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Crisis Economics: A Crash Course in the Future of Finance

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File Size: 819 KB Print Length: 368 pages Publisher: Penguin Books (May 11, 2010) Publication Date: May

11, 2010 Sold by: Penguin Group (USA) LLC Language: English ASIN: B003NX75O0 Text-to-Speech:

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Book Description

This myth shattering book reveals the methods Nouriel Roubini used to foretell the current crisis

before other economists saw it coming and shows how those methods can help us make sense of

the present and prepare for the future. Renowned economist Nouriel Roubini electrified his

profession and the larger financial community by predicting the current crisis well in advance of

anyone else. Unlike most in his profession who treat economic disasters as freakish once­in­­alifetime

events without clear cause, Roubini, after decades of careful research around the world,

realized that they were both probable and predictable. Armed with an unconventional blend of

historical analysis and global economics, Roubini has forced politicians, policy makers, investors,

and market watchers to face a long­neglected truth: financial systems are inherently fragile and

prone to collapse. Drawing on the parallels from many countries and centuries, Nouriel Roubini

and Stephen Mihm, a professor of economic history and a New York Times Magazine writer,

show that financial cataclysms are as old and as ubiquitous as capitalism itself. The last two

decades alone have witnessed comparable crises in countries as diverse as Mexico, Thailand,

Brazil, Pakistan, and Argentina. All of these crises­not to mention the more sweeping cataclysms

such as the Great Depression­have much in common with the current downturn. Bringing lessons

of earlier episodes to bear on our present predicament, Roubini and Mihm show how we can

recognize and grapple with the inherent instability of the global financial system, understand its

pressure points, learn from previous episodes of "irrational exuberance," pinpoint the course of

global contagion, and plan for our immediate future. Perhaps most important, the authorsconsidering

theories, statistics, and mathematical models with the skepticism that recent history

warrants—explain how the world's economy can get out of the mess we're in, and stay out. In

Roubini's shadow, economists and investors are increasingly realizing that they can no longer

afford to consider crises the black swans of financial history. A vital and timeless book, Crisis

Economics proves calamities to be not only predictable but also preventable and, with the right

medicine, curable.


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