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Stuttgart Investment Market 2016/2017

With a transaction volume of 2 billion euros in 2016, the property investment market in Stuttgart has surpassed the record year 2015. Regarding transaction volume, 2016 has actually been the strongest year ever. Only in 2007 and 2015 could similar results be achieved.

With a transaction volume of 2 billion euros in 2016, the property investment market in Stuttgart has surpassed the record year 2015. Regarding transaction volume, 2016 has actually been the strongest year ever. Only in 2007 and 2015 could similar results be achieved.

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PRIVATBANK<br />

PRIVATE IMMOBILIEN<br />

REAL ESTATE<br />

FUNDS & ASSET<br />

The <strong>Stuttgart</strong> <strong>Investment</strong> <strong>Market</strong><br />

<strong>2016</strong>/<strong>2017</strong>.<br />

With <strong>Market</strong> Trends for Munich.


Contents.<br />

<strong>Stuttgart</strong><br />

<strong>Market</strong> Trends .............................................................................................3<br />

Key Figures....................................................................................................4<br />

Outlook for <strong>2017</strong>..........................................................................................6<br />

Your Contact Partners..................................................................................7<br />

Munich<br />

<strong>Market</strong> Trends..............................................................................................8<br />

ELLWANGER & GEIGER Real Estate........................................................10<br />

German Property Partners.......................................................................11<br />

Photo Source Cover: Stefan Schilling


New Record High in <strong>Stuttgart</strong>.<br />

Top-3-deals<br />

SchwabenGalerie: Swiss life has acquired this shopping centre from Deutsche Fonds<br />

Holding (DFH) for a purchase price between 120 and 130 million euros.<br />

CityGate: As part of a share deal, Eastern Property Holding (EPH) acquired 94% of the<br />

property company for around 110 million euros.<br />

Telekom-Areal: J.P. Morgan Asset management paid around 95 million euros to New<br />

Star for this office complex in <strong>Stuttgart</strong>.<br />

Photo Source: Stefan Schilling<br />

Investor Focus on Office Property.<br />

With a transaction volume of 2 billion<br />

euros in <strong>2016</strong>, the property investment<br />

market in <strong>Stuttgart</strong> has surpassed<br />

the record year 2015. Regarding<br />

transaction volume, <strong>2016</strong> has actually<br />

been the strongest year ever. Only in<br />

2007 and 2015 could similar results<br />

be achieved. In fact, the transaction<br />

volume of 2015 was exceeded by 200<br />

million euros or 11.1 per cent. With<br />

this new record high, the 1 billion<br />

euro mark has been broken for the<br />

fifth consecutive year. While the first<br />

three quarters in <strong>2016</strong> were rather balanced<br />

with a volume of around 350<br />

million euros, the final quarter came<br />

to be the most successful ever with<br />

about 900 million euros in transaction<br />

volume.<br />

In total, 80 transactions were concluded<br />

in <strong>2016</strong>. Around 40 per cent of<br />

the prices ranged in the single-digit<br />

millions.<br />

During the reporting period, investors<br />

showed an increased interest in<br />

office property. This asset class alone<br />

accounted for around 65 per cent of<br />

the total investment volume – not<br />

least due to the top sales of “City<br />

Gate”, “Europe Plaza” and “City Plaza”.<br />

Retail property achieved a share of<br />

ca. 11 per cent, followed by plots and<br />

development projects and residential<br />

property with around 9 per cent each.<br />

Buyers were predominantly open-ended<br />

funds and German Special Funds<br />

with around 36 per cent, as well as<br />

opportunity funds and equity funds<br />

with about 24 per cent of the total<br />

transaction volume. Private investors<br />

and family offices, as well as insurances<br />

and pension funds accounted for<br />

8 per cent of transactions in <strong>2016</strong>,<br />

followed by property developers and<br />

asset managers each generating 7 per<br />

cent of the transaction volume.<br />

On the vendor side, project developers<br />

dominated the market with a<br />

share of 33 per cent.<br />

REITs (Immobilien-AG´s) were also<br />

very active on the market creating a<br />

turnover of 15 per cent. They were<br />

followed by private vendors and family<br />

offices accounting for 10 per cent<br />

and closed funds with around 9 per<br />

cent of the transaction activities in<br />

<strong>2016</strong>.<br />

While the share of foreign investors<br />

had been relatively low in 2015 with<br />

only 16 per cent, this figure rose on<br />

the buyer side to around 49 per cent –<br />

mainly as a result of the selling of the<br />

IVG subsidiary Officefirst to Blackstone.<br />

As vendors foreign market players<br />

made a relatively small contribution<br />

with just 17 per cent of the property<br />

sold in <strong>2016</strong>.<br />

Fully let office property at inner city<br />

locations reached multipliers of up to<br />

26.0, which corresponds to a gross initial<br />

yield of ca. 3.8 per cent. For high<br />

street property, multipliers of up to<br />

28.5 (3.5% gross initial yield) could be<br />

achieved. Long-term, fully let office<br />

property in city fringe and peripheral<br />

locations gained multipliers between<br />

17 and 21 (approx. 5.9 to 4.75 % gross<br />

initial yield).<br />

The <strong>Stuttgart</strong> property investment<br />

market continues to perform on a<br />

very high level. Initial forecasts from<br />

the beginning of <strong>2016</strong>, calling for<br />

roughly 1.5 billion euros in transaction<br />

volume, were clearly surpassed. A<br />

major factor for the record result was<br />

the fact that the sale of Officefirst to<br />

Blackstone included three large scale<br />

commercial properties in <strong>Stuttgart</strong>.<br />

I 3


Transaktionsvolumen/Renditenüberlick I 4<br />

Key Figures.<br />

Transaction Volume <strong>Stuttgart</strong>* in bn euros<br />

0.50<br />

1.00<br />

1.15<br />

1.20/1.60**<br />

2.00<br />

1.80/2.45**<br />

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014<br />

2011<br />

2012<br />

2013<br />

2014<br />

2015<br />

<strong>2016</strong><br />

* included Leinfelden-Echterdingen<br />

** including residential portfolios<br />

Top Yields for Commercial Property in <strong>Stuttgart</strong> in %<br />

4.60 5.50 7.50<br />

7.50<br />

5.25<br />

4.60<br />

4.60 5.25 7.00 7.50<br />

4.25 5.00 6.80 7.25<br />

4.25 4.50 5.70 6.25<br />

3.50 3.80 5.50 5.80<br />

8.00<br />

Logistics<br />

Retail Centres<br />

Office<br />

Highstreet<br />

2011 2012<br />

2013<br />

2014<br />

2015 <strong>2016</strong><br />

Source of both illustrations: Research ELLWANGER & GEIGER Real Estate GmbH ©, 31.12.<strong>2016</strong><br />

4 I


9 %<br />

5 %<br />

1 %<br />

5 I Nutzungsarten/Käufer-/Verkäufergruppen<br />

Key Figures.<br />

Photo Source: Stefan Schilling<br />

Transaction Volume by Asset Class in %<br />

Hotel<br />

Others<br />

Residential<br />

Plots/ Development<br />

Projects<br />

9 %<br />

65 %<br />

Office<br />

Retail<br />

11 %<br />

Transaction Volume by Buyer in %<br />

Pensions Funds/Insurances<br />

Opportunity Funds/<br />

Equity Funds<br />

24 %<br />

8 %<br />

8 %<br />

Private Investors/<br />

Family Offices<br />

7 %<br />

Property Developers<br />

Open-ended Funds/<br />

Special Funds<br />

36 %<br />

3 %<br />

4 %<br />

5 %<br />

Corporates/Owner-Occupiers/<br />

Non-Properties<br />

Banks<br />

Transaction Volume by Vendor in %<br />

1 %<br />

2 %<br />

2 %<br />

Closed Funds<br />

Property Holders<br />

REITs<br />

Public Institutions<br />

Corporates/Owner-Occupiers/<br />

Non-Properties<br />

Pensions Funds/Insurances<br />

Open-ended Funds/Special Funds<br />

Property Holders<br />

8 %<br />

8 %<br />

5 %<br />

Opportunity Funds/<br />

Equity Funds<br />

Public Institutions<br />

Others<br />

2 %<br />

4 %<br />

2 %<br />

4 %<br />

9 %<br />

10 %<br />

Closed Funds<br />

Private Investoren/Family Offices<br />

Property Developers<br />

33 %<br />

15 %<br />

REITs<br />

Source of all illustrations: Research ELLWANGER & GEIGER Real Estate GmbH ©, 31.12.<strong>2016</strong><br />

I 5


Outlook for <strong>2017</strong>.<br />

For the year <strong>2017</strong>, continuing high dynamics<br />

can be expected on the property<br />

investment market in <strong>Stuttgart</strong>. As the<br />

economic environment in the <strong>Stuttgart</strong><br />

region remains very positive, <strong>Stuttgart</strong><br />

will continue to be an attractive location<br />

for property investments in the future.<br />

The <strong>Stuttgart</strong> property market stands for<br />

a low volatility in one of the strongest<br />

economic regions in Europe. Therefore,<br />

it comes as no surprise that the willingness<br />

to invest here is undiminished. As<br />

a result of this high demand, returns on<br />

property investments are expected to<br />

consolidate on a rather low level. The<br />

limited supply of Core property will trigger<br />

an increased demand for Core-plus<br />

and Value-added products.<br />

In consideration of these market conditions,<br />

a comparable transaction volume<br />

as in <strong>2016</strong> cannot be assumed again<br />

for <strong>2017</strong>. Nonetheless, we expect a<br />

high level of transaction activity on the<br />

<strong>Stuttgart</strong> property market and an overall<br />

transaction volume of 1.5 billion euros.<br />

6 I<br />

Photo Source: Stefan Schilling


Your Contact Partners.<br />

In the property investment business,<br />

long-standing experience, strategic<br />

thinking and utmost discretion are indispensable<br />

assets. When it comes to<br />

commercial property in Germany, you<br />

can count on our own market research,<br />

our professional transaction management<br />

and our deep market knowledge.<br />

Our team in <strong>Stuttgart</strong> looks forward to<br />

your call or visit.<br />

You can reach us at:<br />

Phone +49 711/2148-286<br />

or Fax +49 711/2148-290.<br />

Find us on the internet:<br />

www.ellwanger-geiger.com<br />

Björn Holzwarth<br />

Managing Director<br />

Phone +49 711/2148-192<br />

Bjoern.Holzwarth@ellwanger-geiger.de<br />

Simone Wiedmann<br />

Consultant <strong>Investment</strong><br />

Phone +49 711/2148-375<br />

Simone.Wiedmann@ellwanger-geiger.de<br />

Michael Linden<br />

Consultant <strong>Investment</strong><br />

Phone +49 711/2148-205<br />

Michael.Linden@ellwanger-geiger.de<br />

Tobias Schneider<br />

Consultant <strong>Investment</strong><br />

Phone +49 711/2148-105<br />

Tobias.Schneider@ellwanger-geiger.de<br />

Stefan Knödler<br />

Consultant <strong>Investment</strong><br />

Phone +49 711/2148-196<br />

Stefan.Knoedler@ellwanger-geiger.de<br />

Penelope Vlahu<br />

Sales Assistent<br />

Phone +49 711/2148-286<br />

Penelope.Vlahu@ellwanger-geiger.de<br />

Limitation of liability<br />

This study has been drawn up with the greatest care. We must however ask you to be understanding of the fact that we cannot admit any liability for the<br />

correctness of the estimates given here.<br />

I 7


<strong>Market</strong> Trends - Munich.<br />

Top-3-deals<br />

HighLight Towers: In the fourth quarter, CommerzReal acquired the office landmark<br />

from a fund subsidiary of KanAm for around 500 million euros.<br />

Campeon: Ganeba sold this office campus to Infineon for approx. 300 million euros.<br />

Baywa.Tower: WealthCap paid ca. 280 million euros to Baywa/Competo for this office<br />

highrise.<br />

A superb final spurt facilitated a record<br />

year on the Munich investment market.<br />

The very high turnover of the previous<br />

year could be surpassed again in <strong>2016</strong>. In<br />

sum, commercial property to the value<br />

of around 6.4 billion euros has been<br />

transferred in the Bavarian state capital.<br />

Compared to 2015, this corresponds to<br />

an increase in sales of just under 19 per<br />

cent. 17 larger scale deals with a selling<br />

volume of more than 100 million euros<br />

each, some of them significantly higher,<br />

accounted for a share of approximately<br />

54 per cent of the total transaction volume.<br />

Office property has remained the most<br />

sought-after asset class in <strong>2016</strong>, contributing<br />

to circa 74 per cent of the turnover<br />

on the Munich investment market.<br />

Compared with the second half of<br />

<strong>2016</strong>, the first two quarters were rather<br />

held back. The most significant property<br />

transactions in the first six months were<br />

the sale of BayWA Tower at Arabellenstrasse<br />

for around 280 million euros to<br />

Wealthcap, as well as the former Siemens<br />

areal at Richard-Strauss-Strasse<br />

for around 120 million euros to Bayerische<br />

Versorgungskammer. During the<br />

fulminant fourth quarter of <strong>2016</strong>, ten<br />

out of the seventeen transactions above<br />

the 100 million euro mark were signed.<br />

The disposal of Highlight Tower at Parkstadt<br />

Schwabing was by far the largest<br />

single asset deal on the Munich investment<br />

market. CommerzReal sold this<br />

office twin tower for over 500 million<br />

euros shortly before the end of the year.<br />

This deal plus the Munich share of the<br />

Officefirst portfolio, accounting for more<br />

than 700 million euros, were one-off effects<br />

with a major positive impact on the<br />

record result in <strong>2016</strong>.<br />

Top yields for office property remained<br />

under pressure over the course of the<br />

year ranging at 3.35 per cent by the end<br />

of <strong>2016</strong>.<br />

While a significant demand for property<br />

investments could be observed for all<br />

asset classes, especially Core property<br />

continues to be highly sought after. Due<br />

to a diminishing supply, products in this<br />

asset class are achieving respectively<br />

high multipliers.<br />

Transaction Volume München in bn euros<br />

2.85<br />

6.40<br />

3.70<br />

4.15<br />

4.97<br />

5.45<br />

2011<br />

2012<br />

2013<br />

2014<br />

2015<br />

<strong>2016</strong><br />

Source: Research Ellwanger & Geiger Real Estate GmbH ©, 31.12.2015<br />

8 I


Vendors & Buyers<br />

With a share of more than 70 per cent,<br />

German investors remained the principal<br />

players on the Munich investment<br />

market in <strong>2016</strong>. On the vendor<br />

and on the buyer side alike, especially<br />

open-ended funds, Special Funds and<br />

pension funds continued to dominate<br />

the market.<br />

Outlook for <strong>2017</strong><br />

Also in <strong>2017</strong>, the lights are all green<br />

for investments in commercial property.<br />

Sustainable changes to the currently<br />

low interest rates are not to be<br />

expected, and alternative investment<br />

opportunities have not yet become<br />

attractive enough again. In combination<br />

with a high level of liquidity on<br />

the market, a continuing high demand<br />

for property investments can be<br />

expected. Only the supply of suitable<br />

products will get ever tighter. Also the<br />

extraordinary transaction activities of<br />

the last few years will have an impact<br />

on the market and could slow down<br />

the transaction turnover in <strong>2017</strong>. Despite<br />

these market conditions, we expect<br />

a continuously high volume of<br />

transactions ranging at around 5 billion<br />

euros.<br />

Ihre Ansprechpartner.<br />

Björn Holzwarth<br />

Managing Director<br />

Fon +49 89/179594-10<br />

Fon +49 711/2148-192<br />

Bjoern.Holzwarth@ellwanger-geiger.de<br />

Alexander Zigan<br />

Branch Manager Munich<br />

Fon +49 89/179594-20<br />

Alexander.Zigan@ellwanger-geiger.de<br />

Stefan Knödler<br />

Consultant <strong>Investment</strong><br />

Fon +49 89/179594-11<br />

Fon +49 711/2148-196<br />

Stefan.Knoedler@ellwanger-geiger.de<br />

I 9


Entwicklungen 2015/<strong>2016</strong> I 15<br />

ELLWANGER & GEIGER Real Estate.<br />

ELLWANGER & GEIGER Real Estate offers you a one-stop shop for a comprehensive range of services<br />

relating ro the asset class of real estate. With the very highest discretion and integrity, we enable<br />

you to keep your bearings in rapidly changing markets. Our success is founded aboce all on excellent<br />

knowledge of the market and decades of experience in real estate business.<br />

Real Estate<br />

Funds & Asset Management<br />

Our offices<br />

Systematic research form the basis for<br />

our analyses of location, portfolios and<br />

cost-effectiveness that reflect market<br />

conditions. From these, we derive strategies<br />

aimed at capitalising on potentials<br />

for earnings and efficiencies. In<br />

addition to comprehensive leasing<br />

services, our core expertise includes<br />

project consulting and transaction business.<br />

We adopt a hostic approach in<br />

consulting on real estate: we partner<br />

you all the way - from the development<br />

of marketing strategies to the<br />

preparation of data on properties and<br />

the implementation of marketing processes.<br />

Our services<br />

Research<br />

<strong>Investment</strong> analyses and consulting<br />

Transactions, renting and leasing of<br />

office, retail, industrial and logistics<br />

space<br />

We develop, plan and manage customised<br />

real estate investment products<br />

and special funds for institutional and<br />

professional private investors. We<br />

select different investment vehicles<br />

depending on the needs<br />

and product preferences of each investor:<br />

Domestic special AIFs pursuant to<br />

the German investment Code<br />

Closed-ended public AIFs pursuant<br />

to the German <strong>Investment</strong> Code<br />

Luxembourg security funds and<br />

special funds (SICAV, SIF)<br />

individual schemes for offshore<br />

investors<br />

We select investment volumes that<br />

permit niche investments and individual<br />

mandates. We also limit the<br />

number of investors so that we can<br />

provide individualised support throughout<br />

the investment period. Our service<br />

naturally includes transparent reporting<br />

with detailed reports on funds,<br />

monthly financial reports and status<br />

reports on real estate investments.<br />

<strong>Stuttgart</strong><br />

Börsenplatz 1<br />

70174 <strong>Stuttgart</strong><br />

Phone +49 711/2148-300<br />

Fax +49 711/2148-290<br />

Munich<br />

Herzog-Rudolf-Straße 1<br />

80539 München<br />

Phone +49 89/17 95 94-0<br />

Fax +49 89/17 95 94-55<br />

Our further publications<br />

<strong>Stuttgart</strong> Industrial & Logistics <strong>Market</strong> Report<br />

<strong>Stuttgart</strong> Office <strong>Market</strong> Report<br />

Munich Office <strong>Market</strong> Report<br />

and other information materials may be obtained free of charge from:<br />

gewerbeimmobilien@ellwanger-geiger.de or www.ellwanger-geiger.de.<br />

10 I


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I 11


ELLWANGER & GEIGER Real Estate GmbH<br />

Unternehmensgruppe ELLWANGER & GEIGER Privatbankiers<br />

Börsenplatz 1, 70174 <strong>Stuttgart</strong><br />

Phone +49 711/2148-300, Fax: +49 711/2148-290<br />

www.ellwanger-geiger.de<br />

Amtsgericht <strong>Stuttgart</strong>, HRB 733293, Geschäftsführer: Mario Caroli, Björn Holzwarth

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