15.12.2012 Views

Steve Parry

Steve Parry

Steve Parry

SHOW MORE
SHOW LESS

Create successful ePaper yourself

Turn your PDF publications into a flip-book with our unique Google optimized e-Paper software.

Creative Commissioning: The North<br />

Tyneside Falls Prevention Service<br />

Dr <strong>Steve</strong> W <strong>Parry</strong>, Clinical Lead, North Tyneside Falls Prevention Service and<br />

Senior Lecturer, Institute for Ageing and Health, Newcastle University


The North Tyneside Falls Prevention<br />

Service<br />

• Multi-agency falls prevention service<br />

• Local gaps in service provision<br />

• Idea to fill the gap<br />

– Enhance case finding<br />

– Preventive service provision<br />

• Involvement of key stakeholders to further the vision<br />

• Commissioning perspective and involvement<br />

• Service delivery, evaluation and justification


• Falls and blackouts<br />

Overview<br />

– Common and overlapping<br />

• 35-60% of over 65 years<br />

– A Fib 1%; Heart failure 5%<br />

• 10% suffer fractures<br />

– Expensive<br />

• >£4 billion per annum<br />

– Devastating<br />

• Personal, carer, health economic effects


NICE guidance on falls 2004<br />

“ All health professionals coming into contact with older<br />

patients should ask whether they have fallen in the last year”<br />

“Refer for specialist assessment if 2 or more falls”<br />

Chapter 8 CHD NSF Quality<br />

Requirements:<br />

“Service improvements locally via…improving access to<br />

a higher level of expertise by the development of<br />

multi-disciplinary arrhythmia and/or blackout clinics”<br />

“People presenting with arrhythmias, in both emergency<br />

and elective settings, receive timely assessment by<br />

an appropriate clinician to ensure accurate diagnosis<br />

and and effective treatment and rehabilitation”


The North Tyneside context…..<br />

• 192,000 patients<br />

– 44,160 >60 years<br />

– 15,900 >75 years<br />

• Lower prevalence estimate of 35%<br />

– 15,500 fallers<br />

• Approx 1500 seen by existing services<br />

• Seen late in falls and blackouts “career”<br />

– (14,000 not being seen at all)<br />

• >60 years to rise from 23% to 32% in next decade<br />

• Good evidence base to show that MDT approach is<br />

both clinically and health economically effective


• Get your facts straight<br />

Tip #1<br />

– Help your commissioners to “see the light”<br />

– Show why your service is needed within the local<br />

context<br />

– Don’t shroud wave<br />

– Don’t over-egg the pudding; present the facts<br />

without spin – its always obvious<br />

– Understand that your commissioning team also<br />

want to promote good healthcare<br />

– Make extrapolations explicit and sensible<br />

– Cost savings estimates rarely do as they say they<br />

will – be realistic


Tip #2<br />

• Get the right team around the table BEFORE you<br />

tackle commissioning issues<br />

– Newcastle Hospitals Foundation Trust<br />

– Private primary care provider (Norprime)<br />

– Age UK<br />

– Newcastle University<br />

– North of Tyne PCT<br />

– North Tyneside Social Services<br />

– North East Ambulance Service


Targeted specialist falls and blackouts<br />

assessment in community setting<br />

• Senior physiotherapy assessment and treatment<br />

• HCA review<br />

• ECG, lying and standing blood pressure<br />

• Depression scale, MMSE, falls and balance confidence scale,<br />

visual acuity<br />

• Medical assessment<br />

• History, examination, bone health risk assessment<br />

• Review of findings, education, counselling<br />

• Recommendations to primary care<br />

• Referrals to 2ry care, Age UK strength and balance<br />

training classes, social services<br />

• Individualised care plan


Tip #3<br />

• Ensure service users are represented in the<br />

development of your service plan<br />

• Ensure appropriate partnership in terms of service<br />

provision<br />

– Age UK key partner<br />

– Service design and development<br />

– Novel service provision using existing<br />

infrastructure and organisation<br />

• Targeted strength and balance training classes


Tip #4<br />

• Destructive innovation and serendipitous planning<br />

• Aka pick your moment and don’t be afraid to escalate<br />

given the opportunity<br />

– Partnerships in place<br />

– Service model developed<br />

– Commissioning team interested and going through<br />

usual channels<br />

– Opportunity to present to PCT Executive<br />

• Rapid escalation to service provision


What can be accomplished:<br />

The first 2 years.....New diagnoses<br />

• 2554 patients seen in the first 2 years of operation<br />

• 985 (40%) ADDITIONAL DIAGNOSES<br />

– Diagnoses making a difference to falls and syncope<br />

risks or relevant to national guidance and targets (eg<br />

early identification of cognitive impairment)<br />

– NOT existing diagnosis<br />

• 986 (39%) gait and balance abnormalities<br />

– All given home exercises<br />

– Additional physio advice, day hospital, community<br />

physio<br />

– 25% referred for Age UK strength and balance training<br />

classes


Others of note......<br />

Atrial fibrillation 26<br />

Stroke, cerebellar syndrome 16<br />

New murmurs 43<br />

Benign positional paroxysmal vertigo 70<br />

Orthostatic hypotension 92<br />

Permanent pacemaker referral 17<br />

Further 35 with significant, possibly culpable brady 35<br />

Parkinsonism, newly diagnosed 8<br />

Vasovagal syncope 75<br />

Significant depression per GDS score 73<br />

Significant cognitive impairment per MMSE


• Osteoporosis<br />

– All undergo FRAX<br />

The first two years....<br />

– 31 high risk “recommend treatment”<br />

– 145/1560 (9.1%) referred for DEXA, 1/3 treated<br />

• 693 with falls efficacy scale score >23<br />

• Ongoing £840k NIHR HTA funded RCT of cognitive<br />

behavioural therapy for this patients<br />

• Independent data from DH evaluation of patient<br />

satisfaction (3.8/4 overall)


The first 2 years....referral patterns<br />

• 25% to Age UK for strength and balance training<br />

classes – part of pathway rather than “referral”<br />

• 25% suggest see GP for meds modification, review of<br />

new Afib, cognitive impairment, depression etc<br />

• 10.5% referred for secondary care review<br />

– Cardiology, falls and syncope, day hospital, ENT


Tip #5<br />

• Ongoing service evaluation and reporting to those<br />

commissioning<br />

– Make your evaluation relevant to the local health<br />

economy<br />

– Refer to local, regional and national priorities and<br />

guidelines<br />

– Without this, you are doomed……


•No changes to services<br />

apart from N Tyne Falls<br />

Prevention Service<br />

•North Tyneside population<br />

over 60:<br />

•40,572<br />

•Newcastle population over<br />

60<br />

•46,670<br />

Difference in 2010-11<br />

of 51 hip fractures<br />

Average tariff of<br />

£10,000<br />

£510,000 saved<br />

Note 30% mortality<br />

rate<br />

25% res/NH care<br />

330<br />

320<br />

310<br />

300<br />

290<br />

280<br />

270<br />

260<br />

250<br />

Fracture Neck of Femur<br />

2008-09 2009-10 2010-11<br />

North Tyneside Newcastle


NOF %<br />

15<br />

10<br />

5<br />

0<br />

-5<br />

-10<br />

Year on year change in FNOF rates<br />

2009-10 2010-11<br />

Newcastle 3.21 11.42<br />

North Tyneside -6.27 2.46


Non-elective admissions: N Tyne Falls Prevention Service<br />

Patients versus Cramlington Control Group<br />

Rate free from fall related hospital ad<br />

0.90 0.92 0.94 0.96 0.98 1.00<br />

Control group<br />

Intervention group<br />

420 day Kaplan-Meier surv<br />

0 100 200 300 400<br />

Days


Non-elective admissions: N Tyne Falls Prevention<br />

Service Patients versus Cramlington Control Group<br />

• N Tyne Falls Prevention Service<br />

– 741 non-elective admissions per 10,000 population<br />

• Cramlington Control Practice<br />

– 768 non-elective admissions per 10,000 population<br />

– 27 non-elective admissions saved @ £5,000 ie<br />

£135,000<br />

• For North Tyneside with 40,000 >65s: £540,000<br />

• For whole of NoT with 160,000 >65s: £2,160,000<br />

• 50% reduction in mortality for those seen by Service v<br />

not seen after A&E admission p=0.0000007


So...getting your service commissioned…an<br />

approach….<br />

• Evidence-based approach based on national and<br />

international guidance and best practice<br />

• Informed by local and regional priorities<br />

• Partnership approach<br />

• Multi-agency, multidisciplinary<br />

• Coherent case, with qualitative, quantitative and<br />

health economic dimensions<br />

• Measurable, reportable, sustainable in the longer<br />

term<br />

• Importance of third sector and other partners in<br />

informing service design and providing service<br />

delivery


…and what can be achieved….<br />

• Service that all partners can take credit for<br />

• Clear benefits to patients previously not seen by<br />

services<br />

– Significant additional diagnoses with further quality<br />

and cost implications<br />

– Case finding for atrial fibrillation, osteoporosis,<br />

dementia, depression, recurrent syncope<br />

– 25% strength and balance training classes with<br />

enormous benefits<br />

– Less tangible public health dimension<br />

• Smoking, weight loss, alcohol intake, exercise


…and what can be achieved….<br />

• Clear early evidence of reduction in fall related<br />

hospital admissions<br />

• Clear early evidence of reduction in hip fracture<br />

• Further data awaited (other fragility fractures,<br />

syncope, A&E data)<br />

• Tangible initial cost savings conservatively estimated<br />

at £645,000 (annual cost to PCT £280k)


• Pilot versus permanent<br />

Problems and pitfalls<br />

– Runner up in BMJ Innovation Awards<br />

– DH Integrated Care pilot winner<br />

– Superb results, 3600 seen in 3 years<br />

– Still not permanently commissioned<br />

• A little too novel, commissioning climate state<br />

of flux, pilot schemes more common<br />

• Destructive innovation and serendipitous planning<br />

– Private primary care provider<br />

– Deep dislike from some of “usual route” team<br />

– Keep all onside


Hazel’s tale....post Age UK classes<br />

“I don’t use the walking sticks at all in the house now,<br />

and use them much less outside as well. It’s easier<br />

to get in the shower above the bath, and up and<br />

down the back step. Because I’m not holding the<br />

sticks any more I can reach things, cook and clean<br />

more easily – it’s great to be able to do these myself .<br />

I’m also finding it easier to use public transport again,<br />

instead of always needing to get a taxi.”

Hooray! Your file is uploaded and ready to be published.

Saved successfully!

Ooh no, something went wrong!