GOOGLE STRATEGY TEARDOWN
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CB-Insights_Google-Strategy-Briefing
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<strong>GOOGLE</strong> <strong>STRATEGY</strong> <strong>TEARDOWN</strong><br />
Analysis of acquisition, investment, patent, and research trends<br />
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The technology market<br />
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A FEW OF OUR HAPPY CUSTOMERS<br />
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ABOUT THE PRESENTER<br />
Kerry Wu<br />
Tech Industry Analyst, CB Insights<br />
Focuses on automotive, transportation, and logistics tech;<br />
additional topics include on-demand and macro VC trends<br />
Published research and data analysis has been featured in The New<br />
York Times, Financial Times, The Economist, and Bloomberg,<br />
among other major media outlets<br />
Previously worked as a management consultant at Simon-Kucher &<br />
Partners<br />
Graduate of Columbia University<br />
@kerrygwu<br />
kwu@cbinsights.com<br />
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TABLE OF CONTENTS<br />
9<br />
13<br />
27<br />
34<br />
38<br />
43<br />
Introduction<br />
Investments: Google, GV, Google Capital<br />
Acquisition Activity<br />
Patent Data Analysis<br />
Initiatives By Sector<br />
Q&A<br />
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INTRODUCTION<br />
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REFRESHER ON<br />
ALPHABET’S STRUCTURE<br />
Even within Google<br />
proper, we are seeing an<br />
emphasis on corralling<br />
and centralizing related<br />
businesses (e.g. Cloud<br />
and Hardware).<br />
Note: list is nonexhaustive<br />
and subject to<br />
change.<br />
Hardware<br />
Infrastructure<br />
Home, Pixel, Chromecast, etc.<br />
Access &<br />
Energy<br />
Source: Alphabet<br />
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89%<br />
of Alphabet revenue from<br />
Google search & ads<br />
SOME QUICK DATA<br />
POINTS<br />
Google’s decade-plus<br />
profit center remains<br />
strong as ever thanks to<br />
a successful push into<br />
mobile.<br />
80% 76%<br />
share of Google ad<br />
revenue from<br />
Google sites<br />
70% in 2011<br />
60% in 2006<br />
cost-per-click (CPC)<br />
vs. 2 years prior<br />
Alphabet leadership is<br />
keenly aware of the lack<br />
of diversity in its<br />
subsidiaries as it<br />
searches for growth in<br />
cloud & enterprise, AI,<br />
hardware, and beyond.<br />
Q2’16 figures shown. Sources: Alphabet quarterly results, Beyond Devices<br />
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“I’ve commented many times<br />
that our focus on long-term<br />
revenue growth does not give<br />
us a pass on managing<br />
expenses.”<br />
Ruth Porat<br />
CFO, Alphabet<br />
Source: Reuters<br />
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INVESTMENTS:<br />
<strong>GOOGLE</strong>, GV, AND <strong>GOOGLE</strong> CAPITAL<br />
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NEW DEAL ACTIVITY<br />
ACROSS ALPHABET<br />
INVESTMENT UNITS<br />
GV’s new deal activity<br />
was already on the<br />
decline prior to the<br />
Alphabet reorg.<br />
Meanwhile, new deals<br />
through Google Capital<br />
and direct strategic<br />
investments from Google<br />
have ticked upwards in<br />
recent years.<br />
Source: CB Insights<br />
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<strong>GOOGLE</strong> DIRECT<br />
INVESTMENTS<br />
Google takes a handful<br />
of direct positions, with<br />
several mega-deals in<br />
frontier areas such as<br />
space transport and<br />
satellite connective and<br />
augmented reality.<br />
Source: CB Insights<br />
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GV OVERALL DEALS ALSO<br />
DECLINING<br />
GV’s pace has been<br />
trending downwards<br />
since a peak from late<br />
2013 to early 2014,<br />
which saw nearly 30 total<br />
deals per quarter.<br />
This aligns with GV’s<br />
declining new deal<br />
activity that we saw<br />
earlier.<br />
Source: CB Insights<br />
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GV HAS WITHDRAWN<br />
FROM SEED MARKET<br />
The decline in deal pace<br />
coincides with GV’s neartotal<br />
withdrawal from the<br />
seed market, once its<br />
bread-and-butter.<br />
Over the past two years,<br />
its seed activity has<br />
fallen almost 85% on a<br />
year-over-year basis, with<br />
no new seed deals at all<br />
in the first half of 2016.<br />
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“When you have a $2.5<br />
billion fund, a seed<br />
investment has to take time<br />
to move the needle.”<br />
Bill Maris<br />
Founder, GV<br />
Source: Recode<br />
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GV NOW PARTICIPATING<br />
IN MUCH LARGER DEALS<br />
GV was founded with a<br />
$100M capital<br />
commitment in 2009,<br />
which has since swelled<br />
to $500M annually.<br />
As GV exits the seed<br />
market and its resources<br />
grow, it is participating in<br />
larger financings.<br />
Source: CB Insights<br />
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GEOGRAPHIC FOCUS<br />
REMAINS US-CENTRIC<br />
The firm launched a<br />
$125M fund in 2014<br />
dedicated to Europe, with<br />
5 partners to lead the<br />
unit.<br />
However, post-Alphabet<br />
the fund was scrapped in<br />
December 2015 and<br />
absorbed back into the<br />
global vehicle with GV’s<br />
rebranding.<br />
Source: CB Insights<br />
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GV’S AFFINITY FOR<br />
HEALTHCARE UNDER<br />
BILL MARIS<br />
GV has heavily<br />
committed to financing<br />
healthcare startups in<br />
recent years.<br />
etc.<br />
These range from digital<br />
health companies<br />
(Flatiron Health) to<br />
providers (One Medical),<br />
as well as startups in<br />
fields like genomics<br />
(Editas, Foundation<br />
Medicine, 23andMe).<br />
Source: CB Insights<br />
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MARIS LEAVES GV<br />
WITH STRONG LEGACY,<br />
UNCERTAIN FUTURE<br />
Bill Maris departs with a<br />
number of $1B+ exits<br />
under his stewardship.<br />
However, as much of<br />
GV’s strategy was tied to<br />
its founder, it remains to<br />
be seen how GV’s<br />
investment style and<br />
philosophy will now<br />
change under David<br />
Krane.<br />
Source: CB Insights<br />
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CAPITAL TYPICALLY<br />
COMMITS TO 1-3<br />
DEALS PER QUARTER<br />
The junior Google<br />
investment arm has<br />
generally maintained a<br />
lower profile than G V<br />
since its formation.<br />
The investment arm has<br />
typically participated in 1-<br />
3 deals per quarter, with<br />
a noticeable spike in<br />
Q3’15.<br />
Source: CB Insights<br />
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<strong>GOOGLE</strong> CAPITAL NOT<br />
AVERSE TO LARGER<br />
DEALS<br />
Google Capital most<br />
often participates in<br />
rounds between $25M<br />
and $100M.<br />
However, given its<br />
mission it is not averse<br />
to larger deals, such as<br />
CloudFlare’s Series D<br />
($110M), FanDuel‘s<br />
Series E ($275M), or<br />
Oscar’s Series C<br />
($400M).<br />
Source: CB Insights<br />
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STRONG SYNDICATE OF<br />
KNOWN TECH INVESTORS<br />
The fund’s investment<br />
syndicate reflects a<br />
pattern of following and<br />
co-investing with leading<br />
Silicon Valley VCs, as<br />
well as notable crossover<br />
tech investors.<br />
GV rarely invests ahead<br />
of Google Capital, but the<br />
two may see increasing<br />
overlap as GV moves into<br />
later-stage deals.<br />
Source: CB Insights<br />
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“Care.com exemplifies the kind of<br />
company that we want to invest in.<br />
We’ve been focused on growth-stage<br />
companies, and really our only<br />
criteria is their having Google-sized<br />
aspirations.”<br />
Laela Sturdy<br />
Partner, Google Capital<br />
Source: NY Times<br />
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ACQUISITION ACTIVITY<br />
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QUARTERLY<br />
ACQUISITION ACTIVITY<br />
Alphabet established<br />
Google is famously one<br />
of tech’s most acquisitive<br />
companies, but activity<br />
slowed both leading up<br />
to and following its<br />
reorganization under<br />
Alphabet.<br />
Q3’16 has seen a<br />
resurgence in activity.<br />
Source: CB Insights<br />
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Robotics<br />
acquisition spree<br />
Boston Dynamics<br />
robot video &<br />
reports of sale<br />
MIXED RESULTS FROM<br />
MARQUEE ACQUISITIONS<br />
Some of Google’s highprofile<br />
bets from earlier<br />
in the decade have met<br />
with mixed results.<br />
These include at least 7<br />
robotics acquisitions in<br />
late 2013 (which formed<br />
Replicant) and smart<br />
home purchases<br />
including Nest, Dropcam,<br />
and Revolv.<br />
Source: CB Insights<br />
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DEEPMIND ACQUISITION HAS BORNE MORE FRUIT<br />
<strong>GOOGLE</strong>’S DEEPMIND ACHIEVES SPEECH-<br />
GENERATION BREAKTHROUGH<br />
Sep 9, 2016<br />
HOW THE COMPUTER BEAT THE GO<br />
MASTER<br />
Mar 19, 2016<br />
<strong>GOOGLE</strong>’S DEEPMIND AI PLATFORM CAN<br />
NOW LEARN WITHOUT HUMAN INPUT<br />
<strong>GOOGLE</strong>’S DEEPMIND GIVES AI MEMORY BOOST<br />
TO NAVIGATE LONDON UNDERGROUND<br />
Oct 17, 2016<br />
<strong>GOOGLE</strong> CUTS ITS GIANT ELECTRICITY BILL<br />
WITH DEEPMIND-POWERED AI<br />
Jul 19, 2016<br />
Oct 12, 2016<br />
Sources: Bloomberg, Scientific America, IEEE Spectrum, The Next Web<br />
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30
“Machine learning is the engine that<br />
will drive our future… more than 100<br />
teams are currently using machine<br />
learning at Google, from Street View<br />
to Gmail to Voice Search and more.”<br />
Sundar Pichai<br />
CEO, Google<br />
Source: Alphabet Q2’16 earnings call<br />
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ENTERPRISE FOCUS<br />
SHAPING CURRENT<br />
ACQUISITION <strong>STRATEGY</strong><br />
Over the past year,<br />
inbound acquisition<br />
requests have come<br />
most frequently from<br />
Google’s cloud &<br />
enterprise unit.<br />
This a lucrative, proven<br />
sector where the<br />
company has room to<br />
catch up.<br />
Sources: CB Insights, Recode<br />
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ACQUISITIONS FOCUSED<br />
ON VALUE-ADDED<br />
SERVICES<br />
According to Google CEO<br />
Sundar Pichai, their<br />
differentiation strategy<br />
will involve “value-added<br />
services on top of<br />
compute and storage”<br />
rather than competing on<br />
sheer scale.<br />
Many of its recent<br />
acquisitions fall into its<br />
category.<br />
Sources: CB Insights, SiliconANGLE<br />
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PATENT DATA ANALYSIS<br />
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PATENT DATA SHOWS<br />
REVERSAL FROM ANTI-<br />
PATENT STANCE<br />
In the past, company<br />
executives up to Larry<br />
Page and Sergey Brin<br />
opposed excessive<br />
patenting as a threat to<br />
innovation.<br />
However, as the threat of<br />
smartphone litigation<br />
intensified in the early<br />
2010s, Google began<br />
applying for patents at a<br />
blistering pace.<br />
Source: CB Insights<br />
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KEYWORD FREQUENCY<br />
ANALYSIS HIGHLIGHTS<br />
MOONSHOT INITIATIVES<br />
Keyword data highlights<br />
patent activity related to<br />
bleeding-edge projects.<br />
These include the Glass<br />
eyewear device and other<br />
wearable research.<br />
“Balloon” also tops the<br />
list in 2016 to date as<br />
development of Project<br />
Loon continues.<br />
Source: CB Insights<br />
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SELF-DRIVING CAR<br />
PROJECT ACCELERATES<br />
Rising frequency of<br />
“vehicle” also reflects<br />
Google’s concerted<br />
efforts in the self-driving<br />
vehicle space, where it<br />
has been expanding its<br />
test fleet and searching<br />
for automakers to<br />
partner with.<br />
Source: CB Insights<br />
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INITIATIVES BY SECTOR<br />
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AI BEING LEVERAGED<br />
ACROSS ALPHABET<br />
Graduated X projects like<br />
Google Brain and a host<br />
of acquisitions are being<br />
utilized enhance<br />
capabilities from search<br />
to cloud and voice<br />
assistance, and even<br />
improve power efficiency.<br />
Source: CB Insights<br />
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TRANSPORT AND<br />
LOGISTICS<br />
Google Self-Driving Car<br />
Project has faced some<br />
employee attrition and<br />
increasing competition,<br />
but has made veteran<br />
industry hires and<br />
secured its first<br />
partnership.<br />
Other initiatives include<br />
delivery drones (Project<br />
Wing) and sameday/grocery<br />
delivery<br />
(Google Express).<br />
Source: CB Insights<br />
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• Pioneering Google Glass project was<br />
ultimately unloved by consumers<br />
• Moved into low-end mobile VR with Cardboard<br />
• Reported in May that 5M Cardboards were in<br />
hands of consumers (distributed widely via<br />
partnership with NY Times); Cardboard App<br />
has hit 50M downloads in Play store<br />
• Auto<br />
• Just announced mobile VR platform<br />
Daydream, Lenovo also revealed first phone<br />
driven by AR platform Tango<br />
• Investor in well-funded AR startup Magic Leap<br />
• In addition to its low-end mobile VR initiative<br />
(and retooling Android OS to handle VR),<br />
Google is reportedly working on a standalone<br />
headset that would not require a tether to a<br />
PC or game console<br />
Sources: Wall Street Journal, TechCrunch, Fortune, Wall Street Journal<br />
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