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Vanguard, THURSDAY, MARCH 21, 2019 <strong>—</strong> 39<br />
Nigerians deserve better<br />
than the 2019 <strong>election</strong>s<br />
IF Mahmood Yakubu is<br />
given to <strong>in</strong>trospection he<br />
should be ask<strong>in</strong>g himself what<br />
went wrong with the 2019 <strong>election</strong>s.<br />
The free, fair and credible<br />
polls the Independent National<br />
Electoral Commission,<br />
INEC, chairman promised<br />
Nigerians did not happen on<br />
February 23 and March 9.<br />
Yakubu got all the money he<br />
needed and one week extension<br />
to boot. But what did Nigerians<br />
get <strong>in</strong> return? A fundamentally<br />
flawed exercise with<br />
dubious outcomes.<br />
As John Campbell, former<br />
United States ambassador to<br />
Nigeria, and the Ralph<br />
Bunche senior fellow for Africa<br />
policy studies at the Council<br />
on Foreign Relations noted:<br />
“Nigeria’s latest presidential<br />
<strong>election</strong> cycle has been bad<br />
news for democracy <strong>in</strong> Africa’s<br />
most populous country and<br />
across the cont<strong>in</strong>ent.”<br />
Many agree with him.<br />
Campbell, coauthor of the<br />
2018 book, Nigeria: What Everyone<br />
Needs to Know <strong>in</strong>sisted<br />
that: “February’s presidential<br />
<strong>election</strong> does not <strong>in</strong>spire confidence<br />
<strong>in</strong> the democratic trajectory<br />
of Africa’s most populous<br />
country.”<br />
The Situation Room, an<br />
umbrella organisation of Nigeria’s<br />
civil society groups,<br />
agreed with Campbell, say<strong>in</strong>g<br />
the 2019 <strong>election</strong>s marked “a<br />
step back from the 2015 general<br />
<strong>election</strong>,” and urged that<br />
“actions should be taken to<br />
identify what has gone wrong<br />
and what can be corrected.”<br />
Campbell concluded that<br />
“the poor quality of this <strong>election</strong><br />
cycle and the low and decl<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g<br />
number of voters do not<br />
<strong>in</strong>spire confidence, and some<br />
Nigerians have begun to question<br />
whether democracy is<br />
right for their country”.<br />
Those who claim to be more<br />
patriotic than others may rise<br />
up <strong>in</strong> self-righteous <strong>in</strong>dignation<br />
aga<strong>in</strong>st such portrayal. But<br />
as lawyers would say, res ipsa<br />
loquitur, the facts of the 2019<br />
<strong>election</strong>s speak for themselves<br />
and the odour is not the scent<br />
of roses.<br />
With a historically low turnout,<br />
particularly for the governorship<br />
ballot, unprecedented<br />
militarisation, unparalleled<br />
violence, <strong>in</strong>timidation of voters,<br />
snatch<strong>in</strong>g and burn<strong>in</strong>g of<br />
ballot papers and boxes, waste<br />
of human lives, the jury is still<br />
out on if any other <strong>election</strong><br />
s<strong>in</strong>ce 1999 can compete with<br />
those of 2019 <strong>in</strong> Nigeria’s hall<br />
of electoral <strong>in</strong>famy.<br />
But the consequence of such<br />
malfeasance was predictable.<br />
Almost two weeks after the<br />
vote, the fate of seven states –<br />
Kano, Sokoto, Bauchi, Benue,<br />
Plateau, Adamawa and Rivers<br />
The most important<br />
variable <strong>in</strong> the<br />
<strong>election</strong> value<br />
cha<strong>in</strong> for Nigerian<br />
politicians is the<br />
ability to compromise<br />
security<br />
agencies and<br />
INEC officials<br />
– still hangs <strong>in</strong> the balance with<br />
<strong>in</strong>conclusive polls.<br />
Instructively, with the exception<br />
of Plateau State where the<br />
<strong>in</strong>cumbent All Progressives<br />
Congress, <strong>APC</strong>, Governor, Simon<br />
Lalong, was lead<strong>in</strong>g his<br />
Peoples Democratic Party, <strong>PDP</strong>,<br />
challenger, Jeremiah Useni,<br />
with 583,255 to 538,326 votes.<br />
The <strong>PDP</strong> was lead<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong><br />
Kano, Bauchi and Adamawa,<br />
states touted as <strong>APC</strong> strongholds<br />
which also returned humungous<br />
votes for President<br />
Muhammadu Buhari.<br />
Why did the governors who<br />
pulled off that <strong>in</strong>credible feat<br />
not do the same for themselves<br />
<strong>in</strong> the <strong>election</strong> on March 9?<br />
The <strong>PDP</strong> was also lead<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong><br />
both Sokoto and Benue before<br />
the INEC waded <strong>in</strong> with its own<br />
electoral doctr<strong>in</strong>e of necessity.<br />
The case of Rivers is even<br />
more bizarre. Given the fact<br />
that the <strong>APC</strong> had no candidates,<br />
<strong>election</strong> there ought to<br />
have been a cake walk. Yet,<br />
Rivers was turned <strong>in</strong>to a war<br />
theatre, where rivers of blood<br />
flowed, literally.<br />
But I am most disappo<strong>in</strong>ted<br />
<strong>in</strong> Buhari because of his endorsement<br />
of this charade<br />
called <strong>election</strong>s.<br />
Chastis<strong>in</strong>g governors ow<strong>in</strong>g<br />
civil servants arrears of salaries<br />
<strong>in</strong> October 2017, Buhari<br />
wondered aloud: “How can<br />
anyone go to bed and sleep<br />
soundly when workers have<br />
not been paid their salaries for<br />
months?”<br />
I have found myself ask<strong>in</strong>g<br />
the same question. How can a<br />
president who promised free,<br />
fair and credible <strong>election</strong>s go<br />
to bed and sleep soundly <strong>in</strong> the<br />
face of this disastrous out<strong>in</strong>g?<br />
Why is it that anyth<strong>in</strong>g Buhari<br />
touches turns to ashes <strong>in</strong><br />
the mouth? How can he, the<br />
primary beneficiary of a worldacclaimed<br />
credible polls <strong>in</strong><br />
2015, super<strong>in</strong>tend over what<br />
may go down <strong>in</strong> history as Nigeria’s<br />
worst <strong>election</strong> only four<br />
years after?<br />
It is sad but true to character<br />
that Buhari, a self-acclaimed<br />
man of <strong>in</strong>tegrity, is not fazed<br />
by the sad turn of democratic<br />
events <strong>in</strong> the country.<br />
But as Campbell rightly observed,<br />
the 2019 <strong>election</strong>s is<br />
bad news for Nigeria’s democracy<br />
and the implication of the<br />
malfeasance will be huge and<br />
far-reach<strong>in</strong>g.<br />
One can wager a bet that<br />
these <strong>election</strong>s may well attract<br />
the highest number of litigations.<br />
Voter apathy will get<br />
worse and the implication of<br />
Nigerians los<strong>in</strong>g confidence <strong>in</strong><br />
the ballot box is better imag<strong>in</strong>ed.<br />
Nigeria is not mak<strong>in</strong>g significant<br />
democratic progress.<br />
Despite the shutt<strong>in</strong>g down of<br />
the entire country on <strong>election</strong><br />
day, clos<strong>in</strong>g of borders and deployment<br />
of the military, the<br />
electoral processes are gett<strong>in</strong>g<br />
worse, not better.<br />
Votes cast at poll<strong>in</strong>g booths<br />
account for only about 20 per<br />
cent of what determ<strong>in</strong>es success.<br />
The most important variable<br />
<strong>in</strong> the <strong>election</strong> value cha<strong>in</strong><br />
for Nigerian politicians is the<br />
ability to compromise security<br />
agencies and INEC officials.<br />
They deploy huge resources <strong>in</strong><br />
buy<strong>in</strong>g the loyalty or co-operation<br />
of electoral officials and<br />
military officers.<br />
Politicians wait for the INEC<br />
to appo<strong>in</strong>t Return<strong>in</strong>g Officers<br />
and then move <strong>in</strong>.<br />
A friend of m<strong>in</strong>e, a university<br />
lecturer, narrated how his<br />
phone started r<strong>in</strong>g<strong>in</strong>g unceas<strong>in</strong>gly<br />
immediately he was appo<strong>in</strong>ted<br />
a Return<strong>in</strong>g Officer<br />
until he decl<strong>in</strong>ed the offer.<br />
When the Resident Electoral<br />
Commissioner, REC, <strong>in</strong> the<br />
state called to know the reason,<br />
the man told him the process<br />
lacked <strong>in</strong>tegrity.<br />
The admonition was: Please,<br />
protect your votes.<br />
But because the <strong>in</strong>stitutions<br />
of state with responsibility to<br />
deliver free and credible polls<br />
failed woefully <strong>in</strong> discharg<strong>in</strong>g<br />
that responsibility, most politicians<br />
resorted to self-help.<br />
To protect their votes and<br />
“victory”, politicians pay security<br />
agents and thugs to disrupt<br />
vot<strong>in</strong>g and collation of<br />
results where they lose and<br />
protect same where they w<strong>in</strong>.<br />
Results announced at poll<strong>in</strong>g<br />
booths are changed at<br />
ward and local government<br />
collation centres.<br />
A lady who was a local observer<br />
broke down <strong>in</strong> tears<br />
when she saw the results of the<br />
<strong>election</strong>s she observed. Figures<br />
manufactured at collation<br />
centres were poles apart from<br />
what she recorded at poll<strong>in</strong>g<br />
booths. The most frighten<strong>in</strong>g<br />
phenomenon is the loss of confidence<br />
<strong>in</strong> the ballot box and<br />
the apathy that significantly<br />
marred the governorship <strong>election</strong>.<br />
It can only get worse.<br />
Most people <strong>in</strong>sist that it is<br />
not worth their while go<strong>in</strong>g out<br />
to vote know<strong>in</strong>g their votes will<br />
neither be counted nor count.<br />
Loss of confidence <strong>in</strong> the ballot<br />
box is a precursor to selfhelp.<br />
That is the surest route to<br />
the Hobbesian state of nature<br />
where life is brutish, short and<br />
nasty as it is <strong>in</strong> Rivers State today.<br />
On his <strong>in</strong>auguration as president<br />
on May 29, 2007, Umaru<br />
Yar’Adua declared that the<br />
<strong>election</strong> which brought him to<br />
power was a sham, and vowed<br />
to reform the electoral process.<br />
He delivered on the promise<br />
on August 28, 2007 with the<br />
<strong>in</strong>auguration of a 21-member<br />
Electoral Reform Panel, led by<br />
Justice Muhammed Uwais.<br />
That is the hallmark of<br />
statesmanship.<br />
But expect<strong>in</strong>g Buhari, the<br />
man of <strong>in</strong>tegrity, to do the same<br />
is like wait<strong>in</strong>g for Godot. Yet<br />
for all <strong>in</strong>tents and purposes,<br />
the 2007 <strong>election</strong>s represent by<br />
far the electoral will of Nigerians<br />
than the 2019 edition.<br />
Nigeria deserves a lot more<br />
and better from Buhari.