Muirburn and Flooding: What's the deal?
This article by a recently retired hydrologist looks at whether muirburn plays a role in flooding.
This article by a recently retired hydrologist looks at whether muirburn plays a role in flooding.
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BURNING ISSUES<br />
Moorl<strong>and</strong> Management<br />
<strong>and</strong> <strong>Flooding</strong><br />
Retired hydrologist John Anderson assesses<br />
impacts muirburn may have on flood risk.<br />
Grouse moors in <strong>the</strong> catchment of <strong>the</strong> River Braan in Perthshire.<br />
I<br />
was asked recently to assess <strong>the</strong> potential impact of rotational<br />
hea<strong>the</strong>r burning on run-off to water courses <strong>and</strong> its likelihood<br />
to enhance downstream flood risk. This has been a subject<br />
which has attracted a fair degree of debate in recent times.<br />
Rainfall, geology, l<strong>and</strong> form, soils <strong>and</strong><br />
vegetation are all factors influencing <strong>the</strong><br />
quantity <strong>and</strong> time distribution of runoff<br />
from any given area. There is a level of<br />
interdependence among <strong>the</strong>m which<br />
means it is difficult to develop universal<br />
relationships between runoff <strong>and</strong> any<br />
one.<br />
Time distribution of runoff is determined<br />
principally by <strong>the</strong> distribution <strong>and</strong><br />
intensity of effective rainfall. The volume<br />
of flow plotted against time is modified<br />
by topography -including stream<br />
density <strong>and</strong> bed gradient or slope -, by<br />
soil infiltration rates <strong>and</strong> catchment<br />
storage capacities <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> base flow<br />
characteristics of <strong>the</strong> catchment.<br />
As a general rule it is difficult to isolate<br />
simple relationships between vegetation<br />
type or l<strong>and</strong> use <strong>and</strong> runoff. The reason<br />
for this is that <strong>the</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r physical factors<br />
will tend to be dominant, particularly<br />
when it comes to high flows <strong>and</strong> extreme<br />
flood discharges.<br />
Afforestation <strong>and</strong> runoff<br />
Limited research has been carried out<br />
into <strong>the</strong> relationships of vegetation<br />
<strong>and</strong> l<strong>and</strong> use <strong>and</strong> flood flows in <strong>the</strong> UK.<br />
Most has been related to commercial<br />
afforestation.<br />
There have been several projects<br />
dedicated to this, notably Plynlimon<br />
in Central Wales <strong>and</strong> Balquhidder in<br />
Scotl<strong>and</strong>. The primary concern of <strong>the</strong>se<br />
has been to assess <strong>the</strong> impact of <strong>the</strong><br />
forest cycle on water yield from preplanting,<br />
through growth <strong>and</strong> canopy<br />
closure to felling.<br />
Commercial afforestation probably<br />
represents <strong>the</strong> most significant potential<br />
l<strong>and</strong> use intervention (o<strong>the</strong>r than<br />
urbanisation) that occurs in this country<br />
in terms of its physical impact <strong>and</strong> areal<br />
extent on a catchment scale.<br />
Generally <strong>the</strong> impact of afforestation is<br />
to reduce mean annual stream flow from<br />
that experienced in grassl<strong>and</strong> dominated<br />
catchments, largely through enhanced<br />
evaporation losses. This effect becomes<br />
more pronounced as <strong>the</strong> conifer canopy<br />
closes from about 15 years after<br />
planting.<br />
The effect on flood flows also varies<br />
through <strong>the</strong> life of <strong>the</strong> plantation,<br />
with initial phases following drainage<br />
enhancement leading to reduced time to<br />
peak <strong>and</strong> increased peak flows with later<br />
impacts tending to reduce runoff during<br />
small to moderate flood events (less than<br />
20% of <strong>the</strong> mean annual flood).<br />
These effects will tend to disappear<br />
during prolonged or extreme rainfall<br />
events as saturation occurs throughout<br />
<strong>the</strong> catchment. No significant difference<br />
in peak flows was found at Plynlimon<br />
between grassl<strong>and</strong> <strong>and</strong> afforested<br />
catchments during high flood flows.<br />
The EMBER Project<br />
This is probably <strong>the</strong> only comprehensive<br />
project to study impacts of moorl<strong>and</strong><br />
burning on streamflow runoff. The<br />
project was funded by <strong>the</strong> Natural<br />
Environment Research Council (NERC)<br />
with support from Yorkshire Water.<br />
The field work was conducted between<br />
March 2010 <strong>and</strong> November 2011 <strong>and</strong><br />
assessed <strong>the</strong> impacts of prescribed<br />
vegetation burning by comparing 5<br />
burned <strong>and</strong> 5 unburned sub-catchments<br />
across <strong>the</strong> Pennines. The sub-catchments<br />
were all first or second order headwater<br />
streams with catchment sizes ranging<br />
from 0.7 to 3.1 square kilometres in<br />
size. Interestingly <strong>the</strong> catchments were<br />
all dominated by deep blanket peat,<br />
typically over 1 metre in depth. This<br />
would not necessarily be <strong>the</strong> dominant<br />
substrate for all hea<strong>the</strong>r moors. The most<br />
extensive <strong>and</strong> vigorous heath communities<br />
tend to occur on more freely-drained<br />
soils. Generally larger upl<strong>and</strong> catchments<br />
would have a more varied moorl<strong>and</strong><br />
substrate than simply deep peat.<br />
The unburnt catchments had no history<br />
of burning for at least 30 years. In <strong>the</strong><br />
burnt catchments, plots were selected<br />
from age ranges, 2 years since burning<br />
up through 4 years, 7 years <strong>and</strong> greater<br />
than 10 years.<br />
The principle finding was a reduction<br />
in water table depth following burning.<br />
This reduction was greatest in <strong>the</strong> most<br />
recently burned sites <strong>and</strong> generally<br />
recovered to close to that of unburned<br />
sites after a 10 year period.<br />
The reduction in water table coincided<br />
with significantly less overl<strong>and</strong> flow<br />
recorded for recently burned sites; a<br />
reflection of <strong>the</strong> increase in time to<br />
saturation at <strong>the</strong>se sites during rainfall<br />
events. The project appeared to find that<br />
river flow in catchments where burning<br />
had taken place were “slightly” more<br />
prone to higher peaks during “heavy”<br />
rain but suggested that <strong>the</strong>se variations<br />
could have been due to o<strong>the</strong>r catchment<br />
characteristics <strong>and</strong> that it was not<br />
conclusive.<br />
Overall <strong>the</strong> study does not appear to<br />
offer conclusive evidence that moorl<strong>and</strong><br />
burning has a significant impact on<br />
increasing flood peaks or duration. The<br />
study also concentrated on very small<br />
scale watershed catchments <strong>and</strong> did not<br />
assess impact on larger scale downstream<br />
catchments where a flood risk to property<br />
might exist. The study also concentrated<br />
on catchments with deep peat substrate<br />
which is not necessarily characteristic of<br />
all hea<strong>the</strong>r moor catchments.<br />
The Problem of Scale<br />
At small spatial scales (less than 20<br />
square kilometres) some studies have<br />
shown evidence that l<strong>and</strong> cover <strong>and</strong> l<strong>and</strong><br />
management can have some effect on<br />
small to moderate flood flows but not for<br />
extreme floods.<br />
However, data for l<strong>and</strong>-use impacts in<br />
larger catchments are lacking. When<br />
considering <strong>the</strong> impact <strong>and</strong> cost of flood<br />
damage it is important to note that this is<br />
rarely coincident with small scale upl<strong>and</strong><br />
catchments but is generally associated<br />
with areas fur<strong>the</strong>r down <strong>the</strong> catchment<br />
where people tend to live in villages <strong>and</strong><br />
towns.<br />
In small catchments <strong>the</strong> peak of <strong>the</strong> flood<br />
hydrograph (flow plotted against time) is<br />
dominated by run-off from hillslopes in<br />
response to storm rainfall. The response<br />
time of <strong>the</strong> catchment might be quite<br />
limited. In larger catchments, <strong>the</strong> river<br />
channel network determines which<br />
areas contribute to <strong>the</strong> peak of <strong>the</strong> flood<br />
hydrograph to cause flooding.<br />
The pattern <strong>and</strong> passage of <strong>the</strong> storm<br />
over <strong>the</strong> catchment <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> catchment<br />
morphology in relation to stream density<br />
<strong>and</strong> slope can be significant factors<br />
controlling <strong>the</strong> scale <strong>and</strong> shape of <strong>the</strong><br />
flood hydrograph at <strong>the</strong> point where<br />
damaging flood effects are experienced.<br />
Different storm patterns can affect<br />
<strong>the</strong> coincidence of flood peaks from<br />
<strong>the</strong> various sub catchments leading<br />
to variations in <strong>the</strong> shape of <strong>the</strong> flood<br />
hydrograph <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> scale of <strong>the</strong> flood<br />
26 | Scottish Gamekeeper
BURNING ISSUES<br />
<strong>Flooding</strong> at Hebden Bridge was<br />
blamed on muirburn by critics such as<br />
George Monbiot but was kicked into<br />
touch by MPs at Westminster.<br />
peak at <strong>the</strong> downstream point of flood<br />
risk.<br />
Small scale <strong>and</strong> highly distributed l<strong>and</strong><br />
management interventions are unlikely<br />
to have a significant impact at <strong>the</strong><br />
catchment scale during extreme events<br />
<strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong>re is currently no evidence for this.<br />
Interestingly <strong>the</strong> two nationally<br />
recognised hydrological tools for flood<br />
estimation produced over <strong>the</strong> years by<br />
first, The Institute of Hydrology <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong>n<br />
its successor The Centre for Ecology<br />
<strong>and</strong> Hydrology (CEH) namely, The Flood<br />
Studies Report <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong>n <strong>the</strong> Flood<br />
Estimation H<strong>and</strong>book concluded (from<br />
studies of 553 <strong>and</strong> 943 catchments,<br />
respectively) that urban extent was<br />
<strong>the</strong> only l<strong>and</strong> cover factor that was<br />
significantly related to <strong>the</strong> magnitude of<br />
<strong>the</strong> mean annual flood in UK rivers.<br />
A large scale study within <strong>the</strong> Hodder<br />
catchment, a tributary of <strong>the</strong> River<br />
Ribble, looked at interventions over<br />
25 square kilometres of a 58 square<br />
kilometre sub-catchment. These<br />
interventions included moorl<strong>and</strong> ditch<br />
blocking in areas of blanket peat, tree<br />
planting <strong>and</strong> reduction in livestock<br />
stocking density.<br />
The possible consequences of <strong>the</strong>se<br />
changes for downstream flooding were<br />
evaluated at multiple scales down<br />
<strong>the</strong> catchment, to test how smallscale<br />
impacts propagate through <strong>the</strong><br />
river network. Data indicated that <strong>the</strong><br />
interventions had minimal short-term<br />
effects on <strong>the</strong> pattern of flood flows at<br />
<strong>the</strong> sub-catchment level <strong>and</strong> no effects<br />
were found at <strong>the</strong> larger scale of <strong>the</strong><br />
entire Hodder catchment (260 square<br />
kilometres).<br />
To try <strong>and</strong> obtain some perspective of<br />
<strong>the</strong> relevance of <strong>the</strong> scale of hea<strong>the</strong>r<br />
burning within a larger catchment we<br />
can look at <strong>the</strong> example of <strong>the</strong> River<br />
Braan catchment in Highl<strong>and</strong> Perthshire.<br />
The only point of flood risk is effectively<br />
<strong>the</strong> village of Inver at <strong>the</strong> foot of <strong>the</strong> 210<br />
square kilometre catchment.<br />
The l<strong>and</strong> use within <strong>the</strong> catchment<br />
is 32.4% woodl<strong>and</strong> (dominantly <strong>the</strong><br />
Griffin coniferous forest), 0.3% arable,<br />
25.8% grassl<strong>and</strong> <strong>and</strong> 40.6% mountain/<br />
heath <strong>and</strong> bog. That is some 85 square<br />
kilometres falling in <strong>the</strong> category of<br />
mountain/heath <strong>and</strong> bog. Of this only a<br />
proportion is of uniform hea<strong>the</strong>r st<strong>and</strong>s<br />
sufficient to justify control by prescribed<br />
hea<strong>the</strong>r burning, probably no more than<br />
a third.<br />
That gives an area of about 28 square<br />
kilometres that might be subject to<br />
hea<strong>the</strong>r burning in <strong>the</strong> catchment. In<br />
this catchment a burning rotation of 15<br />
to 20 years is usual. That means around<br />
2 square kilometres of new hea<strong>the</strong>r<br />
burning per annum. That is equivalent to<br />
400 patches of burnt hea<strong>the</strong>r about 100<br />
metres by 50 metres.<br />
Again, if we assume that any effect of<br />
burning on elevating <strong>the</strong> flood flow<br />
discharge lasts for say 5 years before <strong>the</strong><br />
vegetation cover has reasserted itself,<br />
<strong>the</strong>n at any time we have a potential area<br />
of about 10 square kilometres making<br />
some level of increased contribution<br />
to <strong>the</strong> flood volume or about 5% of <strong>the</strong><br />
catchment.<br />
In practical hydrological terms it is<br />
difficult to conceive of how a widely<br />
dispersed small plot based activity could<br />
enhance flood run-off sufficiently from<br />
only a few per cent of <strong>the</strong> total catchment<br />
to become <strong>the</strong> critical factor in elevating<br />
an existing flood risk or increasing its<br />
frequency.<br />
During <strong>the</strong> sort of exceptional<br />
meteorological conditions required to<br />
generate a severe flood risk to Inver it is<br />
unlikely that <strong>the</strong> run-off from <strong>the</strong> areas<br />
of burnt or recently burnt hea<strong>the</strong>r is<br />
sufficiently enhanced from that of o<strong>the</strong>r<br />
ground of similar area <strong>and</strong> gradient<br />
which is subject to <strong>the</strong> same level of<br />
rainfall.<br />
Conclusion<br />
Prescribed hea<strong>the</strong>r burning that follows<br />
<strong>the</strong> muirburn guidelines is a small,<br />
plot based activity which is dispersed<br />
across wide areas. There is currently no<br />
evidence from <strong>the</strong> only in depth study<br />
(<strong>the</strong> EMBER project) that run-off from<br />
<strong>the</strong>se plots can be elevated sufficiently<br />
to increase <strong>the</strong> likelihood of downstream<br />
flooding at <strong>the</strong> larger catchment scale<br />
where significant flood risk exists. Whilst<br />
<strong>the</strong>re is no detailed study available to<br />
determine <strong>the</strong> impact of hea<strong>the</strong>r burning<br />
on flood risk at <strong>the</strong> large catchment scale<br />
<strong>the</strong> frequently small proportion of this<br />
activity at this scale <strong>and</strong> its dispersed, plot<br />
based nature suggests that it is unlikely<br />
to be a significant factor in elevating<br />
downstream flood risk.<br />
References<br />
Ecology of Heathl<strong>and</strong>s. C.H. Gimingham,<br />
1972.<br />
The effects of forestry on <strong>the</strong> quantity<br />
<strong>and</strong> quality of runoff in upl<strong>and</strong> Britain,<br />
J.R. Blackie <strong>and</strong> M.D. Newson in Effects of<br />
L<strong>and</strong> Use on Fresh Waters, agriculture,<br />
forestry, mineral exploitation,<br />
urbanisation. Editor J.F. de L. G. Solbe.<br />
Effects of Moorl<strong>and</strong> Burning on <strong>the</strong><br />
Ecohydrology of River Basins. Key<br />
findings from <strong>the</strong> EMBER project. 2014<br />
NERC, Yorkshire Water, Water at Leeds –<br />
University of Leeds.<br />
Impact of prescribed burning on blanket<br />
peat hydrology, 2014. J. Holden, S.M.<br />
Palmer, K. Johnston, C. Wearing, B. Irvine<br />
<strong>and</strong> L. Brown. AGU Publications, Water<br />
Resources Research.<br />
A restatement of <strong>the</strong> natural science<br />
evidence concerning catchment-based<br />
‘natural’ flood management in <strong>the</strong> UK.<br />
2017 S. J. Dadson et al. Proceedings of<br />
<strong>the</strong> Royal Society.<br />
Moors in <strong>the</strong> Braan<br />
catchment will see<br />
controlled burning but its<br />
rotational nature, extent<br />
<strong>and</strong> frequency is unlikely<br />
to lead to flooding.<br />
SGA Backs Dogs on Leads Campaign<br />
The SGA has thrown<br />
its weight behind<br />
<strong>the</strong> ‘Take a Lead’<br />
campaign, initiated by<br />
Scottish Farmer <strong>and</strong><br />
NFU Scotl<strong>and</strong>.<br />
Emma Harper MSP<br />
has brought forward<br />
a consultation on a Members’ Bill<br />
to tackle livestock worrying <strong>and</strong> to<br />
protect wildlife.<br />
Sheep worrying incidents have<br />
rocketed since The L<strong>and</strong> Reform Act<br />
2003 <strong>and</strong> MSP Harper believes <strong>the</strong>re<br />
is a case to review <strong>the</strong> wording around<br />
responsible dog ownership in <strong>the</strong><br />
Outdoor Access Code.<br />
SGA Chairman Alex Hogg campaigned<br />
at <strong>the</strong> time of <strong>the</strong> 2003 Act for dogs<br />
to be on leads around livestock <strong>and</strong><br />
nesting wildlife <strong>and</strong> is happy to offer<br />
<strong>the</strong> SGA’s backing.<br />
The organisation will meet with<br />
Emma Harper <strong>and</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r rural<br />
stakeholders shortly.<br />
Writing to Emma Harper, Alex said:<br />
“With <strong>the</strong> benefit of experience, we<br />
have seen <strong>the</strong> rise in dog attacks on<br />
sheep, which is extremely distressing<br />
for <strong>the</strong> shepherds. In our sector, we<br />
see <strong>the</strong> same with hill sheep <strong>and</strong> deer.<br />
With declining wildlife always in <strong>the</strong><br />
news, sensible options around dogs<br />
on leads need to be looked at. These<br />
places are <strong>the</strong>re to be enjoyed but <strong>the</strong>y<br />
are also working environments which<br />
are producing food <strong>and</strong> sustaining<br />
families.”<br />
Scottish Gamekeeper | 27