15.02.2017 Views

NERA Sector Competitiveness Plan 2017

Create successful ePaper yourself

Turn your PDF publications into a flip-book with our unique Google optimized e-Paper software.

<strong>Sector</strong><br />

<strong>Competitiveness</strong><br />

<strong>Plan</strong><br />

<strong>2017</strong>


<strong>NERA</strong>’s vision is to maximise the value<br />

to the Australian economy by having an<br />

energy resources sector which is globally<br />

competitive, growing, sustainable,<br />

innovative and diverse.<br />

Registered office:<br />

Australian Resources Research Centre<br />

Level 3, 26 Dick Perry Avenue<br />

Kensington WA 6151<br />

ABN 24 609 540 285<br />

T: (08) 6555 8040<br />

E: contact@nera.org.au<br />

W: www.nera.org.au<br />

@<strong>NERA</strong>network<br />

<strong>NERA</strong> – National Energy Resources Australia


Contents<br />

About <strong>NERA</strong> 4<br />

About this Document 5<br />

Foreword 6<br />

1 Executive Summary 8<br />

Executive Summary 10<br />

Introduction to this SCP 14<br />

<strong>Sector</strong> Themes 19<br />

Roadmap to the Future 32<br />

The Three Levers to a Strong Future 33<br />

Regulations 34<br />

Pathway to a Sustainable, Resilient, Energy Resources <strong>Sector</strong> 34<br />

Knowledge Priorities Action <strong>Plan</strong> 35<br />

Key Performance Indicators 40<br />

2 Global and National Challenges 48<br />

Global Megatrends and Implications for Australia’s Energy Resource <strong>Sector</strong> 50<br />

Global Megatrends 51<br />

An Emerging Megatrend – The Search for Energy Security 54<br />

An Environment of Disruption 55<br />

Impact of Global Megatrends on Australia 56<br />

Australia’s Response to <strong>Sector</strong> Trends 57<br />

Current State of the Energy Resources <strong>Sector</strong> 60<br />

Australian Oil and Gas Industry 65<br />

Australian Coal Industry 70<br />

Australian Uranium Industry 74<br />

Transition from Rapid Growth 77<br />

<strong>Sector</strong> Benchmarking 78<br />

Oil and Gas Industry <strong>Competitiveness</strong> Assessment 2016 80<br />

Coal Industry <strong>Competitiveness</strong> Assessment 2016 87<br />

3 <strong>Sector</strong> Challenges and Knowledge Priorities 94<br />

<strong>Sector</strong> Wide Challenges and Opportunities 96<br />

<strong>Sector</strong> Wide 97<br />

<strong>Sector</strong> Specific Challenges, Constraints and Opportunities 98<br />

Australian Oil and Gas Industry 98<br />

Australian Coal Industry 101<br />

Australian Uranium Industry 102<br />

Cross <strong>Sector</strong> Challenges and Opportunities 103<br />

How the Australian Energy Resource <strong>Sector</strong> Should Respond 104<br />

The Three Levers to a Strong Future 104<br />

<strong>Sector</strong> Knowledge Priorities 108<br />

Capability and Leadership 114<br />

Business and Operating Models, Technology and Services 128<br />

Regulatory Environment 144<br />

Glossary 149<br />

Definitions 149<br />

Stakeholder Consultation Process 149<br />

Acronyms 150<br />

Bibliography 151<br />

National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong><br />

3


About <strong>NERA</strong><br />

The Australian Energy Resources Growth Centre (AERGC Ltd), trading as National Energy Resources<br />

Australia (<strong>NERA</strong>), is an industry-led, government-funded initiative, which aims, through a national focus, to<br />

improve competitiveness, collaboration and productivity by focussing on reducing cost, directing research<br />

to industry needs, improving work skills, facilitating partnerships and reducing regulatory burden.<br />

<strong>NERA</strong> forms part of the Australian Government’s Industry Innovation and <strong>Competitiveness</strong> Agenda.<br />

It is one of six national Industry Growth Centres established to drive innovation, productivity and<br />

competitiveness in sectors of competitive strength and strategic priority for Australia, and to increase<br />

employment and opportunities for small and medium sized enterprises (SMEs).<br />

<strong>NERA</strong> will work to support the Australian energy resources sector to identify and deliver projects and<br />

activities to enhance the sector’s innovation, competitiveness and productivity. The long-term objectives<br />

and strategic outcomes of the sector cannot be delivered by <strong>NERA</strong> alone, and will require commitment<br />

from industry leaders, government, research organisations and other key stakeholders.<br />

<strong>NERA</strong>’s vision, mission and strategies were developed as a result of early<br />

stakeholder consultation to develop the proposal to establish <strong>NERA</strong>.<br />

Key sector themes have informed the consultation which was undertaken<br />

to develop the 10-year <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong>, including the<br />

knowledge priorities, strategic goals and focus areas for the sector.<br />

Vision<br />

To maximise the value to the Australian economy by having an energy resources sector which is globally<br />

competitive, growing, sustainable, innovative and diverse.<br />

Mission<br />

Through a national focus, grow collaboration and innovation to assist the energy resources sector<br />

manage cost structures and productivity, direct research to industry needs, deliver the future work skills<br />

required and promote proportionate fit for purpose regulation.<br />

Six Strategies<br />

<strong>NERA</strong> will achieve our vision though six strategies:<br />

1. Connect industry stakeholders to promote collaboration.<br />

2. Facilitate deeper engagement between industry and researchers.<br />

3. Support industry growth through policy and regulation.<br />

4. Promote industry sustainability through fostering a greater understanding of the social,<br />

environmental, economic and operational consequences of industry activity, and by promoting<br />

trusted, inclusive custodians of scientific data.<br />

5. Develop and support initiatives to focus on work skills of the future.<br />

6. Identify and facilitate growth of new opportunities for the energy and resources industry value<br />

chain domestically and globally.<br />

4 National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong>


About this Document<br />

This <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> (SCP) will underpin the efforts of the Australian energy resources<br />

sector to increase the competitiveness and sustainability of the Australian oil and gas, coal and uranium<br />

industries. To achieve this, the SCP sets out a strategic road map over a 10-year horizon, including key<br />

themes, knowledge priorities, goals and initiatives. These will be addressed through industry led projects.<br />

This SCP considers the trends and influences impacting the entire Australian energy resources sector<br />

and identifies broad challenges, constraints and opportunities both at a sector-wide and industryspecific<br />

level. Many of the challenges and opportunities identified are common across all three<br />

industries of oil and gas, coal and uranium, while others are specific to one; these differences are<br />

highlighted in the body of the plan.<br />

The SCP is a foundation document for <strong>NERA</strong>. It presents the challenges and opportunities faced by<br />

the Australian energy resources sector and describes how <strong>NERA</strong> will assist the sector to address key<br />

priorities to enhance innovation, competitiveness and productivity. This document will be updated<br />

annually. It will necessarily evolve if it is to remain relevant over the next 10 years as goals are<br />

achieved, the sector’s priorities change and the opportunities to capture change and disruption both<br />

globally and locally continue to evolve.<br />

The document is presented in three major sections:<br />

1<br />

Section 1 comprises an executive summary to the<br />

document, highlighting the SCP’s key material and<br />

subjects, and the roadmap to the future which sets out<br />

<strong>NERA</strong>’s plan and the key performance indicators (KPIs)<br />

being used to measure the sector’s progress.<br />

2<br />

Section 2 discusses the global megatrends that are changing the<br />

face of the energy resources sector and how those trends are<br />

impacting Australia. It then places the Australian energy sector<br />

into perspective with both the background to each industry and<br />

the historic trends that have resulted in the current state of the<br />

industry, before presenting the results of sector benchmarking<br />

that <strong>NERA</strong> has commissioned into the oil and gas, and coal sectors.<br />

3<br />

Section 3 considers the sector wide and individual<br />

industry challenges and constraints, then discusses each<br />

of the <strong>NERA</strong> knowledge priorities and initiatives in<br />

detail, as well as offering some case studies that have<br />

helped inform the initiatives currently being developed.<br />

National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong><br />

5


Foreword<br />

An Industry on the Move: Navigating an<br />

Age of Innovation and Disruption<br />

As this document goes to print, the Australian energy resources sector is on the move, and in<br />

exciting ways.<br />

Energy resources will continue to make a significant contribution to the economic growth of Australia for<br />

the foreseeable future. However, as the world’s energy balance continues to evolve the sector must adapt<br />

to remain competitive, productive and sustainable.<br />

It is well understood that the sector is nearing the conclusion of an unprecedented level of investment<br />

and construction. At the same time, the sector faces a perfect storm of disruptive and significant threats<br />

and Australia as a nation must find a path to a low emissions economy whilst also securing both energy<br />

reliability and affordability for all.<br />

In the face of this storm, it is tempting to batten down the hatches and retreat into the pursuit of<br />

individual solutions. Yet significant challenge can also trigger much needed change and unlock huge<br />

opportunities - opportunities that can only be realised to their full potential by working together to<br />

innovate, transfer knowledge and commercialise value.<br />

As an industry, we have a long and proud history of pioneering, discovery, problem solving and invention.<br />

Over decades, the Australian energy resources sector has delivered critical infrastructure, some of the world’s<br />

newest high technology production facilities and significant high quality natural resources, while reliant<br />

on and underpinning the development of a well-educated and highly skilled workforce. Additionally, we<br />

have the advantage of proximity to the Asian economies, world leading capabilities in remote operations<br />

and low carbon emissions technologies, a strong and growing start-up community, world class research<br />

facilities and knowledge and a strong tax incentive scheme for research and development.<br />

In recent times, faced with a volatile commodity price environment and increasing global competition, the<br />

focus of energy resource companies has necessarily been to significantly lower capital costs and improve<br />

efficiency and profitability. This focus on efficiency will ensure the sector has the fundamentals right and,<br />

combined with our existing strengths and advantages, provide a solid base on which to build for the future.<br />

The next phase of change though is far harder. Relying on incremental changes to yesterday’s practices is<br />

a sure recipe for stagnation and ultimately decline. For the Australian energy resources sector to remain<br />

globally competitive and able to rapidly adapt in an age of disruption and innovation, we will need to<br />

seek transformational change.<br />

It will take strong leadership and skilful navigation by all parties - governments, industry, the technology<br />

and service sector and research organisations - to find sensible and practical solutions that the<br />

community will accept, and to innovate to support a globally competitive and sustainable sector.<br />

Transformational change requires bold and insightful leadership and a willingness to find and break through<br />

barriers. For example, if the energy resources sector is to harness the huge efficiency benefits and competitive<br />

advantages to be had from the explosive growth of technologies, including advanced manufacturing<br />

techniques, automation, 3D manufacturing (with plant able to be printed onsite to meet immediate need),<br />

drones (to take over remote, offshore exploration and significantly reduce cost), and the Internet of Things<br />

(including cloud computing, mobile computing, embedded computing and consumer electronics), then<br />

we must unlock our intellectual property and move away from a reliance on closed, single sourced and<br />

bespoke solutions. We need to commercialise our huge investment in research and knowledge, and adopt<br />

open, multi-vendor approaches that deliver improved products and capabilities to a global market.<br />

6 National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong>


FOREWORD<br />

Such changes will enable operators and miners to form new relationships with technology vendors across<br />

the value chain, and for the technology vendors to collaborate with each other and bundle products and<br />

services, for example in formal clusters to lower the risks of failing and maximise the benefits that new<br />

technologies can provide for all.<br />

This new digital environment, as well as changes to the sector’s commercial and operating models, will also<br />

result in the need for a very different mix of skills. The sector needs to build a comprehensive understanding<br />

of its future skills requirements in terms of scope, scale, skills and experience, and collaborate with<br />

governments and other skills development stakeholders to set out a clear plan for building that capability.<br />

From an energy perspective, Australia is currently facing a number of serious challenges, and urgently needs a<br />

clear and cohesive pathway for its transition to a low emissions future and to underpin economic development.<br />

To get there will require substantial, highly funded collaboration in selected areas between industry, research<br />

institutions and government. For example, Australia could secure a strong carbon capture and storage<br />

technology advantage, and there is potential to both develop and commercialise low emissions technology and<br />

to transfer and export that knowledge and capability globally. The research has been done and the next stage<br />

is demonstration and deployment. However, for this to occur it will require funding in the order of billions<br />

of dollars, and this will be difficult to obtain without clear priorities and concerted effort by all parties.<br />

A vibrant exploration industry is also critical to the ongoing supply, security, reliability and affordability of<br />

Australia’s energy supply. <strong>NERA</strong>’s global competitiveness benchmarking shows that in oil and gas we have<br />

an attractive environment for exploration, but we are at the lowest point in decades for exploration activity<br />

(both onshore and offshore). This low level of activity is driven by a combination of low commodity prices,<br />

high cost, government red tape and community opposition. A priority for immediate action is, that the<br />

state governments and regulators address approvals for onshore gas projects on a case by case basis, and<br />

not proceed with blanket moratoria. For the coal exploration sector, according to the 2015 Fraser Institute<br />

Survey of Mining Companies, 55 per cent of respondents in Queensland and New South Wales reported that<br />

regulation uncertainty had a negative impact on the states’ investment attractiveness, versus only 13 per<br />

cent in Western Australia. Australia must make progress in creating an attractive exploration environment<br />

across the whole energy resources sector and for new and existing firms.<br />

Achieving a stable and high-performance regulatory environment across all jurisdictions is critical.<br />

Regulation needs to support economic development and innovation, whilst providing for independent,<br />

transparent and objective oversight of industry activities and measurable environmental performance<br />

proportionate with risk. This will assist in securing the acceptance of Australian communities. The<br />

focus needs to be on risk based, transparent and outcome focussed regulation which requires strong<br />

demonstration of and accountability for, industry performance, whilst also encouraging innovation.<br />

In conclusion, the size of the prize is significant for everybody. <strong>NERA</strong>’s benchmarking to date has<br />

identified the potential to unlock AUD$5 billion of value in the oil and gas sector, and AUD$4.5 billion<br />

of value in the coal sector. We will be identifying the uranium sector’s potential to create value in <strong>2017</strong>.<br />

Australia has the potential to continue to supply innovative products, capabilities and services for many<br />

years to come to meet both domestic and international energy resource needs, generate substantial<br />

revenue for the nation and grow an export orientated sector.<br />

This <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> represents the collective wisdom and insights of all stakeholders across<br />

the Australian energy resources sector. During our extensive consultations, it became very clear to us that<br />

there is strong commitment and passion for achieving a competitive, innovative and sustainable sector,<br />

and that the sector remains vital to Australia’s economic development and low emissions future.<br />

<strong>NERA</strong> is committed to working with stakeholders to pursue strategic initiatives and projects that will<br />

assist the energy resources sector adapt to current and future challenges and disruption.<br />

We would like to thank you all for your support and valuable input into this roadmap for the sector’s<br />

future, and we look forward to working with you on this journey of change.<br />

Miranda Taylor<br />

Chief Executive Officer<br />

Ken Fitzpatrick<br />

Chair<br />

National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong><br />

7


8 National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong>


1<br />

EXECUTIVE<br />

SUMMARY<br />

This section provides a stand-alone summary of the <strong>Sector</strong><br />

<strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> for the Australian energy resources sector.<br />

It provides an executive summary, an overview of the key themes,<br />

the challenges and opportunities facing the Australian energy resources<br />

sector, and a road map to achieve a vision for innovation, improved<br />

productivity and sustainability and a globally competitive service and<br />

technology sector. The road map identifies three key business levers<br />

to a strong future, sets out nine knowledge priorities with initial key<br />

performance indicators against which the changes in the sector can be<br />

tracked over the coming decade.<br />

National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong><br />

9


Executive<br />

Summary<br />

This <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> (SCP) has been produced to provide<br />

a cohesive and comprehensive call to action for the Australian energy<br />

resources sector. It is the product of an extensive industry consultation<br />

process and review of the contemporary literature on both the sector<br />

and the broader global trends affecting the sector into the next 10 years.<br />

This SCP identifies the challenges and opportunities that the sector<br />

must navigate in the coming decade, based on the current landscape.<br />

It proposes a structured and evolving series of knowledge priorities to be<br />

addressed in order to build on the industry’s existing strengths, and create<br />

an adaptable, resilient and sustainable Australian energy resources sector.<br />

10 National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong>


EXECUTIVE SUMMARY<br />

The value added to the Australia economy from the Australian energy resources sector, comprising the<br />

coal, oil and gas and uranium industries, has been and continues to be huge. Combined, the sector directly<br />

provides approximately 89,800 jobs with a gross value add of $42.2 billion (2015/2016). Coal and gas<br />

are the nation’s largest commodity exports after iron ore, providing a safe and secure energy source<br />

to our trading partners. The scale of the sector makes the nation largely self-sufficient in energy and<br />

provides the fuel needed to underpin many industries and the lifestyle of a developed nation.<br />

After decades of capital investment, innovation and operation, the Australian energy resources sector has<br />

many strengths that it can build on, including some of the world’s newest high technology production<br />

facilities, a well-educated and highly skilled workforce and significant high quality natural resources.<br />

These attributes are supported by Australia’s proximity to the Asian economies, world leading capabilities<br />

in remote operations and low carbon emissions technologies, a strong and growing start-up community,<br />

world class research facilities and knowledge and, a strong tax incentive scheme for research and<br />

development. With these strategic advantages, the sector has the potential to continue to supply both<br />

domestic and international energy resource needs for many years to come, to continue to generate<br />

substantial revenue for the nation and to grow an export orientated service and technology sector.<br />

However, the Australian energy resources sector is facing a number of individual and systemic challenges.<br />

How the sector reacts to them will determine whether it continues to thrive as one of the world’s<br />

principal sources of energy, or stagnates under the burden of current global and economic pressures.<br />

Internationally and domestically, society is facing increasing energy security challenges. In the international<br />

energy market, many developed nations are seeing the end of their domestic energy supplies and are<br />

looking to international sources for the energy resources they need to fuel their economies and societies.<br />

Domestically, Australia is struggling with changing societal and political drivers, with both short and long<br />

term impacts on the security and affordability of the energy needed to attract and fuel businesses.<br />

As set out in this SCP, the sector must react to volatile commodity prices, a rapidly evolving energy<br />

marketplace, changing societal energy expectations, an increasingly complex regulatory environment and<br />

a rapidly evolving global energy mix. Only by working together, with producers, service suppliers, research<br />

and educational communities all collaborating, will the sector be able to deliver its future potential.<br />

To unlock this potential, the sector needs to use the three levers of building contemporary business<br />

models, enhancing operational models and technology capabilities and improving capacity, skills<br />

and culture, while also addressing the regulatory environment in which the sector operates. Through<br />

addressing these levers, the sector will remain competitive while creating future markets and customers.<br />

• Building contemporary business models – involves building new markets, new customers and<br />

new services through the entire value chain. It requires, for example, providing turnkey solutions to<br />

customers rather than simply the resources used to generate energy, finding new export markets for<br />

our LNG operations and maintenance knowledge and expertise, and delivering clean technologies.<br />

It involves building new, collaborative relationships within the entire energy resources value chain,<br />

global partnerships to access global supply chains, and other industry sectors such as advanced<br />

manufacturing, defence and shipping.<br />

• Enhancing operational models and technology capabilities – the sector urgently needs to<br />

reduce process complexity and waste, to standardise operating practices and to collaborate through<br />

initiatives such as research/industry precincts, multi-user technical facilities and establishment of industry<br />

and innovation clusters (clusters can force-multiply investment, reduce risk for the participants and<br />

commercial contributors, and speed innovation; vendors can achieve critical mass and collaborate<br />

to provide scale and ease of access for export opportunities). The sector could work together to<br />

optimise processes through the development and adoption of disruptive technologies such as<br />

machine learning and diagnostics, 3D printing, advanced materials and new ways to build small<br />

scale, economically viable plants which require minimal capital investment to maintain production.<br />

There are further opportunities for the sector to share non-competitive and pre-competitive<br />

information such as environmental and meteorological data.<br />

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY<br />

National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong><br />

11


EXECUTIVE SUMMARY<br />

• Improving capacity, skills and culture – the sector needs to find ways to maintain and build<br />

its skill base, both to operate its existing facilities and to prepare personnel to become ‘operators<br />

of the future’, with the commercial skills needed to develop new markets, customers and services.<br />

As the sector drives productivity and efficiency, companies are looking to optimise plants and work<br />

processes, and are increasingly adopting automation, digital technologies and collaborative teams.<br />

This requires industry to develop new capabilities, workforce skills and attributes.<br />

• Addressing the regulatory environment – to facilitate innovation, improve productivity and<br />

competitiveness and secure both future investment and a sustainable economy, Australia needs a modern,<br />

best in class regulatory environment. The energy resources sector needs consistency, efficiency and flexibility<br />

to allow innovation, whilst working within a regulatory framework that provides the community with<br />

transparency on, and confidence in, regulators’ decision-making processes and the industry’s performance<br />

and where the regulations in place are proportionate to the risks being controlled. The sector itself can<br />

work collaboratively on its own internal standards to ensure alignment across the sector, and cooperatively<br />

with governments to reform regulation to focus on high performance outcomes. Australia needs to reestablish<br />

its reputation as an attractive business environment and a destination for future investment.<br />

Moving from current operating models to those of the future will require ongoing incremental change<br />

together with more disruptive, transformational change. Incremental change, with the occasional adoption<br />

of a major technological innovation, has largely been the standard operating practice for the majority of<br />

business. While this approach provides a relatively low risk, predictable environment, it is only capable of<br />

maintaining the status quo because an incremental approach is also adopted by peers and competitors<br />

alike. Transformational change, while offering large potential opportunities created by changes to business<br />

models, operating models and culture, comes with higher risk. However, only through accepting this risk<br />

in a considered way, and pursuing the opportunities created through transformational change will the<br />

Australian energy resources sector move ahead of the competition into a sustainable and resilient future.<br />

Business and operating models that can adopt and deploy transformative, plug-in technology or<br />

combinations of disruptive technologies offered by small to medium enterprises will accelerate cost<br />

savings, improve efficiencies and experience improved productivity. By way of example, working directly<br />

with unmanned aircraft systems, continuously collecting high-definition seismic data onshore or offshore,<br />

delivered in real-time directly into the operator, with real-time geophysics analytics, reducing seismic<br />

interpretation from many months, to a few days or even hours, adjusting as new data streams into the<br />

business. Or, building microscale plant using remote advanced manufacturing techniques, commissioned,<br />

operated and maintained remotely through onshore or offshore remotely operated vehicles.<br />

This SCP, therefore, proposes a number of incremental and transformational changes for the energy resources<br />

sector. It offers a timeline to pursue the changes, and provides research-based benchmarking of the industries<br />

that show where the greatest opportunities can be found now and in the future. It proposes a series of Key<br />

Performance Indicators (KPIs) against which future change can be measured and adjustments made over time.<br />

It is incumbent on all parties in the Australian energy resources sector to consider these changes and<br />

collectively work to implement them, both collaboratively and in constructive competition. The sustainability<br />

of the industry depends on the actions taken in the next few years. There is a real opportunity to<br />

transform the industry and unlock its full potential.<br />

12 National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong>


Australian Energy Resources <strong>Sector</strong><br />

Oil and gas<br />

Coal<br />

Petroleum and<br />

coal product<br />

manufacturing<br />

Uranium<br />

GROSS VALUE ADD (2015/2016)<br />

42.2 B<br />

DIRECT EMPLOYMENT<br />

89,800 jobs<br />

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY<br />

GAS<br />

OIL<br />

LNG exported<br />

71 Mt<br />

Proven gas reserves<br />

Shale gas<br />

437 Tcf<br />

Coal seam gas<br />

235 Tcf<br />

Conventional gas<br />

227 Tcf<br />

Oil products imported<br />

$24 B<br />

URANIUM<br />

Known world resources<br />

30%<br />

Oil products exported<br />

$11 B<br />

Annual world supply<br />

11%<br />

COAL<br />

Coal exported<br />

375 Mt<br />

Reserves<br />

37 Bt<br />

Legend: Mt = million tonnes per annum, Tcf = trillion cubic feet, B = billion, Bt = billion tonnes<br />

National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong><br />

13


Introduction<br />

to this SCP<br />

Australia is one of the world’s top producers and exporters of natural gas,<br />

coal and uranium. With the combined value of exports to the Australian<br />

economy estimated to be around $60 billion 1 the sector creates valuable<br />

jobs, export income and tax revenue. The anticipated sustained growth in<br />

energy demand presents significant opportunities for Australia.<br />

14 National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong>


INTRODUCTION TO THIS SCP<br />

While Australia’s current role in the energy resources market is a strong one, the rapidly evolving global<br />

energy market, together with growing societal environmental awareness, global commitments to reduce<br />

carbon emissions and the increasing economic and technological viability of alternative energy sources<br />

require sector wide adaptation. The Australian energy resources sector represented by <strong>NERA</strong>, and<br />

comprising the oil and gas, coal and uranium industries, must embrace this change to secure its role in<br />

powering the world and contributing to a clean and sustainable future.<br />

As a result of the significant investment in, and development of, knowledge and technical capabilities<br />

and skills, the Australian energy resources sector is well-placed to compete globally and unlock new<br />

investment, supply chain efficiencies and export opportunities. To maximise this potential, the sector must<br />

improve the efficiency and competitiveness of both exploration activity and existing operating assets as a<br />

priority. It must rapidly adapt and transform through:<br />

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY<br />

Business<br />

Models<br />

• New markets<br />

• New customers (including<br />

providing turnkey energy solutions<br />

across the value chain)<br />

• New collaborative partnerships, across<br />

value and supply chains, with the<br />

research sector and with other industry<br />

sectors, to leverage scale and cross<br />

sector transfer of knowledge<br />

• Technology and capability<br />

Operating<br />

Models and<br />

Technology<br />

Capabilities<br />

• Radically reduce process<br />

complexity and waste<br />

• Collaborate and standardise<br />

• Share logistics and regional<br />

supply bases<br />

• Remove unnecessary and bespoke<br />

standards and conditions<br />

• Share environmental research<br />

• Optimise through automation<br />

• Digital technology and adoption<br />

of advanced manufacturing systems<br />

and technologies (such as 3D printing<br />

and new materials)<br />

• Develop and operate mini plants<br />

to enhance the ability to scale up<br />

and down and adapt to a more<br />

distributed world<br />

Culture,<br />

Capabilities<br />

and Skills<br />

• Leadership for collaboration<br />

• Commercial<br />

• Digital, automation<br />

• Innovation and entrepreneurial<br />

risk taking<br />

• Baseline skills studies<br />

• Common competency frameworks<br />

and future skill requirements<br />

To be competitive in the sector, Australia will need to be:<br />

• A top-ranked jurisdiction for energy resources investment;<br />

• A centre of innovation across the life cycle of energy resources e.g. exploration, development,<br />

operations and maintenance and decommissioning, and within the community of supporting<br />

technology companies and service providers; and<br />

• Positioned to capitalise on the developments in global and regional economies, and the rapidly<br />

changing energy mix.<br />

National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong><br />

15


INTRODUCTION TO THIS SCP<br />

To achieve these strategic outcomes, the Australian energy resources sector must<br />

overcome the following challenges:<br />

• Legacy of poor productivity performance during the high capital investment phase, and the need to<br />

drive improved asset and labour productivity in the operations phase;<br />

• Tightening operating margins;<br />

• Addressing the social, economic and environmental impacts of energy resource extraction, production<br />

and use, and building community engagement with the sector and a social licence to operate;<br />

• Adapting to the low carbon emissions environment, clean technologies and changing global energy mix;<br />

• Complexity of government regulation and approvals; and<br />

• Developing the capabilities of Australian organisations at all levels in the value chain supporting the<br />

sector, and driving deeper engagement between the research sector and SMEs within the service sector.<br />

This SCP provides a 10-year horizon road map. It sets out the key themes and strategies, the challenges,<br />

constraints and opportunities and then identifies the knowledge priorities, focus areas and initiatives that<br />

combined can ensure the Australian oil and gas, coal and uranium industries remain globally competitive,<br />

innovative, sustainable and diverse.<br />

The SCP examines the challenges, constraints and opportunities in three ways:<br />

1. It considers the evolving global environment and megatrends in which the sector must operate.<br />

2. It examines the current state of the Australian energy resources sector, both as a whole and at the<br />

individual industry sector level.<br />

3. It provides an overview of the ‘size of the prize’ to be had for Australia from improved competitiveness,<br />

through a series of sector global competitiveness assessments. The assessments and benchmarking<br />

will provide a base for year-on-year tracking of Australia’s performance.<br />

Knowledge priorities and focus areas:<br />

This review, undertaken through extensive domestic and international literature research, together with<br />

data gathering and stakeholder and industry consultations, has identified a set of knowledge priorities.<br />

These knowledge priorities in turn identify focus areas, areas where the sector needs to focus its short<br />

to medium term collective efforts.<br />

Combined, these form a 10-year road-map for the sector, building on its strong knowledge and<br />

technology capabilities and skills base to ensure the Australian energy resources sector has a strong<br />

and growing future.<br />

Building the strong future envisioned in this SCP requires the collective effort of all<br />

stakeholders in the sector to work together for the common good.<br />

• Major operators of the energy resource sector’s projects, facilities and activities have a significant<br />

part to play to support this future.<br />

• The supply chain, which provides the technology, equipment and services to the operators also plays<br />

a major role in helping identify, develop and deliver innovative and practical solutions.<br />

• Universities and research organisations have a critical role in underpinning the knowledge economy.<br />

They explore and identify new frontiers, new technology developments, new techniques and trials,<br />

create new methodologies and provide independent sources of trusted data.<br />

• Education and skills providers need to train and equip the industry workers of today and identify and<br />

prepare for future Australian energy resources sector work skill demands.<br />

• Governments play a critical role in setting a consistent, clear, fair and objective policy environment<br />

and supporting robust, independent and competent regulators and regulations that provide the<br />

community with confidence that the industry is accountable to high standards, whilst in parallel<br />

giving industry the ability to innovate and adapt within a stable and supportive framework.<br />

16 National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong>


INTRODUCTION TO THIS SCP<br />

In the days of the construction boom and high commodity prices, companies were able to act<br />

independently, without considering collaboration or building in options for third party access/usage in<br />

the future. Now that commodity prices have dropped significantly, and with increasing disruption in<br />

the energy mix, there is an imperative for companies to work together to develop mutually beneficial<br />

situations. This will take a change in the traditional mindset, for operators of existing assets to adopt<br />

more flexible operating regimes, and for regulators to support the new paradigm.<br />

This SCP covers all parts of the energy resources life cycle, from exploration, development and execution,<br />

through the long production phase and into abandonment.<br />

To address the role of all parts of the sector, this SCP outlines:<br />

• Collaboration between Operators/Miners and Supply Chain (technology and services and to<br />

build value chain opportunities).<br />

• Research and Innovation (industry led, including research sector engagement with supply chain,<br />

to drive greater commercialisation).<br />

• Workforce Skills and Education.<br />

• Regulatory Reform.<br />

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY<br />

APPROACH<br />

The SCP has been developed through a multi-step, iterative process. This process included a combination of<br />

desk top studies, industry and stakeholder consultations, meetings and workshops. Figure 1 below shows<br />

the key steps undertaken in developing the SCP.<br />

Figure 1: <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> development<br />

Strategic<br />

Imperative<br />

<strong>NERA</strong>’s<br />

strategic goals<br />

established<br />

Strategic<br />

Engagement<br />

Early<br />

engagement<br />

with industry<br />

Research Hypotheses Prioritise Socialise<br />

Identify<br />

global and<br />

national<br />

themes<br />

<strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong><br />

knowledge priorities, strategies, projects<br />

Develop<br />

hypotheses,<br />

test and<br />

refine through<br />

workshops<br />

Identify<br />

priorities and<br />

initiatives<br />

Further<br />

testing and<br />

refinement<br />

The SCP provides an outline of priorities for the next 10 years which underpin a transformational program<br />

for the sector. While this SCP identifies plans for the Australian energy resources sector set against<br />

the challenges and opportunities in early <strong>2017</strong>, it is an evolving document and will be updated on an<br />

ongoing annual basis to reflect changes in the marketplace.<br />

National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong><br />

17


INTRODUCTION TO THIS SCP<br />

Figure 2 below sets out how <strong>NERA</strong> is facilitating new ways for stakeholders across the energy resources<br />

sector to work together to better adapt, drive innovation, access entrepreneurial investment, reduce costs<br />

and improve efficiency across the value chain.<br />

Figure 2: Ten year transformation process<br />

The transformation path: industry leadership and collaboration to deliver an energy<br />

resources sector in Australia that is innovative and adapting to a disruptive energy market<br />

Formulating<br />

Year 1-2<br />

Creating<br />

Year 3-4<br />

Participating<br />

and changing<br />

Year 5-8<br />

Leading and<br />

transforming<br />

Year 9-10<br />

• Forming <strong>NERA</strong><br />

• Early stakeholder<br />

engagement<br />

• Initial alignment<br />

with vision, mission<br />

and strategies<br />

• Clear value<br />

proposition<br />

• Further stakeholder<br />

engagement<br />

on <strong>Sector</strong><br />

<strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong><br />

• Identify and begin to<br />

connect initiatives,<br />

organisations and<br />

networks<br />

• Identify opportunities<br />

for industry and<br />

broad cross-sector<br />

collaboration<br />

• Early industry<br />

collaboration<br />

focused on<br />

improving efficiency<br />

and performance<br />

• Early participation<br />

in pilot initiatives<br />

and projects<br />

• Growing industry<br />

participation and<br />

engagement<br />

• Early work on a<br />

national work skills<br />

framework<br />

• Beliefs and<br />

behaviours are<br />

being challenged<br />

• Willingness to share,<br />

cooperate and<br />

challenge thinking<br />

• Enhanced data<br />

sharing<br />

• Industry, innovation<br />

networks,<br />

entrepreneurs,<br />

researchers, value<br />

chain and venture<br />

capitalists actively<br />

collaborating<br />

• Common<br />

competency<br />

frameworks<br />

established<br />

• Wide range of<br />

sector stakeholders<br />

collaborating<br />

• New entrants to<br />

value chain with<br />

new capabilities<br />

• Mega datasets/<br />

insights emerge<br />

– intelligently<br />

interrogating<br />

data and applying<br />

lessons learnt<br />

• Workforce skills<br />

supporting disruptive<br />

innovation and<br />

technology uptake<br />

• Innovations allowing<br />

the sector to adapt<br />

more quickly<br />

• Policy and regulation<br />

reforms supporting<br />

timely industry<br />

investment, activities<br />

and growth,<br />

whilst ensuring<br />

high industry<br />

standards e.g.<br />

social, environment<br />

and safety<br />

• Industry is<br />

optimistic and<br />

experiential<br />

• Strong leadership<br />

supports<br />

collaboration -<br />

accepted normal<br />

way of working<br />

• Industry able<br />

to harness<br />

entrepreneurial<br />

innovation and<br />

investment<br />

• SCP addressing<br />

mega trends<br />

and knowledge<br />

priorities resulted<br />

in measurable<br />

improvements<br />

to the sector’s<br />

competitiveness<br />

• Developing new<br />

insights and<br />

capabilities<br />

• Delivering ‘new<br />

to the world’<br />

operating models,<br />

markets, products,<br />

technologies and<br />

services<br />

• Working innovation<br />

system increasing<br />

global demand for<br />

Australian value<br />

chain e.g. in areas<br />

of comparative<br />

advantage<br />

18 National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong>


INTRODUCTION TO THIS SCP<br />

<strong>Sector</strong> Themes<br />

Eight key themes have been identified and adopted by <strong>NERA</strong> and supported by the Australian Government.<br />

These themes represent the key opportunities for achieving sector wide improvements in competitiveness<br />

and sustainability through greater collaboration and knowledge sharing, and provide a framework for <strong>NERA</strong><br />

and the industry to categorise initiatives and projects for further development, review and prioritisation.<br />

These themes are:<br />

Theme 1: Manage cost structures and improve productivity<br />

Improve management of high cost activities and focus on increasing efficiency and asset<br />

productivity to drive value creation through innovation and collaboration. Australia’s energy<br />

resources sector must aspire to be best in class in all phases, from exploration through<br />

operations and maintenance, to closure and abandonment.<br />

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY<br />

Theme 2: Adopt predictive analytics (digital technologies)<br />

Improve industry operational performance through the application of digital technologies<br />

and a collaborative approach to the identification and resolution of operational issues.<br />

Through such an approach, the Australian energy resources sector can achieve global best<br />

practice operational performance, improve productivity and international competitiveness.<br />

Theme 3: Drive deeper engagement with the value chain<br />

Enhance collaboration amongst supply chain organisations and operators to harness<br />

existing capabilities and identify solutions that will improve the competitiveness of the<br />

sector. Through deeper engagement new ideas will be brought forward faster, allowing<br />

the sector to become increasingly innovative.<br />

Theme 4: Develop work skills of the future<br />

Further develop our understanding of the skills implications associated with new technology<br />

and innovation across the energy resources sector. Through collaboration, assist the<br />

education and training sector to respond effectively to these identified skill demands,<br />

building a workforce ready to engage with tomorrow’s technologies and challenges.<br />

Theme 5: Drive industry-led research<br />

Promote ‘industry-led’ research through stronger engagement between industry and<br />

research organisations. Encourage a more streamlined research funding application process<br />

and support universities in placing greater value on applied research, commercialisation<br />

and mid-tier and SME participation engagement pathways. Support the development of a<br />

reliable database of research related information.<br />

Theme 6: Improve industry sustainability (social, environmental, economic)<br />

Improve industry sustainability through identifying and supporting leading practices<br />

in stakeholder engagement, to enhance understanding of the social, environmental,<br />

economic and operational consequences of industry activity, and by identifying and<br />

supporting trusted custodians of scientific knowledge.<br />

Theme 7: Understanding and unlocking Australia’s future resource base<br />

Improve identification, appraisal and cost effective and sustainable development of<br />

marginal resources. Develop cost-effective and sustainable means to commercialise these<br />

resources to deliver significant economic, social and community benefits.<br />

Theme 8: Achieve proportionate, fit for purpose regulation<br />

Promote effective policy and regulation that supports energy resources industry activities<br />

and provides the Australian community with confidence and trust in industry oversight by<br />

promoting: evidence and outcomes based regulatory frameworks; greater harmonisation<br />

of regulatory requirements between states and territories, and between the states/<br />

territories and the Commonwealth; acceptance of trusted international standards;<br />

and reduction of the regulatory burden on the energy resources sector.<br />

National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong><br />

19


INTRODUCTION TO THIS SCP<br />

GLOBAL MEGATRENDS<br />

Globally, the energy resources sector is facing a number of megatrends. Individually, each of these<br />

trends present significant change and challenge to the sector but when combined, they are resulting in<br />

operational and market disruption to which the sector must respond and adapt. Seven current and one<br />

emerging global megatrends are considered in this SCP:<br />

Urbanisation<br />

Technological<br />

evolution<br />

Asian<br />

century<br />

Changing<br />

energy mix<br />

Globalisation<br />

of business<br />

Changing<br />

demographics<br />

Low carbon<br />

future<br />

Search for energy<br />

security (emerging)<br />

The disruption caused by these megatrends requires the energy resources sector to find new ways of<br />

working and to work together to innovate. These trends pose challenges but also opportunities for<br />

the energy resources sector, to maximise the value from existing industry investment, to adapt to the<br />

changing landscape and to build a competitive, resilient and sustainable future for the sector.<br />

An environment of disruption<br />

These multiple trends, when considered together, form one overarching ‘megatrend’ – an increasingly<br />

disrupted energy market. This one megatrend is transformative, defines the present and shapes the future<br />

by its significant impact on societies, economies, industries, and organisations. It provides significant<br />

challenges and substantial opportunities to the sector, and the pace of change is likely to continue.<br />

Industry must be agile, adaptable and innovative and needs to build the organisational skills and<br />

attributes to stay at the forefront of the wave of disruption.<br />

Impact of global megatrends on Australia<br />

As a major supplier of the world’s conventional energy and as a country with its own established energy<br />

networks, the Australian energy resources sector faces a number of major challenges to remain competitive<br />

in the increasingly complex modern energy marketplace. While the global and regional demand for our<br />

resources in the energy market continues to be strong, internal changes in each market are placing<br />

additional complexity on what has, for a long time, been a relatively stable mix of energy demand.<br />

How the Australian energy resources sector responds to this new environment will determine its future<br />

trajectory. The sector must be prepared to undergo both incremental and transformational improvements.<br />

Incremental improvements alone will not be enough to keep pace with change. Transformational change is<br />

required for the sector to keep pace with the shifting energy paradigm and compete with global challenges.<br />

Finding ways to exploit the opportunities presented by the disruptions will be vital to the future of the<br />

Australian energy resources sector, allowing it to continue to play a significant role in the global energy mix.<br />

20 National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong>


INTRODUCTION TO THIS SCP<br />

Incremental improvement<br />

• Leaner operations, as exemplified by the many operators already focusing on increasing asset utilisation;<br />

• Better management of high cost activities, particularly in new projects and other major capital investments;<br />

• Increasing movement by operators toward sharing infrastructure both at their facilities and in<br />

locations such as maintenance and supply bases;<br />

• Collaborative planning of labour and resource intensive planned maintenance and upgrade activities<br />

to avoid competition over labour and shop time;<br />

• Staff reviews at facilities and in various national head offices; and<br />

• An increasing drive to improve productivity from new and existing assets.<br />

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY<br />

Transformational improvement<br />

• Develop operating models focusing on new and innovative approaches to execution and better<br />

leveraging of existing capacity. Build on Australia’s highly regarded existing capabilities in areas such<br />

as remote operations and data analytics for process optimisation and decision making, to support<br />

operational and value chain optimisation;<br />

• Expand our strengths in the development of alternative energy sources and act as a baseline clean<br />

energy source for Asia;<br />

• Assist developing nations, particularly those transitioning from fossil fuels, to meet their emissions<br />

reduction commitments by providing energy diversification;<br />

• Increase ‘energy literacy’ of communities, governments, regulators, companies and other stakeholders; and<br />

• Export clean technologies to developing countries. This could include low carbon emission technologies,<br />

hybrid power generation, battery storage and carbon capture and storage (especially geosequestration<br />

where Australia’s geology provides a strong competitive advantage). Leading the development and<br />

adoption of these clean technologies is likely to help the sector strengthen its social licence, drive<br />

up the demand of our existing energy resource portfolio, as well as opening up new markets (i.e.<br />

gasification utilising coal deposits with low ash fusion temperatures).<br />

An imperative to change<br />

Standing still is not an option. The modern energy resources environment requires all sector participants<br />

to continually explore ways to change regulatory, business and operational models simply to remain<br />

competitive. As set out in this SCP, the Australian energy resources sector must find ways to:<br />

• Collaborate more - between peer organisations, vertically within value chains, across the traditional<br />

boundaries between industries and with research organisations, where directed and undirected<br />

findings can help lift the productivity of the industry;<br />

• Address the regulatory burden restraining many areas of the energy resources sector from thriving<br />

and growing in the future, in ways that maintain and enhance community support for the industry;<br />

• Identify and explore new markets for the products of the energy resources sector, opportunities that<br />

fill needs in the marketplace or displace expensive import alternatives: one example is expanding the<br />

use of LNG as a domestic source of energy.<br />

National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong><br />

21


INTRODUCTION TO THIS SCP<br />

CHALLENGES, OPPORTUNITIES AND CONSTRAINTS<br />

Growing energy demand in Asia, increased societal environmental awareness, and an evolving global energy<br />

mix create immense opportunity and substantial challenges for the Australian energy resources sector.<br />

Major shifts are expected in the ways in which power is generated, distributed, controlled and consumed<br />

as the world moves to incorporate more renewable energy in the broader mix. This shift will force<br />

sector-wide adaptation, as new infrastructure needs to be built and integrated, and new operational<br />

frameworks are created. Despite these challenges, there are significant opportunities for Australian<br />

energy resources participants, particularly in meeting growing Asian demand.<br />

<strong>Sector</strong> wide<br />

A number of challenges and constraints are sector wide and, while impacting each sector differently,<br />

there are some common causes and solutions.<br />

Challenges<br />

• Volatile commodity prices due to major structural changes in global supply and an ongoing<br />

oversupply in the global market.<br />

• High capital (CAPEX) and operational (OPEX) costs making Australia uncompetitive as an investment<br />

destination.<br />

• Concerns associated with the ongoing management of water, ensuring it is equitably available for all<br />

land users including agriculture, human settlement and industry.<br />

• Understanding how best to manage carbon emissions from both the primary production of energy<br />

resources and their consumption.<br />

Constraints<br />

• Perception that Australia has growing sovereign risk for capital investment due to increased restrictive<br />

regulatory burden, frequent changes in policy and growing restrictions on development in various<br />

states. These restrictions are inhibiting both domestic exploration and the sector’s ability to develop<br />

discoveries necessary to underpin the long-term viability of the Australian energy resources sector.<br />

• Australia’s relatively poor adoption of innovation, making it dependant on imported ideas and<br />

technology rather than building home grown solutions. Australia was ranked twenty-sixth for<br />

innovation by the World Economic Forum in 2016 2 .<br />

In addition to these sector wide challenges, there are also a number of more discrete challenges and<br />

opportunities that will be faced by the industries making up the sector over the coming decade.<br />

22 National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong>


INTRODUCTION TO THIS SCP<br />

Oil and gas<br />

The Australian Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG) industry’s capacity has increased more than four-fold over the<br />

past five years to supply the anticipated increase in demand. This rapid growth has created a number of<br />

challenges and opportunities for the developing industry.<br />

Challenges<br />

• Relatively high operating cost environment due to high labour costs, remoteness of operations, and<br />

distance from global supply chains result in many aspects of the Australian oil and gas industry being<br />

substantially more expensive than other jurisdictions. For example, costs to explore and develop a<br />

shale gas well in Australia are believed to be around 250 to 300 per cent higher than to develop a<br />

similar well in the United States.<br />

• Limited availability of process technicians and operators with the high-level skills required to run<br />

increased numbers of integrated teams and operations. Technological change will drive multiskilling<br />

into the future, requiring significant changes to current training regimes as well as articulation of skills<br />

development pathways to ensure a sufficient number of suitably skilled personnel for future needs.<br />

• A potential shortage of specialist skilled and experienced labour for maintenance and turnarounds<br />

for Australia’s 21 LNG trains. This could be further impacted by parallel activities in the broader<br />

energy resources sectors especially in the case of a recovery in commodity prices which will increase<br />

competition for such skills.<br />

• Challenges to the industry’s social licence to operate, including negative community perceptions of<br />

the social and environmental impacts of unconventional developments, concerns over the potential<br />

development of new offshore basins and increasing community expectations around the transition to<br />

renewable energy sources. This will require the sector to operate through high levels of community<br />

engagement, corporate transparency and exemplary social citizenship.<br />

• A reputation as a high cost/low productivity marketplace, given the many project budget and<br />

schedule overruns experienced during the recent expansion phase of the industry, is contributing<br />

to operators deferring future major capital investment in Australia in favour of other jurisdictions.<br />

To help restore Australia’s reputation, the industry needs to demonstrate that it can operate and<br />

maintain the new and existing facilities to world’s best standards at competitive cost.<br />

• Uncertainty over capital and regulatory costs of abandonment, as many operators begin to plan<br />

for the end of life of their facilities; and given that, to date such abandonment activities have been<br />

relatively few, the need to establish and test an appropriate regulatory framework.<br />

• The emergence of the United States as a new and materially low cost LNG supplier into both the<br />

Atlantic and Pacific basins. The United States is now seen as a low risk jurisdiction for project delivery<br />

and sovereign risk - a position which Australia held for many years.<br />

• The expansion of gas exports into China from Russian and Baltic nations.<br />

• The unknown but potential rise of a domestic Chinese unconventional source of gas supply.<br />

• Difficulty of local service providers to integrate into the international supply chain.<br />

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY<br />

National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong><br />

23


INTRODUCTION TO THIS SCP<br />

While the output capacity of the Australian oil and gas industry has grown over the past decade through<br />

the construction of additional LNG trains, the long term viability of the sector has been jeopardised by the<br />

precipitous decline in exploration. This is illustrated by the almost tenfold decline in the number of new<br />

offshore wells being drilled 3 as shown in Figure 3. There are still a number of known offshore reservoirs yet<br />

to be developed, but without an active exploration regime the long-term future of the sector remains at risk.<br />

Figure 3: Offshore petroleum exploration wells<br />

100<br />

90<br />

80<br />

70<br />

60<br />

50<br />

40<br />

30<br />

20<br />

10<br />

0<br />

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016<br />

Source: APPEA<br />

Opportunities<br />

• Increasing collaboration amongst operators to maximise asset productivity.<br />

• Improving collaboration between operators and technology and engineering service providers to<br />

increase innovation and productivity.<br />

• Leveraging the critical mass emerging in Australian operations to develop an export-oriented and<br />

competitive service and technology sector.<br />

• Addressing cost, regulatory and social licence concerns to ensure Australia continues to be perceived<br />

as a politically stable and economically reliable destination for future capital investment.<br />

• Developing shale and tight gas basins to support domestic demand, and potentially for export.<br />

• Emerging new markets, such as India, and from the expanded use of gas (LNG and compressed<br />

natural gas) as a source of transport fuel.<br />

24 National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong>


INTRODUCTION TO THIS SCP<br />

Coal<br />

Increased pressure to reduce carbon dioxide (CO 2<br />

) emissions and a switch towards renewable energy<br />

sources means that domestic demand for thermal coal is forecast to decline over the next 10 years.<br />

However, reduced domestic demand will be offset by increased export demand from Asia and an<br />

anticipated overall growing demand globally 4 . Demand for metallurgical coal is expected to increase in<br />

the medium term with reinvigorated demand from China and other developing nations.<br />

Challenges<br />

• Sub-optimal asset productivity and costs in a volatile price environment.<br />

• High cost and inefficient infrastructure contracts impacting some producers.<br />

• Overlap of coal mining tenements with agricultural land in New South Wales and Queensland,<br />

leading to conflicting pressures on land and water use.<br />

• Effective management of both surface and ground water consistent with environmental requirements.<br />

• Increasing social concern with climate change and the environmental impact of resource extraction,<br />

which will limit the industry’s social licence to operate.<br />

• Increasing Government regulation and ‘green tape’.<br />

• Development of coherent and cost effective mine closure and rehabilitation plans.<br />

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY<br />

Opportunities<br />

• Technological advances and implementation of operator assist and decision support technologies<br />

used in other bulk commodities to unlock productivity improvements.<br />

• Ongoing utilisation of high efficiency low emission (HELE) technologies, control of fugitive emissions<br />

and carbon capture and storage (CCS) to minimise carbon footprint.<br />

• Improved mine design and operations to facilitate reduced consumption and compliance with<br />

regulatory scrutiny of water use.<br />

• Improving utilisation of the service industry to leverage existing capacity of workshops, skilled<br />

personnel and equipment.<br />

• Product mix evolution with the development of new superior products.<br />

• Strategic targeting of increasing Asian demand for higher quality coal with a higher specific energy<br />

and lower ash content.<br />

National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong><br />

25


INTRODUCTION TO THIS SCP<br />

Uranium<br />

The uranium industry will need to overcome regulatory hurdles, perceived radiation safety concerns and<br />

social licence to operate issues to participate more fully in the energy future of Australia and the world.<br />

Challenges<br />

• Lack of informed public knowledge and understanding of the science associated with energy<br />

generation and the associated levels of risk with each technology.<br />

• Limits on the ports from where uranium can be exported, with only Darwin and Adelaide currently<br />

licensed for the export of uranium, and limits on the ability to access ports elsewhere in Australia<br />

whilst carrying cargoes of uranium. This restricts the options available to the domestic uranium<br />

industry to transport its products to international customers.<br />

• Legislative and policy restrictions at the Federal and State(s) level on mining e.g. in New South Wales,<br />

Queensland and Victoria, and on the development of nuclear power and other parts of the uranium<br />

value chain (e.g. waste management and disposal), which limits the growth of the industry.<br />

• Building a comprehensive understanding of the challenges associated with processing challenging<br />

ore bodies in which much of the known Australian uranium is found.<br />

• Equipment and skills shortages which limit the capacity of Australian mines to respond quickly to an<br />

increase in demand.<br />

• Strategic development of uranium production capacity by Kazakhstan 5 through counter-cycle<br />

investment has positioned them ahead of Australia to respond to any increase in uranium demand<br />

(although Australian uranium is still regarded by many customers as their preferred product).<br />

Opportunities<br />

Given the drive to reduce carbon emissions globally, Australia’s uranium has the potential to assume a<br />

much more significant position as a source of export revenue. To realise this potential, Australia needs to<br />

take advantage of the following opportunities:<br />

• As part of a broader energy literacy initiative, the sector needs to help enhance the overall level of<br />

public understanding of how energy resources are produced, how power is generated and the role<br />

energy resources play in the nation’s economy. The sector also needs to continue to test current<br />

attitudes towards uranium mining and other aspects of the nuclear value chain.<br />

• Reconsideration of restrictive legislation, replacement with efficient, fit for purpose regulation.<br />

• Testing of technological improvements such as heap leaching and in-situ leaching to improve<br />

production capacity with low operating expenditure.<br />

• Improving the attractiveness of the uranium mining sector to draw labour back from other mining<br />

sectors, both in terms of radiation safety and salaries.<br />

26 National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong>


INTRODUCTION TO THIS SCP<br />

CROSS SECTOR CHALLENGES AND IMPACTS<br />

Many opportunities and challenges span two or more sectors or sit outside discrete sectors, and are likely<br />

to have a profound influence and impact on the energy resources sector in the coming years.<br />

These will include factors such as the rapid emergence of renewable energy technologies which, when<br />

added to the global and domestic mix, may drive markets in unanticipated directions. An example of this is<br />

seen in the deployment of domestic solar power technologies to meet household electricity needs, which are<br />

causing substantial disruption to the generation and distribution networks together with increased pricing<br />

instability. The impact of the increasing uptake in solar panels, combined with emerging domestic battery<br />

storage and smart grid technology, will cause even greater disruptions in the coming years.<br />

A further challenge facing not only the energy resources sector, but the broader Australian workforce<br />

is the ageing working population and declining numbers of students pursuing science, technology,<br />

mathematics and engineering (STEM) subjects in schools and universities. This will limit the available pool<br />

of appropriately skilled workers to pursue the next waves of innovation and to maintain the increasingly<br />

technologically challenging facilities operated by the sector 6 , all of which are highly influential on the<br />

future prosperity of the nation.<br />

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY<br />

SECTOR KNOWLEDGE PRIORITIES<br />

While many of the actions required by the sector to address the challenges and opportunities ahead are<br />

relatively well known and understood, there are other issues which are not as well defined or where<br />

there are known gaps in knowledge – these are referred to as knowledge priorities. Many of these<br />

knowledge priorities were identified in the initial consultation period during the preparation of this SCP,<br />

and have been aligned with <strong>NERA</strong>’s key themes. The nine knowledge priorities, listed in Table 1, identify<br />

the key areas where additional work is required to understand the challenges and choices the sector<br />

faces in the current environment.<br />

These knowledge priorities will change over time as the sector and new challenges arise. However,<br />

by systematically addressing these knowledge priorities now, the industry will maintain its globally<br />

competitive edge and thrive in the future.<br />

The nine knowledge priorities have been grouped into three broad categories:<br />

1. Capability and leadership;<br />

2. Business and operating models, technology and services; and<br />

3. Regulatory environment governing the industry.<br />

Many of the knowledge priorities encompass multiple challenges and opportunities.<br />

National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong><br />

27


INTRODUCTION TO THIS SCP<br />

Table 1: <strong>Sector</strong> knowledge priorities<br />

Knowledge priority<br />

1 Work skills for<br />

the future<br />

Focus areas<br />

• Integrated operations of the future<br />

• Workforce capability<br />

• Project management skills<br />

Capability and leadership<br />

Business and operating models, technology and services<br />

Regulatory<br />

environment<br />

2 Enabling effective<br />

collaboration<br />

3 Understanding<br />

Australia’s<br />

resource base<br />

4 Social licence<br />

to operate<br />

5 Unlocking future<br />

resources<br />

6 New markets,<br />

new technologies,<br />

new business models<br />

7 Commercialisation<br />

of Research and<br />

Development (R&D)<br />

8 Efficient operations<br />

and maintenance<br />

9 Regulatory<br />

framework<br />

optimisation<br />

• Cross company collaboration<br />

• Intergenerational and interdisciplinary engagement<br />

• Industry and applied research collaboration<br />

• Developing a greater understanding of prospective<br />

basin geology across the minerals and energy sectors<br />

• Social benefits<br />

• Infrastructure closure and rehabilitation<br />

• Water management<br />

• Tailings management<br />

• Integrated geological information<br />

• Cross industry collaboration<br />

• Maximising ageing assets<br />

• Environmental science collaboration<br />

• Asian trade agreements<br />

• Develop international technology partnerships<br />

• Commercialisation of operational technological<br />

developments<br />

• Carbon capture and storage (CCS)<br />

• Low emissions technologies<br />

• LNG as a fuel<br />

• Hybrid technologies<br />

• Adapting to the changing energy mix<br />

• Living labs<br />

• Understanding and developing commercialisation<br />

pathways<br />

• Operating models for remote operations<br />

• Data, digitisation and predictive analytics<br />

• Robotics, sensors and automation<br />

• Develop a greater understanding of decommissioning<br />

techniques<br />

• Encouraging sensible regulatory frameworks to allow<br />

ongoing exploration<br />

• Harmonisation of standards<br />

• Review of self-imposed regulations<br />

• Industrial relations and workplace reform*<br />

• Resource management reform and review of the<br />

existing permitting systems<br />

* Note: Industrial relations and industrial reform are not part of <strong>NERA</strong>’s scope<br />

28 National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong>


INTRODUCTION TO THIS SCP<br />

LIKELY EVOLUTION OF THE SECTOR<br />

For the foreseeable future, the energy resources sector will continue to make a significant contribution to the<br />

economic stability of Australia. However, as the world’s energy balance continues to evolve, the sector must<br />

adapt to remain competitive. While the full impact of the macro changes in the sector are hard to foresee,<br />

many aspects of the sector’s evolution during the coming decade can be more easily predicted.<br />

Asian demand<br />

A sustained increase in Asian demand across all energy resources is expected, as India and the Association<br />

of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) take up the slack from plateauing Chinese demand. Indeed, the<br />

global demand for energy is anticipated to increase by 34 per cent between 2014 and 2035 7 . Australia<br />

is ideally located to service much of this growth, and can reasonably expect continued development in<br />

export volumes and revenue growth.<br />

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY<br />

High capacity export industry<br />

In the near future Australia is forecast to overtake Qatar as the world’s largest producer of LNG, though<br />

Australia could be challenged by capacity increases in the United States depending on how the United<br />

States gas market develops. Similarly, Australia already enjoys a very strong position as one of the world’s<br />

top exporters of coal and uranium. Having invested substantially in the infrastructure to achieve these<br />

rankings, the sector needs to continue to invest in their operations to ensure a strong future.<br />

International nuclear revival<br />

The extent and magnitude of the nuclear revival, and its impact on current uranium over-supply, could<br />

make a significant difference to Australian energy exports. In addition, an increased acceptance of<br />

uranium locally may result in other aspects of the downstream nuclear value chain being considered.<br />

Renewable energy sources<br />

With the increasing penetration of both wind generation and rooftop solar, electricity distribution networks<br />

are experiencing major disruptions. The impact of this change will be further deepened by the growing<br />

deployment of domestic battery storage. These technologies are exerting new pressures on the traditional<br />

coal and gas fired assets of electricity generators and distribution networks as the flow of electricity changes<br />

from purely outbound from the power stations, to a more dynamic and complex pattern.<br />

Demand for coal<br />

Domestically, increased commitments to reduce CO 2<br />

emissions, coupled with a move towards renewable<br />

energy sources, means that domestic demand for thermal coal may decline over the next 10 years.<br />

However, developments in clean technologies such as carbon capture and storage and increased export<br />

demand from Asia as high-quality Australian coal displaces domestic Asian production, is likely to offset<br />

this decline. Demand for metallurgical coal is expected to increase in the medium term with reinvigorated<br />

demand from China and other parts of Asia. Meeting this ongoing demand will require the timely<br />

approval of new developments to ensure adequate capacity.<br />

Exploration challenges<br />

The growth of the Australian energy resources sector is dependent on its ability to identify, appraise and<br />

produce from new fields and deposits cost effectively. However, the viability of exploration activities on these<br />

future and frontier assets are being placed under serious question. Exploration companies are subject to an<br />

increasingly onerous and unpredictable regulatory burden. For example, the future viability of the Australian<br />

oil and gas sector is being placed at risk by the current lack of exploration, especially because, in the current<br />

low-price environment, companies are producing from their reserves faster in order to maintain revenue but<br />

are not adding new reserves to their portfolio through exploration to ensure future production capacity.<br />

In parallel, activist shareholders are applying growing and conflicting pressures by simultaneously demanding<br />

greater immediate returns on their investments in a traditionally long-term industry and also divesting<br />

investments in industries such as fossil fuels, which are out of favour with sections of the broader society.<br />

National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong><br />

29


INTRODUCTION TO THIS SCP<br />

Optimisation focus on facilities<br />

Significant capital investment in new major energy resource projects appears unlikely in the short to<br />

medium term, in view of the major expansion phase across the sector, most visible in the growth of the<br />

LNG industry, coupled with the decline in commodity prices for the sector over the last two to three<br />

years. The focus is expected to be on optimisation of new and existing facilities through productivity and<br />

efficiency improvements while maintaining capacity through smaller projects.<br />

HELE and CCS Development<br />

To enable industry growth to continue within required COP21 (also known as the 2015 Paris Climate<br />

Conference) emission levels, the energy resources sector will need to develop high efficiency, low<br />

emissions (HELE) technologies for coal fired power generation and CCS for both coal and gas.<br />

Incentives for research and development<br />

The focus on operational and social licence to operate research and development has been a strong<br />

industry-wide activity in the coal sector through the work of the Australian Coal Industry’s Research<br />

Program (ACARP) 8 , where a small voluntary but sector wide levy is placed on production.<br />

The fund generated from this levy, which qualifies under research and development tax incentive legislation,<br />

is managed by an industry body to support an ongoing list of around 200 individual and focussed<br />

research initiatives across the industry, including funding a number of PhD scholarships 9 . Such an<br />

independent, industry focussed scheme could be considered for the Australian oil and gas sector to build<br />

a broad, industry wide and transparent research community to examine issues of interest to the sector,<br />

complementing the joint industry project (JIP) model more traditionally employed by the sector.<br />

SUMMARY<br />

The Australian energy resources sector faces major challenges to remain<br />

competitive in the increasingly complex modern global energy market.<br />

Maintaining Australia’s current position as a world leading energy resources producer will require<br />

transformative effort by all those directly and indirectly involved across the oil and gas, coal and uranium<br />

industries.<br />

While global and regional demand for our energy resources continues to be strong, internal disruptions<br />

in each market are placing complexity on what has, for a long time, been a relatively stable mix of energy<br />

demand. The Australian energy resources sector needs to adapt to these market disruptions and it must<br />

be prepared to undergo both incremental and transformational changes.<br />

Incremental improvement<br />

Incremental improvements include leaner operations, better management of high cost activities, particularly<br />

in the areas of new projects and other major capital investments, sharing infrastructure both at facilities and<br />

in locations such as maintenance and supply bases, collaborative planning of maintenance and upgrade<br />

activities to avoid competition over labour and shop time, reviews of staffing levels both at the facilities and<br />

in the various national head offices, and an increasing drive to improve productivity from new and existing<br />

assets. However, these incremental improvements alone will not be enough to keep pace with change.<br />

Transformational improvement<br />

Transformational change is required for the sector to keep pace with the shifting energy paradigm<br />

and meet global challenges. The sector needs to develop new operating models, focusing on new and<br />

innovative approaches to execution and better leveraging of existing capacity. Given the expected<br />

high level of automation in future operations, we need to build on Australia’s highly regarded existing<br />

capabilities in areas such as remote operations and data analytics for process optimisation and decision<br />

making, to support operational and value chain optimisation.<br />

30 National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong>


INTRODUCTION TO THIS SCP<br />

Finding ways to exploit the opportunities presented by the disruptions will be vital to<br />

the future of the Australian energy resources sector, allowing it to continue to play a<br />

significant role in the global energy mix.<br />

Opportunities exist for Australia to continue to act as a baseline energy source to meet the sustained and<br />

increasing demand from Asia. But Australia needs to build strengths in the development of alternative<br />

and renewable energy sources. Australia is well placed to assist developing nations, particularly those<br />

transitioning from fossil fuels, to meet their emissions reduction commitments by providing energy<br />

diversification and reliable electrical grids and systems.<br />

Standing still is not an option. In the modern energy resources environment, continually exploring ways to<br />

change regulatory, business and operational models is required of all participants to simply remain competitive.<br />

As set out in this SCP, the Australian energy resources sector must find ways to:<br />

• Collaborate better in all ways, between peer organisations, vertically within value chains, across<br />

the traditional boundaries between industries and with research organisations where directed and<br />

undirected findings can help lift the productivity of the industry;<br />

• Explore ways to address the regulatory burden that is restraining many areas of the energy resources<br />

sector from growing into the future, but in ways that maintain and enhance community support for<br />

the industry; and<br />

• Identify and explore new markets, create opportunities to fill needs in the marketplace or displace<br />

expensive import alternatives, such as expanding the use of LNG as a domestic source of energy.<br />

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY<br />

<strong>NERA</strong> is committed to working openly with stakeholders to identify and pursue strategic<br />

initiatives and projects that will assist the Australian energy resources sector to adapt to<br />

current and future challenges and disruption.<br />

<strong>NERA</strong> will achieve this through directing research and technology development to meet the needs of<br />

operators and end-users in ways which are tied to commercial pathways. It will facilitate industry-led<br />

projects and ensure they address <strong>NERA</strong>’s strategic themes, knowledge priorities and strategic initiatives<br />

set out in this SCP and are endorsed/supported by the energy resources sector and stakeholders.<br />

<strong>NERA</strong> is not acting alone in this endeavour, but is building on the work of many previous sector wide<br />

and specific economic and industry reports and research initiatives. Many of these previous reports<br />

have substantially similar findings, whether they investigated a single industry or jurisdiction, a specific<br />

technology or considered the broader energy resources sector in its entirety.<br />

Achieving an Australian energy resources sector that remains globally competitive over<br />

the next 10 years and beyond will require significant innovation, growth and behavioural<br />

change. To be considered competitive, Australia needs to be:<br />

• A top-ranked location for energy resources investment – somewhere international and domestic<br />

operators seek to invest because it is cost competitive and has a strong reputation with a stable<br />

and supportive policy and regulatory environment, and is recognised as a centre of excellence for<br />

knowledge and skills;<br />

• A centre for innovation in energy resource operations and supporting services – where new technologies<br />

and approaches to problems are actively sought, tested, refined and deployed, and where those<br />

innovations, technologies and approaches are seen as world leading and in demand; and<br />

• Positioned to capitalise on the shifting global energy mix – a sector that works cooperatively with the<br />

disruptive technologies and seeks to find the right balance for a sustainable sector, economy, society<br />

and environment.<br />

Key to this future success will be increased collaboration amongst operators, contractors, service<br />

providers, the government and research organisations; a willingness to explore challenging and, at times,<br />

uncomfortable new issues and opportunities; and a willingness to take considered risks on novel<br />

disruptive solutions to tomorrow’s pressing questions.<br />

National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong><br />

31


Roadmap<br />

to the Future<br />

The Australian energy resources sector is at a historic inflection point. Each<br />

of the three industries which comprise the sector face major changes that,<br />

dependent upon their response, will determine the sector’s long term strength.<br />

All three industries have to respond to the lower emissions environment<br />

and a societal move to renewable energy sources and clean technologies.<br />

The oil and gas industry is nearing the end of an unprecedented investment<br />

in and development of new facilities, often delivered late and above their<br />

forecast budget, and into a market that is increasingly competitive, and<br />

with tighter margins than seen for the past decade. The coal industry is<br />

similarly experiencing a tightening market as the growth experienced<br />

by China and other regional emerging nations settles into more stable<br />

consumption levels, and faces increased pressure from environmental and<br />

activist groups. The uranium industry faces ongoing regulatory restrictions<br />

over its activities, despite world demand for the high quality and end-toend<br />

accountability of Australia’s product.<br />

32 National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong>


ROADMAP TO THE FUTURE<br />

These pressures mean that the sector as a whole must find new ways of working to build a successful and<br />

sustainable future. Different approaches are required from the sector’s leaders - leadership that places<br />

strong emphasis on increasingly open collaboration with peers, suppliers, clients, the research community<br />

and the broad community, and a willingness to take considered risks in developing and deploying novel and<br />

cutting edge technology and solutions in the pursuit of a sustainable future for the sector. These changes<br />

will require significant cultural shifts within and between stakeholders. To survive and thrive in the<br />

coming decade will require new ways of operating and different ways of thinking to those of the past.<br />

The three levers to a strong future<br />

To remain competitive and build future markets and customers requires the sector to address three<br />

primary levers- a suitable business model, a contemporary and future focussed operating model<br />

incorporating technological capabilities, and building the right capability, skills and culture to succeed.<br />

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY<br />

1<br />

Business<br />

models<br />

2<br />

Operational<br />

models and<br />

technology<br />

capabilities<br />

3<br />

Capacity<br />

and culture<br />

The energy resources sector needs to find new markets to supplement<br />

current markets, secure new customers and provide alternate forms of services<br />

that more deeply engage with the value chain. This can include the provision<br />

of turnkey energy solutions and clean technologies to support the use of<br />

the energy resources. This could also include the provision of knowledge<br />

and skills in specialist areas such as LNG operations, remote operations and<br />

modular construction.<br />

Equally, the sector needs to build stronger, more collaborative partnerships,<br />

within the sector, between the sector and technology and research<br />

organisations and with other industry sectors where the synergies and common<br />

challenges may lead to novel and powerful solutions.<br />

The last two to three years have seen significant cost cutting across businesses<br />

but, there are still significant efficiencies to be captured by reconsidering<br />

existing operating models and exploring novel ways to reduce process<br />

complexity and waste, find ways to collaborate more broadly, share logistics<br />

demands through consolidation and support the establishment of regional<br />

innovation and industry clusters and common supply bases.<br />

In parallel, there is an opportunity to reduce unnecessary and expensive<br />

bespoke standards and conditions around contracts, inductions, training<br />

and qualifications and seek ways to use common, industry wide substitutes.<br />

Companies need to be open to sharing environmental and other research<br />

which is non-competitive and of benefit to the whole sector. Businesses in the<br />

sector could increase their efforts to optimise their operations through ongoing<br />

development and deployment of automation, the adoption of advanced<br />

manufacturing such as 3D printing, the use of alternate materials and the<br />

adoption of lean systems.<br />

For the sector to truly embrace the future operating environment, it must invest<br />

in the capacity, skills and culture of its workforce, to define and develop the<br />

‘operator of the future’, spread digital competencies more broadly throughout<br />

the businesses so that members of each organisation have the skills to leverage<br />

the volume of data available. They must invest in the development of enhanced<br />

commercial skills so that personnel understand the impacts of decisions earlier,<br />

and embrace innovation in an environment where the risks of deploying new<br />

technologies can be calculated and considered in a professional and future<br />

focussed way, with new technologies being brought into organisations earlier<br />

through measured demonstrations, possibly via the use of living laboratories.<br />

National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong><br />

33


ROADMAP TO THE FUTURE<br />

Regulations<br />

These three levers cannot truly deliver their potential benefits unless the regulatory environment is reviewed<br />

and appropriate adjustments made to allow the energy resources sector to thrive into the future. Regulatory<br />

reform must address the growing perception that Australian regulation poses a sovereign risk which<br />

inhibits both domestic and inward investment. Reform must consider for example, how regulations can<br />

be enablers to an innovative economy and focussed on delivering differentiated and high value outcomes,<br />

and how the sector can efficiently identify and explore future energy resources. Businesses themselves<br />

must also review their own internal requirements, and remove or streamline self-imposed and bespoke<br />

standards that simply add cost to the business without delivering an appropriate level of additional benefit.<br />

Pathway to a Sustainable, Resilient,<br />

Energy Resources <strong>Sector</strong><br />

The complex interplay of the factors that contribute to building a sustainable energy resources future<br />

is diagrammatically represented in Figure 4 below. This diagram illustrates how each of the knowledge<br />

priorities and constraints identified and discussed in this SCP integrate and how, as a sector, it is critical<br />

that the issues are addressed in a coordinated, systemic and structured way. By addressing them through,<br />

working together concurrently on multiple fronts in a planned and measurable way, the sector will be<br />

able to build a sustainable future.<br />

Figure 4: Pathway to a sustainable energy resource sector<br />

34 National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong>


ROADMAP TO THE FUTURE<br />

Knowledge Priorities Action <strong>Plan</strong><br />

Set out in Table 2 are focus areas and initiatives to address the sector wide knowledge priorities.<br />

Table 3 then broadly allocates responsibilities for each of the knowledge priorities to stakeholders<br />

within the overall energy resources sector, identifies which challenges each knowledge priority will<br />

help overcome, and proposes a timeframe during which action should be taken for the sector to move<br />

forwards in a structured and planned manner.<br />

Although specific stakeholders in the sector, such as the explorers and permit holders, major operators<br />

of facilities, service, technology and equipment suppliers, research organisations, skills development and<br />

education sector are identified against each activity, it remains the collective responsibility of the sector<br />

to address these challenges. The role of <strong>NERA</strong> is to act as the catalyst for many of the activities and to<br />

initiate and guide many through the provision of logistics support, networking, promotion of initiatives<br />

to a broader audience and co-funding where appropriate.<br />

The focus areas and initiatives identified in Table 2 set out the priorities for action in the short to medium<br />

term. The integrated pathway shown in Figure 4 and the knowledge priorities set out in Table 2 provide<br />

the overall strategic direction, and guide development and implementation of future initiatives.<br />

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY<br />

National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong><br />

35


ROADMAP TO THE FUTURE<br />

Table 2: <strong>Sector</strong> knowledge priorities and associated initiatives<br />

Knowledge priority<br />

1 Work skills<br />

for the future<br />

Focus areas<br />

• Integrated operations of the future<br />

• Workforce capability<br />

• Project management skills<br />

Capability and leadership<br />

2 Enabling effective<br />

collaboration<br />

3 Understanding<br />

Australia’s<br />

resource base<br />

• Cross company collaboration<br />

• Intergenerational and interdisciplinary engagement<br />

• Industry and applied research collaboration<br />

• Developing a greater understanding of prospective basin<br />

geology across the minerals and energy sectors<br />

4 Social licence<br />

to operate<br />

• Social benefits<br />

• Infrastructure closure and rehabilitation<br />

• Water management<br />

• Tailings management<br />

Business and operating models, technology and services<br />

5 Unlocking future<br />

resources<br />

6 New markets,<br />

New technologies,<br />

New business models<br />

7 Commercialisation<br />

of R&D<br />

8 Efficient operations<br />

and maintenance<br />

• Integrated geological information<br />

• Cross industry collaboration<br />

• Maximising ageing assets<br />

• Environmental science collaboration<br />

• Asian trade agreements<br />

• Develop international technology partnerships<br />

• Commercialisation of operational technological developments<br />

• Carbon capture and storage (CCS)<br />

• Low emissions technologies<br />

• LNG as a fuel<br />

• Hybrid technologies<br />

• Adapting to the changing energy mix<br />

• Living labs<br />

• Understanding and developing commercialisation pathways<br />

• Operating models for remote operations<br />

• Data, digitisation and predictive analytics<br />

• Robotics, sensors and automation<br />

• Develop a greater understanding of decommissioning techniques<br />

Regulatory<br />

environment<br />

9 Regulatory framework<br />

optimisation<br />

• Encouraging sensible regulatory frameworks to allow ongoing exploration<br />

• Harmonisation of standards<br />

• Review of self-imposed regulations<br />

• Industrial relations and workplace reform*<br />

• Resource management reform and review of the existing permitting systems<br />

* Note: Industrial relations and industrial reform are not part of <strong>NERA</strong>’s scope<br />

36 National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong>


ROADMAP TO THE FUTURE<br />

KPI’s<br />

Improve management and work skills<br />

• Map workforce skills and capacity in each sector cluster against project planning cycles.<br />

Improve efficiencies in workforce planning<br />

• Standardise training requirements to improve efficiencies in workforce utilisation.<br />

Increase cross company collaboration<br />

• Develop at least [6] clusters in high technology areas.<br />

Build knowledge and enhance access to information<br />

• Improve energy resources sector access to robust sources of geophysical data and<br />

promote trusted custodians of information.<br />

Initiatives<br />

• Identify future skills requirements<br />

• Identify and develop appropriate and accredited<br />

training to meet future skills needs<br />

• Ensure a future focussed training and education sector<br />

• Explore new opportunities to export knowledge<br />

• Establish regional industry and innovation clusters<br />

• Asset and equipment sharing<br />

• Infrastructure sharing<br />

• Shut-down scheduling<br />

• Industry specific collaboration<br />

• Cross industry collaboration<br />

• Common facility inductions<br />

• Shared operational practices<br />

• Weather research and modelling<br />

• Industry data initiative<br />

• Share non-competitive data across sectors<br />

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY<br />

Strengthen engagement with communities<br />

• Develop a communications strategy which engages with stakeholders outside<br />

the energy resources sector to articulate the social, economic and environmental<br />

benefits and challenges of the sector.<br />

• Identify and apply solutions for water stewardship and tailings management<br />

including by applying new technologies.<br />

Unlock resources<br />

• Add to the number of projects in the publicly announced and feasibility stages.<br />

Improve commercialisation and acceptance of new technology<br />

• Unlock value and accelerate commercialisation by identifying at least [25] new<br />

technology projects.<br />

• Community engagement and education<br />

• Research social, economic and environmental<br />

consequences of the activities of the energy<br />

resources sector<br />

• Energy literacy<br />

• Information stewardship<br />

• Work with technology suppliers to identify new<br />

ways to access resources<br />

• Computational geoscience<br />

• Unmanned aircraft systems geophysics<br />

• Extend the network of small scale LNG facilities<br />

• Broader support for focused innovation<br />

Improve R&D capability by identifying barriers and mapping gaps<br />

• Identify and map barriers and gaps in sector commercialisation funnel.<br />

• Respond to gaps by building alignment between research funding and emerging industry<br />

clusters in a least 2 key areas across oil and gas, coal seam gas, uranium and coal.<br />

Improve R&D commercialisation<br />

• Increase applied research and commercialisation.<br />

Increased commercialisation outcomes<br />

• Increase the number of companies claiming the R&D tax credits for sector relevant<br />

technologies by identifying and unlocking commercialisation barriers.<br />

Reduce costs and improve efficiencies<br />

• Adapt new technologies to improve efficiencies and productivity in existing projects<br />

by [20%], including by developing at least [2] shared remote operating centres.<br />

Identify and map barriers<br />

• Identify and map key areas where regulatory reform in the sector is needed,<br />

and support possible reforms.<br />

Align Australia’s standards with international best practice<br />

• Deliver 2 projects on enhanced alignment of Australian Standards with<br />

international best practice.<br />

• Strengthen industry-led research stewardship<br />

• Enhance industry engagement with research<br />

institutions<br />

• Research and development funding models<br />

• Improve understanding of Intellectual Property<br />

• Support living labs and pilot plants<br />

• Explore ways to build the industry’s skill base in<br />

remote operations and facility life extension<br />

• Focussed research and early deployment of<br />

new technologies<br />

• Research into life extension of ageing facilities<br />

• Adopt and harmonise international standards<br />

• Regulatory reform to support ongoing sector growth<br />

• Review regulatory frameworks<br />

National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong><br />

37


ROADMAP TO THE FUTURE<br />

Table 3: Knowledge priorities action plan<br />

Improve<br />

adoption of<br />

innovation<br />

Close the<br />

skills gaps<br />

1<br />

Work skills for<br />

the future<br />

Capability and leadership<br />

2<br />

3<br />

Enabling effective<br />

collaboration<br />

Understand<br />

Australia’s<br />

resource base<br />

4<br />

Social licence<br />

to operate<br />

Business and operating models, technology and services<br />

5<br />

6<br />

7<br />

8<br />

Unlock future<br />

resources<br />

New markets,<br />

new technologies,<br />

new business models<br />

Commercialisation<br />

of research and<br />

development<br />

Efficient operations<br />

and maintenance<br />

Regulatory<br />

environment<br />

9<br />

Regulatory<br />

framework<br />

optimisation<br />

KEY PARTIES: Operator Supplier Research Government Education<br />

38 National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong>


ROADMAP TO THE FUTURE<br />

Challenges<br />

Enhance<br />

productivity<br />

Manage<br />

water<br />

stewardship<br />

Address<br />

high cost<br />

environment<br />

Improve<br />

energy<br />

literacy<br />

Reduce<br />

sovereign<br />

risk<br />

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY<br />

.<br />

.<br />

WHEN: Short Medium Long<br />

National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong><br />

39


ROADMAP TO THE FUTURE<br />

Key Performance Indicators<br />

The Key Performance Indicators (KPIs) describe in a more concrete sense what can be achieved by<br />

stakeholders focussing on the knowledge priorities and aligning on a shared vision for the energy<br />

resources sector. They set a trajectory for transformation against which progress can be tracked and<br />

adjusted where needed.<br />

Work skills of the future<br />

With the construction phase generated by the energy resources boom largely complete, the focus now is<br />

to ensure sufficient breadth and depth of capability to support operating projects during their lifecycle,<br />

both for ongoing operations and maintenance, but also for shutdowns. Most plants will be scheduling<br />

maintenance shutdowns in the mid-term, which will put a strain on existing labour resources, drive up<br />

costs and potentially require overseas skills to be brought in.<br />

Table 4: Work skills of the future KPI target<br />

Knowledge priority Focus areas Initiatives<br />

Work skills<br />

for the future<br />

• Integrated operations of the future<br />

• Workforce capability<br />

• Project management skills<br />

• Identify future skills requirements<br />

• Identify and develop appropriate<br />

and accredited training to meet<br />

future skills needs<br />

• Ensure a future focussed training<br />

and education sector<br />

• Explore new opportunities to<br />

export knowledge<br />

KPI milestones Target Timing<br />

Improve<br />

management<br />

and work skills<br />

Improve<br />

efficiencies<br />

in workforce<br />

planning<br />

Map workforce skills and capacity in each sector cluster against<br />

project planning cycles.<br />

Develop and implement plans to ensure sufficient local skills<br />

are available to support the next phases of industry activity.<br />

Standardise training requirements to improve efficiencies in<br />

workforce utilisation by:<br />

1. Delivering a national safety induction framework; and<br />

2. Delivering standard role based competency matrices.<br />

By <strong>2017</strong><br />

By 2020<br />

By 2018<br />

By 2018<br />

The key initiatives <strong>NERA</strong> will support are aimed at improving efficiencies as well as upgrading workforce<br />

capabilities in the sector, with a pivot to higher skilled jobs.<br />

• Working with industry to map workforce capabilities/capacity in each sector hub against project<br />

planning cycles, and support the development of training facilities to ensure adequate local skills are<br />

available, with sufficient breadth and depth of skills to support the industry of the future.<br />

• Together with industry and education providers, invest in training and education relevant to the next<br />

major phase of industry activity – operations and maintenance, shutdowns.<br />

• Working with industry and education providers, to establish a national safety induction framework.<br />

• Work with industry and education providers, to develop standardised competences which are<br />

portable across the sector.<br />

40 National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong>


ROADMAP TO THE FUTURE<br />

Enabling effective collaboration<br />

Table 5: Enabling effective collaboration KPI target<br />

Knowledge priority Focus areas Initiatives<br />

Enabling<br />

effective<br />

collaboration<br />

• Cross company collaboration<br />

• Intergenerational and<br />

interdisciplinary engagement<br />

• Industry and applied research<br />

collaboration<br />

• Establish regional industry and<br />

innovation clusters<br />

• Asset and equipment sharing<br />

• Infrastructure sharing<br />

• Shut-down scheduling<br />

• Industry specific collaboration<br />

• Cross industry collaboration<br />

• Common facility inductions<br />

• Shared operational practices<br />

• Weather research and modelling<br />

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY<br />

KPI milestone Target Timing<br />

Increase cross<br />

company<br />

collaboration<br />

Develop at least [6] clusters in high technology areas. By 2026<br />

The key steps <strong>NERA</strong> will take to support increasing collaboration include:<br />

• Working with industry to develop new operations and maintenance, logistics and campaign models to<br />

improve efficiencies, reduce costs and improve productivity, including by sharing assets and equipment.<br />

• Encourage standardisation and simplification across the sector, focusing on the prequalification<br />

process, and work skill competences (see also work skills of the future KPI).<br />

• In collaboration with industry, develop regional industry and cluster strategies to maximise utilisation<br />

of infrastructure such as supply bases.<br />

• Promote collaboration between industry and research, including by supporting innovation clusters<br />

and providing funding for industry collaborative projects (see also commercialisation of research and<br />

development KPI).<br />

National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong><br />

41


ROADMAP TO THE FUTURE<br />

Understanding Australia’s resource base<br />

Table 6: Understanding Australia’s resource base KPI target<br />

Knowledge priority Focus areas Initiatives<br />

Understanding<br />

Australia’s<br />

resource base<br />

• Developing a greater<br />

understanding of prospective<br />

basin geology across the minerals<br />

and energy sectors<br />

• Industry data initiative<br />

• Share non-competitive data<br />

across sectors<br />

KPI milestone Target Timing<br />

Build knowledge<br />

and enhance<br />

access to<br />

information<br />

Improve energy resources sector access to robust<br />

sources of geophysical data and promote trusted<br />

custodians of information.<br />

Ongoing focus<br />

Deliver 2 key<br />

projects by 2018<br />

<strong>NERA</strong> will:<br />

• Take a lead role in promoting consolidation of geophysical data for under-developed basins.<br />

• Identify and support projects aimed at improving broader access to and sharing of geophysical data.<br />

Social licence to operate<br />

The sustainability of the sector requires engagement and support from the community to build a<br />

strong social licence to operate. Distrust, concern and unease of communities have been manifested<br />

in restrictions on developing onshore energy resources, which significantly inhibit exploration, future<br />

production and growth of the sector.<br />

Energy resources underpin the Australian economy, and a sustainable and energised industry is a<br />

fundamental part of Australia’s future. Constructive and respectful engagement on social, environmental<br />

and economic sector impacts is needed to address community concerns, whether by providing independent<br />

robust information or finding solutions to issues raised by stakeholders, and will, in parallel, deepen the<br />

energy literacy of the community and key stakeholders.<br />

Table 7: Social licence to operate KPI target<br />

Knowledge priority Focus areas Initiatives<br />

Social licence<br />

to operate<br />

• Social benefits<br />

• Infrastructure closure and<br />

rehabilitation<br />

• Water management<br />

• Tailings management<br />

• Community engagement and<br />

education<br />

• Research social, economic and<br />

environmental consequences<br />

of the activities of the energy<br />

resources sector<br />

• Energy literacy<br />

• Information stewardship<br />

KPI milestone Target Timing<br />

Strengthen<br />

engagement with<br />

communities<br />

Develop a communications strategy which engages with<br />

stakeholders outside the energy resources sector to articulate<br />

the social, economic and environmental benefits and challenges<br />

of the sector.<br />

Identify and apply solutions for water stewardship and tailings<br />

management including by applying new technologies.<br />

By 2026<br />

42 National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong>


ROADMAP TO THE FUTURE<br />

<strong>NERA</strong> will:<br />

• Support research and commercialisation of technologies which provide solutions to community<br />

concerns, including uptake of clean technologies in the energy resources sector.<br />

• Help articulate economic, social and environmental benefits of energy resources in Australia.<br />

• Promote independent trusted custodians of science, and engagement with the community in<br />

public debate.<br />

• Together with industry, government(s) and other stakeholders, work to develop a multi-faceted short<br />

to long term strategy to increase energy literacy and public engagement on energy choices and the<br />

transition pathway (secure, sustainable and affordable).<br />

• Work with industry and government(s) to promote appropriate regulation and transparency, and<br />

to support improvements in community and stakeholder engagement as well as the perception of<br />

the sector.<br />

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY<br />

Unlocking future resources<br />

Table 8: Unlocking future resources KPI target<br />

Knowledge priority Focus areas Initiatives<br />

Unlocking<br />

future resources<br />

• Integrated geological information<br />

• Cross industry collaboration<br />

• Maximising ageing assets<br />

• Environmental science<br />

collaboration<br />

• Work with technology suppliers<br />

to identify new ways to access<br />

resources<br />

• Computational geoscience<br />

• Unmanned aircraft systems<br />

geophysics<br />

KPI milestone Target Timing<br />

Unlock resources<br />

Add to the number of projects in the publicly announced and<br />

feasibility stages.<br />

By 2026<br />

<strong>NERA</strong> will:<br />

• Work with operators and other industry participants to develop collaborative solutions for sharing<br />

infrastructure and utilising ullage, including new operatorship models to allow third party access to<br />

infrastructure.<br />

• Build collaboration between the research and development sector and industry to promote and<br />

implement emerging technologies to mature new fields and marginal resources.<br />

• Support innovative methods of developing marginal and new resources through different business<br />

models, operating models and a contemporary culture and mindset.<br />

National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong><br />

43


ROADMAP TO THE FUTURE<br />

New markets, new technologies, new business models<br />

Australia is a net exporter of energy 10 , after becoming a net importer of petroleum and petroleum related<br />

products since 2004 10 . The next window of opportunity is to build from the platform of existing energy<br />

projects to develop new technologies, products and services for both domestic and export markets. Examples<br />

of these include hybrid energy solutions incorporating clean technologies, low emissions technologies and<br />

carbon capture and storage (CCS), as well as LNG for transport fuel, and remote operations technology.<br />

Table 9: Market growth KPI target<br />

Knowledge priority Focus areas Initiatives<br />

New markets,<br />

new technologies,<br />

new business<br />

models<br />

• Asian trade agreements<br />

• Develop international technology<br />

partnerships<br />

• Commercialisation of operational<br />

technological developments<br />

• Carbon capture and storage<br />

• Low emissions technologies<br />

• LNG as a fuel<br />

• Hybrid technologies<br />

• Adapting to the changing energy mix<br />

• Extend the network of small scale<br />

LNG facilities<br />

• Broader support for focused<br />

innovation<br />

KPI milestones Target Timing<br />

Improve commercialisation<br />

and<br />

acceptance of<br />

new technology<br />

Unlock value and accelerate commercialisation by identifying<br />

at least [25] new technology projects.<br />

2026<br />

<strong>NERA</strong> will:<br />

• Improve the commercialisation of new technology by encouraging cross-discipline engagement across<br />

multiple sectors, and supporting pilot plants and technology application opportunities.<br />

• Support industry and research institutions to unlock and commercialise value.<br />

44 National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong>


ROADMAP TO THE FUTURE<br />

Commercialisation of research and development<br />

Table 10: Commercialisation of research and development KPI target<br />

Knowledge priority Focus areas Initiatives<br />

Commercialisation<br />

of research and<br />

development<br />

• Living labs<br />

• Understanding and developing<br />

commercialisation pathways<br />

• Strengthen industry-led research<br />

stewardship<br />

• Enhance industry engagement<br />

with research institutions<br />

• Research and development<br />

funding models<br />

• Improve understanding of<br />

Intellectual Property<br />

• Support living labs and pilot plants<br />

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY<br />

KPI milestones Target Timing<br />

Improve research<br />

and development<br />

capability by<br />

identifying<br />

barriers and<br />

mapping gaps<br />

Improve research<br />

and development<br />

commercialisation<br />

Increased commercialisation<br />

outcomes<br />

Identify and map barriers and gaps in the energy resources<br />

sector commercialisation funnel.<br />

Respond to gaps by building alignment between research<br />

funding and emerging industry clusters in at least [2] key areas<br />

across oil and gas, coal seam gas, uranium and coal.<br />

Increase applied research and commercialisation:<br />

• by supporting research institutions commercialising research<br />

and development with targeted project funding; and<br />

• by supporting the number of intellectual property,<br />

trademarks and licences taken out for sector relevant<br />

technologies through commercialisation facilitation.<br />

Increase the number of companies claiming a research and<br />

development tax credit for sector relevant technologies by<br />

identifying and unlocking commercialisation barriers.<br />

By <strong>2017</strong><br />

By 2026<br />

Ongoing<br />

By 2026<br />

Ongoing<br />

by 2026<br />

<strong>NERA</strong> will:<br />

• Work with operators, service providers and research institutions to increase engagement and improve<br />

collaboration in applied research by supporting living labs.<br />

• Together with research institutions, work to increase the number of companies engaging with research<br />

and bridging the gap between industry and research for PhD students and other STEM graduates.<br />

• Support applied research maturation by developing a shared understanding of new technologies and<br />

building acceptance of new technology both within industry and with regulators.<br />

National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong><br />

45


ROADMAP TO THE FUTURE<br />

Efficient operations and maintenance<br />

Table 11: Efficient operations and maintenance KPI target<br />

Knowledge priority Focus areas Initiatives<br />

Efficient<br />

operations and<br />

maintenance<br />

• Operating models for remote<br />

operations<br />

• Data, digitisation and predictive<br />

analytics<br />

• Robotics, sensors and automation<br />

• Develop a greater understanding<br />

of decommissioning techniques<br />

• Explore ways to build the industry’s<br />

skill base in remote operations<br />

and facility life extension<br />

• Focussed research and early<br />

deployment of new technologies<br />

• Research into life extension of<br />

ageing facilities<br />

KPI milestone Target Timing<br />

Reduce costs<br />

and improve<br />

efficiencies<br />

Adapt new technologies to improve efficiencies and productivity<br />

in existing projects by [20%], including by developing at least [2]<br />

shared remote operating centres.<br />

By 2026<br />

The key steps <strong>NERA</strong> will take to support industry to build ‘future proof’ operating models and the<br />

industry’s skill base include:<br />

• Working with industry to support shared remote operating centres (ROCs) to bring together<br />

collaboration across different energy resources industries and researchers.<br />

• Promote use of data analytics to improve efficiencies in projects and support continuous<br />

improvement.<br />

• Support the commercialisation and application of new and emerging technologies such as advanced<br />

automation and 3D printing.<br />

• Support industry in developing data analytics capability for energy resources projects.<br />

46 National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong>


ROADMAP TO THE FUTURE<br />

Regulatory framework optimisation<br />

Table 12: Regulatory framework optimisation KPI target<br />

Knowledge priority Focus areas Initiatives<br />

Regulatory<br />

framework<br />

optimisation<br />

• Encouraging sensible regulatory<br />

frameworks to allow ongoing<br />

exploration<br />

• Harmonisation of standards<br />

• Review of self-imposed regulations<br />

• Industrial relations and workplace<br />

reform*<br />

• Resource management reform and<br />

review of the existing permitting<br />

systems<br />

• Adopt and harmonise<br />

international standards<br />

• Regulatory reform to support<br />

ongoing sector growth<br />

• Review of regulatory frameworks<br />

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY<br />

KPI milestones Target Timing<br />

Identify and<br />

map barriers<br />

Align Australia’s<br />

standards with<br />

international<br />

best practice<br />

Identify and map key areas where regulatory reform in the<br />

sector is needed, and support possible reforms.<br />

Deliver [2] projects on enhanced alignment of Australian<br />

Standards with international best practice.<br />

By 2018<br />

By 2018<br />

*Note: Industrial relations and industrial reform are not part of <strong>NERA</strong>’s scope.<br />

The key initiatives <strong>NERA</strong> will take to improve Australia’s regulatory regime include:<br />

• Working with government and industry stakeholders to identify areas where the regulatory regime can<br />

be streamlined and provide suggestions for possible reforms, moving to a performance based approach.<br />

• Harmonisation of international standards in Australia.<br />

UTILISATION OF KPIs<br />

These KPIs set a framework for stakeholders to build a transformed, sustainable and competitive<br />

energy resources sector. Some KPIs cover a 10-year period and set a stretch target, others address a<br />

more immediate horizon. Progress against the KPIs will be reviewed in the annual SCP reviews and the<br />

KPIs will be updated to ensure increasing alignment and traction on the knowledge priorities. The KPIs<br />

set a frame of reference to measure progress in identified areas but also to support activities on other<br />

initiatives identified in the knowledge priorities.<br />

The KPIs encompass multiple challenges and opportunities, and will inevitably change over the<br />

10-year horizon as challenges, information, knowledge and strategic outcomes evolve. However,<br />

through systematically addressing these issues, the energy resources sector will achieve an innovation<br />

driven, globally competitive edge together with a sustainable future.<br />

National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong><br />

47


48 National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong>


2<br />

GLOBAL AND<br />

NATIONAL<br />

CHALLENGES<br />

Section 2 provides a more detailed examination of the global and<br />

national megatrends and challenges facing the Australian energy<br />

resources sector. It examines the current status of each of the three<br />

industries represented in the sector, then introduces a series of industry<br />

competitiveness assessments and benchmarking reports commissioned<br />

by <strong>NERA</strong>. This benchmarking articulates the size of the prize for<br />

Australia of having an energy resources sector which is globally<br />

competitive, innovative, sustainable and diverse.<br />

The detail in this section has informed the knowledge priorities, focus<br />

areas and initiatives identified in the earlier road map section of this SCP.<br />

National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong><br />

49


Global Megatrends<br />

and Implications for<br />

Australia’s Energy<br />

Resources <strong>Sector</strong><br />

Globally, the energy resources sector is facing a number of megatrends.<br />

Individually, each of these trends present significant change and challenge<br />

to the sector but when combined, they result in operational and market<br />

disruption to which the sector must adapt.<br />

50 National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong>


GLOBAL MEGATRENDS AND IMPLICATIONS FOR AUSTRALIA’S ENERGY RESOURCE SECTOR<br />

Global Megatrends<br />

Urbanisation<br />

Technological<br />

evolution<br />

Asian<br />

century<br />

Changing<br />

energy mix<br />

Globalisation<br />

of business<br />

Changing<br />

demographics<br />

Low carbon<br />

future<br />

Search for energy<br />

security (emerging)<br />

Seven current and one emerging global megatrends are considered in this SCP. Individually, each of<br />

these megatrends pose challenges to and require action from the energy resources sector. Combined,<br />

these megatrends present an environment of disruption. Such disruption from these megatrends<br />

requires the energy resources sector to find new ways of working and to work together to innovate,<br />

as individually, the sector participants will not be able to create the ‘step change’ required to compete<br />

globally. The disruption poses many challenges, but offers multiple opportunities for the energy resources<br />

sector to maximise the value from previous industry investment, to adapt, and to build a competitive,<br />

resilient and sustainable future for the sector.<br />

GROWING POPULATION AND CHANGING<br />

GLOBAL DEMOGRAPHICS<br />

The 2015 United Nations (UN) report 11 estimates that the world’s population will reach 8.5 billion people by<br />

2030, 9.7 billion people by 2050 and exceed 11 billion people in 2100. India is expected to surpass China<br />

as the most populous nation (by around 2022), and Nigeria overtaking the United States to become the<br />

world’s third largest country (by around 2050). Moreover, the UN report estimates that during the 2015<br />

to 2050 period, half of the world’s population growth is expected to be concentrated in nine countries:<br />

India, Nigeria, Pakistan, Democratic Republic of the Congo, Ethiopia, Tanzania, the United States, Indonesia<br />

and Uganda. Clearly a growing and changing world population, particularly the massive growth of India<br />

and Nigeria, has significant implications for energy supply and for the energy resources sector.<br />

According to the same UN Report, as fertility declines and life expectancy rises globally, the proportion of<br />

the global population in or approaching retirement is also rising significantly. Currently, Europe has the<br />

greatest percentage of its population aged 60 or over (24 per cent), but rapid ageing is occurring in other<br />

parts of the world, so that by 2050, all major areas of the world except Africa will have nearly a quarter<br />

or more of their populations aged 60 or over.<br />

Coupled with the world’s ageing population is the rapid emergence of the Asian middle class. This growing<br />

demographic is forecast to represent approximately 66 per cent of the world’s middle class by 2030<br />

(growing from 2009 levels of 23 per cent) 12 . The new members of the Asian middle class are emerging as<br />

major consumers of goods and services, opening up large markets for both domestic goods and imported<br />

luxury items, many of which will require inputs from the energy resources sector for their manufacture,<br />

transport and use.<br />

GLOBAL AND NATIONAL CHALLENGES<br />

National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong><br />

51


GLOBAL MEGATRENDS AND IMPLICATIONS FOR AUSTRALIA’S ENERGY RESOURCE SECTOR<br />

URBANISATION<br />

In the developed world, the mass movement of rural populations to factories and urban environments largely<br />

took place at the time of the industrial revolution, and significant progress has been made in managing<br />

the associated pollution. In the developing world, populations are rapidly moving en-masse into cities as<br />

these developing nations undergo their own industrialisation processes. The UN has forecast that by 2050,<br />

approximately 60 per cent of the world’s population will live in urban environments compared to around<br />

54 per cent at present 13 . This mass migration is fuelling rapid expansions of the cities, with commensurate<br />

demands on energy for construction of new homes, for providing power to inhabitants and for powering<br />

industries which manufacture required goods. This is likely to be accompanied by a demand to accelerate<br />

learning from the experiences of the developed world and calls to adopt cleaner solutions more rapidly.<br />

Today, the most urbanised regions include Northern America (82 per cent living in urban areas in 2014),<br />

Latin America and the Caribbean (80 per cent), and Europe (73 per cent). In contrast, Africa and Asia remain<br />

mostly rural, with 40 per cent and 48 per cent of their respective populations living in urban areas. But all<br />

regions are expected to urbanise further over the coming decades. Africa and Asia are urbanising faster than<br />

the other regions and are projected to become 56 per cent and 64 per cent urbanised, respectively, by 2050.<br />

The rural population of the world has grown slowly since 1950 and will reach its peak in a few years.<br />

The global rural population is close to 3.4 billion people and is expected to decline to 3.2 billion people<br />

by 2050. Africa and Asia are home to nearly 90 per cent of the world’s rural population. India has the<br />

largest rural population (857 million people), followed by China (635 million people) 13 . Close to half of<br />

the world’s urban dwellers reside in relatively small settlements of less than 500,000 inhabitants, while<br />

only around one in eight live in the 31 mega-cities with more than 10 million inhabitants.<br />

Urban lifestyles result in changes to the way in which food and water is accessed, and has significant<br />

implications for the structure of energy markets and grids.<br />

The developed world will expect their energy to remain efficient, reliable and relatively low cost while<br />

increasingly demanding that the energy be produced from low carbon sources. In the developing world, the<br />

principal demand is gaining access to reliable energy, potentially in a bottom-up, localised and low carbon<br />

form, rather than the centralised networks seen in older, developed nations 14 . This is similar to the way the<br />

deployment of widespread access to mobile phones and the internet in these regions skipped much of the<br />

hardwired, expensive infrastructure that is a feature of a more evolutionary deployment in developed countries.<br />

TECHNOLOGICAL EVOLUTION<br />

Technological changes over the past decade are contributing to substantial changes in the ways in which<br />

societies access and consume energy and how businesses are able to optimise their production and distribution<br />

of energy. Among these developments is the ability for business to leverage data analytics to optimise their<br />

processes and production resulting from advances in data processing and storage and through what is<br />

known as the fourth industrial revolution 15, 16 . This revolution is making it possible for virtually any product<br />

to be customised to the exact needs of its purchaser, whether that be the ability to order a new car with a<br />

personally selected specification or to build an industrial product specifically tailored to the needs of the end<br />

user. The Internet of Things (IOT) increasingly enables household and industrial devices to be capable of being<br />

interconnected, networked and controlled to enable more efficient use and monitoring of energy consumption.<br />

Alongside the network and internet advances are technologies such as Unmanned Aerial Vehicles (UAV’s<br />

or drones) which are facilitating faster, safer activities with greater flexibility, such as inspections of facilities<br />

without the requirement to use scaffolding or other forms of access platforms; unmanned marine equipment<br />

which is similarly allowing more advanced activities without the requirement to deploy divers; 3D printing and<br />

rapid prototyping is facilitating the fabrication of complex physical shapes in fewer pieces, the fabrication of<br />

spares and components and providing the ability to build models more rapidly; Virtual Reality (VR) is being<br />

used to provide immersive training experiences for personnel, accelerating training, inductions and special<br />

modelling; the growing use of autonomous vehicles in mining operations, allows machinery such as haul trucks,<br />

locomotives, excavators and drilling equipment to be operated from central control buildings in major cities.<br />

These new and emerging technologies are transforming the way in which businesses operate and offer<br />

substantial opportunities for future development, supporting gains in safety and productivity.<br />

52 National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong>


GLOBAL MEGATRENDS AND IMPLICATIONS FOR AUSTRALIA’S ENERGY RESOURCE SECTOR<br />

LOW CARBON FUTURE<br />

Driven by the global recognition of the impacts of climate change and agreements made at the Paris<br />

COP21 meeting 17 , there is a drive towards low carbon emissions, alternative and renewable energy sources,<br />

and development of technologies to capture the carbon produced in conventional energy extraction and<br />

production. This movement to a low carbon future is happening at the international, national and local<br />

level. Globally, nations are reviewing their future energy policies and making adjustments to their energy<br />

mix, looking for efficiencies and economic viability of alternative energy sources. Countries are taking steps<br />

to reduce their carbon emissions either through alternative and renewable sources, or remediation such as<br />

various forms of carbon capture and sequestration. As an example, the European Union has adopted targets<br />

of 20 per cent of final energy from renewables, with Sweden aiming toward 49 per cent 18 .<br />

At the household level there is a substantial uptake in the installation of rooftop solar panel technology<br />

for domestic power generation. This has been fuelled by a combination of government incentives,<br />

changes in societal attitudes and reduction in the cost per kilowatt of such technology (resulting both<br />

from greater demand and technological advances). At the state energy generation level there has been<br />

heavy investment from local and international and local investors in wind generation, in addition to<br />

hydroelectric facilities, all of which generate electricity without the consumption of fossil fuels.<br />

These developments in the generation and consumption of energy are having large, far reaching impacts<br />

on planning and deployment of traditional power generation, and the fuels used to operate them.<br />

ASIAN CENTURY<br />

As the 21st century has progressed, the Chinese economy has increased its global dominance in demand for<br />

natural resources, including all forms of energy, and production of consumer goods and input materials. This has<br />

driven substantial changes in the global economic balance, with China now the second largest global economy<br />

and the dominant economy in the Asia Pacific region where Australia conducts much of its trade. India is<br />

rapidly emerging as the next major nation to move its economy forward. India’s domestic consumption<br />

levels, driven by its growing middle class, are projected to be the highest in the world by 2030 19 .<br />

The Chinese economy is increasingly taking large ownership interests in the sources of natural resources<br />

on which their economy depends, with significant investments in numerous projects in Australian and<br />

other jurisdictions. This trend is forecast to continue for the foreseeable future.<br />

India is predicted to be the next growth economy, with a forecast demand for energy to increase from<br />

775 million tonnes of oil equivalent (Mtoe) in 2013 to 1,908 Mtoe by 2040 20 . This demand is largely<br />

projected to be met through the use of coal (for which India is predicted to be the world’s largest<br />

importer by 2020 21 ), oil and gas and uranium.<br />

In recent years, there has been an increasing and substantial demand for energy from other nations in<br />

the region. This includes Indonesia which, while largely self-sufficient, imports some energy to meet its<br />

growing needs 22 , and the Philippines which imports around 50 per cent of its required energy 23 .<br />

GLOBAL AND NATIONAL CHALLENGES<br />

GLOBALISATION OF BUSINESS<br />

The globalisation of the world’s economy and businesses means it is becoming more common for<br />

ownership of industries to be held by international businesses. These businesses may only have a<br />

regional presence in the Australian marketplace, but a significant influence over Australia’s energy future.<br />

Globalisation covers resource energy companies, the engineering businesses which service, operate and<br />

maintain the projects and many equipment suppliers of all sizes on which they rely to provide technology<br />

and skills. This globalisation trend provides new opportunities for Australian organisations to export their<br />

skills and expertise to the global marketplace in ways previously not considered.<br />

At the same time, many areas of business are adopting more regionally focussed structures, reverting<br />

from their previous global approach. They are spinning off or launching local subsidiaries to exploit<br />

regional opportunities which are not always available to global organisations.<br />

National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong><br />

53


GLOBAL MEGATRENDS AND IMPLICATIONS FOR AUSTRALIA’S ENERGY RESOURCE SECTOR<br />

CHANGING ENERGY MIX<br />

Driven by the increasingly competitive pricing and reliability of alternative sources, the global energy<br />

market is accessing alternate forms of supply. Historically the world’s energy has been sourced almost<br />

exclusively from carbon based sources (coal and oil and gas, supplemented by nuclear), but now<br />

substantial portions of the world energy demands are being met through deployment of alternatives and<br />

renewables, including hydro-electric, wind and solar energy.<br />

As these alternative and renewable sources penetrate the market, they are putting traditional sources<br />

under increasing pressure. The established power distribution infrastructure networks in many developed<br />

nations are facing challenges in the transition to non-synchronous and distributed energy sources.<br />

The networks were originally designed to distribute power only outwards from large, central power<br />

generation sources to the broader communities and were able to rely on system inertia provided by large,<br />

baseload generation to operate safely and reliably.<br />

With solar and wind in particular being more localised and intermittent in nature, governments and<br />

operators of traditional power grids are being forced to reconsider their operation and viabilities. By 2030<br />

Australia is predicted to have up to 30 per cent of its electricity generation decentralised 24 .<br />

The existing networks are being further pressured by the emergence of local storage solutions such as<br />

domestic battery technology which is predicted to reach up to 2.4 million Australian homes 25 . When these<br />

localised energy sources are coupled with ‘smart’ domestic energy management software and localised<br />

power sharing through interconnected neighbourhoods, homeowners will increasingly be able to rely on<br />

their own ‘virtual power station’ to meet peak loads, points of time when their local, unconventional sources<br />

may not be able to generate sufficient capacity.<br />

An Emerging Megatrend –<br />

The Search for Energy Security<br />

Alongside the seven megatrends discussed earlier, an eighth emerging megatrend has been shaping the<br />

energy resources sector for the past few years. This emerging megatrend is the combination of moves<br />

towards a low carbon future and the changing energy mix, with the driver to provide secure, reliable<br />

and affordable energy. The search for energy security is beginning to be seen both domestically in the<br />

Australian energy resources marketplace and on the world stage.<br />

SEARCH FOR ENERGY SECURITY<br />

In recent months Australia experienced a number of substantial, state based energy events. These include<br />

the spike in power prices in South Australia during July 2016 triggered by the scheduled outage of the South<br />

Australia to Victoria Interconnector. The South Australian blackout of September 2016 was triggered by an<br />

extreme weather event that caused cascading stresses to the transmission grid servicing both renewable<br />

and thermal power generation, and resulted in a rapid reduction of power system frequency, causing<br />

a complete blackout for the State. Ongoing issues were experienced in Tasmania as a combined result<br />

of the outage of the Basslink connection and historically low dam levels following low rainfall in the<br />

summer of 2015, which reduced the State’s ability to generate sufficient hydroelectric power. The issues<br />

in Tasmania have resulted in the formation of the Tasmanian Energy Security Taskforce 26 and at the<br />

national level, the Finkel Review into the reliability and stability of the National Electricity Market 27 .<br />

Outside Australia, many developed nations who have been previously relatively energy self-sufficient,<br />

such the United Kingdom, are seeing the approaching end of their domestic energy resources and are<br />

responding by seeking secure supplies elsewhere, as well as developing a broader mix of domestic supply<br />

from renewables and an expanded use of nuclear energy 28 .<br />

Secure and reliable energy supplies are important for several reasons: first, to deliver the energy needed to<br />

support the lifestyle expectations of the population, and to power essential services such as hospitals and<br />

schools, homes and offices; secondly, to ensure a reliable and price stable supply of energy for businesses and<br />

industries, in order to create jobs and economic prosperity in a reliable and sustainable way. Without energy<br />

security and price stability, business may be reluctant to invest and households will be under pressure.<br />

54 National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong>


GLOBAL MEGATRENDS AND IMPLICATIONS FOR AUSTRALIA’S ENERGY RESOURCE SECTOR<br />

The Australian energy resources sector is well placed to supply much of the region’s energy security<br />

needs through the export of coal, uranium and gas, but domestically faces a number of state-based<br />

challenges that must be addressed for energy stability to be maintained. The interaction between<br />

renewable energy and thermal energy sources, and their impact on transmission systems, together<br />

with the interaction between energy policy and climate policy at a state and federal level need to be<br />

considered in a consistent framework, such as the ‘energy trilemma’. The energy trilemma 29 underpins<br />

the World Energy Council’s definition of energy sustainability, it has three counter-posing drivers of<br />

affordability, environmental sustainability and energy security. Australia ranks thirty-first between Japan<br />

and Romania on the energy trilemma index 30 , scoring a B for energy security and energy equity and a C<br />

for environmental sustainability of energy supply (the rankings are A to C with A being best in class).<br />

In some parts of Australia, the higher than expected uptake in renewables, coupled with retirement of<br />

thermal power generation has created stresses in the system, which have impacted on energy security,<br />

and increased the perception of investment risk.<br />

An Environment of Disruption<br />

These multiple trends, when considered together, give rise to a single overarching ‘megatrend’– an<br />

increasingly disrupted energy market. This megatrend is transformative, and defines the present and<br />

shapes the future by its significant impact on societies, economies, industries, and organisations. It is<br />

this convergence of global trends that is disrupting the global energy sector, providing both significant<br />

challenges for incumbents and substantial opportunities for those seeking to exploit new approaches.<br />

Although fossil fuels will be critical to meeting the world’s energy needs for years to come (80 per cent of<br />

the global energy mix is expected to be supplied by fossil fuels in 2035 31 ), renewables accounted for half<br />

of global new generating capacity in 2014, and are expected to represent more than 50 per cent of all<br />

capacity growth through 2040 32 . However, other estimates suggest that 60 per cent of the energy market<br />

will be taken up by renewable energy, leaving only 40 per cent of the market for the remaining industries.<br />

The changes in the generation, distribution and consumption of energy will have a profound impact on<br />

the domestic and international energy marketplaces in which the Australian energy resources sector<br />

operates. While the overall impact of these changes will become apparent over time, it is clear that the<br />

sector needs to be prepared to act now to remain competitive.<br />

Recent work by the Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation (CSIRO) 33 has<br />

identified the following trends within the Australian electricity marketplace that will be repeated in<br />

different forms on the global stage:<br />

• Increasing electricity costs.<br />

• Peak demand and consumption has reversed the upward trend seen before 2008/2009. There is now<br />

an oversupply of generation capacity.<br />

• Residential electricity costs are not well aligned with the costs of services.<br />

• The nation’s electricity supply has started to decarbonise.<br />

• Uncertainty still exists around the nation’s future carbon politics, and societal attitudes towards<br />

electricity system reliability and costs are shifting.<br />

GLOBAL AND NATIONAL CHALLENGES<br />

National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong><br />

55


GLOBAL MEGATRENDS AND IMPLICATIONS FOR AUSTRALIA’S ENERGY RESOURCE SECTOR<br />

Impact of Global Megatrends on Australia<br />

As a major supplier of the world’s conventional energy and, as a country with its own<br />

mature established energy networks, the Australian energy resources sector faces a<br />

number of major challenges to remain competitive in the increasingly complex modern<br />

energy marketplace.<br />

While global and regional demand for our energy resources remains strong, internal changes in each of<br />

the three industries and markets in the sector are placing additional complexity on what has, for a long<br />

time, been a relatively stable mix of energy demand.<br />

• Customer countries such as China are investing heavily in renewables and trying to reduce their<br />

emissions in reaction to growing public demand for a cleaner environment and, while their demand<br />

for Australian energy exports remains strong, it is likely that demand will plateau sooner and at a<br />

lower level to previous forecasts.<br />

• The growth of unconventional oil and gas production, typified by shale gas developments, have<br />

led the United States to become energy self-sufficient in recent years and potentially become a net<br />

exporter of hydrocarbons 31 , putting new sources of supply into the global marketplace. This market<br />

penetration is being assisted by the recent expansion of the Panama Canal, enabling easier shipping<br />

into the Asian market.<br />

• The growing demand in the domestic market for energy from alternative and renewable energy sources<br />

such as solar and wind are placing changing demands on domestic energy generation, distribution and<br />

consumption patterns. This demand is demonstrated by the uptake of domestic solar power generation<br />

with approximately 16.5 per cent of all Australian homes having installed the technology 32 .<br />

• Increasing demands by communities and stakeholders that the production of conventional and<br />

unconventional energy resources be undertaken and regulated in a highly transparent manner, with<br />

significant timeframes required for early and ongoing community and stakeholder engagement;<br />

combined with this are the challenges associated with communicating complex technical and science<br />

based management of the risks and impacts from energy resource activities.<br />

• Growing international activism against and divestment of fossil fuels.<br />

• After unprecedented recent investment in new facilities, particularly in the LNG and coal sectors,<br />

followed by a substantial drop in commodity prices, Australia’s domestic producers are facing<br />

challenging productivity and ramp up situations in bringing their new facilities on line and containing<br />

operations costs in the depressed marketplace.<br />

• Emerging energy storage methods such as advancing battery technology and the use of hydrogen are<br />

beginning to change the energy mix, reframing the landscape in ways that are yet to be fully determined.<br />

The Australian energy resources sector needs a comprehensive and cohesive energy policy that addresses:<br />

• How to maximise the value to Australia from the large investments in the energy export industries<br />

of oil and gas, coal and uranium over decades, and how it can transform to be globally competitive,<br />

innovative, sustainable and diverse in this rapidly changing marketplace;<br />

• How we can use this strong industrial base to help balance societal needs and build a more secure<br />

future for our society as a whole;<br />

• The opportunities to partner with and participate in the emerging clean technologies sector, and with<br />

alternative and renewable energy industries; and<br />

• How domestic demands for energy can be met in a manner that balances economic, social and<br />

environmental factors and delivers energy that is secure, reliable and affordable way.<br />

56 National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong>


GLOBAL MEGATRENDS AND IMPLICATIONS FOR AUSTRALIA’S ENERGY RESOURCE SECTOR<br />

Australia’s Response to <strong>Sector</strong> Trends<br />

Finding ways to exploit opportunities presented by disruptions will be vital to the future<br />

of the Australian energy resources sector.<br />

The Australian energy resources sector needs to adapt to market disruptions. It must be prepared to<br />

undergo both incremental and transformational improvements.<br />

Figure 5: Transformational versus incremental change<br />

Productivity<br />

Time<br />

Transformational change<br />

• Innovators<br />

• Early adopters<br />

• Risk aware<br />

• Forward looking practices and regulations<br />

• New skill sets<br />

• New markets<br />

Incremental change<br />

• Late adopters<br />

• Risk averse<br />

• Restrictive practicesand regulations<br />

• Traditional skill sets<br />

• Traditional market aspirations<br />

GLOBAL AND NATIONAL CHALLENGES<br />

Incremental change<br />

Incremental change has been the default mode for most industries in the energy resources sector as<br />

buoyant demand and stable commodity prices has led industries to become complacent.<br />

This phase is now past and, while incremental gains are still valuable and worth pursuing, organisations<br />

also need to look to transformational opportunities to see the biggest future gains.<br />

Incremental improvements include:<br />

• Leaner operations, as exemplified by the many operators already focusing on increasing asset utilisation.<br />

• Better management of high cost activities, particularly in the areas of new projects and other major<br />

capital investments.<br />

• An increasing movement by operators toward sharing infrastructure both at their facilities and in<br />

locations such as maintenance and supply bases.<br />

• Collaborative planning of labour and resource intensive planned maintenance and upgrade activities<br />

to avoid competition over labour and shop time.<br />

• Reviews of staffing levels, both at the facilities and in the various national head offices.<br />

• An increasing drive to improve productivity from new and existing assets.<br />

However, these incremental improvements alone will not be enough to keep pace with change.<br />

National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong><br />

57


GLOBAL MEGATRENDS AND IMPLICATIONS FOR AUSTRALIA’S ENERGY RESOURCE SECTOR<br />

Transformational change<br />

Transformational change is required for the sector to keep pace with the shifting energy paradigm and<br />

compete with global challenges.<br />

The sector must develop operating models that focus on new and innovative execution approaches to better<br />

leverage existing capacity. Increased automation is expected in future operations. As such, the energy resources<br />

sector needs to build on Australia’s highly regarded existing capabilities in, for example, remote operations and<br />

data analytics for process optimisation and decision making, to support operational and value chain optimisation.<br />

Increased Asian demand<br />

Opportunities exist for Australia to continue to act as a baseline energy source to meet the sustained and<br />

increasing demand from Asia.<br />

Development of alternate energy sources<br />

Australia also needs to expand its strengths in the development of alternative energy sources as it is well<br />

placed to assist developing nations meet their emissions reduction commitments by providing energy<br />

diversification and systems.<br />

Increase energy literacy<br />

A key action will be to increase ‘energy literacy’ of communities, governments, regulators, companies and<br />

other stakeholders.<br />

Exporter of clean technologies<br />

The disruption in the energy market presents opportunity and incentive for Australia to become an<br />

exporter of clean technologies to developing countries. Such technologies include low carbon emission<br />

technologies including HELE, hybrid power generation, battery storage and carbon capture and storage<br />

(where Australia’s geology provides a strong competitive advantage as demonstrated by projects such as<br />

the Gorgon development 34 which is considered the largest greenhouse gas mitigation project undertaken<br />

globally to inject into a dedicated geological storage formation).<br />

Being part of the development and adoption of these clean technologies is likely to help the sector win<br />

social licence, drive demand of our existing energy resource portfolio, and open up new markets such as<br />

gasification, production of hydrogen and efficiently utilising lower ranked coal deposits.<br />

In addition to participating in its development, Australian businesses and energy resource consumers<br />

need to become earlier adopters of these new technologies. Such adoption underwrites the development<br />

investment and demonstrates the technology’s viability to the broader global market.<br />

Ultimately, the establishment of innovative, integrated and networked resource solutions, with even<br />

broader potential disruption and upsides, will enable the Australian energy resources sector to respond to<br />

the increased disruption in the energy market into the future.<br />

An imperative to change<br />

Standing still is not an option. In the modern energy resources environment, continually exploring ways<br />

to change regulatory, business and operational models is required of all participants to simply remain<br />

competitive. As set out in this SCP, the Australian energy resources sector must find ways to:<br />

• Collaborate better in all ways, between peer organisations, vertically within value chains, across<br />

the traditional boundaries between industries and with research organisations where directed and<br />

undirected findings can help lift the productivity of the industry.<br />

• Address the regulatory burden that is restraining many areas of the energy resources sector from<br />

growing in the future while maintaining and enhancing community support for the industry.<br />

• Identify and explore new markets for energy resources sector products, for example, opportunities<br />

that fill marketplace needs or displace expensive import alternatives, such as expanding the use of<br />

LNG as a domestic source of energy.<br />

58 National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong>


GLOBAL MEGATRENDS AND IMPLICATIONS FOR AUSTRALIA’S ENERGY RESOURCE SECTOR<br />

GLOBAL AND NATIONAL CHALLENGES<br />

National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong><br />

59


Current State<br />

of the Energy<br />

Resources <strong>Sector</strong><br />

Australia ranks as one of the top three global exporters of liquefied natural<br />

gas, coal and uranium.<br />

The Australian energy resources sector involves the exploration, development<br />

and extraction of energy and fuels from oil, gas, coal and uranium, and<br />

related services. In Australia, it directly provides approximately 89,800 jobs<br />

with a Gross Value Add of $42 billion (2015/2016), (Note that the statistics<br />

quoted do not include related supply and services inputs). This value is<br />

expected to increase as the balance of the LNG facilities currently under<br />

construction comes online later this decade.<br />

The total value of Australia’s energy resources commodity exports was<br />

$60 billion in 2015/2016 1 . Forward forecasts of export earnings from<br />

energy resources are uncertain given current volatility in commodity prices;<br />

as at December 2016 the Office of the Chief Economist forecast that<br />

Australia’s energy exports will grow to $92 billion (in current Australian<br />

dollars) by 2016-17 1 . Australia’s energy resources exports in 2015/2016<br />

contributed more than a quarter of Australia’s merchandise export revenue,<br />

and around a fifth of Australia’s total export revenue 36 .<br />

60 National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong>


<strong>Sector</strong> Gross Value Add and Employment<br />

OIL AND GAS<br />

Gross Value Add *<br />

26.8 B<br />

Direct Employment **<br />

28,500 jobs<br />

THERMAL AND METALLURGICAL COAL MINING<br />

Gross Value Add *<br />

13.4 B<br />

Direct Employment **<br />

48,600 jobs<br />

GLOBAL AND NATIONAL CHALLENGES<br />

PETROLEUM AND COAL PRODUCT MANUFACTURING<br />

Gross Value Add *<br />

1.3 B<br />

Direct Employment **<br />

8,500 jobs<br />

URANIUM<br />

Gross Value Add *<br />

0.7 B<br />

Direct Employment **<br />

4,200 jobs35<br />

Notes<br />

* Gross Value Add in current prices, $AUD, 2015/2016 Source: ABS (2016) Australian System of National Accounts, Catalogue no. 5204 and 5206.<br />

** Four-quarter average to August 2016. This does not include employment through the value chain e.g. contractors/service/technology sector supporting energy resources. Source:<br />

ABS (2016) Australian Labour Market Statistics, cat. no. 6291<br />

National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong><br />

61


THE CURRENT STATE OF THE ENERGY RESOURCES SECTOR<br />

Current challenges and responses<br />

Currently, the sector is facing considerable challenges:<br />

Challenge<br />

A fall in commodity<br />

prices from the high<br />

levels experienced<br />

over the past decade<br />

and marketplace<br />

competition from new<br />

sources of supply.<br />

High capital and<br />

operating costs<br />

adversely impacting<br />

productivity and<br />

competitiveness.<br />

Increased<br />

community scrutiny<br />

and opposition<br />

to industry<br />

development.<br />

Response<br />

The sector has responded aggressively to falling commodity prices and<br />

high capital and operating costs by reducing workforce numbers and<br />

deferring discretionary expenditure (including reducing exploration,<br />

operating costs and research funding, and deferring capital investment).<br />

The current prolonged period of lower commodity prices, which many<br />

commentators believe will run for at least another 12 to 18 months,<br />

will likely result in further expenditure restraint. The most telling and<br />

concerning impact of reduced discretionary spending has been reduced<br />

exploration programs. If this continues, it will delay new greenfield/<br />

brownfield expansions and reduce the future supply of the vital energy<br />

resources required to fuel the Australian economy.<br />

The sector continues to actively address community opposition to new<br />

development. However, more needs to be done in this area. The building of<br />

community and stakeholder trust, and maintenance of a social licence, is a<br />

complex and multi-faceted challenge that requires collaboration and action<br />

by commonwealth, state and local governments, industry, and communities.<br />

The sector must help build national energy literacy, so that the wider<br />

community can more fully understand the need to have a broad, stable<br />

and reliable energy mix that is affordable, reliable, secure and sustainable,<br />

as well as the implications of not achieving such an energy mix.<br />

Dialogue between companies and the widening range of stakeholders will<br />

need to be more robust, sophisticated, collaborative and trust-based, in<br />

order to achieve a greater level of credibility, a stronger sense of legitimacy<br />

and, ultimately, community acceptance.<br />

Both the industry and the community require independent trusted sources<br />

with impartial information to inform the debate. The key considerations in<br />

the management of scientific data are:<br />

• How and by whom the data are interpreted for meaning and significance?<br />

• How the data are presented, and by whom?<br />

• How to decide enough data exists, and by whom?<br />

• How to make decisions, given that the data are always incomplete<br />

and imperfect?<br />

• How to gain community acceptance of risk-based decision making,<br />

and how to deal with incomplete imperfect data (or raise awareness<br />

that this is the normal societal modus operandi)?<br />

• The role of the commonwealth, state and local governments, and the<br />

interactions with industry and community.<br />

62 National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong>


THE CURRENT STATE OF THE ENERGY RESOURCES SECTOR<br />

A changing global<br />

energy market,<br />

developing viability<br />

of renewables, and<br />

an international<br />

commitment to<br />

reducing carbon<br />

emissions.<br />

The changing energy market will be increasingly disrupted. The industry needs<br />

to find ways to leverage on new technology and maximise the value to the<br />

sector. It needs to research how to convert raw materials into accessible energy<br />

in cleaner ways so that it can contribute to Australia and the world’s low<br />

emissions future, and build greater social acceptability for energy resources.<br />

At the same time, there is a growing level of complexity in the global and<br />

domestic energy market. Where once the world’s energy needs were largely<br />

met by conventional carbon-based, hydro-electric and nuclear power, there<br />

has been a rapid and significant deployment of photovoltaic and other solar<br />

energy, wind and hydro-electric, along with a diverse emerging range of<br />

other renewable energy sources, such as geothermal and wave energy.<br />

All of these newer sources are now competing with and interfacing with<br />

the traditional sources, making for a far more complex energy market.<br />

GLOBAL AND NATIONAL CHALLENGES<br />

National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong><br />

63


THE CURRENT STATE OF THE ENERGY RESOURCES SECTOR<br />

Current trends<br />

Pressure<br />

Australia’s<br />

depreciated dollar<br />

Export earnings<br />

Exploration<br />

expenditure<br />

1. Capital<br />

expenditure<br />

Impact<br />

While operating conditions remain difficult, the depreciation of the Australian<br />

dollar has benefited Australian exporters. The Australian Dollar (AUD) has<br />

depreciated against the United States Dollar (USD) over the past few years<br />

from levels over USD$1 to around USD$0.75, levels last experienced in 2010.<br />

Expectations are for the Australian dollar to remain around this level.<br />

In 2015/2016, export earnings in all resource and energy commodities are<br />

estimated to have declined by eight per cent year-on-year to $157 billion, in<br />

addition to the 12 per cent decline in the previous year. The 2015/2016 fall<br />

includes a 12 per cent decrease in iron ore; 10 per cent decline in metallurgical<br />

coal; and eight per cent decline in thermal coal export earnings 36 .<br />

Future forecasts for resources and energy export earnings, even for the<br />

current 2016/<strong>2017</strong> period, are uncertain in the current volatile global market<br />

and price conditions. Nevertheless, resources and energy export earnings<br />

are forecast to increase over the medium term, with a key factor being the<br />

expected increase in LNG export earnings. LNG export earnings are forecast<br />

to rise rapidly, underpinned by new LNG production capacity coming online.<br />

This includes recently commissioned plants in Queensland, the ramp up<br />

of production at the Gorgon project, and the completion of other projects<br />

currently under construction 1 .<br />

Private exploration expenditure in energy resources was reduced to half<br />

from 2014/2015 to 2015/2016, year-on-year. Deep cuts were evident across<br />

onshore and offshore petroleum exploration and coal exploration, as falling<br />

commodity prices disincentivise exploration 36, 37 . With most commodity prices<br />

forecast to remain low in the medium term, exploration expenditure appears<br />

unlikely to rebound within that timeframe.<br />

Capital expenditure for the mining sector was down 30 per cent year-on-year<br />

from 2014/2015 to 2015/2016, further to a 16 per cent decline the previous year.<br />

2. Employment Total resources industry employment dropped by 15 per cent or 40,000 jobs<br />

between 2013/2014 and 2014/2015 year-on-year, then remained at similar levels<br />

in 2015/2016 36 . The decline in employment is partly a result of the transition<br />

from the investment phase of the commodity boom to the production phase.<br />

However, in the wake of falling prices and low profitability, industry has also been<br />

consolidating and reducing expenditure on service providers, which has led to a<br />

fall in the workforce. Employment is not expected to rebound in the short-term,<br />

as a fall in construction labour due to reductions in capital expenditure will<br />

offset any increases in employment associated with growing production.<br />

Australia is still ranked very competitively as an investment location by the Fraser Institute. Their 2015<br />

study 38 , released in 2016, which looked at the broad mining industry, including minerals and coal, ranked<br />

Western Australia as the top jurisdiction for mining investment in the world. In the survey, which polled<br />

449 companies, the Northern Territory ranked seventh, South Australia tenth and Queensland sixteenth.<br />

However, while Australia’s ranking remained high, the research did find that policy attractiveness dropped<br />

in a number of states, due to shifting regulatory requirements, labour regulation, uncertainty of disputed<br />

land claims and trade barriers.<br />

64 National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong>


THE CURRENT STATE OF THE ENERGY RESOURCES SECTOR<br />

Australian Oil and Gas Industry<br />

Following the rapid expansion phase of the past 10 years, the Australian oil and gas<br />

industry is poised to become the world’s largest LNG exporter by the end of this decade,<br />

with 21 LNG trains in operation.<br />

The Australian upstream oil and gas industry is made up of distinct offshore and onshore segments.<br />

The offshore fields are located off Western Australia, the Northern Territory and in the Victorian Bass<br />

Strait. Onshore operations are more widely distributed, with conventional operations in Western Australia,<br />

the Northern Territory, South Australia and Queensland, and unconventional production concentrated in<br />

Queensland’s coal seam gas fields and the smaller shale resources in South Australia.<br />

In the mid-stream segment, the extensive gas pipeline network in eastern Australia connects Queensland,<br />

New South Wales, Victoria and South Australia, mostly operated by the APA Group. Both Western<br />

Australia and the Northern Territory have their own gas distribution networks, with plans under<br />

development to connect the Northern Territory network to that of the eastern states at Mount Isa.<br />

Oil, condensate and Liquefied Petroleum Gas (LPG)<br />

Australia’s production of oil, condensate and LPG - which are flammable mixtures of hydrocarbon gases<br />

used as fuel in heating appliances, cooking equipment, and vehicles - has been trending down since its<br />

peak in 2000, while production of natural gas has more than doubled since 1998 39 . Australia is a net<br />

importer of crude oil and oil products, with the share of imports continuing to trend upwards. Historically<br />

Australia had a surplus in the trade of oil and gas until 2003/2004 but has been a net importer since<br />

then 39 . In 2015/2016, Australia had approximately $24 billion imports of crude oil and refined products<br />

against exports of $8 billion of equivalent products 36 . While the increase in the volume of LNG exports<br />

from the new LNG plants commencing production will offset the overall oil and gas trade imbalance, the<br />

nation’s dependency on imported oil products will remain for the foreseeable future.<br />

GLOBAL AND NATIONAL CHALLENGES<br />

Figure 6: Australia’s oil fields and basins<br />

National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong><br />

65


THE CURRENT STATE OF THE ENERGY RESOURCES SECTOR<br />

Gas and Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG)<br />

Australian gas production is forecast to increase from 81 billion cubic metres in 2015-16 to 128 billion<br />

cubic metres in <strong>2017</strong>-18, an increase of 58 per cent. Conventional gas production is forecast to provide<br />

91 billion cubic metres or 70 per cent of the <strong>2017</strong>-18 total, with coal seam gas expected to provide 30<br />

per cent of total Australian gas production by <strong>2017</strong>-18 1 .<br />

Around half of Australia’s gas production is now produced for export. This share will increase as further<br />

LNG export capacity comes on line and ramps up over the next two years 1,10 .<br />

Figure 7: Australia’s gas industry, excluding shale gas<br />

66 National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong>


THE CURRENT STATE OF THE ENERGY RESOURCES SECTOR<br />

Australia’s LNG industry is clustered in three areas – Karratha and Onslow in Western Australia’s Pilbara<br />

region, Darwin in the Northern Territory and at Gladstone in Queensland. Over half of Australia’s LNG<br />

export capacity (both existing capacity and capacity under construction) - around 49 million tonnes per<br />

annum - is located in Western Australia. Queensland comes next with about 25 million tonnes per annum<br />

of nameplate capacity, followed by the Northern Territory.<br />

Australia has significant shale gas potential, according to contingent and prospective resources estimates<br />

from Geoscience Australia 40 , Gas production from shale gas resources started in the Cooper Basin in 2012.<br />

Figure 8: Australia’s prospective natural and unconventional gas resources<br />

GLOBAL AND NATIONAL CHALLENGES<br />

National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong><br />

67


THE CURRENT STATE OF THE ENERGY RESOURCES SECTOR<br />

Oil and gas industry forecasts<br />

Australia is ranked eleventh in the world with proven gas reserves, and has significant petroleum<br />

resources and potential and undiscovered resources. The long-term growth in the Australian oil and gas<br />

industry depends on the level of exploration, but the recent decline in profitability, low commodity prices<br />

and rising cost of exploration have resulted in a reduction in the number of exploration wells drilled.<br />

Oil, LNG and condensate exports<br />

Forward forecasts of export earnings from oil products and LNG are uncertain given current volatility in<br />

global oil prices. As at December 2016, the Office of the Chief Economist expected the value of Australia’s<br />

exports of crude oil and condensates to be $6.2 billion in 2016/<strong>2017</strong>, increasing to $8.7 billion in<br />

<strong>2017</strong>/2018. For LNG, prices are expected to rise from around AUD$7 per gigajoule (GJ) in 2016/<strong>2017</strong><br />

to around AUD$8 per GJ in <strong>2017</strong>/2018. The pricing of LNG exports tends to be linked to the oil price,<br />

with a complex structure of time lags and caps to adjust the price payable for gas. Rising LNG prices<br />

and volumes are expected to lead to LNG export earnings increasing from $23.7 billion in 2016/<strong>2017</strong> to<br />

$37 billion in <strong>2017</strong>/2018 1 .<br />

New Australian liquefaction capacity will support global LNG market growth, with major sources of<br />

supply from Queensland Curtis LNG (QCLNG), Australia Pacific LNG (APLNG), Gladstone LNG (GLNG),<br />

Gorgon, Ichthys, Wheatstone and Prelude. Australian gas production and exports will grow, but sustained<br />

contract and spot price weakness will temper export values.<br />

Contribution to the Australian economy<br />

By 2020, the sector’s contribution to the national economy is expected to more than double to $65 billion,<br />

and tax paid by the sector will rise from $8.8 billion in 2012 to $13 billion 39 . The anticipated increase in<br />

natural gas exports over the next decade is driving the forecast of strong growth in the sector. It is estimated<br />

that by 2030, when production and prices are expected to stabilise, the oil and gas contribution to the<br />

Australian economy will be 2.6 per cent. After accounting for interlinkages with the rest of economy, the<br />

sector is projected to be around 3.5 per cent of national output.<br />

Figure 9: Historic pricing of Brent Crude<br />

140<br />

120<br />

100<br />

80<br />

60<br />

40<br />

20<br />

0<br />

1986 1996 2006 2016<br />

Data source – www.indexmundi.com<br />

68 National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong>


THE CURRENT STATE OF THE ENERGY RESOURCES SECTOR<br />

Global factors<br />

Australia is set to overtake Qatar as the world’s largest LNG exporter, with the combined nameplate<br />

capacity of Australian projects expected to reach 87 million tonnes per annum once the remaining LNG<br />

projects under construction are completed. Most of these volumes are destined for the North-East Asian<br />

gas markets of Japan, Korea and China.<br />

The industry has significant global participation, with all the supermajors (Exxon, Shell, Chevron and BP) as<br />

well as six global majors being key industry investors. Australia hosts almost all major global industry service<br />

providers in every service segment including oilfield service companies (e.g. Halliburton, Schlumberger, Aker),<br />

EPC contractors (e.g. Fluor, KBR, Technip) and equipment manufacturers (e.g. GE Oil and Gas, Enerflex).<br />

However, profit margins for projects are likely to come under strain over the next few years due to:<br />

• Low oil prices relative to a few years ago, which are linked to LNG contract prices in the Asia-Pacific<br />

market; and<br />

• Supply additions, concentrated in Australia and the United States, that are likely to outstrip growth in<br />

demand.<br />

As a consequence, operators of Australian projects are expected to restrain capital expenditure and<br />

focus heavily on reducing operational costs for some time, with a view to improving operational margins.<br />

This is expected to include a very heavy focus on effective decision making and data analytics to support<br />

operational and value chain optimisation. However, the need to prepare for the next phase of supply to<br />

facilities cannot be overlooked. Operators will need to continue to explore and bring on new sources<br />

of supply to maintain production, but, will endeavour to do so at the lowest investment cost possible<br />

to achieve their objectives. These cost pressures are anticipated to drive the operators and their service<br />

providers to pursue improved productivity and innovative ideas.<br />

GLOBAL AND NATIONAL CHALLENGES<br />

National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong><br />

69


THE CURRENT STATE OF THE ENERGY RESOURCES SECTOR<br />

Australian Coal Industry<br />

The coal industry has a long-established presence and history in Australia, as one of the<br />

industries that helped build the nation.<br />

With 37 billion tonnes in black coal reserves, and about 375 million tonnes in annual exports (metallurgical<br />

and thermal coal), the Australian coal industry is the country’s second largest source of export revenue.<br />

Australia has nine per cent of the world’s recoverable black coal and 22 per cent of the world’s brown coal.<br />

Globally Australia is ranked fourth behind the United States, Russia and China in recoverable resources 41 .<br />

The Bowen Basin in Queensland and the Sydney Basin in New South Wales dominate coal production and<br />

contain 60 per cent of Australia’s recoverable black coal. Significant black coal resources are also found in<br />

the Surat, Clarence-Moreton and Galilee basins in Queensland and Gunnedah Basin in New South Wales.<br />

At 2015 rates of production, Australia’s black coal resources will support more than 110 years’ production 42 .<br />

The vast majority of the industry’s operational mines are in eastern New South Wales and central<br />

Queensland, which together account for nearly 98 per cent of annual black coal production. These mining<br />

operations are concentrated in the Sydney-Gunnedah Basin in New South Wales and the Bowen Basin in<br />

Queensland, with 80 per cent of production from open-cut mines. Most production in Queensland is of<br />

metallurgical coal 43 , whilst New South Wales production is predominantly thermal coal 44 . Additionally,<br />

there are over 20 new coal mines under consideration in Queensland alone 45 .<br />

Coal is exported primarily through terminals at Newcastle in New South Wales, and in Queensland<br />

through Hay Point, Gladstone and Abbot Point, together accounting for some 94 per cent of overall coal<br />

exports. Around 70 per cent of all Australian coal exports go to the Northeast Asian markets of Japan,<br />

China and Korea, with Taiwan and India the next two largest destinations by volume.<br />

Australia has approximately 24 per cent of the world’s recoverable brown coal, and is ranked second<br />

behind Russia in terms of brown coal reserves. All of Australia’s brown coal is located in Victoria<br />

with approximately 93 per cent in the Latrobe Valley. Significant tonnages of other lower rank coals<br />

(Subbituminous) exist in South Australia, Western Australia and New South Wales. This coal is largely<br />

undeveloped. Brown coal is mined and exclusively used for electricity generation and at current rates,<br />

reserves will support 1,000 years’ production 46 .<br />

70 National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong>


THE CURRENT STATE OF THE ENERGY RESOURCES SECTOR<br />

Figure 10: Australia’s coal basins and ports<br />

GLOBAL AND NATIONAL CHALLENGES<br />

As well as being a key export product, coal is also the mainstay of Australia’s domestic power generation,<br />

accounting for over 60 per cent of power generated across the country and for as much as 80 per cent of<br />

power generated in New South Wales and Victoria 10 .<br />

Analysis from the Queensland Resources Council and Wood Mackenzie in late 2015 47 indicated that over<br />

30 per cent of coal mines were running at a loss and not covering costs.<br />

As a result, coal producers have made substantial reductions to operating expenses and corporate overheads<br />

and are continuing to pursue savings within their operations 56 . However, a large proportion of coal producers’<br />

costs are ex mine with rail, port, energy and water supply costs essentially fixed as take or pay. Losses would<br />

typically need to be greater than the take or pay commitments before a producer will opt to close a mine<br />

and incur the full liability for contract commitments and other associated costs such as rehabilitation.<br />

Coal exploration expenditure in Australia has steadily declined from levels at around $200 million a<br />

quarter in 2012 to under $40 million a quarter through most of 2016 1 .<br />

On the international stage, coal producers have been under extreme financial pressure. Companies such<br />

as Peabody, Glencore and Anglo American are restructuring coal operations. Large United States producers<br />

have filed for Chapter 11 Bankruptcy including Alpha Natural Resources (the largest metallurgical coal<br />

producer in the United States), Arch Coal, Patriot Coal, and Walter Energy. It should be noted that most have<br />

now restructured and continue to operate.<br />

In Australia, Rio Tinto, Anglo American and others are reweighing their coal portfolios.<br />

In addition to the financial pressures faced by coal producers, activist shareholders are applying growing<br />

and conflicting pressures by simultaneously demanding greater immediate returns on their investments in a<br />

traditionally long-term industry and also divesting investments in industries such as fossil fuels, particularly coal.<br />

National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong><br />

71


THE CURRENT STATE OF THE ENERGY RESOURCES SECTOR<br />

Global factors<br />

With around 54 per cent of international traded volumes, Australia is the leading supplier in the seaborne<br />

metallurgical coal trade. Australia also holds a competitive position in the thermal coal market,<br />

supplying approximately 24 per cent of the global trade in thermal coal 1 .<br />

As a consequence of Asia’s rapid industrialisation, demand for high quality Australian coal is expected to<br />

continue to grow, with Australia anticipated to overtake Indonesia as the world’s largest coal exporter on<br />

a tonnage basis, by <strong>2017</strong>.<br />

However, growing concern with climate change and commitments made by large coal consumers such<br />

as China and India to reduce carbon dioxide emissions at the COP21 summit in Paris, 2015, could<br />

potentially slow the growth of Australian thermal coal exports to these countries.<br />

The other key issue is the volatility of the international energy sector which has the ability to change<br />

the supply/demand profile and price in a very short space of time. This was evidenced with the Chinese<br />

Government decree to limit coal production to five day operations earlier in 2016. This had a major<br />

positive impact on export price.<br />

Figure 11: Historic thermal coal prices<br />

200<br />

150<br />

100<br />

50<br />

0<br />

1986 1996 2006 2016<br />

Data source – www.indexmundi.com<br />

Coal industry forecasts<br />

Metallurgical coal<br />

After remaining steady through 2014, metallurgical spot prices declined significantly in the first half of<br />

2015. After further declines in spot prices in the first half of 2016, spot metallurgical coal prices rallied<br />

to five year highs by December 2016, reaching USD$311 a tonne. The boost in prices were mainly driven<br />

by restrictive domestic supply-side policies implemented by the Chinese Government on China’s coal and<br />

steel industries. Cuts in capacity led to increased import demand which put upward pressure on prices 1 .<br />

Sustained low prices encouraged several companies to announce plans to close capacity or reduce output<br />

(in North America and Australia). The profitability challenge is highlighted by the example of the sale of<br />

Isaac Plains coking coal mine in Bowen Basin for $1 (down from a 50 per cent value in 2012 of $430<br />

million). Australian production of metallurgical coal has been affected by low commodity prices, with<br />

Glencore, Peabody announcing reductions in output. However, given the latest spike in metallurgical coal<br />

prices, some companies have announced the reopening/restart of mines both in Australia and elsewhere,<br />

including Glencore’s Integra mine in New South Wales, and Grand Cache Coal’s, Grand Cache mine in<br />

Alberta, Canada 1 .<br />

In 2016/<strong>2017</strong> metallurgical coal exports are forecast to increase 1.7 per cent to 191 million tonnes,<br />

compared to 2015/2016. Export earnings in 2016/<strong>2017</strong> are forecast to nearly double relative to<br />

2015/2016, at AUD$40 billion 1 .<br />

In <strong>2017</strong>/2018, Australia’s metallurgical coal exports are forecast to stay similar to 2015/2016, at 191<br />

million tonnes. However, export earnings are forecast to decline 33 per cent to AUD$27 billion, as prices<br />

decline from highs seen in late 2016 1 .<br />

72 National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong>


THE CURRENT STATE OF THE ENERGY RESOURCES SECTOR<br />

Thermal coal<br />

Prior to the second half of 2016, thermal coal prices reached nearly 10 year lows. However, by mid-November<br />

2016, thermal coal prices rallied to more than four-year highs of USD$110 a tonne. The main driver for this<br />

price rally was Government mandated capacity cuts in China. These capacity cuts are believed to have led to<br />

a shortage in supply in China, putting upward pressure on prices and increasing import demand 1 .<br />

Australia’s thermal coal production in 2015/2016 was similar to 2014/2015 levels at 251 million tonnes.<br />

Thermal coal production is forecast to increase slightly to 252 million tonnes, in <strong>2017</strong>/2018. Export volumes<br />

declined by two per cent to 200 million tonnes in 2015/16. Earnings from thermal coal exports declined by<br />

eight per cent to $14.7 billion due to lower prices. In 2016/<strong>2017</strong> export volumes are forecast to increase<br />

3.6 per cent to 308 million tonnes, with export earnings forecast to increase 25 per cent to $18.4 billion.<br />

The forecast slight increase in export volumes in 2016-17 is largely driven by increased demand from<br />

China in the latter half of 2016, brought on by a warm summer and Government instigated capacity cuts,<br />

similar to those imposed on metallurgical coal. These increased Chinese demand factors from mid 2016<br />

also explain the significantly higher thermal coal prices forecast for 2016-17 1 . After peaking at about<br />

USD$108 per tonne in October 2016, the spot price has now settled at around USD$90 per tonne. This is<br />

up from a low of about USD$45 per tonne in late 2015.<br />

The most recent International Energy Agency (IEA) World Energy Outlook 49 notes that global coal demand<br />

declined in 2015 for the first time since the late 1990s, but in its central scenario the IEA projects that world<br />

demand for thermal coal for power generation will remain fairly flat over the next two decades. By 2040 the<br />

IEA expects increased coal demand for power generation in Southeast Asia and India to be offset by declining<br />

coal demand in China, the US and the EU. Despite the projected flat global consumption of thermal coal, an<br />

11 per cent increase in electricity output from coal-fired power generation is projected, reflecting increased fuel<br />

efficiency particularly from supercritical and ultrasupercritical power plant technologies. These efficiencies, along<br />

with an assumed modest start to carbon capture and storage, help keep projected greenhouse gas emissions<br />

from world coal fired power generation in 2040 close to today’s levels. The IEA projects that Australia’s<br />

coal production (thermal and metallurgical) will increase by around 14 per cent between 2014 and 2040.<br />

GLOBAL AND NATIONAL CHALLENGES<br />

Brown coal<br />

In 2015 the Angelsea brown coal-fired power station on Victoria’s south coast closed, leaving the Low Yang,<br />

Yallourn and Hazelwood power stations operating in the Latrobe Valley. Hazelwood is also scheduled to<br />

close in March <strong>2017</strong> 42 . In the near term the use of brown coal in Australia is expected to fall.<br />

Medium to long term scenarios for utilisation of Victoria’s brown coal resources will depend on the extent<br />

of availability of cost-effective technologies to cut greenhouse gas emissions from brown coal-fired<br />

electricity generation, notably through carbon capture and storage, and to potentially produce alternate<br />

fuels from brown coal such as dimethyl ether (DME) or hydrogen 50 .<br />

National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong><br />

73


THE CURRENT STATE OF THE ENERGY RESOURCES SECTOR<br />

Australian Uranium Industry<br />

Australia is the world’s third largest supplier of uranium after Kazakhstan and Canada,<br />

and holds the largest proportion (around 30 per cent) of the global reasonably assured<br />

resources of uranium.<br />

While known deposits are spread across the majority of mainland Australia, around 80 per cent of<br />

Australia’s known uranium resources are found in South Australia.<br />

Australia has approximately 30 per cent of the world’s Reasonably Assured Resources of uranium and<br />

produces 11 per cent of global supply. Market prices have been steadily declining since 2011, with<br />

spot prices now well below the level required to encourage investment in new mines. Companies have<br />

delayed uranium projects that are uneconomic in the current climate. Production increased solidly in<br />

2015/2016 as Olympic Dam and ERA Ranger facilities returned to full operation after supply disruptions<br />

the previous year. Export earnings in 2015/2016 were $959 million 1 .<br />

The three producing mines are located at: Ranger in the Northern Territory which commenced operations<br />

in 1981, producing 1,500 tonnes annually which ceased underground mining due to poor economics<br />

but continues to process long term stockpiles through to 2021 when processing must cease after which<br />

the facility is to be decommissioned and revegetated by 2026; Olympic Dam in South Australia which<br />

commenced operations in 1988, producing 4,300 tonnes annually and is the largest uranium resource<br />

globally (note however, uranium is mined alongside copper, gold and silver operations); and Beverley/Four<br />

Mile in South Australia which commenced operations in 2000, producing 800 tonnes annually. A further<br />

mine, Honeymoon in South Australia was placed into care and maintenance in 2013.<br />

Figure 12: Australia’s uranium deposits and mines<br />

74 National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong>


THE CURRENT STATE OF THE ENERGY RESOURCES SECTOR<br />

Notwithstanding the recent downturn in uranium demand, a number of potential mines in Western<br />

Australia have progressed though the necessary environmental approvals processes. Four new mines<br />

have now received State environmental approval. Two of these, Cameco’s Yeelirrie project and Toro’s<br />

Wiluna project extension which is centred on the Millipede and Lake Way deposits, are shallow calcrete<br />

hosted uranium deposits which will have low mining costs and will bring new extraction technologies to<br />

Australia. Currently Namibia is home to the only similar mine in the world. The other two are Cameco’s<br />

Kintyre project, which is a narrow pitchblende vein deposit and Vimy Resources Mulga Rock project,<br />

which consists of four poly-metallic deposits with commercial grades of contained uranium hosted in<br />

carbonaceous material. Both the Mulga Rocks and Yeelirrie projects have been recommended by the<br />

Western Australian Government for Commonwealth approval following EPA assessment.<br />

Uranium industry forecasts<br />

World growth in uranium demand<br />

Australia is well positioned to benefit from the growth in uranium demand as the World Energy Outlook<br />

predicts around 80 per cent growth in nuclear power by 2040 49 . Between the start of 2015 and late<br />

2016, 19 new nuclear reactors commenced operation (two thirds of them in China), and construction<br />

started on nine new reactors in the same period. Currently, some 64 GW of new nuclear capacity is under<br />

construction, principally in China (one third) but also in Russia, the United Arab Emirates, the United<br />

States, Korea, the European union and India 57 . There was also a tentative restart to the Japanese nuclear<br />

power industry in 2015 to offset the country’s high reliance on fossil fuels. In 2015, two reactors were<br />

restarted and a third in 2016. There are a further 23 reactors with applications awaiting approval to<br />

restart. The process has been slow due to political and legal decisions and effects of public opinion.<br />

Over the next two years, up to a further six reactors are expected to restart.<br />

Globally in 2016 there are over 60 reactors under construction in 15 countries including two in Japan 51 .<br />

China is expected to expand its strategic uranium reserve as part of its five-year plan, and currently has<br />

36 reactors with 20 under construction.<br />

GLOBAL AND NATIONAL CHALLENGES<br />

Innovation areas<br />

Key areas to bring innovation into the uranium industry are an improved understanding of in-situ<br />

recovery; improved understanding of the saline groundwater environment; and improved processing<br />

technology to increase recovery from calcrete hosted deposits.<br />

Exploration<br />

Exploration for new uranium deposits has slowed over the past four years but there is much unexplored<br />

potential in Australia. The focus for improved methods of exploration undertaken by Geoscience Australia,<br />

the Governments of South Australia and Western Australia and the Deep Exploration Technologies CRC 52<br />

should soon deliver measurable cost benefits for exploration in uranium prospective greenfields areas.<br />

Storage and disposal of used nuclear fuel<br />

The findings of the South Australian Nuclear Fuel Cycle Royal Commission 53 identified that an expansion<br />

of uranium mining has the potential to be economically beneficial, but the most significant opportunity is<br />

storage and disposal of used nuclear fuel. In its response on the Royal Commission’s recommendations 54 ,<br />

the South Australian Government supports the recommendations to grow the mining sector through<br />

investment and streamlining of approvals, as well as ensuring responsibility for remediation. However,<br />

the South Australian Government considers that more investigation needs to be undertaken on the<br />

establishment of a used nuclear fuel and intermediate level waste storage and disposal facility.<br />

This is likely to deliver substantial economic benefits to the South Australian community. However, the<br />

consideration of similar storage and disposal of high level nuclear material may meet with community<br />

resistance as demonstrated by the findings of the Citizen’s Jury on Nuclear Waste 55 .<br />

In a separate process, the Australian Government has committed to the establishment of a National<br />

Radioactive Waste Management facility. The National Radioactive Waste Management Act 2012 only<br />

provides for an Australian facility to be established exclusively for disposal of Australia’s low-level<br />

radioactive waste and interim storage of our own limited holdings of intermediate level waste.<br />

National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong><br />

75


THE CURRENT STATE OF THE ENERGY RESOURCES SECTOR<br />

Legislation and approvals process<br />

The South Australian community has longstanding experience with mining, including uranium mining.<br />

Uranium industry participants are well aware of the importance of community consent to maintaining<br />

current operations, and the significance of broader support to any new proposal. No additional measures<br />

to further regulate community consent or community engagement with respect to new uranium mining<br />

projects appear required.<br />

The current Western Australian Government has worked with the South Australian Government to ensure<br />

the necessary legislation and approvals processes and learnings are in place to safely manage a new<br />

uranium industry development in that State.<br />

Prices<br />

Prices as indicated in Figure 13 held up better than other commodities in 2015, but slumped to historic lows of<br />

USD$18.75 per pound in October 2016, well short of high prices established in 2007 (USD$138 per pound).<br />

Global factors<br />

All Australian uranium production is currently exported, under stringent safeguards agreements, to<br />

a range of countries with the United States as the largest single destination. Recently the Australian<br />

government has concluded new nuclear cooperation agreements with the UAE, Ukraine and India,<br />

providing new market opportunities for Australian producers.<br />

Other large destination countries have traditionally included Japan and South Korea, where demand has<br />

significantly declined following the Fukushima Daiichi incident in 2011, when nuclear plants were placed<br />

in long- term shut down whilst safety reviews were undertaken to determine whether plants are to be<br />

put back into service or permanently shut down.<br />

The nuclear shut down in Japan, and moves to reduce nuclear power generation in other countries such<br />

as Germany, has resulted in a global over-supply which placed downward pressure on uranium prices.<br />

Nevertheless, demand for Australian uranium is expected to increase with significant nuclear power<br />

growth anticipated in China, India, Russia and the United Kingdom over the next decade.<br />

Figure 13: Historic uranium pricing<br />

140<br />

120<br />

100<br />

80<br />

60<br />

40<br />

20<br />

0<br />

1986 1996 2006 2016<br />

Data source – www.indexmundi.com<br />

76 National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong>


THE CURRENT STATE OF THE ENERGY RESOURCES SECTOR<br />

Transition from Rapid Growth<br />

The Australian energy resources sector is coming to the end of an unprecedented<br />

period of rapid growth. Within the energy resources sector this growth has been most<br />

apparent in the coal and oil and gas industries.<br />

• The coal industry has added around 25 per cent of extra production in the decade since 2005.<br />

• In oil and gas, an entire, world first industry of converting coal seam gas to LNG has been built in<br />

Queensland. Darwin is completing the construction of the INPEX Ichthys facility and Western Australia<br />

has seen the construction of multiple new LNG facilities at Pluto, Gorgon and Wheatstone along with<br />

the ongoing development of the Shell Prelude FLNG facility.<br />

• During the same period, the uranium industry has worked to develop several new projects and has the<br />

potential to add substantial value to the national economy should they proceed with additional opportunities,<br />

including the development of a nuclear waste storage and disposal facility in South Australia 53 . While<br />

some of these projects may take many years to develop, they offer opportunities for growth of the sector.<br />

Construction boom<br />

This boom period sees Australia becoming the world’s leading producer of LNG by the end of this decade<br />

but has placed enormous pressure on virtually every link of the energy industry supply chain. Undertaking<br />

multiple multi-billion dollar projects concurrently in one sector alone would have been a major challenge,<br />

but this expansion coincided with similar expansions in other sectors such as iron ore mining.<br />

During this period of expansion, many projects were delivered late and substantially over budget into a<br />

declining market, leaving the operators of the facilities facing the challenges of bringing their new plant<br />

into production as quickly as possible to begin recouping their investment but with the additional hurdle<br />

of a substantially reduced market for their products.<br />

These same boom times occurred at a time of rapid globalisation of services, with much of the equipment,<br />

systems and knowledge that contributed to these new developments being drawn from overseas.<br />

This globalisation of the industry placed additional and previously unforeseen pressures on domestic<br />

suppliers who struggled to compete.<br />

GLOBAL AND NATIONAL CHALLENGES<br />

Operations and maintenance<br />

The new resource facilities in the coal, oil and gas industries will operate for many years into the future.<br />

During their operational lifetime they will require ongoing maintenance, regular shutdowns and turnarounds<br />

to ensure they operate at peak performance. They will employ thousands of personnel and engage with<br />

all sectors of the supply chain. The LNG industry will contribute around $156 billion and the coal industry<br />

some $97 billion in direct tax revenue to state and federal governments between 2015 and 2030.<br />

Additional indirect tax of around $70 billion from the LNG industry and $82 billion from the coal industry<br />

will accrue via wages, taxes on other business inputs and second order business opportunities.<br />

The primary objectives of the operators of these facilities are to run the plants safely and as efficiently as possible.<br />

To remain competitive will require operators to identify, trial and exploit new ideas and new technologies, many of<br />

which will be accessed through third parties. For many operators, their own internal systems and processes<br />

often inhibit them from accessing the newest technologies. Instead, they wait for those in other jurisdictions<br />

to be the first movers (with attendant risks), but relinquishing the opportunity to gain first mover advantage.<br />

With the construction phase virtually over, many local industries and communities are looking to assist in<br />

the start-up, optimisation and running of the new facilities. Industries must build long term relationships<br />

with operators and, through them develop sustainable industries that will deliver highly skilled, wellpaying<br />

careers for their workforce.<br />

Long tail period<br />

next phase, the long tail after the project boom, offers many of the potential opportunities for Australian<br />

industry. Although the operational life of these facilities is long, the key period for the broader industry and<br />

community to collaborate on finding the best ways to achieve these opportunities are in the short term.<br />

National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong><br />

77


<strong>Sector</strong><br />

Benchmarking<br />

To fully understand the impact of both <strong>NERA</strong>’s and the broader industry’s<br />

activities it is important that consistent benchmarking is undertaken of the<br />

energy resources sector and the industries within it. Such benchmarking<br />

allows the sector to identify weaknesses to focus on, and to better<br />

understand its international competitiveness. As such, <strong>NERA</strong> commissioned<br />

Accenture to produce a series of sector competitiveness assessments, of<br />

which the oil and gas and the coal sectors have been completed at the<br />

time of writing this SCP.<br />

The assessments focus on the industries of oil and gas and coal and follow<br />

a common methodology. A number of similar issues were identified across<br />

these energy resources industries. The assessment provides statistical backing<br />

to <strong>NERA</strong>’s strategic goals, allowing for an empirical measure of the progress<br />

of the sector as the recommendations of this SCP are put into action.<br />

78 National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong>


SECTOR BENCHMARKING<br />

Methodology<br />

The ICA comprises two core components. A framework for measuring competitiveness (ICF), and an index<br />

score of country competitiveness (ICS). The ICS is displayed in a dashboard to illustrate Australia’s relative<br />

performance (Dashboard), and a leader board to rank the world’s most competitive industries (Leader Board).<br />

To assess competitiveness effectively, a clear definition of the scope of the measurement is required.<br />

The business dictionary defines competitiveness as:<br />

“Ability of a firm, Industry, or a nation to offer products and services that meet the quality standards of<br />

the local and world markets at prices that are competitive and provide adequate returns on the resources<br />

employed or consumed in producing them” 56<br />

This analysis considers competitiveness of the industry in the context of a system of interdependent<br />

entities who participate in the industry. Within this context, the extent to which a single actor can<br />

excel in terms of overall performance is dependent the capacity and capability of the entire system.<br />

The competitiveness framework considers the four phases of the value chain; Exploration, Development,<br />

Production and Abandonment. It also considers operators, supply chain entities (including entities that<br />

manufacture, and or deliver products and services), as well as the industry regulatory environment.<br />

To identify a collectively exhaustive list of factors that influence industry competitiveness, Value Driver<br />

Trees (VDTs) were created for each of the four phases of the value chain, addressing four key questions.<br />

• Capacity – Does the industry have the required skills, infrastructure and equipment to produce its<br />

product to meet market demand?<br />

• Capability – Does the industry, collectively, have the capability (labour, capital and technology) to<br />

deliver energy to the market at market competitive prices?<br />

• Regulatory Environment – Is the regulatory environment contributing to and enabling the success<br />

of the industry?<br />

• Political and Social Environment – Are the political and social environments conducive to and<br />

supportive of the industry?<br />

These broad drivers are further broken down to specific metric level data points. A high-level breakdown<br />

of the VDT is shown in Figure 14.<br />

GLOBAL AND NATIONAL CHALLENGES<br />

Figure 14: ICF value driver tree<br />

Capacity<br />

Infrastructure<br />

Assets<br />

Labour Force<br />

Industry<br />

<strong>Competitiveness</strong><br />

Capability<br />

Regulatory<br />

Environment<br />

Capital<br />

Knowledge & IP<br />

Taxation System<br />

Regulation<br />

Political and Social<br />

Environment<br />

Industrial Relations<br />

Public (Social License to Operate)<br />

National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong><br />

79


SECTOR BENCHMARKING<br />

Oil and Gas Industry <strong>Competitiveness</strong><br />

Assessment 2016<br />

The oil and gas ICA is based on research conducted over the course of ten weeks from May to July<br />

2016 to create an industry relevant measure of oil and gas industry competitiveness that is robust and<br />

repeatable, allowing improvements to be tracked over future releases.<br />

This Australian Oil and Gas Industry <strong>Competitiveness</strong> Assessment (ICA), includes an Industry <strong>Competitiveness</strong><br />

Framework (ICF) and Industry <strong>Competitiveness</strong> Score (ICS). The score provides data-driven analysis<br />

of how to effectively allocate and direct effort to deliver maximum industry impact. It also presents a<br />

baseline against which the industry can measure its performance in future releases. This report outlines<br />

the methodology utilised and the results and insights gained from the ICS.<br />

OIL AND GAS INDUSTRY PEER GROUP AND<br />

DATASETS<br />

The competitiveness measurement requires a comparison of Australia’s performance against a peer<br />

group of oil and gas producers. This peer group was selected based on two criteria: market size and data<br />

availability. Countries were included if they had a greater than 0.2 per cent share of world production for<br />

either oil or gas and if they were captured in more than 80 per cent of the data sources. This resulted in<br />

an overall peer group of 32 countries.<br />

Data was collected primarily through secondary research from both public and proprietary data sources.<br />

The ICS uses 52 specific data points from 14 different sources across all 32 countries. All data is taken<br />

from 2015 data sources, although some metrics utilise longer periods. Key data sources used include;<br />

Wood Mackenzie 57 , International Gas Union (IGU) 58 , International Association of Oil and Gas Producers<br />

(IOGP) 59 , the Fraser Institute Global Petroleum Survey 60 , and Accenture’s “Ready or Not?” Study 61 .<br />

Where data on a specific industry group or value chain phase were not available, suitable proxy data<br />

points were used. Country specific data and surveys have also been used throughout the report to<br />

support findings of the ICS; however, these are not included in the competitiveness score.<br />

INDUSTRY COMPETITIVENESS SCORE<br />

To calculate the ICS, data points from the VDTs were logically split into eight components. Measures specific<br />

to a single phase of the value chain were included in their respective phase. Metrics that ran across<br />

the value chain were split into four industry growth enablers: Supply Chain; Research and Innovation;<br />

Workforce; and Government and Public Involvement. These growth enablers represent core capabilities,<br />

essential to the operation of a successful oil and gas industry. The structure is illustrated in Figure 15.<br />

Figure 15: ICS structure<br />

Value Chain Exploration Development Production Abandonment<br />

Supply Chain and Services<br />

Industry<br />

Growth<br />

Enables<br />

Research and Innovation<br />

Workforce<br />

Government and Public Involvement<br />

80 National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong>


SECTOR BENCHMARKING<br />

The combination of the 52 separate data points into a single score of overall industry competitiveness is<br />

achieved in three steps:<br />

1. All data points are scored relative to the peer group, between zero and ten, (where zero represents<br />

the weakest performance, and 10 the maximum achievable score).<br />

2. A weighted average of data scores is taken at the category level (i.e. Exploration or Workforce),<br />

generating eight scores for each country.<br />

3. The overall ICS is calculated as a weighted average of the eight components.<br />

This approach takes into consideration the broad definition of competitiveness used throughout this<br />

assessment. It also accounts for the interdependencies in the industry between the growth drivers and<br />

the different phases of the value chain.<br />

Figure 16: Oil and gas competitiveness dashboard<br />

Industry <strong>Competitiveness</strong><br />

MEDIAN<br />

6.4<br />

AUSTRALIA<br />

BEST (USA)<br />

Supply Chain<br />

6.4<br />

MEDIAN AUSTRALIA BEST<br />

Research<br />

& Innovation<br />

6.4<br />

MEDIAN AUSTRALIA BEST<br />

Industry Growth Enablers<br />

Workforce<br />

6.2<br />

MEDIAN AUSTRALIA BEST<br />

Government<br />

& Public<br />

6.1<br />

MEDIAN AUSTRALIA BEST<br />

Exploration Development & Execution Production Abandonment<br />

GLOBAL AND NATIONAL CHALLENGES<br />

7.5 5.2 7.4<br />

MEDIAN AUSTRALIA BEST MEDIAN AUSTRALIA BEST<br />

MEDIAN AUSTRALIA BEST<br />

1.8<br />

MEDIAN AUSTRALIA BEST<br />

From the baseline results, which are illustrated in Figure 16, Australia has an overall competitiveness score<br />

of 6.4 out of 10, ranking it seventh on the leader board of global peers, above the world median of 5.6,<br />

and lagging behind the world best, United States, at 7.3. The analysis finds that improvements across four<br />

priority areas can improve this score by 15 per cent, in line with the world’s best, and adding approximately<br />

$5 billion in value to the industry {note, this figure of $5 billion is determined by applying the 15 per cent<br />

potential improvements to the oil and gas share of the nation’s GDP as illustrated in Figure 17.<br />

<strong>NERA</strong> has commissioned further analysis of Australia’s exploration competitiveness<br />

This Assessment ranks Australia as the most competitive country in the Exploration and Appraisal phase,<br />

with a score of 7.5, above the global median of 5.2. This is a combination score for both conventional<br />

and unconventional exploration and appraisal wells. Australia drills wells efficiently and effectively, but<br />

the large number of unconventional wells introduces a bias into the statistical score so the total score<br />

does not accurately reflect the real exploration state of play in Australia and does not analyse the exact<br />

nature of exploration or the potential of unrealised exploration. Further, due to low commodity prices and<br />

the high cost environment in Australia, exploration activity has almost stopped in the last 18 months.<br />

To address the above, <strong>NERA</strong> has commissioned Accenture to undertake further analysis of Australia’s<br />

exploration and appraisal performance, reflecting conventional and unconventional wells and will provide<br />

a report on this over the next months.<br />

National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong><br />

81


SECTOR BENCHMARKING<br />

Figure 17: Value of potential improvements in competitiveness of Australian oil and gas sector<br />

$1.6 T<br />

100%<br />

Australian GDP<br />

(2014 - 2015)<br />

$33.3 B<br />

2.05%<br />

O&G share GDP<br />

$5 B<br />

ICA Improvement opportunity<br />

(15% of O&G GDP share)<br />

Legend: T = Trillion B = Billion, O&G = Oil and gas, GDP = Gross domestic product<br />

According to the ICS, although Australia ranks first in the world in the Exploration phase, in the Execution<br />

(design and construction of new facilities), Production and Abandonment phases, the country ranks at, or<br />

below the world median. For the industry to be truly competitive, excellence must run through the entire<br />

value chain. Importantly for Australia, the industry is shifting from Execution to Production: consequently,<br />

the focus should primarily be on improving operational performance, with a view to building capability<br />

for the Abandonment phase.<br />

To achieve improvements in Australia’s overall industry competitiveness, four priority areas are identified<br />

where changes in the short-term have the ability to affect the country’s performance:<br />

• Supply chain: Collaboration between operators and service providers to share resources and<br />

infrastructure, as well as setting up regional supply hubs, could see Australia overcome many of its<br />

structural supply chain disadvantages.<br />

• Research and innovation: Increased collaboration between universities and industry, combined<br />

with a focus on commercialisation of research would see Australia become a world leader in oil and<br />

gas research and innovation.<br />

• Workforce: Investing in building local capability for the Production and Abandonment phases,<br />

so that Australia’s workforce maintains its high quality.<br />

• Regulatory reform: Increasing engagement between industry and government to reduce the<br />

“red tape” that adds costs and extends timelines within the industry.<br />

The ICS provides a comprehensive, data-driven assessment of the Australian Oil and Gas industry from<br />

a global viewpoint. The results identify numerous areas for more rigorous study and suggest several<br />

innovative and collaborative improvements, that will have a dramatic impact on industry competitiveness<br />

if implemented. In future years, the ICS will provide a solid baseline against which the industry can<br />

measure improvement.<br />

82 National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong>


SECTOR BENCHMARKING<br />

PRIORITY AREAS AND OPPORTUNITIES<br />

The analysis considers the four phases of the value chain, and identifies a number of industry improvements<br />

that can boost Australia’s competitiveness. These ideas have been grouped into four priority areas:<br />

• Supply Chain;<br />

• Research and Innovation;<br />

• Work Force; and<br />

• Regulatory Reform.<br />

The analysis suggests that by focusing on innovative and collaborative solutions within these priority<br />

areas, a 15 per cent increase in the competitiveness score is achievable. This would place Australia on par<br />

with the current world’s best and capture approximately $5 billion per annum in industry value 62 .<br />

These priority areas focus on potential improvements achievable within the short term through an industry<br />

wide approach to enhancing competitiveness. An “others” category is also included to capture potential<br />

improvements outside the four priority areas. There are also areas that the industry is either not able to<br />

influence, such as geographical remoteness, or will not be able to improve in the near term, such as the<br />

high cost of the Australian labour force.<br />

Detailed modelling of the opportunities was conducted using the Dashboard at the metric level. The<br />

Dashboard allows for detailed scenario modelling, with a 15 per cent increase representing the short term<br />

plausible scenario. Longer term changes are harder to forecast, however, improvements are potentially much<br />

greater. Figure 18 displays the possible increases across each measured category and shows how Australia<br />

could move to be on par with the current most competitive oil and gas producer in the world, United States.<br />

Figure 18: Scenario modelling - Australian 15 per cent decrease<br />

<strong>Competitiveness</strong> Score<br />

7.5<br />

6.5<br />

4.57%<br />

1.86%<br />

3.34%<br />

3.23%<br />

1.92%<br />

GLOBAL AND NATIONAL CHALLENGES<br />

5.5<br />

Australia<br />

(Current)<br />

Supply<br />

Chain<br />

Research and<br />

Innovation<br />

Work<br />

Force<br />

Regulatory<br />

Reform<br />

Others<br />

Australia<br />

(Potential<br />

World Best)<br />

National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong><br />

83


SECTOR BENCHMARKING<br />

Supply Chain<br />

6.4<br />

MEDIAN AUSTRALIA BEST<br />

Supply chain results and opportunities<br />

Australian oil and gas industry score<br />

Australia’s Supply Chain score of 6.4 places the country in the third quartile, leaving significant room for<br />

improvement, while the world’s best, Netherlands, scores 8.0. Performance of the supply chain affects the<br />

industry over all four phases of the value chain, consequently, improvements can deliver major impact.<br />

Analysis suggests that, of the five categories, supply chain improvements and innovations will have the<br />

biggest impact on overall competitiveness, with a potential increase in the score of 4.57 per cent.<br />

Rationale for the score<br />

Australia has structural characteristics that hinder the country’s ability to compete with the world’s best,<br />

namely, the size and age of the industry, and the remote and challenging environments in which most<br />

operations are situated. In recent years, supply chain improvements have focused on procurement processes.<br />

How we could improve the score<br />

Going forward, major gains to industry competitiveness will come from sharing of resources, and finding<br />

innovative solutions to alleviate structural disadvantages. Some include:<br />

• Learning from the United Kingdom oil and gas industry that established the Oil and Gas Authority 63 .<br />

The Authority is tasked with working with government and industry to ensure the United Kingdom gets<br />

the maximum economic benefit from its oil and gas reserves. It was established in response to identified<br />

challenges facing the sector in the North Sea and is pursuing strategies to enhance the value of<br />

the sector. The CRINE initiative, which created a single prequalification and procurement process,<br />

consistent throughout the industry, if implemented in Australia, could unlock enormous value 71 .<br />

• Finding collaborative solutions to the size and geography of the Australian market. Industry operators<br />

should work towards sharing infrastructure and developing regional “hubs” to better manage and<br />

streamline the supply chain process.<br />

• Investing in advanced manufacturing, which provides an enormous opportunity in the Development<br />

and Production phase. The industry should explore opportunities from trialling technologies and<br />

advanced manufacturing techniques, creating a technology value proposition to support the broader<br />

domestic value chain.<br />

Industry impact<br />

The industry must find innovative and collaborative solutions to overcome the structural disadvantages<br />

inherent to Australia. Improvements in this area provide the biggest potential impact on Australia’s<br />

competitiveness.<br />

Research<br />

& Innovation<br />

6.4<br />

MEDIAN AUSTRALIA BEST<br />

Research and innovation results and opportunities<br />

Australian oil and gas industry score<br />

Australia performs well in the Research and Innovation score, well above the world median of 3.7.<br />

Rationale for the score<br />

This result runs contrary to popular perception. However, rather than a sign of Australia’s strong<br />

performance in this area, this reflects the poor state of research and innovation in many other oil and<br />

gas producing nations. Australia’s score is still far below the world’s best: the United States, the United<br />

Kingdom, and the Netherlands.<br />

84 National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong>


SECTOR BENCHMARKING<br />

How we could improve the score<br />

Improvements in Research and Innovation will have flow on effects to other priority areas and the<br />

industry. Those changes specific to Research and Innovation capability can boost overall competitiveness<br />

by around two per cent. Achievable changes in the near term include:<br />

• Increasing engagement between industry operators, universities and research institutions. Universities<br />

and research institutes can play a larger role in developing innovative solutions to solve the<br />

latest industry problems. Industry participants should collaborate more effectively to unlock this<br />

underutilised resource.<br />

• Improving the commercialisation of research in Australia to find ways of turning innovative ideas<br />

across the entire value chain into commercial successes.<br />

• Building world-class data analytics capability. Australia has some of the world’s most advanced<br />

production facilities. Data analytics needs to be used within these assets to find innovative ways to<br />

improve production efficiency. Collaboration is essential as this is a new set of skills for the industry.<br />

• Investing in new and innovative methods of reducing the cost and difficulty of decommissioning<br />

fields. Abandonment represents a significant liability for the industry if current technology is used.<br />

Industry impact<br />

A focus on building a successful research and innovation capability will have significant benefits for the<br />

rest of the industry. While <strong>NERA</strong> will pursue building a stronger research and innovation mindset, the<br />

industry needs to support this work to translate opportunities into tangible results.<br />

Workforce results and opportunities<br />

Australian oil and gas industry score<br />

The measure of workforce competitiveness considers both cost and quality. Australia scores 6.2, behind<br />

the world’s best, China, with a score of 8.3.<br />

Rationale for the score<br />

The balance between cost and quality is vital. While Australia’s costs are among the highest in the<br />

world, the current quality is of a high standard. Across the value chain, improvements in the capability of<br />

Australia’s workforce have the potential to boost the overall competitiveness score by 3.34 per cent.<br />

How we could improve the score<br />

As Australia’s industry moves from the Execution phase into Production and eventually Abandonment,<br />

there are significant risks and opportunities. The country’s workforce must capitalise on this transition and<br />

strive to become the world leader in oil and gas operations. Key changes to achieve this goal include:<br />

• Investing in focused training and education to ensure the industry is prepared for the Production<br />

phase. Particularly in maintenance and technical operational knowledge.<br />

• Improving organisational structures to limit the level of overheads. Australia has seen some of the<br />

world’s highest execution costs in the recent construction boom. If new greenfield projects are to<br />

happen, operators must engage the construction workforce and ensure they are appropriately skilled<br />

to deliver projects on budget and on schedule.<br />

• Building and scaling abandonment and decommissioning capability. This could include forming<br />

partnerships with organisations outside of Australia and undertaking exchange programs to build<br />

local capability.<br />

Industry impact<br />

A high-quality workforce is essential to a competitive oil and gas industry. As the industry moves from<br />

execution to operations, maintaining and improving Australia’s workforce competitiveness is paramount.<br />

Workforce<br />

6.2<br />

MEDIAN AUSTRALIA BEST<br />

GLOBAL AND NATIONAL CHALLENGES<br />

National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong><br />

85


SECTOR BENCHMARKING<br />

Government<br />

& Public<br />

6.1<br />

MEDIAN AUSTRALIA BEST<br />

Regulatory reform results and opportunities<br />

Australian oil and gas industry score<br />

Australia’s Government and Public Involvement score is 6.1, which is comparable to the world median,<br />

and provides ample room for improvement. Australia performs very well in the government policy and<br />

perception area: however, the regulatory component is a key area of weakness and presents the greatest<br />

opportunity for overall improvement. Changes here could add 3.23 per cent to overall competitiveness,<br />

the second largest in this analysis.<br />

Rationale for the score<br />

Complexity, duplication and “red tape” increase costs and extend timeframes for all participants. While<br />

some work has been done to improve the situation, if Australia wishes to become a leader in the industry,<br />

there is a pressing need for the regulatory bodies and industry stakeholders to work together more closely.<br />

How we could improve the score<br />

Specific potential improvements include:<br />

• Streamlining regulatory statutes and agencies to reduce the uncertainty surrounding regulation. There<br />

are approximately 150 statutes and more than 50 agencies regulating the oil and gas industry 65 .<br />

• Providing clear directives on environmental regulation. This area is currently a significant deterrent to<br />

investment in Australia. The state and federal governments must end the coal seam gas debate so the<br />

industry can move forward with certainty.<br />

• Revising the industrial relations framework. Seventy-five per cent of industry stakeholders reported<br />

feeling the country has an inflexible industrial relations framework 61 . {Note – industrial relations do<br />

not form part of <strong>NERA</strong>’s role}<br />

• Providing constructive and tangible feedback from industry. Government and regulatory bodies need<br />

to do their part by engaging with industry stakeholders to understand the voice of the customer.<br />

Industry impact<br />

Both industry and government have a common goal, to maximise value for Australia. There is significant<br />

benefit to be gained from collaborating and improving competitiveness within this area.<br />

Other Opportunities<br />

Cost cutting<br />

Industry operators have spent the past two years slashing costs and reducing workforce numbers.<br />

While the cost decreases have allowed operators to stay profitable, it is not a sustainable option and<br />

does not help to build Australia’s long term competitive edge.<br />

Operators need to continuously improve and streamline their operations. There is added benefit to<br />

increase competitiveness in doing so by collaborating with other operators, suppliers and stakeholders.<br />

A significant focus has been placed on these forms of initiatives, so continued effort will provide limited<br />

returns, made evident by the 1.92 per cent improvement found in the ICS analysis.<br />

Public perception<br />

Public perception and the Social Licence to Operate (SLO) are a vital component of today’s oil and gas<br />

industry. Oil and gas companies cannot function sustainably without the backing of the society in which<br />

they operate. Unfortunately, there is currently no reliable data source to measure SLO competitiveness<br />

across a broad range of countries on a yearly basis.<br />

Data from the World Bank Public Perceptions Survey on Extractive Industries 73 found that, in Australia,<br />

41 per cent believe the industry does not have a positive impact on the environment and 24 per cent<br />

believe the industry does not have a positive impact on local communities. While this data suggests<br />

Australia has room for improvement, without a global data set it is not possible to understand the<br />

country’s relative performance. The industry should collaborate to define measurable KPIs, and identify<br />

opportunities to increase the public’s trust in oil and gas companies.<br />

86 National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong>


SECTOR BENCHMARKING<br />

Coal Industry <strong>Competitiveness</strong><br />

Assessment 2016<br />

The Australian Coal Industry <strong>Competitiveness</strong> Assessment includes an Industry <strong>Competitiveness</strong><br />

Framework (ICF) and Industry <strong>Competitiveness</strong> Score (ICS). The score results and findings are based on<br />

research conducted over the course of ten weeks from October to December 2016. The objective was to<br />

create an industry relevant measure of the coal industry competitiveness that was robust and repeatable,<br />

allowing improvements to be tracked over future releases.<br />

COAL INDUSTRY PEER GROUP AND DATASETS<br />

The competitiveness assessment requires a comparison of Australia’s performance against a peer group of<br />

coal producers and exporters. This peer group was selected based on four criteria; market share, growth<br />

outlook, industry structure within the country and data availability. Countries were included if they had a<br />

greater than 0.5 per cent share of world production or a significant year-on-year growth forecast of the coal<br />

industry (i.e. greater than 10 per cent), represented a sizeable share of GDP, and if they were captured in<br />

more than 80 per cent of the data sources. The assessment focused on world black coal production; as a<br />

result, lower ranked coals were excluded. This resulted in a peer group of 10 countries.<br />

The peer group of 10 countries had a combined share of 85.2 per cent of world black coal production in<br />

2015, making it a strong representation of the coal industry globally. Noticeably, India, which produces<br />

9.5 per cent of the world’s coal, is absent from the peer group due to the lack of sufficient data. Had<br />

India been included in the peer group, the combined group would have accounted for 94.7 per cent of<br />

world production.<br />

Data was collected primarily through secondary research from both public and proprietary data sources.<br />

The ICS uses 75 specific data points from a multitude of reputable sources across all 10 countries.<br />

All data is taken from 2015 data sources, although some metrics utilise longer periods. Key data sources<br />

used include; Wood Mackenzie, Metalytics, Fraser Institute, World Economic Forum, and Accenture’s<br />

internal research. The study uses data in 2015 United States Dollars (USD) with an exchange rate of<br />

Australian Dollar (AUD) to USD of 0.75 applied where applicable. Where data on a specific industry group<br />

or value chain phase was not available, suitable proxy data points were used.<br />

GLOBAL AND NATIONAL CHALLENGES<br />

National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong><br />

87


SECTOR BENCHMARKING<br />

INDUSTRY COMPETITIVENESS SCORE<br />

To calculate the ICS, data points from the Value Driver Tree (VDT) shown in Figure 14 above were logically<br />

split into eight pillars of competitiveness, which fall under two categories:<br />

• Industry Value Chain – activities performed by the industry to deliver a valuable product or service<br />

to the market.<br />

• Industry Growth Enablers – activities performed to enable and support the industry to deliver a<br />

valuable product or service to the market.<br />

Measures specific to a single phase of the value chain were included in their respective phase. Metrics<br />

that ran across the value chain were split into the four industry growth enablers – Supply Chain, Research<br />

and Innovation, Workforce, and Government and Public Involvement. These growth enablers represent core<br />

capability, essential to the operation of a successful coal industry. The structure is illustrated in Figure 19.<br />

Figure 19: Coal industry ICS structure<br />

Value Chain<br />

Exploration &<br />

Development<br />

Extraction &<br />

Production<br />

Coal<br />

Transportation<br />

Closure &<br />

Rehabilitation<br />

Supply Chain and Services<br />

Industry<br />

Growth<br />

Enables<br />

Research and Innovation<br />

Workforce<br />

Government and Public Involvement<br />

The combination of the 75 separate data points into a single score of overall industry competitiveness is<br />

achieved in four steps:<br />

1. All data points are scored relative to the peer group, between zero and 10, (where zero represents<br />

the weakest performance and 10 represents the maximum achievable score).<br />

2. Where possible metrics are broken down into different production types (i.e. underground versus<br />

surface mining, and thermal versus metallurgical coal), generating up to four sub-scores for each<br />

metric. Each country is then given a weighted average of each sub-score based on the prevalence of<br />

that production type within the country.<br />

3. A weighted average of data scores is taken for each pillar (i.e. Exploration and Development or<br />

Workforce), generating eight scores for each country.<br />

4. The overall ICS is calculated as a weighted average of the eight pillars.<br />

The overall approach to calculate the ICS takes into consideration the broad definition of competitiveness<br />

used throughout this assessment. It also accounts for the interdependencies in the industry between the<br />

growth enablers and the different phases of the value chain.<br />

88 National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong>


SECTOR BENCHMARKING<br />

Figure 20: Coal industry competitiveness dashboard<br />

Industry <strong>Competitiveness</strong><br />

Industry Growth Enablers<br />

MEDIAN<br />

AUSTRALIA<br />

BEST (CHINA)<br />

Supply Chain<br />

6.4<br />

MEDIAN AUSTRALIA BEST<br />

Workforce<br />

5.2<br />

MEDIAN AUSTRALIA BEST<br />

5.8<br />

Research<br />

& Innovation<br />

7.1<br />

MEDIAN AUSTRALIA BEST<br />

Government<br />

& Public<br />

5.4<br />

MEDIAN AUSTRALIA BEST<br />

Exploration &<br />

Development<br />

4.7<br />

Extraction &<br />

Production<br />

5.0<br />

Coal<br />

Transportation<br />

8.4<br />

MEDIAN AUSTRALIA BEST MEDIAN AUSTRALIA BEST<br />

MEDIAN AUSTRALIA BEST<br />

*US$3.4 billion excludes establishing landform and revegetation costs<br />

Closure &<br />

Rehabilitation<br />

US$3.4b *<br />

Estimated Australian mine<br />

closure liability to 2045 for<br />

currently operating mines<br />

From the analysis completed and shown in Figure 20, Australia has an Industry <strong>Competitiveness</strong> Score<br />

of 5.8 out of 10, behind the world’s best, China, and marginally exceeding the world average of 5.4.<br />

Australia performs strongly in the coal transportation phase of the value chain, with a score of 8.4, and<br />

also performs better than the world average in three of the four industry growth enablers. However, weak<br />

results in both the Exploration and Development and the Extraction and Production phases ultimately<br />

undermine the country’s overall competitiveness.<br />

China leads the ICS due to having one of the lowest costs across the value chain. China is the largest<br />

consumer and producer of coal in the world and ranks first in the Exploration and Development and Coal<br />

Transportation phases, and third in the Extraction and Production phase.<br />

Figure 21, presents the ICS leader board, where Australia ranks as the world’s third most competitive coal<br />

producing nation. While Australia ranks only slightly above average, the spread of scores across the peer<br />

group is low.<br />

Analysis of the results suggest this is because no single country performs consistently well across all<br />

eight pillars of competitiveness. For example, Canada, ranked eighth, scores very highly in the industry<br />

growth enabler pillars (i.e. Supply Chain, Research and Innovation, Workforce, and Government and<br />

Public Involvement); however, it is among the worst performers in the Extraction and Production and<br />

Coal Transportation pillars.<br />

These results suggest all 10 countries within the peer group have significant room for improvement and<br />

that, with industry commitment and policy support, Australia has the opportunity to significantly increase<br />

its competitiveness ranking.<br />

GLOBAL AND NATIONAL CHALLENGES<br />

Figure 21: Coal industry competitiveness leader board<br />

1 China 6 Indonesia<br />

2 South Africa 7 Colombia<br />

3 Australia 8 Canada<br />

4 United States 9 Vietnam<br />

5 Russia 10 Mozambique<br />

National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong><br />

89


SECTOR BENCHMARKING<br />

PRIORITY AREAS AND OPPORTUNITIES<br />

Implementing practical, innovative and collaborative solutions across key priority areas,<br />

will make Australia one of the most competitive and sustainable coal producing nations in<br />

the world.<br />

Industry improvements and opportunities have the potential to boost Australia’s competitiveness and add<br />

significant value to the industry and economy. These ideas have been grouped into four major priority areas:<br />

• Supply Chain;<br />

• Research and Innovation;<br />

• Work Force; and<br />

• Government and Public Involvement.<br />

These priority areas focus on improvements to the industry that are achievable within the short term<br />

across each phase of the value chain.<br />

To quantify the impact of the detailed initiatives, three separate measures were utilised: the change<br />

in Australia’s competitiveness score against the global peer group, cost savings to industry mining<br />

operations, and the industry value added increases. Each measure provides an alternate view of the<br />

potential benefit to the industry and country as a whole. The analysis suggests Australia could become<br />

the world’s most competitive coal industry, while unlocking AUD$4.5 billion in value for the economy.<br />

To understand the potential improvements to Australia’s coal competitiveness score, detailed modelling of<br />

the opportunities was conducted using the dashboard at the metric level. Figure 22 displays the possible<br />

increases across each measured priority area. Due to Australia’s uncompetitive mining and processing<br />

capability, priority areas that impact on the Extraction and Production phase of the value chain where<br />

found to have the largest impact. Overall the solutions detailed have the ability to increase Australia’s<br />

coal competitiveness score by 18 per cent. Based on 2015 figures, the industry has the ability to overtake<br />

China to become the world’s most competitive coal producer.<br />

Figure 22: Scenario modelling – Australian 18 per cent decrease<br />

<strong>Competitiveness</strong> Score<br />

7.0<br />

6.0<br />

5.1%<br />

3.7%<br />

4.6%<br />

3.8%<br />

1.0%<br />

5.0<br />

Australia<br />

(Current)<br />

Supply<br />

Chain<br />

Research and<br />

Innovation<br />

Work<br />

Force<br />

Government<br />

& Public<br />

Involvment<br />

Others<br />

Australia<br />

(Potential<br />

World Best)<br />

90 National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong>


SECTOR BENCHMARKING<br />

Supply chain results and opportunities<br />

Australian coal industry score<br />

Australia’s Supply Chain score of 6.4 places the country above the peer group average, but shows<br />

there is significant room for improvement compared to the world’s best, United States, which scores<br />

9.0. The performance of the supply chain affects the industry over all phases of the value chain,<br />

so improvements can deliver major impact. Analysis suggests that supply chain improvements and<br />

innovations will increase Australia’s overall coal competitiveness standing by 5.1 per cent.<br />

Supply Chain<br />

6.4<br />

MEDIAN AUSTRALIA BEST<br />

How we could improve the score<br />

For Australia to remain above the peer group average and be competitive in this area, it needs to<br />

consider a number of innovative solutions. Two possible solutions include:<br />

• Creating additional regional supply hubs and services, like the Hunter Valley Coal Chain Coordinator<br />

(HVCCC), to support the industry. The HVCCC is an excellent example of industry operators collaborating to<br />

form a joint-partner entity that focuses solely on managing a component of the supply chain in a particular<br />

region. Additional joint-partner entities should look at managing warehousing, logistics and transportation<br />

needed to support mining operations, allowing operators to focus on core mining capability. This could reap<br />

several benefits including the creation of new jobs, and the standardisation of supply chain operations.<br />

• Coordinating key operational activities such as shutdowns or major maintenance across the industry.<br />

The coal industry can learn how to set this up from the coal seam gas industry in Queensland.<br />

Coal operators can form better partnerships with service providers to facilitate a more effective and<br />

efficient flow of people and materials. This provides the opportunity to optimise resources, equipment,<br />

and ultimately increase overall utilisation.<br />

Industry impact<br />

These potential solutions would require organisations to shift from the conventional “way of working”<br />

and adopt new operating models. Given the risks, the overall benefits would still outweigh them and<br />

allow Australia to increase its Supply Chain competitiveness.<br />

GLOBAL AND NATIONAL CHALLENGES<br />

Research and innovation results and opportunities<br />

Australian coal industry score<br />

Australia performs well in Research and Innovation with a score of 7.1, well above the world average of<br />

5.1, and only behind leaders, the United States with a score of 8.2.<br />

Research<br />

& Innovation<br />

7.1<br />

MEDIAN AUSTRALIA BEST<br />

Rationale for the score<br />

Since 1992 the coal industry has funded major research and innovation through the Australian Coal<br />

Association Research Program (ACARP) 8 . The organisation is a strong and active research vehicle owned<br />

and funded by Australian coal producers. In combination with <strong>NERA</strong>, the coal industry has sufficient<br />

capacity to drive research, innovation and collaboration across the industry.<br />

How we could improve the score<br />

Although Australia performs well in this area, there is still considerable room for the industry’s Research<br />

and Innovation capability to improve, in order to remain competitive with the United States. Possible<br />

focus areas include:<br />

• Solving industry issues such as reducing overburden removal. Operators must be willing to share<br />

information and invest in collaborating with research institutes and universities to solve key industry<br />

challenges together. Once a solution has been determined, commercialisation can easily take place<br />

because all stakeholder groups have been involved and engaged throughout the process. The industry<br />

should leverage both ACARP and <strong>NERA</strong> to grow and drive innovation and its commercialisation forward.<br />

National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong><br />

91


SECTOR BENCHMARKING<br />

• Investing in technology to create the world’s most advanced coal mining operations, including linking<br />

systems to equipment and vehicles to drive automation and integration. Additionally, the industry<br />

should leverage data analytics capability to increase productivity and utilisation. To implement<br />

these programs, the coal industry should look to other resources industries, such as iron ore, to<br />

leverage their knowledge and speed up adoption. <strong>NERA</strong> is well placed to facilitate this cross industry<br />

collaboration, and assist in the commercialisation of these technologies.<br />

Industry impact<br />

Analysis estimates that there can be a 3.7 per cent increase in the Research and Innovation score<br />

should these actions be implemented successfully. The entire industry needs to support the research and<br />

innovation agenda. <strong>NERA</strong> has an important role in helping to accelerate and translate opportunities into<br />

tangible results and benefits for the nation.<br />

Workforce<br />

5.2<br />

MEDIAN AUSTRALIA BEST<br />

Workforce results and opportunities<br />

Australian coal industry score<br />

With a score of 5.2, Australia performs just below the peer group average for Workforce, trailing well<br />

behind the peer group best, the United States, with a score of 7.3.<br />

Rationale for the score<br />

Australia’s training, education infrastructure, and labour productivity (measured by marketable tonnes per<br />

employee), are world-leading; however, labour costs are by far the highest in the world.<br />

How we could improve the score<br />

Major improvements to Australia’s Workforce coal competitiveness ranking are unlikely to come from<br />

cost reductions. Instead, the industry must focus on utilising the country’s high skilled labour to boost<br />

productivity. Initiatives in this area have the ability to increase Australia’s overall Workforce coal<br />

competitiveness score by 4.6 per cent. Key solutions include:<br />

• Embracing the “new” way of working. Leveraging the country’s highly qualified workforce to utilise<br />

digital, disruptive technologies and methodologies that have the potential to provide major increases<br />

to operational efficiency and productivity.<br />

• Improving the working partnership between operators and service providers and contractors. Focus<br />

on outcome and value-based incentives rather than headcount to execute specific scopes of work.<br />

This also promotes collaboration and innovation.<br />

• Building capability required for the upcoming wave of closure and rehabilitation activities. This includes<br />

investing in relevant training and potentially organising work secondments to countries with coalmines<br />

undergoing end-of-life closure and rehabilitation.<br />

Industry impact<br />

An agile, competent and engaged workforce is essential to building a competitive coal industry. The ability<br />

of Australia’s workforce to continually evolve and be on the forefront of technology will be critical to its<br />

overall success.<br />

Government<br />

& Public<br />

5.4<br />

MEDIAN AUSTRALIA BEST<br />

Government and public involvement results and opportunities<br />

Australian coal industry score<br />

The Government and Public Involvement industry growth enabler measures a number of factors such<br />

as regulatory climate, government policies (including taxation and royalties), and social licence and<br />

community perception. Overall, Australia scores 5.4, putting it just above the peer group average and<br />

behind the best, Canada, with a score of 6.3. Analysis suggests there is opportunity to improve Australia’s<br />

Government and Public Involvement coal competitiveness score by 3.8 per cent.<br />

This industry growth enabler concentrates on two very important areas of the industry: regulatory reform,<br />

comprising government involvement; and social licence, comprising community and public involvement.<br />

92 National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong>


SECTOR BENCHMARKING<br />

Regulatory reform<br />

Considering the regulatory climate, and government policy and involvement specifically, Australia ranks<br />

third with a score of 5.7, behind Canada and the United States, with scores of 7.3 and 5.9 respectively.<br />

Australia seemingly does well in this area; however, consideration of the peer group needs to be taken<br />

into account. Against the other developed nations in the peer group, Australia’s performance suggests<br />

there is significant room for improvement.<br />

An estimated 1.7 per cent increase in the coal competitiveness score is possible through the<br />

implementation of regulatory reform opportunities. These include:<br />

• Redefining the interaction between government bodies and the industry. Shifting to a more collaborative<br />

and partnership-orientated model would reduce industry time and money spent dealing with red<br />

tape, and allow better channelling of resources to value adding activities.<br />

• Working with stakeholders to establish a robust, clear, consistent and transparent set of directives on<br />

requirements and regulations e.g. environment and land usage.<br />

Australia has a stable, developed government, and provides a reliable supply of coal to key markets,<br />

placing the country above many of its competitors. If policy and regulation can align together with the<br />

strategic needs of the industry, Australia will climb the ranks of competitiveness in this area, overtaking<br />

other developed nations.<br />

Social licence<br />

Breaking down the Government and Public Involvement industry growth enabler score, Australia scores<br />

5.0 in social licence. This is just above the peer group average of 4.7, and trailing behind the best, the<br />

United States, with a score of 6.8.<br />

Public support for the coal industry lies heavily on the industry’s use and management of the environment.<br />

The general public has a poor view of the coal industry, which if not addressed appropriately, will continue<br />

to weaken the coal industry’s competitive position. Several opportunities exist to increase Australia’s<br />

social licence ranking and overall competitiveness score by an estimated 2.2 per cent through:<br />

• Promoting the “clean energy transition” message, and engaging communities to understand the<br />

global view. The industry can also set up a single platform to build a consistent message to increase<br />

coal mining literacy and education across the nation, ensuring that the modes of communication are<br />

relevant to today’s generation.<br />

• Forming an independent body made up of industry, government, and suppliers to manage heritage<br />

mines not previously closed or rehabilitated properly. This will increase jobs, increase collaboration,<br />

improve the environment, and ultimately improve community satisfaction. Taxes and royalties<br />

potentially could be directed towards this initiative, which promotes involvement and participation<br />

from all parties.<br />

Involvement and support from the community is vital to the coal industry’s sustained success. The current<br />

poor social licence within the country suggests that a well-coordinated approach by all industry<br />

participants has the opportunity to make significant gains.<br />

GLOBAL AND NATIONAL CHALLENGES<br />

Other opportunities<br />

The industry has spent the last few years cutting costs through direct initiatives and headcount reductions.<br />

While there were immediate results at that time, it does not translate to significant benefit today, and<br />

will not be sustainable for operations going forward. There are many opportunities both internally within<br />

the coal operator organisation, and externally to pursue incremental and transformational improvement<br />

initiatives. Improving collaboration between operators, suppliers, government bodies and other industry<br />

stakeholders can unlock hidden and significant value for the coal industry. Estimates made from the ICS<br />

analysis suggest a potential increase of 1.0 per cent in improvement is possible in the near term.<br />

National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong><br />

93


94 National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong>


3<br />

SECTOR<br />

CHALLENGES<br />

AND KNOWLEDGE<br />

PRIORITIES<br />

Section 3 begins by identifying and discussing the challenges faced by the<br />

sector, and the opportunities and initiatives that the sector as a whole, and<br />

the industries individually, can pursue to make improvements in efficiency<br />

and productivity to create new market opportunities. It then goes on to<br />

discuss in detail each of the nine knowledge priorities identified by the SCP<br />

as the key areas that need to be addressed by the sector to ensure a globally<br />

competitive, innovative, sustainable and diverse future.<br />

These knowledge priorities are broken into three major categories or levers:<br />

capability and leadership; business and operating models, technology and<br />

services; and regulatory environment. By systematically addressing these<br />

knowledge priorities is the sector going to be able to retain its position as<br />

one of the world’s pre-eminent suppliers of energy and of the knowledge,<br />

services, technologies and skills that support the sector.<br />

National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong><br />

95


<strong>Sector</strong> Wide<br />

Challenges and<br />

Opportunities<br />

Growing energy demand in Asia, increased environmental awareness<br />

and an evolving global energy mix, create immense opportunity and not<br />

insignificant challenge for the Australian energy resources sector.<br />

Major shifts are expected in the ways in which power is generated,<br />

distributed, controlled and consumed as the world moves to incorporate<br />

more renewable energy in the broad energy mix. This shift will force sectorwide<br />

adaptation, as new infrastructure needs to be built and integrated,<br />

and new operational frameworks are created. Despite these challenges,<br />

there are significant opportunities for Australian energy resources,<br />

particularly in meeting growing Asian demand.<br />

96 National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong>


SECTOR WIDE CHALLENGES AND OPPORTUNITIES<br />

<strong>Sector</strong> Wide<br />

A number of challenges and opportunities are sector wide and, while impacting each sector in different<br />

ways, have potentially many common causes and solutions:<br />

Low<br />

commodity<br />

prices<br />

Water<br />

management<br />

Carbon<br />

emissions<br />

Sovereign<br />

risk<br />

Regulatory<br />

environment<br />

Low commodity prices due to major structural changes in global supply and a<br />

short-term (up to 2022) oversupply in the global market.<br />

Concerns and challenges associated with the ongoing management of water,<br />

ensuring it is equitably available for all land users including agriculture, human<br />

settlement and industry.<br />

Understanding how best to manage carbon emissions from both the primary<br />

production of energy resources and their consumption.<br />

A perception that Australia is becoming a nation of greater sovereign risk for<br />

capital investment by operators due to the increasingly restrictive regulatory<br />

burden, and restrictions on developments, both in place and being threatened in<br />

various states.<br />

A restrictive and onerous regulatory environment, which is particularly difficult in<br />

respect of the approvals process within many states, restricting operators’ ability<br />

to undertake the exploration activities that underpin the long-term viability of the<br />

Australian energy resource sector.<br />

In addition to these sector wide challenges, there are also a number of more discrete challenges and<br />

opportunities that will be faced by the industries making up the sector over the coming decade.<br />

PHOTO<br />

SECTOR CHALLENGES AND KNOWLEDGE PRIORITIES<br />

National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong><br />

97


<strong>Sector</strong> Specific<br />

Challenges,<br />

Constraints and<br />

Opportunities<br />

Australian oil and gas industry<br />

The Australian LNG industry’s capacity has increased more than four-fold over the past five years to<br />

supply the anticipated increase in demand. This rapid growth has created challenges and opportunities<br />

for the still-maturing industry.<br />

Key challenges<br />

High cost operating environment<br />

Australia’s relatively high cost operating environment due to labour costs, remoteness of operations, and<br />

distance from global supply chains results in many aspects of the Australian oil and gas industry being<br />

substantially more expensive than other jurisdictions. For example, the cost to explore and develop a<br />

shale gas well in Australia is believed to be around 250 to 300 per cent higher than to develop a similar<br />

well in the United States.<br />

Declining exploration<br />

The unstable oil price combined with newly imposed moratoria and regulatory restrictions, has resulted<br />

in a significant reduction in exploration investment. An investigation into the east coast gas market by<br />

the Australian Competition and Consumer Commission (ACCC) 67 found that it was unclear whether new<br />

reserves would be developed in a timely fashion, noting that:<br />

• “The magnitude of gas flows to the liquefied gas projects, which are removing gas from the domestic<br />

market”;<br />

• “The low oil price, which is resulting in declining investment in gas exploration and lower production<br />

forecasts for domestic and LNG projects”; and<br />

• “Moratoria and regulatory restrictions, which are affecting onshore exploration and development”.<br />

98 National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong>


SECTOR SPECIFIC CHALLENGES, CONSTRAINTS AND OPPORTUNITIES<br />

Many new discoveries, particularly offshore, are often in remote areas, and expensive to develop with<br />

limited existing infrastructure. Success rates are low. Geoscience Australia indicates a 28 per cent success<br />

rate between 1955 to 2011, with 14 per cent commercial success (585 wells from 4,248 wells drilled).<br />

Long-term growth in the Australian oil and gas industry is dependent on consistent levels of exploration.<br />

Slow commercialisation of oil and gas reserves<br />

There are substantial numbers of identified oil and gas discoveries not yet producing 68 for reasons such as<br />

difficulty of access (such as deep water, remote, offshore fields), lack of commercially suitable development<br />

opportunities, and technologies or regulatory issues impeding commercialisation of the fields. In the offshore<br />

basins, the cycle time from discovery to production is usually greater than 5 years. The length of time from<br />

discovery to production reported by Geoscience Australia demonstrates that the development cycle time<br />

often exceeds 10 years.<br />

• 16 fields greater than 20 years;<br />

• 32 fields greater than 10 years;<br />

• 52 fields greater than 5 years.<br />

Lack of current pathway to develop skills required for integrated teams and operations<br />

Limited availability of process technicians and operators with the high-level skills required to run increased<br />

numbers of integrated teams and operations. Technological change will require multiskilling in the future,<br />

which will need to be supported by significant changes to current training regimes, and the articulation of<br />

skills development pathways to ensure a sufficient number of suitably skilled personnel for future needs.<br />

Potential shortage of specialist skills for maintenance activities<br />

A potential shortage of specialist skilled and experienced labour for maintenance and turnarounds of<br />

Australia’s 21 LNG trains within the LNG sector. This could be heightened by parallel maintenance activities<br />

in the broader energy and resource sectors, if a parallel recovery in commodity prices occurs and drives<br />

demand for those skills across other industries.<br />

Social licence to operate<br />

Challenges to the industry’s social licence to operate, including negative community perceptions of<br />

the social and environmental impacts of unconventional developments, concerns over the potential<br />

development of new offshore basins and increasing community expectations around the transition to<br />

renewable energy sources. This will require the sector to operate through high levels of community<br />

engagement, corporate transparency and exemplary social citizenship.<br />

High cost reputation<br />

Based on both a 2013 McKinsey report 69 and work by the Oxford Institute for Energy Studies 70 , the cost<br />

of building new LNG plants has increased significantly in the past decade, with Australia now 20 to 30<br />

per cent higher than in North America and East Africa.<br />

Even if all compressible differences are resolved, Australian costs will remain higher than North American<br />

costs, so Australia needs to strive for best-in-class construction and operations performance to be competitive.<br />

A reputation as a high cost environment, resulting from the many project budget and schedule overruns<br />

experienced during the recent expansion phase of the industry is contributing to operators deferring<br />

future major capital investment in Australia in favour of other jurisdictions. To help restore Australia’s<br />

reputation, the industry needs to demonstrate that it can operate and maintain the new and existing<br />

facilities to world’s best standards.<br />

SECTOR CHALLENGES AND KNOWLEDGE PRIORITIES<br />

Abandonment costs<br />

Uncertainty over capital and regulatory costs of abandonment, as many operators plan for the end of life<br />

of their facilities; and given that, to date such abandonment activities have been relatively few, the need<br />

to establish and test an appropriate regulatory framework.<br />

National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong><br />

99


SECTOR SPECIFIC CHALLENGES, CONSTRAINTS AND OPPORTUNITIES<br />

International competition<br />

The emergence of the United States as a new and materially low cost LNG supplier into both the Atlantic<br />

and Pacific basins, with the United States seen as a low risk jurisdiction for delivery and sovereign risk –<br />

a position which Australia has held for many years.<br />

• The expansion of gas exports into China from Russian and Baltic nations.<br />

• The unknown but potential rise of a domestic Chinese unconventional source of gas supply.<br />

• Difficulty of local service providers to integrate into the international supply chain.<br />

Collaboration<br />

Increasing collaboration to reduce overall operating costs, with operators and the service sector working<br />

to find ways to reduce costs through sharing of knowledge, equipment and facilities. Where appropriate,<br />

this collaboration may need to be ratified through discussions with the Australian Consumer and<br />

Competition Commission (ACCC).<br />

Key opportunities<br />

Increasing and improving collaboration<br />

Increasing collaboration amongst operators to maximise asset productivity.<br />

Improving collaboration between operators and technology and engineering service providers to increase<br />

innovation and productivity.<br />

Develop an export-oriented service sector<br />

Leveraging the critical mass emerging in Australian operations to develop an export-oriented service sector.<br />

Ensure future capital investment<br />

Addressing cost, regulatory and social licence concerns to ensure Australia continues to be perceived as a<br />

politically stable and economically reliable destination for future capital investment.<br />

Develop shale and tight gas basins<br />

Developing shale and tight gas basins to support domestic demand, and potentially for export (note, that<br />

without the scale of a large market such as export LNG, domestic only unconventional gas may not prove<br />

economic using current indicators).<br />

Investigate emerging markets<br />

Investigate opportunities in growing and emerging new markets such as India, and explore and pursue<br />

alternate markets for existing products such as the use of gas as a transport fuel.<br />

Increasing capacity and critical mass of the LNG industry<br />

Based on the 2015 Accenture report 61 , key performance measures in the oil and gas industry are<br />

expected to increase in the next five years, but the size of the services sector and direct employment<br />

numbers in the oil and gas industry will decline.<br />

The total capital investment, including capital and operating expenses, will rise to over $750 billion by<br />

2040, significantly overshadowing project capital investment. This is a major opportunity for the services<br />

industry to reshape itself to manage the long tail of operations and maintenance associated with LNG<br />

projects. However, the total size of the oil and gas services market is expected to decline from its high of<br />

$29.3 billion in 2014 to $23.1 billion in 2020. Strong growth in demand for operational, maintenance<br />

and turnaround services will offset some decline in construction services.<br />

100 National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong>


SECTOR SPECIFIC CHALLENGES, CONSTRAINTS AND OPPORTUNITIES<br />

Domestic gas market growth<br />

A number of opportunities to grow the domestic market for oil and gas such as those identified by McKinsey 71 .<br />

These include: using natural gas to power Australia’s trucks; converting mining trucks to run on LNG; run<br />

Australia’s public transport busses on compressed natural gas (CNG); use LNG as bunkering fuel for domestic<br />

ships and ultimately international shipping; switch to LNG for rail; switch off-grid oil-fired power generation<br />

to gas; switch on-grid power generation to gas; and increase the utilisation of existing efficient gas plants.<br />

These changes will require financial investment and some changes in usage expectations. However,<br />

McKinsey are also forecast substantial ongoing cost savings and CO 2<br />

emissions reductions. Adoption of<br />

many of these opportunities are currently constrained by a combination of low costs for traditional liquid<br />

fuels and the pace of renewal of vehicle fleets which would need to be changed to use LNG.<br />

Such changes could decrease our national reliance on imported oil products but also assist in meeting<br />

Australia’s CO 2<br />

emissions obligations under COP21 17 .<br />

Australian coal industry<br />

Increased pressure to reduce CO 2<br />

emissions and a switch towards renewable energy sources locally<br />

means that domestic demand for thermal coal is forecast to decline over the next 10 years. However,<br />

reduced domestic demand will be offset by increased export demand from Asia and an anticipated overall<br />

growing global demand 4 . Demand for metallurgical coal is expected to increase in the medium term with<br />

reinvigorated demand from China and other developing nations.<br />

Key challenges<br />

Market volatility<br />

Sub-optimal asset productivity and costs in a volatile price environment.<br />

Inefficient rail transport<br />

High cost and inefficient infrastructure contracts impacting some producers.<br />

Pressures on land and water use<br />

Overlap of coal mining tenements with agricultural land in New South Wales and Queensland, leading to<br />

conflicting pressures on land and water use.<br />

Water availability<br />

Effective management of both surface and ground water consistent with environmental requirements.<br />

Societal concerns<br />

Increasing social concern with climate change and the environmental impact of resource extraction,<br />

which will limit the industry’s social licence to operate.<br />

Regulatory burden<br />

Increasing Government regulation and ‘green tape’.<br />

Cost effective closure plans<br />

Development of coherent and cost effective mine closure and rehabilitation plans.<br />

SECTOR CHALLENGES AND KNOWLEDGE PRIORITIES<br />

National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong><br />

101


SECTOR SPECIFIC CHALLENGES, CONSTRAINTS AND OPPORTUNITIES<br />

Key opportunities<br />

Technology<br />

Technological advances and implementation of operator assist and decision support technologies used in<br />

other bulk commodities to unlock productivity improvements.<br />

Ongoing utilisation of high efficiency low emission (HELE) technologies, control of fugitive emissions and<br />

carbon capture and storage (CCS) to minimise carbon footprint.<br />

Mine water storage capacity<br />

Improved mine design and operations to facilitate reduced consumption and compliance with regulatory<br />

scrutiny of water use.<br />

Service industry utilisation<br />

Improving utilisation of the service industry to leverage existing capacity of workshops, skilled personnel<br />

and equipment.<br />

Product mix<br />

Product mix evolution with the development of new superior products.<br />

Asian demand<br />

Strategic targeting of increasing Asian demand for higher quality coal with a higher specific energy and<br />

lower ash content.<br />

Australian uranium industry<br />

The uranium industry will need to overcome regulatory hurdles, perceived radiation safety concerns and<br />

social licence to operate issues in order to participate fully in the energy future of Australia and the world.<br />

Key challenges<br />

Public awareness<br />

Lack of informed public literacy around the science associated with uranium and nuclear energy<br />

generation, and the different risks associated with different energy sources and technologies.<br />

Limited port access<br />

Limits to the ports from where uranium can be exported, with only Darwin and Adelaide currently<br />

licensed for the export of uranium; and limits to the ability of the industry to access ports elsewhere in<br />

Australia whilst carrying cargoes of uranium, thereby restricting the options available to the domestic<br />

uranium industry to transport its products to international customers.<br />

Regulatory environment<br />

Legislative and policy restrictions at the Federal and State levels on mining uranium e.g. in New South<br />

Wales, Queensland and Victoria, and on the development of nuclear power and other parts of the<br />

uranium value chain (e.g. waste management and disposal), which limit the growth of the industry.<br />

Better processing knowledge<br />

Building a comprehensive understanding of how to better and more efficiently process the challenging<br />

ore bodies in which much of the known Australian uranium is found.<br />

102 National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong>


SECTOR SPECIFIC CHALLENGES, CONSTRAINTS AND OPPORTUNITIES<br />

Equipment and skill shortages<br />

Equipment and skills shortages which limit the capacity of Australian mines to respond quickly to an<br />

increase in demand.<br />

International competition<br />

Strategic development of uranium production capacity by Kazakhstan 5 through counter-cycle investment<br />

has positioned them ahead of Australia to respond to any increase in uranium demand, although<br />

Australian uranium is regarded by many customers as their preferred product.<br />

Key initiatives<br />

Given the drive to reduce carbon emissions globally, Australia’s uranium could acquire a much more<br />

significant position as a source of export revenue for the nation. To realise this potential Australia needs<br />

to pursue the following initiatives:<br />

Energy literacy<br />

As part of a broader energy literacy initiative, the sector needs to help enhance the overall level of public<br />

understanding of how energy resources are produced, how power is generated, the risks associated with<br />

different energy sources and technologies, and the role energy resources play in the nation’s economy.<br />

The sector needs to continue to engage with the community and test evolving attitudes towards uranium<br />

mining and other aspects of the nuclear value chain.<br />

Regulatory change<br />

Review restrictive legislation, and reform and replace with robust, risk and outcomes based, efficient, and<br />

fit for purpose regulation.<br />

Testing new technologies<br />

Test technological improvements such as reagent advances, heap leaching and in-situ leaching to<br />

improve production capacity with low operating expenditure.<br />

Work skills<br />

Improve the attractiveness of the uranium mining sector to the workforce, in terms of salaries and skill<br />

development for radiation safety.<br />

Cross <strong>Sector</strong> Challenges and<br />

Opportunities<br />

Many opportunities and challenges span two or more sectors or are broader than the energy resources sector,<br />

and these are likely to have profound influences and impacts on the energy resources sector in the coming years.<br />

This includes factors such as the rapid emergence of renewable energy technologies that, when added to<br />

the global and domestic energy mix, will drive markets in unanticipated directions. An example of this can be<br />

currently seen in the deployment of domestic solar power technologies to meet household electricity needs,<br />

which are causing substantial disruption to the generation and distribution networks, as well as increased<br />

levels of pricing instability. The impact of large scale uptake of solar panels, combined with emerging<br />

domestic battery storage and smart grid technology, will cause even greater disruptions.<br />

An ageing working population and declining numbers of students pursuing science, technology, engineering<br />

and mathematics (STEM) subjects in schools and universities is a challenge not only for the energy resources<br />

sector, but for Australia as a whole. This will add to the challenges the energy resources sector faces in<br />

ensuring it has access to a highly skilled and competent workforce to pursue future development, and<br />

to meet the requirements to develop innovative solutions and technologies, such as use of digital and<br />

diagnostic analytics, automation and advanced manufacturing technologies and processes.<br />

SECTOR CHALLENGES AND KNOWLEDGE PRIORITIES<br />

National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong><br />

103


How the<br />

Australian Energy<br />

Resources <strong>Sector</strong><br />

Should Respond<br />

The three levers to a strong future<br />

To remain competitive and build future markets and customers, the sector<br />

will need to address three primary levers: a suitable business model; a<br />

contemporary and future focussed operating model incorporating technological<br />

capabilities; and the right capability, skills and culture to succeed.<br />

104 National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong>


HOW THE AUSTRALIAN ENERGY RESOURCE SECTOR SHOULD RESPOND<br />

1<br />

Business<br />

models<br />

2<br />

Operational<br />

models and<br />

technology<br />

capabilities<br />

3<br />

Capacity,<br />

skills and<br />

culture<br />

The energy resources sector needs to find new markets to supplement those it<br />

currently serves, secure new customers and provide alternate forms of services that<br />

more deeply engage with the value chain. This can potentially include providing<br />

turnkey solutions to customers rather than simply the products used to generate<br />

energy, delivering clean technologies and the gasification of coal to produce<br />

hydrogen. This could also include the provision of knowledge and skills in specialist<br />

areas such as LNG operations, remote operations and modular construction.<br />

The sector also needs to build stronger, collaborative relationships within<br />

the entire energy resources value chain, global partnerships to access<br />

global supply chains, and with other industry sectors such as advanced<br />

manufacturing, defence and shipping, where the synergies and common<br />

challenges may lead to novel and valuable solutions.<br />

The last two to three years have seen significant cost cutting across businesses<br />

but there are still significant efficiencies to be captured by reconsidering<br />

existing operating models and exploring new ways of reducing process<br />

complexity and waste, finding ways to collaborate more broadly, sharing<br />

logistics demands through consolidation, reduce unnecessary and expensive<br />

bespoke standards and conditions around contracts, inductions, training and<br />

qualifications and seeking ways to use common, industry wide substitutes.<br />

Businesses need to be open to sharing environmental and other research and<br />

data which is non-competitive and of benefit to the sector as a whole.<br />

Businesses in the sector could also increase their efforts to optimise their<br />

operations through ongoing development and deployment of automation, the<br />

adoption of advanced manufacturing such as 3D printing, the use of alternate<br />

materials and the adoption of lean systems.<br />

To drive innovation across the value and supply chains, the sector should support<br />

greater collaboration between the operators/miners, research sector and SME’s,<br />

through, for example, research/industry precincts and living labs to allow faster<br />

prototyping and testing, multi-user facilities and industry and innovation clusters<br />

(clusters can force-multiply investment, reduce risk for the participants and<br />

commercial contributors and speed innovation, whilst vendors can collaborate to<br />

achieve critical mass and improve ease of access for export opportunities).<br />

The sector could further collaborate to optimise processes through the development<br />

and adoption of disruptive technologies such as machine learning and diagnostics,<br />

3D printing, advanced materials and new ways to build small scale, economically<br />

viable plants that contain the capital investment required to maintain production.<br />

There are also further opportunities for the sector to share non-competitive and<br />

pre-competitive information such as environmental and meteorological data.<br />

For the sector to be competitive in a disruptive and rapidly changing<br />

environment with operations that are becoming more automated, integrated<br />

and digital, it must have the capacity, skills and culture to be agile, adapt<br />

and innovate. The sector must define and develop the skills required for<br />

the ‘operations of the future’, spread digital competencies more broadly<br />

throughout the workforce so that members of every organisation have the<br />

skills to leverage the volume and quality of data available.<br />

The sector must invest in the development of enhanced commercial skills to identify<br />

and respond to new market, customer and service opportunities, and reward<br />

innovation and the uptake of new technologies, through creating a more agile<br />

and adaptable workforce ad operating environment where the risks of deploying<br />

new technologies can be quickly calculated and innovative decisions made.<br />

SECTOR CHALLENGES AND KNOWLEDGE PRIORITIES<br />

National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong><br />

105


HOW THE AUSTRALIAN ENERGY RESOURCE SECTOR SHOULD RESPOND<br />

Regulations<br />

Whilst addressing all of the levers above is essential to achieving a competitive, sustainable and<br />

innovative industry and maximising the value to the Australian economy, the full potential benefits cannot<br />

be delivered unless the regulatory environment supports industry, and costly and unnecessary barriers<br />

are removed. Regulation should provide stakeholders and the community with confidence that the<br />

industry is operating to, and held accountable by, governments for the achievement of clear, transparent<br />

and high standards of performance that take into account the proportionate risk associated with the<br />

activities being controlled. Regulations should not increasingly create sovereign risk that inhibits domestic<br />

and inward investment. In particular, the regulation of exploration activities across the sector requires<br />

review to ensure the sector can identify, access and develop future resources to support the last decade’s<br />

massive investment in infrastructure with future production, and to provide Australia with diversity in<br />

energy supply and secure, affordable and reliable energy into the future. Finally, businesses themselves<br />

also must review their own internal requirements and remove or streamline those self-imposed<br />

requirements that simply add cost to the business without delivering any ongoing benefits.<br />

Incremental improvement<br />

• Leaner operations, as exemplified by the many operators already focusing on increasing asset utilisation.<br />

• Better management of high cost activities, particularly in new projects and other major capital investments.<br />

• Increasing movement by operators toward sharing infrastructure both at their facilities and in<br />

locations such as maintenance and supply bases.<br />

• Collaborative planning of labour and resource intensive planned maintenance and upgrade activities<br />

to avoid competition over labour and shop time.<br />

• Staff reviews at facilities and in various national head offices.<br />

• An increasing drive to improve productivity from new and existing assets.<br />

Transformational improvement<br />

• Develop operating models focusing on new and innovative execution approaches and better<br />

leveraging of existing capacity. Build on Australia’s highly regarded existing capabilities in, for<br />

example, remote operations and data analytics for process optimisation and decision making, to<br />

support operational and value chain optimisation.<br />

• Expand our strengths in the development of alternative energy sources and act as a baseline energy<br />

source for Asia.<br />

• Assist developing nations, particularly those transitioning from fossil fuels, to meet their emissions<br />

reduction commitments by providing energy diversification and reliable electrical grids and systems.<br />

• Increase ‘energy literacy’ of communities, governments, regulators, companies and other stakeholders.<br />

• Become an exporter of clean technologies to developing countries. This could include low carbon<br />

emission technologies, hybrid power generation, battery storage and carbon capture and storage (where<br />

Australia’s geology provides a strong competitive advantage). Leading the development and adoption<br />

of these clean technologies is likely to help the sector win social licence, drive up the demand of our<br />

existing energy resource portfolio, as well as opening up new markets (i.e. gasification, utilising lower<br />

ranked coal deposits with low ash fusion temperatures).<br />

106 National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong>


107<br />

SECTOR CHALLENGES AND KNOWLEDGE PRIORITIES


<strong>Sector</strong> Knowledge<br />

Priorities<br />

While many of the actions required to address the sector challenges and<br />

opportunities are relatively well known and understood, there are other<br />

issues which are less well defined or where known knowledge gaps exist.<br />

Knowledge priorities were identified during the consultation period in<br />

preparation of this SCP and have been aligned with <strong>NERA</strong>’s key themes.<br />

These knowledge priorities are the areas where additional work is required<br />

to understand the sector’s current challenges and choices.<br />

The knowledge priorities will change over time as new challenges and<br />

breakthroughs arise; however, it is through systematically addressing these<br />

knowledge priorities now, that the industry will build and maintain its<br />

globally competitive edge and thrive into the future.<br />

108 National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong>


SECTOR KNOWLEDGE PRIORITIES<br />

Knowledge priorities have been grouped into three categories:<br />

1<br />

Capability and<br />

leadership<br />

2<br />

Business and<br />

operating models,<br />

technology<br />

and services<br />

3<br />

Regulatory<br />

environment<br />

Capability and leadership includes those priorities that require the<br />

development of work skills, either at the specific workplace level or<br />

more holistically across the industry, along with the development of a<br />

more mature and comprehensive knowledge of areas such as resource<br />

databases, specific research driven work, and, working with the broader<br />

community to develop a greater level of energy literacy.<br />

Business and operating models, technology and services considers<br />

how the sector can develop and deploy new and emerging technology<br />

to enhance its productivity and effectiveness in areas such as remote<br />

operations, the use of unmanned aerial and marine vehicles (drones)<br />

and exploring new and alternate marketplaces and uses of its products.<br />

Regulatory environment considers how a better and more balanced<br />

regulatory framework in which the energy resources sector can develop<br />

into the future.<br />

Many of the knowledge priorities, set out in Table 13, encompass multiple challenges and opportunities.<br />

Each of the knowledge priorities are broken down into focus areas and initiatives. The focus areas,<br />

developed following consultation workshops and industry research, are the major areas of opportunity for<br />

the sector and the initiatives highlight activities that are either already underway or under consideration.<br />

These knowledge priorities and initiatives will be periodically reviewed against <strong>NERA</strong>’s vision, mission,<br />

strategic outcomes and strategic views and revised periodically to ensure an ongoing focus on the most<br />

beneficial and relevant outcomes for the energy resources sector.<br />

The knowledge priorities action plan set out in Table 14 identifies the relationships between the nine<br />

knowledge priorities with the constraints facing the sector and, identifies both initial ownership and<br />

stewardship for addressing each of the related actions, along with timeframes to initiate activities. By<br />

addressing these priorities in a structured way, the sector will be able to build progressively toward its future.<br />

SECTOR CHALLENGES AND KNOWLEDGE PRIORITIES<br />

National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong><br />

109


SECTOR KNOWLEDGE PRIORITIES<br />

Table 13: <strong>Sector</strong> knowledge priorities<br />

Knowledge priority<br />

1 Work skills<br />

for the future<br />

Focus areas<br />

• Integrated operations of the future<br />

• Workforce capability<br />

• Project management skills<br />

Capability and leadership<br />

2 Enabling effective<br />

collaboration<br />

3 Understanding<br />

Australia’s<br />

resource base<br />

• Cross company collaboration<br />

• Intergenerational and interdisciplinary engagement<br />

• Industry and applied research collaboration<br />

• Developing a greater understanding of prospective basin<br />

geology across the minerals and energy sectors<br />

4 Social licence<br />

to operate<br />

• Social benefits<br />

• Infrastructure closure and rehabilitation<br />

• Water management<br />

• Tailings management<br />

Business and operating models, technology and services<br />

5 Unlocking future<br />

resources<br />

6 New markets,<br />

New technologies,<br />

New business models<br />

7 Commercialisation<br />

of R&D<br />

8 Efficient operations<br />

and maintenance<br />

• Integrated geological information<br />

• Cross industry collaboration<br />

• Maximising ageing assets<br />

• Environmental science collaboration<br />

• Asian trade agreements<br />

• Develop international technology partnerships<br />

• Commercialisation of operational technological developments<br />

• Carbon capture and storage (CCS)<br />

• Low emissions technologies<br />

• LNG as a fuel<br />

• Hybrid technologies<br />

• Adapting to the changing energy mix<br />

• Living labs<br />

• Understanding and developing commercialisation pathways<br />

• Operating models for remote operations<br />

• Data, digitisation and predictive analytics<br />

• Robotics, sensors and automation<br />

• Develop a greater understanding of decommissioning techniques<br />

Regulatory<br />

environment<br />

9 Regulatory framework<br />

optimisation<br />

• Encouraging sensible regulatory frameworks to allow ongoing exploration<br />

• Harmonisation of standards<br />

• Review of self-imposed regulations<br />

• Industrial relations and workplace reform*<br />

• Resource management reform and review of the existing permitting systems<br />

* Note: Industrial relations and industrial reform are not part of <strong>NERA</strong>’s scope<br />

110 National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong>


SECTOR KNOWLEDGE PRIORITIES<br />

KPI’s<br />

Improve management and work skills<br />

• Map workforce skills and capacity in each sector cluster against project planning cycles.<br />

Improve efficiencies in workforce planning<br />

• Standardise training requirements to improve efficiencies in workforce utilisation.<br />

Increase cross company collaboration<br />

• Develop at least [6] clusters in high technology areas.<br />

Build knowledge and enhance access to information<br />

• Improve energy resources sector access to robust sources of geophysical data and<br />

promote trusted custodians of information.<br />

Initiatives<br />

• Identify future skills requirements<br />

• Identify and develop appropriate and accredited<br />

training to meet future skills needs<br />

• Ensure a future focussed training and education sector<br />

• Explore new opportunities to export knowledge<br />

• Establish regional industry and innovation clusters<br />

• Asset and equipment sharing<br />

• Infrastructure sharing<br />

• Shut-down scheduling<br />

• Industry specific collaboration<br />

• Cross industry collaboration<br />

• Common facility inductions<br />

• Shared operational practices<br />

• Weather research and modelling<br />

• Industry data initiative<br />

• Share non-competitive data across sectors<br />

Strengthen engagement with communities<br />

• Develop a communications strategy which engages with stakeholders outside<br />

the energy resources sector to articulate the social, economic and environmental<br />

benefits and challenges of the sector.<br />

• Identify and apply solutions for water stewardship and tailings management<br />

including by applying new technologies.<br />

Unlock resources<br />

• Add to the number of projects in the publicly announced and feasibility stages.<br />

Improve commercialisation and acceptance of new technology<br />

• Unlock value and accelerate commercialisation by identifying at least [25] new<br />

technology projects.<br />

Improve R&D capability by identifying barriers and mapping gaps<br />

• Identify and map barriers and gaps in sector commercialisation funnel.<br />

• Respond to gaps by building alignment between research funding and emerging industry<br />

clusters in a least 2 key areas across oil and gas, coal seam gas, uranium and coal.<br />

Improve R&D commercialisation<br />

• Increase applied research and commercialisation.<br />

Increased commercialisation outcomes<br />

• Increase the number of companies claiming the R&D tax credits for sector relevant<br />

technologies by identifying and unlocking commercialisation barriers.<br />

Reduce costs and improve efficiencies<br />

• Adapt new technologies to improve efficiencies and productivity in existing projects<br />

by [20%], including by developing at least [2] shared remote operating centres.<br />

Identify and map barriers<br />

• Identify and map key areas where regulatory reform in the sector is needed,<br />

and support possible reforms.<br />

Align Australia’s standards with international best practice<br />

• Deliver 2 projects on enhanced alignment of Australian Standards with<br />

international best practice<br />

• Community engagement and education<br />

• Research social, economic and environmental<br />

consequences of the activities of the energy<br />

resources sector<br />

• Energy literacy<br />

• Information stewardship<br />

• Work with technology suppliers to identify new<br />

ways to access resources<br />

• Computational geoscience<br />

• Unmanned aircraft systems geophysics<br />

• Extend the network of small scale LNG facilities<br />

• Broader support for focused innovation<br />

• Strengthen industry-led research stewardship<br />

• Enhance industry engagement with research<br />

institutions<br />

• Research and development funding models<br />

• Improve understanding of Intellectual Property<br />

• Support living labs and pilot plants<br />

• Explore ways to build the industry’s skill base in<br />

remote operations and facility life extension<br />

• Focussed research and early deployment of<br />

new technologies<br />

• Research into life extension of ageing facilities<br />

• Adopt and harmonise international standards<br />

• Regulatory reform to support ongoing sector growth<br />

• Review regulatory frameworks<br />

SECTOR CHALLENGES AND KNOWLEDGE PRIORITIES<br />

National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong><br />

111


SECTOR KNOWLEDGE PRIORITIES<br />

Table 14: Knowledge priorities action plan<br />

Improve<br />

adoption of<br />

Innovation<br />

Close the<br />

skills gaps<br />

1<br />

Work skills for<br />

the future<br />

Capability and leadership<br />

2<br />

3<br />

Enabling effective<br />

collaboration<br />

Understand<br />

Australia’s<br />

resource base<br />

4<br />

Social licence<br />

to operate<br />

Business and operating models, technology and services<br />

5<br />

6<br />

7<br />

8<br />

Unlock future<br />

resources<br />

New markets,<br />

New technologies,<br />

New business models<br />

Commercialisation<br />

of research and<br />

development<br />

Efficient operations<br />

and maintenance<br />

Regulatory<br />

environment<br />

9<br />

Regulatory<br />

framework<br />

optimisation<br />

KEY PARTIES: Operator Supplier Research Government Education<br />

112 National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong>


SECTOR KNOWLEDGE PRIORITIES<br />

Challenges<br />

Enhance<br />

productivity<br />

Manage<br />

water<br />

stewardship<br />

Address<br />

high cost<br />

environment<br />

Improve<br />

energy<br />

literacy<br />

Reduce<br />

sovereign<br />

risk<br />

.<br />

.<br />

SECTOR CHALLENGES AND KNOWLEDGE PRIORITIES<br />

WHEN: Short Medium Long<br />

National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong><br />

113


Capability and<br />

Leadership<br />

1. WORK SKILLS OF THE FUTURE<br />

The recent rapid growth in the industry and the technological evolution occurring in the energy resources sector<br />

are causing substantial changes in the nature, makeup and profile of skills required to design, build, operate<br />

and maintain facilities now and into the future. Adapting the role of education in supporting this “fourth<br />

industrial revolution” 71 is key to the sector’s ongoing success. Ongoing collaborative investigation is required<br />

to identify, develop and deploy the work skills required to maintain the Australian sector at the forefront<br />

of operational competitiveness, and to provide well paid, safe and productive jobs for future generations.<br />

Integrated operations of the future<br />

Without an operations workforce of critical mass that is suitably skilled in new technology, the Australian<br />

energy resources sector will struggle to achieve high productivity and global competitiveness.<br />

New practices and evolving technologies are changing the maintenance and operations requirements of<br />

industrial facilities. The operations and maintenance must adapt in order to allow the sector to get the<br />

most benefit from these changes.<br />

The sector needs to build a comprehensive understanding of the requirements for future operations in<br />

terms of scope, scale, skills and experience and, in parallel, identify how the next generation of operations<br />

and maintenance staff will be attracted to the industry and where they will receive the training and<br />

preparation required.<br />

114 National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong>


CAPABILITY AND LEADERSHIP<br />

CASE STUDY<br />

Collaborative Training Project<br />

Research undertaken by Deloitte on behalf of the Resources Industry Training Council 75 identified<br />

that within Western Australia and the Northern Territory alone, savings of up to $22 million per<br />

annum could be made through the development of a collaborative employee training approach.<br />

Such an approach would see the adoption of industry wide training standards and certification for<br />

new personnel accepted by all employers, after which employers would provide specific additional<br />

training to bridge the gap to meet their requirements.<br />

The reports found the delivery of training for common competencies at an industry level is more<br />

cost effective than the delivery of training by each operator and the pooling of training resources<br />

allows operators to access higher quality training infrastructure and programs.<br />

The report goes on to suggest that further savings are available through the development of quality<br />

training infrastructure through pooling of training resources. Increased confidence in training would<br />

be evident through development of a pool of recognised training providers. Such an approach<br />

could offer improved business outcomes and success in this initiative could pave the way for<br />

further collaborative training programs.<br />

Workforce capability<br />

The sector must continue to drive development of a consolidated sectoral perspective on skills needed<br />

to meet future industry requirements. It is possible such a perspective may involve the transition to a<br />

multi-skilled workforce able to work across functional disciplines (e.g. multidisciplinary operations and<br />

maintenance providers) as well as Australian based subject matter experts to support the operation<br />

and maintenance phases of the facilities. This will include aspects such as training and competency<br />

development and labour retention in all workforce categories.<br />

Research could also focus on the requisite future skillsets required for uranium mining. This could include<br />

nationally consistent and recognised formal education and training pathways for radiation safety officers<br />

to support not only the potentially growing uranium industry, nuclear waste disposal and the operation of<br />

nuclear power stations, but also those industry areas dealing with naturally occurring radioactive materials<br />

such as the mineral sands industry, and industries who use radiation sources for metering purposes.<br />

Project management skills<br />

While the Australian energy resources sector is well regarded internationally for its technical and operational<br />

expertise, there is a definite and urgent gap in the depth of project management skills. Some of these<br />

deficiencies were apparent in the project delivery timeframes and costs experienced during the recent<br />

construction, development and expansion phase, where many projects across the sector were delivered<br />

late and substantially over budget. This has in part contributed to the perception of Australia as a high<br />

cost and difficult place to do business, and which may impact on international investment in any new<br />

future projects in Australia.<br />

The need to address these deficiencies has been considered and outlined in a number of research<br />

publications, including the work of the International Centre for Complex Project Management (ICCPM),<br />

which made specific recommendations 73 around delivery leadership, collaboration, benefits realisation,<br />

risk opportunity and resilience, culture, communication and relationships, sustainability and education<br />

which, if addressed will go some way to ensure future project delivery is world class.<br />

The issues in this area sit both at the operators’ level, where those shaping the projects may lack the<br />

experience, training and support to understand their roles in establishing the project framework 74 , and with<br />

the organisations within the value chain, where pressures to deliver multiple projects concurrently, often<br />

mean personnel are placed in roles for which they are not fully prepared. With the energy resources sector,<br />

highly sensitised to costs, it is vital that future projects are delivered to time and to budget, if not better.<br />

SECTOR CHALLENGES AND KNOWLEDGE PRIORITIES<br />

National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong><br />

115


CAPABILITY AND LEADERSHIP<br />

Initiatives to support the development of future works skills<br />

Identify future skills requirements<br />

To effectively plan for its future workforce, the energy resources sector first needs to know what skills<br />

will be required to operate the plants of today and tomorrow, with existing and emerging technologies.<br />

These workforce requirements will span the business and leadership skills required to enable the<br />

sector to adapt, innovate and be globally competitive, the engineering and design skills required to<br />

conceptualise, design, test and construct new technologies and new facilities, and the operator and<br />

maintenance skills required to run the plants using innovative and new technologies. Many of these skills<br />

will already be present to some degree in the workforce, and can provide the base on which to build.<br />

The gaps need to be identified and strategies for developing appropriate skills established to build a<br />

skilled workforce of an appropriate scale and quality to serve the industry as a whole. This is likely to<br />

deepen implementation of new learning technologies to support skills development such as technology<br />

enabled learning and virtual/augmented reality.<br />

Identify and develop appropriate and accredited training to meet future skills needs<br />

As the skills requirements for the future workforce are identified, it is necessary to ensure the appropriate<br />

education, training and development resources, technologies and facilities are in place. This will<br />

include both the vocational training and tertiary education sectors either developing new programs or<br />

modifying existing material, and identifying the most appropriate skills development methodologies and<br />

technologies (e.g. virtual, simulated and interactive).<br />

Research undertaken for the Resources Industry Training Council (RITC) suggests that there is the<br />

opportunity for the resources sector in Western Australia and the Northern Territory alone to save up to<br />

$22 million per annum through the development, deployment and adoption of common standards 75 .<br />

Similarly, in the engineering space, the recently completed Australian Pipelines and Gas Association (APGA)<br />

Pipeline Engineer Competency Standards 76 which benchmark pipeline engineering skills and the Petroleum<br />

Engineering Guidelines 77 jointly administered by the Society of Petroleum Engineers (SPE) and Engineers<br />

Australia are examples of where standardisation will give rise to greater industry confidence in outcomes<br />

and drive efficiencies. From a skills development delivery perspective, learner demands are forecast to<br />

substantially alter, causing training providers and universities to reconsider learning strategies and adopt<br />

more innovative ways of delivery.<br />

Ensure a future focussed training and education sector<br />

Those tasked with meeting the training needs of the workforce will need to recognise the diverse and<br />

rapidly changing employment landscape. Research into jobs of the future 78, 79 is increasingly identifying that<br />

the workforce of the future will need to continually refresh its skills to keep pace with technological change<br />

and allow for horizontal, vertical and diagonal movement into new roles. To support this need, training<br />

organisations and universities must continually explore future skill needs and develop new and evolving<br />

material and training opportunities to service the skills requirements of the workforce.<br />

It is expected this may further blur the boundaries between vocational education and training and university<br />

based higher education programs. Energy resources sector participation in processes established by the<br />

Australian Industry and Skills Committee 82 to review and refine vocational education and training programs<br />

is a tangible way of achieving a greater match between work skills of the future and the formal education<br />

and training sector.<br />

116 National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong>


CAPABILITY AND LEADERSHIP<br />

Explore new opportunities to export knowledge<br />

There is a real and growing opportunity to grow and develop Australia’s specialist and niche skills export<br />

capability. During the resource sector’s recent expansion there was a focus on ensuring a sufficient skills<br />

depth to meet demand from both the construction and operational phases. The investment in this capability<br />

now presents an opportunity for Australia to export this “know how” to other countries and sectors.<br />

Exploiting these opportunities should focus on those areas where Australia has a competitive advantage<br />

and where demand exists in the global market. Further exploration of how these skills can be developed,<br />

commercialised and marketed, within and across sectors both domestically and internationally, will be<br />

key to achieving competitive advantage. Potential candidates for further exploration include: remote<br />

operations, operations in hostile and challenging environments, robotics and automation, and data and<br />

analytics for process optimisation and decision making.<br />

The export of Australia’s skills development capability can be achieved by large providers of education<br />

and training services through their global alliances and networks. For many small and medium enterprises<br />

this access is extremely difficult to build, presenting a case for government bodies such as Austrade to<br />

provide specific international support in the export of these capabilities.<br />

2. ENABLING EFFECTIVE COLLABORATION<br />

It is broadly acknowledged within all areas of industry that a combination of competitive pressures and<br />

the culture of the sector has prevented meaningful collaboration to date on issues that are of benefit to<br />

everyone. This lack of collaboration has resulted in duplication of infrastructure and wasted opportunities<br />

to reduce costs of project development and operations, while at the same time limiting opportunities<br />

to form strong partnerships between operators/miners, the service sector and research organisations to<br />

drive innovation and technology.<br />

There is a shortage of opportunities for protagonists in the industry to meet in non-competitive, truly<br />

independent environments where they can share their problems and work together to identify the best<br />

solutions, regardless of their position in the value chain. Collaboration and strong innovative partnerships<br />

focus on key strategic challenges such as sharing critical infrastructure, developing common safety and<br />

operating practices, sharing research and development investments and communicating learnings, and<br />

in the areas of new technologies, new approaches and cross industry sharing of knowledge so that<br />

the industry and the economy can benefit. If such independent and collaborative forums could become<br />

more common, there is a great potential to seed and nurture new ideas, innovations and solutions and<br />

to significantly improve the global competitiveness and export potential of the energy resources supply<br />

chain in Australia.<br />

Clearly, in the current tight marketplace, substantial collective benefits could be achieved through targeted<br />

collaboration, whether in contributing information, resources or infrastructure. Such collaboration could<br />

occur in several ways: amongst operators within a sector; between operators and the research sector;<br />

between the service providers; between service providers and the research sector; and, between different<br />

industry sectors. Such approaches also need to consider potential impacts on competition and would<br />

require early engagement with the Australian Competition and Consumer Commission (ACCC).<br />

The participants in the sector need to continue to open their doors to one another and actively explore<br />

ways to grow together.<br />

SECTOR CHALLENGES AND KNOWLEDGE PRIORITIES<br />

National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong><br />

117


CAPABILITY AND LEADERSHIP<br />

Cross company collaboration<br />

Collaboration between organisations working in the same value chain could offer substantial cost savings<br />

in logistics, workshop and stores space and stock levels. Historically, operators and their suppliers of<br />

goods and services have operated their own value chains, resulting in duplication of materials and effort.<br />

Finding safe, independent mechanisms for collaboration across the value chain could result in substantial<br />

cost savings for all parties.<br />

Organisations potentially seeking to collaborate could work together, and with the ACCC, to establish<br />

clearly defined and sanctioned areas for collaboration. These would be areas where, through working on<br />

common issues, the industry would provide a greater level of benefit for the nation and for themselves<br />

without jeopardising their corporate competitive advantages or being considered as anti-competitive.<br />

Once a consensus has been clearly established and, if necessary ratified, of where collaboration can<br />

occur, other areas where there is less clarity, that emerge as the industry evolves can be given specific<br />

consideration on a case by case basis. Such agreements would make ongoing discussions much easier<br />

and clearer since issues of anti-competitive behaviour would have been removed.<br />

Intergenerational and interdisciplinary engagement<br />

As the Australian energy resources sector seeks to embrace new and emerging technologies, a deeper<br />

and stronger engagement is needed with all generations, particularly the emerging generation of digital<br />

citizens entering the workforce.<br />

New methods for engaging with new potential sources of, and partners to, ideas, innovations and solutions,<br />

such as hackathons and crowd sourcing, have already emerged and have strong early industry support.<br />

Such engagement may not be easy for all participants in the industry, particularly where the culture<br />

has often been about guarding ideas and knowledge within a business, with the perception that this<br />

knowledge constitutes a key strategic asset or advantage. In an environment of rapid change, this view<br />

is being challenged. Experiences in other sectors have demonstrated that fully unlocking and transferring<br />

knowledge, as well as pooling data held by multiple organisations, can ultimately create a more resilient<br />

and agile industry essentially growing a bigger pie, which will benefit those involved.<br />

Industry and applied research collaboration<br />

Australia has a very strong and accomplished research community, spanning government research<br />

organisations such as CSIRO and the Australian Nuclear Science and Technology Organisation (ANSTO),<br />

along with many public and private research centres in universities and business. These groups are<br />

conducting world leading research in many areas that would be of benefit to the energy resources sector.<br />

Similarly, the energy resources sector is often in need of independent, cutting edge research to better deal<br />

with the challenges faced in improving the sector’s global competitiveness and adapting to clean and low<br />

emissions technologies. Yet the issue of understanding the opportunities to collaborate and then leveraging<br />

them into meaningful outcomes is an ongoing challenge for many researchers and industry representatives.<br />

Australian society invests more than two per cent of GDP in the research sector, a percentage which has<br />

been declining in recent years. Nationally, Australia ranks only twenty-sixth 2 on the global innovation<br />

index, having slipped three places in the previous 12 months, placing the nation behind many other major<br />

energy producing nations. Building stronger ties between industry and researchers is a major priority for<br />

the community and is an area where the nation ranks poorly at thirty-third on the global innovation index.<br />

Several capability areas identified in the National Research Infrastructure Roadmap 81 translate directly<br />

into the energy resources industries: environment and natural resource management; advanced physics,<br />

chemistry, mathematics and materials; and understanding cultures and communities and underpinning<br />

research infrastructure. These priorities need to be pursued and the relationships strengthened.<br />

118 National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong>


CAPABILITY AND LEADERSHIP<br />

Initiatives to enhance cooperation and collaboration<br />

Improved collaboration amongst industry and sector participants will lead to sharing of innovative<br />

solutions, development of synergies to drive value creation, reduction in duplication and create further<br />

cost saving opportunities. The following initiatives have been identified to enhance collaboration<br />

amongst operators and/or between operators and suppliers to harness existing capabilities and identify<br />

solutions that will improve the supply chain and operations, drive deeper engagement and improve<br />

overall sector competitiveness.<br />

Establish regional industry and innovation clusters<br />

Historically, the Australian energy resources sector has relied on a combination of local vendor<br />

representatives and workshops, major city based vendor and engineering hubs and international supply<br />

chains to support their operations. This situation existed in part due to the sub critical mass in any one<br />

location of sufficient operations to provide a sustainable client base for organisations in the supply chain<br />

to establish facilities local to the operations.<br />

This situation has resulted in extended supply lines, long turnarounds for equipment servicing, difficulty<br />

accessing critical, but only intermittently required skills, and increased costs and risks on the operators<br />

who increase their own spares inventories to mitigate their exposure to potential long shutdowns while<br />

sourcing appropriate supplier support.<br />

International experience is that once established, clusters can become thriving industry innovation centres.<br />

In the technology arena, they are a way to nurture strong growth by bringing start-ups together with academia<br />

and research 82 . In the resources sector, cities such as Aberdeen and Stavanger in Europe, clusters employ tens<br />

of thousands of personnel in supporting the North Sea offshore oil and gas industry. Local skills and service<br />

centres are supported by educational infrastructure that both trains the workforce to support the industry and<br />

undertakes industry focussed research that has resulted in numerous spin off businesses and innovations.<br />

CASE STUDY<br />

Toowoomba and Surat Basin Enterprise (TSBE) supports job<br />

growth across 24 sectors<br />

Toowoomba and Surat Basin Enterprise Pty Ltd (TSBE) is a unique, industry funded, multi sector<br />

cluster that exists to help businesses of all sizes grow and promote the sustainable economic<br />

growth of the region. Established in 2012 to give support for coal seam gas, TSBE has now<br />

expanded across other sectors with appropriate focus on investment attraction, economic growth<br />

and infrastructure development. TSBE has contributed to bringing more than 60 businesses and<br />

hundreds of investors to their local region. TSBE support has increased job growth and its 24<br />

industry sector members deliver $4.6 billion turnover for the region.<br />

TSBE has a growing membership of 460 businesses across 24 industry sectors working in the<br />

Toowoomba and Surat Basin. Industry sectors include for example: coal seam gas, coal, water,<br />

agriculture, and food processing. Each industry sector has multiple business segments with<br />

common areas for collaboration linked by TSBE to support new regional projects.<br />

TSBE assists businesses grow in the region by delivering a diverse membership offer with direct<br />

and indirect assistance tailored to suit business needs at their chosen level. Business membership<br />

is tiered to suit business size and the services needed. TSBE links business with opportunity to<br />

achieve sustainable growth and diversity for the Toowoomba and Surat basin region. TSBE has<br />

a unique cluster model, allowing collaboration across multiple sectors and technical business<br />

segments for issues such as water management and regional projects requiring collaboration.<br />

A recent initiative of TSBE is the development of a Water Cluster combining an extensive group<br />

of businesses using economies of scale to overcome regional challenges, build opportunities for<br />

growth, drive costs down, find efficiencies of scale and realign costs with risk 141 .<br />

SECTOR CHALLENGES AND KNOWLEDGE PRIORITIES<br />

National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong><br />

119


CAPABILITY AND LEADERSHIP<br />

Industry clusters<br />

The footprint of the Australian energy resources sector has grown over the past decade, and there<br />

are new developments that will enhance the performance of the sector, such as development of new<br />

and improved techniques for remote diagnostics and on-demand manufacturing through 3D printing<br />

technology. An emerging opportunity exists to establish industry clusters and regional multi-user facilities<br />

that could provide substantial levels of local support to the growing clusters of operations and supply<br />

chain. Such clusters could be linked to multi-user facilities and established local to regional population<br />

centres within close proximity to new and existing operations, shortening of the supply lines, enhancing<br />

access to skills that are otherwise held in major cities and boosting local employment.<br />

Innovation clusters<br />

In parallel with industry clusters, there is also an opportunity for sections of the energy resources industry to<br />

gather in innovation clusters. These innovation clusters would form around a common industry problem or<br />

opportunity and include: operators of the plant experiencing the problem or for whom resolving the issue<br />

could unlock future potential; technology providers and innovators who may have insights to help address the<br />

challenge; research and academia to provide the deep research capacity to explore major issues causing the<br />

problem; and government to lend regulatory guidance and support together with potentially resolving access<br />

issues. These clusters would include both co-located and virtual membership, with some personnel being<br />

located close to the problem and others located in regional centres, research facilities and international offices.<br />

Such clusters would offer a new business model for both the organisations participating in them and their<br />

prospective customers. For the customers it would offer a potential alternative to their reliance on relatively<br />

generic products from their traditional and, generally, large scale suppliers, instead providing direct access<br />

to those developing the products who could then develop solutions specific to the customer needs. For the<br />

cluster members it would offer scale, access to like minded manufacturing and research collaborators and<br />

improved ability to access customers, allowing them to compete on a more level playing field.<br />

Establishing industry and innovation clusters will require commitment from operators/miners, service and<br />

research sectors and governments. To be successful, clusters will require operators of the various plant to<br />

provide ongoing support, and a willingness to work with the cluster members to take up solutions and<br />

innovation. It will require cluster members to agree on how they will operate and compete within the<br />

cluster, and to make a commitment to sharing and transferring knowledge and skills within that cluster.<br />

Governments need to support the establishment of clusters by providing a supportive regulatory and<br />

research and development tax incentive environment e.g. of SMEs and innovation, and through trade<br />

agreements and access to Australian trade missions. For multi-user facilities, governments might identify<br />

and provide suitable land. Businesses and the employees of those businesses participating in regional<br />

clusters need to be prepared to relocate to the location of the cluster.<br />

Asset and equipment sharing<br />

Direct, tangible, tactical opportunities are available to enhance cooperation between operators through<br />

asset and equipment sharing to maximise efficiencies and improve sector competitiveness. Initiatives in<br />

this area may include the development of a platform and business model to allow the sharing of spare<br />

parts and equipment to reduce costs and inventory. Other opportunities could include collaboration on<br />

transport logistics for equipment and personnel, sharing of ex-mine gate coal infrastructure including<br />

wash-plants and other cooperative opportunities. There is also a significant coordination role for<br />

operators to assist with initiatives to standardise operating standards and compliance requirements.<br />

120 National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong>


CAPABILITY AND LEADERSHIP<br />

CASE STUDY<br />

Collaboration in coal transportation<br />

Transportation of coal, both by land and sea, is a key strength for the Australian coal industry.<br />

Quality infrastructure, structured collaboration and comparatively short distances to key markets<br />

place Australia among the world’s best in this component of the value chain. Key attributes are:<br />

• Australia’s transport infrastructure is currently clustered around coal operations in Queensland<br />

and New South Wales.<br />

• Significant focus over the past few years has been placed on improving productivity and<br />

utilisation of transportation assets in Australia e.g. regulated collaboration and coordination.<br />

• Australia has the world’s leading port utilisation rate of greater than 75 per cent, which in turn<br />

translates to the country having one of the lowest global port costs among the peer group.<br />

• Close proximity to the world’s four largest coal importers (China, Japan, India, and Korea) leads<br />

to Australia having lower than average shipping costs compared to its peer group.<br />

Infrastructure sharing<br />

Building an increased willingness to share infrastructure could deliver substantial gains to the sector.<br />

The infrastructure servicing mines and processing facilities within the energy resources sector represent a<br />

substantial capital and operational cost to the industry. This cost could be reduced into the future through<br />

more open planned sharing. Enhancing cooperation between operators of facilities to enable sharing of<br />

infrastructure and reducing duplication of effort during the design phase is ideal; however, post start-up<br />

and during operation there are still opportunities to identify benefits. Sharing of service infrastructure and<br />

equipment, transport facilities for personnel and equipment (particularly in the offshore environment) and<br />

even sharing of non-critical and, on occasion critical spares would offer potential savings.<br />

Similarly, there is an opportunity for significant collaboration in the coal industry on post mine gate<br />

infrastructure and the optimisation of rail transport arrangements. These include addressing current<br />

“take or pay” arrangements to access rail infrastructure used to transport production from mine sites<br />

to ports for export, where rates were often fixed during times of higher coal prices. Other areas include<br />

controlling fixed operating costs of the mines and increasing asset productivity to ensure the long-term<br />

viability of many mines currently facing severe financial pressure 83 .<br />

Shut-down scheduling<br />

Enhancing cooperation between operators to optimise coordination of major shut-downs will assist with<br />

maintenance planning, minimise impact on labour requirements and ensure service provider availability.<br />

This model was initiated by the east coast coal seam gas operators as their projects transitioned to the<br />

operations and maintenance phase and could be replicated for west coast oil and gas operations and<br />

other industries. With Australia moving toward 21 operational LNG trains, the need to maintain a skilled<br />

workforce capacity ready to undertake regular maintenance turnarounds is an increasing challenge to the<br />

industry. To be able to balance personnel across a levelled workload will reduce risks and provide surety<br />

of workload to maintenance providers and personnel, safely enabling a more sustainable, long term<br />

prospect for investment.<br />

SECTOR CHALLENGES AND KNOWLEDGE PRIORITIES<br />

National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong><br />

121


CAPABILITY AND LEADERSHIP<br />

CASE STUDY<br />

RISKGATE collaboration: improving safety across the coal industry<br />

RISKGATE – an Australian Coal Industry Research Program (ACARP) funded initiative, is an interactive<br />

online risk management tool designed to assist in the analysis of priority unwanted events unique to<br />

the Australian coal mining industry.<br />

The primary mission of RISKGATE is to focus the coal industry on prioritising control management to<br />

achieve acceptable risk. RISKGATE was developed in collaboration across coal operators, research<br />

institutes and supply chain. RISKGATE is designed to assist the coal mining industry improve<br />

minimum standards for safety performance, efficiency, operating practice, and training.<br />

The online system is an innovative platform built on a foundation of industry expert knowledge<br />

gathered through action research workshops, which is further supported by a broad array of industry,<br />

academic and technological resources.<br />

In operation, RISKGATE offers a continuum for knowledge transfer and redefining best practice in risk<br />

identification, assessment, and management in the coal industry. Future RISKGATE work will increase<br />

collaboration between the coal equipment supply chain and coal operators. RISKGATE provides a<br />

platform for the coal industry to standardise new mining methods and solve infrastructure integration<br />

challenges. ACARP is funding the innovation precinct, Mining3, expand RISKGATE to develop<br />

communication standards for future automation projects 140 .<br />

Industry specific collaboration<br />

While there are many initiatives within the energy resources sector where organisations are actively<br />

collaborating, some are still in the formative stages and need support to help them grow. One example<br />

where this type of early collaboration could be expanded is for operators in the uranium sector to work<br />

with government research agencies, such as ANSTO and CSIRO, to better understand the geology specific<br />

to the formation of uranium deposits.<br />

Additionally, there is scope for many organisations to build better internal integration and relationships,<br />

thus allowing for enhanced exchange and uptake of ideas across different segments within an<br />

organisation that may have been blocked in the past due to internal barriers and sector separation.<br />

Cross industry collaboration<br />

Much of the sector collaboration occurs between peers, where oil and gas, coal or uranium focussed<br />

organisations at various levels meet to discuss issues. Typically, these meetings are restricted to<br />

organisations at a peer level within whichever sector they represent. This type of collaboration could be<br />

improved in two areas. Firstly, engaging the entire value chain in any given sector, as otherwise the whole<br />

problem will not be understood and an incomplete solution reached. Secondly, by not engaging outside<br />

of a sector, the opportunity to learn from the activities in other sectors are lost, resulting in duplication of<br />

effort, repeated mistakes and an overall loss of opportunity.<br />

Appropriate forums a need to be established and fostered to allow open, entire sector value chain and<br />

cross sector networking. This will provide opportunities for communication of learnings and problems to<br />

improve the efficiency of the broader industry, especially in new and emerging areas of digital technology.<br />

Common facility inductions<br />

Historically each plant and facility has operated with its own unique induction processes. These processes<br />

cover a variety of matters from very general activities and behavioural expectations through to highly specific<br />

requirements and issues. Each induction costs both the inducting organisation and the employer of the<br />

inductee time and money. Often many facets of the induction will be similar or even identical to inductions<br />

required to enter similar sites owned by the same operator or operating the same equipment or processes.<br />

Yet these inductions are generally not transferable. Developing a more common, transferable induction that<br />

122 National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong>


CAPABILITY AND LEADERSHIP<br />

reduces the impost of time and cost on both operators and the inductee, topped up with shorter, local, site<br />

specific addendum inductions has the potential to substantially reduce the overall cost to the sector.<br />

Developing such induction processes will require operators in an industry to work together to establish<br />

acceptable induction procedures and timeframes, develop their own supplemental requirements and then<br />

undertake a mutual recognition program on which all inducted personnel can be registered.<br />

Shared operational practices<br />

Many organisations have developed their own, unique, set of operating practices and procedures.<br />

These practices and procedures are unique due to the nature of their plant: however, opportunities<br />

exist for these organisations to share best practice and potentially develop some common, transferable<br />

operational practices.<br />

Having such common practices would simplify the training process for new personnel as it would allow<br />

courses to incorporate more generic material, with the smaller remaining portion then being delivered<br />

on a plant-by-plant basis. It would conceivably, also allow organisations to learn from one another in<br />

terms of how they each operate identical equipment, often from the same supplier, improving the overall<br />

productivity of the industry.<br />

Weather research and modelling<br />

Many of Australia’s resources are in extreme climatic environments. Locations where, for instance,<br />

cyclones can have substantial impact on operations and the safety of both the personnel and facilities.<br />

Consequently, it is very important that focussed research is conducted to enhance the prediction of these<br />

extreme environmental events, to forecast with greater certainty the timing, scale, exact location and<br />

track the potential impact of cyclones. Establishing this enhanced understanding of these events will<br />

provide benefits for both the energy resources sector operating within the cyclone areas but also to the<br />

broader industrial and societal community, such as farming, transport, mining, education, health care and<br />

emergency response groups.<br />

CASE STUDY<br />

Tropical cyclone predictions<br />

<strong>NERA</strong> is supporting a collaborative project with the Bureau of Meteorology to better understand<br />

potential tropical cyclone impacts.<br />

The project will deliver significant benefits not just across the offshore oil and gas sector, but also<br />

across multiple industry and government sectors in Australia.<br />

The project, which includes key industry partners Chevron, Shell and Woodside along with the<br />

Australian Bureau of Meteorology (BOM) as project lead, involves the re-analysis of tropical cyclone<br />

data in Australia since 1981.<br />

The re-analysis will improve on existing tropical cyclone data by incorporating recent advances in<br />

algorithms that extract key information from geostationary satellite data.<br />

The data will be used in wind, wave and current modelling and is expected to lead to greater<br />

certainty in engineering design, not just across the oil and gas industry, but across all tropical<br />

cyclone-related engineering. This certainty will deliver efficiencies in construction, maintenance and<br />

operating costs for a wide range of infrastructure.<br />

By providing the ability to better understand tropical cyclone risk, this project will assist in<br />

improving safety for Australia’s infrastructure through better design and response strategies and<br />

provide substantial cost savings.<br />

The project, which involves collaboration with leading researchers in the field of tropical cyclone analysis,<br />

is an opportunity to put Australia at the forefront of international efforts in tropical cyclone analysis.<br />

Once success with this approach in Australia can be demonstrated, it will be replicated in other<br />

basins affected by similar weather patterns around the world.<br />

SECTOR CHALLENGES AND KNOWLEDGE PRIORITIES<br />

National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong><br />

123


CAPABILITY AND LEADERSHIP<br />

3. UNDERSTANDING AUSTRALIA’S RESOURCE BASE<br />

Despite the moderately long history of the energy resources sector in Australia, there is still significant<br />

room for improvement in the understanding of its resource base outside of the sector’s established<br />

areas of operation. Understanding the nation’s natural resources and geology is critical to identifying the<br />

future supply that will underpin the sector’s operational sustainability. Nation-wide and priority driven<br />

frameworks are for the acquisition, evaluation and distribution of pre-competitive information that will<br />

promote a thorough understanding and evaluation of Australia’s unexplored resource base.<br />

Developing a greater understanding of prospective basin geology<br />

across both the minerals and energy sectors<br />

Understanding the geology of prospective energy resource regions is critical to identifying areas for<br />

prospecting and future production. While Australia has a great deal of historical data in this area, much<br />

of it is fragmented across multiple businesses and organisations. In addition, the data was often captured<br />

for one purpose but may in fact be applicable across multiple sectors. Understanding the scale, scope and<br />

transferability of existing data, coupled with improving the nation’s abilities to interpret new and existing<br />

data, and improve access to that data, will help the energy resources sector and the broader mineral<br />

extraction industries become more competitive.<br />

To support the development of the onshore oil and gas industry, there is a pressing need for ongoing<br />

research to enhance the understanding of reservoir geology. Expanding this knowledge will allow<br />

operators and regulators to make well informed decisions on the future trajectory of the onshore<br />

industry, and to use the information to select the most viable areas to explore and develop, in the most<br />

environmentally and economically effective manner.<br />

Initiatives to help understand Australia’s resource base<br />

Industry data initiative<br />

Large volumes of data are currently held in local, state and federal databases that, if made available<br />

in a searchable and consistent manner, could support desk top and field research by organisations<br />

into prospective resource areas. These data sets have accumulated over many years through numerous<br />

projects and initiatives, and represent substantial untapped value.<br />

The Federal Government, through the National Map Open Data initiative 84 is working to build a common<br />

portal for organisations to access and search all obtainable data. As this portal becomes available, it will<br />

be possible for resource companies to examine and use the data to support their future exploration plans.<br />

The data will also be available to start-ups to access through events such as Hackathons and Gov. Hacks.<br />

Share non-competitive data<br />

Non-competitive data is often generated at numerous stages in the development and operation of a<br />

resources facility. This can include environmental data, weather data, health and safety initiatives and<br />

many other types of information. Often an organisation will generate the data from first principles.<br />

This can result in either full or partial duplication of existing data, or in multiple organisations paying<br />

for the same work to be performed. In both cases, there is wasted effort, a reduction in productivity and<br />

potentially lost opportunities.<br />

The energy resources sector needs to find ways to share non-competitive data and information to assist<br />

in the ongoing pursuit of productivity and efficiency gains.<br />

124 National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong>


CAPABILITY AND LEADERSHIP<br />

4. ENHANCE SOCIAL LICENCE TO OPERATE<br />

The social licence to operate of the energy resources sector is under increasing scrutiny and challenge,<br />

largely due to its perceived negative environmental impact. For the community to recognise and<br />

support the social and economic benefits of the sector, a number of factors need to be addressed.<br />

The industry must genuinely and transparently engage over the short to long term with its stakeholders<br />

and the community, and demonstrate and be accountable for the highest standards of environmental<br />

performance at all times. Environmental regulation needs to provide a sensible framework that provides<br />

for genuine environmental outcomes and supports industry activities, whilst providing stakeholders and<br />

the community with confidence that there is independent and objective oversight of those activities.<br />

Social and economic benefits<br />

While the energy resources sector has been responsible for establishing and sustaining many local<br />

communities, as well as changing the lives of the world’s population, its societal impact often goes<br />

unrecognised or is misunderstood. It is important that the energy resources sector continues to work to<br />

build a better scientific understanding of its social impact, and that this information is shared as part of<br />

an overall energy literacy program.<br />

At its most visible, the sector provides 89,800 jobs in Australia 10 , generating both direct and indirect<br />

taxation revenues and economic benefits to government, and to the businesses which rely on the sector<br />

and its employees for their revenue. With many of the sector’s jobs being in rural locations, they also help<br />

to sustain local communities where employees live and shop, and where their children are educated.<br />

Many organisations in the sector also support academic research through the provision of projects and<br />

funding to universities and ongoing employment of skilled personnel who require training and education<br />

on an ongoing basis to perform their roles.<br />

Infrastructure closure and rehabilitation<br />

As assets in all three industries in Australia’s energy resources sector approach their end of asset life,<br />

and owners look toward closure or divestment, it is apparent that many gaps in the industry’s knowledge<br />

and regulations exist that must be addressed to ensure a safe, orderly and cost effective closure and<br />

rehabilitation of the facilities. These knowledge gaps are present in three principle areas:<br />

1. The science around the challenges;<br />

2. The technical solutions to address the scientific challenges; and<br />

3. The regulatory landscape that establishes the required work and ongoing monitoring of the facilities.<br />

The following knowledge priorities aim to use leading science to deliver improved environmental<br />

outcomes to better inform and engage with communities, regulators and governments and develop an<br />

improved social licence for the energy resources sector.<br />

Building scientific understandings around closure and rehabilitation<br />

The industry must engage in ongoing scientific and technical studies to develop best practice guidelines<br />

for managing asset end-of-life to ensure closure procedures are transparent, fit-for-purpose and outcomes<br />

based. Best practice asset closure and rehabilitation, based on leading science, and through working<br />

together with initiatives such as the Cooperative Research Centre for Contamination Assessment and<br />

Remediation of the Environment (CRC:CARE) 85 , will help secure stakeholder support and recognition<br />

of the sector’s environmental sustainability and facilitate the move from prescriptive to fit-for-purpose<br />

closure regulation. One such example is to explore the use of Source Zone Natural Attenuation (SZNA) 86<br />

as an endpoint for ceasing liquid hydrocarbon recovery operations.<br />

Evaluation and refinement of rehabilitation science and technological advancements will be essential to<br />

identify leading practice for this very important element of the project life-cycle.<br />

SECTOR CHALLENGES AND KNOWLEDGE PRIORITIES<br />

National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong><br />

125


CAPABILITY AND LEADERSHIP<br />

Addressing the technical challenges of closure and rehabilitation<br />

The closure of both onshore and offshore energy resources sites each present many technical challenges.<br />

These must be identified and understood so they can be addressed to satisfy both the specific issues<br />

present for the location, and the societal and regulatory expectations around rehabilitation. There is a<br />

need to undertake the necessary ongoing technical work alongside the scientific research to be able to<br />

implement appropriate and acceptable solutions.<br />

Establishing an appropriate closure and rehabilitation regulatory regime<br />

To provide both society and asset operators clarity into the future, the continued development and<br />

application of appropriate, risk-based and transparent regulatory processes for closure and rehabilitation<br />

are needed. Establishing appropriate regimes will also help secure stakeholder support and recognition of<br />

the sector’s environmental sustainability, as well as facilitating a move from prescriptive to fit-for-purpose<br />

closure regulation.<br />

Water management<br />

Water is one of our nation’s most precious resources. Understanding how the different users of the finite<br />

available quantities of water can coexist constructively, now and into the future, is essential if the energy<br />

resources sector is to continue to grow.<br />

It is essential the industry continues to pursue collaborative and openly accessible research into water<br />

management and conservation, and develops improved technologies to better address these important issues.<br />

Significant community concerns exist with water management in onshore gas production, uranium and<br />

coal mining. Concerns over depletion of reservoirs and water quality contamination are impacting the<br />

social licence to operate of all the energy resources industries. For example, in 2013/2014, potential water<br />

contamination in the Great Artesian Basin 87 was the most significant concern for landholders in respect<br />

of the Coal Seam Gas (CSG) industry, creating community concerns over the industry and resistance to its<br />

development. However, it should be noted that development in Queensland continued relatively unabated,<br />

while in New South Wales CSG has effectively halted while the State works through its new gas plan 88 .<br />

At the national level, in 2013 the water trigger legislation was introduced as an amendment to the<br />

Environment Protection and Biodiversity Conservation Act 1999 (EPBC Act) 89 to facilitate the review<br />

by the federal environment minister of the impact of any new coal seam gas or major new coal<br />

developments on the water in the location of the proposed development, in addition to State review.<br />

The use of independent, openly accessible, leading science and innovative technologies to address water<br />

management concerns will positively impact social licence to operate in these areas.<br />

Tailings management<br />

A major challenge to mining based process operations, including both coal and uranium, is the<br />

management of tailings from the facilities. Environmental, social and operational requirements and<br />

expectations for the management of tailings are evolving, in respect of water management and disposal<br />

of solids, and impacts on the entire life of the plant.<br />

To meet these evolving requirements, there is an ongoing need for focussed and collaborative research<br />

for the safe design, management and decommissioning of tailings dams, to develop better, cleaner and<br />

more efficient, techniques and technologies and to continue the work of the Department of Industry,<br />

Innovation and Science 90 .<br />

Initiatives to enhance the social licence to operate<br />

Community engagement and education<br />

Community support is integral to the success of resource projects, and to the success of the sector,<br />

particularly in a time of growing environmental awareness. The initiatives described below aim to enhance<br />

the broader societal understanding of the benefits and impact of the energy resources sector, to build<br />

energy literacy and allow more informed community debate on the future of Australia’s energy supply,<br />

while also overcoming existing scepticism and popular misconceptions.<br />

126 National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong>


CAPABILITY AND LEADERSHIP<br />

Research social, economic and environmental consequences of the activities of the energy<br />

resources sector<br />

Community support is integral to the long-term viability of the energy resources sector, particularly in<br />

a time of growing societal environmental awareness. As the sector expands its footprint in Australia,<br />

overcoming existing scepticism and popular misconceptions will be integral to accessing future resources<br />

and markets. This makes it essential for the sector to:<br />

• Identify better ways to engage with the community;<br />

• Ensure that the community understands how it directly and indirectly benefits from the sector’s<br />

activities; and<br />

• Demonstrate the sector’s commitment to environmental sustainability.<br />

The sector must develop robust frameworks to build a better level of community awareness of the value<br />

of the energy industries in Australia and, through that, gain greater community support to sustain the<br />

industry’s social licence to operate. Key to this is to create trust and understanding of stakeholders through<br />

transparency of all actions (good and bad), including the development of an environmental performance<br />

dashboard. For several parts of the sector improved and more open engagement approaches are required<br />

to address community concerns relating to social and environmental impacts. The Western Australian<br />

Marine Science Initiative (WAMSI) model 91 is widely seen as a successful approach to deep and enduring<br />

stakeholder engagement and is one potential model on which to develop such engagement.<br />

Further opportunities for industry to actively support community environmental groups include working<br />

collaboratively to ensure community questions and goals are supported, and for industry to work to build<br />

more open, trusting relationships with these groups.<br />

Whilst building trust is paramount, engagement may also include educating stakeholders on the broader<br />

benefits of the energy resources sector, and discussing the distribution of benefits such as direct and<br />

indirect employment opportunities, the value and distribution of royalties and equity with impacted<br />

stakeholders (see energy literacy below).<br />

Energy literacy<br />

A major objective is to develop a program of work to improve the energy literacy across the community,<br />

to deepen the understanding of the energy value chain, life-cycle, energy economics, choices, benefits and<br />

impacts. For society to fully engage in an informed discussion on Australia’s energy future, there needs<br />

to be awareness of the trade-offs in energy choices and better understanding of the context in which<br />

they are made. To enable full, open and informed debate and understanding of the issues around the<br />

Australian energy resources sector, <strong>NERA</strong> aims to promote ongoing discussions and information sharing<br />

for all forms of energy, oil and gas, coal, uranium and the emerging range of renewables.<br />

This will include: promoting public discussion and literacy around how these energy resources are<br />

produced, used and safely managed: how they contribute to the nation’s economy; how they combine<br />

into the overall energy mix; and what alternatives exist. Such activity will help improve overall<br />

understanding of the implications of new developments, such as the electrification of transport, and how<br />

the nation’s power generation will be managed as demand increases and sources of supply expand.<br />

Information stewardship<br />

To augment the development of a deeper level of energy literacy in the community, it is important that<br />

steps be taken to support the development of “trusted and independent custodians of scientific data and<br />

information.” Currently there is a lack of trust between industry, their stakeholders and the public, with each<br />

believing the other parties manipulate information to suit their purposes. An organisation (or group of such<br />

organisations and bodies) that is seen by all parties as a genuine independent custodian of information<br />

would provide a trusted “source of truth” and could potentially arbitrate on disputed science matters.<br />

SECTOR CHALLENGES AND KNOWLEDGE PRIORITIES<br />

National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong><br />

127


Business and<br />

Operating Models,<br />

Technology and<br />

Services<br />

5. UNLOCK FUTURE RESOURCES<br />

The Australian energy resources sector needs to improve its ability to identify, appraise and develop<br />

marginal resources in a cost effective and sustainable way. Development of marginal resources will<br />

require government and non-competitive corporate data to be more widely accessible to allow operators<br />

sufficient information to allow them to assess potential and known resources for future development.<br />

The sector must review national and state based regulations and restrictions that heavily influence the<br />

costs associated with, and the ability to undertake new exploration. New technologies and approaches<br />

continue to make significant impacts to energy resource extraction, which enable new resources to be<br />

developed and recovery maximised. While the regulatory burden is discussed elsewhere in this SCP, there<br />

are opportunities to unlock marginal resources in providing access to geological information and through<br />

greater cross industry collaboration.<br />

Integrated geological information<br />

Development of nation-wide priority driven frameworks are required for acquiring, evaluating and<br />

distributing pre-competitive geological and geophysical information to enable companies to identify and<br />

assess onshore and offshore geological basins. This will enhance the understanding of Australia’s natural<br />

resources and geology and help identify new projects to underpin the sector’s operational sustainability.<br />

As an illustration, only 12 per cent of Australia’s marine territories are properly mapped, with deep water<br />

exploration of new zones expected to identify additional petroleum acreage.<br />

Additionally, operators in all resources industries must continue to explore alternate and more costeffective<br />

ways to acquire new geophysical data to allow them to build accurate models of prospective<br />

formations for future exploration.<br />

128 National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong>


BUSINESS AND OPERATING MODELS, TECHNOLOGY AND SERVICES<br />

Cross industry collaboration<br />

The ability to amortise the costs of exploration between organisations within one sector, or even between<br />

sectors, could provide a further way to control exploration costs and unlock access to more marginal<br />

resources. Establishing a National Exploration Research Programme similar to that proposed by AMIRA 92<br />

could help in unlocking some of the benefits of such collaboration.<br />

Managing ageing assets<br />

Many of Australia’s energy resources sector facilities, mines and reservoirs are beginning to reach the<br />

later phases of their production lives. As they move into these phases, production becomes increasingly<br />

difficult and the volumes and quality of extractable product declines. In many instances, these assets are<br />

then sold on to smaller operators who, through lean operations and focussed production can still operate<br />

the facilities profitably and effectively.<br />

As ageing assets are passed along the chain from one operator to the next, there is the risk that new<br />

owners will need to minimise some compliance commitments to ensure profitability. Commitments for<br />

closure and rehabilitation may prove to be too expensive and may be undertaken in marginal ways.<br />

As the broad array of resource facilities begin to reach the ends of their lives, it is important that the<br />

industry ensures the best possible standards of closure and rehabilitation be fully understood, that safe<br />

and economically viable solutions be researched and embedded in regulations, and that all members of<br />

the industry comply to these requirements. The acts of each organisation reflects on the entire sector and<br />

the industry as a whole must work together to maintain standards and reputation.<br />

Environmental science collaboration<br />

The role and value of ongoing environmental science is critical to the long-term commercial and societal<br />

sustainability of the entire energy resources sector.<br />

Environmental scientists assist in building a better understanding of the impact of operating facilities on<br />

the natural environment. They provide understanding on how mines and wells can be optimised to operate<br />

productively and maximise recovery during their entire lifecycle, with minimal environmental impact and how to<br />

return the landscape to its former condition at the end of the facility’s operational life. For the sector to maintain<br />

its social licence to operate it is imperative that the strong relationship between environmental science<br />

and energy production is maintained, and that both groups continue to support each other’s activities.<br />

An example of this can be seen in the offshore oil and gas industry, which relies heavily on marine<br />

science to support its operations safely and effectively, and to ensure the marine environment is managed<br />

appropriately. As such, enhancing the knowledge and use of environmental science is critical to the<br />

industry’s future from a technical, operational and social licence perspective. The offshore oil and gas<br />

industry needs to continue to collaborate with organisations such as the Western Australian Marine<br />

Science Institute (WAMSI) 91 to progress the development of understanding of the marine environment for<br />

current operations and into the upcoming abandonment phase for some facilities.<br />

Initiatives to assist in unlocking marginal resources<br />

Marginal resources are those which cannot be accessed in economic ways using presently available<br />

technologies and approaches. As such, the energy resources sector needs to either access these marginal<br />

resources using novel approaches or less costly means, or wait until either the value of the resources<br />

increases relative to the cost of extraction or new or existing technology is available.<br />

Work with technology suppliers to identify new ways to access resources<br />

Resource development companies need to work with technology suppliers to identify technologies being<br />

used in other locations and fields, that can be transferred for use in marginal resources. They need to<br />

consider how best to cooperate on the design, development and deployment of new technologies.<br />

Examples of such technologies could include advances in heap and in-situ leaching for uranium projects<br />

and long subsea tiebacks for offshore oil and gas, both of which could help to unlock potential in their<br />

respective industries.<br />

SECTOR CHALLENGES AND KNOWLEDGE PRIORITIES<br />

National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong><br />

129


BUSINESS AND OPERATING MODELS, TECHNOLOGY AND SERVICES<br />

CASE STUDY<br />

Guidelines for prediction of geotechnical performance of spudcan<br />

foundations during installation and removal of jack-up units<br />

InSafeJIP provided new guidelines for engineers for use in their daily analysis of whether a jack-up<br />

unit is safe to install, operate or remove from an offshore oil and gas site.<br />

InSafeJIP was a Joint Industry Project (JIP) established by three universities – The University of<br />

Western Australia (UWA) through the Centre of Offshore Foundation Systems (COFS), University of<br />

Oxford (Oxford) and National University of Singapore (NUS), and the engineering consultant RPS<br />

Energy – to work with 19 offshore oil and gas companies and government regulators.<br />

There is a perception within the industry that modern jack-ups have lower reliability (safety from<br />

structural failure) than traditional fixed offshore platforms, with the majority of the accidents attributed<br />

to geotechnical failures. These can lead to rig damage, lost drilling time, and injury to personnel.<br />

The consequential cost to industry is estimated to be between USD$10 million and USD$30 million<br />

per geotechnical incident which occurs on a scale of between five and 10 times per year.<br />

Under the JIP, the universities reported on the benchmarking of the latest research on jack-up<br />

installation and extraction of jack-up platforms against the offshore data sets provided by the project<br />

participants. This two-year project was funded by 19 oil and gas partners and was dependent on data<br />

sharing between the partners. In an industry first, companies – including operators hiring jack-ups,<br />

jack-up owners, jack-up builders, engineering consultants and government regulators – shared data<br />

to create a single point of information.<br />

This resulted in better guidelines to bring about safer installations going forward.<br />

These guidelines are now being widely used across the oil and gas industry.<br />

Subsea tieback technology<br />

Research and development of innovative technologies will continue to unlock marginal resources in oil<br />

and gas, for example, targeted research into subsea tieback technology as a mechanism for developing<br />

stranded oil and gas assets, or allowing existing subsea tieback infrastructure (such as manifolds and<br />

pipelines) to be used to develop other fields in the vicinity (e.g. in the Carnarvon Basin).<br />

Reagent chemistry<br />

Research and development of innovative technologies will continue to unlock marginal resources in<br />

mining, for example, research into reagent chemistry for uranium leaching to support cost effective in-situ<br />

or heap leaching in an Australian geological context. This will increase yield and reduce the cost per<br />

pound of uranium extraction, and as a result increase the viability of a number of uranium projects.<br />

Computational geoscience<br />

Computational geoscience entails the use of advanced computational technology and software to<br />

undertake increasingly complex analysis of seismic imaging data. The techniques involved enable energy<br />

resources companies to build a greater understanding of the properties of their existing and potential<br />

deposits as well as identify potential locations for future carbon geosequestration.<br />

Computational geoscience depends on access to supercomputer capacity, appropriate seismic data<br />

and cutting edge software. Leading the development of the techniques offers both an opportunity for<br />

Australia’s resources companies to exploit the insights gained in the growth of the sector while at the<br />

same time building a computational centre of excellence that can be marketed to other locations.<br />

130 National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong>


BUSINESS AND OPERATING MODELS, TECHNOLOGY AND SERVICES<br />

Unmanned aircraft systems geophysics<br />

Historically, geophysical data has been acquired through the deployment of either fixed-wing aircraft or<br />

helicopters equipped with the technology needed to undertake the surveys. However, with advances in<br />

both the technological capability and payload capacity of unmanned aerial systems (UAS) or drones, it is<br />

now possible to undertake this data collection work using unmanned aircraft. These aircraft can operate<br />

autonomously, programmed to automatically cover only the area required, do not require access to<br />

large runways, can operate much closer to the ground than conventional aircraft and can be very flexibly<br />

deployed, as they operate without a pilot. They are low risk and can operate for extended periods, only<br />

pausing for fuel and maintenance.<br />

6. NEW MARKETS, NEW TECHNOLOGIES,<br />

NEW BUSINESS MODELS<br />

For the sector to plan effectively for the future there is a strong and immediate need to look to new markets,<br />

consolidate and expand the sector’s presence in existing markets, and exploit the use of new technologies.<br />

Australia has established trade agreements with most nations in the Asia Pacific Region, under which<br />

it has for a long time exported both energy resources and the technologies used to consume them.<br />

Australia also has strong trade ties, and is a signatory to, many trade agreements with nations outside<br />

the region. Many opportunities exist for Australia to leverage these trade agreements and relationships<br />

to sell the nation’s resources and the associated knowledge, skills and technologies, and to partner with<br />

other nations or organisations in the energy resource sector. Such opportunities would facilitate the<br />

commercial innovation in Australia’s energy resources value and supply chains, and growth in globally<br />

competitive exports from the sector.<br />

With the proliferation of renewable and alternative power generation, there is a need to more<br />

fully understand the impact that widespread adoption of these technologies pose, and to identify<br />

opportunities for the energy resources sector stemming from these changes. The energy resources sector<br />

needs to be able to adapt quickly to the growing market share of these alternative energy sources, and<br />

find and seize new opportunities.<br />

Both incremental and transformational change across the energy resources sector are required.<br />

Incremental improvements include leaner, smarter operations to improve productivity and drive down<br />

costs. Transformational change includes new operating models and a focus on new and innovative<br />

approaches to project execution and leveraging existing capacity more fully. The increased awareness<br />

of society’s environmental impact, along with disruptions in the energy market from the increased<br />

deployment of renewable energy technologies, present an opportunity for Australia to develop and<br />

adapt clean technologies. Australia can potentially commercialise these technologies and become an<br />

exporter of clean technologies to developing countries as they transition from fossil fuels.<br />

While global demand for Australian energy resources remains strong, there is a movement toward<br />

cleaner ways to consume this energy. As the supplier of energy commodities there is an opportunity<br />

for Australia to be a major player in the world’s development of enabling technologies such as Carbon<br />

Capture and Storage (CCS).<br />

Asian trade agreements<br />

Australia holds many trade agreements with other nations in the region 93 , including those recently concluded<br />

with China, Japan and South Korea, older agreements with Thailand, Singapore and Malaysia and the ASEAN<br />

– New Zealand free trade area. Future agreements are being considered with Indonesia, India, the Gulf Cooperation<br />

Council and the European Union. These trade agreements provide strong and agreed frameworks<br />

for the exchange of goods and services and may facilitate the Australian energy resources sector to increase<br />

its level of trade in the sale of energy resources, and the export of technology, know-how and skills.<br />

The Australian energy resources sector has recently undergone a substantial expansion that has resulted<br />

in the development of new and highly sophisticated skills, such as the design and construction of large<br />

modular plant, skills that may have strong applications in many of the nation’s regional trading partners.<br />

SECTOR CHALLENGES AND KNOWLEDGE PRIORITIES<br />

National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong><br />

131


BUSINESS AND OPERATING MODELS, TECHNOLOGY AND SERVICES<br />

Develop international technology partnerships<br />

While many Australian energy resource businesses are already members of international technology<br />

projects, the sector can leverage significant additional international relationships. These relationships<br />

can be partnerships to develop and deploy new technologies and practices in Australia, and to develop<br />

technologies for export to other locations.<br />

Such partnerships can enable Australia to improve its global performance in the commercialisation of<br />

innovation, drive deeper partnerships between the research sector and the Australian value and supply<br />

chains, and place Australia at the forefront of the deployment and export of new technology. This in turn<br />

can enhance domestic productivity, identify new markets for Australian technology and build a stronger<br />

and more diverse export portfolio, including beyond the energy resources sector.<br />

Commercialisation of operational technological developments<br />

Many Australian operators and service companies invest heavily in developing technologies for internal<br />

use where either the suitable commercial technology is unavailable or not suitable for their applications.<br />

In many instances these developments are either only used internally or given away for free. Only in a<br />

few instances will the developing organisation attempt to commercialise their technology. Often the<br />

failure to commercialise internal technology results from such efforts being seen as external to core<br />

business. If the company is a supplier of energy resources, the sale of software or specialised hardware is<br />

frequently considered a distraction. If they are a service company they may either see the development as<br />

a commercial advantage or an evolutionary tool they do not consider as commercialisable.<br />

However, with the current instability of energy resources and many organisations looking to diversify<br />

their base, seeking to commercialise existing operational technological developments or developing new<br />

concepts with a view to commercialisation presents a substantial new market opportunity.<br />

Carbon capture and storage (CCS)<br />

Research and development should continue into Carbon Capture Storage (CCS) technology for both pre and<br />

post combustion phases in the use of fossil fuels for power generation through mechanisms such as Coal21,<br />

Australian Coal Association Low Emissions Technology (ACALET), Australian National Low Emissions Coal<br />

(ANLEC) research and development organisation and the CO2CRC 94 , as well as developing cost effective<br />

and efficient technologies that could be incorporated into new facilities or retrofitted into existing plants.<br />

The success of this technology has the potential to enable a zero to low carbon emission process for the<br />

coal and gas industries, and reduce carbon dioxide (CO 2<br />

) emissions by up to 90 per cent 95 , thereby<br />

strengthening the resources market.<br />

Low emissions technologies<br />

Research and development should be targeted at low emissions technologies, particularly for the coal<br />

and gas industries. Development of such technologies will build technical expertise in Australia and open<br />

the opportunities to export these technologies and skills to the rest of the world.<br />

Areas where such technologies are currently being developed include gas processing at the well head and<br />

the reinjection of CO 2<br />

for geosequestration, as implemented on the Chevron Gorgon project 34 . Ongoing<br />

research into this technology is also underway as part of the National Geosequestration Laboratory 96 .<br />

Significant work is being undertaken into developing low emission fossil fuel technologies in Australia<br />

and overseas. The coal industry has partnered with governments and the private sector to invest in the<br />

demonstration of such solutions through its Coal21 Fund 97 , which funds the industry’s low emission<br />

research and development programs (ACALET and ANLEC). The fund, through ACALET, has directly invested<br />

$300 million and leveraged a further $550 million in significant low emission technologies since 2006.<br />

132 National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong>


BUSINESS AND OPERATING MODELS, TECHNOLOGY AND SERVICES<br />

LNG as a fuel<br />

Significant opportunities exist to expand the use of LNG as a general transport fuel and to support the<br />

development and use of LNG bunkering facilities for marine vessels, following on from the Sulphur emissions<br />

(SOx) limitations set by the International Maritime Organisation (IMO) under MARPOL Annex VI 98 . DNV GL<br />

reported that there were 77 LNG fuelled vessels operating worldwide in early 2016 with a further 85 vessels<br />

either under construction or on order. The majority in operation are in Europe with 69 per cent in Norway<br />

while those on order are split 72 per cent in Europe, 25 per cent into the United States, with the balance<br />

distributed around the rest of the world 99 . Research has commenced into the use of LNG as a transport fuel<br />

for trucks and ships with potential economic and environmental benefits compared to diesel and fuel oil.<br />

Other uses include powering locomotives, uses in the mining sector and industrial applications as well<br />

as in operations. Modelling by McKinsey 71 indicates that by adopting LNG and Compressed Natural<br />

Gas (CNG) as fuels for a proportion of transportation trucks, mining trucks, public transport buses and<br />

locomotives, together with using it as a bunkering fuel for Australian shipping could generate savings<br />

in excess of $1 billion. Further benefits would be reduced emissions of Sulphur Oxides (SOx), Nitrous<br />

Oxides (NOx) and particulates found in the combustion of conventional fuels such as marine bunker oils,<br />

together with a reduction of the nation’s CO 2<br />

emissions by up to 1.7 million tonnes equivalent.<br />

Such developments would have multiple potential benefits to the Australian energy resources sector and the<br />

nation’s economy such as:<br />

a) Opening up new domestic markets through the development of additional small scale LNG facilities;<br />

b) Underpinning potential spin-off uses of LNG around the ports and other locations where LNG is stored;<br />

c) Reducing the emissions of many heavy transport vehicles such as bulk cargo carriers and locomotives; and<br />

d) Potentially allow for adjustments in current fuel tariffs and tax concessions, whilst allowing Australia<br />

to remain at the forefront of the development of technologies and skills needed to undertake such a<br />

development.<br />

Another opportunity to monitor is the provision of small electricity generation capacity in less well<br />

served locations, to infill gaps in the network and avoid the costly need to install traditional pole and<br />

wire infrastructures. This could be undertaken as part of a collaborative exercise with the Institute of<br />

Sustainable Solutions at the University of Technology, Sydney 100 who maintain Network Opportunity<br />

Maps showing locations where there is a potential need for such supply.<br />

Hybrid technologies<br />

Research and development should be considered in respect of new fossil and renewable hybrid technologies,<br />

such as renewable/ gas hybrids. Building on the growing interest in low emission technologies, hybrid fossil/<br />

renewable electricity generation merits further investigation to capitalise on Australia’s natural resource<br />

base. Australia has abundant solar energy and coal resources with 80 per cent of the nation’s electricity<br />

generation currently based on coal 101 . In 2015, CSIRO (through ARENA funding) completed a pilot of<br />

the world’s first practical demonstration of pilot scale post-combustion carbon dioxide capture (PCC)<br />

processes integrated with solar thermal energy, at coal-fired (and gas) power stations 101 . Despite the<br />

success of the pilot, commercialisation of renewable hybrids has been limited because it is not currently<br />

price competitive in the absence of a price on greenhouse gas emissions.<br />

Enabling technologies<br />

The industry needs to consider the impact of enabling technologies, such as battery storage, on the<br />

Australian energy resources sector over the next ten years. At commercial scale, battery storage<br />

technology could allow under-utilised energy to be captured during off-peak periods, and utilised<br />

during on-peak periods. Such energy storage technologies would address the inherent intermittency of<br />

renewable energy supplies, such as solar generating its output during peak midday sunlight hours while<br />

peak demand for electricity is typically during mornings and evenings. An efficient, stable and reliable<br />

integration of energy sources and technologies to supply electrical systems should be a significant<br />

consideration for the future of the Australian energy resources sector.<br />

SECTOR CHALLENGES AND KNOWLEDGE PRIORITIES<br />

National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong><br />

133


BUSINESS AND OPERATING MODELS, TECHNOLOGY AND SERVICES<br />

Adapting to the changing energy mix<br />

World-wide the energy sector is undergoing significant change as renewable power and alternative<br />

energy sources become economically and commercially viable on a large scale. The Australian energy<br />

resources sector must consider the disruptive impact that widespread adoption of renewable power will<br />

have over the next ten years, as well as the changing dynamics in the demand for energy exports to key<br />

markets such as Asia.<br />

The sector needs to find constructive ways to participate in this evolving power mix, which will create<br />

export opportunities for clean, reliable energy supply, and help address the challenges of providing<br />

energy security in parallel with clean energy initiatives. Within Australia, there are issues of integration<br />

between initiatives at state and federal levels which impact on energy supply, affecting consumers and<br />

increasing the perception of risk for investors. An example is South Australia 102 , where 45 per cent of<br />

power generation is produced by renewable sources of energy (mainly wind and solar). The intermittent<br />

generation has put a significant strain on the transmission system, which had been designed for base<br />

load thermal generation, and resulted in a higher reliance on interconnectors to access power from other<br />

states, which in turn has escalated power prices in that state.<br />

The interaction between renewable energy and thermal energy sources, and their impact on transmission<br />

systems, together with the interaction between energy policy and climate policy at a state and federal<br />

level need to be considered in a consistent framework, such as the ‘energy trilemma’. The energy<br />

trilemma 29 underpins the World Energy Council’s definition of energy sustainability, it uses the three<br />

counter-posing drivers of affordability, environmental sustainability and energy security to determine an<br />

overall index on a national level. From a practical perspective, finding solutions to integrate alternative<br />

energy sources with more conventional sources will improve the depth of the market, and offers<br />

opportunities in both domestic and export markets.<br />

Initiatives to support the development and adoption of new technologies<br />

Extend the network of small scale LNG facilities<br />

To leverage opportunities presented through expanded domestic use of LNG, it will be necessary to<br />

extend the existing network of small scale LNG production facilities to provide comprehensive national<br />

coverage and security of supply for organisations wishing to adopt LNG as their fuel source. Existing<br />

domestic LNG facilities currently comprise one each in Chinchilla, Queensland; Newcastle, New South<br />

Wales; Dandenong, Victoria; Westbury, Tasmania; Kwinana and Dampier, Western Australia; with<br />

capacities of between 50 and 200 tonnes per day. An expansion of the network could incorporate<br />

shipment of similar volumes of LNG from the major export production facilities.<br />

With this expansion, marine operators would be guaranteed supply around the nation’s coast, and other<br />

potential consumers, such as mine sites, could then further explore the use of LNG as an alternate to<br />

their current dependence on imported diesel.<br />

As the impact of the International Maritime Organisation (MARPOL) 98 legislation becomes better<br />

understood, there is a strong likelihood that increasing numbers of ocean going vessels will convert to<br />

LNG as their primary fuel source. These vessels will require security of supply either in Australia or in the<br />

region and, as the region’s principal producer of LNG, there is an opportunity for Australia to be both a<br />

major supply hub and a supplier of LNG to other ports in the region.<br />

134 National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong>


BUSINESS AND OPERATING MODELS, TECHNOLOGY AND SERVICES<br />

Broader support for focussed innovation<br />

For any economy to be globally competitive, to support a diverse and healthy economy for its citizens and<br />

to have the capacity to quickly adapt to change, it must continually seek new and improved ways to do<br />

existing work and find new commercial opportunities. Progressive innovation in the Australian economy<br />

requires strong collaboration between industry and the research sector. In the energy resources sector it<br />

requires new partnerships and ways of working between large operators/miners and their supply chain,<br />

and between the supply chain and the research sector to drive innovation.<br />

To foster innovation in the energy resources sector it is critical Australia’s policy and regulatory framework<br />

facilitates industry led research, supports collaboration between the operators and supply chain,<br />

encourages commercial risk taking, and concurrently provides strong environmental oversight.<br />

While the innovation ecosystem in Australia is growing rapidly, much of the focus is outside the energy<br />

resources sector. The findings in the Western Australian Start-up Ecosystem Report 103 show that major<br />

economic opportunities for innovation are in automation of knowledge work, advanced robotics and<br />

the internet of things. The focus of many start-ups is in mobile internet and cloud computing. There is a<br />

strong need to provide mentoring, facilities and focussed support to those in the start-up and innovation<br />

community to develop ideas and technology which could have positive impacts on the future productivity<br />

and sustainability of the Australian energy resources sector. This support should come from industry<br />

and government in the forms of investment, access to data and existing knowledge, tax incentives and<br />

customers for the ideas that emerge.<br />

7. COMMERCIALISATION OF RESEARCH AND<br />

DEVELOPMENT<br />

Australia currently faces challenges in capitalising on the nation’s significant research and development<br />

capability. Identifying industry requirements to better focus both academic and industry research<br />

and ensure uptake and commercialisation will be key to increasing supply chain capability and<br />

commercialisation of research in the sector.<br />

Australia is a world leader in many areas of technology research, ranking in the top 10 Organisation<br />

for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) nations for academic publications, yet regularly<br />

stumbles when trying to commercialise these developments, where the nation ranks at the bottom for<br />

collaboration between industry and academia 104 . The operators of many Australian facilities continue<br />

to require international demonstrations of equipment before they deploy new technology, making it an<br />

ongoing challenge for many Australian innovators to reach commercial outcomes especially given the<br />

difficulties in securing capital to upscale pilot projects and implement international trials. The result of<br />

which means many Australian businesses are unable to capitalise on their cutting edge work.<br />

Identifying and leveraging the research and industry connections between end users, research institutions<br />

and product developers is critical in defining and developing new technology, and yet many organisations<br />

still struggle to find the right linkages. Building these linkages and leveraging this knowledge into the<br />

broader sector is a major role of <strong>NERA</strong>. It is critical to the future competitiveness and sustainability of<br />

Australia’s energy resources sector that research and industry build stronger ties, and establish ways to<br />

effectively communicate emerging science on technical and socio-economic challenges of the sector.<br />

This requires all parties to provide leadership and actively seek opportunities to collaborate and to<br />

innovate together. Industry must work with the research sector to address its pressing current and future<br />

challenges. In turn, Australian universities and research organisations need to achieve greater consistency<br />

and engagement in knowledge and technology transfer.<br />

If we are to maximise the impact and utility of research and innovation spend, Australia needs to build<br />

on the work undertaken by programs such as the Australian Research Council, Co-operative Research<br />

Centres and Co-operative Research Centre projects to ensure research is assessed for its impact including<br />

social, economic, environmental and health. Energy resources related research and innovation should<br />

have a clear pathway to commercial impact in that sector. Australia also needs to further explore the use<br />

of incentives, including financial, for the research sector to engage in knowledge transfer.<br />

SECTOR CHALLENGES AND KNOWLEDGE PRIORITIES<br />

National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong><br />

135


BUSINESS AND OPERATING MODELS, TECHNOLOGY AND SERVICES<br />

Living laboratories<br />

The commitment of the National Research Infrastructure Council 105 to build public collaboration facilities<br />

sufficiently large enough to provide a test bed for exploratory work, testing, certification and qualification<br />

and international engagement, provides significant support for innovation, product development, skills<br />

and services in Australia. Private organisations with testing facilities can also build breadth and depth into<br />

the system by developing clusters of organisations, small and large, around an industry discipline, and in<br />

effect developing the “living lab” concept 106 . Using Australia’s existing facilities, whether public and private,<br />

enables continuous learning and development and creates an environment of trust and shared risk.<br />

Using infrastructure as a tool to build collaboration, knowledge, skills, new and improved products has<br />

been shown to be successful in clusters around the world. Clusters based on infrastructure draw in<br />

start-ups, small to medium enterprises, universities and large industries all supporting the science and<br />

innovation supporting the maturation of the idea to market.<br />

Understanding and developing commercialisation pathways<br />

While many large organisations have the capacity to access commercialisation pathways for their new<br />

products and innovations, it remains difficult for smaller, less established organisations to understand<br />

how best to commercialise their ideas. Many innovations developed within organisations, whether large<br />

or small, are developed without the pathway to commercial outcomes clearly identified or understood<br />

upfront by the developers. This leaves many innovative business ideas and products unexplored or<br />

unrealised, and many smaller organisations are unable to exploit their ideas to their full potential.<br />

Many new and innovative ideas will be progressed to the point of feasibility only to fail at the development<br />

stage, through lack of funding or the inability to secure the support of potential clients and users willing<br />

to undertake trials. Bridging this gap between technology readiness and commercialisation readiness is,<br />

often an almost insurmountable challenge in the energy resources sector, where the high capital cost<br />

environment makes participants risk averse.<br />

To address these challenges, organisations seeking to innovate need assistance to identify the commercial<br />

potential and how to take their ideas, innovation and products to the global marketplace. There are a<br />

number of existing tools that could be extended to assist with this process, for example, concepts could be<br />

evaluated and assigned the accepted Technology Readiness Levels (TRL’s) 107 and Commercial Readiness<br />

Index (CRI’s) 108 and then supported through the product development funnel process shown in Figure 25<br />

until they are capable of becoming self-sustaining commercial successes. The relationship between TRL’s<br />

and CRI’s is set out in Figure 23 109 .<br />

136 National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong>


BUSINESS AND OPERATING MODELS, TECHNOLOGY AND SERVICES<br />

Figure 23: A pictorial representation of the relationship between TRL’s and CRI’s<br />

(from Technology Readiness Levels for Renewable Energy <strong>Sector</strong>s, ARENA 109 )<br />

CRI<br />

6<br />

5<br />

Bankable Asset Class<br />

Market competition<br />

Driving widespread development<br />

4 Multiple Commercial Applications<br />

System test,<br />

TRL<br />

Launch & Operations<br />

9<br />

System / Subsystem<br />

8<br />

Development<br />

Technology<br />

7<br />

Demonstration 6<br />

Technology<br />

5<br />

Development<br />

Research to<br />

4<br />

Prove Feasibility 3<br />

Basic Technology<br />

2<br />

Research<br />

1<br />

3 Commercial Scale Up<br />

2 Commercial Trial, small scale<br />

1<br />

Hypothetical<br />

Commercial Proposition<br />

Figure 24: The pathway from TRL to CRI<br />

(from Technology Readiness Levels for Renewable Energy <strong>Sector</strong>s, ARENA 109 )<br />

Research and<br />

Development<br />

Technology readiness<br />

Demonstration<br />

Pilot<br />

Scale<br />

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9<br />

Commercial<br />

Scale<br />

Commercial readiness<br />

Deployment<br />

Supported<br />

Commercial<br />

Competitive<br />

Commercial<br />

1 2 3 4 5 6<br />

SECTOR CHALLENGES AND KNOWLEDGE PRIORITIES<br />

National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong><br />

137


BUSINESS AND OPERATING MODELS, TECHNOLOGY AND SERVICES<br />

Figure 25: Product development funnel<br />

Commonwealth funding,<br />

university & industry<br />

support resources along the<br />

research to market funnel<br />

Identify<br />

Problem,<br />

Unproven<br />

Concept<br />

<strong>NERA</strong> guidance<br />

and assessment<br />

support CRC,<br />

CRC-P, ITRP, GIL<br />

<strong>NERA</strong> publication<br />

– Research Ready<br />

Ideas<br />

Ideas<br />

Ideas<br />

Ideas<br />

Ideas<br />

Ideas<br />

Ideas<br />

• CRC, CRC-P<br />

• ARC Linkage, ITRP<br />

• Collaborations<br />

• Student Projects<br />

• iPrep<br />

• ATSE Mentoring<br />

• Hackathons<br />

• Fedex Days<br />

• Accelerators<br />

Proven<br />

Concept<br />

Tested<br />

<strong>NERA</strong> financial<br />

support for<br />

the PhD ATSE<br />

mentoring Program<br />

• PhDs, ECRs, CSIRO<br />

• CRC, CRC-P<br />

• University & Commercial Labs<br />

• Consulting<br />

Validated<br />

Concept<br />

<strong>NERA</strong> Innovation<br />

Voucher<br />

• University & Commercial Labs<br />

• Technology Qualification<br />

• IP Australia<br />

• R&D Tax Incentives<br />

• State Government Funding<br />

Programmes<br />

Prototype<br />

<strong>NERA</strong> support for<br />

COREHub & SME<br />

networking events<br />

• Entrepreneurs Programme<br />

• Innovation WA<br />

• Accelerators<br />

• Austrade<br />

• University & Commercial Labs<br />

• Angel Investors<br />

• Venture Capital<br />

• Classification Societies<br />

Environment<br />

& System<br />

Tested<br />

<strong>NERA</strong> support<br />

for the formation<br />

of clusters, living<br />

labs, technology<br />

competitions &<br />

promotion<br />

• Facilities & Experts for Testing<br />

• University & Commercial Labs<br />

• Austrade<br />

• Marketing<br />

• Commercial Labs<br />

• Angel Investors<br />

• Venture Capital<br />

• Classification Societies<br />

System<br />

Installed &<br />

Field Proven<br />

<strong>NERA</strong> identification<br />

of R&D<br />

commercialisation<br />

gaps, barriers<br />

and investment<br />

channels<br />

• Customers<br />

• Clients<br />

• Sales<br />

• Marketing<br />

• Product Cycle<br />

• EFIC<br />

• Austrade<br />

• Australian Landing Pads<br />

• International Clusters<br />

Market<br />

138 National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong>


BUSINESS AND OPERATING MODELS, TECHNOLOGY AND SERVICES<br />

Initiatives to assist in the commercialisation of Research and Development<br />

Strengthen industry-led research stewardship<br />

Enhanced collaboration and research stewardship between industry and research organisations will<br />

provide greater research and development focus on industry requirements, increasing solution uptake<br />

and commercialisation. Mechanisms to support this include the ongoing use of the Cooperative Research<br />

Centre Association scheme (CRC) 110 and the Australian Research Council scheme (ARC Linkage) 111 .<br />

Enhance industry engagement with research institutions<br />

The sector needs to understand and adopt, where appropriate, world’s leading practice for the adoption<br />

of research translation, i.e. transferring research into industry practice 112 . This includes both industry<br />

and the broader research community working to fully and holistically understand sector challenges<br />

and opportunities and identifying key business people to actively manage the research engagement.<br />

These personnel need to understand the potential barriers and pathways to ensure research outcomes<br />

are efficiently transferred into business practice.<br />

Research and development funding models<br />

There is an opportunity to better coordinate, achieve efficiencies of effort and maximise the value from<br />

industry research by investigating collaborative funding models. This may include, for example, a research<br />

funding trust in the oil and gas sector similar to the highly effective model operated by ACARP and the<br />

Coal21 fund (ACALET) discussed elsewhere in this SCP. Such an initiative could be solely industry funded,<br />

with research and development tax concessions, or jointly funded by industry and government to support<br />

research and development in identified fields.<br />

A range of research opportunities are currently available, but information on them is scattered across<br />

multiple private and government bodies, making it difficult to identify the best source of funding and best<br />

capability to undertake the research. The result is duplication of effort, with multiple institutions often<br />

undertaking parallel research where, with better sharing of information, the effort could be combined<br />

and the monies streamlined. Money that would otherwise have been used to support the parallel efforts<br />

could be redirected to other research.<br />

CASE STUDY<br />

Assisting in the delivery of safer, more efficient and reliable<br />

pipelines to meet Australia’s growing energy needs<br />

The Energy Pipelines Cooperative Research Centre (EPCRC) provided the Australian energy pipeline<br />

industry with the technology necessary to extend the life of the existing natural gas transmission<br />

network, and build better, cheaper and safer networks to support increased demand for energy.<br />

EPCRC is a collaboration involving the Australian Pipelines and Gas Association Research and<br />

Standards Committee (APGA RSC), the University of Adelaide, Deakin University, the Royal<br />

Melbourne Institute of Technology and the University of Wollongong.<br />

APGA RSC consists of approximately 60 companies from across the pipeline supply chain including<br />

pipeline owners, designers, constructors, pipe suppliers, contractors and consultants.<br />

Pipelines are technologically advanced and complex systems required to operate continuously,<br />

efficiently and safely. Pipeline failure or outage can have significant, far-reaching consequences<br />

including impacting the security of supply for export and domestic markets and consequently the<br />

Australian economy. Moreover, the existing pipeline network was largely constructed in the 1970s<br />

and 1980s with large portions nearing end of life. Combined with a huge increase in the demand<br />

for domestic energy and export gas, urban sprawl and a changing pipeline ownership landscape,<br />

the pressures on the pipeline network have never been greater.<br />

The EPCRC collaboration received strong industry support and project teams were made up of<br />

actively engaged industry personnel and researchers. It has provided significant value to the<br />

Australian pipeline industry and has been recognised for its world leading research into pipeline<br />

innovation and improved safety.<br />

SECTOR CHALLENGES AND KNOWLEDGE PRIORITIES<br />

National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong><br />

139


BUSINESS AND OPERATING MODELS, TECHNOLOGY AND SERVICES<br />

Improve understanding of Intellectual Property<br />

Ownership of, and access to, intellectual property emerging from new research is often problematic and<br />

can pose additional barriers to the effective exploitation of new ideas. This situation can be particularly<br />

complex when multiple businesses, research centres and universities are involved. Tension exists between<br />

industry’s desire to either own and/or capitalise on any advantages the research offers, while the research<br />

community can be more motivated to publicly share findings and continue investigations. Furthermore,<br />

many operators are generally most interested in having new technology available for their use, rather<br />

than any opportunities to earn royalties. While resolving this tension can be a relatively simple task, it is<br />

one that is typically addressed individually for each project, causing delays and adding potential barriers<br />

to timely research.<br />

Support living labs and pilot plants<br />

Living labs and pilot plants need to be developed and supported in Australia, allowing all levels of<br />

industry and researchers to test and demonstrate their technologies and products in a readily accessible<br />

environment prior to product launch. Such facilities would allow the developers of new technologies<br />

to prove their products to potential clients without needing to negotiate their deployment into full<br />

scale operating industrial plant. Without such facilities it remains extremely difficult for new technology<br />

developers to prove their products to clients who frequently demand demonstrated use prior to adoption.<br />

8. EFFICIENT OPERATIONS AND MAINTENANCE<br />

Australia’s reputation as a high cost jurisdiction to develop, execute and operate projects means<br />

that improving efficiency of operations and maintenance is critical to maintaining and enhancing our<br />

competitive advantage. Identifying appropriate avenues to improve the efficiency of operations and<br />

maintenance, and improve asset utilisation, is critical to the sector’s future competitiveness.<br />

Operators must continually explore, test, develop and adopt new and different innovative solutions, in<br />

some cases becoming early adopters rather than followers. Given the constantly evolving technological<br />

environment, ongoing work is required, particularly in respect of utilisation of service sector capacity,<br />

system standardisation and coordination of major shut downs.<br />

Operating models for remote operations<br />

The Australian mining sector is recognised globally as a leader in remote operations of process plant.<br />

This is a position that has been built over the past decade through innovative changes to operations<br />

in both the mining and energy resources sectors. However, the sector needs to continue to push the<br />

boundaries of what can be safely and effectively monitored and controlled remotely. The focus needs to<br />

be maintained developing effective operating models for remote operations (including those in hostile<br />

and challenging environments) and understanding and adopting ‘smart operations’ to drive performance<br />

improvements and potential costs savings. Co-location of remote operations centres may help improve<br />

knowledge transfer and enable sharing of functional activities.<br />

Understanding the future labour requirements in these new operating models, and ensuring training and<br />

development of relevant skills will be essential, requiring ongoing open collaboration between operators,<br />

service sector companies and education providers.<br />

140 National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong>


BUSINESS AND OPERATING MODELS, TECHNOLOGY AND SERVICES<br />

Data, digitisation and predictive analytics<br />

The ongoing gains possible through advanced process modelling, diagnostics and data analytics are<br />

becoming well recognised and in recent years these facilities have been increasingly adopted by many<br />

operators. New gains will continue to be found as technology develops. To exploit these opportunities,<br />

the energy resources sector must push boundaries, support focussed research and develop the use<br />

of data and digital technology to support better decision making and bring about a step change in<br />

operating performance to drive more efficient operations.<br />

To make the most of the opportunities presented by advancing automation, dynamic modelling and<br />

real time predictive control may require investment in new control systems and metering for older<br />

facilities. These changes could include the development of open architecture control systems, such as<br />

that proposed by the Open Process Automation Forum 113 , in place of traditional closed systems currently<br />

in use in many plant. This would be accompanied by open technology, plug-and-play measurement<br />

equipment. It would also be necessary to ensure all of the right measurements are being made in the<br />

right way to allow the level of advanced control anticipated in the future. Essentially, operators must<br />

ensure they are measuring the right variables correctly so they can move beyond the conventional DCS<br />

or PLC level. Without meeting these needs it will not be possible to build accurate analytical models or<br />

undertake realistic and meaningful advanced modelling. Without ensuring the right technology is in place<br />

to make and maximise the measurements, millions of dollars could be wasted trying to grapple with<br />

predictive analytics from using the wrong approach.<br />

Data and digital enablement will result in lower operating costs and enhanced productivity for facilities,<br />

while supporting improved performance analysis. Industry benchmarking of Australian facilities against<br />

international best practice should be considered while developing a local technology industry that can<br />

then export these skills and knowledge to the rest of the world.<br />

Such technologies could include machine learning, artificial intelligence and the use of supercomputers.<br />

A focus on effective decision-making technology will support data analysis to drive value chain optimisation.<br />

SECTOR CHALLENGES AND KNOWLEDGE PRIORITIES<br />

National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong><br />

141


BUSINESS AND OPERATING MODELS, TECHNOLOGY AND SERVICES<br />

Robotics, sensors and automation<br />

For decades, process plants have relied on traditional monitoring and control equipment along with human<br />

operators and maintenance personnel. The emergence of remote and autonomously controlled machines<br />

and sensors has meant that new, more efficient technological options are available. This technology includes<br />

such things as Unmanned Aerial Vehicles (UAV’s also known as drones) and their marine counterparts,<br />

which are being adopted for inspection roles across projects in the energy resources sector.<br />

To exploit the opportunities presented by advances in sensing, automation and monitoring, focussed<br />

research into applications and technology, supported by commitments to test and deploy the resulting<br />

advancements in the areas of robotics, drones, sensors and automation to deliver a step change in<br />

operating performance, is required from all parts of the value chain.<br />

The calculated use of automation and robotics will help to improve plant safety, drive down costs, improve<br />

productivity and allow better access and operations in hostile environments. Focussed development of<br />

leading edge technologies and applications could result in the development of domestic, world leading<br />

businesses which are able to export their technology to the world.<br />

Develop a greater understanding of decommissioning techniques<br />

Each of the uranium, coal and oil and gas industries undertake decommissioning, abandonment<br />

and mine closure in safe and environmentally responsible ways as their assets reach the end of their<br />

productive lives. These activities are costly and complex, exposing the businesses to greater expense and<br />

risk. It is important that Australia remains at the forefront of relevant knowledge and technology and<br />

undertakes research to build the national capabilities and also monitors the international practice and<br />

technology used in decommissioning, abandonment and mine closure activities being undertaken in other<br />

jurisdictions and other industry sectors.<br />

Initiatives to enhance efficient operations and maintenance<br />

Explore ways to build the industry’s skill base in remote operations and facility life extension<br />

Australia is a leading proponent of remote operations. This has been driven by the extreme distances and<br />

harsh environments where facilities are located. Australia is leading the deployment of semi-autonomous<br />

and, increasingly, fully autonomous vehicles and machinery on mine sites as well as ‘not normally<br />

manned’ offshore facilities. However, these steps are just the beginning of increasingly autonomous<br />

operations. While Australia is currently a world leader in this field, we must keep pushing the technology<br />

to deliver increasing benefits in productivity, efficiency and safety, by establishing collaborative<br />

agreements and research centres focussed on the continuing development of remote operations.<br />

Focussed research and early deployment of new technologies<br />

New technologies continue to emerge which are relevant to the energy resources sector, although<br />

they may first be deployed in other industries. This technology includes drones used for surveys and<br />

inspections, 3D printing technology used to manufacture components and prototypes, initially in<br />

plastics but increasingly in metals, virtual reality (VR) technology used to provide immersive training and<br />

developmental environments, and machine learning and advanced computing techniques used to deliver<br />

process plant optimisation. The sector must seek out emerging technologies wherever they are developed<br />

and consider innovative ways to quickly deploy them within the sector in order to deliver productivity and<br />

safety gains together with leading edge capability.<br />

142 National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong>


BUSINESS AND OPERATING MODELS, TECHNOLOGY AND SERVICES<br />

Research into life extension for ageing facilities<br />

Across the world, many energy resource facilities are facing their end of design life while resources<br />

remain to be extracted. This is occurring in both the mining and oil and gas industries. Substantial<br />

research is being undertaken into ways of extending the life of these ageing assets to enable safe<br />

and efficient operations to continue without the need to invest in new and potentially cost prohibitive<br />

equipment or to close the facility while resources remain untapped.<br />

Such projects result in the development of new guidelines and alternate strategies for the ongoing use of<br />

these ageing facilities, and include numerous Joint Industry Projects (JIP) which are being conducted to<br />

identify and address various challenges faced by ageing assets.<br />

CASE STUDY<br />

Innovation precinct for coal remote operating centres<br />

The Remote Operating Centre (ROC) provides a central location for coal operators to coordinate and<br />

increase value across the complete coal supply value chain. BHPBilliton, University of Queensland and<br />

<strong>NERA</strong> have collaborated to start an innovation precinct aimed toward improving remote operating<br />

centres. Coal operators need to extract more value from the ROC operating model and believe additional<br />

collaboration with innovative research partners will speed value generation and enhance the Australian<br />

economy. The potential value of this initiative is increased sector exports and improved performance,<br />

commercialisation of new technology and reduced debottlenecking of capital cost for operators.<br />

The first step in this collaboration will be an alignment of strategic themes across ROC controlled value<br />

chains, providing an early opportunity to consolidate and align research work effort. For example, a highspeed<br />

value trial to build and deploy a cyber-physical fleet control system conducted in a collaboration<br />

hub could transform this technology and develop a new knowledge base. A multi-objective optimisation<br />

of open-pit trucking operations could consider factors including energy efficiency, change in demand<br />

signals and downstream process performance. This one collaboration idea alone would yield:<br />

• Considerable value chain benefit;<br />

• A new commercialised product;<br />

• Increased innovation; and<br />

• Seamless innovation integration between academia and industry.<br />

The learnings from this innovation precinct could be more broadly applied across other industry<br />

remote operating centres.<br />

SECTOR CHALLENGES AND KNOWLEDGE PRIORITIES<br />

National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong><br />

143


Regulatory<br />

Environment<br />

9. REGULATORY FRAMEWORK OPTIMISATION<br />

Harmonising regulations across the States, Territories and Commonwealth and between Commonwealth<br />

regulations, together with the establishment of outcomes-based regulatory frameworks, would remove<br />

duplication, inconsistencies and inefficient complexity. It would ensure best practice regulation that<br />

supports the Australian economy by supporting industry, innovation and flexibility whilst providing the<br />

Australian community with confidence in the independent, transparent and objective oversight of industry<br />

activities and environmental impacts.<br />

Regulations which currently act as barriers to industry innovation, or inhibit Australia’s ability to access<br />

new resources or develop technology for export markets should be identified and streamlined, but within<br />

the context of maintaining consistency and stability and reducing sovereign risk for investment decisions.<br />

The development of regulations and adoption of standards governing the energy resources sector can<br />

be a protracted undertaking and, if prescriptive in approach, will often be out of date before enacted.<br />

Prescriptive regulation stifles innovation and flexibility, so when coupled with long timelines, creates<br />

further barriers to the deployment of new technologies that might deliver improved performance and<br />

better outcomes. The focus needs to be on risk based and outcome focussed regulation which requires<br />

strong demonstration of performance but allows for changing environments.<br />

144 National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong>


REGULATORY ENVIRONMENT<br />

Encouraging sensible regulatory frameworks to allow ongoing exploration<br />

Across Australia a number of states are currently imposing highly restrictive regulations around energy<br />

resource activities, and in some cases moratoria on exploration. These restrictions are impeding the industry’s<br />

ability to identify, access and develop new prospects. This is placing the long-term future of the Australian<br />

energy resources sector and Australia’s energy security in jeopardy. The identification and assessment of<br />

new reserves is necessary to maintain production by existing facilities as well as for new projects. There is an<br />

urgent need for the industry and governments across Australia to work cooperatively to address community<br />

concerns, and to establish a sensible and broadly acceptable regulatory framework under which<br />

unnecessary restrictions are removed and exploration can proceed with the support of the community.<br />

Harmonisation of standards<br />

The energy resources sector is a global industry. Organisations at all levels are required to navigate multiple<br />

local, national and international standards. These differing standards impact on productivity and create<br />

difficulties in moving personnel and material around the world, and inhibit access to global export markets<br />

for Australia’s energy resources technologies. The harmonisation of domestic and international standards<br />

to a single globally acceptable standard is a critical step, one that is needed for the energy resources<br />

sector to continue to improve productivity and access new global expert markets for the supply chain.<br />

Review of industry self-imposed regulations<br />

While the external regulatory framework establishes a large number of limitations and restrictions on<br />

businesses, it is important also to review self-imposed regulations that may inhibit productivity. In its 2014<br />

report 114 , Deloitte estimated that self-imposed rules and regulations cost business up to $21 billion per year<br />

to administer, and a further $134 billion a year in compliance costs. While this same research found that<br />

the overall compliance requirements in the mining sector (of which the energy resources sector is a sub set),<br />

was relatively low at around eight per cent, they also found that the rate of growth of these self-imposed<br />

requirements was the highest in the country, at around 17 per cent between 2006 and 2011. Many of the<br />

new regulations are in respect of workplace safety improvements and, are very important, but other selfimposed<br />

regulations are simply administrative in nature and unnecessarily add to the cost of business.<br />

Industrial relations and workplace reform<br />

Issues in respect of industrial relations and workplace reform are recognised as a major point of interest<br />

for all members of the energy resources sector, and a prudent and equitable industrial relations landscape<br />

is vital to the viability of the industry. However, such issues do not form part of <strong>NERA</strong>’s charter nor are<br />

they part of the scope of this SCP.<br />

Resource management reform and review of the existing permitting<br />

systems<br />

Many areas of potential activity by the Australian offshore oil and gas industry are currently constrained<br />

by the current permit and retention lease system which is based on a historical ‘permit by permit’<br />

approach. At present, an operator making a discovery must decide whether they can commercially<br />

develop their find or apply for a retention lease. Too often they apply for retention leases which<br />

provide generous timeframes to develop the commerciality of the project. However, a combination of<br />

factors could enable earlier development of a field if an operator was able to gain access to existing<br />

infrastructure and processing capacity. These include: the manner in which the regulations covering<br />

permitting operate; the Joint Authority (JA) of the relevant Australian Government Minister and state/<br />

Northern Territory Government Minister or their delegates; and the incumbent operators holding titles to<br />

adjacent areas where they may already be operating existing facilities and infrastructure.<br />

It is recommended that the Australian regulators and offshore oil and gas industry review the current<br />

resource management framework to determine whether the adoption of a process similar to that set<br />

out in the Maximising Economic Recovery strategy (MER) 115 in place in the United Kingdom sector of<br />

the North Sea may be appropriate, and whether such a policy could serve to unlock current offshore<br />

discoveries through the sharing of appropriate infrastructure.<br />

SECTOR CHALLENGES AND KNOWLEDGE PRIORITIES<br />

National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong><br />

145


REGULATORY ENVIRONMENT<br />

Initiatives to support the optimisation of the regulatory frameworks<br />

Many areas of the Australian energy resources sector are currently heavily constrained by state and federal<br />

regulations that limit exploration to provide new supply and underpin long-term sector viability, restricting<br />

operational development and stifling innovation. For the sector to be able to deliver the value of its full<br />

potential to the economy and community it is critical that the regulatory framework is reviewed. Regulation<br />

needs to be flexible and outcome focussed, and provide a more stable and predictable policy environment.<br />

Exploration can then proceed in a safe and sustainable manner, and potential new projects can be planned<br />

and initiated without sudden policy changes being imposed.<br />

One example of where additional focussed research is needed to support and underpin regulation and<br />

secure community acceptance is understanding the scope, scale, sources and impact of fugitive emissions,<br />

particularly in the unconventional gas industry. In the natural gas industry, fugitive emissions are considered<br />

to include all greenhouse gas emissions from exploration, production, processing, transport and distribution<br />

of natural gas, except those from fuel combustion 116 . However, certain combustion processes like flaring<br />

and waste gas incineration are also counted as fugitive emissions. One of the key drivers of increased<br />

demand for gas is that greenhouse gas emissions from gas utilisation are usually lower than other fossil<br />

fuels 117 . However, because of the much higher global warming potential of methane compared to CO 2<br />

, even<br />

relatively small proportions of fugitive methane released during the production, processing and distribution<br />

of natural gas can reduce this advantage relative to other fuels 118, 119 .<br />

At present, the debate in Australia around fugitive emissions is largely driven by sentiment, supposition<br />

and inferral from other jurisdictions such as the United States. There is currently limited Australian data or<br />

research that specifically addresses Australia’s industry activities and environmental conditions and this is<br />

limiting the ability for informed debate and decisions. As the natural gas industry grows there is a need<br />

for clear, data driven and scientific evidence to improve understanding of the scope of fugitive emissions,<br />

so that the broader society can be provided with independent peer reviewed science based information,<br />

regulators can manage compliance and reporting in a transparent and meaningful manner, government<br />

can make fully informed decisions, the operators of the facilities can monitor and address any issues in a<br />

planned and organised manner and, potentially, Australian technology companies can engage to develop<br />

technologies that reduce or eliminate fugitive sources on facilities. This should include extending the<br />

recent work undertaken by CSIRO on field measurements of fugitive emissions from equipment and well<br />

casings in Australia’s coal seam gas production facilities 120 .<br />

Adopt and harmonise international standards<br />

An area of focus to achieve greater alignment is for Australia to adopt trusted international standards<br />

and review regulations to remove references to local bespoke standards. Regulations may need to bridge<br />

any gaps between international standards and standards required for genuinely local conditions, such as<br />

environmental issues. The energy resources industries operate within a global supply chain and the issue<br />

of international standards is a critical one. The industry uses standards to enhance technical integrity,<br />

improve safety, enable cost reductions and reduce the environmental and health impacts of operations<br />

worldwide. Aligning with international standards would facilitate local industry to compete in an<br />

international market, and enhance performance.<br />

This initiative is likely to reduce unnecessary and inefficient regulatory burden, duplication of health,<br />

safety and training requirements, and ultimately drive down cost. Standardisation is recognised as a key<br />

factor in the Australian Government’s Innovation and <strong>Competitiveness</strong> Agenda released in 2014 121 , with<br />

alignment to international standards set to deliver significant competitiveness, productivity and efficiency<br />

gains to the Australian supply chain.<br />

Standardisation will support the mobility of personnel both within Australia and globally, helping grow<br />

the local supply chain and enabling Australia SMEs and tier one companies to compete globally whilst<br />

achieving greater local workforce participation. The international oil and gas sector has estimated<br />

productivity gains in the order of 20 per cent for service sector procurement on the basis of applying a<br />

more consistent set of standards and requirements across the industry and service sector.<br />

146 National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong>


REGULATORY ENVIRONMENT<br />

Regulatory reform to support ongoing sector growth<br />

To avoid energy supply disruptions such as those experienced in South Australia during 2016, and those<br />

predicted for much of Australia’s eastern seaboard in the later part of this decade, it is important that<br />

government look to harmonise regulations across the states and territories and with the Commonwealth 122 .<br />

Such harmonisation would allow the sector to plan its future in a more structured manner and to supply the<br />

energy needs of the community and manufacturing industries in a stable and economically sensible manner.<br />

Considerable work has been undertaken at each jurisdictional level to streamline regulation and identify<br />

best practice approaches. However, Australia still suffers from duplicative, inconsistent and complex<br />

regulations across and within multiple jurisdictions which cause confusion and result in duplication,<br />

extended and costly timelines, and waste of government(s) resources in activities such as the granting of<br />

approvals. This ultimately impacts the attractiveness of Australia as an investment location. Governments<br />

in Australia should work together to harmonise and simplify regulation. Priorities for reform include<br />

adoption of trusted international standards across all jurisdictions, adoption of outcomes based<br />

regulation that facilitates innovation and early adoption of new technology, and reform of regulations<br />

to promote exploration and development of new supplies of energy resources for Australia.<br />

One specific area to pursue is the harmonisation, alignment and rationalisation of state and federal<br />

regulations in the uranium industry, giving clarity to developers of new and identified resources, and<br />

ensuring the safe export of product through Australian ports, with a view to developing an optimised and<br />

consistent national regulatory framework.<br />

Review the regulatory frameworks<br />

The Australian energy resources sector must conduct a comprehensive, overarching review of the national<br />

and state regulatory frameworks that govern the industry, and their interaction. The goal should be to<br />

streamline and simplify. Many of the current regulations are extremely onerous and duplicative or have<br />

the consequence of preventing the movement of plant and equipment across borders or impeding the<br />

movement of skilled personnel between states, as illustrated by the emerging requirement for state by<br />

state registration of engineers, led by the introduction of the Queensland registration scheme 123 .<br />

Regulations are placing a disproportionate level of expense on operators before they are able to<br />

determine the extent of potential reserves.<br />

In the area of approvals, work by the Mineral Council of Australia 124 found that in the thermal coal<br />

industry, the average Australian project experiences an additional 1.3 years of delay due to the regulatory<br />

regime, as compared to other jurisdictions. This confirms that regulations are hampering the sector’s<br />

ability to bring new capacity on line in a cost effective manner, and are pushing international businesses<br />

to look to other jurisdictions in which to invest.<br />

The situation is made more difficult by the imposition of moratoria on development of potential new coal<br />

seam gas assets in several states including New South Wales 125 and the Northern Territory 126 . Victoria has<br />

imposed a permanent ban on all future unconventional gas developments 127 . The banning of shipment of<br />

uranium through various Australian ports 128 , is forcing producers to transport the yellow cake thousands<br />

of kilometres overland to other ports, severely limiting their ability to export their products in a cost<br />

effective manner.<br />

National performance or outcomes-based regulatory frameworks should be established across the energy<br />

resources sector, ensuring fit-for-purpose regulation that facilitates innovation and high standards, clear<br />

pathways to compliance and reduces regulatory overlap.<br />

SECTOR CHALLENGES AND KNOWLEDGE PRIORITIES<br />

National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong><br />

147


Creating opportunities for<br />

Australia’s energy resources sector<br />

to become globally competitive,<br />

innovative, sustainable and diverse.<br />

148 National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong>


Glossary<br />

DEFINITIONS<br />

For the purpose of this document, the following definitions will be used:<br />

Collaboration is defined as a joint effort, which involves pooling of resources and information, by two<br />

or more organisations (companies, universities, training institutes) in the sector towards a well-defined<br />

goal to improve sector competitiveness.<br />

<strong>Competitiveness</strong> is defined as the ability of the sector to produce and sell energy commodities and<br />

related services competitively in comparison to other similar sectors world-wide.<br />

<strong>Competitiveness</strong> plan is defined as a structured and evolutionary plan to progressively work to identify<br />

and implement mechanisms to improve the global competitiveness and sustainability of, in this case,<br />

the Australian energy resource sector. This competitiveness plan will continually evolve as the issues and<br />

solutions change, and will be characterised by the focussed identification and pursuit of specific projects.<br />

Industry refers to the sub components of the sector e.g. oil and gas, coal and uranium.<br />

Knowledge priority is defined as an inadequacy in the depth and/or breadth of knowledge relating to<br />

an aspect of an industry or industries of the Australian energy resources sector. Addressing these will help<br />

improve the competitiveness of the sector, or one or more of its industries.<br />

<strong>NERA</strong> is an independent, third party, incorporated entity with a mandate to assist the energy resources<br />

sector achieve sector wide improvements in competitiveness and to help secure a sustainable future for<br />

the sector. <strong>NERA</strong> provides an independent and neutral setting where individuals and organisations from<br />

across the energy resources sector can participate directly or indirectly to consider, discuss and resolve<br />

issues that are currently restraining the sector from achieving global competitiveness and sustainability.<br />

<strong>Sector</strong> is defined as the energy resources sector comprising the oil and gas industry including both<br />

conventional onshore and offshore oil and gas, coal seam gas and shale oil and gas, the coal industry<br />

and the uranium industry, and related services.<br />

SMEs are defined as small to medium sized firms which employ up to 250 employees.<br />

STAKEHOLDER CONSULTATION PROCESS<br />

An extensive consultation process involving key stakeholders has been undertaken across the country<br />

during the development of the <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong>. These stakeholders included:<br />

• Producers and explorers;<br />

• Service providers;<br />

• Research institutions;<br />

• Industry associations;<br />

• Government agencies.<br />

National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong><br />

149


ACRONYMS<br />

ACALET Australian Coal Association Low Emissions Technology<br />

ACARP Australian Coal Industry’s Research Program<br />

ACCC Australian Competition and Consumer Commission<br />

APGA Australian Pipelines and Gas Association<br />

ANLEC Australian National Low Emissions Coal<br />

ANSTO Australian Nuclear Science and Technology Organisation<br />

APPEA Australian Petroleum Production & Exploration Association<br />

ASEAN Association of Southeast Asian Nations<br />

AUD Australian Dollar<br />

BOM Bureau of Meteorology<br />

Bt Billion tonnes<br />

CCS Carbon Capture and Storage<br />

CNG Compressed Natural Gas<br />

CSG Coal Seam Gas<br />

CO 2<br />

Carbon dioxide<br />

COAG Council of Australian Governments<br />

COAL21 Fund based on a voluntary levy on coal production<br />

COP21 2015 Paris Climate Conference<br />

CRI Commercial Readiness Index<br />

CSIRO Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation<br />

EPCRC Energy Pipelines Cooperative Research Centre<br />

FOB Free On Board<br />

GDP Gross Domestic Product<br />

GJ Gigajoule<br />

HELE High Efficiency Low Emission technology<br />

ICA Industry <strong>Competitiveness</strong> Assessment<br />

ICF Industry <strong>Competitiveness</strong> Framework<br />

ICS Industry <strong>Competitiveness</strong> Score<br />

IEA International Energy Agency<br />

IOT Internet of Things<br />

JIP Joint Industry Project<br />

KPI Key Performance Indicator<br />

LNG Liquefied Natural Gas<br />

LPG Liquefied Petroleum Gas<br />

MARPOL International Maritime Organisation<br />

MM Million<br />

Mt Million tonnes<br />

Mtoe Million tonnes of oil equivalent<br />

NOx Nitrous Oxide<br />

PCC Post-combustion carbon dioxide capture<br />

RITC Resources Industry Training Council<br />

ROC Remote Operating Centre<br />

SOx Sulphur Oxide<br />

STEM Science, Technology, Mathematics and Engineering<br />

Tcf Trillions of cubic feet<br />

TRL Technology Readiness Level<br />

TSBE Toowoomba and Surat Basin Enterprise<br />

USD United States Dollar<br />

VDT Value Driver Trees<br />

150 National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong>


Bibliography<br />

1 Office of the Chief Economist, “Resources and Energy Quarterly December 2016”.<br />

2 World Economic Forum, “The Global <strong>Competitiveness</strong> Report 2016-<strong>2017</strong>,” 2016. [Online]. Available: http://reports.weforum.org/<br />

global-competitiveness-index/.<br />

3 APPEA, “Disturbing trend of falling exploration continues,” 16 December 2016. [Online]. Available: http://www.appea.com.au/<br />

media_release/disturbing-exploration-decline-continues/.<br />

4 International Energy Agency (IEA), “World Energy Outlook 2015,” November 2015. [Online]. Available: http://www.<br />

worldenergyoutlook.org/weo2015/.<br />

5 World Nuclear Association, “ Uranium and Nuclear Power in Kazakhstan,” May 2016. [Online]. Available: http://www.world-nuclear.<br />

org/information-library/country-profiles/countries-g-n/kazakhstan.aspx.<br />

6 Chief Scientist, “Science, Technology, Engineering and Mathematics: Australia’s Future,” Australian Government, 2014. [Online].<br />

Available: http://www.chiefscientist.gov.au/wp-content/uploads/STEM_AustraliasFuture_Sept2014_Web.pdf.<br />

7 BP Plc, “Energy Outlook 2016,” 2016. [Online]. Available: www/bp.com/energyoutlook.<br />

8 Australian Coal Research Limited, “What is ACARP?,” 2016. [Online]. Available: http://www.acarp/com.au.<br />

9 Australian Coal Research Limited, “People and Projects Report 2015,” 2015. [Online]. Available: http://acarp.com.au.<br />

10 Office of the Chief Economist, “Energy in Australia,” 2015. [Online]. Available: http://www.industry.gov.au/Office-of-the-Chief-<br />

Economist/Publications/Documents/energy-in-aust/Energy-in-Australia-2015.pdf.<br />

11 United Nations Department of Social Affairs, “World Population Prospects: 2015,” 2015. [Online]. Available: https://esa.un.org/unpd/<br />

wpp/publications/files/key_findings_WPP_2015.pdf.<br />

12 OECD Development Centre, “The Emerging Middle Class In Developing Countries,” January 2010. [Online]. Available: http://www.<br />

oecd.org/dev/44457738.pdf.<br />

13 United Nations, “World Urbanisation Prospects,” 2014. [Online]. Available: http://esa.un.org/unpd/wup/Publications/Files/WUP2014-<br />

Report.pdf.<br />

14 The Economist, “Power to the people,” 2010.<br />

15 K. Schwab, The Fourth Industrial Revolution, World Economic Forum, 2016.<br />

16 World Economic Forum, “The fourth industrial revolution: what it means, how to respond,” 2016. [Online]. Available: https://www.<br />

weforum.org/agenda/2016/01/the-fourth-industrial-revolution-what-it-means-and-how-to-respond/2016.<br />

17 United Nations Climate Change Council, “Paris 2016 COP21,” 2015. [Online]. Available: http://www.cop21.gouv.fr/en/.<br />

18 European Commission, “Renewable energy: Moving towards a low carbon economy,” 2016. [Online]. Available: https://ec.europa.eu/<br />

energy/en/topics/renewable-energy.<br />

19 Brookings Institute, “The emerging middle class in developing countries,” June 2011. [Online].<br />

20 International Energy Agency, “India Energy Outlook 2015,” [Online]. Available: http://www.worldenergyoutlook.org/<br />

weowebsite/2015/IndiaEnergyOutlook_WEO2015.pdf.<br />

21 Mineral Council of Australia, “Asian Demand for Australian Coal,” 2016.<br />

22 Asian Development Bank, “ADB Papers on Indonesia - Summary of Indonesia’s Energy <strong>Sector</strong> Assessment,” December 2015. [Online].<br />

Available: http://www.adb.org/sites/default/files/publication/178039/ino-paper-09-2015.pdf.<br />

23 KPMG, “The Energy Report Phillippines,” 2013/14. [Online]. Available: https://www.kpmg.com/Global/en/IssuesAndInsights/<br />

ArticlesPublications/Documents/energy-report-phillippines.pdf.<br />

24 The Warren Centre, “The Copper Technology Roadmap 2030; Asia’s growing appetite for copper,” July 2016. [Online]. Available:<br />

https://thewarrencentre.org.au/wp-content/uploads/2016/wc3488-1-the-copper-technology-roadmap-2030.pdf.<br />

25 J. Gifford, “Australia’s battery pilot on a grand scale,” December 2015. [Online]. Available: http://www.pv-magazine.com/archive/<br />

articles/beitrag/australias-battery-pilot-on-a-grand-scale-_100022649/.<br />

26 Tasmanian Government, Department of State Growth, “Tasmanian Energy Security Taskforce,” 2016. [Online]. Available: http://www.<br />

stategrowth.tas.gov.au/tasmanian_energy_security_taskforce/consultation_paper.<br />

27 Council of Australian Governments Energy Council, “Independent Review into the reliability and stability of the National Electricity<br />

Market,” October 2016. [Online]. Available: http://coagenergycouncil.gov.au/independent-review-reliability-and-stability-nationalelectricity-market.<br />

28 UK Government, Department of Energy and Climate Change, “Energy Security Strategy,” November 2012. [Online]. Available: https://<br />

www.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/65643/7101-energy-security-strategy.pdf.<br />

29 World Energy Council, “World Energy Trilemma,” [Online]. Available: https://www.worldenergy.org/work-programme/strategic-insight/<br />

assessment-of-energy-climate-change-policy/.<br />

30 World Energy Council, “Energy Trilema Index,” [Online]. Available: https://trilemma.worldenergy.org.<br />

31 US Energy Information Administration, “US energy imports and exports to come into balance for the first time since 1950s,” 2015.<br />

[Online]. Available: http://www.eia.gov/todayinenergy/detail.cfm?=id=20812#.<br />

32 The Conversation, “Factcheck Q&A: is Australia the world leader in household solar power?,” March 2016. [Online]. Available:<br />

https://theconversation.com/factcheck-qanda-is-australia-the-world-leader-in-household-solar-power-56670.<br />

National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong><br />

151


33 CSIRO, “Change and choice The Future Grid Forum’s analysis of Australia’s potential electricity pathways to 2050,” 2016. [Online].<br />

Available: https://publications.csiro.au/rpr/download?pid=csiro:EP1312486&dsid=DS13.<br />

34 Global CCS Institute, “Gorgon Carbon Dioxide Injection Project,” 2016. [Online]. Available: https://www.globalccsinstitute.com/<br />

projects/gorgon-carbon-dioxide-injection-project.<br />

35 Department of Energy, Resources and Tourism, “Australia’s Uranium Industry,” Australian Government, 2012.<br />

36 Office of the Chief Economist, “Resources and Energy Quarterly September 2016,” [Online]. Available: http://www.industry.gov.au/<br />

Office-of-the-Chief-Economist/Publications/Pages/Resources-and-energy-quarterly.aspx#.<br />

37 Australian Bureau of Statistics, “Mineral and Petroleum Exploration, Australia, cat. no. 8412.0”.<br />

38 The Fraser Institute, “Survey of Mining Companies 2015,” 2015. [Online]. Available: https://www.fraserinstitute.org/sites/default/files/<br />

survey-of-mining-companies-2015.pdf.<br />

39 APPEA, “Industry Statistics,” 2016. [Online]. Available: http://www.appea.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2016/06/Key-Stats_2016.pdf.<br />

40 Australian Government, “Australian Energy Resources Assessment, Interim report,” February <strong>2017</strong>. [Online]. Available: http://www.<br />

ga.gov.au/aera.<br />

41 Minerals Council of Australia, “Australia’s Coal Industry: Production and resources,” [Online]. Available: http://www.minerals.org.au/<br />

resources/coal/production_and_resources.<br />

42 Geoscience Australia, “Australia’s identified mineral resources 2016,” 2016. [Online]. Available: http://www.ga.gov.au/metadatagateway/metadata/record/100121.<br />

43 Queensland Government, “Total coal exports by type,” December 2016. [Online]. Available: https://data.qld.gov.au/dataset/coalindustry-review-statistical-tables/resource/6a4b92fc-b277-40d2-af6c-26ea14cad6f6.<br />

44 New South Wales Government, Department of Industry, Resources and Energy, “Coal in NSW,” 2016. [Online]. Available: http://www.<br />

resourcesandenergy.nsw.gov.au/investors/investment-opportunities/coal/coal#_exports.<br />

45 Department of Natural Resources and Mines, “Queensland coal - mines and advanced projects,” Queensland Government, August<br />

2015. [Online]. Available: http://www.dnrm.gov.au.<br />

46 Geoscience Australia, “Australia’s identified mineral resources 2016,” 2016. [Online]. Available: http://www.ga.gov.au/metadatagateway/metadata/record/100121.<br />

47 The Sydney Morning Herald, “Two thirds of world’s coal output is loss-making, Wood Mackensie estimates,” 10 December 2015.<br />

[Online]. Available: http://www.smh.com/business/mining-and-resources/wood-mackenzie-estimates-that-65pc-of-world-coal-outputis-lossmaking-20151209-gljxj4.html.<br />

48 ABC, “BHP Billiton targets another $US600 million from coal arm by June <strong>2017</strong>,” 21 June 2016. [Online]. Available: http://www.abc.<br />

net.au/news/2016-06-21/bhp-billiton-targets-another-$us600m-from-coal-arm-by-mid-<strong>2017</strong>/7528390.<br />

49 International Energy Agency, “World Energy Outlook 2016,” 16 November 2016. [Online]. Available: http://www.worldenergyoutlook.<br />

org/publications/weo-2016/.<br />

50 Brown coal innovation Australia, “Take2 initiative,” [Online]. Available: http://www.bcinnovation.com.au/Assets/1032/1/<br />

BCIATake2pledge-webaddress.pdf.<br />

51 International Atomic Energy Authority (IAEA), “Under Construction Reactors,” [Online]. Available: https://pris.iaea.org/PRIS/<br />

WorldStatistics/UnderConstructionReactorsByCountry.aspx?.<br />

52 Deep Exploration Technologies CRC, [Online].<br />

53 Government of South Australia, “Nuclear Fuel Cycle Royal Commission Report,” May 2016. [Online]. Available: http://nuclearrc.sa.gov.au.<br />

54 Government of South Australia, 15 November 2016. [Online]. Available: http://www.premier.sa.gov.au/index.php/jay-weatherill-newsreleases/1417-government-delivers-response-to-nuclear-fuel-cycle-royal-commission-report.<br />

55 Citizen’s Jury 2, “South Australia’s Citizens’ Jury on Nuclear Waste Final Report,” November 2016. [Online]. Available: http://assets.<br />

yoursay.sa.gov.au/production/2016/11/06/07/20/56/26b5d85c-5e33-48a9-8eea-4c860386024f/final%20jury%20report.pdf.<br />

56 Business Dictionary, “<strong>Competitiveness</strong> Definition,” [Online]. Available: http://www.businessdictionary.com/definition/competitiveness.html.<br />

57 Wood Mackenzie, “Upstream Data Tool,” 2016. [Online]. Available: http://www.woodmac.com/web/woodmac/data-tools.<br />

58 International Gas Union, “World LNG Report,” 2016.<br />

59 International Association of Oil & Gas Producers, “Safety Performance Indicators – 2015,” 2015.<br />

60 T. Jackson, K. Green and K. Ransbotton, “Global Petroleum Survey 2015,” Fraser Institute, 2015.<br />

61 Accenture, “Ready or not? Creating a world leading oil and gas industry in Australia,” 2015. [Online]. Available: https://www.accenture.<br />

com/au-en/_acmedia/accenture/conversion-assets/dotcom/documents/global/pdf/dualpub_14/accenture-australia-LNG-report.pdf.<br />

62 APPEA, “Red tape shackles economic growth,” 2014. [Online]. Available: http://www.appea.com.au/2014/02/red-tape-shackleseconomic-growth.<br />

63 UK Government, [Online]. Available: https://www.gov.uk/government/organisations/oil-and-gas-authority.<br />

64 F. Wallace, “Cost Reduction, CRINE, and the UK continental shelf,” The Energy Boardroom, 2014. [Online]. Available: http://www.<br />

energyboardroom.com/article/cost-reduction-crine-and-the-uk-continental-shelf.<br />

65 B. Cullinane, “The supply chain: the key to Australia’s success in resources,” Gas Today, 2013. [Online]. Available: http://gastoday.<br />

com.au/news/the_supply_chain_the_key_to_australias_success_in_resources/84552..<br />

66 World Bank Institute, “Public Perceptions Survey on Extractive Industries,” 2014. [Online]. Available: https://riwi.com/wp-content/<br />

uploads/2014/01/gei-extractives-summary-findings.pdf.<br />

67 Australian Competition and Consumer Commission (ACCC), “Inquiry into the East Coast gas market,” 2016.<br />

68 Department of Industry, Geoscience Australia, Bureau of Resources and Energy Economics, [Online]. Available: http://www.industry.<br />

gov.au/office-of-the-chief-economist/Publications/Documents/GA21797.pdf.<br />

69 McKinsey & Company, “Extending the LNG boom: Improving Australian LNG productivity and competitiveness,” 2013. [Online].<br />

Available: http://www.mckinsey.com/global-locations/pacific/australia/en/latest-thinking/extending-the-lng-boom.<br />

70 Oxford Institute for Energy Studies, “LNG <strong>Plan</strong>t Cost Escalation,” February 2014. [Online]. Available: https://www.oxfordenergy.org/<br />

wpcms/wp-content/uploads/2014/02/NG-23.pdf.<br />

152 National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong>


71 McKinsey & Company, “The role of natural gas in Australia’s energy future,” 2016. [Online]. Available: http://www.mckinsey.com.<br />

72 World Economic Forum, “What role will education play in the Fourth Industrial Revolution?,” January 2016. [Online]. Available:<br />

https://www.weforum.org/agenda/2016/01/what-role-will-education-play-in-the-fourth-industrial-revolution.<br />

73 International Centre for Complex Project Management, “Complex Project Management: Global Perspectives and The Strategic<br />

Agenda to 2025.,” [Online]. Available: www.iccpm.com.<br />

74 Engineers Australia, “White paper: Mastering complex projects: Principles for success and reliable performance,” 2014. [Online].<br />

Available: https://www.engineersaustralia.org.au/sites/default/files/shado/Divisions/Victoria%20Division/Groups/ACEs/mcp_<br />

whitepaperfinal.pdf.<br />

75 Resources Industry Training Council, “Strengthening the foundations of collaboration: Oil and Gas sector collaborative training<br />

project,” November 2015. [Online]. Available: https://s3.amazonaws.com/wix-anyfile/JeTTwF90RYWKstvktFrF_Oil%20and%20<br />

Gas%20Collaborative%20Training%20Project%20-%20Executive%20Summary.pdf.<br />

76 APGA, “About the competency standards,” 2016. [Online]. Available: http://www.apga.org.au/training/pipeline-engineer-trainingproject/about-the-competency-standards/.<br />

77 Engineers Australia, “Eligibility Criteria and Procedures for Registration in the Specific Area of Practice of Petroleum Engineering,” August<br />

2015. [Online]. Available: https://www.engineersaustralia.org.au/sites/default/files/petroleum_guideline_issue_1_rev_0-24aug2015.pdf.<br />

78 World Economic Forum, “Realizing Human Potential in the Fourth Industrial Revolution An Agenda for Leaders to Shape the Future of<br />

Education, Gender and Work,” January <strong>2017</strong>. [Online]. Available: https://www.weforum.org/whitepapers/realizing-human-potentialin-the-fourth-industrial-revolution/.<br />

79 UK Government, “The Future of Work Jobs and Skills in 2030,” February 2014. [Online]. Available: https://www.gov.uk/government/<br />

publications/jobs-and-skills-in-2030.<br />

80 Australian Industry and Skills Committee, “National Schedule,” 2016. [Online]. Available: https://www.aisc.net.au/content/nationalschedule#schedule-view-all.<br />

81 Australian Government, “National Research Infrastructure Capability Issues paper,” 2016. [Online]. Available: https://docs.education.<br />

gov.au/documents/national-research-infrastructure-capability-issues-paper.<br />

82 World Economic Forum, “Forget the start-up garage myth. We need golden triangles and super clusters,” 3 November 2016. [Online].<br />

Available: https://www.weforum.org/agenda/2016/11/the-startup-garage-myth/.<br />

83 Mondaq, 2013. [Online]. Available: http://www.mondaq.com/australia/x/282052/Mining/Take+or+Pay+contracts+in+the+mining+a<br />

nd+energy+sectors+a+doubleedged+sword.<br />

84 Department of Environment & Energy, “National Map,” Australian Government, [Online]. Available: http://nationalmap.gov.au.<br />

85 CRC:CARE, [Online]. Available: http://www.crccare.com.<br />

86 SERDP & ESTCP, [Online]. Available: https://www.serdp-estcp.org/News-and-Events/Blog/DNAPL-Source-Zone-Natural-Attenuation.<br />

87 Gas Industry Social & Environmental Research Alliance (GISERA), “The Great Artesian Basin and coal seam gas,” 2014. [Online].<br />

Available: http://www.gisera.org.au/publications/factsheets/csg-gab.pdf.<br />

88 New South Wales Government, “NSW Gas <strong>Plan</strong>: Protecting whats valuable, Securing our future,” [Online]. Available: http://www.<br />

resourcesandenergy.nsw.gov.au/__data/assets/pdf_file/0005/534830/NSW-Gas-<strong>Plan</strong>.pdf.<br />

89 Department of Environment and Energy, “Environment Protection and Biodiversity Conservation Act 1999 (EPBC Act),” Australian<br />

Government, [Online]. Available: https://www.environment.gov.au/epbc.<br />

90 Department of Industry, Tourism & Resources, “Tailings Management: Leading Practice Sustainable Development Program for The<br />

Mining Industry,” 2007. [Online]. Available: http://www.industry.gov.au/resource/Documents/LPSDP/LPSDP-TailingsHandbook.pdf.<br />

91 Western Australian Marine Science Institute, [Online]. Available: http://www.wamsi.org.au.<br />

92 AMIRA, “Unlocking Australia’s hidden mineral potential: An industry roadmap – Stage 1,,” [Online]. Available: http://www.<br />

uncoverminerals.org.au/__data/assets/pdf_file/0018/31590/uncover-flyer.pdf.<br />

93 Australian Trade and Investment Commission, “For Exporters: Free Trade Agreements,” Australian Government, 2016. [Online].<br />

Available: http://www.austrade.gov.au/Australian/Export/free-trade-agreements.<br />

94 CO2CRC, [Online]. Available: http://www.co2crc.com.au.<br />

95 World Coal Association, “The power of high efficiency coal,” 2016. [Online]. Available: www.worldcoal.org.<br />

96 National Geosequestration Laboratory, “Delivering innovative research solutions to support Australia’s carbon storage, energy and<br />

resources industries.,” [Online]. Available: http://ngl.org.au.<br />

97 Coal21, [Online]. Available: http://www.minerals.org.au/resources/coal21/about_coal21.<br />

98 International Maritime Organisation, “IMO sets 2020 date for ships to comply with low sulphur fuel oil requirement,” 28 October<br />

2016. [Online]. Available: http://www.imo.org/en/MediaCentre/PressBriefings/Pages/MEPC-70-2020sulphur.aspx.<br />

99 DNV GL, “LNG fuelled vessels: Ship list – Vessels in operation and vessels on order,” April 2016. [Online]. Available: www.dnvgl.com/LNGi.<br />

100 University of Technology, Sydney, [Online]. Available: http://www.uts.edu.au/research-and-teaching/our-research/institute-sustainablefutures/our-research/energy-and-climate-1.<br />

101 Australian Renewable Energy Agency, “Evaluation of hybridisation of concentrated solar thermal technology with carbon capture and<br />

storage project Final report: project results and lessons learnt,” Australian Government, 2015. [Online].<br />

102 Decarbonise SA, “The unfolding energy crisis in South Australia was foreseeable… and foreseen,” 2016. [Online]. Available: https://<br />

decarbonisesa.com/2016/07/15/the-unfolding-energy-crisis-in-south-australia-was-foreseeable-and-foreseen/.<br />

103 Startup WA, “Western Australia 2015-16 Start up Ecosystem Report,” [Online]. Available: www.startupwa.org.<br />

104 J. Ross, “Measured growth in innovation,” The Australian, p. 30, 2 December 2015.<br />

105 National Research Infrastructure Council, [Online]. Available: https://www.education.gov.au/national-research-infrastructure-council-nric.<br />

106 Alcotra Innovation project, “Best practices Database for Living Labs: - Overview of the Living Lab approach - Living Lab Best Practice<br />

Database Specification,” [Online]. Available: http://www.alcotra-innovation.eu/progetto/doc/Best.pdf.<br />

107 J. C. Mankins, “Technology Readiness Levels,” NASA, 6 April 1995. [Online]. Available: http://www.hq.nasa.gov/office/codeq/trl/trl.pdf.<br />

National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong><br />

153


108 ARENA, “Commercial Readiness Index for Renewable Energy <strong>Sector</strong>s,” February 2014. [Online]. Available: http://arena.gov.au/<br />

files/2014/02/Commercial-Readiness-Index.pdf.<br />

109 ARENA, “Technology Readiness Levels for Renewable Energy <strong>Sector</strong>s,” February 2014. [Online]. Available: http://arena.gov.au/<br />

files/2014/02/Technology-Readiness-Levels.pdf.<br />

110 Cooperative Research Centres Association, [Online]. Available: http://crca.asn.au.<br />

111 Australian Research Council, “Australian Research Council,” [Online]. Available: http://www.arc.gov.au.<br />

112 J. D. Bell, “World’s Best Practice in Research Translation, Securing Australia’s Future Expert Working Group 9 (SAF09),” Cooperative<br />

Research Centres Association, 2016. [Online]. Available: http://crca.asn.au/wp-content/uploads/2016/03/JohnBell.pdf.<br />

113 The Open Group, “Open Process Automation Forum,” <strong>2017</strong>. [Online]. Available: http://www.opengroup.org/open-process-automation.<br />

114 Deloitte, “Get out of your own way | Unleashing productivity,” 2014. [Online]. Available: www.buildingtheluckycountry.com.au.<br />

115 UK Oil and Gas Authority, “Maximising Economic Recovery Strategy for the UK,” 2016. [Online]. Available: https://www.ogauthority.<br />

co.uk/media/3004/a4_mer_uk_strategy_document-3.pdf.<br />

116 Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), “2006 IPCC guidelines for national greenhouse gas inventories,” 2006. [Online].<br />

Available: http://www.ipcc-nggip.iges.or.jp/public/2006gl/index.html.<br />

117 S. Day, D. Etheridge, N. Connell and T. Northgate, “Fugitive greenhouse gas emissions from coal seam gas production in Australia,”<br />

CSIRO, 2012.<br />

118 T. M. L. Wigley, “Coal to gas: the influence of methane leakage,” Climatic Change, vol. 108, no. 3, pp. 601-608, October 2011.<br />

119 R. A. Alvarez, S. B. Pacala, J. J. Winebrake, W. L. Chameides and S. P. Hamburg, “Greater focus needed on methane leakage from<br />

natural gas infrastructure,” Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, vol. 109, no. 17, pp.<br />

6435-6440, 2012.<br />

120 CSIRO, “Field Measurements of Fugitive Emissions from Equipment and Well Casings in Australian Coal Seam Gas Production<br />

Facilities,” June 2014. [Online]. Available: http://www.environment.gov.au/climate-change/greenhouse-gas-measurement/<br />

publications/csg-fugitive-emissions.<br />

121 Department of Industry, Government and Science, “Industry Innovation and <strong>Competitiveness</strong> Agenda,” Australian Government, 2014.<br />

[Online]. Available: https://www.dpmc.gov.au/sites/default/files/publications/industry_innovation_competitiveness_agenda.pdf.<br />

122 K. Loussikian, “Gas crisis fears drive reform,” The Australian, 18 August 2016.<br />

123 Board of Professional Engineers Queensland, “The RPEQ System,” [Online]. Available: http://www.bpeq.qld.gov.au/BPEQ/<br />

Registration/BPEQ/Navigation/Registration/Registration_-_the_RPEQ_system.aspx?hkey=906af6b0-d2d3-43d5-acf1-e64b38fdfe39.<br />

124 Mineral Council of Australia, “Opportunity at risk: Regaining our competitive edge in minerals resources,” 2012. [Online]. Available:<br />

http://www.minerals.org.au/file_upload/files/presentations/mca_opportunity_at_risk_FINAL.pdf.<br />

125 The Conversation, 2015. [Online]. Available: https://theconversation.com/the-future-of-coal-seam-gas-after-the-nsw-election-38904.<br />

126 ABC Rural, 2016. [Online]. Available: http://www.abc.net.au/news/2016-03-09/fury-over-possible-fracking-ban-partner-could-takelegal-action/7233738.<br />

127 Office of the Premier of Victoria, 30 August 2016. [Online]. Available: http://www.premier.vic.gov.au/victoria-bans-fracking-to-protectfarmers/.<br />

128 The Australian, 2012. [Online]. Available: http://www.theaustralian.com.au/national-affairs/state-politics/no-port-in-a-storm-for-wayellowcake/story-e6frgczx-122636624737.<br />

129 IMF, “World Economic Outlook, “Too Slow for too long”,” 2016. [Online]. Available: http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/weo/2016/01/.<br />

130 Australian Bureau of Statistics, “8412.0 - Mineral and Petroleum Exploration,” March 2016. [Online]. Available: http://www.abs.gov.<br />

au/ausstats/abs@.nsf/mf/8412.0.<br />

131 M. Chambers, The Australian, p. 20, 3 March 2016.<br />

132 Department of Resources, Energy and Tourism, 2011.<br />

133 World Nuclear News, “India-Australia agreement complete,” November 2015. [Online]. Available: http://www.world-nuclear-news.<br />

org/NP-India-Australia-agreement-complete-1611157.html.<br />

134 Cornell University, INSEAD, and WIPO, “The Global Innovation Index 2015: Effective Innovation Policies for Development,” [Online].<br />

Available: http://www.wipo.int/edocs/pubdocs/en/wipo_gii_2015.pdf.<br />

135 Office of the Chief Economist, “Australian Energy Statistics,” October 2016. [Online]. Available: http://www.industry.gov.au/Office-ofthe-Chief-Economist/Publications/Pages/Australian-energy-statistics.aspx#.<br />

136 Department of Industry, Innovation and Science, “Exploring for the Future Programme,” Australian Government, May 2016. [Online].<br />

Available: http://www.industry.gov.au/resource/Programs/Pages/Exploring-for-the-Future.aspx.<br />

137 IEA, “World Energy Outlook 2015,” International Energy Authority, 2015.<br />

138 Unearthed, “Accelerating innovation in the resources sector.,” [Online]. Available: http://unearthed.solutions.<br />

139 <strong>NERA</strong>, “Oil & Gas Industry <strong>Competitiveness</strong> Assessment,” 2016. [Online]. Available: http://www.nera.org.au/<br />

Chapter?Action=View&Chapter_id=9.<br />

140 RISKGATE, “About RISKGATE,” [Online]. Available: http://riskgate.org.<br />

141 Toowoomba and Surat Business Enterprise, “TSBE - Linking business with opportunity since 2012,” [Online]. Available: http://www.<br />

tsbe.com.au/about/overview.html.<br />

142 Office of the Chief Economist, “Resources and Energy Quarterly March 2016”.<br />

143 Council of Australian Governments (COAG), [Online]. Available: https://www.coagenergycouncil.gov.au.<br />

144 IEA, “Medium-Term Coal Market Report 2016,” December 2016. [Online]. Available: http://www.iea.org/bookshop/735-Medium-<br />

Term_Coal_Market_Report_2016.<br />

145 Energy Information Association, International Energy Outlook 2013 with projectsing to 2040, Energy Information Association.<br />

154 National Energy Resources Australia – <strong>Sector</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> <strong>2017</strong>


<strong>NERA</strong> wishes to thank all of the businesses, organisations and individuals<br />

who have contributed their time, knowledge, experience and foresight to<br />

the preparation of this plan through the consultation workshops, individual<br />

meetings, discussions and provision of input material.<br />

Registered office:<br />

Australian Resources Research Centre<br />

Level 3, 26 Dick Perry Avenue<br />

Kensington WA 6151<br />

ABN 24 609 540 285<br />

T: (08) 6555 8040<br />

E: contact@nera.org.au<br />

W: www.nera.org.au<br />

@<strong>NERA</strong>network<br />

<strong>NERA</strong> – National Energy Resources Australia<br />

www.nera.org.au

Hooray! Your file is uploaded and ready to be published.

Saved successfully!

Ooh no, something went wrong!