NERA Sector Competitiveness Plan 2017
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<strong>Sector</strong><br />
<strong>Competitiveness</strong><br />
<strong>Plan</strong><br />
<strong>2017</strong>
<strong>NERA</strong>’s vision is to maximise the value<br />
to the Australian economy by having an<br />
energy resources sector which is globally<br />
competitive, growing, sustainable,<br />
innovative and diverse.<br />
Registered office:<br />
Australian Resources Research Centre<br />
Level 3, 26 Dick Perry Avenue<br />
Kensington WA 6151<br />
ABN 24 609 540 285<br />
T: (08) 6555 8040<br />
E: contact@nera.org.au<br />
W: www.nera.org.au<br />
@<strong>NERA</strong>network<br />
<strong>NERA</strong> – National Energy Resources Australia
Contents<br />
About <strong>NERA</strong> 4<br />
About this Document 5<br />
Foreword 6<br />
1 Executive Summary 8<br />
Executive Summary 10<br />
Introduction to this SCP 14<br />
<strong>Sector</strong> Themes 19<br />
Roadmap to the Future 32<br />
The Three Levers to a Strong Future 33<br />
Regulations 34<br />
Pathway to a Sustainable, Resilient, Energy Resources <strong>Sector</strong> 34<br />
Knowledge Priorities Action <strong>Plan</strong> 35<br />
Key Performance Indicators 40<br />
2 Global and National Challenges 48<br />
Global Megatrends and Implications for Australia’s Energy Resource <strong>Sector</strong> 50<br />
Global Megatrends 51<br />
An Emerging Megatrend – The Search for Energy Security 54<br />
An Environment of Disruption 55<br />
Impact of Global Megatrends on Australia 56<br />
Australia’s Response to <strong>Sector</strong> Trends 57<br />
Current State of the Energy Resources <strong>Sector</strong> 60<br />
Australian Oil and Gas Industry 65<br />
Australian Coal Industry 70<br />
Australian Uranium Industry 74<br />
Transition from Rapid Growth 77<br />
<strong>Sector</strong> Benchmarking 78<br />
Oil and Gas Industry <strong>Competitiveness</strong> Assessment 2016 80<br />
Coal Industry <strong>Competitiveness</strong> Assessment 2016 87<br />
3 <strong>Sector</strong> Challenges and Knowledge Priorities 94<br />
<strong>Sector</strong> Wide Challenges and Opportunities 96<br />
<strong>Sector</strong> Wide 97<br />
<strong>Sector</strong> Specific Challenges, Constraints and Opportunities 98<br />
Australian Oil and Gas Industry 98<br />
Australian Coal Industry 101<br />
Australian Uranium Industry 102<br />
Cross <strong>Sector</strong> Challenges and Opportunities 103<br />
How the Australian Energy Resource <strong>Sector</strong> Should Respond 104<br />
The Three Levers to a Strong Future 104<br />
<strong>Sector</strong> Knowledge Priorities 108<br />
Capability and Leadership 114<br />
Business and Operating Models, Technology and Services 128<br />
Regulatory Environment 144<br />
Glossary 149<br />
Definitions 149<br />
Stakeholder Consultation Process 149<br />
Acronyms 150<br />
Bibliography 151<br />
National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong><br />
3
About <strong>NERA</strong><br />
The Australian Energy Resources Growth Centre (AERGC Ltd), trading as National Energy Resources<br />
Australia (<strong>NERA</strong>), is an industry-led, government-funded initiative, which aims, through a national focus, to<br />
improve competitiveness, collaboration and productivity by focussing on reducing cost, directing research<br />
to industry needs, improving work skills, facilitating partnerships and reducing regulatory burden.<br />
<strong>NERA</strong> forms part of the Australian Government’s Industry Innovation and <strong>Competitiveness</strong> Agenda.<br />
It is one of six national Industry Growth Centres established to drive innovation, productivity and<br />
competitiveness in sectors of competitive strength and strategic priority for Australia, and to increase<br />
employment and opportunities for small and medium sized enterprises (SMEs).<br />
<strong>NERA</strong> will work to support the Australian energy resources sector to identify and deliver projects and<br />
activities to enhance the sector’s innovation, competitiveness and productivity. The long-term objectives<br />
and strategic outcomes of the sector cannot be delivered by <strong>NERA</strong> alone, and will require commitment<br />
from industry leaders, government, research organisations and other key stakeholders.<br />
<strong>NERA</strong>’s vision, mission and strategies were developed as a result of early<br />
stakeholder consultation to develop the proposal to establish <strong>NERA</strong>.<br />
Key sector themes have informed the consultation which was undertaken<br />
to develop the 10-year <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong>, including the<br />
knowledge priorities, strategic goals and focus areas for the sector.<br />
Vision<br />
To maximise the value to the Australian economy by having an energy resources sector which is globally<br />
competitive, growing, sustainable, innovative and diverse.<br />
Mission<br />
Through a national focus, grow collaboration and innovation to assist the energy resources sector<br />
manage cost structures and productivity, direct research to industry needs, deliver the future work skills<br />
required and promote proportionate fit for purpose regulation.<br />
Six Strategies<br />
<strong>NERA</strong> will achieve our vision though six strategies:<br />
1. Connect industry stakeholders to promote collaboration.<br />
2. Facilitate deeper engagement between industry and researchers.<br />
3. Support industry growth through policy and regulation.<br />
4. Promote industry sustainability through fostering a greater understanding of the social,<br />
environmental, economic and operational consequences of industry activity, and by promoting<br />
trusted, inclusive custodians of scientific data.<br />
5. Develop and support initiatives to focus on work skills of the future.<br />
6. Identify and facilitate growth of new opportunities for the energy and resources industry value<br />
chain domestically and globally.<br />
4 National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong>
About this Document<br />
This <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> (SCP) will underpin the efforts of the Australian energy resources<br />
sector to increase the competitiveness and sustainability of the Australian oil and gas, coal and uranium<br />
industries. To achieve this, the SCP sets out a strategic road map over a 10-year horizon, including key<br />
themes, knowledge priorities, goals and initiatives. These will be addressed through industry led projects.<br />
This SCP considers the trends and influences impacting the entire Australian energy resources sector<br />
and identifies broad challenges, constraints and opportunities both at a sector-wide and industryspecific<br />
level. Many of the challenges and opportunities identified are common across all three<br />
industries of oil and gas, coal and uranium, while others are specific to one; these differences are<br />
highlighted in the body of the plan.<br />
The SCP is a foundation document for <strong>NERA</strong>. It presents the challenges and opportunities faced by<br />
the Australian energy resources sector and describes how <strong>NERA</strong> will assist the sector to address key<br />
priorities to enhance innovation, competitiveness and productivity. This document will be updated<br />
annually. It will necessarily evolve if it is to remain relevant over the next 10 years as goals are<br />
achieved, the sector’s priorities change and the opportunities to capture change and disruption both<br />
globally and locally continue to evolve.<br />
The document is presented in three major sections:<br />
1<br />
Section 1 comprises an executive summary to the<br />
document, highlighting the SCP’s key material and<br />
subjects, and the roadmap to the future which sets out<br />
<strong>NERA</strong>’s plan and the key performance indicators (KPIs)<br />
being used to measure the sector’s progress.<br />
2<br />
Section 2 discusses the global megatrends that are changing the<br />
face of the energy resources sector and how those trends are<br />
impacting Australia. It then places the Australian energy sector<br />
into perspective with both the background to each industry and<br />
the historic trends that have resulted in the current state of the<br />
industry, before presenting the results of sector benchmarking<br />
that <strong>NERA</strong> has commissioned into the oil and gas, and coal sectors.<br />
3<br />
Section 3 considers the sector wide and individual<br />
industry challenges and constraints, then discusses each<br />
of the <strong>NERA</strong> knowledge priorities and initiatives in<br />
detail, as well as offering some case studies that have<br />
helped inform the initiatives currently being developed.<br />
National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong><br />
5
Foreword<br />
An Industry on the Move: Navigating an<br />
Age of Innovation and Disruption<br />
As this document goes to print, the Australian energy resources sector is on the move, and in<br />
exciting ways.<br />
Energy resources will continue to make a significant contribution to the economic growth of Australia for<br />
the foreseeable future. However, as the world’s energy balance continues to evolve the sector must adapt<br />
to remain competitive, productive and sustainable.<br />
It is well understood that the sector is nearing the conclusion of an unprecedented level of investment<br />
and construction. At the same time, the sector faces a perfect storm of disruptive and significant threats<br />
and Australia as a nation must find a path to a low emissions economy whilst also securing both energy<br />
reliability and affordability for all.<br />
In the face of this storm, it is tempting to batten down the hatches and retreat into the pursuit of<br />
individual solutions. Yet significant challenge can also trigger much needed change and unlock huge<br />
opportunities - opportunities that can only be realised to their full potential by working together to<br />
innovate, transfer knowledge and commercialise value.<br />
As an industry, we have a long and proud history of pioneering, discovery, problem solving and invention.<br />
Over decades, the Australian energy resources sector has delivered critical infrastructure, some of the world’s<br />
newest high technology production facilities and significant high quality natural resources, while reliant<br />
on and underpinning the development of a well-educated and highly skilled workforce. Additionally, we<br />
have the advantage of proximity to the Asian economies, world leading capabilities in remote operations<br />
and low carbon emissions technologies, a strong and growing start-up community, world class research<br />
facilities and knowledge and a strong tax incentive scheme for research and development.<br />
In recent times, faced with a volatile commodity price environment and increasing global competition, the<br />
focus of energy resource companies has necessarily been to significantly lower capital costs and improve<br />
efficiency and profitability. This focus on efficiency will ensure the sector has the fundamentals right and,<br />
combined with our existing strengths and advantages, provide a solid base on which to build for the future.<br />
The next phase of change though is far harder. Relying on incremental changes to yesterday’s practices is<br />
a sure recipe for stagnation and ultimately decline. For the Australian energy resources sector to remain<br />
globally competitive and able to rapidly adapt in an age of disruption and innovation, we will need to<br />
seek transformational change.<br />
It will take strong leadership and skilful navigation by all parties - governments, industry, the technology<br />
and service sector and research organisations - to find sensible and practical solutions that the<br />
community will accept, and to innovate to support a globally competitive and sustainable sector.<br />
Transformational change requires bold and insightful leadership and a willingness to find and break through<br />
barriers. For example, if the energy resources sector is to harness the huge efficiency benefits and competitive<br />
advantages to be had from the explosive growth of technologies, including advanced manufacturing<br />
techniques, automation, 3D manufacturing (with plant able to be printed onsite to meet immediate need),<br />
drones (to take over remote, offshore exploration and significantly reduce cost), and the Internet of Things<br />
(including cloud computing, mobile computing, embedded computing and consumer electronics), then<br />
we must unlock our intellectual property and move away from a reliance on closed, single sourced and<br />
bespoke solutions. We need to commercialise our huge investment in research and knowledge, and adopt<br />
open, multi-vendor approaches that deliver improved products and capabilities to a global market.<br />
6 National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong>
FOREWORD<br />
Such changes will enable operators and miners to form new relationships with technology vendors across<br />
the value chain, and for the technology vendors to collaborate with each other and bundle products and<br />
services, for example in formal clusters to lower the risks of failing and maximise the benefits that new<br />
technologies can provide for all.<br />
This new digital environment, as well as changes to the sector’s commercial and operating models, will also<br />
result in the need for a very different mix of skills. The sector needs to build a comprehensive understanding<br />
of its future skills requirements in terms of scope, scale, skills and experience, and collaborate with<br />
governments and other skills development stakeholders to set out a clear plan for building that capability.<br />
From an energy perspective, Australia is currently facing a number of serious challenges, and urgently needs a<br />
clear and cohesive pathway for its transition to a low emissions future and to underpin economic development.<br />
To get there will require substantial, highly funded collaboration in selected areas between industry, research<br />
institutions and government. For example, Australia could secure a strong carbon capture and storage<br />
technology advantage, and there is potential to both develop and commercialise low emissions technology and<br />
to transfer and export that knowledge and capability globally. The research has been done and the next stage<br />
is demonstration and deployment. However, for this to occur it will require funding in the order of billions<br />
of dollars, and this will be difficult to obtain without clear priorities and concerted effort by all parties.<br />
A vibrant exploration industry is also critical to the ongoing supply, security, reliability and affordability of<br />
Australia’s energy supply. <strong>NERA</strong>’s global competitiveness benchmarking shows that in oil and gas we have<br />
an attractive environment for exploration, but we are at the lowest point in decades for exploration activity<br />
(both onshore and offshore). This low level of activity is driven by a combination of low commodity prices,<br />
high cost, government red tape and community opposition. A priority for immediate action is, that the<br />
state governments and regulators address approvals for onshore gas projects on a case by case basis, and<br />
not proceed with blanket moratoria. For the coal exploration sector, according to the 2015 Fraser Institute<br />
Survey of Mining Companies, 55 per cent of respondents in Queensland and New South Wales reported that<br />
regulation uncertainty had a negative impact on the states’ investment attractiveness, versus only 13 per<br />
cent in Western Australia. Australia must make progress in creating an attractive exploration environment<br />
across the whole energy resources sector and for new and existing firms.<br />
Achieving a stable and high-performance regulatory environment across all jurisdictions is critical.<br />
Regulation needs to support economic development and innovation, whilst providing for independent,<br />
transparent and objective oversight of industry activities and measurable environmental performance<br />
proportionate with risk. This will assist in securing the acceptance of Australian communities. The<br />
focus needs to be on risk based, transparent and outcome focussed regulation which requires strong<br />
demonstration of and accountability for, industry performance, whilst also encouraging innovation.<br />
In conclusion, the size of the prize is significant for everybody. <strong>NERA</strong>’s benchmarking to date has<br />
identified the potential to unlock AUD$5 billion of value in the oil and gas sector, and AUD$4.5 billion<br />
of value in the coal sector. We will be identifying the uranium sector’s potential to create value in <strong>2017</strong>.<br />
Australia has the potential to continue to supply innovative products, capabilities and services for many<br />
years to come to meet both domestic and international energy resource needs, generate substantial<br />
revenue for the nation and grow an export orientated sector.<br />
This <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> represents the collective wisdom and insights of all stakeholders across<br />
the Australian energy resources sector. During our extensive consultations, it became very clear to us that<br />
there is strong commitment and passion for achieving a competitive, innovative and sustainable sector,<br />
and that the sector remains vital to Australia’s economic development and low emissions future.<br />
<strong>NERA</strong> is committed to working with stakeholders to pursue strategic initiatives and projects that will<br />
assist the energy resources sector adapt to current and future challenges and disruption.<br />
We would like to thank you all for your support and valuable input into this roadmap for the sector’s<br />
future, and we look forward to working with you on this journey of change.<br />
Miranda Taylor<br />
Chief Executive Officer<br />
Ken Fitzpatrick<br />
Chair<br />
National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong><br />
7
8 National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong>
1<br />
EXECUTIVE<br />
SUMMARY<br />
This section provides a stand-alone summary of the <strong>Sector</strong><br />
<strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> for the Australian energy resources sector.<br />
It provides an executive summary, an overview of the key themes,<br />
the challenges and opportunities facing the Australian energy resources<br />
sector, and a road map to achieve a vision for innovation, improved<br />
productivity and sustainability and a globally competitive service and<br />
technology sector. The road map identifies three key business levers<br />
to a strong future, sets out nine knowledge priorities with initial key<br />
performance indicators against which the changes in the sector can be<br />
tracked over the coming decade.<br />
National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong><br />
9
Executive<br />
Summary<br />
This <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> (SCP) has been produced to provide<br />
a cohesive and comprehensive call to action for the Australian energy<br />
resources sector. It is the product of an extensive industry consultation<br />
process and review of the contemporary literature on both the sector<br />
and the broader global trends affecting the sector into the next 10 years.<br />
This SCP identifies the challenges and opportunities that the sector<br />
must navigate in the coming decade, based on the current landscape.<br />
It proposes a structured and evolving series of knowledge priorities to be<br />
addressed in order to build on the industry’s existing strengths, and create<br />
an adaptable, resilient and sustainable Australian energy resources sector.<br />
10 National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong>
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY<br />
The value added to the Australia economy from the Australian energy resources sector, comprising the<br />
coal, oil and gas and uranium industries, has been and continues to be huge. Combined, the sector directly<br />
provides approximately 89,800 jobs with a gross value add of $42.2 billion (2015/2016). Coal and gas<br />
are the nation’s largest commodity exports after iron ore, providing a safe and secure energy source<br />
to our trading partners. The scale of the sector makes the nation largely self-sufficient in energy and<br />
provides the fuel needed to underpin many industries and the lifestyle of a developed nation.<br />
After decades of capital investment, innovation and operation, the Australian energy resources sector has<br />
many strengths that it can build on, including some of the world’s newest high technology production<br />
facilities, a well-educated and highly skilled workforce and significant high quality natural resources.<br />
These attributes are supported by Australia’s proximity to the Asian economies, world leading capabilities<br />
in remote operations and low carbon emissions technologies, a strong and growing start-up community,<br />
world class research facilities and knowledge and, a strong tax incentive scheme for research and<br />
development. With these strategic advantages, the sector has the potential to continue to supply both<br />
domestic and international energy resource needs for many years to come, to continue to generate<br />
substantial revenue for the nation and to grow an export orientated service and technology sector.<br />
However, the Australian energy resources sector is facing a number of individual and systemic challenges.<br />
How the sector reacts to them will determine whether it continues to thrive as one of the world’s<br />
principal sources of energy, or stagnates under the burden of current global and economic pressures.<br />
Internationally and domestically, society is facing increasing energy security challenges. In the international<br />
energy market, many developed nations are seeing the end of their domestic energy supplies and are<br />
looking to international sources for the energy resources they need to fuel their economies and societies.<br />
Domestically, Australia is struggling with changing societal and political drivers, with both short and long<br />
term impacts on the security and affordability of the energy needed to attract and fuel businesses.<br />
As set out in this SCP, the sector must react to volatile commodity prices, a rapidly evolving energy<br />
marketplace, changing societal energy expectations, an increasingly complex regulatory environment and<br />
a rapidly evolving global energy mix. Only by working together, with producers, service suppliers, research<br />
and educational communities all collaborating, will the sector be able to deliver its future potential.<br />
To unlock this potential, the sector needs to use the three levers of building contemporary business<br />
models, enhancing operational models and technology capabilities and improving capacity, skills<br />
and culture, while also addressing the regulatory environment in which the sector operates. Through<br />
addressing these levers, the sector will remain competitive while creating future markets and customers.<br />
• Building contemporary business models – involves building new markets, new customers and<br />
new services through the entire value chain. It requires, for example, providing turnkey solutions to<br />
customers rather than simply the resources used to generate energy, finding new export markets for<br />
our LNG operations and maintenance knowledge and expertise, and delivering clean technologies.<br />
It involves building new, collaborative relationships within the entire energy resources value chain,<br />
global partnerships to access global supply chains, and other industry sectors such as advanced<br />
manufacturing, defence and shipping.<br />
• Enhancing operational models and technology capabilities – the sector urgently needs to<br />
reduce process complexity and waste, to standardise operating practices and to collaborate through<br />
initiatives such as research/industry precincts, multi-user technical facilities and establishment of industry<br />
and innovation clusters (clusters can force-multiply investment, reduce risk for the participants and<br />
commercial contributors, and speed innovation; vendors can achieve critical mass and collaborate<br />
to provide scale and ease of access for export opportunities). The sector could work together to<br />
optimise processes through the development and adoption of disruptive technologies such as<br />
machine learning and diagnostics, 3D printing, advanced materials and new ways to build small<br />
scale, economically viable plants which require minimal capital investment to maintain production.<br />
There are further opportunities for the sector to share non-competitive and pre-competitive<br />
information such as environmental and meteorological data.<br />
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY<br />
National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong><br />
11
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY<br />
• Improving capacity, skills and culture – the sector needs to find ways to maintain and build<br />
its skill base, both to operate its existing facilities and to prepare personnel to become ‘operators<br />
of the future’, with the commercial skills needed to develop new markets, customers and services.<br />
As the sector drives productivity and efficiency, companies are looking to optimise plants and work<br />
processes, and are increasingly adopting automation, digital technologies and collaborative teams.<br />
This requires industry to develop new capabilities, workforce skills and attributes.<br />
• Addressing the regulatory environment – to facilitate innovation, improve productivity and<br />
competitiveness and secure both future investment and a sustainable economy, Australia needs a modern,<br />
best in class regulatory environment. The energy resources sector needs consistency, efficiency and flexibility<br />
to allow innovation, whilst working within a regulatory framework that provides the community with<br />
transparency on, and confidence in, regulators’ decision-making processes and the industry’s performance<br />
and where the regulations in place are proportionate to the risks being controlled. The sector itself can<br />
work collaboratively on its own internal standards to ensure alignment across the sector, and cooperatively<br />
with governments to reform regulation to focus on high performance outcomes. Australia needs to reestablish<br />
its reputation as an attractive business environment and a destination for future investment.<br />
Moving from current operating models to those of the future will require ongoing incremental change<br />
together with more disruptive, transformational change. Incremental change, with the occasional adoption<br />
of a major technological innovation, has largely been the standard operating practice for the majority of<br />
business. While this approach provides a relatively low risk, predictable environment, it is only capable of<br />
maintaining the status quo because an incremental approach is also adopted by peers and competitors<br />
alike. Transformational change, while offering large potential opportunities created by changes to business<br />
models, operating models and culture, comes with higher risk. However, only through accepting this risk<br />
in a considered way, and pursuing the opportunities created through transformational change will the<br />
Australian energy resources sector move ahead of the competition into a sustainable and resilient future.<br />
Business and operating models that can adopt and deploy transformative, plug-in technology or<br />
combinations of disruptive technologies offered by small to medium enterprises will accelerate cost<br />
savings, improve efficiencies and experience improved productivity. By way of example, working directly<br />
with unmanned aircraft systems, continuously collecting high-definition seismic data onshore or offshore,<br />
delivered in real-time directly into the operator, with real-time geophysics analytics, reducing seismic<br />
interpretation from many months, to a few days or even hours, adjusting as new data streams into the<br />
business. Or, building microscale plant using remote advanced manufacturing techniques, commissioned,<br />
operated and maintained remotely through onshore or offshore remotely operated vehicles.<br />
This SCP, therefore, proposes a number of incremental and transformational changes for the energy resources<br />
sector. It offers a timeline to pursue the changes, and provides research-based benchmarking of the industries<br />
that show where the greatest opportunities can be found now and in the future. It proposes a series of Key<br />
Performance Indicators (KPIs) against which future change can be measured and adjustments made over time.<br />
It is incumbent on all parties in the Australian energy resources sector to consider these changes and<br />
collectively work to implement them, both collaboratively and in constructive competition. The sustainability<br />
of the industry depends on the actions taken in the next few years. There is a real opportunity to<br />
transform the industry and unlock its full potential.<br />
12 National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong>
Australian Energy Resources <strong>Sector</strong><br />
Oil and gas<br />
Coal<br />
Petroleum and<br />
coal product<br />
manufacturing<br />
Uranium<br />
GROSS VALUE ADD (2015/2016)<br />
42.2 B<br />
DIRECT EMPLOYMENT<br />
89,800 jobs<br />
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY<br />
GAS<br />
OIL<br />
LNG exported<br />
71 Mt<br />
Proven gas reserves<br />
Shale gas<br />
437 Tcf<br />
Coal seam gas<br />
235 Tcf<br />
Conventional gas<br />
227 Tcf<br />
Oil products imported<br />
$24 B<br />
URANIUM<br />
Known world resources<br />
30%<br />
Oil products exported<br />
$11 B<br />
Annual world supply<br />
11%<br />
COAL<br />
Coal exported<br />
375 Mt<br />
Reserves<br />
37 Bt<br />
Legend: Mt = million tonnes per annum, Tcf = trillion cubic feet, B = billion, Bt = billion tonnes<br />
National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong><br />
13
Introduction<br />
to this SCP<br />
Australia is one of the world’s top producers and exporters of natural gas,<br />
coal and uranium. With the combined value of exports to the Australian<br />
economy estimated to be around $60 billion 1 the sector creates valuable<br />
jobs, export income and tax revenue. The anticipated sustained growth in<br />
energy demand presents significant opportunities for Australia.<br />
14 National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong>
INTRODUCTION TO THIS SCP<br />
While Australia’s current role in the energy resources market is a strong one, the rapidly evolving global<br />
energy market, together with growing societal environmental awareness, global commitments to reduce<br />
carbon emissions and the increasing economic and technological viability of alternative energy sources<br />
require sector wide adaptation. The Australian energy resources sector represented by <strong>NERA</strong>, and<br />
comprising the oil and gas, coal and uranium industries, must embrace this change to secure its role in<br />
powering the world and contributing to a clean and sustainable future.<br />
As a result of the significant investment in, and development of, knowledge and technical capabilities<br />
and skills, the Australian energy resources sector is well-placed to compete globally and unlock new<br />
investment, supply chain efficiencies and export opportunities. To maximise this potential, the sector must<br />
improve the efficiency and competitiveness of both exploration activity and existing operating assets as a<br />
priority. It must rapidly adapt and transform through:<br />
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY<br />
Business<br />
Models<br />
• New markets<br />
• New customers (including<br />
providing turnkey energy solutions<br />
across the value chain)<br />
• New collaborative partnerships, across<br />
value and supply chains, with the<br />
research sector and with other industry<br />
sectors, to leverage scale and cross<br />
sector transfer of knowledge<br />
• Technology and capability<br />
Operating<br />
Models and<br />
Technology<br />
Capabilities<br />
• Radically reduce process<br />
complexity and waste<br />
• Collaborate and standardise<br />
• Share logistics and regional<br />
supply bases<br />
• Remove unnecessary and bespoke<br />
standards and conditions<br />
• Share environmental research<br />
• Optimise through automation<br />
• Digital technology and adoption<br />
of advanced manufacturing systems<br />
and technologies (such as 3D printing<br />
and new materials)<br />
• Develop and operate mini plants<br />
to enhance the ability to scale up<br />
and down and adapt to a more<br />
distributed world<br />
Culture,<br />
Capabilities<br />
and Skills<br />
• Leadership for collaboration<br />
• Commercial<br />
• Digital, automation<br />
• Innovation and entrepreneurial<br />
risk taking<br />
• Baseline skills studies<br />
• Common competency frameworks<br />
and future skill requirements<br />
To be competitive in the sector, Australia will need to be:<br />
• A top-ranked jurisdiction for energy resources investment;<br />
• A centre of innovation across the life cycle of energy resources e.g. exploration, development,<br />
operations and maintenance and decommissioning, and within the community of supporting<br />
technology companies and service providers; and<br />
• Positioned to capitalise on the developments in global and regional economies, and the rapidly<br />
changing energy mix.<br />
National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong><br />
15
INTRODUCTION TO THIS SCP<br />
To achieve these strategic outcomes, the Australian energy resources sector must<br />
overcome the following challenges:<br />
• Legacy of poor productivity performance during the high capital investment phase, and the need to<br />
drive improved asset and labour productivity in the operations phase;<br />
• Tightening operating margins;<br />
• Addressing the social, economic and environmental impacts of energy resource extraction, production<br />
and use, and building community engagement with the sector and a social licence to operate;<br />
• Adapting to the low carbon emissions environment, clean technologies and changing global energy mix;<br />
• Complexity of government regulation and approvals; and<br />
• Developing the capabilities of Australian organisations at all levels in the value chain supporting the<br />
sector, and driving deeper engagement between the research sector and SMEs within the service sector.<br />
This SCP provides a 10-year horizon road map. It sets out the key themes and strategies, the challenges,<br />
constraints and opportunities and then identifies the knowledge priorities, focus areas and initiatives that<br />
combined can ensure the Australian oil and gas, coal and uranium industries remain globally competitive,<br />
innovative, sustainable and diverse.<br />
The SCP examines the challenges, constraints and opportunities in three ways:<br />
1. It considers the evolving global environment and megatrends in which the sector must operate.<br />
2. It examines the current state of the Australian energy resources sector, both as a whole and at the<br />
individual industry sector level.<br />
3. It provides an overview of the ‘size of the prize’ to be had for Australia from improved competitiveness,<br />
through a series of sector global competitiveness assessments. The assessments and benchmarking<br />
will provide a base for year-on-year tracking of Australia’s performance.<br />
Knowledge priorities and focus areas:<br />
This review, undertaken through extensive domestic and international literature research, together with<br />
data gathering and stakeholder and industry consultations, has identified a set of knowledge priorities.<br />
These knowledge priorities in turn identify focus areas, areas where the sector needs to focus its short<br />
to medium term collective efforts.<br />
Combined, these form a 10-year road-map for the sector, building on its strong knowledge and<br />
technology capabilities and skills base to ensure the Australian energy resources sector has a strong<br />
and growing future.<br />
Building the strong future envisioned in this SCP requires the collective effort of all<br />
stakeholders in the sector to work together for the common good.<br />
• Major operators of the energy resource sector’s projects, facilities and activities have a significant<br />
part to play to support this future.<br />
• The supply chain, which provides the technology, equipment and services to the operators also plays<br />
a major role in helping identify, develop and deliver innovative and practical solutions.<br />
• Universities and research organisations have a critical role in underpinning the knowledge economy.<br />
They explore and identify new frontiers, new technology developments, new techniques and trials,<br />
create new methodologies and provide independent sources of trusted data.<br />
• Education and skills providers need to train and equip the industry workers of today and identify and<br />
prepare for future Australian energy resources sector work skill demands.<br />
• Governments play a critical role in setting a consistent, clear, fair and objective policy environment<br />
and supporting robust, independent and competent regulators and regulations that provide the<br />
community with confidence that the industry is accountable to high standards, whilst in parallel<br />
giving industry the ability to innovate and adapt within a stable and supportive framework.<br />
16 National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong>
INTRODUCTION TO THIS SCP<br />
In the days of the construction boom and high commodity prices, companies were able to act<br />
independently, without considering collaboration or building in options for third party access/usage in<br />
the future. Now that commodity prices have dropped significantly, and with increasing disruption in<br />
the energy mix, there is an imperative for companies to work together to develop mutually beneficial<br />
situations. This will take a change in the traditional mindset, for operators of existing assets to adopt<br />
more flexible operating regimes, and for regulators to support the new paradigm.<br />
This SCP covers all parts of the energy resources life cycle, from exploration, development and execution,<br />
through the long production phase and into abandonment.<br />
To address the role of all parts of the sector, this SCP outlines:<br />
• Collaboration between Operators/Miners and Supply Chain (technology and services and to<br />
build value chain opportunities).<br />
• Research and Innovation (industry led, including research sector engagement with supply chain,<br />
to drive greater commercialisation).<br />
• Workforce Skills and Education.<br />
• Regulatory Reform.<br />
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY<br />
APPROACH<br />
The SCP has been developed through a multi-step, iterative process. This process included a combination of<br />
desk top studies, industry and stakeholder consultations, meetings and workshops. Figure 1 below shows<br />
the key steps undertaken in developing the SCP.<br />
Figure 1: <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> development<br />
Strategic<br />
Imperative<br />
<strong>NERA</strong>’s<br />
strategic goals<br />
established<br />
Strategic<br />
Engagement<br />
Early<br />
engagement<br />
with industry<br />
Research Hypotheses Prioritise Socialise<br />
Identify<br />
global and<br />
national<br />
themes<br />
<strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong><br />
knowledge priorities, strategies, projects<br />
Develop<br />
hypotheses,<br />
test and<br />
refine through<br />
workshops<br />
Identify<br />
priorities and<br />
initiatives<br />
Further<br />
testing and<br />
refinement<br />
The SCP provides an outline of priorities for the next 10 years which underpin a transformational program<br />
for the sector. While this SCP identifies plans for the Australian energy resources sector set against<br />
the challenges and opportunities in early <strong>2017</strong>, it is an evolving document and will be updated on an<br />
ongoing annual basis to reflect changes in the marketplace.<br />
National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong><br />
17
INTRODUCTION TO THIS SCP<br />
Figure 2 below sets out how <strong>NERA</strong> is facilitating new ways for stakeholders across the energy resources<br />
sector to work together to better adapt, drive innovation, access entrepreneurial investment, reduce costs<br />
and improve efficiency across the value chain.<br />
Figure 2: Ten year transformation process<br />
The transformation path: industry leadership and collaboration to deliver an energy<br />
resources sector in Australia that is innovative and adapting to a disruptive energy market<br />
Formulating<br />
Year 1-2<br />
Creating<br />
Year 3-4<br />
Participating<br />
and changing<br />
Year 5-8<br />
Leading and<br />
transforming<br />
Year 9-10<br />
• Forming <strong>NERA</strong><br />
• Early stakeholder<br />
engagement<br />
• Initial alignment<br />
with vision, mission<br />
and strategies<br />
• Clear value<br />
proposition<br />
• Further stakeholder<br />
engagement<br />
on <strong>Sector</strong><br />
<strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong><br />
• Identify and begin to<br />
connect initiatives,<br />
organisations and<br />
networks<br />
• Identify opportunities<br />
for industry and<br />
broad cross-sector<br />
collaboration<br />
• Early industry<br />
collaboration<br />
focused on<br />
improving efficiency<br />
and performance<br />
• Early participation<br />
in pilot initiatives<br />
and projects<br />
• Growing industry<br />
participation and<br />
engagement<br />
• Early work on a<br />
national work skills<br />
framework<br />
• Beliefs and<br />
behaviours are<br />
being challenged<br />
• Willingness to share,<br />
cooperate and<br />
challenge thinking<br />
• Enhanced data<br />
sharing<br />
• Industry, innovation<br />
networks,<br />
entrepreneurs,<br />
researchers, value<br />
chain and venture<br />
capitalists actively<br />
collaborating<br />
• Common<br />
competency<br />
frameworks<br />
established<br />
• Wide range of<br />
sector stakeholders<br />
collaborating<br />
• New entrants to<br />
value chain with<br />
new capabilities<br />
• Mega datasets/<br />
insights emerge<br />
– intelligently<br />
interrogating<br />
data and applying<br />
lessons learnt<br />
• Workforce skills<br />
supporting disruptive<br />
innovation and<br />
technology uptake<br />
• Innovations allowing<br />
the sector to adapt<br />
more quickly<br />
• Policy and regulation<br />
reforms supporting<br />
timely industry<br />
investment, activities<br />
and growth,<br />
whilst ensuring<br />
high industry<br />
standards e.g.<br />
social, environment<br />
and safety<br />
• Industry is<br />
optimistic and<br />
experiential<br />
• Strong leadership<br />
supports<br />
collaboration -<br />
accepted normal<br />
way of working<br />
• Industry able<br />
to harness<br />
entrepreneurial<br />
innovation and<br />
investment<br />
• SCP addressing<br />
mega trends<br />
and knowledge<br />
priorities resulted<br />
in measurable<br />
improvements<br />
to the sector’s<br />
competitiveness<br />
• Developing new<br />
insights and<br />
capabilities<br />
• Delivering ‘new<br />
to the world’<br />
operating models,<br />
markets, products,<br />
technologies and<br />
services<br />
• Working innovation<br />
system increasing<br />
global demand for<br />
Australian value<br />
chain e.g. in areas<br />
of comparative<br />
advantage<br />
18 National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong>
INTRODUCTION TO THIS SCP<br />
<strong>Sector</strong> Themes<br />
Eight key themes have been identified and adopted by <strong>NERA</strong> and supported by the Australian Government.<br />
These themes represent the key opportunities for achieving sector wide improvements in competitiveness<br />
and sustainability through greater collaboration and knowledge sharing, and provide a framework for <strong>NERA</strong><br />
and the industry to categorise initiatives and projects for further development, review and prioritisation.<br />
These themes are:<br />
Theme 1: Manage cost structures and improve productivity<br />
Improve management of high cost activities and focus on increasing efficiency and asset<br />
productivity to drive value creation through innovation and collaboration. Australia’s energy<br />
resources sector must aspire to be best in class in all phases, from exploration through<br />
operations and maintenance, to closure and abandonment.<br />
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY<br />
Theme 2: Adopt predictive analytics (digital technologies)<br />
Improve industry operational performance through the application of digital technologies<br />
and a collaborative approach to the identification and resolution of operational issues.<br />
Through such an approach, the Australian energy resources sector can achieve global best<br />
practice operational performance, improve productivity and international competitiveness.<br />
Theme 3: Drive deeper engagement with the value chain<br />
Enhance collaboration amongst supply chain organisations and operators to harness<br />
existing capabilities and identify solutions that will improve the competitiveness of the<br />
sector. Through deeper engagement new ideas will be brought forward faster, allowing<br />
the sector to become increasingly innovative.<br />
Theme 4: Develop work skills of the future<br />
Further develop our understanding of the skills implications associated with new technology<br />
and innovation across the energy resources sector. Through collaboration, assist the<br />
education and training sector to respond effectively to these identified skill demands,<br />
building a workforce ready to engage with tomorrow’s technologies and challenges.<br />
Theme 5: Drive industry-led research<br />
Promote ‘industry-led’ research through stronger engagement between industry and<br />
research organisations. Encourage a more streamlined research funding application process<br />
and support universities in placing greater value on applied research, commercialisation<br />
and mid-tier and SME participation engagement pathways. Support the development of a<br />
reliable database of research related information.<br />
Theme 6: Improve industry sustainability (social, environmental, economic)<br />
Improve industry sustainability through identifying and supporting leading practices<br />
in stakeholder engagement, to enhance understanding of the social, environmental,<br />
economic and operational consequences of industry activity, and by identifying and<br />
supporting trusted custodians of scientific knowledge.<br />
Theme 7: Understanding and unlocking Australia’s future resource base<br />
Improve identification, appraisal and cost effective and sustainable development of<br />
marginal resources. Develop cost-effective and sustainable means to commercialise these<br />
resources to deliver significant economic, social and community benefits.<br />
Theme 8: Achieve proportionate, fit for purpose regulation<br />
Promote effective policy and regulation that supports energy resources industry activities<br />
and provides the Australian community with confidence and trust in industry oversight by<br />
promoting: evidence and outcomes based regulatory frameworks; greater harmonisation<br />
of regulatory requirements between states and territories, and between the states/<br />
territories and the Commonwealth; acceptance of trusted international standards;<br />
and reduction of the regulatory burden on the energy resources sector.<br />
National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong><br />
19
INTRODUCTION TO THIS SCP<br />
GLOBAL MEGATRENDS<br />
Globally, the energy resources sector is facing a number of megatrends. Individually, each of these<br />
trends present significant change and challenge to the sector but when combined, they are resulting in<br />
operational and market disruption to which the sector must respond and adapt. Seven current and one<br />
emerging global megatrends are considered in this SCP:<br />
Urbanisation<br />
Technological<br />
evolution<br />
Asian<br />
century<br />
Changing<br />
energy mix<br />
Globalisation<br />
of business<br />
Changing<br />
demographics<br />
Low carbon<br />
future<br />
Search for energy<br />
security (emerging)<br />
The disruption caused by these megatrends requires the energy resources sector to find new ways of<br />
working and to work together to innovate. These trends pose challenges but also opportunities for<br />
the energy resources sector, to maximise the value from existing industry investment, to adapt to the<br />
changing landscape and to build a competitive, resilient and sustainable future for the sector.<br />
An environment of disruption<br />
These multiple trends, when considered together, form one overarching ‘megatrend’ – an increasingly<br />
disrupted energy market. This one megatrend is transformative, defines the present and shapes the future<br />
by its significant impact on societies, economies, industries, and organisations. It provides significant<br />
challenges and substantial opportunities to the sector, and the pace of change is likely to continue.<br />
Industry must be agile, adaptable and innovative and needs to build the organisational skills and<br />
attributes to stay at the forefront of the wave of disruption.<br />
Impact of global megatrends on Australia<br />
As a major supplier of the world’s conventional energy and as a country with its own established energy<br />
networks, the Australian energy resources sector faces a number of major challenges to remain competitive<br />
in the increasingly complex modern energy marketplace. While the global and regional demand for our<br />
resources in the energy market continues to be strong, internal changes in each market are placing<br />
additional complexity on what has, for a long time, been a relatively stable mix of energy demand.<br />
How the Australian energy resources sector responds to this new environment will determine its future<br />
trajectory. The sector must be prepared to undergo both incremental and transformational improvements.<br />
Incremental improvements alone will not be enough to keep pace with change. Transformational change is<br />
required for the sector to keep pace with the shifting energy paradigm and compete with global challenges.<br />
Finding ways to exploit the opportunities presented by the disruptions will be vital to the future of the<br />
Australian energy resources sector, allowing it to continue to play a significant role in the global energy mix.<br />
20 National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong>
INTRODUCTION TO THIS SCP<br />
Incremental improvement<br />
• Leaner operations, as exemplified by the many operators already focusing on increasing asset utilisation;<br />
• Better management of high cost activities, particularly in new projects and other major capital investments;<br />
• Increasing movement by operators toward sharing infrastructure both at their facilities and in<br />
locations such as maintenance and supply bases;<br />
• Collaborative planning of labour and resource intensive planned maintenance and upgrade activities<br />
to avoid competition over labour and shop time;<br />
• Staff reviews at facilities and in various national head offices; and<br />
• An increasing drive to improve productivity from new and existing assets.<br />
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY<br />
Transformational improvement<br />
• Develop operating models focusing on new and innovative approaches to execution and better<br />
leveraging of existing capacity. Build on Australia’s highly regarded existing capabilities in areas such<br />
as remote operations and data analytics for process optimisation and decision making, to support<br />
operational and value chain optimisation;<br />
• Expand our strengths in the development of alternative energy sources and act as a baseline clean<br />
energy source for Asia;<br />
• Assist developing nations, particularly those transitioning from fossil fuels, to meet their emissions<br />
reduction commitments by providing energy diversification;<br />
• Increase ‘energy literacy’ of communities, governments, regulators, companies and other stakeholders; and<br />
• Export clean technologies to developing countries. This could include low carbon emission technologies,<br />
hybrid power generation, battery storage and carbon capture and storage (especially geosequestration<br />
where Australia’s geology provides a strong competitive advantage). Leading the development and<br />
adoption of these clean technologies is likely to help the sector strengthen its social licence, drive<br />
up the demand of our existing energy resource portfolio, as well as opening up new markets (i.e.<br />
gasification utilising coal deposits with low ash fusion temperatures).<br />
An imperative to change<br />
Standing still is not an option. The modern energy resources environment requires all sector participants<br />
to continually explore ways to change regulatory, business and operational models simply to remain<br />
competitive. As set out in this SCP, the Australian energy resources sector must find ways to:<br />
• Collaborate more - between peer organisations, vertically within value chains, across the traditional<br />
boundaries between industries and with research organisations, where directed and undirected<br />
findings can help lift the productivity of the industry;<br />
• Address the regulatory burden restraining many areas of the energy resources sector from thriving<br />
and growing in the future, in ways that maintain and enhance community support for the industry;<br />
• Identify and explore new markets for the products of the energy resources sector, opportunities that<br />
fill needs in the marketplace or displace expensive import alternatives: one example is expanding the<br />
use of LNG as a domestic source of energy.<br />
National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong><br />
21
INTRODUCTION TO THIS SCP<br />
CHALLENGES, OPPORTUNITIES AND CONSTRAINTS<br />
Growing energy demand in Asia, increased societal environmental awareness, and an evolving global energy<br />
mix create immense opportunity and substantial challenges for the Australian energy resources sector.<br />
Major shifts are expected in the ways in which power is generated, distributed, controlled and consumed<br />
as the world moves to incorporate more renewable energy in the broader mix. This shift will force<br />
sector-wide adaptation, as new infrastructure needs to be built and integrated, and new operational<br />
frameworks are created. Despite these challenges, there are significant opportunities for Australian<br />
energy resources participants, particularly in meeting growing Asian demand.<br />
<strong>Sector</strong> wide<br />
A number of challenges and constraints are sector wide and, while impacting each sector differently,<br />
there are some common causes and solutions.<br />
Challenges<br />
• Volatile commodity prices due to major structural changes in global supply and an ongoing<br />
oversupply in the global market.<br />
• High capital (CAPEX) and operational (OPEX) costs making Australia uncompetitive as an investment<br />
destination.<br />
• Concerns associated with the ongoing management of water, ensuring it is equitably available for all<br />
land users including agriculture, human settlement and industry.<br />
• Understanding how best to manage carbon emissions from both the primary production of energy<br />
resources and their consumption.<br />
Constraints<br />
• Perception that Australia has growing sovereign risk for capital investment due to increased restrictive<br />
regulatory burden, frequent changes in policy and growing restrictions on development in various<br />
states. These restrictions are inhibiting both domestic exploration and the sector’s ability to develop<br />
discoveries necessary to underpin the long-term viability of the Australian energy resources sector.<br />
• Australia’s relatively poor adoption of innovation, making it dependant on imported ideas and<br />
technology rather than building home grown solutions. Australia was ranked twenty-sixth for<br />
innovation by the World Economic Forum in 2016 2 .<br />
In addition to these sector wide challenges, there are also a number of more discrete challenges and<br />
opportunities that will be faced by the industries making up the sector over the coming decade.<br />
22 National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong>
INTRODUCTION TO THIS SCP<br />
Oil and gas<br />
The Australian Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG) industry’s capacity has increased more than four-fold over the<br />
past five years to supply the anticipated increase in demand. This rapid growth has created a number of<br />
challenges and opportunities for the developing industry.<br />
Challenges<br />
• Relatively high operating cost environment due to high labour costs, remoteness of operations, and<br />
distance from global supply chains result in many aspects of the Australian oil and gas industry being<br />
substantially more expensive than other jurisdictions. For example, costs to explore and develop a<br />
shale gas well in Australia are believed to be around 250 to 300 per cent higher than to develop a<br />
similar well in the United States.<br />
• Limited availability of process technicians and operators with the high-level skills required to run<br />
increased numbers of integrated teams and operations. Technological change will drive multiskilling<br />
into the future, requiring significant changes to current training regimes as well as articulation of skills<br />
development pathways to ensure a sufficient number of suitably skilled personnel for future needs.<br />
• A potential shortage of specialist skilled and experienced labour for maintenance and turnarounds<br />
for Australia’s 21 LNG trains. This could be further impacted by parallel activities in the broader<br />
energy resources sectors especially in the case of a recovery in commodity prices which will increase<br />
competition for such skills.<br />
• Challenges to the industry’s social licence to operate, including negative community perceptions of<br />
the social and environmental impacts of unconventional developments, concerns over the potential<br />
development of new offshore basins and increasing community expectations around the transition to<br />
renewable energy sources. This will require the sector to operate through high levels of community<br />
engagement, corporate transparency and exemplary social citizenship.<br />
• A reputation as a high cost/low productivity marketplace, given the many project budget and<br />
schedule overruns experienced during the recent expansion phase of the industry, is contributing<br />
to operators deferring future major capital investment in Australia in favour of other jurisdictions.<br />
To help restore Australia’s reputation, the industry needs to demonstrate that it can operate and<br />
maintain the new and existing facilities to world’s best standards at competitive cost.<br />
• Uncertainty over capital and regulatory costs of abandonment, as many operators begin to plan<br />
for the end of life of their facilities; and given that, to date such abandonment activities have been<br />
relatively few, the need to establish and test an appropriate regulatory framework.<br />
• The emergence of the United States as a new and materially low cost LNG supplier into both the<br />
Atlantic and Pacific basins. The United States is now seen as a low risk jurisdiction for project delivery<br />
and sovereign risk - a position which Australia held for many years.<br />
• The expansion of gas exports into China from Russian and Baltic nations.<br />
• The unknown but potential rise of a domestic Chinese unconventional source of gas supply.<br />
• Difficulty of local service providers to integrate into the international supply chain.<br />
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY<br />
National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong><br />
23
INTRODUCTION TO THIS SCP<br />
While the output capacity of the Australian oil and gas industry has grown over the past decade through<br />
the construction of additional LNG trains, the long term viability of the sector has been jeopardised by the<br />
precipitous decline in exploration. This is illustrated by the almost tenfold decline in the number of new<br />
offshore wells being drilled 3 as shown in Figure 3. There are still a number of known offshore reservoirs yet<br />
to be developed, but without an active exploration regime the long-term future of the sector remains at risk.<br />
Figure 3: Offshore petroleum exploration wells<br />
100<br />
90<br />
80<br />
70<br />
60<br />
50<br />
40<br />
30<br />
20<br />
10<br />
0<br />
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016<br />
Source: APPEA<br />
Opportunities<br />
• Increasing collaboration amongst operators to maximise asset productivity.<br />
• Improving collaboration between operators and technology and engineering service providers to<br />
increase innovation and productivity.<br />
• Leveraging the critical mass emerging in Australian operations to develop an export-oriented and<br />
competitive service and technology sector.<br />
• Addressing cost, regulatory and social licence concerns to ensure Australia continues to be perceived<br />
as a politically stable and economically reliable destination for future capital investment.<br />
• Developing shale and tight gas basins to support domestic demand, and potentially for export.<br />
• Emerging new markets, such as India, and from the expanded use of gas (LNG and compressed<br />
natural gas) as a source of transport fuel.<br />
24 National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong>
INTRODUCTION TO THIS SCP<br />
Coal<br />
Increased pressure to reduce carbon dioxide (CO 2<br />
) emissions and a switch towards renewable energy<br />
sources means that domestic demand for thermal coal is forecast to decline over the next 10 years.<br />
However, reduced domestic demand will be offset by increased export demand from Asia and an<br />
anticipated overall growing demand globally 4 . Demand for metallurgical coal is expected to increase in<br />
the medium term with reinvigorated demand from China and other developing nations.<br />
Challenges<br />
• Sub-optimal asset productivity and costs in a volatile price environment.<br />
• High cost and inefficient infrastructure contracts impacting some producers.<br />
• Overlap of coal mining tenements with agricultural land in New South Wales and Queensland,<br />
leading to conflicting pressures on land and water use.<br />
• Effective management of both surface and ground water consistent with environmental requirements.<br />
• Increasing social concern with climate change and the environmental impact of resource extraction,<br />
which will limit the industry’s social licence to operate.<br />
• Increasing Government regulation and ‘green tape’.<br />
• Development of coherent and cost effective mine closure and rehabilitation plans.<br />
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY<br />
Opportunities<br />
• Technological advances and implementation of operator assist and decision support technologies<br />
used in other bulk commodities to unlock productivity improvements.<br />
• Ongoing utilisation of high efficiency low emission (HELE) technologies, control of fugitive emissions<br />
and carbon capture and storage (CCS) to minimise carbon footprint.<br />
• Improved mine design and operations to facilitate reduced consumption and compliance with<br />
regulatory scrutiny of water use.<br />
• Improving utilisation of the service industry to leverage existing capacity of workshops, skilled<br />
personnel and equipment.<br />
• Product mix evolution with the development of new superior products.<br />
• Strategic targeting of increasing Asian demand for higher quality coal with a higher specific energy<br />
and lower ash content.<br />
National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong><br />
25
INTRODUCTION TO THIS SCP<br />
Uranium<br />
The uranium industry will need to overcome regulatory hurdles, perceived radiation safety concerns and<br />
social licence to operate issues to participate more fully in the energy future of Australia and the world.<br />
Challenges<br />
• Lack of informed public knowledge and understanding of the science associated with energy<br />
generation and the associated levels of risk with each technology.<br />
• Limits on the ports from where uranium can be exported, with only Darwin and Adelaide currently<br />
licensed for the export of uranium, and limits on the ability to access ports elsewhere in Australia<br />
whilst carrying cargoes of uranium. This restricts the options available to the domestic uranium<br />
industry to transport its products to international customers.<br />
• Legislative and policy restrictions at the Federal and State(s) level on mining e.g. in New South Wales,<br />
Queensland and Victoria, and on the development of nuclear power and other parts of the uranium<br />
value chain (e.g. waste management and disposal), which limits the growth of the industry.<br />
• Building a comprehensive understanding of the challenges associated with processing challenging<br />
ore bodies in which much of the known Australian uranium is found.<br />
• Equipment and skills shortages which limit the capacity of Australian mines to respond quickly to an<br />
increase in demand.<br />
• Strategic development of uranium production capacity by Kazakhstan 5 through counter-cycle<br />
investment has positioned them ahead of Australia to respond to any increase in uranium demand<br />
(although Australian uranium is still regarded by many customers as their preferred product).<br />
Opportunities<br />
Given the drive to reduce carbon emissions globally, Australia’s uranium has the potential to assume a<br />
much more significant position as a source of export revenue. To realise this potential, Australia needs to<br />
take advantage of the following opportunities:<br />
• As part of a broader energy literacy initiative, the sector needs to help enhance the overall level of<br />
public understanding of how energy resources are produced, how power is generated and the role<br />
energy resources play in the nation’s economy. The sector also needs to continue to test current<br />
attitudes towards uranium mining and other aspects of the nuclear value chain.<br />
• Reconsideration of restrictive legislation, replacement with efficient, fit for purpose regulation.<br />
• Testing of technological improvements such as heap leaching and in-situ leaching to improve<br />
production capacity with low operating expenditure.<br />
• Improving the attractiveness of the uranium mining sector to draw labour back from other mining<br />
sectors, both in terms of radiation safety and salaries.<br />
26 National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong>
INTRODUCTION TO THIS SCP<br />
CROSS SECTOR CHALLENGES AND IMPACTS<br />
Many opportunities and challenges span two or more sectors or sit outside discrete sectors, and are likely<br />
to have a profound influence and impact on the energy resources sector in the coming years.<br />
These will include factors such as the rapid emergence of renewable energy technologies which, when<br />
added to the global and domestic mix, may drive markets in unanticipated directions. An example of this is<br />
seen in the deployment of domestic solar power technologies to meet household electricity needs, which are<br />
causing substantial disruption to the generation and distribution networks together with increased pricing<br />
instability. The impact of the increasing uptake in solar panels, combined with emerging domestic battery<br />
storage and smart grid technology, will cause even greater disruptions in the coming years.<br />
A further challenge facing not only the energy resources sector, but the broader Australian workforce<br />
is the ageing working population and declining numbers of students pursuing science, technology,<br />
mathematics and engineering (STEM) subjects in schools and universities. This will limit the available pool<br />
of appropriately skilled workers to pursue the next waves of innovation and to maintain the increasingly<br />
technologically challenging facilities operated by the sector 6 , all of which are highly influential on the<br />
future prosperity of the nation.<br />
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY<br />
SECTOR KNOWLEDGE PRIORITIES<br />
While many of the actions required by the sector to address the challenges and opportunities ahead are<br />
relatively well known and understood, there are other issues which are not as well defined or where<br />
there are known gaps in knowledge – these are referred to as knowledge priorities. Many of these<br />
knowledge priorities were identified in the initial consultation period during the preparation of this SCP,<br />
and have been aligned with <strong>NERA</strong>’s key themes. The nine knowledge priorities, listed in Table 1, identify<br />
the key areas where additional work is required to understand the challenges and choices the sector<br />
faces in the current environment.<br />
These knowledge priorities will change over time as the sector and new challenges arise. However,<br />
by systematically addressing these knowledge priorities now, the industry will maintain its globally<br />
competitive edge and thrive in the future.<br />
The nine knowledge priorities have been grouped into three broad categories:<br />
1. Capability and leadership;<br />
2. Business and operating models, technology and services; and<br />
3. Regulatory environment governing the industry.<br />
Many of the knowledge priorities encompass multiple challenges and opportunities.<br />
National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong><br />
27
INTRODUCTION TO THIS SCP<br />
Table 1: <strong>Sector</strong> knowledge priorities<br />
Knowledge priority<br />
1 Work skills for<br />
the future<br />
Focus areas<br />
• Integrated operations of the future<br />
• Workforce capability<br />
• Project management skills<br />
Capability and leadership<br />
Business and operating models, technology and services<br />
Regulatory<br />
environment<br />
2 Enabling effective<br />
collaboration<br />
3 Understanding<br />
Australia’s<br />
resource base<br />
4 Social licence<br />
to operate<br />
5 Unlocking future<br />
resources<br />
6 New markets,<br />
new technologies,<br />
new business models<br />
7 Commercialisation<br />
of Research and<br />
Development (R&D)<br />
8 Efficient operations<br />
and maintenance<br />
9 Regulatory<br />
framework<br />
optimisation<br />
• Cross company collaboration<br />
• Intergenerational and interdisciplinary engagement<br />
• Industry and applied research collaboration<br />
• Developing a greater understanding of prospective<br />
basin geology across the minerals and energy sectors<br />
• Social benefits<br />
• Infrastructure closure and rehabilitation<br />
• Water management<br />
• Tailings management<br />
• Integrated geological information<br />
• Cross industry collaboration<br />
• Maximising ageing assets<br />
• Environmental science collaboration<br />
• Asian trade agreements<br />
• Develop international technology partnerships<br />
• Commercialisation of operational technological<br />
developments<br />
• Carbon capture and storage (CCS)<br />
• Low emissions technologies<br />
• LNG as a fuel<br />
• Hybrid technologies<br />
• Adapting to the changing energy mix<br />
• Living labs<br />
• Understanding and developing commercialisation<br />
pathways<br />
• Operating models for remote operations<br />
• Data, digitisation and predictive analytics<br />
• Robotics, sensors and automation<br />
• Develop a greater understanding of decommissioning<br />
techniques<br />
• Encouraging sensible regulatory frameworks to allow<br />
ongoing exploration<br />
• Harmonisation of standards<br />
• Review of self-imposed regulations<br />
• Industrial relations and workplace reform*<br />
• Resource management reform and review of the<br />
existing permitting systems<br />
* Note: Industrial relations and industrial reform are not part of <strong>NERA</strong>’s scope<br />
28 National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong>
INTRODUCTION TO THIS SCP<br />
LIKELY EVOLUTION OF THE SECTOR<br />
For the foreseeable future, the energy resources sector will continue to make a significant contribution to the<br />
economic stability of Australia. However, as the world’s energy balance continues to evolve, the sector must<br />
adapt to remain competitive. While the full impact of the macro changes in the sector are hard to foresee,<br />
many aspects of the sector’s evolution during the coming decade can be more easily predicted.<br />
Asian demand<br />
A sustained increase in Asian demand across all energy resources is expected, as India and the Association<br />
of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) take up the slack from plateauing Chinese demand. Indeed, the<br />
global demand for energy is anticipated to increase by 34 per cent between 2014 and 2035 7 . Australia<br />
is ideally located to service much of this growth, and can reasonably expect continued development in<br />
export volumes and revenue growth.<br />
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY<br />
High capacity export industry<br />
In the near future Australia is forecast to overtake Qatar as the world’s largest producer of LNG, though<br />
Australia could be challenged by capacity increases in the United States depending on how the United<br />
States gas market develops. Similarly, Australia already enjoys a very strong position as one of the world’s<br />
top exporters of coal and uranium. Having invested substantially in the infrastructure to achieve these<br />
rankings, the sector needs to continue to invest in their operations to ensure a strong future.<br />
International nuclear revival<br />
The extent and magnitude of the nuclear revival, and its impact on current uranium over-supply, could<br />
make a significant difference to Australian energy exports. In addition, an increased acceptance of<br />
uranium locally may result in other aspects of the downstream nuclear value chain being considered.<br />
Renewable energy sources<br />
With the increasing penetration of both wind generation and rooftop solar, electricity distribution networks<br />
are experiencing major disruptions. The impact of this change will be further deepened by the growing<br />
deployment of domestic battery storage. These technologies are exerting new pressures on the traditional<br />
coal and gas fired assets of electricity generators and distribution networks as the flow of electricity changes<br />
from purely outbound from the power stations, to a more dynamic and complex pattern.<br />
Demand for coal<br />
Domestically, increased commitments to reduce CO 2<br />
emissions, coupled with a move towards renewable<br />
energy sources, means that domestic demand for thermal coal may decline over the next 10 years.<br />
However, developments in clean technologies such as carbon capture and storage and increased export<br />
demand from Asia as high-quality Australian coal displaces domestic Asian production, is likely to offset<br />
this decline. Demand for metallurgical coal is expected to increase in the medium term with reinvigorated<br />
demand from China and other parts of Asia. Meeting this ongoing demand will require the timely<br />
approval of new developments to ensure adequate capacity.<br />
Exploration challenges<br />
The growth of the Australian energy resources sector is dependent on its ability to identify, appraise and<br />
produce from new fields and deposits cost effectively. However, the viability of exploration activities on these<br />
future and frontier assets are being placed under serious question. Exploration companies are subject to an<br />
increasingly onerous and unpredictable regulatory burden. For example, the future viability of the Australian<br />
oil and gas sector is being placed at risk by the current lack of exploration, especially because, in the current<br />
low-price environment, companies are producing from their reserves faster in order to maintain revenue but<br />
are not adding new reserves to their portfolio through exploration to ensure future production capacity.<br />
In parallel, activist shareholders are applying growing and conflicting pressures by simultaneously demanding<br />
greater immediate returns on their investments in a traditionally long-term industry and also divesting<br />
investments in industries such as fossil fuels, which are out of favour with sections of the broader society.<br />
National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong><br />
29
INTRODUCTION TO THIS SCP<br />
Optimisation focus on facilities<br />
Significant capital investment in new major energy resource projects appears unlikely in the short to<br />
medium term, in view of the major expansion phase across the sector, most visible in the growth of the<br />
LNG industry, coupled with the decline in commodity prices for the sector over the last two to three<br />
years. The focus is expected to be on optimisation of new and existing facilities through productivity and<br />
efficiency improvements while maintaining capacity through smaller projects.<br />
HELE and CCS Development<br />
To enable industry growth to continue within required COP21 (also known as the 2015 Paris Climate<br />
Conference) emission levels, the energy resources sector will need to develop high efficiency, low<br />
emissions (HELE) technologies for coal fired power generation and CCS for both coal and gas.<br />
Incentives for research and development<br />
The focus on operational and social licence to operate research and development has been a strong<br />
industry-wide activity in the coal sector through the work of the Australian Coal Industry’s Research<br />
Program (ACARP) 8 , where a small voluntary but sector wide levy is placed on production.<br />
The fund generated from this levy, which qualifies under research and development tax incentive legislation,<br />
is managed by an industry body to support an ongoing list of around 200 individual and focussed<br />
research initiatives across the industry, including funding a number of PhD scholarships 9 . Such an<br />
independent, industry focussed scheme could be considered for the Australian oil and gas sector to build<br />
a broad, industry wide and transparent research community to examine issues of interest to the sector,<br />
complementing the joint industry project (JIP) model more traditionally employed by the sector.<br />
SUMMARY<br />
The Australian energy resources sector faces major challenges to remain<br />
competitive in the increasingly complex modern global energy market.<br />
Maintaining Australia’s current position as a world leading energy resources producer will require<br />
transformative effort by all those directly and indirectly involved across the oil and gas, coal and uranium<br />
industries.<br />
While global and regional demand for our energy resources continues to be strong, internal disruptions<br />
in each market are placing complexity on what has, for a long time, been a relatively stable mix of energy<br />
demand. The Australian energy resources sector needs to adapt to these market disruptions and it must<br />
be prepared to undergo both incremental and transformational changes.<br />
Incremental improvement<br />
Incremental improvements include leaner operations, better management of high cost activities, particularly<br />
in the areas of new projects and other major capital investments, sharing infrastructure both at facilities and<br />
in locations such as maintenance and supply bases, collaborative planning of maintenance and upgrade<br />
activities to avoid competition over labour and shop time, reviews of staffing levels both at the facilities and<br />
in the various national head offices, and an increasing drive to improve productivity from new and existing<br />
assets. However, these incremental improvements alone will not be enough to keep pace with change.<br />
Transformational improvement<br />
Transformational change is required for the sector to keep pace with the shifting energy paradigm<br />
and meet global challenges. The sector needs to develop new operating models, focusing on new and<br />
innovative approaches to execution and better leveraging of existing capacity. Given the expected<br />
high level of automation in future operations, we need to build on Australia’s highly regarded existing<br />
capabilities in areas such as remote operations and data analytics for process optimisation and decision<br />
making, to support operational and value chain optimisation.<br />
30 National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong>
INTRODUCTION TO THIS SCP<br />
Finding ways to exploit the opportunities presented by the disruptions will be vital to<br />
the future of the Australian energy resources sector, allowing it to continue to play a<br />
significant role in the global energy mix.<br />
Opportunities exist for Australia to continue to act as a baseline energy source to meet the sustained and<br />
increasing demand from Asia. But Australia needs to build strengths in the development of alternative<br />
and renewable energy sources. Australia is well placed to assist developing nations, particularly those<br />
transitioning from fossil fuels, to meet their emissions reduction commitments by providing energy<br />
diversification and reliable electrical grids and systems.<br />
Standing still is not an option. In the modern energy resources environment, continually exploring ways to<br />
change regulatory, business and operational models is required of all participants to simply remain competitive.<br />
As set out in this SCP, the Australian energy resources sector must find ways to:<br />
• Collaborate better in all ways, between peer organisations, vertically within value chains, across<br />
the traditional boundaries between industries and with research organisations where directed and<br />
undirected findings can help lift the productivity of the industry;<br />
• Explore ways to address the regulatory burden that is restraining many areas of the energy resources<br />
sector from growing into the future, but in ways that maintain and enhance community support for<br />
the industry; and<br />
• Identify and explore new markets, create opportunities to fill needs in the marketplace or displace<br />
expensive import alternatives, such as expanding the use of LNG as a domestic source of energy.<br />
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY<br />
<strong>NERA</strong> is committed to working openly with stakeholders to identify and pursue strategic<br />
initiatives and projects that will assist the Australian energy resources sector to adapt to<br />
current and future challenges and disruption.<br />
<strong>NERA</strong> will achieve this through directing research and technology development to meet the needs of<br />
operators and end-users in ways which are tied to commercial pathways. It will facilitate industry-led<br />
projects and ensure they address <strong>NERA</strong>’s strategic themes, knowledge priorities and strategic initiatives<br />
set out in this SCP and are endorsed/supported by the energy resources sector and stakeholders.<br />
<strong>NERA</strong> is not acting alone in this endeavour, but is building on the work of many previous sector wide<br />
and specific economic and industry reports and research initiatives. Many of these previous reports<br />
have substantially similar findings, whether they investigated a single industry or jurisdiction, a specific<br />
technology or considered the broader energy resources sector in its entirety.<br />
Achieving an Australian energy resources sector that remains globally competitive over<br />
the next 10 years and beyond will require significant innovation, growth and behavioural<br />
change. To be considered competitive, Australia needs to be:<br />
• A top-ranked location for energy resources investment – somewhere international and domestic<br />
operators seek to invest because it is cost competitive and has a strong reputation with a stable<br />
and supportive policy and regulatory environment, and is recognised as a centre of excellence for<br />
knowledge and skills;<br />
• A centre for innovation in energy resource operations and supporting services – where new technologies<br />
and approaches to problems are actively sought, tested, refined and deployed, and where those<br />
innovations, technologies and approaches are seen as world leading and in demand; and<br />
• Positioned to capitalise on the shifting global energy mix – a sector that works cooperatively with the<br />
disruptive technologies and seeks to find the right balance for a sustainable sector, economy, society<br />
and environment.<br />
Key to this future success will be increased collaboration amongst operators, contractors, service<br />
providers, the government and research organisations; a willingness to explore challenging and, at times,<br />
uncomfortable new issues and opportunities; and a willingness to take considered risks on novel<br />
disruptive solutions to tomorrow’s pressing questions.<br />
National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong><br />
31
Roadmap<br />
to the Future<br />
The Australian energy resources sector is at a historic inflection point. Each<br />
of the three industries which comprise the sector face major changes that,<br />
dependent upon their response, will determine the sector’s long term strength.<br />
All three industries have to respond to the lower emissions environment<br />
and a societal move to renewable energy sources and clean technologies.<br />
The oil and gas industry is nearing the end of an unprecedented investment<br />
in and development of new facilities, often delivered late and above their<br />
forecast budget, and into a market that is increasingly competitive, and<br />
with tighter margins than seen for the past decade. The coal industry is<br />
similarly experiencing a tightening market as the growth experienced<br />
by China and other regional emerging nations settles into more stable<br />
consumption levels, and faces increased pressure from environmental and<br />
activist groups. The uranium industry faces ongoing regulatory restrictions<br />
over its activities, despite world demand for the high quality and end-toend<br />
accountability of Australia’s product.<br />
32 National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong>
ROADMAP TO THE FUTURE<br />
These pressures mean that the sector as a whole must find new ways of working to build a successful and<br />
sustainable future. Different approaches are required from the sector’s leaders - leadership that places<br />
strong emphasis on increasingly open collaboration with peers, suppliers, clients, the research community<br />
and the broad community, and a willingness to take considered risks in developing and deploying novel and<br />
cutting edge technology and solutions in the pursuit of a sustainable future for the sector. These changes<br />
will require significant cultural shifts within and between stakeholders. To survive and thrive in the<br />
coming decade will require new ways of operating and different ways of thinking to those of the past.<br />
The three levers to a strong future<br />
To remain competitive and build future markets and customers requires the sector to address three<br />
primary levers- a suitable business model, a contemporary and future focussed operating model<br />
incorporating technological capabilities, and building the right capability, skills and culture to succeed.<br />
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY<br />
1<br />
Business<br />
models<br />
2<br />
Operational<br />
models and<br />
technology<br />
capabilities<br />
3<br />
Capacity<br />
and culture<br />
The energy resources sector needs to find new markets to supplement<br />
current markets, secure new customers and provide alternate forms of services<br />
that more deeply engage with the value chain. This can include the provision<br />
of turnkey energy solutions and clean technologies to support the use of<br />
the energy resources. This could also include the provision of knowledge<br />
and skills in specialist areas such as LNG operations, remote operations and<br />
modular construction.<br />
Equally, the sector needs to build stronger, more collaborative partnerships,<br />
within the sector, between the sector and technology and research<br />
organisations and with other industry sectors where the synergies and common<br />
challenges may lead to novel and powerful solutions.<br />
The last two to three years have seen significant cost cutting across businesses<br />
but, there are still significant efficiencies to be captured by reconsidering<br />
existing operating models and exploring novel ways to reduce process<br />
complexity and waste, find ways to collaborate more broadly, share logistics<br />
demands through consolidation and support the establishment of regional<br />
innovation and industry clusters and common supply bases.<br />
In parallel, there is an opportunity to reduce unnecessary and expensive<br />
bespoke standards and conditions around contracts, inductions, training<br />
and qualifications and seek ways to use common, industry wide substitutes.<br />
Companies need to be open to sharing environmental and other research<br />
which is non-competitive and of benefit to the whole sector. Businesses in the<br />
sector could increase their efforts to optimise their operations through ongoing<br />
development and deployment of automation, the adoption of advanced<br />
manufacturing such as 3D printing, the use of alternate materials and the<br />
adoption of lean systems.<br />
For the sector to truly embrace the future operating environment, it must invest<br />
in the capacity, skills and culture of its workforce, to define and develop the<br />
‘operator of the future’, spread digital competencies more broadly throughout<br />
the businesses so that members of each organisation have the skills to leverage<br />
the volume of data available. They must invest in the development of enhanced<br />
commercial skills so that personnel understand the impacts of decisions earlier,<br />
and embrace innovation in an environment where the risks of deploying new<br />
technologies can be calculated and considered in a professional and future<br />
focussed way, with new technologies being brought into organisations earlier<br />
through measured demonstrations, possibly via the use of living laboratories.<br />
National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong><br />
33
ROADMAP TO THE FUTURE<br />
Regulations<br />
These three levers cannot truly deliver their potential benefits unless the regulatory environment is reviewed<br />
and appropriate adjustments made to allow the energy resources sector to thrive into the future. Regulatory<br />
reform must address the growing perception that Australian regulation poses a sovereign risk which<br />
inhibits both domestic and inward investment. Reform must consider for example, how regulations can<br />
be enablers to an innovative economy and focussed on delivering differentiated and high value outcomes,<br />
and how the sector can efficiently identify and explore future energy resources. Businesses themselves<br />
must also review their own internal requirements, and remove or streamline self-imposed and bespoke<br />
standards that simply add cost to the business without delivering an appropriate level of additional benefit.<br />
Pathway to a Sustainable, Resilient,<br />
Energy Resources <strong>Sector</strong><br />
The complex interplay of the factors that contribute to building a sustainable energy resources future<br />
is diagrammatically represented in Figure 4 below. This diagram illustrates how each of the knowledge<br />
priorities and constraints identified and discussed in this SCP integrate and how, as a sector, it is critical<br />
that the issues are addressed in a coordinated, systemic and structured way. By addressing them through,<br />
working together concurrently on multiple fronts in a planned and measurable way, the sector will be<br />
able to build a sustainable future.<br />
Figure 4: Pathway to a sustainable energy resource sector<br />
34 National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong>
ROADMAP TO THE FUTURE<br />
Knowledge Priorities Action <strong>Plan</strong><br />
Set out in Table 2 are focus areas and initiatives to address the sector wide knowledge priorities.<br />
Table 3 then broadly allocates responsibilities for each of the knowledge priorities to stakeholders<br />
within the overall energy resources sector, identifies which challenges each knowledge priority will<br />
help overcome, and proposes a timeframe during which action should be taken for the sector to move<br />
forwards in a structured and planned manner.<br />
Although specific stakeholders in the sector, such as the explorers and permit holders, major operators<br />
of facilities, service, technology and equipment suppliers, research organisations, skills development and<br />
education sector are identified against each activity, it remains the collective responsibility of the sector<br />
to address these challenges. The role of <strong>NERA</strong> is to act as the catalyst for many of the activities and to<br />
initiate and guide many through the provision of logistics support, networking, promotion of initiatives<br />
to a broader audience and co-funding where appropriate.<br />
The focus areas and initiatives identified in Table 2 set out the priorities for action in the short to medium<br />
term. The integrated pathway shown in Figure 4 and the knowledge priorities set out in Table 2 provide<br />
the overall strategic direction, and guide development and implementation of future initiatives.<br />
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY<br />
National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong><br />
35
ROADMAP TO THE FUTURE<br />
Table 2: <strong>Sector</strong> knowledge priorities and associated initiatives<br />
Knowledge priority<br />
1 Work skills<br />
for the future<br />
Focus areas<br />
• Integrated operations of the future<br />
• Workforce capability<br />
• Project management skills<br />
Capability and leadership<br />
2 Enabling effective<br />
collaboration<br />
3 Understanding<br />
Australia’s<br />
resource base<br />
• Cross company collaboration<br />
• Intergenerational and interdisciplinary engagement<br />
• Industry and applied research collaboration<br />
• Developing a greater understanding of prospective basin<br />
geology across the minerals and energy sectors<br />
4 Social licence<br />
to operate<br />
• Social benefits<br />
• Infrastructure closure and rehabilitation<br />
• Water management<br />
• Tailings management<br />
Business and operating models, technology and services<br />
5 Unlocking future<br />
resources<br />
6 New markets,<br />
New technologies,<br />
New business models<br />
7 Commercialisation<br />
of R&D<br />
8 Efficient operations<br />
and maintenance<br />
• Integrated geological information<br />
• Cross industry collaboration<br />
• Maximising ageing assets<br />
• Environmental science collaboration<br />
• Asian trade agreements<br />
• Develop international technology partnerships<br />
• Commercialisation of operational technological developments<br />
• Carbon capture and storage (CCS)<br />
• Low emissions technologies<br />
• LNG as a fuel<br />
• Hybrid technologies<br />
• Adapting to the changing energy mix<br />
• Living labs<br />
• Understanding and developing commercialisation pathways<br />
• Operating models for remote operations<br />
• Data, digitisation and predictive analytics<br />
• Robotics, sensors and automation<br />
• Develop a greater understanding of decommissioning techniques<br />
Regulatory<br />
environment<br />
9 Regulatory framework<br />
optimisation<br />
• Encouraging sensible regulatory frameworks to allow ongoing exploration<br />
• Harmonisation of standards<br />
• Review of self-imposed regulations<br />
• Industrial relations and workplace reform*<br />
• Resource management reform and review of the existing permitting systems<br />
* Note: Industrial relations and industrial reform are not part of <strong>NERA</strong>’s scope<br />
36 National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong>
ROADMAP TO THE FUTURE<br />
KPI’s<br />
Improve management and work skills<br />
• Map workforce skills and capacity in each sector cluster against project planning cycles.<br />
Improve efficiencies in workforce planning<br />
• Standardise training requirements to improve efficiencies in workforce utilisation.<br />
Increase cross company collaboration<br />
• Develop at least [6] clusters in high technology areas.<br />
Build knowledge and enhance access to information<br />
• Improve energy resources sector access to robust sources of geophysical data and<br />
promote trusted custodians of information.<br />
Initiatives<br />
• Identify future skills requirements<br />
• Identify and develop appropriate and accredited<br />
training to meet future skills needs<br />
• Ensure a future focussed training and education sector<br />
• Explore new opportunities to export knowledge<br />
• Establish regional industry and innovation clusters<br />
• Asset and equipment sharing<br />
• Infrastructure sharing<br />
• Shut-down scheduling<br />
• Industry specific collaboration<br />
• Cross industry collaboration<br />
• Common facility inductions<br />
• Shared operational practices<br />
• Weather research and modelling<br />
• Industry data initiative<br />
• Share non-competitive data across sectors<br />
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY<br />
Strengthen engagement with communities<br />
• Develop a communications strategy which engages with stakeholders outside<br />
the energy resources sector to articulate the social, economic and environmental<br />
benefits and challenges of the sector.<br />
• Identify and apply solutions for water stewardship and tailings management<br />
including by applying new technologies.<br />
Unlock resources<br />
• Add to the number of projects in the publicly announced and feasibility stages.<br />
Improve commercialisation and acceptance of new technology<br />
• Unlock value and accelerate commercialisation by identifying at least [25] new<br />
technology projects.<br />
• Community engagement and education<br />
• Research social, economic and environmental<br />
consequences of the activities of the energy<br />
resources sector<br />
• Energy literacy<br />
• Information stewardship<br />
• Work with technology suppliers to identify new<br />
ways to access resources<br />
• Computational geoscience<br />
• Unmanned aircraft systems geophysics<br />
• Extend the network of small scale LNG facilities<br />
• Broader support for focused innovation<br />
Improve R&D capability by identifying barriers and mapping gaps<br />
• Identify and map barriers and gaps in sector commercialisation funnel.<br />
• Respond to gaps by building alignment between research funding and emerging industry<br />
clusters in a least 2 key areas across oil and gas, coal seam gas, uranium and coal.<br />
Improve R&D commercialisation<br />
• Increase applied research and commercialisation.<br />
Increased commercialisation outcomes<br />
• Increase the number of companies claiming the R&D tax credits for sector relevant<br />
technologies by identifying and unlocking commercialisation barriers.<br />
Reduce costs and improve efficiencies<br />
• Adapt new technologies to improve efficiencies and productivity in existing projects<br />
by [20%], including by developing at least [2] shared remote operating centres.<br />
Identify and map barriers<br />
• Identify and map key areas where regulatory reform in the sector is needed,<br />
and support possible reforms.<br />
Align Australia’s standards with international best practice<br />
• Deliver 2 projects on enhanced alignment of Australian Standards with<br />
international best practice.<br />
• Strengthen industry-led research stewardship<br />
• Enhance industry engagement with research<br />
institutions<br />
• Research and development funding models<br />
• Improve understanding of Intellectual Property<br />
• Support living labs and pilot plants<br />
• Explore ways to build the industry’s skill base in<br />
remote operations and facility life extension<br />
• Focussed research and early deployment of<br />
new technologies<br />
• Research into life extension of ageing facilities<br />
• Adopt and harmonise international standards<br />
• Regulatory reform to support ongoing sector growth<br />
• Review regulatory frameworks<br />
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ROADMAP TO THE FUTURE<br />
Table 3: Knowledge priorities action plan<br />
Improve<br />
adoption of<br />
innovation<br />
Close the<br />
skills gaps<br />
1<br />
Work skills for<br />
the future<br />
Capability and leadership<br />
2<br />
3<br />
Enabling effective<br />
collaboration<br />
Understand<br />
Australia’s<br />
resource base<br />
4<br />
Social licence<br />
to operate<br />
Business and operating models, technology and services<br />
5<br />
6<br />
7<br />
8<br />
Unlock future<br />
resources<br />
New markets,<br />
new technologies,<br />
new business models<br />
Commercialisation<br />
of research and<br />
development<br />
Efficient operations<br />
and maintenance<br />
Regulatory<br />
environment<br />
9<br />
Regulatory<br />
framework<br />
optimisation<br />
KEY PARTIES: Operator Supplier Research Government Education<br />
38 National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong>
ROADMAP TO THE FUTURE<br />
Challenges<br />
Enhance<br />
productivity<br />
Manage<br />
water<br />
stewardship<br />
Address<br />
high cost<br />
environment<br />
Improve<br />
energy<br />
literacy<br />
Reduce<br />
sovereign<br />
risk<br />
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY<br />
.<br />
.<br />
WHEN: Short Medium Long<br />
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ROADMAP TO THE FUTURE<br />
Key Performance Indicators<br />
The Key Performance Indicators (KPIs) describe in a more concrete sense what can be achieved by<br />
stakeholders focussing on the knowledge priorities and aligning on a shared vision for the energy<br />
resources sector. They set a trajectory for transformation against which progress can be tracked and<br />
adjusted where needed.<br />
Work skills of the future<br />
With the construction phase generated by the energy resources boom largely complete, the focus now is<br />
to ensure sufficient breadth and depth of capability to support operating projects during their lifecycle,<br />
both for ongoing operations and maintenance, but also for shutdowns. Most plants will be scheduling<br />
maintenance shutdowns in the mid-term, which will put a strain on existing labour resources, drive up<br />
costs and potentially require overseas skills to be brought in.<br />
Table 4: Work skills of the future KPI target<br />
Knowledge priority Focus areas Initiatives<br />
Work skills<br />
for the future<br />
• Integrated operations of the future<br />
• Workforce capability<br />
• Project management skills<br />
• Identify future skills requirements<br />
• Identify and develop appropriate<br />
and accredited training to meet<br />
future skills needs<br />
• Ensure a future focussed training<br />
and education sector<br />
• Explore new opportunities to<br />
export knowledge<br />
KPI milestones Target Timing<br />
Improve<br />
management<br />
and work skills<br />
Improve<br />
efficiencies<br />
in workforce<br />
planning<br />
Map workforce skills and capacity in each sector cluster against<br />
project planning cycles.<br />
Develop and implement plans to ensure sufficient local skills<br />
are available to support the next phases of industry activity.<br />
Standardise training requirements to improve efficiencies in<br />
workforce utilisation by:<br />
1. Delivering a national safety induction framework; and<br />
2. Delivering standard role based competency matrices.<br />
By <strong>2017</strong><br />
By 2020<br />
By 2018<br />
By 2018<br />
The key initiatives <strong>NERA</strong> will support are aimed at improving efficiencies as well as upgrading workforce<br />
capabilities in the sector, with a pivot to higher skilled jobs.<br />
• Working with industry to map workforce capabilities/capacity in each sector hub against project<br />
planning cycles, and support the development of training facilities to ensure adequate local skills are<br />
available, with sufficient breadth and depth of skills to support the industry of the future.<br />
• Together with industry and education providers, invest in training and education relevant to the next<br />
major phase of industry activity – operations and maintenance, shutdowns.<br />
• Working with industry and education providers, to establish a national safety induction framework.<br />
• Work with industry and education providers, to develop standardised competences which are<br />
portable across the sector.<br />
40 National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong>
ROADMAP TO THE FUTURE<br />
Enabling effective collaboration<br />
Table 5: Enabling effective collaboration KPI target<br />
Knowledge priority Focus areas Initiatives<br />
Enabling<br />
effective<br />
collaboration<br />
• Cross company collaboration<br />
• Intergenerational and<br />
interdisciplinary engagement<br />
• Industry and applied research<br />
collaboration<br />
• Establish regional industry and<br />
innovation clusters<br />
• Asset and equipment sharing<br />
• Infrastructure sharing<br />
• Shut-down scheduling<br />
• Industry specific collaboration<br />
• Cross industry collaboration<br />
• Common facility inductions<br />
• Shared operational practices<br />
• Weather research and modelling<br />
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY<br />
KPI milestone Target Timing<br />
Increase cross<br />
company<br />
collaboration<br />
Develop at least [6] clusters in high technology areas. By 2026<br />
The key steps <strong>NERA</strong> will take to support increasing collaboration include:<br />
• Working with industry to develop new operations and maintenance, logistics and campaign models to<br />
improve efficiencies, reduce costs and improve productivity, including by sharing assets and equipment.<br />
• Encourage standardisation and simplification across the sector, focusing on the prequalification<br />
process, and work skill competences (see also work skills of the future KPI).<br />
• In collaboration with industry, develop regional industry and cluster strategies to maximise utilisation<br />
of infrastructure such as supply bases.<br />
• Promote collaboration between industry and research, including by supporting innovation clusters<br />
and providing funding for industry collaborative projects (see also commercialisation of research and<br />
development KPI).<br />
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ROADMAP TO THE FUTURE<br />
Understanding Australia’s resource base<br />
Table 6: Understanding Australia’s resource base KPI target<br />
Knowledge priority Focus areas Initiatives<br />
Understanding<br />
Australia’s<br />
resource base<br />
• Developing a greater<br />
understanding of prospective<br />
basin geology across the minerals<br />
and energy sectors<br />
• Industry data initiative<br />
• Share non-competitive data<br />
across sectors<br />
KPI milestone Target Timing<br />
Build knowledge<br />
and enhance<br />
access to<br />
information<br />
Improve energy resources sector access to robust<br />
sources of geophysical data and promote trusted<br />
custodians of information.<br />
Ongoing focus<br />
Deliver 2 key<br />
projects by 2018<br />
<strong>NERA</strong> will:<br />
• Take a lead role in promoting consolidation of geophysical data for under-developed basins.<br />
• Identify and support projects aimed at improving broader access to and sharing of geophysical data.<br />
Social licence to operate<br />
The sustainability of the sector requires engagement and support from the community to build a<br />
strong social licence to operate. Distrust, concern and unease of communities have been manifested<br />
in restrictions on developing onshore energy resources, which significantly inhibit exploration, future<br />
production and growth of the sector.<br />
Energy resources underpin the Australian economy, and a sustainable and energised industry is a<br />
fundamental part of Australia’s future. Constructive and respectful engagement on social, environmental<br />
and economic sector impacts is needed to address community concerns, whether by providing independent<br />
robust information or finding solutions to issues raised by stakeholders, and will, in parallel, deepen the<br />
energy literacy of the community and key stakeholders.<br />
Table 7: Social licence to operate KPI target<br />
Knowledge priority Focus areas Initiatives<br />
Social licence<br />
to operate<br />
• Social benefits<br />
• Infrastructure closure and<br />
rehabilitation<br />
• Water management<br />
• Tailings management<br />
• Community engagement and<br />
education<br />
• Research social, economic and<br />
environmental consequences<br />
of the activities of the energy<br />
resources sector<br />
• Energy literacy<br />
• Information stewardship<br />
KPI milestone Target Timing<br />
Strengthen<br />
engagement with<br />
communities<br />
Develop a communications strategy which engages with<br />
stakeholders outside the energy resources sector to articulate<br />
the social, economic and environmental benefits and challenges<br />
of the sector.<br />
Identify and apply solutions for water stewardship and tailings<br />
management including by applying new technologies.<br />
By 2026<br />
42 National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong>
ROADMAP TO THE FUTURE<br />
<strong>NERA</strong> will:<br />
• Support research and commercialisation of technologies which provide solutions to community<br />
concerns, including uptake of clean technologies in the energy resources sector.<br />
• Help articulate economic, social and environmental benefits of energy resources in Australia.<br />
• Promote independent trusted custodians of science, and engagement with the community in<br />
public debate.<br />
• Together with industry, government(s) and other stakeholders, work to develop a multi-faceted short<br />
to long term strategy to increase energy literacy and public engagement on energy choices and the<br />
transition pathway (secure, sustainable and affordable).<br />
• Work with industry and government(s) to promote appropriate regulation and transparency, and<br />
to support improvements in community and stakeholder engagement as well as the perception of<br />
the sector.<br />
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY<br />
Unlocking future resources<br />
Table 8: Unlocking future resources KPI target<br />
Knowledge priority Focus areas Initiatives<br />
Unlocking<br />
future resources<br />
• Integrated geological information<br />
• Cross industry collaboration<br />
• Maximising ageing assets<br />
• Environmental science<br />
collaboration<br />
• Work with technology suppliers<br />
to identify new ways to access<br />
resources<br />
• Computational geoscience<br />
• Unmanned aircraft systems<br />
geophysics<br />
KPI milestone Target Timing<br />
Unlock resources<br />
Add to the number of projects in the publicly announced and<br />
feasibility stages.<br />
By 2026<br />
<strong>NERA</strong> will:<br />
• Work with operators and other industry participants to develop collaborative solutions for sharing<br />
infrastructure and utilising ullage, including new operatorship models to allow third party access to<br />
infrastructure.<br />
• Build collaboration between the research and development sector and industry to promote and<br />
implement emerging technologies to mature new fields and marginal resources.<br />
• Support innovative methods of developing marginal and new resources through different business<br />
models, operating models and a contemporary culture and mindset.<br />
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ROADMAP TO THE FUTURE<br />
New markets, new technologies, new business models<br />
Australia is a net exporter of energy 10 , after becoming a net importer of petroleum and petroleum related<br />
products since 2004 10 . The next window of opportunity is to build from the platform of existing energy<br />
projects to develop new technologies, products and services for both domestic and export markets. Examples<br />
of these include hybrid energy solutions incorporating clean technologies, low emissions technologies and<br />
carbon capture and storage (CCS), as well as LNG for transport fuel, and remote operations technology.<br />
Table 9: Market growth KPI target<br />
Knowledge priority Focus areas Initiatives<br />
New markets,<br />
new technologies,<br />
new business<br />
models<br />
• Asian trade agreements<br />
• Develop international technology<br />
partnerships<br />
• Commercialisation of operational<br />
technological developments<br />
• Carbon capture and storage<br />
• Low emissions technologies<br />
• LNG as a fuel<br />
• Hybrid technologies<br />
• Adapting to the changing energy mix<br />
• Extend the network of small scale<br />
LNG facilities<br />
• Broader support for focused<br />
innovation<br />
KPI milestones Target Timing<br />
Improve commercialisation<br />
and<br />
acceptance of<br />
new technology<br />
Unlock value and accelerate commercialisation by identifying<br />
at least [25] new technology projects.<br />
2026<br />
<strong>NERA</strong> will:<br />
• Improve the commercialisation of new technology by encouraging cross-discipline engagement across<br />
multiple sectors, and supporting pilot plants and technology application opportunities.<br />
• Support industry and research institutions to unlock and commercialise value.<br />
44 National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong>
ROADMAP TO THE FUTURE<br />
Commercialisation of research and development<br />
Table 10: Commercialisation of research and development KPI target<br />
Knowledge priority Focus areas Initiatives<br />
Commercialisation<br />
of research and<br />
development<br />
• Living labs<br />
• Understanding and developing<br />
commercialisation pathways<br />
• Strengthen industry-led research<br />
stewardship<br />
• Enhance industry engagement<br />
with research institutions<br />
• Research and development<br />
funding models<br />
• Improve understanding of<br />
Intellectual Property<br />
• Support living labs and pilot plants<br />
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY<br />
KPI milestones Target Timing<br />
Improve research<br />
and development<br />
capability by<br />
identifying<br />
barriers and<br />
mapping gaps<br />
Improve research<br />
and development<br />
commercialisation<br />
Increased commercialisation<br />
outcomes<br />
Identify and map barriers and gaps in the energy resources<br />
sector commercialisation funnel.<br />
Respond to gaps by building alignment between research<br />
funding and emerging industry clusters in at least [2] key areas<br />
across oil and gas, coal seam gas, uranium and coal.<br />
Increase applied research and commercialisation:<br />
• by supporting research institutions commercialising research<br />
and development with targeted project funding; and<br />
• by supporting the number of intellectual property,<br />
trademarks and licences taken out for sector relevant<br />
technologies through commercialisation facilitation.<br />
Increase the number of companies claiming a research and<br />
development tax credit for sector relevant technologies by<br />
identifying and unlocking commercialisation barriers.<br />
By <strong>2017</strong><br />
By 2026<br />
Ongoing<br />
By 2026<br />
Ongoing<br />
by 2026<br />
<strong>NERA</strong> will:<br />
• Work with operators, service providers and research institutions to increase engagement and improve<br />
collaboration in applied research by supporting living labs.<br />
• Together with research institutions, work to increase the number of companies engaging with research<br />
and bridging the gap between industry and research for PhD students and other STEM graduates.<br />
• Support applied research maturation by developing a shared understanding of new technologies and<br />
building acceptance of new technology both within industry and with regulators.<br />
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ROADMAP TO THE FUTURE<br />
Efficient operations and maintenance<br />
Table 11: Efficient operations and maintenance KPI target<br />
Knowledge priority Focus areas Initiatives<br />
Efficient<br />
operations and<br />
maintenance<br />
• Operating models for remote<br />
operations<br />
• Data, digitisation and predictive<br />
analytics<br />
• Robotics, sensors and automation<br />
• Develop a greater understanding<br />
of decommissioning techniques<br />
• Explore ways to build the industry’s<br />
skill base in remote operations<br />
and facility life extension<br />
• Focussed research and early<br />
deployment of new technologies<br />
• Research into life extension of<br />
ageing facilities<br />
KPI milestone Target Timing<br />
Reduce costs<br />
and improve<br />
efficiencies<br />
Adapt new technologies to improve efficiencies and productivity<br />
in existing projects by [20%], including by developing at least [2]<br />
shared remote operating centres.<br />
By 2026<br />
The key steps <strong>NERA</strong> will take to support industry to build ‘future proof’ operating models and the<br />
industry’s skill base include:<br />
• Working with industry to support shared remote operating centres (ROCs) to bring together<br />
collaboration across different energy resources industries and researchers.<br />
• Promote use of data analytics to improve efficiencies in projects and support continuous<br />
improvement.<br />
• Support the commercialisation and application of new and emerging technologies such as advanced<br />
automation and 3D printing.<br />
• Support industry in developing data analytics capability for energy resources projects.<br />
46 National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong>
ROADMAP TO THE FUTURE<br />
Regulatory framework optimisation<br />
Table 12: Regulatory framework optimisation KPI target<br />
Knowledge priority Focus areas Initiatives<br />
Regulatory<br />
framework<br />
optimisation<br />
• Encouraging sensible regulatory<br />
frameworks to allow ongoing<br />
exploration<br />
• Harmonisation of standards<br />
• Review of self-imposed regulations<br />
• Industrial relations and workplace<br />
reform*<br />
• Resource management reform and<br />
review of the existing permitting<br />
systems<br />
• Adopt and harmonise<br />
international standards<br />
• Regulatory reform to support<br />
ongoing sector growth<br />
• Review of regulatory frameworks<br />
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY<br />
KPI milestones Target Timing<br />
Identify and<br />
map barriers<br />
Align Australia’s<br />
standards with<br />
international<br />
best practice<br />
Identify and map key areas where regulatory reform in the<br />
sector is needed, and support possible reforms.<br />
Deliver [2] projects on enhanced alignment of Australian<br />
Standards with international best practice.<br />
By 2018<br />
By 2018<br />
*Note: Industrial relations and industrial reform are not part of <strong>NERA</strong>’s scope.<br />
The key initiatives <strong>NERA</strong> will take to improve Australia’s regulatory regime include:<br />
• Working with government and industry stakeholders to identify areas where the regulatory regime can<br />
be streamlined and provide suggestions for possible reforms, moving to a performance based approach.<br />
• Harmonisation of international standards in Australia.<br />
UTILISATION OF KPIs<br />
These KPIs set a framework for stakeholders to build a transformed, sustainable and competitive<br />
energy resources sector. Some KPIs cover a 10-year period and set a stretch target, others address a<br />
more immediate horizon. Progress against the KPIs will be reviewed in the annual SCP reviews and the<br />
KPIs will be updated to ensure increasing alignment and traction on the knowledge priorities. The KPIs<br />
set a frame of reference to measure progress in identified areas but also to support activities on other<br />
initiatives identified in the knowledge priorities.<br />
The KPIs encompass multiple challenges and opportunities, and will inevitably change over the<br />
10-year horizon as challenges, information, knowledge and strategic outcomes evolve. However,<br />
through systematically addressing these issues, the energy resources sector will achieve an innovation<br />
driven, globally competitive edge together with a sustainable future.<br />
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48 National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong>
2<br />
GLOBAL AND<br />
NATIONAL<br />
CHALLENGES<br />
Section 2 provides a more detailed examination of the global and<br />
national megatrends and challenges facing the Australian energy<br />
resources sector. It examines the current status of each of the three<br />
industries represented in the sector, then introduces a series of industry<br />
competitiveness assessments and benchmarking reports commissioned<br />
by <strong>NERA</strong>. This benchmarking articulates the size of the prize for<br />
Australia of having an energy resources sector which is globally<br />
competitive, innovative, sustainable and diverse.<br />
The detail in this section has informed the knowledge priorities, focus<br />
areas and initiatives identified in the earlier road map section of this SCP.<br />
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Global Megatrends<br />
and Implications for<br />
Australia’s Energy<br />
Resources <strong>Sector</strong><br />
Globally, the energy resources sector is facing a number of megatrends.<br />
Individually, each of these trends present significant change and challenge<br />
to the sector but when combined, they result in operational and market<br />
disruption to which the sector must adapt.<br />
50 National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong>
GLOBAL MEGATRENDS AND IMPLICATIONS FOR AUSTRALIA’S ENERGY RESOURCE SECTOR<br />
Global Megatrends<br />
Urbanisation<br />
Technological<br />
evolution<br />
Asian<br />
century<br />
Changing<br />
energy mix<br />
Globalisation<br />
of business<br />
Changing<br />
demographics<br />
Low carbon<br />
future<br />
Search for energy<br />
security (emerging)<br />
Seven current and one emerging global megatrends are considered in this SCP. Individually, each of<br />
these megatrends pose challenges to and require action from the energy resources sector. Combined,<br />
these megatrends present an environment of disruption. Such disruption from these megatrends<br />
requires the energy resources sector to find new ways of working and to work together to innovate,<br />
as individually, the sector participants will not be able to create the ‘step change’ required to compete<br />
globally. The disruption poses many challenges, but offers multiple opportunities for the energy resources<br />
sector to maximise the value from previous industry investment, to adapt, and to build a competitive,<br />
resilient and sustainable future for the sector.<br />
GROWING POPULATION AND CHANGING<br />
GLOBAL DEMOGRAPHICS<br />
The 2015 United Nations (UN) report 11 estimates that the world’s population will reach 8.5 billion people by<br />
2030, 9.7 billion people by 2050 and exceed 11 billion people in 2100. India is expected to surpass China<br />
as the most populous nation (by around 2022), and Nigeria overtaking the United States to become the<br />
world’s third largest country (by around 2050). Moreover, the UN report estimates that during the 2015<br />
to 2050 period, half of the world’s population growth is expected to be concentrated in nine countries:<br />
India, Nigeria, Pakistan, Democratic Republic of the Congo, Ethiopia, Tanzania, the United States, Indonesia<br />
and Uganda. Clearly a growing and changing world population, particularly the massive growth of India<br />
and Nigeria, has significant implications for energy supply and for the energy resources sector.<br />
According to the same UN Report, as fertility declines and life expectancy rises globally, the proportion of<br />
the global population in or approaching retirement is also rising significantly. Currently, Europe has the<br />
greatest percentage of its population aged 60 or over (24 per cent), but rapid ageing is occurring in other<br />
parts of the world, so that by 2050, all major areas of the world except Africa will have nearly a quarter<br />
or more of their populations aged 60 or over.<br />
Coupled with the world’s ageing population is the rapid emergence of the Asian middle class. This growing<br />
demographic is forecast to represent approximately 66 per cent of the world’s middle class by 2030<br />
(growing from 2009 levels of 23 per cent) 12 . The new members of the Asian middle class are emerging as<br />
major consumers of goods and services, opening up large markets for both domestic goods and imported<br />
luxury items, many of which will require inputs from the energy resources sector for their manufacture,<br />
transport and use.<br />
GLOBAL AND NATIONAL CHALLENGES<br />
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51
GLOBAL MEGATRENDS AND IMPLICATIONS FOR AUSTRALIA’S ENERGY RESOURCE SECTOR<br />
URBANISATION<br />
In the developed world, the mass movement of rural populations to factories and urban environments largely<br />
took place at the time of the industrial revolution, and significant progress has been made in managing<br />
the associated pollution. In the developing world, populations are rapidly moving en-masse into cities as<br />
these developing nations undergo their own industrialisation processes. The UN has forecast that by 2050,<br />
approximately 60 per cent of the world’s population will live in urban environments compared to around<br />
54 per cent at present 13 . This mass migration is fuelling rapid expansions of the cities, with commensurate<br />
demands on energy for construction of new homes, for providing power to inhabitants and for powering<br />
industries which manufacture required goods. This is likely to be accompanied by a demand to accelerate<br />
learning from the experiences of the developed world and calls to adopt cleaner solutions more rapidly.<br />
Today, the most urbanised regions include Northern America (82 per cent living in urban areas in 2014),<br />
Latin America and the Caribbean (80 per cent), and Europe (73 per cent). In contrast, Africa and Asia remain<br />
mostly rural, with 40 per cent and 48 per cent of their respective populations living in urban areas. But all<br />
regions are expected to urbanise further over the coming decades. Africa and Asia are urbanising faster than<br />
the other regions and are projected to become 56 per cent and 64 per cent urbanised, respectively, by 2050.<br />
The rural population of the world has grown slowly since 1950 and will reach its peak in a few years.<br />
The global rural population is close to 3.4 billion people and is expected to decline to 3.2 billion people<br />
by 2050. Africa and Asia are home to nearly 90 per cent of the world’s rural population. India has the<br />
largest rural population (857 million people), followed by China (635 million people) 13 . Close to half of<br />
the world’s urban dwellers reside in relatively small settlements of less than 500,000 inhabitants, while<br />
only around one in eight live in the 31 mega-cities with more than 10 million inhabitants.<br />
Urban lifestyles result in changes to the way in which food and water is accessed, and has significant<br />
implications for the structure of energy markets and grids.<br />
The developed world will expect their energy to remain efficient, reliable and relatively low cost while<br />
increasingly demanding that the energy be produced from low carbon sources. In the developing world, the<br />
principal demand is gaining access to reliable energy, potentially in a bottom-up, localised and low carbon<br />
form, rather than the centralised networks seen in older, developed nations 14 . This is similar to the way the<br />
deployment of widespread access to mobile phones and the internet in these regions skipped much of the<br />
hardwired, expensive infrastructure that is a feature of a more evolutionary deployment in developed countries.<br />
TECHNOLOGICAL EVOLUTION<br />
Technological changes over the past decade are contributing to substantial changes in the ways in which<br />
societies access and consume energy and how businesses are able to optimise their production and distribution<br />
of energy. Among these developments is the ability for business to leverage data analytics to optimise their<br />
processes and production resulting from advances in data processing and storage and through what is<br />
known as the fourth industrial revolution 15, 16 . This revolution is making it possible for virtually any product<br />
to be customised to the exact needs of its purchaser, whether that be the ability to order a new car with a<br />
personally selected specification or to build an industrial product specifically tailored to the needs of the end<br />
user. The Internet of Things (IOT) increasingly enables household and industrial devices to be capable of being<br />
interconnected, networked and controlled to enable more efficient use and monitoring of energy consumption.<br />
Alongside the network and internet advances are technologies such as Unmanned Aerial Vehicles (UAV’s<br />
or drones) which are facilitating faster, safer activities with greater flexibility, such as inspections of facilities<br />
without the requirement to use scaffolding or other forms of access platforms; unmanned marine equipment<br />
which is similarly allowing more advanced activities without the requirement to deploy divers; 3D printing and<br />
rapid prototyping is facilitating the fabrication of complex physical shapes in fewer pieces, the fabrication of<br />
spares and components and providing the ability to build models more rapidly; Virtual Reality (VR) is being<br />
used to provide immersive training experiences for personnel, accelerating training, inductions and special<br />
modelling; the growing use of autonomous vehicles in mining operations, allows machinery such as haul trucks,<br />
locomotives, excavators and drilling equipment to be operated from central control buildings in major cities.<br />
These new and emerging technologies are transforming the way in which businesses operate and offer<br />
substantial opportunities for future development, supporting gains in safety and productivity.<br />
52 National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong>
GLOBAL MEGATRENDS AND IMPLICATIONS FOR AUSTRALIA’S ENERGY RESOURCE SECTOR<br />
LOW CARBON FUTURE<br />
Driven by the global recognition of the impacts of climate change and agreements made at the Paris<br />
COP21 meeting 17 , there is a drive towards low carbon emissions, alternative and renewable energy sources,<br />
and development of technologies to capture the carbon produced in conventional energy extraction and<br />
production. This movement to a low carbon future is happening at the international, national and local<br />
level. Globally, nations are reviewing their future energy policies and making adjustments to their energy<br />
mix, looking for efficiencies and economic viability of alternative energy sources. Countries are taking steps<br />
to reduce their carbon emissions either through alternative and renewable sources, or remediation such as<br />
various forms of carbon capture and sequestration. As an example, the European Union has adopted targets<br />
of 20 per cent of final energy from renewables, with Sweden aiming toward 49 per cent 18 .<br />
At the household level there is a substantial uptake in the installation of rooftop solar panel technology<br />
for domestic power generation. This has been fuelled by a combination of government incentives,<br />
changes in societal attitudes and reduction in the cost per kilowatt of such technology (resulting both<br />
from greater demand and technological advances). At the state energy generation level there has been<br />
heavy investment from local and international and local investors in wind generation, in addition to<br />
hydroelectric facilities, all of which generate electricity without the consumption of fossil fuels.<br />
These developments in the generation and consumption of energy are having large, far reaching impacts<br />
on planning and deployment of traditional power generation, and the fuels used to operate them.<br />
ASIAN CENTURY<br />
As the 21st century has progressed, the Chinese economy has increased its global dominance in demand for<br />
natural resources, including all forms of energy, and production of consumer goods and input materials. This has<br />
driven substantial changes in the global economic balance, with China now the second largest global economy<br />
and the dominant economy in the Asia Pacific region where Australia conducts much of its trade. India is<br />
rapidly emerging as the next major nation to move its economy forward. India’s domestic consumption<br />
levels, driven by its growing middle class, are projected to be the highest in the world by 2030 19 .<br />
The Chinese economy is increasingly taking large ownership interests in the sources of natural resources<br />
on which their economy depends, with significant investments in numerous projects in Australian and<br />
other jurisdictions. This trend is forecast to continue for the foreseeable future.<br />
India is predicted to be the next growth economy, with a forecast demand for energy to increase from<br />
775 million tonnes of oil equivalent (Mtoe) in 2013 to 1,908 Mtoe by 2040 20 . This demand is largely<br />
projected to be met through the use of coal (for which India is predicted to be the world’s largest<br />
importer by 2020 21 ), oil and gas and uranium.<br />
In recent years, there has been an increasing and substantial demand for energy from other nations in<br />
the region. This includes Indonesia which, while largely self-sufficient, imports some energy to meet its<br />
growing needs 22 , and the Philippines which imports around 50 per cent of its required energy 23 .<br />
GLOBAL AND NATIONAL CHALLENGES<br />
GLOBALISATION OF BUSINESS<br />
The globalisation of the world’s economy and businesses means it is becoming more common for<br />
ownership of industries to be held by international businesses. These businesses may only have a<br />
regional presence in the Australian marketplace, but a significant influence over Australia’s energy future.<br />
Globalisation covers resource energy companies, the engineering businesses which service, operate and<br />
maintain the projects and many equipment suppliers of all sizes on which they rely to provide technology<br />
and skills. This globalisation trend provides new opportunities for Australian organisations to export their<br />
skills and expertise to the global marketplace in ways previously not considered.<br />
At the same time, many areas of business are adopting more regionally focussed structures, reverting<br />
from their previous global approach. They are spinning off or launching local subsidiaries to exploit<br />
regional opportunities which are not always available to global organisations.<br />
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GLOBAL MEGATRENDS AND IMPLICATIONS FOR AUSTRALIA’S ENERGY RESOURCE SECTOR<br />
CHANGING ENERGY MIX<br />
Driven by the increasingly competitive pricing and reliability of alternative sources, the global energy<br />
market is accessing alternate forms of supply. Historically the world’s energy has been sourced almost<br />
exclusively from carbon based sources (coal and oil and gas, supplemented by nuclear), but now<br />
substantial portions of the world energy demands are being met through deployment of alternatives and<br />
renewables, including hydro-electric, wind and solar energy.<br />
As these alternative and renewable sources penetrate the market, they are putting traditional sources<br />
under increasing pressure. The established power distribution infrastructure networks in many developed<br />
nations are facing challenges in the transition to non-synchronous and distributed energy sources.<br />
The networks were originally designed to distribute power only outwards from large, central power<br />
generation sources to the broader communities and were able to rely on system inertia provided by large,<br />
baseload generation to operate safely and reliably.<br />
With solar and wind in particular being more localised and intermittent in nature, governments and<br />
operators of traditional power grids are being forced to reconsider their operation and viabilities. By 2030<br />
Australia is predicted to have up to 30 per cent of its electricity generation decentralised 24 .<br />
The existing networks are being further pressured by the emergence of local storage solutions such as<br />
domestic battery technology which is predicted to reach up to 2.4 million Australian homes 25 . When these<br />
localised energy sources are coupled with ‘smart’ domestic energy management software and localised<br />
power sharing through interconnected neighbourhoods, homeowners will increasingly be able to rely on<br />
their own ‘virtual power station’ to meet peak loads, points of time when their local, unconventional sources<br />
may not be able to generate sufficient capacity.<br />
An Emerging Megatrend –<br />
The Search for Energy Security<br />
Alongside the seven megatrends discussed earlier, an eighth emerging megatrend has been shaping the<br />
energy resources sector for the past few years. This emerging megatrend is the combination of moves<br />
towards a low carbon future and the changing energy mix, with the driver to provide secure, reliable<br />
and affordable energy. The search for energy security is beginning to be seen both domestically in the<br />
Australian energy resources marketplace and on the world stage.<br />
SEARCH FOR ENERGY SECURITY<br />
In recent months Australia experienced a number of substantial, state based energy events. These include<br />
the spike in power prices in South Australia during July 2016 triggered by the scheduled outage of the South<br />
Australia to Victoria Interconnector. The South Australian blackout of September 2016 was triggered by an<br />
extreme weather event that caused cascading stresses to the transmission grid servicing both renewable<br />
and thermal power generation, and resulted in a rapid reduction of power system frequency, causing<br />
a complete blackout for the State. Ongoing issues were experienced in Tasmania as a combined result<br />
of the outage of the Basslink connection and historically low dam levels following low rainfall in the<br />
summer of 2015, which reduced the State’s ability to generate sufficient hydroelectric power. The issues<br />
in Tasmania have resulted in the formation of the Tasmanian Energy Security Taskforce 26 and at the<br />
national level, the Finkel Review into the reliability and stability of the National Electricity Market 27 .<br />
Outside Australia, many developed nations who have been previously relatively energy self-sufficient,<br />
such the United Kingdom, are seeing the approaching end of their domestic energy resources and are<br />
responding by seeking secure supplies elsewhere, as well as developing a broader mix of domestic supply<br />
from renewables and an expanded use of nuclear energy 28 .<br />
Secure and reliable energy supplies are important for several reasons: first, to deliver the energy needed to<br />
support the lifestyle expectations of the population, and to power essential services such as hospitals and<br />
schools, homes and offices; secondly, to ensure a reliable and price stable supply of energy for businesses and<br />
industries, in order to create jobs and economic prosperity in a reliable and sustainable way. Without energy<br />
security and price stability, business may be reluctant to invest and households will be under pressure.<br />
54 National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong>
GLOBAL MEGATRENDS AND IMPLICATIONS FOR AUSTRALIA’S ENERGY RESOURCE SECTOR<br />
The Australian energy resources sector is well placed to supply much of the region’s energy security<br />
needs through the export of coal, uranium and gas, but domestically faces a number of state-based<br />
challenges that must be addressed for energy stability to be maintained. The interaction between<br />
renewable energy and thermal energy sources, and their impact on transmission systems, together<br />
with the interaction between energy policy and climate policy at a state and federal level need to be<br />
considered in a consistent framework, such as the ‘energy trilemma’. The energy trilemma 29 underpins<br />
the World Energy Council’s definition of energy sustainability, it has three counter-posing drivers of<br />
affordability, environmental sustainability and energy security. Australia ranks thirty-first between Japan<br />
and Romania on the energy trilemma index 30 , scoring a B for energy security and energy equity and a C<br />
for environmental sustainability of energy supply (the rankings are A to C with A being best in class).<br />
In some parts of Australia, the higher than expected uptake in renewables, coupled with retirement of<br />
thermal power generation has created stresses in the system, which have impacted on energy security,<br />
and increased the perception of investment risk.<br />
An Environment of Disruption<br />
These multiple trends, when considered together, give rise to a single overarching ‘megatrend’– an<br />
increasingly disrupted energy market. This megatrend is transformative, and defines the present and<br />
shapes the future by its significant impact on societies, economies, industries, and organisations. It is<br />
this convergence of global trends that is disrupting the global energy sector, providing both significant<br />
challenges for incumbents and substantial opportunities for those seeking to exploit new approaches.<br />
Although fossil fuels will be critical to meeting the world’s energy needs for years to come (80 per cent of<br />
the global energy mix is expected to be supplied by fossil fuels in 2035 31 ), renewables accounted for half<br />
of global new generating capacity in 2014, and are expected to represent more than 50 per cent of all<br />
capacity growth through 2040 32 . However, other estimates suggest that 60 per cent of the energy market<br />
will be taken up by renewable energy, leaving only 40 per cent of the market for the remaining industries.<br />
The changes in the generation, distribution and consumption of energy will have a profound impact on<br />
the domestic and international energy marketplaces in which the Australian energy resources sector<br />
operates. While the overall impact of these changes will become apparent over time, it is clear that the<br />
sector needs to be prepared to act now to remain competitive.<br />
Recent work by the Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation (CSIRO) 33 has<br />
identified the following trends within the Australian electricity marketplace that will be repeated in<br />
different forms on the global stage:<br />
• Increasing electricity costs.<br />
• Peak demand and consumption has reversed the upward trend seen before 2008/2009. There is now<br />
an oversupply of generation capacity.<br />
• Residential electricity costs are not well aligned with the costs of services.<br />
• The nation’s electricity supply has started to decarbonise.<br />
• Uncertainty still exists around the nation’s future carbon politics, and societal attitudes towards<br />
electricity system reliability and costs are shifting.<br />
GLOBAL AND NATIONAL CHALLENGES<br />
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GLOBAL MEGATRENDS AND IMPLICATIONS FOR AUSTRALIA’S ENERGY RESOURCE SECTOR<br />
Impact of Global Megatrends on Australia<br />
As a major supplier of the world’s conventional energy and, as a country with its own<br />
mature established energy networks, the Australian energy resources sector faces a<br />
number of major challenges to remain competitive in the increasingly complex modern<br />
energy marketplace.<br />
While global and regional demand for our energy resources remains strong, internal changes in each of<br />
the three industries and markets in the sector are placing additional complexity on what has, for a long<br />
time, been a relatively stable mix of energy demand.<br />
• Customer countries such as China are investing heavily in renewables and trying to reduce their<br />
emissions in reaction to growing public demand for a cleaner environment and, while their demand<br />
for Australian energy exports remains strong, it is likely that demand will plateau sooner and at a<br />
lower level to previous forecasts.<br />
• The growth of unconventional oil and gas production, typified by shale gas developments, have<br />
led the United States to become energy self-sufficient in recent years and potentially become a net<br />
exporter of hydrocarbons 31 , putting new sources of supply into the global marketplace. This market<br />
penetration is being assisted by the recent expansion of the Panama Canal, enabling easier shipping<br />
into the Asian market.<br />
• The growing demand in the domestic market for energy from alternative and renewable energy sources<br />
such as solar and wind are placing changing demands on domestic energy generation, distribution and<br />
consumption patterns. This demand is demonstrated by the uptake of domestic solar power generation<br />
with approximately 16.5 per cent of all Australian homes having installed the technology 32 .<br />
• Increasing demands by communities and stakeholders that the production of conventional and<br />
unconventional energy resources be undertaken and regulated in a highly transparent manner, with<br />
significant timeframes required for early and ongoing community and stakeholder engagement;<br />
combined with this are the challenges associated with communicating complex technical and science<br />
based management of the risks and impacts from energy resource activities.<br />
• Growing international activism against and divestment of fossil fuels.<br />
• After unprecedented recent investment in new facilities, particularly in the LNG and coal sectors,<br />
followed by a substantial drop in commodity prices, Australia’s domestic producers are facing<br />
challenging productivity and ramp up situations in bringing their new facilities on line and containing<br />
operations costs in the depressed marketplace.<br />
• Emerging energy storage methods such as advancing battery technology and the use of hydrogen are<br />
beginning to change the energy mix, reframing the landscape in ways that are yet to be fully determined.<br />
The Australian energy resources sector needs a comprehensive and cohesive energy policy that addresses:<br />
• How to maximise the value to Australia from the large investments in the energy export industries<br />
of oil and gas, coal and uranium over decades, and how it can transform to be globally competitive,<br />
innovative, sustainable and diverse in this rapidly changing marketplace;<br />
• How we can use this strong industrial base to help balance societal needs and build a more secure<br />
future for our society as a whole;<br />
• The opportunities to partner with and participate in the emerging clean technologies sector, and with<br />
alternative and renewable energy industries; and<br />
• How domestic demands for energy can be met in a manner that balances economic, social and<br />
environmental factors and delivers energy that is secure, reliable and affordable way.<br />
56 National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong>
GLOBAL MEGATRENDS AND IMPLICATIONS FOR AUSTRALIA’S ENERGY RESOURCE SECTOR<br />
Australia’s Response to <strong>Sector</strong> Trends<br />
Finding ways to exploit opportunities presented by disruptions will be vital to the future<br />
of the Australian energy resources sector.<br />
The Australian energy resources sector needs to adapt to market disruptions. It must be prepared to<br />
undergo both incremental and transformational improvements.<br />
Figure 5: Transformational versus incremental change<br />
Productivity<br />
Time<br />
Transformational change<br />
• Innovators<br />
• Early adopters<br />
• Risk aware<br />
• Forward looking practices and regulations<br />
• New skill sets<br />
• New markets<br />
Incremental change<br />
• Late adopters<br />
• Risk averse<br />
• Restrictive practicesand regulations<br />
• Traditional skill sets<br />
• Traditional market aspirations<br />
GLOBAL AND NATIONAL CHALLENGES<br />
Incremental change<br />
Incremental change has been the default mode for most industries in the energy resources sector as<br />
buoyant demand and stable commodity prices has led industries to become complacent.<br />
This phase is now past and, while incremental gains are still valuable and worth pursuing, organisations<br />
also need to look to transformational opportunities to see the biggest future gains.<br />
Incremental improvements include:<br />
• Leaner operations, as exemplified by the many operators already focusing on increasing asset utilisation.<br />
• Better management of high cost activities, particularly in the areas of new projects and other major<br />
capital investments.<br />
• An increasing movement by operators toward sharing infrastructure both at their facilities and in<br />
locations such as maintenance and supply bases.<br />
• Collaborative planning of labour and resource intensive planned maintenance and upgrade activities<br />
to avoid competition over labour and shop time.<br />
• Reviews of staffing levels, both at the facilities and in the various national head offices.<br />
• An increasing drive to improve productivity from new and existing assets.<br />
However, these incremental improvements alone will not be enough to keep pace with change.<br />
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GLOBAL MEGATRENDS AND IMPLICATIONS FOR AUSTRALIA’S ENERGY RESOURCE SECTOR<br />
Transformational change<br />
Transformational change is required for the sector to keep pace with the shifting energy paradigm and<br />
compete with global challenges.<br />
The sector must develop operating models that focus on new and innovative execution approaches to better<br />
leverage existing capacity. Increased automation is expected in future operations. As such, the energy resources<br />
sector needs to build on Australia’s highly regarded existing capabilities in, for example, remote operations and<br />
data analytics for process optimisation and decision making, to support operational and value chain optimisation.<br />
Increased Asian demand<br />
Opportunities exist for Australia to continue to act as a baseline energy source to meet the sustained and<br />
increasing demand from Asia.<br />
Development of alternate energy sources<br />
Australia also needs to expand its strengths in the development of alternative energy sources as it is well<br />
placed to assist developing nations meet their emissions reduction commitments by providing energy<br />
diversification and systems.<br />
Increase energy literacy<br />
A key action will be to increase ‘energy literacy’ of communities, governments, regulators, companies and<br />
other stakeholders.<br />
Exporter of clean technologies<br />
The disruption in the energy market presents opportunity and incentive for Australia to become an<br />
exporter of clean technologies to developing countries. Such technologies include low carbon emission<br />
technologies including HELE, hybrid power generation, battery storage and carbon capture and storage<br />
(where Australia’s geology provides a strong competitive advantage as demonstrated by projects such as<br />
the Gorgon development 34 which is considered the largest greenhouse gas mitigation project undertaken<br />
globally to inject into a dedicated geological storage formation).<br />
Being part of the development and adoption of these clean technologies is likely to help the sector win<br />
social licence, drive demand of our existing energy resource portfolio, and open up new markets such as<br />
gasification, production of hydrogen and efficiently utilising lower ranked coal deposits.<br />
In addition to participating in its development, Australian businesses and energy resource consumers<br />
need to become earlier adopters of these new technologies. Such adoption underwrites the development<br />
investment and demonstrates the technology’s viability to the broader global market.<br />
Ultimately, the establishment of innovative, integrated and networked resource solutions, with even<br />
broader potential disruption and upsides, will enable the Australian energy resources sector to respond to<br />
the increased disruption in the energy market into the future.<br />
An imperative to change<br />
Standing still is not an option. In the modern energy resources environment, continually exploring ways<br />
to change regulatory, business and operational models is required of all participants to simply remain<br />
competitive. As set out in this SCP, the Australian energy resources sector must find ways to:<br />
• Collaborate better in all ways, between peer organisations, vertically within value chains, across<br />
the traditional boundaries between industries and with research organisations where directed and<br />
undirected findings can help lift the productivity of the industry.<br />
• Address the regulatory burden that is restraining many areas of the energy resources sector from<br />
growing in the future while maintaining and enhancing community support for the industry.<br />
• Identify and explore new markets for energy resources sector products, for example, opportunities<br />
that fill marketplace needs or displace expensive import alternatives, such as expanding the use of<br />
LNG as a domestic source of energy.<br />
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GLOBAL MEGATRENDS AND IMPLICATIONS FOR AUSTRALIA’S ENERGY RESOURCE SECTOR<br />
GLOBAL AND NATIONAL CHALLENGES<br />
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59
Current State<br />
of the Energy<br />
Resources <strong>Sector</strong><br />
Australia ranks as one of the top three global exporters of liquefied natural<br />
gas, coal and uranium.<br />
The Australian energy resources sector involves the exploration, development<br />
and extraction of energy and fuels from oil, gas, coal and uranium, and<br />
related services. In Australia, it directly provides approximately 89,800 jobs<br />
with a Gross Value Add of $42 billion (2015/2016), (Note that the statistics<br />
quoted do not include related supply and services inputs). This value is<br />
expected to increase as the balance of the LNG facilities currently under<br />
construction comes online later this decade.<br />
The total value of Australia’s energy resources commodity exports was<br />
$60 billion in 2015/2016 1 . Forward forecasts of export earnings from<br />
energy resources are uncertain given current volatility in commodity prices;<br />
as at December 2016 the Office of the Chief Economist forecast that<br />
Australia’s energy exports will grow to $92 billion (in current Australian<br />
dollars) by 2016-17 1 . Australia’s energy resources exports in 2015/2016<br />
contributed more than a quarter of Australia’s merchandise export revenue,<br />
and around a fifth of Australia’s total export revenue 36 .<br />
60 National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong>
<strong>Sector</strong> Gross Value Add and Employment<br />
OIL AND GAS<br />
Gross Value Add *<br />
26.8 B<br />
Direct Employment **<br />
28,500 jobs<br />
THERMAL AND METALLURGICAL COAL MINING<br />
Gross Value Add *<br />
13.4 B<br />
Direct Employment **<br />
48,600 jobs<br />
GLOBAL AND NATIONAL CHALLENGES<br />
PETROLEUM AND COAL PRODUCT MANUFACTURING<br />
Gross Value Add *<br />
1.3 B<br />
Direct Employment **<br />
8,500 jobs<br />
URANIUM<br />
Gross Value Add *<br />
0.7 B<br />
Direct Employment **<br />
4,200 jobs35<br />
Notes<br />
* Gross Value Add in current prices, $AUD, 2015/2016 Source: ABS (2016) Australian System of National Accounts, Catalogue no. 5204 and 5206.<br />
** Four-quarter average to August 2016. This does not include employment through the value chain e.g. contractors/service/technology sector supporting energy resources. Source:<br />
ABS (2016) Australian Labour Market Statistics, cat. no. 6291<br />
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THE CURRENT STATE OF THE ENERGY RESOURCES SECTOR<br />
Current challenges and responses<br />
Currently, the sector is facing considerable challenges:<br />
Challenge<br />
A fall in commodity<br />
prices from the high<br />
levels experienced<br />
over the past decade<br />
and marketplace<br />
competition from new<br />
sources of supply.<br />
High capital and<br />
operating costs<br />
adversely impacting<br />
productivity and<br />
competitiveness.<br />
Increased<br />
community scrutiny<br />
and opposition<br />
to industry<br />
development.<br />
Response<br />
The sector has responded aggressively to falling commodity prices and<br />
high capital and operating costs by reducing workforce numbers and<br />
deferring discretionary expenditure (including reducing exploration,<br />
operating costs and research funding, and deferring capital investment).<br />
The current prolonged period of lower commodity prices, which many<br />
commentators believe will run for at least another 12 to 18 months,<br />
will likely result in further expenditure restraint. The most telling and<br />
concerning impact of reduced discretionary spending has been reduced<br />
exploration programs. If this continues, it will delay new greenfield/<br />
brownfield expansions and reduce the future supply of the vital energy<br />
resources required to fuel the Australian economy.<br />
The sector continues to actively address community opposition to new<br />
development. However, more needs to be done in this area. The building of<br />
community and stakeholder trust, and maintenance of a social licence, is a<br />
complex and multi-faceted challenge that requires collaboration and action<br />
by commonwealth, state and local governments, industry, and communities.<br />
The sector must help build national energy literacy, so that the wider<br />
community can more fully understand the need to have a broad, stable<br />
and reliable energy mix that is affordable, reliable, secure and sustainable,<br />
as well as the implications of not achieving such an energy mix.<br />
Dialogue between companies and the widening range of stakeholders will<br />
need to be more robust, sophisticated, collaborative and trust-based, in<br />
order to achieve a greater level of credibility, a stronger sense of legitimacy<br />
and, ultimately, community acceptance.<br />
Both the industry and the community require independent trusted sources<br />
with impartial information to inform the debate. The key considerations in<br />
the management of scientific data are:<br />
• How and by whom the data are interpreted for meaning and significance?<br />
• How the data are presented, and by whom?<br />
• How to decide enough data exists, and by whom?<br />
• How to make decisions, given that the data are always incomplete<br />
and imperfect?<br />
• How to gain community acceptance of risk-based decision making,<br />
and how to deal with incomplete imperfect data (or raise awareness<br />
that this is the normal societal modus operandi)?<br />
• The role of the commonwealth, state and local governments, and the<br />
interactions with industry and community.<br />
62 National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong>
THE CURRENT STATE OF THE ENERGY RESOURCES SECTOR<br />
A changing global<br />
energy market,<br />
developing viability<br />
of renewables, and<br />
an international<br />
commitment to<br />
reducing carbon<br />
emissions.<br />
The changing energy market will be increasingly disrupted. The industry needs<br />
to find ways to leverage on new technology and maximise the value to the<br />
sector. It needs to research how to convert raw materials into accessible energy<br />
in cleaner ways so that it can contribute to Australia and the world’s low<br />
emissions future, and build greater social acceptability for energy resources.<br />
At the same time, there is a growing level of complexity in the global and<br />
domestic energy market. Where once the world’s energy needs were largely<br />
met by conventional carbon-based, hydro-electric and nuclear power, there<br />
has been a rapid and significant deployment of photovoltaic and other solar<br />
energy, wind and hydro-electric, along with a diverse emerging range of<br />
other renewable energy sources, such as geothermal and wave energy.<br />
All of these newer sources are now competing with and interfacing with<br />
the traditional sources, making for a far more complex energy market.<br />
GLOBAL AND NATIONAL CHALLENGES<br />
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THE CURRENT STATE OF THE ENERGY RESOURCES SECTOR<br />
Current trends<br />
Pressure<br />
Australia’s<br />
depreciated dollar<br />
Export earnings<br />
Exploration<br />
expenditure<br />
1. Capital<br />
expenditure<br />
Impact<br />
While operating conditions remain difficult, the depreciation of the Australian<br />
dollar has benefited Australian exporters. The Australian Dollar (AUD) has<br />
depreciated against the United States Dollar (USD) over the past few years<br />
from levels over USD$1 to around USD$0.75, levels last experienced in 2010.<br />
Expectations are for the Australian dollar to remain around this level.<br />
In 2015/2016, export earnings in all resource and energy commodities are<br />
estimated to have declined by eight per cent year-on-year to $157 billion, in<br />
addition to the 12 per cent decline in the previous year. The 2015/2016 fall<br />
includes a 12 per cent decrease in iron ore; 10 per cent decline in metallurgical<br />
coal; and eight per cent decline in thermal coal export earnings 36 .<br />
Future forecasts for resources and energy export earnings, even for the<br />
current 2016/<strong>2017</strong> period, are uncertain in the current volatile global market<br />
and price conditions. Nevertheless, resources and energy export earnings<br />
are forecast to increase over the medium term, with a key factor being the<br />
expected increase in LNG export earnings. LNG export earnings are forecast<br />
to rise rapidly, underpinned by new LNG production capacity coming online.<br />
This includes recently commissioned plants in Queensland, the ramp up<br />
of production at the Gorgon project, and the completion of other projects<br />
currently under construction 1 .<br />
Private exploration expenditure in energy resources was reduced to half<br />
from 2014/2015 to 2015/2016, year-on-year. Deep cuts were evident across<br />
onshore and offshore petroleum exploration and coal exploration, as falling<br />
commodity prices disincentivise exploration 36, 37 . With most commodity prices<br />
forecast to remain low in the medium term, exploration expenditure appears<br />
unlikely to rebound within that timeframe.<br />
Capital expenditure for the mining sector was down 30 per cent year-on-year<br />
from 2014/2015 to 2015/2016, further to a 16 per cent decline the previous year.<br />
2. Employment Total resources industry employment dropped by 15 per cent or 40,000 jobs<br />
between 2013/2014 and 2014/2015 year-on-year, then remained at similar levels<br />
in 2015/2016 36 . The decline in employment is partly a result of the transition<br />
from the investment phase of the commodity boom to the production phase.<br />
However, in the wake of falling prices and low profitability, industry has also been<br />
consolidating and reducing expenditure on service providers, which has led to a<br />
fall in the workforce. Employment is not expected to rebound in the short-term,<br />
as a fall in construction labour due to reductions in capital expenditure will<br />
offset any increases in employment associated with growing production.<br />
Australia is still ranked very competitively as an investment location by the Fraser Institute. Their 2015<br />
study 38 , released in 2016, which looked at the broad mining industry, including minerals and coal, ranked<br />
Western Australia as the top jurisdiction for mining investment in the world. In the survey, which polled<br />
449 companies, the Northern Territory ranked seventh, South Australia tenth and Queensland sixteenth.<br />
However, while Australia’s ranking remained high, the research did find that policy attractiveness dropped<br />
in a number of states, due to shifting regulatory requirements, labour regulation, uncertainty of disputed<br />
land claims and trade barriers.<br />
64 National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong>
THE CURRENT STATE OF THE ENERGY RESOURCES SECTOR<br />
Australian Oil and Gas Industry<br />
Following the rapid expansion phase of the past 10 years, the Australian oil and gas<br />
industry is poised to become the world’s largest LNG exporter by the end of this decade,<br />
with 21 LNG trains in operation.<br />
The Australian upstream oil and gas industry is made up of distinct offshore and onshore segments.<br />
The offshore fields are located off Western Australia, the Northern Territory and in the Victorian Bass<br />
Strait. Onshore operations are more widely distributed, with conventional operations in Western Australia,<br />
the Northern Territory, South Australia and Queensland, and unconventional production concentrated in<br />
Queensland’s coal seam gas fields and the smaller shale resources in South Australia.<br />
In the mid-stream segment, the extensive gas pipeline network in eastern Australia connects Queensland,<br />
New South Wales, Victoria and South Australia, mostly operated by the APA Group. Both Western<br />
Australia and the Northern Territory have their own gas distribution networks, with plans under<br />
development to connect the Northern Territory network to that of the eastern states at Mount Isa.<br />
Oil, condensate and Liquefied Petroleum Gas (LPG)<br />
Australia’s production of oil, condensate and LPG - which are flammable mixtures of hydrocarbon gases<br />
used as fuel in heating appliances, cooking equipment, and vehicles - has been trending down since its<br />
peak in 2000, while production of natural gas has more than doubled since 1998 39 . Australia is a net<br />
importer of crude oil and oil products, with the share of imports continuing to trend upwards. Historically<br />
Australia had a surplus in the trade of oil and gas until 2003/2004 but has been a net importer since<br />
then 39 . In 2015/2016, Australia had approximately $24 billion imports of crude oil and refined products<br />
against exports of $8 billion of equivalent products 36 . While the increase in the volume of LNG exports<br />
from the new LNG plants commencing production will offset the overall oil and gas trade imbalance, the<br />
nation’s dependency on imported oil products will remain for the foreseeable future.<br />
GLOBAL AND NATIONAL CHALLENGES<br />
Figure 6: Australia’s oil fields and basins<br />
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THE CURRENT STATE OF THE ENERGY RESOURCES SECTOR<br />
Gas and Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG)<br />
Australian gas production is forecast to increase from 81 billion cubic metres in 2015-16 to 128 billion<br />
cubic metres in <strong>2017</strong>-18, an increase of 58 per cent. Conventional gas production is forecast to provide<br />
91 billion cubic metres or 70 per cent of the <strong>2017</strong>-18 total, with coal seam gas expected to provide 30<br />
per cent of total Australian gas production by <strong>2017</strong>-18 1 .<br />
Around half of Australia’s gas production is now produced for export. This share will increase as further<br />
LNG export capacity comes on line and ramps up over the next two years 1,10 .<br />
Figure 7: Australia’s gas industry, excluding shale gas<br />
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THE CURRENT STATE OF THE ENERGY RESOURCES SECTOR<br />
Australia’s LNG industry is clustered in three areas – Karratha and Onslow in Western Australia’s Pilbara<br />
region, Darwin in the Northern Territory and at Gladstone in Queensland. Over half of Australia’s LNG<br />
export capacity (both existing capacity and capacity under construction) - around 49 million tonnes per<br />
annum - is located in Western Australia. Queensland comes next with about 25 million tonnes per annum<br />
of nameplate capacity, followed by the Northern Territory.<br />
Australia has significant shale gas potential, according to contingent and prospective resources estimates<br />
from Geoscience Australia 40 , Gas production from shale gas resources started in the Cooper Basin in 2012.<br />
Figure 8: Australia’s prospective natural and unconventional gas resources<br />
GLOBAL AND NATIONAL CHALLENGES<br />
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THE CURRENT STATE OF THE ENERGY RESOURCES SECTOR<br />
Oil and gas industry forecasts<br />
Australia is ranked eleventh in the world with proven gas reserves, and has significant petroleum<br />
resources and potential and undiscovered resources. The long-term growth in the Australian oil and gas<br />
industry depends on the level of exploration, but the recent decline in profitability, low commodity prices<br />
and rising cost of exploration have resulted in a reduction in the number of exploration wells drilled.<br />
Oil, LNG and condensate exports<br />
Forward forecasts of export earnings from oil products and LNG are uncertain given current volatility in<br />
global oil prices. As at December 2016, the Office of the Chief Economist expected the value of Australia’s<br />
exports of crude oil and condensates to be $6.2 billion in 2016/<strong>2017</strong>, increasing to $8.7 billion in<br />
<strong>2017</strong>/2018. For LNG, prices are expected to rise from around AUD$7 per gigajoule (GJ) in 2016/<strong>2017</strong><br />
to around AUD$8 per GJ in <strong>2017</strong>/2018. The pricing of LNG exports tends to be linked to the oil price,<br />
with a complex structure of time lags and caps to adjust the price payable for gas. Rising LNG prices<br />
and volumes are expected to lead to LNG export earnings increasing from $23.7 billion in 2016/<strong>2017</strong> to<br />
$37 billion in <strong>2017</strong>/2018 1 .<br />
New Australian liquefaction capacity will support global LNG market growth, with major sources of<br />
supply from Queensland Curtis LNG (QCLNG), Australia Pacific LNG (APLNG), Gladstone LNG (GLNG),<br />
Gorgon, Ichthys, Wheatstone and Prelude. Australian gas production and exports will grow, but sustained<br />
contract and spot price weakness will temper export values.<br />
Contribution to the Australian economy<br />
By 2020, the sector’s contribution to the national economy is expected to more than double to $65 billion,<br />
and tax paid by the sector will rise from $8.8 billion in 2012 to $13 billion 39 . The anticipated increase in<br />
natural gas exports over the next decade is driving the forecast of strong growth in the sector. It is estimated<br />
that by 2030, when production and prices are expected to stabilise, the oil and gas contribution to the<br />
Australian economy will be 2.6 per cent. After accounting for interlinkages with the rest of economy, the<br />
sector is projected to be around 3.5 per cent of national output.<br />
Figure 9: Historic pricing of Brent Crude<br />
140<br />
120<br />
100<br />
80<br />
60<br />
40<br />
20<br />
0<br />
1986 1996 2006 2016<br />
Data source – www.indexmundi.com<br />
68 National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong>
THE CURRENT STATE OF THE ENERGY RESOURCES SECTOR<br />
Global factors<br />
Australia is set to overtake Qatar as the world’s largest LNG exporter, with the combined nameplate<br />
capacity of Australian projects expected to reach 87 million tonnes per annum once the remaining LNG<br />
projects under construction are completed. Most of these volumes are destined for the North-East Asian<br />
gas markets of Japan, Korea and China.<br />
The industry has significant global participation, with all the supermajors (Exxon, Shell, Chevron and BP) as<br />
well as six global majors being key industry investors. Australia hosts almost all major global industry service<br />
providers in every service segment including oilfield service companies (e.g. Halliburton, Schlumberger, Aker),<br />
EPC contractors (e.g. Fluor, KBR, Technip) and equipment manufacturers (e.g. GE Oil and Gas, Enerflex).<br />
However, profit margins for projects are likely to come under strain over the next few years due to:<br />
• Low oil prices relative to a few years ago, which are linked to LNG contract prices in the Asia-Pacific<br />
market; and<br />
• Supply additions, concentrated in Australia and the United States, that are likely to outstrip growth in<br />
demand.<br />
As a consequence, operators of Australian projects are expected to restrain capital expenditure and<br />
focus heavily on reducing operational costs for some time, with a view to improving operational margins.<br />
This is expected to include a very heavy focus on effective decision making and data analytics to support<br />
operational and value chain optimisation. However, the need to prepare for the next phase of supply to<br />
facilities cannot be overlooked. Operators will need to continue to explore and bring on new sources<br />
of supply to maintain production, but, will endeavour to do so at the lowest investment cost possible<br />
to achieve their objectives. These cost pressures are anticipated to drive the operators and their service<br />
providers to pursue improved productivity and innovative ideas.<br />
GLOBAL AND NATIONAL CHALLENGES<br />
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THE CURRENT STATE OF THE ENERGY RESOURCES SECTOR<br />
Australian Coal Industry<br />
The coal industry has a long-established presence and history in Australia, as one of the<br />
industries that helped build the nation.<br />
With 37 billion tonnes in black coal reserves, and about 375 million tonnes in annual exports (metallurgical<br />
and thermal coal), the Australian coal industry is the country’s second largest source of export revenue.<br />
Australia has nine per cent of the world’s recoverable black coal and 22 per cent of the world’s brown coal.<br />
Globally Australia is ranked fourth behind the United States, Russia and China in recoverable resources 41 .<br />
The Bowen Basin in Queensland and the Sydney Basin in New South Wales dominate coal production and<br />
contain 60 per cent of Australia’s recoverable black coal. Significant black coal resources are also found in<br />
the Surat, Clarence-Moreton and Galilee basins in Queensland and Gunnedah Basin in New South Wales.<br />
At 2015 rates of production, Australia’s black coal resources will support more than 110 years’ production 42 .<br />
The vast majority of the industry’s operational mines are in eastern New South Wales and central<br />
Queensland, which together account for nearly 98 per cent of annual black coal production. These mining<br />
operations are concentrated in the Sydney-Gunnedah Basin in New South Wales and the Bowen Basin in<br />
Queensland, with 80 per cent of production from open-cut mines. Most production in Queensland is of<br />
metallurgical coal 43 , whilst New South Wales production is predominantly thermal coal 44 . Additionally,<br />
there are over 20 new coal mines under consideration in Queensland alone 45 .<br />
Coal is exported primarily through terminals at Newcastle in New South Wales, and in Queensland<br />
through Hay Point, Gladstone and Abbot Point, together accounting for some 94 per cent of overall coal<br />
exports. Around 70 per cent of all Australian coal exports go to the Northeast Asian markets of Japan,<br />
China and Korea, with Taiwan and India the next two largest destinations by volume.<br />
Australia has approximately 24 per cent of the world’s recoverable brown coal, and is ranked second<br />
behind Russia in terms of brown coal reserves. All of Australia’s brown coal is located in Victoria<br />
with approximately 93 per cent in the Latrobe Valley. Significant tonnages of other lower rank coals<br />
(Subbituminous) exist in South Australia, Western Australia and New South Wales. This coal is largely<br />
undeveloped. Brown coal is mined and exclusively used for electricity generation and at current rates,<br />
reserves will support 1,000 years’ production 46 .<br />
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THE CURRENT STATE OF THE ENERGY RESOURCES SECTOR<br />
Figure 10: Australia’s coal basins and ports<br />
GLOBAL AND NATIONAL CHALLENGES<br />
As well as being a key export product, coal is also the mainstay of Australia’s domestic power generation,<br />
accounting for over 60 per cent of power generated across the country and for as much as 80 per cent of<br />
power generated in New South Wales and Victoria 10 .<br />
Analysis from the Queensland Resources Council and Wood Mackenzie in late 2015 47 indicated that over<br />
30 per cent of coal mines were running at a loss and not covering costs.<br />
As a result, coal producers have made substantial reductions to operating expenses and corporate overheads<br />
and are continuing to pursue savings within their operations 56 . However, a large proportion of coal producers’<br />
costs are ex mine with rail, port, energy and water supply costs essentially fixed as take or pay. Losses would<br />
typically need to be greater than the take or pay commitments before a producer will opt to close a mine<br />
and incur the full liability for contract commitments and other associated costs such as rehabilitation.<br />
Coal exploration expenditure in Australia has steadily declined from levels at around $200 million a<br />
quarter in 2012 to under $40 million a quarter through most of 2016 1 .<br />
On the international stage, coal producers have been under extreme financial pressure. Companies such<br />
as Peabody, Glencore and Anglo American are restructuring coal operations. Large United States producers<br />
have filed for Chapter 11 Bankruptcy including Alpha Natural Resources (the largest metallurgical coal<br />
producer in the United States), Arch Coal, Patriot Coal, and Walter Energy. It should be noted that most have<br />
now restructured and continue to operate.<br />
In Australia, Rio Tinto, Anglo American and others are reweighing their coal portfolios.<br />
In addition to the financial pressures faced by coal producers, activist shareholders are applying growing<br />
and conflicting pressures by simultaneously demanding greater immediate returns on their investments in a<br />
traditionally long-term industry and also divesting investments in industries such as fossil fuels, particularly coal.<br />
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THE CURRENT STATE OF THE ENERGY RESOURCES SECTOR<br />
Global factors<br />
With around 54 per cent of international traded volumes, Australia is the leading supplier in the seaborne<br />
metallurgical coal trade. Australia also holds a competitive position in the thermal coal market,<br />
supplying approximately 24 per cent of the global trade in thermal coal 1 .<br />
As a consequence of Asia’s rapid industrialisation, demand for high quality Australian coal is expected to<br />
continue to grow, with Australia anticipated to overtake Indonesia as the world’s largest coal exporter on<br />
a tonnage basis, by <strong>2017</strong>.<br />
However, growing concern with climate change and commitments made by large coal consumers such<br />
as China and India to reduce carbon dioxide emissions at the COP21 summit in Paris, 2015, could<br />
potentially slow the growth of Australian thermal coal exports to these countries.<br />
The other key issue is the volatility of the international energy sector which has the ability to change<br />
the supply/demand profile and price in a very short space of time. This was evidenced with the Chinese<br />
Government decree to limit coal production to five day operations earlier in 2016. This had a major<br />
positive impact on export price.<br />
Figure 11: Historic thermal coal prices<br />
200<br />
150<br />
100<br />
50<br />
0<br />
1986 1996 2006 2016<br />
Data source – www.indexmundi.com<br />
Coal industry forecasts<br />
Metallurgical coal<br />
After remaining steady through 2014, metallurgical spot prices declined significantly in the first half of<br />
2015. After further declines in spot prices in the first half of 2016, spot metallurgical coal prices rallied<br />
to five year highs by December 2016, reaching USD$311 a tonne. The boost in prices were mainly driven<br />
by restrictive domestic supply-side policies implemented by the Chinese Government on China’s coal and<br />
steel industries. Cuts in capacity led to increased import demand which put upward pressure on prices 1 .<br />
Sustained low prices encouraged several companies to announce plans to close capacity or reduce output<br />
(in North America and Australia). The profitability challenge is highlighted by the example of the sale of<br />
Isaac Plains coking coal mine in Bowen Basin for $1 (down from a 50 per cent value in 2012 of $430<br />
million). Australian production of metallurgical coal has been affected by low commodity prices, with<br />
Glencore, Peabody announcing reductions in output. However, given the latest spike in metallurgical coal<br />
prices, some companies have announced the reopening/restart of mines both in Australia and elsewhere,<br />
including Glencore’s Integra mine in New South Wales, and Grand Cache Coal’s, Grand Cache mine in<br />
Alberta, Canada 1 .<br />
In 2016/<strong>2017</strong> metallurgical coal exports are forecast to increase 1.7 per cent to 191 million tonnes,<br />
compared to 2015/2016. Export earnings in 2016/<strong>2017</strong> are forecast to nearly double relative to<br />
2015/2016, at AUD$40 billion 1 .<br />
In <strong>2017</strong>/2018, Australia’s metallurgical coal exports are forecast to stay similar to 2015/2016, at 191<br />
million tonnes. However, export earnings are forecast to decline 33 per cent to AUD$27 billion, as prices<br />
decline from highs seen in late 2016 1 .<br />
72 National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong>
THE CURRENT STATE OF THE ENERGY RESOURCES SECTOR<br />
Thermal coal<br />
Prior to the second half of 2016, thermal coal prices reached nearly 10 year lows. However, by mid-November<br />
2016, thermal coal prices rallied to more than four-year highs of USD$110 a tonne. The main driver for this<br />
price rally was Government mandated capacity cuts in China. These capacity cuts are believed to have led to<br />
a shortage in supply in China, putting upward pressure on prices and increasing import demand 1 .<br />
Australia’s thermal coal production in 2015/2016 was similar to 2014/2015 levels at 251 million tonnes.<br />
Thermal coal production is forecast to increase slightly to 252 million tonnes, in <strong>2017</strong>/2018. Export volumes<br />
declined by two per cent to 200 million tonnes in 2015/16. Earnings from thermal coal exports declined by<br />
eight per cent to $14.7 billion due to lower prices. In 2016/<strong>2017</strong> export volumes are forecast to increase<br />
3.6 per cent to 308 million tonnes, with export earnings forecast to increase 25 per cent to $18.4 billion.<br />
The forecast slight increase in export volumes in 2016-17 is largely driven by increased demand from<br />
China in the latter half of 2016, brought on by a warm summer and Government instigated capacity cuts,<br />
similar to those imposed on metallurgical coal. These increased Chinese demand factors from mid 2016<br />
also explain the significantly higher thermal coal prices forecast for 2016-17 1 . After peaking at about<br />
USD$108 per tonne in October 2016, the spot price has now settled at around USD$90 per tonne. This is<br />
up from a low of about USD$45 per tonne in late 2015.<br />
The most recent International Energy Agency (IEA) World Energy Outlook 49 notes that global coal demand<br />
declined in 2015 for the first time since the late 1990s, but in its central scenario the IEA projects that world<br />
demand for thermal coal for power generation will remain fairly flat over the next two decades. By 2040 the<br />
IEA expects increased coal demand for power generation in Southeast Asia and India to be offset by declining<br />
coal demand in China, the US and the EU. Despite the projected flat global consumption of thermal coal, an<br />
11 per cent increase in electricity output from coal-fired power generation is projected, reflecting increased fuel<br />
efficiency particularly from supercritical and ultrasupercritical power plant technologies. These efficiencies, along<br />
with an assumed modest start to carbon capture and storage, help keep projected greenhouse gas emissions<br />
from world coal fired power generation in 2040 close to today’s levels. The IEA projects that Australia’s<br />
coal production (thermal and metallurgical) will increase by around 14 per cent between 2014 and 2040.<br />
GLOBAL AND NATIONAL CHALLENGES<br />
Brown coal<br />
In 2015 the Angelsea brown coal-fired power station on Victoria’s south coast closed, leaving the Low Yang,<br />
Yallourn and Hazelwood power stations operating in the Latrobe Valley. Hazelwood is also scheduled to<br />
close in March <strong>2017</strong> 42 . In the near term the use of brown coal in Australia is expected to fall.<br />
Medium to long term scenarios for utilisation of Victoria’s brown coal resources will depend on the extent<br />
of availability of cost-effective technologies to cut greenhouse gas emissions from brown coal-fired<br />
electricity generation, notably through carbon capture and storage, and to potentially produce alternate<br />
fuels from brown coal such as dimethyl ether (DME) or hydrogen 50 .<br />
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THE CURRENT STATE OF THE ENERGY RESOURCES SECTOR<br />
Australian Uranium Industry<br />
Australia is the world’s third largest supplier of uranium after Kazakhstan and Canada,<br />
and holds the largest proportion (around 30 per cent) of the global reasonably assured<br />
resources of uranium.<br />
While known deposits are spread across the majority of mainland Australia, around 80 per cent of<br />
Australia’s known uranium resources are found in South Australia.<br />
Australia has approximately 30 per cent of the world’s Reasonably Assured Resources of uranium and<br />
produces 11 per cent of global supply. Market prices have been steadily declining since 2011, with<br />
spot prices now well below the level required to encourage investment in new mines. Companies have<br />
delayed uranium projects that are uneconomic in the current climate. Production increased solidly in<br />
2015/2016 as Olympic Dam and ERA Ranger facilities returned to full operation after supply disruptions<br />
the previous year. Export earnings in 2015/2016 were $959 million 1 .<br />
The three producing mines are located at: Ranger in the Northern Territory which commenced operations<br />
in 1981, producing 1,500 tonnes annually which ceased underground mining due to poor economics<br />
but continues to process long term stockpiles through to 2021 when processing must cease after which<br />
the facility is to be decommissioned and revegetated by 2026; Olympic Dam in South Australia which<br />
commenced operations in 1988, producing 4,300 tonnes annually and is the largest uranium resource<br />
globally (note however, uranium is mined alongside copper, gold and silver operations); and Beverley/Four<br />
Mile in South Australia which commenced operations in 2000, producing 800 tonnes annually. A further<br />
mine, Honeymoon in South Australia was placed into care and maintenance in 2013.<br />
Figure 12: Australia’s uranium deposits and mines<br />
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THE CURRENT STATE OF THE ENERGY RESOURCES SECTOR<br />
Notwithstanding the recent downturn in uranium demand, a number of potential mines in Western<br />
Australia have progressed though the necessary environmental approvals processes. Four new mines<br />
have now received State environmental approval. Two of these, Cameco’s Yeelirrie project and Toro’s<br />
Wiluna project extension which is centred on the Millipede and Lake Way deposits, are shallow calcrete<br />
hosted uranium deposits which will have low mining costs and will bring new extraction technologies to<br />
Australia. Currently Namibia is home to the only similar mine in the world. The other two are Cameco’s<br />
Kintyre project, which is a narrow pitchblende vein deposit and Vimy Resources Mulga Rock project,<br />
which consists of four poly-metallic deposits with commercial grades of contained uranium hosted in<br />
carbonaceous material. Both the Mulga Rocks and Yeelirrie projects have been recommended by the<br />
Western Australian Government for Commonwealth approval following EPA assessment.<br />
Uranium industry forecasts<br />
World growth in uranium demand<br />
Australia is well positioned to benefit from the growth in uranium demand as the World Energy Outlook<br />
predicts around 80 per cent growth in nuclear power by 2040 49 . Between the start of 2015 and late<br />
2016, 19 new nuclear reactors commenced operation (two thirds of them in China), and construction<br />
started on nine new reactors in the same period. Currently, some 64 GW of new nuclear capacity is under<br />
construction, principally in China (one third) but also in Russia, the United Arab Emirates, the United<br />
States, Korea, the European union and India 57 . There was also a tentative restart to the Japanese nuclear<br />
power industry in 2015 to offset the country’s high reliance on fossil fuels. In 2015, two reactors were<br />
restarted and a third in 2016. There are a further 23 reactors with applications awaiting approval to<br />
restart. The process has been slow due to political and legal decisions and effects of public opinion.<br />
Over the next two years, up to a further six reactors are expected to restart.<br />
Globally in 2016 there are over 60 reactors under construction in 15 countries including two in Japan 51 .<br />
China is expected to expand its strategic uranium reserve as part of its five-year plan, and currently has<br />
36 reactors with 20 under construction.<br />
GLOBAL AND NATIONAL CHALLENGES<br />
Innovation areas<br />
Key areas to bring innovation into the uranium industry are an improved understanding of in-situ<br />
recovery; improved understanding of the saline groundwater environment; and improved processing<br />
technology to increase recovery from calcrete hosted deposits.<br />
Exploration<br />
Exploration for new uranium deposits has slowed over the past four years but there is much unexplored<br />
potential in Australia. The focus for improved methods of exploration undertaken by Geoscience Australia,<br />
the Governments of South Australia and Western Australia and the Deep Exploration Technologies CRC 52<br />
should soon deliver measurable cost benefits for exploration in uranium prospective greenfields areas.<br />
Storage and disposal of used nuclear fuel<br />
The findings of the South Australian Nuclear Fuel Cycle Royal Commission 53 identified that an expansion<br />
of uranium mining has the potential to be economically beneficial, but the most significant opportunity is<br />
storage and disposal of used nuclear fuel. In its response on the Royal Commission’s recommendations 54 ,<br />
the South Australian Government supports the recommendations to grow the mining sector through<br />
investment and streamlining of approvals, as well as ensuring responsibility for remediation. However,<br />
the South Australian Government considers that more investigation needs to be undertaken on the<br />
establishment of a used nuclear fuel and intermediate level waste storage and disposal facility.<br />
This is likely to deliver substantial economic benefits to the South Australian community. However, the<br />
consideration of similar storage and disposal of high level nuclear material may meet with community<br />
resistance as demonstrated by the findings of the Citizen’s Jury on Nuclear Waste 55 .<br />
In a separate process, the Australian Government has committed to the establishment of a National<br />
Radioactive Waste Management facility. The National Radioactive Waste Management Act 2012 only<br />
provides for an Australian facility to be established exclusively for disposal of Australia’s low-level<br />
radioactive waste and interim storage of our own limited holdings of intermediate level waste.<br />
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THE CURRENT STATE OF THE ENERGY RESOURCES SECTOR<br />
Legislation and approvals process<br />
The South Australian community has longstanding experience with mining, including uranium mining.<br />
Uranium industry participants are well aware of the importance of community consent to maintaining<br />
current operations, and the significance of broader support to any new proposal. No additional measures<br />
to further regulate community consent or community engagement with respect to new uranium mining<br />
projects appear required.<br />
The current Western Australian Government has worked with the South Australian Government to ensure<br />
the necessary legislation and approvals processes and learnings are in place to safely manage a new<br />
uranium industry development in that State.<br />
Prices<br />
Prices as indicated in Figure 13 held up better than other commodities in 2015, but slumped to historic lows of<br />
USD$18.75 per pound in October 2016, well short of high prices established in 2007 (USD$138 per pound).<br />
Global factors<br />
All Australian uranium production is currently exported, under stringent safeguards agreements, to<br />
a range of countries with the United States as the largest single destination. Recently the Australian<br />
government has concluded new nuclear cooperation agreements with the UAE, Ukraine and India,<br />
providing new market opportunities for Australian producers.<br />
Other large destination countries have traditionally included Japan and South Korea, where demand has<br />
significantly declined following the Fukushima Daiichi incident in 2011, when nuclear plants were placed<br />
in long- term shut down whilst safety reviews were undertaken to determine whether plants are to be<br />
put back into service or permanently shut down.<br />
The nuclear shut down in Japan, and moves to reduce nuclear power generation in other countries such<br />
as Germany, has resulted in a global over-supply which placed downward pressure on uranium prices.<br />
Nevertheless, demand for Australian uranium is expected to increase with significant nuclear power<br />
growth anticipated in China, India, Russia and the United Kingdom over the next decade.<br />
Figure 13: Historic uranium pricing<br />
140<br />
120<br />
100<br />
80<br />
60<br />
40<br />
20<br />
0<br />
1986 1996 2006 2016<br />
Data source – www.indexmundi.com<br />
76 National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong>
THE CURRENT STATE OF THE ENERGY RESOURCES SECTOR<br />
Transition from Rapid Growth<br />
The Australian energy resources sector is coming to the end of an unprecedented<br />
period of rapid growth. Within the energy resources sector this growth has been most<br />
apparent in the coal and oil and gas industries.<br />
• The coal industry has added around 25 per cent of extra production in the decade since 2005.<br />
• In oil and gas, an entire, world first industry of converting coal seam gas to LNG has been built in<br />
Queensland. Darwin is completing the construction of the INPEX Ichthys facility and Western Australia<br />
has seen the construction of multiple new LNG facilities at Pluto, Gorgon and Wheatstone along with<br />
the ongoing development of the Shell Prelude FLNG facility.<br />
• During the same period, the uranium industry has worked to develop several new projects and has the<br />
potential to add substantial value to the national economy should they proceed with additional opportunities,<br />
including the development of a nuclear waste storage and disposal facility in South Australia 53 . While<br />
some of these projects may take many years to develop, they offer opportunities for growth of the sector.<br />
Construction boom<br />
This boom period sees Australia becoming the world’s leading producer of LNG by the end of this decade<br />
but has placed enormous pressure on virtually every link of the energy industry supply chain. Undertaking<br />
multiple multi-billion dollar projects concurrently in one sector alone would have been a major challenge,<br />
but this expansion coincided with similar expansions in other sectors such as iron ore mining.<br />
During this period of expansion, many projects were delivered late and substantially over budget into a<br />
declining market, leaving the operators of the facilities facing the challenges of bringing their new plant<br />
into production as quickly as possible to begin recouping their investment but with the additional hurdle<br />
of a substantially reduced market for their products.<br />
These same boom times occurred at a time of rapid globalisation of services, with much of the equipment,<br />
systems and knowledge that contributed to these new developments being drawn from overseas.<br />
This globalisation of the industry placed additional and previously unforeseen pressures on domestic<br />
suppliers who struggled to compete.<br />
GLOBAL AND NATIONAL CHALLENGES<br />
Operations and maintenance<br />
The new resource facilities in the coal, oil and gas industries will operate for many years into the future.<br />
During their operational lifetime they will require ongoing maintenance, regular shutdowns and turnarounds<br />
to ensure they operate at peak performance. They will employ thousands of personnel and engage with<br />
all sectors of the supply chain. The LNG industry will contribute around $156 billion and the coal industry<br />
some $97 billion in direct tax revenue to state and federal governments between 2015 and 2030.<br />
Additional indirect tax of around $70 billion from the LNG industry and $82 billion from the coal industry<br />
will accrue via wages, taxes on other business inputs and second order business opportunities.<br />
The primary objectives of the operators of these facilities are to run the plants safely and as efficiently as possible.<br />
To remain competitive will require operators to identify, trial and exploit new ideas and new technologies, many of<br />
which will be accessed through third parties. For many operators, their own internal systems and processes<br />
often inhibit them from accessing the newest technologies. Instead, they wait for those in other jurisdictions<br />
to be the first movers (with attendant risks), but relinquishing the opportunity to gain first mover advantage.<br />
With the construction phase virtually over, many local industries and communities are looking to assist in<br />
the start-up, optimisation and running of the new facilities. Industries must build long term relationships<br />
with operators and, through them develop sustainable industries that will deliver highly skilled, wellpaying<br />
careers for their workforce.<br />
Long tail period<br />
next phase, the long tail after the project boom, offers many of the potential opportunities for Australian<br />
industry. Although the operational life of these facilities is long, the key period for the broader industry and<br />
community to collaborate on finding the best ways to achieve these opportunities are in the short term.<br />
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<strong>Sector</strong><br />
Benchmarking<br />
To fully understand the impact of both <strong>NERA</strong>’s and the broader industry’s<br />
activities it is important that consistent benchmarking is undertaken of the<br />
energy resources sector and the industries within it. Such benchmarking<br />
allows the sector to identify weaknesses to focus on, and to better<br />
understand its international competitiveness. As such, <strong>NERA</strong> commissioned<br />
Accenture to produce a series of sector competitiveness assessments, of<br />
which the oil and gas and the coal sectors have been completed at the<br />
time of writing this SCP.<br />
The assessments focus on the industries of oil and gas and coal and follow<br />
a common methodology. A number of similar issues were identified across<br />
these energy resources industries. The assessment provides statistical backing<br />
to <strong>NERA</strong>’s strategic goals, allowing for an empirical measure of the progress<br />
of the sector as the recommendations of this SCP are put into action.<br />
78 National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong>
SECTOR BENCHMARKING<br />
Methodology<br />
The ICA comprises two core components. A framework for measuring competitiveness (ICF), and an index<br />
score of country competitiveness (ICS). The ICS is displayed in a dashboard to illustrate Australia’s relative<br />
performance (Dashboard), and a leader board to rank the world’s most competitive industries (Leader Board).<br />
To assess competitiveness effectively, a clear definition of the scope of the measurement is required.<br />
The business dictionary defines competitiveness as:<br />
“Ability of a firm, Industry, or a nation to offer products and services that meet the quality standards of<br />
the local and world markets at prices that are competitive and provide adequate returns on the resources<br />
employed or consumed in producing them” 56<br />
This analysis considers competitiveness of the industry in the context of a system of interdependent<br />
entities who participate in the industry. Within this context, the extent to which a single actor can<br />
excel in terms of overall performance is dependent the capacity and capability of the entire system.<br />
The competitiveness framework considers the four phases of the value chain; Exploration, Development,<br />
Production and Abandonment. It also considers operators, supply chain entities (including entities that<br />
manufacture, and or deliver products and services), as well as the industry regulatory environment.<br />
To identify a collectively exhaustive list of factors that influence industry competitiveness, Value Driver<br />
Trees (VDTs) were created for each of the four phases of the value chain, addressing four key questions.<br />
• Capacity – Does the industry have the required skills, infrastructure and equipment to produce its<br />
product to meet market demand?<br />
• Capability – Does the industry, collectively, have the capability (labour, capital and technology) to<br />
deliver energy to the market at market competitive prices?<br />
• Regulatory Environment – Is the regulatory environment contributing to and enabling the success<br />
of the industry?<br />
• Political and Social Environment – Are the political and social environments conducive to and<br />
supportive of the industry?<br />
These broad drivers are further broken down to specific metric level data points. A high-level breakdown<br />
of the VDT is shown in Figure 14.<br />
GLOBAL AND NATIONAL CHALLENGES<br />
Figure 14: ICF value driver tree<br />
Capacity<br />
Infrastructure<br />
Assets<br />
Labour Force<br />
Industry<br />
<strong>Competitiveness</strong><br />
Capability<br />
Regulatory<br />
Environment<br />
Capital<br />
Knowledge & IP<br />
Taxation System<br />
Regulation<br />
Political and Social<br />
Environment<br />
Industrial Relations<br />
Public (Social License to Operate)<br />
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SECTOR BENCHMARKING<br />
Oil and Gas Industry <strong>Competitiveness</strong><br />
Assessment 2016<br />
The oil and gas ICA is based on research conducted over the course of ten weeks from May to July<br />
2016 to create an industry relevant measure of oil and gas industry competitiveness that is robust and<br />
repeatable, allowing improvements to be tracked over future releases.<br />
This Australian Oil and Gas Industry <strong>Competitiveness</strong> Assessment (ICA), includes an Industry <strong>Competitiveness</strong><br />
Framework (ICF) and Industry <strong>Competitiveness</strong> Score (ICS). The score provides data-driven analysis<br />
of how to effectively allocate and direct effort to deliver maximum industry impact. It also presents a<br />
baseline against which the industry can measure its performance in future releases. This report outlines<br />
the methodology utilised and the results and insights gained from the ICS.<br />
OIL AND GAS INDUSTRY PEER GROUP AND<br />
DATASETS<br />
The competitiveness measurement requires a comparison of Australia’s performance against a peer<br />
group of oil and gas producers. This peer group was selected based on two criteria: market size and data<br />
availability. Countries were included if they had a greater than 0.2 per cent share of world production for<br />
either oil or gas and if they were captured in more than 80 per cent of the data sources. This resulted in<br />
an overall peer group of 32 countries.<br />
Data was collected primarily through secondary research from both public and proprietary data sources.<br />
The ICS uses 52 specific data points from 14 different sources across all 32 countries. All data is taken<br />
from 2015 data sources, although some metrics utilise longer periods. Key data sources used include;<br />
Wood Mackenzie 57 , International Gas Union (IGU) 58 , International Association of Oil and Gas Producers<br />
(IOGP) 59 , the Fraser Institute Global Petroleum Survey 60 , and Accenture’s “Ready or Not?” Study 61 .<br />
Where data on a specific industry group or value chain phase were not available, suitable proxy data<br />
points were used. Country specific data and surveys have also been used throughout the report to<br />
support findings of the ICS; however, these are not included in the competitiveness score.<br />
INDUSTRY COMPETITIVENESS SCORE<br />
To calculate the ICS, data points from the VDTs were logically split into eight components. Measures specific<br />
to a single phase of the value chain were included in their respective phase. Metrics that ran across<br />
the value chain were split into four industry growth enablers: Supply Chain; Research and Innovation;<br />
Workforce; and Government and Public Involvement. These growth enablers represent core capabilities,<br />
essential to the operation of a successful oil and gas industry. The structure is illustrated in Figure 15.<br />
Figure 15: ICS structure<br />
Value Chain Exploration Development Production Abandonment<br />
Supply Chain and Services<br />
Industry<br />
Growth<br />
Enables<br />
Research and Innovation<br />
Workforce<br />
Government and Public Involvement<br />
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SECTOR BENCHMARKING<br />
The combination of the 52 separate data points into a single score of overall industry competitiveness is<br />
achieved in three steps:<br />
1. All data points are scored relative to the peer group, between zero and ten, (where zero represents<br />
the weakest performance, and 10 the maximum achievable score).<br />
2. A weighted average of data scores is taken at the category level (i.e. Exploration or Workforce),<br />
generating eight scores for each country.<br />
3. The overall ICS is calculated as a weighted average of the eight components.<br />
This approach takes into consideration the broad definition of competitiveness used throughout this<br />
assessment. It also accounts for the interdependencies in the industry between the growth drivers and<br />
the different phases of the value chain.<br />
Figure 16: Oil and gas competitiveness dashboard<br />
Industry <strong>Competitiveness</strong><br />
MEDIAN<br />
6.4<br />
AUSTRALIA<br />
BEST (USA)<br />
Supply Chain<br />
6.4<br />
MEDIAN AUSTRALIA BEST<br />
Research<br />
& Innovation<br />
6.4<br />
MEDIAN AUSTRALIA BEST<br />
Industry Growth Enablers<br />
Workforce<br />
6.2<br />
MEDIAN AUSTRALIA BEST<br />
Government<br />
& Public<br />
6.1<br />
MEDIAN AUSTRALIA BEST<br />
Exploration Development & Execution Production Abandonment<br />
GLOBAL AND NATIONAL CHALLENGES<br />
7.5 5.2 7.4<br />
MEDIAN AUSTRALIA BEST MEDIAN AUSTRALIA BEST<br />
MEDIAN AUSTRALIA BEST<br />
1.8<br />
MEDIAN AUSTRALIA BEST<br />
From the baseline results, which are illustrated in Figure 16, Australia has an overall competitiveness score<br />
of 6.4 out of 10, ranking it seventh on the leader board of global peers, above the world median of 5.6,<br />
and lagging behind the world best, United States, at 7.3. The analysis finds that improvements across four<br />
priority areas can improve this score by 15 per cent, in line with the world’s best, and adding approximately<br />
$5 billion in value to the industry {note, this figure of $5 billion is determined by applying the 15 per cent<br />
potential improvements to the oil and gas share of the nation’s GDP as illustrated in Figure 17.<br />
<strong>NERA</strong> has commissioned further analysis of Australia’s exploration competitiveness<br />
This Assessment ranks Australia as the most competitive country in the Exploration and Appraisal phase,<br />
with a score of 7.5, above the global median of 5.2. This is a combination score for both conventional<br />
and unconventional exploration and appraisal wells. Australia drills wells efficiently and effectively, but<br />
the large number of unconventional wells introduces a bias into the statistical score so the total score<br />
does not accurately reflect the real exploration state of play in Australia and does not analyse the exact<br />
nature of exploration or the potential of unrealised exploration. Further, due to low commodity prices and<br />
the high cost environment in Australia, exploration activity has almost stopped in the last 18 months.<br />
To address the above, <strong>NERA</strong> has commissioned Accenture to undertake further analysis of Australia’s<br />
exploration and appraisal performance, reflecting conventional and unconventional wells and will provide<br />
a report on this over the next months.<br />
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SECTOR BENCHMARKING<br />
Figure 17: Value of potential improvements in competitiveness of Australian oil and gas sector<br />
$1.6 T<br />
100%<br />
Australian GDP<br />
(2014 - 2015)<br />
$33.3 B<br />
2.05%<br />
O&G share GDP<br />
$5 B<br />
ICA Improvement opportunity<br />
(15% of O&G GDP share)<br />
Legend: T = Trillion B = Billion, O&G = Oil and gas, GDP = Gross domestic product<br />
According to the ICS, although Australia ranks first in the world in the Exploration phase, in the Execution<br />
(design and construction of new facilities), Production and Abandonment phases, the country ranks at, or<br />
below the world median. For the industry to be truly competitive, excellence must run through the entire<br />
value chain. Importantly for Australia, the industry is shifting from Execution to Production: consequently,<br />
the focus should primarily be on improving operational performance, with a view to building capability<br />
for the Abandonment phase.<br />
To achieve improvements in Australia’s overall industry competitiveness, four priority areas are identified<br />
where changes in the short-term have the ability to affect the country’s performance:<br />
• Supply chain: Collaboration between operators and service providers to share resources and<br />
infrastructure, as well as setting up regional supply hubs, could see Australia overcome many of its<br />
structural supply chain disadvantages.<br />
• Research and innovation: Increased collaboration between universities and industry, combined<br />
with a focus on commercialisation of research would see Australia become a world leader in oil and<br />
gas research and innovation.<br />
• Workforce: Investing in building local capability for the Production and Abandonment phases,<br />
so that Australia’s workforce maintains its high quality.<br />
• Regulatory reform: Increasing engagement between industry and government to reduce the<br />
“red tape” that adds costs and extends timelines within the industry.<br />
The ICS provides a comprehensive, data-driven assessment of the Australian Oil and Gas industry from<br />
a global viewpoint. The results identify numerous areas for more rigorous study and suggest several<br />
innovative and collaborative improvements, that will have a dramatic impact on industry competitiveness<br />
if implemented. In future years, the ICS will provide a solid baseline against which the industry can<br />
measure improvement.<br />
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SECTOR BENCHMARKING<br />
PRIORITY AREAS AND OPPORTUNITIES<br />
The analysis considers the four phases of the value chain, and identifies a number of industry improvements<br />
that can boost Australia’s competitiveness. These ideas have been grouped into four priority areas:<br />
• Supply Chain;<br />
• Research and Innovation;<br />
• Work Force; and<br />
• Regulatory Reform.<br />
The analysis suggests that by focusing on innovative and collaborative solutions within these priority<br />
areas, a 15 per cent increase in the competitiveness score is achievable. This would place Australia on par<br />
with the current world’s best and capture approximately $5 billion per annum in industry value 62 .<br />
These priority areas focus on potential improvements achievable within the short term through an industry<br />
wide approach to enhancing competitiveness. An “others” category is also included to capture potential<br />
improvements outside the four priority areas. There are also areas that the industry is either not able to<br />
influence, such as geographical remoteness, or will not be able to improve in the near term, such as the<br />
high cost of the Australian labour force.<br />
Detailed modelling of the opportunities was conducted using the Dashboard at the metric level. The<br />
Dashboard allows for detailed scenario modelling, with a 15 per cent increase representing the short term<br />
plausible scenario. Longer term changes are harder to forecast, however, improvements are potentially much<br />
greater. Figure 18 displays the possible increases across each measured category and shows how Australia<br />
could move to be on par with the current most competitive oil and gas producer in the world, United States.<br />
Figure 18: Scenario modelling - Australian 15 per cent decrease<br />
<strong>Competitiveness</strong> Score<br />
7.5<br />
6.5<br />
4.57%<br />
1.86%<br />
3.34%<br />
3.23%<br />
1.92%<br />
GLOBAL AND NATIONAL CHALLENGES<br />
5.5<br />
Australia<br />
(Current)<br />
Supply<br />
Chain<br />
Research and<br />
Innovation<br />
Work<br />
Force<br />
Regulatory<br />
Reform<br />
Others<br />
Australia<br />
(Potential<br />
World Best)<br />
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SECTOR BENCHMARKING<br />
Supply Chain<br />
6.4<br />
MEDIAN AUSTRALIA BEST<br />
Supply chain results and opportunities<br />
Australian oil and gas industry score<br />
Australia’s Supply Chain score of 6.4 places the country in the third quartile, leaving significant room for<br />
improvement, while the world’s best, Netherlands, scores 8.0. Performance of the supply chain affects the<br />
industry over all four phases of the value chain, consequently, improvements can deliver major impact.<br />
Analysis suggests that, of the five categories, supply chain improvements and innovations will have the<br />
biggest impact on overall competitiveness, with a potential increase in the score of 4.57 per cent.<br />
Rationale for the score<br />
Australia has structural characteristics that hinder the country’s ability to compete with the world’s best,<br />
namely, the size and age of the industry, and the remote and challenging environments in which most<br />
operations are situated. In recent years, supply chain improvements have focused on procurement processes.<br />
How we could improve the score<br />
Going forward, major gains to industry competitiveness will come from sharing of resources, and finding<br />
innovative solutions to alleviate structural disadvantages. Some include:<br />
• Learning from the United Kingdom oil and gas industry that established the Oil and Gas Authority 63 .<br />
The Authority is tasked with working with government and industry to ensure the United Kingdom gets<br />
the maximum economic benefit from its oil and gas reserves. It was established in response to identified<br />
challenges facing the sector in the North Sea and is pursuing strategies to enhance the value of<br />
the sector. The CRINE initiative, which created a single prequalification and procurement process,<br />
consistent throughout the industry, if implemented in Australia, could unlock enormous value 71 .<br />
• Finding collaborative solutions to the size and geography of the Australian market. Industry operators<br />
should work towards sharing infrastructure and developing regional “hubs” to better manage and<br />
streamline the supply chain process.<br />
• Investing in advanced manufacturing, which provides an enormous opportunity in the Development<br />
and Production phase. The industry should explore opportunities from trialling technologies and<br />
advanced manufacturing techniques, creating a technology value proposition to support the broader<br />
domestic value chain.<br />
Industry impact<br />
The industry must find innovative and collaborative solutions to overcome the structural disadvantages<br />
inherent to Australia. Improvements in this area provide the biggest potential impact on Australia’s<br />
competitiveness.<br />
Research<br />
& Innovation<br />
6.4<br />
MEDIAN AUSTRALIA BEST<br />
Research and innovation results and opportunities<br />
Australian oil and gas industry score<br />
Australia performs well in the Research and Innovation score, well above the world median of 3.7.<br />
Rationale for the score<br />
This result runs contrary to popular perception. However, rather than a sign of Australia’s strong<br />
performance in this area, this reflects the poor state of research and innovation in many other oil and<br />
gas producing nations. Australia’s score is still far below the world’s best: the United States, the United<br />
Kingdom, and the Netherlands.<br />
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SECTOR BENCHMARKING<br />
How we could improve the score<br />
Improvements in Research and Innovation will have flow on effects to other priority areas and the<br />
industry. Those changes specific to Research and Innovation capability can boost overall competitiveness<br />
by around two per cent. Achievable changes in the near term include:<br />
• Increasing engagement between industry operators, universities and research institutions. Universities<br />
and research institutes can play a larger role in developing innovative solutions to solve the<br />
latest industry problems. Industry participants should collaborate more effectively to unlock this<br />
underutilised resource.<br />
• Improving the commercialisation of research in Australia to find ways of turning innovative ideas<br />
across the entire value chain into commercial successes.<br />
• Building world-class data analytics capability. Australia has some of the world’s most advanced<br />
production facilities. Data analytics needs to be used within these assets to find innovative ways to<br />
improve production efficiency. Collaboration is essential as this is a new set of skills for the industry.<br />
• Investing in new and innovative methods of reducing the cost and difficulty of decommissioning<br />
fields. Abandonment represents a significant liability for the industry if current technology is used.<br />
Industry impact<br />
A focus on building a successful research and innovation capability will have significant benefits for the<br />
rest of the industry. While <strong>NERA</strong> will pursue building a stronger research and innovation mindset, the<br />
industry needs to support this work to translate opportunities into tangible results.<br />
Workforce results and opportunities<br />
Australian oil and gas industry score<br />
The measure of workforce competitiveness considers both cost and quality. Australia scores 6.2, behind<br />
the world’s best, China, with a score of 8.3.<br />
Rationale for the score<br />
The balance between cost and quality is vital. While Australia’s costs are among the highest in the<br />
world, the current quality is of a high standard. Across the value chain, improvements in the capability of<br />
Australia’s workforce have the potential to boost the overall competitiveness score by 3.34 per cent.<br />
How we could improve the score<br />
As Australia’s industry moves from the Execution phase into Production and eventually Abandonment,<br />
there are significant risks and opportunities. The country’s workforce must capitalise on this transition and<br />
strive to become the world leader in oil and gas operations. Key changes to achieve this goal include:<br />
• Investing in focused training and education to ensure the industry is prepared for the Production<br />
phase. Particularly in maintenance and technical operational knowledge.<br />
• Improving organisational structures to limit the level of overheads. Australia has seen some of the<br />
world’s highest execution costs in the recent construction boom. If new greenfield projects are to<br />
happen, operators must engage the construction workforce and ensure they are appropriately skilled<br />
to deliver projects on budget and on schedule.<br />
• Building and scaling abandonment and decommissioning capability. This could include forming<br />
partnerships with organisations outside of Australia and undertaking exchange programs to build<br />
local capability.<br />
Industry impact<br />
A high-quality workforce is essential to a competitive oil and gas industry. As the industry moves from<br />
execution to operations, maintaining and improving Australia’s workforce competitiveness is paramount.<br />
Workforce<br />
6.2<br />
MEDIAN AUSTRALIA BEST<br />
GLOBAL AND NATIONAL CHALLENGES<br />
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SECTOR BENCHMARKING<br />
Government<br />
& Public<br />
6.1<br />
MEDIAN AUSTRALIA BEST<br />
Regulatory reform results and opportunities<br />
Australian oil and gas industry score<br />
Australia’s Government and Public Involvement score is 6.1, which is comparable to the world median,<br />
and provides ample room for improvement. Australia performs very well in the government policy and<br />
perception area: however, the regulatory component is a key area of weakness and presents the greatest<br />
opportunity for overall improvement. Changes here could add 3.23 per cent to overall competitiveness,<br />
the second largest in this analysis.<br />
Rationale for the score<br />
Complexity, duplication and “red tape” increase costs and extend timeframes for all participants. While<br />
some work has been done to improve the situation, if Australia wishes to become a leader in the industry,<br />
there is a pressing need for the regulatory bodies and industry stakeholders to work together more closely.<br />
How we could improve the score<br />
Specific potential improvements include:<br />
• Streamlining regulatory statutes and agencies to reduce the uncertainty surrounding regulation. There<br />
are approximately 150 statutes and more than 50 agencies regulating the oil and gas industry 65 .<br />
• Providing clear directives on environmental regulation. This area is currently a significant deterrent to<br />
investment in Australia. The state and federal governments must end the coal seam gas debate so the<br />
industry can move forward with certainty.<br />
• Revising the industrial relations framework. Seventy-five per cent of industry stakeholders reported<br />
feeling the country has an inflexible industrial relations framework 61 . {Note – industrial relations do<br />
not form part of <strong>NERA</strong>’s role}<br />
• Providing constructive and tangible feedback from industry. Government and regulatory bodies need<br />
to do their part by engaging with industry stakeholders to understand the voice of the customer.<br />
Industry impact<br />
Both industry and government have a common goal, to maximise value for Australia. There is significant<br />
benefit to be gained from collaborating and improving competitiveness within this area.<br />
Other Opportunities<br />
Cost cutting<br />
Industry operators have spent the past two years slashing costs and reducing workforce numbers.<br />
While the cost decreases have allowed operators to stay profitable, it is not a sustainable option and<br />
does not help to build Australia’s long term competitive edge.<br />
Operators need to continuously improve and streamline their operations. There is added benefit to<br />
increase competitiveness in doing so by collaborating with other operators, suppliers and stakeholders.<br />
A significant focus has been placed on these forms of initiatives, so continued effort will provide limited<br />
returns, made evident by the 1.92 per cent improvement found in the ICS analysis.<br />
Public perception<br />
Public perception and the Social Licence to Operate (SLO) are a vital component of today’s oil and gas<br />
industry. Oil and gas companies cannot function sustainably without the backing of the society in which<br />
they operate. Unfortunately, there is currently no reliable data source to measure SLO competitiveness<br />
across a broad range of countries on a yearly basis.<br />
Data from the World Bank Public Perceptions Survey on Extractive Industries 73 found that, in Australia,<br />
41 per cent believe the industry does not have a positive impact on the environment and 24 per cent<br />
believe the industry does not have a positive impact on local communities. While this data suggests<br />
Australia has room for improvement, without a global data set it is not possible to understand the<br />
country’s relative performance. The industry should collaborate to define measurable KPIs, and identify<br />
opportunities to increase the public’s trust in oil and gas companies.<br />
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Coal Industry <strong>Competitiveness</strong><br />
Assessment 2016<br />
The Australian Coal Industry <strong>Competitiveness</strong> Assessment includes an Industry <strong>Competitiveness</strong><br />
Framework (ICF) and Industry <strong>Competitiveness</strong> Score (ICS). The score results and findings are based on<br />
research conducted over the course of ten weeks from October to December 2016. The objective was to<br />
create an industry relevant measure of the coal industry competitiveness that was robust and repeatable,<br />
allowing improvements to be tracked over future releases.<br />
COAL INDUSTRY PEER GROUP AND DATASETS<br />
The competitiveness assessment requires a comparison of Australia’s performance against a peer group of<br />
coal producers and exporters. This peer group was selected based on four criteria; market share, growth<br />
outlook, industry structure within the country and data availability. Countries were included if they had a<br />
greater than 0.5 per cent share of world production or a significant year-on-year growth forecast of the coal<br />
industry (i.e. greater than 10 per cent), represented a sizeable share of GDP, and if they were captured in<br />
more than 80 per cent of the data sources. The assessment focused on world black coal production; as a<br />
result, lower ranked coals were excluded. This resulted in a peer group of 10 countries.<br />
The peer group of 10 countries had a combined share of 85.2 per cent of world black coal production in<br />
2015, making it a strong representation of the coal industry globally. Noticeably, India, which produces<br />
9.5 per cent of the world’s coal, is absent from the peer group due to the lack of sufficient data. Had<br />
India been included in the peer group, the combined group would have accounted for 94.7 per cent of<br />
world production.<br />
Data was collected primarily through secondary research from both public and proprietary data sources.<br />
The ICS uses 75 specific data points from a multitude of reputable sources across all 10 countries.<br />
All data is taken from 2015 data sources, although some metrics utilise longer periods. Key data sources<br />
used include; Wood Mackenzie, Metalytics, Fraser Institute, World Economic Forum, and Accenture’s<br />
internal research. The study uses data in 2015 United States Dollars (USD) with an exchange rate of<br />
Australian Dollar (AUD) to USD of 0.75 applied where applicable. Where data on a specific industry group<br />
or value chain phase was not available, suitable proxy data points were used.<br />
GLOBAL AND NATIONAL CHALLENGES<br />
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SECTOR BENCHMARKING<br />
INDUSTRY COMPETITIVENESS SCORE<br />
To calculate the ICS, data points from the Value Driver Tree (VDT) shown in Figure 14 above were logically<br />
split into eight pillars of competitiveness, which fall under two categories:<br />
• Industry Value Chain – activities performed by the industry to deliver a valuable product or service<br />
to the market.<br />
• Industry Growth Enablers – activities performed to enable and support the industry to deliver a<br />
valuable product or service to the market.<br />
Measures specific to a single phase of the value chain were included in their respective phase. Metrics<br />
that ran across the value chain were split into the four industry growth enablers – Supply Chain, Research<br />
and Innovation, Workforce, and Government and Public Involvement. These growth enablers represent core<br />
capability, essential to the operation of a successful coal industry. The structure is illustrated in Figure 19.<br />
Figure 19: Coal industry ICS structure<br />
Value Chain<br />
Exploration &<br />
Development<br />
Extraction &<br />
Production<br />
Coal<br />
Transportation<br />
Closure &<br />
Rehabilitation<br />
Supply Chain and Services<br />
Industry<br />
Growth<br />
Enables<br />
Research and Innovation<br />
Workforce<br />
Government and Public Involvement<br />
The combination of the 75 separate data points into a single score of overall industry competitiveness is<br />
achieved in four steps:<br />
1. All data points are scored relative to the peer group, between zero and 10, (where zero represents<br />
the weakest performance and 10 represents the maximum achievable score).<br />
2. Where possible metrics are broken down into different production types (i.e. underground versus<br />
surface mining, and thermal versus metallurgical coal), generating up to four sub-scores for each<br />
metric. Each country is then given a weighted average of each sub-score based on the prevalence of<br />
that production type within the country.<br />
3. A weighted average of data scores is taken for each pillar (i.e. Exploration and Development or<br />
Workforce), generating eight scores for each country.<br />
4. The overall ICS is calculated as a weighted average of the eight pillars.<br />
The overall approach to calculate the ICS takes into consideration the broad definition of competitiveness<br />
used throughout this assessment. It also accounts for the interdependencies in the industry between the<br />
growth enablers and the different phases of the value chain.<br />
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SECTOR BENCHMARKING<br />
Figure 20: Coal industry competitiveness dashboard<br />
Industry <strong>Competitiveness</strong><br />
Industry Growth Enablers<br />
MEDIAN<br />
AUSTRALIA<br />
BEST (CHINA)<br />
Supply Chain<br />
6.4<br />
MEDIAN AUSTRALIA BEST<br />
Workforce<br />
5.2<br />
MEDIAN AUSTRALIA BEST<br />
5.8<br />
Research<br />
& Innovation<br />
7.1<br />
MEDIAN AUSTRALIA BEST<br />
Government<br />
& Public<br />
5.4<br />
MEDIAN AUSTRALIA BEST<br />
Exploration &<br />
Development<br />
4.7<br />
Extraction &<br />
Production<br />
5.0<br />
Coal<br />
Transportation<br />
8.4<br />
MEDIAN AUSTRALIA BEST MEDIAN AUSTRALIA BEST<br />
MEDIAN AUSTRALIA BEST<br />
*US$3.4 billion excludes establishing landform and revegetation costs<br />
Closure &<br />
Rehabilitation<br />
US$3.4b *<br />
Estimated Australian mine<br />
closure liability to 2045 for<br />
currently operating mines<br />
From the analysis completed and shown in Figure 20, Australia has an Industry <strong>Competitiveness</strong> Score<br />
of 5.8 out of 10, behind the world’s best, China, and marginally exceeding the world average of 5.4.<br />
Australia performs strongly in the coal transportation phase of the value chain, with a score of 8.4, and<br />
also performs better than the world average in three of the four industry growth enablers. However, weak<br />
results in both the Exploration and Development and the Extraction and Production phases ultimately<br />
undermine the country’s overall competitiveness.<br />
China leads the ICS due to having one of the lowest costs across the value chain. China is the largest<br />
consumer and producer of coal in the world and ranks first in the Exploration and Development and Coal<br />
Transportation phases, and third in the Extraction and Production phase.<br />
Figure 21, presents the ICS leader board, where Australia ranks as the world’s third most competitive coal<br />
producing nation. While Australia ranks only slightly above average, the spread of scores across the peer<br />
group is low.<br />
Analysis of the results suggest this is because no single country performs consistently well across all<br />
eight pillars of competitiveness. For example, Canada, ranked eighth, scores very highly in the industry<br />
growth enabler pillars (i.e. Supply Chain, Research and Innovation, Workforce, and Government and<br />
Public Involvement); however, it is among the worst performers in the Extraction and Production and<br />
Coal Transportation pillars.<br />
These results suggest all 10 countries within the peer group have significant room for improvement and<br />
that, with industry commitment and policy support, Australia has the opportunity to significantly increase<br />
its competitiveness ranking.<br />
GLOBAL AND NATIONAL CHALLENGES<br />
Figure 21: Coal industry competitiveness leader board<br />
1 China 6 Indonesia<br />
2 South Africa 7 Colombia<br />
3 Australia 8 Canada<br />
4 United States 9 Vietnam<br />
5 Russia 10 Mozambique<br />
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SECTOR BENCHMARKING<br />
PRIORITY AREAS AND OPPORTUNITIES<br />
Implementing practical, innovative and collaborative solutions across key priority areas,<br />
will make Australia one of the most competitive and sustainable coal producing nations in<br />
the world.<br />
Industry improvements and opportunities have the potential to boost Australia’s competitiveness and add<br />
significant value to the industry and economy. These ideas have been grouped into four major priority areas:<br />
• Supply Chain;<br />
• Research and Innovation;<br />
• Work Force; and<br />
• Government and Public Involvement.<br />
These priority areas focus on improvements to the industry that are achievable within the short term<br />
across each phase of the value chain.<br />
To quantify the impact of the detailed initiatives, three separate measures were utilised: the change<br />
in Australia’s competitiveness score against the global peer group, cost savings to industry mining<br />
operations, and the industry value added increases. Each measure provides an alternate view of the<br />
potential benefit to the industry and country as a whole. The analysis suggests Australia could become<br />
the world’s most competitive coal industry, while unlocking AUD$4.5 billion in value for the economy.<br />
To understand the potential improvements to Australia’s coal competitiveness score, detailed modelling of<br />
the opportunities was conducted using the dashboard at the metric level. Figure 22 displays the possible<br />
increases across each measured priority area. Due to Australia’s uncompetitive mining and processing<br />
capability, priority areas that impact on the Extraction and Production phase of the value chain where<br />
found to have the largest impact. Overall the solutions detailed have the ability to increase Australia’s<br />
coal competitiveness score by 18 per cent. Based on 2015 figures, the industry has the ability to overtake<br />
China to become the world’s most competitive coal producer.<br />
Figure 22: Scenario modelling – Australian 18 per cent decrease<br />
<strong>Competitiveness</strong> Score<br />
7.0<br />
6.0<br />
5.1%<br />
3.7%<br />
4.6%<br />
3.8%<br />
1.0%<br />
5.0<br />
Australia<br />
(Current)<br />
Supply<br />
Chain<br />
Research and<br />
Innovation<br />
Work<br />
Force<br />
Government<br />
& Public<br />
Involvment<br />
Others<br />
Australia<br />
(Potential<br />
World Best)<br />
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Supply chain results and opportunities<br />
Australian coal industry score<br />
Australia’s Supply Chain score of 6.4 places the country above the peer group average, but shows<br />
there is significant room for improvement compared to the world’s best, United States, which scores<br />
9.0. The performance of the supply chain affects the industry over all phases of the value chain,<br />
so improvements can deliver major impact. Analysis suggests that supply chain improvements and<br />
innovations will increase Australia’s overall coal competitiveness standing by 5.1 per cent.<br />
Supply Chain<br />
6.4<br />
MEDIAN AUSTRALIA BEST<br />
How we could improve the score<br />
For Australia to remain above the peer group average and be competitive in this area, it needs to<br />
consider a number of innovative solutions. Two possible solutions include:<br />
• Creating additional regional supply hubs and services, like the Hunter Valley Coal Chain Coordinator<br />
(HVCCC), to support the industry. The HVCCC is an excellent example of industry operators collaborating to<br />
form a joint-partner entity that focuses solely on managing a component of the supply chain in a particular<br />
region. Additional joint-partner entities should look at managing warehousing, logistics and transportation<br />
needed to support mining operations, allowing operators to focus on core mining capability. This could reap<br />
several benefits including the creation of new jobs, and the standardisation of supply chain operations.<br />
• Coordinating key operational activities such as shutdowns or major maintenance across the industry.<br />
The coal industry can learn how to set this up from the coal seam gas industry in Queensland.<br />
Coal operators can form better partnerships with service providers to facilitate a more effective and<br />
efficient flow of people and materials. This provides the opportunity to optimise resources, equipment,<br />
and ultimately increase overall utilisation.<br />
Industry impact<br />
These potential solutions would require organisations to shift from the conventional “way of working”<br />
and adopt new operating models. Given the risks, the overall benefits would still outweigh them and<br />
allow Australia to increase its Supply Chain competitiveness.<br />
GLOBAL AND NATIONAL CHALLENGES<br />
Research and innovation results and opportunities<br />
Australian coal industry score<br />
Australia performs well in Research and Innovation with a score of 7.1, well above the world average of<br />
5.1, and only behind leaders, the United States with a score of 8.2.<br />
Research<br />
& Innovation<br />
7.1<br />
MEDIAN AUSTRALIA BEST<br />
Rationale for the score<br />
Since 1992 the coal industry has funded major research and innovation through the Australian Coal<br />
Association Research Program (ACARP) 8 . The organisation is a strong and active research vehicle owned<br />
and funded by Australian coal producers. In combination with <strong>NERA</strong>, the coal industry has sufficient<br />
capacity to drive research, innovation and collaboration across the industry.<br />
How we could improve the score<br />
Although Australia performs well in this area, there is still considerable room for the industry’s Research<br />
and Innovation capability to improve, in order to remain competitive with the United States. Possible<br />
focus areas include:<br />
• Solving industry issues such as reducing overburden removal. Operators must be willing to share<br />
information and invest in collaborating with research institutes and universities to solve key industry<br />
challenges together. Once a solution has been determined, commercialisation can easily take place<br />
because all stakeholder groups have been involved and engaged throughout the process. The industry<br />
should leverage both ACARP and <strong>NERA</strong> to grow and drive innovation and its commercialisation forward.<br />
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SECTOR BENCHMARKING<br />
• Investing in technology to create the world’s most advanced coal mining operations, including linking<br />
systems to equipment and vehicles to drive automation and integration. Additionally, the industry<br />
should leverage data analytics capability to increase productivity and utilisation. To implement<br />
these programs, the coal industry should look to other resources industries, such as iron ore, to<br />
leverage their knowledge and speed up adoption. <strong>NERA</strong> is well placed to facilitate this cross industry<br />
collaboration, and assist in the commercialisation of these technologies.<br />
Industry impact<br />
Analysis estimates that there can be a 3.7 per cent increase in the Research and Innovation score<br />
should these actions be implemented successfully. The entire industry needs to support the research and<br />
innovation agenda. <strong>NERA</strong> has an important role in helping to accelerate and translate opportunities into<br />
tangible results and benefits for the nation.<br />
Workforce<br />
5.2<br />
MEDIAN AUSTRALIA BEST<br />
Workforce results and opportunities<br />
Australian coal industry score<br />
With a score of 5.2, Australia performs just below the peer group average for Workforce, trailing well<br />
behind the peer group best, the United States, with a score of 7.3.<br />
Rationale for the score<br />
Australia’s training, education infrastructure, and labour productivity (measured by marketable tonnes per<br />
employee), are world-leading; however, labour costs are by far the highest in the world.<br />
How we could improve the score<br />
Major improvements to Australia’s Workforce coal competitiveness ranking are unlikely to come from<br />
cost reductions. Instead, the industry must focus on utilising the country’s high skilled labour to boost<br />
productivity. Initiatives in this area have the ability to increase Australia’s overall Workforce coal<br />
competitiveness score by 4.6 per cent. Key solutions include:<br />
• Embracing the “new” way of working. Leveraging the country’s highly qualified workforce to utilise<br />
digital, disruptive technologies and methodologies that have the potential to provide major increases<br />
to operational efficiency and productivity.<br />
• Improving the working partnership between operators and service providers and contractors. Focus<br />
on outcome and value-based incentives rather than headcount to execute specific scopes of work.<br />
This also promotes collaboration and innovation.<br />
• Building capability required for the upcoming wave of closure and rehabilitation activities. This includes<br />
investing in relevant training and potentially organising work secondments to countries with coalmines<br />
undergoing end-of-life closure and rehabilitation.<br />
Industry impact<br />
An agile, competent and engaged workforce is essential to building a competitive coal industry. The ability<br />
of Australia’s workforce to continually evolve and be on the forefront of technology will be critical to its<br />
overall success.<br />
Government<br />
& Public<br />
5.4<br />
MEDIAN AUSTRALIA BEST<br />
Government and public involvement results and opportunities<br />
Australian coal industry score<br />
The Government and Public Involvement industry growth enabler measures a number of factors such<br />
as regulatory climate, government policies (including taxation and royalties), and social licence and<br />
community perception. Overall, Australia scores 5.4, putting it just above the peer group average and<br />
behind the best, Canada, with a score of 6.3. Analysis suggests there is opportunity to improve Australia’s<br />
Government and Public Involvement coal competitiveness score by 3.8 per cent.<br />
This industry growth enabler concentrates on two very important areas of the industry: regulatory reform,<br />
comprising government involvement; and social licence, comprising community and public involvement.<br />
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SECTOR BENCHMARKING<br />
Regulatory reform<br />
Considering the regulatory climate, and government policy and involvement specifically, Australia ranks<br />
third with a score of 5.7, behind Canada and the United States, with scores of 7.3 and 5.9 respectively.<br />
Australia seemingly does well in this area; however, consideration of the peer group needs to be taken<br />
into account. Against the other developed nations in the peer group, Australia’s performance suggests<br />
there is significant room for improvement.<br />
An estimated 1.7 per cent increase in the coal competitiveness score is possible through the<br />
implementation of regulatory reform opportunities. These include:<br />
• Redefining the interaction between government bodies and the industry. Shifting to a more collaborative<br />
and partnership-orientated model would reduce industry time and money spent dealing with red<br />
tape, and allow better channelling of resources to value adding activities.<br />
• Working with stakeholders to establish a robust, clear, consistent and transparent set of directives on<br />
requirements and regulations e.g. environment and land usage.<br />
Australia has a stable, developed government, and provides a reliable supply of coal to key markets,<br />
placing the country above many of its competitors. If policy and regulation can align together with the<br />
strategic needs of the industry, Australia will climb the ranks of competitiveness in this area, overtaking<br />
other developed nations.<br />
Social licence<br />
Breaking down the Government and Public Involvement industry growth enabler score, Australia scores<br />
5.0 in social licence. This is just above the peer group average of 4.7, and trailing behind the best, the<br />
United States, with a score of 6.8.<br />
Public support for the coal industry lies heavily on the industry’s use and management of the environment.<br />
The general public has a poor view of the coal industry, which if not addressed appropriately, will continue<br />
to weaken the coal industry’s competitive position. Several opportunities exist to increase Australia’s<br />
social licence ranking and overall competitiveness score by an estimated 2.2 per cent through:<br />
• Promoting the “clean energy transition” message, and engaging communities to understand the<br />
global view. The industry can also set up a single platform to build a consistent message to increase<br />
coal mining literacy and education across the nation, ensuring that the modes of communication are<br />
relevant to today’s generation.<br />
• Forming an independent body made up of industry, government, and suppliers to manage heritage<br />
mines not previously closed or rehabilitated properly. This will increase jobs, increase collaboration,<br />
improve the environment, and ultimately improve community satisfaction. Taxes and royalties<br />
potentially could be directed towards this initiative, which promotes involvement and participation<br />
from all parties.<br />
Involvement and support from the community is vital to the coal industry’s sustained success. The current<br />
poor social licence within the country suggests that a well-coordinated approach by all industry<br />
participants has the opportunity to make significant gains.<br />
GLOBAL AND NATIONAL CHALLENGES<br />
Other opportunities<br />
The industry has spent the last few years cutting costs through direct initiatives and headcount reductions.<br />
While there were immediate results at that time, it does not translate to significant benefit today, and<br />
will not be sustainable for operations going forward. There are many opportunities both internally within<br />
the coal operator organisation, and externally to pursue incremental and transformational improvement<br />
initiatives. Improving collaboration between operators, suppliers, government bodies and other industry<br />
stakeholders can unlock hidden and significant value for the coal industry. Estimates made from the ICS<br />
analysis suggest a potential increase of 1.0 per cent in improvement is possible in the near term.<br />
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94 National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong>
3<br />
SECTOR<br />
CHALLENGES<br />
AND KNOWLEDGE<br />
PRIORITIES<br />
Section 3 begins by identifying and discussing the challenges faced by the<br />
sector, and the opportunities and initiatives that the sector as a whole, and<br />
the industries individually, can pursue to make improvements in efficiency<br />
and productivity to create new market opportunities. It then goes on to<br />
discuss in detail each of the nine knowledge priorities identified by the SCP<br />
as the key areas that need to be addressed by the sector to ensure a globally<br />
competitive, innovative, sustainable and diverse future.<br />
These knowledge priorities are broken into three major categories or levers:<br />
capability and leadership; business and operating models, technology and<br />
services; and regulatory environment. By systematically addressing these<br />
knowledge priorities is the sector going to be able to retain its position as<br />
one of the world’s pre-eminent suppliers of energy and of the knowledge,<br />
services, technologies and skills that support the sector.<br />
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<strong>Sector</strong> Wide<br />
Challenges and<br />
Opportunities<br />
Growing energy demand in Asia, increased environmental awareness<br />
and an evolving global energy mix, create immense opportunity and not<br />
insignificant challenge for the Australian energy resources sector.<br />
Major shifts are expected in the ways in which power is generated,<br />
distributed, controlled and consumed as the world moves to incorporate<br />
more renewable energy in the broad energy mix. This shift will force sectorwide<br />
adaptation, as new infrastructure needs to be built and integrated,<br />
and new operational frameworks are created. Despite these challenges,<br />
there are significant opportunities for Australian energy resources,<br />
particularly in meeting growing Asian demand.<br />
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SECTOR WIDE CHALLENGES AND OPPORTUNITIES<br />
<strong>Sector</strong> Wide<br />
A number of challenges and opportunities are sector wide and, while impacting each sector in different<br />
ways, have potentially many common causes and solutions:<br />
Low<br />
commodity<br />
prices<br />
Water<br />
management<br />
Carbon<br />
emissions<br />
Sovereign<br />
risk<br />
Regulatory<br />
environment<br />
Low commodity prices due to major structural changes in global supply and a<br />
short-term (up to 2022) oversupply in the global market.<br />
Concerns and challenges associated with the ongoing management of water,<br />
ensuring it is equitably available for all land users including agriculture, human<br />
settlement and industry.<br />
Understanding how best to manage carbon emissions from both the primary<br />
production of energy resources and their consumption.<br />
A perception that Australia is becoming a nation of greater sovereign risk for<br />
capital investment by operators due to the increasingly restrictive regulatory<br />
burden, and restrictions on developments, both in place and being threatened in<br />
various states.<br />
A restrictive and onerous regulatory environment, which is particularly difficult in<br />
respect of the approvals process within many states, restricting operators’ ability<br />
to undertake the exploration activities that underpin the long-term viability of the<br />
Australian energy resource sector.<br />
In addition to these sector wide challenges, there are also a number of more discrete challenges and<br />
opportunities that will be faced by the industries making up the sector over the coming decade.<br />
PHOTO<br />
SECTOR CHALLENGES AND KNOWLEDGE PRIORITIES<br />
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<strong>Sector</strong> Specific<br />
Challenges,<br />
Constraints and<br />
Opportunities<br />
Australian oil and gas industry<br />
The Australian LNG industry’s capacity has increased more than four-fold over the past five years to<br />
supply the anticipated increase in demand. This rapid growth has created challenges and opportunities<br />
for the still-maturing industry.<br />
Key challenges<br />
High cost operating environment<br />
Australia’s relatively high cost operating environment due to labour costs, remoteness of operations, and<br />
distance from global supply chains results in many aspects of the Australian oil and gas industry being<br />
substantially more expensive than other jurisdictions. For example, the cost to explore and develop a<br />
shale gas well in Australia is believed to be around 250 to 300 per cent higher than to develop a similar<br />
well in the United States.<br />
Declining exploration<br />
The unstable oil price combined with newly imposed moratoria and regulatory restrictions, has resulted<br />
in a significant reduction in exploration investment. An investigation into the east coast gas market by<br />
the Australian Competition and Consumer Commission (ACCC) 67 found that it was unclear whether new<br />
reserves would be developed in a timely fashion, noting that:<br />
• “The magnitude of gas flows to the liquefied gas projects, which are removing gas from the domestic<br />
market”;<br />
• “The low oil price, which is resulting in declining investment in gas exploration and lower production<br />
forecasts for domestic and LNG projects”; and<br />
• “Moratoria and regulatory restrictions, which are affecting onshore exploration and development”.<br />
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SECTOR SPECIFIC CHALLENGES, CONSTRAINTS AND OPPORTUNITIES<br />
Many new discoveries, particularly offshore, are often in remote areas, and expensive to develop with<br />
limited existing infrastructure. Success rates are low. Geoscience Australia indicates a 28 per cent success<br />
rate between 1955 to 2011, with 14 per cent commercial success (585 wells from 4,248 wells drilled).<br />
Long-term growth in the Australian oil and gas industry is dependent on consistent levels of exploration.<br />
Slow commercialisation of oil and gas reserves<br />
There are substantial numbers of identified oil and gas discoveries not yet producing 68 for reasons such as<br />
difficulty of access (such as deep water, remote, offshore fields), lack of commercially suitable development<br />
opportunities, and technologies or regulatory issues impeding commercialisation of the fields. In the offshore<br />
basins, the cycle time from discovery to production is usually greater than 5 years. The length of time from<br />
discovery to production reported by Geoscience Australia demonstrates that the development cycle time<br />
often exceeds 10 years.<br />
• 16 fields greater than 20 years;<br />
• 32 fields greater than 10 years;<br />
• 52 fields greater than 5 years.<br />
Lack of current pathway to develop skills required for integrated teams and operations<br />
Limited availability of process technicians and operators with the high-level skills required to run increased<br />
numbers of integrated teams and operations. Technological change will require multiskilling in the future,<br />
which will need to be supported by significant changes to current training regimes, and the articulation of<br />
skills development pathways to ensure a sufficient number of suitably skilled personnel for future needs.<br />
Potential shortage of specialist skills for maintenance activities<br />
A potential shortage of specialist skilled and experienced labour for maintenance and turnarounds of<br />
Australia’s 21 LNG trains within the LNG sector. This could be heightened by parallel maintenance activities<br />
in the broader energy and resource sectors, if a parallel recovery in commodity prices occurs and drives<br />
demand for those skills across other industries.<br />
Social licence to operate<br />
Challenges to the industry’s social licence to operate, including negative community perceptions of<br />
the social and environmental impacts of unconventional developments, concerns over the potential<br />
development of new offshore basins and increasing community expectations around the transition to<br />
renewable energy sources. This will require the sector to operate through high levels of community<br />
engagement, corporate transparency and exemplary social citizenship.<br />
High cost reputation<br />
Based on both a 2013 McKinsey report 69 and work by the Oxford Institute for Energy Studies 70 , the cost<br />
of building new LNG plants has increased significantly in the past decade, with Australia now 20 to 30<br />
per cent higher than in North America and East Africa.<br />
Even if all compressible differences are resolved, Australian costs will remain higher than North American<br />
costs, so Australia needs to strive for best-in-class construction and operations performance to be competitive.<br />
A reputation as a high cost environment, resulting from the many project budget and schedule overruns<br />
experienced during the recent expansion phase of the industry is contributing to operators deferring<br />
future major capital investment in Australia in favour of other jurisdictions. To help restore Australia’s<br />
reputation, the industry needs to demonstrate that it can operate and maintain the new and existing<br />
facilities to world’s best standards.<br />
SECTOR CHALLENGES AND KNOWLEDGE PRIORITIES<br />
Abandonment costs<br />
Uncertainty over capital and regulatory costs of abandonment, as many operators plan for the end of life<br />
of their facilities; and given that, to date such abandonment activities have been relatively few, the need<br />
to establish and test an appropriate regulatory framework.<br />
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SECTOR SPECIFIC CHALLENGES, CONSTRAINTS AND OPPORTUNITIES<br />
International competition<br />
The emergence of the United States as a new and materially low cost LNG supplier into both the Atlantic<br />
and Pacific basins, with the United States seen as a low risk jurisdiction for delivery and sovereign risk –<br />
a position which Australia has held for many years.<br />
• The expansion of gas exports into China from Russian and Baltic nations.<br />
• The unknown but potential rise of a domestic Chinese unconventional source of gas supply.<br />
• Difficulty of local service providers to integrate into the international supply chain.<br />
Collaboration<br />
Increasing collaboration to reduce overall operating costs, with operators and the service sector working<br />
to find ways to reduce costs through sharing of knowledge, equipment and facilities. Where appropriate,<br />
this collaboration may need to be ratified through discussions with the Australian Consumer and<br />
Competition Commission (ACCC).<br />
Key opportunities<br />
Increasing and improving collaboration<br />
Increasing collaboration amongst operators to maximise asset productivity.<br />
Improving collaboration between operators and technology and engineering service providers to increase<br />
innovation and productivity.<br />
Develop an export-oriented service sector<br />
Leveraging the critical mass emerging in Australian operations to develop an export-oriented service sector.<br />
Ensure future capital investment<br />
Addressing cost, regulatory and social licence concerns to ensure Australia continues to be perceived as a<br />
politically stable and economically reliable destination for future capital investment.<br />
Develop shale and tight gas basins<br />
Developing shale and tight gas basins to support domestic demand, and potentially for export (note, that<br />
without the scale of a large market such as export LNG, domestic only unconventional gas may not prove<br />
economic using current indicators).<br />
Investigate emerging markets<br />
Investigate opportunities in growing and emerging new markets such as India, and explore and pursue<br />
alternate markets for existing products such as the use of gas as a transport fuel.<br />
Increasing capacity and critical mass of the LNG industry<br />
Based on the 2015 Accenture report 61 , key performance measures in the oil and gas industry are<br />
expected to increase in the next five years, but the size of the services sector and direct employment<br />
numbers in the oil and gas industry will decline.<br />
The total capital investment, including capital and operating expenses, will rise to over $750 billion by<br />
2040, significantly overshadowing project capital investment. This is a major opportunity for the services<br />
industry to reshape itself to manage the long tail of operations and maintenance associated with LNG<br />
projects. However, the total size of the oil and gas services market is expected to decline from its high of<br />
$29.3 billion in 2014 to $23.1 billion in 2020. Strong growth in demand for operational, maintenance<br />
and turnaround services will offset some decline in construction services.<br />
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SECTOR SPECIFIC CHALLENGES, CONSTRAINTS AND OPPORTUNITIES<br />
Domestic gas market growth<br />
A number of opportunities to grow the domestic market for oil and gas such as those identified by McKinsey 71 .<br />
These include: using natural gas to power Australia’s trucks; converting mining trucks to run on LNG; run<br />
Australia’s public transport busses on compressed natural gas (CNG); use LNG as bunkering fuel for domestic<br />
ships and ultimately international shipping; switch to LNG for rail; switch off-grid oil-fired power generation<br />
to gas; switch on-grid power generation to gas; and increase the utilisation of existing efficient gas plants.<br />
These changes will require financial investment and some changes in usage expectations. However,<br />
McKinsey are also forecast substantial ongoing cost savings and CO 2<br />
emissions reductions. Adoption of<br />
many of these opportunities are currently constrained by a combination of low costs for traditional liquid<br />
fuels and the pace of renewal of vehicle fleets which would need to be changed to use LNG.<br />
Such changes could decrease our national reliance on imported oil products but also assist in meeting<br />
Australia’s CO 2<br />
emissions obligations under COP21 17 .<br />
Australian coal industry<br />
Increased pressure to reduce CO 2<br />
emissions and a switch towards renewable energy sources locally<br />
means that domestic demand for thermal coal is forecast to decline over the next 10 years. However,<br />
reduced domestic demand will be offset by increased export demand from Asia and an anticipated overall<br />
growing global demand 4 . Demand for metallurgical coal is expected to increase in the medium term with<br />
reinvigorated demand from China and other developing nations.<br />
Key challenges<br />
Market volatility<br />
Sub-optimal asset productivity and costs in a volatile price environment.<br />
Inefficient rail transport<br />
High cost and inefficient infrastructure contracts impacting some producers.<br />
Pressures on land and water use<br />
Overlap of coal mining tenements with agricultural land in New South Wales and Queensland, leading to<br />
conflicting pressures on land and water use.<br />
Water availability<br />
Effective management of both surface and ground water consistent with environmental requirements.<br />
Societal concerns<br />
Increasing social concern with climate change and the environmental impact of resource extraction,<br />
which will limit the industry’s social licence to operate.<br />
Regulatory burden<br />
Increasing Government regulation and ‘green tape’.<br />
Cost effective closure plans<br />
Development of coherent and cost effective mine closure and rehabilitation plans.<br />
SECTOR CHALLENGES AND KNOWLEDGE PRIORITIES<br />
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SECTOR SPECIFIC CHALLENGES, CONSTRAINTS AND OPPORTUNITIES<br />
Key opportunities<br />
Technology<br />
Technological advances and implementation of operator assist and decision support technologies used in<br />
other bulk commodities to unlock productivity improvements.<br />
Ongoing utilisation of high efficiency low emission (HELE) technologies, control of fugitive emissions and<br />
carbon capture and storage (CCS) to minimise carbon footprint.<br />
Mine water storage capacity<br />
Improved mine design and operations to facilitate reduced consumption and compliance with regulatory<br />
scrutiny of water use.<br />
Service industry utilisation<br />
Improving utilisation of the service industry to leverage existing capacity of workshops, skilled personnel<br />
and equipment.<br />
Product mix<br />
Product mix evolution with the development of new superior products.<br />
Asian demand<br />
Strategic targeting of increasing Asian demand for higher quality coal with a higher specific energy and<br />
lower ash content.<br />
Australian uranium industry<br />
The uranium industry will need to overcome regulatory hurdles, perceived radiation safety concerns and<br />
social licence to operate issues in order to participate fully in the energy future of Australia and the world.<br />
Key challenges<br />
Public awareness<br />
Lack of informed public literacy around the science associated with uranium and nuclear energy<br />
generation, and the different risks associated with different energy sources and technologies.<br />
Limited port access<br />
Limits to the ports from where uranium can be exported, with only Darwin and Adelaide currently<br />
licensed for the export of uranium; and limits to the ability of the industry to access ports elsewhere in<br />
Australia whilst carrying cargoes of uranium, thereby restricting the options available to the domestic<br />
uranium industry to transport its products to international customers.<br />
Regulatory environment<br />
Legislative and policy restrictions at the Federal and State levels on mining uranium e.g. in New South<br />
Wales, Queensland and Victoria, and on the development of nuclear power and other parts of the<br />
uranium value chain (e.g. waste management and disposal), which limit the growth of the industry.<br />
Better processing knowledge<br />
Building a comprehensive understanding of how to better and more efficiently process the challenging<br />
ore bodies in which much of the known Australian uranium is found.<br />
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SECTOR SPECIFIC CHALLENGES, CONSTRAINTS AND OPPORTUNITIES<br />
Equipment and skill shortages<br />
Equipment and skills shortages which limit the capacity of Australian mines to respond quickly to an<br />
increase in demand.<br />
International competition<br />
Strategic development of uranium production capacity by Kazakhstan 5 through counter-cycle investment<br />
has positioned them ahead of Australia to respond to any increase in uranium demand, although<br />
Australian uranium is regarded by many customers as their preferred product.<br />
Key initiatives<br />
Given the drive to reduce carbon emissions globally, Australia’s uranium could acquire a much more<br />
significant position as a source of export revenue for the nation. To realise this potential Australia needs<br />
to pursue the following initiatives:<br />
Energy literacy<br />
As part of a broader energy literacy initiative, the sector needs to help enhance the overall level of public<br />
understanding of how energy resources are produced, how power is generated, the risks associated with<br />
different energy sources and technologies, and the role energy resources play in the nation’s economy.<br />
The sector needs to continue to engage with the community and test evolving attitudes towards uranium<br />
mining and other aspects of the nuclear value chain.<br />
Regulatory change<br />
Review restrictive legislation, and reform and replace with robust, risk and outcomes based, efficient, and<br />
fit for purpose regulation.<br />
Testing new technologies<br />
Test technological improvements such as reagent advances, heap leaching and in-situ leaching to<br />
improve production capacity with low operating expenditure.<br />
Work skills<br />
Improve the attractiveness of the uranium mining sector to the workforce, in terms of salaries and skill<br />
development for radiation safety.<br />
Cross <strong>Sector</strong> Challenges and<br />
Opportunities<br />
Many opportunities and challenges span two or more sectors or are broader than the energy resources sector,<br />
and these are likely to have profound influences and impacts on the energy resources sector in the coming years.<br />
This includes factors such as the rapid emergence of renewable energy technologies that, when added to<br />
the global and domestic energy mix, will drive markets in unanticipated directions. An example of this can be<br />
currently seen in the deployment of domestic solar power technologies to meet household electricity needs,<br />
which are causing substantial disruption to the generation and distribution networks, as well as increased<br />
levels of pricing instability. The impact of large scale uptake of solar panels, combined with emerging<br />
domestic battery storage and smart grid technology, will cause even greater disruptions.<br />
An ageing working population and declining numbers of students pursuing science, technology, engineering<br />
and mathematics (STEM) subjects in schools and universities is a challenge not only for the energy resources<br />
sector, but for Australia as a whole. This will add to the challenges the energy resources sector faces in<br />
ensuring it has access to a highly skilled and competent workforce to pursue future development, and<br />
to meet the requirements to develop innovative solutions and technologies, such as use of digital and<br />
diagnostic analytics, automation and advanced manufacturing technologies and processes.<br />
SECTOR CHALLENGES AND KNOWLEDGE PRIORITIES<br />
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How the<br />
Australian Energy<br />
Resources <strong>Sector</strong><br />
Should Respond<br />
The three levers to a strong future<br />
To remain competitive and build future markets and customers, the sector<br />
will need to address three primary levers: a suitable business model; a<br />
contemporary and future focussed operating model incorporating technological<br />
capabilities; and the right capability, skills and culture to succeed.<br />
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HOW THE AUSTRALIAN ENERGY RESOURCE SECTOR SHOULD RESPOND<br />
1<br />
Business<br />
models<br />
2<br />
Operational<br />
models and<br />
technology<br />
capabilities<br />
3<br />
Capacity,<br />
skills and<br />
culture<br />
The energy resources sector needs to find new markets to supplement those it<br />
currently serves, secure new customers and provide alternate forms of services that<br />
more deeply engage with the value chain. This can potentially include providing<br />
turnkey solutions to customers rather than simply the products used to generate<br />
energy, delivering clean technologies and the gasification of coal to produce<br />
hydrogen. This could also include the provision of knowledge and skills in specialist<br />
areas such as LNG operations, remote operations and modular construction.<br />
The sector also needs to build stronger, collaborative relationships within<br />
the entire energy resources value chain, global partnerships to access<br />
global supply chains, and with other industry sectors such as advanced<br />
manufacturing, defence and shipping, where the synergies and common<br />
challenges may lead to novel and valuable solutions.<br />
The last two to three years have seen significant cost cutting across businesses<br />
but there are still significant efficiencies to be captured by reconsidering<br />
existing operating models and exploring new ways of reducing process<br />
complexity and waste, finding ways to collaborate more broadly, sharing<br />
logistics demands through consolidation, reduce unnecessary and expensive<br />
bespoke standards and conditions around contracts, inductions, training and<br />
qualifications and seeking ways to use common, industry wide substitutes.<br />
Businesses need to be open to sharing environmental and other research and<br />
data which is non-competitive and of benefit to the sector as a whole.<br />
Businesses in the sector could also increase their efforts to optimise their<br />
operations through ongoing development and deployment of automation, the<br />
adoption of advanced manufacturing such as 3D printing, the use of alternate<br />
materials and the adoption of lean systems.<br />
To drive innovation across the value and supply chains, the sector should support<br />
greater collaboration between the operators/miners, research sector and SME’s,<br />
through, for example, research/industry precincts and living labs to allow faster<br />
prototyping and testing, multi-user facilities and industry and innovation clusters<br />
(clusters can force-multiply investment, reduce risk for the participants and<br />
commercial contributors and speed innovation, whilst vendors can collaborate to<br />
achieve critical mass and improve ease of access for export opportunities).<br />
The sector could further collaborate to optimise processes through the development<br />
and adoption of disruptive technologies such as machine learning and diagnostics,<br />
3D printing, advanced materials and new ways to build small scale, economically<br />
viable plants that contain the capital investment required to maintain production.<br />
There are also further opportunities for the sector to share non-competitive and<br />
pre-competitive information such as environmental and meteorological data.<br />
For the sector to be competitive in a disruptive and rapidly changing<br />
environment with operations that are becoming more automated, integrated<br />
and digital, it must have the capacity, skills and culture to be agile, adapt<br />
and innovate. The sector must define and develop the skills required for<br />
the ‘operations of the future’, spread digital competencies more broadly<br />
throughout the workforce so that members of every organisation have the<br />
skills to leverage the volume and quality of data available.<br />
The sector must invest in the development of enhanced commercial skills to identify<br />
and respond to new market, customer and service opportunities, and reward<br />
innovation and the uptake of new technologies, through creating a more agile<br />
and adaptable workforce ad operating environment where the risks of deploying<br />
new technologies can be quickly calculated and innovative decisions made.<br />
SECTOR CHALLENGES AND KNOWLEDGE PRIORITIES<br />
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HOW THE AUSTRALIAN ENERGY RESOURCE SECTOR SHOULD RESPOND<br />
Regulations<br />
Whilst addressing all of the levers above is essential to achieving a competitive, sustainable and<br />
innovative industry and maximising the value to the Australian economy, the full potential benefits cannot<br />
be delivered unless the regulatory environment supports industry, and costly and unnecessary barriers<br />
are removed. Regulation should provide stakeholders and the community with confidence that the<br />
industry is operating to, and held accountable by, governments for the achievement of clear, transparent<br />
and high standards of performance that take into account the proportionate risk associated with the<br />
activities being controlled. Regulations should not increasingly create sovereign risk that inhibits domestic<br />
and inward investment. In particular, the regulation of exploration activities across the sector requires<br />
review to ensure the sector can identify, access and develop future resources to support the last decade’s<br />
massive investment in infrastructure with future production, and to provide Australia with diversity in<br />
energy supply and secure, affordable and reliable energy into the future. Finally, businesses themselves<br />
also must review their own internal requirements and remove or streamline those self-imposed<br />
requirements that simply add cost to the business without delivering any ongoing benefits.<br />
Incremental improvement<br />
• Leaner operations, as exemplified by the many operators already focusing on increasing asset utilisation.<br />
• Better management of high cost activities, particularly in new projects and other major capital investments.<br />
• Increasing movement by operators toward sharing infrastructure both at their facilities and in<br />
locations such as maintenance and supply bases.<br />
• Collaborative planning of labour and resource intensive planned maintenance and upgrade activities<br />
to avoid competition over labour and shop time.<br />
• Staff reviews at facilities and in various national head offices.<br />
• An increasing drive to improve productivity from new and existing assets.<br />
Transformational improvement<br />
• Develop operating models focusing on new and innovative execution approaches and better<br />
leveraging of existing capacity. Build on Australia’s highly regarded existing capabilities in, for<br />
example, remote operations and data analytics for process optimisation and decision making, to<br />
support operational and value chain optimisation.<br />
• Expand our strengths in the development of alternative energy sources and act as a baseline energy<br />
source for Asia.<br />
• Assist developing nations, particularly those transitioning from fossil fuels, to meet their emissions<br />
reduction commitments by providing energy diversification and reliable electrical grids and systems.<br />
• Increase ‘energy literacy’ of communities, governments, regulators, companies and other stakeholders.<br />
• Become an exporter of clean technologies to developing countries. This could include low carbon<br />
emission technologies, hybrid power generation, battery storage and carbon capture and storage (where<br />
Australia’s geology provides a strong competitive advantage). Leading the development and adoption<br />
of these clean technologies is likely to help the sector win social licence, drive up the demand of our<br />
existing energy resource portfolio, as well as opening up new markets (i.e. gasification, utilising lower<br />
ranked coal deposits with low ash fusion temperatures).<br />
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SECTOR CHALLENGES AND KNOWLEDGE PRIORITIES
<strong>Sector</strong> Knowledge<br />
Priorities<br />
While many of the actions required to address the sector challenges and<br />
opportunities are relatively well known and understood, there are other<br />
issues which are less well defined or where known knowledge gaps exist.<br />
Knowledge priorities were identified during the consultation period in<br />
preparation of this SCP and have been aligned with <strong>NERA</strong>’s key themes.<br />
These knowledge priorities are the areas where additional work is required<br />
to understand the sector’s current challenges and choices.<br />
The knowledge priorities will change over time as new challenges and<br />
breakthroughs arise; however, it is through systematically addressing these<br />
knowledge priorities now, that the industry will build and maintain its<br />
globally competitive edge and thrive into the future.<br />
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SECTOR KNOWLEDGE PRIORITIES<br />
Knowledge priorities have been grouped into three categories:<br />
1<br />
Capability and<br />
leadership<br />
2<br />
Business and<br />
operating models,<br />
technology<br />
and services<br />
3<br />
Regulatory<br />
environment<br />
Capability and leadership includes those priorities that require the<br />
development of work skills, either at the specific workplace level or<br />
more holistically across the industry, along with the development of a<br />
more mature and comprehensive knowledge of areas such as resource<br />
databases, specific research driven work, and, working with the broader<br />
community to develop a greater level of energy literacy.<br />
Business and operating models, technology and services considers<br />
how the sector can develop and deploy new and emerging technology<br />
to enhance its productivity and effectiveness in areas such as remote<br />
operations, the use of unmanned aerial and marine vehicles (drones)<br />
and exploring new and alternate marketplaces and uses of its products.<br />
Regulatory environment considers how a better and more balanced<br />
regulatory framework in which the energy resources sector can develop<br />
into the future.<br />
Many of the knowledge priorities, set out in Table 13, encompass multiple challenges and opportunities.<br />
Each of the knowledge priorities are broken down into focus areas and initiatives. The focus areas,<br />
developed following consultation workshops and industry research, are the major areas of opportunity for<br />
the sector and the initiatives highlight activities that are either already underway or under consideration.<br />
These knowledge priorities and initiatives will be periodically reviewed against <strong>NERA</strong>’s vision, mission,<br />
strategic outcomes and strategic views and revised periodically to ensure an ongoing focus on the most<br />
beneficial and relevant outcomes for the energy resources sector.<br />
The knowledge priorities action plan set out in Table 14 identifies the relationships between the nine<br />
knowledge priorities with the constraints facing the sector and, identifies both initial ownership and<br />
stewardship for addressing each of the related actions, along with timeframes to initiate activities. By<br />
addressing these priorities in a structured way, the sector will be able to build progressively toward its future.<br />
SECTOR CHALLENGES AND KNOWLEDGE PRIORITIES<br />
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SECTOR KNOWLEDGE PRIORITIES<br />
Table 13: <strong>Sector</strong> knowledge priorities<br />
Knowledge priority<br />
1 Work skills<br />
for the future<br />
Focus areas<br />
• Integrated operations of the future<br />
• Workforce capability<br />
• Project management skills<br />
Capability and leadership<br />
2 Enabling effective<br />
collaboration<br />
3 Understanding<br />
Australia’s<br />
resource base<br />
• Cross company collaboration<br />
• Intergenerational and interdisciplinary engagement<br />
• Industry and applied research collaboration<br />
• Developing a greater understanding of prospective basin<br />
geology across the minerals and energy sectors<br />
4 Social licence<br />
to operate<br />
• Social benefits<br />
• Infrastructure closure and rehabilitation<br />
• Water management<br />
• Tailings management<br />
Business and operating models, technology and services<br />
5 Unlocking future<br />
resources<br />
6 New markets,<br />
New technologies,<br />
New business models<br />
7 Commercialisation<br />
of R&D<br />
8 Efficient operations<br />
and maintenance<br />
• Integrated geological information<br />
• Cross industry collaboration<br />
• Maximising ageing assets<br />
• Environmental science collaboration<br />
• Asian trade agreements<br />
• Develop international technology partnerships<br />
• Commercialisation of operational technological developments<br />
• Carbon capture and storage (CCS)<br />
• Low emissions technologies<br />
• LNG as a fuel<br />
• Hybrid technologies<br />
• Adapting to the changing energy mix<br />
• Living labs<br />
• Understanding and developing commercialisation pathways<br />
• Operating models for remote operations<br />
• Data, digitisation and predictive analytics<br />
• Robotics, sensors and automation<br />
• Develop a greater understanding of decommissioning techniques<br />
Regulatory<br />
environment<br />
9 Regulatory framework<br />
optimisation<br />
• Encouraging sensible regulatory frameworks to allow ongoing exploration<br />
• Harmonisation of standards<br />
• Review of self-imposed regulations<br />
• Industrial relations and workplace reform*<br />
• Resource management reform and review of the existing permitting systems<br />
* Note: Industrial relations and industrial reform are not part of <strong>NERA</strong>’s scope<br />
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SECTOR KNOWLEDGE PRIORITIES<br />
KPI’s<br />
Improve management and work skills<br />
• Map workforce skills and capacity in each sector cluster against project planning cycles.<br />
Improve efficiencies in workforce planning<br />
• Standardise training requirements to improve efficiencies in workforce utilisation.<br />
Increase cross company collaboration<br />
• Develop at least [6] clusters in high technology areas.<br />
Build knowledge and enhance access to information<br />
• Improve energy resources sector access to robust sources of geophysical data and<br />
promote trusted custodians of information.<br />
Initiatives<br />
• Identify future skills requirements<br />
• Identify and develop appropriate and accredited<br />
training to meet future skills needs<br />
• Ensure a future focussed training and education sector<br />
• Explore new opportunities to export knowledge<br />
• Establish regional industry and innovation clusters<br />
• Asset and equipment sharing<br />
• Infrastructure sharing<br />
• Shut-down scheduling<br />
• Industry specific collaboration<br />
• Cross industry collaboration<br />
• Common facility inductions<br />
• Shared operational practices<br />
• Weather research and modelling<br />
• Industry data initiative<br />
• Share non-competitive data across sectors<br />
Strengthen engagement with communities<br />
• Develop a communications strategy which engages with stakeholders outside<br />
the energy resources sector to articulate the social, economic and environmental<br />
benefits and challenges of the sector.<br />
• Identify and apply solutions for water stewardship and tailings management<br />
including by applying new technologies.<br />
Unlock resources<br />
• Add to the number of projects in the publicly announced and feasibility stages.<br />
Improve commercialisation and acceptance of new technology<br />
• Unlock value and accelerate commercialisation by identifying at least [25] new<br />
technology projects.<br />
Improve R&D capability by identifying barriers and mapping gaps<br />
• Identify and map barriers and gaps in sector commercialisation funnel.<br />
• Respond to gaps by building alignment between research funding and emerging industry<br />
clusters in a least 2 key areas across oil and gas, coal seam gas, uranium and coal.<br />
Improve R&D commercialisation<br />
• Increase applied research and commercialisation.<br />
Increased commercialisation outcomes<br />
• Increase the number of companies claiming the R&D tax credits for sector relevant<br />
technologies by identifying and unlocking commercialisation barriers.<br />
Reduce costs and improve efficiencies<br />
• Adapt new technologies to improve efficiencies and productivity in existing projects<br />
by [20%], including by developing at least [2] shared remote operating centres.<br />
Identify and map barriers<br />
• Identify and map key areas where regulatory reform in the sector is needed,<br />
and support possible reforms.<br />
Align Australia’s standards with international best practice<br />
• Deliver 2 projects on enhanced alignment of Australian Standards with<br />
international best practice<br />
• Community engagement and education<br />
• Research social, economic and environmental<br />
consequences of the activities of the energy<br />
resources sector<br />
• Energy literacy<br />
• Information stewardship<br />
• Work with technology suppliers to identify new<br />
ways to access resources<br />
• Computational geoscience<br />
• Unmanned aircraft systems geophysics<br />
• Extend the network of small scale LNG facilities<br />
• Broader support for focused innovation<br />
• Strengthen industry-led research stewardship<br />
• Enhance industry engagement with research<br />
institutions<br />
• Research and development funding models<br />
• Improve understanding of Intellectual Property<br />
• Support living labs and pilot plants<br />
• Explore ways to build the industry’s skill base in<br />
remote operations and facility life extension<br />
• Focussed research and early deployment of<br />
new technologies<br />
• Research into life extension of ageing facilities<br />
• Adopt and harmonise international standards<br />
• Regulatory reform to support ongoing sector growth<br />
• Review regulatory frameworks<br />
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SECTOR KNOWLEDGE PRIORITIES<br />
Table 14: Knowledge priorities action plan<br />
Improve<br />
adoption of<br />
Innovation<br />
Close the<br />
skills gaps<br />
1<br />
Work skills for<br />
the future<br />
Capability and leadership<br />
2<br />
3<br />
Enabling effective<br />
collaboration<br />
Understand<br />
Australia’s<br />
resource base<br />
4<br />
Social licence<br />
to operate<br />
Business and operating models, technology and services<br />
5<br />
6<br />
7<br />
8<br />
Unlock future<br />
resources<br />
New markets,<br />
New technologies,<br />
New business models<br />
Commercialisation<br />
of research and<br />
development<br />
Efficient operations<br />
and maintenance<br />
Regulatory<br />
environment<br />
9<br />
Regulatory<br />
framework<br />
optimisation<br />
KEY PARTIES: Operator Supplier Research Government Education<br />
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SECTOR KNOWLEDGE PRIORITIES<br />
Challenges<br />
Enhance<br />
productivity<br />
Manage<br />
water<br />
stewardship<br />
Address<br />
high cost<br />
environment<br />
Improve<br />
energy<br />
literacy<br />
Reduce<br />
sovereign<br />
risk<br />
.<br />
.<br />
SECTOR CHALLENGES AND KNOWLEDGE PRIORITIES<br />
WHEN: Short Medium Long<br />
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Capability and<br />
Leadership<br />
1. WORK SKILLS OF THE FUTURE<br />
The recent rapid growth in the industry and the technological evolution occurring in the energy resources sector<br />
are causing substantial changes in the nature, makeup and profile of skills required to design, build, operate<br />
and maintain facilities now and into the future. Adapting the role of education in supporting this “fourth<br />
industrial revolution” 71 is key to the sector’s ongoing success. Ongoing collaborative investigation is required<br />
to identify, develop and deploy the work skills required to maintain the Australian sector at the forefront<br />
of operational competitiveness, and to provide well paid, safe and productive jobs for future generations.<br />
Integrated operations of the future<br />
Without an operations workforce of critical mass that is suitably skilled in new technology, the Australian<br />
energy resources sector will struggle to achieve high productivity and global competitiveness.<br />
New practices and evolving technologies are changing the maintenance and operations requirements of<br />
industrial facilities. The operations and maintenance must adapt in order to allow the sector to get the<br />
most benefit from these changes.<br />
The sector needs to build a comprehensive understanding of the requirements for future operations in<br />
terms of scope, scale, skills and experience and, in parallel, identify how the next generation of operations<br />
and maintenance staff will be attracted to the industry and where they will receive the training and<br />
preparation required.<br />
114 National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong>
CAPABILITY AND LEADERSHIP<br />
CASE STUDY<br />
Collaborative Training Project<br />
Research undertaken by Deloitte on behalf of the Resources Industry Training Council 75 identified<br />
that within Western Australia and the Northern Territory alone, savings of up to $22 million per<br />
annum could be made through the development of a collaborative employee training approach.<br />
Such an approach would see the adoption of industry wide training standards and certification for<br />
new personnel accepted by all employers, after which employers would provide specific additional<br />
training to bridge the gap to meet their requirements.<br />
The reports found the delivery of training for common competencies at an industry level is more<br />
cost effective than the delivery of training by each operator and the pooling of training resources<br />
allows operators to access higher quality training infrastructure and programs.<br />
The report goes on to suggest that further savings are available through the development of quality<br />
training infrastructure through pooling of training resources. Increased confidence in training would<br />
be evident through development of a pool of recognised training providers. Such an approach<br />
could offer improved business outcomes and success in this initiative could pave the way for<br />
further collaborative training programs.<br />
Workforce capability<br />
The sector must continue to drive development of a consolidated sectoral perspective on skills needed<br />
to meet future industry requirements. It is possible such a perspective may involve the transition to a<br />
multi-skilled workforce able to work across functional disciplines (e.g. multidisciplinary operations and<br />
maintenance providers) as well as Australian based subject matter experts to support the operation<br />
and maintenance phases of the facilities. This will include aspects such as training and competency<br />
development and labour retention in all workforce categories.<br />
Research could also focus on the requisite future skillsets required for uranium mining. This could include<br />
nationally consistent and recognised formal education and training pathways for radiation safety officers<br />
to support not only the potentially growing uranium industry, nuclear waste disposal and the operation of<br />
nuclear power stations, but also those industry areas dealing with naturally occurring radioactive materials<br />
such as the mineral sands industry, and industries who use radiation sources for metering purposes.<br />
Project management skills<br />
While the Australian energy resources sector is well regarded internationally for its technical and operational<br />
expertise, there is a definite and urgent gap in the depth of project management skills. Some of these<br />
deficiencies were apparent in the project delivery timeframes and costs experienced during the recent<br />
construction, development and expansion phase, where many projects across the sector were delivered<br />
late and substantially over budget. This has in part contributed to the perception of Australia as a high<br />
cost and difficult place to do business, and which may impact on international investment in any new<br />
future projects in Australia.<br />
The need to address these deficiencies has been considered and outlined in a number of research<br />
publications, including the work of the International Centre for Complex Project Management (ICCPM),<br />
which made specific recommendations 73 around delivery leadership, collaboration, benefits realisation,<br />
risk opportunity and resilience, culture, communication and relationships, sustainability and education<br />
which, if addressed will go some way to ensure future project delivery is world class.<br />
The issues in this area sit both at the operators’ level, where those shaping the projects may lack the<br />
experience, training and support to understand their roles in establishing the project framework 74 , and with<br />
the organisations within the value chain, where pressures to deliver multiple projects concurrently, often<br />
mean personnel are placed in roles for which they are not fully prepared. With the energy resources sector,<br />
highly sensitised to costs, it is vital that future projects are delivered to time and to budget, if not better.<br />
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CAPABILITY AND LEADERSHIP<br />
Initiatives to support the development of future works skills<br />
Identify future skills requirements<br />
To effectively plan for its future workforce, the energy resources sector first needs to know what skills<br />
will be required to operate the plants of today and tomorrow, with existing and emerging technologies.<br />
These workforce requirements will span the business and leadership skills required to enable the<br />
sector to adapt, innovate and be globally competitive, the engineering and design skills required to<br />
conceptualise, design, test and construct new technologies and new facilities, and the operator and<br />
maintenance skills required to run the plants using innovative and new technologies. Many of these skills<br />
will already be present to some degree in the workforce, and can provide the base on which to build.<br />
The gaps need to be identified and strategies for developing appropriate skills established to build a<br />
skilled workforce of an appropriate scale and quality to serve the industry as a whole. This is likely to<br />
deepen implementation of new learning technologies to support skills development such as technology<br />
enabled learning and virtual/augmented reality.<br />
Identify and develop appropriate and accredited training to meet future skills needs<br />
As the skills requirements for the future workforce are identified, it is necessary to ensure the appropriate<br />
education, training and development resources, technologies and facilities are in place. This will<br />
include both the vocational training and tertiary education sectors either developing new programs or<br />
modifying existing material, and identifying the most appropriate skills development methodologies and<br />
technologies (e.g. virtual, simulated and interactive).<br />
Research undertaken for the Resources Industry Training Council (RITC) suggests that there is the<br />
opportunity for the resources sector in Western Australia and the Northern Territory alone to save up to<br />
$22 million per annum through the development, deployment and adoption of common standards 75 .<br />
Similarly, in the engineering space, the recently completed Australian Pipelines and Gas Association (APGA)<br />
Pipeline Engineer Competency Standards 76 which benchmark pipeline engineering skills and the Petroleum<br />
Engineering Guidelines 77 jointly administered by the Society of Petroleum Engineers (SPE) and Engineers<br />
Australia are examples of where standardisation will give rise to greater industry confidence in outcomes<br />
and drive efficiencies. From a skills development delivery perspective, learner demands are forecast to<br />
substantially alter, causing training providers and universities to reconsider learning strategies and adopt<br />
more innovative ways of delivery.<br />
Ensure a future focussed training and education sector<br />
Those tasked with meeting the training needs of the workforce will need to recognise the diverse and<br />
rapidly changing employment landscape. Research into jobs of the future 78, 79 is increasingly identifying that<br />
the workforce of the future will need to continually refresh its skills to keep pace with technological change<br />
and allow for horizontal, vertical and diagonal movement into new roles. To support this need, training<br />
organisations and universities must continually explore future skill needs and develop new and evolving<br />
material and training opportunities to service the skills requirements of the workforce.<br />
It is expected this may further blur the boundaries between vocational education and training and university<br />
based higher education programs. Energy resources sector participation in processes established by the<br />
Australian Industry and Skills Committee 82 to review and refine vocational education and training programs<br />
is a tangible way of achieving a greater match between work skills of the future and the formal education<br />
and training sector.<br />
116 National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong>
CAPABILITY AND LEADERSHIP<br />
Explore new opportunities to export knowledge<br />
There is a real and growing opportunity to grow and develop Australia’s specialist and niche skills export<br />
capability. During the resource sector’s recent expansion there was a focus on ensuring a sufficient skills<br />
depth to meet demand from both the construction and operational phases. The investment in this capability<br />
now presents an opportunity for Australia to export this “know how” to other countries and sectors.<br />
Exploiting these opportunities should focus on those areas where Australia has a competitive advantage<br />
and where demand exists in the global market. Further exploration of how these skills can be developed,<br />
commercialised and marketed, within and across sectors both domestically and internationally, will be<br />
key to achieving competitive advantage. Potential candidates for further exploration include: remote<br />
operations, operations in hostile and challenging environments, robotics and automation, and data and<br />
analytics for process optimisation and decision making.<br />
The export of Australia’s skills development capability can be achieved by large providers of education<br />
and training services through their global alliances and networks. For many small and medium enterprises<br />
this access is extremely difficult to build, presenting a case for government bodies such as Austrade to<br />
provide specific international support in the export of these capabilities.<br />
2. ENABLING EFFECTIVE COLLABORATION<br />
It is broadly acknowledged within all areas of industry that a combination of competitive pressures and<br />
the culture of the sector has prevented meaningful collaboration to date on issues that are of benefit to<br />
everyone. This lack of collaboration has resulted in duplication of infrastructure and wasted opportunities<br />
to reduce costs of project development and operations, while at the same time limiting opportunities<br />
to form strong partnerships between operators/miners, the service sector and research organisations to<br />
drive innovation and technology.<br />
There is a shortage of opportunities for protagonists in the industry to meet in non-competitive, truly<br />
independent environments where they can share their problems and work together to identify the best<br />
solutions, regardless of their position in the value chain. Collaboration and strong innovative partnerships<br />
focus on key strategic challenges such as sharing critical infrastructure, developing common safety and<br />
operating practices, sharing research and development investments and communicating learnings, and<br />
in the areas of new technologies, new approaches and cross industry sharing of knowledge so that<br />
the industry and the economy can benefit. If such independent and collaborative forums could become<br />
more common, there is a great potential to seed and nurture new ideas, innovations and solutions and<br />
to significantly improve the global competitiveness and export potential of the energy resources supply<br />
chain in Australia.<br />
Clearly, in the current tight marketplace, substantial collective benefits could be achieved through targeted<br />
collaboration, whether in contributing information, resources or infrastructure. Such collaboration could<br />
occur in several ways: amongst operators within a sector; between operators and the research sector;<br />
between the service providers; between service providers and the research sector; and, between different<br />
industry sectors. Such approaches also need to consider potential impacts on competition and would<br />
require early engagement with the Australian Competition and Consumer Commission (ACCC).<br />
The participants in the sector need to continue to open their doors to one another and actively explore<br />
ways to grow together.<br />
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CAPABILITY AND LEADERSHIP<br />
Cross company collaboration<br />
Collaboration between organisations working in the same value chain could offer substantial cost savings<br />
in logistics, workshop and stores space and stock levels. Historically, operators and their suppliers of<br />
goods and services have operated their own value chains, resulting in duplication of materials and effort.<br />
Finding safe, independent mechanisms for collaboration across the value chain could result in substantial<br />
cost savings for all parties.<br />
Organisations potentially seeking to collaborate could work together, and with the ACCC, to establish<br />
clearly defined and sanctioned areas for collaboration. These would be areas where, through working on<br />
common issues, the industry would provide a greater level of benefit for the nation and for themselves<br />
without jeopardising their corporate competitive advantages or being considered as anti-competitive.<br />
Once a consensus has been clearly established and, if necessary ratified, of where collaboration can<br />
occur, other areas where there is less clarity, that emerge as the industry evolves can be given specific<br />
consideration on a case by case basis. Such agreements would make ongoing discussions much easier<br />
and clearer since issues of anti-competitive behaviour would have been removed.<br />
Intergenerational and interdisciplinary engagement<br />
As the Australian energy resources sector seeks to embrace new and emerging technologies, a deeper<br />
and stronger engagement is needed with all generations, particularly the emerging generation of digital<br />
citizens entering the workforce.<br />
New methods for engaging with new potential sources of, and partners to, ideas, innovations and solutions,<br />
such as hackathons and crowd sourcing, have already emerged and have strong early industry support.<br />
Such engagement may not be easy for all participants in the industry, particularly where the culture<br />
has often been about guarding ideas and knowledge within a business, with the perception that this<br />
knowledge constitutes a key strategic asset or advantage. In an environment of rapid change, this view<br />
is being challenged. Experiences in other sectors have demonstrated that fully unlocking and transferring<br />
knowledge, as well as pooling data held by multiple organisations, can ultimately create a more resilient<br />
and agile industry essentially growing a bigger pie, which will benefit those involved.<br />
Industry and applied research collaboration<br />
Australia has a very strong and accomplished research community, spanning government research<br />
organisations such as CSIRO and the Australian Nuclear Science and Technology Organisation (ANSTO),<br />
along with many public and private research centres in universities and business. These groups are<br />
conducting world leading research in many areas that would be of benefit to the energy resources sector.<br />
Similarly, the energy resources sector is often in need of independent, cutting edge research to better deal<br />
with the challenges faced in improving the sector’s global competitiveness and adapting to clean and low<br />
emissions technologies. Yet the issue of understanding the opportunities to collaborate and then leveraging<br />
them into meaningful outcomes is an ongoing challenge for many researchers and industry representatives.<br />
Australian society invests more than two per cent of GDP in the research sector, a percentage which has<br />
been declining in recent years. Nationally, Australia ranks only twenty-sixth 2 on the global innovation<br />
index, having slipped three places in the previous 12 months, placing the nation behind many other major<br />
energy producing nations. Building stronger ties between industry and researchers is a major priority for<br />
the community and is an area where the nation ranks poorly at thirty-third on the global innovation index.<br />
Several capability areas identified in the National Research Infrastructure Roadmap 81 translate directly<br />
into the energy resources industries: environment and natural resource management; advanced physics,<br />
chemistry, mathematics and materials; and understanding cultures and communities and underpinning<br />
research infrastructure. These priorities need to be pursued and the relationships strengthened.<br />
118 National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong>
CAPABILITY AND LEADERSHIP<br />
Initiatives to enhance cooperation and collaboration<br />
Improved collaboration amongst industry and sector participants will lead to sharing of innovative<br />
solutions, development of synergies to drive value creation, reduction in duplication and create further<br />
cost saving opportunities. The following initiatives have been identified to enhance collaboration<br />
amongst operators and/or between operators and suppliers to harness existing capabilities and identify<br />
solutions that will improve the supply chain and operations, drive deeper engagement and improve<br />
overall sector competitiveness.<br />
Establish regional industry and innovation clusters<br />
Historically, the Australian energy resources sector has relied on a combination of local vendor<br />
representatives and workshops, major city based vendor and engineering hubs and international supply<br />
chains to support their operations. This situation existed in part due to the sub critical mass in any one<br />
location of sufficient operations to provide a sustainable client base for organisations in the supply chain<br />
to establish facilities local to the operations.<br />
This situation has resulted in extended supply lines, long turnarounds for equipment servicing, difficulty<br />
accessing critical, but only intermittently required skills, and increased costs and risks on the operators<br />
who increase their own spares inventories to mitigate their exposure to potential long shutdowns while<br />
sourcing appropriate supplier support.<br />
International experience is that once established, clusters can become thriving industry innovation centres.<br />
In the technology arena, they are a way to nurture strong growth by bringing start-ups together with academia<br />
and research 82 . In the resources sector, cities such as Aberdeen and Stavanger in Europe, clusters employ tens<br />
of thousands of personnel in supporting the North Sea offshore oil and gas industry. Local skills and service<br />
centres are supported by educational infrastructure that both trains the workforce to support the industry and<br />
undertakes industry focussed research that has resulted in numerous spin off businesses and innovations.<br />
CASE STUDY<br />
Toowoomba and Surat Basin Enterprise (TSBE) supports job<br />
growth across 24 sectors<br />
Toowoomba and Surat Basin Enterprise Pty Ltd (TSBE) is a unique, industry funded, multi sector<br />
cluster that exists to help businesses of all sizes grow and promote the sustainable economic<br />
growth of the region. Established in 2012 to give support for coal seam gas, TSBE has now<br />
expanded across other sectors with appropriate focus on investment attraction, economic growth<br />
and infrastructure development. TSBE has contributed to bringing more than 60 businesses and<br />
hundreds of investors to their local region. TSBE support has increased job growth and its 24<br />
industry sector members deliver $4.6 billion turnover for the region.<br />
TSBE has a growing membership of 460 businesses across 24 industry sectors working in the<br />
Toowoomba and Surat Basin. Industry sectors include for example: coal seam gas, coal, water,<br />
agriculture, and food processing. Each industry sector has multiple business segments with<br />
common areas for collaboration linked by TSBE to support new regional projects.<br />
TSBE assists businesses grow in the region by delivering a diverse membership offer with direct<br />
and indirect assistance tailored to suit business needs at their chosen level. Business membership<br />
is tiered to suit business size and the services needed. TSBE links business with opportunity to<br />
achieve sustainable growth and diversity for the Toowoomba and Surat basin region. TSBE has<br />
a unique cluster model, allowing collaboration across multiple sectors and technical business<br />
segments for issues such as water management and regional projects requiring collaboration.<br />
A recent initiative of TSBE is the development of a Water Cluster combining an extensive group<br />
of businesses using economies of scale to overcome regional challenges, build opportunities for<br />
growth, drive costs down, find efficiencies of scale and realign costs with risk 141 .<br />
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CAPABILITY AND LEADERSHIP<br />
Industry clusters<br />
The footprint of the Australian energy resources sector has grown over the past decade, and there<br />
are new developments that will enhance the performance of the sector, such as development of new<br />
and improved techniques for remote diagnostics and on-demand manufacturing through 3D printing<br />
technology. An emerging opportunity exists to establish industry clusters and regional multi-user facilities<br />
that could provide substantial levels of local support to the growing clusters of operations and supply<br />
chain. Such clusters could be linked to multi-user facilities and established local to regional population<br />
centres within close proximity to new and existing operations, shortening of the supply lines, enhancing<br />
access to skills that are otherwise held in major cities and boosting local employment.<br />
Innovation clusters<br />
In parallel with industry clusters, there is also an opportunity for sections of the energy resources industry to<br />
gather in innovation clusters. These innovation clusters would form around a common industry problem or<br />
opportunity and include: operators of the plant experiencing the problem or for whom resolving the issue<br />
could unlock future potential; technology providers and innovators who may have insights to help address the<br />
challenge; research and academia to provide the deep research capacity to explore major issues causing the<br />
problem; and government to lend regulatory guidance and support together with potentially resolving access<br />
issues. These clusters would include both co-located and virtual membership, with some personnel being<br />
located close to the problem and others located in regional centres, research facilities and international offices.<br />
Such clusters would offer a new business model for both the organisations participating in them and their<br />
prospective customers. For the customers it would offer a potential alternative to their reliance on relatively<br />
generic products from their traditional and, generally, large scale suppliers, instead providing direct access<br />
to those developing the products who could then develop solutions specific to the customer needs. For the<br />
cluster members it would offer scale, access to like minded manufacturing and research collaborators and<br />
improved ability to access customers, allowing them to compete on a more level playing field.<br />
Establishing industry and innovation clusters will require commitment from operators/miners, service and<br />
research sectors and governments. To be successful, clusters will require operators of the various plant to<br />
provide ongoing support, and a willingness to work with the cluster members to take up solutions and<br />
innovation. It will require cluster members to agree on how they will operate and compete within the<br />
cluster, and to make a commitment to sharing and transferring knowledge and skills within that cluster.<br />
Governments need to support the establishment of clusters by providing a supportive regulatory and<br />
research and development tax incentive environment e.g. of SMEs and innovation, and through trade<br />
agreements and access to Australian trade missions. For multi-user facilities, governments might identify<br />
and provide suitable land. Businesses and the employees of those businesses participating in regional<br />
clusters need to be prepared to relocate to the location of the cluster.<br />
Asset and equipment sharing<br />
Direct, tangible, tactical opportunities are available to enhance cooperation between operators through<br />
asset and equipment sharing to maximise efficiencies and improve sector competitiveness. Initiatives in<br />
this area may include the development of a platform and business model to allow the sharing of spare<br />
parts and equipment to reduce costs and inventory. Other opportunities could include collaboration on<br />
transport logistics for equipment and personnel, sharing of ex-mine gate coal infrastructure including<br />
wash-plants and other cooperative opportunities. There is also a significant coordination role for<br />
operators to assist with initiatives to standardise operating standards and compliance requirements.<br />
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CAPABILITY AND LEADERSHIP<br />
CASE STUDY<br />
Collaboration in coal transportation<br />
Transportation of coal, both by land and sea, is a key strength for the Australian coal industry.<br />
Quality infrastructure, structured collaboration and comparatively short distances to key markets<br />
place Australia among the world’s best in this component of the value chain. Key attributes are:<br />
• Australia’s transport infrastructure is currently clustered around coal operations in Queensland<br />
and New South Wales.<br />
• Significant focus over the past few years has been placed on improving productivity and<br />
utilisation of transportation assets in Australia e.g. regulated collaboration and coordination.<br />
• Australia has the world’s leading port utilisation rate of greater than 75 per cent, which in turn<br />
translates to the country having one of the lowest global port costs among the peer group.<br />
• Close proximity to the world’s four largest coal importers (China, Japan, India, and Korea) leads<br />
to Australia having lower than average shipping costs compared to its peer group.<br />
Infrastructure sharing<br />
Building an increased willingness to share infrastructure could deliver substantial gains to the sector.<br />
The infrastructure servicing mines and processing facilities within the energy resources sector represent a<br />
substantial capital and operational cost to the industry. This cost could be reduced into the future through<br />
more open planned sharing. Enhancing cooperation between operators of facilities to enable sharing of<br />
infrastructure and reducing duplication of effort during the design phase is ideal; however, post start-up<br />
and during operation there are still opportunities to identify benefits. Sharing of service infrastructure and<br />
equipment, transport facilities for personnel and equipment (particularly in the offshore environment) and<br />
even sharing of non-critical and, on occasion critical spares would offer potential savings.<br />
Similarly, there is an opportunity for significant collaboration in the coal industry on post mine gate<br />
infrastructure and the optimisation of rail transport arrangements. These include addressing current<br />
“take or pay” arrangements to access rail infrastructure used to transport production from mine sites<br />
to ports for export, where rates were often fixed during times of higher coal prices. Other areas include<br />
controlling fixed operating costs of the mines and increasing asset productivity to ensure the long-term<br />
viability of many mines currently facing severe financial pressure 83 .<br />
Shut-down scheduling<br />
Enhancing cooperation between operators to optimise coordination of major shut-downs will assist with<br />
maintenance planning, minimise impact on labour requirements and ensure service provider availability.<br />
This model was initiated by the east coast coal seam gas operators as their projects transitioned to the<br />
operations and maintenance phase and could be replicated for west coast oil and gas operations and<br />
other industries. With Australia moving toward 21 operational LNG trains, the need to maintain a skilled<br />
workforce capacity ready to undertake regular maintenance turnarounds is an increasing challenge to the<br />
industry. To be able to balance personnel across a levelled workload will reduce risks and provide surety<br />
of workload to maintenance providers and personnel, safely enabling a more sustainable, long term<br />
prospect for investment.<br />
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CASE STUDY<br />
RISKGATE collaboration: improving safety across the coal industry<br />
RISKGATE – an Australian Coal Industry Research Program (ACARP) funded initiative, is an interactive<br />
online risk management tool designed to assist in the analysis of priority unwanted events unique to<br />
the Australian coal mining industry.<br />
The primary mission of RISKGATE is to focus the coal industry on prioritising control management to<br />
achieve acceptable risk. RISKGATE was developed in collaboration across coal operators, research<br />
institutes and supply chain. RISKGATE is designed to assist the coal mining industry improve<br />
minimum standards for safety performance, efficiency, operating practice, and training.<br />
The online system is an innovative platform built on a foundation of industry expert knowledge<br />
gathered through action research workshops, which is further supported by a broad array of industry,<br />
academic and technological resources.<br />
In operation, RISKGATE offers a continuum for knowledge transfer and redefining best practice in risk<br />
identification, assessment, and management in the coal industry. Future RISKGATE work will increase<br />
collaboration between the coal equipment supply chain and coal operators. RISKGATE provides a<br />
platform for the coal industry to standardise new mining methods and solve infrastructure integration<br />
challenges. ACARP is funding the innovation precinct, Mining3, expand RISKGATE to develop<br />
communication standards for future automation projects 140 .<br />
Industry specific collaboration<br />
While there are many initiatives within the energy resources sector where organisations are actively<br />
collaborating, some are still in the formative stages and need support to help them grow. One example<br />
where this type of early collaboration could be expanded is for operators in the uranium sector to work<br />
with government research agencies, such as ANSTO and CSIRO, to better understand the geology specific<br />
to the formation of uranium deposits.<br />
Additionally, there is scope for many organisations to build better internal integration and relationships,<br />
thus allowing for enhanced exchange and uptake of ideas across different segments within an<br />
organisation that may have been blocked in the past due to internal barriers and sector separation.<br />
Cross industry collaboration<br />
Much of the sector collaboration occurs between peers, where oil and gas, coal or uranium focussed<br />
organisations at various levels meet to discuss issues. Typically, these meetings are restricted to<br />
organisations at a peer level within whichever sector they represent. This type of collaboration could be<br />
improved in two areas. Firstly, engaging the entire value chain in any given sector, as otherwise the whole<br />
problem will not be understood and an incomplete solution reached. Secondly, by not engaging outside<br />
of a sector, the opportunity to learn from the activities in other sectors are lost, resulting in duplication of<br />
effort, repeated mistakes and an overall loss of opportunity.<br />
Appropriate forums a need to be established and fostered to allow open, entire sector value chain and<br />
cross sector networking. This will provide opportunities for communication of learnings and problems to<br />
improve the efficiency of the broader industry, especially in new and emerging areas of digital technology.<br />
Common facility inductions<br />
Historically each plant and facility has operated with its own unique induction processes. These processes<br />
cover a variety of matters from very general activities and behavioural expectations through to highly specific<br />
requirements and issues. Each induction costs both the inducting organisation and the employer of the<br />
inductee time and money. Often many facets of the induction will be similar or even identical to inductions<br />
required to enter similar sites owned by the same operator or operating the same equipment or processes.<br />
Yet these inductions are generally not transferable. Developing a more common, transferable induction that<br />
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reduces the impost of time and cost on both operators and the inductee, topped up with shorter, local, site<br />
specific addendum inductions has the potential to substantially reduce the overall cost to the sector.<br />
Developing such induction processes will require operators in an industry to work together to establish<br />
acceptable induction procedures and timeframes, develop their own supplemental requirements and then<br />
undertake a mutual recognition program on which all inducted personnel can be registered.<br />
Shared operational practices<br />
Many organisations have developed their own, unique, set of operating practices and procedures.<br />
These practices and procedures are unique due to the nature of their plant: however, opportunities<br />
exist for these organisations to share best practice and potentially develop some common, transferable<br />
operational practices.<br />
Having such common practices would simplify the training process for new personnel as it would allow<br />
courses to incorporate more generic material, with the smaller remaining portion then being delivered<br />
on a plant-by-plant basis. It would conceivably, also allow organisations to learn from one another in<br />
terms of how they each operate identical equipment, often from the same supplier, improving the overall<br />
productivity of the industry.<br />
Weather research and modelling<br />
Many of Australia’s resources are in extreme climatic environments. Locations where, for instance,<br />
cyclones can have substantial impact on operations and the safety of both the personnel and facilities.<br />
Consequently, it is very important that focussed research is conducted to enhance the prediction of these<br />
extreme environmental events, to forecast with greater certainty the timing, scale, exact location and<br />
track the potential impact of cyclones. Establishing this enhanced understanding of these events will<br />
provide benefits for both the energy resources sector operating within the cyclone areas but also to the<br />
broader industrial and societal community, such as farming, transport, mining, education, health care and<br />
emergency response groups.<br />
CASE STUDY<br />
Tropical cyclone predictions<br />
<strong>NERA</strong> is supporting a collaborative project with the Bureau of Meteorology to better understand<br />
potential tropical cyclone impacts.<br />
The project will deliver significant benefits not just across the offshore oil and gas sector, but also<br />
across multiple industry and government sectors in Australia.<br />
The project, which includes key industry partners Chevron, Shell and Woodside along with the<br />
Australian Bureau of Meteorology (BOM) as project lead, involves the re-analysis of tropical cyclone<br />
data in Australia since 1981.<br />
The re-analysis will improve on existing tropical cyclone data by incorporating recent advances in<br />
algorithms that extract key information from geostationary satellite data.<br />
The data will be used in wind, wave and current modelling and is expected to lead to greater<br />
certainty in engineering design, not just across the oil and gas industry, but across all tropical<br />
cyclone-related engineering. This certainty will deliver efficiencies in construction, maintenance and<br />
operating costs for a wide range of infrastructure.<br />
By providing the ability to better understand tropical cyclone risk, this project will assist in<br />
improving safety for Australia’s infrastructure through better design and response strategies and<br />
provide substantial cost savings.<br />
The project, which involves collaboration with leading researchers in the field of tropical cyclone analysis,<br />
is an opportunity to put Australia at the forefront of international efforts in tropical cyclone analysis.<br />
Once success with this approach in Australia can be demonstrated, it will be replicated in other<br />
basins affected by similar weather patterns around the world.<br />
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3. UNDERSTANDING AUSTRALIA’S RESOURCE BASE<br />
Despite the moderately long history of the energy resources sector in Australia, there is still significant<br />
room for improvement in the understanding of its resource base outside of the sector’s established<br />
areas of operation. Understanding the nation’s natural resources and geology is critical to identifying the<br />
future supply that will underpin the sector’s operational sustainability. Nation-wide and priority driven<br />
frameworks are for the acquisition, evaluation and distribution of pre-competitive information that will<br />
promote a thorough understanding and evaluation of Australia’s unexplored resource base.<br />
Developing a greater understanding of prospective basin geology<br />
across both the minerals and energy sectors<br />
Understanding the geology of prospective energy resource regions is critical to identifying areas for<br />
prospecting and future production. While Australia has a great deal of historical data in this area, much<br />
of it is fragmented across multiple businesses and organisations. In addition, the data was often captured<br />
for one purpose but may in fact be applicable across multiple sectors. Understanding the scale, scope and<br />
transferability of existing data, coupled with improving the nation’s abilities to interpret new and existing<br />
data, and improve access to that data, will help the energy resources sector and the broader mineral<br />
extraction industries become more competitive.<br />
To support the development of the onshore oil and gas industry, there is a pressing need for ongoing<br />
research to enhance the understanding of reservoir geology. Expanding this knowledge will allow<br />
operators and regulators to make well informed decisions on the future trajectory of the onshore<br />
industry, and to use the information to select the most viable areas to explore and develop, in the most<br />
environmentally and economically effective manner.<br />
Initiatives to help understand Australia’s resource base<br />
Industry data initiative<br />
Large volumes of data are currently held in local, state and federal databases that, if made available<br />
in a searchable and consistent manner, could support desk top and field research by organisations<br />
into prospective resource areas. These data sets have accumulated over many years through numerous<br />
projects and initiatives, and represent substantial untapped value.<br />
The Federal Government, through the National Map Open Data initiative 84 is working to build a common<br />
portal for organisations to access and search all obtainable data. As this portal becomes available, it will<br />
be possible for resource companies to examine and use the data to support their future exploration plans.<br />
The data will also be available to start-ups to access through events such as Hackathons and Gov. Hacks.<br />
Share non-competitive data<br />
Non-competitive data is often generated at numerous stages in the development and operation of a<br />
resources facility. This can include environmental data, weather data, health and safety initiatives and<br />
many other types of information. Often an organisation will generate the data from first principles.<br />
This can result in either full or partial duplication of existing data, or in multiple organisations paying<br />
for the same work to be performed. In both cases, there is wasted effort, a reduction in productivity and<br />
potentially lost opportunities.<br />
The energy resources sector needs to find ways to share non-competitive data and information to assist<br />
in the ongoing pursuit of productivity and efficiency gains.<br />
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4. ENHANCE SOCIAL LICENCE TO OPERATE<br />
The social licence to operate of the energy resources sector is under increasing scrutiny and challenge,<br />
largely due to its perceived negative environmental impact. For the community to recognise and<br />
support the social and economic benefits of the sector, a number of factors need to be addressed.<br />
The industry must genuinely and transparently engage over the short to long term with its stakeholders<br />
and the community, and demonstrate and be accountable for the highest standards of environmental<br />
performance at all times. Environmental regulation needs to provide a sensible framework that provides<br />
for genuine environmental outcomes and supports industry activities, whilst providing stakeholders and<br />
the community with confidence that there is independent and objective oversight of those activities.<br />
Social and economic benefits<br />
While the energy resources sector has been responsible for establishing and sustaining many local<br />
communities, as well as changing the lives of the world’s population, its societal impact often goes<br />
unrecognised or is misunderstood. It is important that the energy resources sector continues to work to<br />
build a better scientific understanding of its social impact, and that this information is shared as part of<br />
an overall energy literacy program.<br />
At its most visible, the sector provides 89,800 jobs in Australia 10 , generating both direct and indirect<br />
taxation revenues and economic benefits to government, and to the businesses which rely on the sector<br />
and its employees for their revenue. With many of the sector’s jobs being in rural locations, they also help<br />
to sustain local communities where employees live and shop, and where their children are educated.<br />
Many organisations in the sector also support academic research through the provision of projects and<br />
funding to universities and ongoing employment of skilled personnel who require training and education<br />
on an ongoing basis to perform their roles.<br />
Infrastructure closure and rehabilitation<br />
As assets in all three industries in Australia’s energy resources sector approach their end of asset life,<br />
and owners look toward closure or divestment, it is apparent that many gaps in the industry’s knowledge<br />
and regulations exist that must be addressed to ensure a safe, orderly and cost effective closure and<br />
rehabilitation of the facilities. These knowledge gaps are present in three principle areas:<br />
1. The science around the challenges;<br />
2. The technical solutions to address the scientific challenges; and<br />
3. The regulatory landscape that establishes the required work and ongoing monitoring of the facilities.<br />
The following knowledge priorities aim to use leading science to deliver improved environmental<br />
outcomes to better inform and engage with communities, regulators and governments and develop an<br />
improved social licence for the energy resources sector.<br />
Building scientific understandings around closure and rehabilitation<br />
The industry must engage in ongoing scientific and technical studies to develop best practice guidelines<br />
for managing asset end-of-life to ensure closure procedures are transparent, fit-for-purpose and outcomes<br />
based. Best practice asset closure and rehabilitation, based on leading science, and through working<br />
together with initiatives such as the Cooperative Research Centre for Contamination Assessment and<br />
Remediation of the Environment (CRC:CARE) 85 , will help secure stakeholder support and recognition<br />
of the sector’s environmental sustainability and facilitate the move from prescriptive to fit-for-purpose<br />
closure regulation. One such example is to explore the use of Source Zone Natural Attenuation (SZNA) 86<br />
as an endpoint for ceasing liquid hydrocarbon recovery operations.<br />
Evaluation and refinement of rehabilitation science and technological advancements will be essential to<br />
identify leading practice for this very important element of the project life-cycle.<br />
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Addressing the technical challenges of closure and rehabilitation<br />
The closure of both onshore and offshore energy resources sites each present many technical challenges.<br />
These must be identified and understood so they can be addressed to satisfy both the specific issues<br />
present for the location, and the societal and regulatory expectations around rehabilitation. There is a<br />
need to undertake the necessary ongoing technical work alongside the scientific research to be able to<br />
implement appropriate and acceptable solutions.<br />
Establishing an appropriate closure and rehabilitation regulatory regime<br />
To provide both society and asset operators clarity into the future, the continued development and<br />
application of appropriate, risk-based and transparent regulatory processes for closure and rehabilitation<br />
are needed. Establishing appropriate regimes will also help secure stakeholder support and recognition of<br />
the sector’s environmental sustainability, as well as facilitating a move from prescriptive to fit-for-purpose<br />
closure regulation.<br />
Water management<br />
Water is one of our nation’s most precious resources. Understanding how the different users of the finite<br />
available quantities of water can coexist constructively, now and into the future, is essential if the energy<br />
resources sector is to continue to grow.<br />
It is essential the industry continues to pursue collaborative and openly accessible research into water<br />
management and conservation, and develops improved technologies to better address these important issues.<br />
Significant community concerns exist with water management in onshore gas production, uranium and<br />
coal mining. Concerns over depletion of reservoirs and water quality contamination are impacting the<br />
social licence to operate of all the energy resources industries. For example, in 2013/2014, potential water<br />
contamination in the Great Artesian Basin 87 was the most significant concern for landholders in respect<br />
of the Coal Seam Gas (CSG) industry, creating community concerns over the industry and resistance to its<br />
development. However, it should be noted that development in Queensland continued relatively unabated,<br />
while in New South Wales CSG has effectively halted while the State works through its new gas plan 88 .<br />
At the national level, in 2013 the water trigger legislation was introduced as an amendment to the<br />
Environment Protection and Biodiversity Conservation Act 1999 (EPBC Act) 89 to facilitate the review<br />
by the federal environment minister of the impact of any new coal seam gas or major new coal<br />
developments on the water in the location of the proposed development, in addition to State review.<br />
The use of independent, openly accessible, leading science and innovative technologies to address water<br />
management concerns will positively impact social licence to operate in these areas.<br />
Tailings management<br />
A major challenge to mining based process operations, including both coal and uranium, is the<br />
management of tailings from the facilities. Environmental, social and operational requirements and<br />
expectations for the management of tailings are evolving, in respect of water management and disposal<br />
of solids, and impacts on the entire life of the plant.<br />
To meet these evolving requirements, there is an ongoing need for focussed and collaborative research<br />
for the safe design, management and decommissioning of tailings dams, to develop better, cleaner and<br />
more efficient, techniques and technologies and to continue the work of the Department of Industry,<br />
Innovation and Science 90 .<br />
Initiatives to enhance the social licence to operate<br />
Community engagement and education<br />
Community support is integral to the success of resource projects, and to the success of the sector,<br />
particularly in a time of growing environmental awareness. The initiatives described below aim to enhance<br />
the broader societal understanding of the benefits and impact of the energy resources sector, to build<br />
energy literacy and allow more informed community debate on the future of Australia’s energy supply,<br />
while also overcoming existing scepticism and popular misconceptions.<br />
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Research social, economic and environmental consequences of the activities of the energy<br />
resources sector<br />
Community support is integral to the long-term viability of the energy resources sector, particularly in<br />
a time of growing societal environmental awareness. As the sector expands its footprint in Australia,<br />
overcoming existing scepticism and popular misconceptions will be integral to accessing future resources<br />
and markets. This makes it essential for the sector to:<br />
• Identify better ways to engage with the community;<br />
• Ensure that the community understands how it directly and indirectly benefits from the sector’s<br />
activities; and<br />
• Demonstrate the sector’s commitment to environmental sustainability.<br />
The sector must develop robust frameworks to build a better level of community awareness of the value<br />
of the energy industries in Australia and, through that, gain greater community support to sustain the<br />
industry’s social licence to operate. Key to this is to create trust and understanding of stakeholders through<br />
transparency of all actions (good and bad), including the development of an environmental performance<br />
dashboard. For several parts of the sector improved and more open engagement approaches are required<br />
to address community concerns relating to social and environmental impacts. The Western Australian<br />
Marine Science Initiative (WAMSI) model 91 is widely seen as a successful approach to deep and enduring<br />
stakeholder engagement and is one potential model on which to develop such engagement.<br />
Further opportunities for industry to actively support community environmental groups include working<br />
collaboratively to ensure community questions and goals are supported, and for industry to work to build<br />
more open, trusting relationships with these groups.<br />
Whilst building trust is paramount, engagement may also include educating stakeholders on the broader<br />
benefits of the energy resources sector, and discussing the distribution of benefits such as direct and<br />
indirect employment opportunities, the value and distribution of royalties and equity with impacted<br />
stakeholders (see energy literacy below).<br />
Energy literacy<br />
A major objective is to develop a program of work to improve the energy literacy across the community,<br />
to deepen the understanding of the energy value chain, life-cycle, energy economics, choices, benefits and<br />
impacts. For society to fully engage in an informed discussion on Australia’s energy future, there needs<br />
to be awareness of the trade-offs in energy choices and better understanding of the context in which<br />
they are made. To enable full, open and informed debate and understanding of the issues around the<br />
Australian energy resources sector, <strong>NERA</strong> aims to promote ongoing discussions and information sharing<br />
for all forms of energy, oil and gas, coal, uranium and the emerging range of renewables.<br />
This will include: promoting public discussion and literacy around how these energy resources are<br />
produced, used and safely managed: how they contribute to the nation’s economy; how they combine<br />
into the overall energy mix; and what alternatives exist. Such activity will help improve overall<br />
understanding of the implications of new developments, such as the electrification of transport, and how<br />
the nation’s power generation will be managed as demand increases and sources of supply expand.<br />
Information stewardship<br />
To augment the development of a deeper level of energy literacy in the community, it is important that<br />
steps be taken to support the development of “trusted and independent custodians of scientific data and<br />
information.” Currently there is a lack of trust between industry, their stakeholders and the public, with each<br />
believing the other parties manipulate information to suit their purposes. An organisation (or group of such<br />
organisations and bodies) that is seen by all parties as a genuine independent custodian of information<br />
would provide a trusted “source of truth” and could potentially arbitrate on disputed science matters.<br />
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Business and<br />
Operating Models,<br />
Technology and<br />
Services<br />
5. UNLOCK FUTURE RESOURCES<br />
The Australian energy resources sector needs to improve its ability to identify, appraise and develop<br />
marginal resources in a cost effective and sustainable way. Development of marginal resources will<br />
require government and non-competitive corporate data to be more widely accessible to allow operators<br />
sufficient information to allow them to assess potential and known resources for future development.<br />
The sector must review national and state based regulations and restrictions that heavily influence the<br />
costs associated with, and the ability to undertake new exploration. New technologies and approaches<br />
continue to make significant impacts to energy resource extraction, which enable new resources to be<br />
developed and recovery maximised. While the regulatory burden is discussed elsewhere in this SCP, there<br />
are opportunities to unlock marginal resources in providing access to geological information and through<br />
greater cross industry collaboration.<br />
Integrated geological information<br />
Development of nation-wide priority driven frameworks are required for acquiring, evaluating and<br />
distributing pre-competitive geological and geophysical information to enable companies to identify and<br />
assess onshore and offshore geological basins. This will enhance the understanding of Australia’s natural<br />
resources and geology and help identify new projects to underpin the sector’s operational sustainability.<br />
As an illustration, only 12 per cent of Australia’s marine territories are properly mapped, with deep water<br />
exploration of new zones expected to identify additional petroleum acreage.<br />
Additionally, operators in all resources industries must continue to explore alternate and more costeffective<br />
ways to acquire new geophysical data to allow them to build accurate models of prospective<br />
formations for future exploration.<br />
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Cross industry collaboration<br />
The ability to amortise the costs of exploration between organisations within one sector, or even between<br />
sectors, could provide a further way to control exploration costs and unlock access to more marginal<br />
resources. Establishing a National Exploration Research Programme similar to that proposed by AMIRA 92<br />
could help in unlocking some of the benefits of such collaboration.<br />
Managing ageing assets<br />
Many of Australia’s energy resources sector facilities, mines and reservoirs are beginning to reach the<br />
later phases of their production lives. As they move into these phases, production becomes increasingly<br />
difficult and the volumes and quality of extractable product declines. In many instances, these assets are<br />
then sold on to smaller operators who, through lean operations and focussed production can still operate<br />
the facilities profitably and effectively.<br />
As ageing assets are passed along the chain from one operator to the next, there is the risk that new<br />
owners will need to minimise some compliance commitments to ensure profitability. Commitments for<br />
closure and rehabilitation may prove to be too expensive and may be undertaken in marginal ways.<br />
As the broad array of resource facilities begin to reach the ends of their lives, it is important that the<br />
industry ensures the best possible standards of closure and rehabilitation be fully understood, that safe<br />
and economically viable solutions be researched and embedded in regulations, and that all members of<br />
the industry comply to these requirements. The acts of each organisation reflects on the entire sector and<br />
the industry as a whole must work together to maintain standards and reputation.<br />
Environmental science collaboration<br />
The role and value of ongoing environmental science is critical to the long-term commercial and societal<br />
sustainability of the entire energy resources sector.<br />
Environmental scientists assist in building a better understanding of the impact of operating facilities on<br />
the natural environment. They provide understanding on how mines and wells can be optimised to operate<br />
productively and maximise recovery during their entire lifecycle, with minimal environmental impact and how to<br />
return the landscape to its former condition at the end of the facility’s operational life. For the sector to maintain<br />
its social licence to operate it is imperative that the strong relationship between environmental science<br />
and energy production is maintained, and that both groups continue to support each other’s activities.<br />
An example of this can be seen in the offshore oil and gas industry, which relies heavily on marine<br />
science to support its operations safely and effectively, and to ensure the marine environment is managed<br />
appropriately. As such, enhancing the knowledge and use of environmental science is critical to the<br />
industry’s future from a technical, operational and social licence perspective. The offshore oil and gas<br />
industry needs to continue to collaborate with organisations such as the Western Australian Marine<br />
Science Institute (WAMSI) 91 to progress the development of understanding of the marine environment for<br />
current operations and into the upcoming abandonment phase for some facilities.<br />
Initiatives to assist in unlocking marginal resources<br />
Marginal resources are those which cannot be accessed in economic ways using presently available<br />
technologies and approaches. As such, the energy resources sector needs to either access these marginal<br />
resources using novel approaches or less costly means, or wait until either the value of the resources<br />
increases relative to the cost of extraction or new or existing technology is available.<br />
Work with technology suppliers to identify new ways to access resources<br />
Resource development companies need to work with technology suppliers to identify technologies being<br />
used in other locations and fields, that can be transferred for use in marginal resources. They need to<br />
consider how best to cooperate on the design, development and deployment of new technologies.<br />
Examples of such technologies could include advances in heap and in-situ leaching for uranium projects<br />
and long subsea tiebacks for offshore oil and gas, both of which could help to unlock potential in their<br />
respective industries.<br />
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CASE STUDY<br />
Guidelines for prediction of geotechnical performance of spudcan<br />
foundations during installation and removal of jack-up units<br />
InSafeJIP provided new guidelines for engineers for use in their daily analysis of whether a jack-up<br />
unit is safe to install, operate or remove from an offshore oil and gas site.<br />
InSafeJIP was a Joint Industry Project (JIP) established by three universities – The University of<br />
Western Australia (UWA) through the Centre of Offshore Foundation Systems (COFS), University of<br />
Oxford (Oxford) and National University of Singapore (NUS), and the engineering consultant RPS<br />
Energy – to work with 19 offshore oil and gas companies and government regulators.<br />
There is a perception within the industry that modern jack-ups have lower reliability (safety from<br />
structural failure) than traditional fixed offshore platforms, with the majority of the accidents attributed<br />
to geotechnical failures. These can lead to rig damage, lost drilling time, and injury to personnel.<br />
The consequential cost to industry is estimated to be between USD$10 million and USD$30 million<br />
per geotechnical incident which occurs on a scale of between five and 10 times per year.<br />
Under the JIP, the universities reported on the benchmarking of the latest research on jack-up<br />
installation and extraction of jack-up platforms against the offshore data sets provided by the project<br />
participants. This two-year project was funded by 19 oil and gas partners and was dependent on data<br />
sharing between the partners. In an industry first, companies – including operators hiring jack-ups,<br />
jack-up owners, jack-up builders, engineering consultants and government regulators – shared data<br />
to create a single point of information.<br />
This resulted in better guidelines to bring about safer installations going forward.<br />
These guidelines are now being widely used across the oil and gas industry.<br />
Subsea tieback technology<br />
Research and development of innovative technologies will continue to unlock marginal resources in oil<br />
and gas, for example, targeted research into subsea tieback technology as a mechanism for developing<br />
stranded oil and gas assets, or allowing existing subsea tieback infrastructure (such as manifolds and<br />
pipelines) to be used to develop other fields in the vicinity (e.g. in the Carnarvon Basin).<br />
Reagent chemistry<br />
Research and development of innovative technologies will continue to unlock marginal resources in<br />
mining, for example, research into reagent chemistry for uranium leaching to support cost effective in-situ<br />
or heap leaching in an Australian geological context. This will increase yield and reduce the cost per<br />
pound of uranium extraction, and as a result increase the viability of a number of uranium projects.<br />
Computational geoscience<br />
Computational geoscience entails the use of advanced computational technology and software to<br />
undertake increasingly complex analysis of seismic imaging data. The techniques involved enable energy<br />
resources companies to build a greater understanding of the properties of their existing and potential<br />
deposits as well as identify potential locations for future carbon geosequestration.<br />
Computational geoscience depends on access to supercomputer capacity, appropriate seismic data<br />
and cutting edge software. Leading the development of the techniques offers both an opportunity for<br />
Australia’s resources companies to exploit the insights gained in the growth of the sector while at the<br />
same time building a computational centre of excellence that can be marketed to other locations.<br />
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Unmanned aircraft systems geophysics<br />
Historically, geophysical data has been acquired through the deployment of either fixed-wing aircraft or<br />
helicopters equipped with the technology needed to undertake the surveys. However, with advances in<br />
both the technological capability and payload capacity of unmanned aerial systems (UAS) or drones, it is<br />
now possible to undertake this data collection work using unmanned aircraft. These aircraft can operate<br />
autonomously, programmed to automatically cover only the area required, do not require access to<br />
large runways, can operate much closer to the ground than conventional aircraft and can be very flexibly<br />
deployed, as they operate without a pilot. They are low risk and can operate for extended periods, only<br />
pausing for fuel and maintenance.<br />
6. NEW MARKETS, NEW TECHNOLOGIES,<br />
NEW BUSINESS MODELS<br />
For the sector to plan effectively for the future there is a strong and immediate need to look to new markets,<br />
consolidate and expand the sector’s presence in existing markets, and exploit the use of new technologies.<br />
Australia has established trade agreements with most nations in the Asia Pacific Region, under which<br />
it has for a long time exported both energy resources and the technologies used to consume them.<br />
Australia also has strong trade ties, and is a signatory to, many trade agreements with nations outside<br />
the region. Many opportunities exist for Australia to leverage these trade agreements and relationships<br />
to sell the nation’s resources and the associated knowledge, skills and technologies, and to partner with<br />
other nations or organisations in the energy resource sector. Such opportunities would facilitate the<br />
commercial innovation in Australia’s energy resources value and supply chains, and growth in globally<br />
competitive exports from the sector.<br />
With the proliferation of renewable and alternative power generation, there is a need to more<br />
fully understand the impact that widespread adoption of these technologies pose, and to identify<br />
opportunities for the energy resources sector stemming from these changes. The energy resources sector<br />
needs to be able to adapt quickly to the growing market share of these alternative energy sources, and<br />
find and seize new opportunities.<br />
Both incremental and transformational change across the energy resources sector are required.<br />
Incremental improvements include leaner, smarter operations to improve productivity and drive down<br />
costs. Transformational change includes new operating models and a focus on new and innovative<br />
approaches to project execution and leveraging existing capacity more fully. The increased awareness<br />
of society’s environmental impact, along with disruptions in the energy market from the increased<br />
deployment of renewable energy technologies, present an opportunity for Australia to develop and<br />
adapt clean technologies. Australia can potentially commercialise these technologies and become an<br />
exporter of clean technologies to developing countries as they transition from fossil fuels.<br />
While global demand for Australian energy resources remains strong, there is a movement toward<br />
cleaner ways to consume this energy. As the supplier of energy commodities there is an opportunity<br />
for Australia to be a major player in the world’s development of enabling technologies such as Carbon<br />
Capture and Storage (CCS).<br />
Asian trade agreements<br />
Australia holds many trade agreements with other nations in the region 93 , including those recently concluded<br />
with China, Japan and South Korea, older agreements with Thailand, Singapore and Malaysia and the ASEAN<br />
– New Zealand free trade area. Future agreements are being considered with Indonesia, India, the Gulf Cooperation<br />
Council and the European Union. These trade agreements provide strong and agreed frameworks<br />
for the exchange of goods and services and may facilitate the Australian energy resources sector to increase<br />
its level of trade in the sale of energy resources, and the export of technology, know-how and skills.<br />
The Australian energy resources sector has recently undergone a substantial expansion that has resulted<br />
in the development of new and highly sophisticated skills, such as the design and construction of large<br />
modular plant, skills that may have strong applications in many of the nation’s regional trading partners.<br />
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Develop international technology partnerships<br />
While many Australian energy resource businesses are already members of international technology<br />
projects, the sector can leverage significant additional international relationships. These relationships<br />
can be partnerships to develop and deploy new technologies and practices in Australia, and to develop<br />
technologies for export to other locations.<br />
Such partnerships can enable Australia to improve its global performance in the commercialisation of<br />
innovation, drive deeper partnerships between the research sector and the Australian value and supply<br />
chains, and place Australia at the forefront of the deployment and export of new technology. This in turn<br />
can enhance domestic productivity, identify new markets for Australian technology and build a stronger<br />
and more diverse export portfolio, including beyond the energy resources sector.<br />
Commercialisation of operational technological developments<br />
Many Australian operators and service companies invest heavily in developing technologies for internal<br />
use where either the suitable commercial technology is unavailable or not suitable for their applications.<br />
In many instances these developments are either only used internally or given away for free. Only in a<br />
few instances will the developing organisation attempt to commercialise their technology. Often the<br />
failure to commercialise internal technology results from such efforts being seen as external to core<br />
business. If the company is a supplier of energy resources, the sale of software or specialised hardware is<br />
frequently considered a distraction. If they are a service company they may either see the development as<br />
a commercial advantage or an evolutionary tool they do not consider as commercialisable.<br />
However, with the current instability of energy resources and many organisations looking to diversify<br />
their base, seeking to commercialise existing operational technological developments or developing new<br />
concepts with a view to commercialisation presents a substantial new market opportunity.<br />
Carbon capture and storage (CCS)<br />
Research and development should continue into Carbon Capture Storage (CCS) technology for both pre and<br />
post combustion phases in the use of fossil fuels for power generation through mechanisms such as Coal21,<br />
Australian Coal Association Low Emissions Technology (ACALET), Australian National Low Emissions Coal<br />
(ANLEC) research and development organisation and the CO2CRC 94 , as well as developing cost effective<br />
and efficient technologies that could be incorporated into new facilities or retrofitted into existing plants.<br />
The success of this technology has the potential to enable a zero to low carbon emission process for the<br />
coal and gas industries, and reduce carbon dioxide (CO 2<br />
) emissions by up to 90 per cent 95 , thereby<br />
strengthening the resources market.<br />
Low emissions technologies<br />
Research and development should be targeted at low emissions technologies, particularly for the coal<br />
and gas industries. Development of such technologies will build technical expertise in Australia and open<br />
the opportunities to export these technologies and skills to the rest of the world.<br />
Areas where such technologies are currently being developed include gas processing at the well head and<br />
the reinjection of CO 2<br />
for geosequestration, as implemented on the Chevron Gorgon project 34 . Ongoing<br />
research into this technology is also underway as part of the National Geosequestration Laboratory 96 .<br />
Significant work is being undertaken into developing low emission fossil fuel technologies in Australia<br />
and overseas. The coal industry has partnered with governments and the private sector to invest in the<br />
demonstration of such solutions through its Coal21 Fund 97 , which funds the industry’s low emission<br />
research and development programs (ACALET and ANLEC). The fund, through ACALET, has directly invested<br />
$300 million and leveraged a further $550 million in significant low emission technologies since 2006.<br />
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LNG as a fuel<br />
Significant opportunities exist to expand the use of LNG as a general transport fuel and to support the<br />
development and use of LNG bunkering facilities for marine vessels, following on from the Sulphur emissions<br />
(SOx) limitations set by the International Maritime Organisation (IMO) under MARPOL Annex VI 98 . DNV GL<br />
reported that there were 77 LNG fuelled vessels operating worldwide in early 2016 with a further 85 vessels<br />
either under construction or on order. The majority in operation are in Europe with 69 per cent in Norway<br />
while those on order are split 72 per cent in Europe, 25 per cent into the United States, with the balance<br />
distributed around the rest of the world 99 . Research has commenced into the use of LNG as a transport fuel<br />
for trucks and ships with potential economic and environmental benefits compared to diesel and fuel oil.<br />
Other uses include powering locomotives, uses in the mining sector and industrial applications as well<br />
as in operations. Modelling by McKinsey 71 indicates that by adopting LNG and Compressed Natural<br />
Gas (CNG) as fuels for a proportion of transportation trucks, mining trucks, public transport buses and<br />
locomotives, together with using it as a bunkering fuel for Australian shipping could generate savings<br />
in excess of $1 billion. Further benefits would be reduced emissions of Sulphur Oxides (SOx), Nitrous<br />
Oxides (NOx) and particulates found in the combustion of conventional fuels such as marine bunker oils,<br />
together with a reduction of the nation’s CO 2<br />
emissions by up to 1.7 million tonnes equivalent.<br />
Such developments would have multiple potential benefits to the Australian energy resources sector and the<br />
nation’s economy such as:<br />
a) Opening up new domestic markets through the development of additional small scale LNG facilities;<br />
b) Underpinning potential spin-off uses of LNG around the ports and other locations where LNG is stored;<br />
c) Reducing the emissions of many heavy transport vehicles such as bulk cargo carriers and locomotives; and<br />
d) Potentially allow for adjustments in current fuel tariffs and tax concessions, whilst allowing Australia<br />
to remain at the forefront of the development of technologies and skills needed to undertake such a<br />
development.<br />
Another opportunity to monitor is the provision of small electricity generation capacity in less well<br />
served locations, to infill gaps in the network and avoid the costly need to install traditional pole and<br />
wire infrastructures. This could be undertaken as part of a collaborative exercise with the Institute of<br />
Sustainable Solutions at the University of Technology, Sydney 100 who maintain Network Opportunity<br />
Maps showing locations where there is a potential need for such supply.<br />
Hybrid technologies<br />
Research and development should be considered in respect of new fossil and renewable hybrid technologies,<br />
such as renewable/ gas hybrids. Building on the growing interest in low emission technologies, hybrid fossil/<br />
renewable electricity generation merits further investigation to capitalise on Australia’s natural resource<br />
base. Australia has abundant solar energy and coal resources with 80 per cent of the nation’s electricity<br />
generation currently based on coal 101 . In 2015, CSIRO (through ARENA funding) completed a pilot of<br />
the world’s first practical demonstration of pilot scale post-combustion carbon dioxide capture (PCC)<br />
processes integrated with solar thermal energy, at coal-fired (and gas) power stations 101 . Despite the<br />
success of the pilot, commercialisation of renewable hybrids has been limited because it is not currently<br />
price competitive in the absence of a price on greenhouse gas emissions.<br />
Enabling technologies<br />
The industry needs to consider the impact of enabling technologies, such as battery storage, on the<br />
Australian energy resources sector over the next ten years. At commercial scale, battery storage<br />
technology could allow under-utilised energy to be captured during off-peak periods, and utilised<br />
during on-peak periods. Such energy storage technologies would address the inherent intermittency of<br />
renewable energy supplies, such as solar generating its output during peak midday sunlight hours while<br />
peak demand for electricity is typically during mornings and evenings. An efficient, stable and reliable<br />
integration of energy sources and technologies to supply electrical systems should be a significant<br />
consideration for the future of the Australian energy resources sector.<br />
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Adapting to the changing energy mix<br />
World-wide the energy sector is undergoing significant change as renewable power and alternative<br />
energy sources become economically and commercially viable on a large scale. The Australian energy<br />
resources sector must consider the disruptive impact that widespread adoption of renewable power will<br />
have over the next ten years, as well as the changing dynamics in the demand for energy exports to key<br />
markets such as Asia.<br />
The sector needs to find constructive ways to participate in this evolving power mix, which will create<br />
export opportunities for clean, reliable energy supply, and help address the challenges of providing<br />
energy security in parallel with clean energy initiatives. Within Australia, there are issues of integration<br />
between initiatives at state and federal levels which impact on energy supply, affecting consumers and<br />
increasing the perception of risk for investors. An example is South Australia 102 , where 45 per cent of<br />
power generation is produced by renewable sources of energy (mainly wind and solar). The intermittent<br />
generation has put a significant strain on the transmission system, which had been designed for base<br />
load thermal generation, and resulted in a higher reliance on interconnectors to access power from other<br />
states, which in turn has escalated power prices in that state.<br />
The interaction between renewable energy and thermal energy sources, and their impact on transmission<br />
systems, together with the interaction between energy policy and climate policy at a state and federal<br />
level need to be considered in a consistent framework, such as the ‘energy trilemma’. The energy<br />
trilemma 29 underpins the World Energy Council’s definition of energy sustainability, it uses the three<br />
counter-posing drivers of affordability, environmental sustainability and energy security to determine an<br />
overall index on a national level. From a practical perspective, finding solutions to integrate alternative<br />
energy sources with more conventional sources will improve the depth of the market, and offers<br />
opportunities in both domestic and export markets.<br />
Initiatives to support the development and adoption of new technologies<br />
Extend the network of small scale LNG facilities<br />
To leverage opportunities presented through expanded domestic use of LNG, it will be necessary to<br />
extend the existing network of small scale LNG production facilities to provide comprehensive national<br />
coverage and security of supply for organisations wishing to adopt LNG as their fuel source. Existing<br />
domestic LNG facilities currently comprise one each in Chinchilla, Queensland; Newcastle, New South<br />
Wales; Dandenong, Victoria; Westbury, Tasmania; Kwinana and Dampier, Western Australia; with<br />
capacities of between 50 and 200 tonnes per day. An expansion of the network could incorporate<br />
shipment of similar volumes of LNG from the major export production facilities.<br />
With this expansion, marine operators would be guaranteed supply around the nation’s coast, and other<br />
potential consumers, such as mine sites, could then further explore the use of LNG as an alternate to<br />
their current dependence on imported diesel.<br />
As the impact of the International Maritime Organisation (MARPOL) 98 legislation becomes better<br />
understood, there is a strong likelihood that increasing numbers of ocean going vessels will convert to<br />
LNG as their primary fuel source. These vessels will require security of supply either in Australia or in the<br />
region and, as the region’s principal producer of LNG, there is an opportunity for Australia to be both a<br />
major supply hub and a supplier of LNG to other ports in the region.<br />
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Broader support for focussed innovation<br />
For any economy to be globally competitive, to support a diverse and healthy economy for its citizens and<br />
to have the capacity to quickly adapt to change, it must continually seek new and improved ways to do<br />
existing work and find new commercial opportunities. Progressive innovation in the Australian economy<br />
requires strong collaboration between industry and the research sector. In the energy resources sector it<br />
requires new partnerships and ways of working between large operators/miners and their supply chain,<br />
and between the supply chain and the research sector to drive innovation.<br />
To foster innovation in the energy resources sector it is critical Australia’s policy and regulatory framework<br />
facilitates industry led research, supports collaboration between the operators and supply chain,<br />
encourages commercial risk taking, and concurrently provides strong environmental oversight.<br />
While the innovation ecosystem in Australia is growing rapidly, much of the focus is outside the energy<br />
resources sector. The findings in the Western Australian Start-up Ecosystem Report 103 show that major<br />
economic opportunities for innovation are in automation of knowledge work, advanced robotics and<br />
the internet of things. The focus of many start-ups is in mobile internet and cloud computing. There is a<br />
strong need to provide mentoring, facilities and focussed support to those in the start-up and innovation<br />
community to develop ideas and technology which could have positive impacts on the future productivity<br />
and sustainability of the Australian energy resources sector. This support should come from industry<br />
and government in the forms of investment, access to data and existing knowledge, tax incentives and<br />
customers for the ideas that emerge.<br />
7. COMMERCIALISATION OF RESEARCH AND<br />
DEVELOPMENT<br />
Australia currently faces challenges in capitalising on the nation’s significant research and development<br />
capability. Identifying industry requirements to better focus both academic and industry research<br />
and ensure uptake and commercialisation will be key to increasing supply chain capability and<br />
commercialisation of research in the sector.<br />
Australia is a world leader in many areas of technology research, ranking in the top 10 Organisation<br />
for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) nations for academic publications, yet regularly<br />
stumbles when trying to commercialise these developments, where the nation ranks at the bottom for<br />
collaboration between industry and academia 104 . The operators of many Australian facilities continue<br />
to require international demonstrations of equipment before they deploy new technology, making it an<br />
ongoing challenge for many Australian innovators to reach commercial outcomes especially given the<br />
difficulties in securing capital to upscale pilot projects and implement international trials. The result of<br />
which means many Australian businesses are unable to capitalise on their cutting edge work.<br />
Identifying and leveraging the research and industry connections between end users, research institutions<br />
and product developers is critical in defining and developing new technology, and yet many organisations<br />
still struggle to find the right linkages. Building these linkages and leveraging this knowledge into the<br />
broader sector is a major role of <strong>NERA</strong>. It is critical to the future competitiveness and sustainability of<br />
Australia’s energy resources sector that research and industry build stronger ties, and establish ways to<br />
effectively communicate emerging science on technical and socio-economic challenges of the sector.<br />
This requires all parties to provide leadership and actively seek opportunities to collaborate and to<br />
innovate together. Industry must work with the research sector to address its pressing current and future<br />
challenges. In turn, Australian universities and research organisations need to achieve greater consistency<br />
and engagement in knowledge and technology transfer.<br />
If we are to maximise the impact and utility of research and innovation spend, Australia needs to build<br />
on the work undertaken by programs such as the Australian Research Council, Co-operative Research<br />
Centres and Co-operative Research Centre projects to ensure research is assessed for its impact including<br />
social, economic, environmental and health. Energy resources related research and innovation should<br />
have a clear pathway to commercial impact in that sector. Australia also needs to further explore the use<br />
of incentives, including financial, for the research sector to engage in knowledge transfer.<br />
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Living laboratories<br />
The commitment of the National Research Infrastructure Council 105 to build public collaboration facilities<br />
sufficiently large enough to provide a test bed for exploratory work, testing, certification and qualification<br />
and international engagement, provides significant support for innovation, product development, skills<br />
and services in Australia. Private organisations with testing facilities can also build breadth and depth into<br />
the system by developing clusters of organisations, small and large, around an industry discipline, and in<br />
effect developing the “living lab” concept 106 . Using Australia’s existing facilities, whether public and private,<br />
enables continuous learning and development and creates an environment of trust and shared risk.<br />
Using infrastructure as a tool to build collaboration, knowledge, skills, new and improved products has<br />
been shown to be successful in clusters around the world. Clusters based on infrastructure draw in<br />
start-ups, small to medium enterprises, universities and large industries all supporting the science and<br />
innovation supporting the maturation of the idea to market.<br />
Understanding and developing commercialisation pathways<br />
While many large organisations have the capacity to access commercialisation pathways for their new<br />
products and innovations, it remains difficult for smaller, less established organisations to understand<br />
how best to commercialise their ideas. Many innovations developed within organisations, whether large<br />
or small, are developed without the pathway to commercial outcomes clearly identified or understood<br />
upfront by the developers. This leaves many innovative business ideas and products unexplored or<br />
unrealised, and many smaller organisations are unable to exploit their ideas to their full potential.<br />
Many new and innovative ideas will be progressed to the point of feasibility only to fail at the development<br />
stage, through lack of funding or the inability to secure the support of potential clients and users willing<br />
to undertake trials. Bridging this gap between technology readiness and commercialisation readiness is,<br />
often an almost insurmountable challenge in the energy resources sector, where the high capital cost<br />
environment makes participants risk averse.<br />
To address these challenges, organisations seeking to innovate need assistance to identify the commercial<br />
potential and how to take their ideas, innovation and products to the global marketplace. There are a<br />
number of existing tools that could be extended to assist with this process, for example, concepts could be<br />
evaluated and assigned the accepted Technology Readiness Levels (TRL’s) 107 and Commercial Readiness<br />
Index (CRI’s) 108 and then supported through the product development funnel process shown in Figure 25<br />
until they are capable of becoming self-sustaining commercial successes. The relationship between TRL’s<br />
and CRI’s is set out in Figure 23 109 .<br />
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Figure 23: A pictorial representation of the relationship between TRL’s and CRI’s<br />
(from Technology Readiness Levels for Renewable Energy <strong>Sector</strong>s, ARENA 109 )<br />
CRI<br />
6<br />
5<br />
Bankable Asset Class<br />
Market competition<br />
Driving widespread development<br />
4 Multiple Commercial Applications<br />
System test,<br />
TRL<br />
Launch & Operations<br />
9<br />
System / Subsystem<br />
8<br />
Development<br />
Technology<br />
7<br />
Demonstration 6<br />
Technology<br />
5<br />
Development<br />
Research to<br />
4<br />
Prove Feasibility 3<br />
Basic Technology<br />
2<br />
Research<br />
1<br />
3 Commercial Scale Up<br />
2 Commercial Trial, small scale<br />
1<br />
Hypothetical<br />
Commercial Proposition<br />
Figure 24: The pathway from TRL to CRI<br />
(from Technology Readiness Levels for Renewable Energy <strong>Sector</strong>s, ARENA 109 )<br />
Research and<br />
Development<br />
Technology readiness<br />
Demonstration<br />
Pilot<br />
Scale<br />
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9<br />
Commercial<br />
Scale<br />
Commercial readiness<br />
Deployment<br />
Supported<br />
Commercial<br />
Competitive<br />
Commercial<br />
1 2 3 4 5 6<br />
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Figure 25: Product development funnel<br />
Commonwealth funding,<br />
university & industry<br />
support resources along the<br />
research to market funnel<br />
Identify<br />
Problem,<br />
Unproven<br />
Concept<br />
<strong>NERA</strong> guidance<br />
and assessment<br />
support CRC,<br />
CRC-P, ITRP, GIL<br />
<strong>NERA</strong> publication<br />
– Research Ready<br />
Ideas<br />
Ideas<br />
Ideas<br />
Ideas<br />
Ideas<br />
Ideas<br />
Ideas<br />
• CRC, CRC-P<br />
• ARC Linkage, ITRP<br />
• Collaborations<br />
• Student Projects<br />
• iPrep<br />
• ATSE Mentoring<br />
• Hackathons<br />
• Fedex Days<br />
• Accelerators<br />
Proven<br />
Concept<br />
Tested<br />
<strong>NERA</strong> financial<br />
support for<br />
the PhD ATSE<br />
mentoring Program<br />
• PhDs, ECRs, CSIRO<br />
• CRC, CRC-P<br />
• University & Commercial Labs<br />
• Consulting<br />
Validated<br />
Concept<br />
<strong>NERA</strong> Innovation<br />
Voucher<br />
• University & Commercial Labs<br />
• Technology Qualification<br />
• IP Australia<br />
• R&D Tax Incentives<br />
• State Government Funding<br />
Programmes<br />
Prototype<br />
<strong>NERA</strong> support for<br />
COREHub & SME<br />
networking events<br />
• Entrepreneurs Programme<br />
• Innovation WA<br />
• Accelerators<br />
• Austrade<br />
• University & Commercial Labs<br />
• Angel Investors<br />
• Venture Capital<br />
• Classification Societies<br />
Environment<br />
& System<br />
Tested<br />
<strong>NERA</strong> support<br />
for the formation<br />
of clusters, living<br />
labs, technology<br />
competitions &<br />
promotion<br />
• Facilities & Experts for Testing<br />
• University & Commercial Labs<br />
• Austrade<br />
• Marketing<br />
• Commercial Labs<br />
• Angel Investors<br />
• Venture Capital<br />
• Classification Societies<br />
System<br />
Installed &<br />
Field Proven<br />
<strong>NERA</strong> identification<br />
of R&D<br />
commercialisation<br />
gaps, barriers<br />
and investment<br />
channels<br />
• Customers<br />
• Clients<br />
• Sales<br />
• Marketing<br />
• Product Cycle<br />
• EFIC<br />
• Austrade<br />
• Australian Landing Pads<br />
• International Clusters<br />
Market<br />
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Initiatives to assist in the commercialisation of Research and Development<br />
Strengthen industry-led research stewardship<br />
Enhanced collaboration and research stewardship between industry and research organisations will<br />
provide greater research and development focus on industry requirements, increasing solution uptake<br />
and commercialisation. Mechanisms to support this include the ongoing use of the Cooperative Research<br />
Centre Association scheme (CRC) 110 and the Australian Research Council scheme (ARC Linkage) 111 .<br />
Enhance industry engagement with research institutions<br />
The sector needs to understand and adopt, where appropriate, world’s leading practice for the adoption<br />
of research translation, i.e. transferring research into industry practice 112 . This includes both industry<br />
and the broader research community working to fully and holistically understand sector challenges<br />
and opportunities and identifying key business people to actively manage the research engagement.<br />
These personnel need to understand the potential barriers and pathways to ensure research outcomes<br />
are efficiently transferred into business practice.<br />
Research and development funding models<br />
There is an opportunity to better coordinate, achieve efficiencies of effort and maximise the value from<br />
industry research by investigating collaborative funding models. This may include, for example, a research<br />
funding trust in the oil and gas sector similar to the highly effective model operated by ACARP and the<br />
Coal21 fund (ACALET) discussed elsewhere in this SCP. Such an initiative could be solely industry funded,<br />
with research and development tax concessions, or jointly funded by industry and government to support<br />
research and development in identified fields.<br />
A range of research opportunities are currently available, but information on them is scattered across<br />
multiple private and government bodies, making it difficult to identify the best source of funding and best<br />
capability to undertake the research. The result is duplication of effort, with multiple institutions often<br />
undertaking parallel research where, with better sharing of information, the effort could be combined<br />
and the monies streamlined. Money that would otherwise have been used to support the parallel efforts<br />
could be redirected to other research.<br />
CASE STUDY<br />
Assisting in the delivery of safer, more efficient and reliable<br />
pipelines to meet Australia’s growing energy needs<br />
The Energy Pipelines Cooperative Research Centre (EPCRC) provided the Australian energy pipeline<br />
industry with the technology necessary to extend the life of the existing natural gas transmission<br />
network, and build better, cheaper and safer networks to support increased demand for energy.<br />
EPCRC is a collaboration involving the Australian Pipelines and Gas Association Research and<br />
Standards Committee (APGA RSC), the University of Adelaide, Deakin University, the Royal<br />
Melbourne Institute of Technology and the University of Wollongong.<br />
APGA RSC consists of approximately 60 companies from across the pipeline supply chain including<br />
pipeline owners, designers, constructors, pipe suppliers, contractors and consultants.<br />
Pipelines are technologically advanced and complex systems required to operate continuously,<br />
efficiently and safely. Pipeline failure or outage can have significant, far-reaching consequences<br />
including impacting the security of supply for export and domestic markets and consequently the<br />
Australian economy. Moreover, the existing pipeline network was largely constructed in the 1970s<br />
and 1980s with large portions nearing end of life. Combined with a huge increase in the demand<br />
for domestic energy and export gas, urban sprawl and a changing pipeline ownership landscape,<br />
the pressures on the pipeline network have never been greater.<br />
The EPCRC collaboration received strong industry support and project teams were made up of<br />
actively engaged industry personnel and researchers. It has provided significant value to the<br />
Australian pipeline industry and has been recognised for its world leading research into pipeline<br />
innovation and improved safety.<br />
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BUSINESS AND OPERATING MODELS, TECHNOLOGY AND SERVICES<br />
Improve understanding of Intellectual Property<br />
Ownership of, and access to, intellectual property emerging from new research is often problematic and<br />
can pose additional barriers to the effective exploitation of new ideas. This situation can be particularly<br />
complex when multiple businesses, research centres and universities are involved. Tension exists between<br />
industry’s desire to either own and/or capitalise on any advantages the research offers, while the research<br />
community can be more motivated to publicly share findings and continue investigations. Furthermore,<br />
many operators are generally most interested in having new technology available for their use, rather<br />
than any opportunities to earn royalties. While resolving this tension can be a relatively simple task, it is<br />
one that is typically addressed individually for each project, causing delays and adding potential barriers<br />
to timely research.<br />
Support living labs and pilot plants<br />
Living labs and pilot plants need to be developed and supported in Australia, allowing all levels of<br />
industry and researchers to test and demonstrate their technologies and products in a readily accessible<br />
environment prior to product launch. Such facilities would allow the developers of new technologies<br />
to prove their products to potential clients without needing to negotiate their deployment into full<br />
scale operating industrial plant. Without such facilities it remains extremely difficult for new technology<br />
developers to prove their products to clients who frequently demand demonstrated use prior to adoption.<br />
8. EFFICIENT OPERATIONS AND MAINTENANCE<br />
Australia’s reputation as a high cost jurisdiction to develop, execute and operate projects means<br />
that improving efficiency of operations and maintenance is critical to maintaining and enhancing our<br />
competitive advantage. Identifying appropriate avenues to improve the efficiency of operations and<br />
maintenance, and improve asset utilisation, is critical to the sector’s future competitiveness.<br />
Operators must continually explore, test, develop and adopt new and different innovative solutions, in<br />
some cases becoming early adopters rather than followers. Given the constantly evolving technological<br />
environment, ongoing work is required, particularly in respect of utilisation of service sector capacity,<br />
system standardisation and coordination of major shut downs.<br />
Operating models for remote operations<br />
The Australian mining sector is recognised globally as a leader in remote operations of process plant.<br />
This is a position that has been built over the past decade through innovative changes to operations<br />
in both the mining and energy resources sectors. However, the sector needs to continue to push the<br />
boundaries of what can be safely and effectively monitored and controlled remotely. The focus needs to<br />
be maintained developing effective operating models for remote operations (including those in hostile<br />
and challenging environments) and understanding and adopting ‘smart operations’ to drive performance<br />
improvements and potential costs savings. Co-location of remote operations centres may help improve<br />
knowledge transfer and enable sharing of functional activities.<br />
Understanding the future labour requirements in these new operating models, and ensuring training and<br />
development of relevant skills will be essential, requiring ongoing open collaboration between operators,<br />
service sector companies and education providers.<br />
140 National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong>
BUSINESS AND OPERATING MODELS, TECHNOLOGY AND SERVICES<br />
Data, digitisation and predictive analytics<br />
The ongoing gains possible through advanced process modelling, diagnostics and data analytics are<br />
becoming well recognised and in recent years these facilities have been increasingly adopted by many<br />
operators. New gains will continue to be found as technology develops. To exploit these opportunities,<br />
the energy resources sector must push boundaries, support focussed research and develop the use<br />
of data and digital technology to support better decision making and bring about a step change in<br />
operating performance to drive more efficient operations.<br />
To make the most of the opportunities presented by advancing automation, dynamic modelling and<br />
real time predictive control may require investment in new control systems and metering for older<br />
facilities. These changes could include the development of open architecture control systems, such as<br />
that proposed by the Open Process Automation Forum 113 , in place of traditional closed systems currently<br />
in use in many plant. This would be accompanied by open technology, plug-and-play measurement<br />
equipment. It would also be necessary to ensure all of the right measurements are being made in the<br />
right way to allow the level of advanced control anticipated in the future. Essentially, operators must<br />
ensure they are measuring the right variables correctly so they can move beyond the conventional DCS<br />
or PLC level. Without meeting these needs it will not be possible to build accurate analytical models or<br />
undertake realistic and meaningful advanced modelling. Without ensuring the right technology is in place<br />
to make and maximise the measurements, millions of dollars could be wasted trying to grapple with<br />
predictive analytics from using the wrong approach.<br />
Data and digital enablement will result in lower operating costs and enhanced productivity for facilities,<br />
while supporting improved performance analysis. Industry benchmarking of Australian facilities against<br />
international best practice should be considered while developing a local technology industry that can<br />
then export these skills and knowledge to the rest of the world.<br />
Such technologies could include machine learning, artificial intelligence and the use of supercomputers.<br />
A focus on effective decision-making technology will support data analysis to drive value chain optimisation.<br />
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BUSINESS AND OPERATING MODELS, TECHNOLOGY AND SERVICES<br />
Robotics, sensors and automation<br />
For decades, process plants have relied on traditional monitoring and control equipment along with human<br />
operators and maintenance personnel. The emergence of remote and autonomously controlled machines<br />
and sensors has meant that new, more efficient technological options are available. This technology includes<br />
such things as Unmanned Aerial Vehicles (UAV’s also known as drones) and their marine counterparts,<br />
which are being adopted for inspection roles across projects in the energy resources sector.<br />
To exploit the opportunities presented by advances in sensing, automation and monitoring, focussed<br />
research into applications and technology, supported by commitments to test and deploy the resulting<br />
advancements in the areas of robotics, drones, sensors and automation to deliver a step change in<br />
operating performance, is required from all parts of the value chain.<br />
The calculated use of automation and robotics will help to improve plant safety, drive down costs, improve<br />
productivity and allow better access and operations in hostile environments. Focussed development of<br />
leading edge technologies and applications could result in the development of domestic, world leading<br />
businesses which are able to export their technology to the world.<br />
Develop a greater understanding of decommissioning techniques<br />
Each of the uranium, coal and oil and gas industries undertake decommissioning, abandonment<br />
and mine closure in safe and environmentally responsible ways as their assets reach the end of their<br />
productive lives. These activities are costly and complex, exposing the businesses to greater expense and<br />
risk. It is important that Australia remains at the forefront of relevant knowledge and technology and<br />
undertakes research to build the national capabilities and also monitors the international practice and<br />
technology used in decommissioning, abandonment and mine closure activities being undertaken in other<br />
jurisdictions and other industry sectors.<br />
Initiatives to enhance efficient operations and maintenance<br />
Explore ways to build the industry’s skill base in remote operations and facility life extension<br />
Australia is a leading proponent of remote operations. This has been driven by the extreme distances and<br />
harsh environments where facilities are located. Australia is leading the deployment of semi-autonomous<br />
and, increasingly, fully autonomous vehicles and machinery on mine sites as well as ‘not normally<br />
manned’ offshore facilities. However, these steps are just the beginning of increasingly autonomous<br />
operations. While Australia is currently a world leader in this field, we must keep pushing the technology<br />
to deliver increasing benefits in productivity, efficiency and safety, by establishing collaborative<br />
agreements and research centres focussed on the continuing development of remote operations.<br />
Focussed research and early deployment of new technologies<br />
New technologies continue to emerge which are relevant to the energy resources sector, although<br />
they may first be deployed in other industries. This technology includes drones used for surveys and<br />
inspections, 3D printing technology used to manufacture components and prototypes, initially in<br />
plastics but increasingly in metals, virtual reality (VR) technology used to provide immersive training and<br />
developmental environments, and machine learning and advanced computing techniques used to deliver<br />
process plant optimisation. The sector must seek out emerging technologies wherever they are developed<br />
and consider innovative ways to quickly deploy them within the sector in order to deliver productivity and<br />
safety gains together with leading edge capability.<br />
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BUSINESS AND OPERATING MODELS, TECHNOLOGY AND SERVICES<br />
Research into life extension for ageing facilities<br />
Across the world, many energy resource facilities are facing their end of design life while resources<br />
remain to be extracted. This is occurring in both the mining and oil and gas industries. Substantial<br />
research is being undertaken into ways of extending the life of these ageing assets to enable safe<br />
and efficient operations to continue without the need to invest in new and potentially cost prohibitive<br />
equipment or to close the facility while resources remain untapped.<br />
Such projects result in the development of new guidelines and alternate strategies for the ongoing use of<br />
these ageing facilities, and include numerous Joint Industry Projects (JIP) which are being conducted to<br />
identify and address various challenges faced by ageing assets.<br />
CASE STUDY<br />
Innovation precinct for coal remote operating centres<br />
The Remote Operating Centre (ROC) provides a central location for coal operators to coordinate and<br />
increase value across the complete coal supply value chain. BHPBilliton, University of Queensland and<br />
<strong>NERA</strong> have collaborated to start an innovation precinct aimed toward improving remote operating<br />
centres. Coal operators need to extract more value from the ROC operating model and believe additional<br />
collaboration with innovative research partners will speed value generation and enhance the Australian<br />
economy. The potential value of this initiative is increased sector exports and improved performance,<br />
commercialisation of new technology and reduced debottlenecking of capital cost for operators.<br />
The first step in this collaboration will be an alignment of strategic themes across ROC controlled value<br />
chains, providing an early opportunity to consolidate and align research work effort. For example, a highspeed<br />
value trial to build and deploy a cyber-physical fleet control system conducted in a collaboration<br />
hub could transform this technology and develop a new knowledge base. A multi-objective optimisation<br />
of open-pit trucking operations could consider factors including energy efficiency, change in demand<br />
signals and downstream process performance. This one collaboration idea alone would yield:<br />
• Considerable value chain benefit;<br />
• A new commercialised product;<br />
• Increased innovation; and<br />
• Seamless innovation integration between academia and industry.<br />
The learnings from this innovation precinct could be more broadly applied across other industry<br />
remote operating centres.<br />
SECTOR CHALLENGES AND KNOWLEDGE PRIORITIES<br />
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Regulatory<br />
Environment<br />
9. REGULATORY FRAMEWORK OPTIMISATION<br />
Harmonising regulations across the States, Territories and Commonwealth and between Commonwealth<br />
regulations, together with the establishment of outcomes-based regulatory frameworks, would remove<br />
duplication, inconsistencies and inefficient complexity. It would ensure best practice regulation that<br />
supports the Australian economy by supporting industry, innovation and flexibility whilst providing the<br />
Australian community with confidence in the independent, transparent and objective oversight of industry<br />
activities and environmental impacts.<br />
Regulations which currently act as barriers to industry innovation, or inhibit Australia’s ability to access<br />
new resources or develop technology for export markets should be identified and streamlined, but within<br />
the context of maintaining consistency and stability and reducing sovereign risk for investment decisions.<br />
The development of regulations and adoption of standards governing the energy resources sector can<br />
be a protracted undertaking and, if prescriptive in approach, will often be out of date before enacted.<br />
Prescriptive regulation stifles innovation and flexibility, so when coupled with long timelines, creates<br />
further barriers to the deployment of new technologies that might deliver improved performance and<br />
better outcomes. The focus needs to be on risk based and outcome focussed regulation which requires<br />
strong demonstration of performance but allows for changing environments.<br />
144 National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong>
REGULATORY ENVIRONMENT<br />
Encouraging sensible regulatory frameworks to allow ongoing exploration<br />
Across Australia a number of states are currently imposing highly restrictive regulations around energy<br />
resource activities, and in some cases moratoria on exploration. These restrictions are impeding the industry’s<br />
ability to identify, access and develop new prospects. This is placing the long-term future of the Australian<br />
energy resources sector and Australia’s energy security in jeopardy. The identification and assessment of<br />
new reserves is necessary to maintain production by existing facilities as well as for new projects. There is an<br />
urgent need for the industry and governments across Australia to work cooperatively to address community<br />
concerns, and to establish a sensible and broadly acceptable regulatory framework under which<br />
unnecessary restrictions are removed and exploration can proceed with the support of the community.<br />
Harmonisation of standards<br />
The energy resources sector is a global industry. Organisations at all levels are required to navigate multiple<br />
local, national and international standards. These differing standards impact on productivity and create<br />
difficulties in moving personnel and material around the world, and inhibit access to global export markets<br />
for Australia’s energy resources technologies. The harmonisation of domestic and international standards<br />
to a single globally acceptable standard is a critical step, one that is needed for the energy resources<br />
sector to continue to improve productivity and access new global expert markets for the supply chain.<br />
Review of industry self-imposed regulations<br />
While the external regulatory framework establishes a large number of limitations and restrictions on<br />
businesses, it is important also to review self-imposed regulations that may inhibit productivity. In its 2014<br />
report 114 , Deloitte estimated that self-imposed rules and regulations cost business up to $21 billion per year<br />
to administer, and a further $134 billion a year in compliance costs. While this same research found that<br />
the overall compliance requirements in the mining sector (of which the energy resources sector is a sub set),<br />
was relatively low at around eight per cent, they also found that the rate of growth of these self-imposed<br />
requirements was the highest in the country, at around 17 per cent between 2006 and 2011. Many of the<br />
new regulations are in respect of workplace safety improvements and, are very important, but other selfimposed<br />
regulations are simply administrative in nature and unnecessarily add to the cost of business.<br />
Industrial relations and workplace reform<br />
Issues in respect of industrial relations and workplace reform are recognised as a major point of interest<br />
for all members of the energy resources sector, and a prudent and equitable industrial relations landscape<br />
is vital to the viability of the industry. However, such issues do not form part of <strong>NERA</strong>’s charter nor are<br />
they part of the scope of this SCP.<br />
Resource management reform and review of the existing permitting<br />
systems<br />
Many areas of potential activity by the Australian offshore oil and gas industry are currently constrained<br />
by the current permit and retention lease system which is based on a historical ‘permit by permit’<br />
approach. At present, an operator making a discovery must decide whether they can commercially<br />
develop their find or apply for a retention lease. Too often they apply for retention leases which<br />
provide generous timeframes to develop the commerciality of the project. However, a combination of<br />
factors could enable earlier development of a field if an operator was able to gain access to existing<br />
infrastructure and processing capacity. These include: the manner in which the regulations covering<br />
permitting operate; the Joint Authority (JA) of the relevant Australian Government Minister and state/<br />
Northern Territory Government Minister or their delegates; and the incumbent operators holding titles to<br />
adjacent areas where they may already be operating existing facilities and infrastructure.<br />
It is recommended that the Australian regulators and offshore oil and gas industry review the current<br />
resource management framework to determine whether the adoption of a process similar to that set<br />
out in the Maximising Economic Recovery strategy (MER) 115 in place in the United Kingdom sector of<br />
the North Sea may be appropriate, and whether such a policy could serve to unlock current offshore<br />
discoveries through the sharing of appropriate infrastructure.<br />
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REGULATORY ENVIRONMENT<br />
Initiatives to support the optimisation of the regulatory frameworks<br />
Many areas of the Australian energy resources sector are currently heavily constrained by state and federal<br />
regulations that limit exploration to provide new supply and underpin long-term sector viability, restricting<br />
operational development and stifling innovation. For the sector to be able to deliver the value of its full<br />
potential to the economy and community it is critical that the regulatory framework is reviewed. Regulation<br />
needs to be flexible and outcome focussed, and provide a more stable and predictable policy environment.<br />
Exploration can then proceed in a safe and sustainable manner, and potential new projects can be planned<br />
and initiated without sudden policy changes being imposed.<br />
One example of where additional focussed research is needed to support and underpin regulation and<br />
secure community acceptance is understanding the scope, scale, sources and impact of fugitive emissions,<br />
particularly in the unconventional gas industry. In the natural gas industry, fugitive emissions are considered<br />
to include all greenhouse gas emissions from exploration, production, processing, transport and distribution<br />
of natural gas, except those from fuel combustion 116 . However, certain combustion processes like flaring<br />
and waste gas incineration are also counted as fugitive emissions. One of the key drivers of increased<br />
demand for gas is that greenhouse gas emissions from gas utilisation are usually lower than other fossil<br />
fuels 117 . However, because of the much higher global warming potential of methane compared to CO 2<br />
, even<br />
relatively small proportions of fugitive methane released during the production, processing and distribution<br />
of natural gas can reduce this advantage relative to other fuels 118, 119 .<br />
At present, the debate in Australia around fugitive emissions is largely driven by sentiment, supposition<br />
and inferral from other jurisdictions such as the United States. There is currently limited Australian data or<br />
research that specifically addresses Australia’s industry activities and environmental conditions and this is<br />
limiting the ability for informed debate and decisions. As the natural gas industry grows there is a need<br />
for clear, data driven and scientific evidence to improve understanding of the scope of fugitive emissions,<br />
so that the broader society can be provided with independent peer reviewed science based information,<br />
regulators can manage compliance and reporting in a transparent and meaningful manner, government<br />
can make fully informed decisions, the operators of the facilities can monitor and address any issues in a<br />
planned and organised manner and, potentially, Australian technology companies can engage to develop<br />
technologies that reduce or eliminate fugitive sources on facilities. This should include extending the<br />
recent work undertaken by CSIRO on field measurements of fugitive emissions from equipment and well<br />
casings in Australia’s coal seam gas production facilities 120 .<br />
Adopt and harmonise international standards<br />
An area of focus to achieve greater alignment is for Australia to adopt trusted international standards<br />
and review regulations to remove references to local bespoke standards. Regulations may need to bridge<br />
any gaps between international standards and standards required for genuinely local conditions, such as<br />
environmental issues. The energy resources industries operate within a global supply chain and the issue<br />
of international standards is a critical one. The industry uses standards to enhance technical integrity,<br />
improve safety, enable cost reductions and reduce the environmental and health impacts of operations<br />
worldwide. Aligning with international standards would facilitate local industry to compete in an<br />
international market, and enhance performance.<br />
This initiative is likely to reduce unnecessary and inefficient regulatory burden, duplication of health,<br />
safety and training requirements, and ultimately drive down cost. Standardisation is recognised as a key<br />
factor in the Australian Government’s Innovation and <strong>Competitiveness</strong> Agenda released in 2014 121 , with<br />
alignment to international standards set to deliver significant competitiveness, productivity and efficiency<br />
gains to the Australian supply chain.<br />
Standardisation will support the mobility of personnel both within Australia and globally, helping grow<br />
the local supply chain and enabling Australia SMEs and tier one companies to compete globally whilst<br />
achieving greater local workforce participation. The international oil and gas sector has estimated<br />
productivity gains in the order of 20 per cent for service sector procurement on the basis of applying a<br />
more consistent set of standards and requirements across the industry and service sector.<br />
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REGULATORY ENVIRONMENT<br />
Regulatory reform to support ongoing sector growth<br />
To avoid energy supply disruptions such as those experienced in South Australia during 2016, and those<br />
predicted for much of Australia’s eastern seaboard in the later part of this decade, it is important that<br />
government look to harmonise regulations across the states and territories and with the Commonwealth 122 .<br />
Such harmonisation would allow the sector to plan its future in a more structured manner and to supply the<br />
energy needs of the community and manufacturing industries in a stable and economically sensible manner.<br />
Considerable work has been undertaken at each jurisdictional level to streamline regulation and identify<br />
best practice approaches. However, Australia still suffers from duplicative, inconsistent and complex<br />
regulations across and within multiple jurisdictions which cause confusion and result in duplication,<br />
extended and costly timelines, and waste of government(s) resources in activities such as the granting of<br />
approvals. This ultimately impacts the attractiveness of Australia as an investment location. Governments<br />
in Australia should work together to harmonise and simplify regulation. Priorities for reform include<br />
adoption of trusted international standards across all jurisdictions, adoption of outcomes based<br />
regulation that facilitates innovation and early adoption of new technology, and reform of regulations<br />
to promote exploration and development of new supplies of energy resources for Australia.<br />
One specific area to pursue is the harmonisation, alignment and rationalisation of state and federal<br />
regulations in the uranium industry, giving clarity to developers of new and identified resources, and<br />
ensuring the safe export of product through Australian ports, with a view to developing an optimised and<br />
consistent national regulatory framework.<br />
Review the regulatory frameworks<br />
The Australian energy resources sector must conduct a comprehensive, overarching review of the national<br />
and state regulatory frameworks that govern the industry, and their interaction. The goal should be to<br />
streamline and simplify. Many of the current regulations are extremely onerous and duplicative or have<br />
the consequence of preventing the movement of plant and equipment across borders or impeding the<br />
movement of skilled personnel between states, as illustrated by the emerging requirement for state by<br />
state registration of engineers, led by the introduction of the Queensland registration scheme 123 .<br />
Regulations are placing a disproportionate level of expense on operators before they are able to<br />
determine the extent of potential reserves.<br />
In the area of approvals, work by the Mineral Council of Australia 124 found that in the thermal coal<br />
industry, the average Australian project experiences an additional 1.3 years of delay due to the regulatory<br />
regime, as compared to other jurisdictions. This confirms that regulations are hampering the sector’s<br />
ability to bring new capacity on line in a cost effective manner, and are pushing international businesses<br />
to look to other jurisdictions in which to invest.<br />
The situation is made more difficult by the imposition of moratoria on development of potential new coal<br />
seam gas assets in several states including New South Wales 125 and the Northern Territory 126 . Victoria has<br />
imposed a permanent ban on all future unconventional gas developments 127 . The banning of shipment of<br />
uranium through various Australian ports 128 , is forcing producers to transport the yellow cake thousands<br />
of kilometres overland to other ports, severely limiting their ability to export their products in a cost<br />
effective manner.<br />
National performance or outcomes-based regulatory frameworks should be established across the energy<br />
resources sector, ensuring fit-for-purpose regulation that facilitates innovation and high standards, clear<br />
pathways to compliance and reduces regulatory overlap.<br />
SECTOR CHALLENGES AND KNOWLEDGE PRIORITIES<br />
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Creating opportunities for<br />
Australia’s energy resources sector<br />
to become globally competitive,<br />
innovative, sustainable and diverse.<br />
148 National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong>
Glossary<br />
DEFINITIONS<br />
For the purpose of this document, the following definitions will be used:<br />
Collaboration is defined as a joint effort, which involves pooling of resources and information, by two<br />
or more organisations (companies, universities, training institutes) in the sector towards a well-defined<br />
goal to improve sector competitiveness.<br />
<strong>Competitiveness</strong> is defined as the ability of the sector to produce and sell energy commodities and<br />
related services competitively in comparison to other similar sectors world-wide.<br />
<strong>Competitiveness</strong> plan is defined as a structured and evolutionary plan to progressively work to identify<br />
and implement mechanisms to improve the global competitiveness and sustainability of, in this case,<br />
the Australian energy resource sector. This competitiveness plan will continually evolve as the issues and<br />
solutions change, and will be characterised by the focussed identification and pursuit of specific projects.<br />
Industry refers to the sub components of the sector e.g. oil and gas, coal and uranium.<br />
Knowledge priority is defined as an inadequacy in the depth and/or breadth of knowledge relating to<br />
an aspect of an industry or industries of the Australian energy resources sector. Addressing these will help<br />
improve the competitiveness of the sector, or one or more of its industries.<br />
<strong>NERA</strong> is an independent, third party, incorporated entity with a mandate to assist the energy resources<br />
sector achieve sector wide improvements in competitiveness and to help secure a sustainable future for<br />
the sector. <strong>NERA</strong> provides an independent and neutral setting where individuals and organisations from<br />
across the energy resources sector can participate directly or indirectly to consider, discuss and resolve<br />
issues that are currently restraining the sector from achieving global competitiveness and sustainability.<br />
<strong>Sector</strong> is defined as the energy resources sector comprising the oil and gas industry including both<br />
conventional onshore and offshore oil and gas, coal seam gas and shale oil and gas, the coal industry<br />
and the uranium industry, and related services.<br />
SMEs are defined as small to medium sized firms which employ up to 250 employees.<br />
STAKEHOLDER CONSULTATION PROCESS<br />
An extensive consultation process involving key stakeholders has been undertaken across the country<br />
during the development of the <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong>. These stakeholders included:<br />
• Producers and explorers;<br />
• Service providers;<br />
• Research institutions;<br />
• Industry associations;<br />
• Government agencies.<br />
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ACRONYMS<br />
ACALET Australian Coal Association Low Emissions Technology<br />
ACARP Australian Coal Industry’s Research Program<br />
ACCC Australian Competition and Consumer Commission<br />
APGA Australian Pipelines and Gas Association<br />
ANLEC Australian National Low Emissions Coal<br />
ANSTO Australian Nuclear Science and Technology Organisation<br />
APPEA Australian Petroleum Production & Exploration Association<br />
ASEAN Association of Southeast Asian Nations<br />
AUD Australian Dollar<br />
BOM Bureau of Meteorology<br />
Bt Billion tonnes<br />
CCS Carbon Capture and Storage<br />
CNG Compressed Natural Gas<br />
CSG Coal Seam Gas<br />
CO 2<br />
Carbon dioxide<br />
COAG Council of Australian Governments<br />
COAL21 Fund based on a voluntary levy on coal production<br />
COP21 2015 Paris Climate Conference<br />
CRI Commercial Readiness Index<br />
CSIRO Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation<br />
EPCRC Energy Pipelines Cooperative Research Centre<br />
FOB Free On Board<br />
GDP Gross Domestic Product<br />
GJ Gigajoule<br />
HELE High Efficiency Low Emission technology<br />
ICA Industry <strong>Competitiveness</strong> Assessment<br />
ICF Industry <strong>Competitiveness</strong> Framework<br />
ICS Industry <strong>Competitiveness</strong> Score<br />
IEA International Energy Agency<br />
IOT Internet of Things<br />
JIP Joint Industry Project<br />
KPI Key Performance Indicator<br />
LNG Liquefied Natural Gas<br />
LPG Liquefied Petroleum Gas<br />
MARPOL International Maritime Organisation<br />
MM Million<br />
Mt Million tonnes<br />
Mtoe Million tonnes of oil equivalent<br />
NOx Nitrous Oxide<br />
PCC Post-combustion carbon dioxide capture<br />
RITC Resources Industry Training Council<br />
ROC Remote Operating Centre<br />
SOx Sulphur Oxide<br />
STEM Science, Technology, Mathematics and Engineering<br />
Tcf Trillions of cubic feet<br />
TRL Technology Readiness Level<br />
TSBE Toowoomba and Surat Basin Enterprise<br />
USD United States Dollar<br />
VDT Value Driver Trees<br />
150 National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong>
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137 IEA, “World Energy Outlook 2015,” International Energy Authority, 2015.<br />
138 Unearthed, “Accelerating innovation in the resources sector.,” [Online]. Available: http://unearthed.solutions.<br />
139 <strong>NERA</strong>, “Oil & Gas Industry <strong>Competitiveness</strong> Assessment,” 2016. [Online]. Available: http://www.nera.org.au/<br />
Chapter?Action=View&Chapter_id=9.<br />
140 RISKGATE, “About RISKGATE,” [Online]. Available: http://riskgate.org.<br />
141 Toowoomba and Surat Business Enterprise, “TSBE - Linking business with opportunity since 2012,” [Online]. Available: http://www.<br />
tsbe.com.au/about/overview.html.<br />
142 Office of the Chief Economist, “Resources and Energy Quarterly March 2016”.<br />
143 Council of Australian Governments (COAG), [Online]. Available: https://www.coagenergycouncil.gov.au.<br />
144 IEA, “Medium-Term Coal Market Report 2016,” December 2016. [Online]. Available: http://www.iea.org/bookshop/735-Medium-<br />
Term_Coal_Market_Report_2016.<br />
145 Energy Information Association, International Energy Outlook 2013 with projectsing to 2040, Energy Information Association.<br />
154 National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong>
<strong>NERA</strong> wishes to thank all of the businesses, organisations and individuals<br />
who have contributed their time, knowledge, experience and foresight to<br />
the preparation of this plan through the consultation workshops, individual<br />
meetings, discussions and provision of input material.<br />
Registered office:<br />
Australian Resources Research Centre<br />
Level 3, 26 Dick Perry Avenue<br />
Kensington WA 6151<br />
ABN 24 609 540 285<br />
T: (08) 6555 8040<br />
E: contact@nera.org.au<br />
W: www.nera.org.au<br />
@<strong>NERA</strong>network<br />
<strong>NERA</strong> – National Energy Resources Australia<br />
www.nera.org.au