2012 SEP - LGM - Malaysian Rubber Board
2012 SEP - LGM - Malaysian Rubber Board
2012 SEP - LGM - Malaysian Rubber Board
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Natural <strong>Rubber</strong> market review<br />
September<br />
The Kuala Lumpur market ruled steadier in<br />
September as prices rose across the board due<br />
to strong advices from the Tokyo rubber market.<br />
Firmer regional markets and good demand from<br />
consumers, coupled with stimulus action from<br />
U.S.A. and China to bolster economy of their<br />
respective countries, gave support to the prices.<br />
Compared with levels on 30 August, the price of<br />
SMR 20 was up by 80.5 sen/kg or 10.3% to close<br />
at 863.50 sen/kg whilst latex concentrate closed<br />
at 617.50 sen/kg, up 49.0 sen/kg or 8.6%. The<br />
price movements of selected grades of rubber in<br />
September are shown in Table 1.<br />
During the first trading week, the market ruled<br />
mixed in quiet conditions with thin trading<br />
activities due to uncertainty about market<br />
directions as well as investors waiting to see if the<br />
European Central Bank announces new<br />
measures to tackle the Eurozone debt crisis.<br />
Although the market remained quiet from the<br />
demand side, the Kuala Lumpur rubber market<br />
witnessed the upward trend during the second<br />
trading week in response to the positive news on<br />
1<br />
the implementation of Agreed Export Tonnage<br />
Scheme (AETS) to stabilize the rubber prices in<br />
the coming month. It was reported that major<br />
buyers were sourcing their supply for near-month<br />
shipments, as they were worried of the supply<br />
shortage and stock withholding by the major<br />
rubber producing countries. The upward trend<br />
was also in line with higher opening of regional<br />
futures market. The expectations of more<br />
stimulus measures from the U.S. Federal<br />
Reserve to boost the economy had also brought<br />
in good sentiment to the market.<br />
During the third trading week, the Kuala Lumpur<br />
rubber market continued with its upward trend<br />
following a positive response to a report that the<br />
Thai government plans to spend an additional 30<br />
billion baht to purchase rubber from farmers at<br />
above-market rates. The approved budget for the<br />
scheme may be used for six months, beginning<br />
October <strong>2012</strong>. At the same time, prices were also<br />
in line with the uptrend in TOCOM resulting from<br />
an increase in crude oil prices and the<br />
expectations that the demand would rise after the<br />
Bank of Japan eased monetary policy.<br />
After the peak on 21 September, a technical<br />
correction prevailed during the beginning of final<br />
trading week due to profit-taking activities in the<br />
Table 1: Prices of SMR CV, SMR 20 and Latex Concentrate, September <strong>2012</strong><br />
Note: * Official price of latex concentrate in bulk, 60% DRC<br />
Source: <strong>Malaysian</strong> <strong>Rubber</strong> <strong>Board</strong><br />
SMR CV SMR 20 Latex Concentrate<br />
sen/kg RM/tonne sen/kg RM/tonne sen/kg RM/tonne<br />
Highest 993.50 9,935.00 866.00 8,660.00 617.50 6,175.00<br />
Lowest 940.50 9,405.00 781.50 7,815.00 558.00 5,580.00<br />
Average 967.11 9,671.10 829.13 8,291.30 586.71 5,867.10<br />
Change from the last<br />
day of the previous<br />
month<br />
44.50 445.00<br />
<strong>2012</strong><br />
<strong>SEP</strong><br />
80.50 805.00 49.00 490.00
sen/kg<br />
950<br />
900<br />
850<br />
800<br />
750<br />
700<br />
650<br />
600<br />
550<br />
500<br />
450<br />
1,410<br />
1,350<br />
1,290<br />
1,230<br />
1,170<br />
1,110<br />
1,050<br />
990<br />
930<br />
870<br />
810<br />
750<br />
690<br />
630<br />
570<br />
510<br />
450<br />
sen/kg<br />
MRB Daily Noon Prices, September <strong>2012</strong><br />
SMR 20<br />
Latex in Bulk<br />
3 4 5 6 7 10 11 12 13 14 18 19 20 21 24 25 26 27 28<br />
SMR 20 and Latex ( in Bulk,60% DRC) Noon Prices<br />
2 October 2011 - 28 September <strong>2012</strong><br />
SMR 20<br />
Latex in Bulk<br />
2<br />
Oct '11 Nov Dec Jan '12 Feb Mar Apr May June July Aug Sep '12
ubber futures market. The sentiment was aided<br />
by cautious from market players about global<br />
economic growth despite steps from major central<br />
banks to bolster their respective countries’<br />
economy. However, towards the end of month,<br />
prices recovered slightly in tandem with slight<br />
rebound of regional prices, in response to the<br />
support from the Thai Government's price<br />
intervention measures in spot rubber trading and<br />
stimulus action from U.S. and other major central<br />
banks. The positive sentiment was further<br />
triggered by news that China's central bank is<br />
injecting 365 billion renminbi as an additional<br />
monetary stimulus for the country’s economy.<br />
Outlook<br />
The implementation of AETS by Thailand,<br />
Indonesia and Malaysia effective 1 October <strong>2012</strong><br />
would give support to the market. However, the<br />
uncertainty on the global economic growth and<br />
the solution to the Eurozone debt crisis would<br />
continue to put pressure on the rubber market.<br />
With the positive sentiments outweighing the<br />
negative ones, prices are expected to remain<br />
steady in the near-term.<br />
News Brief<br />
Global August <strong>2012</strong> natural rubber production<br />
up 1.4% on year –ANRPC<br />
Global natural rubber output in August <strong>2012</strong> is<br />
expected to grow 1.4% from a year ago, much<br />
slower than the 8.3% growth rate posted in<br />
August 2011, said the Association of Natural<br />
<strong>Rubber</strong> Producing Countries (ANRPC) in its<br />
monthly bulletin.<br />
In October 2011, natural rubber output was 19%<br />
higher on year. The ANRPC forecasts global<br />
natural rubber production to hit 10.83 million<br />
tonnes this year. This latest forecast is in line with<br />
its last prediction in July.<br />
- Dow Jones Commodities Service, 4 Sep<br />
3<br />
Vietnam to meet IRCo, date undetermined -<br />
Officials<br />
Vietnam is set to meet with the International<br />
<strong>Rubber</strong> Consortium (IRCo) about joining the<br />
alliance, but the date has not been set, officials in<br />
Vietnam and the rubber group said.<br />
IRCo has for years been trying to rope in Vietnam<br />
into the group as it seeks to better control global<br />
rubber prices, which have been volatile. But<br />
Vietnam, the world's fourth largest exporter of<br />
natural rubber is deterred by the cost of joining<br />
the club.<br />
According to the chief executive of International<br />
Tripartite <strong>Rubber</strong> Council (ITRC), Darmansyah<br />
Basyaruddin, as an emerging major producer of<br />
natural rubber, Vietnam would reap significant<br />
benefits from the alliance, as the country and<br />
IRCo country members will be able to be pricemakers<br />
and not price-takers. However, he added<br />
that Vietnam will likely have to contribute millions<br />
of dollars to join the group.<br />
- Dow Jones Commodities Service, 4 Sep<br />
<strong>Malaysian</strong> rubber sector set to get a boost<br />
Malaysia's rubber sector is to get a boost with the<br />
setting up of several facilities by the Government<br />
to improve production quality.<br />
Deputy Prime Minister, Tan Sri Muhyiddin Yassin,<br />
said the Government through <strong>Malaysian</strong> <strong>Rubber</strong><br />
<strong>Board</strong> (MRB), had in its pipeline to set up these<br />
facilities.<br />
"The existence and operations of these facilities<br />
will create a more conducive environment and<br />
opportunities for the business community in the<br />
rubber industry to generate investments and reinvestments,"<br />
Muhyiddin said at the launch of 6th<br />
International <strong>Rubber</strong> Glove Conference Exhibition<br />
<strong>2012</strong>.<br />
-New Straits Times, 5 Sep
MARGMA seeks tax breaks for glove makers<br />
<strong>Malaysian</strong> <strong>Rubber</strong> Glove Manufacturers<br />
Association (MARGMA) has appealed to the<br />
Government to accord tax breaks for glove<br />
makers who aggressively re-invest to automate<br />
production lines and develop more innovative<br />
gloves for use in the medical sector.<br />
Its President, Lim Kwee Shyan, said that the<br />
Government earlier this year drastically cut<br />
approval permits for foreign workers. In view of<br />
the difficulty in securing additional labour, Lim<br />
said the association members are working<br />
diligently to mechanise their manufacturing<br />
processes.<br />
He highlighted that the industry is making a<br />
paradigm shift from being a labour-intensive to<br />
that of a high technology and knowledge-based<br />
sector, which attracts more mechanical engineers<br />
and chemists.<br />
-New Straits Times, 5 Sep<br />
More R&D to stretch rubber industry further<br />
Five new research and development facilities for<br />
the rubber production sector are in the pipeline,<br />
said Deputy Prime Minister, Tan Sri Muhyiddin<br />
Yassin.<br />
He added that this was part of the efforts under of<br />
the Government’s Economic Transformation<br />
Plan (ETP) to promote the rubber industry,<br />
especially in the production of rubber gloves, as a<br />
key driver of the economy.<br />
The Gross National Income contributed by the<br />
rubber sector in 2020 is expected to rise to RM<br />
52.9 billion, of which 56.7% or RM 30 billion will<br />
be from the glove industry alone.<br />
-The Star, 5 Sep<br />
Vibrant Thai automotive industry shattering<br />
performance records<br />
Thailand's automotive industry is growing like<br />
gangbusters in <strong>2012</strong>, with makers left and right<br />
shattering performance records. The country's<br />
automobile production for January to June<br />
reached 1.06 million units, marking robust growth<br />
4<br />
of 30.5% compared with the corresponding<br />
period of last year.<br />
Automotive sales in the domestic market zoomed<br />
to a total of 606,523 vehicles in the first half, up a<br />
whopping 40.4 % year-on-year, with many car<br />
brands seeing first half of the year grew nearly<br />
double. Exports shot up by 14% to 456,869 units.<br />
Performance in June alone showed an especially<br />
blistering pace. With all carmakers recovered<br />
from last year's massive flooding, Thailand's<br />
automobile output for June reached 205,600<br />
units. This represented an all-time high for any<br />
single month and a hefty 33.8% year-on-year<br />
increase.<br />
- Thai News Service, 5 Sep<br />
Lanxess to invest EUR235M in synthetic<br />
rubber plant in China<br />
German chemicals company Lanxess said it will<br />
build the world's largest plant for ethylene<br />
propylene diene monomer, or EPDM synthetic<br />
rubber, in Changzho, in China's Jiangsu<br />
Province.<br />
The company will spend 235 million Euro<br />
(US$295 million), making it the largest investment<br />
Lanxess has made in China to-date. The plant<br />
will have a capacity of 160,000 metric tonnes per<br />
year and is expected to begin production in 2015.<br />
All necessary permits have been obtained from<br />
the local authorities.<br />
Global demand for EPDM is expected to increase<br />
by more than four percent annually in the coming<br />
years, while demand in China is expected to grow<br />
by around eight percent, driven mostly by<br />
automotive and construction industries..<br />
- Dow Jones Chinese Financial Wire, 5 Sep<br />
Glovemakers plan RM500m automation<br />
<strong>Rubber</strong> glove manufacturers may invest up to<br />
RM500 million to automate their operations in the<br />
next 10 years, a move which could reduce the<br />
sector's workforce by up to 50% during the<br />
period, according to industry players.
<strong>Malaysian</strong> <strong>Rubber</strong> Glove Manufacturers<br />
Association (MARGMA) president, Lim Kwee<br />
Shyan, said that automation is crucial to mitigate<br />
the impact of higher wages. This is in anticipation<br />
of the implementation of the minimum wage,<br />
effective next year.<br />
"[An] employee is our asset," Lim told reporters<br />
during the Sixth International <strong>Rubber</strong> Glove<br />
Conference and Exhibition. He said that the local<br />
industry currently comprises about 45 glove<br />
manufacturers with a combined workforce of<br />
some 60,000 workers. While the reduction in<br />
manual labour by glove producers will mainly<br />
involve unskilled workers, glovemakers are<br />
expected to employ more skilled manpower in the<br />
future.<br />
-The Edge Financial Daily, 5 Sep<br />
Indonesia fully committed to rubber-export<br />
cut<br />
Indonesia is fully committed to reducing<br />
shipments by 100,000 metric tonnes in the fourth<br />
quarter as agreed with the other two top growers,<br />
Thailand and Malaysia, an industry group said.<br />
Indonesian exporters and government officials<br />
will discuss ways to implement the reduction next<br />
week, said Daud Husni Bastari, Chairman of the<br />
<strong>Rubber</strong> Association of Indonesia (GAPKINDO).<br />
“We will set a proper and strict mechanism to<br />
ensure that the export cut reaches its target,”<br />
Bastari, who was elected as the group’s chairman<br />
said. “The trade and agriculture ministry will issue<br />
the guidance and monitor the implementation.”<br />
-The Star, 7 Sep<br />
Malaysia & Thailand to study '<strong>Rubber</strong> City' plan<br />
Malaysia and Thailand are looking at the<br />
possibility of developing a large-scale rubber and<br />
rubber industry-based development on the Kedah<br />
-Thai border to stabilize falling rubber prices.<br />
Prime Minister, Datuk Seri Najib Razak discussed<br />
the plan with his Thai counterpart, Yingluck<br />
Shinawatra, on the sidelines of the Asia-Pacific<br />
Economic Cooperation (APEC) Leaders Summit<br />
in Vladivostok, Russia.<br />
5<br />
Datuk Seri Najib told reporters that Malaysia had<br />
appointed former Prime Minister, Tun Dr.<br />
Mahathir Mohamad to lead a study on the<br />
"<strong>Rubber</strong> City" joint plan while Yingluck said the<br />
project would help bring stability to the nation's<br />
restive south.<br />
-New Straits Times, 9 Sep<br />
USA remains the largest buyer of Indonesian<br />
rubber<br />
The United States is still the largest buyer of<br />
Indonesian rubber, followed by Japan and China.<br />
The Association of Indonesian Businessmen<br />
(APINDO) said that Indonesia`s exports of natural<br />
rubber to the United States reached 177,000<br />
tonnes worth US$628.59 million in the first four<br />
months of the year.<br />
Exports to Japan totalled 131,000 tonnes valued<br />
at US$4677 million, while those to China totalled<br />
129,000 tonnes valued at US$466 million,<br />
chairman of North Sumatra Apindo, Parlindungan<br />
Purba, said.<br />
-ANTARA, 11 Sep<br />
Chinese economy likely to further stabilize<br />
State Council Premier, Wen Jiabao said that the<br />
Chinese economy sees a good development<br />
environment as indicated by various macroeconomic<br />
indicators, adding that it is likely to<br />
further stabilize. He noted China's economic<br />
growth is still kept at a level within expectations.<br />
China is going to leverage on the relatively big<br />
room for making use of fiscal and monetary<br />
policies, huge domestic demand potential and<br />
eagerness of various regions and departments. It<br />
holds on to the conviction that stabilizing growth<br />
should be taken even more importantly.<br />
- AAStocks Financial News, 12 Sep
Sri Lanka moves to upgrade rubber<br />
infrastructure to play 2022's US$ 4 billion<br />
target<br />
As global rubber prices are set to soar, Sri Lanka<br />
is moving to upgrade its rubber sector to<br />
capitalize on the trend-and also to play the US$ 4<br />
billion rubber exports target set for 2022.<br />
"I am pleased to announce that we are launching<br />
the first ever national rubber industry survey. We<br />
are also now looking at creating high-end rubber<br />
testing laboratory facilities that the industry<br />
needs. All of this will contribute to <strong>Rubber</strong><br />
Masterplan which looks to generate US$ 4 billion<br />
rubber exports by 2022" announced Rishad<br />
Bathiudeen, Minister of Industry and Commerce<br />
of Sri Lanka.<br />
- Asian Tribune, 16 Sep<br />
Thailand: 30 billion baht more to shore up<br />
rubber prices<br />
The Thai Government plans to spend an<br />
additional 30 billion baht to purchase rubber from<br />
farmers at above-market rates to shore up prices,<br />
the Bangkok Post reports.<br />
Deputy Agriculture Minister, Natthawut Saikua<br />
said that the Thai Government may also provide<br />
up to 15 billion baht in soft loans to exporters with<br />
the aim of buying up to 300,000 tonnes of rubber<br />
to keep in the government's stockpile.<br />
The budget approved on 13 September <strong>2012</strong> by<br />
the National <strong>Rubber</strong> Policy Committee may be<br />
spent from 1 October <strong>2012</strong> until 31 March 2013.<br />
- Thai News Service, 17 Sep<br />
Demand for natural rubber growing: ANRPC<br />
Global opportunities for the production of natural<br />
rubber and the demand growth are encouraging<br />
in view of the improvement in the economic<br />
indicators of the US, China, Japan and Europe,<br />
said Dato’ Dr. Kamarul Baharain Basir, Secretary-<br />
General of the Association of Natural <strong>Rubber</strong><br />
Producing Countries (ANRPC).<br />
He was inaugurating the India <strong>Rubber</strong> Summit<br />
and Dinner <strong>2012</strong> (IRSD <strong>2012</strong>), held in Kochi on<br />
15 September <strong>2012</strong>. He predicted that there<br />
6<br />
would be a 4.7% rise in natural rubber supply to<br />
10.83 million tonnes in <strong>2012</strong> while the<br />
consumption would rise by 4.8% to 11.59 million<br />
tonnes. "Of this, China would consume 3.67<br />
million tonnes and India one million tonnes," he<br />
noted.<br />
-The Times of India, 21 Sep<br />
RISDA looks forward to expand to Myanmar,<br />
Laos<br />
The <strong>Rubber</strong> Industry Smallholders Development<br />
Authority (RISDA) intends to expand its<br />
investment by developing rubber plantations in<br />
Myanmar and Laos.<br />
Its chairman, Tan Sri Rahim Tamby Chik, said<br />
that the two countries were chosen as they have<br />
ample landbank with the potential to be<br />
developed into rubber plantation or undertake<br />
rubber replanting programmes.<br />
“The investment will involve supply of technology<br />
and sharing experience as well as disclosure of<br />
RISDA’s rubber industry planting and replanting<br />
activities, which has reached 40 years in the<br />
country,” he told reporters after launching the<br />
state level “Kasihi Pekebun Kecil” programme.<br />
-The Sun, 25 Sep
June <strong>2012</strong> p<br />
Canada<br />
0.5%<br />
Brazil<br />
2.4%<br />
June <strong>2012</strong> p<br />
Thailand<br />
65.0%<br />
Note: P = provisional<br />
Others<br />
6.8%<br />
China<br />
40.3%<br />
Others<br />
23.4%<br />
Malaysia’s NR imports by countries July <strong>2012</strong> p<br />
Indonesia<br />
2.4%<br />
Total: 62,035 tonnes<br />
Malaysia’s NR exports by countries July <strong>2012</strong> p<br />
Total: 60,131 tonnes<br />
7<br />
Vietnam<br />
17.9%<br />
USA<br />
4.2%<br />
Turkey<br />
1.8%<br />
Cambodia<br />
3.1%<br />
Philippines<br />
4.3%<br />
India<br />
0.3%<br />
Myanmar<br />
0.2%<br />
Total: 75,981 tonnes<br />
Taiwan<br />
2.1%<br />
France<br />
1.5%<br />
Germany<br />
12.4%<br />
Iran<br />
6.7%<br />
South Korea<br />
4.7%<br />
Total: 62,723 tonnes<br />
Source: Department of Statistics (DOS)
June <strong>2012</strong> p<br />
Others<br />
0.5%<br />
June <strong>2012</strong> p<br />
Latex<br />
4.2%<br />
Note: P = provisional<br />
RSS<br />
0.2%<br />
SMR<br />
95.3%<br />
Malaysia’s NR exports by types July <strong>2012</strong> p<br />
Total: 60,131 tonnes<br />
Malaysia’s NR consumption by sectors July <strong>2012</strong> p<br />
Gloves<br />
68.6%<br />
SMR<br />
95.1%<br />
Total: 35,810 tonnes<br />
8<br />
Others<br />
0.4%<br />
Other products<br />
12.5%<br />
Latex<br />
4.2%<br />
RSS<br />
0.2%<br />
Total: 62,723 tonnes<br />
Total: 37,614 tonnes<br />
Source: Department of Statistics (DOS)<br />
Published by the <strong>Malaysian</strong> <strong>Rubber</strong> <strong>Board</strong>, 148 Jalan Ampang, 50450 Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia.<br />
Tel: 603-9206 2000 Fax: 603-2161 6586<br />
Tyres & Tubes<br />
7.3%<br />
<strong>Rubber</strong> thread<br />
8.5%<br />
<strong>Rubber</strong> Compound<br />
3.2%