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ADIPEC Roundtable Whitepaper

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EXECUTIVE SUMMARY<br />

For over one hundred years, the oil and gas industry has been at the centre of the world’s energy system,<br />

enabling economic development and human progress. Hydrocarbons have not only provided energy for<br />

power and transportation, they are fundamental building blocks for making a wide-variety of every day items,<br />

including chemicals, plastics, pharmaceuticals, paints and fertilisers. It is estimated that around a quarter of<br />

every barrel of oil goes into non-transport or non-energy uses.<br />

So, for the foreseeable future hydrocarbons will continue to be a key enabler of growth and prosperity, as<br />

economic and political power shifts to the developing economies of the east. The key trends of population<br />

growth, energy poverty eradication and economic growth are positive signs for the industry. But, at the<br />

same time, alternative sources of energy are increasingly challenging the dominance of hydrocarbons,<br />

becoming more available and more affordable, creating a diversified energy mix where, by mid-century<br />

traditional and new forms of energy will be split almost equally between fossil and non-fossil sources.<br />

However, as the demand for energy continues to increase, the need for the oil and gas industry to adapt<br />

and change increases too. As it transitions to the new energy mix, the industry must grapple with a number<br />

of uncertainties surrounding energy policies; volatility of both prices and demand; its impact on national<br />

budgets and employment; the skills shortage and how best to integrate advanced digital technologies to<br />

capture operational efficiencies and maximise productivity, while maintaining cost and capital discipline.<br />

But perhaps the biggest uncertainty for the oil and gas industry lies in the much more pervasive<br />

environmental agenda being pushed forward, which calls for an accelerated transition to a low carbon<br />

economy. There are questions over how quickly decarbonisation can actually happen, what will act as<br />

catalysts to accelerate or decelerate it and crucially who will foot the bill for it?<br />

Consequently, as the pace of this energy transition accelerates and energy demand continues to rise, the oil<br />

and gas industry will come under increasing pressure to demonstrate it can provide secure and sustainable<br />

energy, while playing its part in decarbonising the global energy system to meet climate change mitigation<br />

targets.<br />

• The industry is being challenged to decarbonise, while at the same time it is expected to eradicate<br />

energy poverty and meet increasing global demand for energy.<br />

• Faced with rising energy demand, oil and gas producers need to continue to invest and explore and<br />

develop new fields, but their access to capital is likely to be more constrained by financial institutions<br />

under pressure to decarbonise their assets.<br />

• The extent to which oil and gas remains relevant in the future depends on how the industry responds to<br />

two main issues: methane and carbon dioxide emissions.<br />

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www.adipec.com/roundtables

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