Kenadyr Pitchbook V1
Create successful ePaper yourself
Turn your PDF publications into a flip-book with our unique Google optimized e-Paper software.
Issue #1<br />
2018<br />
<strong>Kenadyr</strong><br />
Investment<br />
Review<br />
PitchBook<br />
In Partnership with: InProved Energy and Resources
Featuring:<br />
Mark Hood<br />
CO-CEO & Head of Operation<br />
Max Delamain<br />
CO-CEO & Head of Business Development<br />
Catherine Lindsay<br />
Chief Financial Officer<br />
In partnership with:<br />
Hemera, Inproved Energy and Resources &<br />
Afar Insights<br />
Table of Contents for Hemera<br />
Pitch-Book<br />
1.0. Introduction 3<br />
2.0. Trend 1<br />
2.1. Gold Value vs the USD 4<br />
2.2. Kyrgyzstan’s Economy level 4<br />
3.0. Trend 2<br />
3.1. Zijin Company 6<br />
3.2. Zijin Gold Production in 2016 6<br />
4.0. Trend 3<br />
4.1. Taldy Bulak Levoberezhny<br />
Mine 7<br />
4.2. Bourbai Project 7<br />
5.0. Trend 4<br />
5.1. <strong>Kenadyr</strong> Company and<br />
Financial Record 8<br />
5.2. <strong>Kenadyr</strong> Stock Perfomance<br />
and comparison with GDXJ 9<br />
6.0. Methodology 10<br />
Afar insights<br />
JOHNSON KOH Founder, CEO<br />
HUGO PASCAL Head of Structured Financing<br />
Content:<br />
JOHNSON KOH Senior Analyst<br />
YOHANES ALVIN Data Analyst<br />
HUGO PASCAL Data Analyst<br />
TEO GUDELJ Senior Graphic Designer<br />
Special thanks to:<br />
Contact us:<br />
inquiry@inproved.com<br />
21 Bukit Batok Crescent<br />
WCEGA Tower 25-70<br />
Singapore 658065<br />
1
AfarInsights<br />
PitchBook<br />
1.0. Introduction<br />
Population in UK has been increasing lately, thus the increase in population lead to increase in UK’s<br />
Urban Population. Furthermore, the government has an issue in providing their people a safe, comfortable<br />
and nice-looking house. When brexit takes place, UK has been suffering with Skill shortage<br />
and technology shortage in innovating new technologies, due to this UK housing minister Gavin Barwell<br />
has said that the government sees a huge opportunity in manufacturing houses off site.<br />
One of the solution to solve the problem is Modular Construction. ‘Modular construction’ is a term<br />
used to describe the use of factory-produced pre-engineered building units that are delivered to site<br />
and assembled as large volumetric components or as substantial elements of a building. The modular<br />
units may form complete rooms, parts of rooms, or separate highly serviced units such as toilets or<br />
lifts. The collection of discrete modular units usually forms a self-supporting structure in its own right<br />
or, for tall buildings, may rely on an independent structural framework. The main sector of application<br />
of modular construction are, private housing, social housing, apartment and mixed use building, educational<br />
sector and student residence and many more. In UK, the Modular Construction has been<br />
applied and government has seen this as a huge investment. Therefore, Hemera has come out with<br />
a new investment which involved with Modular Construction and they name the project as Shape<br />
Living.<br />
2
AfarInsights<br />
PitchBook<br />
2.0. Trend 1<br />
2.1. Gold value vs the USD<br />
Gold has always been the go-to haven<br />
for investors during times of economic<br />
turmoil and uncertainty. One fact that<br />
supports this is the negative correlation<br />
between U.S. Dollars and gold price that<br />
is consistent throughout the past,<br />
because as the economy slumps and<br />
the currency depreciates, the demand<br />
for gold rises.<br />
As the U.S. trade deficit perpetually<br />
increases, U.S. President Donald<br />
Trump’s administration began a tariff war<br />
with China in April 2018 that escalates<br />
trade tension between the two countries,<br />
and economists see the tension could<br />
draw on for two more years. Trump also<br />
mentioned that a trade fight with Japan<br />
might be next on his agenda.<br />
Along with other factors that plague the<br />
global scene, it is safe to assume that<br />
investors would flock to gold in these<br />
times of uncertainty and push the gold<br />
value up. This is good news for the gold<br />
mining industry as their profitability is<br />
strongly dependent on the price of gold.<br />
2.2. Kyrgyzstan’s Economy<br />
level<br />
Gold makes up the biggest portion of<br />
Kyrgyzstan’s exports. However, local<br />
demand for gold has been increasing<br />
lately, with the Kyrgyz central bank stocking<br />
up on gold. Kyrgyzstan plans to up its<br />
gold reserves from 16% of its international<br />
reserves of 2 billion USD to 50%. The<br />
gold acts as contingency plan for the<br />
uncertain economic future of China and<br />
Russia, whose imports are crucial for<br />
Kyrgyzstan’s economy. Kyrgyzstan also<br />
relies on Russia for the mass of migrant<br />
Kyrgyzstani workers who search for<br />
work at Moscow.<br />
3
AfarInsights<br />
PitchBook<br />
While China is engaged in trade war with<br />
the US, recent US sanctions against<br />
Russia has been similarly increasing the<br />
trade tension between US and Russia.<br />
Although China-Russia relationship has<br />
been growing, the outcome of this<br />
conflict between the world’s greatest<br />
economies remains unclear. Kyrgyzstan<br />
has learned from Russia’s currency crisis<br />
in 2014-2015 when the value of<br />
Kyrgyzstani som plummeted along with<br />
the Russian ruble. Gold is favorable as it<br />
is exempt from the currency risk of holding<br />
these vulnerable currencies, and also<br />
because of its flexibility to be used in<br />
buying other currencies as needed.<br />
Kyrgyzstan gold reserves reached an<br />
all-time high during the first quarter of<br />
2018 at 7.95 tonnes, up from 6.95 during<br />
the fourth quarter of 2017. It is forecasted<br />
to reach 10.8 tonnes by 2019, and 13.2<br />
tonnes for 2020. To quote Kyrgyz central<br />
bank governor Tolkunbek Abdygulov,<br />
“Taking into consideration that we mine a<br />
lot of gold in our country, it’s God-given<br />
that we should keep<br />
a large part of our reserves in gold.”<br />
These high forecasts of gold demand will<br />
push the gold price up, which is good<br />
news for the gold mining industry in<br />
Kyrgyzstan.<br />
After a steady uptrend throughout 2017<br />
and Q1 of 2018, the gold price per ounce<br />
for Kyrgyzstani som took a plunge after a<br />
high point of 93,160 KGS/oz on April<br />
13th. By Q3, the gold price found a<br />
support level at around 81,000 KGS/oz<br />
and is looking to begin another uptrend.<br />
The future of gold price for the<br />
Kyrgyzstani som is promising, as the<br />
local demand for gold is high with the<br />
Kyrgyz central bank buying and stockpiling<br />
gold for its reserves, as well as the<br />
general economic uncertainty as a result<br />
of the US trade wars with Kyrgyzstan’s<br />
economic allies.<br />
The GDP of Kyrgyzstan has steadily<br />
grown over the past 2 years, from 6.7<br />
billion USD in 2015 to 7.5 billion USD in<br />
2016. It is forecasted to continue<br />
increasing to 7.8 billion USD by 2018.<br />
With Kyrgyzstan’s improving economy,<br />
investing in Kyrgyzstani companies is<br />
looking to be a relatively safe investment.<br />
Comments on the graph 4<br />
molestie consequat, vel illum dolore eu<br />
feugiat nulla facilisis at vero eros et<br />
accumsan et iusto odio dignissim qui<br />
blandit praesent luptatum zzril delenit<br />
augue duis dolore te feugait nulla<br />
facilisi.<br />
Comments on the graph 5<br />
in vulputate velit esse molestie<br />
consequat, vel illum dolore eu feugiat<br />
nulla facilisis at vero eros et accumsan<br />
et iusto odio dignissim qui blandit<br />
praesent luptatum zzril delenit augue<br />
duis dolore te feugait facilisi.<br />
4
AfarInsights<br />
PitchBook<br />
3.0. Trend<br />
3.1. Zijin Company<br />
Zijin is a Shanghai (code: 601899) and<br />
Hong Kong (code: 2899) listed company<br />
and one of the largest gold exploration<br />
and mining company in China. Their<br />
operations span across 24 provinces in<br />
China and 9 other foreign countries. Zijin<br />
is a highly profitable company. In 2016,<br />
they managed to produce 1347.41 tons<br />
of gold, 30.06 million tons of copper, 9.5<br />
million tons of lead/zinc, of molybdenum<br />
and of tungsten under complete equity<br />
method globally, due to their efficient<br />
production. They are nominated to be<br />
the largest listed gold company, the<br />
second largest mined-copper producer,<br />
and the second largest mined-zinc<br />
producer in China. In the same year, their<br />
net profit for the parent of the company<br />
were RMB 78.85 billion, the total assets<br />
and equity attributable to owners of the<br />
parent were around RMB89.22 and last<br />
but not least, the dividends of the company<br />
were RMB17.8 billion. (first)<br />
3.2. Zijin Gold Production in<br />
2016<br />
The graph below is some of the Zijin<br />
Gold Project Mining which they have<br />
been investing in. One of Zijin’s gold<br />
explorations is Zijinshan Gold & Copper<br />
Mine which is located in Shanghang<br />
County. The mine has produced<br />
236,950 ounces of gold (approximate 7.4<br />
tonnes) and gold reserves were 10.2<br />
million ounces (around 318 Tonnes) in<br />
2016. Zijin had also invested 2.5 billion<br />
yuen in Zijinshan’s soil and water conservation<br />
and ecological restoration by the<br />
end of 2016. Longnan Zijin mining was<br />
established in 2007 and is located in Li<br />
County. By the end in 2016 they have 7<br />
mining rights over an area of 68.7km2,<br />
including the mine called Liba Gold Mine.<br />
In 2016, the mine has produced 94,105<br />
ounces of gold and the gold reserves<br />
were 2.78 million ounces. There are<br />
numerous more gold mines that Zijin has<br />
invested in, which all performed favourably<br />
with significant gold production.<br />
Zijin’s track record is promising.<br />
In Kyrgyzstan, Zijin has invested in the<br />
Taldy Bulak Levoberezhny (TBL) mine<br />
which has been forecasted to produce<br />
significant amount of gold. Currently,<br />
<strong>Kenadyr</strong> mining has 100% hold interest<br />
in 164km2 Borubai exploration license<br />
which encircles Zijin’s TBL mine.<br />
Comments on the graph 5<br />
in vulputate velit esse molestie<br />
consequat, vel illum dolore eu feugiat<br />
nulla facilisis at vero eros et accumsan<br />
et iusto odio dignissim qui blandit<br />
praesent luptatum zzril delenit<br />
in vulputate velit esse molestie<br />
consequat, vel illum dolore eu feugiat<br />
nulla facilisis at vero eros et accumsan<br />
et iusto odio dignissim qui blandit<br />
praesent luptatum zzril delenit augue<br />
duis dolore te feugait facilisi. augue<br />
duis dolore te feugait facilisi. in<br />
vulputate velit esse molestie<br />
consequat, vel illum dolore eu feugiat<br />
nulla facilisis at vero eros et accumsan<br />
et iusto odio dignissim qui blandit<br />
praesent luptatum zzril delenit augue<br />
duis dolore te feugait facilisi.<br />
in vulputate velit esse molestie<br />
consequat, vel illum dolore eu feugiat<br />
nulla facilisis at vero eros et accumsan<br />
et iusto odio dignissim qui blandit<br />
praesent luptatum zzril delenit augue<br />
duis dolore te feugait facilisi.<br />
5
AfarInsights<br />
PitchBook<br />
4.0. Trend 3<br />
4.1. Taldy Bulak<br />
Levoberezhny Mine<br />
Altynken LLC is the first company who<br />
hold the exploration and mining license<br />
for the TBL mine, valid until 5/01/2026.<br />
Furthermore, Summer Gold LLP holds<br />
60% interest and Kyrgyzstan holds the<br />
remaining of the 40% the interest of<br />
Altynken. In 2011. Zijin Mining Group Co<br />
took over the 60% interest and till now<br />
the TBL mine is still under them. In 2015,<br />
according to Kyrgyz geologists, the mine<br />
holds 65 tonnes of gold and continued<br />
exploration is expected to add up to 20<br />
tonnes to reserves. The mine is in Taldy<br />
Bulak gorge in the Tien Shan mountain<br />
around 120 km (75 km) east of the<br />
capital. In 2017, TBL mine has produced<br />
2017 kg of gold as well. The mine will<br />
continue to be profitable as long as the<br />
price of gold does not fall below $1,080<br />
per ounce and currently, the gold price is<br />
$1198.29. The gold mine project is the<br />
second major gold project in the country<br />
after the collapse of the Soviet Union in<br />
1991. Zijin and <strong>Kenadyr</strong> are keen to<br />
invest in the mine due to the promising<br />
forecasts.<br />
<strong>Kenadyr</strong> has proudly announced a<br />
private placement with Zijin, due to the<br />
high potential of gold production from<br />
the Borubai project. This will help maintain<br />
<strong>Kenadyr</strong>’s sustainability by financing<br />
the exploration and mining of the TBL<br />
mine and other areas. The private placement<br />
offers 8,360,000 units at $0.20 per<br />
unit for total gross proceeds of<br />
$1,672,000. Each unit will consist of one<br />
common share and one common share<br />
purchase warrant. Each warrant will<br />
allow the holder to purchase one<br />
common share of <strong>Kenadyr</strong> at a price of<br />
$0.35 for a period of 24 months from the<br />
date of issuance or before May 30 2020,<br />
thus with this agreement <strong>Kenadyr</strong> is in a<br />
good hand of achieving their predicted<br />
result in future. Considering the future<br />
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetuer adipiscing elit, sed diam nonummy nibh euismod tincidunt ut laoreet<br />
dolore magna aliquam erat volutpat. Ut wisi enim ad minim veniam, quis nostrud exerci tation ullamcorper<br />
suscipit lobortis nisl ut aliquip ex ea commodo consequat. Duis autem vel eum iriure dolor in hendrerit in<br />
vulputate velit esse molestie consequat, vel illum dolore eu feugiat nulla facilisis at vero eros et accumsan et iusto<br />
odio dignissim qui blandit praesent luptatum zzril delenit augue duis dolore te feugait nulla facilisi.<br />
profitability of the Borubai project and<br />
this support from one of China’s largest<br />
gold mining company, other Chinese<br />
investors might be keen on investing in<br />
<strong>Kenadyr</strong>.<br />
4.2. Bourbai Project<br />
Borubai project is located in the Kyrgyz<br />
Republic in Centre Asia. The project<br />
grants <strong>Kenadyr</strong> the license to explore the<br />
TBL mine, which is expected to contain<br />
3.2 million ounces in reserves. It is the<br />
third largest gold mine in Kyrgyzstan with<br />
a mine life of 19 years. According to the<br />
news release published by Zijin, the TBL<br />
field contains (C1 plus C2) 8909100<br />
tonnes of gold ore (the average grade is<br />
7.23 grams per tonne). The project holds<br />
exploration license for 164km2 of the<br />
mining area and the entire area has been<br />
tested with airborne magnetic, radiometric<br />
and gravity surveys, ground-based<br />
resistivity and induces polarization<br />
surveys by the Soviet Government. The<br />
area can be seen from the location map<br />
below.<br />
6
AfarInsights<br />
PitchBook<br />
5.0. Trend 4<br />
5.1. <strong>Kenadyr</strong> Company and<br />
Financial Record<br />
<strong>Kenadyr</strong> is a start-up public listed gold<br />
mining company in Kyrgyzstan. Its daily<br />
stock price has been decreasing since 2<br />
year-time, from $0.54 in 2017 to currently<br />
$0.11. The bid size is currently 43500<br />
and the ask size is currently 12000. Even<br />
though the stock performance has been<br />
dropping, the result from short-term<br />
solvency ratio has proven that the company<br />
has the ability to meet the<br />
long-term obligation, net working capital<br />
ratio, current ratio, quick ratio (acid test)<br />
liquidity ratio (cash) and working<br />
capital/equity that are under short-term<br />
solvency ratio. With <strong>Kenadyr</strong>’s Borubai<br />
project and and their agreement with<br />
Zijin, the stock performance will definitely<br />
rise due to the robust expected gold<br />
production which is under TBL mine.<br />
They also currently have 9.28m market<br />
capitalisation and also has given out<br />
92.81M outstanding shares. Based on<br />
the financial report and future prediction,<br />
<strong>Kenadyr</strong> is worth investing. <strong>Kenadyr</strong><br />
Stock Price will also be affected due to<br />
the gold price performance in<br />
Kyrgyzstan.<br />
Comments on the graph 4<br />
molestie consequat, vel illum dolore eu<br />
feugiat nulla facilisis at vero eros et<br />
accumsan et iusto odio dignissim qui<br />
blandit praesent luptatum zzril delenit<br />
augue duis dolore te feugait nulla<br />
facilisi.<br />
Comments on the graph 5<br />
in vulputate velit esse molestie<br />
consequat, vel illum dolore eu feugiat<br />
nulla facilisis at vero eros et accumsan<br />
et iusto odio dignissim qui blandit<br />
praesent luptatum zzril delenit augue<br />
duis dolore te feugait facilisi.<br />
7
AfarInsights<br />
PitchBook<br />
5.2. <strong>Kenadyr</strong> Stock<br />
Perfomance and comparison<br />
with GDXJ<br />
Zijin has been investing in <strong>Kenadyr</strong> due<br />
to its daily stock performance which has<br />
been fluctuating in the past 2 years and<br />
Borubai project (which has been<br />
expected to produce gold). The highest<br />
return <strong>Kenadyr</strong> has experienced is in<br />
2018 (26/6/2018) which is 32.14%. and<br />
currently their daily return is -4.76%.<br />
GDXJ used for benchmarking to make<br />
stock price’s performance with junior<br />
mining company. It can be seen that<br />
GDXJ stock price performance also<br />
shown similar graph with <strong>Kenadyr</strong>, it has<br />
been fluctuating for the past 2 years<br />
also, based on the Standard Deviation<br />
average return and beta calculation to<br />
test the stock volatility, <strong>Kenadyr</strong> currently<br />
has 5.61% for their beta, -0.34% for the<br />
average return and their beta is<br />
0.68002. Despite trend to fluctuate,<br />
<strong>Kenadyr</strong> has given higher returns than in<br />
GDXJ the past 2 years-time.<br />
8
AfarInsights<br />
PitchBook<br />
6.0. Methodology<br />
9
AfarInsights<br />
PitchBook<br />
10
AfarInsights<br />
PitchBook<br />
11