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Muirburn and Flooding: What's the deal?

This article by a recently retired hydrologist looks at whether muirburn plays a role in flooding.

This article by a recently retired hydrologist looks at whether muirburn plays a role in flooding.

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BURNING ISSUES<br />

Moorl<strong>and</strong> Management<br />

<strong>and</strong> <strong>Flooding</strong><br />

Retired hydrologist John Anderson assesses<br />

impacts muirburn may have on flood risk.<br />

Grouse moors in <strong>the</strong> catchment of <strong>the</strong> River Braan in Perthshire.<br />

I<br />

was asked recently to assess <strong>the</strong> potential impact of rotational<br />

hea<strong>the</strong>r burning on run-off to water courses <strong>and</strong> its likelihood<br />

to enhance downstream flood risk. This has been a subject<br />

which has attracted a fair degree of debate in recent times.<br />

Rainfall, geology, l<strong>and</strong> form, soils <strong>and</strong><br />

vegetation are all factors influencing <strong>the</strong><br />

quantity <strong>and</strong> time distribution of runoff<br />

from any given area. There is a level of<br />

interdependence among <strong>the</strong>m which<br />

means it is difficult to develop universal<br />

relationships between runoff <strong>and</strong> any<br />

one.<br />

Time distribution of runoff is determined<br />

principally by <strong>the</strong> distribution <strong>and</strong><br />

intensity of effective rainfall. The volume<br />

of flow plotted against time is modified<br />

by topography -including stream<br />

density <strong>and</strong> bed gradient or slope -, by<br />

soil infiltration rates <strong>and</strong> catchment<br />

storage capacities <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> base flow<br />

characteristics of <strong>the</strong> catchment.<br />

As a general rule it is difficult to isolate<br />

simple relationships between vegetation<br />

type or l<strong>and</strong> use <strong>and</strong> runoff. The reason<br />

for this is that <strong>the</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r physical factors<br />

will tend to be dominant, particularly<br />

when it comes to high flows <strong>and</strong> extreme<br />

flood discharges.<br />

Afforestation <strong>and</strong> runoff<br />

Limited research has been carried out<br />

into <strong>the</strong> relationships of vegetation<br />

<strong>and</strong> l<strong>and</strong> use <strong>and</strong> flood flows in <strong>the</strong> UK.<br />

Most has been related to commercial<br />

afforestation.<br />

There have been several projects<br />

dedicated to this, notably Plynlimon<br />

in Central Wales <strong>and</strong> Balquhidder in<br />

Scotl<strong>and</strong>. The primary concern of <strong>the</strong>se<br />

has been to assess <strong>the</strong> impact of <strong>the</strong><br />

forest cycle on water yield from preplanting,<br />

through growth <strong>and</strong> canopy<br />

closure to felling.<br />

Commercial afforestation probably<br />

represents <strong>the</strong> most significant potential<br />

l<strong>and</strong> use intervention (o<strong>the</strong>r than<br />

urbanisation) that occurs in this country<br />

in terms of its physical impact <strong>and</strong> areal<br />

extent on a catchment scale.<br />

Generally <strong>the</strong> impact of afforestation is<br />

to reduce mean annual stream flow from<br />

that experienced in grassl<strong>and</strong> dominated<br />

catchments, largely through enhanced<br />

evaporation losses. This effect becomes<br />

more pronounced as <strong>the</strong> conifer canopy<br />

closes from about 15 years after<br />

planting.<br />

The effect on flood flows also varies<br />

through <strong>the</strong> life of <strong>the</strong> plantation,<br />

with initial phases following drainage<br />

enhancement leading to reduced time to<br />

peak <strong>and</strong> increased peak flows with later<br />

impacts tending to reduce runoff during<br />

small to moderate flood events (less than<br />

20% of <strong>the</strong> mean annual flood).<br />

These effects will tend to disappear<br />

during prolonged or extreme rainfall<br />

events as saturation occurs throughout<br />

<strong>the</strong> catchment. No significant difference<br />

in peak flows was found at Plynlimon<br />

between grassl<strong>and</strong> <strong>and</strong> afforested<br />

catchments during high flood flows.<br />

The EMBER Project<br />

This is probably <strong>the</strong> only comprehensive<br />

project to study impacts of moorl<strong>and</strong><br />

burning on streamflow runoff. The<br />

project was funded by <strong>the</strong> Natural<br />

Environment Research Council (NERC)<br />

with support from Yorkshire Water.<br />

The field work was conducted between<br />

March 2010 <strong>and</strong> November 2011 <strong>and</strong><br />

assessed <strong>the</strong> impacts of prescribed<br />

vegetation burning by comparing 5<br />

burned <strong>and</strong> 5 unburned sub-catchments<br />

across <strong>the</strong> Pennines. The sub-catchments<br />

were all first or second order headwater<br />

streams with catchment sizes ranging<br />

from 0.7 to 3.1 square kilometres in<br />

size. Interestingly <strong>the</strong> catchments were<br />

all dominated by deep blanket peat,<br />

typically over 1 metre in depth. This<br />

would not necessarily be <strong>the</strong> dominant<br />

substrate for all hea<strong>the</strong>r moors. The most<br />

extensive <strong>and</strong> vigorous heath communities<br />

tend to occur on more freely-drained<br />

soils. Generally larger upl<strong>and</strong> catchments<br />

would have a more varied moorl<strong>and</strong><br />

substrate than simply deep peat.<br />

The unburnt catchments had no history<br />

of burning for at least 30 years. In <strong>the</strong><br />

burnt catchments, plots were selected<br />

from age ranges, 2 years since burning<br />

up through 4 years, 7 years <strong>and</strong> greater<br />

than 10 years.<br />

The principle finding was a reduction<br />

in water table depth following burning.<br />

This reduction was greatest in <strong>the</strong> most<br />

recently burned sites <strong>and</strong> generally<br />

recovered to close to that of unburned<br />

sites after a 10 year period.<br />

The reduction in water table coincided<br />

with significantly less overl<strong>and</strong> flow<br />

recorded for recently burned sites; a<br />

reflection of <strong>the</strong> increase in time to<br />

saturation at <strong>the</strong>se sites during rainfall<br />

events. The project appeared to find that<br />

river flow in catchments where burning<br />

had taken place were “slightly” more<br />

prone to higher peaks during “heavy”<br />

rain but suggested that <strong>the</strong>se variations<br />

could have been due to o<strong>the</strong>r catchment<br />

characteristics <strong>and</strong> that it was not<br />

conclusive.<br />

Overall <strong>the</strong> study does not appear to<br />

offer conclusive evidence that moorl<strong>and</strong><br />

burning has a significant impact on<br />

increasing flood peaks or duration. The<br />

study also concentrated on very small<br />

scale watershed catchments <strong>and</strong> did not<br />

assess impact on larger scale downstream<br />

catchments where a flood risk to property<br />

might exist. The study also concentrated<br />

on catchments with deep peat substrate<br />

which is not necessarily characteristic of<br />

all hea<strong>the</strong>r moor catchments.<br />

The Problem of Scale<br />

At small spatial scales (less than 20<br />

square kilometres) some studies have<br />

shown evidence that l<strong>and</strong> cover <strong>and</strong> l<strong>and</strong><br />

management can have some effect on<br />

small to moderate flood flows but not for<br />

extreme floods.<br />

However, data for l<strong>and</strong>-use impacts in<br />

larger catchments are lacking. When<br />

considering <strong>the</strong> impact <strong>and</strong> cost of flood<br />

damage it is important to note that this is<br />

rarely coincident with small scale upl<strong>and</strong><br />

catchments but is generally associated<br />

with areas fur<strong>the</strong>r down <strong>the</strong> catchment<br />

where people tend to live in villages <strong>and</strong><br />

towns.<br />

In small catchments <strong>the</strong> peak of <strong>the</strong> flood<br />

hydrograph (flow plotted against time) is<br />

dominated by run-off from hillslopes in<br />

response to storm rainfall. The response<br />

time of <strong>the</strong> catchment might be quite<br />

limited. In larger catchments, <strong>the</strong> river<br />

channel network determines which<br />

areas contribute to <strong>the</strong> peak of <strong>the</strong> flood<br />

hydrograph to cause flooding.<br />

The pattern <strong>and</strong> passage of <strong>the</strong> storm<br />

over <strong>the</strong> catchment <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> catchment<br />

morphology in relation to stream density<br />

<strong>and</strong> slope can be significant factors<br />

controlling <strong>the</strong> scale <strong>and</strong> shape of <strong>the</strong><br />

flood hydrograph at <strong>the</strong> point where<br />

damaging flood effects are experienced.<br />

Different storm patterns can affect<br />

<strong>the</strong> coincidence of flood peaks from<br />

<strong>the</strong> various sub catchments leading<br />

to variations in <strong>the</strong> shape of <strong>the</strong> flood<br />

hydrograph <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> scale of <strong>the</strong> flood<br />

26 | Scottish Gamekeeper


BURNING ISSUES<br />

<strong>Flooding</strong> at Hebden Bridge was<br />

blamed on muirburn by critics such as<br />

George Monbiot but was kicked into<br />

touch by MPs at Westminster.<br />

peak at <strong>the</strong> downstream point of flood<br />

risk.<br />

Small scale <strong>and</strong> highly distributed l<strong>and</strong><br />

management interventions are unlikely<br />

to have a significant impact at <strong>the</strong><br />

catchment scale during extreme events<br />

<strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong>re is currently no evidence for this.<br />

Interestingly <strong>the</strong> two nationally<br />

recognised hydrological tools for flood<br />

estimation produced over <strong>the</strong> years by<br />

first, The Institute of Hydrology <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong>n<br />

its successor The Centre for Ecology<br />

<strong>and</strong> Hydrology (CEH) namely, The Flood<br />

Studies Report <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong>n <strong>the</strong> Flood<br />

Estimation H<strong>and</strong>book concluded (from<br />

studies of 553 <strong>and</strong> 943 catchments,<br />

respectively) that urban extent was<br />

<strong>the</strong> only l<strong>and</strong> cover factor that was<br />

significantly related to <strong>the</strong> magnitude of<br />

<strong>the</strong> mean annual flood in UK rivers.<br />

A large scale study within <strong>the</strong> Hodder<br />

catchment, a tributary of <strong>the</strong> River<br />

Ribble, looked at interventions over<br />

25 square kilometres of a 58 square<br />

kilometre sub-catchment. These<br />

interventions included moorl<strong>and</strong> ditch<br />

blocking in areas of blanket peat, tree<br />

planting <strong>and</strong> reduction in livestock<br />

stocking density.<br />

The possible consequences of <strong>the</strong>se<br />

changes for downstream flooding were<br />

evaluated at multiple scales down<br />

<strong>the</strong> catchment, to test how smallscale<br />

impacts propagate through <strong>the</strong><br />

river network. Data indicated that <strong>the</strong><br />

interventions had minimal short-term<br />

effects on <strong>the</strong> pattern of flood flows at<br />

<strong>the</strong> sub-catchment level <strong>and</strong> no effects<br />

were found at <strong>the</strong> larger scale of <strong>the</strong><br />

entire Hodder catchment (260 square<br />

kilometres).<br />

To try <strong>and</strong> obtain some perspective of<br />

<strong>the</strong> relevance of <strong>the</strong> scale of hea<strong>the</strong>r<br />

burning within a larger catchment we<br />

can look at <strong>the</strong> example of <strong>the</strong> River<br />

Braan catchment in Highl<strong>and</strong> Perthshire.<br />

The only point of flood risk is effectively<br />

<strong>the</strong> village of Inver at <strong>the</strong> foot of <strong>the</strong> 210<br />

square kilometre catchment.<br />

The l<strong>and</strong> use within <strong>the</strong> catchment<br />

is 32.4% woodl<strong>and</strong> (dominantly <strong>the</strong><br />

Griffin coniferous forest), 0.3% arable,<br />

25.8% grassl<strong>and</strong> <strong>and</strong> 40.6% mountain/<br />

heath <strong>and</strong> bog. That is some 85 square<br />

kilometres falling in <strong>the</strong> category of<br />

mountain/heath <strong>and</strong> bog. Of this only a<br />

proportion is of uniform hea<strong>the</strong>r st<strong>and</strong>s<br />

sufficient to justify control by prescribed<br />

hea<strong>the</strong>r burning, probably no more than<br />

a third.<br />

That gives an area of about 28 square<br />

kilometres that might be subject to<br />

hea<strong>the</strong>r burning in <strong>the</strong> catchment. In<br />

this catchment a burning rotation of 15<br />

to 20 years is usual. That means around<br />

2 square kilometres of new hea<strong>the</strong>r<br />

burning per annum. That is equivalent to<br />

400 patches of burnt hea<strong>the</strong>r about 100<br />

metres by 50 metres.<br />

Again, if we assume that any effect of<br />

burning on elevating <strong>the</strong> flood flow<br />

discharge lasts for say 5 years before <strong>the</strong><br />

vegetation cover has reasserted itself,<br />

<strong>the</strong>n at any time we have a potential area<br />

of about 10 square kilometres making<br />

some level of increased contribution<br />

to <strong>the</strong> flood volume or about 5% of <strong>the</strong><br />

catchment.<br />

In practical hydrological terms it is<br />

difficult to conceive of how a widely<br />

dispersed small plot based activity could<br />

enhance flood run-off sufficiently from<br />

only a few per cent of <strong>the</strong> total catchment<br />

to become <strong>the</strong> critical factor in elevating<br />

an existing flood risk or increasing its<br />

frequency.<br />

During <strong>the</strong> sort of exceptional<br />

meteorological conditions required to<br />

generate a severe flood risk to Inver it is<br />

unlikely that <strong>the</strong> run-off from <strong>the</strong> areas<br />

of burnt or recently burnt hea<strong>the</strong>r is<br />

sufficiently enhanced from that of o<strong>the</strong>r<br />

ground of similar area <strong>and</strong> gradient<br />

which is subject to <strong>the</strong> same level of<br />

rainfall.<br />

Conclusion<br />

Prescribed hea<strong>the</strong>r burning that follows<br />

<strong>the</strong> muirburn guidelines is a small,<br />

plot based activity which is dispersed<br />

across wide areas. There is currently no<br />

evidence from <strong>the</strong> only in depth study<br />

(<strong>the</strong> EMBER project) that run-off from<br />

<strong>the</strong>se plots can be elevated sufficiently<br />

to increase <strong>the</strong> likelihood of downstream<br />

flooding at <strong>the</strong> larger catchment scale<br />

where significant flood risk exists. Whilst<br />

<strong>the</strong>re is no detailed study available to<br />

determine <strong>the</strong> impact of hea<strong>the</strong>r burning<br />

on flood risk at <strong>the</strong> large catchment scale<br />

<strong>the</strong> frequently small proportion of this<br />

activity at this scale <strong>and</strong> its dispersed, plot<br />

based nature suggests that it is unlikely<br />

to be a significant factor in elevating<br />

downstream flood risk.<br />

References<br />

Ecology of Heathl<strong>and</strong>s. C.H. Gimingham,<br />

1972.<br />

The effects of forestry on <strong>the</strong> quantity<br />

<strong>and</strong> quality of runoff in upl<strong>and</strong> Britain,<br />

J.R. Blackie <strong>and</strong> M.D. Newson in Effects of<br />

L<strong>and</strong> Use on Fresh Waters, agriculture,<br />

forestry, mineral exploitation,<br />

urbanisation. Editor J.F. de L. G. Solbe.<br />

Effects of Moorl<strong>and</strong> Burning on <strong>the</strong><br />

Ecohydrology of River Basins. Key<br />

findings from <strong>the</strong> EMBER project. 2014<br />

NERC, Yorkshire Water, Water at Leeds –<br />

University of Leeds.<br />

Impact of prescribed burning on blanket<br />

peat hydrology, 2014. J. Holden, S.M.<br />

Palmer, K. Johnston, C. Wearing, B. Irvine<br />

<strong>and</strong> L. Brown. AGU Publications, Water<br />

Resources Research.<br />

A restatement of <strong>the</strong> natural science<br />

evidence concerning catchment-based<br />

‘natural’ flood management in <strong>the</strong> UK.<br />

2017 S. J. Dadson et al. Proceedings of<br />

<strong>the</strong> Royal Society.<br />

Moors in <strong>the</strong> Braan<br />

catchment will see<br />

controlled burning but its<br />

rotational nature, extent<br />

<strong>and</strong> frequency is unlikely<br />

to lead to flooding.<br />

SGA Backs Dogs on Leads Campaign<br />

The SGA has thrown<br />

its weight behind<br />

<strong>the</strong> ‘Take a Lead’<br />

campaign, initiated by<br />

Scottish Farmer <strong>and</strong><br />

NFU Scotl<strong>and</strong>.<br />

Emma Harper MSP<br />

has brought forward<br />

a consultation on a Members’ Bill<br />

to tackle livestock worrying <strong>and</strong> to<br />

protect wildlife.<br />

Sheep worrying incidents have<br />

rocketed since The L<strong>and</strong> Reform Act<br />

2003 <strong>and</strong> MSP Harper believes <strong>the</strong>re<br />

is a case to review <strong>the</strong> wording around<br />

responsible dog ownership in <strong>the</strong><br />

Outdoor Access Code.<br />

SGA Chairman Alex Hogg campaigned<br />

at <strong>the</strong> time of <strong>the</strong> 2003 Act for dogs<br />

to be on leads around livestock <strong>and</strong><br />

nesting wildlife <strong>and</strong> is happy to offer<br />

<strong>the</strong> SGA’s backing.<br />

The organisation will meet with<br />

Emma Harper <strong>and</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r rural<br />

stakeholders shortly.<br />

Writing to Emma Harper, Alex said:<br />

“With <strong>the</strong> benefit of experience, we<br />

have seen <strong>the</strong> rise in dog attacks on<br />

sheep, which is extremely distressing<br />

for <strong>the</strong> shepherds. In our sector, we<br />

see <strong>the</strong> same with hill sheep <strong>and</strong> deer.<br />

With declining wildlife always in <strong>the</strong><br />

news, sensible options around dogs<br />

on leads need to be looked at. These<br />

places are <strong>the</strong>re to be enjoyed but <strong>the</strong>y<br />

are also working environments which<br />

are producing food <strong>and</strong> sustaining<br />

families.”<br />

Scottish Gamekeeper | 27

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