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Chapter 3

TREND IN TROPICAL FORESTS

The 2010s opened with a concerted

push to reduce tropical deforestation by

2020 as a way to achieve multiple objectives,

including combatting climate

change, stabilizing forest-dependent

livelihoods and ecosystem services, and

slowing species extinction rates. That

ambition, however, failed to meet its

most basic target: Deforestation in the

2010s far outpaced the rate of forest

loss in the 2000s, rising at least 30%,

according to two datasets developed

by a team lead by Matthew Hansen of

the University of Maryland. ▼ Hansen’s

data shows that tropical tree cover loss

between 2010 and 2018 averaged 12 million

hectares per year, an increase from

8.5 million hectares per year from 2002-

2009. Tree cover loss, however, includes

both deforestation and activities within

tree plantations, like cyclical harvesting

and replanting. As a result, it is not a

complete indicator of what’s happening

in tropical forests, especially in countries

like Malaysia and Indonesia that

have large industrial plantation sectors.

Therefore, Hansen’s data on primary

forests, which excludes plantations,

is a useful proxy for providing more

context on tropical forest trends.“drylands”—areas

too dry to support large

numbers of trees—and most are considered

grazing lands. There, goats, sheep,

and cattle may harm what few trees are

able to grow.

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