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GTPS_BRAZILIAN-LIVESTOCK-OVERVIEW_v3

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DEFORESTATION AND CATTLE HERD IN THE AMAZON<br />

30<br />

25<br />

Annual Deforestation<br />

Cattle Herd<br />

(million animals)<br />

Soybean Production<br />

(million metric tons)<br />

Cattle<br />

Herd<br />

90<br />

80<br />

70<br />

Annual Deforestation<br />

(thousands km 2 )<br />

20<br />

15<br />

10<br />

5<br />

Soybean<br />

Production<br />

60<br />

50<br />

40<br />

30<br />

20<br />

10<br />

Production in the Legal Amazon<br />

(million metric tons or million animals)<br />

0<br />

1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014<br />

Sources: Prodes/INPE; PPM/IBGE. Elaboration: IPAM<br />

0<br />

Livestock is usually singled out as the main cause of deforestation in Brazil. However, it is not possible to establish a clear<br />

and automatic causation between livestock production and deforestation. While livestock production is a natural activity<br />

in any area already cleared, there are many different and complex drivers of deforestation in Brazil. Indeed, the very notion<br />

that the expansion of livestock production relies on deforestation is outdated and misinformed: the trend over the next 15<br />

years will be for the total land area dedicated to livestock production to significantly decrease, while productivity expands.<br />

THE EXPANSION OF <strong>LIVESTOCK</strong> AND AGRICULTURE<br />

DOES NOT RELY ON DEFORESTATION<br />

The livestock intensification and pasture restoration are the key to allow a more efficient land use<br />

Thousand MT<br />

2015<br />

4@/ha/year<br />

16,000<br />

14,000<br />

12,000<br />

10,000<br />

8,000<br />

6,000<br />

4,000<br />

2,000<br />

0<br />

182,796<br />

AVERAGE PRODUCTION<br />

15 years<br />

+50%<br />

Pasture area and beef production in Brazil<br />

178,775<br />

9,666 10,048<br />

13,721<br />

161,261<br />

2005 2015 2030<br />

2030<br />

6@/ha/year<br />

Beef Production Pasture area Source: ABIEC and Agroicone.<br />

185,000<br />

180,000<br />

175,000<br />

170,000<br />

165,000<br />

160,000<br />

155,000<br />

150,000<br />

Thousands ha<br />

Total pasture area in Brazil is decreasing<br />

while cattle productivity is<br />

increasing. In 2005, 9.6m tonnes of<br />

beef were produced on 183m hectares.<br />

In the ten years to 2015, productivity<br />

leapt to 10m tonnes on<br />

179m hectares. By 2030 it is anticipated<br />

that the total pasture area will<br />

comprise just 161m hectares, for<br />

a total annual production of 13.7m<br />

tonnes of beef. That is a reduction<br />

of livestock pastureland of some<br />

220,000 km² in just 25 years. To put<br />

that figure into context, that is an<br />

area bigger than the entire island<br />

of Great Britain (209,331 km²). And<br />

it is 22 million hectares of land that<br />

will be freed for other uses, such as<br />

planted forest, native vegetation restoration<br />

and crop production.

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