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2012 SEP - LGM - Malaysian Rubber Board

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Natural <strong>Rubber</strong> market review<br />

September<br />

The Kuala Lumpur market ruled steadier in<br />

September as prices rose across the board due<br />

to strong advices from the Tokyo rubber market.<br />

Firmer regional markets and good demand from<br />

consumers, coupled with stimulus action from<br />

U.S.A. and China to bolster economy of their<br />

respective countries, gave support to the prices.<br />

Compared with levels on 30 August, the price of<br />

SMR 20 was up by 80.5 sen/kg or 10.3% to close<br />

at 863.50 sen/kg whilst latex concentrate closed<br />

at 617.50 sen/kg, up 49.0 sen/kg or 8.6%. The<br />

price movements of selected grades of rubber in<br />

September are shown in Table 1.<br />

During the first trading week, the market ruled<br />

mixed in quiet conditions with thin trading<br />

activities due to uncertainty about market<br />

directions as well as investors waiting to see if the<br />

European Central Bank announces new<br />

measures to tackle the Eurozone debt crisis.<br />

Although the market remained quiet from the<br />

demand side, the Kuala Lumpur rubber market<br />

witnessed the upward trend during the second<br />

trading week in response to the positive news on<br />

1<br />

the implementation of Agreed Export Tonnage<br />

Scheme (AETS) to stabilize the rubber prices in<br />

the coming month. It was reported that major<br />

buyers were sourcing their supply for near-month<br />

shipments, as they were worried of the supply<br />

shortage and stock withholding by the major<br />

rubber producing countries. The upward trend<br />

was also in line with higher opening of regional<br />

futures market. The expectations of more<br />

stimulus measures from the U.S. Federal<br />

Reserve to boost the economy had also brought<br />

in good sentiment to the market.<br />

During the third trading week, the Kuala Lumpur<br />

rubber market continued with its upward trend<br />

following a positive response to a report that the<br />

Thai government plans to spend an additional 30<br />

billion baht to purchase rubber from farmers at<br />

above-market rates. The approved budget for the<br />

scheme may be used for six months, beginning<br />

October <strong>2012</strong>. At the same time, prices were also<br />

in line with the uptrend in TOCOM resulting from<br />

an increase in crude oil prices and the<br />

expectations that the demand would rise after the<br />

Bank of Japan eased monetary policy.<br />

After the peak on 21 September, a technical<br />

correction prevailed during the beginning of final<br />

trading week due to profit-taking activities in the<br />

Table 1: Prices of SMR CV, SMR 20 and Latex Concentrate, September <strong>2012</strong><br />

Note: * Official price of latex concentrate in bulk, 60% DRC<br />

Source: <strong>Malaysian</strong> <strong>Rubber</strong> <strong>Board</strong><br />

SMR CV SMR 20 Latex Concentrate<br />

sen/kg RM/tonne sen/kg RM/tonne sen/kg RM/tonne<br />

Highest 993.50 9,935.00 866.00 8,660.00 617.50 6,175.00<br />

Lowest 940.50 9,405.00 781.50 7,815.00 558.00 5,580.00<br />

Average 967.11 9,671.10 829.13 8,291.30 586.71 5,867.10<br />

Change from the last<br />

day of the previous<br />

month<br />

44.50 445.00<br />

<strong>2012</strong><br />

<strong>SEP</strong><br />

80.50 805.00 49.00 490.00


sen/kg<br />

950<br />

900<br />

850<br />

800<br />

750<br />

700<br />

650<br />

600<br />

550<br />

500<br />

450<br />

1,410<br />

1,350<br />

1,290<br />

1,230<br />

1,170<br />

1,110<br />

1,050<br />

990<br />

930<br />

870<br />

810<br />

750<br />

690<br />

630<br />

570<br />

510<br />

450<br />

sen/kg<br />

MRB Daily Noon Prices, September <strong>2012</strong><br />

SMR 20<br />

Latex in Bulk<br />

3 4 5 6 7 10 11 12 13 14 18 19 20 21 24 25 26 27 28<br />

SMR 20 and Latex ( in Bulk,60% DRC) Noon Prices<br />

2 October 2011 - 28 September <strong>2012</strong><br />

SMR 20<br />

Latex in Bulk<br />

2<br />

Oct '11 Nov Dec Jan '12 Feb Mar Apr May June July Aug Sep '12


ubber futures market. The sentiment was aided<br />

by cautious from market players about global<br />

economic growth despite steps from major central<br />

banks to bolster their respective countries’<br />

economy. However, towards the end of month,<br />

prices recovered slightly in tandem with slight<br />

rebound of regional prices, in response to the<br />

support from the Thai Government's price<br />

intervention measures in spot rubber trading and<br />

stimulus action from U.S. and other major central<br />

banks. The positive sentiment was further<br />

triggered by news that China's central bank is<br />

injecting 365 billion renminbi as an additional<br />

monetary stimulus for the country’s economy.<br />

Outlook<br />

The implementation of AETS by Thailand,<br />

Indonesia and Malaysia effective 1 October <strong>2012</strong><br />

would give support to the market. However, the<br />

uncertainty on the global economic growth and<br />

the solution to the Eurozone debt crisis would<br />

continue to put pressure on the rubber market.<br />

With the positive sentiments outweighing the<br />

negative ones, prices are expected to remain<br />

steady in the near-term.<br />

News Brief<br />

Global August <strong>2012</strong> natural rubber production<br />

up 1.4% on year –ANRPC<br />

Global natural rubber output in August <strong>2012</strong> is<br />

expected to grow 1.4% from a year ago, much<br />

slower than the 8.3% growth rate posted in<br />

August 2011, said the Association of Natural<br />

<strong>Rubber</strong> Producing Countries (ANRPC) in its<br />

monthly bulletin.<br />

In October 2011, natural rubber output was 19%<br />

higher on year. The ANRPC forecasts global<br />

natural rubber production to hit 10.83 million<br />

tonnes this year. This latest forecast is in line with<br />

its last prediction in July.<br />

- Dow Jones Commodities Service, 4 Sep<br />

3<br />

Vietnam to meet IRCo, date undetermined -<br />

Officials<br />

Vietnam is set to meet with the International<br />

<strong>Rubber</strong> Consortium (IRCo) about joining the<br />

alliance, but the date has not been set, officials in<br />

Vietnam and the rubber group said.<br />

IRCo has for years been trying to rope in Vietnam<br />

into the group as it seeks to better control global<br />

rubber prices, which have been volatile. But<br />

Vietnam, the world's fourth largest exporter of<br />

natural rubber is deterred by the cost of joining<br />

the club.<br />

According to the chief executive of International<br />

Tripartite <strong>Rubber</strong> Council (ITRC), Darmansyah<br />

Basyaruddin, as an emerging major producer of<br />

natural rubber, Vietnam would reap significant<br />

benefits from the alliance, as the country and<br />

IRCo country members will be able to be pricemakers<br />

and not price-takers. However, he added<br />

that Vietnam will likely have to contribute millions<br />

of dollars to join the group.<br />

- Dow Jones Commodities Service, 4 Sep<br />

<strong>Malaysian</strong> rubber sector set to get a boost<br />

Malaysia's rubber sector is to get a boost with the<br />

setting up of several facilities by the Government<br />

to improve production quality.<br />

Deputy Prime Minister, Tan Sri Muhyiddin Yassin,<br />

said the Government through <strong>Malaysian</strong> <strong>Rubber</strong><br />

<strong>Board</strong> (MRB), had in its pipeline to set up these<br />

facilities.<br />

"The existence and operations of these facilities<br />

will create a more conducive environment and<br />

opportunities for the business community in the<br />

rubber industry to generate investments and reinvestments,"<br />

Muhyiddin said at the launch of 6th<br />

International <strong>Rubber</strong> Glove Conference Exhibition<br />

<strong>2012</strong>.<br />

-New Straits Times, 5 Sep


MARGMA seeks tax breaks for glove makers<br />

<strong>Malaysian</strong> <strong>Rubber</strong> Glove Manufacturers<br />

Association (MARGMA) has appealed to the<br />

Government to accord tax breaks for glove<br />

makers who aggressively re-invest to automate<br />

production lines and develop more innovative<br />

gloves for use in the medical sector.<br />

Its President, Lim Kwee Shyan, said that the<br />

Government earlier this year drastically cut<br />

approval permits for foreign workers. In view of<br />

the difficulty in securing additional labour, Lim<br />

said the association members are working<br />

diligently to mechanise their manufacturing<br />

processes.<br />

He highlighted that the industry is making a<br />

paradigm shift from being a labour-intensive to<br />

that of a high technology and knowledge-based<br />

sector, which attracts more mechanical engineers<br />

and chemists.<br />

-New Straits Times, 5 Sep<br />

More R&D to stretch rubber industry further<br />

Five new research and development facilities for<br />

the rubber production sector are in the pipeline,<br />

said Deputy Prime Minister, Tan Sri Muhyiddin<br />

Yassin.<br />

He added that this was part of the efforts under of<br />

the Government’s Economic Transfor­mation<br />

Plan (ETP) to promote the rubber industry,<br />

especially in the production of rubber gloves, as a<br />

key driver of the economy.<br />

The Gross National Income contributed by the<br />

rubber sector in 2020 is expected to rise to RM<br />

52.9 billion, of which 56.7% or RM 30 billion will<br />

be from the glove industry alone.<br />

-The Star, 5 Sep<br />

Vibrant Thai automotive industry shattering<br />

performance records<br />

Thailand's automotive industry is growing like<br />

gangbusters in <strong>2012</strong>, with makers left and right<br />

shattering performance records. The country's<br />

automobile production for January to June<br />

reached 1.06 million units, marking robust growth<br />

4<br />

of 30.5% compared with the corresponding<br />

period of last year.<br />

Automotive sales in the domestic market zoomed<br />

to a total of 606,523 vehicles in the first half, up a<br />

whopping 40.4 % year-on-year, with many car<br />

brands seeing first half of the year grew nearly<br />

double. Exports shot up by 14% to 456,869 units.<br />

Performance in June alone showed an especially<br />

blistering pace. With all carmakers recovered<br />

from last year's massive flooding, Thailand's<br />

automobile output for June reached 205,600<br />

units. This represented an all-time high for any<br />

single month and a hefty 33.8% year-on-year<br />

increase.<br />

- Thai News Service, 5 Sep<br />

Lanxess to invest EUR235M in synthetic<br />

rubber plant in China<br />

German chemicals company Lanxess said it will<br />

build the world's largest plant for ethylene<br />

propylene diene monomer, or EPDM synthetic<br />

rubber, in Changzho, in China's Jiangsu<br />

Province.<br />

The company will spend 235 million Euro<br />

(US$295 million), making it the largest investment<br />

Lanxess has made in China to-date. The plant<br />

will have a capacity of 160,000 metric tonnes per<br />

year and is expected to begin production in 2015.<br />

All necessary permits have been obtained from<br />

the local authorities.<br />

Global demand for EPDM is expected to increase<br />

by more than four percent annually in the coming<br />

years, while demand in China is expected to grow<br />

by around eight percent, driven mostly by<br />

automotive and construction industries..<br />

- Dow Jones Chinese Financial Wire, 5 Sep<br />

Glovemakers plan RM500m automation<br />

<strong>Rubber</strong> glove manufacturers may invest up to<br />

RM500 million to automate their operations in the<br />

next 10 years, a move which could reduce the<br />

sector's workforce by up to 50% during the<br />

period, according to industry players.


<strong>Malaysian</strong> <strong>Rubber</strong> Glove Manufacturers<br />

Association (MARGMA) president, Lim Kwee<br />

Shyan, said that automation is crucial to mitigate<br />

the impact of higher wages. This is in anticipation<br />

of the implementation of the minimum wage,<br />

effective next year.<br />

"[An] employee is our asset," Lim told reporters<br />

during the Sixth International <strong>Rubber</strong> Glove<br />

Conference and Exhibition. He said that the local<br />

industry currently comprises about 45 glove<br />

manufacturers with a combined workforce of<br />

some 60,000 workers. While the reduction in<br />

manual labour by glove producers will mainly<br />

involve unskilled workers, glovemakers are<br />

expected to employ more skilled manpower in the<br />

future.<br />

-The Edge Financial Daily, 5 Sep<br />

Indonesia fully committed to rubber-export<br />

cut<br />

Indonesia is fully committed to reducing<br />

shipments by 100,000 metric tonnes in the fourth<br />

quarter as agreed with the other two top growers,<br />

Thailand and Malaysia, an industry group said.<br />

Indonesian exporters and government officials<br />

will discuss ways to implement the reduction next<br />

week, said Daud Husni Bastari, Chairman of the<br />

<strong>Rubber</strong> Association of Indonesia (GAPKINDO).<br />

“We will set a proper and strict mechanism to<br />

ensure that the export cut reaches its target,”<br />

Bastari, who was elected as the group’s chairman<br />

said. “The trade and agriculture ministry will issue<br />

the guidance and monitor the implementation.”<br />

-The Star, 7 Sep<br />

Malaysia & Thailand to study '<strong>Rubber</strong> City' plan<br />

Malaysia and Thailand are looking at the<br />

possibility of developing a large-scale rubber and<br />

rubber industry-based development on the Kedah<br />

-Thai border to stabilize falling rubber prices.<br />

Prime Minister, Datuk Seri Najib Razak discussed<br />

the plan with his Thai counterpart, Yingluck<br />

Shinawatra, on the sidelines of the Asia-Pacific<br />

Economic Cooperation (APEC) Leaders Summit<br />

in Vladivostok, Russia.<br />

5<br />

Datuk Seri Najib told reporters that Malaysia had<br />

appointed former Prime Minister, Tun Dr.<br />

Mahathir Mohamad to lead a study on the<br />

"<strong>Rubber</strong> City" joint plan while Yingluck said the<br />

project would help bring stability to the nation's<br />

restive south.<br />

-New Straits Times, 9 Sep<br />

USA remains the largest buyer of Indonesian<br />

rubber<br />

The United States is still the largest buyer of<br />

Indonesian rubber, followed by Japan and China.<br />

The Association of Indonesian Businessmen<br />

(APINDO) said that Indonesia`s exports of natural<br />

rubber to the United States reached 177,000<br />

tonnes worth US$628.59 million in the first four<br />

months of the year.<br />

Exports to Japan totalled 131,000 tonnes valued<br />

at US$4677 million, while those to China totalled<br />

129,000 tonnes valued at US$466 million,<br />

chairman of North Sumatra Apindo, Parlindungan<br />

Purba, said.<br />

-ANTARA, 11 Sep<br />

Chinese economy likely to further stabilize<br />

State Council Premier, Wen Jiabao said that the<br />

Chinese economy sees a good development<br />

environment as indicated by various macroeconomic<br />

indicators, adding that it is likely to<br />

further stabilize. He noted China's economic<br />

growth is still kept at a level within expectations.<br />

China is going to leverage on the relatively big<br />

room for making use of fiscal and monetary<br />

policies, huge domestic demand potential and<br />

eagerness of various regions and departments. It<br />

holds on to the conviction that stabilizing growth<br />

should be taken even more importantly.<br />

- AAStocks Financial News, 12 Sep


Sri Lanka moves to upgrade rubber<br />

infrastructure to play 2022's US$ 4 billion<br />

target<br />

As global rubber prices are set to soar, Sri Lanka<br />

is moving to upgrade its rubber sector to<br />

capitalize on the trend-and also to play the US$ 4<br />

billion rubber exports target set for 2022.<br />

"I am pleased to announce that we are launching<br />

the first ever national rubber industry survey. We<br />

are also now looking at creating high-end rubber<br />

testing laboratory facilities that the industry<br />

needs. All of this will contribute to <strong>Rubber</strong><br />

Masterplan which looks to generate US$ 4 billion<br />

rubber exports by 2022" announced Rishad<br />

Bathiudeen, Minister of Industry and Commerce<br />

of Sri Lanka.<br />

- Asian Tribune, 16 Sep<br />

Thailand: 30 billion baht more to shore up<br />

rubber prices<br />

The Thai Government plans to spend an<br />

additional 30 billion baht to purchase rubber from<br />

farmers at above-market rates to shore up prices,<br />

the Bangkok Post reports.<br />

Deputy Agriculture Minister, Natthawut Saikua<br />

said that the Thai Government may also provide<br />

up to 15 billion baht in soft loans to exporters with<br />

the aim of buying up to 300,000 tonnes of rubber<br />

to keep in the government's stockpile.<br />

The budget approved on 13 September <strong>2012</strong> by<br />

the National <strong>Rubber</strong> Policy Committee may be<br />

spent from 1 October <strong>2012</strong> until 31 March 2013.<br />

- Thai News Service, 17 Sep<br />

Demand for natural rubber growing: ANRPC<br />

Global opportunities for the production of natural<br />

rubber and the demand growth are encouraging<br />

in view of the improvement in the economic<br />

indicators of the US, China, Japan and Europe,<br />

said Dato’ Dr. Kamarul Baharain Basir, Secretary-<br />

General of the Association of Natural <strong>Rubber</strong><br />

Producing Countries (ANRPC).<br />

He was inaugurating the India <strong>Rubber</strong> Summit<br />

and Dinner <strong>2012</strong> (IRSD <strong>2012</strong>), held in Kochi on<br />

15 September <strong>2012</strong>. He predicted that there<br />

6<br />

would be a 4.7% rise in natural rubber supply to<br />

10.83 million tonnes in <strong>2012</strong> while the<br />

consumption would rise by 4.8% to 11.59 million<br />

tonnes. "Of this, China would consume 3.67<br />

million tonnes and India one million tonnes," he<br />

noted.<br />

-The Times of India, 21 Sep<br />

RISDA looks forward to expand to Myanmar,<br />

Laos<br />

The <strong>Rubber</strong> Industry Smallholders Development<br />

Authority (RISDA) intends to expand its<br />

investment by developing rubber plantations in<br />

Myanmar and Laos.<br />

Its chairman, Tan Sri Rahim Tamby Chik, said<br />

that the two countries were chosen as they have<br />

ample landbank with the potential to be<br />

developed into rubber plantation or undertake<br />

rubber replanting programmes.<br />

“The investment will involve supply of technology<br />

and sharing experience as well as disclosure of<br />

RISDA’s rubber industry planting and replanting<br />

activities, which has reached 40 years in the<br />

country,” he told reporters after launching the<br />

state level “Kasihi Pekebun Kecil” programme.<br />

-The Sun, 25 Sep


June <strong>2012</strong> p<br />

Canada<br />

0.5%<br />

Brazil<br />

2.4%<br />

June <strong>2012</strong> p<br />

Thailand<br />

65.0%<br />

Note: P = provisional<br />

Others<br />

6.8%<br />

China<br />

40.3%<br />

Others<br />

23.4%<br />

Malaysia’s NR imports by countries July <strong>2012</strong> p<br />

Indonesia<br />

2.4%<br />

Total: 62,035 tonnes<br />

Malaysia’s NR exports by countries July <strong>2012</strong> p<br />

Total: 60,131 tonnes<br />

7<br />

Vietnam<br />

17.9%<br />

USA<br />

4.2%<br />

Turkey<br />

1.8%<br />

Cambodia<br />

3.1%<br />

Philippines<br />

4.3%<br />

India<br />

0.3%<br />

Myanmar<br />

0.2%<br />

Total: 75,981 tonnes<br />

Taiwan<br />

2.1%<br />

France<br />

1.5%<br />

Germany<br />

12.4%<br />

Iran<br />

6.7%<br />

South Korea<br />

4.7%<br />

Total: 62,723 tonnes<br />

Source: Department of Statistics (DOS)


June <strong>2012</strong> p<br />

Others<br />

0.5%<br />

June <strong>2012</strong> p<br />

Latex<br />

4.2%<br />

Note: P = provisional<br />

RSS<br />

0.2%<br />

SMR<br />

95.3%<br />

Malaysia’s NR exports by types July <strong>2012</strong> p<br />

Total: 60,131 tonnes<br />

Malaysia’s NR consumption by sectors July <strong>2012</strong> p<br />

Gloves<br />

68.6%<br />

SMR<br />

95.1%<br />

Total: 35,810 tonnes<br />

8<br />

Others<br />

0.4%<br />

Other products<br />

12.5%<br />

Latex<br />

4.2%<br />

RSS<br />

0.2%<br />

Total: 62,723 tonnes<br />

Total: 37,614 tonnes<br />

Source: Department of Statistics (DOS)<br />

Published by the <strong>Malaysian</strong> <strong>Rubber</strong> <strong>Board</strong>, 148 Jalan Ampang, 50450 Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia.<br />

Tel: 603-9206 2000 Fax: 603-2161 6586<br />

Tyres & Tubes<br />

7.3%<br />

<strong>Rubber</strong> thread<br />

8.5%<br />

<strong>Rubber</strong> Compound<br />

3.2%

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