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Kenadyr Pitchbook V1

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Issue #1<br />

2018<br />

<strong>Kenadyr</strong><br />

Investment<br />

Review<br />

PitchBook<br />

In Partnership with: InProved Energy and Resources


Featuring:<br />

Mark Hood<br />

CO-CEO & Head of Operation<br />

Max Delamain<br />

CO-CEO & Head of Business Development<br />

Catherine Lindsay<br />

Chief Financial Officer<br />

In partnership with:<br />

Hemera, Inproved Energy and Resources &<br />

Afar Insights<br />

Table of Contents for Hemera<br />

Pitch-Book<br />

1.0. Introduction 3<br />

2.0. Trend 1<br />

2.1. Gold Value vs the USD 4<br />

2.2. Kyrgyzstan’s Economy level 4<br />

3.0. Trend 2<br />

3.1. Zijin Company 6<br />

3.2. Zijin Gold Production in 2016 6<br />

4.0. Trend 3<br />

4.1. Taldy Bulak Levoberezhny<br />

Mine 7<br />

4.2. Bourbai Project 7<br />

5.0. Trend 4<br />

5.1. <strong>Kenadyr</strong> Company and<br />

Financial Record 8<br />

5.2. <strong>Kenadyr</strong> Stock Perfomance<br />

and comparison with GDXJ 9<br />

6.0. Methodology 10<br />

Afar insights<br />

JOHNSON KOH Founder, CEO<br />

HUGO PASCAL Head of Structured Financing<br />

Content:<br />

JOHNSON KOH Senior Analyst<br />

YOHANES ALVIN Data Analyst<br />

HUGO PASCAL Data Analyst<br />

TEO GUDELJ Senior Graphic Designer<br />

Special thanks to:<br />

Contact us:<br />

inquiry@inproved.com<br />

21 Bukit Batok Crescent<br />

WCEGA Tower 25-70<br />

Singapore 658065<br />

1


AfarInsights<br />

PitchBook<br />

1.0. Introduction<br />

Population in UK has been increasing lately, thus the increase in population lead to increase in UK’s<br />

Urban Population. Furthermore, the government has an issue in providing their people a safe, comfortable<br />

and nice-looking house. When brexit takes place, UK has been suffering with Skill shortage<br />

and technology shortage in innovating new technologies, due to this UK housing minister Gavin Barwell<br />

has said that the government sees a huge opportunity in manufacturing houses off site.<br />

One of the solution to solve the problem is Modular Construction. ‘Modular construction’ is a term<br />

used to describe the use of factory-produced pre-engineered building units that are delivered to site<br />

and assembled as large volumetric components or as substantial elements of a building. The modular<br />

units may form complete rooms, parts of rooms, or separate highly serviced units such as toilets or<br />

lifts. The collection of discrete modular units usually forms a self-supporting structure in its own right<br />

or, for tall buildings, may rely on an independent structural framework. The main sector of application<br />

of modular construction are, private housing, social housing, apartment and mixed use building, educational<br />

sector and student residence and many more. In UK, the Modular Construction has been<br />

applied and government has seen this as a huge investment. Therefore, Hemera has come out with<br />

a new investment which involved with Modular Construction and they name the project as Shape<br />

Living.<br />

2


AfarInsights<br />

PitchBook<br />

2.0. Trend 1<br />

2.1. Gold value vs the USD<br />

Gold has always been the go-to haven<br />

for investors during times of economic<br />

turmoil and uncertainty. One fact that<br />

supports this is the negative correlation<br />

between U.S. Dollars and gold price that<br />

is consistent throughout the past,<br />

because as the economy slumps and<br />

the currency depreciates, the demand<br />

for gold rises.<br />

As the U.S. trade deficit perpetually<br />

increases, U.S. President Donald<br />

Trump’s administration began a tariff war<br />

with China in April 2018 that escalates<br />

trade tension between the two countries,<br />

and economists see the tension could<br />

draw on for two more years. Trump also<br />

mentioned that a trade fight with Japan<br />

might be next on his agenda.<br />

Along with other factors that plague the<br />

global scene, it is safe to assume that<br />

investors would flock to gold in these<br />

times of uncertainty and push the gold<br />

value up. This is good news for the gold<br />

mining industry as their profitability is<br />

strongly dependent on the price of gold.<br />

2.2. Kyrgyzstan’s Economy<br />

level<br />

Gold makes up the biggest portion of<br />

Kyrgyzstan’s exports. However, local<br />

demand for gold has been increasing<br />

lately, with the Kyrgyz central bank stocking<br />

up on gold. Kyrgyzstan plans to up its<br />

gold reserves from 16% of its international<br />

reserves of 2 billion USD to 50%. The<br />

gold acts as contingency plan for the<br />

uncertain economic future of China and<br />

Russia, whose imports are crucial for<br />

Kyrgyzstan’s economy. Kyrgyzstan also<br />

relies on Russia for the mass of migrant<br />

Kyrgyzstani workers who search for<br />

work at Moscow.<br />

3


AfarInsights<br />

PitchBook<br />

While China is engaged in trade war with<br />

the US, recent US sanctions against<br />

Russia has been similarly increasing the<br />

trade tension between US and Russia.<br />

Although China-Russia relationship has<br />

been growing, the outcome of this<br />

conflict between the world’s greatest<br />

economies remains unclear. Kyrgyzstan<br />

has learned from Russia’s currency crisis<br />

in 2014-2015 when the value of<br />

Kyrgyzstani som plummeted along with<br />

the Russian ruble. Gold is favorable as it<br />

is exempt from the currency risk of holding<br />

these vulnerable currencies, and also<br />

because of its flexibility to be used in<br />

buying other currencies as needed.<br />

Kyrgyzstan gold reserves reached an<br />

all-time high during the first quarter of<br />

2018 at 7.95 tonnes, up from 6.95 during<br />

the fourth quarter of 2017. It is forecasted<br />

to reach 10.8 tonnes by 2019, and 13.2<br />

tonnes for 2020. To quote Kyrgyz central<br />

bank governor Tolkunbek Abdygulov,<br />

“Taking into consideration that we mine a<br />

lot of gold in our country, it’s God-given<br />

that we should keep<br />

a large part of our reserves in gold.”<br />

These high forecasts of gold demand will<br />

push the gold price up, which is good<br />

news for the gold mining industry in<br />

Kyrgyzstan.<br />

After a steady uptrend throughout 2017<br />

and Q1 of 2018, the gold price per ounce<br />

for Kyrgyzstani som took a plunge after a<br />

high point of 93,160 KGS/oz on April<br />

13th. By Q3, the gold price found a<br />

support level at around 81,000 KGS/oz<br />

and is looking to begin another uptrend.<br />

The future of gold price for the<br />

Kyrgyzstani som is promising, as the<br />

local demand for gold is high with the<br />

Kyrgyz central bank buying and stockpiling<br />

gold for its reserves, as well as the<br />

general economic uncertainty as a result<br />

of the US trade wars with Kyrgyzstan’s<br />

economic allies.<br />

The GDP of Kyrgyzstan has steadily<br />

grown over the past 2 years, from 6.7<br />

billion USD in 2015 to 7.5 billion USD in<br />

2016. It is forecasted to continue<br />

increasing to 7.8 billion USD by 2018.<br />

With Kyrgyzstan’s improving economy,<br />

investing in Kyrgyzstani companies is<br />

looking to be a relatively safe investment.<br />

Comments on the graph 4<br />

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feugiat nulla facilisis at vero eros et<br />

accumsan et iusto odio dignissim qui<br />

blandit praesent luptatum zzril delenit<br />

augue duis dolore te feugait nulla<br />

facilisi.<br />

Comments on the graph 5<br />

in vulputate velit esse molestie<br />

consequat, vel illum dolore eu feugiat<br />

nulla facilisis at vero eros et accumsan<br />

et iusto odio dignissim qui blandit<br />

praesent luptatum zzril delenit augue<br />

duis dolore te feugait facilisi.<br />

4


AfarInsights<br />

PitchBook<br />

3.0. Trend<br />

3.1. Zijin Company<br />

Zijin is a Shanghai (code: 601899) and<br />

Hong Kong (code: 2899) listed company<br />

and one of the largest gold exploration<br />

and mining company in China. Their<br />

operations span across 24 provinces in<br />

China and 9 other foreign countries. Zijin<br />

is a highly profitable company. In 2016,<br />

they managed to produce 1347.41 tons<br />

of gold, 30.06 million tons of copper, 9.5<br />

million tons of lead/zinc, of molybdenum<br />

and of tungsten under complete equity<br />

method globally, due to their efficient<br />

production. They are nominated to be<br />

the largest listed gold company, the<br />

second largest mined-copper producer,<br />

and the second largest mined-zinc<br />

producer in China. In the same year, their<br />

net profit for the parent of the company<br />

were RMB 78.85 billion, the total assets<br />

and equity attributable to owners of the<br />

parent were around RMB89.22 and last<br />

but not least, the dividends of the company<br />

were RMB17.8 billion. (first)<br />

3.2. Zijin Gold Production in<br />

2016<br />

The graph below is some of the Zijin<br />

Gold Project Mining which they have<br />

been investing in. One of Zijin’s gold<br />

explorations is Zijinshan Gold & Copper<br />

Mine which is located in Shanghang<br />

County. The mine has produced<br />

236,950 ounces of gold (approximate 7.4<br />

tonnes) and gold reserves were 10.2<br />

million ounces (around 318 Tonnes) in<br />

2016. Zijin had also invested 2.5 billion<br />

yuen in Zijinshan’s soil and water conservation<br />

and ecological restoration by the<br />

end of 2016. Longnan Zijin mining was<br />

established in 2007 and is located in Li<br />

County. By the end in 2016 they have 7<br />

mining rights over an area of 68.7km2,<br />

including the mine called Liba Gold Mine.<br />

In 2016, the mine has produced 94,105<br />

ounces of gold and the gold reserves<br />

were 2.78 million ounces. There are<br />

numerous more gold mines that Zijin has<br />

invested in, which all performed favourably<br />

with significant gold production.<br />

Zijin’s track record is promising.<br />

In Kyrgyzstan, Zijin has invested in the<br />

Taldy Bulak Levoberezhny (TBL) mine<br />

which has been forecasted to produce<br />

significant amount of gold. Currently,<br />

<strong>Kenadyr</strong> mining has 100% hold interest<br />

in 164km2 Borubai exploration license<br />

which encircles Zijin’s TBL mine.<br />

Comments on the graph 5<br />

in vulputate velit esse molestie<br />

consequat, vel illum dolore eu feugiat<br />

nulla facilisis at vero eros et accumsan<br />

et iusto odio dignissim qui blandit<br />

praesent luptatum zzril delenit<br />

in vulputate velit esse molestie<br />

consequat, vel illum dolore eu feugiat<br />

nulla facilisis at vero eros et accumsan<br />

et iusto odio dignissim qui blandit<br />

praesent luptatum zzril delenit augue<br />

duis dolore te feugait facilisi. augue<br />

duis dolore te feugait facilisi. in<br />

vulputate velit esse molestie<br />

consequat, vel illum dolore eu feugiat<br />

nulla facilisis at vero eros et accumsan<br />

et iusto odio dignissim qui blandit<br />

praesent luptatum zzril delenit augue<br />

duis dolore te feugait facilisi.<br />

in vulputate velit esse molestie<br />

consequat, vel illum dolore eu feugiat<br />

nulla facilisis at vero eros et accumsan<br />

et iusto odio dignissim qui blandit<br />

praesent luptatum zzril delenit augue<br />

duis dolore te feugait facilisi.<br />

5


AfarInsights<br />

PitchBook<br />

4.0. Trend 3<br />

4.1. Taldy Bulak<br />

Levoberezhny Mine<br />

Altynken LLC is the first company who<br />

hold the exploration and mining license<br />

for the TBL mine, valid until 5/01/2026.<br />

Furthermore, Summer Gold LLP holds<br />

60% interest and Kyrgyzstan holds the<br />

remaining of the 40% the interest of<br />

Altynken. In 2011. Zijin Mining Group Co<br />

took over the 60% interest and till now<br />

the TBL mine is still under them. In 2015,<br />

according to Kyrgyz geologists, the mine<br />

holds 65 tonnes of gold and continued<br />

exploration is expected to add up to 20<br />

tonnes to reserves. The mine is in Taldy<br />

Bulak gorge in the Tien Shan mountain<br />

around 120 km (75 km) east of the<br />

capital. In 2017, TBL mine has produced<br />

2017 kg of gold as well. The mine will<br />

continue to be profitable as long as the<br />

price of gold does not fall below $1,080<br />

per ounce and currently, the gold price is<br />

$1198.29. The gold mine project is the<br />

second major gold project in the country<br />

after the collapse of the Soviet Union in<br />

1991. Zijin and <strong>Kenadyr</strong> are keen to<br />

invest in the mine due to the promising<br />

forecasts.<br />

<strong>Kenadyr</strong> has proudly announced a<br />

private placement with Zijin, due to the<br />

high potential of gold production from<br />

the Borubai project. This will help maintain<br />

<strong>Kenadyr</strong>’s sustainability by financing<br />

the exploration and mining of the TBL<br />

mine and other areas. The private placement<br />

offers 8,360,000 units at $0.20 per<br />

unit for total gross proceeds of<br />

$1,672,000. Each unit will consist of one<br />

common share and one common share<br />

purchase warrant. Each warrant will<br />

allow the holder to purchase one<br />

common share of <strong>Kenadyr</strong> at a price of<br />

$0.35 for a period of 24 months from the<br />

date of issuance or before May 30 2020,<br />

thus with this agreement <strong>Kenadyr</strong> is in a<br />

good hand of achieving their predicted<br />

result in future. Considering the future<br />

Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetuer adipiscing elit, sed diam nonummy nibh euismod tincidunt ut laoreet<br />

dolore magna aliquam erat volutpat. Ut wisi enim ad minim veniam, quis nostrud exerci tation ullamcorper<br />

suscipit lobortis nisl ut aliquip ex ea commodo consequat. Duis autem vel eum iriure dolor in hendrerit in<br />

vulputate velit esse molestie consequat, vel illum dolore eu feugiat nulla facilisis at vero eros et accumsan et iusto<br />

odio dignissim qui blandit praesent luptatum zzril delenit augue duis dolore te feugait nulla facilisi.<br />

profitability of the Borubai project and<br />

this support from one of China’s largest<br />

gold mining company, other Chinese<br />

investors might be keen on investing in<br />

<strong>Kenadyr</strong>.<br />

4.2. Bourbai Project<br />

Borubai project is located in the Kyrgyz<br />

Republic in Centre Asia. The project<br />

grants <strong>Kenadyr</strong> the license to explore the<br />

TBL mine, which is expected to contain<br />

3.2 million ounces in reserves. It is the<br />

third largest gold mine in Kyrgyzstan with<br />

a mine life of 19 years. According to the<br />

news release published by Zijin, the TBL<br />

field contains (C1 plus C2) 8909100<br />

tonnes of gold ore (the average grade is<br />

7.23 grams per tonne). The project holds<br />

exploration license for 164km2 of the<br />

mining area and the entire area has been<br />

tested with airborne magnetic, radiometric<br />

and gravity surveys, ground-based<br />

resistivity and induces polarization<br />

surveys by the Soviet Government. The<br />

area can be seen from the location map<br />

below.<br />

6


AfarInsights<br />

PitchBook<br />

5.0. Trend 4<br />

5.1. <strong>Kenadyr</strong> Company and<br />

Financial Record<br />

<strong>Kenadyr</strong> is a start-up public listed gold<br />

mining company in Kyrgyzstan. Its daily<br />

stock price has been decreasing since 2<br />

year-time, from $0.54 in 2017 to currently<br />

$0.11. The bid size is currently 43500<br />

and the ask size is currently 12000. Even<br />

though the stock performance has been<br />

dropping, the result from short-term<br />

solvency ratio has proven that the company<br />

has the ability to meet the<br />

long-term obligation, net working capital<br />

ratio, current ratio, quick ratio (acid test)<br />

liquidity ratio (cash) and working<br />

capital/equity that are under short-term<br />

solvency ratio. With <strong>Kenadyr</strong>’s Borubai<br />

project and and their agreement with<br />

Zijin, the stock performance will definitely<br />

rise due to the robust expected gold<br />

production which is under TBL mine.<br />

They also currently have 9.28m market<br />

capitalisation and also has given out<br />

92.81M outstanding shares. Based on<br />

the financial report and future prediction,<br />

<strong>Kenadyr</strong> is worth investing. <strong>Kenadyr</strong><br />

Stock Price will also be affected due to<br />

the gold price performance in<br />

Kyrgyzstan.<br />

Comments on the graph 4<br />

molestie consequat, vel illum dolore eu<br />

feugiat nulla facilisis at vero eros et<br />

accumsan et iusto odio dignissim qui<br />

blandit praesent luptatum zzril delenit<br />

augue duis dolore te feugait nulla<br />

facilisi.<br />

Comments on the graph 5<br />

in vulputate velit esse molestie<br />

consequat, vel illum dolore eu feugiat<br />

nulla facilisis at vero eros et accumsan<br />

et iusto odio dignissim qui blandit<br />

praesent luptatum zzril delenit augue<br />

duis dolore te feugait facilisi.<br />

7


AfarInsights<br />

PitchBook<br />

5.2. <strong>Kenadyr</strong> Stock<br />

Perfomance and comparison<br />

with GDXJ<br />

Zijin has been investing in <strong>Kenadyr</strong> due<br />

to its daily stock performance which has<br />

been fluctuating in the past 2 years and<br />

Borubai project (which has been<br />

expected to produce gold). The highest<br />

return <strong>Kenadyr</strong> has experienced is in<br />

2018 (26/6/2018) which is 32.14%. and<br />

currently their daily return is -4.76%.<br />

GDXJ used for benchmarking to make<br />

stock price’s performance with junior<br />

mining company. It can be seen that<br />

GDXJ stock price performance also<br />

shown similar graph with <strong>Kenadyr</strong>, it has<br />

been fluctuating for the past 2 years<br />

also, based on the Standard Deviation<br />

average return and beta calculation to<br />

test the stock volatility, <strong>Kenadyr</strong> currently<br />

has 5.61% for their beta, -0.34% for the<br />

average return and their beta is<br />

0.68002. Despite trend to fluctuate,<br />

<strong>Kenadyr</strong> has given higher returns than in<br />

GDXJ the past 2 years-time.<br />

8


AfarInsights<br />

PitchBook<br />

6.0. Methodology<br />

9


AfarInsights<br />

PitchBook<br />

10


AfarInsights<br />

PitchBook<br />

11

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