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<strong>The</strong> International News Weekly MONEY/REAL ESTATE<br />
January 12, 2018 | Toronto 18<br />
What if Trump starts NAFTA pullout<br />
<strong>The</strong> <strong>Canadian</strong> Press<br />
WASHINGTON: As NAFTA<br />
talks enter their most sensitive<br />
phase, a fever of speculation<br />
has broken out about<br />
whether Donald Trump might<br />
soon announce his intention<br />
to withdraw from NAFTA —<br />
and it's likely to last a while.<br />
With only couple of<br />
months left in the currently<br />
scheduled rounds of talks,<br />
Canada will be keeping an<br />
ever-closer eye on the U.S.<br />
president, who has repeatedly<br />
said it might be necessary to<br />
start the withdrawal process<br />
in order to gain leverage and<br />
win concessions.<br />
Here's a brief guide to<br />
what such a pullout announcement<br />
would likely<br />
mean.<br />
— NAFTA survives, at<br />
least for a while: <strong>The</strong> agreement's<br />
withdrawal clause is<br />
not an automatic-exit trigger.<br />
It isn't like Brexit and<br />
the European Union's Article<br />
50. NAFTA's Article 2205 requires<br />
six months' notice before<br />
anyone can actually pull<br />
out.<br />
— Loonie drops: Goldman<br />
Sachs projects a six-cent<br />
drop in the <strong>Canadian</strong> dollar if<br />
Trump announces a pullout,<br />
and a more dramatic effect<br />
on the peso. Mere speculation<br />
about a withdrawal in news<br />
reports this week caused a<br />
momentary dip. Currency<br />
markets can act as shock absorbers<br />
in the event of trade<br />
jolts, softening the impact of<br />
tariffs.<br />
— Lawsuit watch: A debate<br />
is already raging within<br />
the American legal community<br />
about the constitutionality<br />
of a president pulling out<br />
of a trade agreement without<br />
an act of Congress. Some insist<br />
Trump has the authority;<br />
others disagree. What everyone<br />
does seem to agree on is<br />
the likelihood of lawsuits. Behind<br />
the confusion lies a few<br />
historical contradictions: A<br />
U.S. Constitution that gives<br />
the president power over international<br />
relations, but the<br />
Congress power over trade;<br />
court cases that uphold the<br />
president's power over international<br />
agreements, versus<br />
others that say he can't contradict<br />
established law. This area<br />
of law hasn't been tested much<br />
— it's pretty rare for a U.S.<br />
president to be more hostile<br />
to trade deals than Congress,<br />
which is traditionally more<br />
protectionist. It's unclear<br />
what would happen to the<br />
1994 U.S. law passed by Congress<br />
implementing NAFTA,<br />
which remains on the books.<br />
— Mexico probably<br />
walks: Insiders familiar with<br />
the Mexican negotiators'<br />
strategy are adamant: they<br />
will leave the negotiating table<br />
if Trump triggers Article<br />
2205. <strong>The</strong> Mexicans have said<br />
this publicly, and sources<br />
there have been even more<br />
explicit in private conversations.<br />
— Canada probably<br />
stays: <strong>The</strong> <strong>Canadian</strong> government<br />
has been far cagier<br />
when asked what it would<br />
do next. But people familiar<br />
with its intentions say it<br />
would likely stay at the table<br />
and keep talking.<br />
— Trump's next decision:<br />
Does he choose to<br />
pause negotiations during<br />
elections in Mexico and the<br />
U.S., and resume talks after<br />
a new Mexican government<br />
is sworn in this December?<br />
Stay at the table with whichever<br />
party chooses to keep<br />
talking? Turn the trilateral<br />
negotiation into a bilateral,<br />
if it's only the U.S. and Canada?<br />
Or does he proceed to<br />
killing NAFTA after the sixmonth<br />
grace period?<br />
— Zombie NAFTA: <strong>The</strong><br />
countries keep trading without<br />
tariffs, the agreement's<br />
dispute mechanisms keep<br />
working, cross-border companies<br />
can keep investing<br />
and hiring anywhere, but all<br />
with the knowledge that the<br />
deal is half-dead and could<br />
be buried any time after six<br />
months. Without free trade,<br />
the countries would be free<br />
to apply their international<br />
tariffs — they average 3.5 per<br />
cent for U.S. imported products,<br />
4.1 per cent in Canada,<br />
and 7 per cent in Mexico,<br />
though some products would<br />
face much higher tariffs.<br />
Loblaws' $25 gift cards not misleading: Court<br />
Agencies<br />
TORONTO: An Ontario judge<br />
has ruled that it's too early to determine<br />
the enforceability of Loblaw<br />
Companies Ltd.'s policy that<br />
consumers who receive a $25 gift<br />
card from the company waive their<br />
right to that sum in possible future<br />
settlement money from a bread<br />
price-fixing scheme class-action<br />
lawsuit.<br />
Ontario Superior Court of Justice<br />
Edward M. Morgan dismissed<br />
a motion challenging the terms of<br />
Loblaw's gift card plan.<br />
<strong>The</strong> company announced Monday<br />
that registrants must agree to<br />
a release saying they discharge Loblaw<br />
(TSX:L), its parent company<br />
George Weston (TSX:WN) and others<br />
from relief to the extent of $25<br />
in connection with their involvement<br />
in an alleged bread price-fixing<br />
arrangement from Jan. 1, 2002<br />
to March 1, 2015.<br />
Morgan said in his ruling that<br />
classified<br />
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he's not in a position to know what,<br />
if any, an eventual settlement will<br />
entail, so it's too soon to declare<br />
the release enforceable or not.<br />
Loblaw spokesman Kevin Groh<br />
says the "ruling puts to rest the<br />
nonsensical claim by class-action<br />
lawyers that our $25 Loblaw Card<br />
is misleading and confusing,"<br />
when the company is trying to<br />
put money in affected consumers'<br />
MISSISSAUGA: Samsung Electronics<br />
Canada has expanded the connectivity<br />
and performance capabilities of its signature<br />
curved display line-up with the<br />
debut of its new CJ791 monitor, the first<br />
curved monitor to feature Intel Thunderbolt<br />
3 connectivity.<br />
Unveiled at At CES 2018 on Wednesday,<br />
the monitor is designed for entertainment<br />
and business audiences.<br />
Samsung says the 34-inch CJ791<br />
model aligns single-source power and<br />
processing speed with an exceptional<br />
picture quality for a comfortable and<br />
productive user experience.<br />
Through a single Thunderbolt 3<br />
cable, CJ791 users can link and dock<br />
their monitor and laptop without extensive<br />
wiring. <strong>The</strong> Thunderbolt 3 connection<br />
provides processing speed of up to<br />
40 Gigabits per second (Gbps) – a rate<br />
nearly four times faster than current<br />
USB alternatives¹ – allowing users to<br />
hands quickly.<br />
<strong>The</strong> law firm which brought the<br />
action in front of the court, Strosberg<br />
Sasso Sutts LLP, says the ruling<br />
is a victory for consumers as<br />
Loblaw will not be able to deduct<br />
the gift card value from any future<br />
settlement pay out "unless it demonstrates<br />
that it is fair to consumers<br />
as part of an overall resolution<br />
of their price-fixing claims."<br />
Tata Consultancy<br />
gives 700% dividend<br />
Agencies<br />
MUMBAI: IT major Tata<br />
Consultancy Services<br />
(TCS) on Thursday declared<br />
again a whopping<br />
700 per cent dividend (Rs 7<br />
per share of Re 1 face value)<br />
for the third quarter of<br />
2017-18.<br />
<strong>The</strong> record dividend<br />
for the third consecutive<br />
quarter is in addition<br />
to Rs 7 per share given<br />
for the second and first<br />
quarters in October and<br />
July, taking the cumulative<br />
payout to Rs 21 per<br />
share or a whopping 2,100<br />
per cent till December 31,<br />
2017.<br />
In a regulatory filing<br />
on the BSE, TCS said the<br />
Directors have declared<br />
the third interim dividend<br />
enjoy connectivity across a full ecosystem<br />
of docks, displays and peripheral devices<br />
including iOS laptops, USB type-C<br />
laptops, and other desktop accessories<br />
like storage drives or external graphics<br />
of Rs 7 per equity share<br />
of Re 1 each and it would<br />
be paid to all the equity<br />
shareholders in the company's<br />
records as on January<br />
23.<br />
"<strong>The</strong> third Interim<br />
dividend will be paid on<br />
January 31," added the<br />
filing.<br />
<strong>The</strong> company's blue<br />
chip scrip of Re 1 face<br />
value, however, closed at<br />
Rs 2,788.40 on the BSE at t<br />
he end of Thursday's trading,<br />
losing Rs 18.70 per<br />
share from Wednesday's<br />
closing price of Rs 2,807.10<br />
and after opening at Rs<br />
2,807.20.<br />
<strong>The</strong> shares also quoted<br />
a high of Rs 2,820.10 and a<br />
low of Rs 2,781.90 during<br />
the intra-trading sessions<br />
on the BSE.<br />
Samsung unveils new curved monitor<br />
cards.<br />
<strong>The</strong> Thunderbolt 3 interface also enables<br />
the CJ791 to provide up to 85 watts<br />
(W) of laptop charging power. (Press release)