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Traditionally, in MotoGP, not so much,<br />
and that’s the way we like it, however,<br />
that seems to be the case these days – if<br />
you’re on a Ducati or a KTM on a cold<br />
Aragon Circuit, unlucky.<br />
If you’re on a Suzuki, a Yamaha or Alex<br />
Marquez’s Honda, you might stand a<br />
chance.<br />
Alex Marquez was the stand-out rider at<br />
LeMans where he took his first podium.<br />
However, critics pointed out that it was<br />
raining and didn’t quite count, so he did it<br />
again in the dry at Aragon a week later.<br />
Many have praised him for gaining<br />
confidence, learning the Honda that was<br />
previously unrideable by anyone except<br />
his older brother Marc and showing the<br />
talent that he is.<br />
Much of that might be accurate, but then it<br />
might be complete garbage too.<br />
It might be more down to machine than<br />
man, in this case, the rejuvenated Honda.<br />
Since Marc’s exit from the championship<br />
because of injury, Crutchlow has been told<br />
he has no job from January, and Stefan<br />
Bradl is merely a seat-filler. Full attention<br />
has therefore be given to Alex, the only<br />
rider that will remain with Honda next year<br />
and continue its evolution.<br />
The biggest problem plaguing the <strong>2020</strong><br />
bike was severe understeer caused by a<br />
heavy crank that lifts the front wheel when<br />
the rider opens the throttle.<br />
For Marc Marquez, this was not a problem<br />
because of his manic, late braking style<br />
that pushed well into the depths of the<br />
corner, then squared the machine up and<br />
rodeo’d it out again under hard acceleration.<br />
For everyone else, the bike merely understeered.<br />
What changed for Alex during the LeMans<br />
and Aragon GPs? At Catalunya, two<br />
weeks before, he was languishing in his<br />
usual spot out of the top ten. Actually, his<br />
finish statistics for the year are: Jerez 1<br />
– 12th, Jerez 2 –8th with eight riders not<br />
finishing, Brno – 15th, Red Bull1 – 14th,<br />
Red Bull 2 – 16th, Misano 1 – 17th, Misano<br />
2 – 7th, Catalunya – 13th.<br />
All of these finishes were well beyond ten<br />
seconds behind the leader.<br />
Then LeMans and Aragon 1 happen, and<br />
Alex Marquez is on the podium challenging<br />
for a win in both. Did confidence hit<br />
suddenly and unexpectedly during the<br />
week between Catalunya and LeMans?<br />
What wizardry was being performed within<br />
the workings of his machine will remain<br />
a guarded secret, but what they were<br />
unable to hide was a brand new Ohlins<br />
rear shock.<br />
It was offered to all the Ohlins machines,<br />
and yet only the two Suzukis and Alex<br />
Marquez took it seriously, the same three<br />
motorcycles that stood upon the podium<br />
at Aragon 1.<br />
The signs that the Honda of Alex Marquez<br />
had changed were all too obvious during<br />
Aragon 1. The younger Marquez was not<br />
emulating his brother’s crazed, late-braking<br />
style, but looked more attuned to the<br />
smoother styles of the Suzukis with whom<br />
he shared a podium. During the final turn,<br />
he was clearly able to run more mid-corner<br />
speed, something that was previously<br />
unheard of on a Honda.<br />
It makes sense because the rear shock<br />
plays a massive role in the behaviour of<br />
the front. If the rear doesn’t squat suddenly<br />
when the throttle is opened, it keeps<br />
more weight on the front tyre helping it<br />
grip better and letting the rider hold a line<br />
more easily.<br />
It’s a good bet that other Ohlins teams<br />
will also begin looking into the new Ohlins<br />
rear shock, a situation that is worrying for<br />
non-Ohlins users such as Brad Binder<br />
who’s KTM is very much WP-shod.<br />
KTM showed immense promise at the<br />
beginning of the season when the teams<br />
were riding in the depth of the European<br />
summer and conditions were hotter than<br />
when they usually visit such circuits. This<br />
played into the KTM’s hands, and more<br />
so Binder who is used to wayward tyres<br />
on hot days.<br />
At that stage, KTM was the bike to be on.<br />
Of course, the three weeks of European<br />
summer ended, and winter struck…<br />
Usually, at this time of year, the MotoGP<br />
circus is in Asia and Australia playing in<br />
tropical climates, not in Europe where the<br />
track temperature dips to as low as 3º C<br />
on race weekends.<br />
All this would be fine if Michelin had<br />
created tyres with such chills in mind, but<br />
clearly, they have not. Thus, teams are<br />
forced to use only the soft options, and<br />
now it is no longer a case of best rider<br />
wins - but which bike happens to be<br />
the best at getting tyres up to temperature<br />
and not causing cold tears.<br />
We say “happens” because the<br />
teams prepared their bikes for an<br />
ordinary year and ordinary temperatures.<br />
By the time they realised that<br />
the calendar would be moving into<br />
the winter chill, Dorna had already<br />
put a hold on most development.<br />
At Aragon 1, the KTMs were stuck<br />
between two evils – a medium front<br />
tyre that could not generate enough<br />
heat to work effectively and a soft<br />
that would collapse under hard<br />
braking causing the bike to lock the<br />
front wheel and struggle to turn into<br />
corners.<br />
With a cold front tyre, the front will<br />
lock up with no warning, meaning<br />
the rider would be braking as usual<br />
and suddenly find himself crashing<br />
into the tarmac. With the soft, the<br />
front will also lock up but will at least<br />
give the rider some warning, making<br />
it the lesser of the two evils.<br />
This was particularly bad news for<br />
Binder who relies on his unnatural<br />
ability to brake later and harder than<br />
anyone else, and it is the reason he<br />
took so long to pass Pol Espargo<br />
during the race.<br />
Nonetheless, he was the top KTM<br />
at Aragon 1, a feat that should be<br />
rejoiced even though it meant him<br />
finishing in 11th.<br />
In conditions such as these, it is<br />
not the best man winning but more<br />
the machine that happens to be the<br />
best, so essentially Binder is racing<br />
only the other KTMs. And he’s doing<br />
jolly well.