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<strong>Resource</strong> <strong>Mobilization</strong> <strong>Strategy</strong> for the <strong>2012</strong>-<strong>2015</strong> Phase of Implementation of<br />

the Global Malaria Action Plan<br />

(May <strong>2012</strong>)<br />

Table of Content<br />

Executive Summary<br />

1. Introduction<br />

2. Context<br />

2.1 <strong>GMAP</strong> environment<br />

2.2 Funding trends and funding gap<br />

2.3 Health and development context<br />

2.4 Economic return of investment in malaria<br />

Box 1 - Return on investment in malaria - Examples from three African countries<br />

3. <strong>Resource</strong> needs and funding patterns<br />

3.1 Overview of needs and funding<br />

3.2 Needs and funding from a regional point of view<br />

3.3 Needs and funding from a sectoral point of view<br />

3.4 Are the <strong>GMAP</strong> data on resource needs still valid?<br />

3.5 Funding target of this resource mobilization strategy<br />

4. Funding sources and resource mobilization scenarios<br />

4.1 Domestic investments<br />

4.2 Multilateral funding mechanisms: Global Fund, World Bank and Regional Banks<br />

4.3 OECD/DAC donor governments<br />

4.4 Aid from emerging economies<br />

4.5 Philanthropy and private sector’s social investment<br />

4.6 Innovative financing<br />

4.7 <strong>Resource</strong> mobilization scenarios<br />

5. <strong>Resource</strong> mobilization strategy overview<br />

Box 2 - Cost efficiencies in LLIN procurement<br />

6. SWOT analysis, roles and responsibilities and budgetary implications<br />

6.1 Fundraising capacity of the RBM Partnership: SWOT analysis<br />

6.2 Roles and responsibilities in the RBM Partnership<br />

6.3 Budgetary implications<br />

7. Conclusions and Recommendations<br />

Annexes<br />

Annex I Summary of PESTEL analysis of the <strong>GMAP</strong> resource mobilization environment<br />

Annex IIa. Aid investment in malaria control from OECD/DAC and BRIC governments and simulation of<br />

increased investments<br />

Annex IIb. Domestic investment in health and malaria control from high-burden African countries and<br />

simulation of increased investments<br />

Annex III. Explanatory note on the resource mobilization scenarios<br />

Annex IVa. and IVb. Terms of Reference and Membership of the <strong>Resource</strong> <strong>Mobilization</strong> Sub-<br />

Committee<br />

Annex V. Papers produced in preparation for the <strong>Resource</strong> <strong>Mobilization</strong> <strong>Strategy</strong> and other sources<br />

1


Executive Summary<br />

At its 19 th Meeting in December 2010, the RBM Board decided to create a <strong>Resource</strong> <strong>Mobilization</strong> Sub-<br />

Committee with the objective of developing a resource mobilization strategy, including traditional and<br />

new donors and innovative financing mechanisms, aimed to fill the funding gap for the <strong>2012</strong>-<strong>2015</strong><br />

phase of implementation of the Global Malaria Action Plan (<strong>GMAP</strong>). This document presents the<br />

proposed strategy and related recommendations.<br />

Funding for malaria has increased dramatically in the past decade – with commitments from less than<br />

US$200 million in 2004 to US$1.8 billion in 2010 – and has led to an unprecedented record of results<br />

and impact. There are clear indications that the international community is maintaining commitment,<br />

and including funding commitment, to the goals that first prompted the creation of the RBM Partnership<br />

and the launch of the 2008-<strong>2015</strong> <strong>GMAP</strong>. At the same time, it is also recognized that maintaining the<br />

current annual income level, or even increasing it only marginally, is not adequate to provide all the<br />

resources that are needed to achieve the <strong>2015</strong> <strong>GMAP</strong> Objectives and Targets, namely to reduce global<br />

malaria deaths to near zero, to reduce global malaria cases by 75% and eliminate malaria in ten new<br />

countries.<br />

In this context, the Global Fund's capacity to finance the fight against the three diseases over the next<br />

few years is of particular concern to the malaria community. Estimates of the resources that the Global<br />

Fund could make available in the period <strong>2012</strong>-<strong>2015</strong> have evolved over the past few months. As of<br />

today, the Global Fund resources are likely to be far less in the near future than what they used to be in<br />

prior rounds and, also importantly for the <strong>GMAP</strong> targets, these funds may not be available until very<br />

late into the timeframe of implementation of this strategy. The Global Fund estimates are still evolving<br />

and this strategy tries to mitigate this uncertainty by also focusing on other funding options.<br />

The aim of this resource mobilization strategy is to propose to the RBM Partners a menu of possible<br />

approaches to raise sufficient, predictable and sustainable resources for malaria prevention, control<br />

and elimination over the next few years. This document is meant to propose directions for the RBM<br />

Partnership to guide strategic deployment of efforts and mobilization of influential actors, both internally<br />

within the Partnership and externally in the development community and in endemic countries, to<br />

maximize funding for the <strong>GMAP</strong>.<br />

<strong>Resource</strong> requirements for global malaria prevention, control and elimination were estimated in the<br />

<strong>GMAP</strong> to amount to some US$6.1 billion annually between <strong>2012</strong> and <strong>2015</strong>, including US$5.3 billion on<br />

average for programme costs in 109 endemic countries and US$700-800 million for global research<br />

and development of new <strong>GMAP</strong> technologies. In this resource mobilization strategy, the <strong>GMAP</strong> country<br />

needs have been updated based on UNSEO/ALMA estimates (2011). Also, based on input by RBM<br />

Partners from the Research & Academia constituency, it is proposed to use the upper range of the<br />

estimated needs for research and development. It is noted, however, that R&D financing requirements<br />

rely on optimistic assumptions about the need for new classes of drugs, diagnostics, and other<br />

interventions; additional research has been commissioned to determine the R&D costs associated with<br />

the elimination/eradication agenda 1 . In order to accommodate the upper range of research and<br />

development requirements, the estimates of the needs for the Global Plan for Artemisinin Resistance<br />

Containment and the initial WHO estimates for the Global Plan for Insecticide Resistance Management<br />

have also been taken into account. The annual requirements for global malaria prevention control<br />

and elimination would therefore amount to US$26.9 billion 2 for <strong>2012</strong>-<strong>2015</strong>. Assuming projected<br />

ongoing funding, materialization of already made commitments and success with some easier-to-reach<br />

funding targets, the hardest part of the funding gap (or the most difficult-to-reach fundraising target)<br />

could be estimated at US$9.7 billion for <strong>2012</strong>-<strong>2015</strong> (or US$2.4 billion on average per year). Details on<br />

these figures are provided in section 4.7 on the resource mobilization scenarios.<br />

1 The estimate of R&D resource needs is based upon the findings of Staying the Course? Malaria Research and Development in<br />

a Time of Economic Uncertainty, PATH, 2011, with further input provided by members of the R&A constituency, including the<br />

Innovative Vector Control Consortium, IS Global, Medicines for Malaria Venture, PATH Malaria Vaccine Initiative, and the<br />

University of Melbourne, and as revised based on the discussions at the <strong>Resource</strong> <strong>Mobilization</strong> Sub-Committee. A further<br />

refinement of resource needs estimates is expected in 2013, when a project to cost the R&D needs of the eradication agenda is<br />

expected to be completed. Among the new classes of drugs required, for example, would be those targeting the sexual stages of<br />

the parasite and, for P. vivax malaria, hypnozoites.<br />

2 The costs of the coordination of the global mobilization of efforts in support of the <strong>GMAP</strong> are not included in these estimates.<br />

These costs (as budgeted in the RBM Partnership Work Plan) are approximately US$20 million in <strong>2012</strong>, including currently<br />

funded as well as unfunded costs.<br />

2


Category <strong>2012</strong> 2013 2014 <strong>2015</strong> USD<br />

Country needs 1 5'760'000'000 5'714'000'000 5'628'000'000 5'527'000'000<br />

R&D (including on resistance) 1'070'000'000 1'070'000'000 1'070'000'000 1'070'000'000<br />

Total needs 6'830'000'000 6'784'000'000 6'698'000'000 6'597'000'000 26'909'000'000<br />

Projected as available/easier to fundraise 3'900'000'000 4'240'000'000 4'570'000'000 4'500'000'000 17'210'000'000<br />

Projected funding gap 2'930'000'000 2'544'000'000 2'128'000'000 2'097'000'000 9'699'000'000<br />

1 <strong>GMAP</strong> estimates except UNSEO/ALMA estimates for Africa (projecting to <strong>2012</strong>-<strong>2015</strong> the 2010 needs for Africa at US$2.7 billion)<br />

There is also scope for focusing and developing in stages this challenging fundraising effort. While<br />

financial support is needed for the whole range of malaria endemic countries and for the whole range<br />

of interventions, a selected number of countries and regions and some sectoral needs may need<br />

special and urgent support, because of their impact on the burden and achievement of the <strong>2015</strong> <strong>GMAP</strong><br />

objectives and targets (most importantly, the objective of achieving near zero malaria deaths) and<br />

because of the risk that the unfolding global financing difficulties jeopardize their progress.<br />

Since the vast majority of deaths are occurring in sub-Saharan Africa, the focus on eliminating deaths<br />

from malaria means there has to be a greater focus on Africa and on essential commodities. The<br />

financing gap for Africa in terms of costs for commodities and their delivery is estimated to be<br />

approximately US$3.2 billion for the four year period <strong>2012</strong>-<strong>2015</strong>. A concentration on raising these<br />

funds and supporting national capacity to prevent, diagnose and treat malaria in Africa will reduce<br />

global deaths from malaria by as much as 90%. Most of the remaining gap in financing is to develop<br />

good strategies to delay or overcome resistance to drugs or insecticides, with the gap for Asia, Latin<br />

America/Caribbean and the Middle East expected to largely be met from domestic resources and<br />

ongoing programmes.<br />

With this background, this resource mobilization strategy reviews in detail the current status and<br />

potential from funding sources that are central in the current context of international development:<br />

domestic investments, multilateral funders, traditional donors that are members of the Development<br />

Assistance Committee of the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD/DAC),<br />

emerging economies, philanthropists and social investors, innovative financing mechanisms (chapter<br />

4). Based on the analysis of the status and potential of the funding sources, some high-level estimates<br />

of possible levels of fundraising efforts to fill the <strong>2012</strong>-<strong>2015</strong> funding gap are proposed in section 4.7.<br />

This strategy suggests accordingly selected fundraising streams to pursue, and, for each stream, the<br />

following menu of strategic actions (chapter 5):<br />

A) Mobilize growing domestic public sector funding<br />

� Encourage African and Asian endemic countries to engage to progress towards more<br />

ambitious domestic funding targets.<br />

� Work with robust emerging economies such as Brazil, China, India and Indonesia, to maintain<br />

and increase domestic spending for adequately cover their own needs.<br />

B) Maintain and expand the funding base from traditional donors<br />

� Maintain G7 leadership in funding the next phase of the <strong>GMAP</strong> implementation: seize the<br />

opportunity that the next two G8 Summits will be hosted by supportive governments (US, UK)<br />

to continue to support the <strong>GMAP</strong> objectives, the Global Fund’s fundraising effort and<br />

integration of malaria prevention, control and elimination in maternal and child health.<br />

� Build convincingly the case for <strong>GMAP</strong> support and links to maternal and child health agenda<br />

with a selected group of other OECD/DAC governments having the potential to become more<br />

relevant bilateral and multilateral donors for malaria.<br />

� Work with the European Commission to tap into the new EC/ACP resources for the<br />

achievement of the MDGs and maternal and child health.<br />

C) Increase aid for malaria prevention, control and elimination from emerging economies<br />

� Establish dialogue with aid decision makers in emerging economies such as Brazil, India<br />

and China on ongoing and potential support to countries/region of geo-political priority that are<br />

high burden countries with funding gaps.<br />

� Recruit at least one champion from emerging economies for profiling malaria financing in the<br />

G20 development agenda emerging from the Seoul Development Consensus for Shared<br />

Growth.<br />

� Profile malaria funding in ongoing discussions of trilateral development agreements between<br />

emerging economies, OECD-DAC/regional development banks/multilateral donors and third<br />

countries.<br />

3


� Explore interest in malaria funding from other emerging economies that are increasing<br />

substantially their aid packages.<br />

� Retain funding commitment from Russia, and mobilize Russia’s political support for positioning<br />

malaria in the G8 development discussions.<br />

D) Frontload resources to accelerate impact of domestic investments and aid<br />

� Take forward discussions with the World Bank and African Ministers of Finance on options for<br />

loans from the World Bank's IDA, with a focus on the 16 th and 17 th Replenishments.<br />

� Explore reprogramming options with the Global Fund to maximize Global Fund’s resources for<br />

the <strong>GMAP</strong> for the <strong>2012</strong>-<strong>2015</strong> period, including in the context of the current reprioritization<br />

process.<br />

� Pursue opportunities with regional banks to support substantial scaling up of funding for<br />

regional <strong>GMAP</strong> needs and synergistic results with other health objectives, e.g. through<br />

matching mechanisms and incentives for regional cooperation.<br />

E) Apply innovative financing solutions<br />

� Create a dedicated innovative financing mechanism in support of the <strong>2012</strong>-<strong>2015</strong> needs, e.g. in<br />

the form of a malaria bond.<br />

� Support UNITAID in ongoing fundraising efforts to bring in new countries adopting air taxes<br />

and voluntary air-travel related contribution schemes, while maximizing the opportunities for<br />

malaria that are being offered by the 2011-<strong>2012</strong> UNITAID calls for proposals on diagnostics<br />

and drug procurement and, potentially, a challenge grant for new technology for LLINs.<br />

� Further explore use of remittances and Diaspora bonds to increase domestic resources for<br />

malaria prevention, control and elimination.<br />

� Explore options for additional debt conversion deals (within and outside the Global Fund Debt<br />

to Health mechanism) in support of the <strong>GMAP</strong>.<br />

� Expand use of the UN Foundation Pledge Guarantee for Health.<br />

F) Encourage sustained private sector and philanthropic support<br />

� Outreach to private sector actors in endemic countries in Africa to identify opportunities for<br />

corporate engagement in support of domestic malaria prevention, control and elimination<br />

needs.<br />

� Engage the private sector in emerging economies to contribute to filling domestic and<br />

international needs, including through innovative financing mechanisms.<br />

� Develop ideas to solicit additional support from foundations, e.g. in the form of challenge grant<br />

or matching gift mechanisms, in collaboration with the Gates Foundation or other major partner<br />

foundations.<br />

G) Explore cost efficiencies and better integrated services to decrease resource needs 3<br />

� Identify more effective ways of procuring LLINs.<br />

� Reduce overlap of LLIN and IRS programs, at least until more is known about the possible<br />

benefits of providing them together.<br />

� Rotate insecticides used for IRS to delay resistance.<br />

� Accelerate the availability and appropriate use of RDTs.<br />

� Better understand the efficiencies of integrated health packages including systematically<br />

malaria prevention, control and elimination components.<br />

Special Focus on Africa. The vast majority of deaths are occurring in sub-Saharan Africa. The financing<br />

gap for commodities and their delivery is US$3.2 billion from now until the end of <strong>2015</strong>. Based on<br />

current discussions strategic action on this special focus objective would include:<br />

� US$1 billion anticipated from the Global Fund which will be applied to <strong>2015</strong> targets and could<br />

potentially fully fund <strong>2015</strong> needs for Africa with the exception of except Nigeria, the cost driver<br />

in the continent 4 ;<br />

� US$ 1 billion needed for Nigeria for <strong>2012</strong>-15 to be addressed by a special support group,<br />

including the federal and state governments of Nigeria and committed donors;<br />

� US$ 0.6 billion for <strong>2012</strong>-2014 for African countries (except Nigeria) to be mobilized through<br />

development banks' loans and the Global Fund’s Transitional Funding Mechanism;<br />

3 Based on findings and recommendations from CHAI, " Value for Money in Malaria Programming: Issues and Opportunities",<br />

2011, and recent data provided by Results For Development (R4D).<br />

4 It is hoped that the Global Fund to Fight AIDS, Tuberculosis and Malaria, which has been a leader in enabling the funding<br />

successes of the last few years, will provide funding to meet two-thirds of the total gap, in line with the proportion it has<br />

previously funded.<br />

4


� US$ 0.6 billion, the remaining funding gap, to be mobilized <strong>2012</strong>-2014 through other donors,<br />

still to be identified.<br />

This resource mobilization strategy can only be successful if it has full ownership by the RBM Partners<br />

and Mechanisms, which all need to be engaged, based on their capacity and comparative advantage,<br />

in this collective effort to mobilize the resources that are needed to fully fund the global fight against<br />

malaria. A central piece of this strategy is therefore also the assessment of the overall capacity of the<br />

RBM Partnership to pursue the proposed resource mobilization objectives and the identification of<br />

expected roles and responsibilities in implementing this strategy.<br />

This strategy concludes with a set of recommendations for the Board for an effective implementation of<br />

the strategy, to:<br />

� endorse the funding target and the fundraising streams described in this strategy, with an<br />

immediate focus on the <strong>GMAP</strong> target of reaching near zero malaria deaths by <strong>2015</strong> and with a<br />

view to getting as close as possible to filling the funding gap of the <strong>GMAP</strong> for <strong>2012</strong>-<strong>2015</strong>.<br />

� commit to proactively support this resource mobilization strategy and invite Board Members to<br />

volunteer to mobilize their political leverage, expertise and contacts to serve this strategy.<br />

� encourage further bilateral and multilateral support in support of the <strong>2012</strong>-<strong>2015</strong> needs, with a<br />

view to making additional funding available to high-burden countries.<br />

� encourage Board Members to urge high-burden endemic countries to engage their Ministers of<br />

Finance in supporting increased domestic investments for malaria prevention, control and<br />

elimination and, in consideration of the urgency of scaling up funding, looking at ways to<br />

frontload resources, including by applying for loans from the 16 th and/or 17 th IDA<br />

Replenishments.<br />

� invite Board Members from emerging economies to contribute to scale up their bilateral and<br />

multilateral support to malaria endemic countries to achieve the MDGs by <strong>2015</strong>, both through<br />

increased investments for domestic needs and by positioning malaria prevention, control and<br />

elimination high in their aid agendas and budgets.<br />

� request the RBM Executive Director to support the follow-up to these recommendations and<br />

help develop a harmonized tracking system for resource needs, commitments, funding flows<br />

and funding gaps, so as to develop a more robust and consistent base of data, including for<br />

countries outside Africa, in support of an effective implementation of this strategy.<br />

� urge each Partner to confirm commitment to make ending of malaria deaths a major<br />

development priority for the next four years.<br />

5


1. Introduction<br />

Funding for malaria has increased dramatically in the past decade – with commitments from less than<br />

US$200 million in 2004 to US$1.8 billion in 2010 – and has led to an unprecedented record of<br />

achievements and impact. As highlighted in the 2011 UN Report on the Millennium Development Goals,<br />

this substantially increased investment in malaria is having a remarkable impact on the progress<br />

towards the MDG 6. Deaths from malaria have been reduced by 20 per cent worldwide, from nearly<br />

985,000 in 2000 to 781,000 in 2009, with the largest decrease having taken place in Africa, where 11<br />

countries have reduced malaria cases and deaths by over 50 per cent. This record of achievement<br />

provides a strong argument for this resource mobilization strategy and for a reinvigorated call for<br />

support to close the funding gap for the <strong>2012</strong>-<strong>2015</strong> phase of the <strong>GMAP</strong> implementation.<br />

There are clear indications that the international community is maintaining commitment, and including<br />

funding commitment, to the goals that first prompted the creation of the RBM Partnership and the<br />

launch of the Global Malaria Action Plan (<strong>GMAP</strong>) 2008-<strong>2015</strong>. Among them, it is important to note the<br />

G8 commitments to continued funding for <strong>GMAP</strong> as re-stated in the 2011 Deauville Accountability<br />

Report on Health and Food Security, and including significant funding increases by the UK and the US,<br />

the 2011 Resolution of the UN General Assembly on "Consolidating gains and accelerating efforts to<br />

control and eliminate malaria in developing countries, particularly in Africa, by <strong>2015</strong>", the ongoing<br />

World Bank's Booster Program in Africa and the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation's Malaria <strong>Strategy</strong>,<br />

as well as the remarkable increase in the success rate of funding proposals to the Global Fund over<br />

the last four rounds.<br />

At the same time, it is also recognized that maintaining the current annual income level, or even<br />

increasing it only marginally, is challenging and not adequate to meet the funding <strong>2012</strong>-<strong>2015</strong><br />

requirements for the <strong>GMAP</strong>. To achieve the objectives set in the <strong>GMAP</strong>, financial support must<br />

continue and grow, and must allow for substantial scaling up and sustainable maintenance of<br />

achievements at country level.<br />

It is important in this context to emphasize the close link between funding and the life saving value of<br />

malaria control. The Progress and Impact Series Report on saving lives 5 has eloquently highlighted this<br />

point:<br />

700<br />

600<br />

500<br />

400<br />

300<br />

200<br />

100<br />

0<br />

5 Saving Lives with Malaria Control: Counting Down to the Millennium Development Goals, RBM Progress and Impact Series n.3,<br />

September 2010<br />

Children saved by vector control based on 2011–<strong>2015</strong> scale-up scenarios<br />

With rapid scale-up to universal prevention by 2010 and maintained until <strong>2015</strong> ( Line A), an estimated<br />

2.95 millionchildren would besaved;with scale-up to universal prevention bytheend of <strong>2015</strong>( LineB),about<br />

2.15million children would besaved;with current countryscale-up trendscontinued on thesameslopeuntil<br />

<strong>2015</strong>(LineC),about 1.14 million children would besaved;with current country coveragetrendsstabilized at<br />

2010levels(LineD),about 906000children would besaved;but if funding ceased and nonew vector-control<br />

serviceswereavailable(LineE),about 476000children would die(compared with thescenario of LineD).<br />

Yearly 1–59 month child malariadeathsprevented(thousands)<br />

2000 2005 2010 <strong>2015</strong><br />

Year<br />

100%coverage in 2010<br />

100%coverage in <strong>2015</strong><br />

Continuing current trend<br />

Maintaining current coverage<br />

A<br />

E<br />

B<br />

C<br />

D<br />

Ceased funding<br />

6


The urgent need for more resources has been further highlighted, over the last few months, by the<br />

evolving information about the level of Global Fund's funding that is expected to be available over the<br />

next few years. This is expected to impact on its capacity to continue supporting the <strong>2012</strong>-<strong>2015</strong> phase<br />

of the <strong>GMAP</strong> as significantly as previously.<br />

With this background, the aim of this <strong>Resource</strong> <strong>Mobilization</strong> <strong>Strategy</strong> is to allow the RBM Partners to<br />

agree on approaches towards sufficient, predictable and sustainable resources to meet the <strong>2015</strong><br />

<strong>GMAP</strong> Objectives and Targets.<br />

While the timeframe of this strategy is <strong>2012</strong>-<strong>2015</strong>, a post-MDG reflection is ongoing within the<br />

development community, to explore how to take forwards key development objectives, including in<br />

health, beyond <strong>2015</strong>. The overall directions and opportunities identified in this resource mobilization<br />

strategy for the RBM Partnership are likely to continue to be relevant, in the longer term, subject to<br />

adjustments over time.<br />

This document is organized as follows. After the introduction (chapter 1):<br />

Chapter 2 outlines the global context in which the <strong>GMAP</strong> and this resource mobilization strategy<br />

operate, highlights key areas where malaria can influence outcomes in other health and<br />

developments areas and explains the comparative advantage of malaria prevention, control and<br />

elimination as an investment with high return.<br />

Chapter 3 describes the resource needs for <strong>2012</strong>-<strong>2015</strong>, as estimated in the <strong>GMAP</strong> and<br />

revisited/validated in subsequent analysis.<br />

Chapter 4 explores sources of current and potential funding at both international and domestic<br />

levels, makes assumptions regarding the size of potential inflow and proposes steps forwards to<br />

tap into those sources.<br />

Chapter 5 provides the strategy overview, suggesting fundraising streams to pursue, and, for each<br />

stream, a menu of strategic actions.<br />

Chapter 6 reviews the capacity of the Partnership to contribute to the implementation of this<br />

strategy and summarizes accordingly key responsibilities and accountabilities.<br />

Chapter 7 draws conclusions and recommendations.<br />

The annexes provide references to the background and preparatory work that has supported the<br />

content of this strategy.<br />

7


2. Context<br />

2.1 <strong>GMAP</strong> environment<br />

There have been significant changes in the recent years in the environment in which the <strong>GMAP</strong><br />

operates. These environmental variables may have an important impact on resource mobilization<br />

outcomes and need to be taken into account and kept under close monitoring in developing and<br />

implementing this resource mobilization strategy.<br />

As part of the development of this strategy, the RBM <strong>Resource</strong> <strong>Mobilization</strong> Sub-Committee has<br />

decided to carry out with its members a review of these macro-determinants with a focus on Political,<br />

Economic, Social, Technological, Environmental and Legal variables (PESTEL analysis). The full<br />

analysis gridline is shown in annex 2.<br />

This analysis has identified in particular, among the key drivers:<br />

� on the positive side, the still strong drive represented by the effort to achieve the Millennium<br />

Development Goals by <strong>2015</strong>, with an increased emphasis on maternal and child health;<br />

� the current financial and economic vulnerability of traditional donors, with connected debt burden,<br />

recession and currency fluctuations, which has prompted a period of uncertainty around the<br />

perspectives for funding development from traditional official development assistance (ODA);<br />

� the change in the culture of aid (due to both the financial crisis faced by traditional donors and the<br />

emergence of new development donors and processes, such as the emerging economies in the G20,<br />

the influence of powerful philanthropists and the development of innovative financing mechanisms),<br />

with much more emphasis on principles such as value for money, cost effectiveness, performance<br />

based funding and economic return.<br />

These aspects will be looked at more in detail in the sections and chapters that follow. The range of<br />

opportunities and threats that these and other determinants represent for the RBM Partnership in<br />

implementing this resource mobilization strategy will be reviewed in section 6.1.<br />

2.3 Malaria in the global health and development context<br />

As highlighted in the section above, fundraising for malaria prevention, control and elimination does not<br />

take place in isolation from the broader context of global health and development financing. In the<br />

current resource-constrained environment, it is important for the RBM Partnership to map out<br />

systematically competitive challenges and opportunities for synergies with other health and<br />

development areas that are receiving attention, and funding commitments, from the development<br />

community. Some of the most prominent health and development areas where strengthened synergies<br />

could support fundraising for the <strong>GMAP</strong> for <strong>2012</strong>-<strong>2015</strong> are summarized below.<br />

2.3.1 Maternal and child health. MDGs 4 and 5 on child and maternal health are among those at<br />

most risk of remaining unmet without strong support. Malaria impacts more severely on pregnant<br />

women and children, and funding for malaria prevention, control and elimination has a crucial role in<br />

addressing effectively maternal and child health, since well funded malaria interventions can be used<br />

as vehicles for other maternal and child health interventions. It has also been shown convincingly that<br />

addressing malaria leads to a decline in all causes of mortality in children over and above malaria<br />

mortality. At the same time, funding for maternal and child interventions could support integrated<br />

packages including systematically malaria prevention, control and elimination components. For<br />

example, bed nets and preventive treatments can be distributed mainly through antenatal and child<br />

health clinics or through campaigns that include other interventions such as immunizations or<br />

nutritional activities.<br />

The most relevant funding envelope for maternal and child health is the Muskoka Initiative on Maternal,<br />

Neonatal and Child Health, which engaged G8 governments in mobilizing US$5 billion by <strong>2015</strong> above<br />

the 2008 baseline to reduce the number of maternal, new born and under-five child deaths in<br />

developing countries. The Governments of the Netherlands, New Zealand, Norway, the Republic of<br />

Korea, Spain and Switzerland, the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation and the UN Foundation joined<br />

the Initiative with an additional funding of US$2.3 billion to be disbursed over the same period. Based<br />

on the Accountability Report from the Deauville Summit, prepared under the 2011 French Presidency<br />

of the G8, it is anticipated that, over the period 2010-<strong>2015</strong>, the Muskoka Initiative will have mobilized<br />

more than US$10 billion. It should be noted that the G8 count 46% of pledges to the Global Fund since<br />

2010 as a contribution to the Initiative. More recently it has been reported that close to US$45 billion<br />

has been committed to the UN-led "Every Woman Every Child" initiative, including about US$11 billion<br />

8


from the poorest countries and US$14 billion from high-income governments. While several of these<br />

figures may overlap, it is clear that there is a momentum around maternal and child health in which the<br />

fight against malaria could have the opportunity to retain a high profile.<br />

2.3.2 Health system strengthening. Evidence shows that investment in malaria has an important<br />

impact not only on reducing mortality and bed occupancy in hospitals and health centres due to the<br />

success of preventive interventions, improved diagnosis and early treatment, but also on reinforcing<br />

directly the capacity of health systems (e.g. by supporting delivery capacity, epidemiological<br />

surveillance, accountability mechanisms, monitoring and evaluation). Like for maternal and child health,<br />

there is potential for cost efficiencies and more impact if malaria interventions are part of integrated<br />

services providing a comprehensive primary health care package allowing shared capacity for services.<br />

This includes a close attention to human resources and recruitment and deployment of community<br />

health workers, who are particularly important in this effort for a more integrated approach. With<br />

appropriate supervision and reliable supplies of medicines and health commodities, extension workers<br />

are crucial resources to provide packages of essential preventive and treatment services.<br />

The G8 made a commitment at the 2007 Heiligendamm Summit to mobilize US$60 billion for the fight<br />

against the three pandemics and for health system strengthening over the period 2008-<strong>2012</strong>. The main<br />

channels for health system funding from external aid are currently general or sectoral budget support<br />

and support to sector wide-approaches by major donors, as well as the Health Systems Funding<br />

Platform of the GAVI Alliance, the Global Fund, the World Bank and the World Health Organization.<br />

2.3.3 There are other development areas that have an existing or potential link to malaria investments,<br />

such as nutrition (under the global food security and nutrition agenda), water and sanitation and,<br />

potentially, climate change adaptation, as climate change will most certainly affect <strong>GMAP</strong> needs,<br />

though with variable patterns that are still difficult to predict and map.<br />

So far, funding commitments have been less concrete on these development areas: the US/Ireland-led<br />

1000 Days Initiative on Nutrition and the Scaling Up Nutrition Platform are more focused on political<br />

rather than funding commitments; the G8 made a pledge both in 2003 and 2005 to increase funding for<br />

the water sector, but without clear targets; the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change has<br />

called for the establishment of a global Green Climate Fund that is expected to allocate US$100 billion<br />

a year by 2030 to finance, among others, climate change adaptation initiatives in developing countries,<br />

but this funding mechanism is still in the planning phase.<br />

These areas are nevertheless likely to become more profiled in the global development agenda in the<br />

future and synergistic programmatic and funding opportunities should be explored and monitored<br />

closely, seized as soon as they become relevant and conveyed in advocacy and communication<br />

products.<br />

2.4 Economic return of investment in malaria<br />

Malaria, even when it does not kill, is a debilitating disease with a heavy burden on health costs and<br />

lost productivity. High prevalence of malaria is associated with persistent and large reductions of<br />

economic growth rates, estimated by the Commission on Macroeconomics and Health in 2001 at the<br />

level of at least 1 percent per year. Increased, predictable and sustainable investment in malaria<br />

prevention, control and elimination is therefore a wise investment in periods of financial constraints,<br />

with a high return for investment. A 2008 study by Malaria No More and Mc Kinsey on the business<br />

case for rapid scale up of malaria control in Africa has argued that a rapid acceleration of investments<br />

in malaria control at the level of 10% annual growth over five years, including through frontloading<br />

mechanisms, could increase the annual gross domestic product in Africa by more than US$20-30<br />

billion, thanks to increased productivity of a healthier workforce, growth of foreign direct investment and<br />

other economic externalities, such as revenue from more tourism.<br />

Additional data have been collected and evidence developed by RBM Partners on the economic impact,<br />

among others, of sustaining malaria control and elimination in five countries (Ethiopia, Rwanda,<br />

Senegal, Tanzania Mainland and Zanzibar, Zambia). A few examples are highlighted in the below box<br />

1:<br />

9


Box 1 - Return on investment in malaria - Examples from three African countries<br />

In the Tigray Region in Ethiopia malaria costs households between 4% and 13% of their annual<br />

income. Over the next five years, if Ethiopia can sustain its malaria control program, it is estimated<br />

that it could avert about $427million in household costs: $76 million in direct costs and $351 million<br />

in indirect costs. This is the equivalent of about 8% of household income, a very large savings for a<br />

typical household.<br />

In Rwanda, prior to scale-up of malaria control, treating malaria cases was costly to the public health<br />

system—an estimated 19% of the recurrent budget of the Ministry of Health was directed to malaria.<br />

By preventing resurgence, sustained control over the next five years (2011–<strong>2015</strong>) could save the<br />

public health system an estimated $267 million in the costs of diagnosing and treating out-patient<br />

and in-patient malaria. Most of these cost savings would allow health sector resources (e.g., health<br />

workers’ time, hospital beds) to be devoted to other diseases. At the same time, some resources<br />

could be invested into strengthening and expanding prevention and surveillance activities to<br />

maintain a reduced burden of malaria.<br />

In Tanzania, Said Salim Bakhresa & Co. (SSB) is an African-owned flour mill company based in Dar<br />

es Salaam. After a study found that one in five of its employees contracted malaria each month,<br />

SSB launched a malaria control program in 2008. It distributed ITNs to its 6,000 employees and<br />

their families and offered free testing and treatment at its three onsite clinics. It also established a<br />

diagnostics and training center at the company’s headquarters. After implementing the program,<br />

employee absenteeism related to malaria fell by 80%. The company now spends a third of what it<br />

used to spend on malaria medication at its clinics—monthly drug costs fell from US$10,000 to<br />

$3,400.<br />

From: "Maintaining the Gains in Global Malaria Control", Clinton Health Access Initiative (in<br />

partnership with the Evidence to Policy Initiative of the Global Health Group at the University of<br />

California San Francisco, and the African Leaders Malaria Alliance), October 2011<br />

10


3: <strong>Resource</strong> needs and funding patterns<br />

3.1 Overview of needs and funding<br />

<strong>Resource</strong> requirements for global malaria prevention, control and elimination were estimated in the<br />

2008 <strong>GMAP</strong> to amount to some US$5.3 billion annually between <strong>2012</strong> and <strong>2015</strong> for programme costs<br />

in 109 endemic countries and US$700-800 million annually, over the same period, for global research<br />

and development of new technologies. The <strong>GMAP</strong> shows the following breakdown of global financing<br />

sources in 2007: external assistance: 47%; national government spending: 34%; private sector<br />

spending: 19% 6 . The principal sources of external aid have been so far the Global Fund (approximately<br />

76% for the period 2002-2009), the US President's Malaria Initiative (PMI) (15%), the World Bank (8%)<br />

and other OECD/DAC (7%). In 2009, all these donors together committed approximately US$1.6 billion<br />

and disbursed US$1.5 billion.<br />

3.2 Needs and funding from a regional point of view<br />

The two regions with the largest funding requirements are Africa (US$2.7 billion annually 7 on average<br />

for the period <strong>2012</strong>-<strong>2015</strong>) and Asia and the Pacific (US$2.6 billion annually on average for the period<br />

<strong>2012</strong>-<strong>2015</strong>).<br />

In Africa, the main cost driver is Nigeria (more than US$450 million annually) with Ethiopia, DRC,<br />

Uganda, and Tanzania all exceeding US$100 million. These countries account for a large percentage<br />

of the population at risk and deaths in the continent. The other highest-death burden countries in Africa<br />

are Burkina Faso, Chad, Côte d'Ivoire, Mozambique and Niger. Domestic public sector spending for<br />

malaria prevention and control in these high-cost countries ranges between close to 0 to 30-40% of<br />

their <strong>GMAP</strong> estimated annual needs.<br />

Based on the OECD/DAC International Development Statistics Database, OECD/DAC donors for<br />

malaria prevention and control in the countries that drive the costs in the continent and bear the highest<br />

burden have been, over the last five years 8 :<br />

- Burkina Faso: Austria, France, Italy, Japan, Spain;<br />

- Côte d’Ivoire: Japan;<br />

- DRC: Australia, Belgium, Japan, South Korea, US;<br />

- Ethiopia: Australia, Canada, Greece, Italy, the Netherlands, Spain, UK, US;<br />

- Mozambique: Canada, France, the Netherlands, Portugal, Spain, UK, US;<br />

- Niger: Canada, Italy, Japan;<br />

- Nigeria: Canada, Italy, Spain, UK, US;<br />

- Tanzania: Australia, Canada, Italy, Japan, the Netherlands, Spain, UK, US;<br />

- Uganda: Australia, Belgium, Canada, Germany, UK, US.<br />

In Asia, six out of the ten countries with the largest share of population at risk worldwide are located in<br />

this region (India, China, Indonesia, Bangladesh, Vietnam, Philippines). India bears a share of 45% of<br />

all malaria cases in the region. Three cost drivers in the continent are emerging economies: India<br />

needs US$7.6 billion for the period <strong>2012</strong>-<strong>2015</strong> Indonesia needs US$652 million and China needs<br />

US$397 million. The Global Fund has invested substantially in all three countries (in Indonesia<br />

including through a debt conversion scheme with Australia and Germany which so far has brought<br />

some USD 60 million to be used for Global Fund's grants - potentially including malaria grants). Overall,<br />

aid to India has decreased substantially, while aid to China was still increasing in 2009. The other<br />

major foreign aid source in 2009 was the World Bank for India, and multilaterals (UNICEF and WHO)<br />

as well as OECD/DAC governments for Indonesia and Myanmar (the other high-burden country in<br />

Asia) 9 . The data from the 2010 World Malaria Report (WMR) are not sufficiently detailed to understand<br />

the proportion of domestic investment in malaria in these three countries. However, these countries are<br />

6 The proportion of private sector spending is difficult to track consistently. For example, looking at the ten <strong>GMAP</strong> cost-driving<br />

countries, the WHO Statistical Information System estimates that private expenditures represent only 11% of health spending in<br />

Angola, but more than 50% in Ethiopia, Kenya, India, Indonesia and Nigeria, and around 80-90% in DRC, Myanmar, Sudan and<br />

Uganda. In Angola, Myanmar, Nigeria and Sudan, virtually all these private expenditures are out-of pocket contributions. Out-of<br />

pocket expenditures should be taken cautiously in prospecting health financing approaches because, as widely reported, they<br />

affect disproportionally the poorest. To ensure equity in access to health care, the 2010 World Health Report recommended that<br />

funding from out-of-pocket expenditures should not exceed 15-20% of total health expenditures and that it should rather be<br />

converted into pooled funding and prepayment schemes, including community financing programs supported by public funding<br />

where feasible.<br />

7 The needs for Africa are based on a recent analysis led by UNSEO and ALMA which reviewed the <strong>GMAP</strong> cost estimates and<br />

projected to <strong>2012</strong>-<strong>2015</strong> the 2010 needs for Africa at US$2.7 billion.<br />

8 The OECD/DAC database does not record any donor for malaria activities in Chad.<br />

9 Respectively, New Zealand and Spain for Indonesia and Japan and Norway for Myanmar.<br />

11


also members of the G20, which suggests that their funding gap could be substantially supported<br />

through increased domestic investments.<br />

The Greater Mekong sub-region is experiencing increased resistance to artemisinin and insecticides.<br />

Investment in malaria prevention and control in this sub-region has therefore a clear global public good<br />

value, as it would contribute to addressing the threat of spreading resistance within the continent and<br />

globally. The cost of addressing resistance on the border areas between Cambodia, Myanmar,<br />

Thailand and Vietnam and preventing global spread of resistance has been calculated in the GPARC<br />

at around US$175 million annually until <strong>2015</strong> and is additional to the <strong>GMAP</strong> resource needs.<br />

The resource needs for the 22 malaria endemic countries in the Americas (which include three major<br />

emerging economies, namely Brazil, Mexico and Venezuela) amount to US$233 million annually on<br />

average for <strong>2012</strong>-<strong>2015</strong>. 40% of malaria deaths in the continent occur in Brazil, which is the cost driver<br />

in the continent (US$100 million needed annually on average for <strong>2012</strong>-<strong>2015</strong>). Brazil’s domestic<br />

investments, as reported in the WMR, are fully adequate to meet these domestic needs, though since<br />

2007 Brazil has also received support from the Global Fund, the US and the World Bank.<br />

The most acute needs in the Americas are for the countries of the Amazon Basin (Bolivia, Brazil,<br />

Colombia, Ecuador, Guyana, Peru, Suriname and Venezuela), which bear the highest burden of<br />

mortality and where the malaria epidemic is concentrated among isolated, indigenous populations<br />

(US$300 million excluding Brazil). The Global Fund has invested so far US$12.7 million for the<br />

countries of the Amazon Basin (which adds to a US$25 million grant, in the closure phase, for a subregional<br />

project on the cross-border areas of the Andean Region), the World Bank US$350,000 and<br />

OECD/DAC donors some US$2.6 million (Spain and the US). The modest and relatively concentrated<br />

funding gap for this region could be expected to be appropriately covered through national and regional<br />

investments.<br />

In the Middle East and Eurasia, needs are for US$164 million annually for <strong>2012</strong>-<strong>2015</strong>. Three<br />

countries (Pakistan, Afghanistan and Yemen) account for more of 99% of the 56,000 regional deaths.<br />

In Eurasia, the objective is elimination. <strong>Resource</strong>s from domestic spending amount to 89% of total<br />

funding. However, Pakistan, Afghanistan and Yemen still need support by international funders. The<br />

Global Fund has invested so far US$52 million in the three countries (in Pakistan including through a<br />

debt conversion scheme with Germany), the World Bank US$2.8 million. Other funders are mainly<br />

Arab donors and Russia (the latter for elimination in Eurasian countries particularly). Continuation of<br />

the current efforts of these regional donors could help these countries to manage their relatively limited<br />

funding shortfall.<br />

3.3 Needs and funding from a sectoral point of view<br />

Prevention represents the highest cost in the <strong>GMAP</strong>, at around US$3.7-3.9 billion annually from 2010<br />

up to 2020, or 70% of the total costs. Most of these costs are almost equally distributed between indoor<br />

residual spraying (IRS, 55%) and bednets (long lasting insecticidal nets – LLINs, at almost 45%), with a<br />

relatively negligible need for intermittent preventive treatments (for children, infants, pregnant women –<br />

IPT, less than 1%). Because of the significant proportion of the <strong>GMAP</strong> resource needs in this category,<br />

cost efficiencies in the area of prevention would have a major impact in reducing the <strong>GMAP</strong> cost tag.<br />

Case management (rapid diagnostic testing, artemisinin-based combination therapy, drugs to address<br />

other malaria strains and management of severe malaria) represents some 20% of needs in the initial<br />

scale up phase (which was estimated in the <strong>GMAP</strong> to reach a pick in 2011). The <strong>GMAP</strong> projected that<br />

the success in prevention and reduction of over-treatment of fevers with antimalarials would prompt a<br />

drastic decrease in the cost of case management (to less than 10%), which would be particularly<br />

significant between <strong>2012</strong> and <strong>2015</strong>.<br />

Programme support, in the form of infrastructure, monitoring and evaluation, operational research at<br />

country level, training, salaries and other costs for the deployment of community health workers, is<br />

estimated to require 14-19% of resources and remain relatively stable between <strong>2012</strong> and <strong>2015</strong>. This is<br />

described in the <strong>GMAP</strong> as a cost component that is particularly prone to compression through better<br />

health system synergies.<br />

A separate analysis of costs is devoted in the <strong>GMAP</strong> to global research and development, for which<br />

the estimates are for US$750-800 million annually between 2010 and <strong>2015</strong> for development of drugs,<br />

vaccines and diagnostics, vector control and analysis of effectiveness and impact. The importance of<br />

research and development cannot be overestimated. Over the last ten years, innovations in long-<br />

12


lasting insecticidal nets, artemisinin combination treatments and rapid diagnostic testing have<br />

transformed the malaria landscape. Research and development is part of a continuum towards<br />

implementation of effective measures that can lead to the elimination of malaria. The immediate focus<br />

for research and development is on finding transmission blocking interventions that can radically<br />

reduce the numbers of new cases as well as new molecules that address resistance. In the meantime,<br />

a scaling up of diagnostics and appropriate treatment to complement successful vector control can<br />

bring the malaria community closer to eliminating deaths from malaria. More recent estimates by RBM<br />

Partners have identified needs as at least some US$800 million annually over the four-year period<br />

<strong>2012</strong>–<strong>2015</strong>, including support for the R&D components of the GPARC and GPIRM. A further<br />

refinement of resource needs estimates is expected in 2013, when a project to cost the R&D needs of<br />

the eradication agenda is expected to be completed. Research and development seems to have been<br />

relatively well supported by a mix of public and private donors over the past five years, though with<br />

relatively few donors and an uneven distribution of funding among the various areas that need support.<br />

3.4 Are the <strong>GMAP</strong> data on resource needs still valid?<br />

Before looking at how to mobilize existing and potential funding sources to address the funding gap for<br />

<strong>2012</strong>-<strong>2015</strong>, the legitimate question is whether the <strong>GMAP</strong> costing estimates are still valid, three years<br />

after having been developed, also considering that the environment around malaria is changing. As<br />

part of its work for the development of this resource mobilization strategy, the <strong>Resource</strong> <strong>Mobilization</strong><br />

Sub-Committee has reviewed secondary data from six high-burden and high-cost countries (DRC,<br />

Ethiopia, India, Nigeria, Tanzania and Uganda) to ascertain if new data could validate the costing<br />

estimates made in 2007. While this analysis was of limited scope due to its reliance on secondary data,<br />

country information seems to confirm that the <strong>GMAP</strong>, overall, did not overestimate the projected<br />

resource needs. Rather, it may be argued that some costs may have increased in the meanwhile, due<br />

to different factors:<br />

• As several of the 2010 targets have not been achieved and most countries have accumulated<br />

delays in the <strong>GMAP</strong> implementation (including because of insufficient funding and funding<br />

delays), the costs of the scaling up phase are still substantial for most countries and some of<br />

the resource needs that have not been met since 2008 will need to be added to the costs<br />

originally estimated for the years to come.<br />

• A more compelling set of milestones has been set in 2011 for achieving the <strong>2015</strong> <strong>GMAP</strong><br />

Objectives and Targets as compared to the original <strong>GMAP</strong> framework, requiring an<br />

accelerated scaling up of efforts.<br />

• The <strong>GMAP</strong> estimates did not factor in all costs, notably the needs for the Global Plan for<br />

Artemisinin Resistance Containment (GPARC), launched at end 2010 and those for a plan for<br />

insecticide resistance management (GPIRM), which is in the pipeline. The GPARC and GPIRM<br />

costs have been estimated respectively at US$175 million and US$195 million annually<br />

between <strong>2012</strong> and <strong>2015</strong> (for the GPIRM these are very preliminary WHO estimates).<br />

• The impact of the ongoing currency fluctuations (e.g. devaluation of the US$ over the past year)<br />

is not yet fully known, but it is likely to have an effect on current and future costs.<br />

3.5 Funding target of this resource mobilization strategy<br />

<strong>Resource</strong> requirements for global malaria prevention, control and elimination were originally estimated<br />

in the <strong>GMAP</strong> to amount to some US$6.1 billion annually between <strong>2012</strong> and <strong>2015</strong>, including US$5.3<br />

billion on average for programme costs in 109 endemic countries and US$700-800 million for global<br />

research and development of new <strong>GMAP</strong> technologies. In this resource mobilization strategy, the<br />

<strong>GMAP</strong> country needs have been updated based on UNSEO/ALMA estimates (2011). Also, based on<br />

the above mentioned estimates by PATH 10 and input from the R&A constituency, it is proposed to use<br />

the upper range of the estimated needs for research and development, while noting that these<br />

requirements rely on optimistic assumptions about the need for new classes of drugs, diagnostics, and<br />

other interventions. In this document, the Research and Development requirements also include the<br />

requirements for the Global Plan for Artemisinin Resistance Containment and the initial WHO<br />

estimates for the Global Plan for Insecticide Resistance Management. The annual requirements for<br />

global malaria prevention control and elimination would therefore amount to US$26.9 billion 11 for <strong>2012</strong>-<br />

10 Staying the Course? Malaria Research and Development in a Time of Economic Uncertainty, PATH, 2011, with further input<br />

provided by members of the R&A constituency, including the Innovative Vector Control Consortium, IS Global, Medicines for<br />

Malaria Venture, PATH Malaria Vaccine Initiative, and the University of Melbourne.<br />

11 The costs of the coordination of the global mobilization of efforts in support of the <strong>GMAP</strong> are not included in these estimates.<br />

These costs (as budgeted in the RBM Partnership Work Plan) are approximately US$20 million in <strong>2012</strong>, including currently<br />

funded as well as unfunded costs.<br />

13


<strong>2015</strong>. Assuming projected ongoing funding, materialization of already made commitments and success<br />

with some easier-to-reach funding targets, the hardest part of the funding gap (or the most difficult-toreach<br />

fundraising target) could be estimated at US$9.7 billion for <strong>2012</strong>-<strong>2015</strong> (or US$2.4 billion on<br />

average per year). Details on these figures are provided in section 4.7 on the resource mobilization<br />

scenarios.<br />

Category <strong>2012</strong> 2013 2014 <strong>2015</strong> USD<br />

Country needs 1 5'760'000'000 5'714'000'000 5'628'000'000 5'527'000'000<br />

R&D (including on resistance) 1'070'000'000 1'070'000'000 1'070'000'000 1'070'000'000<br />

Total needs 6'830'000'000 6'784'000'000 6'698'000'000 6'597'000'000 26'909'000'000<br />

Projected as available/easier to fundraise 3'900'000'000 4'240'000'000 4'570'000'000 4'500'000'000 17'210'000'000<br />

Projected funding gap 2'930'000'000 2'544'000'000 2'128'000'000 2'097'000'000 9'699'000'000<br />

1 <strong>GMAP</strong> estimates except UNSEO/ALMA estimates for Africa (projecting to <strong>2012</strong>-<strong>2015</strong> the 2010 needs for Africa at US$2.7 billion)<br />

Since the vast majority of deaths are occurring in sub-Saharan Africa, the focus on eliminating deaths<br />

from malaria means there has to be a greater focus on Africa and on essential commodities. The<br />

financing gap for Africa in terms of costs for commodities and their delivery is estimated to be<br />

approximately US$3.2 billion for the four year period <strong>2012</strong>-<strong>2015</strong>. A concentration on raising these<br />

funds and supporting national capacity to prevent, diagnose and treat malaria in Africa will reduce<br />

global deaths from malaria by as much as 90%. Most of the remaining gap in financing is to develop<br />

good strategies to delay or overcome resistance to drugs or insecticides, with the gap for Asia, Latin<br />

America/Caribbean and the Middle East expected to largely be met from domestic resources and<br />

ongoing programmes.<br />

14


4. Funding sources and resource mobilization scenarios<br />

The following chapters will review more in detail current funding patterns from a comprehensive range<br />

of funding sources and will identify a menu of action streams for potential for increased/new funding. In<br />

considering the funding options of all existing and potential avenues, close attention has been paid to<br />

some key criteria to decide on their suitability, with a focus on potential for:<br />

� Prioritizing quick wins and frontloading options that can maximize acceleration of results;<br />

� Identifying sources of funding so far under-explored that show a potential to make funding<br />

impact over <strong>2012</strong>-<strong>2015</strong>;<br />

� Building up medium to long-term sustainability and predictability of resource inflows;<br />

� Ensuring the additionality of resources raised – e.g. by making sure to use at best the<br />

comparative advantages of different RBM Partners in fundraising from different sources and<br />

avoid duplication of efforts;<br />

� Optimizing the efficiency of resource mobilization efforts, in terms of cost and effort invested in<br />

comparison to financial and political benefits gained.<br />

4.1 Domestic investments<br />

The Abuja Declaration, adopted at a 2001 summit of the Organization of African Unity, was a<br />

commitment of African States to allocate at least 15% of their annual budgets to the health sector.<br />

Analysis undertaken in 2009 for the Global Fund’s Replenishment showed that, since the Abuja<br />

Summit, many African countries had increased the proportion of their national budget allocated to<br />

health between 2001 and 2007. The WHO Statistical Information System reports that seven countries<br />

had achieved or exceeded the Abuja target in 2009, including, among the countries with the highest<br />

burden of malaria, Burkina Faso and Tanzania. Three additional countries are close to the target (Chad,<br />

Mozambique and Niger, at some 13-14%), and Uganda is at two-thirds of the path. The lowest health<br />

investments among the top high burden countries are recorded in DRC, Côte d'Ivoire and Nigeria (2 to<br />

6%).<br />

If we look at malaria commitments, extrapolation of data from the 2010 WMR shows that the proportion<br />

of <strong>GMAP</strong> annual estimated needs that are covered through domestic investments in the public sector<br />

range from close to 0 (in five of them) to some 30% (Sudan and Uganda). The potential for higher<br />

domestic investments from the public and private sector, should be considered also in the context of<br />

the economic growth of these countries. The IMF World Economic Outlook database shows that the<br />

highest GDP growth 2009/2008 among the African countries with the highest malaria burden has been<br />

recorded, in order of size, in Uganda, Nigeria, Tanzania and Mozambique (more than 6% growth<br />

annually on average between 2008 and 2010, based on constant prices and local currency) and the<br />

lowest in Chad, Cameron and DRC (between 0 and less than 3%). If we consider the high impact that<br />

malaria prevention, control and elimination has on economic growth (Malaria No More and McKinsey &<br />

Company estimated in 2008 that an investment in malaria prevention and treatment of approximately<br />

US$2.2 billion a year for five years would increase annual GDP in Africa by US$30 billion), there is a<br />

strong case, particularly for the countries experiencing significant growth, to re-invest part of their GDP<br />

increase in malaria prevention, control and elimination, so as to prompt a multiplier effect for their<br />

economic growth.<br />

The highest burden countries in Asia are India, Myanmar and Indonesia. The 2010 WMR data are not<br />

sufficiently detailed to understand the proportion of domestic malaria investment currently being made<br />

in these countries. However, for India and, to a lesser extent, Indonesia, based on their potential as<br />

emerging economies, it could be argued that these needs could be more substantially resourced<br />

domestically.<br />

In the Americas and in the Middle East/Eurasia needs are currently covered at 91% and 89%<br />

respectively by domestic investments, and this pattern could continue to be the most appropriate,<br />

possibly with additional support from regional donors to the least resourced countries in these regions.<br />

Potential for increase<br />

A positive emulation effort between the endemic African countries experiencing economic growth<br />

towards the Abuja commitments, while at the same time prioritizing malaria prevention, control and<br />

elimination, could potentially bring substantial new resources for the <strong>GMAP</strong> in <strong>2012</strong>-<strong>2015</strong>. An<br />

illustrative simulation, based on investment of a proportion of GDP growth, is proposed in annex IIb.<br />

This domestic investment effort could be facilitated, as illustrated in sections 4.2 and 4.6, by the World<br />

15


Bank and other development banks' loans and innovative financing initiatives. The above mentioned<br />

analysis of CHAI of five endemic African countries 12 identified a broad range of options for domestic<br />

innovative financing mechanisms for malaria prevention, control and elimination, from airport taxes,<br />

taxes on harmful products, incentives to private donations, prize-linked savings, community health<br />

insurance schemes, health trust funds, pooled commodity procurement, "net purchase sweepstakes"<br />

and other mechanisms to ensure sustainable financing of malaria interventions.<br />

For Asia, in the context of its participation in the work of the RBM <strong>Resource</strong> <strong>Mobilization</strong> Sub-<br />

Committee, China has asserted that it is gradually shifting to a position to be able to finance the<br />

malaria response domestically. For India and Indonesia, a similar approach could lead to significantly<br />

decreasing the <strong>2012</strong>-<strong>2015</strong> <strong>GMAP</strong> funding gap. This would require a commitment from the three<br />

countries for average annual investments in the order of US$1.9 billion for India, US$163 million for<br />

Indonesia and US$100 million for China.<br />

4.2 Multilateral funding mechanisms: Global Fund, World Bank and Regional Banks<br />

Global Fund to fight AIDS, Tuberculosis and Malaria<br />

The Global Fund has been so far a major external financier for the <strong>GMAP</strong>, having contributed 76% of<br />

total aid for malaria since 2002, and 65% in 2009 13 . Around 28% of the resources raised by the Global<br />

Fund during its history has gone to malaria prevention, control and elimination, a proportion that has<br />

consolidated over the years (it is now at around 34%), thanks to an increasing success of malaria<br />

proposals reviewed by the Technical Review Panel.<br />

At the Global Fund Replenishment Conference in New York in October 2010, US$11.7 billion were<br />

recorded as pledges and projections for the period 2011-2013. The projections amounted to US$2.5<br />

billion relative to discussions that were ongoing with traditional donors not in a position to pledge at the<br />

time, as well as new private sector donors and potential income from innovative financing initiatives.<br />

Following reports about some implementing countries’ mismanagement of the resources received, the<br />

Global Fund is now making efforts to reinvigorate the confidence of its donors, and some of them have<br />

already confirmed their support. It is nevertheless still unclear at this point in time if all the pledges<br />

made in New York, not to mention the projections, will fully materialize. The outcomes of the 2010<br />

pledging conference and the subsequent estimates and discussions seem to suggest that the Global<br />

Fund may have in the future to rely on a more limited range of core donors. In part to counteract the<br />

constrained ability to contribute among some of its traditional donors, the Global Fund has embarked<br />

on an expanded effort to increase fundraising from both public and private sources in emerging<br />

economies, with success in Russia already during the Replenishment and potential opportunities<br />

among corporations in Latin America and India.<br />

When the Global Fund Board decided to launch Round 11 only in August 2011, proposals would have<br />

been considered for approval at the earliest at the Global Fund Board Meeting in May <strong>2012</strong>. However,<br />

in light of funding uncertainties, the Global Fund’s 24 th Board Meeting in September 2011 decided to<br />

delay the closing date for Round 11 proposals until at least 1 st March <strong>2012</strong>, thus further pushing back<br />

the approval date until end <strong>2012</strong>. Based on analysis by the Global Fund of the status of pledges and<br />

contributions, and even assuming pledges would be contributed in full, projections as of 8 November<br />

2011 indicate that by the end of 2013 there may not be any uncommitted assets against which to sign<br />

new grants (i.e. under Round 11) or even a slight shortfall. A Board Working Group on Round 11 has<br />

been established to look at measures to ensure that sufficient funds can be made available to approve<br />

Round 11 albeit of smaller size. In the uncertain environment and the severe fiscal strain, most, if not<br />

all, public sector donors that are operating under the Working Group felt that it would be prudent to<br />

provide the Board with a risk-adjusted projection of uncommitted assets available for grant signing by<br />

the end of 2013. This number that will be shared with the Global Fund’s Board shortly is likely to project<br />

a substantial shortfall. The Working Group will provide recommendations to the Global Fund’s 25 th<br />

Board Meeting in November 2011 on sufficient measures to cover this potential shortfall and still fund a<br />

Round 11 possibly of US$500 million or more. The projections are not fixed and will become clearer<br />

after the Global Fund’s 25 th Board Meeting. Nonetheless, they remain projections and subject to<br />

possible revisions both up and down.<br />

12 Maintaining the Gains in Global Malaria Control, Clinton Health Access Initiative (in partnership with the Evidence to Policy<br />

Initiative of the Global Health Group at the University of California San Francisco, and the African Leaders Malaria Alliance),<br />

2011<br />

13 Global Fund to Fight AIDS, Tuberculosis and Malaria, “Making a Difference. Global Fund Results Report 2011”.<br />

16


As far as the timeframe is concerned, Round 12 approvals are likely to be pushed back, probably to<br />

2014. Disbursements would therefore be expected to materialize at the end of 2013 for Round 11 at<br />

the earliest and only in <strong>2015</strong> for Round 12. The change in the architecture of Global Fund’s financing,<br />

which is part of the ongoing development of the new Global Fund <strong>Strategy</strong>, may change the way in<br />

which resources are provided to countries (with an expected decrease in importance of annual rounds<br />

and increased reliance on single stream funding, based on national planning cycles). The Global<br />

Fund’s Board at its 24 th Meeting instructed the Secretariat to bring forward some of the foreseen<br />

measures in the new strategy and to apply them already in Round 11, such as a more interactive<br />

proposal development and greater strategic focus in the types of interventions and expenditure<br />

supported by grants.<br />

World Bank<br />

In 2005, the World Bank launched the Booster Program for Malaria in Africa, a 10-year program<br />

designed to help African nations meet the malaria control targets to which they agreed in Abuja in 2000.<br />

During its first three years (2005–2008), the Malaria Booster Program committed over US$465 million<br />

to the continent. In 2008, the World Bank launched Phase II (2008–2011) of its Booster Program and<br />

committed to an expansion of US$1.1 billion. US$300 million have so far been already engaged, thus<br />

leaving a substantial balance still due from the 2008 commitments.<br />

In addition to the Booster Program, countries can access resources from the World Bank’s<br />

International Development Association, which provides both grants and concessional loans at 0<br />

interest, 40 year maturity and 10 year grace period for payback. The 16 th IDA Replenishment can count<br />

on just under US$50 billion, all needs included, for July 2011-June 2014. The 17 th IDA Replenishment<br />

can also impact on the final stage of this resource mobilization strategy, as it will apply from July 2014.<br />

Borrowing governments have shown over the past years an increasing preference for infrastructure, in<br />

the context of the IDA Replenishments. However, the return on investment in malaria is significant<br />

enough for this to be reconsidered.<br />

Regional Banks<br />

Due to the regional configuration of the <strong>GMAP</strong> resource needs, as illustrated in the chapter 3, the role<br />

of the regional development banks is potentially important in contributing to filling the funding gap<br />

<strong>2012</strong>-<strong>2015</strong>. However, the information on the regional development banks' investments is scattered.<br />

Among the most relevant initiatives:<br />

� African Development Bank: the main reference is still the 2002 Malaria <strong>Strategy</strong>, which,<br />

aiming at the 2010 RBM targets, committed the Bank to co-financing national and regional<br />

malaria programmes directly or as part of an integrated approach for communicable disease<br />

control. The most relevant funding commitment from the Bank was, in 2006, a five-year<br />

project with the Southern African Development Community (SADC) for the control of<br />

communicable diseases, including malaria, for 20 million Units of Accounts (equivalent to<br />

US$29 million). The project was funded through grant resources from the Bank’s allocation of<br />

financing for multinational operations, and is being implemented within the framework of the<br />

Cooperation Agreement with SADC.<br />

� The Asian Development Bank launched in 2005 a project of US$30 million over 4 years as<br />

part of the Greater Mekong Subregion Program, to contain the spread of epidemic diseases at<br />

local level and reduce the burden of common endemic diseases, including malaria, in<br />

Cambodia, the Lao People's Democratic Republic and Viet Nam. The project was matched<br />

with funding from WHO and with domestic funding from the three countries. In 2010, the<br />

project was extended for 5 more years with additional US$10 million from the Bank and<br />

funding for technical assistance from the Poverty Reduction Cooperation Fund.<br />

� Inter-American Development Bank: a regional protocol for technical cooperation was<br />

established in 2010 with the Ibero-American Organization for Social Security for regional<br />

epidemiological surveillance in border areas, also including malaria, mobilizing US$1 million<br />

from the IDB Ordinary Capital for four years. Most recently, the Bank has joined forces with<br />

the Mexican Carlos Slim Foundation, the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation and the<br />

Government of Spain, which donated US$150 million for a Mesoamerica Health Initiative,<br />

including a well profiled malaria component, administered by the Bank.<br />

17


� The Islamic Development Bank is among the most active regional banks on malaria. Its Vision<br />

1440H (2020, in the Hijri calendar) identified in 2006, as a key strategic thrust, the need to<br />

address “the most severe and debilitating threats to health in the Muslim world. These are<br />

child mortality, maternal health, diseases including HIV/AIDS and malaria, and environmental<br />

sustainability (access to safe drinking water and sanitation)”. A special fund for reducing<br />

poverty in member countries was established, with the objective of, inter alia, eradicating<br />

major communicable diseases including malaria. In 2005 the Bank established a Quick-Win<br />

Malaria Program aiming at combating malaria in 10 highly endemic member countries<br />

(Burkina Faso, Chad, the Gambia, Guinea-Bissau, Indonesia, Mali, Mauritania, Niger, Senegal<br />

and Sudan), which is still in operation. The program was launched with an approval of US$50<br />

million for the initial phase (which was intended to last two years).<br />

Potential for increase<br />

The Global Fund's financing capacity over the next few years is of concern and will require the full<br />

attention of the RBM Partners. As of today, Global Fund's resources are likely to be in the near future<br />

far less than in prior rounds and also, importantly for the <strong>GMAP</strong> targets, these funds may not be<br />

available until very late into the timeframe of implementation of this strategy. The Global Fund<br />

projections are by their nature subject to uncertainty and the change from a twelve-month to the threeyear<br />

timeframe of the replenishment cycle adds to the potential volatility. This strategy tries to mitigate<br />

this uncertainty by focusing on additional funding options.<br />

There is however a great deal of potential in exploring with the Global Fund options for reallocating and<br />

re-programming existing funding based on prioritization of needs. Frontloading options were already<br />

proposed and acknowledged by the Global Fund Board at its 17 th Meeting in 2008, when a paper was<br />

presented on the Global Fund’s role as a "strategic and responsible investor in malaria" to promote<br />

accelerated support for the 2010 RBM targets. In fact, resources for approved Global Fund's grants<br />

can be “frontloaded,” and such possibility seems to have been used with successful outcomes in<br />

Ethiopia and have prevented waste of resources, e.g. for multiple tenders for procurements resulting in<br />

delays in implementation. Frontloading Global Fund resources would contribute to support the<br />

fundraising effort for the <strong>2012</strong>-<strong>2015</strong> funding gap.<br />

Another supportive action for this resource mobilization strategy would be for the Global Fund to take<br />

measures to speed up the process for signature and disbursement, when guarantees of good<br />

management by principal recipients can be provided. A key pre-requisite in the fundraising effort with<br />

the Global Fund for the years ahead is obviously, at the same time, to continue to strive for cost<br />

efficiency and effectiveness in proposal preparation and in grant implementation.<br />

It is most likely that in the future World Bank funding for malaria will increasingly materialize by closely<br />

integrating malaria activities in health system strengthening and maternal and child health interventions.<br />

This may open new funding avenues. In the meanwhile, the World Bank IDA and its preferential credit<br />

facility can represent a key, synergistic funding source for the health MDGs and the <strong>GMAP</strong>. The option<br />

is under discussion to encourage Ministers of Finance in high-burden countries in Africa to submit to<br />

the World Bank requests for IDA loans from the 16 th and 17 th Replenishments for health investments<br />

under which to prioritize malaria. Ministers of Health should support and help argument this request.<br />

This “frontloading” process through loans could contribute substantially to filling the <strong>2012</strong>-<strong>2015</strong> funding<br />

needs. In this option, it could be also envisaged that other major donors propose matching deals with<br />

high-burden countries around co-financing with IDA, including additional frontloading mechanisms.<br />

As far as the regional development banks are concerned, there seem to be a significant unmet<br />

potential, particularly taking into account that malaria appears as one of the regional banks’ priority<br />

areas of intervention in health, that the resources invested so far are well below the potential and that<br />

the possibility of frontloading grants and loans could also be pursued with regional banks. Synergies<br />

with the World Bank and other co-investors could usefully be promoted.<br />

4.3 OECD/DAC donor governments<br />

The context<br />

The Development Assistance Committee (DAC) of the Organization for Economic Cooperation and<br />

Development (OECD), which gathers the 25 traditional donor governments and the European<br />

Commission, has reported official development assistance (ODA) flows for US$128.7 billion in 2010,<br />

still representing an increase of 6.5 % over 2009. Net ODA as a share of gross national income (GNI)<br />

18


was on average 0.32% (thus with additional room for reaching the 0.7% by <strong>2015</strong> to which the<br />

OECD/DAC governments committed through the Monterrey Consensus in 2002). The forms of aid that<br />

increased more substantially over the last year were bilateral aid, debt relief and bilateral lending.<br />

Bilateral aid, including debt relief, rose by 5.9% over 2009. Bilateral ODA to Africa and to sub-Saharan<br />

Africa increased of 3.6% and 6.4% respectively.<br />

The largest aid providers by volume were the United States, the United Kingdom, France, Germany<br />

and Japan. The largest increases in real terms were recorded by Australia, Belgium, Canada, Japan,<br />

South Korea, Portugal and the United Kingdom. Decrease in aid was recorded for Greece, Ireland, Italy,<br />

New Zealand, Spain and Sweden. Denmark, Luxembourg, the Netherlands, Norway and Sweden<br />

continued to exceed the ODA/GNI target of 0.7%.<br />

The OECD-DAC Secretariat predicted in 2011 a slower but continued aid growth ahead.<br />

Programmable aid is forecasted to grow at a rate of 2% per year from 2011 to 2013. For bilateral aid<br />

only, the projected increase is 1.3% per year. The slowing down is forecasted to be more marked for<br />

support to low income countries and for Africa, where aid is projected to increase at about 1% per year<br />

in real terms, compared to a 13% annual growth rate in the past three years. The likely scenario is for<br />

an increase of aid at a pace that would be too slow to follow the pace of population growth in<br />

developing countries, particularly in Africa.<br />

Malaria Funding<br />

The G8 (G7 + Russia) committed in 2005 to contribute an additional US$1.5 billion per year to malaria,<br />

but this has yet to materialize. However, some members have substantially increased their political and<br />

financial commitment to the fight against malaria. Combining funding provided bilaterally and<br />

multilaterally (limited for this analysis to the malaria proportion of contributions to the Global Fund), and<br />

including for research and development, in 2009 the G7 donors committed to malaria prevention,<br />

control and elimination a proportion of their ODA ranging from some 0.7% to the outstanding 2.8% of<br />

the United States. Spain is the non-G7 OECD/DAC donor that over the years has invested resources<br />

at a level that is comparable to that of the core G7 donors, including with budgets dedicated to funding<br />

research and development.<br />

Among the most interesting, current commitments to the fight against malaria from OECD/DAC<br />

Member States:<br />

United States: The 2008 Lantos/Hyde Act authorized up to US$5 billion funding for malaria prevention<br />

and control for the period 2009-2013. The Act, which forms an integral part of the 2009 US<br />

Government’s Global Health Initiative (a six-year, US$63 billion commitment to global health), has<br />

inspired a comprehensive 2009-2014 Malaria <strong>Strategy</strong> that builds up on the President’s Malaria<br />

Initiative 2005-2010 and also includes substantial funding for research.<br />

United Kingdom: In December 2010, the British Prime Minister confirmed that tackling malaria was a<br />

top priority for the UK Government, and the Secretary of State for International Development has<br />

recently promised an investment of up to £500 million annually by 2014/<strong>2015</strong> in the UK Framework for<br />

Results (equivalent to some US$800 million at the time of the pledge). The UK geographical priorities<br />

in aid for malaria include all the endemic countries with the highest disease burden. The UK is also<br />

committed to increasing the proportion of its budget for research.<br />

The European Commission has launched a new MDG Initiative amounting to US$1.32 billion to support<br />

national plans in African, Caribbean and Pacific (ACP) countries and help them make progress on the<br />

MDGs, with a focus on MDGs 4 and 5. The Commission has also pledged US$1.42 billion for 2011-<br />

2013 for maternal and child health under the Muskoka Initiative. So far, the most relevant funding area<br />

in malaria, in addition to the contribution to the Global Fund, has been research and development.<br />

At the 2010 G20 Summit in Seoul, Japan reiterated its commitment to provide US$5 billion in support<br />

of the health MDGs over five years from 2011. Malaria initiatives in endemic countries are supported<br />

through grant aid and technical cooperation projects with integrated services for health system<br />

strengthening and maternal and child health.<br />

South Korea has decided to more then double its ODA/GNI ratio, from 0.1% in 2009 to 0.25% by <strong>2015</strong>.<br />

The Korean International Cooperation Agency has identified health as a priority sector, with a focus on<br />

MDGs 4, 5 and 6. South Korea has a number of ongoing projects in the health area, especially in the<br />

19


context of the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN), but it is also increasingly investing in<br />

Africa, including in the prevention of malaria and in water and sanitation projects.<br />

Potential for increase<br />

An analysis of the proportion of aid that the different OECD/DAC donors devote to malaria, either<br />

bilaterally or multilaterally, shows considerable differences between members, despite the fact that the<br />

fight against malaria is a key, common UN and OECD/DAC development goal. In fact, if all the<br />

OECD/DAC members allocated to malaria prevention, control and elimination some 2% of their aid<br />

budgets, bringing their investments closer to the proportional investment of the US, this would generate<br />

an annual revenue of some US$2.6 billion for malaria, against current investments of some US$1.5<br />

billion (see annex IIa). While this simulation is merely illustrative, it gives an indication of the monetary<br />

value that a strong political commitment from OECD/DAC members can bring in and the type of burden<br />

sharing/peer emulation that could be advocated for, particularly but not exclusively, among the G7.<br />

The outstanding effort of the UK will bring significant new resources over the next few years and will<br />

position the UK as the European OECD/DAC champion in the global fight against malaria. To identify<br />

strategically additional donors, the following parameters could be proposed: a) donor financial capacity<br />

and relatively healthy financial record, b) commitment to ODA targets, and c) expressed interest in<br />

malaria over the last five years. Based on these criteria, a rapid review points to at least three<br />

OECD/DAC members that it may be advisable to work with in the short term: Australia, Norway and<br />

South Korea. These three donors have already contributed bilaterally and multilaterally to malaria<br />

prevention, control and elimination (Australia has been a major funder for malaria research over the<br />

past few years), are still vocal in their effort to continue to aim to the 0.7% ODA target (Norway has in<br />

fact been exceeding it for years), and they also have the distinctive advantage of having recorded in<br />

2010 a relatively lower central government debt as a proportion of their GDP (less than 35%).<br />

Most of the EU Member States seem to be less well positioned, within the current context of their<br />

economic and financial vulnerability, to be able to provide any short term increase in their contribution<br />

to filling the <strong>GMAP</strong> funding gap <strong>2012</strong>-<strong>2015</strong>. However, the European Union, as mentioned above, has<br />

pledged through the European Commission considerable new resources to be deployed for the<br />

achievement of the MDGs, in consultation with the ACP countries, which could contribute significantly<br />

to supporting the <strong>GMAP</strong> fundraising agenda for <strong>2012</strong>-<strong>2015</strong>.<br />

4.4 Aid from emerging economies<br />

Some governments in non OECD/DAC countries are already funding the <strong>GMAP</strong>, but with significant<br />

potential to become more important, if not leading, actors in the fight against malaria, due to their<br />

economic growth and positioning in the global development agenda. This could be done, in some<br />

cases synergistically, through domestic commitments (for those of these countries that are also malaria<br />

endemic) as well as public sector and private sector aid. This section will address their role as public<br />

sector aid investors, while section 4.1 has reviewed their public sector’s domestic investments and<br />

section 4.5 will examine the potential role of their private sector.<br />

The G20 committed in the 2010 Seoul Development Consensus on Shared Growth to assist<br />

developing countries, particularly low-income countries, in achieving the MDGs, including through<br />

south-south and triangular cooperation. According to the World Malaria Report, the G20 countries that<br />

are not members of OECD/DAC (Argentina, Brazil, China, India, Indonesia, Mexico, Russia, Saudi<br />

Arabia, South Africa and Turkey) all had populations at risk of malaria in 2009. India, Indonesia and<br />

Brazil in particular are among the 50 countries with the highest number of cases (India is number 2).<br />

An analysis commissioned by the <strong>Resource</strong> <strong>Mobilization</strong> Sub-Committee shows that, among the new<br />

emerging economies, Brazil, Russia, India and China (BRIC) are probably the foreign aid providers of<br />

most relevant potential for supporting the <strong>GMAP</strong>. The level of aid provided by the BRIC is difficult to<br />

assess in detail but it is undoubtedly on the rise and, at least for China, India and Russia, it seem<br />

already now quite substantial. These countries have clearly expressed geopolitical interest in a number<br />

of malaria endemic countries with funding gaps. Brazil, China, India and Russia have already<br />

contributed resources to international <strong>GMAP</strong> efforts (regionally and/or in Africa). Based on the analysis<br />

performed by the RBM <strong>Resource</strong> <strong>Mobilization</strong> Sub-Committee, it seems that China and Russia<br />

contribute a significant 1.3-1.6% of their estimated aid budget to malaria. BRIC countries (with the<br />

exception of Russia) clearly prefer bilateral south-south cooperation approaches, or, in some cases,<br />

20


trilateral deals with multilateral organizations, regional development banks or traditional OECD/DAC<br />

donors (some of them, such as the UK and the US, are committed RBM Partners) 14 .<br />

Brazil has demonstrated a growing interest in technical cooperation around malaria, having supported<br />

in recent years small projects, mainly in Portuguese speaking African countries. In addition to leading<br />

the malaria agenda in the IBSA (India-Brazil-South Africa) Forum, Brazil is an active member of the<br />

Community of Portuguese Speaking Countries, headquartered in Lisbon, which also include two highcost<br />

endemic countries in Africa: Angola and Mozambique. Brazil is the 7 th largest governmental donor<br />

for the global research and development agenda.<br />

The Russian Federation has so far prioritized multilateral funding and less tied forms of aid. Russia has<br />

provided contributions to WHO and co-financed IDA operations on malaria, including US$15 million in<br />

2008-2010 under the World Bank Malaria Booster Program in Zambia and Mozambique and US$4<br />

million to WHO to support malaria interventions in Africa and the Middle East. For 2011-2014 Russia<br />

has launched a capacity building project (with over US$4.5 million funding) to be implemented in<br />

collaboration with WHO and with a main focus on malaria elimination in Africa and in the<br />

Commonwealth of Independent States.<br />

India is interested in increasing its development assistance to Africa. The first India-Africa Forum<br />

Summit, in 2008, led to a Declaration, a Framework for Cooperation and a Plan of Action that entailed<br />

a commitment by India to provide US$500 million in development assistance to Africa and included<br />

health as an area for cooperation, mentioning malaria. In 2011, India declared that it would offer US$5<br />

billion in credit to African countries for the next three years to help them meet their development targets.<br />

India is currently the 6 th largest governmental donors for malaria research and development.<br />

China has singled out malaria as one of the priority areas of its foreign aid effort in the health sector,<br />

particularly in the “Beijing Action Plan (2007-2009)” and in the subsequent “Sharm El Sheikh Action<br />

Plan (2010-<strong>2012</strong>) of the Forum on China-Africa Cooperation. The Sharm El Sheikh Action Plan,<br />

following up on a previous commitment for some US$38 million, included a new pledge to “provide<br />

RMB500 million Yuan [US$73.3 million] worth of medical equipment and malaria-fighting materials to<br />

30 hospitals and 30 malaria prevention and treatment centers built by China for Africa in the coming<br />

three years”, as well as a exchange programs in the area of malaria. News accounts have highlighted<br />

China’s efforts on malaria in high-burden countries in Africa, such as in Tanzania and Uganda.<br />

Potential for increase<br />

There is undoubtedly potential for increase in the BRIC contribution to the <strong>2012</strong>-<strong>2015</strong> needs, as in<br />

terms of economic growth all these countries continue to have a high GDP growth, ranging between 3-<br />

4% (Russia) to more than 10% (China and India). In terms of foreign aid, if all the BRICS governments<br />

contributed to a level of funding amounting to some 4% of their aid budgets), this effort could bring to<br />

some US$130 million per year, as opposed to the current US$50 million (using aid budget estimates on<br />

the higher side this amount could be as high as US$180 million) (see annex IIIa).<br />

In addition:<br />

Turkey, without having shown so far a marked interested in malaria, is nevertheless worth following<br />

closely because of its dramatic increase in foreign aid over the past few years, and because it is an<br />

influential member of the Organization of the Islamic Cooperation (which includes high-burden<br />

countries such as Bangladesh, Indonesia, Nigeria, Sudan and Uganda).<br />

For the same reason, Saudi Arabia and other oil-rich Middle East countries are also of major interest<br />

(the RBM Partnership already receives support from the Abu Dhabi Government). However, as the<br />

main potential in these countries is from foundations, it will be addressed in section 4.5 on foundations<br />

and private philanthropy.<br />

14 Both multilateral organizations and bilateral donors such as the European Commission, Japan, the UK and the US have<br />

recently engaged in discussions and negotiations, in particular with China, about reaching trilateral cooperation agreements with<br />

African countries. With some exceptions (e.g. a widely quoted DFID-funded malaria project in Angola that would have benefitted<br />

by Chinese expertise), these agreements have so far been quite complex, politically sensitive and of limited success However,<br />

US aid programs on malaria have been considered as a potential area for US-China cooperation. The potential benefit of<br />

trilateral cooperation in supporting regional approaches of broader development scope has been acknowledged by US<br />

diplomats, with the recommendation to focus this approach on projects that “have broad support within the African community,<br />

preferably African-initiated and led” (Wikileaks: “US-China development cooperation in Africa”, 07 December 2010)<br />

21


Venezuela, though not a G20 country, is an oil exporting country affected by malaria, and its active role<br />

in the context of the cooperation framework of the Amazon Countries Community could position it well<br />

to support with Brazil the funding effort to meet the <strong>GMAP</strong> needs in the region.<br />

4.5 Philanthropy and private sector’s social investment<br />

Philanthropy and social investments in traditional donor countries<br />

Philanthropic funding for the global fight against malaria is led by the Bill and Melinda Gates<br />

Foundation, which committed US$1.7 billion in grants between 2004 and 2010, with a major focus on<br />

advocacy and research and development.<br />

Other important RBM Partners in the philanthropic area have been the UN Foundation and the Clinton<br />

Foundation. The UN Foundation’s flagship initiatives have been the Nothing But Nets campaign<br />

(having raised more than US$35 million) and the UN Foundation - United Methodist Church and<br />

Lutheran World Relief campaign aimed to raise US$200 million for the malaria cause (to be channeled<br />

through the Global Fund and faith-based organizations). The Clinton Foundation directs financial<br />

resources to the implementation of its own programs on the ground, notably, on malaria, through the<br />

Clinton Health Access Initiative, currently focusing on negotiating prices of malaria drugs and analyzing<br />

and designing resource mobilization approaches for malaria elimination.<br />

Among the top 15 US foundations providing resources for global development, a few have committed<br />

funding to malaria projects, such as the Ford Foundation, mainly to assist organizations supporting<br />

Global Fund’s grants, and the Rockefeller Foundation, which has contributed significantly to support<br />

the malaria research agenda.<br />

Outside the US, the major foundations involved in malaria support have been, as a funder/implementer,<br />

the Geneva-based Aga Khan Foundation, as well as, as funders, the UK Welcome Trust, which has<br />

substantially funded research on tropical diseases, including malaria, and the Portuguese Calouste<br />

Gulbenkian Foundation, which has supported the fight against major epidemics and health system<br />

strengthening in Lusophone Africa and East Timor 15 .<br />

The corporate sector plays an important role in supporting the <strong>GMAP</strong> through direct cash contributions<br />

to research and developments and, to a lesser extent, projects, co-investments in affected<br />

communities, price reduction of commodities, in-kind donations and pro-bono services to organizations<br />

involved in the fight against malaria. Among the corporate actors involved in the fight against malaria in<br />

social responsibility and social investment activities, the Private Sector Constituency on the RBM<br />

Board counts some 20 companies. Major contributors to the malaria agenda have been made by<br />

companies, or corporate foundations, from the extractive and pharmaceutical industries as well as from<br />

producers of malaria commodities.<br />

Philanthropy and social investments in emerging economies<br />

In emerging economies, philanthropy is growing, but it is still mainly focused on domestic causes. A<br />

notable exception is the Carlos Slim Foundation in Mexico, which has a broad regional focus and has<br />

recently launched, together with the Gates Foundation, the Government of Spain and the Inter-<br />

American Development Bank, the Mesoamerica Health <strong>2015</strong> Initiative, funded with US$150 million,<br />

aiming to reduce the gap in access to health faced by the poorest 20% of the population living in<br />

Central America and Southern Mexico, and also including activities for the control of malaria.<br />

In other countries:<br />

Brazil has a long history of private philanthropy, in some cases linked to the Catholic Church.<br />

Estimates of the amounts donated each year range from US$3.9 to US$4.7 billion. The bulk of this<br />

comes from local and multinational corporations. A specific interest in funding the fight against<br />

communicable diseases has been expressed by the Fundação Vale, which is the philanthropic arm of<br />

the Vale Group (Brazilian mining company that is a member of the Global Business Coalition on<br />

HIV/AIDS, Tuberculosis and Malaria). Over the last three years, Vale invested US$725 million in social<br />

projects.<br />

15 Malaria has also been a recurrent theme for the work of fraternal organizations, such as the Rotary, Kiwanis and Lions Clubs.<br />

In addition, some relatively small foundations have also provided significant support, such as the UK Comic Relief, which has<br />

granted £6.3 million to the Global Fund and the Malaria Consortium for the distribution of bed nets, health services and malaria<br />

education programs in Africa.<br />

22


Brazil has also a large number of wealthy individuals: with nearly 150,000 high net-worth individuals<br />

(HNWIs), it ranks second to China among the BRICS group of emerging economies (Brazil, Russia,<br />

India, China, South Africa). “Ultra-high net-worth individuals” (those with financial assets in excess of<br />

US$30 million) account for 87% of the total HNWI wealth. Among the 100 richest people in the world,<br />

Forbes lists some Brazilian philanthropists who have been engaged in child development activities,<br />

such as Joseph Safra or the family Moreira Salles.<br />

Philanthropic giving in China has been reported as growing, but with a focus on domestic needs. This<br />

has been linked to the Chinese system of guanxi, or personal connections, which emphasizes<br />

personalized networks of influence in social relations and philanthropy. Some organizations already<br />

gather Chinese business around charity causes. However, the overall weight of private philanthropy in<br />

China is still modest, and many donations seem to come from the Chinese units of large multinational<br />

companies.<br />

An important development is obviously the emergence of private wealth in the country, as China<br />

records the highest number of HNWIs among the BRICS (480,000 HNWIs), and the fourth largest<br />

worldwide. A regularly published source of data on philanthropy among Chinese HNWIs is the Hurun<br />

Philanthropy Report. According to the 2011 Report, the top 100 Chinese philanthropists have donated<br />

individually some US$18.5 million annually on average. At least ten of them have expressed publicly<br />

an interest in philanthropic giving to social welfare and health causes. About half of them have now<br />

their own personal foundation, and some of them fund child welfare projects (e.g. the BYD Charity<br />

Foundation, the Yu Pengnian Foundation). The Li Ka Shing Foundation in Hong Kong has also funded<br />

projects on malaria. In addition, it seems that Diaspora philanthropy is also on the rise, so far providing<br />

support mainly to Chinese organizations for the development, social welfare and education of the<br />

people in connected clans and counties.<br />

Private philanthropy in India has traditionally been guided by religion and caste, clan, family and<br />

community demand, but, more recently, also by the development of a more modern corporate social<br />

responsibility culture. Reliable estimates of the amounts donated each year are not available for recent<br />

years, with figures as high as US$5 billion mentioned (2006). Philanthropy in India has been<br />

characterized as typically inward-looking, focused on domestic needs (mainly education, but also<br />

health) and not much prone to be reported publicly.<br />

India has a relatively large number of wealthy citizens: 130,000 are HNWI, with a considerable<br />

proportional increase in their number (+51%) between 2008 and 2009. Forbes currently lists 7 persons<br />

among the 100 richest people in the world. Among them, there are personalities such as Mukesh<br />

Ambani (who supports with his wife two Indian foundations linked to his corporate group, the Reliance<br />

Foundation and the Dhirubhai Ambani Foundation, focusing on occupational health as well as<br />

community health care, and including malaria), or the industrialist Gautam Adani, whose wife leads the<br />

Adani Foundation, which implements, inter alia, activities against malaria in India.<br />

Another significant potential could be found in the Indian corporate sector, although, at first glance,<br />

malaria does not seem to have featured prominently in Indian corporate social responsibility activities,<br />

certainly much less than HIV/AIDS. However, there are examples of interest, such as Tata Iron and<br />

Steel, one of India's largest conglomerates, has sponsored numerous community health programmes<br />

in India in the areas of direct relevance to malaria, such as human capital, mother and child health,<br />

water and sanitation.<br />

Other philanthropic sources with known potential are the international oriented foundations from oil<br />

exporting countries in the Middle East. The most advanced philanthropic markets for this type of<br />

foundations, virtually all supported by royal families and their networks, are in Jordan, Kuwait, Qatar,<br />

Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates. In addition to regional support, these foundations could be<br />

targeted for their potential to be interested in supporting, more broadly, cost-driving malaria endemic<br />

countries that are members of the Organization of Islamic Cooperation.<br />

Last but not least, there are developments in philanthropic giving in Africa. The Gift from Africa<br />

Campaign, which was announced at the MDG Summit in September 2010 and launched in Africa, with<br />

initial pledges of US$3 million, was supported by the TY Danjuma Foundation, together with the United<br />

Nations Global Compact, Friends of the Global Fund Africa, and the Global Business Coalition on<br />

HIV/AIDS, Tuberculosis and Malaria. This initiative has been able not only to gather support for the<br />

Global Fund from the private sector in Africa, but also to engage a new champion from the business<br />

sector, the South African philanthropist Precious Moloi-Motsepe.<br />

23


Potential for increase<br />

There are ad-hoc examples of many foundations supporting the fight against malaria in traditional<br />

donor countries, but their financial commitment cannot at any rate compare with the financial support<br />

that has been provided over the years by the Gates Foundation. In perspective, however, it is important<br />

to note that at least four out of the 15 major US foundations have as a main thematic priority maternal<br />

and child health, and they could therefore be the target of ad hoc fundraising effort aimed to support<br />

the scaling up of support to malaria prevention, control and elimination as an effective step to<br />

accelerate impact on maternal and child health.<br />

All in all, the highest potential for new substantial money from philanthropy in western countries could<br />

come from social investment and innovative financing deals, including with venture philanthropy. Some<br />

of these organizations, such as the Children's Investment Fund Foundation (CIFF) or the Acumen<br />

Fund, have an international portfolio with a direct link to child survival and health, thus with a significant<br />

potential to include malaria, and they can become interested in matching their investments with the<br />

contributions of other major donors (including the Gates Foundation, as it has been the case for CIFF<br />

in supporting the fight against malnutrition). The UNF Pledge Guarantee for Health can offer additional<br />

opportunities (see following section).<br />

Opportunities for increase seem also to be found in business in endemic countries, particularly in<br />

emerging economies from Asia and in Africa, and, more traditionally, in oil exporting countries.<br />

If increasing contributions from foundations and other philanthropists in the various regions are<br />

pursued, and as funding decisions in the philanthropic area are mainly made based on the influence of<br />

networks and connections, a preliminary strategic mapping of the leverage that can be obtained from<br />

RBM Partners would be needed to fully exploit the fundraising potential of philanthropy.<br />

4.6 Innovative financing<br />

The <strong>Resource</strong> <strong>Mobilization</strong> Sub-Committee established an Innovative Financing Task Force, led by the<br />

Private Sector constituency, to review a comprehensive list of mechanisms within health, energy,<br />

agriculture and development and propose potential new mechanisms that could help fill the funding<br />

gap for <strong>2012</strong>-<strong>2015</strong>, develop selection criteria and shortlist the most promising mechanisms.<br />

This work was presented to the RBM Board at its 20 th Meeting in May 2011. The Board asked the Task<br />

Force to develop a business plan for the possible implementation of a Malaria Bond, prioritize other<br />

proposals and develop business plans for one or maximum two additional proposals between rounding<br />

up credit/debit card spending and donations via ATM (possibly merged in one initiative), Diaspora<br />

bonds and remittances.<br />

Based on further analysis, the Task Force decided to pursue the possibility to include the Diaspora<br />

bond within the Malaria Bond concept. It was decided that this would be looked at once the malaria<br />

bond was implemented to capitalize on lessons learnt. However, while developing the Business Plan<br />

for the Malaria Bond, the Task Force decided to develop concept notes for Diaspora bonds for malaria<br />

as well as a bond aimed at implementing malaria activities within the private sector in malaria endemic<br />

countries. These two concept papers will be presented to the Board at the 21 st Board Meeting in<br />

November 2011.<br />

The Malaria Bond business plan looks at setting up a pilot bond for approximately US$50 million to be<br />

implemented before <strong>2015</strong> and gives further thought to how this can be scaled up. However it is clear<br />

that the pilot will give extensive learning and proof of concept which will be used to develop this further.<br />

UNITAID<br />

Brazil, Chile, France, Norway, the United Kingdom and the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation<br />

established UNITAID in 2006 to contribute to scaling up access to treatment for HIV/AIDS, malaria and<br />

tuberculosis by leveraging price reductions and accelerating access to drugs and diagnostics. UNITAID<br />

derives most of its funding from an air solidarity levy which ranges from US$1 for economy class to a<br />

maximum of US$40 for business and first class. Currently, eight countries contribute to UNITAID<br />

through the airline tax system and some more through regular ODA contributions or other funding<br />

mechanisms.<br />

24


Since its creation, UNITAID has committed US$350 million for provision of malaria drugs and supplies.<br />

Malaria projects have represented so far some 26% of the total UNITAID portfolio. As part of the<br />

UNITAID <strong>Strategy</strong> 2010-<strong>2012</strong>, an ongoing project for forecasting artemisinin and ACT demand and<br />

supply will contribute to a decision by the UNITAID Board in <strong>2012</strong> regarding a new call for proposals for<br />

innovative approaches to the provision of drugs, including for malaria (and will define future support to<br />

the Affordable Medicines Facility for malaria). In the meanwhile, a call for proposals was launched this<br />

year to promote the uptake of diagnostic technologies, which should allow opening this channel of<br />

funding in mid-<strong>2012</strong>.<br />

UNITAID, which is currently relying on a relatively restricted donor basis, is working on a resource<br />

mobilization strategy for the years to come, which, if successful, would provide additional opportunities<br />

to finance the <strong>2012</strong>-<strong>2015</strong> needs for the <strong>GMAP</strong> as part of the UNITAID support to the fight against the<br />

three diseases. Based on an initial landscaping, UNITAID currently sees its most relevant fundraising<br />

opportunities in consolidating the engagement of current donors, both through air taxes and ODA<br />

contributions, increasing the number of governments implementing the air solidarity levy, with a<br />

particular focus on emerging economies, exploring the possibility of involving the business sector in<br />

voluntary solidarity contributions linked to air travel (e.g. in China) and possibly accessing funding<br />

through other innovative financing mechanisms currently being discussed by the development<br />

community, such as a solidarity tobacco levy or the financial transaction/currency transaction taxes.<br />

Another area with potential impact on this resource mobilization strategy could come from UNITAID<br />

supporting challenge grants for promoting new or improved technologies that can shape the market for<br />

malaria products.<br />

Debt to Health<br />

The Global Fund's Debt to Health mechanism allows creditors and debtors to collaborate through debt<br />

conversions to increase funding for Global Fund approved grants. Under a Debt to Health agreement,<br />

creditors cancel a portion of their claims on the condition that the beneficiary country invests an agreed<br />

counterpart amount in its national health programs through an approved Global Fund grant. The<br />

revenue is reported as Global Fund's income.<br />

To date, four Debt to Health agreements have been signed. They involve Australia and Germany as<br />

creditor countries and Indonesia, Pakistan and Côte d’Ivoire as debtors/beneficiaries. Deals have been<br />

concluded for some total US$105 million since 2007, of which some US$32 million could be attributed<br />

to malaria grants in the three beneficiary countries.<br />

UNF Pledge Guarantee for Health<br />

The UN Foundation has established the Pledge Guarantee for Health (PGH), an innovative financing<br />

mechanism backed by the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation. This mechanism provides bridge<br />

financing by organizing guarantees through Letters of Credit, so that health supplies can be shipped<br />

while the normal processes of transferring donor funding for a particular commodity are worked out. In<br />

late 2010, PGH helped the Government of Zambia, the World Bank and UNICEF accelerate delivery of<br />

800,000 malaria bed nets ahead of the rainy season, potentially saving thousands of lives and millions<br />

of dollars in the local health system. PGH has therefore added an important frontloading capacity,<br />

which broadened the solutions that existed before to increase access for LLINs, namely: (1) for donors,<br />

to provide more funding to secure additional supplies and commodities to reach underserved<br />

populations; (2) for manufacturers, to lower their prices so that more supplies and commodities could<br />

be secured with existing funding.<br />

Potential for increase<br />

Additional funding could be generated from new ideas and deals with innovative financing mechanisms<br />

that have already supported malaria prevention and control targets.<br />

The UNF/PGF is a case in point. The PGF is structuring a framework to amortize payments of<br />

contraceptive implants across multiple years. There is a potential to do the same for LLINs, by<br />

leveraging both Letters of Credit and Supplier Credit through bank guarantees so that donors and<br />

endemic countries can provide bridge financing to accelerate delivery of LLINs. Without needing to<br />

increase funding for LLINs, PGH enables donors and endemic countries to frontload the delivery of<br />

LLINs in order to benefit from more years of protection. Countries are able to avert more deaths for the<br />

same funding envelope, sidestepping funding constraints and ultimately enhancing value for donor<br />

funding.<br />

25


The establishment of an ad-hoc innovative financing mechanism, such as the malaria bond, fully<br />

dedicated to increasing resources for the <strong>GMAP</strong> <strong>2012</strong>-<strong>2015</strong> is another promising option, which would<br />

challenge the RBM Partnership to strengthen its capacity to manage a relatively complex process<br />

which requires investment and sustainable support. A separate analysis is provided to the RBM Board<br />

by the RBM Task Force on Innovative Financing.<br />

Innovative financing solutions adapted to specific country conditions can also be envisaged to be<br />

proposed for adoption to foster domestic investments in emerging economies and other endemic<br />

countries with a high malaria burden. For example a proposal to establish some innovative financing<br />

options is being considered in Nigeria, with the support of the Friends of the Fund Africa. Other options<br />

have been reviewed and presented in a piece of research by CHAI, already mentioned under 4.1.<br />

4.7 <strong>Resource</strong> mobilization scenarios<br />

Based on the analysis of the status and potential of the funding sources described in the preceding<br />

sections as well as taking into account the inputs provided by the major donors to the section on<br />

financing of the <strong>GMAP</strong> Implementation Overview, some high-level estimates are presented here of<br />

possible levels of fundraising efforts to fill the <strong>2012</strong>-<strong>2015</strong> funding gap. These estimates are illustrated<br />

through scenarios:<br />

1. "Conservative” scenario: the main assumption of this scenario is that the major, current donors will<br />

continue to contribute to malaria prevention, control and elimination at current levels or as committed or<br />

estimated as of 8 November 2011 (notably the US, the UK, the World Bank and other regional banks,<br />

the Global Fund, the Gates Foundation). This scenario assumes that the risk that these donors may<br />

decide to reduce contributions from now on is low, but it takes into account the recent uncertainties<br />

regarding the Global Fund's potential for providing resources (updated as of 8 November 2011 and<br />

subject to further adjustments based on forthcoming discussions at the Global Fund's Board).<br />

2. "Moderate growth” scenario: the assumption underpinning this scenario is for limited additional<br />

funding flows that should be possible to mobilize with a relatively modest fundraising effort. These are,<br />

namely, materialization of additional commitments of US and UK, current level of malaria aid of other<br />

OECD/DAC members, the European Commission and major emerging economies (with a slight<br />

increase from them), projected revenue from Global Fund rounds 11 and 12 (as of 8 November 2011),<br />

available funding from the World Bank’s Booster Phase II, continuation of current UNITAID support as<br />

well as continuation of domestic spending for malaria in endemic countries at the same level as<br />

reported in the 2010 WMR. This moderate growth path (which may stop and stabilize at around 2014,<br />

if no new sources are added) would not allow meeting the needs by <strong>2015</strong>, or even later.<br />

If maintained at these levels, funding would be still insufficient to address the needs for the next four<br />

years, and the funding gap would remain extremely challenging. Based on the analysis of the current<br />

and potential funding sources described in the previous chapters, it is possible to project a more<br />

ambitious "accelerated growth" scenario, based on the assumption that a robust and creative<br />

fundraising effort by all RBM Partners could result in much more significant increases in domestic<br />

investments in emerging economies and in Africa, additional aid from the G7 and other selected<br />

OECD/DAC members, more international investment from emerging economies, more funding from<br />

philanthropic sources. There is also a larger scope for a range of frontloading options in this model,<br />

notably through loans from the World Bank's IDA (thus supporting domestic investments, particularly<br />

from Africa) and regional banks, reprogramming opportunities with the Global Fund and the<br />

development of bonds dedicated to/including funding for malaria. The figures in this scenario would be<br />

at this stage more theoretical than those in the other scenarios and they are therefore not presented<br />

here in detail since they are not corroborated with donors and endemic countries. However, the growth<br />

path that could characterize this more ambitious scenario is factored in in the graph which follows.<br />

26


US$<br />

8'000'000'000<br />

7'000'000'000<br />

6'000'000'000<br />

5'000'000'000<br />

4'000'000'000<br />

3'000'000'000<br />

2'000'000'000<br />

1'000'000'000<br />

0<br />

Conservative scenario 2'795'000'000 2'775'000'000 2'775'000'000 2'725'000'000<br />

Moderate growth scenario 3'900'000'000 4'240'000'000 4'570'000'000 4'500'000'000<br />

Projected achievement path 3'900'000'000 4'700'000'000 5'600'000'000 6'597'000'000<br />

Projected achievement path<br />

with frontloading<br />

<strong>2012</strong> 2013 2014 <strong>2015</strong><br />

4'500'000'000 4'700'000'000 5'600'000'000 6'597'000'000<br />

<strong>Resource</strong> needs 6'830'000'000 6'784'000'000 6'698'000'000 6'597'000'000<br />

Projected funding flow by funding source (as of 8 November 2011, in US$)<br />

<strong>2012</strong> 2013 2014 <strong>2015</strong> Comments<br />

<strong>Resource</strong><br />

needs<br />

Conservative scenario<br />

Moderate growth scenario<br />

Projected achievement path<br />

Projected achievement path with<br />

frontloading<br />

US ongoing (multi-bilateral) 1 585'000'000 585'000'000 585'000'000 585'000'000<br />

UK ongoing ((multi-bilateral<br />

projection) 1<br />

130'000'000 130'000'000 150'000'000 150'000'000<br />

UK potential (additional multibilateral)<br />

1<br />

Continuation of expected <strong>2012</strong> funding<br />

<strong>GMAP</strong> IO<br />

120'000'000 320'000'000 650'000'000 650'000'000 <strong>GMAP</strong> IO + Framework for Results<br />

Other OECD/DAC ongoing<br />

(bilateral projection)<br />

110'000'000 110'000'000 110'000'000 110'000'000 Based on bilateral aid 2009 (OECD/DAC) + R&D 2009 (Path)<br />

EC ongoing (projection - R&D) 30'000'000 30'000'000 30'000'000 30'000'000 2009 contribution to R&D<br />

Emerging economies ongoing<br />

(multi-bilateral projection) 1<br />

50'000'000 50'000'000 50'000'000 50'000'000<br />

Emerging economies potential<br />

(additional multi-bilateral) 1<br />

Estimated continuation 2009 support incl. research<br />

10'000'000 20'000'000 20'000'000 50'000'000 Assuming BRIC increase to reach burden sharing - average estimate of aid<br />

levels<br />

GFATM ongoing (projection) 430'000'000 410'000'000 390'000'000 340'000'000 <strong>GMAP</strong> IO<br />

GFATM potential (additional,<br />

lower)<br />

100'000'000 100'000'000 100'000'000 40% of round 11 and 12 (at 0.5 billion) - only phases 1 expected by <strong>2015</strong><br />

WB ongoing (projection) 50'000'000 50'000'000 50'000'000 50'000'000 <strong>GMAP</strong> IO<br />

WB committed 200'000'000 250'000'000 250'000'000 200'000'000 <strong>GMAP</strong> IO: Booster Phase II<br />

Regional Banks ongoing<br />

(projection)<br />

30'000'000 30'000'000 30'000'000 30'000'000<br />

BMGF ongoing (projection) 1 Past programmes<br />

170'000'000 170'000'000 170'000'000 170'000'000 <strong>GMAP</strong> IO<br />

IF ongoing (projection) 50'000'000 50'000'000 50'000'000 50'000'000 26% of UNITAID tax component (2010 budget)<br />

Domestic ongoing (projection) 1'350'000'000 1'350'000'000 1'350'000'000 1'350'000'000 WMR 2010 based on 2009 expenditures<br />

1 Excluding commitments to Global Fund for 2011-2013<br />

A 2'795'000'000 2'775'000'000 2'775'000'000 2'725'000'000 Conservative=expected<br />

B 1'105'000'000 1'465'000'000 1'795'000'000 1'775'000'000 Easier to reach funding level<br />

C 3'900'000'000 4'240'000'000 4'570'000'000 4'500'000'000 Moderate growth (A+B)<br />

27


5. <strong>Resource</strong> mobilization strategy overview<br />

The <strong>GMAP</strong> needs overall funding support to meet its needs for <strong>2012</strong>-<strong>2015</strong>. A summary of strategic<br />

fundraising streams (with some of them interacting and/or overlapping) is proposed below, together<br />

with a range of related strategic actions that derive from the analysis of the current and potential<br />

funding sources performed in the previous chapters.<br />

A. Mobilize growing domestic public sector funding<br />

There is ample justification for high-burden African and Asian countries to continue to make investment<br />

in malaria prevention and control, in view of the high economic return and, for the African countries,<br />

also to incrementally align their investments to the commitments they made in Abuja on increasing<br />

health investments. This resource mobilization strategy recommends that:<br />

A.1 Encourage African and Asian endemic countries to engage to progress towards more ambitious<br />

domestic funding targets. Options would include accessing loans from the IDA (see sections 4.1 and<br />

4.2) as well as increased private sector investment in malaria, in particular for those countries that are<br />

experiencing an economic growth. Inter-governmental processes, such as in the context of the Africa<br />

Union, ASEAN and regional economic communities in Africa and Asia would be essential to advocate<br />

for the need for strong political leadership to drive this process.<br />

A.2 Work with robust emerging economies such as Brazil, China, India and Indonesia, to maintain and<br />

increase domestic spending for adequately cover their own needs. If these countries cover as much as<br />

possible of their cost share in the <strong>GMAP</strong>, this would allow the fundraising effort of the RBM Partnership<br />

to concentrate on poor countries with the greatest needs. In this context, it should be noted that the<br />

Ministers of Health of the BRICS group of countries issued the Beijing Declaration in July 2011, which<br />

institutionalizes the dialogue among the Ministries and the Geneva Permanent Missions around health<br />

priorities. Challenges and opportunities for domestic engagement in malaria prevention, control and<br />

elimination as well as synergies with other health areas, such as health system strengthening, could be<br />

promoted as a core part of this agenda.<br />

B. Maintain and expand the funding basis from traditional donors<br />

Even if development assistance from OECD/DAC governments was not to increase significantly in the<br />

next few years, they need to remain a key funding source for the <strong>GMAP</strong>. <strong>Resource</strong> mobilization<br />

activities aiming at maximizing contributions from these traditional donors will therefore continue to<br />

remain central to the <strong>2012</strong>-<strong>2015</strong> <strong>GMAP</strong> fundraising effort. This strategy will need to be adjusted<br />

regularly to take into account the evolving challenges and opportunities with them.<br />

B.1 Maintain G7 leadership in funding the next phase of the <strong>GMAP</strong> implementation: seize the<br />

opportunity that the next two G8 Summits will be hosted by supportive governments (US, UK) to<br />

continue to support the Global Fund’s fundraising effort and profile malaria prevention, control and<br />

elimination and its value for money in the development financing agenda of the G7 and the urgency of<br />

scaling up investments as the last opportunity to impact on the <strong>2015</strong> targets, including on maternal and<br />

child health.<br />

B.2 Build convincingly the case for <strong>GMAP</strong> support and links to the maternal and child health agenda<br />

with a selected group of other OECD/DAC governments having the potential to become more relevant<br />

bilateral and multilateral donors for malaria. This should be done through tailor-made strategies for<br />

each donor including high-level consultations led by the best positioned RBM Partners with decision<br />

makers of these governments in both capitals and embassies in endemic countries, as well as through<br />

advocacy and communication activities aiming at creating conducive environments with the media, the<br />

parliaments and the public. Section 4.3 has highlighted possible immediate targets and approaches.<br />

B.3 Work with the European Commission to tap into the new EC/ACP resources for the achievement of<br />

the MDGs and maternal and child health, while preparing dialogue with the Commission on the<br />

Multiannual Financial Framework 2014-2020. This would include particularly establishing a timely<br />

dialogue with the EC Directorate General for Development and Cooperation/Europeaid and the<br />

Directorate General for Research.<br />

C. Increase aid from emerging economies<br />

28


This resource mobilization strategy proposes an increase in the emerging economies’ support to the<br />

<strong>GMAP</strong> for <strong>2012</strong>-<strong>2015</strong> through a variety of means, including, for emerging economies that are also highcost<br />

countries in the <strong>GMAP</strong>, domestic funding from the public and private sector (see strategic streams<br />

A.2 and F.2). In addition, emerging economies can become leading international donors for malaria<br />

prevention, control and elimination. This strategy suggests focusing on a few strategic emerging<br />

donors:<br />

C.1 Establish dialogue with aid decision makers in emerging economies such as Brazil, India and<br />

China on ongoing and potential support to countries/regions of geo-political priority that are high<br />

burden countries with funding gaps (including increased investments in malaria in the agendas of the<br />

ASEAN, China/Africa and India/Africa cooperation fora, the Amazon Cooperation Treaty Organization,<br />

the Community of Portuguese Language Countries).<br />

C.2 Recruit at least one champion from emerging economies for profiling malaria financing in the G20<br />

development agenda emerging from the Seoul Development Consensus for Shared Growth.<br />

C.3 Profile malaria funding in ongoing discussions of trilateral development agreements between<br />

emerging economies, OECD-DAC/regional development banks/multilateral donors and third countries.<br />

C.4 Explore interest in malaria funding from other emerging donors that are increasing substantially<br />

their aid package, such as Turkey (e.g. in support to needs in endemic countries that are members of<br />

the Organization of Islamic Cooperation).<br />

C.5 Retain funding commitment from Russia, and mobilize Russia’s political support for positioning<br />

malaria in the G8 development discussions.<br />

D. Frontload resources to accelerate impact of domestic investments and aid<br />

Frontloading has the potential to be an extremely important tool to fundraise for the <strong>2012</strong>-<strong>2015</strong> needs,<br />

since it would allow accelerated investment, which would show results by <strong>2015</strong> (see section 4.2). At the<br />

same time, frontloading through loans (e.g. by the World Bank or regional banks) would encourage<br />

domestic investments and contribute to fulfilling the international commitments on health spending.<br />

Finally, in the hope that the financial vulnerability of the OECD/DAC members is a relatively short term<br />

liquidity crisis, frontloading resources would help bridge the urgent financial shortfall of the <strong>GMAP</strong> and<br />

allow the aid budgets of traditional donor countries to recover and resume their support for malaria<br />

prevention, control and elimination.<br />

A few proposals are put forwards in this strategy focusing on the possibility to frontload funding that<br />

would otherwise only become available after <strong>2015</strong> (in addition to the establishment of a "malaria bond",<br />

which is reviewed in the section E. below):<br />

D.1 Take forward discussions with the World Bank and African Ministers of Finance on options for IDA<br />

loans, with a focus on the 16 th and 17 th Replenishments.<br />

D.2 Explore reprogramming options with the Global Fund to maximize Global Fund’s resources for the<br />

<strong>GMAP</strong> for the <strong>2012</strong>-<strong>2015</strong> period, including in the context of the current reprioritization process.<br />

D.3 Pursue opportunities with regional banks, along with the discussion with the World Bank, to<br />

support substantial scaling up of funding for regional <strong>GMAP</strong> needs and synergistic results with other<br />

health objectives, e.g. through matching mechanisms and incentives for regional cooperation.<br />

E. Apply innovative financing solutions<br />

Innovative financing is playing an important role in funding health and development, including malaria<br />

prevention, control and elimination. It is recommended to continue exploring innovative mechanisms<br />

such as those undertaken by UNITAID and also identify other possible avenues for funding, based on<br />

criteria of comparative advantage, additionality, predictability and sustainability. Innovative financing<br />

options have been described in various parts of this strategy and have already been mentioned in the<br />

previous sections. The most relevant proposals are grouped as follows:<br />

E.1 Create a dedicated innovative financing mechanism in support of the <strong>2012</strong>-<strong>2015</strong> needs, e.g. in the<br />

form of a malaria bond.<br />

29


E.2 Support UNITAID in ongoing fundraising efforts to bring in new countries adopting air taxes and<br />

voluntary air-travel related contribution schemes, while maximizing the opportunities for malaria that<br />

are being offered by the 2011-<strong>2012</strong> UNITAID calls for proposals on diagnostics and drug procurement<br />

and, potentially, a challenge grant for new LLIN technology.<br />

E.3 Further explore use of remittances and Diaspora bonds to increase domestic resources for malaria<br />

prevention, control and elimination.<br />

E.4 Explore options for additional debt conversion deals (within and outside the Global Fund Debt to<br />

Health mechanism) in support of the <strong>GMAP</strong>.<br />

E.5 Expand use of the UN Foundation Pledge Guarantee for Health.<br />

F. Encourage sustained private sector and philanthropic support<br />

Increased contributions from foundations and other philanthropists in both traditional and non<br />

traditional donor countries as well as for domestic needs could be pursued through various means:<br />

F.1 Outreach to private sector actors in endemic countries in Africa to identify opportunities for<br />

corporate engagement in support of domestic malaria prevention, control and elimination needs. An<br />

advocacy/fundraising event with the African private sector is planned on the occasion of the <strong>2012</strong><br />

World Malaria Day in Tanzania. The initial fundraising target is US$10 million. Based on the success of<br />

this event, and some landscaping analysis, a broader and more stable partnership for supporting the<br />

<strong>2012</strong>-<strong>2015</strong> needs could be established with leading private sector champions in Africa.<br />

F.2 Engage the private sector in emerging economies to contribute to filling domestic and international<br />

needs, including through the above mentioned innovative financing mechanisms (e.g. bonds, voluntary<br />

contributions to UNITAD from business travels, remittances, in-kind provision of high quality products<br />

and services at international standards, etc.).<br />

F.3 Develop ideas to solicit additional support from foundations, e.g. in the form of challenge grants or<br />

matching gift mechanisms, in collaboration with the Gates Foundation or other major partner<br />

foundations, aiming at leveraging support to the global maternal and child health agenda with a well<br />

profiled malaria component (and, for example, allowing foundations or HNWIs from emerging<br />

economies to contribute to the needs of their countries or regions).<br />

G. Explore cost efficiencies and better integrated services to decrease resource needs<br />

Several studies have been undertaken to examine the possibility of cost efficiencies. The below<br />

suggestions are summarized from CHAI ("Value for Money in Malaria Programming: Issues and<br />

Opportunities", 2011) and R4D (Results for Development, 2011 - Box 2).<br />

G.1 Identify more effective ways of procuring LLINs. Bednet programs amount for more than 80% of<br />

spending. There could be gains of 10% or so from more efficient procurement. Gains in value for<br />

money would be obtained by measures such as better spatial targeting, longer net life or more efficient<br />

replacement, as well as cutting net prices. It may also important to explore further public demand for<br />

LLINs in endemic countries by promoting a cheaper shorter-lasting insecticidal net to be uniquely<br />

available for purchase by the public in order to test and develop the private market.<br />

G.2 Reduce overlap of LLINs and IRS programs, at least until more is known about the possible<br />

benefits of providing them together. Most spraying is currently done in areas that are also covered by<br />

bednet programs. Research is underway to estimate the additional protection provided by the<br />

combination of the two interventions, to be weighed against the additional cost.<br />

G.3 Rotate insecticides used for IRS to delay resistance. The spread of resistance to current<br />

insecticides is a serious threat to malaria prevention and control and value for money of malaria<br />

interventions. Both the use of multiple insecticides in vector control programs and the development of<br />

new ones are a high priority, as well as continuing research and bringing down the costs of existing<br />

alternatives.<br />

G.4 Accelerate the availability and appropriate use of RDTs. RDTs are cost effective when the benefit<br />

of appropriate treatment of non-malarial fevers are considered.<br />

30


G.5 Better understand the efficiencies of integrated health packages including systematically malaria<br />

prevention, control and elimination components. Analyses have been carried out in different countries<br />

of the costs of integrating bednets, in particular, into measles, water and sanitation, HIV/AIDS or polio<br />

vaccination interventions. Overall, it has been argued that integration results in reduced costs,<br />

increased coverage, early detection, reduction in stigma and delayed disease progression (e.g. for<br />

HIV/AIDS) through prevention of malaria. However, on the negative side, a major reason for not using<br />

an integrated approach has been the need to achieve rapid scale up in targets through large-scale,<br />

disease-focused national campaigns. A more in-depth validation of integration costs and savings and a<br />

review of financing models and opportunities and obstacles for integration are needed for making a<br />

convincing case for integration approaches with national authorities and donors.<br />

Box 2 - Cost efficiencies in LLIN procurement<br />

R4D (Results for Development) has noted annual decreases in pricing from 2007 given increasing<br />

volumes and a more diversified supplier base, with 3 suppliers in 2007 and 10 suppliers in 2011.These<br />

price declines have accelerated in 2011.<br />

R4D has identified three potential opportunities for increasing the efficiency of the LLIN marketplace:<br />

a) focus on highest value for money products;<br />

b) reduce the fragmentation of packaging and specifications (200+ supplier offerings, with ~25<br />

commonly purchased variants); and<br />

c) strengthen strategic national procurement capacity (e.g. improved forecasting/quantification, splitting<br />

tenders).<br />

The streamlining of packaging and specifications would not only save well over US$100 million over 5<br />

years, but it would also lead to a reduction of over one month in lead time to delivery.<br />

R4D will also continue to explore the following key issues in coming months to determine any potential<br />

market dynamics interventions:<br />

Product<br />

innovation<br />

Competitive<br />

marketplace<br />

Country<br />

strategies<br />

Local<br />

production<br />

� Price focused tenders reduce incentives for innovations on quality<br />

� Insecticide resistance is emerging as a key concern, though next generation<br />

‘resistance’ nets may be more expensive → need to review procurement policies,<br />

incentives for innovation around resistance-management nets.<br />

Market conditions (e.g. challenges in production planning, ‘winner takes all’<br />

tenders, decreasing prices) may threaten a competitive, sustainable supplier base.<br />

� Net usage rates are below target levels, with limited evidence on drivers of net<br />

usage → need to develop, incorporate info into LLIN strategies<br />

� Effective continuous replacement financing, procurement strategies are critical to<br />

establish following universal coverage push.<br />

R4D will explore local production as it relates to market dynamics impact (e.g.<br />

shorter lead times, reduced delivery costs) with development benefits examined by<br />

the School of Oriental and African Studies (SOAS) and others.<br />

31


Special Focus on Africa<br />

The vast majority of deaths are occurring in sub-Saharan Africa. The financing gap for commodities<br />

and their delivery is US$3.2 billion from now until the end of <strong>2015</strong>. Based on current discussions<br />

strategic action on this special focus objective would include:<br />

� US$1 billion anticipated from the Global Fund which will be applied to <strong>2015</strong> targets and could<br />

potentially fully fund <strong>2015</strong> needs for Africa with the exception of except Nigeria, the cost driver<br />

in the continent 16 .<br />

� US$ 1 billion needed for Nigeria for <strong>2012</strong>-15 to be addressed by a special support group,<br />

including the federal and state governments of Nigeria and committed donors;<br />

� US$ 0.6 billion for <strong>2012</strong>-2014 for African countries (except Nigeria) to be mobilized through<br />

development banks' loans and the Global Fund’s Transitional Funding Mechanism;<br />

� US$ 0.6 billion, the remaining funding gap, to be mobilized <strong>2012</strong>-2014 through other donors,<br />

still to be identified.<br />

ALMA and the RBM Harmonization Working Group, together with relevant Board members and<br />

members of relevant RBM Committees and supported by the RBM Situation Room, will be primarily<br />

tasked with the responsibility to work with countries in Africa to achieve this priority fundraising<br />

objective.<br />

16 It is hoped that the Global Fund to Fight AIDS, Tuberculosis and Malaria, which has been a leader in enabling the funding<br />

successes of the last few years, will provide funding to meet two-thirds of the total gap, in line with the proportion it has<br />

previously funded.<br />

32


6. SWOT analysis, roles and responsibilities in the RBM Partnership and budgetary implications<br />

6.1 Fundraising capacity of the RBM Partnership: analysis of Strengths, Weaknesses,<br />

Opportunities and Threats (SWOT analysis)<br />

Strengths<br />

� Remarkable success of the Partnership in increasing funding over the last years. The<br />

Partnership is well positioned and visible, and can learn from and build on its success.<br />

� The public/private nature of the Partnership, including public sector donors, endemic<br />

countries, multilaterals, foundations, the private sector, civil society and academia puts it in<br />

a unique position to leverage maximum influence for the global malaria targets as well as<br />

for fundraising from various funding sources.<br />

� The creation of the RBM <strong>Resource</strong> <strong>Mobilization</strong> Sub-Committee shows the determination<br />

of the Partnership to work together and share knowledge on fundraising for more<br />

effectiveness.<br />

� The record of results and impact is strong. The Partnership has developed over time<br />

strong arguments for investing resources in malaria; these need to be updated and<br />

adjusted to the new environment.<br />

Weaknesses<br />

� Not all Partners are currently directly engaged in fundraising efforts for the <strong>GMAP</strong>.<br />

� Responsibilities on resource mobilization have been scattered, without clear coordination<br />

and information sharing processes in place.<br />

� Partners have still to learn from the process on how to develop a culture of common<br />

purpose in fundraising for the <strong>GMAP</strong>.<br />

Opportunities<br />

� The Partnership has a relatively strong support from the philanthropic sector. Philanthropy,<br />

including venture philanthropy, has a marked interest in maternal and child health, and<br />

could offer important fundraising opportunities.<br />

� The Partnership has Board members, or members of organizations represented on the<br />

RBM Board, who are high-profile figures who can use their status, experience and<br />

connections to advocate and significantly support fundraising for the <strong>GMAP</strong>, in view of the<br />

<strong>2015</strong> <strong>GMAP</strong> Objectives and Targets.<br />

� Research and development capacity in the Partnership is well funded and progress is<br />

under way to discover new tools that can decrease the malaria burden and future malaria<br />

prevention, control and elimination costs.<br />

� Social networks, if well managed by the Partnership, can be a source of support and<br />

visibility for the resource mobilization objectives.<br />

Threats<br />

� The overall slowing down in ODA growth is forecast to be more marked for support to low<br />

income countries and for Africa. The overall slowing down in ODA growth is forecast to be<br />

more marked for support to low income countries and for Africa. The uncertainties around<br />

the Global Fund's capacity as a main funder of the <strong>GMAP</strong> over the next few years, are a<br />

major, immediate threat, which requires the RBM Partnership's attention and preparedness<br />

to explore alternatives.<br />

� Some high-burden countries are unstable, and this poses problems for both domestic and<br />

external investments in malaria prevention, control and elimination.<br />

� Population growth in malaria-affected countries may have significant impact on the malaria<br />

prevention, control and elimination efforts (it is for example forecast to soon outpace ODA<br />

growth).<br />

� Commodity prices: vaccine and medicine prices affect the partnership mission and<br />

attainability of fundraising objectives.<br />

Elements that are both opportunities and threats<br />

33


� Financial control and oversight is essential for effective management and risk mitigation at<br />

country level, however it can be detrimental if it paralyses countries in their scaling up of<br />

efforts for impact.<br />

� The emerging economies are showing support to development aid and the MDGs. These<br />

commitments can increase further and be better coordinated with those of other donors.<br />

� Other health and development areas are receiving attention from the development<br />

community (e.g. climate change). The Partnership needs to map out systematically<br />

competitive challenges and opportunities for synergistic resource mobilization.<br />

� Increased resistance to artemisinin and insecticides is experienced in some regions. While<br />

this is a major challenge in perspective, it also offers the opportunity of positioning even<br />

more strongly on the international public health and donor agenda malaria prevention,<br />

control and elimination as a global public good.<br />

� Regulations. Trade laws as well as drug regulations may have a positive or negative<br />

impact on scaling up malaria prevention, control and elimination efforts and deployment of<br />

resources.<br />

6.2 Roles and responsibilities in the RBM Partnership<br />

6.2.1 The Board<br />

This resource mobilization strategy will have limited potential to be successful on any of the<br />

fundraising streams described in the previous chapters without active support from Board<br />

Members. As part of its responsibility for financial accountability and oversight, the Board plays a<br />

central role in ensuring that sufficient funds are raised to meet the needs for the <strong>2012</strong>-<strong>2015</strong> phase<br />

of the <strong>GMAP</strong> implementation, in view of the <strong>2015</strong> <strong>GMAP</strong> Objectives and Targets, and can use the<br />

Partnership Work Plan as an instrument to achieve this.<br />

The responsibilities of the Board as an entity can be summarized as follows:<br />

� Provide overall guidance to and review challenges and opportunities of this resource<br />

mobilization strategy through discussions at Board meetings;<br />

� Ensure appropriate donor representation in the governance processes of the Partnership,<br />

including encouraging new donors to join the funding effort through domestic investments<br />

as well as bilateral and/or multilateral aid;<br />

� Help its Chair and Vice-Chair to take a leadership role in advocating for increased<br />

resources;<br />

� Challenge its Members to be proactive advocates for increased resources with their<br />

respective countries and constituencies.<br />

Board Members, individually, are responsible for:<br />

� Acting as advocates and spokespersons when any opportunity arises, to give credibility to<br />

the fundraising efforts;<br />

� Using their networks and contacts to broaden the group of decision makers and<br />

influencers in development financing that can be instrumental in addressing the funding<br />

challenge towards the achievement of the <strong>2015</strong> <strong>GMAP</strong> Objectives and Targets.<br />

Board Constituencies. Each Board Constituency has different assets in supporting the resource<br />

mobilization effort. Some of them are more apparent, and will be reviewed below, some others may<br />

need to be identified and mapped on a case by case basis.<br />

Malaria Endemic Countries<br />

The success of this resource mobilization strategy depends very much on the endemic countries<br />

investing domestically and presenting a convincing demand for external aid to address malaria as<br />

a priority public health problem. The constituencies from malaria endemic countries can be key<br />

actors in involving and facilitating dialogue of the Partnership with their Ministers of Health and<br />

Ministers of Finance around domestic investments and innovative financing opportunities (such as<br />

Diaspora funding).<br />

The Chair of the Board, in particular, having traditionally been in the RBM Board a high-level<br />

representative from an endemic country, presently a Minister of Health, can play a prominent role,<br />

together with the RBM Executive Director and ALMA, in advocating with peers for domestic funding<br />

and providing a voice from the south in the fundraising dialogue with existing and potential donors.<br />

34


Board Members of the Malaria Endemic Countries also play a crucial role in informing the<br />

Partnership of opportunities for profiling malaria in consultations and events of regional, subregional<br />

and international groupings (African Union, regional economic and development<br />

commissions, the ACP group of states in the dialogue with the European Commission, the<br />

Organization of the Islamic Cooperation, the Organization of American States, etc.) and therefore<br />

spread the word and engagement of other southern constituencies about prioritizing malaria and<br />

adopting resolutions for members to commit to financial support.<br />

Board Members from endemic countries that are emerging economies are instrumental in helping<br />

the Partnership to articulate a “case statement” for support of resource mobilization objectives and<br />

to facilitate the Partnership's outreach to relevant ministries for domestic investments and malaria<br />

aid to third countries, as well as for advocacy opportunities e.g. in the context of the G20 process.<br />

OECD Donor Countries<br />

The OECD Donor Members are the core actors when it comes to engaging the G7/G8 leadership<br />

as well other OECD/DAC development agencies and the European Commission in support of<br />

malaria prevention, control and elimination. They can make a convincing case for increased<br />

bilateral and multilateral funding from those governments and other traditional donors, and help the<br />

Partnership prevent and react timely to donor fatigue and ensure continued engagement in funding<br />

for malaria.<br />

OECD Donor Members can help identify for the RBM Partnership opportunities to position malaria<br />

prevention and control and related requirements in relevant donor fora, such as the G8 and G20<br />

processes, the EU agenda and OECD/DAC consultations.<br />

Also, OECD Donor Members can support this resource mobilization strategy by advocating for<br />

including malaria prevention, control and elimination in integrated packages of health services<br />

within their health system strengthening/maternal and child aid budget, as well as in trilateral<br />

cooperation agreements between their governments, emerging economies and malaria endemic<br />

countries, debt relief deals and re-programming options that can help frontload resources to<br />

accelerate scaling up of interventions.<br />

Multilateral Development Partners<br />

Multilaterals have the advantage of an extensive field presence, which is instrumental for the<br />

dialogue with endemic governments about elevating malaria in domestic financing and with donor<br />

delegations about aid at country level.<br />

The UN Members help profile malaria in the MDG agenda and advocate for increased funding in<br />

support of the impact that the <strong>2015</strong> <strong>GMAP</strong> Objectives and Targets can have on the achievement of<br />

the <strong>2015</strong> MDGs.<br />

The World Bank has a distinct advantage, in addition to being a major external donor for malaria<br />

prevention and control, in bringing the <strong>GMAP</strong> financing needs to the attention of Ministers of<br />

Finance in endemic countries. The World Bank has a primary role in fostering the use of IDA loans<br />

in support of the <strong>2012</strong>-<strong>2015</strong> needs and beyond. The World Bank can also be a key actor in<br />

supporting the RBM Partnership's dialogue with regional banks for substantial scaling up funding<br />

for regional needs.<br />

The Members of the Multilateral Constituency can also rely on their liaison offices in donor capitals<br />

for intelligence building and dialogue with key potential donors (e.g. World Bank and UN offices in<br />

Brussels to explore funding options from the European Commission's External Action budgets;<br />

World Bank and UN offices in Moscow to maintain and increase attention on malaria elimination<br />

from the Russian Federation; etc.).<br />

Research and Academia<br />

The Research and Academia Constituency has a primary role in advising on specific opportunities<br />

to fund research as part of the overall fundraising effort (e.g. supportive arguments for outreach to<br />

DG Research in the European Commission) as well as identifying and involving leading academics<br />

in influencing aid decision makers (e.g. tropical research institutes in targeted donor countries can<br />

help advocate for support from their governments for the fundraising effort in countries of geo-<br />

35


political priority). The Members involved in operational and economic research help take forwards<br />

the agenda on cost efficiencies and return on investment, which has a major impact on decreasing<br />

the price tag of the <strong>2012</strong>-<strong>2015</strong> phase of the <strong>GMAP</strong> and on providing a key advocacy argument for<br />

increased investments.<br />

Non-Governmental Organizations<br />

The role of the NGO Board Constituencies is crucial to ensure that civil society and communities<br />

have an effective role and voice in identifying needs and in promoting supportive advocacy<br />

activities with both the public and the private sector. This includes supporting the mobilization of<br />

southern advocates and other partners. The NGO Board Constituency provides an important entry<br />

point for key advocacy opportunities, to facilitate the organization of events and reinforce<br />

messages from the grassroots, and also for increasing the demand for malaria interventions and<br />

mobilizing the private sector and the communities in endemic countries.<br />

Private Sector<br />

The Private Sector Constituency guides and advises the Partnership on development of highpriority<br />

funding opportunities with the corporate sector, including innovative financing solutions<br />

involving the financial sector, as well as efficacy of supply chain management and measurement<br />

tools. The Constituency is also a leading actor, together with the Special Envoy, in outreach to<br />

major corporations and advocacy activities with the private sector.<br />

Foundations<br />

The Foundation Constituency and its leading Members can make influential advocacy around the<br />

urgency of fully funding the <strong>2012</strong>-<strong>2015</strong> needs in view of the achievement of the <strong>2015</strong> <strong>GMAP</strong><br />

Objectives and targets and also in developing innovative ideas around leveraging increased<br />

funding from the public and private sector (including through challenge grants, matching gifts, etc.).<br />

The Constituency has also been so far a key actor for support to the research agenda and<br />

monitoring and evaluation needs.<br />

Ex Officio Board Members<br />

African Leaders Malaria Alliance (ALMA)<br />

Because of its top-level membership of Heads of State and Government from Africa, ALMA plays a<br />

similar role as the endemic country constituencies (see above) in high-level advocacy for domestic<br />

investments and presenting a convincing demand for external aid. The ALMA "Scorecard for<br />

accountability and action" also provides and useful tool to track funding for commodities.<br />

The Global Fund<br />

The Global Fund has been the major external financier for malaria prevention and control, and it<br />

has a key responsibility and challenge in attracting confidence from development donors and in<br />

identifying with partners how its resources can provide the maximum impact. The support of the<br />

Global Fund Board Member is important to help the Partnership identify options for flexible and<br />

efficient use of available resources to support scaled up efforts at country level and maximize<br />

results, including in the context of the current constraints and the Global Fund's ongoing<br />

architecture review and strategy development.<br />

UNITAID<br />

UNITAID's long-term funding commitment has important implications not only for the level of<br />

funding available for the <strong>GMAP</strong> but also for fostering market dynamics that can result in decreasing<br />

the overall price tag and increasing value for money. The UNITAID Board Member can be an<br />

important ally in this resource mobilization strategy by helping identify and share information about<br />

malaria specific opportunities that may be made available through the UNITAID processes as well<br />

as involving UNITAID in joint fundraising and advocacy opportunities.<br />

UN Secretary General Special Envoy for Malaria<br />

36


The UNSG Special Envoy is the key UN ambassador for political will and funding for the <strong>GMAP</strong>,<br />

and he has a primary role in profiling malaria high on the UN Secretary-General's agenda,<br />

including in interaction with governmental leaders on behalf of the Secretary-General, in the UN<br />

processes and in global advocacy and political positioning of malaria in the international<br />

development agenda. Because of the Special Envoy's leverage in the corporate and philanthropic<br />

sector, he also has a comparative advantage in leading outreach to major corporations, together<br />

with private sector partners.<br />

6.2.2 Secretariat<br />

The Executive Director ensures the bold political leverage that is needed for advocating<br />

convincingly for the <strong>GMAP</strong>, for interacting with the decision makers at the highest level from both<br />

donor and endemic countries. The Secretariat has the responsibility of taking forwards information<br />

sharing for coherent approaches between Partners on fundraising targets, activities and outcomes,<br />

ensure harmonized reporting systems and consistency of data messages around resource<br />

mobilization across the Partnership and engage SRN and relevant Working Group Focal Points in<br />

supporting resource mobilization objectives.<br />

6.2.3 Sub-Regional Networks and Working Groups<br />

The Sub-Regional Networks, as coordinating bodies of Partners, can have a supportive role in<br />

helping fundraising at local level. Among the Working Groups, the Harmonization Working Group<br />

has developed a role in supporting resource mobilization at country level, to facilitate a high level of<br />

success in applications to the Global Fund and other major funding initiatives. The work of the<br />

Malaria Advocacy Working Group would also have a link to the resource mobilization effort.<br />

6.3 Budgetary implications<br />

Scaling up the <strong>GMAP</strong> resource mobilization effort for <strong>2012</strong>-<strong>2015</strong> will have cost implications. It is<br />

expected that Partners will help address these costs and sponsor from their budgets additional studies<br />

or activities that may be needed as well as cover their outreach activities and meeting costs.<br />

A few structural costs would also need to be specifically budgeted in the Partnership Work Plan. These<br />

mainly include provisions related to a core capacity to facilitate the implementation of this strategy, with<br />

a focus on helping the RBM Executive Director to facilitate coordinated tracking and regular information<br />

sharing with Partners on evolving <strong>GMAP</strong> resource needs, commitments, funding flows and funding<br />

gaps, including in the context of special focus needs that the Partnership may decide to concentrate on.<br />

This, in collaboration with WHO and funding tracking processes carried out by other Partners, will help<br />

develop a more robust and consistent base of data, including for countries outside Africa, to feed the<br />

funding section of the <strong>GMAP</strong> Implementation Overview and alert Partners on needs and opportunities<br />

to inform their action.<br />

37


7. Conclusions and recommendations<br />

The RBM Partnership must remain prepared for a considerable funding effort to meet the global<br />

malaria prevention, control and elimination needs to be met by <strong>2015</strong>. It is anticipated that most of the<br />

RBM top donors will continue to constitute the main source of funding, but also acknowledges that they<br />

cannot be solely responsible for the required scaling up and for sustainably maintaining the levels of<br />

coverage achieved.<br />

The previous chapters have outlined where to find additional funding, how to mobilize and what the<br />

RBM partnership needs to be ready to do in order to take this resource mobilization strategy to a<br />

different level of funding outcome.<br />

Here a summary of the main points:<br />

� The dramatic increase in global funding for malaria prevention, control and elimination has<br />

led to a remarkable record of results and impact. There are clear indications that the<br />

international community is maintaining commitment, and for some donors notably also<br />

funding commitment.<br />

� The RBM Partnership contributed positively to this fundraising success, and it has shown<br />

over the past few years both strengths and weaknesses, notably in engaging proactively<br />

and cohesively in resource mobilization. The Partnership will need to be ready to adapt<br />

quickly and respond effectively to challenges in order to be even more successful in<br />

resource mobilization.<br />

� There is now a renewed urgency to meet the funding challenge represented by the global<br />

financial crisis and a significantly reduced potential for Global Fund’s support, at least in<br />

the near future, with much more limited resources to meet the <strong>2015</strong> targets.<br />

� Raising additional financial support is a challenge, but not an insurmountable one, if the<br />

RBM Partnership commits to contribute cohesively to the expansion of fundraising efforts.<br />

All Partners will need to contribute, and the Board will need to play a key role in guiding the<br />

funding efforts with even more emphasis than before.<br />

Recommendations:<br />

The <strong>Resource</strong> <strong>Mobilization</strong> Sub-Committee proposes the following recommendations for the Board -<br />

and respective oversight roles:<br />

� Endorse the funding target and the fundraising streams described in this strategy, with an<br />

immediate focus on the <strong>GMAP</strong> target of reaching near zero malaria deaths by <strong>2015</strong> and with a<br />

view to getting as close as possible to filling the funding gap of the <strong>GMAP</strong> for <strong>2012</strong>-<strong>2015</strong>.<br />

Oversight: Chair of Performance Work Stream.<br />

� Commit to proactively support this resource mobilization strategy and invite Board Members to<br />

volunteer to mobilize their political leverage, expertise and contacts to serve this strategy.<br />

Oversight: Chair of the Board.<br />

� Encourage further bilateral and multilateral support in support of the <strong>2012</strong>-<strong>2015</strong> <strong>GMAP</strong> needs,<br />

with a view to making additional funding available to high-burden countries.<br />

Oversight: Donor Constituency Representatives and UN Special Envoy.<br />

� Encourage Board Members to urge high-burden endemic countries to engage their Ministers of<br />

Finance in supporting increased domestic investments for malaria prevention, control and<br />

elimination, in consideration of the urgency of scaling up funding, looking at ways to frontload<br />

resources, including by applying for loans from the 16 th and/or 17 th IDA Replenishments.<br />

Oversight: World Bank Representative, UN Special Envoy and ALMA Representative (for<br />

Africa).<br />

� Invite Board Members from emerging economies to contribute to scaling up their bilateral and<br />

multilateral support to malaria endemic countries to achieve the MDGs by <strong>2015</strong>, both through<br />

increased investments for domestic needs and by positioning malaria prevention and control<br />

high on their aid agendas and budgets.<br />

Oversight: Board Members from G20, UN Special Envoy.<br />

38


� Request the RBM Executive Director to support the follow-up to these recommendations and<br />

implementation of the strategy, including helping develop a harmonized tracking system for<br />

resource needs, commitments, funding flows and funding gaps, so as to develop a more robust<br />

and consistent base of data, including for countries outside Africa, in support of an effective<br />

implementation of this strategy.<br />

Oversight: Chair of Performance Work Stream.<br />

� Urge each Partner to confirm commitment to make ending of malaria deaths a major<br />

development priority for the next four years.<br />

Oversight: Chair of the Board and UN Special Envoy.<br />

39


Annex I. Summary of PESTEL analysis of the <strong>GMAP</strong> resource mobilization environment<br />

Political<br />

Economical<br />

Social<br />

Technological<br />

Key driver Opportunity Threat<br />

Political Stability in traditional donor countries, leading to lack of leadership on<br />

ODA and Health<br />

- Upheaval in Euro area<br />

- Paralysis in Japan<br />

- Partisan approach in US and other donor countries<br />

Right wing political shifts in major donor countries<br />

- Uncertainty on the availability of long-term funding sources<br />

X X<br />

- Decreasing priority on ODA<br />

International political power balance changing<br />

- waning influence of traditional G8 donors<br />

X<br />

- unclear commitment from "rising" G20 countries, unclear legal structures<br />

Competing development priorities<br />

- Visibility of malaria among other areas (migration, climate change etc)<br />

X X<br />

- Shift of ODA towards Climate change (with potential upside for malaria)<br />

Focus on Mother and Child Health<br />

X X<br />

- Potential for increased focus on malaria<br />

Value for money<br />

- Performance based funding<br />

X X<br />

- Cost effectiveness of interventions X X<br />

Political instability in high burden countries affecting implementation<br />

Global Economic Environment<br />

- Recession<br />

- Exploding debt burden in donor countries<br />

- Stalled growth<br />

X<br />

- Currency fluctuation risks<br />

Emergence of new economic powers<br />

X X<br />

- ODA potential<br />

Focus on benefit of investments<br />

- Economic return of malaria investment<br />

- Focus on value for money & cost effectiveness<br />

X<br />

- Performance based funding<br />

Donations<br />

- Increasing philanthropic donations (through eg tax incentives)<br />

X X<br />

- Personal donations/collections X<br />

Innovative Financing<br />

- Emergence of new mechanisms to ensure sustainability and predictability in funding<br />

- Financial Transaction Tax (devoted to Health)<br />

- Increased Cause related marketing by partners to fundraise X<br />

Increased focus on financial accountability - less rapid scale-up<br />

- Focus on financial control and oversight and value for money, may prevent rapid scaleup<br />

X<br />

Push for MDGs leading to increase in funding towards <strong>2015</strong> X X<br />

Social Networking<br />

- Internet crowd sourcing X<br />

Trust in traditional institutions<br />

- More focus on niched NGOs<br />

- RBM perception as a UN organization<br />

- Cultural aspects to support foreign bodies such as RBM X<br />

RBM Brand<br />

- RBM Board Relations - opportunity for leveraging X<br />

Focus on results through "personal stories" X<br />

Population growth in endemic countries X<br />

Commodity prices<br />

- Vaccines and medicine prices affect our mission and fundraising objectives X<br />

New Products<br />

- Discovery of more effective cures/vaccines/insecticides<br />

- Increase in drug and insecticide resistance<br />

- Value for money drives product development X<br />

Changes in research agenda (MalERA)<br />

- Development of elimination strategy for vivax X<br />

Climate change X X<br />

Urbanization and land use X X<br />

Environmental Drug and insecticide resistance<br />

- New drugs and insecticides<br />

Changes in animal reservoir (genotype change)<br />

X<br />

Legal<br />

Trade regulations impacting on malaria commodities X<br />

Drug regulations and licensing X<br />

Depency on WHO for setting technical standards and product evaluation X<br />

40


Annex IIa - Aid investment in <strong>GMAP</strong> from OECD/DAC and BRIC governments and simulation of increased investments (US$)<br />

Aid investment in malaria control from OECD/DAC and BRICS Members and simulation of increased investments<br />

Current aid level Simulation of potential<br />

Donor Country<br />

2010 Net ODA 2009 Net ODA<br />

Bilateral malaria<br />

contributions<br />

(commitments) -<br />

OECD/DAC 2009<br />

Multilateral<br />

malaria<br />

contributions<br />

2009 (27% of<br />

GFATM<br />

contribution -<br />

Contribution to<br />

R&D 2009<br />

Estimated % of<br />

2009 ODA<br />

Contributed to<br />

malaria<br />

1.5% of 2010 ODA<br />

for malaria control<br />

(when not yet reached)<br />

2% of 2010 ODA<br />

for malaria<br />

control<br />

(when not yet<br />

reached)<br />

Australia 3,849,000,000 2,762,000,000 0<br />

Round 9)<br />

8,861,319 11,391,587 0.7% 57,735,000 55,240,000<br />

Austria 1,199,000,000 1,142,000,000 167,100 0 0.0% 17,985,000 22,840,000<br />

Belgium 3,000,000,000 2,610,000,000 1,660,400 6,299,646 0.3% 45,000,000 52,200,000<br />

Canada 5,132,000,000 4,000,000,000 35,728,000 38,201,585 1.8% 73,929,585 80,000,000<br />

Denmark 2,867,000,000 2,810,000,000 0 8,605,774 0.3% 43,005,000 56,200,000<br />

Finland 1,335,000,000 1,290,000,000 332,900 1,322,339 0.1% 20,025,000 25,800,000<br />

France 12,916,000,000 12,600,000,000 515,200 111,934,657 11,027,001 1.0% 193,740,000 252,000,000<br />

Germany 12,723,000,000 12,079,000,000 456,300 73,289,279 5,383,784 0.7% 190,845,000 241,580,000<br />

Greece 500,000,000 607,000,000 13,900 0 0.0% 7,500,000 12,140,000<br />

Ireland 895,000,000 1,006,000,000 1,698,900 3,770,820 0.5% 13,425,000 20,120,000<br />

Italy 3,111,000,000 3,297,000,000 3,070,200 50,788,598 1.6% 53,858,798 65,940,000<br />

Japan 11,045,000,000 9,457,000,000 19,297,500 52,495,040 0.8% 165,675,000 189,140,000<br />

Korea (ROK) 1,168,000,000 816,000,000 104,800 945,000 0.1% 17,520,000 16,320,000<br />

Luxemburg 399,000,000 415,000,000 1,069,500 896,872 0.5% 5,985,000 8,300,000<br />

Netherlands 6,351,000,000 6,426,000,000 0 22,537,440 6,185,521 0.4% 95,265,000 128,520,000<br />

New Zealand 353,000,000 309,000,000 0 0 0.0% 5,295,000 6,180,000<br />

Norway 4,582,000,000 4,086,000,000 1,160,000 18,130,865 0.5% 68,730,000 81,720,000<br />

Portugal 648,000,000 513,000,000 29,200 675,000 0.1% 9,720,000 10,260,000<br />

Spain 5,917,000,000 6,584,000,000 5,769,900 57,510,000 6,526,248 1.1% 88,755,000 131,680,000<br />

Sweden 4,527,000,000 4,548,000,000 0 24,230,648 0.5% 67,905,000 90,960,000<br />

Switzerland 2,295,000,000 2,310,000,000 0 1,699,182 0.1% 34,425,000 46,200,000 Top level donors<br />

United Kingdom 13,763,000,000 11,283,000,000 46,346,900 49,699,251 30,190,739 1.1% 206,445,000 225,660,000 Higher middle range donors<br />

United States 30,154,000,000 28,831,000,000 373,842,700 258,939,905 164,805,181 2.8% 797,587,786 797,587,786 Lower middle range donors<br />

Sub-total 128,729,000,000 119,781,000,000 491,263,400 790,833,218<br />

1,517,606,679<br />

235,510,061 0.7% 2,280,356,168 2,616,587,786 Bottom level donors<br />

Sources: OECD, 2011: http://www.oecd.org/dataoecd/54/41/47515917.pdf; GFATM Pledges and Contributions Table (accessed June 2011)<br />

Donor Country<br />

Bilateral malaria<br />

contributions<br />

(average<br />

estimates)<br />

Other malaria<br />

contributions<br />

2009 (27% of<br />

GFATM<br />

contribution,<br />

UNITAID,<br />

WHO/WB<br />

Booster)<br />

Contribution to<br />

R&D 2009<br />

Estimated % of<br />

aid to malaria<br />

Simulation of<br />

potential<br />

4% of aid for<br />

malaria control<br />

Brazil 590,000,000 1,000,000 3,400,000 6,500,000 1.8% 23,600,000<br />

China 1,500,000,000 24,400,000 540,000 1.7% 60,000,000<br />

India 600,000,000<br />

0 540,000 8,400,000 1.5% 24,000,000<br />

Russian Federation 500,000,000<br />

0 6,000,000 1.2% 20,000,000<br />

Sub-total 3,190,000,000 25,400,000 10,480,000<br />

50,780,000<br />

14,900,000 1.6% 127,600,000<br />

Donor Country<br />

Annual aid budget (average estimate)<br />

Annual aid budget (higher estimate)<br />

Current aid level<br />

Current aid level<br />

Bilateral malaria<br />

contributions<br />

(average annual<br />

estimates)<br />

Multilateral<br />

malaria<br />

contributions<br />

2009 (27% of<br />

GFATM<br />

contribution,<br />

UNITAID,<br />

WHO/WB<br />

Booster)<br />

Contribution to<br />

R&D 2009<br />

Estimated % of<br />

aid to malaria<br />

Simulation of<br />

potential<br />

4% of aid for<br />

malaria control<br />

Brazil 1,000,000,000 1,000,000 3,400,000 6,500,000 1.1% 40,000,000<br />

China 2,000,000,000 24,400,000 540,000 1.2% 80,000,000<br />

India 1,000,000,000<br />

0 540,000 8,400,000 0.9% 40,000,000<br />

Russian Federation 500,000,000<br />

0 6,000,000 1.2% 20,000,000<br />

Sub-total 4,500,000,000<br />

25,400,000 10,480,000<br />

50,780,000<br />

14,900,000 1.1% 180,000,000<br />

Sources: RMSC Paper: "Financial opportunity mapping with Brazil, Russia, India, China, South Africa, Malaysia and Mexico"; GFATM Pledges and Contributions Table (accessed June 2011)<br />

41


Annex IIb. Domestic investment in health and malaria control from high-burden African countries and simulation of increased investments<br />

Countries<br />

<strong>GMAP</strong> Costs<br />

<strong>2012</strong>-<strong>2015</strong><br />

(USD billion)<br />

Death<br />

burden<br />

(ranking -<br />

WHO 2011)<br />

Disease<br />

burden<br />

(number of<br />

cases: WHO,<br />

2011*)<br />

Annual<br />

malaria<br />

investments<br />

(US$ million<br />

2009 - WMR<br />

2011)<br />

Health<br />

investments<br />

(US$ million<br />

2009 -<br />

extrapolatio<br />

n from IMF<br />

WEO 2011<br />

Nigeria 1.6 1 55,707,630<br />

0.20 9,793<br />

Uganda 0.7 6 9,075,134<br />

0.00 1,296<br />

DRC 0.6 2 18,168,420<br />

2.00 222<br />

Tanzania 0.5 3 11,374,250<br />

NA 1,069<br />

Sudan 0.4 7,888,891 26.27 4,073<br />

Mozambique 0.3 4 7,538,293<br />

0.00 573<br />

Ghana 0.3 6,278,813<br />

8.70 2,105<br />

Cameron 0.3 5,146,960<br />

8.55 1,553<br />

Cote d'Ivoire 0.2 9 7,460,826<br />

0.00 1,147<br />

Burkina Faso 0.2 5 5,086,618<br />

0.02 542<br />

Niger 0.2 8 4,542,784<br />

0.90 322<br />

Chad 0.1 7 4,143,122<br />

0.00 488<br />

* Data not yet validated through country consultative process as of March 2011<br />

Malaria<br />

spending as<br />

% of health<br />

spending<br />

Progress in 15%<br />

Abuja target<br />

(WHOSIS 2011)<br />

GDP growth 2009/2008 (IMF,<br />

WEO April 2011)<br />

% growth<br />

(constant<br />

price, local<br />

currency)<br />

Monetary<br />

growth (US$<br />

billion)<br />

Simulation:<br />

Malaria<br />

spending at<br />

4% of<br />

annual<br />

growth<br />

(USD<br />

0.0 6.4% 6.95% 4.270 170.8<br />

0.0 11.6% 7.24% 0.435 17.4<br />

0.9 1.7% 2.83% 0.013 0.5<br />

NA 18.1% 6.70% 0.597 23.9<br />

0.6 9.8% 5.98% 0.375 15.0<br />

0.0 12.6% 6.33% 0.296 11.8<br />

0.4 12.8% 4.65% 0.652 26.1<br />

0.6 8.2% 1.95% 0.362 14.5<br />

0.0 4.4% 3.75% 0.625 25.0<br />

0.0 16.3% 3.24% 0.206 8.2<br />

0.3 14.5% -0.80% -0.034 0.0<br />

0.0 13.8% 0.27% 0.013 0.5<br />

42


Annex III. Explanatory note on the resource mobilization scenarios<br />

Projections for US, UK, other OECD/DAC governments, European Commission, emerging<br />

economies and the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation exclude pledges to the Global Fund<br />

Third Replenishment 2011-2013.<br />

� Projection of US ongoing funding is based on the expected <strong>2012</strong> appropriation and<br />

currently financed amounts at US$585m per year, which would need to be<br />

adjusted based on year-by-year appropriations.<br />

� Projection of UK ongoing funding is based on UNSEO analysis of resources<br />

committed according to existing operational plans (as per <strong>GMAP</strong> Implementation<br />

Overview).<br />

� UK potential funding adds potential from full implementation of the funding<br />

commitments in the DFID Framework for Results (£500 million annually by<br />

2014/<strong>2015</strong>, or some US$800 million at the time of the announcement).<br />

� Projection of other OECD/DAC governments' ongoing funding is based on<br />

OECD/DAC data on 2009 bilateral aid and aid to research and development.<br />

� Additional OECD/DAC potential could project that the G7 members and a few<br />

selected other members will increase their funding to at least 2% of their annual<br />

ODA (using as a comparator the US investment of 2.8% and based on OECD/DAC<br />

estimates of 2010 ODA).<br />

� Projection for the European Commission is based on data on 2009 aid to research<br />

and development.<br />

� Additional potential could project that the European Commission increases malaria<br />

aid at the level that is expected from G7 members that are currently making<br />

comparable investments (Germany has been used as a comparison to project this<br />

figure in this document).<br />

� Projection of BRIC (Brazil, Russia, India, China) ongoing funding is based on the<br />

available 2009 data on malaria spending, notably on bilateral aid and contributions<br />

to Global Fund, UNITAID, World Bank, and research and development.<br />

� Additional emerging economies' potential could project aid investments for malaria<br />

at some 2 % of BRIC aid budgets (using as a comparator the US investment of<br />

2.8% and based on average estimates of BRIC aid budgets). Higher potential<br />

could factor in the same proportion but based on higher aid estimates. Additionally<br />

emerging economies other than the BRIC countries could be factored in (e.g.<br />

Turkey and Middle East oil exporting economies).<br />

� Projection of Global Fund's ongoing funding is based on annual projection of<br />

resources not yet disbursed for approved grants up to Round 10 (and including<br />

NSA and single stream funding) and assumes all these grants will continue to<br />

completion. The Global Fund's reprioritization process in development may require<br />

adjustments to these estimates in the months to come.<br />

� Global Fund's potential (lower) assumes additional income from Round 11 and<br />

Round 12, assuming (based on data as of 8 November 2011) rounds of US$0.5<br />

billion and at level of success of malaria grants slightly higher than the proportion<br />

of total Global Fund's funding achieved in Round 10 (40%, against 34% in Round<br />

10). This assumption may need to be adjusted over the next months to come<br />

based on updated estimates and decisions by the Global Fund Board.<br />

� Global Fund's frontloading option would assume arrangements for reprogramming<br />

part of the approved funding for 2014-<strong>2015</strong> and make it available for accelerated<br />

scaling up in <strong>2012</strong>-2013.


RBM Partnership<br />

� Projection of World Bank’s ongoing funding is based on existing resources<br />

committed through existing projects through the Malaria Booster Program.<br />

� Projection of World Bank’s committed is based on the pledge by the President of<br />

the World Bank in September 2008 for the Malaria Booster Program Phase II, i.e.<br />

US$1.1 billion for malaria, after deduction of US$300 million that have already<br />

been committed.<br />

� A World Bank’s frontloading option could project IDA loans to accelerate domestic<br />

investments in Africa.<br />

� Projection of Regional Banks ongoing funding is based on extrapolation of<br />

information about annual budgets of ongoing and past projects.<br />

� Additional Regional Banks potential could be factored in by projecting higher<br />

investments in grants and loans.<br />

� Projection of the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation’s ongoing funding is based on<br />

the <strong>GMAP</strong> Implementation Overview.<br />

� Other philanthropic potential could be projected in traditional and emerging<br />

markets, e.g. in the form of matching grant challenge with the Gates Foundation.<br />

� Projection of ongoing funding from innovative financing is based on current malaria<br />

share of UNITAD resources (26%) as a proportion of the part of the UNITAID<br />

income from the tax levy.<br />

� Potential from innovative financing could project income from new mechanisms,<br />

such as a malaria bond.<br />

� Projection of ongoing domestic funding is based on the data on the 2009<br />

investments from the 2010 WMR.<br />

� Additional domestic investment potential could be projected, e.g. that endemic<br />

countries in Africa with economic potential invest a proportion of GDP growth (if<br />

relevant), that Brazil and China will fully cover domestically their <strong>2012</strong>-<strong>2015</strong> <strong>GMAP</strong><br />

needs, that Indonesia cover its needs at least at 50% and India at least at 40%.<br />

This investment could come from a mix of public and private sources and could<br />

factor in innovative mechanisms such as remittances, bonds, etc. Part of the<br />

domestic investments from Africa, as mentioned above, could also be frontloaded<br />

through IDA loans.<br />

44


RBM Partnership<br />

Annex IVa. TOR of the <strong>Resource</strong> <strong>Mobilization</strong> Sub-Committee<br />

<strong>Back</strong>ground<br />

At the 17 th meeting of the <strong>Roll</strong> <strong>Back</strong> Malaria (RBM) Board on 3 – 5 December 2009, the<br />

Board asked Task Force 1 to:<br />

(1) develop new Terms of Reference for a <strong>Resource</strong> <strong>Mobilization</strong> Working Group (RMWG)<br />

to secure resources towards full implementation of the Global Malaria Action Plan (<strong>GMAP</strong>);<br />

and<br />

(2) create a redefined RMWG to develop the appropriate strategy for funding the <strong>GMAP</strong>.<br />

Task Force 1 would also look into the status of the RBM <strong>Resource</strong>s Working Group that<br />

was approved by the Board in March 2003 and determine how it could be reconfigured in<br />

accordance with the new Board decision in December 2009.<br />

The Board recognized the importance of establishing a coordinating mechanism to oversee<br />

the development and implementation of the resource mobilization strategy for the <strong>GMAP</strong>.<br />

To reach the <strong>2015</strong> targets, almost US$6 billion USD was projected as the annual<br />

requirement. This level of funding has become a challenge to achieve, particularly in the<br />

face of the ongoing economic crisis. In 2010 alone, the funding gap against the projection<br />

to reach <strong>GMAP</strong> targets was estimated to be US$4 billion.<br />

At the19 th Meeting of the RBM Board on 6–8 December 2010, the Board decided to<br />

rename the <strong>Resource</strong> <strong>Mobilization</strong> Working Group as the Board <strong>Resource</strong> <strong>Mobilization</strong><br />

Sub-Committee and tasked it to establish a resource mobilization strategy, including<br />

traditional and new donors and innovative financing methods.<br />

I. Purpose/ Rationale<br />

The overall objective of the <strong>Resource</strong> <strong>Mobilization</strong> Sub-Committee is to develop a<br />

sustainable fundraising strategy to achieve the <strong>GMAP</strong> objectives, targets and milestones<br />

and oversee its implementation. The Sub-Committee responds to the expressed need for<br />

greater pro-activeness among RBM Partners, including endemic countries, to collectively<br />

address issues relating to an appropriate fundraising strategy for the <strong>GMAP</strong>, including<br />

appropriate investments for specific malaria control interventions or regions. The Sub-<br />

Committee serves as an advisory body to the RBM Partnership Board to enhance the RBM<br />

Partnership's capacity to mobilize new resources for the <strong>GMAP</strong>.<br />

The <strong>Resource</strong> <strong>Mobilization</strong> Sub-Committee is guided by the overall commitment of RBM<br />

Partners for:<br />

(i) strengthening partnership and capacity building;<br />

(ii) ensuring harmonization, accountability and transparency in scaling-up actions; and<br />

(iii) bridging the gaps between technical and programmatic support needs at country level.<br />

II. Functions of the <strong>Resource</strong> <strong>Mobilization</strong> Sub-Committee<br />

The Sub-Committee will:<br />

• Engage academia and/or other institutes and organizations to carry out an<br />

economic analysis on return of investments for malaria control, prevention and elimination.<br />

• Review and update the projections for resource needs and funding gaps. The Sub-<br />

Committee will commission work towards an improved malaria costing model, harnessing<br />

updated knowledge from national health accounts, price reporting mechanisms/databases,<br />

procurement management systems, and new evidence on control and elimination<br />

interventions, as well as needs for health systems and operational research. This<br />

45


RBM Partnership<br />

information will feed into the resource mobilization strategy and will allow the <strong>GMAP</strong> to truly<br />

be a living and dynamic blueprint for fighting malaria. The Sub-Committee will work in close<br />

collaboration with the RBM Harmonization Working Group and the Sub-Regional Networks<br />

in this effort.<br />

• Provide an analysis of different resource mobilization scenarios and their<br />

consequences on <strong>GMAP</strong> implementation, with the objective of providing guidance to the<br />

RBM Partnership on options for financing effective and sustainable malaria control,<br />

prevention and elimination.<br />

• Develop a comprehensive resource mobilization strategy. The strategy should<br />

include innovative approaches tailored to different sectors - public, private, endemic<br />

countries – as well as innovative financing mechanisms to expand the donor base. The<br />

strategy will also provide options for implementation, including the need for dedicated staff<br />

within the RBM Secretariat for harmonizing resource mobilization efforts and building<br />

relationships with prospective donors.<br />

• Develop effective linkages to the RBM advocacy strategy to support the<br />

implementation of the resource mobilization strategy, in collaboration with other RBM<br />

Working Groups, such as the Malaria Advocacy Working Group, and including advocacy<br />

for financial commitments from endemic countries for better national ownership.<br />

• Coordinate partner efforts to track resources mobilized for <strong>GMAP</strong> implementation<br />

(e.g. National Health Accounts, malaria sub-accounts exercises), thus creating a<br />

harmonized reporting system for resources available, immediate resource needs and<br />

funding gaps.<br />

• Monitor and evaluate resource mobilization efforts and performance on a yearly<br />

basis with support from RBM Partners.<br />

The recommendations of the <strong>Resource</strong> <strong>Mobilization</strong> Sub-Committee will be reviewed and<br />

ratified by the Board. These functions will be revisited periodically to ensure continued<br />

relevance.<br />

III. Roles and Responsibilities and Working Procedures<br />

Roles and responsibilities and working procedures are governed by the RBM Operating<br />

Framework and By-Laws.<br />

46


RBM Partnership<br />

Annex IVb. Members of the <strong>Resource</strong> <strong>Mobilization</strong> Sub-Committee (as of April <strong>2012</strong>)<br />

Chair<br />

Alan Court<br />

Senior Adviser<br />

Office of the UN Secretary General's Special Envoy for Malaria<br />

Vice-Chair<br />

Peter Potter-Lesage<br />

Chief Financial Officer<br />

Medicines for Malaria Venture (Research and Academia)<br />

Secretariat<br />

Silvia Ferazzi<br />

Technical Officer<br />

RBM Secretariat<br />

Other Members<br />

Foundations<br />

Carol Medlin<br />

Senior Program Officer<br />

Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation<br />

Kelly Willis (since August 2011)<br />

Senior Vice President, Global Health Programs<br />

Accordia Global Health Foundation<br />

Malaria Endemic Countries<br />

Nie Jiangang (since June 2011)<br />

Director, Department of International Cooperation<br />

Ministry of Health<br />

People's Republic of China<br />

Multilateral Development Partners<br />

Maryse B. Pierre-Louis<br />

Lead Health Nutrition and Population Specialist<br />

The World Bank<br />

Non-Governmental Organizations<br />

Akudo Ikemba<br />

Chief Executive Officer<br />

Friends of the Global Fund Africa<br />

Louis Da Gama<br />

Director, Malaria Advocacy & Communications<br />

Global Health Advocates<br />

OECD Donor Countries<br />

Frédéric Goyet<br />

Head, Health Department<br />

Ministry of Foreign and European Affairs, France<br />

47


RBM Partnership<br />

Timothy Ziemer<br />

Global Malaria Coordinator, President’s Malaria Initiative<br />

United States' Agency for International Development<br />

Private Sector<br />

Mikkel Vestergaard<br />

Director and Chief Executive Officer<br />

Vestergaard Frandsen Group<br />

Research and Academia (in addition to the Vice-Chair)<br />

Sally Ethelston (since January <strong>2012</strong>)<br />

Director, Communications and Advocacy<br />

PATH Malaria Vaccine Initiative (MVI)<br />

African Leaders Malaria Alliance<br />

Joy Phumaphi (since April <strong>2012</strong>)<br />

Executive Secretary<br />

Global Fund to Fight AIDS, Tuberculosis and Malaria<br />

Stefan Emblad<br />

Director, <strong>Resource</strong> <strong>Mobilization</strong><br />

RBM Secretariat<br />

Thomas Teuscher<br />

Executive Director a.i.<br />

RBM Partnership<br />

48


RBM Partnership<br />

Annex V. List of papers produced in preparation for the <strong>Resource</strong> <strong>Mobilization</strong><br />

<strong>Strategy</strong> and other sources<br />

Papers for the <strong>Resource</strong> <strong>Mobilization</strong> Sub-Committee<br />

1. Review of resource needs, financing flows and funding gap for the Global Malaria Action<br />

Plan, March 2011<br />

2. Global Malaria Action Plan funding through innovative financing, March 2011<br />

3. Revisiting the <strong>GMAP</strong> cost estimates for malaria control, March 2011<br />

4. Financial opportunity mapping with Brazil, Russia, India, China, South Africa, Malaysia<br />

and Mexico, June 2011<br />

5. Analysis of <strong>GMAP</strong> costing in selected high burden countries, PowerPoint Presentation,<br />

August 2011<br />

6. Malaria Bond Concept Note, October 2011<br />

7. Malaria Bond Business Plan, October 2011<br />

Other selected sources<br />

1. Macroeconomics and health: investing in health for economic development, WHO, 2001<br />

2. Successful integration of insecticide-treated bed net distribution with mass drug<br />

administration in Central Nigeria,<br />

(B.G. Blackburn, A. Eigege, H. Gotau, G. Gerlong, E. Miri, W.A. Hawley, E. Mathieu, F.<br />

Richards), Am. J. Trop. Med. Hyg., 75(4), 2006<br />

3. Vision 1440 H. A Vision for Human Dignity, Islamic Development Bank, 2006<br />

4. The Global Malaria Action Plan. For a malaria free world, RBM, 2008<br />

5. The Global Fund's role as a strategic and responsible investor in malaria, Board<br />

document, GF/B17/8, 2008<br />

6. Emerging donors in international development assistance: a synthesis report (D.<br />

Rowlands), International Development Research Centre, 2008<br />

7. We can't afford to wait: the business case for rapid scale-up of malaria control in Africa,<br />

Malaria No More and McKinsey & Company, 2008<br />

8. Innovative financing for development, World Bank, 2009<br />

9. G8 Muskoka Accountability Report. Assessing action and results against developmentrelated<br />

commitments, G8 Canadian Presidency, 2010<br />

10. Trends in development assistance and domestic financing for health in implementing<br />

countries, The Global Fund to Fight AIDS, Tuberculosis and Malaria, 2010<br />

11. World Wealth Report, Merrill Lynch and Capgemini, 2010<br />

12. Malaria funding and resource utilization: the first decade of <strong>Roll</strong> <strong>Back</strong> Malaria, RBM<br />

Progress and Impact Series n.1, 2010<br />

13. Saving Lives with Malaria Control: Counting Down to the Millennium Development<br />

Goals, RBM Progress and Impact Series n.3, September 2010<br />

14. The World Health Report. Health systems financing: the path to universal coverage,<br />

WHO 2010<br />

15. World Malaria Report, WHO, 2010<br />

16. How can disease control programs contribute to health systems strengthening in sub-<br />

Saharan Africa? Which health systems for disease control (W. Van Damme, M. Pirard, Y.<br />

Assefa, J. van Olmen), The Belgian Institute of Tropical Medicine, 2011<br />

17. Value for money in malaria programming: issues and opportunities, Clinton Health<br />

Access Initiative, 2011<br />

18. Maintaining the gains in global malaria control. The Health and Economic Benefits of<br />

Sustaining Control Measures, Clinton Health Access Initiative, 2011<br />

19. The World's Billionaires, Forbes, 2011<br />

20. G8 Deauville Accountability Report. G8 commitments on health and food security: state<br />

of delivery and results, Ministry of Foreign and European Affairs, G8 French Presidency,<br />

2011<br />

21. Making a difference. Global Fund Results Report 2011, The Global Fund to Fight AIDS,<br />

Tuberculosis and Malaria, 2011<br />

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RBM Partnership<br />

22. Hurun Philanthropy Report, 2011<br />

23. Development aid reaches an historic high in 2010, OECD/DAC, 2011<br />

(http://www.oecd.org/document/35/0,3746,en_2649_34447_47515235_1_1_1_1,00.html)<br />

24. Staying the course? Malaria research and development in a time of economic<br />

uncertainty, PATH, 2011<br />

25. The Millennium Development Goals Report, United Nations, 2011<br />

26. Migration and Remittances Factbook, World Bank, 2011<br />

27. Macroeconomics and health: investing in health for economic development, WHO,<br />

2001<br />

28. Global Plan for Artemisinin Resistance Containment, WHO 2011<br />

29. IMF World Economic Outlook Database<br />

50

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