2016_AGM_Deck
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SAFE HARBOUR STATEMENT<br />
Certain statements contained herein constitute forward-looking statements that reflect our<br />
expectations regarding the future growth, results of operations, performance, business<br />
prospects, and opportunities of the Company. Forward-looking statements may contain<br />
such words as “anticipate”, “believe”, “continue”, “could”, “expects”, “intend”, “plans”,<br />
“will” or similar expressions suggesting future conditions or events. Such forward-looking<br />
statements reflect our current beliefs and are based on information currently available to<br />
us. Forward-looking statements involve significant risks and uncertainties. A number of<br />
factors could cause actual results to differ materially from results discussed in the forwardlooking<br />
statements, including changes in national and local business conditions, crop<br />
yields, crop conditions, seasonality, industry cyclicality, volatility of production costs,<br />
commodity prices, foreign exchange rates, and competition. These risks and uncertainties<br />
are described under “Risks and Uncertainties” in our Annual Report and our Annual<br />
Information Form. Although the forward-looking statements contained herein are based<br />
on what we believe to be reasonable assumptions, we cannot assure readers that actual<br />
results will be consistent with these forward-looking statements and we undertake no<br />
obligation to update such statements except as expressly required by law.<br />
1
2
SALES COMPOSITION<br />
2010 2015 <strong>2016</strong> Q1<br />
32%<br />
68%<br />
46%<br />
46%<br />
46%<br />
42%<br />
54% 54%<br />
54%<br />
54%<br />
58%<br />
Farm<br />
Commercial<br />
Farm Farm<br />
Farm<br />
Farm<br />
Westeel Westeel<br />
Westeel Westeel<br />
Commercial Commercial<br />
Commercial Commercial<br />
Farm<br />
Westeel<br />
Commercial<br />
3
FINANCIAL OVERVIEW
120.0<br />
113.7<br />
100.0<br />
38.1<br />
Q1 TRADE SALES<br />
(In C$ Millions)<br />
80.0<br />
60.0<br />
40.0<br />
20.0<br />
65.5<br />
53.4<br />
78.5<br />
86.6<br />
75.6<br />
0.0<br />
2012 2013 2014 2015 <strong>2016</strong><br />
Acquisitions<br />
25.0<br />
20.0<br />
19.8<br />
Q1 ADJUSTED EBITDA<br />
(In C$ Millions)<br />
15.0<br />
10.0<br />
5.0<br />
12.2<br />
7.5<br />
14.0<br />
17.3<br />
6.5<br />
13.3<br />
0.0<br />
2012 2013 2014 2015 <strong>2016</strong><br />
Acquisitions<br />
5
OUTLOOK <strong>2016</strong> FARM
U.S. CORN AND SOYBEAN<br />
PLANTING INTENTIONS<br />
(In ‘000 acres)<br />
200000<br />
180000<br />
160000<br />
140000<br />
120000<br />
100000<br />
80000<br />
60000<br />
40000<br />
20000<br />
0<br />
77198<br />
76533<br />
83701<br />
82236<br />
82650<br />
75718 77451 77404 74976<br />
76895<br />
67140<br />
90454 85982 86482 88192 91936<br />
97155 95365<br />
90597 87999<br />
93601<br />
78019<br />
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 <strong>2016</strong>F<br />
Source: USDA<br />
Corn<br />
Soybeans<br />
U.S. CORN AND SOYBEAN<br />
PRODUCTION<br />
(In Billion Bushels)<br />
20<br />
18<br />
16<br />
14<br />
12<br />
10<br />
8<br />
6<br />
4<br />
2<br />
0<br />
3.96<br />
3.26<br />
3.98<br />
3.32<br />
2.68<br />
3.38<br />
2.92<br />
3.05<br />
3.2<br />
2.97<br />
13.99 14.41<br />
13.04<br />
13.11 13.65<br />
12.02<br />
12.54 12.31<br />
10.53<br />
10.73<br />
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015<br />
Source: USDA<br />
Corn<br />
Soybeans<br />
7
CANADIAN PULSE CROP<br />
SEEDED ACRES<br />
(In mm acres)<br />
10,000<br />
9,000<br />
8,000<br />
7,000<br />
6,000<br />
5,000<br />
4,000<br />
3,000<br />
2,000<br />
1,000<br />
0<br />
4,280<br />
3,680<br />
3,985<br />
3,730 3,325<br />
5,140<br />
3,950<br />
2,515 2,720 3,120<br />
2012 2013 2014 2015 <strong>2016</strong>F<br />
Source: Producer.com<br />
Lentils<br />
Dry Peas<br />
50<br />
45<br />
LENTIL PRICE<br />
(2013-<strong>2016</strong> in USD)<br />
40<br />
35<br />
30<br />
25<br />
20<br />
Source: Bloomberg<br />
15<br />
2013-01-02 2014-01-02 2015-01-02 <strong>2016</strong>-01-02<br />
8
OUTLOOK <strong>2016</strong> COMMERCIAL
INTERNATIONAL SALES BY REGION<br />
10
RECENT INITIATIVES - FERTILIZER
CANADIAN FERTILIZER CONSUMPTION<br />
80.00<br />
70.00<br />
60.00<br />
50.00<br />
40.00<br />
30.00<br />
20.00<br />
10.00<br />
CAGR: 1.7%<br />
58.90 kg/ha<br />
7.70<br />
15.00<br />
36.20<br />
74.40 kg/ha<br />
7.60<br />
15.80<br />
51.00<br />
0.00<br />
2000 2014<br />
Nitrogen Phosphate Potash<br />
Source: FAO-UN<br />
12
WESTEEL COMMERCIAL SMOOTHWALL<br />
1615 Quad Batch Bin<br />
1620 Quad Batch Bin<br />
1620 Fertilizer Bin<br />
13
FOLLOW-ON ACQUISITION - VIS<br />
§ Acquisition of VIS in November 2015 -<br />
positions AGI as a significant player in the<br />
fertilizer handling, storage and distribution<br />
market in Western Canada<br />
§ Significant synergies by bundling Westeel<br />
Smoothwall bins with commercial fertilizer<br />
distribution equipment<br />
§ Complementary sales cycle weighted to the<br />
beginning of the year<br />
14
FOLLOW-ON ACQUISITION - NUVISION<br />
§ Western Canadian leader in design and<br />
construction of fertilizer sites<br />
§ Allows AGI to offer turnkey design,<br />
manufacturing, assembly and installation of<br />
fertilizer distribution facilities<br />
§ Focus on small to medium sized retail<br />
fertilizer distribution<br />
§ Provides a new distribution channel for<br />
Westeel Commercial Smoothwall bins and<br />
VIS fertilizer handling equipment<br />
15
AGI FERTILIZER PLATFORM<br />
§ Kacey making image<br />
16
RECENT INITIATIVES - BRAZIL
AGRICULTURE IN BRAZIL<br />
250<br />
TOTAL GRAIN PRODUCTION<br />
(mm tons)<br />
ESTIMATED MARKET SHARE *<br />
200<br />
150<br />
123<br />
132<br />
144<br />
135<br />
149 163<br />
166<br />
189 194<br />
202<br />
3% 5%<br />
3%<br />
100<br />
50<br />
0<br />
05-06 06-07 07-08 08-09 09-10 10-11 11-12 12-13 13-14 14-15<br />
ILLUSTRATIVE: SOYA PRODUCTION & LOGISTIC COST<br />
(US$/T)<br />
Soybean Brazil USA Difference<br />
Cost of Production 187 238 51<br />
Transport 97 26 71<br />
Subtotal 284 264 20<br />
Port 7 3 4<br />
Total 291 267 24<br />
10%<br />
60%<br />
16%<br />
GSI<br />
Entringer<br />
Becker<br />
CASP<br />
Comil<br />
Page<br />
Kepler Weber<br />
3%<br />
Overall Market Size: ~$750M CAD *<br />
*<br />
Management Estimate<br />
18
ENTRINGER AND AGI - <strong>2016</strong><br />
§ Greenfield Plus<br />
§ Small acquisition focused on product lines, which balances risk of entering<br />
new market<br />
§ Enhance business of Entringer through access to AGI resources<br />
§ Leverage Entringer product line, operations and engineering teams,<br />
distribution network, installation and assembly capabilities, sales backlog,<br />
customer relations, customer service and quality track record<br />
§ AGI Managing Director in Brazil - Wilfried Toth, former leader of Kepler<br />
Weber, with extensive experience in constructing greenfield manufacturing<br />
facilities in Brazil for foreign companies<br />
§ Investment in new manufacturing facility<br />
§ State-of-the-art facility with focus on productivity<br />
§ Manufacture full suite of AGI Commercial and Entringer product line<br />
§ Leverage AGI brand strength with multi-national grain handlers<br />
§ Approximate cost of facility USD $25 million<br />
§ Market share growth in Farm and Commercial sectors<br />
19
LEAN MANUFACTURING
22<br />
476 HOURS PER TRUCKLOAD
THANK YOU