5 (-130) 8-4 OV 

2014 5.5 (-130) 3-9 und 

2013 4.5 (-120) 6-6 OV 

2012 5.5 (n/a) 3-9 und 


2015 All 3.8 (31.5-27.7) 53.4 (470-416) 79-72 5.9-5.8 -1 

’15 conf only 3.3 (33.8-30.4) 45.1 (486-441) 81-75 6.0-5.9 -5 

2014 All -6.8 (31.8-38.6) 75.3 (518-442) 85-72 6.1-6.2 -17 

’14 conf only -11.7 (30.2-41.9) 46.0 (504-458) 87-70 5.8-6.6 -14 

2013 All -1.5 (31.0-32.5) -36.6 (421-458) 77-77 5.5-5.9 -5 

’13 conf only -10.0 (27.1-37.1) -84.4 (415-499) 79-78 5.3-6.4 -3 

2012 All -13.2 (20.4-33.7) -66.4 (360-426) 73-75 4.9-5.7 -9 

’12 conf only -16.3 (20.0-36.3) -52.9 (364-417) 76-73 4.8-5.7 -6 



100% 100% 77% 60% 49% 56% 85% 

It’s been an up-and-down tenure for Mike Leach here in Pullman but 

last season’s 9 wins were the most here since 2003 and the team 

finished the season on a 10-2 ATS run after getting upset by FCS 

Portland State in the opener. 

QB Luke Falk returns after throwing more passes than any one in 

college football a year ago as he attempted 53.8 passes/game with the 

#2 player averaging “only” 44.1. The offense also returns all their RB’s 

and losses only one receiver although he was one of 2 to top 1,000 

yards on the team. The OL losses two starters but they had a combined 

79 career starts (69 career starts among the 3 returnees). 

The defense loses 4 starters in the front 7 and one in the secondary. 

Between the DL and LB’s they lose 51 of their 84 TFL’s and 21 of their 

29 sacks from last year. The secondary does return 7 of their top 8. 

The schedule is not overly difficult as they have two winnable road 

games in Pac-12 play (Oregon State and Colorado) but they do have to 

play Boise State, Oregon and Stanford by week 5 and could be favored 

in only 6-7 games overall. 



9/3 Sat E Washington 

9/10 Sat at Boise St 




10/15 Sat UCLA 






11/25 Fri Washington 

open 

Washington St is 12-0 ATS after 

a win as a HD (s’/Oct 23, 1990) 


2012 2013 2014 2015 

SU 3-9 6-7 3-9 9-4 

Home 2-3 3-2 1-5 4-2 

Away 1-5 3-3 2-3 4-2 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

ATS 5-7 9-4 4-7 10-3 

HF 0-2 3-0 1-1 3-2 

HD 2-1 0-2 1-3 1-0 

AF 0-1 1-0 0-1 0-0 

AD 2-3 5-0 2-1 5-1 

vs Conf 5-4 6-3 3-5 8-1 

Non Conf 0-3 3-1 1-2 2-2 

Off SU Loss 5-4 4-2 3-4 4-0 

Loss by 10+ pts 4-2 3-2 2-3 1-0 

Off SU Win 0-2 4-2 1-2 6-2 

Win by 10+ pts 0-2 4-2 1-2 6-2 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

Over/Under 6-5 7-6 6-6 5-8 

as HF 1-0 2-1 2-0 1-4 

as HD 2-1 2-0 1-3 0-1 

as AF 1-0 0-1 0-1 0-0 

as AD 1-4 1-4 2-2 4-2 

vs Conf 5-4 5-4 4-5 4-5 

vs Non Conf 1-1 2-2 2-1 1-3 

Off SU Loss 4-4 3-3 3-5 2-2 

Loss by 10+ pts 2-3 3-2 3-2 0-1 

Off SU Win 2-0 4-2 2-1 3-5 

Win by 10+ pts 2-0 4-2 2-1 3-5




1 Alabama 95.47 

3 LSU 94.52 

6 Tennessee 91.94 

10 Ole Miss 89.31 

16 Georgia 85.49 

21 Florida 84.78 

23 Arkansas 84.66 

26 Texas A&M 84.32 

27 Auburn 83.98 

31 Miss St 82.58 

51 Missouri 75.37 

62 Vanderbilt 73.03 

63 S Carolina 72.43 

66 Kentucky 71.47


2015 : 14-1, 7-1 (#1 SEC-West) 






Alabama 

The Crimson Tide in ’16 

HC here: Nick Saban – 10 th 




17.3% 11.8% 29.7% 41.2% 


Bama is 0-4 ATS the game 


after a loss the last 4 years 2016 10 (+100) 

2015 9.5 (-145) 11-1 OV 

2014 10.5 (-150) 11-1 OV 

2013 11.5 (+170) 11-1 und 

2012 10.5 (n/a) 11-1 OV 


2015 All 19.9 (35.1-15.1) 150.7 (427-276) 73-64 5.9-4.3 10 

’15 conf only 14.1 (31.2-17.1) 129.6 (417-287) 75-62 5.6-4.6 1 

2014 All 18.5 (36.9-18.4) 156.1 (485-328) 73-68 6.7-4.9 -2 

’14 conf only 15.7 (34.2-18.6) 112.4 (451-339) 71-72 6.4-4.7 3 

2013 All 24.2 (38.2-13.9) 167.5 (454-287) 64-59 7.2-4.8 2 

’13 conf only 23.5 (38.1-14.6) 184.5 (491-307) 67-60 7.4-5.1 4 

2012 All 27.8 (38.7-10.9) 195.5 (446-250) 64-60 7.0-4.2 14 

’12 conf only 24.1 (37.2-13.1) 172.7 (443-270) 65-64 6.8-4.2 8 



9% 10% 75% 61% 47% 54% 59% 

The Crimson Tide have dominated college football for much of the last 

decade as they are coming off their 4 th title in the last 7 years. While 

they must search for a new QB again, that job is always a little easier 

when your D hasn’t allowed over 19 ppg in any season since 2007. 

Each of the past 2 seasons, Saban has used a 5 th year senior at QB and 

this year junior Cooper Bateman has the most experience. The RB 

corps could be a different story as it’s the first time under Saban that 

they have had to replace their top 2. They do return their top 3 

receivers and while the OL also return 3 starters, replacing the top 

center in the NFL Draft is never easy. 

The defense must find 2 new DL starters, 3 LB’s and a DB while also 

having to replace long-time DC Kirby Smart. However, the Crimson 

Tide don’t rebuild on defense, they simply reload and this year is no 

different as they 5-6 All-Americans candidates led by DL Jonathan 

Allen, LB’s Tim Williams and Reuben Foster and DB Eddie Jackson. 

The schedule is among the toughest in the country as they have to play 

USC, Ole Miss, Tennessee and LSU all away from home. 



9/3 Sat (N) USC 

9/10 Sat WKU 

9/17 Sat at Ole Miss 



10/8 Sat at Arkansas 

10/15 Sat at Tennessee 

10/22 Sat Texas A&M 

11/5 Sat at LSU 

11/12 Sat Miss St 

11/19 Sat Chattanooga 

11/26 Sat Auburn 

open 

Alabama is 17-5 ATS as an AD 

after a win as a HF (s’/ 9/20/86) 


2012 2013 2014 2015 

SU 13-1 11-2 12-2 14-1 

Home 6-1 7-0 7-0 6-1 

Away 4-0 3-1 3-1 4-0 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

ATS 7-7 7-6 5-8 8-7 

HF 2-5 5-2 3-3 2-5 

HD 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 

AF 3-1 1-3 1-3 3-0 

AD 0-0 0-0 0-0 1-0 

vs Conf 5-4 5-3 5-4 5-4 

Non Conf 2-3 2-3 0-4 3-3 

Off SU Loss 0-1 0-1 0-1 0-1 

Loss by 10+ pts 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 

Off SU Win 6-6 6-5 5-6 7-6 

Win by 10+ pts 6-6 6-5 5-6 7-6 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

Over/Under 6-7 7-5 7-6 6-9 

as HF 1-5 3-4 3-2 2-5 

as HD 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 

as AF 2-2 3-1 1-3 1-2 

as AD 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-1 

vs Conf 4-5 6-2 4-5 3-6 

vs Non Conf 2-2 1-3 3-1 3-3 

Off SU Loss 0-0 1-0 0-1 0-1 

Loss by 10+ pts 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 

Off SU Win 5-7 6-5 6-5 5-8 

Win by 10+ pts 5-7 6-5 6-5 5-8


2015 : 8-5, 5-3 (T #3-#4 SEC-West) 






Arkansas 

The Razorbacks in ’16 

HC here: Bret Bielema – 4 th 




6.3% 20.4% 49.8% 23.5% 


The Hogs are 12-2 ATS after Season Win's (odds) Record result 

a loss as an AF (s’/ 10/10/81) 2016 7.5 (-120) 

2015 8.5 (+120) 7-5 und 

2014 4.5 (-130) 6-6 OV 

2013 5.5 (-140) 3-9 und 

2012 9 (n/a) 4-8 und 


2015 All 8.5 (35.9-27.4) 73.8 (465-392) 68-65 6.8-6.1 7 

’15 conf only 4.2 (34.4-30.1) 17.6 (433-415) 70-69 6.2-6.0 2 

2014 All 12.7 (31.9-19.2) 82.6 (406-323) 70-63 5.8-5.1 7 

’14 conf only -1.5 (20.6-22.1) -27.4 (354-382) 71-65 5.0-5.9 3 

2013 All -10.1 (20.7-30.8) -56.3 (357-413) 65-68 5.5-6.1 -9 

’13 conf only -21.0 (16.9-37.9) -138.2 (337-475) 63-69 5.4-6.9 -12 

2012 All -6.9 (23.5-30.4) 10.3 (420-410) 69-72 6.1-5.7 -19 

’12 conf only -12.5 (19.6-32.1) 1.0 (400-399) 71-66 5.6-6.1 -13 



1% 33% 67% 40% 82% 100% 80% 

It’s usually a multi-year process when changing schemes especially 

when Bret Bielema changed the pass-happy attack of Petrino/Smith to 

his rush attack. After winning just 3 of his first 13 games, the Hogs have 

gone 15-10 since with only three losses by more than 7 points. 

Last year the Allen brothers combined for 31 TD passes at QB but 

unfortunately Brandon had 30 and has graduated while Austin had 

one on 1-3 passing but won the job this spring. Another anomaly is at 

RB where LY’s leading rusher Alex Collins (1,577 yards) and Johnathan 

Williams (missed entire season) were both 5 th round picks this year. 

The receiving corps does return their top 5 WR’s but lose their TE who 

was a 2 nd rounder. The OL loses 3 starters and has a new coach. 

The defense which in a 5 game span allowed 46, 52 and 51 points has 

9 starters back. Of the Razorbacks top 12 tacklers only their No. 3 

departs so expect improvement for a unit that allowed 8.2 ppg and 69 

ypg more last year compared to 2014. 

The Hogs do have a tough non-conference road trip to TCU and could 

find themselves a favorite in only 6 games. 





9/17 Sat Texas St 

9/24 Sat (N) Texas A&M 

10/1 Sat Alcorn St 

10/8 Sat Alabama 

10/15 Sat Ole Miss 



11/12 Sat LSU 

11/19 Sat at Miss St 

11/26 Sat at Missouri 

open 

Arkansas is 7-0 ATS as a dog 

after a win (since/ Sep 13, 2014) 


2012 2013 2014 2015 

SU 4-8 3-9 7-6 8-5 

Home 3-3 2-3 5-1 4-2 

Away 1-4 0-5 1-3 3-1 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

ATS 3-9 4-8 10-3 8-4 

HF 1-3 1-1 4-0 3-3 

HD 1-1 1-2 2-0 0-0 

AF 0-1 0-0 0-1 0-0 

AD 1-3 2-3 2-1 4-0 

vs Conf 3-5 3-5 5-3 6-1 

Non Conf 0-4 1-3 5-0 2-3 

Off SU Loss 2-5 3-5 5-1 3-1 

Loss by 10+ pts 2-2 1-5 2-0 1-0 

Off SU Win 1-3 0-3 5-1 4-3 

Win by 10+ pts 1-3 0-3 5-1 4-3 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

Over/Under 6-5 7-5 4-7 6-7 

as HF 2-1 0-2 1-1 4-2 

as HD 0-2 2-1 0-2 0-0 

as AF 1-0 0-0 0-1 0-0 

as AD 3-1 4-1 2-1 1-3 

vs Conf 4-4 5-3 2-6 3-5 

vs Non Conf 2-1 2-2 2-1 3-2 

Off SU Loss 3-4 5-3 2-3 1-4 

Loss by 10+ pts 2-2 3-3 1-0 1-1 

Off SU Win 3-1 2-1 1-4 4-3 

Win by 10+ pts 3-1 2-1 1-4 4-3


2015 : 7-6, 2-3 (#7 SEC-West) 






Auburn 


HC here: Gus Malzahn– 4 th 




14.7% 21.3% 29.4% 34.6% 


Tigers are 1-10 ATS as a FAV Season Win's (odds) Record result 

after a road loss (s’/ 10/11/08) 2016 6.5 (-110) 

2015 8.5 (-165) 6-6 und 

2014 9.5 (+150) 8-4 und 

2013 6.5 (+120) 11-1 OV 

2012 7.5 (n/a) 3-9 und 


2015 All 1.5 (27.5-26.0) -35.2 (370-405) 69-75 5.4-5.4 2 

’15 conf only -6.5 (22.1-28.6) -57.0 (360-417) 70-73 5.1-5.7 0 

2014 All 8.8 (35.5-26.7) 86.2 (485-399) 72-70 6.7-5.7 7 

’14 conf only 1.6 (34.4-32.8) 82.3 (520-438) 73-69 7.1-6.4 -2 

2013 All 14.8 (39.5-24.7) 80.6 (501-421) 72-71 6.9-6.0 0 

’13 conf only 8.9 (38.4-29.6) 18.6 (485-467) 73-73 6.7-6.4 -2 

2012 All -9.7 (18.7-28.3) -115.5 (305-421) 58-70 5.3-6.0 -12 

’12 conf only -23.9 (10.1-34.0) -214.3 (235-449) 56-69 4.2-6.6 -11 



100% 43% 35% 57% 80% 22% 65% 

After their unlikely SEC Championship season in 2013, the Tigers have 

seen their record get weaker in each of the last two years and despite 

a contract extension, head coach Gus Malzahn is on the hot seat (see 

Gene Chizik losing his job here 2 years removed from a National Title). 

The Tigers return 100% of their pass yards, but the QB position is as 

open as any with both of LY starters battling with a JUCO who was 

formerly at Florida St, John Franklin III. A former QB from a Florida 

college that went to a JUCO before Auburn…sound familiar? The 

offense must also replace a 1,000 yard RB and their top receiver. 

Expect LY’s #2 RB to fill that void while the receiver position could get 

filled by true freshman. The OL has to replace a pair of starters. 

The D needs to find 5 new starters including their #2-#5 tacklers. They 

lose all 3 starters at LB with one spot being be filled by an Illinois 

transfer with 26 games of starting experience. 6 of the top 8 return at 

DB but they do lose a pair of starters. 

The schedule sees the Tigers open the season with 5 straight home 

games but they could find themselves underdogs in 6 games. 




9/10 Sat Arkansas St 


9/24 Sat LSU 







11/19 Sat Alabama A&M 

11/26 Sat at Alabama 

open 

Auburn is 0-7 ATS at home off a 

road game (since/ Sep 27, 2014) 


2012 2013 2014 2015 

SU 3-9 12-2 8-5 7-6 

Home 3-4 8-0 6-1 3-4 

Away 0-4 3-1 2-3 2-2 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

ATS 4-8 12-2 4-9 3-10 

HF 2-2 4-2 3-4 0-4 

HD 1-2 2-0 0-0 0-2 

AF 0-0 2-0 0-2 1-0 

AD 1-3 2-0 1-2 1-2 

vs Conf 2-6 8-1 3-5 2-6 

Non Conf 2-2 4-1 1-4 1-4 

Off SU Loss 3-5 1-0 0-4 2-4 

Loss by 10+ pts 3-2 1-0 0-3 1-1 

Off SU Win 1-2 11-1 3-5 1-5 

Win by 10+ pts 1-2 11-1 3-5 1-5 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

Over/Under 4-7 8-6 6-5 4-7 

as HF 1-2 3-3 4-2 1-2 

as HD 1-2 1-1 0-0 0-2 

as AF 0-0 1-1 0-2 1-0 

as AD 2-2 2-0 2-1 2-1 

vs Conf 3-5 6-3 5-3 3-5 

vs Non Conf 1-2 2-3 1-2 1-2 

Off SU Loss 3-4 0-1 1-2 1-4 

Loss by 10+ pts 2-2 0-1 1-1 0-2 

Off SU Win 1-2 8-4 4-3 3-3 

Win by 10+ pts 1-2 8-4 4-3 3-3


2015 : 10-4, 7-1 (#1 SEC-East) 






Florida 

The Gators in ’16 

HC here: Jim McElwain – 2 nd 




13.3% 30.2% 32.1% 24.4% 


The Gators are 1-10 ATS home Season Win's (odds) Record result 

after being a dog (s’/ 9/28/02) 2016 7.5 (-125) 

2015 7.5 (+110) 10-2 OV 

2014 7.5 (-135) 6-5 * 

2013 9.5 (+175) 4-8 und 

2012 8 (n/a) 11-1 OV 


2015 All 4.9 (23.2-18.3) 23.8 (334-310) 65-67 5.1-4.7 8 

’15 conf only 7.4 (22.7-15.2) 22.9 (323-300) 65-65 5.0-4.6 8 

2014 All 9.2 (30.2-21.1) 37.8 (368-330) 70-72 5.2-4.6 6 

’14 conf only -0.9 (24.9-25.8) -17.9 (338-356) 70-72 4.9-4.9 -1 

2013 All -2.2 (18.8-21.1) 2.4 (317-314) 66-59 4.8-5.3 -2 

’13 conf only -0.5 (19.9-20.4) 3.9 (313-309) 67-61 4.7-5.1 1 

2012 All 12.0 (26.5-14.5) 47.3 (334-287) 64-66 5.3-4.4 15 

’12 conf only 14.0 (25.9-11.9) 46.9 (329-282) 64-67 5.1-4.2 10 



58% 36% 60% 61% 66% 56% 54% 

Not much was expected of the Gators last year with a total of 11 

returning starters in Jim McElwain’s first season. However, despite 

scoring 7.1 fewer ppg than in 2014 when they went 7-5, they 

somehow managed a 10-4 record (did lose last 3 games). 

This year they have 6 back on offense but that number is really 5 as 

QB Treon Harris will switch to receiver. The Gators new QB will most 

likely be an Oregon St transfer. Florida also must replace a 1,000 yard 

rusher and the receiving unit does lose their #2 guy and their TE but 

this year’s unit can be just as good. The OL losses a pair of starters but 

a duo of true freshman who combined for 5 starts fill the gap. 

The defense not only has to replace 5 starters but all 5 were NFL draft 

choices including two first rounders from the secondary. While the 

losses are huge the team had 18 players make 20 or more tackles and 

12 are back. 

The early schedule will see the Gators big favorites in the first 3 games 

but they do pull LSU and Arkansas from the SEC West and also play 

Tennessee, Georgia and Florida St all away from home. 



9/3 Sat UMass 


9/17 Sat North Texas 


10/1 Sat at Vanderbilt 

10/8 Sat LSU 


10/29 Sat (N) Georgia 



11/19 Sat Presbyterian 


open 

Florida is 9-2 to the UNDER as a 

dog the last 3 years 


2012 2013 2014 2015 

SU 11-2 4-8 7-5 10-4 

Home 7-0 3-3 3-3 6-1 

Away 4-0 1-4 2-2 3-1 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

ATS 7-6 3-8 7-5 8-5 

HF 2-4 1-4 2-3 1-3 

HD 1-0 0-1 0-1 1-1 

AF 2-0 1-2 1-0 3-0 

AD 2-0 1-1 2-1 0-0 

vs Conf 6-2 3-4 3-5 7-1 

Non Conf 1-4 0-4 4-0 1-4 

Off SU Loss 0-1 1-5 4-1 2-1 

Loss by 10+ pts 0-0 1-1 2-0 1-1 

Off SU Win 7-4 2-2 2-4 5-4 

Win by 10+ pts 7-4 2-2 2-4 5-4 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

Over/Under 5-7 4-8 7-5 6-8 

as HF 1-4 3-2 4-1 2-2 

as HD 0-1 0-1 1-0 0-2 

as AF 1-1 1-2 0-1 0-3 

as AD 2-0 0-2 1-2 1-0 

vs Conf 3-5 3-5 5-3 3-6 

vs Non Conf 2-2 1-3 2-2 3-2 

Off SU Loss 0-1 4-3 3-2 2-1 

Loss by 10+ pts 0-0 1-2 1-1 2-0 

Off SU Win 5-5 0-4 3-3 3-7 

Win by 10+ pts 5-5 0-4 3-3 3-7


2015 : 10-3, 5-3 (T #2-#3 SEC-East) 






Georgia 

The Bulldogs in ’16 

HC here: Kirby Smart – 1 st 




10.5% 29.7% 27.3% 32.5% 


The Bulldogs are 6-0 ATS on Season Win's (odds) Record result 

the road off an upset win 

2016 8.5 (-110) 

2015 9 (-135) 9-3 push 

2014 9.5 (+100) 9-3 und 

2013 9.5 (-195) 8-4 und 

2012 9.5 (n/a) 11-1 OV 


2015 All 9.4 (26.3-16.9) 71.3 (377-306) 63-64 6.0-4.8 4 

’15 conf only 3.0 (22.9-19.9) 38.4 (362-324) 66-66 5.5-4.9 1 

2014 All 20.6 (41.3-20.7) 120.5 (458-337) 67-70 6.8-4.8 16 

’14 conf only 14.4 (38.8-24.4) 82.2 (436-353) 68-69 6.4-5.2 14 

2013 All 7.7 (36.7-29.0) 108.6 (484-376) 73-69 6.7-5.4 -7 

’13 conf only 4.8 (36.5-31.8) 71.5 (461-389) 72-69 6.4-5.7 -4 

2012 All 18.1 (37.8-19.6) 109.9 (468-358) 66-69 7.1-5.2 11 

’12 conf only 13.2 (32.9-19.7) 83.3 (434-351) 68-66 6.4-5.3 9 



94% 86% 58% 57% 27% 45% 90% 

Despite reaching double-digit wins in 9 of his 15 seasons in Athens 

(including 4 of the last 5), Mark Richt was let go at the end of last 

season while former Alabama DC Kirby Smart takes over. 

The Bulldogs averaged almost 39 ppg from 2012-2014 but last year fell 

back to 26.3 ppg. This year they only have to replace 3 starters. They 

could start a true freshman at QB in Jacob Eason but if healthy (big if), 

Nick Chubb and Sony Michel could be the best 1-2 punch at RB in the 

country. They will have to find a new go-to WR as Malcolm Mitchell 

was a 4 th round draft choice while also having to replace a pair of OL 

including a 5 th round pick. 

On defense, the good news is that the Bulldogs secondary returns 

intact but the bad news is that 5 of the front 7 depart. The 16.9 ppg 

the D allowed LY was their best since 2005 and last season they 

actually returned only 5 starters. 

The schedule includes a neutral site opener vs North Carolina (in 

Atlanta) and they play 3 of their first 4 conference games on the road. 

They do get the all-important game vs Tennessee at home. 



9/3 Sat (N) North Carolina 

9/10 Sat Nicholls 



10/1 Sat Tennessee 

10/8 Sat at South Carolina 


10/29 Sat (N) Florida 

11/5 Sat at Kentucky 


11/19 Sat ULL 


open 

Georgia is 8-16 ATS off a 

straight-up win (since/ 9/21/13) 


2012 2013 2014 2015 

SU 12-2 8-5 10-3 10-3 

Home 7-0 5-1 6-1 6-1 

Away 3-1 2-3 2-1 3-1 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

ATS 8-6 3-9 8-5 5-7 

HF 3-4 2-4 4-3 2-4 

HD 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 

AF 2-1 1-3 2-1 1-2 

AD 0-1 0-1 0-0 0-0 

vs Conf 6-3 2-5 4-4 3-5 

Non Conf 2-3 1-4 4-1 2-2 

Off SU Loss 1-1 2-1 3-0 1-2 

Loss by 10+ pts 0-1 0-1 1-0 1-1 

Off SU Win 7-4 1-7 4-5 4-5 

Win by 10+ pts 7-4 1-7 4-5 4-5 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

Over/Under 6-6 9-4 9-4 2-10 

as HF 3-2 5-1 5-2 1-5 

as HD 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 

as AF 1-2 3-1 2-1 1-2 

as AD 0-1 1-0 0-0 0-0 

vs Conf 3-5 6-2 6-2 2-6 

vs Non Conf 3-1 3-2 3-2 0-4 

Off SU Loss 1-1 2-2 2-1 1-2 

Loss by 10+ pts 0-1 0-1 1-0 1-1 

Off SU Win 4-5 6-2 6-3 1-8 

Win by 10+ pts 4-5 6-2 6-3 1-8


2015 : 5-7, 2-6 (T #4-#5 SEC-East) 






Kentucky 


HC here: Mark Stoops – 4 th 




13.5% 36.9% 17.7% 31.9% 

Wildcats are 2-13 ATS after 

a loss as a HF (s’/ 9/27/80) 



2016 5 (-110) 

2015 6 (-145) 5-7 und 

2014 3.5 (-175) 5-7 OV 

2013 3.5 (-160) 2-10 und 

2012 4.5 (n/a) 2-10 und 


2015 All -2.8 (24.7-27.4) -22.2 (372-394) 68-71 5.5-5.6 -2 

’15 conf only -10.1 (17.5-27.6) -44.6 (351-396) 68-68 5.2-5.8 -6 

2014 All -2.1 (29.2-31.2) -22.4 (385-407) 71-74 5.4-5.5 8 

’14 conf only -14.6 (22.9-37.5) -81.2 (360-441) 72-74 5.0-5.9 -2 

2013 All -10.7 (20.5-31.2) -86.0 (341-427) 65-68 5.3-6.3 0 

’13 conf only -21.6 (14.8-36.4) -190.8 (275-466) 62-69 4.4-6.8 0 

2012 All -13.1 (17.9-31.0) -76.0 (315-391) 66-71 4.8-5.5 -4 

’12 conf only -25.2 (11.1-36.4) -169.0 (255-424) 62-71 4.2-6.0 0 



14% 97% 100% 77% 46% 5% 72% 

The Wildcats have been one play away from a bowl in each of the last 

two years. They started 5-1 in 2014 but finished 5-7 and then last year 

started 4-1 but again finished 5-7. 

The Wildcats offensive production dropped last season and while they 

had a returning QB he finished the year with a 9-14 ratio and 

transferred. Sophomore Drew Baker will get his chance and by getting 

two starts last year, it puts him ahead on the curve. He is surrounded 

by an experienced RB and WR corps that returns completely intact. 

The only other loss was at LT (87 career starts return). 

Kentucky uses a NB often so the percentages above are from a 4-2-5 

defense from which the Wildcats have to replace 2 DL, both LB’s and 

a pair of DB’s. Overall, they lose 6 of their top 7 tacklers but all the 

replacements saw plenty of action. The new NT made 4 starts, the two 

DB’s made a combined 9 starts and the LB’s are Power 5 transfers. 

The Wildcats should get out to a strong start once again as they could 

be favored in 4 of their first 6 games and also play FCS Austin Peay 

late. They’ll have to pull an upset to get to that coveted bowl game. 



9/3 Sat Southern Miss 

9/10 Sat at Florida 

9/17 Sat New Mexico St 






11/5 Sat Georgia 


11/19 Sat Austin Peay 


open 

Kentucky is 2-13 ATS as a HD 

the last four seasons 


2012 2013 2014 2015 

SU 2-10 2-10 5-7 5-7 

Home 2-5 2-5 5-2 4-4 

Away 0-5 0-4 0-5 1-3 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

ATS 3-9 4-8 6-5 3-9 

HF 2-1 2-0 3-1 2-2 

HD 1-3 0-5 1-1 0-4 

AF 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 

AD 0-5 2-2 2-3 1-3 

vs Conf 1-7 2-6 2-5 2-6 

Non Conf 2-2 2-2 4-0 1-3 

Off SU Loss 3-6 4-5 1-4 2-4 

Loss by 10+ pts 3-4 2-4 1-3 0-3 

Off SU Win 0-2 0-2 4-1 1-4 

Win by 10+ pts 0-2 0-2 4-1 1-4 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

Over/Under 5-6 5-7 8-4 6-5 

as HF 2-0 0-2 2-2 3-1 

as HD 1-3 2-3 3-0 3-1 

as AF 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 

as AD 2-3 2-2 3-2 0-3 

vs Conf 2-6 4-4 5-3 2-5 

vs Non Conf 3-0 1-3 3-1 4-0 

Off SU Loss 3-5 3-6 4-2 2-3 

Loss by 10+ pts 3-3 2-4 4-1 1-2 

Off SU Win 1-1 1-1 3-2 3-2 

Win by 10+ pts 1-1 1-1 3-2 3-2


2015 : 9-3, 5-3 (T #3-#4 SEC-West) 






LSU 


HC here: Les Miles – 12 th 




19.3% 26.1% 41.7% 12.9% 


Tigers are 0-7 ATS away after a Season Win's (odds) Record result 

game at home (s’/ 10/19/13) 2016 10 (+100) 

2015 8 (-145) 8-3 * 

2014 8.5 (-215) 8-4 und 

2013 9.5 (+120) 9-3 und 

2012 10.5 (n/a) 10-2 und 


2015 All 8.6 (32.8-24.2) 90.1 (437-347) 65-67 6.7-5.2 7 

’15 conf only 1.8 (26.5-24.8) 51.6 (402-350) 67-64 6.0-5.5 2 

2014 All 10.1 (27.6-17.5) 70.6 (387-317) 69-65 5.6-4.9 3 

’14 conf only -1.6 (19.1-20.8) -7.8 (340-347) 69-65 4.9-5.3 1 

2013 All 13.8 (35.8-22.0) 112.6 (453-341) 65-67 6.9-5.1 0 

’13 conf only 7.4 (32.2-24.9) 32.5 (432-399) 66-70 6.6-5.7 0 

2012 All 12.2 (29.8-17.5) 66.6 (374-308) 68-69 5.5-4.5 16 

’12 conf only 3.8 (22.5-18.8) 23.1 (354-331) 71-68 5.0-4.9 12 



100% 100% 89% 62% 100% 50% 89% 

Last year, the Tigers started off 7-0, but 3 straight double-digit losses 

put head coach Les Miles firmly on the hot seat. However, Miles saved 

his job with a pair of wins, signed another top recruiting class and the 

Tigers are a preseason favorite in the SEC thanks to 17 returning 

starters (tied for most in SEC). 

QB Brandon Harris who now has 13 career starts should be improved 

and it helps that one of the nation’s top RB’s, Leonard Fournette 

(1,953 yds, 6.5 ypc, 22 TD’s) lines up behind him. The Tigers also return 

their top 4 receivers. Two new starters are needed on the OL but both 

replacements did make a lone start last season. 

New DC Dave Aranda inherits an experienced unit as the 

D only has 2 starters to replace (both were drafted). The Tigers 

however rotate players often and not only do the two replacements 

have staring experience, they are both seniors. 

While tough, the schedule is manageable as they open up with 

Wisconsin at Lambeau Field. They get all-important games vs Ole Miss 

and Alabama at home and currently are favored in every game. 



9/3 Sat (N) Wisconsin 

9/10 Sat Jacksonville St 









11/19 Sat South Alabama 

11/24 Thu at Texas A&M 

open 

LSU is 7-0 ATS as an AF after a 

loss as a HF (since/ Sep 7, 2002) 


2012 2013 2014 2015 

SU 10-3 10-3 8-5 9-3 

Home 7-1 7-0 5-2 6-1 

Away 3-1 1-3 2-2 2-2 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

ATS 5-8 6-7 6-5 5-6 

HF 3-4 3-4 3-1 4-2 

HD 1-0 0-0 1-1 0-0 

AF 1-3 1-1 2-0 0-2 

AD 0-0 1-1 0-2 0-2 

vs Conf 3-5 4-4 4-4 3-4 

Non Conf 2-3 2-3 2-1 2-2 

Off SU Loss 1-1 2-1 3-1 1-2 

Loss by 10+ pts 0-0 1-0 2-0 1-2 

Off SU Win 4-6 3-6 3-4 4-3 

Win by 10+ pts 4-6 3-6 3-4 4-3 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

Over/Under 5-7 9-4 5-8 7-5 

as HF 5-1 5-2 2-3 5-2 

as HD 0-1 0-0 0-2 0-0 

as AF 0-4 1-1 1-1 1-1 

as AD 0-0 2-0 0-2 0-2 

vs Conf 3-5 5-3 2-6 3-5 

vs Non Conf 2-2 4-1 3-2 4-0 

Off SU Loss 2-0 2-1 2-2 0-3 

Loss by 10+ pts 0-0 0-1 1-1 0-3 

Off SU Win 2-7 6-3 2-6 7-1 

Win by 10+ pts 2-7 6-3 2-6 7-1


2015 : 10-3, 6-2 (#2 SEC-West) 






Mississippi 

The Rebels in ’16 

HC here: Hugh Freeze – 5 th 




7.3% 15.0% 37.1% 40.6% 


The Rebels are 15-5 ATS 


versus non-conf foes the L4Y 2016 8.5 (+100) 

2015 8.5 (-110) 9-3 OV 

2014 7.5 (-170) 9-3 OV 

2013 8.5 (+160) 7-5 und 

2012 5 (n/a) 6-6 OV 


2015 All 18.2 (40.8-22.6) 131.9 (518-386) 73-79 7.1-4.9 0 

’15 conf only 6.0 (32.2-26.2) 56.2 (470-414) 75-80 6.2-5.2 1 

2014 All 12.3 (28.3-16.0) 90.1 (419-329) 70-70 6.0-4.7 7 

’14 conf only 8.4 (25.2-16.9) 46.0 (405-359) 69-71 5.9-5.1 4 

2013 All 6.3 (30.0-23.7) 102.8 (473-370) 78-71 6.0-5.3 1 

’13 conf only -5.0 (22.5-27.5) -1.0 (422-423) 77-73 5.5-5.8 0 

2012 All 3.8 (31.5-27.6) 47.9 (424-376) 74-70 5.7-5.4 -1 

’12 conf only -1.9 (28.0-29.9) 5.3 (396-391) 74-70 5.4-5.6 2 



93% 66% 53% 37% 68% 54% 58% 

Hugh Freeze has done a great job in Oxford improving the Rebels 

record in each of his four seasons and last year led Ole Miss to their 

first Sugar Bowl win since 1969. 

The great news for Ole Miss in 2016 is that they return an All-SEC QB 

in Chad Kelly who threw for 4,000 yards with a 31-13 ratio and had 10 

rushing TD’s. They also return one WR starter, their TE plus a handful 

of part-time OL starters. The bad news is they lose their leading rusher, 

top 2 WR’s who were both drafted their 5 main OL starters two of 

which were drafted. 

Of the 6 starters Ole Miss lost on defense, one was a 1 st rounder and 

the other 5 were all NFL free agents. The strength is at CB were they 

return intact plus they have a 17 game starter at NT who took a 

medical red-shirt LY. The Rebels also return a “part-time” starting LB 

who actually led the team in tackles plus add an Oregon St LB with 

double digit starts over his last 2 seasons. 

We’ll know just how good the Rebels are right away as they play 

Florida St, Alabama and Georgia all in the first month of the season. 



9/5 Mon (N) Florida St 

9/10 Sat Wofford 



10/1 Sat Memphis 








open 

Ole Miss is 7-1 to the UNDER 

after a loss by 10+ pts the L4Y 


2012 2013 2014 2015 

SU 7-6 8-5 9-4 10-3 

Home 4-3 5-2 6-1 6-1 

Away 1-3 2-3 1-2 3-2 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

ATS 10-3 7-6 8-5 9-4 

HF 4-1 2-2 3-2 5-2 

HD 1-1 2-1 2-0 0-0 

AF 1-0 1-2 0-2 2-2 

AD 2-1 1-1 1-0 1-0 

vs Conf 6-2 3-5 5-3 5-3 

Non Conf 4-1 4-1 3-2 4-1 

Off SU Loss 5-1 3-2 1-2 3-0 

Loss by 10+ pts 2-1 0-2 1-0 2-0 

Off SU Win 4-2 3-4 6-3 5-4 

Win by 10+ pts 4-2 3-4 6-3 5-4 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

Over/Under 6-6 6-7 2-10 4-8 

as HF 3-1 3-1 2-2 3-4 

as HD 1-1 1-2 0-2 0-0 

as AF 0-1 1-2 0-2 0-3 

as AD 1-2 1-1 0-1 1-0 

vs Conf 4-4 3-5 1-7 2-5 

vs Non Conf 2-2 3-2 1-3 2-3 

Off SU Loss 4-2 1-4 1-1 0-3 

Loss by 10+ pts 1-2 0-2 0-1 0-2 

Off SU Win 2-4 4-3 1-8 3-5 

Win by 10+ pts 2-4 4-3 1-8 3-5


2015 : 9-4, 4-4 (T #5-#6 SEC) 






Mississippi St 


HC here: Dan Mullen – 8 th 




5.2% 0.0% 65.0% 29.7% 


The Bulldogs are 6-1 to the 


UNDER as a HD the L4Y 

2016 6.5 (-120) 

2015 7 (-115) 8-4 OV 

2014 7.5 (-115) 10-2 OV 

2013 5.5 (+140) 6-6 OV 

2012 7.5 (n/a) 8-4 OV 


2015 All 11.2 (34.4-23.2) 69.3 (460-391) 71-73 6.5-5.3 -4 

’15 conf only 0.2 (26.2-26.0) 28.5 (444-416) 76-72 5.8-5.8 -6 

2014 All 15.2 (36.9-21.7) 89.4 (514-424) 77-75 6.7-5.7 0 

’14 conf only 11.2 (33.8-22.5) 72.2 (497-425) 78-74 6.4-5.8 -1 

2013 All 4.7 (27.7-23.0) 85.1 (434-349) 74-64 5.9-5.5 7 

’13 conf only -7.2 (22.4-29.6) 2.6 (407-404) 73-68 5.6-6.0 5 

2012 All 6.2 (29.5-23.3) -6.1 (381-387) 65-71 5.9-5.5 16 

’12 conf only -2.6 (25.2-27.9) -21.4 (377-399) 67-69 5.7-5.8 6 



8% 69% 58% 63% 67% 63% 77% 

Prior to the Dan Mullen era, the Bulldogs went through 7 losing 

seasons in 8 years. However, after going 5-7 his first season, Mullen 

has now led the Bulldogs to 6 consecutive winning years. 

This year, the offense must find a replacement for the all-everything 

Dak Prescott who threw for 3,793 yards, was the Bulldogs leading 

rusher and was responsible for 39 total TD’s while throwing just 5 

INT’s. A four QB battle ended spring in a tie. The RB unit returns intact 

and while they lose their No. 2 receiver (918 yds) and starting TE, they 

return the rest of the top 7 included Fred Ross (1,007 yards). The 2 

new OL starters will be a back-up and a JUCO who red-shirted here LY. 

It’s not often a defense has to replace 5 starters yet returns 6 of their 

top 7 tacklers but that is the case for the Bulldogs in 2016. They do 

lose their top DL in Chris Jones, and a draft choice at CB. 

The schedule is about as favorable as it gets for an SEC team as they 

pull Kentucky and South Carolina from the SEC East, all 4 nonconference 

games are winnable and they host Auburn, Texas A&M 

and Arkansas. The Bulldogs could be favored in as many as 8 games. 








10/14 Fri at BYU 


10/29 Sat Samford 





open 

Miss St is 4-16-2 as a dog after a 

game as a HD (s’/ 11/28/02) 


2012 2013 2014 2015 

SU 8-5 7-6 10-3 9-4 

Home 6-1 5-2 7-0 4-3 

Away 2-3 0-3 3-2 4-1 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

ATS 6-7 8-5 7-5 8-5 

HF 5-1 2-2 3-3 3-1 

HD 0-1 2-1 1-0 1-2 

AF 1-1 0-0 1-1 1-1 

AD 0-3 2-1 2-0 2-1 

vs Conf 4-4 5-3 5-2 5-3 

Non Conf 2-3 3-2 2-3 3-2 

Off SU Loss 1-3 5-1 1-1 3-1 

Loss by 10+ pts 1-3 4-1 0-1 2-1 

Off SU Win 4-4 3-3 5-4 5-3 

Win by 10+ pts 4-4 3-3 5-4 5-3 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

Over/Under 4-7 4-8 6-7 6-5 

as HF 2-3 2-2 3-3 3-0 

as HD 0-1 1-2 0-1 0-2 

as AF 0-2 0-0 1-2 1-1 

as AD 2-1 1-2 1-1 1-2 

vs Conf 4-4 2-6 3-5 2-4 

vs Non Conf 0-3 2-2 3-2 4-1 

Off SU Loss 2-1 3-3 1-1 4-0 

Loss by 10+ pts 2-1 2-3 1-0 3-0 

Off SU Win 2-6 1-4 5-5 2-4 

Win by 10+ pts 2-6 1-4 5-5 2-4


2015 : 5-7, 1-7 (T #6-#7 SEC-East) 


NCAA Rank Off - Def: #126- #6 




Missouri 


HC here: Barry Odom – 1 st 




9.5% 22.3% 27.7% 40.5% 


The Tigers are 3-14 ATS O/U Season Win's (odds) Record result 

as a HF the last 4 seasons 2016 5.5 (-110) 

2015 7.5 (-130) 5-7 und 

2014 7.5 (-130) 10-2 OV 

2013 5.5 (-180) 11-1 OV 

2012 7 (n/a) 5-7 und 


2015 All -2.6 (13.6-16.2) -21.1 (280-301) 64-70 4.4-4.3 -1 

’15 conf only -9.5 ( 9.1-18.6) -90.2 (245-335) 61-73 4.0-4.6 -1 

2014 All 6.7 (27.8-21.1) 20.4 (367-347) 68-72 5.4-4.8 9 

’14 conf only 1.0 (22.7-21.7) 8.0 (332-324) 68-71 4.9-4.5 3 

2013 All 16.1 (39.1-23.1) 73.0 (491-418) 74-77 6.6-5.4 16 

’13 conf only 13.0 (36.1-23.1) 56.2 (468-412) 71-75 6.6-5.5 12 

2012 All -2.7 (25.8-28.4) -34.3 (356-391) 72-71 4.9-5.5 1 

’12 conf only -11.1 (21.9-33.0) -73.6 (335-408) 73-71 4.6-5.8 -6 



67% 41% 71% 18% 100% 52% 64% 

After back-to-back appearances in the SEC Title game, the Tigers took 

a step back last year going 5-7 and long-time head coach Gary Pinkel 

retired. They hired last year’s DC Barry Odom (also a player here) but 

he has some big shoes to fill. 

The Tigers offense went into last season with a returning starting QB 

but Maty Mauk was suspended after 4 games and the unit only 

averaged 9 ppg in conference play. Drew Lock got the last 8 starts as a 

true and should be much improved. While they return their leading 

rusher, it looks as though Oklahoma transfer Alex Ross will be their goto 

guy. The receiving unit welcomes back 8 of their top 10. The OL, 

however, has to replace 4 starters (lose 146 career starts). 

The defense does lose their #1 tackler but the Tigers had the #16 

adjusted defense last year and return 16 of their top 20 tacklers so 

expectations will again be high. 

The non-conference schedule will have them favored in 3 of their 4 

games and they host Kentucky and Vanderbilt meaning they are an 

upset away from being right back in a bowl. 




9/10 Sat Eastern Mich 


9/24 Sat Delaware St 



10/22 Sat Middle Tenn 






open 

Missouri is 12-2 ATS as an AF 

after a win (since/ Sep 8, 07) 


2012 2013 2014 2015 

SU 5-7 12-2 11-3 5-7 

Home 3-4 6-1 5-2 3-3 

Away 2-3 5-0 5-0 1-4 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

ATS 5-7 10-3 9-5 3-9 

HF 2-3 3-2 2-3 1-2 

HD 0-2 1-0 1-1 0-3 

AF 0-0 4-0 1-0 0-2 

AD 3-2 1-0 4-0 1-2 

vs Conf 3-5 7-2 6-3 2-6 

Non Conf 2-2 3-1 3-2 1-3 

Off SU Loss 3-3 2-0 3-0 3-3 

Loss by 10+ pts 2-1 1-0 2-0 2-1 

Off SU Win 1-4 7-3 6-4 0-5 

Win by 10+ pts 1-4 7-3 6-4 0-5 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

Over/Under 5-6 8-6 7-7 1-10 

as HF 1-3 1-5 1-4 0-2 

as HD 2-0 1-0 0-2 1-2 

as AF 0-0 3-1 1-0 0-2 

as AD 2-3 1-0 3-1 0-3 

vs Conf 4-4 5-4 4-5 1-7 

vs Non Conf 1-2 3-2 3-2 0-3 

Off SU Loss 3-3 1-1 2-1 1-5 

Loss by 10+ pts 0-3 1-0 2-0 0-3 

Off SU Win 2-3 6-5 4-6 0-5 

Win by 10+ pts 2-3 6-5 4-6 0-5


2015 : 3-9, 1-7 (T #6-#7 SEC-East) 






South Carolina 

The Gamecocks in ’16 

HC here: Will Muschamp – 1 st 




9.1% 15.9% 36.0% 39.0% 


Gamecocks are 2-12 ATS after Season Win's (odds) Record result 

a win as a HD (s’/ 11/17/84) 2016 5 (-110) 

2015 7 (-120) 3-9 und 

2014 9.5 (-105) 6-6 und 

2013 9.5 (-195) 10-2 OV 

2012 9 (n/a) 10-2 OV 


2015 All -5.6 (21.9-27.5) -67.7 (362-430) 65-71 5.6-6.0 5 

’15 conf only -10.2 (20.1-30.4) -109.3 (339-448) 62-74 5.5-6.1 -1 

2014 All 2.2 (32.6-30.4) 9.9 (443-433) 73-70 6.1-6.2 -2 

’14 conf only -2.8 (34.0-36.8) -5.0 (454-459) 76-71 6.0-6.5 -6 

2013 All 13.8 (34.1-20.3) 102.3 (452-350) 71-64 6.4-5.5 13 

’13 conf only 9.4 (31.6-22.2) 101.8 (449-347) 71-63 6.3-5.5 1 

2012 All 13.3 (31.5-18.2) 61.0 (377-316) 66-68 5.7-4.7 4 

’12 conf only 7.5 (28.6-21.1) 35.5 (338-302) 65-66 5.2-4.6 -2 



93% 45% 27% 42% 49% 26% 46% 

The Gamecocks managed 3 consecutive 11-2 season but after a 

disappointing 2014 (just 7-6) and then a 2-4 start in 2015, long-time 

HC Steve Spurrier retired and the Gamecocks finished just 3-9. This 

year they made a surprising hire bringing in Will Muschamp who was 

fired from Florida after the 2014 season. 

The Gamecocks offense could struggle as they averaged 10.7 points 

per game less in 2015 than the previous season and have only 4 

starters back this year. They could go to a true freshman at QB that 

was in for spring and must also replace their #1 and #3 RB’s plus two 

receivers that were drafted as well as 3 OL starters. 

Into spring, the Gamecocks had 6 returning starters on defense but 

their star LB Skai Moore who led in tackles each of the last 3 years was 

injured and will miss this season. Now there are a pair of starters 

missing from all 3 defensive units which ranked just #87 in adjusted D. 

The schedule is not kind as 3 of their first 4 games are on the road ALL 

versus SEC competition! They also have to play at Florida and at 

Clemson and it could be another losing season. 



9/1 Thu at Vanderbilt 






10/22 Sat UMass 




11/19 Sat W Carolina 


open 

South Carolina is 9-0-1 ATS after 

a win as an AD (s’/ 11/5/05) 


2012 2013 2014 2015 

SU 11-2 11-2 7-6 3-9 

Home 7-0 7-0 4-3 2-4 

Away 3-2 3-2 2-3 0-5 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

ATS 8-4 7-6 5-8 6-6 

HF 5-2 4-3 1-5 2-2 

HD 0-0 0-0 1-0 1-1 

AF 1-1 1-2 0-2 0-0 

AD 2-1 1-1 2-1 2-3 

vs Conf 5-3 3-5 3-5 3-5 

Non Conf 3-1 4-1 2-3 3-1 

Off SU Loss 0-2 1-1 2-4 4-4 

Loss by 10+ pts 0-1 0-1 1-1 2-2 

Off SU Win 8-1 5-5 3-3 1-2 

Win by 10+ pts 8-1 5-5 3-3 1-2 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

Over/Under 8-4 7-6 6-7 4-7 

as HF 4-2 4-3 2-4 0-3 

as HD 0-0 0-0 1-0 1-1 

as AF 1-1 1-2 2-0 0-0 

as AD 2-1 1-1 1-2 3-2 

vs Conf 5-3 4-4 6-2 3-5 

vs Non Conf 3-1 3-2 0-5 1-2 

Off SU Loss 2-0 1-1 2-4 3-4 

Loss by 10+ pts 1-0 1-0 0-2 1-2 

Off SU Win 6-3 6-4 3-3 1-2 

Win by 10+ pts 6-3 6-4 3-3 1-2


2015 : 9-4, 5-3 (T #2-#3 SEC-East) 






Tennessee 

The Volunteers in ’16 

HC here: Butch Jones – 4 th 




9.1% 40.9% 28.3% 21.7% 


The Volunteers are 1-10 ATS vs Season Win's (odds) Record result 

non-conf foes off a DD win 2016 9.5 (+105) 

2015 7.5 (-140) 8-4 OV 

2014 5.5 (-135) 6-6 OV 

2013 5.5 (-210) 5-7 und 

2012 6.5 (n/a) 5-7 und 


2015 All 15.2 (35.2-20.0) 60.3 (422-362) 76-70 5.6-5.2 7 

’15 conf only 8.4 (31.2-22.9) 36.7 (420-383) 74-69 5.7-5.6 -1 

2014 All 4.7 (28.9-24.2) 5.9 (371-365) 75-69 4.9-5.3 2 

’14 conf only -1.6 (25.5-27.1) -23.0 (363-386) 74-71 4.9-5.4 -3 

2013 All -5.2 (23.8-29.0) -65.1 (353-418) 67-69 5.3-6.1 1 

’13 conf only -12.6 (18.0-30.6) -90.6 (327-417) 66-69 5.0-6.1 -5 

2012 All 0.5 (36.2-35.7) 4.6 (476-471) 74-77 6.4-6.1 -5 

’12 conf only -9.2 (30.8-40.0) -80.3 (410-490) 72-73 5.7-6.7 -8 



100% 100% 72% 75% 86% 92% 64% 

The rebuilding under Butch Jones has taken longer than most 

Tennessee fans had hoped for but after last year’s dominating bowl 

win, it was the first time the Volunteers have reached the 9-win 

plateau since 2007! This year’s team looks even stronger. 

Last season the offense returned 9 starters and improved their scoring 

by just under a TD averaging 35.2 ppg. This year they return 9 starters 

again starting with QB Joshua Dobbs. They have a solid 1-2 punch at 

RB in Jalen Hurd and Alvin Kamara (combined for 1,986 rush yards last 

year). One of the departures was UT’s “leading” receiver but he had 

only 4 yards more than the #2 receiver and the OL has 71 career starts. 

The defense is also in solid shape as they improved for a 3rd straight 

season in both yards per game and points per game allowed in 2015. 

This year 3 starters depart but they return 18 of their top 21 tacklers 

making them a deep and experienced unit. 

The schedule sees them taking on a Virginia Tech at Bristol Motor 

Speedway in Week 2. Then the Vols look to break their 11-game losing 

streak vs Florida in Week 4. They figure to be favorites in 10-11 games. 



9/1 Thu Appalachian St 

9/10 Sat (N) Virginia Tech 

9/17 Sat Ohio 






11/5 Sat Tenn Tech 




open 

Tennessee is 5-1 to the OVER as 

a HD the last 4 years 


2012 2013 2014 2015 

SU 5-7 5-7 7-6 9-4 

Home 4-3 4-3 4-3 5-2 

Away 0-4 1-4 2-3 2-2 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

ATS 4-8 5-7 7-6 8-5 

HF 1-5 1-3 3-3 2-3 

HD 0-1 2-1 1-0 1-0 

AF 0-0 1-0 0-1 2-0 

AD 2-2 1-3 2-2 1-0 

vs Conf 3-5 4-4 4-4 5-3 

Non Conf 1-3 1-3 3-2 3-2 

Off SU Loss 2-5 3-4 4-2 3-1 

Loss by 10+ pts 2-2 1-4 3-0 0-0 

Off SU Win 1-3 2-2 2-4 4-4 

Win by 10+ pts 1-3 2-2 2-4 4-4 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

Over/Under 9-2 6-5 6-6 7-6 

as HF 4-1 1-2 2-3 2-3 

as HD 1-0 2-1 1-0 1-0 

as AF 0-0 0-1 0-1 1-1 

as AD 3-1 3-1 2-2 0-1 

vs Conf 6-2 4-4 5-3 4-4 

vs Non Conf 3-0 2-1 1-3 3-2 

Off SU Loss 5-2 2-4 3-2 3-1 

Loss by 10+ pts 3-1 2-2 3-0 0-0 

Off SU Win 3-0 4-0 3-3 3-5 

Win by 10+ pts 3-0 4-0 3-3 3-5


2015 : 8-5, 4-4 (T #5-#6 SEC-West) 






Texas A&M 

The Aggies in ’16 

HC here: Kevin Sumlin – 5 th 




10.1% 23.8% 33.9% 32.2% 


The Aggies are 0-7 ATS home Season Win's (odds) Record result 

after being a HF (s’/ 11/9/13) 2016 6 (-120) 

2015 7.5 (-155) 8-4 OV 

2014 7.5 (+140) 7-5 und 

2013 9.5 (-180) 8-4 und 

2012 6.5 (n/a) 10-2 OV 


2015 All 5.8 (27.8-22.0) 44.7 (425-380) 76-70 5.6-5.4 -6 

’15 conf only -1.8 (20.1-21.9) -7.8 (379-387) 71-70 5.3-5.5 0 

2014 All 7.2 (35.2-28.1) 4.6 (455-451) 72-76 6.3-5.9 -7 

’14 conf only -8.8 (27.9-36.6) -87.3 (422-510) 72-74 5.8-6.9 -3 

2013 All 12.0 (44.2-32.2) 62.6 (538-476) 73-75 7.3-6.4 1 

’13 conf only 1.9 (38.4-36.5) 15.0 (514-499) 74-75 7.0-6.7 -8 

2012 All 22.7 (44.5-21.8) 168.3 (559-390) 79-75 7.1-5.2 -5 

’12 conf only 18.1 (39.1-21.0) 153.3 (546-393) 82-71 6.6-5.5 -2 



12% 19% 93% 32% 83% 77% 77% 

Much like Gus Malzahn at Auburn, Kevin Sumlin after an ultrasuccessful 

first season finds himself on the hot seat entering 2016 as 

multiple transfers at QB have raised some red flags. 

Speaking of transfers, A&M hopes that Trevor Knight (15 starts at 

Oklahoma) is their answer while they will look to another Sooner 

transfer, Keith Ford, to be their main RB. The receiving corps is another 

story as it’s the strength of the offense with the top 7 all returning. 

The OL returns only one-full time starter and has just 21 career starts. 

The defense made major strides last year under DC John Chavis 

(allowed 6.1 ppg and 71 ypg less) and this year returns 7 starters. They 

have possibly the best pair of DE’s in the country in Myles Garrett and 

Daeshon Hall who combined for 34 TFL’s last year. They do lose a pair 

of DT’s but replace them with two sophomores that weigh a combined 

650 pounds! The open secondary spot will be filled by a UCLA transfer 

who sat out here LY. 

The schedule sees the Aggies with a treacherous home slate as 4 of 

their opponents could be ranked in the Top 20 which means most of 

their easier conference games come on the road. 



9/3 Sat UCLA 

9/10 Sat PV A&M 


9/24 Sat (N) Arkansas 







11/19 Sat UTSA 

11/24 Thu LSU 

open 

A&M is 12-2 ATS on the road after 

a win on the road (s’/10/19/91) 


2012 2013 2014 2015 

SU 11-2 9-4 8-5 8-5 

Home 4-2 6-2 3-3 5-2 

Away 5-0 2-2 3-2 1-2 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

ATS 8-5 4-9 5-8 4-8 

HF 3-1 3-4 1-4 2-4 

HD 0-2 1-0 0-1 0-1 

AF 3-1 0-2 1-0 1-0 

AD 1-0 0-2 2-2 0-2 

vs Conf 5-3 2-6 2-6 2-5 

Non Conf 3-2 2-3 3-2 2-3 

Off SU Loss 2-0 2-2 1-4 0-4 

Loss by 10+ pts 0-0 0-1 0-3 0-4 

Off SU Win 6-4 2-6 3-4 3-4 

Win by 10+ pts 6-4 2-6 3-4 3-4 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

Over/Under 4-7 9-4 6-7 4-9 

as HF 2-0 5-2 1-4 3-3 

as HD 0-2 1-0 0-1 1-0 

as AF 1-3 2-0 1-0 0-1 

as AD 0-1 0-2 3-1 0-2 

vs Conf 3-5 6-2 4-4 2-6 

vs Non Conf 1-2 3-2 2-3 2-3 

Off SU Loss 1-1 2-2 1-4 1-3 

Loss by 10+ pts 0-0 0-1 0-3 1-3 

Off SU Win 3-5 6-2 4-3 3-5 

Win by 10+ pts 3-5 6-2 4-3 3-5


2015 : 4-8, 2-6 (T #4-#5 SEC-East) 






Vanderbilt 

The Commodores in ’16 

HC here: Derek Mason – 3 rd 




5.3% 41.3% 29.2% 24.2% 


Commodores are 15-2 ATS away Season Win's (odds) Record result 

after a road loss (s’/ 10/27/01) 2016 5 (-110) 

2015 3 (-135) 4-8 OV 

2014 6.5 (+255) 3-9 und 

2013 7.5 (+100) 8-4 OV 

2012 5.5 (n/a) 8-4 OV 


2015 All -5.8 (15.2-21.0) -24.0 (327-351) 73-68 4.5-5.2 -8 

’15 conf only -9.8 (13.2-23.0) -91.5 (299-391) 73-69 4.1-5.7 0 

2014 All -16.1 (17.2-33.2) -113.8 (288-402) 62-70 4.7-5.7 -16 

’14 conf only -22.6 (12.8-35.4) -168.8 (257-425) 59-72 4.3-5.9 -10 

2013 All 5.5 (30.1-24.6) 11.8 (367-355) 68-70 5.4-5.1 7 

’13 conf only -3.5 (26.6-30.1) -75.5 (326-402) 67-75 4.9-5.4 8 

2012 All 11.3 (30.0-18.7) 45.8 (380-334) 67-70 5.7-4.8 0 

’12 conf only 1.1 (22.1-21.0) 5.3 (364-359) 70-69 5.2-5.2 -5 



26% 90% 84% 48% 81% 62% 79% 

After a disastrous first season under Derek Mason, the Commodores 

made great strides last season despite only improving their record by 

from 3-9 to 4-8 (went from -16.1 ppg to -5.8 ppg). This year’s team 

looks even stronger with 14 returning starters. 

The offense last year struggled mightily averaging only 15.2 ppg. 

Returning QB Kyle Shurmur started 4 of the season’s final 5 games and 

while his TD-to-INT ratio was better than the other starter (5-3 vs 6- 

12), he completed only 42.7% (vs 54.7%). The returning skill players 

are all back led by RB Ralph Webb (1,152 yards last year). The OL does 

lose 2 starters who combined for 81 career starts. 

The defense last year finished with the #10 adjusted D despite having 

an inept offense. This unit looks even better on paper as they return 5 

of the top 6 DL, their top LB and 8 of the top 11 in the secondary. Credit 

must be given to head coach Mason who last year took over the 

defensive play-calling and will handle those duties this year as well. 

The schedule will see them favored in their first two games but they 

could be a dog in 7 or 8 of their next 10 games. 



9/1 Thu South Carolina 



9/24 Sat at WKU 




10/22 Sat Tennessee St 





open 

Vandy is 10-0 ATS as a FAV after 

a win as a fav (since/ 9/29/07) 


2012 2013 2014 2015 

SU 9-4 9-4 3-9 4-8 

Home 4-2 5-2 3-4 3-3 

Away 4-2 3-2 0-4 1-5 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

ATS 9-4 7-6 6-6 7-5 

HF 3-1 2-2 1-3 1-1 

HD 1-1 1-2 2-1 3-1 

AF 2-1 0-1 0-0 0-0 

AD 2-1 3-1 3-1 3-3 

vs Conf 5-3 5-3 5-3 5-3 

Non Conf 4-1 2-3 1-3 2-2 

Off SU Loss 2-2 2-2 4-4 5-2 

Loss by 10+ pts 2-1 2-1 4-4 2-2 

Off SU Win 6-2 5-3 2-1 1-3 

Win by 10+ pts 6-2 5-3 2-1 1-3 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

Over/Under 5-6 8-5 4-8 1-10 

as HF 1-2 2-2 2-2 0-1 

as HD 1-1 2-1 1-2 0-4 

as AF 1-2 0-1 0-0 0-0 

as AD 1-1 3-1 1-3 1-5 

vs Conf 2-5 5-3 2-6 1-7 

vs Non Conf 3-1 3-2 2-2 0-3 

Off SU Loss 0-3 1-3 3-5 1-5 

Loss by 10+ pts 0-2 1-2 3-5 1-2 

Off SU Win 5-2 6-2 1-2 0-4 

Win by 10+ pts 5-2 6-2 1-2 0-4



Temple 10 4 71.4% 29.8 20.1 7 2 77.8% 

USF 8 5 61.5% 33.6 22.9 6 2 75.0% 

Cincinnati 7 6 53.8% 33.8 31.2 4 4 50.0% 

Connecticut 6 7 46.2% 17.2 19.5 4 4 50.0% 

East Carolina 5 7 41.7% 27.4 26.0 3 5 37.5% 

UCF 0 12 0.0% 13.9 37.7 0 8 0.0% 


Houston 13 1 92.9% 40.4 20.7 8 1 88.9% 

Navy 11 2 84.6% 36.8 21.8 7 1 87.5% 

Memphis 9 4 69.2% 40.2 27.3 5 3 62.5% 

Tulsa 6 7 46.2% 37.2 39.8 3 5 37.5% 

Tulane 3 9 25.0% 19.7 36.3 1 7 12.5% 

SMU 2 10 16.7% 27.8 45.7 1 7 12.5% 

BRAD POWER 



34 Houston 80.85 

42 USF 78.44 

57 Cincinnati 73.40 

58 Temple 73.33 

68 Memphis 71.22 

76 Navy 69.54 

81 Connecticut 68.10 

89 Tulsa 65.57 

94 East Carolina 63.87 

97 SMU 61.02 

102 UCF 59.61 

119 Tulane 53.78


2015 : 7-6, 4-4 (T #3-#4 AAC-East) 






Cincinnati 

The Bearcats in ’16 

HC here: Tommy Tuberville – 4 th 




13.2% 9.3% 36.7% 40.9% 


The Bearcats are 2-10 ATS 


vs non-conf foes (s’/ 9/21/13) 2016 6.5 (-130) 

2015 7.5 (-130) 7-5 und 

2014 7.5 (-150) 9-3 OV 

2013 9.5 (+120) 9-3 und 

2012 7.5 (n/a) 9-3 OV 


2015 All 2.7 (33.8-31.2) 129.2 (538-409) 81-71 6.6-5.8 -19 

’15 conf only 3.4 (35.8-32.4) 167.3 (593-426) 84-73 7.1-5.9 -12 

2014 All 6.8 (34.0-27.2) 21.1 (460-439) 73-73 6.3-6.0 2 

’14 conf only 14.5 (34.2-19.8) 72.4 (462-390) 74-72 6.2-5.4 3 

2013 All 11.1 (32.1-21.0) 156.5 (472-316) 76-66 6.2-4.8 -7 

’13 conf only 11.0 (32.6-21.6) 140.6 (484-343) 76-68 6.3-5.0 -6 

2012 All 13.8 (32.3-18.5) 52.2 (440-388) 66-74 6.6-5.3 9 

’12 conf only 11.9 (28.3-16.4) 6.3 (404-398) 65-76 6.2-5.2 4 



100% 67% 16% 57% 78% 79% 80% 

Last year Cincinnati was much better than their 7-6 record indicated 

as they were +167 ypg in conference play (nearly 100 ypg more than 

No. 2 Memphis). However, they were -12 TO’s during AAC play. This 

year’s team, like last year, looks to be a major wild card. 

The offense returns both QB’s (Gunner Kiel and Hayden Moore) but 

both were inconsistent (22 combined interceptions). They had 3 

players rush for more than 700 yards and 2 of them return. However, 

they lose their top 6 receivers who incredibly combined for 3,912 

receiving yards last year. While the OL returns 3 starters, they do lose 

their best OL in Parker Ehinger who was a 4-year starter. 

The defense sees the return of 7 of their top 8 DL (top guy gone) and 

they also return their top 2 tacklers on their LB corps. The secondary 

is just as experienced with 7 of the top 8 back. 

The schedule sees the Bearcats with 7 home games (which includes 

AAC preseason favorites Houston and USF) and they only face one 

team on the road that had a winning record last year (Temple). We 

expect the Bearcats’ to top last year’s 7-win total. 



9/1 Thu UT Martin 


9/15 Thu Houston 


10/1 Sat USF 



10/29 Sat at Temple 

11/5 Sat BYU 


11/18 Fri Memphis 

11/25 Fri at Tulsa 

open 

Cincy is 12-2 ATS away after a 

road game (s’/ Sep 23, 06) 


2012 2013 2014 2015 

SU 10-3 9-4 9-4 7-6 

Home 6-1 5-1 5-1 5-1 

Away 2-2 3-2 4-2 2-4 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

ATS 9-4 6-7 7-5 6-7 

HF 4-3 3-2 2-2 2-3 

HD 0-0 0-1 1-0 1-0 

AF 2-1 2-3 4-0 1-2 

AD 1-0 0-0 0-2 2-1 

vs Conf 6-1 4-4 6-1 5-3 

Non Conf 3-3 2-3 1-4 1-4 

Off SU Loss 3-0 1-2 1-2 3-2 

Loss by 10+ pts 0-0 1-0 1-2 2-0 

Off SU Win 5-4 4-5 5-3 3-4 

Win by 10+ pts 5-4 4-5 5-3 3-4 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

Over/Under 6-5 7-6 5-8 5-7 

as HF 2-3 3-2 2-3 2-2 

as HD 0-0 1-0 1-0 0-1 

as AF 1-2 3-2 0-4 2-1 

as AD 1-0 0-0 2-0 1-2 

vs Conf 3-4 5-3 2-6 4-4 

vs Non Conf 3-1 2-3 3-2 1-3 

Off SU Loss 2-1 2-1 1-2 2-3 

Loss by 10+ pts 0-0 1-0 1-2 0-2 

Off SU Win 4-3 5-4 3-6 3-4 

Win by 10+ pts 4-3 5-4 3-6 3-4


2015 : 6-7, 4-4 (T #3-#4 AAC-East) 






Connecticut 


HC here: Bob Diaco – 3 rd 




3.2% 45.0% 25.9% 25.9% 


The Huskies are 0-9 ATS after Season Win's (odds) Record result 

a home loss (s’/ 9/28/13) 

2016 5 (+100) 

2015 3 (-160) 6-6 OV 

2014 3.5 (-270) 2-10 und 

2013 5.5 (-140) 3-9 und 

2012 6.5 (n/a) 5-7 und 


2015 All -2.3 (17.2-19.5) -44.8 (310-355) 63-68 4.9-5.2 9 

’15 conf only -1.8 (19.0-20.8) -26.7 (330-356) 65-68 5.0-5.3 7 

2014 All -14.3 (15.5-29.8) -102.3 (276-379) 61-73 4.5-5.2 -13 

’14 conf only -14.9 (14.4-29.2) -122.3 (262-384) 57-77 4.6-5.0 -8 

2013 All -9.7 (20.6-30.2) -66.0 (319-385) 69-70 4.6-5.5 -1 

’13 conf only -7.2 (21.9-29.1) -46.2 (342-388) 71-70 4.8-5.6 -1 

2012 All -2.1 (17.8-19.8) 8.0 (318-310) 67-68 4.7-4.6 -14 

’12 conf only -9.0 (13.9-22.9) -44.3 (314-358) 68-70 4.6-5.1 -10 



88% 96% 92% 80% 63% 65% 61% 

The Huskies made solid improvement in year 2 under head coach Bob 

Diaco getting to their first bowl game in 5 years. They were led by one 

of the most improved defenses in the country allowing just 19 ppg (10 

ppg less than 2014) but the offense continued to struggle. 

This year’s team looks even better especially on offense with 10 

returning starters. The mobile Bryant Shirreffs is back at QB (2 nd 

leading rusher) along with the top 2 RB’s, the top 5 receivers and 4 

starters on the OL (76 career starts). 

The defense isn’t as experienced as the offense but they still bring 

back 4 of their top 6 DL and 3 of their top 4 DB’s. They do lose two 

starters at LB but bring in a transfer from Florida State in EJ 

Levenberry. The special teams’ unit sees the return of both specialists 

and both return men. 

While this is Diaco’s best team yet and they have 7 home games, they 

do have to play 3 teams from the ACC (none had a winning record last 

year) and pull Houston from the AAC West. This still could be another 

bowl season in Storrs. 



9/1 Thu Maine 

9/10 Sat at Navy 



9/29 Thu at Houston 



10/22 Sat UCF 


11/4 Fri Temple 


11/26 Sat Tulane 

open 

UConn is 15-3 ATS as a HD off a 

loss on the road (s’/10/27/01) 


2012 2013 2014 2015 

SU 5-7 3-9 2-10 6-7 

Home 3-3 2-5 2-5 4-2 

Away 2-4 1-4 0-4 2-4 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

ATS 6-6 5-7 2-10 5-8 

HF 1-2 0-2 0-2 0-2 

HD 2-1 4-1 1-4 3-1 

AF 1-1 0-1 0-0 1-1 

AD 2-2 1-3 1-3 1-3 

vs Conf 3-4 4-3 2-6 3-5 

Non Conf 3-2 1-4 0-4 2-3 

Off SU Loss 3-3 3-6 2-7 2-4 

Loss by 10+ pts 1-1 3-4 1-6 2-2 

Off SU Win 2-3 2-0 0-2 2-4 

Win by 10+ pts 2-3 2-0 0-2 2-4 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

Over/Under 4-8 7-5 5-6 2-11 

as HF 0-3 1-1 1-1 1-1 

as HD 1-2 2-3 2-2 0-4 

as AF 2-0 1-0 0-0 1-1 

as AD 1-3 3-1 1-3 0-4 

vs Conf 2-5 3-4 3-4 2-6 

vs Non Conf 2-3 4-1 2-2 0-5 

Off SU Loss 2-4 5-4 3-5 1-5 

Loss by 10+ pts 0-2 3-4 3-4 1-3 

Off SU Win 2-3 1-1 2-0 1-5 

Win by 10+ pts 2-3 1-1 2-0 1-5


2015 : 5-7, 3-5 (#5 AAC-East) 






East Carolina 

The Pirates in ’16 

HC here: Scottie Montgomery – 1 st 




1.5% 20.5% 36.7% 41.3% 


The Pirates are 1-10 ATS as an Season Win's (odds) Record result 

AF off a road win (s’/11/8/97) 2016 5.5 (+105) 

2015 7 (-120) 5-7 und 

2014 6.5 (-215) 8-4 OV 

2013 7.5 (-120) 9-3 OV 

2012 6 (n/a) 8-4 OV 


2015 All 1.4 (27.4-26.0) 13.7 (415-401) 73-74 5.7-5.4 -3 

’15 conf only 2.0 (25.5-23.5) 26.5 (411-384) 74-75 5.6-5.2 -2 

2014 All 10.0 (35.8-25.8) 165.7 (533-367) 82-72 6.5-5.1 -4 

’14 conf only 8.4 (34.1-25.8) 134.3 (508-374) 82-71 6.2-5.3 -3 

2013 All 15.4 (40.2-24.8) 99.4 (468-369) 79-75 5.9-4.9 8 

’13 conf only 17.0 (40.8-23.8) 137.9 (473-335) 80-73 5.9-4.6 6 

2012 All -0.2 (31.5-31.6) -22.2 (409-431) 73-72 5.6-5.9 0 

’12 conf only 9.0 (37.0-28.0) 59.8 (441-381) 75-72 5.9-5.3 4 



21% 48% 75% 47% 62% 55% 64% 

Coming into last year, East Carolina had to replace their all-time 

passing leader (Shane Carden) and their all-time career leader at 

receiver (Justin Hardy). They also lost their hot-shot OC (Lincoln Riley) 

and fell to 5-7 as they were 1-4 in games decided by 7 points or less. 

Shockingly, they would fire Ruffin McNeill (42-34 in 6 seasons) and 

hired former Duke OC Scottie Montgomery. 

This year’s team is a mixed back experience wise. Last year’s starting 

QB Blake Kemp is gone while journeyman Philip Nelson looks to be the 

favorite. They also lose their top RB, but do return 3 of their top 4 

receivers. The OL is inexperienced as they lose 102 career starts (just 

39 return). 

The defense sees the return of 6 of the top 8 DL, but they do lose 2 of 

their top 3 LB’s including Zeek Bigger who led the team in tackles each 

of the last two years. They also lose 3 of their top 6 DB’s. 

Like usual, ECU plays 3 Power 5 schools in non-conference action and 

all of their conference road games are against bowl teams from last 

year. This looks like another losing season. 



9/3 Sat W Carolina 




10/1 Sat UCF 


10/13 Thu Navy 

10/22 Sat at Cincinnati 


11/5 Sat at Tulsa 

11/12 Sat SMU 


open 

East Carolina is 7-0 ATS at home 

after a win as a dog (s’/9/6/08) 


2012 2013 2014 2015 

SU 8-5 10-3 8-5 5-7 

Home 5-1 5-1 5-1 3-3 

Away 3-3 4-2 3-3 2-4 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

ATS 6-7 7-6 5-7 5-6 

HF 3-2 3-2 3-3 0-3 

HD 1-0 1-0 0-0 1-1 

AF 1-1 1-3 0-4 2-1 

AD 1-3 1-1 2-0 2-1 

vs Conf 5-3 3-5 1-7 2-5 

Non Conf 1-4 4-1 4-0 3-1 

Off SU Loss 4-0 3-0 2-1 2-3 

Loss by 10+ pts 4-0 1-0 1-1 1-2 

Off SU Win 1-7 4-5 2-6 3-2 

Win by 10+ pts 1-7 4-5 2-6 3-2 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

Over/Under 7-5 8-5 6-6 5-6 

as HF 2-2 4-1 4-2 0-3 

as HD 1-0 0-1 0-0 1-1 

as AF 1-1 2-2 2-2 1-2 

as AD 2-2 2-0 0-2 3-0 

vs Conf 4-4 5-3 4-4 2-6 

vs Non Conf 3-1 3-2 2-2 3-0 

Off SU Loss 1-3 2-1 1-2 2-4 

Loss by 10+ pts 1-3 0-1 1-1 1-2 

Off SU Win 6-2 5-4 4-4 3-2 

Win by 10+ pts 6-2 5-4 4-4 3-2


2015 : 13-1, 7-1 (T #1-#2 AAC-West) 






Houston 


HC here: Tom Herman – 1 st 




9.4% 12.3% 39.6% 38.6% 


The Cougars are 2-13 ATS as a Season Win's (odds) Record result 

HD after a road loss (s’/11/4/03) 2016 9.5 (-135) 

2015 8.5 (+105) 11-1 OV 

2014 8.5 (-185) 7-5 und 

2013 5.5 (+120) 8-4 OV 

2012 9 (n/a) 5-7 und 


2015 All 19.7 (40.4-20.7) 100.6 (484-384) 79-70 6.2-5.5 21 

’15 conf only 16.9 (38.8-21.9) 61.3 (465-404) 75-71 6.2-5.7 8 

2014 All 9.2 (29.8-20.6) 70.7 (414-343) 73-70 5.7-4.9 8 

’14 conf only 8.2 (28.2-20.0) 84.8 (419-334) 74-66 5.7-5.1 5 

2013 All 11.4 (33.2-21.8) 3.8 (420-416) 73-80 5.7-5.2 25 

’13 conf only 10.1 (26.1-16.0) -7.0 (372-379) 71-78 5.2-4.9 15 

2012 All -3.6 (32.4-36.0) -3.4 (480-483) 82-86 5.9-5.6 -4 

’12 conf only -1.4 (34.6-36.0) 2.6 (466-463) 81-86 5.8-5.4 -2 



95% 47% 54% 53% 74% 62% 29% 

Coming off a 13-1 season highlighted by a Peach Bowl win over Florida 

State, expectations are sky-high for the Cougars in head coach Tom 

Herman’s 2 nd -year. However, Houston was fortunate last year (only 

+61 ypg in conference play, No. 4 in AAC). 

Naturally the offense is led by QB Greg Ward, Jr who had 3,936 total 

yards and 38 total touchdowns a year ago. They do lose their top 3 

RB’s and their top WR, but do have their next 4 receivers back and 

welcome in some key transfers. The OL was banged up last year and 

they do lose 88 career starts (just 26 return). 

The defensive front 7 is very experienced as they welcome back 5 of 

their top 6 DL and 6 of their top 8 LB’s. However, they do lose their top 

guy in LB Elandon Roberts. The secondary could be the biggest 

question mark on the team as they lose 4 of their top 5 including a 

first-round draft choice in William Jackson III. 

The schedule is more difficult and it starts with the opener vs 

Oklahoma. They also have conference road trips to Cincinnati, Navy 

and Memphis and it will be difficult matching last year’s record. 



9/3 Sat (N) Oklahoma 

9/10 Sat Lamar 

9/15 Thu at Cincinnati 

9/24 Sat at Texas St 

9/29 Thu Connecticut 




10/29 Sat UCF 


11/17 Thu Louisville 

11/25 Fri at Memphis 

open 

Houston is 14-1 ATS on the road 

(since/ Nov 17, 2012) 


2012 2013 2014 2015 

SU 5-7 8-5 8-5 13-1 

Home 4-3 3-1 4-3 8-0 

Away 0-4 3-2 3-2 4-1 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

ATS 5-7 9-3 7-5 9-5 

HF 3-2 1-1 2-5 3-4 

HD 0-2 1-0 0-0 0-0 

AF 0-2 1-0 2-0 3-1 

AD 1-1 3-0 2-0 1-0 

vs Conf 4-4 4-2 4-3 5-4 

Non Conf 1-3 5-1 3-2 4-1 

Off SU Loss 3-4 3-1 3-2 1-0 

Loss by 10+ pts 2-3 0-0 0-1 0-0 

Off SU Win 2-2 5-2 4-2 8-4 

Win by 10+ pts 2-2 5-2 4-2 8-4 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

Over/Under 6-6 6-7 5-8 6-7 

as HF 2-3 1-2 2-5 2-4 

as HD 1-1 1-0 0-0 0-0 

as AF 2-0 0-1 0-2 1-3 

as AD 1-1 1-2 2-1 1-0 

vs Conf 4-4 2-5 4-4 3-6 

vs Non Conf 2-2 4-2 1-4 3-1 

Off SU Loss 3-4 1-3 3-2 1-0 

Loss by 10+ pts 3-2 0-0 0-1 0-0 

Off SU Win 3-1 4-4 2-5 5-7 

Win by 10+ pts 3-1 4-4 2-5 5-7


2015 : 9-4, 5-3 (#3 AAC-West) 






Memphis 


HC here: Mike Norvell – 1 st 




7.9% 25.7% 32.9% 33.6% 


The Tigers are 2-14 ATS as a HF Season Win's (odds) Record result 

after a win as a FAV (s’/ 10/5/96) 2016 6.5 (-110) 

2015 8.5 (-105) 9-3 OV 

2014 4.5 (-310) 9-3 OV 

2013 4.5 (-165) 3-9 und 

2012 2 (n/a) 4-8 OV 


2015 All 12.8 (40.2-27.3) 80.2 (487-407) 79-74 6.2-5.5 8 

’15 conf only 10.5 (39.1-28.6) 72.6 (490-418) 77-75 6.4-5.5 5 

2014 All 16.8 (36.2-19.5) 77.5 (427-350) 78-74 5.5-4.7 11 

’14 conf only 19.6 (34.9-15.2) 99.0 (434-335) 76-73 5.8-4.6 7 

2013 All -5.1 (19.5-24.6) -59.2 (312-371) 67-71 4.7-5.2 -8 

’13 conf only -10.5 (19.1-29.6) -106.1 (288-394) 67-73 4.3-5.4 -8 

2012 All -5.8 (24.4-30.2) -65.3 (318-384) 64-72 5.0-5.4 -1 

’12 conf only -2.5 (25.5-28.0) -4.5 (327-332) 66-66 5.0-5.1 -3 



1% 62% 63% 66% 84% 62% 64% 

The last two seasons have been some of the best in the history of the 

Memphis program, but there are plenty of new faces in 2016. While 

new head coach Mike Norvell doesn’t have any prior head coaching 

experience, he has been the OC at Arizona St the last four seasons and 

was a hot commodity among young assistant coaches. 

The offense, of course, loses first-round draft choice Paxton Lynch at 

QB. Incoming JUCO transfer Riley Ferguson looks like the heir apparent 

and 3 of the top 4 RB’s do return along with 3 of the top 4 receivers. 

While the OL returns 4 players who started at least 9 games last year, 

they lose 5 players with a combined 93 career starts. 

The defense is experienced as they return 10 of their top 11 DL. While 

the LB corps loses their two leading tacklers, they have 8 of their top 

10 returning. 7 of the top 10 DB’s return. The special teams should 

remain one of the best in the country with both specialists back. 

While the non-conference schedule is manageable, the Tigers pull the 

top 3 teams from the AAC East and they won’t match last year’s 9 wins. 



9/3 Sat SE Missouri St 




10/6 Thu Temple 

10/14 Fri at Tulane 




11/12 Sat USF 

11/18 Fri at Cincinnati 

11/25 Fri Houston 

open 

Memphis is 10-1 ATS after a loss 

as an AF (since/ Sep 22, 1984) 


2012 2013 2014 2015 

SU 4-8 3-9 10-3 9-4 

Home 3-3 2-5 5-1 5-1 

Away 1-5 1-4 4-2 4-2 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

ATS 7-5 6-5 8-5 6-6 

HF 1-1 1-2 3-3 2-3 

HD 2-1 2-2 0-0 1-0 

AF 0-0 1-1 2-1 2-2 

AD 3-3 2-0 2-1 1-0 

vs Conf 6-2 2-4 4-4 3-5 

Non Conf 1-3 4-1 4-1 3-1 

Off SU Loss 5-3 3-4 3-0 2-1 

Loss by 10+ pts 4-2 2-2 1-0 2-0 

Off SU Win 2-1 3-0 4-5 3-5 

Win by 10+ pts 2-1 3-0 4-5 3-5 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

Over/Under 7-4 4-8 7-5 4-7 

as HF 1-0 2-1 4-1 1-2 

as HD 2-1 1-3 0-0 0-1 

as AF 0-0 1-1 1-2 3-2 

as AD 3-3 0-3 1-2 0-1 

vs Conf 5-3 4-3 4-3 2-5 

vs Non Conf 2-1 0-5 3-2 2-2 

Off SU Loss 6-2 4-4 1-2 0-3 

Loss by 10+ pts 4-2 2-2 0-1 0-2 

Off SU Win 1-2 0-3 5-3 4-4 

Win by 10+ pts 1-2 0-3 5-3 4-4


2015 : 11-2, 7-1 (T #1-#2 AAC-Wast) 






Navy 

The Midshipmen in ’16 

HC here: Ken Niumatalolo – 10 th 




0.3% 12.2% 25.5% 61.9% 


The Midshipman are 4-19 ATS Season Win's (odds) Record result 

at home after a win as a dog 2016 6.5 (-110) 

2015 7.5 (-130) 10-2 OV 

(s’/11/1/80) 

2014 8.5 (-165) 7-5 und 

2013 6.5 (-120) 8-4 OV 

2012 6.5 (n/a) 8-4 OV 


2015 All 14.9 (36.8-21.8) 60.2 (425-365) 67-65 6.4-5.7 19 

’15 conf only 16.4 (38.5-22.1) 57.1 (433-375) 70-65 6.2-5.8 11 

2014 All 4.5 (31.8-27.3) 15.6 (419-404) 66-69 6.4-5.8 -4 

’14 conf only - - - - - 

2013 All 9.2 (33.5-24.4) 16.5 (411-395) 71-70 5.8-5.7 12 

’13 conf only - - - - - 

2012 All -0.7 (25.0-25.7) -25.6 (383-409) 67-68 5.7-6.1 0 

’12 conf only - - - - - 



6% 24% 66% 11% 37% 87% 47% 

Last year was a dream season for Navy in their first year of conference 

play. They finished 11-2 team (only losses to ND and Houston) and 

finished in the AP Top 20 for the first time in more than 50 years. 

However, head coach Ken Niumatalolo has his hands full this year as 

only 7 full-time starters return. 

The offense loses arguably their best QB since Roger Staubach as 4- 

year starter Keenan Reynolds departs. Tago Smith looks like the heir 

apparent but he doesn’t have much experience around him as the top 

2 FB’s depart along with 2 of the top 3 slot-backs. The leading receiver 

is back but the OL has a massive rebuild losing all 5 starters who 

combined for 108 career starts (just 8 back). 

The defense is a little more experienced, but they do lose their top 2 

DL. The LB corps could be a strength on the team as they return 9 of 

their top 10 but the secondary loses their top 3 tacklers. 

The schedule could see them favored in as many as 8 games but with 

only 5 true home games and their vast inexperience, we don’t see 

Navy coming close to last year’s record-setting season. 



9/3 Sat Fordham 


9/17 Sat at Tulane 

10/1 Sat at Air Force 

10/8 Sat Houston 

10/13 Thu at East Carolina 


10/28 Fri at USF 




12/10 Sat (N) Army 

open 

Navy is 21-4 ATS away after a 

game as a HD (s’/ 11/10/90) 


2012 2013 2014 2015 

SU 8-5 9-4 8-5 11-2 

Home 4-1 5-0 3-2 7-0 

Away 3-2 2-4 4-1 3-2 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

ATS 4-9 10-3 6-7 9-4 

HF 1-3 3-1 2-3 6-1 

HD 0-1 1-0 0-0 0-0 

AF 0-1 0-1 2-2 2-0 

AD 2-1 4-1 1-0 1-1 

vs Conf 0-2 2-0 1-1 6-2 

Non Conf 4-7 8-3 5-6 3-2 

Off SU Loss 2-2 3-1 2-3 0-2 

Loss by 10+ pts 2-2 2-0 2-0 0-2 

Off SU Win 2-6 6-2 4-3 8-2 

Win by 10+ pts 2-6 6-2 4-3 8-2 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

Over/Under 4-8 5-8 4-7 6-6 

as HF 0-3 1-3 2-1 4-3 

as HD 0-1 0-1 0-0 0-0 

as AF 1-0 0-1 1-3 0-2 

as AD 1-2 4-1 0-1 1-0 

vs Conf 1-1 1-1 1-1 3-4 

vs Non Conf 3-7 4-7 3-6 3-2 

Off SU Loss 0-3 2-2 1-3 0-2 

Loss by 10+ pts 0-3 1-1 1-1 0-2 

Off SU Win 3-5 2-6 3-3 5-4 

Win by 10+ pts 3-5 2-6 3-3 5-4


2015 : 2-10, 1-7 (T #5-#6 AAC-West) 






SMU 

The Mustangs in ’16 

HC here: Chad Morris – 2 nd 




24.3% 22.4% 19.6% 33.7% 


Mustangs are 3-14-2 ATS as a HF Season Win's (odds) Record result 

after a win as a FAV (s’/ 10/16/82) 2016 3.5 (-120) 

2015 2.5 (-130) 2-10 und 

2014 5.5 (+280) 1-11 und 

2013 5.5 (+140) 5-7 und 

2012 6.5 (n/a) 6-6 und 


2015 All -17.9 (27.8-45.7) -119.3 (383-502) 72-71 5.3-7.1 -10 

’15 conf only -22.0 (24.9-46.9) -104.4 (347-452) 70-70 5.0-6.4 -12 

2014 All -30.2 (11.1-41.3) -230.4 (269-499) 66-75 4.1-6.6 -14 

’14 conf only -21.6 (15.1-36.8) -173.7 (300-474) 65-73 4.6-6.5 -6 

2013 All -6.6 (26.8-33.3) 22.6 (435-413) 79-74 5.5-5.6 -7 

’13 conf only -0.2 (29.6-29.9) 43.6 (443-400) 77-73 5.7-5.5 0 

2012 All 4.8 (30.5-25.7) -28.8 (367-396) 70-74 5.2-5.4 14 

’12 conf only 8.2 (32.4-24.1) 6.7 (379-372) 69-69 5.5-5.4 13 



100% 89% 91% 60% 61% 60% 62% 

Chad Morris did a solid job in year one here particularly on offense 

where SMU averaged 17 more ppg and 114 more ypg than in 2014. 

However, a banged up defense still remained one of the worst in the 

FBS and SMU only improved by 1 win. This year’s team is even better 

but again they might not improve too much in the W/L column. 

The offense is one of the most experienced in the country led by QB 

Matt Davis who had 3,024 total yards last year. The top 2 RB’s also 

return along with the top 6 WR’s. 3 starters are back on the OL (73 

career starts) but they do lose their top 2 guys who combined for 85 

career starts by themselves 

The DL loses 3 of the top 4 but the Ponies return 4 of their top 6 LB’s 

and 3 of their top 4 DB’s as the unit had several different starting lineups 

a year ago due to injury. 

Big 12 powers Baylor and TCU are still on the non-conference schedule 

while the conference slate is not favorable either. They avoid UCF, play 

winnable games vs Tulsa and Tulane on the road and must host 4 of 

the AAC’s top teams in Houston, USF, Memphis and Navy. 



9/3 Sat at North Texas 


9/17 Sat Liberty 

9/24 Sat TCU 


10/7 Fri at Tulsa 





11/19 Sat USF 

11/26 Sat Navy 

open 

SMU is 8-0 ATS as a HD after a 

win as a dog (s’/ 9/26/92) 


2012 2013 2014 2015 

SU 7-6 5-7 1-11 2-10 

Home 5-2 3-3 0-6 2-5 

Away 1-4 2-4 1-5 0-5 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

ATS 8-5 6-6 4-8 5-7 

HF 3-0 1-2 0-0 2-1 

HD 3-1 2-1 1-5 1-3 

AF 0-2 1-0 0-0 0-0 

AD 1-2 2-3 3-3 2-3 

vs Conf 5-3 5-2 4-4 2-6 

Non Conf 3-2 1-4 0-4 3-1 

Off SU Loss 6-0 4-2 4-7 3-6 

Loss by 10+ pts 4-0 2-2 4-6 3-4 

Off SU Win 2-4 2-3 0-0 1-1 

Win by 10+ pts 2-4 2-3 0-0 1-1 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

Over/Under 6-6 7-5 8-4 8-4 

as HF 1-1 3-0 0-0 2-1 

as HD 2-2 2-1 3-3 3-1 

as AF 1-1 0-1 0-0 0-0 

as AD 2-1 2-3 5-1 3-2 

vs Conf 5-3 4-3 5-3 5-3 

vs Non Conf 1-3 3-2 3-1 3-1 

Off SU Loss 2-3 5-1 8-3 6-3 

Loss by 10+ pts 1-2 3-1 7-3 4-3 

Off SU Win 3-3 1-4 0-0 1-1 

Win by 10+ pts 3-3 1-4 0-0 1-1


2015 : 8-5, 6-2 (#2 AAC-East) 






South Florida 

The Bulls in ’16 

HC here: Willie Taggart– 4 th 




8.8% 31.1% 21.6% 38.5% 


The Bulls are 0-7 ATS as n AF Season Win's (odds) Record result 

after being a HF (S’/ 10/6/08) 2016 8.5 (-110) 

2015 4 (-105) 8-4 OV 

2014 4.5 (-130) 4-8 und 

2013 5.5 (-180) 2-10 und 

2012 7.5 (n/a) 3-9 und 


2015 All 10.7 (33.6-22.9) 61.2 (442-380) 69-73 6.4-5.2 10 

’15 conf only 14.8 (34.4-19.6) 59.8 (434-374) 68-73 6.4-5.1 5 

2014 All -9.8 (17.2-27.0) -98.4 (305-403) 62-71 4.9-5.7 0 

’14 conf only -8.4 (15.8-24.1) -63.6 (314-377) 65-66 4.8-5.8 -3 

2013 All -14.8 (13.8-28.6) -95.3 (256-351) 60-65 4.3-5.4 -3 

’13 conf only -10.6 (13.4-24.0) -94.6 (249-344) 59-66 4.3-5.3 0 

2012 All -6.8 (20.6-27.4) -34.8 (367-402) 70-72 5.3-5.6 -19 

’12 conf only -8.0 (18.3-26.3) -52.7 (338-391) 69-73 4.9-5.4 -13 



93% 98% 87% 40% 45% 68% 76% 

Things didn’t look well for USF head coach Willie Taggart. He was just 

6-18 his first two years in Tampa and the Bulls started off 1-3 in 2015. 

Then things finally clicked as USF would proceed to win 7 of their last 

9 games including blowouts over Temple and Cincinnati and this year’s 

team looks even stronger. 

The running game is one of the best in the country led by RB Marlon 

Mack (1,381 rush yards last year) and dual-threat QB Quinton Flowers 

(991 rush yards). 6 of their top 7 receivers also return. The biggest 

question on offense is that they have to replace 3 starters on the OL 

and only have 36 career starts returning. 

The defense is also inexperienced up front as they lose 4 of their top 

6 DL. However, 3 starters return in the LB corps including leading 

tackler Auggie Sanchez (117 tackles). 6 players are back in the 

secondary who started at least one game in 2015. 

While the Bulls have arguably the most talented team in the AAC and 

avoid Houston, they do draw three tough road games (Cincinnati, 

Temple and Memphis). They still could top last year’s 8 wins. 



9/3 Sat Towson 

9/10 Sat No Illinois 






10/21 Fri at Temple 

10/28 Fri Navy 



11/26 Sat UCF 

open 

USF is 7-0 ATS after a game as 

an underdog (s’/Oct 2, 2015) 


2012 2013 2014 2015 

SU 3-9 2-10 4-8 8-5 

Home 2-4 1-6 2-5 5-1 

Away 1-5 1-4 2-3 3-3 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

ATS 3-9 5-7 6-6 10-3 

HF 0-4 0-2 1-1 2-0 

HD 1-1 1-4 2-3 3-0 

AF 0-2 0-0 1-1 1-0 

AD 2-2 4-1 2-1 3-2 

vs Conf 1-6 3-4 4-4 7-1 

Non Conf 2-3 2-3 2-2 3-2 

Off SU Loss 2-6 4-5 3-4 3-1 

Loss by 10+ pts 0-4 4-4 3-3 2-1 

Off SU Win 1-2 1-1 3-1 6-2 

Win by 10+ pts 1-2 1-1 3-1 6-2 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

Over/Under 3-8 3-9 4-8 5-6 

as HF 1-2 1-1 1-1 0-1 

as HD 0-2 1-4 1-4 2-1 

as AF 1-1 0-0 1-1 0-1 

as AD 1-3 1-4 1-2 1-3 

vs Conf 2-5 1-6 2-6 3-5 

vs Non Conf 1-3 2-3 2-2 2-1 

Off SU Loss 2-6 2-7 2-5 1-2 

Loss by 10+ pts 1-3 2-6 1-5 0-2 

Off SU Win 1-2 0-2 1-3 4-4 

Win by 10+ pts 1-2 0-2 1-3 4-4


2015 : 10-4, 7-1 (#1 AAC-East) 






Temple 

The Owls in ’16 

HC here: Matt Rhule – 4 th 




3.3% 12.4% 39.4% 45.0% 


The Owls are 6-1 to the UNDER Season Win's (odds) Record result 

after a loss by 10+ pts the L3Y 2016 8.5 (-120) 

2015 7 (-130) 10-2 OV 

2014 4.5 (+130) 6-6 OV 

2013 4.5 (+130) 2-10 und 

2012 4 (n/a) 4-7 push 


2015 All 9.7 (29.8-20.1) 29.7 (367-337) 68-67 5.4-5.0 3 

’15 conf only 11.3 (32.3-21.0) 62.9 (379-316) 67-67 5.7-4.7 4 

2014 All 5.6 (23.1-17.5) -38.7 (308-347) 64-73 4.8-4.8 3 

’14 conf only 0.2 (18.0-17.8) -69.5 (294-364) 61-77 4.8-4.7 -3 

2013 All -4.9 (24.9-29.8) -74.6 (399-474) 70-74 5.7-6.4 -6 

’13 conf only -6.6 (25.9-32.5) -67.7 (409-477) 69-74 5.9-6.4 -6 

2012 All -6.5 (24.7-31.2) -114.7 (322-437) 63-70 5.1-6.3 -2 

’12 conf only -16.1 (18.3-34.4) -138.7 (307-446) 66-68 4.7-6.5 -8 



99% 97% 48% 49% 55% 57% 54% 

The Owls had a dream season last year (at least in the regular season). 

They upset Penn State, hosted ESPN College Gameday and won a 

division title. This year’s team looks a little bit weaker on paper 

(especially on defense) but an advantageous schedule could see them 

winning the AAC East Division for a 2 nd consecutive year. 

The diminutive PJ Walker returns for his 4 th year as the starting QB and 

he will be handing it off to the dangerous Jahad Thomas who ran for 

1,262 yards last year. The Owls do lose 2 of their top 3 receivers and 

must replace 3 starters on the OL that combined for 95 career starts. 

Last year’s defense was among the best in the history of the program 

and they lose a total of 3 NFL draft choices. 3 of the top 4 DL are gone 

and they lose All-American LB Tyler Matakevich. The next 3 leading 

tacklers at LB do return but they lose 3 of the top 5 DB’s including 

Tavon Young (4 th round draft pick). 

Speaking of that advantageous schedule, they do host fellow East 

division contenders USF and Cincinnati in back-to-back weeks and 

should be favored in 8-9 games. 



9/2 Fri Army 

9/10 Sat Stony Brook 


9/24 Sat Charlotte 

10/1 Sat SMU 

10/6 Thu at Memphis 


10/21 Fri USF 


11/4 Fri at Connecticut 



open 

Temple is 8-0 ATS as a HD after 

a loss at home (s’/ 11/18/00) 


2012 2013 2014 2015 

SU 4-7 2-10 6-6 10-4 

Home 2-4 1-5 3-3 5-1 

Away 2-3 1-5 3-3 5-2 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

ATS 4-7 8-4 6-6 9-5 

HF 1-1 1-2 1-1 2-1 

HD 1-3 2-1 2-2 3-0 

AF 0-0 0-1 2-0 2-2 

AD 2-3 5-0 1-3 2-1 

vs Conf 2-5 5-2 4-4 6-3 

Non Conf 2-2 3-2 2-2 3-2 

Off SU Loss 2-4 6-4 3-3 2-1 

Loss by 10+ pts 2-4 3-1 1-2 1-1 

Off SU Win 1-3 1-0 2-3 6-4 

Win by 10+ pts 1-3 1-0 2-3 6-4 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

Over/Under 7-3 5-7 4-7 5-9 

as HF 1-0 1-2 2-0 2-1 

as HD 3-1 1-2 0-4 0-3 

as AF 0-0 0-1 0-1 2-2 

as AD 3-2 3-2 2-2 1-2 

vs Conf 5-2 3-4 2-5 5-4 

vs Non Conf 2-1 2-3 2-2 0-5 

Off SU Loss 4-2 4-6 3-3 1-2 

Loss by 10+ pts 4-2 1-3 1-2 0-2 

Off SU Win 3-1 1-0 1-3 4-6 

Win by 10+ pts 3-1 1-0 1-3 4-6


2015 : 3-9, 1-7 (T #5-#6 AAC-West) 






Tulane 

The Green Wave in ’16 

HC here: Willie Fritz – 1 st 




13.6% 29.9% 36.7% 19.7% 


The Green Wave are 9-3 to the Season Win's (odds) Record result 

UNDER as a HD (s’/ 11/1/12) 2016 3.5 (-110) 

2015 5 (-120) 3-9 und 

2014 4.5 (+165) 3-9 und 

2013 5.5 (+100) 7-5 OV 

2012 1.5 (n/a) 2-10 OV 


2015 All -16.6 (19.7-36.2) -95.3 (317-412) 67-71 4.8-5.8 1 

’15 conf only -18.5 (18.4-36.9) -95.9 (303-399) 67-69 4.5-5.8 1 

2014 All -12.4 (16.0-28.4) -41.1 (347-388) 72-69 4.8-5.7 3 

’14 conf only -11.0 (14.6-25.6) -43.2 (347-391) 72-70 4.8-5.6 5 

2013 All 3.4 (24.8-21.4) -40.3 (311-351) 67-72 4.6-4.9 11 

’13 conf only 5.0 (22.5-17.5) -49.6 (290-340) 67-71 4.3-4.8 3 

2012 All -17.0 (21.4-38.4) -162.8 (320-483) 68-76 4.7-6.4 -9 

’12 conf only -9.0 (27.8-36.8) -124.4 (380-504) 69-79 5.5-6.4 -4 



7% 81% 69% 48% 80% 83% 74% 

Tulane made a shockingly great hire this off-season. Willie Fritz isn’t a 

flashy name, but he has two decades worth of head coaching 

experience and did a terrific job at Georgia Southern and Sam Houston 

State and now takes over a Tulane program in a very fertile recruiting 

area. However, there could be growing pains in year one. 

The offense loses both QB’s who started last year, their leading 

receiver and 3 starters on the OL who combined for 92 career starts. 

On the bright side, they return a good 1-2 punch at RB in Dontrell 

Hilliard and Sherman Badie. 

The defense is much more experienced as they return 4 of their top 6 

DL. The LB corps returns their entire 2-deep led by 1 st -team All-AAC 

Nico Marley (3-year starter) and the secondary is just as experienced 

with the return of 7 of their top 8, but they do lose a 4-year starter in 

Darion Monroe (334 career tackles). 

While they have a manageable non-conference slate with 3 winnable 

games, the conference schedule could see them an underdog in at 

least 7 of their 8 games. 



9/1 Thu at Wake Forest 

9/10 Sat Southern 

9/17 Sat Navy 

9/24 Sat ULL 


10/7 Fri at UCF 

10/14 Fri Memphis 


10/29 Sat SMU 

11/12 Sat at Houston 



open 

Tulane is 1-11 ATS after a win on 

the road (since/ Dec 4, 2004) 


2012 2013 2014 2015 

SU 2-10 7-6 3-9 3-9 

Home 2-5 5-1 2-4 2-4 

Away 0-5 2-4 1-5 1-5 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

ATS 6-6 9-4 4-8 6-6 

HF 0-0 2-1 2-0 2-0 

HD 5-2 3-0 0-4 1-3 

AF 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 

AD 1-3 4-2 2-4 3-3 

vs Conf 5-3 7-1 3-5 4-4 

Non Conf 1-3 2-3 1-3 2-2 

Off SU Loss 3-6 4-1 3-5 5-3 

Loss by 10+ pts 2-4 2-0 3-3 4-3 

Off SU Win 2-0 4-3 1-2 1-2 

Win by 10+ pts 2-0 4-3 1-2 1-2 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

Over/Under 5-7 4-8 5-7 7-5 

as HF 0-0 1-1 1-1 2-0 

as HD 4-3 1-2 1-3 1-3 

as AF 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 

as AD 0-4 2-4 3-3 4-2 

vs Conf 4-4 2-5 2-6 4-4 

vs Non Conf 1-3 2-3 3-1 3-1 

Off SU Loss 4-5 0-4 3-5 4-4 

Loss by 10+ pts 2-4 0-2 2-4 3-4 

Off SU Win 1-1 4-3 1-2 3-0 

Win by 10+ pts 1-1 4-3 1-2 3-0


2015 : 6-7, 3-5 (#4 AAC-West) 






Tulsa 

The Golden Hurricane in ’16 

HC here: Philip Montgomery – 2 nd 




10.9% 26.0% 32.3% 30.9% 


Golden Hurricane are 3-14-1 Season Win's (odds) Record result 

ATS at home (s’/ 9/07/13) 

2016 6.5 (-120) 

2015 5 (-105) 6-6 OV 

2014 5.5 (+140) 2-10 und 

2013 8.5 (-185) 3-9 und 

2012 8.5 (n/a) 9-3 OV 


2015 All -2.7 (37.2-39.8) -29.2 (507-537) 83-81 6.1-6.6 4 

’15 conf only -6.2 (34.0-40.2) -74.9 (456-531) 78-82 5.8-6.5 0 

2014 All -14.6 (24.7-39.2) -74.3 (413-487) 80-70 5.2-7.0 -8 

’14 conf only -9.1 (27.1-36.2) -45.8 (429-475) 77-71 5.6-6.7 1 

2013 All -12.8 (21.1-33.9) -73.4 (356-430) 76-78 4.7-5.5 -10 

’13 conf only -10.2 (21.9-32.1) -70.5 (360-430) 78-78 4.6-5.5 -5 

2012 All 11.1 (34.7-23.6) 109.4 (457-348) 83-72 5.5-4.9 3 

’12 conf only 12.1 (36.0-23.9) 151.7 (487-335) 85-71 5.8-4.7 1 



100% 66% 51% 60% 59% 90% 59% 

Last year former Baylor offensive coordinator Philip Montgomery 

brought an exciting brand of football to Tulsa as the Golden Hurricane 

averaged 37 ppg and 507 ypg on offense. The problem is their defense 

allowed 40 ppg and 537 ypg. Still, it was a successful first season with 

Tulsa going from 2-10 to a bowl and this year’s team looks just as good. 

The offense should be potent once again as they return QB Dane Evans 

who threw for 4,332 yards a year ago. 2 of the top 3 RB’s are back as 

well as 2 of their top 3 WR’s but they do lose Keyarris Garrett (1,588 

yards). 8 of the top 10 OL are back (52 career starts). 

On defense, 8 of the top 11 are back on the DL and the LB corps sees 

the return of their top 3. The secondary returns 3 of their top 4 but 

they do lose leading tackler Michael Mudoh (135 tackles a year ago). 

This year’s schedule looks favorable once again for a return to the 

post-season (favored in 6-7 games). However, they do have to travel 

to Ohio State in non-conference action and also have to play at 

Houston, at Memphis and at Navy in conference action (the top 3 

teams in the West Division a year ago). 





9/17 Sat NC A&T 

9/24 Sat at Fresno St 

10/7 Fri SMU 







11/25 Fri Cincinnati 

open 

Tulsa is 9-0 ATS away after 

being an AD (s’/9/6/03) 


2012 2013 2014 2015 

SU 11-3 3-9 2-10 6-7 

Home 7-0 1-5 2-4 3-3 

Away 3-3 2-4 0-6 3-3 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

ATS 8-5 3-9 5-7 8-5 

HF 4-2 0-4 1-2 0-2 

HD 0-0 1-1 1-2 0-3 

AF 2-3 2-1 0-1 2-0 

AD 1-0 0-3 3-2 3-0 

vs Conf 5-3 3-5 5-3 3-4 

Non Conf 3-2 0-4 0-4 3-1 

Off SU Loss 3-0 3-5 4-5 2-3 

Loss by 10+ pts 1-0 2-4 3-4 2-3 

Off SU Win 5-4 0-3 0-2 4-1 

Win by 10+ pts 5-4 0-3 0-2 4-1 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

Over/Under 5-8 7-5 9-2 7-6 

as HF 1-5 3-1 3-0 2-1 

as HD 0-0 2-0 3-0 1-2 

as AF 4-1 0-3 1-0 1-1 

as AD 0-1 2-1 2-2 2-2 

vs Conf 4-5 4-4 6-1 4-4 

vs Non Conf 1-3 3-1 3-1 3-2 

Off SU Loss 1-2 5-3 7-1 2-4 

Loss by 10+ pts 0-1 5-1 7-0 2-4 

Off SU Win 3-6 2-1 1-1 4-2 

Win by 10+ pts 3-6 2-1 1-1 4-2


2015 : 0-12, 0-8 (#6 AAC-East) 






UCF 

The Knights in ’16 

HC here: Scott Frost – 1 st 




28.0% 20.1% 34.8% 17.0% 


The Knight are 2-12 ATS on the Season Win's (odds) Record result 

road after a road loss (s’/9/27/03) 2016 5 (-110) 

2015 7 (-120) 0-12 und 

2014 8.5 (+135) 9-3 OV 

2013 8.5 (+125) 11-1 OV 

2012 8.5 (n/a) 9-3 OV 


2015 All -23.8 (13.9-37.7) -195.7 (268-464) 65-71 4.1-6.5 -20 

’15 conf only -30.2 (14.6-44.9) -221.3 (281-502) 65-73 4.3-6.9 -15 

2014 All 8.9 (28.1-19.2) 65.1 (364-299) 72-67 5.0-4.5 -1 

’14 conf only 14.0 (29.0-15.0) 127.8 (384-256) 75-64 5.2-4.0 2 

2013 All 13.3 (34.6-21.3) 79.5 (442-362) 67-68 6.6-5.4 5 

’13 conf only 11.8 (32.9-21.1) 74.5 (423-349) 69-67 6.2-5.2 4 

2012 All 13.4 (35.4-22.1) 33.8 (407-374) 67-73 6.1-5.1 12 

’12 conf only 14.6 (37.4-22.9) 10.1 (405-395) 65-76 6.3-5.2 9 



76% 98% 98% 80% 51% 63% 95% 

In just two years, UCF went from a top 10 finish which included a win 

in the Fiesta Bowl to a winless 0-12 season with head coach George 

O’Leary stepping down. This year former Oregon offensive 

coordinator Scott Frost takes over and the early returns have been 

positive thanks to an impressive recruiting class while also inheriting 

one of the most experienced teams in the country. 

The offense, which will move to an up-tempo Oregon-style sees the 

return of 2-year starting QB Justin Holman, their top 3 RB’s and their 

top 8 WR’s. 4 starters also return on an OL that started 10 different 

players a year ago (71 career starts). 

The defense isn’t as experienced as they lose 3 of their top 4 DL. They 

do return 5 of their top 6 LB’s (lose top guy) and return all 4 starters in 

the secondary. Remarkably as bad as UCF was a year ago, they still had 

a Top 15 special teams unit and both specialists return. 

While the Knights could be the most improved team in the entire 

country this year, they have a long ways to go to get back to bowl 

eligibility and could be favored in only 3 games this year. 



9/3 Sat S Carolina St 



9/24 Sat at FIU 


10/7 Fri Tulane 







open 

UCF is 11-0-1 ATS the game 

after being an AF (s’/10/29/11) 


2012 2013 2014 2015 

SU 10-4 12-1 9-4 0-12 

Home 5-1 5-1 6-0 0-6 

Away 4-3 6-0 3-2 0-6 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

ATS 7-6 8-5 8-5 2-10 

HF 3-3 3-2 5-1 0-2 

HD 0-0 1-0 0-0 0-4 

AF 2-2 1-3 1-1 0-0 

AD 1-1 2-0 2-1 2-4 

vs Conf 4-4 1-0 6-2 2-6 

Non Conf 3-2 7-5 2-3 0-4 

Off SU Loss 3-1 0-1 2-1 2-9 

Loss by 10+ pts 0-1 0-0 1-0 2-7 

Off SU Win 3-5 7-4 6-3 0-0 

Win by 10+ pts 3-5 7-4 6-3 0-0 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

Over/Under 10-4 5-8 7-6 5-6 

as HF 5-1 1-4 3-3 0-2 

as HD 0-0 0-1 0-0 2-2 

as AF 4-0 1-3 1-1 0-0 

as AD 1-2 2-0 1-2 3-2 

vs Conf 8-1 0-1 4-4 5-3 

vs Non Conf 2-3 5-7 3-2 0-3 

Off SU Loss 3-1 0-1 0-3 5-5 

Loss by 10+ pts 1-0 0-0 0-1 5-4 

Off SU Win 6-3 5-6 6-3 0-0 

Win by 10+ pts 6-3 5-6 6-3 0-0

2015 FINAL 



WKU 12 2 85.7% 44.3 25.9 9 0 100.0% 

Marshall 10 3 76.9% 31.3 17.8 6 2 75.0% 

Middle Tenn St 7 6 53.8% 34.0 26.6 6 2 75.0% 

FIU 5 7 41.7% 25.5 29.8 3 5 37.5% 

Old Dominion 5 7 41.7% 24.3 35.8 3 5 37.5% 

Florida Atlantic 3 9 25.0% 22.5 28.8 3 5 37.5% 

Charlotte 2 10 16.7% 17.5 36.3 0 8 0.0% 


Southern Miss 9 5 64.3% 39.9 25.6 7 2 77.8% 

Louisiana Tech 9 4 69.2% 37.5 26.8 6 2 75.0% 

Rice 5 7 41.7% 26.1 35.8 3 5 37.5% 

UTEP 5 7 41.7% 20.7 32.9 3 5 37.5% 

UTSA 3 9 25.0% 22.6 33.8 3 5 37.5% 

North Texas 1 11 8.3% 15.2 41.3 1 7 12.5% 

BRAD POWER 



60 WKU 73.15 

70 Marshall 70.68 

82 Southern Miss 68.01 

87 Middle Tenn 66.73 

92 La Tech 64.41 

100 Florida Atlantic 60.35 

108 Old Dominion 58.30 

109 Rice 58.03 

113 FIU 56.82 

116 UTEP 55.83 

122 UTSA 52.78 

124 Charlotte 51.45 

126 North Texas 49.66


2015 : 2-10, 0-8 (#7 CUSA East) 






Charlotte 

The 49ers in ’16 

HC here: Brad Lambert – 4 th 




10.7% 19.1% 51.1% 19.1% 


Charlotte was 2-10 last 


season but they outgained 

2016 2.5 (-120) 

2015 2.5 (-130) 2-10 und 

6 of their 12 opponents 

2014 FCS - - 

2013 FCS - - 

2012 FCS - - 


2015 All -18.8 (17.5-36.2) -79.9 (337-417) 78-76 4.3-5.5 -13 

Conf only -21.2 (17.5-38.8) -133.8 (322-456) 79-80 4.1-5.7 -9 

2014 FCS - - - - - 

’14 conf only - - - - - 

2013 FCS - - - - - 

’13 conf only - - - - - 

2012 No tm 



9/1 Thu at Louisville 

9/10 Sat Elon 




10/8 Sat at Fla Atlantic 

10/15 Sat FIU 


11/5 Sat at Southern Miss 



11/26 Sat at UTSA 

open 

In 5 games last season the 49ers 

were up or tied at halftime 



100% 74% 87% 80% 86% 63% 68% 

After starting off 2-0 in their first year of FBS play, the 49ers took some 

predictable lumps losing their last 10 games by an average of 25 ppg. 

This year’s team should be more competitive thanks to the return of a 

17 starters. 

Normally with 9 offensive starters back the team is ready to take it to 

the next level. Three QB’s made starts and all 3 return but JUCO Kevin 

Olsen won the job out of spring. They lose one RB, but he was their #2 

and the starting receivers are all back. On the OL, they only lose one 

starter but he was the only one who made all 12 starts last year and 

was a 3-year starter (do have 106 career starts back). 

The defense losses 3 starters, one from each unit, with the main loss 

at ILB with the team’s #2 tackler. The DL has 4 senior starters led by 

NT Larry Ogunjobi (14.5 TFL) and the secondary does return 4 players 

with starting experience. 

The schedule could the 49ers favored in 2-3 games (only favored in 1 

game last year) and this year’s team should fare better than the one 

that was out-scored by 21 ppg in CUSA play last year. 


2012 2013 2014 2015 

SU 0-0 5-6 5-6 2-10 

Home 0-0 3-3 3-3 1-5 

Away 0-0 2-3 2-3 1-5 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

ATS 0-0 0-0 0-0 4-6 

HF 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 

HD 0-0 0-0 0-0 1-3 

AF 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 

AD 0-0 0-0 0-0 3-3 

vs Conf 0-0 0-0 0-0 3-4 

Non Conf 0-0 0-0 0-0 1-2 

Off SU Loss 0-0 0-0 0-0 3-5 

Loss by 10+ pts 0-0 0-0 0-0 3-3 

Off SU Win 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-1 

Win by 10+ pts 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-1 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

Over/Under 0-0 0-0 0-0 5-6 

as HF 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 

as HD 0-0 0-0 0-0 1-4 

as AF 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 

as AD 0-0 0-0 0-0 4-2 

vs Conf 0-0 0-0 0-0 4-4 

vs Non Conf 0-0 0-0 0-0 1-2 

Off SU Loss 0-0 0-0 0-0 4-5 

Loss by 10+ pts 0-0 0-0 0-0 3-4 

Off SU Win 0-0 0-0 0-0 1-0 

Win by 10+ pts 0-0 0-0 0-0 1-0


2015 : 3-9, 3-5 (T #4-#6 CUSA East) 






Fla Atlantic 


HC here: Charlie Partridge – 3 rd 




14.8% 29.9% 23.9% 31.4% 


The Owls are 8-0 ATS as an AD Season Win's (odds) Record result 

after a road game (s’/9/15/12) 2016 4.5 (-110) 

2015 5 (-130) 3-9 und 

2014 5.5 (-130) 3-9 und 

2013 3.5 (+155) 6-6 OV 

2012 2 (n/a) 3-9 OV 


2015 All -6.2 (22.5-28.8) -28.6 (377-405) 74-73 5.1-5.5 -2 

Conf only -3.0 (22.1-25.1) -49.8 (347-397) 69-73 5.0-5.4 4 

2014 All -10.4 (24.0-34.4) -97.7 (363-461) 67-74 5.4-6.2 -3 

Conf only -8.0 (26.5-34.5) -28.7 (400-429) 72-73 5.6-5.9 -4 

2013 All 4.2 (26.4-22.2) 57.6 (380-323) 71-67 5.4-4.8 -3 

Conf only 6.2 (27.2-21.0) 134.3 (407-273) 76-65 5.4-4.2 -5 

2012 All -10.3 (20.5-30.8) -55.4 (350-405) 69-66 5.1-6.2 -2 

Conf only -6.5 (24.4-30.9) 10.1 (390-380) 72-67 5.4-5.7 -2 



38% 65% 63% 80% 57% 79% 64% 

After going just 6-18 in his first two seasons, this should be head coach 

Charlie Partridge’s best team yet in Boca Raton thanks to the return of 

15 starters. 

The offense struggled last year with QB injuries which could actually 

help this season’s prospects. Now sophomore Jason Driskel has some 

starting experience which he needed as he completed just 51% last 

year with a 3-4 ratio. The top 2 RB’s return and the receiving unit 

returns 5 of the top 6 but does loss their #1 who had over double the 

yards of their #2. The only loss from the OL was last season’s LG and 

they have 79 career starts. 

While they lose a couple of big DT’s, they return DE Trey Hendrickson 

who had 13 sacks a year ago. The LB’s return their top 2 starters while 

the secondary does not only have to replace its top tackler, but their 

best CB as well. 

While they must play at Miami, Fl and Kansas St in non-conference 

action, the Owls could be favored in 5 of their 6 home games and 

should easily top last year’s 3-win total. 



9/3 Sat So Illinois 







10/29 Sat WKU 

11/5 Sat at Rice 

11/12 Sat UTEP 


11/26 Sat at Middle Tenn 

open 

Fla Atlantic is 1-13 ATS as a FAV 

after a game as a dog (s’/10/3/09) 


2012 2013 2014 2015 

SU 3-9 6-6 3-9 3-9 

Home 2-3 3-2 3-2 1-5 

Away 1-6 3-4 0-7 2-4 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

ATS 7-4 9-3 6-5 4-7 

HF 0-2 2-1 0-2 0-2 

HD 1-1 1-1 3-0 1-3 

AF 0-0 1-0 0-2 0-2 

AD 6-1 5-1 3-1 3-0 

vs Conf 4-3 6-2 4-4 2-5 

Non Conf 3-1 3-1 2-1 2-2 

Off SU Loss 6-1 5-1 4-3 2-6 

Loss by 10+ pts 3-1 3-0 3-1 1-3 

Off SU Win 1-2 3-2 2-1 1-1 

Win by 10+ pts 1-2 3-2 2-1 1-1 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

Over/Under 5-5 5-7 7-5 3-8 

as HF 1-0 2-1 1-1 0-2 

as HD 1-2 1-1 3-0 1-2 

as AF 0-0 0-1 1-1 1-2 

as AD 3-3 2-4 2-2 1-2 

vs Conf 4-3 3-5 5-3 1-6 

vs Non Conf 1-2 2-2 2-2 2-2 

Off SU Loss 4-4 3-3 5-3 2-6 

Loss by 10+ pts 2-3 1-2 4-1 0-5 

Off SU Win 1-1 2-3 1-2 0-2 

Win by 10+ pts 1-1 2-3 1-2 0-2


2015 : 5-7, 3-5 (T #4-#6 CUSA East) 






FIU 

The Golden Panthers in ’16 

HC here: Ron Turner – 4 th 




16.3% 28.0% 21.2% 34.5% 


LY FBS teams lost by 50+ Season Win's (odds) Record result 

pts 19 times including 

2016 6.5 (-110) 

2015 6 (+155) 5-7 und 

FIU twice in B2B games. 

2014 2.5 (-150) 4-8 OV 

2013 2.5 (-140) 1-11 und 

2012 7.5 (n/a) 3-9 und 


2015 All -4.3 (25.5-29.8) -57.9 (348-406) 69-71 5.1-5.7 3 

Conf only -6.8 (27.0-33.8) -91.6 (337-429) 66-71 5.1-6.1 3 

2014 All -1.8 (23.0-24.8) -71.6 (293-365) 68-68 4.3-5.4 11 

Conf only -0.4 (25.2-25.6) -87.4 (307-395) 68-69 4.5-5.8 7 

2013 All -27.2 (9.8-37.0) -210.7 (219-430) 62-65 3.6-6.6 -6 

Conf only -20.4 (11.8-32.1) -168.6 (254-422) 66-67 3.9-6.3 -3 

2012 All -6.7 (25.0-31.7) -18.9 (384-403) 72-72 5.4-5.6 -4 

Conf only -5.4 (24.0-29.4) -28.4 (378-406) 71-72 5.4-5.7 -5 



95% 83% 64% 92% 31% 67% 61% 

After starting off with a disastrous 1-11 record in his first season, head 

coach Ron Turner has improved the Golden Panthers win total to 4 

wins in 2014 and 5 wins last year and he has FIU thinking a return to 

the post-season for the first time since 2012. 

When your team goes through an injury plagued season it helps the 

depth the next season. The offense losses one starting receiver and 

two others, but still returns their top 3 producers. The OL was a MASH 

unit as they lose one 3-year starter, although he only made 5 starts 

last season and they return 92 career starts. 

The defensive line loses 3 starters and almost all of their production 

from last year (just 0.5 of 17 sacks and 2 of 37 TFL’s return). The LB 

corps is the opposite as they only have to replace one starter and 

return 5 of their top 6 tacklers. The secondary loses their top 2, but 

everyone else in the two deep returns. 

FIU’s schedule is interesting as while they have 7 home games, they 

could find themselves an underdog in 5 of them as they host a pair of 

Big Ten teams and 3 of the top 4 teams in CUSA. 



9/1 Thu Indiana 

9/9 Fri Maryland 


9/24 Sat UCF 


10/8 Sat at UTEP 

10/15 Sat at Charlotte 





11/26 Sat at Old Dominion 

open 

FIU’s spring roster had 84 

players, 76 were from Florida. 


2012 2013 2014 2015 

SU 3-9 1-11 4-8 5-7 

Home 1-5 0-6 3-5 4-1 

Away 2-4 1-5 1-3 1-5 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

ATS 5-7 4-8 8-4 5-6 

HF 0-1 0-0 1-0 2-1 

HD 1-4 2-4 4-3 0-1 

AF 1-0 0-0 0-0 0-1 

AD 3-2 2-4 3-1 3-2 

vs Conf 3-5 4-5 5-3 4-4 

Non Conf 2-2 0-3 3-1 1-2 

Off SU Loss 3-5 3-7 4-3 2-3 

Loss by 10+ pts 1-3 3-6 2-2 1-3 

Off SU Win 2-1 1-0 3-1 2-3 

Win by 10+ pts 2-1 1-0 3-1 2-3 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

Over/Under 7-5 3-8 5-6 6-4 

as HF 1-0 0-0 0-1 3-0 

as HD 1-4 1-4 4-3 1-0 

as AF 0-1 0-0 0-0 0-1 

as AD 5-0 2-4 1-2 2-2 

vs Conf 4-4 1-8 4-3 4-2 

vs Non Conf 3-1 2-0 1-3 2-2 

Off SU Loss 4-4 2-7 3-3 4-1 

Loss by 10+ pts 2-2 2-6 1-2 4-1 

Off SU Win 2-1 0-1 2-2 2-2 

Win by 10+ pts 2-1 0-1 2-2 2-2


2015 : 9-4, 6-2 (#2 CUSA West) 






Louisiana Tech 


HC here: Skip Holtz – 4 th 




9.8% 10.1% 22.0% 58.0% 


The Bulldogs are 9-0 ATS after Season Win's (odds) Record result 

a loss as a favorite s’/10/21/06) 2016 7.5 (-110) 

2015 8 (-115) 8-4 push 

2014 5.5 (-170) 8-4 OV 

2013 5.5 (-180) 4-8 und 

2012 8 (n/a) 9-3 OV 


2015 All 10.7 (37.5-26.8) 106.9 (483-376) 70-71 6.9-5.3 1 

Conf only 9.4 (35.4-26.0) 69.9 (464-394) 68-73 6.8-5.4 -3 

2014 All 12.6 (37.4-24.7) 38.3 (401-363) 68-73 5.9-4.9 16 

Conf only 21.7 (42.2-20.6) 82.7 (415-333) 70-73 5.9-4.6 16 

2013 All -7.1 (19.2-26.2) -42.1 (366-408) 72-77 5.1-5.3 -3 

Conf only -6.2 (20.4-26.6) -44.3 (352-396) 73-76 4.8-5.2 1 

2012 All 13.0 (51.5-38.5) 51.8 (578-526) 88-80 6.6-6.5 13 

Conf only 11.8 (49.2-37.3) 120.5 (617-497) 93-72 6.7-6.9 0 



4% 29% 70% 63% 49% 20% 48% 

After back-to-back 9-win campaigns that featured impressive bowl 

victories, 4 th -year head coach Skip Holtz may have his work cut out for 

him this year. The Bulldogs are one of the least experienced teams in 

the country with just 9 returning starters. 

While the offense “only” losses 5 starters the group includes a 4,000- 

yard passer and one of the most prolific RB’s in the FBS in Kenneth 

Dixon (over 5,000 yds of offense & #2 all-time FBS TD’s). The receiving 

corps is a strength with their leader back and 5 of their top 6 while the 

OL bring back an all-conference center and both left side starters. 

The defense will clearly have to rebuild. The return 2 of their 4 DL but 

as big of a loss as Dixon was on offense, DT Vernon Butler’s loss may 

be bigger as he departs as a #1 draft choice. La Tech will need to 

replace all 3 starting LB’s as well as both CB’s and their leading tackler 

from the secondary. 

The schedule sees the Bulldogs with 7 road games including 2 vs Power 

5 conference teams along with fellow CUSA West favorite Southern 

Miss. We don’t see them matching last year’s 9 wins. 




9/10 Sat S Carolina St 



10/1 Sat UTEP 

10/8 Sat WKU 






11/25 Fri at Southern Miss 

open 

La Tech is 10-1 ATS as a HD 

after a home game (s’/11/13/93) 


2012 2013 2014 2015 

SU 9-3 4-8 9-5 9-4 

Home 4-1 2-3 4-1 5-1 

Away 5-1 2-4 4-4 3-3 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

ATS 5-6 4-8 11-3 7-6 

HF 1-2 1-2 3-2 4-2 

HD 0-1 0-2 0-0 0-0 

AF 2-2 2-0 2-1 1-3 

AD 1-1 1-3 5-0 1-1 

vs Conf 1-4 3-5 7-2 3-5 

Non Conf 4-2 1-3 4-1 4-1 

Off SU Loss 1-1 3-4 5-0 3-1 

Loss by 10+ pts 0-0 2-3 2-0 2-0 

Off SU Win 3-5 1-3 5-3 3-5 

Win by 10+ pts 3-5 1-3 5-3 3-5 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

Over/Under 11-1 2-10 6-5 7-5 

as HF 4-0 0-3 2-1 2-3 

as HD 1-0 0-2 0-0 0-0 

as AF 3-1 1-1 1-2 2-2 

as AD 2-0 1-3 3-1 2-0 

vs Conf 4-1 2-6 4-3 4-4 

vs Non Conf 7-0 0-4 2-2 3-1 

Off SU Loss 2-0 1-6 2-1 2-2 

Loss by 10+ pts 0-0 1-4 1-0 1-1 

Off SU Win 8-1 1-3 3-4 5-3 

Win by 10+ pts 8-1 1-3 3-4 5-3


2015 : 10-3, 6-2 (T #2-#3 CUSA East) 






Marshall 

The Thundering Herd in ’16 

HC here: Doc Holliday – 7 th 




11.5% 17.8% 24.1% 46.5% 


The Herd are +19.1 ppg in 


conference action the L2Y. 2016 8.5 (-125) 

2015 10 (-105) 9-3 un 

Second only to Ohio St (+22.6) 

2014 10.5 (-300) 11-1 OV 

2013 9.5 (+125) 9-3 und 

2012 5.5 (n/a) 5-7 und 


2015 All 13.5 (31.3-17.8) 40.0 (400-360) 74-77 5.4-4.7 4 

Conf only 15.8 (32.4-16.6) 46.6 (423-376) 76-78 5.6-4.8 8 

2014 All 24.6 (45.6-21.0) 202.1 (559-357) 74-75 7.6-4.7 -2 

Conf only 22.0 (44.9-22.9) 186.3 (549-362) 73-76 7.6-4.8 -5 

2013 All 19.2 (42.1-22.9) 131.8 (500-369) 78-75 6.4-4.9 3 

Conf only 19.6 (44.4-24.9) 106.5 (510-403) 76-77 6.8-5.2 2 

2012 All -2.2 (40.9-43.1) 77.7 (534-457) 91-79 5.9-5.8 -2 

Conf only -0.8 (42.5-43.2) 72.3 (528-456) 89-78 5.9-5.8 3 



100% 60% 88% 38% 61% 68% 30% 

After averaging just 5 wins per year from 2004-2012, the Thundering 

Herd have notched at least 10 wins in each of the last 3 years. They 

may be hard-pressed to match that win total this year as they return 

only 11 starters. 

After going with a freshman QB last season the Herd now have a 

sophomore that posted a 23-8 ratio. Five RB’s had between 327 yards 

and 593 yards but they do lose their stud. The receiving unit has holes 

to fill as they have to replace their top 2 which combined for 114 

receptions and 1,420 yards, which was over 47%. They lose only one 

from the OL but he was a 1 st team all-conference LG and 3-year starter. 

The defense will be missing both DT’s, their top 2 LB’s plus 3 DB’s 

including their top CB. While the losses are significant they also only 

returned 4 defensive starters last year and gave up just 17.9 ppg (best 

here since 1999). 

While Marshall gets fellow East rivals (MT and WKU) at home, they 

also pull a road trip to West favorite Southern Miss and their nonconference 

schedule includes Louisville and Pittsburgh. 



9/10 Sat Morgan St 











11/26 Sat WKU 

open 

Marshall is 7-0 ATS at home after 

a FBS win at home (s’/ 9/10/05) 


2012 2013 2014 2015 

SU 5-7 10-4 13-1 10-3 

Home 3-3 6-0 6-1 6-0 

Away 2-4 3-4 6-0 3-3 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

ATS 4-7 9-5 8-5 7-5 

HF 0-3 6-0 3-3 4-2 

HD 1-2 0-0 0-0 0-0 

AF 0-1 1-5 4-2 2-1 

AD 3-1 1-0 0-0 0-2 

vs Conf 2-5 5-4 5-4 5-3 

Non Conf 2-2 4-1 3-1 2-2 

Off SU Loss 1-4 4-0 0-1 2-1 

Loss by 10+ pts 0-3 1-0 0-0 1-1 

Off SU Win 3-2 4-5 8-3 4-4 

Win by 10+ pts 3-2 4-5 8-3 4-4 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

Over/Under 9-2 7-7 8-6 3-8 

as HF 2-0 3-3 3-4 1-4 

as HD 2-1 0-0 0-0 0-0 

as AF 1-1 4-2 4-2 1-2 

as AD 4-0 0-1 0-0 1-1 

vs Conf 7-1 7-2 4-5 1-5 

vs Non Conf 2-1 0-5 4-1 2-3 

Off SU Loss 5-0 1-3 0-1 0-2 

Loss by 10+ pts 2-0 0-1 0-0 0-2 

Off SU Win 3-2 6-3 7-5 2-6 

Win by 10+ pts 3-2 6-3 7-5 2-6


2015 : 7-6, 6-2 (T #2-#3 CUSA East) 






Middle Tenn St 

The Blue Raiders in ’16 

HC here: Rick Stockstill – 11 th 




12.6% 5.9% 34.6% 46.9% 


The Blue Raiders and Ole Miss Season Win's (odds) Record result 

were the only two teams to 2016 7.5 (-110) 

2015 7 (-105) 7-5 push 

reach 70 points twice LY 

2014 6.5 (+100) 6-6 und 

2013 5.5 (-150) 7-5 OV 

2012 4.5 (n/a) 6-6 OV 


2015 All 7.4 (34.0-26.6) 51.8 (457-406) 77-74 5.9-5.5 -4 

Conf only 10.9 (36.6-25.8) 109.5 (492-383) 77-75 6.4-5.1 0 

2014 All 0.1 (31.6-31.5) -20.9 (431-452) 73-77 5.9-5.9 -4 

Conf only -0.4 (33.8-34.1) -33.0 (457-490) 74-79 6.2-6.2 2 

2013 All 2.8 (29.0-26.2) 4.5 (408-403) 71-76 5.7-5.3 12 

Conf only 9.8 (34.9-25.1) 58.1 (450-392) 71-77 6.3-5.1 8 

2012 All -1.4 (26.6-28.0) -48.1 (393-441) 68-72 5.8-6.1 10 

Conf only -1.0 (24.8-25.8) -56.7 (390-446) 66-74 5.9-6.0 10 



99% 60% 62% 77% 78% 33% 41% 

In 2014 Middle Tennessee St went 6-6 and was returning their starting 

QB. HC Rick Stockstill decided to start a redshirt freshman instead and 

he threw for 1,400 more yards, 13 more TD’s and 3 fewer 

interceptions. Despite that QB being his son Brent any mentions of 

nepotism quickly faded. 

Brent is now an experienced sophomore and while the Blue Raiders 

must replace their “leading rusher” the next 2 are back. Two receivers 

topped 1,000 yards last season and while one departs 4 of the other 

top 6 are back giving them solid depth for the skill positions. Middle 

will need to replace both left side starters but two backups did make 

a combined 8 starts last season (overall the OL has 72 career starts). 

The defense returns 3 of their 4 starting DL and both CB’s. The flip side 

is they lose all 3 LB’s and both safeties who happen to be 5 of their top 

6 tacklers from last season including 3 rd -round draft choice Kevin 

Byard who had a school-record 19 career interceptions. 

The schedule includes only 5 home games and they play 4 road games 

in a 5 week stretch in late October through mid-November. 



9/3 Sat Alabama A&M 


9/17 Sat at Bowling Green 



10/15 Sat WKU 



11/5 Sat UTSA 




open 

Middle Tenn St is 8-3 to the 

UNDER as an away dog the L3Y 


2012 2013 2014 2015 

SU 8-4 8-5 6-6 7-6 

Home 3-2 5-1 5-1 5-1 

Away 5-2 3-3 1-5 2-4 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

ATS 6-4 5-7 6-6 8-5 

HF 2-1 2-2 3-2 4-2 

HD 0-1 2-0 0-1 0-0 

AF 2-0 1-2 0-1 2-0 

AD 2-2 0-2 3-2 2-2 

vs Conf 4-2 5-3 4-4 5-3 

Non Conf 2-2 0-4 2-2 3-2 

Off SU Loss 3-0 2-2 3-2 2-3 

Loss by 10+ pts 2-0 2-1 3-2 2-1 

Off SU Win 3-3 3-4 2-4 5-2 

Win by 10+ pts 3-3 3-4 2-4 5-2 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

Over/Under 5-5 5-8 7-4 4-8 

as HF 1-1 2-2 4-1 2-3 

as HD 0-1 1-1 0-1 0-0 

as AF 2-1 2-1 1-0 0-2 

as AD 2-2 0-3 2-2 1-3 

vs Conf 3-4 4-4 5-2 3-5 

vs Non Conf 2-1 1-4 2-2 1-3 

Off SU Loss 2-0 1-3 3-1 3-2 

Loss by 10+ pts 2-0 1-2 3-1 2-1 

Off SU Win 3-5 3-5 3-3 1-6 

Win by 10+ pts 3-5 3-5 3-3 1-6


2015 : 1-11, 1-7 (#6 CUSA West) 






North Texas 

The Mean Green in ’16 

HC here: Seth Littrell – 1 st 




15.0% 9.6% 42.7% 32.7% 


Mean Green are 2-12 ATS away Season Win's (odds) Record result 

after a win as a dog (s’/ 9/23/95) 2016 2 (-110) 

2015 5 (-120) 1-11 und 

2014 5.5 (-300) 4-8 und 

2013 5.5 (+170) 8-4 OV 

2012 5 (n/a) 4-8 und 


2015 All -26.1 (15.2-41.2) -182.5 (320-503) 70-75 4.6-6.7 -7 

Conf only -20.8 (18.2-39.0) -146.5 (356-503) 70-77 5.1-6.5 -5 

2014 All -2.7 (27.2-29.8) -43.0 (326-369) 67-67 4.9-5.5 0 

Conf only -10.9 (21.9-32.8) -46.4 (325-371) 69-66 4.7-5.6 -4 

2013 All 14.1 (31.8-17.8) 62.2 (410-348) 73-68 5.6-5.1 11 

Conf only 18.8 (32.8-14.0) 122.6 (412-290) 72-67 5.8-4.3 5 

2012 All -6.9 (20.9-27.8) -22.6 (392-415) 71-68 5.5-6.1 1 

Conf only -5.8 (20.1-25.9) -16.8 (394-411) 71-69 5.5-6.0 0 



0% 58% 28% 47% 56% 57% 81% 

A case could be made that North Texas was the worst team in the 

country last year getting outscored by 26 ppg and also lost to FCS 

Portland St by 59. The Mean Green were also outscored 122-9 in the 

first quarter (did not score a TD). This year new head coach Seth Littrell 

takes over. He’ll run a Texas Tech-style of offense here, which suits the 

Texas recruiting area. 

While a pair of QB’s split time and the most productive is back it looks 

as if though they will go with Alabama transfer Alec Morris. The 

backfield is set with their top RB back but the receiving unit loses 4 of 

their top 5. Three OL starters will lead the way with a 35 game starter 

back at center. 

The defense has to replace their top LB and top CB but everyone else 

returns. They will be going to a 3-3-5 with a new DC, add in 3 JUCO’s 

as well as a Kansas St transfer and all will be battling for a starting job. 

The schedule is not kind as they pull the 3 best teams from CUSA East 

(MT, Marshall and WKU) and all their winnable games (Rice, UTSA 

and UTEP) are on the road. They may be favored in only 1 game. 



9/3 Sat SMU 

9/10 Sat Beth-Cookman 





10/22 Sat at Army 






open 

North Texas is 8-0 ATS as a FAV 

after a game as a AF (s’/ 11/1/03) 


2012 2013 2014 2015 

SU 4-8 9-4 4-8 1-11 

Home 3-2 5-1 4-2 1-4 

Away 1-6 3-3 0-6 0-7 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

ATS 5-6 10-3 4-8 4-8 

HF 1-1 4-1 3-2 0-1 

HD 1-2 1-0 1-0 2-2 

AF 0-0 3-1 0-0 0-0 

AD 3-3 1-1 0-6 2-5 

vs Conf 3-4 6-2 2-6 3-5 

Non Conf 2-2 4-1 2-2 1-3 

Off SU Loss 3-3 3-1 4-3 4-6 

Loss by 10+ pts 3-3 0-1 4-3 4-6 

Off SU Win 1-3 6-2 0-4 0-1 

Win by 10+ pts 1-3 6-2 0-4 0-1 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

Over/Under 5-6 3-9 7-5 5-7 

as HF 0-1 0-5 3-2 0-1 

as HD 0-3 0-0 0-1 3-1 

as AF 0-1 2-2 0-0 0-0 

as AD 5-1 1-1 4-2 2-5 

vs Conf 2-6 2-6 4-4 3-5 

vs Non Conf 3-0 1-3 3-1 2-2 

Off SU Loss 0-6 1-2 4-3 4-6 

Loss by 10+ pts 0-5 0-1 4-3 4-6 

Off SU Win 4-0 2-6 3-1 1-0 

Win by 10+ pts 4-0 2-6 3-1 1-0


2015 : 5-7, 3-5 (T #4-#6 CUSA East) 






Old Dominion 

The Monarchs in ’16 

HC here: Bobby Wilder – 8 th 




24.2% 17.8% 31.8% 26.1% 


The Monarchs are 7-3 ATS 


to the OVER playing in 

2016 5 (+100) 

November 

2015 4.5 (-145) 5-7 OV 

2014 5.5 (+220) 6-6 OV 

2013 FCS - - 

2012 FCS - - 


2015 All -11.5 (24.2-35.8) -65.7 (371-437) 70-77 5.3-5.7 -1 

Conf only -10.4 (26.9-37.2) -42.2 (407-450) 73-79 5.6-5.7 -1 

2014 All -5.3 (32.7-38) -10.3 (442-452) 69-74 6.4-6.1 -1 

Conf only -8.1 (34-42.1) -18.6 (453-472) 68-74 6.7-6.4 -3 

2013 All 8.3 (42.3-34) 66.8 (519-452) 77-72 6.8-6.3 4 

- - - - - - 

- - - - - - 

- - - - - - 



9/3 Sat Hampton 



9/24 Sat UTSA 








11/26 Sat FIU 

open 

In Old Dominion first 2 seasons 

in CUSA they went 1-7 ATS 

versus non-conference foes 



100% 100% 92% 52% 84% 70% 71% 

The Monarchs have admirably just missed out on a bowl in each of 

their first two seasons playing at the FBS level. This year’s team thanks 

to the return of 17 starters is the deepest and most talented head 

coach Bobby Wilder has fielded in his 8 years. 

Trying to replace a QB that is on an NFL roster is tough especially for a 

freshman and after struggling, the Monarchs brought in a receiver and 

they split time. Both are back as are basically the entire running back 

and receiving corps. The only lost starters are on the OL where they 

lose a pair of 2-year starters and while 5 are back with starting 

experience, none started more than 9 games last year. 

ODU loses one starter from each of the defensive units. The DL returns 

11 of their top 12 and should be the strength of the defense while the 

LB corps returns their top tackler. In the defensive backfield, they have 

to replace the unit’s top tackler. 

The Monarchs do have to play on the road at Appalachian St and NC 

State in non-conference action and also pull Southern Miss from the 

West. They still could be favored in as many as 6 games. 


2012 2013 2014 2015 

SU 11-2 8-4 6-6 5-7 

Home 6-2 6-0 4-2 3-4 

Away 5-0 2-4 2-4 2-3 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

ATS 0-0 3-2 4-8 3-9 

HF 0-0 0-0 0-4 1-2 

HD 0-0 0-0 1-1 1-3 

AF 0-0 1-0 0-0 0-1 

AD 0-0 2-2 3-3 1-3 

vs Conf 0-0 0-0 3-5 3-5 

Non Conf 0-0 3-2 1-3 0-4 

Off SU Loss 0-0 2-1 0-6 2-4 

Loss by 10+ pts 0-0 2-1 0-5 2-4 

Off SU Win 0-0 0-1 4-1 1-4 

Win by 10+ pts 0-0 0-1 4-1 1-4 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

Over/Under 0-0 3-2 6-5 6-5 

as HF 0-0 0-0 1-2 1-2 

as HD 0-0 0-0 0-2 2-2 

as AF 0-0 1-0 0-0 1-0 

as AD 0-0 2-2 5-1 2-1 

vs Conf 0-0 0-0 4-3 5-2 

vs Non Conf 0-0 3-2 2-2 1-3 

Off SU Loss 0-0 1-2 4-2 4-2 

Loss by 10+ pts 0-0 1-2 3-2 4-2 

Off SU Win 0-0 1-0 2-2 1-3 

Win by 10+ pts 0-0 1-0 2-2 1-3


2015 : 5-7, 3-5 (T #3-#4 CUSA West) 






Rice 


HC here: David Bailiff – 10 th 




19.0% 24.7% 27.8% 28.5% 


The Owls are 7-0-1 ATS as a HD Season Win's (odds) Record result 

after a win as a HD (S’/ 10/4/80) 2016 6 (+100) 

2015 7.5 (-115) 5-7 und 

2014 6.5 (+100) 7-5 OV 

2013 7.5 (-190) 9-3 OV 

2012 3.5 (n/a) 6-6 OV 


2015 All -9.8 (26.1-35.8) -45.6 (402-447) 76-63 5.3-7.1 -12 

Conf only -12.1 (21.8-33.9) -59.8 (392-452) 76-64 5.2-7.1 -6 

2014 All 0.3 (28.8-28.5) 13.3 (399-386) 71-67 5.6-5.7 8 

Conf only 0.6 (31.0-30.4) -1.3 (387-388) 71-66 5.4-5.9 6 

2013 All 5.2 (29.6-24.4) 41.5 (406-364) 75-68 5.4-5.3 7 

Conf only 11.2 (31.4-20.2) 76.6 (408-332) 74-69 5.5-4.8 7 

2012 All 1.8 (31.8-30.0) 3.6 (427-424) 79-68 5.4-6.2 5 

Conf only 3.5 (32.6-29.1) -19.7 (417-436) 77-71 5.4-6.2 7 



12% 88% 74% 65% 86% 90% 76% 

After one of the best 3-year stretches in school history, Rice fell to 5- 

7 a year ago missing out on a bowl. The Owls used 31 redshirt or true 

freshman last year, the most of any team in the FBS and look to be in 

better shape heading into 2016. 

The Owls are looking for a new QB and after spring the decision has 

yet to be made. Four RB’s had 70+ attempts and all return making the 

backfield deep. The Owls have to replace their #2 receiver but they are 

loaded with experienced part-time players to fill the gap. The OL 

returns 3 starters but have to replace a 3-year starter which was 1 st 

team all-conference as well as a 4-year starting RT. 

Rice can say they were the #1 team in the FBS last year but 

unfortunately the category is yards per play allowed (7.13) with no 

team higher since 2013. With those numbers many players saw action 

and their top 7 tacklers return in what should be one of the most 

improved defenses in the country. 

The Owls should be favored in as many as 6 games, however they play 

4 road games against teams that won at least 9 games last year. 



9/1 Thu at WKU 


9/16 Fri Baylor 




10/22 Sat PV A&M 

10/29 Sat at La Tech 





open 

Rice is 15-4 ATS as a HF off a 

road loss (s’/ Nov 4, 2000) 


2012 2013 2014 2015 

SU 7-6 10-4 8-5 5-7 

Home 3-2 6-0 4-1 3-3 

Away 3-3 4-2 3-4 2-4 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

ATS 8-4 8-6 8-4 5-7 

HF 2-0 3-2 3-1 2-1 

HD 1-1 1-0 0-0 0-3 

AF 0-2 2-1 3-0 1-1 

AD 4-0 2-1 1-3 2-2 

vs Conf 5-3 5-4 4-3 3-5 

Non Conf 3-1 3-2 4-1 2-2 

Off SU Loss 3-2 2-1 4-1 3-4 

Loss by 10+ pts 1-1 2-0 3-1 3-3 

Off SU Win 5-1 5-5 4-2 1-3 

Win by 10+ pts 5-1 5-5 4-2 1-3 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

Over/Under 6-7 6-7 6-7 5-5 

as HF 1-1 1-4 2-3 1-1 

as HD 2-1 1-0 0-0 1-2 

as AF 1-1 2-1 2-1 1-1 

as AD 2-2 2-1 2-2 2-1 

vs Conf 4-5 4-5 4-4 2-5 

vs Non Conf 2-2 2-2 2-3 3-0 

Off SU Loss 2-4 1-2 2-3 2-4 

Loss by 10+ pts 1-2 1-1 1-3 1-4 

Off SU Win 3-3 4-5 3-4 3-1 

Win by 10+ pts 3-3 4-5 3-4 3-1


2015 : 9-5, 7-1 (#1 CUSA West) 


NCAA Rank Off - Def: #12 - 51 




Southern Miss 

The Golden Eagles in ’16 

HC here: Jay Hopson – 1 st 




4.6% 17.0% 34.6% 43.8% 


The Eagles are 18-5-1 ATS on Season Win's (odds) Record result 

the road off a win (s’/10/21/07) 2016 8 (-110) 

2015 4.5 (+115) 9-3 OV 

2014 3.5 (-180) 3-9 und 

2013 5.5 (-130) 1-11 und 

2012 7.5 (n/a) 0-12 und 


2015 All 14.4 (39.9-25.6) 130.0 (510-380) 74-71 6.9-5.3 -1 

Conf only 20.9 (41.8-20.9) 206.6 (529-322) 75-70 7.0-4.6 -2 

2014 All -16.4 (19.0-35.4) -86.4 (365-451) 72-70 5.1-6.4 -10 

Conf only -14.4 (21.1-35.5) -47.8 (386-434) 74-69 5.2-6.3 -15 

2013 All -24.8 (17.1-41.9) -120.0 (316-436) 68-74 4.6-5.9 -19 

Conf only -21.8 (20.9-42.6) -135.7 (323-459) 69-76 4.7-6.0 -8 

2012 All -18.2 (19.7-37.8) -101.6 (323-424) 66-70 4.9-6.1 -16 

Conf only -16.8 (21.0-37.8) -80.6 (335-415) 67-70 5-5.9 -12 



98% 43% 43% 60% 64% 38% 85% 

What a 5-year cycle for the Golden Eagles. In 2011, they win CUSA and 

go 12-2. After HC Larry Fedora’s departure, they go 0-12 the following 

season. Todd Monken raised his team’s record all 3 seasons from 1-11 

to 3-9 and then 9-5 last season but late in January, he left for an NFL 

OC job and new head coach Jay Hopson comes from Alcorn St (32-17). 

The offense is in fine shape as they return their QB, one of their two 

1,000 yard rushers and while they loss their top 2 WR’s they return all 

remaining 8 receivers that made catches. It’s always a positive when 

you return a 1 st team all-conference center and will be joined by both 

guards (94 career starts). 

The DL loses both DT’s but both backups had considerably playing time 

last year. They return only one LB but need to replace their MLB who 

was their defensive leader. In the secondary despite losing their best 

CB they return the other 11 DB’s which saw action. 

While the Golden Eagles play a pair of SEC teams on the road, they 

could be favored in their other 10 games as they get key conference 

games vs Marshall and Louisiana Tech at home. 




9/10 Sat Savannah St 

9/17 Sat Troy 


10/1 Sat Rice 







11/25 Fri La Tech 

open 

So Miss is 12-2-1 ATS as a dog 

after a win as a fav (s’/12/22/07) 


2012 2013 2014 2015 

SU 0-12 1-11 3-9 9-5 

Home 0-6 0-5 2-4 5-1 

Away 0-6 1-6 1-5 4-2 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

ATS 3-9 3-9 5-7 10-4 

HF 0-3 0-2 0-1 4-1 

HD 2-1 1-2 0-4 1-0 

AF 0-0 0-0 0-0 2-0 

AD 1-5 2-5 4-2 3-1 

vs Conf 2-6 2-6 3-5 6-3 

Non Conf 1-3 1-3 2-2 4-1 

Off SU Loss 3-8 3-8 4-4 3-1 

Loss by 10+ pts 3-4 3-6 3-3 2-1 

Off SU Win 0-0 0-0 1-2 6-3 

Win by 10+ pts 0-0 0-0 1-2 6-3 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

Over/Under 8-4 7-5 5-7 6-8 

as HF 1-2 0-2 0-1 2-3 

as HD 2-1 2-1 3-1 0-1 

as AF 0-0 0-0 0-0 1-1 

as AD 5-1 5-2 2-4 2-2 

vs Conf 5-3 5-3 4-4 3-6 

vs Non Conf 3-1 2-2 1-3 3-2 

Off SU Loss 7-4 7-4 3-5 2-2 

Loss by 10+ pts 4-3 5-4 2-4 2-1 

Off SU Win 0-0 0-0 2-1 4-5 

Win by 10+ pts 0-0 0-0 2-1 4-5


2015 : 5-7, 3-5 (T #3-#5 CUSA West) 






UTEP 

The Miners in ’16 

HC here: Sean Kugler – 4 th 




11.0% 22.7% 27.3% 39.0% 


The Miners are 1-12 ATS as an Season Win's (odds) Record result 

AD after a loss (S’/ 11/25/11) 2016 5 (-110) 

2015 6 (-120) 5-7 und 

2014 2.5 (-180) 7-5 OV 

2013 4.5 (+120) 2-10 und 

2012 4 (n/a) 3-9 und 


2015 All -12.2 (20.7-32.9) -86.5 (341-428) 69-63 4.9-6.8 -11 

Conf only -9.5 (17.2-26.8) -53.6 (323-377) 71-62 4.6-6.1 -8 

2014 All -1.5 (26.6-28.1) -17.8 (351-369) 66-59 5.3-6.3 9 

Conf only 0.6 (26.6-26.0) 17.1 (341-323) 64-59 5.3-5.5 2 

2013 All -17.6 (21.8-39.3) -120.4 (348-468) 69-63 5.1-7.4 -6 

Conf only -19.8 (16.9-36.6) -131.5 (317-448) 66-66 4.8-6.8 -6 

2012 All -8.6 (21.2-29.8) -68.0 (373-441) 69-72 5.4-6.1 -4 

Conf only -8.8 (21.2-30.0) -51.9 (385-437) 69-73 5.6-6.0 -8 



48% 62% 83% 80% 51% 71% 58% 

After notching a bowl bid in 2014, last year’s UTEP team was 

decimated by injuries to several key players and fell back to 5-7. This 

year’s team should be in better shape but they are changing up 

schemes with two new coordinators. 

The injury bug already hit UTEP as their returning starter at QB is out 

for the year but they have a Fresno St graduate transfer joining this 

summer. They lose their top 2 RB’s, but they only had 657 combined 

yards and if Aaron Jones (injured last year) returns to his 2014 form 

(1321 yards), this unit is better. The Miners return their top 5 receivers 

and the OL loses only one starter (87 career starts). 

The defense loses its top DL, 2 LB’s and a pair of DB’s. The Miners do 

return their top player in LB Alvin Jones but that is also the position 

which lacks the most depth. Because of injuries, 3 freshman played in 

the secondary most of last season. 

The schedule is favorable as they have 3 winnable non-conference 

games and they avoid Marshall, Middle Tennessee and WKU from 

CUSA East. The Miners could be favored in 6-7 games this year. 





9/17 Sat Army 



10/8 Sat FIU 



11/5 Sat Hou Baptist 




open 

UTEP is 10-1 ATS home after a 

win as an AD (s’/ Oct 17, 1998) 


2012 2013 2014 2015 

SU 3-9 2-10 7-6 5-7 

Home 2-4 1-4 5-1 3-2 

Away 1-5 1-6 2-4 2-5 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

ATS 4-7 2-10 7-5 6-6 

HF 0-3 1-1 4-1 0-1 

HD 2-0 0-3 1-0 3-1 

AF 0-1 1-0 0-0 1-0 

AD 2-3 0-6 2-3 2-4 

vs Conf 2-6 1-7 4-3 5-3 

Non Conf 2-1 1-3 3-2 1-3 

Off SU Loss 1-6 2-7 3-2 5-2 

Loss by 10+ pts 1-5 1-6 1-2 4-2 

Off SU Win 2-1 0-2 3-3 1-3 

Win by 10+ pts 2-1 0-2 3-3 1-3 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

Over/Under 6-6 5-6 3-9 4-8 

as HF 2-2 1-1 2-3 0-1 

as HD 1-1 1-2 0-1 0-4 

as AF 1-0 1-0 0-0 1-0 

as AD 2-3 2-3 1-4 3-3 

vs Conf 4-4 2-5 1-6 1-7 

vs Non Conf 2-2 3-1 2-3 3-1 

Off SU Loss 3-5 4-5 2-2 3-4 

Loss by 10+ pts 2-5 3-4 1-1 3-3 

Off SU Win 3-0 0-1 1-6 0-4 

Win by 10+ pts 3-0 0-1 1-6 0-4


2015 : 3-9, 3-5 (T #3-#5 CUSA West) 






UTSA 

The Roadrunners in ’16 

HC here: Frank Wilson – 1 st 




3.9% 36.8% 14.0% 45.3% 


Over the last two seasons Season Win's (odds) Record result 

the Roadrunners are only 

2016 4 (-110) 

2015 2.5 (-170) 3-9 OV 

3-12 ATS off a loss 

2014 6.5 (-300) 4-8 und 

2013 2.5 (+115) 7-5 OV 

2012 4 (n/a) 4-8 push 


2015 All -11.2 (22.6-33.8) -81.8 (362-444) 73-74 5.0-6.0 -1 

Conf only -5.0 (23.9-28.9) -91.5 (352-443) 73-76 4.9-5.8 7 

2014 All -8.8 (17.1-25.9) -72.2 (298-370) 66-71 4.5-5.2 -3 

Conf only -10.1 (16.6-26.8) -64.5 (301-366) 66-70 4.6-5.3 -4 

2013 All -0.8 (25.6-26.3) 41.5 (418-376) 70-70 6.0-5.4 -7 

Conf only 7.5 (26.2-18.8) 65.4 (406-340) 67-71 6.1-4.8 2 

2012 All 2.4 (31.2-28.8) 10.5 (390-380) 67-67 5.9-5.7 14 

Conf only -8.0 (29.2-37.2) -29.0 (412-441) 69-72 5.9-6.1 2 



60% 94% 58% 58% 55% 56% 51% 

After going 8-4 in their first season of FBS play, UTSA saw their record 

slip in each of the next 3 years which led to the retirement of Larry 

Coker. New head coach Frank Wilson has spent the last 6 years as a 

recruiting coordinator and running backs coach at LSU. He has been 

named the national recruiter of the year by several different sources 

and should be right at home in the talent rich state of Texas. 

UTSA’s starting QB changed after 5 games last year because of an 

injury and the returnee has 7 games of starting experience. The RB 

unit returns intact and while they lose a starting receiver and TE they 

reloaded with JUCO’s and transfers. The OL returns three starters but 

(40 career starts). 

The Roadrunners lose a couple of DL, a LB and 3 from the secondary 

and will look to newcomers for help. It was a very young defense for 

most of the season and 3 JUCO’s plus an LSU graduate transfer will 

help fill the holes. 

The home schedule is favorable as they could be favored in 4 of them 

but the road schedule could see them as an underdog in all 6. 



9/3 Sat Alabama St 

9/10 Sat at Colorado St 

9/16 Fri Arizona St 










open 

Of the 89 players on UTSA’s 

spring roster 70 are from Texas 

incl all 12 returning starters 


2012 2013 2014 2015 

SU 8-4 7-5 4-8 3-9 

Home 4-2 3-3 3-3 1-5 

Away 4-2 4-2 1-5 2-4 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

ATS 7-3 7-4 4-7 5-7 

HF 0-0 2-1 1-4 1-1 

HD 1-2 1-1 1-0 2-2 

AF 2-0 1-0 0-1 1-2 

AD 2-1 3-1 2-2 1-2 

vs Conf 0-1 5-3 2-5 3-5 

Non Conf 7-2 2-1 2-2 2-2 

Off SU Loss 2-2 2-2 1-6 2-6 

Loss by 10+ pts 2-2 1-2 1-3 1-3 

Off SU Win 4-1 4-2 2-1 2-1 

Win by 10+ pts 4-1 4-2 2-1 2-1 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

Over/Under 6-2 3-9 4-8 6-5 

as HF 0-0 1-2 1-4 1-0 

as HD 3-0 1-1 0-1 2-2 

as AF 1-0 0-1 1-0 1-2 

as AD 2-1 0-5 2-3 2-1 

vs Conf 0-1 1-7 3-5 3-4 

vs Non Conf 6-1 2-2 1-3 3-1 

Off SU Loss 3-0 1-4 3-5 4-4 

Loss by 10+ pts 3-0 0-4 2-3 2-2 

Off SU Win 2-2 2-4 1-2 1-1 

Win by 10+ pts 2-2 2-4 1-2 1-1


2015 : 12-2, 8-0 (#1 CUSA East) 






WKU 

The Hilltoppers in ’16 

HC here: Jeff Brohm – 3 rd 




5.5% 16.0% 31.6% 46.9% 


In CUSA’s 20 seasons WKU LY Season Win's (odds) Record result 

was the first to go undefeated 2016 8.5 (+110) 

2015 7.5 (-130) 10-2 OV 

and win the conference title. 

2014 5.5 (+220) 7-5 OV 

2013 6.5 (-195) 8-4 OV 

2012 6 (n/a) 7-5 OV 


2015 All 18.4 (44.3-25.9) 121.1 (526-405) 73-71 7.2-5.7 14 

Conf only 26.0 (50.0-24.0) 186.9 (550-363) 73-69 7.5-5.2 12 

2014 All 4.5 (44.4-39.9) 24.7 (535-510) 76-77 7.1-6.7 5 

Conf only 0.0 (43.4-43.4) -19.2 (510-530) 73-80 7.0-6.7 5 

2013 All 6.2 (30.8-24.6) 119.3 (459-339) 73-64 6.3-5.3 -10 

Conf only 5.9 (31.0-25.1) 120.0 (469-349) 75-67 6.3-5.2 -2 

2012 All 2.7 (28.2-25.5) 35.1 (383-348) 65-65 5.9-5.3 -1 

Conf only 1.0 (27.8-26.8) -7.7 (369-377) 65-69 5.7-5.5 1 



3% 93% 57% 100% 51% 53% 74% 

While Houston was the consensus top Group of 5 team last season, 

WKU was not far behind. The Cougars went 13-1 versus the #92 

schedule with an average score of 40-21 (+101 yards per game). The 

Hilltoppers went 12-2 versus the #91 schedule with an average score 

of 44-26 (+121 yards per game). Plus, WKU only played 6 home games 

compared to Houston’s 8 home games. 

On offense, they lose all-everything QB Brandon Doughty (5,055 yards, 

48-9 ratio). The top 2 RB’s return and they get 2014 starter Leon Allen 

back from injury They also return their top 2 WR’s but do have to 

replace TE Tyler Higbee (4 th -round draft choice). They OL brings back 

all 5 starters (131 career starts) but loses their OL coach to USC. 

The defense gave up its share of yards and points last season and this 

year only 4 starters return. The positive spin is that the Hilltoppers 

return their top tackler and sack man from the DL, leading team 

tackler at LB and top 2 tacklers from the secondary. 

While WKU could be the most talented team in CUSA again, they do 

have to play at Louisiana Tech, Middle Tennessee and Marshall. 



9/1 Thu Rice 


9/17 Sat at Miami (OH) 


10/1 Sat Houston Baptist 





11/5 Sat FIU 



open 

WKU is 8-2 to the OVER when 

they as away dog the L4Y 


2012 2013 2014 2015 

SU 7-6 8-4 8-5 12-2 

Home 3-3 3-2 5-1 5-0 

Away 4-2 4-2 2-4 5-2 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

ATS 7-5 5-7 6-6 9-5 

HF 2-4 1-3 3-1 3-1 

HD 0-0 1-0 1-0 1-0 

AF 3-0 2-3 0-1 3-2 

AD 2-0 0-1 2-3 0-2 

vs Conf 3-4 2-5 3-4 7-2 

Non Conf 4-1 3-2 3-2 2-3 

Off SU Loss 2-2 1-3 2-2 2-0 

Loss by 10+ pts 1-0 0-2 0-0 1-0 

Off SU Win 4-3 3-4 3-4 7-4 

Win by 10+ pts 4-3 3-4 3-4 7-4 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

Over/Under 7-5 6-6 9-3 10-4 

as HF 4-1 2-2 3-2 3-1 

as HD 0-0 0-1 1-0 1-0 

as AF 1-2 2-3 1-0 3-2 

as AD 2-1 1-0 3-1 2-0 

vs Conf 5-3 3-4 5-2 6-3 

vs Non Conf 2-2 3-2 4-1 4-1 

Off SU Loss 3-2 3-1 3-2 2-0 

Loss by 10+ pts 1-0 1-1 0-1 1-0 

Off SU Win 4-3 2-5 5-1 8-3 

Win by 10+ pts 4-3 2-5 5-1 8-3

2015 FINAL 

Overall Pts/G 

TEAM W L Pct Own Opp 

Notre Dame 10 3 76.9% 34.2 24.1 

Brigham Young 9 4 69.2% 33.7 22.8 

Army 2 10 16.7% 22.1 27.8 

UMass - OV 3 9 25.0% 22.2 31.4 

UMass - MAC 2 6 25.0% - - 

BRAD POWER 


12 Notre Dame 87.71 

41 BYU 78.80 

106 Army 58.58 

125 UMass 50.16 

2016 PRESEASON AP TOP 25 

RK Team Pts 

1 Alabama (33) 1469 

2 Clemson (16) 1443 

3 Oklahoma (4) 1352 

4 Florida St (5) 1325 

5 LSU(1) 1269 

6 Ohio St (1) 1224 

7 Michigan(1) 1147 

8 Stanford 1029 

9 Tennessee 1021 

10 Notre Dame 1006 

11 Ole Miss 718 

12 Michigan St 710 

13 TCU 707 

14 Washington 651 

15 Houston 644 

16 UCLA 496 

17 Iowa 484 

18 Georgia 448 

19 Louisville 447 

20 USC 344 

21 Oklahoma St 316 

22 North Carolina 283 

23 Baylor 280 

24 Oregon 218 

25 Florida 180


2015 : 2-10 




Recruiting: Conf – Ov: NA - #121 


Army 

The Black Knights in ’16 

HC here: Jeff Monken – 3 rd 




15.2% 26.1% 29.2% 29.5% 


The Black Knights are 1-11 


ATS as an AF (s’/9/20/97) 

2016 4.5 (-110) 

2015 3.5 (-155) 2-10 und 

2014 5.5 (-145) 4-8 und 

2013 4.5 (-110) 3-9 und 

2012 5.5 (n/a) 2-10 und 


2015 All -5.8 (22.1-27.8) -37.3 (338-376) 60-62 5.6-6.1 -11 

’15 conf only - - - - - 

2014 All -8.0 (24.9-32.9) -72.1 (359-431) 64-67 5.6-6.5 2 

’14 conf only - - - - - 

2013 All -7.2 (24.4-31.6) -23.5 (387-411) 71-63 5.5-6.6 0 

’13 conf only - - - - - 

2012 All -11.1 (24.2-35.3) 8.9 (436-427) 77-64 5.7-6.7 -8 

’12 conf only - - - - - 



71% 59% 81% 42% 74% 97% 87% 

The Black Knights were much better than their record 2-10 record 

indicated last year as they were just 1-7 in games decided by a TD or 

less (worst mark in the country) and were only -37 ypg. This year’s 

team is head coach Jeff Monken’s best yet as they return 15 starters. 

Three QB’s shared duties last year and both the best runner 

(Bradshaw) and best passer (Carter) are back this year but neither 

emerged as the lone starter out of spring. They do return 4 of their top 

6 RB’s and their top receiver. On the OL, they must replace their center 

and their top OT, but 5 are back with starting experience because of 

injuries (44 career starts). 

On the DL, Army has to replace only one full-time starter and that is at 

NG. They have four NG on the roster at 260+ lbs which is heftier than 

in the past. The top 6 tacklers from the LB unit return as do the top 3 

DB tacklers (52 career starts). 

The schedule is manageable with 2 home games against FCS teams, a 

home game vs North Texas and winnable road games at UTEP, 

Buffalo and Wake Forest. The Black Knights should contend for only 

their 2 nd bowl bid since 1996. 



9/2 Fri at Temple 

9/10 Sat Rice 


9/24 Sat at Buffalo 


10/15 Sat Lafayette (PA) 



11/5 Sat Air Force 


11/19 Sat Morgan St 

12/10 Sat (N) Navy 

open 

Army is 2-13 ATS at home after a 

win (since/ Oct 17, 1998) 


2012 2013 2014 2015 

SU 2-10 3-9 4-8 2-10 

Home 2-5 2-3 3-2 1-5 

Away 0-4 0-5 0-5 1-4 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

ATS 4-8 4-8 5-7 6-6 

HF 0-2 1-1 2-0 0-3 

HD 3-2 2-1 1-2 1-2 

AF 0-1 0-0 0-2 0-0 

AD 0-3 0-5 0-2 3-1 

vs Conf 1-0 0-1 1-0 0-0 

Non Conf 3-8 4-7 4-7 6-6 

Off SU Loss 4-5 4-4 3-4 4-5 

Loss by 10+ pts 3-4 4-2 2-3 1-2 

Off SU Win 0-2 0-3 1-3 2-0 

Win by 10+ pts 0-2 0-3 1-3 2-0 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

Over/Under 6-5 5-7 8-4 4-8 

as HF 1-0 1-1 2-0 2-1 

as HD 3-2 1-2 2-1 0-3 

as AF 1-0 0-0 2-0 0-0 

as AD 1-2 3-2 1-1 1-3 

vs Conf 0-1 0-1 0-1 0-0 

vs Non Conf 6-4 5-6 8-3 4-8 

Off SU Loss 6-2 4-4 5-2 2-7 

Loss by 10+ pts 4-2 3-3 3-2 1-2 

Off SU Win 0-2 1-2 2-2 1-1 

Win by 10+ pts 0-2 1-2 2-2 1-1


2015 : 9-4 






BYU 


HC here: Kalani Sitake – 1 st 




7.3% 20.3% 33.9% 38.5% 


The Cougars are 5-1-1 ATS 


the game after allowing 38+ 2016 8 (+105) 

2015 8.5 (+160) 9-3 OV 

points the last 6 seasons. 

2014 8.5 (-285) 8-4 und 

2013 8.5 (+100) 8-4 und 

2012 8.5 (n/a) 7-5 und 


2015 All 10.8 (33.7-22.8) 79.1 (425-346) 71-71 6.0-4.9 2 

’15 conf only - - - - - 

2014 All 9.5 (37.1-27.5) 68.9 (460-392) 81-79 5.7-4.9 -1 

’14 conf only - - - - - 

2013 All 8.1 (30.2-22.1) 114.8 (494-379) 85-79 5.8-4.8 2 

’13 conf only - - - - - 

2012 All 14.7 (28.7-14.0) 134.3 (400-266) 77-61 5.2-4.4 -3 

’12 conf only - - - - - 



100% 74% 45% 65% 50% 67% 76% 

After 10 consecutive winning seasons, head coach Bronco Mendenhall 

surprisingly departed for Virginia this past December. New head coach 

Kalani Sitake wasn’t BYU’s first choice, but he played here in the 90’s 

and was the Utah DC from 2009-2014. 

The injury to QB Taysom Hill and the suspension of RB Jamaal Williams 

last year could be a blessing in disguise as both return this year along 

with last year’s starters QB Tanner Mangum and RB Algernon Brown. 

They do lose their top 2 receivers but bring back 4 starters on the OL 

that have a combined 101 career starts. 

The DL returns 5 of its top 6 tacklers but they will miss their leader 

Bronson Kaufusi who was drafted in the 3rd round. The LB unit returns 

its top two players but does lose depth with the #3, #4 and #5 

departing. The secondary just like the DL losses its leader but the next 

5 tacklers all will be back. 

This year’s schedule is among the toughest in school history as the 

Cougars play 10 bowl teams from last year (6 Power 5 teams) and 

they could be an underdog in as many as 7 games. 



9/3 Sat (N) Arizona 


9/17 Sat UCLA 

9/24 Sat (N) West Virginia 

9/30 Fri Toledo 


10/14 Fri Miss St 

10/20 Thu at Boise St 


11/12 Sat S Utah 



open 

BYU is 8-0 ATS at home off a 

loss as a FAV (s’/ Oct 16, 2004) 


2012 2013 2014 2015 

SU 8-5 8-5 8-5 9-4 

Home 5-1 5-1 4-2 6-0 

Away 3-4 3-3 4-2 3-2 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

ATS 7-5 5-7 5-8 8-5 

HF 2-3 3-1 1-5 4-1 

HD 0-0 1-0 0-0 1-0 

AF 2-2 0-3 2-0 1-1 

AD 3-0 1-1 1-2 2-1 

vs Conf 1-0 0-1 0-0 0-0 

Non Conf 6-5 5-6 5-8 8-5 

Off SU Loss 5-0 2-1 1-3 2-1 

Loss by 10+ pts 1-0 0-0 1-1 1-0 

Off SU Win 1-5 3-5 3-5 5-4 

Win by 10+ pts 1-5 3-5 3-5 5-4 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

Over/Under 4-8 4-9 9-4 7-6 

as HF 2-3 2-3 4-2 3-2 

as HD 0-0 1-0 0-0 1-0 

as AF 1-3 1-2 0-2 1-1 

as AD 1-2 0-2 3-0 1-2 

vs Conf 0-1 0-1 0-0 0-0 

vs Non Conf 4-7 4-8 9-4 7-6 

Off SU Loss 2-3 2-2 3-1 1-2 

Loss by 10+ pts 0-1 1-0 1-1 0-1 

Off SU Win 2-4 2-6 6-2 5-4 

Win by 10+ pts 2-4 2-6 6-2 5-4


2015 : 10-3 






Notre Dame 

The Irish in ’16 

HC here: Brian Kelly – 7 th 




3.8% 15.7% 36.7% 43.7% 


The Irish are 6-0 to the OVER Season Win's (odds) Record result 

off a SU loss the last 2 seasons 2016 9.5 (+110) 

2015 9 (+110) 10-2 OV 

2014 8.5 (+285) 7-5 und 

2013 9.5 (+130) 8-4 und 

2012 8 (n/a) 12-0 OV 


2015 All 10.2 (34.2-24.1) 93.7 (466-373) 66-67 7.0-5.6 -6 

’15 conf only - - - - - 

2014 All 3.7 (32.8-29.2) 40.8 (445-404) 73-72 6.1-5.6 -3 

’14 conf only - - - - - 

2013 All 4.8 (27.2-22.4) 39.7 (406-366) 67-72 6.1-5.1 0 

’13 conf only - - - - - 

2012 All 13.0 (25.8-12.8) 106.7 (412-305) 69-64 6.0-4.8 8 

’12 conf only - - - - - 



100% 61% 25% 40% 53% 31% 42% 

Last year despite suffering several key injuries, ND’s only 3 losses came 

to teams that finished No. 2, No. 3 and No. 4 in the final AP poll. While 

this year’s team is far less experienced (only 9 returning starters), the 

Irish still have plenty of weapons on both sides of the ball. 

The Irish have two great options at QB in DeShone Kizer and Malik 

Zaire. While they lose 1,000-yard rusher at RB, they return Josh Adams 

who was their best RB at the end of last year and they also get back 

2014’s leading rusher Tarean Folston. The WR corps could be the 

biggest ? mark on the team as they lose 4 of their top 5. The OL must 

also replace 3 starters that combined for 106 starts. 

Although they made some improvement last year, the defense under 

Brian VanGorder has clearly underachieved. 5 of the top 7 are back on 

the DL, but they do lose their top 2 LB’s including Butkus winner Jaylon 

Smith. The secondary also loses 3 of their top 5. 

The schedule per usual isn’t easy for the Irish but they could find 

themselves favored in each of the first 11 games until they travel to 

USC in the season finale. 



9/4 Sun at Texas 



9/24 Sat Duke 

10/1 Sat (N) Syracuse 




11/5 Sat (N) Navy 

11/12 Sat (N) Army 



open 

Notre Dame is 10-1 ATS away 

after a road win (s’/11/10/90) 


2012 2013 2014 2015 

SU 12-1 9-4 8-5 10-3 

Home 6-0 5-1 4-2 6-0 

Away 4-0 2-3 0-3 3-2 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

ATS 7-6 5-8 6-7 8-5 

HF 2-4 1-3 2-3 4-1 

HD 0-0 0-1 1-0 1-0 

AF 1-1 1-2 0-0 1-2 

AD 2-0 1-1 1-2 2-0 

vs Conf 1-1 1-1 0-1 0-0 

Non Conf 6-5 4-7 6-6 8-5 

Off SU Loss 0-0 2-2 1-4 1-1 

Loss by 10+ pts 0-0 1-1 1-1 0-0 

Off SU Win 6-6 3-5 4-3 6-4 

Win by 10+ pts 6-6 3-5 4-3 6-4 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

Over/Under 3-10 5-8 7-4 7-6 

as HF 1-5 1-3 4-1 3-2 

as HD 0-0 1-0 0-1 0-1 

as AF 0-2 1-2 0-0 2-1 

as AD 0-2 1-1 1-0 1-1 

vs Conf 1-1 1-1 1-0 0-0 

vs Non Conf 2-9 4-7 6-4 7-6 

Off SU Loss 0-0 2-2 4-0 2-0 

Loss by 10+ pts 0-0 2-0 2-0 0-0 

Off SU Win 2-10 3-5 2-4 5-5 

Win by 10+ pts 2-10 3-5 2-4 5-5

A Look Back.. 

2015 : 3-9, 2-6 (T #5-#7 MAC-East) 






UMass 

The Minutemen in ’16 

HC here: Mark Whipple – 3 rd / 9 th 


Recruiting: Conf – Ov: NA- #80 


0.4% 13.1% 29.2% 57.3% 


The Minutemen travel 8,074 Season Win's (odds) Record result 

miles in their last 3 games this 2016 2.5 (-110) 

2015 4.5 (-185) 3-9 und 

season. 

2014 1.5 (-160) 3-9 OV 

2013 1.5 (+155) 1-11 und 

2012 1 (n/a) 1-11 push 


2015 All -9.2 (22.2-31.4) -48.1 (400-448) 74-79 5.4-5.7 -1 

’15 conf only -6.2 (22.2-28.5) -59.0 (377-436) 72-80 5.2-5.5 2 

2014 All -5.7 (27.3-33.0) -26.4 (421-448) 73-78 5.8-5.8 -6 

’14 conf only 0.2 (30.6-30.4) 32.0 (483-451) 79-77 6.1-5.8 -5 

2013 All -21.3 (11.7-33.0) -151.7 (282-433) 66-66 4.3-6.6 -7 

’13 conf only -19.2 (14.0-33.2) -110.0 (293-403) 66-66 4.4-6.1 -8 

2012 All -27.5 (12.7-40.2) -183.1 (278-461) 71-72 3.9-6.4 -9 

’12 conf only -20.2 (15.8-36.0) -129.6 (312-441) 75-72 4.2-6.1 -11 



6% 63% 15% 58% 58% 58% 36% 

After spending their first 4 years at the FBS level playing in the MAC, 

the Minutemen joined the Independents this season. While Mark 

Whipple has proven to be an upgrade, UMass still hasn’t gotten over 

the hump (1-9 in one possession games the last 2 years). 

The offense does need to replace a multi-year starter at QB, but after 

he had a 23-10 ratio in 2014, he was only 16-13 last year. RB Marquis 

Young returns (960 yards, 6.3 ypc). The teams biggest void is at WR 

where the top 3 depart including a rare NFL draft choice. The OL unit 

only had 2 starts lost to injury last year and now they have to replace 

their center and LT. They still have 78 career starts. 

The DL sees the return of 2 of their top 3 while the LB’s return 4 of 

their top 6 but lose their leader in 2x 1 st -team MAC Santos-Knox (131 

tackles last year). The secondary suffered heavy losses losing 3 of 4 

starters that combined for 139 career starts. 

UMass faces arguably their toughest schedule in school history 

including four Power-5 conference teams and 3 very long road trips in 

November. They’ll be hard-pressed to top last year’s 3 wins. 





9/17 Sat FIU 






10/29 Sat Wagner 

11/5 Sat at Troy 


11/26 Sat at Hawaii 

open 

UMass is 7-2 to the OVER when 

they’re an AD the L2Y 


2012 2013 2014 2015 

SU 1-11 1-11 3-9 3-9 

Home 0-5 1-5 1-3 0-3 

Away 1-6 0-6 1-5 2-4 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

ATS 4-8 5-7 8-4 4-8 

HF 0-0 1-1 1-0 0-1 

HD 2-3 2-2 1-2 1-1 

AF 0-0 0-0 0-0 1-0 

AD 2-5 2-4 3-2 1-4 

vs Conf 4-4 3-5 6-2 2-6 

Non Conf 0-4 2-2 2-2 2-2 

Off SU Loss 3-7 5-5 6-2 4-5 

Loss by 10+ pts 3-6 5-3 2-1 2-3 

Off SU Win 1-0 0-1 2-1 0-2 

Win by 10+ pts 1-0 0-1 2-1 0-2 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

Over/Under 7-5 3-9 8-4 4-7 

as HF 0-0 1-1 0-1 0-1 

as HD 3-2 1-3 2-1 1-1 

as AF 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-1 

as AD 4-3 1-5 4-1 3-1 

vs Conf 4-4 3-5 5-3 3-5 

vs Non Conf 3-1 0-4 3-1 1-2 

Off SU Loss 7-3 3-7 7-1 3-6 

Loss by 10+ pts 6-3 2-6 3-0 0-5 

Off SU Win 0-1 0-1 1-2 1-1 

Win by 10+ pts 0-1 0-1 1-2 1-1

2015 FINAL 



Bowling Green 10 4 71.4% 42.2 28.9 8 1 88.9% 

Akron 8 5 61.5% 23.9 21.5 5 3 62.5% 

Ohio 8 5 61.5% 27.5 25.3 5 3 62.5% 

Buffalo 5 7 41.7% 26.7 27.6 3 5 37.5% 

Kent State 3 9 25.0% 13.1 26.1 2 6 25.0% 

Massachusetts 3 9 25.0% 22.2 31.4 2 6 25.0% 

Miami (OH) 3 9 25.0% 17.9 32.0 2 6 25.0% 


Toledo 10 2 83.3% 35.0 20.8 6 2 75.0% 

Western Mich 8 5 61.5% 36.0 28.3 6 2 75.0% 

Central Mich 7 6 53.8% 25.8 22.0 6 2 75.0% 

No Illinois 8 6 57.1% 31.1 27.6 6 3 66.7% 

Ball State 3 9 25.0% 23.1 35.8 2 6 25.0% 

Eastern Mich 1 11 8.3% 25.4 42.1 0 8 0.0% 

BRAD POWER 



55 Western Mich 74.10 

69 Toledo 70.89 

72 No Illinois 69.75 

79 Central Mich 68.68 

84 Bowling Green 67.50 

95 Ohio 63.48 

98 Akron 60.51 

104 Kent State 59.49 

111 Miami (OH) 57.37 

112 Buffalo 57.05 

115 Ball State 56.54 

121 Eastern Mich 53.32


2015 : 8-5, 5-3 (T #2-#3 MAC East) 






Akron 

The Zips in ’16 

HC here: Terry Bowden – 5 th 




3.5% 16.1% 14.7% 65.7% 


The Zips are 0-7 ATS as an AD Season Win's (odds) Record result 

after being an AF (s’/ 10/12/96) 2016 5 (-110) 

2015 7.5 (-130) 7-5 und 

2014 5.5 (-350) 5-7 OV 

2013 2.5 (-140) 5-7 OV 

2012 2.5 (n/a) 1-11 und 


2015 All 2.5 (23.9-21.5) 25.5 (357-332) 70-68 5.1-4.9 10 

’15 conf only 2.6 (23.9-21.2) 42.0 (368-326) 71-67 5.2-4.9 5 

2014 All -0.5 (22.6-23.1) 2.2 (373-371) 74-72 5.0-5.2 -2 

’14 conf only -1.1 (23.6-24.8) 3.4 (371-367) 75-71 4.9-5.2 -4 

2013 All -8.4 (20.2-28.6) -55.0 (342-397) 70-72 4.9-5.5 -2 

’13 conf only -7.9 (18.2-26.1) -35.0 (328-363) 71-70 4.6-5.2 -2 

2012 All -9.6 (26.1-35.7) -22.8 (427-450) 79-75 5.4-6.0 -14 

’12 conf only -13.6 (21.1-34.8) -55.9 (412-468) 76-75 5.4-6.3 -10 



95% 32% 61% 9% 53% 11% 56% 

It was a slow build for Terry Bowden and Co taking over a dismal Akron 

program but they finally got the Zips over the hump last year winning 

8 games including notching their first bowl win in school history. That’s 

the good news. 

The bad news is Akron enters the 2016 season as one of the least 

experienced teams in the country with only 7 returning starters. While 

they welcome back QB Thomas Woodson, return leading receiver 

Jerome Lane and bring in dynamic JoJo Natson from Utah State at 

WR/PR, nearly every other position on offense is decimated including 

the OL, which loses all 5 starters from last year (117 career starts lost). 

On defense, they return their two DE’s (both transfers from Ohio St) 

but lose their two DT’s and all 3 starting LB’s (the top 3 tacklers). They 

do have 2 starters back in the secondary. 

Coach Bowden always brings in solid transfers to keep Akron 

competitive but with a non-conference schedule that includes 

Wisconsin, Marshall and Appalachian St along with pulling Toledo and 

Western Michigan from the MAC West, we don’t expect 8 wins again. 



9/3 Sat VMI 



9/24 Sat Appalachian St 

10/1 Sat at Kent St 



10/22 Sat at Ball St 

10/27 Thu at Buffalo 

11/2 Wed Toledo 

11/9 Wed Bowling Green 

11/22 Tue at Ohio 

open 

Akron is 1-11 ATS as a fav after 

being a HF (since/ 9/30/06) 


2012 2013 2014 2015 

SU 9-4 7-6 6-6 8-5 

Home 5-1 5-2 4-2 5-1 

Away 3-3 2-3 2-4 3-3 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

ATS 5-8 6-6 4-6 9-3 

HF 3-3 3-2 2-0 4-1 

HD 0-0 1-0 1-2 1-0 

AF 0-3 2-0 0-0 1-1 

AD 1-2 0-3 1-4 2-1 

vs Conf 1-7 3-4 3-4 4-3 

Non Conf 4-1 3-2 1-2 5-0 

Off SU Loss 2-2 3-2 2-2 1-2 

Loss by 10+ pts 1-2 2-2 2-2 1-2 

Off SU Win 2-6 3-3 1-4 7-1 

Win by 10+ pts 2-6 3-3 1-4 7-1 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

Over/Under 5-7 4-9 3-9 8-5 

as HF 3-2 3-3 1-2 3-2 

as HD 0-0 0-1 0-3 0-1 

as AF 1-2 1-1 0-1 2-1 

as AD 1-2 0-3 2-3 2-1 

vs Conf 4-4 4-4 1-7 4-4 

vs Non Conf 1-3 0-5 2-2 4-1 

Off SU Loss 2-2 3-2 2-4 2-2 

Loss by 10+ pts 1-2 2-2 2-3 2-1 

Off SU Win 3-4 1-6 1-4 5-3 

Win by 10+ pts 3-4 1-6 1-4 5-3


2015 : 3-9, 2-6 (#5 MAC West) 






Ball St 

The Cardinals in ’16 

HC here: Mike Neu – 1 st 




4.9% 22.3% 40.2% 32.6% 


The Cardinals are 1-13 ATS 


home off a road loss (s’/ 10/3/09) 2016 4.5 (-110) 

2015 7 (-120) 3-9 und 

2014 7.5 (+155) 5-7 und 

2013 9.5 (+165) 10-2 OV 

2012 5.5 (n/a) 9-3 OV 


2015 All -12.8 (23.1-35.8) -146.4 (372-518) 75-77 5.0-6.8 1 

’15 conf only -14.4 (21.0-35.4) -171.9 (350-522) 72-76 4.8-6.9 -2 

2014 All 0.5 (27.7-27.2) -59.6 (369-429) 71-73 5.2-5.9 9 

’14 conf only 0.8 (30.6-29.9) -77.9 (376-454) 72-75 5.3-6.1 11 

2013 All 13.8 (38.5-24.7) 63.2 (477-414) 74-74 6.5-5.6 12 

’13 conf only 15.0 (39.4-24.4) 85.9 (497-411) 73-72 6.8-5.7 8 

2012 All 1.6 (33.6-32.0) -5.2 (457-462) 80-73 5.7-6.3 -3 

’12 conf only 6.6 (36.4-29.8) 59.2 (501-442) 84-70 6.0-6.3 -2 



100% 100% 56% 37% 57% 61% 97% 

New head coach Mike Neu graduated from Ball State in 1994 as the 

school’s all-time leading passer. He spent the past two seasons as the 

quarterback coach for the New Orleans Saints and has been a head 

coach and coordinator in the AFL. However, he’s never been a college 

head coach or coordinator. 

He inherits an experienced team that returns their QB Riley Neal who 

had a 16-6 TD-to-INT ratio last year as a true freshman). They also 

welcome back their top 3 RB’s and 2 of their top 3 WR’s. The offensive 

line does lose 107 career starts (55 return). 

The defense is even more experienced as 5 of the top 6 DL, 2 of the 

top 3 LB’s and the entire 2-deep returns in the secondary. However, 

they did allow a school-record 518 ypg (also 35.8 ppg) in 2015 and 

have a long ways to go. 

The Cardinals do have a tough schedule this year including 7 road 

games overall (5 in the first 7 weeks). They also close the season at 

Toledo and at an improved Miami, Oh team and could be a favorite in 

only 3 games this year despite their 4.5 season win total. 



9/2 Fri at Georgia St 


9/17 Sat EKU 



10/8 Sat at Central Mich 



11/1 Tue Western Mich 

11/8 Tue Eastern Mich 

11/16 Wed at Toledo 

11/22 Tue at Miami (OH) 

open 

Ball St is 12-0 ATS away after a 

road win (since/ Nov 4, 2006) 


2012 2013 2014 2015 

SU 9-4 10-3 5-7 3-9 

Home 4-1 6-0 3-3 2-4 

Away 5-2 4-2 2-3 1-5 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

ATS 9-4 8-5 4-7 4-8 

HF 3-0 4-2 0-4 1-2 

HD 1-1 0-0 1-1 1-2 

AF 2-2 3-1 0-0 1-0 

AD 3-0 1-1 3-1 1-4 

vs Conf 5-3 5-3 3-4 3-5 

Non Conf 4-1 3-2 1-3 1-3 

Off SU Loss 2-1 2-0 1-5 3-5 

Loss by 10+ pts 2-0 1-0 0-3 2-4 

Off SU Win 6-3 5-5 3-1 1-2 

Win by 10+ pts 6-3 5-5 3-1 1-2 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

Over/Under 6-7 7-5 6-6 4-8 

as HF 2-1 3-3 2-2 1-2 

as HD 0-2 0-0 1-1 0-3 

as AF 2-2 2-1 0-0 0-1 

as AD 2-1 2-0 3-2 3-2 

vs Conf 4-4 5-3 5-3 2-6 

vs Non Conf 2-3 2-2 1-3 2-2 

Off SU Loss 1-2 2-0 4-3 2-6 

Loss by 10+ pts 1-1 1-0 2-1 2-4 

Off SU Win 4-5 4-5 2-2 1-2 

Win by 10+ pts 4-5 4-5 2-2 1-2


2015 : 10-4, 7-1 (#1 MAC East) 






Bowling Green 

The Falcons in ’16 

HC here: Mike Jinks – 1 st 




0.6% 20.5% 34.7% 44.2% 


The Falcons are 9-0 ATS after Season Win's (odds) Record result 

allowing 10 or less points. 2016 7 (-110) 

2015 5 (-180) 9-3 OV 

2014 9.5 (+140) 7-5 und 

2013 8.5 (+150) 9-3 OV 

2012 7 (n/a) 8-4 OV 


2015 All 13.3 (42.2-28.9) 129.0 (547-418) 81-77 6.7-5.4 12 

’15 conf only 24.6 (45.6-21.0) 169.2 (547-378) 80-77 6.9-4.9 13 

2014 All -3.5 (30.0-33.5) -60.6 (433-494) 79-83 5.5-6.0 10 

’14 conf only -2.1 (27.3-29.4) -33.7 (414-448) 77-82 5.4-5.5 6 

2013 All 18.9 (34.8-15.9) 138.0 (459-321) 70-64 6.5-5.1 10 

’13 conf only 25.9 (38.7-12.8) 209.9 (477-267) 68-62 7.0-4.3 9 

2012 All 6.2 (22.9-16.8) 68.8 (365-297) 69-63 5.3-4.7 4 

’12 conf only 11.4 (24.4-13.0) 99.7 (373-273) 69-64 5.4-4.3 6 



3% 42% 28% 80% 53% 100% 56% 

Mike Jinks inherits a Bowling Green program that has won two MAC 

championships in the last three years. While Jinks should be able to 

continue the up-tempo offense (assistant under Kliff Kingsbury at 

Texas Tech the last two years), he has never been a coordinator at the 

college level and doesn’t have much ties to the area. 

The Falcons lost most of their offensive firepower from last year as 

they must replace a 4,900-yard passer, a 1,300-yard rusher and three 

WR's who combined for more than 3,200 receiving yards on offense. 

On the bright side, Bowling Green will have one of the most 

experienced offensive lines in the country with 140 career starts 

coming back. 

The defense was improved a year ago and could be even better this 

year. They do lose 3 starters on the DL but bring back a pair of All-MAC 

LB’s while also returning 8 of their top 11 DB’s. 

The conference road schedule is difficult as they have to play at MAC 

East contenders Ohio and Akron while also pulling road games at two 

MAC West top teams in Toledo and Northern Illinois. 




9/10 Sat North Dakota 




10/8 Sat at Ohio 

10/15 Sat at Toledo 


11/1 Tue at No Illinois 

11/9 Wed at Akron 

11/15 Tue Kent St 

11/25 Fri Buffalo 

open 

Bowling Green is 10-0 ATS as an 

AF after a home game (s’/ 10/6/12) 


2012 2013 2014 2015 

SU 8-5 10-4 8-6 10-4 

Home 4-1 5-1 4-2 3-2 

Away 3-3 3-2 2-3 6-0 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

ATS 8-5 10-4 5-9 9-4 

HF 3-2 4-2 1-4 3-1 

HD 0-0 0-0 1-0 0-0 

AF 2-0 3-0 1-1 4-1 

AD 2-2 1-1 1-2 1-0 

vs Conf 6-2 7-2 2-7 7-2 

Non Conf 2-3 3-2 3-2 2-2 

Off SU Loss 2-2 2-1 3-3 3-0 

Loss by 10+ pts 1-2 1-0 3-2 2-0 

Off SU Win 5-3 7-3 2-5 6-3 

Win by 10+ pts 5-3 7-3 2-5 6-3 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

Over/Under 2-10 4-9 7-7 8-6 

as HF 1-3 0-6 1-4 4-0 

as HD 0-0 0-0 1-0 1-0 

as AF 0-2 2-0 1-1 0-5 

as AD 0-4 0-2 1-2 1-0 

vs Conf 1-7 3-5 3-6 4-5 

vs Non Conf 1-3 1-4 4-1 4-1 

Off SU Loss 0-3 0-2 4-2 1-2 

Loss by 10+ pts 0-2 0-1 3-2 1-1 

Off SU Win 2-6 4-6 2-5 6-4 

Win by 10+ pts 2-6 4-6 2-5 6-4


2015 : 5-7, 3-5 (#4 MAC East) 






Buffalo 

The Bulls in ’16 

HC here: Lance Leipold – 2 nd 




3.0% 10.6% 27.0% 59.3% 


The Bulls are 0-9 ATS as an AD Season Win's (odds) Record result 

after being a HD (s’/ 9/19/09) 2016 5.5 (-110) 

2015 5.5 (+135) 5-7 und 

2014 6.5 (+140) 5-6 und 

2013 5.5 (-140) 8-4 OV 

2012 2.5 (n/a) 4-8 OV 


2015 All -0.9 (26.7-27.6) -27.0 (386-413) 73-73 5.3-5.7 0 

’15 conf only -6.2 (25.1-31.4) -47.0 (390-437) 74-75 5.3-5.8 -3 

2014 All 0.7 (32.3-31.5) 40.5 (438-398) 74-68 6.0-5.9 -3 

’14 conf only 2.7 (31.6-28.9) 45.2 (424-379) 72-68 5.9-5.5 -2 

2013 All 5.9 (30.3-24.4) 11.9 (395-383) 74-68 5.3-5.6 15 

’13 conf only 18.4 (33.8-15.4) 113.3 (440-327) 76-64 5.8-5.1 13 

2012 All -7.2 (21.2-28.5) 12.2 (376-364) 72-70 5.2-5.2 -6 

’12 conf only -8.2 (19.1-27.4) -0.3 (362-362) 74-72 4.9-5.0 -2 



0% 51% 38% 47% 92% 37% 75% 

The Bulls have only had 2 winning seasons since joining the FBS ranks 

in 1999. Last year new head coach Lance Leipold lost more games (7) 

in year 1 at Buffalo than he lost in 8 seasons at Division-III Wisconsin- 

Whitewater (6). 

In year 2, Leipold sees the return of 12 starters but they lose several 

key playmakers on offense including their all-time leading passer in QB 

Joe Licata, their leading rusher, top 2 WR’s and an All-MAC LT. They 

have just 30 career starts returning at OL. They do bring in Iowa St 

transfer Grant Rohach compete at QB. 

The defense is much more experienced as they have 4 starters back 

on the DL and 9 of the top 10 DB’s also return. They do lose 2 of 3 

starters at LB (including their No. 1 and No. 3 tacklers) but get back 

2014 starter Jarrett Franklin. 

While the Bulls figure to be an underdog in all 6 of their road games 

this year, all of their home games fall into the winnable category 

including the 4 conference games. Despite the inexperience, look for 

them to flirt with bowl eligibility for a third straight season. 



9/2 Fri Albany 

9/17 Sat at Nevada 

9/24 Sat Army 




10/22 Sat at No Illinois 

10/27 Thu Akron 

11/3 Thu at Ohio 


11/19 Sat at Western Mich 

11/25 Fri at Bowling Green 

open 

Buffalo is 7-0-1 ATS home after a 

game at home (s’/ 10/27/12) 


2012 2013 2014 2015 

SU 4-8 8-5 5-6 5-7 

Home 3-3 5-0 4-2 2-4 

Away 1-4 3-3 1-4 3-3 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

ATS 5-6 8-5 5-6 5-6 

HF 0-2 3-1 2-1 1-2 

HD 2-1 1-0 1-2 2-1 

AF 0-1 3-0 1-1 0-1 

AD 3-1 1-2 1-2 2-2 

vs Conf 3-4 6-2 4-3 2-5 

Non Conf 2-2 2-3 1-3 3-1 

Off SU Loss 3-3 1-3 2-4 3-3 

Loss by 10+ pts 2-2 1-3 2-1 2-2 

Off SU Win 1-3 6-2 3-1 1-3 

Win by 10+ pts 1-3 6-2 3-1 1-3 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

Over/Under 2-9 9-4 7-4 6-5 

as HF 0-2 2-2 2-1 1-1 

as HD 0-3 1-0 2-1 2-1 

as AF 0-1 2-1 2-0 1-1 

as AD 2-2 3-0 1-2 2-2 

vs Conf 1-7 4-4 4-3 6-2 

vs Non Conf 1-2 5-0 3-1 0-3 

Off SU Loss 1-5 4-0 3-3 4-2 

Loss by 10+ pts 0-3 4-0 1-2 3-1 

Off SU Win 0-4 4-4 3-1 2-3 

Win by 10+ pts 0-4 4-4 3-1 2-3


2015 : 7-6, 6-2 (T #1-#4 MAC West) 






Central Mich 

The Chippewas in ’16 

HC here: John Bonamego – 2 nd 




5.4% 34.1% 24.4% 36.2% 


Chippewas are 12-0 to the 


UNDER as an AF or HD the L3Y 2016 7 (-120) 

2015 4 (-150) 7-5 OV 

2014 5.5 (-230) 7-5 OV 

2013 4.5 (+130) 6-6 OV 

2012 4.5 (n/a) 6-6 OV 


2015 All 3.8 (25.8-22.0) 68.7 (401-332) 70-65 5.7-5.1 2 

’15 conf only 8.8 (30.1-21.4) 82.5 (419-336) 70-67 6.0-5.0 5 

2014 All 1.8 (26.9-25.2) 42.6 (398-355) 68-65 5.8-5.4 -5 

’14 conf only 6.2 (28.9-22.6) 107.3 (427-320) 70-61 6.1-5.2 -7 

2013 All -5.3 (23.2-28.6) -64.1 (341-405) 63-69 5.4-5.9 -5 

’13 conf only 3.4 (26.4-23.0) -38.9 (351-390) 62-69 5.7-5.7 -4 

2012 All -3.5 (28.8-32.4) -37.2 (394-431) 64-72 6.2-6.0 2 

’12 conf only -1.1 (32.6-33.8) -37.4 (422-459) 65-76 6.5-6.0 6 



100% 72% 82% 65% 59% 83% 61% 

The Chippewas had a tumultuous off-season last year as former head 

coach Dan Enos left to take an assistant job in the SEC. The Chips 

signed a recruiting class without a head coach and John Bonamego 

had no head coaching experience and hadn’t coached at the college 

level in more than 15 years. Bonamego then was diagnosed with 

cancer and had to take a leave of absence from the team in the 

summer. Still, the Chips defied the odds and went to a bowl game. 

This year’s team looks even better starting with the return of 16 

starters. The passing game is the best in the MAC with the return of a 

3,800-yard passer in Cooper Rush and the top 5 WR’s. They do lose 

their leading rusher and their top 2 OL. 

The defense sees the return of 7 of their top 10 DL. The LB corps 

returns 6 of their top 7 and while the secondary loses their top tackler, 

they return 3 starters. 

The schedule is difficult as they Chips don’t have a bye week all year 

and they must play road games at Oklahoma St, Virginia, Northern 

Illinois and Toledo in a 7-week stretch. 



9/1 Thu Presbyterian 


9/17 Sat UNLV 







11/4 Fri at Miami (OH) 

11/15 Tue Ohio 

11/22 Tue at Eastern Mich 

open 

Cent Mich is 12-2-1 ATS as an AF 

after being a dog (s’/ 10/17/09) 


2012 2013 2014 2015 

SU 7-6 6-6 7-6 7-6 

Home 3-4 3-2 3-3 4-2 

Away 3-2 3-4 4-2 3-3 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

ATS 6-7 6-6 6-7 8-5 

HF 2-1 2-1 1-4 1-2 

HD 0-3 0-2 0-1 2-1 

AF 2-0 2-0 2-0 2-1 

AD 1-2 2-3 2-2 3-0 

vs Conf 4-4 6-2 4-4 5-3 

Non Conf 2-3 0-4 2-3 3-2 

Off SU Loss 3-3 3-3 3-2 4-1 

Loss by 10+ pts 3-3 3-3 2-2 1-1 

Off SU Win 3-3 3-2 3-4 3-4 

Win by 10+ pts 3-3 3-2 3-4 3-4 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

Over/Under 7-4 3-9 5-7 4-8 

as HF 0-2 0-3 2-2 2-1 

as HD 2-0 0-2 0-1 0-3 

as AF 2-0 0-2 0-2 0-2 

as AD 3-0 3-2 2-2 2-1 

vs Conf 6-2 1-7 3-4 3-4 

vs Non Conf 1-2 2-2 2-3 1-4 

Off SU Loss 4-2 2-4 2-3 1-3 

Loss by 10+ pts 4-2 2-4 2-2 0-2 

Off SU Win 3-2 0-5 3-3 3-4 

Win by 10+ pts 3-2 0-5 3-3 3-4

A Look Back.. 

2015 : 1-11, 0-8 (#6 MAC West) 






Eastern Mich 


HC here: Chris Creighton – 3 rd 




9.5% 19.3% 40.2% 31.1% 


The Eagles are 9-2 to the OVER Season Win's (odds) Record result 

versus non-conf foes the L3Y 2016 3 (-110) 

2015 1.5 (-185) 1-11 und 

2014 2.5 (+165) 2-10 und 

2013 2.5 (+160) 2-10 und 

2012 5 (n/a) 2-10 und 


2015 All -16.7 (25.4-42.1) -139.3 (380-519) 69-74 5.5-7.0 -13 

’15 conf only -21.4 (20.6-42.0) -168.7 (360-529) 71-75 5.1-7.1 -10 

2014 All -25.8 (15.2-40.9) -209.2 (290-499) 65-74 4.5-6.8 -18 

’14 conf only -21.8 (16.8-38.5) -172.4 (326-499) 65-73 5.0-6.8 -9 

2013 All -26.3 (18.8-45.2) -174.8 (336-511) 65-67 5.2-7.6 -12 

’13 conf only -30.6 (18.8-49.4) -208.4 (335-543) 64-70 5.3-7.7 -12 

2012 All -16.2 (21.3-37.6) -145.3 (334-479) 63-72 5.3-6.7 -5 

’12 conf only -16.8 (21.4-38.1) -151.4 (335-487) 62-72 5.4-6.8 -2 



88% 36% 65% 100% 73% 50% 75% 

Eastern Michigan head coach Chris Creighton came to Ypsilanti never 

finishing below .500 in 17 years as a head coach. However, he is just 

3-21 so far in his first two years here in what could be the toughest 

place to win in all of CFB. 

This year’s edition looks like his best yet thanks to 16 returning 

starters. The offense features former 4-star recruit Brogan Roback at 

QB, 4 of the top 6 WR’s are back and they return every OL starter from 

last year (123 career starts). They do lose a 1,000-yard rusher in Darius 

Jackson who was drafted in the 6 th round. 

The defense was the worst in the country against the run a year ago 

allowing 317 ypg and 6.5 ypc which was 43 ypg more than any other 

team. On the bright side, they do welcome back 4 of their top 5 DL, 6 

of their top 8 LB’s (do lose the MAC’s leading tackler from last year) 

and 5 of their top 6 DB’s. 

The Eagles have a chance to start the season off strong as there are 3 

winnable games in the first 4. They’ve only topped 3 wins once in the 

last 8 years, but we could see them doing so this season. 



9/2 Fri Miss Valley St 



9/23 Fri Wyoming 


10/8 Sat Toledo 




11/8 Tue at Ball St 

11/16 Wed No Illinois 

11/22 Tue Central Mich 

open 

Eastern Mich is 2-17 ATS after a 

win (since/ Sep 9, 2007) 


2012 2013 2014 2015 

SU 2-10 2-10 2-10 1-11 

Home 1-5 2-3 2-3 0-6 

Away 1-5 0-7 0-7 1-5 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

ATS 4-8 2-10 4-8 4-7 

HF 0-1 0-1 0-1 0-0 

HD 2-3 1-3 2-2 1-4 

AF 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 

AD 2-4 1-6 2-5 3-2 

vs Conf 2-6 1-7 3-5 1-6 

Non Conf 2-2 1-3 1-3 3-1 

Off SU Loss 4-5 2-7 4-5 3-6 

Loss by 10+ pts 2-5 2-7 4-5 2-6 

Off SU Win 0-2 0-2 0-2 0-1 

Win by 10+ pts 0-2 0-2 0-2 0-1 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

Over/Under 7-4 10-2 6-5 9-3 

as HF 0-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 

as HD 4-1 4-0 2-2 3-2 

as AF 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 

as AD 3-3 5-2 4-3 5-1 

vs Conf 5-3 7-1 4-4 5-3 

vs Non Conf 2-1 3-1 2-1 4-0 

Off SU Loss 6-2 7-2 5-4 8-2 

Loss by 10+ pts 5-1 7-2 5-4 7-2 

Off SU Win 0-2 2-0 1-1 0-1 

Win by 10+ pts 0-2 2-0 1-1 0-1


2015 : 3-9, 2-6 (T #5-#7 MAC East) 






Kent St 

The Golden Flashes in ’16 

HC here: Paul Haynes– 4 th 




17.0% 22.3% 41.3% 19.3% 

KSU is 7-2 to the OVER vs 



non-conf foes (s’/ 10/19/13) 2016 4.5 (-120) 

2015 4.5 (+100) 3-9 und 

2014 4.5 (-180) 2-9 und 

2013 5.5 (-105) 4-8 und 

2012 5.5 (n/a) 11-1 OV 


2015 All -13.0 (13.1-26.1) -79.3 (271-350) 66-72 4.1-4.9 -3 

’15 conf only -16.1 (9.1-25.2) -174.0 (242-416) 59-76 4.1-5.5 -5 

2014 All -12.6 (16.4-29.0) -114.8 (315-430) 65-75 4.8-5.8 -4 

’14 conf only -7.6 (16.4-24.0) -84.0 (331-415) 66-73 5.0-5.7 -1 

2013 All -6.2 (20.8-26.9) -41.0 (369-410) 66-68 5.6-6.1 -4 

’13 conf only 0.2 (24.8-24.5) 2.2 (400-398) 67-69 5.9-5.8 -4 

2012 All 8.6 (33.1-24.5) -22.0 (388-410) 67-73 5.8-5.6 20 

’12 conf only 12.3 (36.6-24.2) -5.5 (410-415) 68-74 6.0-5.6 10 



100% 71% 97% 83% 77% 68% 82% 

Paul Haynes enters a crucial 4 th year at the helm after going just 9-26 

his first three years. Luckily for him, this looks like his best team yet 

thanks to the return of a nation-leading 18 starters. 

On offense, the Golden Flashes bring back their 2 QB’s, but 3-year 

starter Collin Reardon will be moving to WR making way for the young 

mobile QB’s George Bollas and Justin Agner. They do lose leading 

rusher Trayion Durham but return their top 5 WR’s and have 105 

career starts back on the OL. 

The defense which is by far the strength of the team returns 8 of their 

top 10 DL, 7 of their top 8 LB’s (do lose their top guy but have 70 career 

starts) and 8 of the top 10 DB’s. They could have the MAC’s best 

secondary with two 1 st -team All-MAC performers returning. 

While the schedule features a pair of home games against FCS 

opponents, the conference schedule is not kind as they pull 3 of the 

top 4 teams out of the MAC West in Central Michigan, Western 

Michigan and Northern Illinois. Most of their winnable games are on 

the road and it looks like another losing season. 




9/10 Sat NC A&T 

9/17 Sat Monmouth 





10/22 Sat Ohio 


11/8 Tue Western Mich 

11/15 Tue at Bowling Green 

11/25 Fri No Illinois 

open 

Kent St is 0-8 ATS after a loss as 

a fav (since/ Oct 13, 2007) 


2012 2013 2014 2015 

SU 11-3 4-8 2-9 3-9 

Home 5-0 2-3 2-4 2-4 

Away 6-1 2-5 0-5 0-5 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

ATS 10-3 4-7 5-6 3-7 

HF 3-1 0-1 0-1 1-1 

HD 1-0 0-3 3-1 0-2 

AF 3-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 

AD 3-1 3-3 2-3 1-4 

vs Conf 7-1 3-4 4-3 1-6 

Non Conf 3-2 1-3 1-3 2-1 

Off SU Loss 1-1 3-4 5-4 2-4 

Loss by 10+ pts 1-0 3-3 4-2 2-2 

Off SU Win 8-2 1-2 0-1 1-2 

Win by 10+ pts 8-2 1-2 0-1 1-2 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

Over/Under 8-4 5-7 5-6 3-8 

as HF 1-1 0-2 0-1 1-1 

as HD 1-0 2-1 2-2 1-2 

as AF 2-1 0-0 0-0 0-0 

as AD 3-1 3-3 2-3 1-4 

vs Conf 6-2 3-5 2-5 0-7 

vs Non Conf 2-2 2-2 3-1 3-1 

Off SU Loss 0-2 3-5 5-4 2-5 

Loss by 10+ pts 0-1 2-4 4-2 1-3 

Off SU Win 8-2 2-1 0-1 0-3 

Win by 10+ pts 8-2 2-1 0-1 0-3


2015 : 3-9, 2-6 (T #5-#7 MAC East) 






Miami (OH) 

The RedHawks in ’16 

HC here: Chuck Martin – 3 rd 




22.0% 25.3% 26.1% 26.6% 


The RedHawks are 8-2 ATS after Season Win's (odds) Record result 

a loss by 10+ points the L2Y 2016 3.5 (+100) 

2015 4 (-110) 3-9 und 

2014 2.5 (-170) 2-10 und 

2013 4.5 (+140) 0-12 und 

2012 6.5 (n/a) 4-8 und 


2015 All -14.1 (17.9-32.0) -66.4 (338-405) 67-72 5.1-5.6 -14 

’15 conf only -10.5 (17.8-28.2) -34.5 (337-372) 67-68 5.0-5.4 -10 

2014 All -9.5 (22.3-31.8) -58.9 (375-434) 69-72 5.5-6.0 2 

’14 conf only -7.6 (24.6-32.2) -70.5 (388-459) 66-75 5.9-6.1 5 

2013 All -25.9 ( 9.8-35.7) -258.4 (226-484) 61-76 3.7-6.4 -2 

’13 conf only -23.6 (10.2-33.9) -195.4 (252-447) 65-73 3.9-6.1 -6 

2012 All -11.6 (23.3-34.9) -81.1 (385-466) 70-74 5.5-6.3 -5 

’12 conf only -5.5 (26.8-32.2) -41.0 (421-462) 71-72 5.9-6.4 -1 



100% 95% 47% 60% 47% 87% 78% 

Chuck Martin inherited a once-proud Miami program that had fallen 

on hard times including 16 straight losses from the end of 2012 

through 2013. Martin has slowly built the program back and this year’s 

team looks like his best yet. Holding them back the last couple of years 

has been a 3-8 record in one possession games. 

The offense last year heavily relied on underclassmen with two frosh 

QB’s attempting a combined 249 passes, 4 frosh RB’s combining for 

258 rush attempts while freshmen and sophomore WR’s combined for 

105 receptions. Even the OL saw 27 of their 60 starts made by 

underclassmen. With almost everyone back, expect large 

improvement from the offense in 2016. 

The defense sees the return of 6 of their top 9 DL and 3 of their top 4 

LB’s but they do lose their leading tackler on each unit. The secondary 

returns 7 of their top 10. 

With Miami signing one of the best classes in the MAC for the 2 nd year 

in a row, this is definitely a program to look out for and we expect the 

them to continue to improve in the win/loss column. 




9/10 Sat Eastern Illinois 

9/17 Sat WKU 


10/1 Sat Ohio 

10/8 Sat at Akron 



10/29 Sat at Eastern Mich 

11/4 Fri Central Mich 


11/22 Tue Ball St 

open 

Miami is 12-2 ATS as a HF after 

a win as an AF (s’/ Oct 8, 1994) 


2012 2013 2014 2015 

SU 4-8 0-12 2-10 3-9 

Home 3-2 0-5 2-4 2-4 

Away 1-6 0-7 0-6 0-5 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

ATS 3-8 1-8 7-4 7-5 

HF 0-2 0-0 1-2 2-0 

HD 2-1 1-3 1-1 2-2 

AF 1-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 

AD 0-5 0-5 5-1 2-3 

vs Conf 3-4 0-5 4-3 5-3 

Non Conf 0-4 1-3 3-1 2-2 

Off SU Loss 2-5 1-7 5-3 6-3 

Loss by 10+ pts 2-4 1-7 4-1 4-1 

Off SU Win 1-2 0-0 1-1 0-2 

Win by 10+ pts 1-2 0-0 1-1 0-2 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

Over/Under 4-7 4-7 5-7 6-5 

as HF 0-1 0-0 1-2 0-1 

as HD 1-2 1-3 1-2 4-0 

as AF 1-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 

as AD 2-4 3-4 3-3 2-3 

vs Conf 2-6 3-4 4-4 3-5 

vs Non Conf 2-1 1-3 1-3 3-0 

Off SU Loss 1-5 4-6 4-5 4-5 

Loss by 10+ pts 0-5 3-5 2-3 3-2 

Off SU Win 2-2 0-0 0-2 2-0 

Win by 10+ pts 2-2 0-0 0-2 2-0


2015 : 8-6, 6-2 (T #1-#4 MAC West) 






Northern Illinois 


HC here: Rod Carey – 4 th 




0.7% 23.6% 35.7% 40.0% 


Huskies are 13-2 ATS as a FAV Season Win's (odds) Record result 

after a win as a dog (s’/ 10/23/99) 2016 8.5 (-120) 

2015 8.5 (+120) 8-4 und 

2014 9.5 (+225) 10-2 OV 

2013 9.5 (-175) 12-0 OV 

2012 8.5 (n/a) 11-1 OV 


2015 All 3.5 (31.1-27.6) -19.1 (399-418) 75-81 5.3-5.2 2 

’15 conf only 7.6 (34.1-26.6) 34.7 (446-411) 79-80 5.6-5.1 -1 

2014 All 5.9 (31.5-25.6) 49.6 (441-392) 77-71 5.8-5.5 12 

’14 conf only 8.3 (30.9-22.6) 29.6 (422-392) 72-72 5.9-5.4 9 

2013 All 14.6 (39.6-25.1) 104.9 (520-415) 77-76 6.8-5.4 13 

’13 conf only 18.1 (40.9-22.8) 166.5 (557-390) 77-73 7.2-5.4 7 

2012 All 18.7 (38.6-19.9) 100.3 (470-369) 73-78 6.4-4.7 7 

’12 conf only 27.6 (45.2-17.7) 168.7 (524-355) 77-79 6.9-4.5 12 



100% 75% 68% 60% 60% 71% 59% 

The Huskies have incredibly won six straight MAC West division titles 

and are poised to make a run for a 7 th straight title thanks to the return 

of 13 starters. 

Last year NIU lost its top 3 QB’s to injury during the season but this 

year return 21-game starter Drew Hare who has a 32-6 TD-to-INT ratio 

the last two years. They also bring back their top 2 rushers (1,938 

combined rush yards last year) and 2 of their top 3 WR’s. They do lose 

two 4-year starting offensive lineman who had 112 career starts 

(return just 43 career starts). 

The defense returns 5 of the top 8 DL, 5 of the top 6 LB’s and 5 of the 

top 7 DB’s but they do lose a pair of multiple-year starters in the 

secondary. 

The schedule starts off with a pair of long back-to-back road trips in 

non-conference action (at Wyoming, at USF) and then they host a 

dangerous San Diego State team. The conference schedule is also 

difficult to start including a trip to MAC West favorite Western 

Michigan. Still, the Huskies could be favored in as many as 9 games. 



9/3 Sat at Wyoming 


9/17 Sat San Diego St 

9/24 Sat Western Illinois 

10/1 Sat at Ball St 




11/1 Tue Bowling Green 

11/9 Wed (N) Toledo 

11/16 Wed at Eastern Mich 

11/25 Fri at Kent St 

open 

Northern Ill is 18-3 ATS away 

after a win (since/ Oct 12, 2012) 


2012 2013 2014 2015 

SU 12-2 12-2 11-3 8-6 

Home 6-0 5-0 4-1 5-1 

Away 5-0 7-0 6-1 3-3 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

ATS 9-4 8-6 7-7 7-6 

HF 4-2 2-3 1-4 2-3 

HD 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 

AF 4-1 5-1 3-1 2-1 

AD 0-0 1-0 2-1 3-0 

vs Conf 7-1 6-3 4-5 5-3 

Non Conf 2-3 2-3 3-2 2-3 

Off SU Loss 1-0 0-1 0-2 2-3 

Loss by 10+ pts 0-0 0-1 0-2 1-1 

Off SU Win 7-4 7-5 6-5 5-2 

Win by 10+ pts 7-4 7-5 6-5 5-2 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

Over/Under 5-7 8-6 4-9 7-7 

as HF 2-2 3-2 1-4 4-2 

as HD 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 

as AF 2-3 3-3 1-3 2-1 

as AD 0-0 1-0 0-2 0-3 

vs Conf 4-5 4-5 2-7 4-5 

vs Non Conf 1-2 4-1 2-2 3-2 

Off SU Loss 0-0 0-1 1-1 2-3 

Loss by 10+ pts 0-0 0-1 1-1 2-0 

Off SU Win 5-6 7-5 3-7 4-4 

Win by 10+ pts 5-6 7-5 3-7 4-4


2015 : 8-5, 5-3 (T #2-#3 MAC East) 






Ohio 

The Bobcats in ’16 

HC here: Frank Solich – 12 th 




0.7% 15.8% 35.1% 48.4% 


Bobcats are 0-7-1 ATS away Season Win's (odds) Record result 

after a road game (s’/ 11/26/10) 2016 7.5 (+100) 

2015 5 (-115) 8-4 OV 

2014 6.5 (+130) 6-6 und 

2013 9.5 (+140) 7-5 und 

2012 9.5 (n/a) 8-4 und 


2015 All 2.2 (27.5-25.3) 35.8 (413-378) 73-66 5.7-5.7 5 

’15 conf only -1.9 (25.5-27.4) 49.4 (429-379) 78-64 5.5-5.9 -1 

2014 All -4.3 (20.5-24.8) -24.1 (370-394) 70-71 5.3-5.6 -4 

’14 conf only -4.0 (19.9-23.9) 22.0 (369-347) 72-66 5.1-5.3 -2 

2013 All -0.1 (27.4-27.5) -26.5 (379-406) 68-71 5.6-5.8 -2 

’13 conf only 1.4 (28.8-27.4) -7.7 (369-377) 67-69 5.5-5.5 -1 

2012 All 6.9 (31.7-24.8) 56.0 (445-389) 77-72 5.8-5.4 15 

’12 conf only -1.9 (27.6-29.5) -10.4 (421-431) 77-73 5.5-5.9 4 



40% 71% 80% 42% 82% 65% 24% 

Head coach Frank Solich, at 71 is remarkably entering year No. 12 in 

Athens after being unceremoniously fired from Nebraska despite a 58- 

19 record). His teams have been a model of consistency as they have 

been bowl eligible in each of the last 7 seasons and should be there 

again in 2016. 

This year’s offense must replace its leading passer, No. 2 rusher and 

three starting offensive lineman that combined for 103 career starts. 

However, they do have seven players back with starting experience on 

the OL (61 career starts) and they also return their top 4 receivers and 

RB AJ Ouellette who has 1,472 rush yards the last two years. 

The defense has been ravaged by injuries the last two years. They do 

return 8 of their top 10 DL (including the unit’s top 3 tacklers), 7 of the 

top 9 LB’s including the team’s top 2 tacklers. The secondary is a 

question mark as they lose 5 of their top 6. 

This year’s schedule is favorable as they have 3 winnable nonconference 

games and get MAC East rivals Bowling Green and Akron 

at home. They do have to play at Toledo and Central Michigan. 






9/24 Sat Gardner-Webb 




10/22 Sat at Kent St 

10/27 Thu at Toledo 

11/3 Thu Buffalo 

11/15 Tue at Central Mich 

11/22 Tue Akron 

open 

Ohio is 7-0 ATS at home after a 

win as a dog (since/ 10/9/04) 


2012 2013 2014 2015 

SU 9-4 7-6 6-6 8-5 

Home 5-1 5-2 4-2 5-1 

Away 3-3 2-3 2-4 3-3 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

ATS 5-8 6-6 4-6 9-3 

HF 3-3 3-2 2-0 4-1 

HD 0-0 1-0 1-2 1-0 

AF 0-3 2-0 0-0 1-1 

AD 1-2 0-3 1-4 2-1 

vs Conf 1-7 3-4 3-4 4-3 

Non Conf 4-1 3-2 1-2 5-0 

Off SU Loss 2-2 3-2 2-2 1-2 

Loss by 10+ pts 1-2 2-2 2-2 1-2 

Off SU Win 2-6 3-3 1-4 7-1 

Win by 10+ pts 2-6 3-3 1-4 7-1 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

Over/Under 5-7 4-9 3-9 8-5 

as HF 3-2 3-3 1-2 3-2 

as HD 0-0 0-1 0-3 0-1 

as AF 1-2 1-1 0-1 2-1 

as AD 1-2 0-3 2-3 2-1 

vs Conf 4-4 4-4 1-7 4-4 

vs Non Conf 1-3 0-5 2-2 4-1 

Off SU Loss 2-2 3-2 2-4 2-2 

Loss by 10+ pts 1-2 2-2 2-3 2-1 

Off SU Win 3-4 1-6 1-4 5-3 

Win by 10+ pts 3-4 1-6 1-4 5-3


2015 : 10-2, 6-2 (T #1-#4 MAC West) 






Toledo 

The Rockets in ’16 

HC here: Jason Candle – 1 st 




1.6% 13.7% 34.0% 50.8% 


The Rockets are 8-0 ATS after Season Win's (odds) Record result 

a being a HF (since/ 11/28/14) 2016 6.5 (-110) 

2015 7 (-140) 9-2 OV 

2014 7.5 (-175) 8-4 OV 

2013 8.5 (+130) 7-5 und 

2012 7 (n/a) 9-3 OV 


2015 All 14.2 (35.0-20.8) 86.1 (461-375) 75-74 6.1-5.1 8 

’15 conf only 14.4 (38.1-23.8) 129.2 (499-370) 77-72 6.5-5.1 2 

2014 All 6.2 (36.6-30.5) 83.3 (491-408) 75-70 6.6-5.8 -3 

’14 conf only 10.4 (33.9-23.5) 107.6 (473-365) 72-67 6.5-5.5 -4 

2013 All 4.4 (33.0-28.6) 25.6 (447-422) 70-73 6.4-5.8 4 

’13 conf only 9.1 (36.1-27.0) 56.1 (478-421) 73-70 6.6-6.0 4 

2012 All 3.2 (31.5-28.4) -28.5 (445-473) 74-73 6.0-6.5 7 

’12 conf only 6.9 (34.6-27.8) 41.3 (480-439) 72-72 6.7-6.1 2 



2% 99% 74% 80% 36% 48% 44% 

New head coach Jason Candle has a very similar resume to his 

predecessor Matt Campbell who also started his coaching career at 

Division III powerhouse Mount Union. Candle has been the OC at 

Toledo the last 4 seasons where his offenses have topped 32 ppg each 

year and in his coaching debut, Toledo upset a very good Temple team 

32-17 in the bowl game. 

Toledo’s offense should be explosive as they welcome back 2014 

starter at QB in Logan Woodside who red-shirted last year. The 

Rockets also return their top three RB’s who combined for 2,306 rush 

yards last year (two were named 2 nd -team All-MAC), 4 of their top 5 

WR’s and 9 of their top 10 OL. 

On defense, 6 of the top 9 defensive lineman are gone and 4 of the 

top 5 DB’s have also departed. They do bring back 8 of their top 10 

LB’s and we’re a big fan of the new DC Brian George. 

Their schedule is difficult as they play at Arkansas St and BYU in nonconference 

action while also playing at MAC West contenders 

Northern Illinois and Western Michigan. 


Date Day Opponent open 

9/3 Sat at Arkansas St 

9/10 Sat Maine 


9/30 Fri at BYU 

10/8 Sat at Eastern Mich 



10/27 Thu Ohio 

11/2 Wed at Akron 

11/9 Wed (N) Northern Illinois 

11/16 Wed Ball St 

11/25 Fri at Western Mich 

Toledo is 15-2 ATS as a HD after 

a road game (since/ 9/15/90) 


2012 2013 2014 2015 

SU 9-4 7-5 9-4 10-2 

Home 5-1 5-1 5-1 4-2 

Away 4-2 2-4 3-3 4-0 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

ATS 7-6 8-4 6-6 10-2 

HF 2-3 4-1 3-1 4-2 

HD 1-0 0-1 0-1 0-0 

AF 0-2 1-1 1-2 3-0 

AD 4-0 3-1 1-2 1-0 

vs Conf 4-4 5-3 4-3 6-2 

Non Conf 3-2 3-1 2-3 4-0 

Off SU Loss 2-1 3-1 1-2 2-0 

Loss by 10+ pts 0-0 2-1 0-1 0-0 

Off SU Win 4-5 4-3 4-4 7-2 

Win by 10+ pts 4-5 4-3 4-4 7-2 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

Over/Under 3-9 5-7 8-5 4-8 

as HF 1-3 4-1 3-2 2-4 

as HD 0-1 0-1 1-0 0-0 

as AF 1-1 1-1 1-2 1-2 

as AD 1-3 0-4 2-1 1-0 

vs Conf 2-6 4-4 3-5 4-4 

vs Non Conf 1-3 1-3 5-0 0-4 

Off SU Loss 1-2 2-2 2-2 0-2 

Loss by 10+ pts 0-0 1-2 1-1 0-0 

Off SU Win 2-6 3-4 5-3 4-5 

Win by 10+ pts 2-6 3-4 5-3 4-5


2015 : 8-6, 6-2 (T #1-#4 MAC West) 






Western Mich 

The Broncos in ’16 

HC here: PJ Fleck – 4 th 




4.6% 31.1% 32.9% 31.4% 


The Broncos are 13-1 to the Season Win's (odds) Record result 

OVER as an AD (s’/9/21/13) 2016 8.5 (+100) 

2015 8 (-120) 7-5 und 

2014 3.5 (-160) 8-4 OV 

2013 5.5 (-150) 1-11 und 

2012 8.5 (n/a) 4-8 und 


2015 All 7.7 (36.0-28.3) 77.1 (491-414) 72-66 6.9-6.3 1 

’15 conf only 14.9 (39.8-24.9) 122.6 (521-398) 72-66 7.2-6.0 5 

2014 All 8.8 (33.8-24.9) 66.3 (438-372) 67-68 6.5-5.5 3 

’14 conf only 14.1 (34.2-20.1) 86.9 (443-356) 67-65 6.6-5.5 3 

2013 All -18.2 (17.2-35.4) -92.0 (327-419) 69-72 4.8-5.8 -7 

’13 conf only -15.6 (18.8-34.4) -85.7 (335-421) 67-72 5.0-5.9 -4 

2012 All -0.3 (29.3-29.7) 43.3 (439-396) 76-71 5.8-5.6 -14 

’12 conf only -2.4 (30.0-32.4) 42.5 (460-417) 76-72 6.1-5.8 -12 



100% 98% 56% 75% 61% 52% 54% 

We’re big fans of head coach P.J. Fleck who is now entering his 4 th year 

in Kalamazoo. His last three recruiting classes have been some of the 

best in the history of the MAC and now they’ve had a chance to 

mature after back-to-back bowl bids and 8-5 seasons. 

This year’s team is loaded on offense with the return of a 3,500-yard 

passer in Zach Terrell, two RB’s that have rushed for a 1,000 yards in a 

season (Jamauri Bogan and Jarvion Franklin) and a 1,400-yard receiver 

in Corey Davis. 4 of the 5 starters are also back on the OL (76 career 

starts) but they do lose a LT that was drafted in the 4 th round. 

The defense is relatively inexperienced as they return only 5 starters. 

They lose 2 of their top 3 DL while the LB corps that has dealt with 

many injuries the last two years returns the top 2 tacklers. While the 

secondary loses 3 starters, they return their next 8 guys including CB 

Phillips who had 21 passes defended a year ago. 

The Broncos’ conference schedule this year is very manageable. They 

avoid Bowling Green and Ohio from the MAC East, get Northern 

Illinois and Toledo at home and are the clear favorites in the MAC. 




9/10 Sat NC Central 







11/1 Tue at Ball St 

11/8 Tue at Kent St 


11/25 Fri Toledo 

open 

Western Michigan is 7-0 ATS 

away after a win (s’/ 9/27/14) 


2012 2013 2014 2015 

SU 4-8 1-11 8-5 8-5 

Home 3-3 0-5 3-2 4-2 

Away 1-5 1-6 5-2 3-3 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

ATS 4-8 4-8 11-2 7-6 

HF 2-2 0-1 3-1 1-3 

HD 1-1 0-3 1-0 1-1 

AF 1-1 0-1 1-0 1-1 

AD 0-4 4-2 6-0 3-1 

vs Conf 2-6 2-6 7-1 4-4 

Non Conf 2-2 2-2 4-1 3-2 

Off SU Loss 4-3 3-7 3-1 1-4 

Loss by 10+ pts 3-1 1-6 1-1 0-4 

Off SU Win 0-4 0-1 7-1 5-2 

Win by 10+ pts 0-4 0-1 7-1 5-2 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

Over/Under 5-6 4-8 6-5 7-5 

as HF 1-2 0-1 2-2 1-2 

as HD 2-0 0-3 0-1 1-1 

as AF 1-1 1-0 0-1 2-0 

as AD 1-3 3-3 3-1 2-2 

vs Conf 4-4 3-5 3-4 4-4 

vs Non Conf 1-2 1-3 3-1 3-1 

Off SU Loss 5-1 3-7 3-1 3-1 

Loss by 10+ pts 3-0 3-4 1-1 2-1 

Off SU Win 0-4 1-0 2-4 3-4 

Win by 10+ pts 0-4 1-0 2-4 3-4



Rnk Team Rating 

35 Boise St 80.80 

47 San Diego St 76.91 

65 Air Force 71.63 

86 Utah St 67.35 

90 Nevada 64.78 

91 San Jose St 64.58 

93 New Mexico 64.27 

96 Colorado St 62.56 

101 Fresno St 59.79 

107 UNLV 58.43 

110 Wyoming 57.66 

118 Hawaii 54.43


2015 : 8-6, 6-2 (#1 MW-Mountain) 






Air Force 

The Falcons in ’16 

HC here: Troy Calhoun – 10 th 




0.0% 10.2% 54.8% 35.0% 


Falcons are 1-11 ATS as an AF Season Win's (odds) Record result 

off a loss as a FAV (s’/ 11/7/92) 2016 8 (-110) 

2015 6 (-130) 8-4 OV 

2014 4.5 (-230) 9-3 OV 

2013 6.5 (+120) 2-10 und 

2012 6.5 (n/a) 6-6 und 


2015 All 8.3 (33.8-25.5) 96.2 (451-355) 70-62 6.4-5.7 -5 

’15 conf only 10.9 (35.8-24.9) 111.6 (479-367) 74-62 6.5-5.9 2 

2014 All 7.3 (31.5-24.2) 23.9 (419-395) 77-69 5.4-5.7 1 

’14 conf only 2.1 (28.2-26.1) -20.1 (405-425) 79-73 5.1-5.9 -2 

2013 All -15.3 (24.7-40.0) -122.7 (368-490) 68-77 5.4-6.4 -4 

’13 conf only -21.2 (24.5-45.8) -193.6 (353-547) 67-80 5.3-6.8 2 

2012 All -1.6 (27.4-29.0) 9.5 (419-409) 73-71 5.7-5.8 -13 

’12 conf only 0.4 (28.2-27.9) 18.8 (418-399) 73-70 5.7-5.7 -7 



14% 76% 55% 40% 60% 84% 94% 

After a disastrous 2013 season, the Falcons are coming off back-toback 

successful years winning 10 games in 2014 and a division title last 

year. This year’s team looks even stronger. 

The offense loses QB Karson Roberts but Nate Romine was scheduled 

to be the starter last year before being injured early in the season. 

Romine will be surrounded by experienced skill position players 

including RB Jacobi Owens (back-to-back 1,000-yard seasons) and WR 

Jalen Robinette (No. 3 career receiver here). The offensive line does 

lose 3 starters who combined for 83 career starts. 

On defense, they only lose two players from their entire front 7 twodeep 

as they return their top 4 LB’s and 7 of their top 8 DL but do lose 

their best guy in DL Alex Hansen (15.5 TFL last year). The secondary is 

just as experienced as they bring back 7 of their top 8 including their 4 

starters led by 2-time 1 st -team All-MW Weston Steelhammer. 

The schedule sets up nicely as all 4 of their non-conference games are 

winnable. The Falcons could find themselves favored in as many as 10 

games with the key game vs Boise St coming at home in the finale. 



9/3 Sat Abil Christian 


9/24 Sat at Utah St 

10/1 Sat Navy 


10/15 Sat (N) New Mexico 


10/28 Fri at Fresno St 




11/25 Fri Boise St 

open 

Air Force is 7-0 ATS at home 

after a win as a dog (s’/ 11/18/00) 


2012 2013 2014 2015 

SU 6-7 2-10 10-3 8-6 

Home 5-1 2-5 6-0 6-0 

Away 1-5 0-5 3-3 2-5 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

ATS 3-10 3-9 8-5 9-5 

HF 1-4 1-2 2-1 4-1 

HD 1-0 0-4 3-0 1-0 

AF 0-3 0-0 2-1 1-2 

AD 1-2 2-3 0-2 3-1 

vs Conf 2-6 2-6 4-4 6-3 

Non Conf 1-4 1-3 4-1 3-2 

Off SU Loss 1-5 3-6 1-2 2-3 

Loss by 10+ pts 0-3 3-3 1-1 2-2 

Off SU Win 2-4 0-2 6-3 6-2 

Win by 10+ pts 2-4 0-2 6-3 6-2 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

Over/Under 5-7 8-4 6-7 8-4 

as HF 1-3 2-1 2-1 0-3 

as HD 1-0 2-2 0-3 1-0 

as AF 2-1 0-0 2-1 3-0 

as AD 1-2 4-1 1-1 3-1 

vs Conf 4-4 7-1 4-4 6-2 

vs Non Conf 1-3 1-3 2-3 2-2 

Off SU Loss 2-4 6-3 2-1 2-2 

Loss by 10+ pts 0-3 5-1 1-1 1-2 

Off SU Win 3-3 2-0 4-5 6-2 

Win by 10+ pts 3-3 2-0 4-5 6-2


2015 : 9-4, 5-3 (T #2-#5 MW-Mountain) 






Boise St 

The Broncos in ’16 

HC here: Brian Harsin – 3 rd 




4.5% 16.1% 41.6% 37.8% 


Broncos are 10-1-1 ATS on the Season Win's (odds) Record result 

road after a loss (s’11/1/97) 2016 10.5 (-110) 

2015 9.5 (-120) 8-4 und 

2014 10.5 (+230) 10-2 und 

2013 10.5 (+160) 8-4 und 

2012 10 (n/a) 10-2 push 


2015 All 18.8 (39.1-20.2) 183.2 (502-318) 83-65 6.0-4.9 9 

’15 conf only 13.9 (38.1-24.2) 143.6 (515-372) 85-66 6.1-5.6 4 

2014 All 12.9 (39.7-26.8) 118.9 (494-375) 76-72 6.5-5.2 7 

’14 conf only 14.2 (42.0-27.8) 129.9 (514-384) 77-70 6.7-5.5 4 

2013 All 12.7 (37.5-24.8) 62.6 (476-413) 79-79 6.0-5.3 3 

’13 conf only 15.9 (39.5-23.6) 82.0 (474-392) 76-79 6.2-5.0 1 

2012 All 14.5 (30.2-15.8) 76.2 (391-315) 67-68 5.8-4.6 20 

’12 conf only 1.07 (33.2-16.2) 120.8 (413-292) 67-66 6.2-4.4 9 



100% 84% 40% 42% 21% 73% 74% 

Expectations were high for Boise last year with 17 returning starters. 

However, they somehow managed to lose 3 conference games for the 

first time since 1998 before notching an impressive blowout win over 

Northern Illinois in the bowl game. 

This year the Broncos have some of the best skill position talent among 

all “Group of 5” schools as they return a 3,300-yard passer in Brett 

Rypien, a 1,300-yard rusher in Jeremy McNichols and a 1,400-yard 

receiver in Thomas Sperbeck. They also return 3 starters on the OL and 

have 96 career starts. 

The biggest question on this year’s team comes on defense as they 

lose all 4 starting DL from last year including a 2nd-round draft choice 

in DE Kamalei Correa. They do return all 3 starters at LB but lose a pair 

of 1 st -team all-MW DB’s that combined for 36 career interceptions. 

Despite having to play a pair of Pac-12 teams in non-conference action 

(host Washington St), the Broncos could find themselves favored in all 

12 of their games this year and their season win total (10.5) is the 

highest in the country. 


Date Day Opponent open 

9/3 Sat at ULL 




10/7 Fri at New Mexico 


10/20 Thu BYU 


11/4 Fri San Jose St 


11/18 Fri UNLV 

11/25 Fri at Air Force 

Boise St is 9-0 ATS at home after 

a win as a dog (s’/ 10/25/97) 


2012 2013 2014 2015 

SU 11-2 8-5 12-2 9-4 

Home 5-1 6-0 7-0 4-2 

Away 5-1 2-4 4-1 4-2 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

ATS 6-7 6-7 8-6 7-6 

HF 2-4 3-3 4-3 2-4 

HD 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 

AF 3-2 2-1 3-2 4-2 

AD 1-0 1-2 0-0 0-0 

vs Conf 3-5 4-4 4-5 4-4 

Non Conf 3-2 2-3 4-1 3-2 

Off SU Loss 2-0 3-1 2-0 2-2 

Loss by 10+ pts 0-0 2-0 2-0 1-1 

Off SU Win 3-7 3-5 6-5 5-3 

Win by 10+ pts 3-7 3-5 6-5 5-3 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

Over/Under 6-7 7-6 10-4 7-6 

as HF 1-5 3-3 5-2 1-5 

as HD 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 

as AF 4-1 3-0 4-1 5-1 

as AD 0-1 1-2 0-0 0-0 

vs Conf 4-4 5-3 7-2 4-4 

vs Non Conf 2-3 2-3 3-2 3-2 

Off SU Loss 1-1 3-1 2-0 2-2 

Loss by 10+ pts 0-0 2-0 2-0 0-2 

Off SU Win 5-5 4-4 8-3 5-3 

Win by 10+ pts 5-5 4-4 8-3 5-3


2015 : 7-6, 5-3 (T #2-#5 MW-Mountain) 






Colorado St 

The Rams in ’16 

HC here: Mike Bobo – 2 nd 




1.1% 25.0% 25.4% 48.6% 


Rams are 3-14 ATS away after Season Win's (odds) Record result 

an away game (S’/ 11/7/2003) 2016 5.5 (-110) 

2015 7.5 (+100) 7-5 und 

2014 6.5 (-160) 10-2 OV 

2013 5.5 (-195) 7-6 OV 

2012 4.5 (n/a) 4-8 und 


2015 All 2.4 (29.6-27.2) 34.9 (426-391) 71-67 6.0-5.8 -12 

’15 conf only -1.9 (27.0-28.9) -2.5 (410-412) 69-67 6.0-6.1 -6 

2014 All 8.8 (33.9-25.1) 55.9 (481-425) 68-74 7.1-5.7 2 

’14 conf only 10.0 (35.6-25.6) 63.9 (492-428) 71-75 6.9-5.7 4 

2013 All 6.4 (36.2-29.8) 54.5 (471-416) 75-72 6.3-5.8 2 

’13 conf only 11.9 (38.2-26.4) 92.0 (503-411) 77-71 6.5-5.8 4 

2012 All -9.1 (21.2-30.2) -67.5 (339-407) 63-74 5.4-5.5 -5 

’12 conf only -8.4 (23.2-31.6) -56.2 (351-407) 62-73 5.7-5.6 -7 



90% 59% 27% 77% 26% 76% 34% 

It was a tough start to the Mike Bobo era as the Rams were just 2-4 

until they won 5 of their last 6 regular season games to qualify for a 

3 rd straight bowl. This year’s team is a mixed bag of experience with 

only 10 returning starters and they do lose their DC Tyson Summers to 

Georgia Southern. 

The offense sees the return of QB Nick Stevens and 2 of their top 3 

RB’s. The receiving corps is depleted losing their top 4 including 5 th - 

round draft choice Rashard Higgins. The OL does return 4 starters from 

last year (69 career starts). 

On defense, they Rams must replace their top 4 DL and have only 9 

career starts in the unit. The LB corps sees the return of 5 of their top 

6 but their only loss, Cory James was a 6 th -round draft choice. The 

secondary also has question marks with 4 of their top 6 gone as they 

lose 3 multiple-year starters. 

The schedule is not kind to the Rams this year as outside a tough 

Mountain division, they play Colorado, Minnesota and have to play at 

San Diego St. Getting back to a bowl will be an accomplishment. 



9/2 Fri (N) Colorado 

9/10 Sat UTSA 

9/17 Sat N Colorado 





10/22 Sat at UNLV 





open 

Colorado St is 10-1 at home after 

a loss as a HD (s’/ Nov 14, 1981) 


2012 2013 2014 2015 

SU 4-8 8-6 10-3 7-6 

Home 3-3 4-2 6-0 3-3 

Away 0-5 3-3 3-2 4-1 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

ATS 6-6 10-4 8-5 6-6 

HF 2-1 4-1 4-2 2-0 

HD 2-1 0-1 0-0 2-2 

AF 0-0 2-0 2-1 2-2 

AD 1-4 3-1 1-1 0-1 

vs Conf 4-4 5-3 4-4 4-5 

Non Conf 2-2 5-1 4-1 2-1 

Off SU Loss 4-4 6-0 1-1 2-2 

Loss by 10+ pts 4-4 4-0 1-0 2-1 

Off SU Win 1-2 4-3 6-4 3-4 

Win by 10+ pts 1-2 4-3 6-4 3-4 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

Over/Under 5-6 9-3 6-7 6-6 

as HF 1-1 2-1 4-2 1-0 

as HD 0-3 1-0 0-0 2-2 

as AF 0-0 2-0 1-2 2-2 

as AD 4-1 2-2 1-1 1-0 

vs Conf 4-4 5-2 5-3 5-4 

vs Non Conf 1-2 4-1 1-4 1-2 

Off SU Loss 3-5 4-1 1-1 2-3 

Loss by 10+ pts 3-5 3-1 1-0 1-2 

Off SU Win 2-0 4-2 5-5 4-3 

Win by 10+ pts 2-0 4-2 5-5 4-3


2015 : 3-9, 2-6 (T #4-#5 MW-West) 






Fresno St 


HC here: Tim DeRutyer – 5 th 




15.5% 15.9% 24.2% 44.3% 


The Bulldogs are 2-14 as a FAV Season Win's (odds) Record result 

off a home loss (s’/ 11/12/94) 2016 3.5 (-125) 

2015 4 (-185) 3-9 und 

2014 7.5 (-135) 6-6 und 

2013 10.5 (+120) 10-1 * 

2012 6 (n/a) 9-3 OV 


2015 All -15.8 (22.2-38.1) -131 (315-446) 69-75 4.6-6.0 -3 

’15 conf only -12.0 (22.2-34.2) -152 (298-450) 66-75 4.6-6.0 -1 

2014 All -5.9 (26.5-32.4) -49.9 (406-456) 78-73 5.2-6.3 -7 

’14 conf only 0.9 (27.8-26.9) -0.8 (417-417) 76-71 5.5-5.9 -4 

2013 All 13.1 (43.4-30.3) 115.4 (546-431) 84-76 6.5-5.7 2 

’13 conf only 14.6 (43.3-28.8) 148.9 (579-430) 84-76 6.9-5.7 0 

2012 All 14.1 (37.9-23.8) 138.7 (478-339) 77-72 6.2-4.7 15 

’12 conf only 19.0 (40.8-21.8) 171.5 (494-323) 79-71 6.2-4.6 10 



60% 22% 75% 40% 35% 59% 69% 

After starting off 19-4 here, Tim DeRuyter finds himself squarely on 

the hot seat entering 2016 as the Bulldogs are just on a 10-19 run 

since. That included last year’s disastrous 3-9 season (worst winning 

percentage here since 1973!!). 

This year’s team looks capable of rebounding and it starts by finding 

some stability at QB as 3 of the 4 starters from last year return. The 

offense does lose RB Marteze Waller but brings back their top 3 

receivers. The OL does lose 3 starters that combined for 104 career 

starts (only 24 career starts returning). 

On defense, the DL loses their top 2 but their next 5 best players are 

back. The LB corps loses 2 starters including Ejiro Ederaine who had 

45.5 career TFL’s. The unit does have 6 players back with starting 

experience and in the secondary, it’s the same deal as they return 5 

players with starting experience, but they lose both starting safeties. 

While this year’s team is improved, it’s tough seeing them getting back 

to a bowl thanks to road games at Nebraska, Toledo, Nevada, Utah St 

and Colorado St. They play a total of 8 bowl teams from last year. 




9/10 Sat Sacramento St 





10/14 Fri San Diego St 


10/28 Fri Air Force 




open 

Fresno St is 10-1 ATS as an AD 

off a win as a HF (s’/ 11/19/05) 


2012 2013 2014 2015 

SU 9-4 11-2 6-8 3-9 

Home 6-0 7-0 4-2 2-4 

Away 3-3 4-1 2-5 1-5 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

ATS 11-2 4-7 7-7 4-8 

HF 6-0 2-4 3-1 1-0 

HD 0-0 0-0 0-2 2-3 

AF 3-0 2-2 1-1 0-0 

AD 2-1 0-0 3-2 1-5 

vs Conf 7-1 3-4 6-3 3-5 

Non Conf 4-1 1-3 1-4 1-3 

Off SU Loss 3-0 1-0 3-4 3-5 

Loss by 10+ pts 2-0 1-0 2-4 3-5 

Off SU Win 7-2 3-6 4-2 0-3 

Win by 10+ pts 7-2 3-6 4-2 0-3 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

Over/Under 5-7 6-6 7-7 8-3 

as HF 3-2 3-4 2-2 0-1 

as HD 0-0 0-0 2-0 4-1 

as AF 2-1 3-1 0-2 0-0 

as AD 0-3 0-0 3-2 4-1 

vs Conf 4-4 4-4 3-6 5-2 

vs Non Conf 1-3 2-2 4-1 3-1 

Off SU Loss 2-1 0-1 6-1 6-2 

Loss by 10+ pts 1-1 0-1 5-1 6-2 

Off SU Win 3-6 5-5 0-6 2-0 

Win by 10+ pts 3-6 5-5 0-6 2-0


2015 : 3-10, 0-8 (#6 MW-West) 






Hawaii 

The Rainbow Warriors in ’16 

HC here: Nick Rolovich – 1 st 




18.2% 22.7% 30.8% 28.3% 


The Warriors are 2-12 ATS 


off a loss (s’/ Oct 25, 2014) 2016 2.5 (-120) 

2015 6 (+180) 3-10 und 

2014 3.5 (-170) 4-9 und 

2013 3.5 (-170) 1-11 und 

2012 3.5 (n/a) 3-9 und 


2015 All -18.0 (17.6-35.6) -132.5 (316-449) 65-81 4.9-5.6 -23 

’15 conf only -24.8 (15.8-40.5) -154.3 (321-475) 67-81 4.8-5.9 -20 

2014 All -5.9 (20.9-26.8) -53.8 (364-418) 76-74 4.8-5.7 -7 

’14 conf only -6.0 (21.6-27.6) -57.9 (382-440) 72-73 5.3-6.0 -9 

2013 All -11.3 (27.4-38.8) -78.7 (416-495) 79-83 5.3-6.0 -10 

’13 conf only -11.6 (28.1-39.8) -95.8 (431-527) 82-86 5.3-6.1 -5 

2012 All -14.5 (21.2-35.7) -74.6 (298-373) 70-69 4.3-5.4 -14 

’12 conf only -19.5 (20.9-40.4) -97.4 (299-396) 72-72 4.2-5.5 -11 



38% 98% 80% 78% 89% 43% 47% 

New head coach Nick Rolovich played QB at Hawaii under former 

coach June Jones and was also the OC here for two years before 

spending the last four years at Nevada. He certainly understands the 

culture here, but Hawaii has become an increasingly tough place to 

win. You can look no further than this year’s early travel schedule, 

which takes Hawaii to Australia, Michigan and Arizona in the first 22 

days of the season! 

Rolovich does inherit an experienced team as they bring back QB 

Ikaika Woolsey, RB Paul Harris (1,132 rush yards last year) and their 

top 3 receivers. The OL loses their best player in Ben Clarke who was 

a 4-year starter but does return everyone else (73 career starts). 

On defense, they bring back 6 of their top 7 DL, but do lose 3 of their 

top 4 LB’s. The secondary also loses 3 starters from a unit that only 

managed 3 interceptions all of last season. 

If the Rainbow Warriors survive that treacherous early schedule, 

there are 3-4 winnable home games the rest of the season. 



8/26 Fri (N) California 


9/10 Sat UT Martin 




10/15 Sat UNLV 







open 

Hawaii is 6-1 to the UNDER after 

a win (since Dec 1, 2012) 


2012 2013 2014 2015 

SU 3-9 1-11 4-9 3-10 

Home 3-3 1-5 3-4 3-4 

Away 0-6 0-6 1-5 0-6 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

ATS 5-7 7-5 5-7 3-10 

HF 2-0 1-0 1-1 0-4 

HD 1-3 2-3 2-2 1-2 

AF 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 

AD 2-4 4-2 2-4 2-4 

vs Conf 2-6 3-5 3-5 1-7 

Non Conf 3-1 4-0 2-2 2-3 

Off SU Loss 3-6 6-5 3-4 1-9 

Loss by 10+ pts 3-6 4-2 2-2 1-8 

Off SU Win 1-1 0-0 1-3 1-1 

Win by 10+ pts 1-1 0-0 1-3 1-1 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

Over/Under 6-5 8-4 5-8 7-6 

as HF 0-1 1-0 2-1 3-1 

as HD 4-0 3-2 2-2 2-1 

as AF 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 

as AD 2-4 4-2 1-5 2-4 

vs Conf 6-2 6-2 4-4 5-3 

vs Non Conf 0-3 2-2 1-4 2-3 

Off SU Loss 5-3 8-3 4-4 7-3 

Loss by 10+ pts 5-3 3-3 2-2 7-2 

Off SU Win 1-1 0-0 1-3 0-2 

Win by 10+ pts 1-1 0-0 1-3 0-2


2015 : 7-6, 4-4 (T #2-#3 MW-West) 






Nevada 

The Wolf Pack in ’16 

HC here: Brain Polian– 4 th 




11.2% 16.8% 41.6% 30.4% 


The Wolf pack are 15-3 to the Season Win's (odds) Record result 

UNDER when playing off a loss 2016 6.5 (-120) 

2015 7 (-115) 6-6 und 

the last 3 seasons. 

2014 5.5 (-180) 7-5 OV 

2013 6.5 (+140) 4-8 Und 

2012 7.5 (n/a) 7-5 und 


2015 All -0.6 (26.2-26.8) -30.2 (375-405) 68-71 5.5-5.7 9 

’15 conf only 1.8 (26.6-24.8) 7.4 (380-372) 68-68 5.6-5.5 5 

2014 All 1.9 (29.2-27.2) -49.5 (398-447) 74-76 5.4-5.9 11 

’14 conf only 2.2 (31.8-29.5) -30.2 (406-436) 73-77 5.6-5.7 5 

2013 All -7.5 (26.9-34.4) -76.1 (429-505) 81-71 5.3-7.1 7 

’13 conf only -2.6 (29.6-32.2) -40.7 (461-502) 82-74 5.6-6.8 5 

2012 All 4.1 (37.8-33.8) 73.0 (515-442) 83-74 6.2-5.9 -4 

’12 conf only 3.0 (37.9-34.9) 52.7 (478-425) 79-74 6.1-5.8 -3 



100% 61% 96% 92% 34% 17% 92% 

Replacing a legend like Chris Ault is no easy task and the Brian Polian 

era has been a mixed bag. On the bright side, he has led the Wolf Pack 

to back-to-back bowl games and this looks like his best team yet 

specifically on offense with the return of 10 starters. 

Tyler Stewart returns at QB and while they lose a 1,000-yard rusher at 

RB, they also return one in James Butler (1,342 yards last year) and 

bring in transfer Akeel Lynch from Penn State. The receiving corps 

welcomes back their top 4 and the entire 2-deep is back on an OL that 

boasts 84 career starts. 

The defense is much less experienced especially up front as they lose 

their top 4 DL (only 1 DL returns with 20 career tackles) and also their 

top 4 LB’s. The secondary does return their entire 2-deep and their 

special teams should be good again with the return of both specialists. 

The Wolf Pack do have 3 long road trips in the first 5 weeks of the 

season (ND, Purdue and Hawaii). if they’re able to stay healthy, the 

conference schedule is manageable as they avoid Boise St and Air 

Force out of the Mountain and get San Diego St and Utah St at home. 



9/2 Fri Cal Poly 








11/5 Sat at New Mexico 




open 

Nevada is 9-2 ATS the game 

after a loss (s’/ Nov 16, 2013) 


2012 2013 2014 2015 

SU 7-6 4-8 7-6 7-6 

Home 2-4 4-2 3-3 4-2 

Away 5-1 0-6 4-2 2-4 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

ATS 4-9 6-6 7-6 8-4 

HF 0-4 2-2 1-2 3-2 

HD 1-1 2-0 1-2 0-1 

AF 1-4 0-0 3-0 1-1 

AD 1-0 2-4 2-1 3-0 

vs Conf 2-6 4-4 4-4 6-2 

Non Conf 2-3 2-2 3-2 2-2 

Off SU Loss 1-4 5-2 3-2 5-0 

Loss by 10+ pts 0-2 3-2 1-0 3-0 

Off SU Win 2-5 1-3 4-3 3-3 

Win by 10+ pts 2-5 1-3 4-3 3-3 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

Over/Under 7-5 4-8 4-9 4-9 

as HF 2-1 1-3 0-3 1-4 

as HD 1-1 0-2 1-2 1-0 

as AF 3-2 0-0 1-2 0-2 

as AD 0-1 3-3 2-1 2-2 

vs Conf 5-3 2-6 3-5 2-7 

vs Non Conf 2-2 2-2 1-4 2-2 

Off SU Loss 3-1 0-7 2-3 1-5 

Loss by 10+ pts 1-1 0-5 1-0 1-2 

Off SU Win 4-3 3-1 2-5 3-3 

Win by 10+ pts 4-3 3-1 2-5 3-3


2015 : 7-6, 5-3 (T #2-#5 MW-Mountain) 






New Mexico 

The Lobos in ’16 

HC here: Bob Davie – 5 th 




6.6% 14.0% 42.0% 37.4% 


Lobos are 1-10-1 ATS as an AF Season Win's (odds) Record result 

after being a HD (S’/ 11/2/85) 2016 7 (-120) 

2015 4.5 (-135) 7-5 OV 

2014 4.5 (+115) 4-8 und 

2013 4.5 (+140) 3-9 und 

2012 2.5 (n/a) 4-9 OV 


2015 All 1.5 (29.9-28.4) -49.5 (388-438) 67-72 5.8-6.1 4 

’15 conf only -0.5 (27.1-27.6) -93.9 (362-456) 61-75 6.0-6.1 2 

2014 All -8.2 (27.7-35.9) -119.5 (400-519) 61-76 6.5-6.8 1 

’14 conf only -9.0 (28.2-37.2) -148.6 (389-538) 60-78 6.5-6.9 3 

2013 All -10.0 (32.8-42.8) -94.8 (422-517) 65-70 6.5-7.4 -4 

’13 conf only -18.2 (30.6-48.9) -125.1 (428-553) 66-72 6.5-7.7 -10 

2012 All -4.5 (25.8-30.2) -74.1 (370-444) 65-65 5.7-6.8 11 

’12 conf only -7.1 (24.1-31.2) -59.7 (407-467) 67-65 6.1-7.2 5 



100% 69% 62% 45% 99% 82% 66% 

After winning just 3 total games from 2009-2011, Bob Davie has done 

a good job in Albuquerque rebuilding the program. Last year the Lobos 

made their first bowl game since 2007 that was highlighted by the 

biggest upset of the entire 2015 season (winning outright as 30-point 

underdogs at Boise State). However, while the Lobos were 5-3 in 

conference play last year, they were -94 ypg. 

This year the offense only returns 5 starters, but it’s a bit misleading 

as they bring back both QB’s who started, 3 of the top 4 RB’s and their 

top 2 receivers. While they lose 3 starters on the OL, the unit still has 

a respectable 59 career starts. 

The defense could be the best New Mexico has had in nearly a decade 

as they return their top 6 DL, all 4 starters at LB and 3 of their top 4 

players in the secondary. 

The schedule is pretty favorable this year as the only Power 5 team in 

non-conference action is Rutgers and the Lobos should be favored in 

7 games. They only have 3 true road games in conference action and 

this looks another bowl team. 



9/3 Sat South Dakota 

9/10 Sat at New Mexico St 



10/7 Fri Boise St 

10/15 Sat (N) Air Force 







open 

New Mexico is 15-4 ATS after a 

loss as a HF (s’/ Oct 25, 1980) 


2012 2013 2014 2015 

SU 4-9 3-9 4-8 7-6 

Home 2-4 2-4 1-5 5-3 

Away 2-5 1-5 3-3 2-3 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

ATS 7-6 6-6 6-6 7-6 

HF 2-0 2-1 1-1 1-3 

HD 2-2 0-2 1-3 3-1 

AF 1-0 0-0 0-1 1-0 

AD 2-4 4-2 4-1 2-2 

vs Conf 4-4 4-4 5-3 4-4 

Non Conf 3-2 2-2 1-3 3-2 

Off SU Loss 3-5 5-3 5-3 4-1 

Loss by 10+ pts 1-3 3-2 4-1 3-1 

Off SU Win 3-1 1-2 1-2 2-5 

Win by 10+ pts 3-1 1-2 1-2 2-5 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

Over/Under 3-8 9-3 6-5 5-7 

as HF 0-1 2-1 1-1 2-1 

as HD 2-2 2-0 2-2 2-2 

as AF 1-0 0-0 1-0 1-0 

as AD 0-5 4-2 2-2 0-4 

vs Conf 3-5 6-2 4-3 3-5 

vs Non Conf 0-3 3-1 2-2 2-2 

Off SU Loss 1-6 7-1 5-2 3-2 

Loss by 10+ pts 0-3 4-1 3-2 2-2 

Off SU Win 2-2 2-1 1-2 2-5 

Win by 10+ pts 2-2 2-1 1-2 2-5

A Look Back.. 

2015 : 11-3, 8-0 (#1 MW-West) 






San Diego St 

The Aztecs in ’16 

HC here: Rocky Long – 6 th 




1.6% 15.9% 47.7% 34.7% 


The Aztecs are 4-16-1 ATS after Season Win's (odds) Record result 

a loss as a HF (s’/ 10/25/90) 2016 8.5 (-130) 

2015 7.5 (-120) 9-3 OV 

2014 6.5 (+130) 7-5 OV 

2013 7.5 (+140) 7-5 und 

2012 6 (n/a) 9-3 OV 


2015 All 15.7 (32.1-16.4) 88 (375-287) 66-62 5.7-4.7 22 

’15 conf only 22.4 (35.1-12.7) 175.8 (416-240) 67-58 6.2-4.1 18 

2014 All 5.2 (25.0-19.8) 62.0 (394-332) 67-67 5.9-4.9 4 

’14 conf only 6.0 (25.2-19.2) 84.9 (409-324) 70-67 5.9-4.9 4 

2013 All -1.9 (29.8-31.7) 38.8 (425-386) 75-73 5.7-5.3 -11 

’13 conf only 0.0 (32.0-32.0) 61.2 (447-386) 74-75 6.1-5.2 -6 

2012 All 8.5 (32.8-24.4) 27.6 (397-369) 68-71 5.8-5.2 1 

’12 conf only 12.1 (35.5-23.4) 15.1 (388-373) 69-73 5.6-5.1 1 



23% 64% 72% 60% 66% 71% 83% 

After a disappointing 7-6 season in 2014, the Aztecs started off last 

year 1-3 which included a shocking loss to South Alabama at home. 

However, they would rattle off 10 straight wins (8-2 ATS) to close the 

season by an average margin of 24 ppg while claiming a Mountain 

West title and a Hawaii Bowl win in the process. 

This year’s team looks just as strong thanks to the return of RB Donnel 

Pumphrey who already has 4,272 career rush yards. The Aztecs also 

bring back their top 2 receivers, QB Christian Chapman who got 

starting experience at the end of last year and 3 starters on the OL. 

The defense does lose 2 of their top 3 DL but returns everyone else on 

the two-deep. The LB’s should easily be the best in the conference 

thanks to the return of 7 of the top 8 and the secondary sees the 

return of 3 starters. 

The schedule also sets up nicely as they avoid Air Force and Boise St 

from the Mountain division, host California in non-conference action 

and could be favored in at least 11 games. They are the clear 

favorites in the West division. 



9/3 Sat New Hampshire 



10/1 Sat at South Alabama 

10/8 Sat UNLV 

10/14 Fri at Fresno St 

10/21 Fri San Jose St 

10/28 Fri at Utah St 





open 

San Diego St is 7-0-2 ATS after a 

win on the road (s’/ Oct 4, 2013) 


2012 2013 2014 2015 

SU 9-4 8-6 7-6 11-3 

Home 6-2 3-3 6-1 6-1 

Away 3-2 4-3 1-5 4-2 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

ATS 8-5 7-6 7-6 8-5 

HF 4-3 1-2 4-3 2-3 

HD 0-1 2-0 0-0 1-0 

AF 1-0 2-2 1-0 2-0 

AD 3-1 1-2 2-3 2-2 

vs Conf 6-2 5-2 5-3 7-1 

Non Conf 2-3 2-4 2-3 1-4 

Off SU Loss 3-1 2-4 2-3 1-2 

Loss by 10+ pts 2-0 2-2 1-2 1-1 

Off SU Win 5-4 5-1 4-3 7-2 

Win by 10+ pts 5-4 5-1 4-3 7-2 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

Over/Under 5-7 8-5 2-10 6-7 

as HF 2-4 2-1 1-5 2-3 

as HD 0-1 2-0 0-0 1-0 

as AF 1-0 1-3 0-1 2-0 

as AD 2-2 2-1 1-4 1-3 

vs Conf 4-4 5-2 1-7 4-5 

vs Non Conf 1-3 3-3 1-3 2-2 

Off SU Loss 2-2 4-2 0-4 2-1 

Loss by 10+ pts 1-1 3-1 0-2 1-1 

Off SU Win 3-5 4-2 1-6 4-6 

Win by 10+ pts 3-5 4-2 1-6 4-6


2015 : 6-7, 4-4 (T #2-#3 MW-West) 






San Jose St 

The Spartans in ’16 

HC here: Ron Caragher – 4 th 




7.0% 27.6% 40.2% 25.2% 


The Spartans are 0-8 ATS as Season Win's (odds) Record result 

a dog off a loss (s’/ 10/20/14) 2016 5 (-110) 

2015 4 (-125) 5-7 OV 

2014 5.5 (+170) 3-9 und 

2013 7.5 (+100) 6-6 und 

2012 5.5 (n/a) 10-2 OV 


2015 All 0.7 (27.9-27.2) 46.1 (405-359) 71-64 5.7-5.6 -5 

’15 conf only -0.4 (29.4-29.8) 25.5 (417-392) 70-68 6.0-5.8 -1 

2014 All -10.1 (19.3-29.4) 37.3 (395-357) 75-65 5.2-5.5 -12 

’14 conf only -10.0 (17.4-27.4) 81.1 (417-336) 78-64 5.3-5.3 -10 

2013 All -2.7 (32.4-35.1) 34.0 (493-459) 77-75 6.4-6.1 -5 

’13 conf only -1.2 (34.5-35.8) 36.0 (527-491) 82-76 6.5-6.5 -2 

2012 All 13.5 (34.8-21.3) 101.5 (446-345) 70-68 6.4-5.1 8 

’12 conf only 15.8 (41.8-26.0) 115.7 (491-375) 72-67 6.8-5.6 4 



69% 30% 70% 80% 74% 97% 49% 

After inheriting a team that went 11-2 in 2012, the Ron Caragher era 

has been a bit disappointing. Despite going 5-7 last year, they received 

a bowl bid and took advantage by beating Georgia State and gained 

15 extra valuable practices. 

This year’s team looks just as strong, if not stronger but they will have 

to replace RB Tyler Ervin who ran for 1,601 yards and was a 4 th -round 

draft choice. QB Kenny Potter returns along with 3 of their top 4 

receivers. They lose a draft choice on the OL but the other 4 starters 

from last year return (86 career starts). 

On defense, the front 7 is very experienced as they return 4 of the top 

5 DL and each of the top 5 LB’s return led by Christian Tago (125 

tackles last year). The secondary does lose 3 starters. 

The schedule does feature a pair of Power 5 conference teams (Utah 

and Iowa St) and a tricky road game at Tulsa in the opener. They also 

draw both Boise St and Air Force out of the Mountain division and 

must play San Diego St on the road. It will be tough topping last year’s 

6-win total. 




9/10 Sat Portland St 

9/17 Sat Utah 





10/21 Fri at San Diego St 

10/29 Sat UNLV 

11/4 Fri at Boise St 



open 

San Jose St is 9-0 as an AF the 

game after a win (s’/ 10/2/2002) 


2012 2013 2014 2015 

SU 11-2 6-6 3-9 6-7 

Home 5-1 3-3 2-3 3-3 

Away 5-1 3-3 1-6 2-4 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

ATS 11-2 6-6 3-9 8-5 

HF 3-2 1-3 2-1 3-1 

HD 1-0 1-1 0-2 1-1 

AF 4-0 2-1 1-0 2-0 

AD 2-0 2-1 0-6 1-3 

vs Conf 3-2 4-4 2-6 4-4 

Non Conf 8-0 2-2 1-3 4-1 

Off SU Loss 2-0 2-4 1-7 5-2 

Loss by 10+ pts 1-0 1-3 1-6 4-1 

Off SU Win 8-2 3-2 1-2 2-3 

Win by 10+ pts 8-2 3-2 1-2 2-3 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

Over/Under 7-4 6-5 6-6 7-5 

as HF 3-1 3-1 0-3 2-2 

as HD 0-1 1-1 1-1 1-1 

as AF 2-1 1-2 1-0 2-0 

as AD 1-1 1-1 4-2 2-1 

vs Conf 3-1 4-3 4-4 5-3 

vs Non Conf 4-3 2-2 2-2 2-2 

Off SU Loss 1-0 4-2 3-5 5-2 

Loss by 10+ pts 1-0 3-1 2-5 3-2 

Off SU Win 6-3 2-2 3-0 1-3 

Win by 10+ pts 6-3 2-2 3-0 1-3


2015 : 3-9, 2-6 (T #4-#5 MW-West) 






UNLV 

The Rebels in ’16 

HC here: Tony Sanchez – 2 nd 




2.7% 35.7% 27.0% 34.6% 


The Rebels are 2-12 ATS after Season Win's (odds) Record result 

a loss as a FAV (s’/ 10/23/04) 2016 5.5 (-110) 

2015 2.5 (+110) 3-9 OV 

2014 4.5 (+135) 2-11 und 

2013 4.5 (+100) 7-5 OV 

2012 3 (n/a) 2-11 und 


2015 All -5.1 (28.6-33.7) -52.2 (405-457) 72-73 5.6-6.2 4 

’15 conf only -8.8 (27.9-36.6) -59.3 (409-468) 73-72 5.6-6.5 -1 

2014 All -16.5 (21.9-38.5) -126.1 (387-513) 74-78 5.2-6.6 -8 

’14 conf only -13.1 (23.5-36.6) -88.0 (389-477) 73-76 5.4-6.3 -4 

2013 All -1.9 (29.9-31.8) -21.8 (411-433) 76-75 5.4-5.7 5 

’13 conf only 3.6 (33.8-30.1) -21.3 (444-465) 79-75 5.6-6.2 6 

2012 All -10.6 (22.0-32.6) -77.3 (368-445) 71-74 5.2-6.0 -6 

’12 conf only -9.4 (21.8-31.1) -75.3 (347-422) 66-73 5.2-5.8 -5 



32% 87% 74% 67% 68% 76% 51% 

The hire of former high school coach Tony Sanchez raised a lot of 

eyebrows last season. However, Sanchez made several solid moves 

including hiring an experienced college staff and the Rebels showed a 

lot of improvement in 2015. It would have been even more noticeable 

but UNLV was just 1-4 in one-possession games. 

This year’s team looks even stronger. Blake Decker is gone at QB but 

Kurt Palandech started 3 games and keep an eye on JUCO transfer 

Johnny Stanton who was originally at Nebraska. Either QB will have 

plenty of experience around them as the top 3 RB’s return along with 

the top 2 receivers. 3 starters are back on the OL. 

On defense, they do lose their top DL, but return their other 3 starters 

along with 3 of the top 4 LB’s. While the secondary loses both starting 

safeties, they see the return of their next 5 most experienced players. 

The Rebels’ program seems to be on the rise and the opening season 

win total (see above) reflects that optimism. All 6 of their home games 

fall into the winnable category and they have a great shot at notching 

just their 2 nd bowl bid in the last 16 years. 



9/1 Thu Jackson St 










11/18 Fri at Boise St 


open 

UNLV is 0-7 ATS as an AF off 

a win (s’/ Dec 2, 2000) 


2012 2013 2014 2015 

SU 2-11 7-6 2-11 3-9 

Home 2-5 4-3 2-4 2-4 

Away 0-6 3-2 0-7 1-5 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

ATS 7-5 7-5 5-8 5-7 

HF 1-1 2-1 0-2 2-0 

HD 4-1 2-2 1-3 0-4 

AF 0-2 0-0 0-0 0-1 

AD 2-1 2-1 4-3 3-2 

vs Conf 5-3 5-2 4-4 2-6 

Non Conf 2-2 2-3 1-4 3-1 

Off SU Loss 6-3 4-1 4-6 3-5 

Loss by 10+ pts 3-1 3-1 4-4 3-2 

Off SU Win 0-2 3-3 1-1 1-2 

Win by 10+ pts 0-2 3-3 1-1 1-2 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

Over/Under 6-6 6-7 7-5 9-3 

as HF 0-1 1-2 0-1 2-0 

as HD 4-1 2-2 3-1 3-1 

as AF 1-1 0-0 0-0 1-0 

as AD 1-3 2-2 4-3 3-2 

vs Conf 3-5 4-4 4-3 7-1 

vs Non Conf 3-1 2-3 3-2 2-2 

Off SU Loss 5-4 2-3 4-5 6-2 

Loss by 10+ pts 2-3 1-3 2-5 4-1 

Off SU Win 0-2 3-4 2-0 2-1 

Win by 10+ pts 0-2 3-4 2-0 2-1

A Look Back.. 

2015 : 6-7, 5-3 (T #2-#5 MW-Mountain) 






Utah St 


HC here: Matt Wells – 4 th 




1.0% 16.8% 35.7% 46.5% 


LY the Aggies faced 9 teams Season Win's (odds) Record result 

that played in Bowl Games 2016 6.5 (-130) 

2015 8 (+125) 6-6 und 

2014 9.5 (+155) 9-4 und 

2013 7.5 (-150) 8-4 OV 

2012 7 (n/a) 10-2 OV 


2015 All 2.3 (29.0-26.7) 38.2 (371-332) 68-69 5.5-4.9 -2 

’15 conf only 9.5 (35.6-26.1) 47.2 (391-344) 66-70 6.0-4.9 5 

2014 All 7.2 (26.9-19.7) 22.7 (379-356) 64-75 5.9-4.8 9 

’14 conf only 9.6 (28.0-18.4) 9.8 (378-368) 60-74 6.3-5.0 5 

2013 All 14.7 (31.8-17.1) 80.8 (412-331) 77-73 5.4-4.6 11 

’13 conf only 17.7 (33.3-15.7) 78.5 (413-334) 77-74 5.4-4.5 10 

2012 All 19.5 (34.9-15.4) 147.0 (469-322) 69-74 6.8-4.3 -1 

’12 conf only 26.8 (44.8-18.0) 154.0 (502-348) 69-77 7.3-4.5 5 



62% 90% 50% 60% 41% 8% 49% 

After averaging 10 wins a year from 2012-2014, the Aggies took a step 

back last year finishing just 6-7. This year’s team looks better on 

offense but the defense is a major question mark and they must also 

replace both offensive and defensive coordinators for a second 

straight year. 

Last year QB Chuckie Keeton was a shell of his former self and the 

Aggies were more productive when sophomore Kent Myers started. 

Keeton departs this year, but Myers is back along with their top 2 RB’s. 

The WR’s do lose their top 2 but the OL is experienced with 7 of the 

top 10 back (69 career starts). 

The defense loses their top 2 DL and they must rebuild their entire LB 

corps as they lost a pair of 3 rd -round draft choices (861 career tackles 

and 105 career starts lost). The secondary offers up a little more 

experience with the return of 3 of their top 5. 

The schedule is not kind to the Aggies this year as they travel to USC, 

Boise St, Nevada and BYU and also pull San Diego St from the other 

division. They could be a dog in 6 games. 



9/1 Thu Weber St 


9/16 Fri Arkansas St 





10/28 Fri San Diego St 





open 

Utah St is 8-2 to the OVER as a 

HF the last 2 seasons 


2012 2013 2014 2015 

SU 11-2 9-5 10-4 6-7 

Home 6-0 4-2 6-0 5-1 

Away 4-2 4-3 3-4 1-5 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

ATS 11-2 9-5 7-7 5-8 

HF 4-1 4-1 2-4 2-2 

HD 1-0 0-1 0-0 1-1 

AF 2-1 3-1 2-0 1-3 

AD 3-0 1-2 2-3 1-1 

vs Conf 4-1 6-3 5-3 4-4 

Non Conf 7-1 3-2 2-4 1-4 

Off SU Loss 1-1 4-1 2-2 2-4 

Loss by 10+ pts 0-0 1-1 1-1 2-2 

Off SU Win 9-1 5-3 5-4 3-3 

Win by 10+ pts 9-1 5-3 5-4 3-3 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

Over/Under 3-9 6-8 8-6 9-4 

as HF 0-4 2-3 5-1 3-1 

as HD 0-1 1-0 0-0 2-0 

as AF 2-1 2-2 1-1 3-1 

as AD 1-2 1-2 2-3 1-1 

vs Conf 2-3 4-5 5-3 7-1 

vs Non Conf 1-6 2-3 3-3 2-3 

Off SU Loss 1-1 3-2 3-1 5-1 

Loss by 10+ pts 0-0 2-0 1-1 3-1 

Off SU Win 2-8 2-6 5-4 4-2 

Win by 10+ pts 2-8 2-6 5-4 4-2


2015 : 2-10, 2-6 (#6 MW-Mountain) 






Wyoming 

The Cowboys in ’16 

HC here: Craig Bohl – 3 rd 




15.5% 34.5% 32.2% 17.8% 


Cowboys are 0-7 ATS as a FAV Season Win's (odds) Record result 

after a loss as a HF (S’/ 10/20/12) 2016 3.5 (-110) 

2015 5 (-120) 2-10 und 

2014 4.5 (+220) 4-8 und 

2013 5.5 (-175) 5-7 und 

2012 6 (n/a) 4-8 und 


2015 All -15.0 (19.0-34.0) -61.4 (361-422) 66-66 5.5-6.4 -11 

’15 conf only -14.4 (19.9-34.2) -85.6 (344-430) 63-68 5.4-6.4 -7 

2014 All -11.8 (21.1-32.8) -49.8 (381-431) 69-66 5.6-6.5 -2 

’14 conf only -8.9 (23.5-32.4) -40.0 (401-441) 71-65 5.7-6.8 4 

2013 All -5.4 (31.2-36.7) -9.2 (473-482) 77-81 6.2-6.0 -4 

’13 conf only -12.6 (30.4-43.0) -50.4 (464-515) 76-82 6.2-6.3 -5 

2012 All -6.6 (26.8-33.4) -80.3 (389-470) 71-75 5.5-6.2 7 

’12 conf only -7.1 (26.5-33.6) -90.5 (387-478) 75-72 5.2-6.6 8 



13% 95% 97% 78% 45% 96% 92% 

Head coach Craig Bohl made an interesting move in 2014 leaving FCS 

powerhouse North Dakota State to take on one of the toughest jobs 

in the country. The Cowboys have gone just 6-18 under his watch and 

while this year’s team looks like his best yet with 17 returning starters, 

most of their winnable games are all on the road. 

The offense loses QB Cameron Coffman but does bring back RB Brian 

Hill who ran for 1,631 rush yards last year as well as their top 5 

receivers. The OL also returns 4 of their 5 starters (70 career starts). 

The DL does lose 3 of their top 5 players including DE Eddie Yarbrough 

who was the school’s all-time leader in TFL’s. The Pokes are very 

experienced in the back 7 as their top 4 LB’s return along with their 

top 6 DB’s. 

While this year’s Wyoming team could be 6-7 points better than last 

year’s edition, the schedule makers weren’t kind to the Pokes. They 

could be at least a TD underdog at home to Northern Illinois, Air Force, 

Boise St, Utah St and San Diego St. That means most of their winnable 

games are on the road and this looks like another losing season. 





9/17 Sat UC Davis 

9/23 Fri at Eastern Mich 









open 

Wyoming is 2-13 ATS as a HF 

after being a HF (s’/ Nov 8, 1997) 


2012 2013 2014 2015 

SU 4-8 5-7 4-8 2-10 

Home 1-5 4-2 3-3 2-4 

Away 3-3 1-5 1-5 0-6 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

ATS 7-5 5-7 4-7 6-6 

HF 1-2 2-3 0-1 1-2 

HD 1-2 0-1 0-3 1-2 

AF 2-0 1-1 1-0 0-0 

AD 3-1 2-2 2-3 4-2 

vs Conf 5-3 2-6 3-5 4-4 

Non Conf 2-2 3-1 1-2 2-2 

Off SU Loss 3-4 2-4 2-5 5-5 

Loss by 10+ pts 1-2 1-3 1-5 5-5 

Off SU Win 3-1 2-3 2-2 1-0 

Win by 10+ pts 3-1 2-3 2-2 1-0 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

Over/Under 6-5 6-6 7-5 4-7 

as HF 2-0 2-3 0-2 2-0 

as HD 2-1 0-1 2-1 1-2 

as AF 0-2 2-0 1-0 0-0 

as AD 2-2 2-2 4-1 1-5 

vs Conf 3-5 4-4 6-2 3-5 

vs Non Conf 3-0 2-2 1-3 1-2 

Off SU Loss 4-2 2-4 6-1 4-6 

Loss by 10+ pts 3-0 2-2 5-1 4-6 

Off SU Win 1-3 3-2 1-3 0-1 

Win by 10+ pts 1-3 3-2 1-3 0-1

2015 FINAL 


TEAM W L Pct Own Opp W L Pct 

Appalachian St 11 2 84.6% 36.7 19.1 7 1 87.5% 

Georgia Southern 9 4 69.2% 36.5 23.5 6 2 75.0% 

Arkansas State 9 4 69.2% 40.0 30.2 8 0 100.0% 

Georgia State 6 7 46.2% 26.9 28.3 5 3 62.5% 

South Alabama 5 7 41.7% 25.0 37.3 3 5 37.5% 

Idaho 4 8 33.3% 30.3 42.1 3 5 37.5% 

ULL 4 8 33.3% 26.4 31.8 3 5 37.5% 

Troy 4 8 33.3% 27.9 28.3 3 5 37.5% 

New Mexico St 3 9 25.0% 28.6 45.0 3 5 37.5% 

Texas State 3 9 25.0% 26.9 39.2 2 6 25.0% 

ULM 2 11 15.4% 21.0 36.5 1 7 12.5% 

BRAD POWER 



67 App St 71.28 

77 Ga Southern 69.18 

80 Arkansas St 68.51 

99 Troy 60.39 

105 UL-Lafayette 59.37 

114 Georgia St 56.78 

117 Idaho 54.86 

120 So Alabama 53.55 

123 New Mex St 51.91 

127 Texas State 49.17 

128 ULM 48.86


2015 : 11-2, 7-1 (Sun Belt #2) 






Appalachian St 

The Mountaineers in ’16 

HC here: Scott Satterfield – 4 th Ret 

Starters: OFF-6.7*, DEF-8.6 



2.5% 27.8% 40.5% 29.2% 

The Mountaineers were the only 

FBS team to finish in the top10 of 

OFF & DEF RedZone Efficiency 



2016 8.5 (-110) 

2015 8.5 (-215) 10-2 OV 

2014 3.5 (+230) 7-5 OV 

2013 FCS - - 

2012 FCS - - 


2015 All 17.6 (36.7-19.1) 152.8 (467-314) 69-67 6.7-4.7 2 

Conf only 17.8 (38.4-20.6) 144.4 (482-338) 69-70 7.0-4.8 -1 

2014 All 8.3 (35.7-27.3) 114.0 (462-348) 73-66 6.3-5.3 -2 

Conf only 10.0 (35.0-25.0) 117.9 (454-336) 72-68 6.3-5.0 -3 



9/1 Thu at Tennessee 





10/12 Wed at ULL 


10/27 Thu at Ga Southern 





open 

App St is 8-0-1 ATS when O/U 

Total is 61 or more pts (s’/11/9/13) 



100% 95% 47% 60% 47% 87% 78% 

Appalachian St joined the Sun Belt in 2014 and after going 1-5 their 

first 6 games they have gone 17-2 since with only Ohio St (22-1) having 

fewer losses. When only looking at conference games last year 

Appalachian St led the SBC with an impressive +144 YPG. 

The offense sees the return of multiple-year starters led by QB Taylor 

Lamb and RB Marcus Cox. They do lose 3 of their 4 top WR’s and a 

pair of all-conference OL. 

The defense loses arguably their two best players in DL Ronald Blair 

who was drafted in the 5 th round and S Doug Middleton but every 

other starter is back. 

Overall, the Mountaineers should rack up another hefty win total this 

season and should be favored in every conference game with the trip 

to Georgia Southern being the only exception (around a pick’em). 

They play a pair of Power-5 teams as they travel to Tennessee in the 

opener and Kidd Brewer Stadium will be rocking on September 17 th as 

they host the Miami Hurricanes. App State will be looking for their 

first P-5 win since upsetting Michigan in 2007. 


2012 2013 2014 2015 

SU 8-4 4-8 7-5 11-2 

Home 4-3 2-4 4-2 5-1 

Away 4-1 2-4 3-3 5-1 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

ATS 0-1 1-0 5-6 6-7 

HF 0-0 0-0 2-2 2-4 

HD 0-0 0-0 0-1 0-0 

AF 0-0 0-0 0-0 4-1 

AD 0-1 1-0 3-2 0-1 

vs Conf 0-0 0-0 4-3 4-4 

Non Conf 0-1 1-0 1-3 2-3 

Off SU Loss 0-0 0-0 2-3 2-0 

Loss by 10+ pts 0-0 0-0 1-2 2-0 

Off SU Win 0-0 0-0 3-2 3-7 

Win by 10+ pts 0-0 0-0 3-2 3-7 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

Over/Under 0-0 0-1 7-4 5-6 

as HF 0-0 0-0 3-1 2-3 

as HD 0-0 0-0 1-0 0-0 

as AF 0-0 0-0 0-0 2-2 

as AD 0-0 0-1 3-2 0-1 

vs Conf 0-0 0-0 5-3 4-3 

vs Non Conf 0-0 0-1 2-1 1-3 

Off SU Loss 0-0 0-0 3-1 0-1 

Loss by 10+ pts 0-0 0-0 2-0 0-1 

Off SU Win 0-0 0-0 3-3 5-5 

Win by 10+ pts 0-0 0-0 3-3 5-5


2015 : 9-4, 8-0 (#1 Sun Belt) 






Arkansas St 

The Red Wolves in ’16 

HC here: Blake Anderson – 3 rd 




4.9% 15.8% 40.8% 38.4% 

Red Wolves are 0-7-1 ATS after a 

win as home dog (s’/Nov 21, ’98) 



2016 7.5 (+100) 

2015 7 (-140) 9-3 OV 

2014 7.5 (+230) 7-5 und 

2013 7.5 (+160) 7-5 und 

2012 6.5 (n/a) 9-3 OV 


2015 All 9.8 (40.0-30.2) 19.2 (438-419) 75-73 5.9-5.8 8 

Conf only 21.1 (48.6-27.5) 97.3 (491-394) 77-71 6.4-5.5 17 

2014 All 6.2 (36.7-30.5) 55.2 (476-421) 79-75 6.1-5.6 6 

Conf only 12.8 (42.0-29.2) 101.5 (525-424) 79-75 6.6-5.7 10 

2013 All 3.0 (29.2-26.2) -5.0 (408-413) 73-71 5.6-5.8 6 

Conf only 5.1 (30.1-25.0) -52.6 (374-427) 71-73 5.3-5.9 8 

2012 All 10.5 (34.9-24.5) 86.4 (467-380) 73-72 6.4-5.3 9 

Conf only 15.4 (37.6-22.2) 84.2 (464-380) 71-72 6.6-5.3 8 



1% 50% 40% 89% 74% 85% 73% 

After having 5 different head coaches in 5 years from 2010-2014, 

there’s finally some stability in Jonesboro as Blake Anderson enters his 

3 rd season fresh off a Sun Belt Championship in 2015. 

The Red Wolves bring back 12 starters but they must replace their top 

3 skill position players in QB Fredi Knighten, RB Michael Gordon and 

WR/Returner JD McKissic. On the bright side they welcome back all 5 

starting OL including two 1 st -team All-SBC honorees last year. 

The defense sees the return of 10 of the top 12 DL, 6 of the top 7 LB’s 

and 3 of the top 4 DB’s. One negative going against Arkansas State this 

year is that they were an incredible +17 in TO’s last year in Sun Belt 

play. 

While their first 3 non-conference games are difficult (Toledo, at 

Auburn and at Utah State), the Red Wolves have an advantageous 

conference schedule as they avoid SBC favorite Appalachian State while 

they also get Georgia Southern at home. They do have 4 conference 

road games in November but should remain in the mix for another Sun 

Belt title. 



9/3 Sat Toledo 


9/16 Fri at Utah St 

9/24 Sat Cent Arkansas 

10/5 Wed Ga Southern 

10/15 Sat So Alabama 


11/3 Thu at Georgia St 


11/17 Thu at Troy 



open 

Arkansas St is 10-1 ATS after a 

win on the road (s’/Nov 3, 2012) 


2012 2013 2014 2015 

SU 10-3 8-5 7-6 9-4 

Home 5-1 5-1 5-1 5-1 

Away 4-2 2-4 2-4 4-2 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

ATS 9-4 6-6 7-5 8-5 

HF 3-2 2-3 5-1 3-2 

HD 0-1 0-1 0-0 1-0 

AF 3-0 0-1 1-2 3-0 

AD 2-1 3-1 1-1 1-2 

vs Conf 6-2 4-3 4-3 6-2 

Non Conf 3-2 2-3 3-2 2-3 

Off SU Loss 2-1 2-2 2-2 2-1 

Loss by 10+ pts 2-1 1-2 2-1 1-1 

Off SU Win 6-3 3-4 4-3 6-3 

Win by 10+ pts 6-3 3-4 4-3 6-3 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

Over/Under 6-6 6-6 8-5 10-3 

as HF 3-1 5-0 3-3 5-0 

as HD 0-1 0-1 0-0 0-1 

as AF 1-2 0-1 3-1 3-0 

as AD 2-1 1-3 1-1 1-2 

vs Conf 4-4 4-2 6-2 8-0 

vs Non Conf 2-2 2-4 2-3 2-3 

Off SU Loss 1-1 2-3 4-1 2-1 

Loss by 10+ pts 1-1 2-2 3-1 1-1 

Off SU Win 4-5 3-3 4-3 8-1 

Win by 10+ pts 4-5 3-3 4-3 8-1


2015 : 9-4, 6-2 (#3 Sun Belt) 






Ga Southern 


HC here: Tyson Summer – 1 st 




8.0% 14.7% 34.6% 42.7% 



The Eagles led the country in 2016 8 (-110) 

rushing yds/game and yds/att LY 2015 7.5 (+120) 8-4 OV 

2014 4.5 (+165) 9-3 OV 

2013 FCS - - 

2012 FCS - - 


2015 All 12.9 (36.5-23.5) 87.7 (426-339) 67-62 6.4-5.5 6 

Conf only 15.8 (38.5-22.8) 128.4 (451-322) 67-62 6.7-5.2 0 

2014 All 15.7 (39.1-23.4) 100.2 (488-388) 66-71 7.4-5.5 8 

Conf only 19.0 (38.2-19.2) 108.0 (470-362) 69-71 6.8-5.1 9 



9/3 Sat Savannah St 




10/5 Wed at Arkansas St 



10/27 Thu Appalachian St 


11/10 Thu ULL 

11/19 Sat at Georgia St 

12/3 Sat Troy 

open 

Ga Southern is 7-2 to the OVER 

versus non-conf teams the L3Y 



100% 99% 77% 66% 96% 59% 18% 

Not since Marshall in the late 1990’s has a program made the transition to 

the FBS seem so effortless. However, after Willie Fritz (18-6 here the last two 

years) departed for Tulane, the Eagles bring in a new head coach this year. 

Tyson Summers was a DC at Colorado St and UCF the last two years but has 

no prior head coaching experience and has some big shoes to fill. On the 

bright side, Summers will continue the tradition of a triple-option offense. 

Speaking of offense, Georgia Southern returns 7 starters including their top 

2 QB’s and top 3 RB’s led by Matt Breida who had 1,608 rushing yards last 

year (7.9 yards per carry). They also bring back their top 2 receivers but lose 

their top OL. 

The defense is vastly experienced on the DL returning the entire 2-deep. 

While the LB corps loses their top player in Antwione Williams who was a 

fifth round draft pick, they do return 4 of their top 5. The biggest question 

mark on the team is a secondary that loses all 4 starters. 

As far as this year’s schedule, Georgia Southern gets another shot at an instate 

‘Big Brother” as they travel to Georgia Tech on October 15 th . Last 

season they lost at Georgia in OT and in 2014 they led the Yellow Jackets 38- 

35 but allowed a TD with :23 left. They do have to play both Arkansas State 

and Appalachian St in conference play. 


2012 2013 2014 2015 

SU 10-4 7-4 9-3 9-4 

Home 6-1 5-1 5-0 5-1 

Away 4-3 2-3 4-3 3-3 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

ATS 1-0 1-0 7-4 9-4 

HF 0-0 0-0 3-1 3-2 

HD 0-0 0-0 0-0 1-0 

AF 0-0 0-0 2-2 3-0 

AD 1-0 1-0 2-1 1-2 

vs Conf 0-0 0-0 4-3 5-3 

Non Conf 1-0 1-0 3-1 4-1 

Off SU Loss 0-0 0-0 2-1 4-0 

Loss by 10+ pts 0-0 0-0 0-1 3-0 

Off SU Win 0-0 0-0 4-3 5-3 

Win by 10+ pts 0-0 0-0 4-3 5-3 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

Over/Under 0-0 1-0 5-6 6-6 

as HF 0-0 0-0 2-3 3-2 

as HD 0-0 0-0 0-0 1-0 

as AF 0-0 0-0 1-2 1-2 

as AD 0-0 1-0 2-1 0-2 

vs Conf 0-0 0-0 2-5 3-5 

vs Non Conf 0-0 1-0 3-1 3-1 

Off SU Loss 0-0 0-0 1-2 3-1 

Loss by 10+ pts 0-0 0-0 0-1 2-1 

Off SU Win 0-0 0-0 4-3 3-5 

Win by 10+ pts 0-0 0-0 4-3 3-5


2015 : 6-7, 5-3 (#4 Sun Belt) 






Georgia St 

The Panthers in ’16 

HC here : Trent Miles – 4 th 




17.0% 21.6% 36.4% 25.1% 

The Panthers are 12-4 ATS off a 

loss by 10+ points the L3Y 



2016 4.5 (+105) 

2015 2.5 (-140) 6-6 OV 

2014 2.5 (-120) 1-11 und 

2013 2.5 (+130) 0-12 und 

2012 FCS - - 


2015 All -1.4 (26.9-28.3) 27.2 (433-406) 69-77 6.2-5.3 -1 

Conf only 3.1 (27.8-24.6) 69.6 (465-396) 74-73 6.3-5.4 0 

2014 All -20.7 (22.7-43.3) -121.8 (375-497) 70-76 5.4-6.6 -22 

Conf only -22.5 (22.8-45.2) -157.2 (372-529) 68-76 5.5-7.0 -14 

2013 All -17.9 (18.8-36.7) -110.2 (355-465) 66-74 5.4-6.3 -7 

Conf only -13.6 (22.0-35.6) -78.1 (386-464) 70-75 5.6-6.2 -5 

2015 All -1.4 (26.9-28.3) 27.2 (433-406) 69-77 6.2-5.3 -1 

Conf only 3.1 (27.8-24.6) 69.6 (465-396) 74-73 6.3-5.4 0 



0% 95% 78% 60% 86% 70% 60% 

The Panthers were on a 1-27 run heading into the 2015 season and 

things didn’t look that much better after starting off 2-6. However, 

they shockingly won their last 4 games of the regular season, 

highlighted by a huge upset over in-state rival Georgia Southern to 

qualify for a bowl. 

This year’s team welcomes back their top 4 RB’s, 4 of their top 5 WR’s 

and six offensive lineman who have starting experience (60 career 

starts). The big question is how do they replace 1 st -team All-Sun Belt 

QB Nick Arbuckle who was a multiple-year starter. 

The defense also is very experienced but loses their top 2 tacklers 

including LB Joseph Peterson (116 tackles). The top 7 defensive 

lineman are back, 4 of the top 5 LB’s and 5 of the top 7 DB’s. 

Trent Miles was the perfect hire as he already had experience taking 

over a down-trodden program (FCS Indiana St). He worked his magic 

here last year and this year’s team is even deeper and more talented. 

The question is can they find a QB and can they find a leader on 

defense. If so, the Panthers will be bowling again in 2016. 



9/2 Fri Ball St 






10/22 Sat UT Martin 


11/3 Thu Arkansas St 



12/3 Sat at Idaho 

open 

Georgia St is 15-3 ATS on the 

road (since Set 8, 2012) 


2012 2013 2014 2015 

SU 1-10 0-12 1-11 6-7 

Home 0-6 0-7 1-5 2-4 

Away 1-4 0-5 0-6 4-2 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

ATS 1-1 7-3 5-7 9-4 

HF 0-0 0-0 0-2 1-1 

HD 0-1 3-2 1-3 1-2 

AF 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 

AD 1-0 4-1 4-2 6-0 

vs Conf 0-0 5-2 2-6 7-1 

Non Conf 1-1 2-1 3-1 2-3 

Off SU Loss 0-1 7-2 5-5 4-2 

Loss by 10+ pts 0-1 6-0 4-3 2-1 

Off SU Win 0-0 0-0 0-1 5-1 

Win by 10+ pts 0-0 0-0 0-1 5-1 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

Over/Under 0-0 4-6 7-4 4-9 

as HF 0-0 0-0 2-0 0-2 

as HD 0-0 3-2 3-1 1-2 

as AF 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 

as AD 0-0 1-4 2-3 3-3 

vs Conf 0-0 3-4 5-2 2-6 

vs Non Conf 0-0 1-2 2-2 2-3 

Off SU Loss 0-0 3-6 5-4 2-4 

Loss by 10+ pts 0-0 3-3 3-3 1-2 

Off SU Win 0-0 0-0 1-0 2-4 

Win by 10+ pts 0-0 0-0 1-0 2-4


2015 : 4-8, 3-5 (T #5-#9 Sun Belt) 






Idaho 

The Vandals in ’16 

HC here: Paul Petrino – 4 th 




5.8% 16.2% 39.6% 38.5% 


The Vandals are 0-7-1 ATS as Season Win's (odds) Record result 

a home dog (s’/ Oct 5, 2013) 2016 3.5 (-125) 

2015 3.5 (-130) 4-8 OV 

2014 3.5 (-170) 1-10 * 

2013 1.5 (+220) 1-11 und 

2012 3.5 (n/a) 1-11 und 


2015 All -11.8 (30.3-42.1) -56.7 (429-486) 78-70 5.5-7.0 -6 

Conf only -6.9 (31.5-38.4) -39.3 (429-468) 77-73 5.6-6.4 -1 

2014 All -12.3 (25.0-37.3) -45.3 (417-463) 80-67 5.2-6.9 -11 

Conf only -12.1 (24.6-36.8) -40.9 (421-462) 81-69 5.2-6.7 -6 

2013 All -28.6 (18.2-46.8) -159.3 (368-528) 77-76 4.8-6.9 -8 

Conf only n/a - - - - 

2012 All -26.6 (15.8-42.4) -157.5 (312-470) 67-72 4.7-6.5 -17 

Conf only -22.8 (18.3-41.2) -142.5 (328-470) 68-72 4.8-6.5 -4 



88% 35% 69% 75% 41% 50% 80% 

The Vandals only won a combined 3 games from 2012-2014 but managed 

4 last year. This year’s team looks like their strongest since 2010 as they 

return 14 starters and have an advantageous conference schedule. 

The offense sees the return QB Matt Linehan (2,972 pass yards) but they 

do lose a 1,000-yard rusher and their leading receiver was dismissed at 

the end of last season. The OL returns 4 of their 5 starters from last year 

and has 81 career starts. 

The defense was ravaged by injuries last year and there remains some 

huge question marks on the front 7 that loses 3 of their top 6 DL and 3 of 

their top 4 LB’s. On the bright side, they return 7 of their top 8 players in 

the secondary. 

Idaho has a 5-year record of 9-50 with Kansas being the worst in the FBS 

at 9-51. However, the Vandals took a big step forward last year. They have 

only 2 seasons left to make any noise in the Sun Belt as they became the 

first team to decide to move down to the FCS (will play in Big Sky) starting 

in 2018. Bowl eligibility is not out of the question this year as they 

avoid Arkansas St and Georgia Southern and get key games vs Troy, 

New Mexico St, South Alabama and Georgia St at home. 



9/1 Thu Montana St 




10/1 Sat Troy 

10/8 Sat at UL Monroe 







open 

Idaho is 0-8 ATS as a road 

favorite off a win (s’/Nov 21, ’98) 


2012 2013 2014 2015 

SU 1-11 1-11 1-10 4-8 

Home 1-4 1-4 1-4 3-3 

Away 0-7 0-7 0-6 1-5 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

ATS 2-9 3-9 8-3 6-6 

HF 0-3 0-0 1-2 1-1 

HD 0-2 2-3 1-1 0-3 

AF 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-1 

AD 2-4 1-6 6-0 4-1 

vs Conf 1-4 0-1 6-2 5-3 

Non Conf 1-5 3-8 2-1 1-3 

Off SU Loss 2-7 3-7 8-2 5-3 

Loss by 10+ pts 1-5 3-7 5-3 4-2 

Off SU Win 0-1 0-1 1-0 1-2 

Win by 10+ pts 0-1 0-1 1-0 1-2 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

Over/Under 7-4 7-5 6-3 8-3 

as HF 1-1 0-0 1-2 2-0 

as HD 2-0 4-1 1-1 1-1 

as AF 0-0 0-0 0-0 1-0 

as AD 4-3 3-4 4-0 4-1 

vs Conf 2-3 0-1 4-3 4-3 

vs Non Conf 5-1 7-4 2-0 4-0 

Off SU Loss 7-3 6-4 4-3 6-1 

Loss by 10+ pts 5-2 6-4 2-3 5-1 

Off SU Win 0-1 1-0 1-0 1-2 

Win by 10+ pts 0-1 1-0 1-0 1-2


2015 : 3-9, 3-5 (T #5-#9 Sun Belt) 






New Mexico St 


HC here: Doug Martin – 4 th 




12.1% 26.1% 26.1% 35.6% 

Aggies are 0-11 ATS as a FAV 

OFF a home game (s’/ Nov 4 ‘00) 



2016 3 (-110) 

2015 3 (+125) 3-9 push 

2014 2.5 (-165) 2-10 und 

2013 2.5 (-120) 2-10 und 

2012 3.5 (n/a) 1-11 und 


2015 All -16.4 (28.6-45.0) -89.1 (433-522) 75-77 5.8-6.8 1 

Conf only -11.0 (31.4-42.4) -25.5 (476-501) 80-77 5.9-6.5 0 

2014 All -14.6 (24.5-39.1) -63.5 (421-484) 77-74 5.5-6.5 -13 

Conf only -14.5 (25.0-39.5) -67.4 (435-502) 78-78 5.6-6.5 -12 

2013 All -23.7 (20.9-44.6) -167.4 (382-550) 71-72 5.4-7.7 -6 

Conf only n/a - - - - 

2012 All -20.8 (18.7-39.4) -140.8 (335-476) 66-71 5.1-6.7 -18 

Conf only -25.8 (14.7-40.5) -122.5 (354-476) 70-69 5.0-6.9 -18 



50% 88% 57% 43% 62% 100% 66% 

New Mexico State hasn’t been to a bowl since 1960 making it by 

far the longest drought in the country. This year’s team looks like 

the best in head coach Doug Martin’s tenure (4 years). 

On offense, 3 QB’s attempted at least 100 passes last year and two 

of them are back. However, the biggest star and maybe the best 

player you’ve never heard of is RB Larry Rose III who ran for 1,651 

yards last year and averaged nearly 7 yards per carry. 3 of the top 

5 WR’s are back but they do lose 3 OL that combined for 99 career 

starts (50 career starts return). 

The defense brings in long-time Boston College DC Frank Spaziani 

and returns 7 of the top 10 DL, the entire 2-deep at LB and 6 of the 

top 8 DB’s. 

The Aggies have not topped 4 wins the last 11 seasons, but this is 

their best chance at it. They finished last season winning 3 of their 

last 5 games and also outgained 4 of their last 5 opponents. 

Besides a trip to Kentucky, the Aggies will be small favorite or a 

dog of a TD or less in their first 6 games. 







10/1 Sat ULL 








open 

NM St is 3-16-2 ATS as an AD off 

a loss as a dog (s’/ 9/18/10) 


2012 2013 2014 2015 

SU 1-11 2-10 2-10 3-9 

Home 1-5 2-5 1-5 1-4 

Away 0-6 0-5 1-5 2-5 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

ATS 3-8 4-7 4-7 5-7 

HF 1-1 1-0 0-0 0-1 

HD 1-2 2-3 3-2 1-3 

AF 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-1 

AD 1-4 1-4 1-5 4-2 

vs Conf 2-3 1-0 2-5 4-4 

Non Conf 1-5 3-7 2-2 1-3 

Off SU Loss 2-7 3-6 2-6 3-5 

Loss by 10+ pts 2-6 3-6 2-3 2-3 

Off SU Win 0-1 1-0 1-1 2-1 

Win by 10+ pts 0-1 1-0 1-1 2-1 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

Over/Under 4-6 9-2 7-4 10-2 

as HF 0-1 0-1 0-0 1-0 

as HD 1-1 4-1 2-3 4-0 

as AF 0-0 0-0 0-0 1-0 

as AD 3-3 5-0 5-1 4-2 

vs Conf 1-3 0-1 4-3 7-1 

vs Non Conf 3-3 9-1 3-1 3-1 

Off SU Loss 3-6 7-2 5-3 7-1 

Loss by 10+ pts 3-5 7-2 3-2 5-0 

Off SU Win 1-0 1-0 2-0 2-1 

Win by 10+ pts 1-0 1-0 2-0 2-1


2015 : 5-7, 3-5 (T #5-#9 Sun Belt) 






South Alabama 

The Jaguars in ’16 

HC here : Joey Jones – 8 th 




3.4% 14.4% 36.1% 46.0% 

The Jaguars are 1-8 ATS the 

game after a win (s’/ Oct 4, 2014) 



2016 3 (-110) 

2015 3.5 (-135) 5-7 OV 

2014 7 (+120) 6-6 und 

2013 2.5 (+155) 6-6 OV 

2012 2 (n/a) 2-11 push 


2015 All -12.2 (25.0-37.2) -55.8 (360-416) 69-69 5.2-6.0 -5 

Conf only -9.4 (26.4-35.8) -52.3 (352-404) 71-68 5.0-5.9 -1 

2014 All -3.8 (22.5-26.4) -23.3 (376-399) 73-71 5.2-5.6 -7 

Conf only 0.5 (23.4-22.9) 7.6 (385-377) 70-73 5.5-5.2 -4 

2013 All 4.2 (29.4-25.2) 41.3 (426-384) 74-68 5.8-5.6 5 

Conf only 9.7 (30.7-21.0) 91.5 (448-356) 74-69 6.1-5.2 7 

2012 All -11 (18.5-29.5) -49.5 (333-383) 72-68 4.6-5.7 -12 

Conf only -10.9 (22.0-32.9) -49.0 (365-414) 75-69 4.8-6.0 -6 



5% 81% 58% 42% 43% 43% 70% 

South Alabama now enters year number 5 at the FBS level and in each 

of the last 3 years, they’ve flirted with bowl eligibility. Last year they did 

benefit from a 4-1 record in games decided by one possession. 

This year’s team is a mixed bag when it comes to returning experience. 

QB Cody Clements (just a 13-15 ratio last year) is gone, but they 

welcome back their top 2 RB’s and their top 2 receivers. The OL, 

however returns just 2 starters (28 career starts). 

The defense loses 4 of the top 5 DL but return 3 of the top 5 LB’s. 

The secondary is more experienced with the return of 3 starters and the 

special teams’ unit returns intact and looks like one of the best in the 

Sun Belt. 

South Alabama returned only 5 starters last season but did get a number 

of players from the disbanded UAB program. Despite the losses, the 

Jaguars still won 5 games after going 6-6 in 2013 and 6-6 in the regular 

season in 2014 making their first ever bowl appearance. Their nonconference 

schedule is tough as they have to play a pair of SEC teams 

while San Diego St will be looking for revenge. However, they do host 

Troy, Georgia St and New Mexico St in SBC play, all winnable games. 






9/24 Sat Nicholls 



10/20 Thu Troy 






open 

South Alabama is 0-7 ATS as a 

dog after a win (s’/ Sep 13, 2014) 


2012 2013 2014 2015 

SU 2-11 6-6 6-7 5-7 

Home 2-4 4-2 3-3 3-3 

Away 0-7 2-4 3-3 2-4 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

ATS 4-8 8-4 4-9 4-8 

HF 0-3 3-2 0-3 1-2 

HD 0-2 1-0 1-2 1-2 

AF 0-0 1-1 3-0 0-0 

AD 4-3 3-1 0-3 2-4 

vs Conf 2-5 5-2 2-6 3-5 

Non Conf 2-3 3-2 2-3 1-3 

Off SU Loss 2-7 4-2 2-4 3-3 

Loss by 10+ pts 2-3 1-0 2-3 3-3 

Off SU Win 2-0 4-1 1-5 1-4 

Win by 10+ pts 2-0 4-1 1-5 1-4 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

Over/Under 5-7 5-6 5-8 7-4 

as HF 2-0 1-4 1-2 1-1 

as HD 0-3 1-0 1-2 3-0 

as AF 0-0 1-1 1-2 0-0 

as AD 3-4 2-1 1-2 3-3 

vs Conf 4-4 3-4 3-5 4-4 

vs Non Conf 1-3 2-2 2-3 3-0 

Off SU Loss 3-6 3-3 3-3 4-2 

Loss by 10+ pts 1-5 0-1 2-3 4-2 

Off SU Win 1-1 2-2 2-4 3-2 

Win by 10+ pts 1-1 2-2 2-4 3-2


2015 : 3-9, 2-6 (#10 Sun Belt) 






Texas St 

The Bobcats in ’16 

HC here: Everett Withers – 1 st 




0.8% 19.5% 24.9% 54.8% 


Of the 175 games LY in which Season Win's (odds) Record result 

teams topped 50 points, only six 2016 3 (-110) 

teams lost including Texas St 

2015 7 (+115) 3-9 und 

2014 5.5 (+155) 7-5 OV 

versus Southern Miss 

2013 5.5 (+125) 6-6 OV 

2012 1 (n/a) 4-8 OV 


2015 All -12.2 (26.9-39.2) -107.1 (415-522) 75-74 5.5-7.0 -7 

Conf only -11.5 (22.5-34.0) -110.7 (380-490) 74-73 5.2-6.7 -4 

2014 All 6.2 (33.8-27.7) 19.3 (464-445) 77-78 6.1-5.7 7 

Conf only 3.4 (31.0-27.6) -23.4 (444-467) 73-82 6.1-5.7 5 

2013 All -3.4 (23.9-27.3) -70.4 (326-397) 64-73 5.1-5.4 2 

Conf only -12.0 (21.6-33.6) -89.5 (325-414) 63-70 5.1-5.9 -5 

2012 All -4.9 (28.6-33.5) -107.5 (377-485) 65-75 5.9-6.5 10 

Conf only 2.2 (36.2-34.0) -96.2 (408-504) 64-75 6.4-6.7 11 



100% 46% 5% 47% 46% 30% 61% 

The Bobcats have a new head coach in Everett Withers who has 

been a college coach for 20+ years while also having a couple of 

stops in the NFL. He’s been a DC at Minnesota, NC and Ohio St. 

This year’s team is relatively inexperienced especially on offense. 

While QB Tyler Jones is back for another year, they lose their top 

RB and each of their top 7 WR’s. 3 of their starting OL also depart 

and they had just 7 OL in the spring. 

On defense, the top 2 DL return, but their next 4 best players are 

gone. The opposite is true of the LB corps as the top 2 depart but 

the next best 4 are back. The secondary sees the return of 7 of the 

top 10. 

Under head coach Dennis Franchione, Texas St improved from 4- 

8 to 6-6 and then to 7-5 before falling back to 3-9 last season and 

a coaching change was made. Everett Withers comes from James 

Madison where he took over a 6-6 program with only 1 playoff 

appearance in 5 years and led them to back-to-back 9-4 

campaigns. However, he has his work cut out for him here with an 

experienced team and a tough non-conference schedule facing 3 

bowl teams from last year. 






10/1 Sat Incarnate Word 



10/22 Sat ULL 




11/26 Sat Troy 


open 

Texas St is 8-1 to the OVER vs 

non-conf foes (s’/Sep 28, 2013) 


2012 2013 2014 2015 

SU 4-8 6-6 7-5 3-9 

Home 3-3 4-2 3-3 3-3 

Away 1-5 2-4 4-2 0-6 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

ATS 7-4 5-7 8-3 3-9 

HF 2-0 0-3 1-2 3-3 

HD 2-1 2-1 2-1 0-0 

AF 0-1 1-0 1-0 0-0 

AD 3-2 2-3 4-0 0-6 

vs Conf 4-1 1-6 5-2 2-6 

Non Conf 3-3 4-1 3-1 1-3 

Off SU Loss 4-3 1-4 5-0 3-5 

Loss by 10+ pts 2-3 1-3 2-0 3-3 

Off SU Win 2-1 3-3 2-3 0-3 

Win by 10+ pts 2-1 3-3 2-3 0-3 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

Over/Under 4-7 6-6 6-5 7-5 

as HF 1-1 0-3 1-1 2-4 

as HD 2-1 2-1 1-2 0-0 

as AF 1-0 1-0 2-0 0-0 

as AD 0-5 3-2 2-2 5-1 

vs Conf 2-3 4-3 3-4 3-5 

vs Non Conf 2-4 2-3 3-1 4-0 

Off SU Loss 3-4 2-3 3-2 4-4 

Loss by 10+ pts 2-3 2-2 1-1 2-4 

Off SU Win 1-2 4-2 2-3 2-1 

Win by 10+ pts 1-2 4-2 2-3 2-1


2015 : 4-8, 3-5 (T #5-#9 Sun Belt) 






Troy 

The Trojans in ’16 

HC here: Neal Brown – 2 nd 




5.3% 16.7% 42.8% 35.2% 

Trojans are 1-10 ATS at home 

after a win (s’/ Oct 16, 2010) 



2016 6 (-110) 

2015 4 (-150) 4-8 push 

2014 6.5 (+150) 3-9 und 

2013 5.5 (-195) 6-6 OV 

2012 5.5 (n/a) 5-7 und 


2015 All -0.3 (27.9-28.2) -31.3 (360-391) 67-75 5.4-5.3 0 

Conf only 6.1 (31.2-25.1) -0.4 (391-392) 68-78 5.7-5.0 4 

2014 All -14.3 (21.8-36.2) -90.8 (363-454) 68-71 5.3-6.4 4 

Conf only -6.0 (25.0-31.0) -51.0 (382-433) 68-70 5.6-6.2 3 

2013 All -1.8 (34.1-35.9) -19.9 (463-483) 77-72 6.0-6.7 -7 

Conf only 0.6 (35.7-35.1) 18.9 (503-484) 81-75 6.2-6.5 -5 

2012 All 0.1 (30.6-30.5) 55.8 (499-443) 81-70 6.2-6.3 -7 

Conf only -0.8 (26.9-27.6) 55.0 (455-400) 80-70 5.7-5.8 -6 



82% 24% 34% 72% 51% 83% 57% 

Troy enters year two under head coach Neal Brown after going 4-8 

last year. It could have been a much better season as they did lose 3 

games last year by 7 points or less while their 4 wins were by an 

average of 34 ppg. 

While they return an experienced team (13 starters), many of their 

top playmakers are gone. While QB Brandon Silvers is back on offense, 

they lose a 1,000-yard rusher and their top 3 receivers. Their top OL is 

also gone but they return 6 players who started at least 1 game last 

year (59 career starts). 

On defense, they lose their top DL but return their next 3 top tacklers 

from last year. They also return 3 of their top 4 LB’s and while they 

lose their top 2 DB’s, they return 7 of the top 9. 

Troy might of only had 3 conference wins last season, but they 

outscored their conference foes by an average score of 31-25. After 

playing 8 Power-5 teams during the past 3 seasons they only face one 

this year and have a chance go 3-1 in non-conference action while also 

probably being favored their first 3 Sun Belt games. 



9/3 Sat Austin Peay 






10/20 Thu at South Alabama 



11/17 Thu Arkansas St 


12/3 Sat at Ga Southern 

open 

Troy is 12-2 ATS as a road dog 

off a win (s’/ Sep 9, 2006) 


5-7 6-6 3-9 4-8 

SU 2-4 4-1 2-4 2-3 

Home 3-3 2-5 1-5 2-5 

Away 5-7 6-6 3-9 4-8 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

ATS 6-5 6-6 6-6 7-5 

HF 0-1 2-3 2-2 2-2 

HD 2-2 0-0 1-1 0-1 

AF 3-1 0-1 0-1 1-0 

AD 1-0 4-2 3-2 4-1 

vs Conf 2-5 4-3 5-3 4-4 

Non Conf 4-0 2-3 1-3 3-1 

Off SU Loss 4-1 3-3 5-3 5-3 

Loss by 10+ pts 1-0 3-0 4-2 2-3 

Off SU Win 1-4 3-2 1-2 2-1 

Win by 10+ pts 1-4 3-2 1-2 2-1 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

Over/Under 7-5 11-1 5-6 6-5 

as HF 1-0 5-0 3-0 2-2 

as HD 3-1 0-0 1-1 0-1 

as AF 2-2 1-0 0-1 1-0 

as AD 1-1 5-1 1-4 3-1 

vs Conf 4-4 6-1 3-4 3-4 

vs Non Conf 3-1 5-0 2-2 3-1 

Off SU Loss 3-3 6-0 3-4 4-3 

Loss by 10+ pts 0-1 3-0 1-4 1-3 

Off SU Win 3-2 4-1 2-1 1-2 

Win by 10+ pts 3-2 4-1 2-1 1-2


2015 : 4-8, 3-5 (T #5-#9 Sun Belt) 






UL-Lafayette 

The Ragin’ Cajuns in ’16 

HC here: Mark Hudspeth – 6 th 




1.5% 28.1% 39.2% 31.2% 

Of 94 players on the ’16 roster 

50 are from Louisiana with 75 

from LA & 3 neighboring states 



2016 6.5 (-110) 

2015 8 (Even) 4-8 und 

2014 9.5 (+145) 8-4 und 

2013 8.5 (-180) 8-4 und 

2012 7 (n/a) 8-4 OV 


2015 All -5.4 (26.4-31.8) -40.4 (380-421) 70-71 5.5-6.0 -9 

Conf only -4.4 (26.5-30.9) -54.6 (365-420) 71-72 5.1-5.8 -1 

2014 All 3.5 (29.5-26.0) 11.0 (417-406) 71-69 5.9-5.9 3 

Conf only 10.9 (34.8-23.9) 40.0 (440-400) 70-69 6.3-5.8 12 

2013 All 7.3 (33.8-26.5) 23.2 (417-394) 68-68 6.1-5.8 1 

Conf only 7.3 (31.4-24.1) 55.3 (418-363) 69-66 6.1-5.5 -4 

2012 All 7.4 (35.5-28.1) 27.6 (455-427) 67-73 6.8-5.9 -1 

Conf only 8.4 (36.6-28.2) 28.6 (486-458) 68-74 7.2-6.2 -4 



44% 75% 65% 53% 53% 44% 88% 

After four straight 9-4 seasons that all ended with a win in the New 

Orleans Bowl, ULL took a big step back in 2015 going just 4-8 and 

then were dealt with some NCAA sanctions. 

This year’s team looks to be in better shape as they return 14 

starters. On offense, RB Elijah McGuire returns for what seems like 

his 7 th season and 5 of the top 6 WR’s are back. Their top 3 OL all 

depart but they do bring back 3 who started at least 7 games in 2015 

(however, just 32 career starts). 

The defense sees the return of 10 of their top 13 tacklers including 

2 starters on the DL. While the top LB is gone (3-time All-SBC Tovell), 

they return their next two. The secondary is just as experienced with 

7 of the top 9 DB’s back. 

After last year’s huge disappointment, ULL fans won’t have to wait 

long to see if their team is back in bowl form as they host Boise St 

in the opener. They do have to face each of the top 3 favorites in 

the SBC (Appalachian St, Arkansas St and Georgia Southern). 




9/10 Sat McNeese St 




10/12 Wed Appalachian St 



11/10 Thu at Ga Southern 



12/3 Sat at ULM 

open 

ULL is 9-4 to the UNDER as an 

away dog (since Dec 1, 2012) 


2012 2013 2014 2015 

SU 9-4 9-4 9-4 4-8 

Home 5-1 4-1 4-2 3-3 

Away 3-3 4-3 4-2 1-5 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

ATS 9-3 5-8 8-5 4-8 

HF 4-1 2-3 2-3 2-4 

HD 0-0 0-0 1-0 0-0 

AF 1-1 1-2 3-0 0-1 

AD 2-1 1-3 1-2 2-3 

vs Conf 5-2 3-4 6-2 2-6 

Non Conf 4-1 2-4 2-3 2-2 

Off SU Loss 2-1 2-2 1-3 3-4 

Loss by 10+ pts 2-0 2-1 1-3 1-3 

Off SU Win 6-2 3-5 6-2 0-4 

Win by 10+ pts 6-2 3-5 6-2 0-4 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

Over/Under 7-5 7-6 6-7 5-6 

as HF 4-1 5-0 2-3 3-2 

as HD 0-0 0-0 1-0 0-0 

as AF 0-2 1-2 2-1 0-1 

as AD 2-1 1-3 1-2 2-3 

vs Conf 5-3 3-4 4-4 3-4 

vs Non Conf 2-2 4-2 2-3 2-2 

Off SU Loss 4-0 2-2 3-1 3-3 

Loss by 10+ pts 2-0 2-1 3-1 1-2 

Off SU Win 3-5 5-3 3-5 1-3 

Win by 10+ pts 3-5 5-3 3-5 1-3


2015 : 2-11, 1-7 (#11 Sun Belt) 






ULM 

The Warhawks in ’16 

HC here: Matt Viator – 1 st 




18.9% 13.3% 26.9% 40.9% 

The Warhawks are 7-1 to the 

OVER when a home dog the L4Y 



2016 3.5 (-110) 

2015 4 (-150) 2-11 und 

2014 5.5 (-195) 4-8 Und 

2013 7.5 (+110) 6-6 Und 

2012 5 (n/a) 8-4 OV 


2015 All -15.5 (21.0-36.5) -111.9 (311-423) 69-75 4.5-5.6 -16 

Conf only -20.8 (20.2-41.0) -156.8 (291-447) 68-78 4.3-5.8 -13 

2014 All -6.2 (20.1-26.2) -23.8 (349-373) 74-70 4.7-5.3 -1 

Conf only -1.4 (24.2-25.6) -35.1 (392-427) 75-74 5.2-5.7 0 

2013 All -7.9 (22.2-30.2) -66.5 (360-427) 72-73 5.0-5.8 -4 

Conf only -3.0 (25.3-28.3) -65.2 (368-433) 68-75 5.4-5.8 6 

2012 All 4.7 (33.8-29.2) 14.0 (433-419) 76-71 5.7-5.9 7 

Conf only 5.5 (32.4-26.9) -19.2 (405-424) 71-73 5.7-5.8 4 



79% 78% 77% 68% 15% 24% 69% 

After a disastrous 2-11 season, ULM made a great hire bringing 

in Matt Viator who spent the last 10 seasons at FCS McNeese 

State. He compiled a solid 78-33 record there including a 10-1 

mark last year and went to the playoffs five times. 

This year’s offense is very experienced thanks to the return of 8 

starters. They welcome back QB Garrett Smith, their leading 

rusher, 3 of their top 4 WR’s and 4 of their top 6 OL that have 

combined for 51 career starts. 

The defense is another story as they lose 4 of their top 5 DL and 

also see the departure of their top 4 tacklers from the LB corps. 

The secondary does return 7 of the top 9 but expect teams to try 

to run on the Warhawks often. 

Todd Berry led ULM to an 8-5 record in 2012 but a 3-year slide 

from 6-6 to 4-8 to 2-11 last season caused a coaching change. 

While the Warhawks figure to be in the Sun Belt basement, they 

have an interesting conference schedule with their 4 toughest 

games on the road and their four easiest at home. 



9/3 Sat Southern U 


9/17 Sat at Ga Southern 









12/3 Sat ULL 

open 

ULM is 0-9 ATS at home after a 

game as a favorite (s’/ 11/14/09) 


2012 2013 2014 2015 

SU 8-5 6-6 4-8 2-11 

Home 4-2 2-3 3-2 2-3 

Away 4-2 4-3 1-6 0-8 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

ATS 8-5 5-7 5-6 5-6 

HF 1-3 1-3 1-3 1-0 

HD 2-0 0-1 0-1 1-3 

AF 3-0 0-0 1-0 0-0 

AD 2-1 4-3 3-2 3-2 

vs Conf 4-4 4-3 3-5 2-6 

Non Conf 4-1 1-4 2-1 3-0 

Off SU Loss 3-1 2-4 3-4 4-6 

Loss by 10+ pts 1-1 2-4 0-3 3-5 

Off SU Win 4-4 3-2 1-2 1-0 

Win by 10+ pts 4-4 3-2 1-2 1-0 

2012 2013 2014 2015 

Over/Under 9-4 4-7 4-8 6-6 

as HF 3-1 1-2 1-3 0-1 

as HD 2-0 0-1 1-0 4-0 

as AF 1-2 0-0 0-1 0-0 

as AD 3-0 3-4 2-4 2-4 

vs Conf 5-3 2-4 3-5 5-3 

vs Non Conf 4-1 2-3 1-3 1-3 

Off SU Loss 4-0 2-4 3-4 6-5 

Loss by 10+ pts 2-0 2-4 1-2 4-5 

Off SU Win 4-4 2-2 1-3 0-1 

Win by 10+ pts 4-4 2-2 1-3 0-1

2016 Pregame.com College Football Betting Guide

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