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OIL & GAS 4.0<br />

STRATEGIC ROUNDTABLES<br />

ENERGY TRANSITION WHITEPAPER<br />

www.adipec.com/roundtables


FORWARD<br />

Innovation, transformation and agility are central to today’s oil and gas industry as it responds to the challenges<br />

and opportunities of the 4th industrial era. They enable organisations to move their strategic business choices at<br />

pace, and create new company structures, business models and diverse partnerships.<br />

At the Abu Dhabi International Petroleum Exhibition and Conference 2019 (<strong>ADIPEC</strong>), the strategic conference,<br />

Oil & Gas 4.0, featured six exclusive roundtables attended by ministers, policy makers, think tanks, CEOs and<br />

C-level executives, not only from leading international oil and gas companies, but also from the technology<br />

companies spearheading disruptive innovation in the industry globally.<br />

The discussions focused on key energy trends, policy formation and geopolitical factors affecting oil and gas<br />

companies, providing new and different perspectives and insights on the complexity of issues shaping the<br />

energy eco-system. Those who contributed their insights included:<br />

Mohammad Barkindo - Secretary General, Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC).<br />

Dr Daniel Yergin - Vice Chairman, IHS Markit<br />

Sebastian Thrun - CEO, KittyHawk; Co-Founder, Udacity;<br />

Adjunct Professor, Stanford; Former Vice President, Google; Founder,<br />

Google X Lab; Founder, GoogleGlass & Google Self Driving Car, Stanley<br />

Jason Bordoff - Professor of Professional Practice in International & Public Affairs and Founding Director<br />

Center on Global Energy Policy, Columbia University<br />

Rachael Bartels - Senior Managing Director Chemicals & Natural Resources, Accenture<br />

Greg Cross - Artificial Intelligence Pioneer, Serial Entrepreneur, Co-Founder and Chief Business Officer Soul<br />

Machines<br />

Stimulating, meaningful and open dialogue, ensured the roundtables generated a diverse range of insights in<br />

support of transformative actions that will help businesses to overcome the challenges inherent in continuing to<br />

deliver an affordable and sustainable energy supply.<br />

The content of this <strong>Whitepaper</strong> reflects how energy transition should be seen not only as a challenge but also<br />

an opportunity, one that would ensure the oil and gas industry remains a key enabler of tomorrow’s global<br />

economy.<br />

Christopher Hudson<br />

President<br />

dmg events - Energy<br />

www.adipec.com/roundtables<br />

1


CONTENTS<br />

FORWARD 1<br />

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY<br />

4<br />

<strong>ADIPEC</strong> 2019 ROUNDTABLES HOSTS<br />

6<br />

ROUNDTABLE OUTPUTS<br />

8<br />

ENERGY TRENDS, POLICY FORMATION AND GEOPOLITICAL FACTORS<br />

AFFECTING THE GLOBAL OIL AND GAS INDUSTRY<br />

8<br />

BUILDING A PATHWAY TOWARDS THE TRANSFORMATION OF THE<br />

WORLD’S ENERGY MIX<br />

9<br />

ADOPTING NEW CULTURES AND MIND SETS TO EMBRACE DIGITALISATION<br />

AND PREPARE FOR CONTINUED TECHNOLOGICAL DISRUPTION<br />

10<br />

HUMAN AND MACHINE COLLABORATION AND THE IMPACT THIS HAS ON<br />

BUSINESS TRANSFORMATION<br />

11<br />

BIG DATA TECHNOLOGY ADOPTION AND ENGAGEMENT IN THE OIL AND<br />

GAS INDUSTRY<br />

12<br />

CIRCULAR PLASTICS ECONOMY CONTRIBUTION TO THE GROWTH OF<br />

THE OIL AND GAS INDUSTRY<br />

13<br />

3


EXECUTIVE SUMMARY<br />

For over one hundred years, the oil and gas industry has been at the centre of the world’s energy system,<br />

enabling economic development and human progress. Hydrocarbons have not only provided energy for<br />

power and transportation, they are fundamental building blocks for making a wide-variety of every day items,<br />

including chemicals, plastics, pharmaceuticals, paints and fertilisers. It is estimated that around a quarter of<br />

every barrel of oil goes into non-transport or non-energy uses.<br />

So, for the foreseeable future hydrocarbons will continue to be a key enabler of growth and prosperity, as<br />

economic and political power shifts to the developing economies of the east. The key trends of population<br />

growth, energy poverty eradication and economic growth are positive signs for the industry. But, at the<br />

same time, alternative sources of energy are increasingly challenging the dominance of hydrocarbons,<br />

becoming more available and more affordable, creating a diversified energy mix where, by mid-century<br />

traditional and new forms of energy will be split almost equally between fossil and non-fossil sources.<br />

However, as the demand for energy continues to increase, the need for the oil and gas industry to adapt<br />

and change increases too. As it transitions to the new energy mix, the industry must grapple with a number<br />

of uncertainties surrounding energy policies; volatility of both prices and demand; its impact on national<br />

budgets and employment; the skills shortage and how best to integrate advanced digital technologies to<br />

capture operational efficiencies and maximise productivity, while maintaining cost and capital discipline.<br />

But perhaps the biggest uncertainty for the oil and gas industry lies in the much more pervasive<br />

environmental agenda being pushed forward, which calls for an accelerated transition to a low carbon<br />

economy. There are questions over how quickly decarbonisation can actually happen, what will act as<br />

catalysts to accelerate or decelerate it and crucially who will foot the bill for it?<br />

Consequently, as the pace of this energy transition accelerates and energy demand continues to rise, the oil<br />

and gas industry will come under increasing pressure to demonstrate it can provide secure and sustainable<br />

energy, while playing its part in decarbonising the global energy system to meet climate change mitigation<br />

targets.<br />

• The industry is being challenged to decarbonise, while at the same time it is expected to eradicate<br />

energy poverty and meet increasing global demand for energy.<br />

• Faced with rising energy demand, oil and gas producers need to continue to invest and explore and<br />

develop new fields, but their access to capital is likely to be more constrained by financial institutions<br />

under pressure to decarbonise their assets.<br />

• The extent to which oil and gas remains relevant in the future depends on how the industry responds to<br />

two main issues: methane and carbon dioxide emissions.<br />

4<br />

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• There needs to be greater transparency about the costs of the different sources of energy. There is a<br />

need for industry and government to work together to provide the accurate information people need to<br />

make informed decisions.<br />

• Digitalisation needs to be seen as the enabler, not the solution; helping companies identify problems<br />

unseen today and bringing new opportunities for the future.<br />

• Advanced digital technologies offer an opportunity for companies to completely reposition themselves,<br />

to drive new economics and establish new business models.<br />

• The industry must address the skills gap related to digitisation. Growing awareness of climate change<br />

and the demonisation of the hydrocarbons industry is making it harder to attract young people to oil and<br />

gas, but technologies such as Artificial Intelligence, Machine Learning, Robotics, Blockchain and Big<br />

Data provide a path to reconnect with this generation. Investing in the right people must be a priority for<br />

energy companies.<br />

• The plastics debate needs to be enlarged to remind the general public about all the benefits that plastics<br />

bring to society. The industry must articulate its concern about plastic leakage into the environment and<br />

communicate how it is responding to the challenge by redesigning products to be recyclable and more<br />

efficient.<br />

Enabling The<br />

Conversation On<br />

Energy Transition<br />

<strong>ADIPEC</strong> introduced six exclusive, closed<br />

door roundtables, attended by ministers,<br />

policy-makers, think tanks, CEOs and<br />

C-level executives.<br />

DIGITALISATION<br />

CIRCULAR PLASTICS<br />

ECONOMY<br />

BIG DATA<br />

HUMAN & MACHINE<br />

COLLABORATION<br />

ENERGY<br />

TRANSFORMATION<br />

POLICY FORMATION &<br />

GEOPOLITICAL FACTORS<br />

For more information or to participate in the Oil & Gas 4.0 Strategic <strong>Roundtable</strong>s at <strong>ADIPEC</strong> 2020<br />

please contact adipecroundtables@dmgevents.com or +971 2 444 4909<br />

5


<strong>ADIPEC</strong> 2019 ROUNDTABLES HOSTS<br />

His Excellency Mohammad Sanusi Barkindo<br />

Secretary General<br />

OPEC<br />

His Excellency Mohammad Sanusi Barkindo of Nigeria began his tenure as Secretary General of<br />

the OPEC on 1 August 2016.<br />

Over the years he also worked in several key roles at OPEC. In 1986, he was appointed to Nigeria’s<br />

delegation to OPEC, and from 1993 to 2008, served as Nigeria’s National Representative on the<br />

Organisation’s Economic Commission Board. In 2006, he was Acting OPEC Secretary General,<br />

and represented Nigeria on OPEC’s Board of Governors from 2009 to 2010.<br />

From 2009 to 2010, he was Group Managing Director and CEO of the Nigerian National Petroleum<br />

Corporation (NNPC). Previous to that, he served as Deputy Managing Director of Nigerian<br />

Liquefied Natural Gas. Earlier in his career, he was Special Assistant to former Minister of<br />

Petroleum Resources and OPEC Secretary General, HE Dr Rilwanu Lukman KBE.<br />

Mr. Barkindo has also been leader of Nigeria’s technical delegation to the UN climate change<br />

negotiations since 1991. He served as Chair of the Group of 77 and China at the UNFCCC and<br />

was elected to serve three terms as Vice President of the Conference of the Parties – COP13 (Bali,<br />

Indonesia), COP14 (Poznan, Poland) and COP15 (Copenhagen, Denmark), where he chaired the<br />

opening session.<br />

Dr Daniel Yergin<br />

Vice Chairman<br />

IHS Markit<br />

The Pulitzer-Prize winning author of “The Prize,” and “The Quest,” Dr. Yergin is vice chairman<br />

of IHS Markit and founded IHS CERA (now part of IHS Markit). He is an authority on energy,<br />

international politics and economics. His awards include Lifetime Achievement from the Prime<br />

Minister of India and the United States Energy Award for lifelong achievements in energy and the<br />

promotion of international understanding. He holds a Bachelor of Arts. from Yale University and a<br />

Ph.D. from Cambridge University, where he was a Marshall Scholar.<br />

Jason Bordoff<br />

Professor of Professional Practice in International and Public Affairs<br />

Founding Director, Center on Global Energy Policy<br />

Columbia University<br />

Jason Bordoff joined the Columbia faculty after serving until January 2013 as Special Assistant<br />

to the President and Senior Director for Energy and Climate Change on the Staff of the National<br />

Security Council, and, prior to that, holding senior policy positions on the White House’s National<br />

Economic Council and Council on Environmental Quality. One of the world’s top energy policy<br />

experts, he joined the Administration in April 2009. At Columbia’s School of International and<br />

Public Affairs, Bordoff is a professor of professional practice and serves as founding Director of<br />

SIPA’s Center on Global Energy Policy. Bordoff’s research and policy interests lie at the intersection<br />

of economics, energy, environment, and national security. He is a frequent commentator on TV<br />

and radio, including NPR, Bloomberg, CNBC and BBC, has appeared on the Colbert Report, and<br />

has published in the New York Times, Wall Street Journal, Financial Times and other leading news<br />

outlets. Prior to joining the White House, Bordoff was the Policy Director of the Hamilton Project,<br />

an economic policy initiative housed at the Brookings Institution. He is a member of the Council<br />

on Foreign Relations and the National Petroleum Council, a consultant to the National Intelligence<br />

Council, and serves on the boards of Winrock International (a leading nonprofit organisation<br />

that works to empower the disadvantaged, increase economic opportunity, and sustain natural<br />

resources), the New York Energy Forum and the Association of Marshall Scholars.<br />

6<br />

www.adipec.com/roundtables


Sebastian Thrun<br />

CEO, KittyHawk; Co-Founder, Udacity Adjunct Professor, Stanford<br />

Former Vice President, Google Founder, Google X Lab<br />

Founder, GoogleGlass & Google Self Driving Car, Stanley<br />

Sebastian Thrun is a scientist, educator, inventor, and entrepreneur. As the Founder, President,<br />

and Executive Chairman of Udacity, Sebastian’s mission is to democratise education by providing<br />

lifelong learning to millions of students worldwide. He is also the founder of Google X, where he led<br />

projects including the Self-Driving Car, Google Glass, and more.<br />

Previously, he led the Stanford Racing Team whose robot “Stanley” won the DARPA Grand<br />

Challenge. Sebastian has been named the 5th Most Creative Person in Business (Fast Company),<br />

among the 50 Smartest People in Tech (Fortune), and highlighted in 50 Best Inventions of<br />

2010 (Time). He is the first recipient of the inaugural Smithsonian American Ingenuity Award for<br />

Education, and is also featured in the recent film Lo & Behold: Reveries of the Connected World by<br />

award-winning writer and director Werner Herzog.<br />

Rachael Bartels<br />

Senior Managing Director<br />

Chemicals & Natural Resources<br />

Accenture<br />

Rachael Bartels is the Industry Managing Director of Accenture’s Chemicals and<br />

Natural Resources practice. She spends most of her time working with senior executives on<br />

transformational and disruptive change and has more than 30 years of experience in consulting—<br />

working primarily in chemicals, mining and energy. She is passionate about harnessing new<br />

technologies and processes to drive innovation and create growth for clients. Rachael is located in<br />

London.<br />

Greg Cross<br />

Artificial Intelligence Pioneer, Serial Entrepreneur,<br />

Co-Founder & Chief Business Officer<br />

Soul Machines<br />

Greg Cross is a pioneer within the field of Artificial Intelligence. He is a serial entrepreneur and one<br />

of the world’s original technology nomads, who has spent his career traveling and living in every<br />

major market in the world.<br />

In 2016 Greg Cross teamed up with Dr. Mark Sagar to create Soul Machines, a company focused<br />

on humanising the next generation of computer technologies. The University of Auckland spinout<br />

company was founded based on the BabyX technology created by Dr Mark Sagar and his<br />

engineering research team at the University’s Laboratory for Animate Technologies at the Auckland<br />

Bioengineering Institute<br />

7


BIG DATA TECHNOLOGY ADOPTION AND ENGAGEMENT<br />

IN THE OIL AND GAS INDUSTRY<br />

ROUNDTABLE HOST<br />

Within the oil and gas industry, Big Data is helping to deliver dramatic<br />

improvements in competitiveness, efficiency and health and safety, and it<br />

is transforming the way companies are structured and integrated. But the<br />

industry faces the challenge of a data deluge.<br />

It has been estimated that the oil and gas industry uses just 1-5 per cent<br />

of the data it has access to. The true value of all of the data gathered by<br />

energy companies can only be realised if it is shared with the private sector,<br />

as it is the private sector that will come up with solutions to further reduce<br />

operational expenditure and drive more value from each barrel of oil.<br />

His Excellency<br />

Mohammad Sanusi<br />

Barkindo<br />

Secretary General<br />

OPEC<br />

But while the industry must be prepared to embrace non-traditional<br />

partnerships - working with the technology giants, such as Microsoft, Google<br />

or Amazon - to fully leverage advanced digital technologies, such as Big Data,<br />

many national oil companies are reluctant to share data and they are at risk of<br />

being left behind it they do not begin to open up.<br />

With the connection between transparent data and secure sustainable energy<br />

supply only expected to grow in the future, data accuracy and uniformity is an<br />

issue that needs to be addressed. Within the energy sector, there are multiple<br />

entities publishing open source data and they each have their own definitions<br />

and models for recording and estimating data. This can lead to confusion and<br />

distortions when driving data insights.<br />

OPEC has shown the way forward on data sharing. Its Big Data project makes the production supply and<br />

stocks data of all its members from 1960 onwards available digitally. The new data tool, which also includes<br />

structured and unstructured data from other sources, is intended to be of value to economists, environmental<br />

agencies and academic researchers, strengthening the capacity to address challenges within the industry and<br />

shedding more light on the energy transition under way.<br />

The industry must also address the skills gap related to Big Data. Growing awareness of climate change and<br />

the demonisation of the hydrocarbons industry is making it harder to attract young people to oil and gas, but<br />

technologies such as Artificial Intelligence, Machine Learning, Robotics, Blockchain and Big Data provide a path<br />

to reconnect with this generation. Investing in the right people must be a priority for energy companies.<br />

8<br />

www.adipec.com/roundtables


BUILDING A PATHWAY TOWARDS THE TRANSFORMATION<br />

OF THE WORLD’S ENERGY MIX<br />

ROUNDTABLE HOST<br />

Dr Daniel Yergin<br />

Vice Chairman<br />

IHS Markit<br />

Defining what energy transition means is in itself a challenge. It has many<br />

different dimensions and is interpreted differently by national oil companies,<br />

energy majors, policymakers and environmentalists. In this context the oil<br />

and gas industry has an important role to play by leading the conversation<br />

on energy transition to broaden the debate, and manage expectations<br />

around what can be achieved and how quickly.<br />

In order to better manage public opinion, the industry must be more<br />

transparent about its operations. Oil and gas companies need to create a<br />

credible narrative, that resonates with people, to communicate how they<br />

can be an effective and necessary partner in a balanced energy mix that<br />

includes oil and its derivatives, gas, waste-to-energy, nuclear and hydrogen<br />

alongside renewables and as yet undeveloped energy sources.<br />

However, the conversation will need to be different depending on<br />

geography and socio-economic circumstances. At present, the energy<br />

transition conversation is dominated by the OECD countries. But the<br />

challenges faced in Africa and the developing economies of Asia, where<br />

poverty reduction and opportunity creation, not decarbonisation, are the<br />

priorities, must be factored into the debate.<br />

Demonstrably curbing emissions and utilising renewables to power oil and gas operations would make it<br />

easier to convince people that there is a role for hydrocarbons in the future. In the future, all industries and<br />

companies will have to disclose their emissions and access to investor capital will become constrained if they<br />

are not being seen to be actively decarbonising. To mitigate the impact, oil and gas companies should be<br />

investing in renewables to complement their operations wherever possible.<br />

Climate change is an emotive issue, and over simplification of the issue has resulted in oil and gas companies<br />

being held responsible for global warming. At the same time, consumers are not fully informed about the cost<br />

implications of the energy transition. There needs to be greater transparency about the costs of the different<br />

sources of energy. There is a need for industry and government to work together to provide the accurate<br />

information people need to make informed decisions.<br />

Advanced digital technologies have a crucial role to play in the fight against climate change, in particular in<br />

providing the transparency needed to enable better decision making. They could help the oil and gas industry<br />

become leaner and greener by making carbon emissions more transparent. This information could then be<br />

transformed into consumer knowledge, allowing people to understand how much energy they are consuming,<br />

what it is costing and encouraging them to curb their demand.<br />

9


ENERGY TRENDS, POLICY FORMATION AND GEOPOLITICAL<br />

FACTORS AFFECTING THE GLOBAL OIL AND GAS INDUSTRY<br />

ROUNDTABLE HOST<br />

Jason Bordoff<br />

Professor of Professional<br />

Practice in International<br />

and Public Affairs<br />

Founding Director, Center<br />

on Global Energy Policy<br />

Columbia University<br />

The global oil and gas industry is at a crossroads. Consumption patterns are<br />

changing and new sources of energy supply are disrupting the market and<br />

depressing prices. The industry is also being challenged to decarbonise,<br />

while at the same time it is expected to eradicate energy poverty and meet<br />

increasing global demand for energy. Producers are asking what it will take<br />

for them to survive and thrive in the new energy system.<br />

In the first decade of the 21st century, the United States’ shale industry has<br />

been a game changer, with the United States effectively replacing Saudi<br />

Arabia as the industry’s swing producer. Shale production has tipped oil<br />

markets into oversupply triggering a new era of low oil prices. America’s<br />

oil output has more than doubled since 2010, crossing 12 million barrels<br />

a day to become the world’s biggest oil producer. New supply is also<br />

due onstream in Canada, Iraq and parts of Africa and new technologies<br />

delivering operational efficiencies and enhanced performance are making it<br />

possible for producers to extract more oil and gas from mature fields in the<br />

Middle East and elsewhere.<br />

Nevertheless, despite this short term supply abundance, the long term<br />

outlook for energy demand is robust, driven by increased power demand,<br />

rising global populations, the growth in the middle classes and greater<br />

consumer demand for every day goods produced using hydrocarbons.<br />

Given the advancing impacts of climate change, a significant disjuncture is<br />

emerging -- the contrast between sustained demand and the need to reduce<br />

global greenhouse gas emissions.<br />

Although the take-up of renewables is rapidly increasing, serious issues related to reliability and energy storage,<br />

remain. Faced with rising energy demand, oil and gas producers need to continue to invest and explore and<br />

develop new fields, but their access to capital is likely to be more constrained by financial institutions under<br />

pressure to decarbonise their assets. Business as usual can continue only as long as people allow the current<br />

policies to remain in place, which seems increasingly unlikely.<br />

The extent to which oil and gas remains relevant in the future depends on how the industry responds to two<br />

main issues: methane and carbon dioxide emissions. Methane drives 25 per cent of the warming of our planet,<br />

and half of that comes from leakage, venting, and flaring in the oil and gas industry. If the industry can address<br />

methane flaring promptly, it will show that it can be an effective partner in climate action. Tackling carbon dioxide<br />

emissions is more challenging and carbon capture will have a crucial role to play in the future. But as it stands,<br />

not enough investment is being directed towards it.<br />

International oil companies can respond to these transformational trends by turning themselves into broadbased<br />

energy companies with investments in renewables, biofuels and electric transportation. For national oil<br />

companies, whose assets are in the ground, the challenge is somewhat different. They must ask themselves<br />

how can they ensure their oil and gas is still sellable in the future? The answer will probably include an increasing<br />

focus on liquefied natural gas (LNG), carbon capture and storage, petrochemicals, and maybe hydrogen.<br />

The key question for the energy industry is how to manage this transition in a structured way – or delay it and be<br />

forced to deal with abrupt change?<br />

10<br />

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ADOPTING NEW CULTURES AND MIND SETS TO EMBRACE<br />

DIGITALISATION AND PREPARE FOR CONTINUED<br />

TECHNOLOGICAL DISRUPTION<br />

ROUNDTABLE HOST<br />

Sebastian Thrun<br />

CEO, KittyHawk;<br />

Co-Founder, Udacity<br />

Adjunct Professor,<br />

Stanford<br />

Former Vice President,<br />

Google<br />

Founder, Google X Lab<br />

Founder, GoogleGlass &<br />

Google Self Driving Car,<br />

Stanley<br />

The pace of digitalisation in the oil and gas industry has accelerated in the<br />

past two years. With the pressure on operating costs in this time of lower oil<br />

prices, energy companies have woken up to the opportunity that digitalisation<br />

represents and are more open to the benefits offered by disruption.<br />

However, many companies are still taking a piecemeal approach to digitalisation,<br />

and departments along the hydrocarbons value chain continue to work in silos.<br />

While this approach will deliver efficiencies in existing processes, it will not<br />

deliver the disruptive, transformational change the industry needs to remain<br />

relevant. Digitalisation needs to be seen as the enabler, not the solution; helping<br />

companies identify problems unseen today and bringing new opportunities for<br />

the future. By connecting different data sets together in different environments<br />

and identifying fresh challenges to overcome, new opportunities will emerge.<br />

Two key elements are necessary for a complete digital transformation: a change<br />

in mindset and external expertise. The quickest way to change company culture<br />

is to bring in people from outside the organisation and even outside the industry.<br />

Employing data scientists, who understand the full capabilities of software and<br />

Big Data, and pairing them with engineers will lead to fresh thinking and new<br />

solutions. By putting problems to non-sector experts, companies can arrive at<br />

radically different answers.<br />

As well as driving operational change disruptive technologies will result in<br />

organisational structures very different to those of today. Ten years ago people<br />

would not have allowed a computer to control a deep water rig, but autonomous<br />

drilling and pipe-laying is now an everyday activity. In the medium and long<br />

terms, the pace of change will increase driven by the speed and power of high<br />

performance computing as it evolves. The industry is already seeing seismic<br />

data being processed within days and weeks, rather than years as a result of<br />

collaborations between data experts and domain knowledge experts. In the<br />

future answers could come within hours, enabling smarter decisions to be taken<br />

quicker.<br />

As disruption impacts the oil and gas industry with greater speed, future companies will need to embrace nontraditional<br />

partnerships, with non-energy companies such as Google, Microsoft, and Amazon, if they are to continue<br />

to thrive. This will create particular challenges for National Oil Companies who will need to change their attitude<br />

to sharing information and giving data access to third parties. This is essential in order to develop collaborative<br />

technology roadmaps and integrated workflows with operators and suppliers. The true value of data is only realised<br />

when it is leveraged to its full extent.<br />

11


HUMAN AND MACHINE COLLABORATION AND THE IMPACT<br />

THIS HAS ON BUSINESS TRANSFORMATION<br />

ROUNDTABLE HOST<br />

Greg Cross<br />

Artificial Intelligence<br />

Pioneer,<br />

Serial Entrepreneur,<br />

Co-Founder & Chief<br />

Business Officer<br />

Soul Machines<br />

In order to be successful, incumbent brands must remain interesting and<br />

relevant to the consumers of the future. They need to represent the values<br />

of today’s and future generations, and increasingly, this means a digitalised,<br />

personalised customer experience-centred approach to business and a clear<br />

environmental conscience.<br />

Digitalisation is rapidly changing the workplace with the automation of<br />

processes, loss of redundant functions and the creation of new roles along<br />

the full value chain. Machine learning has existed for more than half a<br />

century, but a lack of computing power limited its deployment. The advent<br />

of cloud computing and deep learning have removed those limitations,<br />

unleashing today’s digital revolution. New purely digital players are emerging<br />

to challenge entrenched businesses.<br />

Forward looking companies need to see beyond the current wave of<br />

digitalisation and prepare for what comes next – a world in which artificial<br />

intelligence (AI) assumes a much greater role and becomes more humanlike.<br />

As business as normal ceases to be an option, companies that fail to<br />

embrace disruption will be pushed aside by more agile entities. Digitalisation<br />

and AI offer an opportunity for companies to completely reposition<br />

themselves, to drive new economics and establish new business models.<br />

The oil and gas industry is traditionally cautious and resistant to change, but<br />

the energy transition presents an opportunity to think differently about what<br />

digital transformation means and the role that exists for AI and automation.<br />

The challenge lies in shifting from deterministic to probabilistic algorithms<br />

and qualifying the safety of AI systems in a high risk industry.<br />

Many people feel threatened by the prospect of an automated world and what this means for the labour<br />

market. Digitalisation will certainly change the job market, it will remove some roles, but it will also create new<br />

jobs and new industries. The value of human intuition and knowledge will always be needed, but AI can free<br />

humans up from carrying out dangerous and mundane repetitive tasks.<br />

Regulation of AI systems is an area that needs to be addressed by government and industry so that people feel<br />

protected, both in terms of their safety and their data privacy. The topics of ethics, bias and explainable AI will<br />

become major issues in the coming years, as companies are held to account for decisions taken by machines<br />

and computer programmes.<br />

12<br />

www.adipec.com/roundtables


CIRCULAR PLASTICS ECONOMY CONTRIBUTION TO THE<br />

GROWTH OF THE OIL AND GAS INDUSTRY<br />

ROUNDTABLE HOST<br />

Rachael Bartels<br />

Senior Managing Director<br />

Chemicals & Natural<br />

Resources<br />

Accenture<br />

Growing public awareness of the problem of plastic waste poses a material<br />

threat for producers with bans being imposed on single-use plastic items<br />

and plastics being replaced by non-chemical substitutes. But how can the<br />

industry make plastics a more sustainable and reused, or recycled resource?<br />

The answer lies, not just with greater use of new technologies, but with<br />

companies embracing the demand for circular products. Doing so will give<br />

them a clear competitive advantage.<br />

The argument against the circular economy is usually that the economics<br />

do not add up. But with new technology making it easier and cheaper to<br />

recycle plastics, and research showing sustainable products sell better and<br />

customers are willing to pay more for them, this argument no longer holds<br />

true. However, winning the argument with consumers demanding action on<br />

plastics’ waste remains a major obstacle.<br />

According to an Accenture survey the chemicals industry is the least trusted<br />

industry on the topic of sustainability. Regaining the narrative on plastics is a<br />

challenge the industry must come together and address. The plastics debate<br />

needs to be enlarged to remind the general public about all the benefits<br />

that plastics bring to society. The industry must articulate its concern about<br />

plastic leakage into the environment and communicate how it is responding<br />

to the challenge by redesigning products to be recyclable and more efficient.<br />

Plastics producers must design for circularity in order to remain relevant and<br />

they must also satisfy the growing demand for recycled content, but they<br />

cannot do this alone. The whole value chain needs to work together - the<br />

regulators, plastics producers, brand owners and waste collectors – to build<br />

the ecosystem needed to achieve a circular economy. And the public must be engaged and educated to recycle<br />

more of their waste, encouraged by plastic packaging is that is reusable, recyclable or compostable and an<br />

industry-wide willingness to work with the plastics recycling sector with the aim of collecting and processing<br />

more plastic packaging than it sells.<br />

As the essence of the circular plastics economy is understanding that everything we use has a past and<br />

a future, there is an opportunity around traceability and accountability in the plastics’ value chain. Since<br />

companies will increasingly want to demonstrate and measure their sustainable credentials, blockchain could<br />

be used to attach information to each molecule, showing its origin and whether it is virgin or recycled, much like<br />

the certification and tracking used in the forest products and food industries. This could eventually lead to the<br />

possibility of tracking and reusing every molecule.<br />

When value chains sit together and rethink how waste is understood, applying circular principles can lead to<br />

creative new solutions. This is the approach that start-ups use to tackle problems, and multinational brand<br />

owners and their suppliers need to follow suit. For product design to become collaborative, it requires a change<br />

in company mindset, a move away from old ways of thinking and greater sharing of information.<br />

13


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