GTPS_BRAZILIAN-LIVESTOCK-OVERVIEW_v3
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DEFORESTATION AND CATTLE HERD IN THE AMAZON<br />
30<br />
25<br />
Annual Deforestation<br />
Cattle Herd<br />
(million animals)<br />
Soybean Production<br />
(million metric tons)<br />
Cattle<br />
Herd<br />
90<br />
80<br />
70<br />
Annual Deforestation<br />
(thousands km 2 )<br />
20<br />
15<br />
10<br />
5<br />
Soybean<br />
Production<br />
60<br />
50<br />
40<br />
30<br />
20<br />
10<br />
Production in the Legal Amazon<br />
(million metric tons or million animals)<br />
0<br />
1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014<br />
Sources: Prodes/INPE; PPM/IBGE. Elaboration: IPAM<br />
0<br />
Livestock is usually singled out as the main cause of deforestation in Brazil. However, it is not possible to establish a clear<br />
and automatic causation between livestock production and deforestation. While livestock production is a natural activity<br />
in any area already cleared, there are many different and complex drivers of deforestation in Brazil. Indeed, the very notion<br />
that the expansion of livestock production relies on deforestation is outdated and misinformed: the trend over the next 15<br />
years will be for the total land area dedicated to livestock production to significantly decrease, while productivity expands.<br />
THE EXPANSION OF <strong>LIVESTOCK</strong> AND AGRICULTURE<br />
DOES NOT RELY ON DEFORESTATION<br />
The livestock intensification and pasture restoration are the key to allow a more efficient land use<br />
Thousand MT<br />
2015<br />
4@/ha/year<br />
16,000<br />
14,000<br />
12,000<br />
10,000<br />
8,000<br />
6,000<br />
4,000<br />
2,000<br />
0<br />
182,796<br />
AVERAGE PRODUCTION<br />
15 years<br />
+50%<br />
Pasture area and beef production in Brazil<br />
178,775<br />
9,666 10,048<br />
13,721<br />
161,261<br />
2005 2015 2030<br />
2030<br />
6@/ha/year<br />
Beef Production Pasture area Source: ABIEC and Agroicone.<br />
185,000<br />
180,000<br />
175,000<br />
170,000<br />
165,000<br />
160,000<br />
155,000<br />
150,000<br />
Thousands ha<br />
Total pasture area in Brazil is decreasing<br />
while cattle productivity is<br />
increasing. In 2005, 9.6m tonnes of<br />
beef were produced on 183m hectares.<br />
In the ten years to 2015, productivity<br />
leapt to 10m tonnes on<br />
179m hectares. By 2030 it is anticipated<br />
that the total pasture area will<br />
comprise just 161m hectares, for<br />
a total annual production of 13.7m<br />
tonnes of beef. That is a reduction<br />
of livestock pastureland of some<br />
220,000 km² in just 25 years. To put<br />
that figure into context, that is an<br />
area bigger than the entire island<br />
of Great Britain (209,331 km²). And<br />
it is 22 million hectares of land that<br />
will be freed for other uses, such as<br />
planted forest, native vegetation restoration<br />
and crop production.