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Using Evidence<br />
to Improve Policy<br />
The Public Policy Institute for Wales<br />
Second Annual Report
Foreword<br />
We are delighted to bring you the second annual report from<br />
the Public Policy Institute for Wales. Over the last 12 months<br />
the Institute has produced excellent work on many of the public<br />
policy challenges in Wales and has attracted growing interest from<br />
policy makers and researchers across the UK and internationally.<br />
Adrian Webb<br />
Chair<br />
Ruth Hall<br />
Deputy Chair<br />
We have continued to respond directly<br />
to Welsh Government Ministers’ evidence<br />
needs. We have now undertaken over 60<br />
assignments requested by them and by<br />
working <strong>with</strong> leading experts from across<br />
the UK, and beyond, we have been<br />
able to provide timely, policy relevant,<br />
independent analysis and advice.<br />
In addition, thanks to funding from<br />
the Economic and Social Research<br />
Council, we have developed significant<br />
programmes of research and<br />
engagement on three sets of issues<br />
which are priorities for the Welsh<br />
Government as a whole – how to tackle<br />
poverty, the future of our public services,<br />
and the powers and policy levers<br />
available to policy makers in Wales.<br />
From the outset we have been<br />
committed to publishing our work<br />
so that it is available to everyone<br />
<strong>with</strong> an interest in Welsh public life.<br />
In the last year we have gone a step<br />
further by actively disseminating our<br />
work and stimulating policy debate<br />
via our website, blogs, social media<br />
and events. We have also continued<br />
to develop a range of methods of<br />
drawing on independent expertise<br />
including evidence reviews, ministerial<br />
briefings and expert workshops.<br />
Workshops in recent months have<br />
explored what works in increasing<br />
employability, meeting older peoples’<br />
housing needs, de-escalating<br />
interventions for adolescents and<br />
commissioning rail services.<br />
Central to our success has been our<br />
ability to work effectively <strong>with</strong> the civil<br />
service and <strong>with</strong> a wide range<br />
of partners in Wales and beyond.<br />
As part of the What Works Network,<br />
we are able to ensure that Wales makes<br />
the most of the evidence that they are<br />
generating, and we were delighted<br />
to host the meeting of What Works<br />
Council in Cardiff in October. In the<br />
last year we have also strengthened<br />
our links <strong>with</strong> a wide range of other<br />
organisations and individuals and we<br />
want to express our thanks to them,<br />
to our funders, and to the growing<br />
network of experts who have enabled<br />
the Public Policy Institute for Wales<br />
to achieve such a significant impact<br />
<strong>with</strong>in such a short space of time.<br />
We look forward to our third year and<br />
to continuing to fulfil a unique role,<br />
working closely <strong>with</strong>, but independently<br />
of, the Welsh Government to provide<br />
Ministers <strong>with</strong> access to independent<br />
evidence that helps to enhance policy<br />
making and delivery on behalf of the<br />
people of Wales.<br />
2 | <strong>PPIW</strong>
Our Mission<br />
The Public Policy Institute for<br />
Wales is a unique collaboration<br />
between the Economic and<br />
Social Research Council, Welsh<br />
Government, a consortium<br />
of research led universities,<br />
and independent research<br />
organisations. Our mission<br />
is to improve policy making<br />
and delivery by generating<br />
independent authoritative<br />
analysis and advice on the key<br />
challenges facing public policy<br />
makers in Wales.<br />
The Institute:<br />
• Supports Ministers to identify their<br />
evidence needs;<br />
• Works <strong>with</strong> experts to provide<br />
authoritative independent analysis<br />
and advice;<br />
• Raises awareness of the Welsh<br />
Government’s evidence needs;<br />
• Helps researchers to increase the<br />
impact of their work <strong>with</strong> policy<br />
makers; and<br />
• Facilitates learning between<br />
countries so that Wales benefits from<br />
and contributes to international<br />
evidence about ‘what works’.<br />
The Institute is an exciting policy<br />
innovation. As far as we can tell,<br />
the concept of an independent institute<br />
working directly <strong>with</strong> Ministers, and<br />
alongside the civil service, to strengthen<br />
the links between government and<br />
external expertise is new not just in Wales<br />
but internationally, and this approach<br />
is already proving its worth and playing<br />
an important role in strengthening the<br />
‘evidence ecosystem’ in Wales.<br />
Our Work<br />
From the outset there has been<br />
a great deal of interest in the<br />
Institute and strong demand<br />
from Ministers for our work. In<br />
our first two years we have taken<br />
on more than 60 assignments<br />
in response to our discussions<br />
<strong>with</strong> Ministers about evidence<br />
needs in their portfolios. We<br />
have worked <strong>with</strong> every Minister,<br />
drawing on expertise from<br />
across the UK and beyond to<br />
provide them <strong>with</strong> timely and<br />
practical analysis and advice.<br />
In addition we have also undertaken<br />
work on significant issues that have<br />
been identified as priorities for the<br />
Welsh Government as a whole.<br />
Our ability to resource this additional<br />
work has depended on attracting<br />
external funding from beyond the<br />
Welsh Government and we have been<br />
delighted to receive awards from the<br />
Economic and Social Research Council<br />
that have enabled us to:<br />
• Commission and oversee a<br />
programme of research into<br />
tackling poverty;<br />
• Lead a programme of research and<br />
knowledge exchange on the<br />
Welsh Government’s powers and<br />
policy levers; and<br />
• Provide a strong link between the<br />
What Works Network and policy<br />
makers in Wales.<br />
The work that we have<br />
undertaken in our second year<br />
has encompassed a wide range<br />
topics. Examples include:<br />
<strong>PPIW</strong> | 3
Business and Economy<br />
We worked <strong>with</strong> Professor Peter Tyler from Cambridge<br />
University, the UK’s leading expert on enterprise<br />
zone policy, to review the governance of enterprise<br />
zones in Wales. Peter conducted an evidence review<br />
and we interviewed the chairs of enterprise zones,<br />
as well as facilitating a workshop <strong>with</strong> the chairs and<br />
Welsh Government officials. His report ‘Governing<br />
for Success’ made a series of recommendations to the<br />
Minister for Economy, Science and Transport on the<br />
future governance of enterprise zones, emphasising in<br />
particular that each zone needed to be embedded in a<br />
longer-term economic development strategy tailored to<br />
local constraints and opportunities.<br />
We produced a report for the Minister for Economy,<br />
Science and Transport which set out detailed<br />
recommendations for maximising the economic<br />
benefits associated <strong>with</strong> Cardiff International and<br />
St Athan Airports. The analysis, which was conducted by<br />
Chris Cain from Northpoint Aviation, a leading authority<br />
on the airline industry, assessed the economic impact of<br />
similar sized airports in other countries and concluded<br />
that Cardiff and St Athan have the potential to provide a<br />
very significant boost to key sectors of the Welsh economy<br />
provided that Ministers put in place a robust long term<br />
strategy to achieve this which is backed by an effective,<br />
well-managed and properly resourced delivery plan.<br />
4 | <strong>PPIW</strong>
Education, Skills and Employment<br />
We produced advice on what works in building<br />
the emotional resilience of children in primary<br />
schools. Working <strong>with</strong> Professor Robin Banerjee<br />
and Professor Colleen McLaughlin at the<br />
University of Sussex, we produced a synthesis of<br />
research and policy evaluations, and made a series of<br />
recommendations as to how the Welsh Government<br />
might develop a strategy in this area.<br />
We worked <strong>with</strong> Professor Christopher Day from<br />
Nottingham University, a leading education<br />
expert, to analyse the potential for Continuous<br />
Professional Development (CPD) to help close<br />
the educational attainment gap. A review of the<br />
evidence of the causes of under-attainment showed<br />
that CPD has a role to play but is not sufficient on its<br />
own. Our report recommended piloting a range of<br />
school-based strategies to close the attainment gap to<br />
test the effectiveness of different approaches.<br />
Working <strong>with</strong> the Centre for Economic and Social<br />
Inclusion, we reviewed the current operation of the Work<br />
Programme in Wales. We concluded that there would<br />
be significant benefits in devolving responsibility for the<br />
programme to Wales. This will enable it to be tailored<br />
to the specific challenges of enabling the long term<br />
unemployed to get back into work and to pay particular<br />
attention to the Employment Support Allowance<br />
claimants and the physical and mental health obstacles<br />
that deter people from returning to employment.<br />
We published an analysis of how to foster high quality<br />
vocational Further Education in Wales based on work<br />
by Professor David James from Cardiff University and<br />
Professor Lorna Unwin from the Institute of Education.<br />
Our report makes practical recommendations which<br />
have been widely welcomed by colleges. It emphasised<br />
the importance of staff who combine knowledge and<br />
teaching skills, and the need for colleges, training providers<br />
and employers to work together to ensure that training<br />
equips learners for available employment opportunities.<br />
<strong>PPIW</strong> | 5
Health and Social Care<br />
Working <strong>with</strong> Pippa Anderson and Kateryna<br />
Onishchenko from Swansea University’s<br />
Centre for Health Economics, we published rapid<br />
evidence reviews of international experiences of<br />
prioritisation of elective surgery and conditional<br />
entitlements to healthcare. Our reports concluded<br />
that approaches tried elsewhere do not offer simple<br />
solutions to the funding gap in the Welsh NHS<br />
and evidence from other countries suggested that<br />
conditional entitlements have an adverse effect on the<br />
poorest households.<br />
We published an analysis of the resilience of the care<br />
home market in Wales by the Institute of Public<br />
Care. The report by Professor Keith Moultrie and<br />
Nic Rattle concluded that Wales is less dependent<br />
than England on large scale providers and so is less<br />
vulnerable to a Southern Cross style crisis. However<br />
the number of sole owners approaching retirement<br />
raises questions about future provision in some parts<br />
of the country and we recommended a range of<br />
practical measures which the Welsh Government, local<br />
authorities and others can take to address this.<br />
6 | <strong>PPIW</strong>
Housing and Communities<br />
Working <strong>with</strong> experts from University of Cambridge’s<br />
Centre for Housing and Planning Research, we<br />
analysed future need and demand for housing in<br />
Wales. The report highlighted the need to return to<br />
rates of house building not seen for almost 20 years<br />
and a significant increase in the rate of growth of<br />
affordable housing.<br />
We published an evidence review on the current<br />
state of older people’s housing in Wales and<br />
recommendations on how to meet the housing<br />
needs of this group. Our report of recommendations,<br />
written by Dr Sarah Hillcoat-Nalletemby from<br />
Swansea University, calls on the Welsh Government to<br />
implement short term measures and adopt a long term<br />
strategy to provide ‘future-proofed’ and ‘age-sustainable’<br />
housing solutions to tackle the growing housing<br />
shortage facing older people.<br />
We worked <strong>with</strong> Professor Christine Whitehead and<br />
Kath Scanlon from the London School of Economics<br />
to analyse the changing role of the private rented<br />
sector in Wales, which more than doubled in size<br />
between 2001 and 2013. We also published two reports<br />
on homelessness: a feasibility study by Tamsin Stirling<br />
considered how to evaluate the contribution that the<br />
Supporting People Programme makes to tackling<br />
homelessness in Wales, and Anna Whalen analysed<br />
ways of improving provision for young care leavers<br />
who are at risk of becoming homeless.<br />
We published a review of the impact of<br />
welfare reforms on housing policy in Wales,<br />
concluding that the changes will hit the most<br />
deprived communities and most vulnerable groups<br />
hardest, and recommending commissioning research<br />
to shed light on the ways in which housing policies<br />
could help mitigate the impacts of welfare reform.<br />
<strong>PPIW</strong> | 7
Public Services<br />
We hosted a lecture and published a think piece by<br />
Dr Barry Quirk, one of the UK’s most accomplished local<br />
authority chief executives, on high performing councils.<br />
We produced an analysis of the strategies that <strong>English</strong><br />
councils have developed to cope <strong>with</strong> budget cuts.<br />
Our report concludes that councils in Wales can learn<br />
from experience in England and need to look beyond<br />
short-term cost cutting measures and embrace more<br />
far reaching service transformation.<br />
We published a report by the Chartered Institute of<br />
Public Finance and Accountancy which assesses the<br />
feasibility of comparing council performance across<br />
the UK.<br />
The report identifies common indicators of expenditure<br />
and performance and argues that governments should<br />
work together to develop comparators of overall<br />
council performance.<br />
Working <strong>with</strong> Dr Clive Grace, we provided advice on<br />
how the Welsh Government might improve the use<br />
of Impact Assessments (IAs). Identifying the need to<br />
act on both the structures and the culture surrounding<br />
IAs, the advice recommended a series of steps that the<br />
Government might take to reduce their administrative<br />
burden while also increasing their value.<br />
8 | <strong>PPIW</strong>
Natural Resources and<br />
Sustainable Development<br />
We worked <strong>with</strong> Charles Seaford, one of the UK’s<br />
leading experts on well-being, to provide advice<br />
to Ministers on the development of the national<br />
indicators to measure progress in terms of the<br />
seven goals set out in the Well-being of Future<br />
Generations (Wales) Act. We set out some design<br />
principles for effective indicators, and a framework for<br />
developing an indicator set based on the goals.<br />
We conducted a rapid review of the economic<br />
benefits of ‘going green’ for businesses, concluding<br />
that there would be value in further analysis to<br />
establish the circumstances in which large businesses<br />
benefit from ‘going green’ and whether small and<br />
medium sized enterprises can realise similar<br />
financial gains.<br />
We worked <strong>with</strong> Professor Tim Lang from<br />
City University London and Professor Terry Marsden<br />
and Professor Kevin Morgan from Cardiff University<br />
to provide advice on the Welsh Government’s food<br />
policy to the Deputy Minister for Farming and Food.<br />
Professor Marsden and Professor Morgan wrote a<br />
report reviewing the 2010 Food Strategy and the 2014<br />
Action Plan proposing 15 recommendations to address<br />
concerns in the current policy framework.<br />
<strong>PPIW</strong> | 9
In addition to assignments relating to particular ministerial<br />
portfolios, we have undertaken work which is relevant to several<br />
ministers or in some cases to the whole cabinet. Examples include:<br />
Childcare policy options<br />
We analysed the impact of extending government support<br />
for childcare. Working <strong>with</strong> Dr Gillian Paull, one of the UK’s<br />
leading experts on policy relating to maternal employment,<br />
childcare and poverty, we modelled the impact of<br />
alternative forms of childcare provision for three to four<br />
year olds in Wales; looking at how these would affect both<br />
maternal employment and poverty levels, and the likely<br />
fiscal impact.<br />
Early intervention<br />
We published a report by Professor Leon Feinstein,<br />
Director of Evidence at the Early Intervention Foundation,<br />
which recommended ways of quantifying the benefits<br />
of early intervention programmes in Wales. Leon argued<br />
that Wales provides a model of what can be achieved by a<br />
devolved administration, which <strong>English</strong> regions and others<br />
might build on.<br />
Policy making in small countries<br />
We hosted research on policy making in smaller countries<br />
undertaken by Tamlyn Rabley <strong>with</strong> funding from a<br />
prestigious William Plowden Fellowship. Tamlyn presented<br />
her analysis at a Public Policy Institute for Wales lecture<br />
attended by trustees of the Plowden Fellowship, senior officials<br />
including the Permanent Secretary, academics and other<br />
commentators. Her report is published on our website and is<br />
recommended reading for all policy makers in Wales.<br />
Tackling poverty<br />
Over the last year we have facilitated a programme of<br />
research on tackling poverty. Working <strong>with</strong> researchers<br />
at Aberystwyth and Warwick Universities, University of<br />
Cambridge, and the Young Foundation, that have been<br />
funded by the Economic and Social Research Council,<br />
we have facilitated detailed analysis of:<br />
• Alternatives to high interest credit;<br />
• Ways to harness growth sectors to create<br />
employment opportunities which have the potential<br />
to help reduce poverty;<br />
• The role of which housing providers can play in<br />
tackling poverty experienced by young people; and<br />
• Innovative approaches to analysing poverty.<br />
We have also undertaken a review of the causes of rural<br />
poverty and interventions to reduce it.<br />
Power and policy levers<br />
The Economic and Social Research Council has funded<br />
us to undertake research on the powers and policy levers<br />
available the Welsh Government and we launched this work<br />
in November.<br />
10 | <strong>PPIW</strong>
Emerging themes<br />
Although our work has covered a diverse range of topics, there have<br />
been a number of recurrent themes:<br />
The quality of the evidence base<br />
Evidence about the effectiveness (and particularly the<br />
cost-effectiveness) of government interventions is<br />
underdeveloped. This is true internationally, not just in<br />
Wales, and the development of the What Works Network<br />
and other similar initiatives is a response to this. The scope<br />
for large-scale, costly, independent evaluations is limited in a<br />
time of constrained budgets, but there is a real need to ensure<br />
that data and evidence are generated and used to inform<br />
policy and practice. New forms of data, and new approaches<br />
to developing and implementing policy offer potential, partial<br />
‘solutions’ to this; but governments need to carefully consider<br />
how to deploy limited research and evaluation budgets.<br />
Vertical and horizontal coordination<br />
The question we are asked most often is ‘what works?’<br />
In some instances there is sufficient evidence to suggest<br />
which programmes or interventions are more or less<br />
effective. But it is striking that in almost all cases, the answer<br />
lies in acting simultaneously and in a coordinated manor<br />
across all relevant domains and using all available levers.<br />
This is especially true where a government is seeking to<br />
effect change across a wide range of organisations or seeking<br />
to tackle something complex, such as trying to change<br />
individuals’ behaviour. In such cases, a government needs to<br />
ensure that it is coordinating internally (across departments<br />
and across the levers available to it), but then also seeks<br />
to steer other actors in such a way as to ensure that the<br />
system is coordinated in its efforts. This might also mean, for<br />
example, devolving responsibility for choosing programmes or<br />
interventions to local actors, but thinking carefully about its role<br />
in, for example, developing networks, ensuring consistency in<br />
data gathering, and fostering peer-to-peer learning.<br />
Improving practice<br />
Although our work is directed at the policy development<br />
process, it frequently highlights the importance of ‘practice’.<br />
Successful policy often depends upon successful practice.<br />
Practitioners – teachers, doctors, social workers – need to be<br />
intelligent users of evidence, learning from each other and<br />
from developments elsewhere. More than this, they need to be<br />
engaging in a process of continuous learning; reflecting and<br />
learning from their own practice. This is already happening in<br />
some cases, but not in a consistent way. More focus is needed<br />
on how to foster this.<br />
<strong>PPIW</strong> | 11
Our Expert Network<br />
Wales<br />
Aberystwyth University<br />
Academi Wales<br />
Bevan Foundation<br />
Cardiff University<br />
Care & Repair Cymru<br />
Chartered Institute of Public Finance<br />
and Accountancy<br />
Children in Wales<br />
Children’s Commission for Wales<br />
Cwm Taf Health Board<br />
Estyn<br />
Hendre Housing Association<br />
Newport High School<br />
Older People’s Commission for Wales<br />
Qualifications Wales<br />
RSA<br />
Swansea University<br />
Tamsin Stirling Associates<br />
University of South Wales<br />
University of Wales, Trinity St David<br />
Voices from Care<br />
Wales Public Services 2025<br />
Y Lab<br />
Youth Justice Board Cymru<br />
England<br />
Anna Whalen Consulting<br />
British Association for Counselling<br />
and Psychotherapy<br />
Centre for Economic Social<br />
Inclusion London<br />
Coventry University<br />
City University London<br />
Durham University<br />
Early Intervention Foundation<br />
Education Endowment Foundation<br />
Frontier Economics<br />
Imogen Blood Consulting<br />
Institute of Public Care,<br />
Oxford Brookes University<br />
Joseph Rowntree Foundation<br />
Lewisham Council<br />
London School of Economics<br />
Manchester University<br />
McCarthy & Stone Retirement Lifestyles<br />
Middlesex University<br />
National Association of Pastoral Care<br />
in Education<br />
Nesta<br />
New Economics Foundation<br />
Newman University Birmingham<br />
Northpoint Aviation Consulting<br />
Old Bell 3<br />
The Health Foundation<br />
The Young Foundation<br />
Transport for Quality of Life<br />
University College London<br />
University of Birmingham<br />
University of Cambridge<br />
University of Leeds<br />
University of London<br />
University of Nottingham<br />
University of Sheffield<br />
University of Southampton<br />
University of Sussex<br />
University of Warwick<br />
University of York<br />
Urban Transport Group<br />
Scotland<br />
Edinburgh Napier University<br />
Scottish Government<br />
University of Edinburgh<br />
University of Glasgow<br />
Transport for Scotland<br />
Internationally<br />
Caisse Nationale D’assurance Veillesse,<br />
Paris, France<br />
DIW Berlin, Berlin, Germany<br />
Dundalk Institute of Technology, Ireland<br />
Erasmus University Rotterdam,<br />
Netherlands<br />
12 | <strong>PPIW</strong>
Our Partners<br />
In addition to experts, we have worked <strong>with</strong> a wide range of<br />
other partners. As a member of the What Works Network,<br />
the Public Policy Institute for Wales provides a direct link<br />
between What Works Centres and Welsh Government<br />
Ministers and officials. This has helped broaden our access<br />
to expertise, to champion the interests of Welsh policy<br />
makers among the centres and to ensure that the Welsh<br />
Government is able to access the results of the centres’ work.<br />
We have undertaken joint work <strong>with</strong> a number of What<br />
Works Centres and hosted the What Works Council in Cardiff<br />
which provided valuable opportunities for the Directors of<br />
What Works Centres to meet <strong>with</strong> the Permanent Secretary,<br />
the Welsh Government’s Board and a range of other senior<br />
officials. We were invited to assist <strong>with</strong> the development<br />
of What Works Scotland and are members of the Centre’s<br />
Advisory Board. We have facilitated workshops in Wales <strong>with</strong><br />
other What Works Centres and advised the Northern Ireland<br />
Executive on the potential benefits of establishing its own<br />
What Works Centre.<br />
We have also actively supported a range of new initiatives<br />
that have strengthened the evidence ecosystem here in<br />
Wales, including: the launch of Y Lab (a joint initiative<br />
between NESTA and Cardiff University); the Exchange<br />
programme sponsored by the Alliance for Useful Evidence<br />
and Joseph Rowntree Foundation; and plans to establish a<br />
new Social Science Research Park.<br />
<strong>PPIW</strong> | 13
Our Board and Executive Group<br />
The Institute’s work is overseen by an independent Board of Governors of<br />
distinguished individuals who have worked at the highest levels in universities,<br />
think tanks, the civil service and Economic Social Research Council in Wales<br />
and beyond:<br />
Professor Sir Adrian Webb<br />
Former Vice-Chancellor<br />
Glamorgan University<br />
(Chair)<br />
Dr Ruth Hall<br />
Former Chief Medical Officer for Wales<br />
(Deputy Chair)<br />
Professor George Boyne<br />
Pro-Vice Chancellor<br />
Cardiff University<br />
Professor Alice Brown CBE<br />
Chair of the Scottish Funding Council<br />
Professor Gerry Holtham<br />
Former Director of the Institute for<br />
Public Policy Research<br />
Will Hutton<br />
Principal, Hertford College Oxford and<br />
Chair of the Big Innovation Centre<br />
Phil Sooben<br />
Director of Policy, Resources and<br />
Communications and Deputy Chief<br />
Executive at the Economic and Social<br />
Research Council<br />
Ceridwen Roberts OBE<br />
Department of Social Policy and<br />
Intervention, Oxford University<br />
Dame Jane Roberts DBE<br />
Former leader of Camden Council and<br />
Chair of the Councillor’s Commission<br />
The Board safeguards the Institute’s<br />
independence and ensures the quality<br />
of its work.<br />
We have also benefitted hugely<br />
from the advice and expertise of our<br />
Executive Group which comprises<br />
leading researchers from the Institute’s<br />
founding institutions. They provide<br />
guidance on the content of our work<br />
plans and on sources of expertise<br />
<strong>with</strong>in their organisations:<br />
Dr Myfanwy Davies<br />
Senior Lecturer in Social Policy<br />
Bangor University<br />
Professor Catherine Farrell<br />
Professor of Public Management<br />
University of South Wales<br />
Professor Philip Murphy<br />
Department of Labour Economics<br />
Swansea University<br />
Professor Laura McAllister<br />
Co-Director, the Heseltine Institute<br />
of Public Policy and Practice<br />
Liverpool University<br />
Professor Gareth Rees<br />
Research Professor at the Wales<br />
Institute of Social and Economic<br />
Research, Data and Methods (WISERD)<br />
Cardiff University<br />
Dr Victoria Winckler<br />
Director, the Bevan Foundation<br />
Professor Mike Woods<br />
Co-Director of the Wales Institute of<br />
Social and Economic Research,<br />
Data and Methods, (WISERD)<br />
Aberystwyth University.<br />
14 | <strong>PPIW</strong>