Why enhance domestic resource mobilisation in ... - ACP-EU Trade
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1<br />
<strong>Trade</strong> Negotiations<br />
Insights<br />
Regulars<br />
1 Editorial<br />
A home grown approach<br />
to development: A special<br />
issue on the fiscal implications<br />
of EPAs and <strong>domestic</strong> <strong>resource</strong><br />
<strong>mobilisation</strong><br />
2 News and publications<br />
In brief<br />
15 WTO<br />
Roundup<br />
17 EPA<br />
Update<br />
20 Calendar and <strong>resource</strong>s<br />
Features<br />
3 Taxation for development<br />
<strong>in</strong> Africa: A shared<br />
responsibility<br />
Henri-Bernard Solignac<br />
Lecomte<br />
5 <strong>Why</strong> <strong>enhance</strong> <strong>domestic</strong><br />
<strong>resource</strong> <strong>mobilisation</strong><br />
<strong>in</strong> Africa?<br />
Roy Culpeper and<br />
Aniket Bhushan<br />
8 Economic Partnership<br />
Agreements – How severe<br />
(and how urgent) is the fiscal<br />
challenge?<br />
Jean-Jacques Hallaert<br />
10 Address<strong>in</strong>g the fiscal<br />
challenges of an EPA: Some<br />
prelim<strong>in</strong>ary considerations<br />
ECDPM<br />
12 Fiscal impact of the<br />
Economic Partnership<br />
Agreement (EPA) <strong>in</strong> West<br />
Africa<br />
David Laborde<br />
14 Mapp<strong>in</strong>g donors’<br />
<strong>in</strong>volvement <strong>in</strong> the area of<br />
taxation and development:<br />
The case for better<br />
coord<strong>in</strong>ation and division of<br />
labour<br />
International Tax Compact<br />
Secretariat<br />
ICTSD<br />
International Centre for <strong>Trade</strong><br />
and Susta<strong>in</strong>able Development<br />
Issue 6 | Volume 9 | July / August 2010<br />
Issue 6<br />
Volume 9. July/August 2010<br />
Available onl<strong>in</strong>e<br />
www.ictsd.net/news/tni<br />
www.acp-eu-trade.org/tni<br />
A home grown approach to<br />
development: A special issue on<br />
the fiscal implications of EPAs and<br />
<strong>domestic</strong> <strong>resource</strong> <strong>mobilisation</strong><br />
In the recent <strong>in</strong>ternational economic context,<br />
marked by global crises and <strong>in</strong>stability,<br />
budgetary and fiscal matters have ga<strong>in</strong>ed<br />
greater prom<strong>in</strong>ence on the economic recovery<br />
and growth agenda. In the develop<strong>in</strong>g<br />
world, greater attention has been given to<br />
<strong>domestic</strong> resilience to external shocks, types<br />
of <strong>in</strong>tegration to the global economy and<br />
the pursuit of sound macroeconomic and<br />
susta<strong>in</strong>able budgetary policies conducive to<br />
equitable growth and development.<br />
An important dimension is the need for<br />
governments to focus on generat<strong>in</strong>g revenue<br />
at home more effectively. For one, the<br />
contract it forms between taxpayer and state<br />
can make governments more accountable<br />
to its citizens, thus contribut<strong>in</strong>g to improved<br />
economic and political <strong>domestic</strong> governance.<br />
It can also free governments from the str<strong>in</strong>gs<br />
attached to donor aid, or the self-<strong>in</strong>terest of<br />
foreign <strong>in</strong>vestors.<br />
It is not surpris<strong>in</strong>g then, that <strong>domestic</strong><br />
<strong>resource</strong> <strong>mobilisation</strong> has been receiv<strong>in</strong>g<br />
<strong>in</strong>creased attention. In recent months, for<br />
<strong>in</strong>stance, the African Development Bank,<br />
together with the OECD, launched their<br />
African Economic Outlook 2010, with a focus<br />
on “Public <strong>resource</strong> mobilization and aid <strong>in</strong><br />
Africa”. Even more recently the <strong>EU</strong> Council<br />
adopted a communication on “Tax and<br />
Development - Cooperat<strong>in</strong>g with Develop<strong>in</strong>g<br />
Countries on Promot<strong>in</strong>g Good Governance <strong>in</strong><br />
Tax Matters”.<br />
In this special issue of <strong>Trade</strong> Negotiations<br />
Insights, we focus on two highly topical<br />
questions: what degree of fiscal revenue<br />
loss do the African, Caribbean and Pacific<br />
(<strong>ACP</strong>) countries face due to the Economic<br />
Partnership Agreements (EPAs) with the<br />
European Union; and second, how can<br />
<strong>ACP</strong> governments compensate such losses<br />
through adjustment measures, engage<br />
<strong>in</strong> fiscal reforms and ensure a better<br />
<strong>mobilisation</strong> of their <strong>domestic</strong> <strong>resource</strong>s?<br />
Neither question is straightforward.<br />
Estimat<strong>in</strong>g revenue loss from trade<br />
liberalisation is an <strong>in</strong>exact science, given the<br />
multiple variables and the poor data <strong>in</strong> many<br />
<strong>ACP</strong> countries. Yet the estimates are gett<strong>in</strong>g<br />
closer to the mark. This is partly because<br />
the methodologies are improv<strong>in</strong>g. It is also<br />
because a number of countries have now<br />
signed up to tariff cuts <strong>in</strong> the EPAs (or <strong>in</strong>terim<br />
agreements), and so economic modellers can<br />
base their estimates on actual agreements<br />
rather than assumptions.<br />
So how drastic is the revenue loss faced by<br />
the <strong>ACP</strong>? In fact, it appears that while for<br />
some countries the fiscal consequences of an<br />
EPA are not very significant, for some others<br />
they can be a major cause for concerns,<br />
either because of their economic impact or<br />
because of the political sensitivity of the issue<br />
or the capacity and <strong>in</strong>stitutional constra<strong>in</strong>ts.<br />
More fundamentally, the capacity and<br />
will<strong>in</strong>gness of countries to engage <strong>in</strong> fiscal<br />
reforms, as well as the accompany<strong>in</strong>g support<br />
they receive to do so, can play a much more<br />
critical role <strong>in</strong> ensur<strong>in</strong>g fiscal stability.<br />
Aga<strong>in</strong>st this backdrop, we have asked<br />
experts to highlight strategies for African<br />
governments to improve <strong>domestic</strong> <strong>resource</strong><br />
<strong>mobilisation</strong>, as well as the role the<br />
<strong>in</strong>ternational community should play <strong>in</strong><br />
this regard, and to assess the possible fiscal<br />
implications of EPAs.<br />
It is our <strong>in</strong>tention that this special issue<br />
launches an ongo<strong>in</strong>g discussion <strong>in</strong> the pages<br />
of TNI on both of these important issues. 1<br />
Notes<br />
1 ECDPM has been work<strong>in</strong>g on these issues and will cont<strong>in</strong>ue to<br />
stimulate an <strong>in</strong>formal dialogue on these themes. Comments<br />
and suggestions are most welcome, and should be sent to San<br />
Bilal at sb@ecdpm.org
2<br />
News and publications<br />
In brief<br />
EC launches public consultation on future<br />
trade policy<br />
Follow<strong>in</strong>g the ‘Europe 2020’ paper adopted<br />
by the European Commission <strong>in</strong> March this<br />
year, the Commission has now launched a<br />
broad public consultation on the future<br />
direction of <strong>EU</strong> trade policy. The consultation<br />
is <strong>in</strong>tended to gather views from relevant<br />
stakeholders with<strong>in</strong> the <strong>EU</strong> and <strong>in</strong> third<br />
countries regard<strong>in</strong>g the rationale, scope and<br />
strategic objectives for a future <strong>EU</strong> trade<br />
policy. An ‘issues paper’ is <strong>in</strong>tended to set the<br />
scene for this consultation exercise. The<br />
Commission expects to set out its policy <strong>in</strong><br />
autumn 2010, expla<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g how trade policy<br />
can help achieve the objectives of the ‘Europe<br />
2020’ Strategy. The consultation will run from<br />
2 June 2010 to 28 July. For more <strong>in</strong>formation,<br />
see: trade.ec.europa.eu/doclib/html/146220.<br />
htm<br />
The Commission has<br />
now launched a broad<br />
public consultation on<br />
the future direction of<br />
<strong>EU</strong> trade policy.<br />
G-20 agree to tackle deficits<br />
Leaders from the world’s biggest economies<br />
agreed to a timel<strong>in</strong>e for reduc<strong>in</strong>g their budget<br />
deficits and debt levels, as well as to plans for<br />
new regulations aimed at enabl<strong>in</strong>g banks to<br />
withstand severe f<strong>in</strong>ancial crises. At a summit<br />
<strong>in</strong> Toronto over the 26-27 June weekend, the<br />
Group of 20 lead<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>dustrialised and<br />
develop<strong>in</strong>g countries said that solidify<strong>in</strong>g the<br />
still-fragile economic recovery required<br />
governments to strike an appropriate balance<br />
between fiscal stimulus and restor<strong>in</strong>g health<br />
to battered public f<strong>in</strong>ances. The G-20 also<br />
pledged to avoid specific protectionist<br />
policies. “We renew for a further three years,<br />
until the end of 2013, our commitment to<br />
refra<strong>in</strong> from rais<strong>in</strong>g barriers or impos<strong>in</strong>g new<br />
barriers to <strong>in</strong>vestment or trade <strong>in</strong> goods and<br />
services, impos<strong>in</strong>g new export restrictions or<br />
implement<strong>in</strong>g World <strong>Trade</strong> Organization<br />
(WTO)-<strong>in</strong>consistent measures to stimulate<br />
exports, and commit to rectify such measures<br />
as they arise,” said the statement, echo<strong>in</strong>g a<br />
pledge from last fall’s summit <strong>in</strong> Pittsburgh.<br />
For more <strong>in</strong>formation, see “G-20<br />
Compromise on Deficit Reduction, But<br />
Spectre of Mercantilism Looms”, Bridges<br />
Weekly <strong>Trade</strong> News Digest, Volume 14,<br />
Number 24: http://ictsd.org/i/news/<br />
bridgesweekly/79230/<br />
<strong>ACP</strong> assesses the potential impact of the<br />
Lisbon Treaty on <strong>EU</strong>-<strong>ACP</strong> relations<br />
The <strong>ACP</strong> Secretariat, together with ECDPM,<br />
organised a workshop on 27 May to discuss<br />
the impacts of the Lisbon Treaty on <strong>EU</strong><br />
development and trade policies, <strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g the<br />
Economic Partnership Agreements. The <strong>ACP</strong><br />
Secretary General and Chairman of the<br />
Committee of Ambassadors stated the<br />
groups’ concerns over the impact of the<br />
Treaty on the long-term development<br />
partnership with the <strong>EU</strong> and the group’s<br />
desire for the Treaty to strengthen the key<br />
pillars of the <strong>ACP</strong>-<strong>EU</strong> partnership. They also<br />
emphasised the importance of rema<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g<br />
open-m<strong>in</strong>ded about the chang<strong>in</strong>g landscape<br />
of global politics and whether the purpose of<br />
the <strong>ACP</strong> group<strong>in</strong>g is still relevant to its<br />
long-term perspectives. For more<br />
<strong>in</strong>formation, see the ECDPM’s website at:<br />
http://www.ecdpm.org/<br />
Food prices cont<strong>in</strong>ue to rise<br />
Growth <strong>in</strong> global agricultural output is<br />
expected to slow down <strong>in</strong> the com<strong>in</strong>g<br />
decade, while production <strong>in</strong> Brazil, Ch<strong>in</strong>a,<br />
India, Russia and the Ukra<strong>in</strong>e will likely<br />
<strong>in</strong>crease, accord<strong>in</strong>g to the UN Food and<br />
Agriculture Organization (FAO) and the<br />
Organisation for Economic Cooperation and<br />
Development (OECD). High food prices and<br />
market volatility, however, rema<strong>in</strong> a concern<br />
for food security, accord<strong>in</strong>g to the OECD-FAO<br />
“Agricultural Outlook 2010-2019”. OECD<br />
Secretary-General Angel Gurría described this<br />
year’s report as “cautiously more positive,” <strong>in</strong><br />
comparison with recent years. However, he<br />
warned that, given the likelihood of future<br />
shocks to the market, governments would<br />
need to implement policies to help farmers<br />
be prepared for these situations. Barr<strong>in</strong>g any<br />
market shocks, however, the expected<br />
slowdown <strong>in</strong> the rate of growth of<br />
agricultural yields is unlikely to steer the<br />
world off track from reach<strong>in</strong>g a 70%<br />
<strong>in</strong>crease <strong>in</strong> agricultural production. That<br />
figure is what experts have said will be<br />
necessary to susta<strong>in</strong> the world population <strong>in</strong><br />
2050. For more <strong>in</strong>formation, see: http://www.<br />
agri-outlook.org/pages/0,2987,en_36774715<br />
_36775671_1_1_1_1_1,00.html<br />
Issue 6 | Volume 9 | July / August 2010<br />
In the first ever overview<br />
on the state of access to<br />
raw materials <strong>in</strong> the <strong>EU</strong>,<br />
the experts identify 14<br />
raw materials as<br />
“critical” out of 41<br />
m<strong>in</strong>erals and metals<br />
analysed.<br />
<strong>EU</strong> report forecasts shortages of 14<br />
critical m<strong>in</strong>eral raw materials<br />
Raw materials are an essential part of both<br />
high-tech products and every-day consumer<br />
products such as mobile phones. But their<br />
availability is <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>gly under pressure<br />
accord<strong>in</strong>g to a report by an expert group<br />
chaired by the European Commission. In the<br />
first ever overview on the state of access to<br />
raw materials <strong>in</strong> the <strong>EU</strong>, the experts identify<br />
14 raw materials as “critical” out of 41<br />
m<strong>in</strong>erals and metals analysed. The grow<strong>in</strong>g<br />
demand for raw materials is driven by the<br />
growth of develop<strong>in</strong>g economies and new<br />
emerg<strong>in</strong>g technologies. The list was<br />
established <strong>in</strong> the framework of the 2008 <strong>EU</strong><br />
Raw Materials Initiative <strong>in</strong> close cooperation<br />
with Member States and stakeholders. The<br />
results of the report will be used for the<br />
draft<strong>in</strong>g of a communication on strategies to<br />
ensure access to raw materials, which the<br />
Commission will publish <strong>in</strong> the autumn. For<br />
more <strong>in</strong>formation, see: http://europa.eu/<br />
rapid/pressReleasesAction.do?reference=ME<br />
MO/10/263&format=HTML&aged=0&langua<br />
ge=EN&guiLanguage=en
Issue 6 | Volume 9 | July / August 2010 3<br />
Taxation for development <strong>in</strong> Africa:<br />
A shared responsibility<br />
Henri-Bernard Solignac Lecomte<br />
Africa needs more effective, efficient<br />
and fairer taxation systems. As several<br />
African nations celebrate 50 years of<br />
<strong>in</strong>dependence <strong>in</strong> 2010, it is time for a<br />
cont<strong>in</strong>ent that still relies too much on<br />
often volatile and unpredictable<br />
external flows to take a new look at<br />
taxes – a potential untapped source of<br />
billions of dollars. While the primary<br />
responsibility lies with African<br />
governments, the <strong>in</strong>ternational<br />
community must also play its part. And<br />
this time, it’s hardly about aid.<br />
The global economic crisis has shown, yet<br />
aga<strong>in</strong>, how vulnerable Africa rema<strong>in</strong>s to<br />
fall<strong>in</strong>g commodity prices and export<br />
revenues, uncerta<strong>in</strong> future aid flows and<br />
decl<strong>in</strong>es of foreign direct <strong>in</strong>vestment (FDI),<br />
which resulted <strong>in</strong> a general shortfall of<br />
external f<strong>in</strong>ance. At the same time, the<br />
cont<strong>in</strong>ent cont<strong>in</strong>ues to suffer from an acute<br />
hemorrhage of capital. Indeed, Kar et<br />
Cartright-Smith (2008) estimate that Africa<br />
lost US$854bn, at least, <strong>in</strong> illicit f<strong>in</strong>ancial<br />
outflows from 1970 through 2008. In other<br />
words, while Africa is overly-reliant on<br />
external f<strong>in</strong>anc<strong>in</strong>g, it is a net creditor to the<br />
world. The case is clear: African economies<br />
need to mobilise their <strong>domestic</strong> <strong>resource</strong>s<br />
better. This is <strong>in</strong> large part the job of<br />
governments, who mobilise public <strong>resource</strong>s<br />
through taxation (and debt) to fund<br />
<strong>in</strong>vestment <strong>in</strong> roads, power plants, schools,<br />
health facilities, etc. Over the long term,<br />
effective taxation can not only reduce a<br />
country’s dependence upon aid and largely<br />
unpredictable external f<strong>in</strong>ance flows, but it<br />
will also <strong>in</strong>crease its ownership of the<br />
development agenda, and lay the foundation<br />
of a social contract between state, citizens<br />
and firms.<br />
The good news is that the 2010 African<br />
Economic Outlook f<strong>in</strong>ds that the average<br />
African tax revenue as a share of GDP has<br />
been <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g s<strong>in</strong>ce the early 1990s, from<br />
US$113bn <strong>in</strong> 1996 to 479bn <strong>in</strong> 2008. The<br />
bad news is that this has been mostly<br />
<strong>in</strong>duced by taxes on the extraction of natural<br />
<strong>resource</strong>s: oil-related taxes alone for the top<br />
ten export<strong>in</strong>g countries totalled US$275bn <strong>in</strong><br />
2008. Focus<strong>in</strong>g on natural <strong>resource</strong> rents<br />
distracts governments from more politically<br />
demand<strong>in</strong>g forms of taxation, <strong>in</strong> particular<br />
direct forms of taxation, such as corporate<br />
<strong>in</strong>come taxes on other <strong>in</strong>dustries, personal<br />
<strong>in</strong>come taxes, as well as Value Added Taxes<br />
(VAT) and excise taxes. Indeed, <strong>in</strong>come taxes<br />
(ma<strong>in</strong>ly personal and non-<strong>resource</strong> corporate)<br />
have stagnated over the same period, and<br />
trade liberalisation and regional <strong>in</strong>tegration <strong>in</strong><br />
Africa have reduced revenue from trade<br />
taxes. Further trade liberalisation may leave a<br />
critical gap <strong>in</strong> public <strong>resource</strong>s if it is not<br />
purposively sequenced with <strong>domestic</strong> tax<br />
reform.<br />
What can African governments do?<br />
In the short-run, strategies towards more<br />
effective, efficient, and fair taxation <strong>in</strong> Africa<br />
must complement efforts to deepen the<br />
current tax base. This does not mean try<strong>in</strong>g<br />
hard to br<strong>in</strong>g small, <strong>in</strong>formal activities <strong>in</strong>to<br />
the tax net: chas<strong>in</strong>g the myriad of selfemployed<br />
or micro-shops would cost more<br />
than it it would generate <strong>in</strong> tax revenues.<br />
Besides, many <strong>in</strong>formal entrepreneurs already<br />
contribute, as they pay VAT on the <strong>in</strong>put they<br />
purchase from retailers. Neither are small and<br />
medium enterprises (SMEs) <strong>in</strong> the formal<br />
sector the target of choice to extract more<br />
tax revenues: too visible to escape taxation<br />
and not big enough to obta<strong>in</strong> exemptions,<br />
African SMEs—the ‘miss<strong>in</strong>g middle’ <strong>in</strong> most<br />
economies—are not only subject to some of<br />
the highest nom<strong>in</strong>al corporate tax rates <strong>in</strong> the<br />
world, they too often are the victims of<br />
abusive practices by the tax adm<strong>in</strong>istration.<br />
By contrast, focuss<strong>in</strong>g on the large economic<br />
actors that pay less tax than they should<br />
could generate high revenues at a small cost.<br />
This strengthens the classic case for review<strong>in</strong>g<br />
and remov<strong>in</strong>g tax preferences and<br />
exemptions, which mult<strong>in</strong>ational companies<br />
benefit from, and <strong>in</strong> particular for tax<strong>in</strong>g<br />
extractive <strong>in</strong>dustries more fairly and more<br />
transparently.<br />
In addition, governments need to crack down<br />
on fraud and corruption, and remove<br />
exemptions—sometimes as political favours—<br />
to powerful patrons with large, <strong>in</strong>formal<br />
trad<strong>in</strong>g activities. The objective should be to<br />
levy taxes at low and relatively flat rates on<br />
bases that have been broadened through the<br />
elim<strong>in</strong>ation of exemptions and other<br />
loopholes. Lower, simpler taxes are not only<br />
easier to collect and adm<strong>in</strong>ister but are a<br />
more effective policy to stimulate the<br />
development of the private sector. As for the<br />
reform of trade taxes, this should be built <strong>in</strong>to<br />
the medium-term overall fiscal reform<br />
agenda, <strong>in</strong>stead of com<strong>in</strong>g as an<br />
afterthought once tariff cuts have been<br />
decided, as is too often the case.<br />
<strong>Why</strong> aren’t African governments tax<strong>in</strong>g better?<br />
A key challenge of African tax adm<strong>in</strong>istrations is to overcome the large capacity<br />
constra<strong>in</strong>ts that make it difficult to assess and collect taxes. Other constra<strong>in</strong>ts <strong>in</strong>clude:<br />
• Weak fiscal legitimacy. A general lack of trust on the part of citizens <strong>in</strong> the quality of<br />
public spend<strong>in</strong>g.<br />
•<br />
•<br />
Shallow tax base. Governments are unable to widen the tax base and br<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>formal<br />
actors—large and small—<strong>in</strong>to the tax net. In addition, the exist<strong>in</strong>g tax base is<br />
eroded by excessive tax preferences and <strong>in</strong>efficient taxation of extractive activities.<br />
There are potentially large untapped tax sources, such as urban real estate and<br />
property taxation.<br />
Unbalanced tax mix. Many countries rely excessively on a narrow set of taxes to<br />
generate revenues for their state and some stakeholders are disproportionally<br />
represented <strong>in</strong> the tax base.<br />
Source: African Economic Outlook 2010, AfDB/OECD/UNECA.
4<br />
Figure 1. Public sector f<strong>in</strong>ancial management as a share of technical cooperation to<br />
Africa <strong>in</strong> 2008<br />
2%<br />
98%<br />
Source: OECD Development Assistance Committee (DAC) Aid Statistics (2010).<br />
In the longer-term, the capacity constra<strong>in</strong>ts of<br />
African tax adm<strong>in</strong>istrations must be alleviated<br />
to open up policy space and allow for the<br />
generation of tax revenues through a more<br />
balanced tax mix. A wide tax base is more<br />
stable because it relies on a diversified set of<br />
tax revenues. It is also more efficient by<br />
help<strong>in</strong>g to keep the tax burden mild on each<br />
type of taxpayer and each type of economic<br />
activity. Additionally, it engages a wide range<br />
of stakeholders <strong>in</strong> the national political<br />
process. Urban property taxes, for example,<br />
are progressive and can scale up with Africa’s<br />
explosive pace of urbanisation and the<br />
correspond<strong>in</strong>g need for urban <strong>in</strong>frastructure.<br />
Morocco is a good example of a<br />
comprehensive fiscal reform, successful <strong>in</strong><br />
improv<strong>in</strong>g the balance <strong>in</strong> its tax mix and<br />
broaden<strong>in</strong>g the tax base, lower<strong>in</strong>g the<br />
average tax share gradually over several years.<br />
As a result, new sectors were <strong>in</strong>corporated<br />
<strong>in</strong>to the fiscal net, such as construction,<br />
bank<strong>in</strong>g and telecom services. The<br />
government modernised tax adm<strong>in</strong>istration,<br />
enabl<strong>in</strong>g it to implement the planned reform.<br />
This resulted <strong>in</strong> a 10% <strong>in</strong>crease <strong>in</strong> the share<br />
of direct taxation, while VAT realised its full<br />
potential after a wide range of exemptions<br />
were elim<strong>in</strong>ated.<br />
What can the <strong>in</strong>ternational community do?<br />
The <strong>in</strong>ternational community can do more to<br />
support susta<strong>in</strong>able forms of development<br />
f<strong>in</strong>anc<strong>in</strong>g through <strong>enhance</strong>d <strong>mobilisation</strong> of<br />
<strong>domestic</strong> <strong>resource</strong>s <strong>in</strong> African countries. Aid<br />
used to stimulate public <strong>resource</strong> <strong>mobilisation</strong><br />
can have a ten-fold multiplier effect on a<br />
country’s <strong>resource</strong>s. Yet, donors have <strong>in</strong> some<br />
cases neglected the support to tax policy and<br />
adm<strong>in</strong>istration: a mere 2% of DAC-funded<br />
technical cooperation is spent on public<br />
Technical cooperation to “Public Sector F<strong>in</strong>ancial<br />
Management” In Africa<br />
Total technical cooperation to other sectors <strong>in</strong><br />
Africa<br />
sector f<strong>in</strong>ancial management, of which<br />
taxation systems are only a subset (Figure 1).<br />
Tax revenues should not be seen as an<br />
alternative to foreign aid, but as a<br />
component of government revenues that<br />
grows as the country develops. Greater<br />
ownership of the development process, one<br />
of the development dividends of effective tax<br />
systems, helps governments shape an<br />
environment that is more conducive to<br />
foreign and <strong>domestic</strong> private <strong>in</strong>vestment,<br />
susta<strong>in</strong>able use of debt and effective foreign<br />
aid. The challenge is therefore for African<br />
countries and their partners to reverse the<br />
vicious circle of aid dependence, which shifts<br />
government accountability away from citizens<br />
towards donors, and trigger a virtuous circle<br />
of aid becom<strong>in</strong>g redundant by support<strong>in</strong>g<br />
public <strong>resource</strong> <strong>mobilisation</strong>.<br />
One Africa-led <strong>in</strong>itiative that receives strong<br />
donor support is the African Tax<br />
Adm<strong>in</strong>istration Forum (ATAF), a platform for<br />
articulat<strong>in</strong>g African tax priorities and build<strong>in</strong>g<br />
the <strong>in</strong>stitutional capacity of the cont<strong>in</strong>ent’s<br />
fiscal adm<strong>in</strong>istrations through peer learn<strong>in</strong>g.<br />
The importance of such dialogue cannot be<br />
understated on a cont<strong>in</strong>ent where countries<br />
often compete for tax revenues and<br />
<strong>in</strong>vestment from mult<strong>in</strong>ationals.<br />
Yet the responsibility of Africa’s partners<br />
extends far beyond aid. More efficient and<br />
fairer <strong>mobilisation</strong> of <strong>domestic</strong> <strong>resource</strong>s by<br />
African countries critically depends on<br />
<strong>enhance</strong>d <strong>in</strong>ternational cooperation <strong>in</strong> tax<br />
matters. The fight aga<strong>in</strong>st tax evasion and<br />
avoidance through tax havens, or aga<strong>in</strong>st the<br />
abuse of transfer pric<strong>in</strong>g (whereby<br />
mult<strong>in</strong>ational firms declare profits <strong>in</strong> low-tax<br />
Issue 6 | Volume 9 | July / August 2010<br />
jurdisdictions, and losses <strong>in</strong> countries where<br />
operations actually take place 1 ), the<br />
rationalisation of fiscal <strong>in</strong>centives and tax<br />
exemptions that are erod<strong>in</strong>g African tax bases<br />
can only be tackled <strong>in</strong>ternationally. The<br />
<strong>in</strong>terests of Africa and of richer developed or<br />
emerg<strong>in</strong>g economies can therefore converge<br />
on the <strong>in</strong>ternational tax agenda, a priority of<br />
the G20. While significant progress has been<br />
made <strong>in</strong> combat<strong>in</strong>g bank secrecy, tax evasion<br />
and tax havens <strong>in</strong> recent years, the challenges<br />
ahead rema<strong>in</strong> considerable. The European<br />
Commission’s Communication on Tax and<br />
Development issued last April therefore<br />
provides welcome political impetus to the<br />
debate, <strong>in</strong> particular by support<strong>in</strong>g “the<br />
adoption and implementation of the OECD<br />
transfer pric<strong>in</strong>g guidel<strong>in</strong>es <strong>in</strong> develop<strong>in</strong>g<br />
countries”, as well as “ongo<strong>in</strong>g research on a<br />
country-by-country report<strong>in</strong>g requirement as<br />
part of a report<strong>in</strong>g standard for mult<strong>in</strong>ational<br />
corporations, notably <strong>in</strong> the extractive<br />
<strong>in</strong>dustry”.<br />
Author<br />
Henri-Bernard Solignac Lecomte is Head of Unit,<br />
Africa, Europe & Middle East, OECD Development<br />
Centre. Henri-Bernard.Solignac-Lecomte@oecd.org<br />
Notes<br />
1 Although models for assess<strong>in</strong>g the loss of tax revenues<br />
to improper transfer pric<strong>in</strong>g are still be<strong>in</strong>g developed,<br />
Holl<strong>in</strong>gshead (2010) estimates a yearly average of USD<br />
3.8 billion would have been lost <strong>in</strong> Africa between<br />
2002 and 2006.<br />
Related read<strong>in</strong>g<br />
1 African Economic Outlook 2010, by the African<br />
Development Bank, the OECD Development Centre<br />
and the United Nations Economic Commission for<br />
Africa.http://www.africaneconomicoutlook.org/en/<br />
<strong>in</strong>-depth/<br />
2 European Commission (2010) Tax and Development<br />
- Cooperat<strong>in</strong>g with Develop<strong>in</strong>g Countries on<br />
Promot<strong>in</strong>g Good Governance <strong>in</strong> Tax Matters,<br />
Communication from the Commission to the<br />
European Parliament, the Council and the European<br />
Economic and Social Committee, COM(2010)163<br />
f<strong>in</strong>al, Brussels, 21.4.http://ec.europa.eu/development/<br />
icenter/repository/COMM_COM_2010_0163_TAX_<br />
DEVELOPMENT_EN.PDF<br />
3 Kar et Cartright-Smith, (2008) “Illicit F<strong>in</strong>ancial Flows<br />
from Develop<strong>in</strong>g Countries, 2002-2006”, Center for<br />
International Policy, Wash<strong>in</strong>gton DC.http://www.gfip.<br />
org/<strong>in</strong>dex.php?option=com_content&task=view&id=3<br />
00&Itemid=75<br />
4 Holl<strong>in</strong>gshead, A. (2010), The implied Tax Revenue Loss<br />
from <strong>Trade</strong> Mispric<strong>in</strong>g, Center for International Policy,<br />
Wash<strong>in</strong>gton DC.http://www.gfip.org/storage/gfip/<br />
documents/reports/implied%20tax%20revenue%20<br />
loss%20report_f<strong>in</strong>al.pdf
Issue 6 | Volume 9 | July / August 2010 5<br />
<strong>Why</strong> <strong>enhance</strong> <strong>domestic</strong> <strong>resource</strong> <strong>mobilisation</strong><br />
<strong>in</strong> Africa?<br />
Roy Culpeper and Aniket Bhushan 1<br />
Develop<strong>in</strong>g countries that have<br />
achieved and susta<strong>in</strong>ed high rates<br />
of growth have typically done so<br />
largely through the <strong>mobilisation</strong> of<br />
their <strong>domestic</strong> <strong>resource</strong>s. Domestic<br />
<strong>resource</strong> <strong>mobilisation</strong> (DRM) at a<br />
significant level is essential to<br />
solidify ownership over<br />
development strategy and to<br />
strengthen the bonds of<br />
accountability between<br />
governments and their citizens. In<br />
effect, DRM provides “policy<br />
space” to develop<strong>in</strong>g countries<br />
which is often constra<strong>in</strong>ed under<br />
the terms and conditions of<br />
external <strong>resource</strong> providers.<br />
Foreign aid comes with conditionality or<br />
policy str<strong>in</strong>gs attached, not to mention<br />
procurement restrictions that accompany<br />
“tied aid”. Aid also tends to be pro-cyclical<br />
and volatile. 2 Foreign direct <strong>in</strong>vestment<br />
typically flows <strong>in</strong>to sectors and projects<br />
dictated by the commercial <strong>in</strong>terests of the<br />
foreign <strong>in</strong>vestors – for example, natural<br />
<strong>resource</strong> extraction. Moreover, governments<br />
that are heavily dependent on foreign aid, or<br />
on shar<strong>in</strong>g the profits of foreign <strong>in</strong>vestors,<br />
have less <strong>in</strong>centive to raise taxes and less<br />
reason to pay attention to the demands of<br />
taxpay<strong>in</strong>g citizens.<br />
It is <strong>in</strong> Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) that some of<br />
the steepest challenges to DRM are<br />
encountered: sav<strong>in</strong>gs rates are low,<br />
dependence on foreign aid is chronically high,<br />
and <strong>in</strong>stitutional capacity to mobilise<br />
<strong>domestic</strong> <strong>resource</strong>s is weak. In light of these<br />
challenges, the North-South Institute recently<br />
exam<strong>in</strong>ed possibilities for <strong>enhance</strong>d DRM <strong>in</strong><br />
Sub-Saharan Africa through the lens of five<br />
countries: Burundi, Cameroon, Ethiopia,<br />
Tanzania and Uganda. 3 These five countries<br />
represent a breadth of circumstances <strong>in</strong> SSA:<br />
Burundi is a post-conflict country; Cameroon<br />
is experienc<strong>in</strong>g decl<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g oil revenues;<br />
Ethiopia is transition<strong>in</strong>g from a planned to<br />
market-based economy; and, Tanzania and<br />
Uganda both have longer records of reform<br />
and <strong>resource</strong>s revenues (m<strong>in</strong>eral and oil) that<br />
are expected to play an <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>gly<br />
important role.<br />
Pathways to <strong>enhance</strong>d revenue <strong>mobilisation</strong><br />
Most low-<strong>in</strong>come countries (LIC) are heavily<br />
dependent on trade taxes as a source of<br />
revenue, <strong>in</strong> large part because they are the<br />
easiest taxes to collect. About a third of<br />
non-<strong>resource</strong> tax revenue <strong>in</strong> SSA comes from<br />
trade taxes; however, this figure is <strong>in</strong> decl<strong>in</strong>e<br />
(from over 6% of regional GDP <strong>in</strong> the early<br />
1980s to 4% by early 2000s). In keep<strong>in</strong>g with<br />
global trends, the average tariff rate <strong>in</strong> the<br />
Sub-Saharan region has decl<strong>in</strong>ed from over<br />
20% <strong>in</strong> the 1980s to 13% by 2005.<br />
The share of trade taxes <strong>in</strong> total tax revenue<br />
across our five case study countries has been<br />
decl<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g (see Figure 1). While the overall tax<br />
to GDP ratio has <strong>in</strong>creased (see Figure 2), it<br />
rema<strong>in</strong>s far below the Sub- Saharan average<br />
at around 18%. The ratio <strong>in</strong> <strong>resource</strong>-rich<br />
countries is substantially higher at around<br />
25%. Resource-related taxes are responsible<br />
for most of the <strong>in</strong>crease <strong>in</strong> revenue<br />
<strong>mobilisation</strong> <strong>in</strong> the region (1980-2005). Tax<br />
legislation <strong>in</strong> most African countries is<br />
complex and the tax rules <strong>in</strong>comprehensible,<br />
even to well-educated taxpayers. In many tax<br />
codes, a large number of exemptions and<br />
derogations exist, represent<strong>in</strong>g a stagger<strong>in</strong>g<br />
opportunity cost <strong>in</strong> terms of forgone revenue.<br />
Exemptions complicate tax systems and open<br />
the door to political capture. Too often they<br />
are viewed as costless because opportunity<br />
costs are not analysed and they are offered<br />
on an ad-hoc basis. Once <strong>in</strong> place,<br />
exemptions have a ratchet<strong>in</strong>g effect and are<br />
difficult to remove. Despite little evidence<br />
that exemptions drive <strong>in</strong>vestment decisions,<br />
the number of Sub-Saharan countries<br />
offer<strong>in</strong>g tax holidays, reduced corporate<br />
rates, and ‘free zones’ has <strong>in</strong>creased<br />
substantially between 1980 and 2005.<br />
The prevalence of exemptions significantly<br />
underm<strong>in</strong>es duty revenues. In 2006/7 <strong>in</strong><br />
Tanzania, import tax exemptions amounted<br />
to 32% of total duty revenue. In 2006 <strong>in</strong><br />
Burundi, 60% of imports were exempted<br />
either <strong>in</strong> part or <strong>in</strong> full from pay<strong>in</strong>g tax or<br />
duties result<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> a loss equivalent to 65.5%<br />
of duty revenues. In Ethiopia <strong>in</strong> 2007,<br />
customs exemptions amounted to 4.5% of<br />
GDP.<br />
Because trade-related taxes are such<br />
significant contributors to tax revenues <strong>in</strong><br />
most African countries, trade liberalisation<br />
and tariff reduction measures to encourage<br />
greater economic openness should be<br />
gradual, paced and sequenced with other<br />
reforms aimed at revenue replacement. Aid<br />
donors should play a role to this end by<br />
press<strong>in</strong>g their trade negotiators to take a<br />
more holistic view of trade liberalisation <strong>in</strong><br />
low-<strong>in</strong>come countries. As it stands now, that<br />
is not happen<strong>in</strong>g frequently enough. For<br />
example, Cameroon’s Economic Partnership<br />
Agreement with the European Union will<br />
reduce tariff revenues by 70% or US$149<br />
million (equivalent to 0.8% of 2006 GDP). In<br />
order not to underm<strong>in</strong>e the revenue base,<br />
tariff reduction should be sequenced with the<br />
<strong>mobilisation</strong> of offsett<strong>in</strong>g revenues (VAT or<br />
<strong>in</strong>come taxes).<br />
In general, tax systems <strong>in</strong> Sub-Saharan<br />
countries need to be broadened from their<br />
narrow base and compliance must be
6<br />
Figure 1<br />
80.00%<br />
70.00%<br />
60.00%<br />
50.00%<br />
40.00%<br />
30.00%<br />
20.00%<br />
10.00%<br />
0.00%<br />
<strong>Trade</strong> Taxes (% total tax revenue)<br />
1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004<br />
Burundi Cameroon Ethiopia Tanzania Uganda<br />
Source: New Revenue Database for Sub-Saharan Africa (Keen and Mansour, 2009)<br />
<strong>in</strong>creased. Typically taxes are levied at very<br />
high rates on a limited number of wealthy<br />
taxpayers, <strong>in</strong>cit<strong>in</strong>g widespread tax evasion<br />
and fraud. Lower <strong>in</strong>come tax rates on the<br />
wealthy, along with the gradual <strong>in</strong>troduction<br />
of <strong>in</strong>come taxes for those less wealthy, are<br />
more likely to <strong>in</strong>crease revenue generation<br />
and <strong>in</strong>culcate a more healthy taxpay<strong>in</strong>g<br />
culture <strong>in</strong> the longer run.<br />
Value-added or sales taxes are relatively new<br />
to many develop<strong>in</strong>g countries, and are likely<br />
to be broadened <strong>in</strong> their coverage and<br />
generate more revenue over time. However,<br />
there is scope to contemplate the<br />
<strong>in</strong>troduction of yet other taxes which are<br />
conspicuous by their absence <strong>in</strong> develop<strong>in</strong>g<br />
countries. As countries become <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>gly<br />
urbanized, for example, there is the<br />
opportunity to levy taxes on urban properties<br />
that are owned and/or which generate rental<br />
<strong>in</strong>come. If property taxes were levied and<br />
collected, they could support urban and<br />
municipal authorities <strong>in</strong> provid<strong>in</strong>g or<br />
ma<strong>in</strong>ta<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>frastructure and other services,<br />
<strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g transportation. Research <strong>in</strong> Tanzania<br />
and other countries has repeatedly shown<br />
that citizens, <strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g the poor, are will<strong>in</strong>g to<br />
pay taxes when they see their taxes work.<br />
Property taxes at the municipal level can help<br />
engender the virtuous l<strong>in</strong>k between<br />
<strong>enhance</strong>d <strong>mobilisation</strong> and more accountable<br />
expenditure, vital to develop<strong>in</strong>g taxpayer<br />
culture.<br />
In some countries a property tax already<br />
exists, <strong>in</strong> pr<strong>in</strong>ciple, but it is not collected <strong>in</strong><br />
reality. For example, the annual property<br />
assessment <strong>in</strong> Cameroon’s urban areas is<br />
0.1% of the value of the property, but there<br />
is little concerted effort from tax officials to<br />
collect this tax or tax on rents. Similarly,<br />
property taxes could be strengthened <strong>in</strong><br />
Tanzania and should be <strong>in</strong>troduced <strong>in</strong><br />
Uganda.<br />
Reform<strong>in</strong>g tax systems and adm<strong>in</strong>istrations<br />
As mentioned, <strong>in</strong> many African countries tax<br />
legislation and rules are overly complex. Not<br />
only do they encourage evasion, but they also<br />
provide too much latitude for discretion and<br />
hence corruption on the part of tax collectors<br />
and taxpayers. In Uganda, for example, 43%<br />
of firms pay bribes to tax officers. For this<br />
reason alone tax systems should be simplified<br />
and made more transparent.<br />
Look<strong>in</strong>g beyond simplify<strong>in</strong>g and rationaliz<strong>in</strong>g<br />
tax systems, tax adm<strong>in</strong>istration capacity and<br />
<strong>in</strong>tegrity are key to <strong>enhance</strong>d revenue<br />
mobilization. This means elevat<strong>in</strong>g the<br />
competency of revenue authorities and their<br />
officials and root<strong>in</strong>g out corruption. This is<br />
already recognized <strong>in</strong> the countries we<br />
studied. For example, <strong>in</strong> Ethiopia enhanc<strong>in</strong>g<br />
the capacity of the revenue authority is a<br />
central part of the public sector reform<br />
programme. In Cameroon, adm<strong>in</strong>istrative<br />
reforms were <strong>in</strong>troduced <strong>in</strong> 2004 and the<br />
Issue 6 | Volume 9 | July / August 2010<br />
2007 Fiscal Reform Commission made similar<br />
recommendations.<br />
However, there is a sense of déjà vu – such<br />
reforms have been <strong>in</strong>troduced <strong>in</strong> the past and<br />
have yet to tackle some of the fundamental<br />
underly<strong>in</strong>g problems. For example, <strong>in</strong> Uganda<br />
there has been a series of reforms from 1991-<br />
2007, but tax officials still have wide<br />
discretionary powers, sometimes abused, and<br />
there is widespread tax evasion. Similarly the<br />
Government of Tanzania has implemented<br />
reforms to strengthen tax adm<strong>in</strong>istration but<br />
there are still extensive loopholes and<br />
rampant corruption.<br />
Africans tak<strong>in</strong>g ownership over DRM and<br />
the role of donors<br />
The global f<strong>in</strong>ancial and economic crisis of<br />
2008-9 prompted African leaders across the<br />
cont<strong>in</strong>ent to re-exam<strong>in</strong>e their economic<br />
strategies and vulnerability to external shocks.<br />
The crisis has eroded donors’ aid budgets as<br />
well as remittances from overseas migrants<br />
and export earn<strong>in</strong>gs due to the recession <strong>in</strong><br />
Europe and North America. It is already<br />
evident that the OECD donors have fallen<br />
short of their aid commitments made at the<br />
Gleneagles G-8 Summit <strong>in</strong> 2005. Only<br />
U$11bn of the US$25bn <strong>in</strong> the additional aid<br />
promised for Africa by 2010 will materialize.<br />
African countries have been here before – <strong>in</strong><br />
periods of prosperity, aid donors make<br />
promises they cannot subsequently keep, and<br />
rosy forecasts of expand<strong>in</strong>g trade and foreign<br />
<strong>in</strong>vestment <strong>in</strong>flows are drastically revised<br />
downwards by recession. The current<br />
f<strong>in</strong>ancial crisis has aga<strong>in</strong> underl<strong>in</strong>ed the<br />
vulnerability of SSA to external shocks.<br />
However, this time the critical importance and<br />
timel<strong>in</strong>ess of enhanc<strong>in</strong>g DRM was clearly<br />
acknowledged by African f<strong>in</strong>ance m<strong>in</strong>isters<br />
and central bank governors when they met <strong>in</strong><br />
January 2009 <strong>in</strong> Pretoria.<br />
Subsequently, <strong>in</strong> November 2009 the African<br />
Tax Adm<strong>in</strong>istration Forum was formally<br />
launched, br<strong>in</strong>g<strong>in</strong>g together 25 African<br />
revenue authorities with a shared conviction<br />
that “efficient and effective tax<br />
adm<strong>in</strong>istration is key to build<strong>in</strong>g capable<br />
states.” 4 The Forum will provide peer support<br />
toward <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g the capacity and <strong>in</strong>tegrity<br />
of African revenue authorities.
Issue 6 | Volume 9 | July / August 2010 7<br />
Figure 2<br />
20.00<br />
15.00<br />
10.00<br />
5.00<br />
0.00<br />
1988<br />
1989<br />
1990<br />
1991<br />
Tax Revenue (% GCP)<br />
1992<br />
1993<br />
1994<br />
1995<br />
1996<br />
1997<br />
Burundi Cameroon Ethiopia Tanzania Uganda<br />
Source: New Revenue Database for Sub-Saharan Africa (Keen and Mansour, 2009)<br />
While it is appropriate for Africans to play a<br />
leadership role, donors can also help. To<br />
beg<strong>in</strong> with, they can adopt more coherent<br />
policies toward develop<strong>in</strong>g countries. In<br />
particular their non-aid policies can be made<br />
more consistent with their aid policies.<br />
Reference was made to the need to slow<br />
down and sequence trade liberalisation and<br />
tariff reduction <strong>in</strong> African countries,<br />
commensurate with their ability to replace<br />
lost revenues <strong>in</strong> a susta<strong>in</strong>able manner. Equally,<br />
African countries need to review tax<br />
<strong>in</strong>centives offered to foreign <strong>in</strong>vestors <strong>in</strong> their<br />
attempts to create a more bus<strong>in</strong>ess-friendly<br />
climate. Such <strong>in</strong>centives often lead to huge<br />
and unnecessary tax losses. Better<br />
coord<strong>in</strong>ation of <strong>in</strong>vestment <strong>in</strong>centives,<br />
especially <strong>in</strong> the context of ongo<strong>in</strong>g regional<br />
trade <strong>in</strong>tegration such as <strong>in</strong> the East African<br />
Community (EAC), is essential to ensure<br />
countries are not underm<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g one another. If<br />
donor countries had a coherent and<br />
supportive approach to development, their<br />
aid, trade and <strong>in</strong>vestment policies would be<br />
work<strong>in</strong>g together to help build capacity and<br />
the self-reliance of their develop<strong>in</strong>g-country<br />
partners.<br />
Donors can also support African revenue<br />
authorities <strong>in</strong> their attempts to build their<br />
capacity. To date technical cooperation to<br />
1998<br />
1999<br />
2000<br />
2001<br />
2002<br />
2003<br />
2004<br />
2005<br />
‘public sector f<strong>in</strong>ancial management’ <strong>in</strong> the<br />
Sub-Saharan region is only about 2% of total<br />
technical cooperation. In our research, we<br />
found no significant relationship (positive or<br />
negative) between aid levels and tax<br />
<strong>mobilisation</strong>. This suggests there is much<br />
room for improvement <strong>in</strong> support for<br />
tax-related capacity build<strong>in</strong>g. Donors can<br />
provide support <strong>in</strong> the form of both hardware<br />
(<strong>in</strong>formation-technology systems) and<br />
software (organisational support, skills<br />
tra<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g and technical assistance, and legal<br />
support to make legislation and tax codes<br />
more user-friendly and re<strong>in</strong>force revenue<br />
<strong>mobilisation</strong>). More importantly, they can<br />
help <strong>enhance</strong> the capacity of <strong>domestic</strong> policy<br />
communities work<strong>in</strong>g on taxation. Improv<strong>in</strong>g<br />
taxpayer education is vital <strong>in</strong> creat<strong>in</strong>g<br />
<strong>in</strong>formed barga<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g and negotiation around<br />
tax issues and central to democratic<br />
governance.<br />
While they can make significant contributions<br />
to development, external aid or trade and<br />
<strong>in</strong>vestment opportunities alone will not be<br />
sufficient for Sub-Saharan Africa to achieve<br />
susta<strong>in</strong>able, equitable growth and poverty<br />
reduction. Development success depends<br />
primarily on the efforts of develop<strong>in</strong>g<br />
countries themselves – which ultimately<br />
means enhanc<strong>in</strong>g their ability to mobilise<br />
their own human and f<strong>in</strong>ancial <strong>resource</strong>s.<br />
Author<br />
Roy Culpeper is President, and Aniket Bhushan<br />
Researcher, at The North-South Institute <strong>in</strong> Ottawa,<br />
Canada. This article is based on a research project on<br />
Domestic Resources Mobilization <strong>in</strong> Sub-Saharan<br />
Africa. More <strong>in</strong>formation about this research is<br />
available at: http://www.nsi-<strong>in</strong>s.ca/english/research/<br />
progress/58.asp<br />
Notes<br />
1 The authors would like to acknowledge the<br />
contributions of the DRM project team through the<br />
five country case studies: Tsegabirhan Giorgis Abay<br />
(Ethiopia); Astere Girukwigomba (Burundi); Sunday<br />
Khan (Cameroon); John Matovu (Uganda); and<br />
Nehemiah Osoro (Tanzania). The authors thank<br />
Yiagadeesen Samy for helpful comments.<br />
2 Aid is found to be four times as volatile as <strong>domestic</strong><br />
<strong>resource</strong>s, and aid volatility is greater <strong>in</strong> more aid<br />
dependent countries.<br />
3 The authors would like to acknowledge the support of<br />
project funders and partners: the African Development<br />
Bank, African Economic Research Consortium,<br />
Canadian International Development Agency,<br />
Department for International Development (UK) and<br />
International Development Research Centre (Canada).<br />
4 For more details on the ATAF launch and<br />
communiqués see: http://www.oecd.org/document/55<br />
/0,3343,en_2649_33749_44109943_1_1_1_37427,0<br />
0.html<br />
Select Bibliography<br />
1 Bulír, Aleš, A. Javier Hamann. Volatility of<br />
Development Aid: From the Fry<strong>in</strong>g Pan <strong>in</strong>to the Fire?<br />
World Development, 36 (10), October 2008.<br />
2 Culpeper, Roy, and Aniket Bhushan. “Reorient<strong>in</strong>g<br />
Development F<strong>in</strong>ance through Enhanced Domestic<br />
Resource Mobilization <strong>in</strong> Develop<strong>in</strong>g Countries.”<br />
Canadian Development Report, 2009.<br />
3 Culpeper, Roy, and Aniket Bhushan. “ Domestic<br />
Resource Mobilization – A Neglected Factor <strong>in</strong><br />
Development Strategy.” Project Backgrounder, April<br />
2008. (Onl<strong>in</strong>e at: http://www.nsi-<strong>in</strong>s.ca/english/pdf/<br />
NSI%20Background%20paper%20DRM%20SSA%20<br />
project%20%5B2008%20%5D.pdf ).<br />
4 Eifert, B. and A. Gelb, A. “Cop<strong>in</strong>g with Aid Volatility.”<br />
F<strong>in</strong>ance and Development, 42 (3), 2005.<br />
5 Keen, Michael, and Mario Mansour. “Revenue<br />
Mobilization <strong>in</strong> Sub-Saharan Africa: Challenges from<br />
Globalization.” International Monetary Fund Work<strong>in</strong>g<br />
Paper WP/09/157, July 2009.<br />
6 Le, Tuan M<strong>in</strong>h, Blanca Moreno-Dodson, and Jeep<br />
Rojchaichan<strong>in</strong>thorn. “Expand<strong>in</strong>g Taxable Capacity and<br />
Reach<strong>in</strong>g Revenue Potential: Cross-Country Analysis<br />
- Policy Research Work<strong>in</strong>g Paper 4559.” The World<br />
Bank, March 2008.<br />
7 Moore, Mick. “How Does Taxation Affect the Quality<br />
of Governance?” IDS Work<strong>in</strong>g Paper 280, Institute of<br />
Development Studies, April 2007.
8<br />
Issue 6 | Volume 9 | July / August 2010<br />
Economic Partnership Agreements –<br />
How severe (and how urgent) is the fiscal challenge?<br />
Jean-Jacques Hallaert<br />
The relations between the African,<br />
Caribbean, Pacific (<strong>ACP</strong>) countries<br />
and the European Union (<strong>EU</strong>)<br />
are evolv<strong>in</strong>g dramatically with<br />
the phas<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> of the Economic<br />
Partnership Agreements (EPAs). 1<br />
The EPAs are meant to cover a long<br />
list of topics but their cornerstone<br />
is trade relations. They replace the<br />
three decade-long non-reciprocal<br />
preferential treatment granted<br />
by the <strong>EU</strong> with WTO-compatible<br />
reciprocal preferential agreements.<br />
As a result, the <strong>ACP</strong> countries<br />
that concluded an (<strong>in</strong>terim or<br />
comprehensive) EPA by the end of<br />
2007 deadl<strong>in</strong>e will elim<strong>in</strong>ate their<br />
customs tariff on at least 80% of<br />
their imports from the <strong>EU</strong>. 2 Such a<br />
dramatic change triggered many<br />
fears, most notably related to the<br />
fiscal shock.<br />
Many studies have tried to measure the<br />
potential fiscal revenue losses stemm<strong>in</strong>g<br />
from the EPAs. As they were conducted<br />
before the EPA negotiations were<br />
concluded, their authors had to make<br />
assumptions on key parameters of the<br />
agreement such as the list of products that<br />
would not be subject to tariff cuts. Moreover<br />
they overlooked the transition period and<br />
thus could not give any <strong>in</strong>dication of the<br />
time profile of the fiscal revenue losses—a<br />
crucial element for the design of the policy<br />
response. Aga<strong>in</strong>st this background, it is not<br />
surpris<strong>in</strong>g that the estimated potential fiscal<br />
revenue losses for a given <strong>ACP</strong> country can<br />
vary substantially from one study to another.<br />
Therefore, there is a great <strong>in</strong>terest at<br />
estimat<strong>in</strong>g the potential fiscal revenue losses<br />
us<strong>in</strong>g the tariff cuts actually agreed. This<br />
analysis is limited to six sub-Saharan African<br />
countries: Burundi, Côte d’Ivoire, Ghana,<br />
Madagascar, Rwanda, and Tanzania.<br />
Direct fiscal revenue losses varies<br />
substantially across countries<br />
The fiscal impact of the EPAs varies across<br />
countries. The revenues from customs<br />
duties could be lower, at the end of the<br />
transition period, by about 8% <strong>in</strong> Rwanda<br />
and Tanzania, 16% <strong>in</strong> Burundi, 21% <strong>in</strong><br />
Madagascar and up to 28% <strong>in</strong> Ghana. The<br />
severity of the fiscal shock from these losses<br />
depends on the importance that customs<br />
duties have for government revenue. The<br />
fiscal challenge of the EPA is likely to be<br />
large for Madagascar where taxes on<br />
<strong>in</strong>ternational trade account for half the<br />
government’s revenue. It is likely to be<br />
more limited for Tanzania where taxes on<br />
<strong>in</strong>ternational trade account for only 10% of<br />
the government’s revenue.<br />
Estimat<strong>in</strong>g the potential fiscal loss on the<br />
basis of the customs duties revenue is<br />
common <strong>in</strong> the literature. However, this<br />
method tends to underestimate the actual<br />
fiscal shock as it ignores the spillover of the<br />
customs tariff cuts on revenues from other<br />
taxes. Customs duties are usually part of<br />
the tax base for excise and value-added tax<br />
(VAT) levied on imported goods. Therefore,<br />
a tariff cut also reduces these revenues.<br />
Another shortfall of this method is that<br />
it ignores the fact that the <strong>ACP</strong> countries<br />
provide tariff preferences to partners <strong>in</strong><br />
preferential trade agreements, to foreign<br />
<strong>in</strong>vestors, and to enterprises located <strong>in</strong><br />
Special Economic Zones.<br />
Thus, a more accurate estimate of the fiscal<br />
revenue losses should consider taxable<br />
imports rather than total imports. This<br />
requires detailed trade data that were only<br />
available for Madagascar. Us<strong>in</strong>g taxable<br />
imports, the potential loss <strong>in</strong> customs duties<br />
revenues is revised from 21% to 30%.<br />
Tak<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>to account the spillover of tariff<br />
cuts to other taxes suggests that the total<br />
revenues of the Malagasy government could<br />
drop by 5% at the end of the transition<br />
period. This loss could have substantial<br />
repercussions because Madagascar<br />
suffers from one of the lowest revenue<br />
performance <strong>in</strong> the world (the tax to GDP<br />
ratio is only 10%). 3<br />
<strong>Trade</strong> diversion as an <strong>in</strong>direct source of<br />
revenue loss<br />
Although more accurate, this revised<br />
estimate of the impact of the EPA on<br />
Madagascar fiscal revenue still understates<br />
the magnitude of the fiscal shock because it<br />
ignores the fiscal loss from trade diversion.<br />
Elim<strong>in</strong>at<strong>in</strong>g customs duties on <strong>EU</strong> goods<br />
rather than on all imports will encourage<br />
consumers (households as well as firms
Issue 6 | Volume 9 | July / August 2010 9<br />
that use imports as an <strong>in</strong>put) to shift<br />
their purchase from non-<strong>EU</strong> imports to<br />
<strong>EU</strong> imports. Indeed, because of the tariff<br />
preference, some of the tariff-free <strong>EU</strong> goods<br />
will appear of better value than the tariff<strong>in</strong>clusive<br />
goods imported from the rest of<br />
the world. In other words, the EPA will give<br />
<strong>EU</strong> goods a price advantage over non-<strong>EU</strong><br />
goods and as a result duty-free <strong>EU</strong> goods<br />
will replace other taxed imports, lead<strong>in</strong>g<br />
to an additional revenue loss for the <strong>ACP</strong><br />
governments.<br />
Estimat<strong>in</strong>g the magnitude of this secondround<br />
revenue loss is difficult as it depends<br />
on many factors such as the will<strong>in</strong>gness<br />
of <strong>ACP</strong> consumers to shift their source of<br />
imports, the capacity of <strong>EU</strong> firms to supply<br />
the additional demand, the reaction of the<br />
traditional suppliers (they may choose to cut<br />
their prices to rema<strong>in</strong> competitive), and the<br />
strategic behaviour of <strong>EU</strong> exporters (some<br />
may pass the tariff cut to their customers<br />
while others may choose to keep their retail<br />
price unchanged and <strong>in</strong>crease their profits).<br />
One th<strong>in</strong>g is sure though: the bigger the<br />
gap between the most-favored-nation (MFN)<br />
tariff and the f<strong>in</strong>al tariff levied on <strong>EU</strong> goods,<br />
the larger the trade diversion and thus the<br />
fiscal revenue loss. In many <strong>ACP</strong> countries<br />
this gap will be large because, despite recent<br />
trade liberalisation, MFN tariffs rema<strong>in</strong> high<br />
<strong>in</strong> <strong>ACP</strong> countries. In all the Sub-Saharan<br />
Africa countries considered <strong>in</strong> this article<br />
they are above 12% on average.<br />
Rather than estimat<strong>in</strong>g the fiscal impact<br />
of trade diversion—an exercise that would<br />
be driven by the assumptions regard<strong>in</strong>g<br />
the various actors’ behaviour—it is better<br />
to assess the potential scope for trade<br />
diversion. Aga<strong>in</strong> the choice of excluded<br />
products largely determ<strong>in</strong>es the impact.<br />
In the case of Madagascar, 13% of the<br />
tariff l<strong>in</strong>es are excluded from tariff cuts.<br />
These l<strong>in</strong>es account for 38% of total<br />
taxable imports. Thus trade diversion could<br />
potentially affect 62% of the countries<br />
taxable imports. However, the actual trade<br />
diversion is more limited as for many l<strong>in</strong>es<br />
the <strong>EU</strong> and other countries benefit (because<br />
of preferential trade agreements) from a<br />
duty-free access accounts for all imports.<br />
Tak<strong>in</strong>g this fact <strong>in</strong>to account, trade diversion<br />
could affect 49% of Madagascar’s taxable<br />
imports. This is substantial, although it is<br />
impossible to predict ex ante the size of the<br />
trade diversion on these imports.<br />
The fiscal impact is <strong>in</strong> most cases<br />
substantially delayed<br />
The estimates presented so far focused on<br />
the total losses, i.e. when all tariff cuts are<br />
implemented. However, the shock will be<br />
progressive: tariff cuts will be phased <strong>in</strong> over<br />
a long transition period rang<strong>in</strong>g from 10<br />
years for most Southern African <strong>ACP</strong>s to 26<br />
years for the members of the Eastern African<br />
Community (EAC) and of the Caribbean.<br />
Moreover there will be no fiscal shock <strong>in</strong> the<br />
short run for two reasons:<br />
•<br />
•<br />
First, for most <strong>ACP</strong> countries, there<br />
will be no tariff cuts before several<br />
years. Tariff cuts will only start <strong>in</strong> 2013<br />
for Ghana and Madagascar and 2015<br />
for the EAC counties. However, Côte<br />
d’Ivoire agreed start<strong>in</strong>g elim<strong>in</strong>at<strong>in</strong>g<br />
some of its tariff as early as 2009<br />
(though it has not done so yet).<br />
Second, the African <strong>ACP</strong> countries<br />
considered <strong>in</strong> this article have chosen to<br />
start elim<strong>in</strong>at<strong>in</strong>g the tariff start<strong>in</strong>g with<br />
the lowest tariff rates (Côte d’Ivoire is<br />
aga<strong>in</strong> an exception).<br />
This liberalization pattern limits the risk<br />
of trade distortion <strong>in</strong> the short run and<br />
smoothes the adjustment shock (<strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g<br />
the fiscal adjustment cost).<br />
Conclusion: How to cope with the fiscal<br />
challenge<br />
The estimates presented <strong>in</strong> this article show<br />
that the fiscal impact of the EPAs differs<br />
significantly across countries but can be<br />
substantial especially when the potential<br />
impact of trade diversion is taken <strong>in</strong>to<br />
account. However, long transition periods<br />
mean that <strong>in</strong> most cases the fiscal shock will<br />
be delayed and progressive.<br />
There is therefore ample time to implement<br />
policies and reforms that will help address<br />
the fiscal shock of the EPAs. <strong>ACP</strong> countries<br />
should take the opportunity of the transition<br />
period to cut their MFN tariffs. This would<br />
reduce the welfare cost of trade diversion<br />
and simplify the often complex customs<br />
regime. The additional revenue losses<br />
could be offset by a rebalanc<strong>in</strong>g of the tax<br />
regime from taxes on <strong>in</strong>ternational trade to<br />
<strong>domestic</strong> taxes. Past experience shows that<br />
such reform is unlikely to allow governments<br />
to fully recoup the revenue losses from<br />
tariff cuts under the EPAs but has value on<br />
its own as <strong>domestic</strong> taxes are less distortive<br />
than taxes on <strong>in</strong>ternational trade. Moreover,<br />
this reform appears to be important to<br />
secure some <strong>EU</strong> budget support. Indeed,<br />
<strong>in</strong> its 2007 Aid for <strong>Trade</strong> Strategy, the <strong>EU</strong><br />
has committed itself to “contribute to the<br />
absorption of net fiscal impact result<strong>in</strong>g<br />
from tariff liberalization <strong>in</strong> the context of<br />
EPAs <strong>in</strong> full complementarity with fiscal<br />
reforms.” 4<br />
Author<br />
Jean-Jacques Hallaert is associated with the Groupe<br />
d’Économie Mondiale de Sciences-Po (GEM). The<br />
article summarises the ma<strong>in</strong> f<strong>in</strong>d<strong>in</strong>gs of the research<br />
project “Economic Partnership Agreements: Tariff<br />
Cuts, Revenue Losses and <strong>Trade</strong> diversion <strong>in</strong><br />
sub-Saharan Africa” published <strong>in</strong> the “Journal of<br />
World <strong>Trade</strong>” <strong>in</strong> February 2010 (vol. 44, no. 1, pp.<br />
223-250). The full article is available at:<br />
http://www.kluwerlawonl<strong>in</strong>e.com/toc.php?area=Journ<br />
als&mode=bypub&level=6&values=Journals%7E%7EJ<br />
ournal+of+World+<strong>Trade</strong>%7EVolume+44+%282010%<br />
29%7EIssue+1.<br />
Notes<br />
1 Thirty five of the seventy five <strong>ACP</strong>s have <strong>in</strong>itialled an<br />
<strong>in</strong>terim agreement that <strong>in</strong>clude a schedule of the tariff<br />
cuts that these countries will implement. Only the<br />
Caribbean countries have reached an agreement on<br />
the full list of topics of the EPAs. As of mid-2009, the<br />
Dom<strong>in</strong>ican Republic was the only country to have<br />
ratified its EPA.<br />
2 This share can go as high as 97.5% <strong>in</strong> the case<br />
of Seychelles<br />
3 However, the <strong>domestic</strong> tax reform implemented <strong>in</strong><br />
2008, follow<strong>in</strong>g an IMF technical assistance, may help<br />
alleviate the fiscal shock of the EPAs by reduc<strong>in</strong>g the<br />
reliance on taxes on <strong>in</strong>ternational trade.<br />
4 The “<strong>EU</strong> Strategy on Aid for <strong>Trade</strong>: enhanc<strong>in</strong>g <strong>EU</strong><br />
support for trade related needs <strong>in</strong> develop<strong>in</strong>g<br />
countries” is available at: http://register.consilium.<br />
europa.eu/pdf/en/07/st14/st14470.en07.pdf
10<br />
The debate around the impact of EPA tariff<br />
liberalisation on government revenues<br />
<strong>in</strong> <strong>ACP</strong> countries has been particularly<br />
controversial throughout the negotiations.<br />
A great deal of the opposition to EPAs<br />
has focused on the argument that the<br />
agreements are likely to have serious effects<br />
on government revenues, and therefore<br />
on social expenditures geared towards<br />
the achievement of broader development<br />
objectives, such as the Millennium<br />
Development Goals. The f<strong>in</strong>ancial and<br />
economic crisis, comb<strong>in</strong>ed with recurrent<br />
food and energy crises, has only heightened<br />
these concerns. Attempt<strong>in</strong>g to quantify the<br />
fiscal impacts of EPAs has therefore been an<br />
important, yet sometimes difficult, exercise.<br />
In terms of reach<strong>in</strong>g a comprehensive<br />
assessment of the fiscal impacts of EPAs, the<br />
picture rema<strong>in</strong>s relatively unclear despite a<br />
grow<strong>in</strong>g number of regional and countrylevel<br />
studies on the subject. Differences <strong>in</strong><br />
methodology, data and assumptions have<br />
contributed to a mixed picture, although<br />
it is also important to acknowledge that<br />
comparison and debate between various<br />
studies is healthy, and no forecast is likely<br />
to be def<strong>in</strong>itively accurate <strong>in</strong> light of the<br />
uncerta<strong>in</strong>ties <strong>in</strong>volved <strong>in</strong> mak<strong>in</strong>g them. One<br />
overall conclusion, however, is that there has<br />
been a general tendency to overestimate<br />
the direct fiscal losses result<strong>in</strong>g from an<br />
EPA, at least <strong>in</strong> some of the earlier studies<br />
as compared to more recent analysis.<br />
Nonetheless, the implementation of an EPA<br />
can have significant, and <strong>in</strong> some countries<br />
very serious, consequences for government<br />
revenues.<br />
Beyond efforts of researchers to quantify<br />
the tariff revenue losses that might result<br />
from EPAs, surpris<strong>in</strong>gly little discussion has<br />
taken place thus far on the more practical<br />
and policy-related questions of how to<br />
address the fiscal impact of the agreements.<br />
While giv<strong>in</strong>g estimates of the impact that<br />
liberalisation will have on revenues, most<br />
studies do not delve deeper <strong>in</strong>to implications<br />
of this work, and ask how trade taxes might<br />
be replaced as implementation proceeds. For<br />
some countries, replac<strong>in</strong>g rema<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g trade<br />
taxes might become a press<strong>in</strong>g concern<br />
<strong>in</strong> the next few years, especially given the<br />
substantial liberalisation that has already<br />
taken place over the last few decades.<br />
Issue 6 | Volume 9 | July / August 2010<br />
Address<strong>in</strong>g the fiscal challenges of an EPA: Some<br />
prelim<strong>in</strong>ary considerations<br />
ECDPM 1<br />
The case of Tanzania<br />
With regard to fiscal losses as a result of implement<strong>in</strong>g EPAs, Tanzanian officials familiar<br />
with the negotiations emphasise the significant proportion of revenue that cont<strong>in</strong>ues<br />
to be derived from taxes of all k<strong>in</strong>ds (i.e. not just customs duties) on imported goods:<br />
currently some 43% of total revenues orig<strong>in</strong>ate from imported goods. Not all of this<br />
revenue is under threat however, s<strong>in</strong>ce much of the tax collected comes from taxes<br />
other than import duties, such as VAT and excise taxes also levied on imported goods,<br />
which are not affected by EPA liberalisation requirements, at least directly. Furthermore,<br />
flexibility <strong>in</strong> the EPA liberalisation schedule means that some goods are excluded from<br />
liberalisation – <strong>in</strong> Tanzania’s case, these amount to around 17% of imports, <strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g<br />
some ‘big ticket’ revenue-generat<strong>in</strong>g products on which import duty will cont<strong>in</strong>ue to be<br />
applied.<br />
Conversely, it is important to understand that the elim<strong>in</strong>ation of duties will not just lead<br />
to lower customs revenue itself, but also reduce the basis for calculations of other ad<br />
valorem taxes, most notably VAT, which are generally levied after duties have already<br />
been applied. In addition, the issue of VAT has <strong>in</strong> recent years been a sensitive item on<br />
the reform agenda <strong>in</strong> Tanzania, with a reduction <strong>in</strong> the rate from 20% to 18% to br<strong>in</strong>g<br />
it closer <strong>in</strong>to l<strong>in</strong>e with regional EAC partners, further reduc<strong>in</strong>g fiscal revenues.<br />
More generally, many Tanzanians fear the potentially adverse effects that trade<br />
liberalisation may have on the economy and tax base as a whole. They are worried that<br />
<strong>in</strong>creased competition with <strong>EU</strong> suppliers may result <strong>in</strong> the collapse of some <strong>domestic</strong><br />
<strong>in</strong>dustries, <strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g some major tax-pay<strong>in</strong>g firms, lead<strong>in</strong>g to decl<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g levels of<br />
corporate <strong>in</strong>come tax collections, as well as lower collection of personal <strong>in</strong>come taxes as<br />
a result of reduced levels of employment.<br />
In terms of the policy responses that will be<br />
needed, these are likely to be fairly context<br />
specific, depend<strong>in</strong>g naturally on the scale<br />
of expected losses but also on a range of<br />
other factors, such as the exist<strong>in</strong>g tax mix,<br />
the strength of the economy and breadth<br />
of the tax base, tax-rais<strong>in</strong>g capacity (<strong>in</strong><br />
terms of the ease of implement<strong>in</strong>g new<br />
taxes or strengthen<strong>in</strong>g the collection of<br />
others), or even whether there is scope<br />
for current spend<strong>in</strong>g levels to be reduced<br />
as government services are delivered<br />
more efficiently. The debate should thus<br />
shift away both from theory and rhetoric,<br />
towards more concrete actions to address<br />
the potential revenue shortfalls, with a role<br />
for all stakeholders, <strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g governments,<br />
the private sector, researchers and donors.<br />
What strategies can <strong>ACP</strong> countries and their<br />
partners adopt to mitigate the negative<br />
consequences of liberalisation and take<br />
advantage of opportunities for wider reform<br />
or consolidation <strong>in</strong> the area of taxation?<br />
Below are some prelim<strong>in</strong>ary considerations,<br />
with illustrations from Tanzania and<br />
Mozambique that highlight the differences<br />
and similarities at the country level between<br />
different <strong>ACP</strong> countries on the revenue<br />
consequences of EPAs.<br />
The reform context: vary<strong>in</strong>g expectations<br />
and perceptions<br />
Given that the various models of EPA<br />
revenue losses lack perfect foresight and<br />
can offer only tentative <strong>in</strong>dications on what<br />
to expect, it is perhaps unsurpris<strong>in</strong>g that<br />
op<strong>in</strong>ions amongst officials on the issue<br />
also tend to differ amongst and with<strong>in</strong><br />
<strong>ACP</strong> countries. In some parts, the views of<br />
officials and stakeholders at the country<br />
level often cont<strong>in</strong>ue to reflect long-held<br />
positions on the consequences of EPAs more<br />
generally, with ‘EPA sceptics’ highlight<strong>in</strong>g<br />
the potential negative effects of EPAs on<br />
revenues and competitiveness. In contrast,<br />
‘EPA supporters’ put greater emphasis on<br />
the dynamic opportunities and gradual<br />
transition process. Underp<strong>in</strong>n<strong>in</strong>g such views,<br />
however, is the fact that the context of<br />
reform is very different <strong>in</strong> <strong>ACP</strong> countries,<br />
depend<strong>in</strong>g on factors like the <strong>in</strong>itial basel<strong>in</strong>e<br />
position, ongo<strong>in</strong>g dynamics of regional<br />
<strong>in</strong>tegration, and the available options for<br />
reform.
Issue 6 | Volume 9 | July / August 2010 11<br />
The reform context <strong>in</strong> Mozambique<br />
In contrast to their counterparts from Tanzania, officials from Mozambique who have<br />
followed EPAs tend to view the revenue consequences of the agreements for their<br />
country as be<strong>in</strong>g relatively limited, for a number of reasons that illustrate the diversity<br />
of countries’ experiences. In the first <strong>in</strong>stance, Mozambique’s officials po<strong>in</strong>t to their<br />
lower reliance on tariff revenue over recent years – and the fact that regardless of the<br />
controversies surround<strong>in</strong>g an EPA more generally, the agreement fits well with<strong>in</strong> the<br />
pursuit of economic reforms, <strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g trade and tariff liberalisation and tax reform,<br />
result<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> a lower reliance on customs duties and a more open and liberalised<br />
economy, which is a key element of the government’s development policy.<br />
Secondly, officials po<strong>in</strong>t out that regional <strong>in</strong>tegration, pr<strong>in</strong>cipally <strong>in</strong> the SADC context,<br />
will have an important <strong>in</strong>fluence on customs duty revenues <strong>in</strong> com<strong>in</strong>g years, <strong>in</strong><br />
many ways regardless of EPA liberalisation. SADC (and ma<strong>in</strong>ly South Africa) is now<br />
Mozambique’s foremost trad<strong>in</strong>g partner, with around 40% of imports com<strong>in</strong>g from the<br />
region – by contrast imports from the <strong>EU</strong> represented 12% of total imports <strong>in</strong> 2007,<br />
fall<strong>in</strong>g from 15% <strong>in</strong> 2005.<br />
F<strong>in</strong>ally, Mozambique officials po<strong>in</strong>t out that many of the goods actually be<strong>in</strong>g<br />
liberalised under the EPAs – such as capital goods or <strong>in</strong>termediate <strong>in</strong>puts – typically<br />
enter Mozambique under special duty exemptions given to large <strong>in</strong>vestment or aid<br />
projects. One consequence of this is that while some theoretical models might po<strong>in</strong>t<br />
to Mozambique los<strong>in</strong>g fairly significant amounts of revenue based on assumptions<br />
about how much customs duty is collected, and on data that does not reflect recent<br />
shifts <strong>in</strong> the structure of trade – <strong>in</strong> reality the losses could likely to be less severe. Even<br />
where liberalisation of such goods does result <strong>in</strong> revenue losses, officials po<strong>in</strong>t out that<br />
at the same time the reductions <strong>in</strong> prices are more likely to encourage development<br />
rather than create negative competition, <strong>in</strong> l<strong>in</strong>e aga<strong>in</strong> with Mozambique’s general<br />
development strategy.<br />
From a political po<strong>in</strong>t of view, the difficulty<br />
for hesitant governments fac<strong>in</strong>g the<br />
prospect of trade liberalisation is that the<br />
potential for revenue losses are immediately<br />
apparent, while the benefits will only be<br />
seen over time. While the dynamic effects<br />
of an EPA are unpredictable, opponents to<br />
an EPA can easily highlight the potential<br />
revenue losses through simple calculations<br />
of forgone import duties. Comb<strong>in</strong>ed with<br />
parallel trade liberalisation processes at the<br />
regional level and global crises (economic,<br />
food, energy, etc.), some political leaders<br />
might be reluctant to engage <strong>in</strong> a far<br />
reach<strong>in</strong>g agreement with the <strong>EU</strong> whose<br />
benefits are uncerta<strong>in</strong>.<br />
One potential first step <strong>in</strong> such cases would<br />
be to conduct more <strong>in</strong>-depth assessments of<br />
the impacts of EPAs – at the country level,<br />
perhaps jo<strong>in</strong>tly commissioned – with a focus<br />
not on specific estimates, but rather on the<br />
robustness or fragility of countries’ revenue<br />
base, or the overall economic costs and<br />
benefits.<br />
Strategies to address fiscal losses related<br />
to EPA implementation<br />
Solutions that have so far been identified for<br />
deal<strong>in</strong>g with the revenue consequences of<br />
EPAs <strong>in</strong>clude those that have been proposed<br />
<strong>in</strong> the context of negotiations – seek<strong>in</strong>g to<br />
establish close l<strong>in</strong>ks between liberalisation<br />
commitments and some compensatory<br />
f<strong>in</strong>ancial assistance comb<strong>in</strong>ed with support<br />
to fiscal reforms, as part of Aid for <strong>Trade</strong>.<br />
Beyond this, an emphasis should also be put<br />
on more general reform measures aimed at<br />
<strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g the tax-rais<strong>in</strong>g capacity of <strong>ACP</strong><br />
countries, which are further removed from<br />
the specific issue of EPAs and form part of a<br />
broader fiscal reform and <strong>domestic</strong> <strong>resource</strong><br />
<strong>mobilisation</strong> agenda. Measures here can<br />
range from build<strong>in</strong>g the adm<strong>in</strong>istrative<br />
capacity of tax adm<strong>in</strong>istrations to target<br />
specific groups of taxpayers, to tackl<strong>in</strong>g<br />
<strong>in</strong>ternational tax issues – such as tax evasion<br />
by mult<strong>in</strong>ational actors and (illegal) capital<br />
flight – at a bilateral or global level. Different<br />
approaches are often complementary, and<br />
<strong>in</strong>clude:<br />
•<br />
•<br />
•<br />
F<strong>in</strong>anc<strong>in</strong>g mechanisms for ‘direct<br />
compensation’ of EPA net fiscal<br />
losses: here it is <strong>in</strong>terest<strong>in</strong>g to note<br />
some precedents where the EC has<br />
undertaken to provide direct support<br />
to provide partial compensation for<br />
fiscal losses due to trade liberalisation,<br />
either <strong>in</strong> the context of EPAs – as <strong>in</strong><br />
West Africa2 , or <strong>in</strong> the context of<br />
regional trade liberalisation – as <strong>in</strong> East<br />
Africa through the Regional Integration<br />
Support Mechanism (RISM) programme.<br />
EPA ‘accompany<strong>in</strong>g measures’ lead<strong>in</strong>g<br />
to higher tax collection through<br />
economic growth: Aid for trade for EPA<br />
implementations and adjustments will<br />
be key to allow <strong>ACP</strong> economies to reap<br />
the potential benefits of an EPA, which<br />
<strong>in</strong> turn would lead to higher economic<br />
growth and associated tax collections.<br />
Wider tax reform to broaden the<br />
tax base and <strong>in</strong>crease compliance:<br />
EPAs need also to act as a catalyst<br />
for or build on wider reforms <strong>in</strong> <strong>ACP</strong><br />
countries, <strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g on fiscal reforms,<br />
<strong>in</strong> particular as part of a strong<br />
emerg<strong>in</strong>g agenda on <strong>domestic</strong> <strong>resource</strong><br />
<strong>mobilisation</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>ACP</strong> countries. 3<br />
Go<strong>in</strong>g forward, one key challenge will<br />
be the need for political leadership and<br />
commitment to address EPA-related fiscal<br />
adjustments and broader fiscal reforms,<br />
as an <strong>in</strong>tegral part of a <strong>domestic</strong> <strong>resource</strong>s<br />
<strong>mobilisation</strong> agenda, with appropriate<br />
development and technical support.<br />
Notes<br />
1 This article draws on some <strong>in</strong>itial analysis conducted by<br />
ECDPM for a project funded by IrishAid on the fiscal<br />
adjustments result<strong>in</strong>g from EPAs. The f<strong>in</strong>al study,<br />
written by San Bilal, Dan Lui and Melissa Dalleau, will<br />
be published <strong>in</strong> the com<strong>in</strong>g weeks. Comments and<br />
suggestions are welcome; contact: San Bilal: sb@<br />
ecdpm.org<br />
2 See the article by David Laborde <strong>in</strong> this issue.<br />
3 See the article by Henri-Bernard Solignac-Lecomte <strong>in</strong><br />
this issue.
12<br />
Fiscal impact of the Economic Partnership<br />
Agreement (EPA) <strong>in</strong> West Africa<br />
David Laborde<br />
Will trade liberalisation bear an<br />
adjustment cost for <strong>ACP</strong> countries?<br />
If so, how much and who will pay<br />
for it? What are the strategies<br />
for reduc<strong>in</strong>g or even elim<strong>in</strong>at<strong>in</strong>g<br />
these costs? These are all sensitive<br />
questions fac<strong>in</strong>g <strong>ACP</strong> and European<br />
negotiators <strong>in</strong> the context of the<br />
negotiations of the Economic<br />
Partnership Agreements (EPAs).<br />
Qualitatively and quantitatively def<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g<br />
the “net fiscal impact” of an EPA: a<br />
complex undertak<strong>in</strong>g<br />
In West Africa - one of the most important<br />
regions <strong>in</strong> demographic and economic<br />
terms among the <strong>ACP</strong> - European and<br />
African negotiators decided to <strong>in</strong>form their<br />
discussions with a regional Computable<br />
General Equilibrium model led by a<br />
jo<strong>in</strong>t committee. Indeed, answer<strong>in</strong>g the<br />
above questions required a common<br />
tool to quantify certa<strong>in</strong> key issues <strong>in</strong> the<br />
negotiations, especially the notion of net<br />
fiscal impact. The loss of customs revenues<br />
has been a major concern for West Africa’s<br />
governments, which face tense budgetary<br />
situations and economies with an extensive<br />
<strong>in</strong>formal sector, present<strong>in</strong>g a challenge for<br />
replac<strong>in</strong>g border taxes with a <strong>domestic</strong><br />
tax system. The <strong>EU</strong> committed itself to<br />
accompany and support the <strong>ACP</strong> partners<br />
dur<strong>in</strong>g the liberalisation phase <strong>in</strong> order<br />
to protect aga<strong>in</strong>st the negative effects<br />
result<strong>in</strong>g from trade reform, which is why<br />
it is necessary to assess and determ<strong>in</strong>e the<br />
forms of this support. Nonetheless, three<br />
important po<strong>in</strong>ts must be borne <strong>in</strong> m<strong>in</strong>d.<br />
First, this is an unprecedented commitment.<br />
While the <strong>EU</strong> has negotiated numerous free<br />
trade agreements, until the EPAs it has not<br />
committed to pay the adjustment costs of<br />
its partners. 1 Second, the very concept of<br />
“net fiscal impact” is new, and must be<br />
def<strong>in</strong>ed before any quantification can be<br />
undertaken. F<strong>in</strong>ally, one should note the<br />
orig<strong>in</strong>ality of the approach, which revolves<br />
around the notion of partnership between<br />
the <strong>EU</strong> and ECOWAS, as the parameters<br />
and hypotheses of the model have been<br />
determ<strong>in</strong>ed jo<strong>in</strong>tly by the two parties, <strong>in</strong><br />
order to avoid politicis<strong>in</strong>g the exercise.<br />
<strong>Trade</strong> liberalisation and its fiscal effects<br />
The fiscal effects of trade liberalisation are<br />
numerous. First, the abolition of customs<br />
duties leads to a loss of the custom revenues<br />
derived from European imports. Moreover,<br />
the replacement of imports com<strong>in</strong>g from<br />
non-<strong>EU</strong> countries (e.g. the United States)<br />
subject to multilateral customs duty by<br />
non-taxed European products will lead to<br />
additional revenue losses. At the analytical<br />
level, it is important to make a dist<strong>in</strong>ction<br />
between theoretical revenues (nom<strong>in</strong>al<br />
rate multiplied by the value of imports)<br />
and the level of tax actually collected. The<br />
latter is sometimes significantly lower (less<br />
than 60% for some countries), because<br />
of tax avoidance, corruption or legal tax<br />
exemptions (i.e., sector-based <strong>in</strong>itiatives,<br />
tariff suspension, imports by government or<br />
<strong>in</strong>ternational agencies). Moreover, customs<br />
duties are not the only type of tax levied<br />
at the border: excise duties or value-added<br />
tax (VAT), for example, are also applied<br />
on imports. If those taxes are not directly<br />
affected by liberalisation, their tax base is.<br />
For <strong>in</strong>stance, the volume of (and therefore<br />
revenue from) imports will <strong>in</strong>crease, but<br />
the value of imports, <strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g the value<br />
of custom tariffs, which is the basis of<br />
calculation for the VAT, can be reduced. In<br />
the case of a perfect substitution of taxed<br />
local products by imported products, the<br />
net impact will be negative. However, if<br />
the imports replace the production of the<br />
<strong>in</strong>formal sector, which previously evaded the<br />
tax system, the impact will be positive. The<br />
comb<strong>in</strong>ation of the different mechanisms<br />
will therefore depend on the consumers’<br />
sensitivity to prices and on the efficiency of<br />
the <strong>in</strong>itial tax collection. 2 By chang<strong>in</strong>g the<br />
growth path at the macroeconomic level,<br />
liberalisation will also have an impact on<br />
<strong>in</strong>come derived from VAT.<br />
Issue 6 | Volume 9 | July / August 2010<br />
Indirect taxation is not the only channel to<br />
be considered. Income tax – both corporate<br />
and <strong>in</strong>dividual – will also be modified by<br />
changes <strong>in</strong> the levels of profit, wages<br />
and employment. Moreover, changes <strong>in</strong><br />
profitability will also affect public – or quasipublic<br />
– companies and have consequences<br />
on the consolidated budget of public<br />
authorities.<br />
Adoption of a Computable General<br />
Equilibrium Model<br />
To be able to take all these effects <strong>in</strong>to<br />
account, particularly with<strong>in</strong> the scope of<br />
commercial liberalisation spread over 15 to<br />
20 years, requires a model as comprehensive<br />
as possible. In this respect the regional<br />
Computable General Equilibrium model<br />
seems to be the best choice: it can<br />
determ<strong>in</strong>e the “net” impact on the<br />
government’s total tax <strong>in</strong>come, consider<strong>in</strong>g<br />
all the effects previously discussed.<br />
This def<strong>in</strong>ition of the “net” fiscal impact can<br />
seem <strong>in</strong>complete, however, because it does<br />
not address the level of public spend<strong>in</strong>g<br />
that will also react to trade liberalisation.<br />
Nevertheless, the spend<strong>in</strong>g aspect entails<br />
difficult questions. For example, how will<br />
spend<strong>in</strong>g on social services and public<br />
<strong>in</strong>vestments be affected? For this reason, we<br />
have decided to focus on the “revenue” side<br />
of the equation.<br />
Def<strong>in</strong>ition of the analytical framework<br />
Once the net fiscal impact has been<br />
def<strong>in</strong>ed, an important question rema<strong>in</strong>s:<br />
what should be the po<strong>in</strong>t of comparison?<br />
At the beg<strong>in</strong>n<strong>in</strong>g of the EPA negotiations,<br />
the African negotiators <strong>in</strong>sisted that the<br />
old Cotonou preferences should to be<br />
used as the reference po<strong>in</strong>t (i.e., the cost<br />
or benefit of the EPA should be compared
Issue 6 | Volume 9 | July / August 2010 13<br />
to the “current” situation). On the other<br />
hand, European negotiators <strong>in</strong>sisted on the<br />
fact that the reference po<strong>in</strong>t should be the<br />
Generalized System of Preferences (GSP),<br />
s<strong>in</strong>ce after 2007 the unilateral preferences<br />
could not exist anymore and this alternative<br />
was thus irrelevant.<br />
The second option obviously leads to a<br />
more optimistic assessment of the EPA.<br />
S<strong>in</strong>ce 2008, the European position is de<br />
facto the most relevant, even if some<br />
observers th<strong>in</strong>k that it does not follow the<br />
<strong>in</strong>itial commitment’s spirit. Yet this does<br />
not necessarily mean that the debate on<br />
this question is closed. In fact, we now<br />
need to know if the actual base for the<br />
negotiation of a regional EPA should be<br />
the GSP applied to exports to the <strong>EU</strong>,<br />
while also ma<strong>in</strong>ta<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g the actual pric<strong>in</strong>g<br />
structures of Western African countries,<br />
or if the temporary agreements signed,<br />
and the associated concessions, must be<br />
used as a reference for Ghana and the<br />
Ivory Coast. In the latter case, the regional<br />
EPA usually results <strong>in</strong> a reduction of the<br />
liberalisation granted at a bilateral level and<br />
thus <strong>in</strong> a fiscal ga<strong>in</strong>. F<strong>in</strong>ally, the question of<br />
ECOWAS’ common external tariff arises:<br />
fixed at an <strong>in</strong>termediate level between<br />
the UEMOA (West African Economic and<br />
Monetary Union) level and the Nigerian<br />
level, for example, it would <strong>in</strong>crease the<br />
tax loss of French-speak<strong>in</strong>g countries and<br />
reduce that of Nigeria. We also have to keep<br />
<strong>in</strong> m<strong>in</strong>d that the tax impacts will depend<br />
on the degree and the sequenc<strong>in</strong>g of the<br />
liberalisation. Greater market open<strong>in</strong>g will<br />
result <strong>in</strong> higher losses from foregone custom<br />
duties. The very composition of the list of<br />
sensitive products plays an important part,<br />
and also presents a difficult choice for the<br />
African negotiators: should they protect<br />
the products that generate tax revenue or<br />
products considered critical to the rural or<br />
<strong>in</strong>dustrial development?<br />
Prelim<strong>in</strong>ary results: a mixed picture<br />
S<strong>in</strong>ce the negotiation process is not over yet,<br />
it would be a premature to present specific<br />
numbers on the fiscal impact of the <strong>EU</strong>-West<br />
Africa EPA. However, bas<strong>in</strong>g our judgment<br />
on the exist<strong>in</strong>g outl<strong>in</strong>es of the agreement,<br />
we can give a couple of rough estimates.<br />
Overall, customs revenues should be<br />
reduced by 30% at the most 3 for the whole<br />
ECOWAS, and between 20% and 40% for<br />
the different countries, which represents<br />
10% of total <strong>in</strong>direct tax revenue. Therefore,<br />
the impacts are not the disaster claimed<br />
by some, but at the same time cannot be<br />
ignored. The distribution of these losses is<br />
an important issue and Nigeria itself would<br />
represent a third of this amount.<br />
Tackl<strong>in</strong>g the challenge: possible<br />
strategies<br />
The evaluation of the net fiscal impact is<br />
just one step of the negotiation process. It<br />
is also advisable to consider solutions to the<br />
problem. First, one could consider the option<br />
of “fiscal neutralisation” through a transfer<br />
from the <strong>EU</strong> under the form of budget<br />
support. In this respect, it is important to<br />
note that the amounts to be <strong>in</strong>vested are<br />
less important than the net fiscal impact<br />
previously assessed. In fact, if the transfer<br />
programme is implemented at the same<br />
time as liberalisation is undertaken, public<br />
spend<strong>in</strong>g will not have to decrease and<br />
economic growth will not slow down (which<br />
generated additional losses). Secondly,<br />
national fiscal policy can be reformed and<br />
adapted. For example, some customs duties<br />
can be replaced by excise duties, the VAT<br />
can be <strong>in</strong>creased or direct taxes modified to<br />
get back a part of the lost customs taxes.<br />
Indeed, the suppression of customs duty<br />
results <strong>in</strong> a decrease <strong>in</strong> <strong>domestic</strong> prices of<br />
imported goods, which benefits consumers<br />
and firms but triggers a loss for the state.<br />
In response, governments can ma<strong>in</strong>ta<strong>in</strong><br />
tax pressure and <strong>in</strong> do<strong>in</strong>g so, retrieve the<br />
amounts earned by other economic agents.<br />
If this strategy is the most logical <strong>in</strong> the<br />
long term, it is also difficult to implement<br />
<strong>in</strong> countries that have set up numerous<br />
tax reforms and are confronted by a large<br />
<strong>in</strong>formal sector that escapes official taxation.<br />
Any <strong>in</strong>crease of the tax rate would then<br />
only encourage a switch to the <strong>in</strong>formal<br />
sector, worsen<strong>in</strong>g the situation even more.<br />
Thirdly, the development policy associated<br />
with the EPAs, the PAPED (EPA Development<br />
Program 4 ), could sufficiently re<strong>in</strong>force<br />
economic growth and generate additional<br />
tax <strong>in</strong>come that will cover the direct losses<br />
due to trade liberalisation. This scenario is<br />
more optimistic, but its success will depend<br />
on the exact characteristics of the PAPED.<br />
Conclusion<br />
Western Africa offers a very relevant<br />
example of the use of economic models<br />
<strong>in</strong> free trade negotiations. Even when<br />
<strong>in</strong>complete, these tools can help quantify<br />
some of the questions that are of critical<br />
<strong>in</strong>terest to political decision-makers and help<br />
clarify the consequences of various options.<br />
Well used, they offer a coherent framework<br />
for the negotiat<strong>in</strong>g parties, which force<br />
participants to expla<strong>in</strong> their offers and<br />
expectations. In the context of estimat<strong>in</strong>g<br />
the fiscal impact of the EPAs, the selected<br />
approach allows the parties to tackle the<br />
problem head-on and to immediately def<strong>in</strong>e<br />
a tailored and negotiated strategy, <strong>in</strong>stead<br />
of deny<strong>in</strong>g the reality or allow<strong>in</strong>g utopian<br />
fantasies obscure the debate.<br />
Author<br />
David Laborde is an economist at the International<br />
Food Policy Reseach Institute (IFPRI – Wash<strong>in</strong>gton DC)<br />
and has collaborated with the ECOWAS-EC Regional<br />
Preparatory Task Force <strong>in</strong> the context of ECOWAS EPA<br />
negotiations s<strong>in</strong>ce 2007.<br />
Notes<br />
1 It is necessary to note, however, that <strong>in</strong> the past, the<br />
<strong>EU</strong> did help West African countries to deal with the<br />
revenue loss related to their own regional <strong>in</strong>tégration.<br />
2 It is important to keep <strong>in</strong> m<strong>in</strong>d that <strong>in</strong> certa<strong>in</strong> cases,<br />
the efficiency of this collection can be endogenous to<br />
the deregulation process, if the latter comes with a tax<br />
reform or <strong>in</strong>vestments <strong>in</strong> customs adm<strong>in</strong>istration, etc.<br />
3 We take the upper bound of the open<strong>in</strong>g rate, with<br />
an 80% threshold.<br />
4 See on this subject our issue of <strong>Trade</strong> Negotiations<br />
Insights dedicated to the PAPED/EPAD : <strong>Trade</strong><br />
Negotiations Insights, Vol9, No5, June 2010. See also :<br />
ECDPM. 2010. The <strong>EU</strong> Commitment to Deliver Aid for<br />
<strong>Trade</strong> <strong>in</strong> West Africa and Support the EPA<br />
Development Programme (PAPED). (ECDPM Discussion<br />
Paper 96). Maastricht: ECDPM
14<br />
Mapp<strong>in</strong>g donors’ <strong>in</strong>volvement <strong>in</strong> the area of<br />
taxation and development: The case for better<br />
coord<strong>in</strong>ation and division of labour<br />
International Tax Compact Secretariat<br />
Strengthen<strong>in</strong>g tax systems and support<strong>in</strong>g<br />
develop<strong>in</strong>g countries’ efforts to <strong>in</strong>crease<br />
<strong>domestic</strong> revenue is receiv<strong>in</strong>g grow<strong>in</strong>g<br />
attention with<strong>in</strong> development cooperation.<br />
The declarations of Monterrey (2002)<br />
and Doha (2008) have emphasised<br />
the importance of <strong>domestic</strong> <strong>resource</strong><br />
<strong>mobilisation</strong> for susta<strong>in</strong>able development.<br />
Numerous <strong>in</strong>ternational and national<br />
<strong>in</strong>itiatives and platforms have also<br />
emerged <strong>in</strong> recent years, underly<strong>in</strong>g the<br />
importance of the topic (e.g. EITI, Tax Justice<br />
Network, International Tax Dialogue, S4TP,<br />
International Tax Compact, Task Force of<br />
OECD/DAC on Taxation and Development,<br />
etc.). The African Development Bank has<br />
dedicated its African Economic Outlook<br />
2010 to the topic of “Public <strong>resource</strong><br />
mobilization and aid <strong>in</strong> Africa ”. 1 And<br />
most recently the <strong>EU</strong> Council adopted a<br />
communication on “Tax and Development<br />
- Cooperat<strong>in</strong>g with Develop<strong>in</strong>g Countries<br />
on Promot<strong>in</strong>g Good Governance <strong>in</strong> Tax<br />
Matters”, which was elaborated by the<br />
European Commission under the Spanish<br />
Presidency. 2<br />
Thus, the importance of efficient systems of<br />
taxation and <strong>domestic</strong> revenue <strong>mobilisation</strong><br />
<strong>in</strong> develop<strong>in</strong>g countries is <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>gly<br />
recognised. To ensure that efforts aimed<br />
at improv<strong>in</strong>g cooperation, collaboration<br />
and alignment <strong>in</strong> the area of taxation are<br />
well targeted, it is first and foremost critical<br />
to survey what is be<strong>in</strong>g done, where and<br />
how. A mapp<strong>in</strong>g of world-wide activities<br />
<strong>in</strong> the area of taxation and development<br />
reveals that quite a number of actors are<br />
already work<strong>in</strong>g on these issues. Although<br />
each of these actors has different priorities<br />
and modalities of work, geographic and<br />
thematic overlaps are frequent.<br />
Much engagement <strong>in</strong> taxation, but also<br />
regional overlap<br />
Indeed, a country-specific mapp<strong>in</strong>g exercise<br />
conducted with<strong>in</strong> the framework of the<br />
International Tax Compact (ITC), and as<br />
part of a broader mapp<strong>in</strong>g survey, <strong>in</strong>dicates<br />
generally good worldwide coverage of<br />
tax-related assistance projects by donors.<br />
However, these activities are at times very<br />
<strong>in</strong>tense, with many donors work<strong>in</strong>g on<br />
tax issues <strong>in</strong> the same country, while other<br />
countries are not supported at all. Asia and<br />
Central and South America seem to be<br />
quite well covered by donor engagement,<br />
for example, while coverage of the African<br />
cont<strong>in</strong>ent seems to be slightly less extensive.<br />
This is alarm<strong>in</strong>g as the tax revenue to GDP<br />
ratio is especially low <strong>in</strong> Africa, <strong>in</strong>dicat<strong>in</strong>g<br />
weak revenue rais<strong>in</strong>g capacities and,<br />
consequently, the necessity for <strong>in</strong>tensive and<br />
long-last<strong>in</strong>g assistance. The <strong>in</strong>itial impression<br />
that the regional coverage of support <strong>in</strong><br />
Africa is not yet sufficient is confirmed when<br />
only long-term projects, last<strong>in</strong>g for at least<br />
several months, are taken <strong>in</strong>to account and<br />
mission-based cooperation of IMF Regional<br />
Technical Assistance Centers (RTACs) is left<br />
aside. While there is <strong>in</strong>tensive donor activity<br />
<strong>in</strong> many parts of Africa, 17 out of 53 African<br />
countries - a third of the entire cont<strong>in</strong>ent -<br />
still do not receive long-last<strong>in</strong>g tax-related<br />
assistance.<br />
The International Tax Compact (ITC)<br />
As an <strong>in</strong>formal platform of donor<br />
and partner countries and <strong>in</strong> close<br />
communication with NGOs and the<br />
private sector, the ITC br<strong>in</strong>gs together<br />
the relevant actors <strong>in</strong> the area of taxation<br />
and development <strong>in</strong> order to strengthen<br />
revenue rais<strong>in</strong>g capacities. Launched by<br />
the German Federal M<strong>in</strong>istry for Economic<br />
Cooperation and Development<br />
(BMZ), the ITC aims to promote tax<br />
systems that allow partner countries to<br />
be more effective <strong>in</strong> fight<strong>in</strong>g tax evasion<br />
and <strong>in</strong>appropriate tax practices with<br />
the <strong>in</strong>tention to achieve national and<br />
<strong>in</strong>ternational development goals. BMZ<br />
has commissioned GTZ and KfW to<br />
support the <strong>in</strong>itiative’s implementation.<br />
The secretariat is based <strong>in</strong> Bonn.<br />
Issues broadly treated but weak division<br />
of labor<br />
On the other hand, the topical-mapp<strong>in</strong>g<br />
conducted as part of the same survey and<br />
cover<strong>in</strong>g thematic characteristics of the<br />
organisation’s work related to taxation show<br />
that tax-related activities cover a broad<br />
range of issues, <strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g <strong>domestic</strong> and<br />
<strong>in</strong>ternational taxation, areas of expertise<br />
(tax systems reforms, tax adm<strong>in</strong>istration<br />
Issue 6 | Volume 9 | July / August 2010<br />
and organisation reform, tax laws, etc)<br />
and country groups (develop<strong>in</strong>g countries,<br />
emerg<strong>in</strong>g market economies, transition<br />
countries). Yet activities are often carried<br />
out by all organisations with only slight<br />
concentration on specific issues. Thus, the<br />
division of labor between the different<br />
actors is here aga<strong>in</strong> rather weak.<br />
Enhanc<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>ternational cooperation<br />
As a result, the f<strong>in</strong>d<strong>in</strong>gs of both the regionspecific<br />
and the topical mapp<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>dicate<br />
a high potential of duplication of work,<br />
<strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g projects of multiple donors <strong>in</strong> a<br />
specific country, as well as identical work<strong>in</strong>g<br />
areas with regards to the content of the<br />
programmes undertaken. Although it is not<br />
clear whether duplications actually occur,<br />
it is obvious that organisations need to<br />
<strong>in</strong>crease the level of <strong>in</strong>formation shar<strong>in</strong>g<br />
to guarantee that assistance is <strong>in</strong>deed<br />
complementary and aligned. Moreover,<br />
an improved division of labour would<br />
encourage <strong>in</strong>-depth expertise - both with<br />
respect to the regional or country-specific<br />
background as well as <strong>in</strong> terms of technical<br />
knowledge. Also, a more focused approach<br />
and division of labour would unleash forces<br />
<strong>in</strong> areas and regions not well covered so far.<br />
Author<br />
International Tax Compact Secretariat. This article is<br />
based on the Map<strong>in</strong>g Survey on Taxation and<br />
Development by Daniel Köhnen, Thorben, Kundt and<br />
Christiane Schuppert, realized by ITC and super-vised<br />
by the Deutsche Gesellschaft fur Technische<br />
Zusammenarbeit (GTZ) on behalf of the Federal<br />
M<strong>in</strong>-istry for Economic Cooperation and Development<br />
(BMZ). Further <strong>in</strong>formation on the ITC can be obta<strong>in</strong>ed<br />
at: www.taxcompact.net<br />
Notes<br />
1 See Henri-Bernard Solignac Lecompte, “Taxation for<br />
Development <strong>in</strong> Africa: A Shared Responsibility”,<br />
pages 3-4 of this issue.<br />
2 This Communication is available at; http://ec.europa.<br />
eu/development/icenter/repository/COMM_<br />
COM_2010_0163_TAX_DEVELOPMENT_EN.PDF
Issue 6 | Volume 9 | July / August 2010<br />
WTO<br />
Roundup<br />
Brazil, US strike framework deal <strong>in</strong><br />
cotton dispute<br />
<strong>Trade</strong> officials from Brazil and the United<br />
States reached a place-holder accord <strong>in</strong> June<br />
that delays until 2012 the imposition of<br />
trade sanctions <strong>in</strong> a protracted dispute over<br />
Wash<strong>in</strong>gton’s cotton subsidies.<br />
The ‘framework’ deal that was announced<br />
on Friday outl<strong>in</strong>es a new set of negotiations<br />
and consultations that will take place over<br />
the next two years as US lawmakers revise<br />
the Farm Bill, the omnibus legislation that<br />
governs the form and value of subsidies<br />
for US farmers, which will expire on 30<br />
September 2012.<br />
The framework agreement obligates the US<br />
to fork over US$147.3 million per year <strong>in</strong><br />
the form of a “technical assistance fund”<br />
to help Brazilian farmers. Wash<strong>in</strong>gton<br />
officials have also agreed to work toward<br />
benchmarks for specific changes to its<br />
controversial GSM-102 programme and to<br />
establish “a limit on trade-distort<strong>in</strong>g cotton<br />
subsidies,” accord<strong>in</strong>g to a statement from<br />
the Office of the US <strong>Trade</strong> Representative.<br />
Officials from both sides will meet four times<br />
a year as the next Farm Bill takes shape.<br />
“This is not a f<strong>in</strong>al solution, but it lays out<br />
elements that will allow for consultations<br />
and reforms to the Farm Bill that will take<br />
place by the end of 2012,” said Roberto<br />
Azevedo, Brazil’s ambassador to the WTO,<br />
accord<strong>in</strong>g to a report <strong>in</strong> The F<strong>in</strong>ancial<br />
Times. “Brazil doesn’t rule out tak<strong>in</strong>g<br />
countermeasures at any moment.”<br />
The United States’ cotton subsidies have<br />
long been a stick<strong>in</strong>g po<strong>in</strong>t <strong>in</strong> the Doha<br />
Round of world trade talks at the WTO. A<br />
number of develop<strong>in</strong>g countries, <strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g<br />
Brazil, have urged the US to reform the<br />
support it offers its cotton farmers, but US<br />
officials have so far failed to <strong>in</strong>dicate what<br />
changes they might be will<strong>in</strong>g to adopt.<br />
Wash<strong>in</strong>gton’s failure to overhaul its cotton<br />
programme has had important implications<br />
for cotton farmers <strong>in</strong> Brazil and other<br />
develop<strong>in</strong>g countries, accord<strong>in</strong>g to a recent<br />
study conducted by Mario Jales, a graduate<br />
resident fellow at Cornell University. 1<br />
The analysis found that world cotton prices<br />
would have jumped by 6% if the US had<br />
agreed to make cuts outl<strong>in</strong>ed <strong>in</strong> proposals<br />
that African nations have put forward <strong>in</strong><br />
the Doha talks. Such an <strong>in</strong>crease could have<br />
brought significant ga<strong>in</strong>s to cotton farmers<br />
<strong>in</strong> the develop<strong>in</strong>g world.<br />
A number of develop<strong>in</strong>g<br />
countries, <strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g Brazil,<br />
have urged the US to<br />
reform the support it<br />
offers its cotton farmers,<br />
but US officials have so<br />
far failed <strong>in</strong>dicate what<br />
changes they might be<br />
will<strong>in</strong>g to adopt.<br />
WTO officials frustrated over lack of<br />
momentum on Doha<br />
WTO Director-General Pascal Lamy<br />
attempted to <strong>in</strong>ject a positive tone <strong>in</strong>to<br />
a meet<strong>in</strong>g of the <strong>Trade</strong> Negotiations<br />
Committee on 11 June, which saw<br />
delegations express their frustration at<br />
the Doha Round’s slow progress. While<br />
members all reaffirmed their commitment to<br />
the prompt conclusion of the Round, many<br />
were concerned about political tensions<br />
among delegations that seem to be hold<strong>in</strong>g<br />
the talks back.<br />
Lamy rem<strong>in</strong>ded the delegations of the<br />
Round’s potential benefits, referr<strong>in</strong>g to it as<br />
a “stimulus package that has a susta<strong>in</strong>able<br />
and last<strong>in</strong>g impact” and call<strong>in</strong>g trade “an<br />
eng<strong>in</strong>e to generate growth and contribute<br />
towards the recovery.”<br />
Along with call<strong>in</strong>g up members to avoid<br />
fall<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>to complacency, Lamy also spoke<br />
about the need to pursue a “cocktail”<br />
approach to negotiations, an approach<br />
that he first referred to <strong>in</strong> his report to the<br />
General Council <strong>in</strong> May of this year.<br />
The cocktail approach, accord<strong>in</strong>g to Lamy’s<br />
earlier report, <strong>in</strong>cludes the follow<strong>in</strong>g<br />
three <strong>in</strong>gredients: meet<strong>in</strong>gs organised<br />
by negotiat<strong>in</strong>g group chairs, prelim<strong>in</strong>ary<br />
contacts between trade m<strong>in</strong>isters, and<br />
Lamy’s own consultations with delegations.<br />
Lamy reiterated that these three <strong>in</strong>gredients<br />
must be comb<strong>in</strong>ed to produce an effective<br />
result.<br />
15<br />
Lamy added, however, that the tim<strong>in</strong>g still<br />
was not right to do a “horizontal give and<br />
take” on the Doha issues that are still open,<br />
given that “we need all these issues to be<br />
at the same level of technical maturity, and<br />
this is not the case yet.” He <strong>in</strong>sisted that any<br />
horizontal discussions would have to <strong>in</strong>clude<br />
all topics that were still outstand<strong>in</strong>g.<br />
Given the pr<strong>in</strong>ciple of “s<strong>in</strong>gle undertak<strong>in</strong>g,”<br />
nearly every item of on the Doha<br />
Development Agenda needs to be treated<br />
as part of the whole. As Lamy has frequently<br />
rem<strong>in</strong>ded delegates, “Noth<strong>in</strong>g is agreed<br />
until everyth<strong>in</strong>g is agreed.”<br />
Zambia, however, speak<strong>in</strong>g on behalf of<br />
the group of Least Developed Countries,<br />
or LDCs, asked that members consider an<br />
“early harvest” for the follow<strong>in</strong>g four areas:<br />
quota-free, duty-free market access for LDC<br />
exports; preferential trade <strong>in</strong> services for<br />
LDCs; an ambitious package on cotton; and<br />
simplification of rules-of-orig<strong>in</strong>.<br />
At the TNC meet<strong>in</strong>g, Lamy described “extra<br />
quantum” - a term he used <strong>in</strong> a meet<strong>in</strong>g<br />
<strong>in</strong> Paris recently - as a “comb<strong>in</strong>ation of<br />
ambition and balance for all participants,”<br />
call<strong>in</strong>g upon countries to give the talks<br />
added momentum so that the Doha process<br />
can move forward.<br />
Some delegations took the TNC meet<strong>in</strong>g as<br />
an opportunity to challenge Lamy’s use of<br />
this language. India, for <strong>in</strong>stance, stated that<br />
they did not believe phrases like “added<br />
quantum” were helpful for the Doha<br />
Round. Rais<strong>in</strong>g the bar <strong>in</strong> these negotiations<br />
would be counterproductive and should be<br />
avoided, the Indian delegate said. Some of<br />
the other countries present also reiterated<br />
this concern.<br />
Delegations at the TNC meet<strong>in</strong>g also spoke<br />
at length about whether the current Doha<br />
package was balanced, and about how big<br />
of a role the agriculture and <strong>in</strong>dustrial goods<br />
talks should play <strong>in</strong> the Round.
16 Issue 6 | Volume 9 | July / August 2010<br />
Brazil, speak<strong>in</strong>g on behalf of the G20<br />
group of develop<strong>in</strong>g country farm exporters<br />
(not to be confused with the G20 group<br />
of major economic powers), stated that<br />
the December 2008 draft modalities text<br />
set the appropriate level of ambition and<br />
balance, and that there was no need to<br />
make additional concessions regard<strong>in</strong>g these<br />
issues. The US, however, claimed that there<br />
was never the balance that other members<br />
say exists.<br />
Members lament lack of progress on<br />
cotton<br />
WTO Director-General Pascal Lamy told<br />
trade delegates <strong>in</strong> a fax on 12 May that<br />
cotton has become a “litmus test” for the<br />
“development dimension” of the Doha<br />
Round. However, at a recent review of<br />
the issue’s stand<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> WTO talks, some<br />
countries, such as Tanzania, alleged that no<br />
progress has been made s<strong>in</strong>ce 2005.<br />
Leonce Kone, the trade m<strong>in</strong>ister from<br />
Burk<strong>in</strong>a Faso - a cotton-export<strong>in</strong>g Least<br />
Developed Country (LDC) - jo<strong>in</strong>ed Genevabased<br />
trade delegates <strong>in</strong> consult<strong>in</strong>g with<br />
WTO Deputy Director-General Harsha<br />
S<strong>in</strong>gh on 7 June. These consultations are<br />
part of the work of a Sub-Committee on<br />
Cotton, which was mandated <strong>in</strong> the General<br />
Council’s July 2004 framework agreement to<br />
conclude the Doha Round. The committee’s<br />
remit is to review “all trade-distort<strong>in</strong>g<br />
policies affect<strong>in</strong>g the sector <strong>in</strong> all three<br />
pillars of market access, <strong>domestic</strong> support,<br />
and export competition.”<br />
The consultations are <strong>in</strong>tended to feed<br />
<strong>in</strong>to a broader process that allows WTO<br />
members and donors to gauge progress on<br />
cotton - specifically with regards to trade,<br />
development, and the need for <strong>domestic</strong><br />
reforms. Many develop<strong>in</strong>g country members<br />
used the 7 June meet<strong>in</strong>g to express concern<br />
over the lack of attention that the issue has<br />
received <strong>in</strong> recent years.<br />
Brazil, which is engaged <strong>in</strong> negotiations to<br />
settle a WTO dispute with the US on cotton,<br />
called developed country subsidies an<br />
unfair source of competition for develop<strong>in</strong>g<br />
country farmers, while suggest<strong>in</strong>g that<br />
consultations <strong>in</strong> the negotiations have<br />
backtracked.<br />
The United States, the world’s largest<br />
subsidiser of cotton, repeated on Monday<br />
its position that WTO agriculture talks <strong>in</strong> all<br />
other major areas should be resolved before<br />
negotiators turn to cotton.<br />
Tanzania <strong>in</strong>sisted that development<br />
assistance without cuts <strong>in</strong> <strong>domestic</strong> support<br />
would lead nowhere, a common refra<strong>in</strong><br />
among other develop<strong>in</strong>g country members.<br />
Director-General Lamy, <strong>in</strong> a letter to WTO<br />
ambassadors, rem<strong>in</strong>ded them of the<br />
grow<strong>in</strong>g amount of development assistance<br />
that is be<strong>in</strong>g offered on cotton, even dur<strong>in</strong>g<br />
the global economic and f<strong>in</strong>ancial crisis.<br />
Accord<strong>in</strong>g to the WTO, the disbursement<br />
of funds for cotton-related assistance has<br />
<strong>in</strong>creased by 24% to US$266 million from<br />
the last such report.<br />
Tanzania <strong>in</strong>sisted that<br />
development assistance<br />
without cuts <strong>in</strong><br />
<strong>domestic</strong> support would<br />
lead nowhere, a<br />
common refra<strong>in</strong> among<br />
other develop<strong>in</strong>g<br />
country members.<br />
US, <strong>EU</strong> <strong>in</strong>k deal to end banana dispute<br />
The United States and the European Union<br />
signed an agreement that should br<strong>in</strong>g to a<br />
close their long-runn<strong>in</strong>g dispute over trade<br />
<strong>in</strong> bananas on 8 June, on the heels of a<br />
related pact that was signed by the <strong>EU</strong> and<br />
a group of Lat<strong>in</strong> American countries a week<br />
earlier.<br />
Under the agreement, the European Union<br />
pledged to implement a non-discrim<strong>in</strong>atory,<br />
tariff-only regime for its banana imports.<br />
“I am pleased that we, together with<br />
the Lat<strong>in</strong> American banana-produc<strong>in</strong>g<br />
countries, have taken one more significant<br />
step toward ensur<strong>in</strong>g that the <strong>EU</strong>’s bananas<br />
import regime is consistent with its WTO<br />
obligations,” said US <strong>Trade</strong> Representative<br />
Ron Kirk.<br />
The deal, which was <strong>in</strong>itialled <strong>in</strong> Geneva<br />
<strong>in</strong> December of last year, serves as a<br />
complement to the Geneva Agreement on<br />
<strong>Trade</strong> <strong>in</strong> Bananas, the pact that was signed<br />
by the <strong>EU</strong> and a group of Lat<strong>in</strong> American<br />
countries on 31 May.<br />
The United States soon jo<strong>in</strong>ed the Lat<strong>in</strong><br />
Americans <strong>in</strong> their suits aga<strong>in</strong>st Brussels.<br />
The US is not a major banana exporter, but<br />
several large banana companies - Chiquita,<br />
Del Monte and Dole - operate <strong>in</strong> Lat<strong>in</strong><br />
America but are headquartered <strong>in</strong> the US.<br />
This <strong>in</strong>formation has been summarised from<br />
ICTSD’s Bridges Weekly <strong>Trade</strong> News Digest.<br />
Notes<br />
1 How Would A <strong>Trade</strong> Deal On Cotton Affect Export<strong>in</strong>g<br />
And Import<strong>in</strong>g Countries?, Mario Jales, International<br />
Centre for <strong>Trade</strong> and Susta<strong>in</strong>able Development, May<br />
2010, http://ictsd.org/i/publications/77906/
Issue 6 | Volume 9 | July / August 2010<br />
EPA<br />
Update<br />
Melissa Julian<br />
African regions seek common positions<br />
on EPAs<br />
The European and African Union (AU)<br />
Commissions held a meet<strong>in</strong>g, attended for<br />
the first time by the African Regional<br />
Economic Communities, on 8 June where<br />
one of the issues discussed was the Economic<br />
Partnership Agreements (EPAs). The meet<strong>in</strong>g<br />
followed an AU EPA negotiations<br />
coord<strong>in</strong>ation meet<strong>in</strong>g on 20- 21 May, aimed<br />
at achiev<strong>in</strong>g synergy and coherence <strong>in</strong> the<br />
EPA negotiations. The AU also presented a<br />
paper to the EC highlight<strong>in</strong>g contentious<br />
issues <strong>in</strong> the EPA negotiations. These were<br />
identified as:<br />
•<br />
•<br />
•<br />
•<br />
The EC’s position that the World <strong>Trade</strong><br />
Organization (WTO) def<strong>in</strong>ition of<br />
substantially all trade coverage and<br />
transitional time frames requires that all<br />
African countries and customs territories<br />
under the EPA have to liberalise at least<br />
80% of their value of trade with<strong>in</strong> 15<br />
years. African countries and regions have<br />
proposed to liberalise 60-70% of their<br />
trade dur<strong>in</strong>g periods of over 20 years,<br />
argu<strong>in</strong>g that this is necessary for Least<br />
Developed Countries (LDCs). The AU<br />
also notes that there is no clear<br />
def<strong>in</strong>ition at the WTO on this question.<br />
African countries’ position that the EC’s<br />
proposal to prohibit the use of export<br />
taxes and quantitative restrictions under<br />
EPAs is an unnecessary WTO-plus<br />
requirement that would limit the policy<br />
space to use these measures for value<br />
addition, diversification, <strong>in</strong>fant-<strong>in</strong>dustry<br />
promotion, food security, revenue and<br />
environmental considerations.<br />
The EC’s proposal to <strong>in</strong>clude a Most<br />
Favoured Nation Clause (MFN) <strong>in</strong> the<br />
EPAs, which would require African<br />
countries to extend to the European<br />
Union any more favourable treatment that<br />
it would give to any other “major trad<strong>in</strong>g<br />
partner”. African countries feel this limits<br />
their scope to sign ambitious trade<br />
agreements with emerg<strong>in</strong>g economies.<br />
EC hesitance to allow for future tariff<br />
modifications, which African countries<br />
argue are necessary to take account of<br />
the evolution of regional <strong>in</strong>tegration<br />
programmes.<br />
•<br />
•<br />
•<br />
•<br />
African countries’ proposals for<br />
asymmetry <strong>in</strong> the rules of orig<strong>in</strong> to take<br />
account of the differences <strong>in</strong> the level of<br />
development between African countries<br />
and the <strong>EU</strong>. African governments want<br />
unconditional cumulation with all <strong>ACP</strong><br />
and neighbour<strong>in</strong>g countries.<br />
African countries’ proposal to allow<br />
agricultural safeguards, on the grounds<br />
that products orig<strong>in</strong>at<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> the <strong>EU</strong> can<br />
cause serious <strong>in</strong>jury <strong>in</strong> African markets.<br />
The EC’s proposal that African<br />
community levies should be phased<br />
down, which the Africans feel<br />
underm<strong>in</strong>es f<strong>in</strong>anc<strong>in</strong>g for regional<br />
<strong>in</strong>tegration programs.<br />
African countries’ proposals for legally<br />
b<strong>in</strong>d<strong>in</strong>g measures to ensure additional<br />
<strong>EU</strong> <strong>resource</strong>s are provided and effectively<br />
implemented to support EPA<br />
implementation.<br />
Central Africa EPA meet<strong>in</strong>gs delayed<br />
aga<strong>in</strong><br />
A meet<strong>in</strong>g of the Central Africa EPA contact<br />
group, which plans to establish a work<br />
programme for EPA negotiations, has yet to<br />
be held. The Central African EPA Regional<br />
Negotiat<strong>in</strong>g Committee is due to meet <strong>in</strong><br />
mid-July <strong>in</strong> K<strong>in</strong>shasa to flesh out negotiat<strong>in</strong>g<br />
positions.<br />
EC officials were expected <strong>in</strong> the region from<br />
16-23 June to meet with trade m<strong>in</strong>isters from<br />
Congo Brazzaville (the current president of<br />
the Economic Community of Central African<br />
States), Gabon and the General Secretary of<br />
the Economic Community of Central African<br />
States (ECCAS). No further <strong>in</strong>formation has<br />
been provided, but expectations were that<br />
discussions would focus on the details of the<br />
conclusions of the February Central Africa<br />
m<strong>in</strong>isterial meet<strong>in</strong>g on EPAs.<br />
Contentious issues rema<strong>in</strong> follow<strong>in</strong>g<br />
latest round of West Africa-<strong>EU</strong> EPA<br />
negotiations<br />
An <strong>EU</strong>-ECOWAS (Economic Community of<br />
West African States) m<strong>in</strong>isterial-level meet<strong>in</strong>g<br />
held on 15 June reiterated the commitment<br />
of both sides to resolve the outstand<strong>in</strong>g areas<br />
of divergence and swiftly conclude a regional<br />
EPA cover<strong>in</strong>g trade <strong>in</strong> goods, EPA-related<br />
cooperation and other trade-related issues by<br />
the end of 2010 1 . M<strong>in</strong>isters also welcomed<br />
the conclusions of the <strong>EU</strong> Council regard<strong>in</strong>g<br />
the West African EPA Development<br />
Programme (EPADP) adopted on 10 May.<br />
Both parties agreed on the need to ensure<br />
the availability of f<strong>in</strong>anc<strong>in</strong>g from the <strong>EU</strong> and<br />
other parties as soon as possible.<br />
17<br />
Jo<strong>in</strong>t technical-level EPA negotiations were<br />
held <strong>in</strong> Ouagadougou from 2-11 June. 2<br />
Based on the results of the ECOWAS Council<br />
of M<strong>in</strong>isters meet<strong>in</strong>g on 31 May, 3 West Africa<br />
ma<strong>in</strong>ta<strong>in</strong>ed its market access offer of 70%<br />
coverage with a transition period of 25 years<br />
start<strong>in</strong>g after a 5-year moratorium. The<br />
region also rejected the EC’s proposal for the<br />
<strong>in</strong>clusion of MFN and non-execution clauses<br />
<strong>in</strong> the EPA. Some progress was made on the<br />
formula for tariff dismantl<strong>in</strong>g and the<br />
correspond<strong>in</strong>g calendar, although there is<br />
uncerta<strong>in</strong>ty over the Common External Tariff’s<br />
(CET) def<strong>in</strong>ition, classifications and<br />
completion (issues which were discussed at a<br />
CET regional meet<strong>in</strong>g between the ECOWAS<br />
and the West African Economic and<br />
Monetary Union Commissions from 24-28<br />
May and will be raised aga<strong>in</strong> <strong>in</strong> July). As a<br />
result, there is currently no clear start<strong>in</strong>g po<strong>in</strong>t<br />
for tariff dismantl<strong>in</strong>g. West Africa also called<br />
for the ma<strong>in</strong>tenance of regional levies.<br />
There was an <strong>in</strong>itial discussion on West<br />
Africa’s proposal for a protocol on the<br />
modalities for implement<strong>in</strong>g EPADP. The first<br />
substantial discussion on proposals from both<br />
parties on rendezvous clauses was also held.<br />
There was also a constructive exchange on<br />
rules of orig<strong>in</strong> (ROI) based on a paper from<br />
the <strong>EU</strong> on asymmetries with respect to the<br />
rules applied to agriculture and fisheries<br />
products. Negotiations will cont<strong>in</strong>ue <strong>in</strong> all<br />
areas.<br />
East and Southern Africa cont<strong>in</strong>ue<br />
preparations for July-August round of<br />
EPA negotiations<br />
There have been no EPA meet<strong>in</strong>gs over the<br />
past month, but the East and Southern<br />
African (ESA) region cont<strong>in</strong>ues to prepare for<br />
the next round of technical and political-level<br />
negotiations to explore ways of resolv<strong>in</strong>g the<br />
contentious issues based on a reality check of<br />
what is feasible <strong>in</strong> a full and <strong>in</strong>clusive EPA that<br />
goes beyond trade <strong>in</strong> goods (i.e., cover<strong>in</strong>g<br />
services, <strong>in</strong>vestment, government
18 Issue 6 | Volume 9 | July / August 2010<br />
procurement, competition etc). The ESA will<br />
write to the EC summaris<strong>in</strong>g the region’s<br />
position on the way forward.<br />
Seychelles f<strong>in</strong>alised their ratification process<br />
for the IEPA on 21 May. 4<br />
East African Community and EC agree to<br />
focus on sign<strong>in</strong>g comprehensive EPA<br />
An East African Community (EAC)-<strong>EU</strong><br />
m<strong>in</strong>isterial meet<strong>in</strong>g, preceded by a senior<br />
officials meet<strong>in</strong>g, took place <strong>in</strong> Dar es Salaam<br />
on 9 June. 5 Ahead of the meet<strong>in</strong>g, there were<br />
<strong>in</strong>dications that the Framework EPA (FEPA),<br />
<strong>in</strong>itialled <strong>in</strong> November 2007, would be signed<br />
by EAC m<strong>in</strong>isters, but <strong>in</strong> the week prior to the<br />
negotiations, a letter from the EAC’s WTO<br />
coord<strong>in</strong>ator to EAC governments, Tanzanian<br />
Ambassador Dr. Matern Lumbanga, reported<br />
serious reservations about the content and<br />
tim<strong>in</strong>g of the FEPA, particularly its<br />
compatibility with the flexibilities already<br />
provided to EAC countries <strong>in</strong> the WTO. For<br />
this reason, Lumbanga urged governments<br />
not to sign the FEPA <strong>in</strong> its current form.<br />
Progress was made <strong>in</strong> the negotiations <strong>in</strong><br />
relation to sanitary and phytosanitary<br />
measures, technical barriers to trade, and<br />
customs and trade facilitation. Text was also<br />
agreed for the articles on dispute settlement.<br />
In other areas - export taxes, the MFN clause,<br />
and allowance for future tariff modifications<br />
to take account of the evolution of regional<br />
<strong>in</strong>tegration programmes - no consensus was<br />
reached.<br />
The EAC also wanted to <strong>in</strong>clude a reference<br />
to the development matrix - which had been<br />
expected to be completed before the summer<br />
- <strong>in</strong> the EPA to make it a legally b<strong>in</strong>d<strong>in</strong>g<br />
commitment. However, the EC wants to<br />
<strong>in</strong>clude this only <strong>in</strong> the comprehensive EPA.<br />
The EAC ma<strong>in</strong>ta<strong>in</strong>ed its position that its<br />
proposed changes rectify factual errors <strong>in</strong> the<br />
FEPA text and the <strong>in</strong>itialled FEPA should be<br />
amended to reflect these before sign<strong>in</strong>g and<br />
mov<strong>in</strong>g on to negotiations on a<br />
comprehensive EPA. For its part, the EC<br />
argues that the proposed changes would<br />
alter the substance of the <strong>in</strong>itialled agreement<br />
and that it has no mandate to amend the<br />
FEPA. Instead, the EC wants the EAC to sign<br />
the November 2007 FEPA and then move to<br />
<strong>in</strong>clude any changes <strong>in</strong> the eventual<br />
comprehensive EPA. The EC also emphasised<br />
that the current situation is untenable s<strong>in</strong>ce it<br />
provides duty-free, quota free access for the<br />
EAC to the <strong>EU</strong> market with no commitments<br />
from the EAC.<br />
The parties, therefore, agreed to accelerate<br />
negotiations for a comprehensive EPA –<br />
which could <strong>in</strong>clude revised texts on<br />
contentious issues and also services,<br />
<strong>in</strong>vestment, <strong>in</strong>tellectual property rights,<br />
government procurement and competition<br />
– with a view to reach<strong>in</strong>g agreement so that<br />
a full EPA could be ready for signature by the<br />
end of November 2010, prior to the AU-<strong>EU</strong><br />
summit. <strong>EU</strong> <strong>Trade</strong> Commissioner Karel De<br />
Gucht made it clear that he would do his<br />
upmost to ma<strong>in</strong>ta<strong>in</strong> applied tariffs provided<br />
that both parties conduct negotiations <strong>in</strong><br />
good faith.<br />
SADC and EC hold first round of EPA<br />
negotiations <strong>in</strong> nearly a year<br />
On 3 June, the <strong>EU</strong> Council adopted its<br />
position to be taken with<strong>in</strong> the <strong>EU</strong>-South<br />
Africa Cooperation Council on amendments<br />
to the <strong>EU</strong>-South Africa agreement on trade,<br />
development and cooperation, <strong>in</strong> order to<br />
align certa<strong>in</strong> sensitive tariffs with those<br />
applied to <strong>EU</strong> products by Botswana, Lesotho<br />
and Swaziland. 6<br />
On 25 and 26 May, technical and senior<br />
officials’ from the EC and Southern African<br />
Development Community (SADC) met <strong>in</strong><br />
Brussels, for the first time <strong>in</strong> nearly a year, to<br />
discuss the way forward <strong>in</strong> the EPA<br />
negotiations. 7 The EC stressed the need to<br />
proceed with sign<strong>in</strong>g, notification and<br />
implementation of the IEPA <strong>in</strong> order to<br />
provide legal security to the <strong>EU</strong> market access<br />
enjoyed by the SADC EPA states. In parallel, a<br />
comprehensive EPA should be negotiated,<br />
says the EC. For its part, the SADC underl<strong>in</strong>ed<br />
its commitment to move towards notification<br />
and provisional application of the IEPA and to<br />
negotiate a comprehensive EPA by the end of<br />
2010, but considers it necessary to first<br />
address the outstand<strong>in</strong>g issues <strong>in</strong> the IEPA.<br />
SADC requested stronger guarantees and<br />
reassurances that the Swakopmund texts<br />
agreed <strong>in</strong> March 2009 would replace exist<strong>in</strong>g<br />
IEPA provisions. The EC reiterated that the<br />
agreement of Swakopmund would prevail<br />
and the new provisions would be <strong>in</strong>tegrated<br />
<strong>in</strong> the comprehensive EPA once concluded.<br />
Follow<strong>in</strong>g the meet<strong>in</strong>g, Botswana’s chief<br />
negotiator, James Masisi, said that the EC<br />
confirmed this commitment <strong>in</strong> a letter.<br />
“Thus, there is legal assurance to say the <strong>EU</strong><br />
has agreed to this,” said Masisi. 8<br />
SADC <strong>in</strong>sisted on the need to solve tariff<br />
alignment issues. The EC <strong>in</strong>dicated that the<br />
SACU CET is not under risk until the <strong>in</strong>terim<br />
EPA is applied, s<strong>in</strong>ce the South African <strong>Trade</strong><br />
and Development Cooperation Agreement<br />
(TDCA) is de facto applied by all SACU<br />
countries. The EC ma<strong>in</strong>ta<strong>in</strong>s that once the<br />
IEPA is implemented, tariff alignment is<br />
possible. The EC also <strong>in</strong>dicated that another<br />
option is to move directly to the<br />
comprehensive EPA with the whole region, <strong>in</strong><br />
which case any alignment on tariffs and rules<br />
of orig<strong>in</strong> would be unnecessary.<br />
The SADC requested modifications on the<br />
rules of orig<strong>in</strong> provisions <strong>in</strong> the IEPA –<br />
<strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g an alignment of the TDCA and IEPA<br />
provisions, cumulation, maritime issues, tuna<br />
derogation and adm<strong>in</strong>istrative cooperation<br />
agreement.<br />
South Africa repeated its <strong>in</strong>terest to improve<br />
its access to the <strong>EU</strong> market beyond the<br />
current TDCA provisions. Given that other<br />
SACU states already enjoy duty and quota<br />
free access, the <strong>EU</strong> considered that there<br />
seems to be limited scope for further<br />
liberalisation, s<strong>in</strong>ce an adequate level of<br />
reciprocity is required from South Africa. Both<br />
sides agreed that these tariff negotiations<br />
should not h<strong>in</strong>der the rapid conclusion of a<br />
comprehensive EPA.<br />
Both sides <strong>in</strong>dicated they are ready to resume<br />
negotiations on services and <strong>in</strong>vestment. The<br />
SADC suggested that the <strong>in</strong>vestment chapter<br />
should be limited to cooperation, while the<br />
EC is seek<strong>in</strong>g liberalisation commitments.<br />
The SADC suggested elaborat<strong>in</strong>g jo<strong>in</strong>t<br />
modalities and conclud<strong>in</strong>g services<br />
negotiations with<strong>in</strong> 5 years, while the EC<br />
would like a faster process. The EC suggested<br />
a ‘differentiated’ approach whereby each<br />
SADC member could negotiate provisions<br />
<strong>in</strong>dividually with the <strong>EU</strong> and potential<br />
<strong>in</strong>compatibilities for the region to develop a<br />
common set of provisions could be<br />
addressed. SADC will consider this proposal.
Issue 6 | Volume 9 | July / August 2010<br />
SACU and SADC senior officials and<br />
m<strong>in</strong>isterial meet<strong>in</strong>gs were held from 16-18<br />
June to discuss the outcome of the latest<br />
round of EPA negotiations and clarify the pros<br />
and cons of sign<strong>in</strong>g the IEPA. M<strong>in</strong>isters<br />
approved the strategy to conclude the EPA<br />
negotiations on outstand<strong>in</strong>g issues, <strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g<br />
on tariffs and rules of orig<strong>in</strong>, and chapters on<br />
services and <strong>in</strong>vestment, so that the EPA can<br />
be signed and notified by the end of the year.<br />
Negotiations on services and <strong>in</strong>vestment<br />
liberalisation commitments should be<br />
completed <strong>in</strong> 2014.<br />
Caribbean implementation still fac<strong>in</strong>g<br />
challenges<br />
EC officials <strong>in</strong>dicate that <strong>in</strong>ternal<br />
arrangements between the CARICOM<br />
(Caribbean Community and Common<br />
Market) Member States and the Dom<strong>in</strong>ican<br />
Republic are still pos<strong>in</strong>g problems for effective<br />
EPA implementation, but could be solved<br />
with the necessary political will. 9 No further<br />
<strong>in</strong>formation has been provided to TNI.<br />
The CARICOM Council for <strong>Trade</strong> and<br />
Economic Development met from 17-18 June<br />
<strong>in</strong> Guyana, but no <strong>in</strong>formation on the<br />
outcome of the meet<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> relation to EPAs<br />
was available as TNI went to press.<br />
Pacific<br />
Pacific <strong>ACP</strong> trade officials and m<strong>in</strong>isters were<br />
scheduled to meet <strong>in</strong> Nadi <strong>in</strong> June to discuss<br />
EPAs, but no <strong>in</strong>formation on the outcome of<br />
the meet<strong>in</strong>g was available at press time. This<br />
marks the first EPA meet<strong>in</strong>g for the Pacific<br />
s<strong>in</strong>ce September 2009. Outstand<strong>in</strong>g issues <strong>in</strong><br />
the regional negotiations towards a<br />
comprehensive agreement <strong>in</strong>clude the rules<br />
of orig<strong>in</strong> applied to fishery products and a<br />
fisheries chapter, the MFN clause, export<br />
taxes, provisions to protect <strong>in</strong>fant <strong>in</strong>dustries<br />
and the non-execution clause. Services would<br />
be covered by a rendezvous clause. Sources<br />
<strong>in</strong>dicate that given the slow progress, a<br />
comprehensive regional EPA is unlikely<br />
anytime soon. An alternative be<strong>in</strong>g<br />
considered is to have more countries sign the<br />
exist<strong>in</strong>g IEPA and gradually expand its scope.<br />
Author<br />
Melissa Julian is Knowledge Management Officer with<br />
ECDPM.<br />
Notes<br />
1 <strong>EU</strong>-ECOWAS Political Dialogue at M<strong>in</strong>isterial Level.<br />
Communiqué. 15 June 2010.<br />
http://www.consilium.europa.eu/App/NewsRoom/<br />
loadDocument.aspx?id=360&lang=EN&directory=en/<br />
er/&fileName=115295.pdf<br />
2 <strong>EU</strong> and West African hold EPA talks <strong>in</strong> Ouagadougou.<br />
EC press release. 16 June 2010.<br />
http://www.acp-eu-trade.org/library/library_detail.<br />
php?doc_language=en&library_detail_id=5320<br />
3 Results of ECOWAS Council of M<strong>in</strong>isters on status of<br />
implementation of regional <strong>in</strong>tegration programmes<br />
and Economic Partnership Agreements with the <strong>EU</strong>. 31<br />
May 2010. http://news.ecowas.<strong>in</strong>t/presseshow.<br />
php?nb=094&lang=en&annee=2010<br />
4 <strong>EU</strong> welcomes ratification of <strong>in</strong>terim EPA by Seychelles.<br />
EC Press Release. 21 May 2010.<br />
trade.ec.europa.eu/doclib/html/146180.htm<br />
5 <strong>EU</strong> <strong>Trade</strong> Commissioner meets East African<br />
Community <strong>Trade</strong> M<strong>in</strong>isters. EC. 9 June 2010.<br />
http://trade.ec.europa.eu/doclib/press/<strong>in</strong>dex.<br />
cfm?id=583 and EAC-EC Economic Partnership<br />
Agreement Negotiations Held. EAC. 9 June 2010.<br />
Jo<strong>in</strong>t declaration http://www.eac.<strong>in</strong>t/component/<br />
content/451.html?task=view and<br />
<strong>EU</strong> sets November deadl<strong>in</strong>e for new trade pact with<br />
EAC. tralac. 11 June 2010. http://www.tralac.org/<br />
cgi-b<strong>in</strong>/giga.cgi?cmd=cause_dir_news_item&news_<br />
id=88407&cause_id=1694<br />
6 <strong>EU</strong> Council adopts decision on South Africa-SACU<br />
customs duties alignment. <strong>EU</strong> Council. 3 June 2010<br />
http://www.consilium.europa.eu/App/NewsRoom/<br />
loadDocument.aspx?id=352&lang=EN&directory=en/<br />
jha/&fileName=114900.pdf See also: http://register.<br />
consilium.europa.eu/pdf/en/10/st09/st09393.en10.pdf<br />
7 <strong>EU</strong> and SADC EPA Group hold EPA negotiations <strong>in</strong><br />
Brussels. EC press release. 25-26 May 2010.<br />
http://www.acp-eu-trade.org/library/library_detail.<br />
php?doc_language=en&library_detail_id=5311<br />
8 Botswana <strong>in</strong> fragile balanc<strong>in</strong>g act at EPA talks. Mmegi.<br />
20 June 2010.<br />
9 European Parliament International <strong>Trade</strong> Committee to<br />
discuss EPAs. 1 June 2010. State of Play on Economic<br />
Partnership Agreements. Presentation by the European<br />
Commission.Watch a record<strong>in</strong>g onl<strong>in</strong>e at: http://www.<br />
europarl.europa.eu/eng-<strong>in</strong>ternet-publisher/eplive/<br />
public/default.do?language=en<br />
TNI is published by<br />
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Unless stated images are sourced from<br />
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19
20<br />
Issue 6 | Volume 9 | July / August 2010<br />
<strong>Trade</strong> Negotiations Insights<br />
Calendar and <strong>resource</strong>s<br />
<strong>ACP</strong>-<strong>EU</strong> Events WTO Events<br />
July<br />
1 Belgium takes over the<br />
Presidency of the European<br />
Union, Brussels, Belgium<br />
4-7 Thirty-first Conference of<br />
the CARICOM Heads of<br />
Government, Jamaica<br />
7-9 EESC regional sem<strong>in</strong>ar of<br />
<strong>ACP</strong>-<strong>EU</strong> Economic and Social<br />
Interest Groups. Addis Ababa,<br />
Ethiopia<br />
12-16 (TBC)<br />
<strong>EU</strong> – WA technical<br />
negotiations on Rules of<br />
Orig<strong>in</strong>s, (place TBC)<br />
15-16 Workshop on civil society and<br />
the Africa-<strong>EU</strong> Strategy, Addis<br />
Ababa, Ethiopia<br />
19-20/22(TBC)<br />
<strong>EU</strong> - SADC EPA technical<br />
negotiations, Brussels,<br />
Belgium<br />
19-27 Summit of the African<br />
Union (possibly preceded<br />
by civil society pre-summit),<br />
Kampala, Uganda<br />
26-27 EPA-related sem<strong>in</strong>ar for<br />
Malawi, Malawi<br />
Resources All references are available at: www.acp-eu-trade.org/library<br />
<strong>Trade</strong> relevant provisions <strong>in</strong> the Treaty<br />
of Lisbon. Implications for Economic<br />
Partnership Agreements, Koeb, E. and M.<br />
Dalleau, Discussion Paper 98, Maastricht:<br />
ECDPM, June 2010,www.ecdpm.org<br />
U-<strong>ACP</strong> Economic Partnership Agreements:<br />
State of Play at June 2010, European<br />
Commission, State of Play at June 2010, 15<br />
June 2010, trade.ec.europa.eu<br />
Commissioner De Gucht’s Speak<strong>in</strong>g Po<strong>in</strong>ts<br />
on the Future <strong>Trade</strong> Policy, European<br />
Commission on <strong>Trade</strong>, European Parliament,<br />
Committee on International <strong>Trade</strong>, 22 June<br />
2010,trade.ec.europa.eu<br />
European Parliament decision of 15 June<br />
2010 on the sett<strong>in</strong>g up and numerical<br />
strength of the Delegation to the<br />
CARIFORUM-<strong>EU</strong> Parliamentary Committee,<br />
European Parliament decision, 15 June 2010,<br />
register.consilium.europa.eu<br />
Official text - <strong>EU</strong>-US-Lat<strong>in</strong> America banana<br />
agreements, <strong>EU</strong> Official Journal. 9 June 2010,<br />
eur-lex.europa.eu<br />
Council conclusions on the Millennium<br />
Development Goals for the United Nations<br />
High-Level Plenary meet<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> New York<br />
and beyond, Council Conclusions, Council of<br />
the European Union, 3023rd FOREIGN AFFAIRS<br />
Council meet<strong>in</strong>g, Luxembourg, 14 June 2010,<br />
www.consilium.europa.eu<br />
Pr<strong>in</strong>ted on 100% recycled paper<br />
TBC SACU Council of M<strong>in</strong>isters<br />
and Heads of Government<br />
Summit, South Africa<br />
TBC ESA-EC EPA meet<strong>in</strong>g and<br />
technical round (place TBC)<br />
TBC Central African EPA Regional<br />
Negotiat<strong>in</strong>g Committee<br />
meet<strong>in</strong>g, K<strong>in</strong>shasa, RDC<br />
August<br />
23-25 ESA-EC Senior Officials<br />
EPA negotiations, Manz<strong>in</strong>i,<br />
Swaziland (TBC)<br />
25-27 28th meet<strong>in</strong>g of COMESA<br />
Council of M<strong>in</strong>isters (place<br />
TBC)<br />
27 ESA EPA Council, Manz<strong>in</strong>i,<br />
Swaziland (TBC)<br />
31-1 14th COMESA Heads of State<br />
and Government Summit,<br />
Swaziland<br />
September<br />
13-14 EPA <strong>in</strong>formation sem<strong>in</strong>ar<br />
(South Africa), Capetown, SA<br />
13-17 <strong>EU</strong>-West Africa technical<br />
and senior officials EPA<br />
meet<strong>in</strong>gs, Brussels, Belgium<br />
Proposal for a Council Decision on the<br />
signature of the regional Convention on<br />
pan-Euro-Mediterranean preferential rules<br />
of orig<strong>in</strong>, Proposal for a Council Decision,<br />
Council of the European Union, 8 June<br />
2010,register.consilium.europa.eu<br />
Proposal for a Regulation (<strong>EU</strong>) of<br />
the European Parliament and of the<br />
Council amend<strong>in</strong>g Council Regulation<br />
(EC) No 732/2008 apply<strong>in</strong>g a scheme<br />
of generalised tariff preferences for<br />
the period from 1 January 2009 to 31<br />
December 2011, Proposal from the European<br />
Commission, 27 May 2010, register.consilium.<br />
europa.eu<br />
Global Economic Prospects 2010- Summer<br />
2010 ‘Fiscal Headw<strong>in</strong>ds and Recovery’,<br />
World Bank Report, 10 June 2010,<br />
site<strong>resource</strong>s.worldbank.org<br />
Assess<strong>in</strong>g Regional Integration <strong>in</strong> Africa<br />
IV Enhanc<strong>in</strong>g Intra-African <strong>Trade</strong>, UNECA-<br />
AfDB-AU Report, May 2010, www.uneca.org<br />
Economic Development <strong>in</strong> Africa Report<br />
2010, UNCTAD Report, 18 June 2010, www.<br />
unctad.org<br />
<strong>Trade</strong> Regionalisation and Openness <strong>in</strong><br />
Africa, Lelio Iapadre, Francesca Luchetti,<br />
European University Institute, Robert Schuman<br />
Centre for Advanced Studies, Work<strong>in</strong>g Paper,<br />
June 2010, erd.eui.eu<br />
24 SACU Council meet<strong>in</strong>g, South<br />
Africa<br />
20-23 SACU Commission meet<strong>in</strong>g,<br />
South Africa<br />
TBC SADC-<strong>EU</strong> senior officials EPA<br />
meet<strong>in</strong>g (place TBC)<br />
TBC EPA technical workshop,<br />
Nadi, Fiji Islands<br />
TBC <strong>EU</strong> - SA Jo<strong>in</strong>t Cooperation<br />
Council, South Africa<br />
TBC <strong>EU</strong>-EAC EPA Information<br />
Sem<strong>in</strong>ar, Kigali, Rwanda<br />
TBC Jo<strong>in</strong>t <strong>ACP</strong>-<strong>EU</strong> M<strong>in</strong>isterial <strong>Trade</strong><br />
Committee (place and event<br />
TBC)<br />
The Costs and Benefits of Duty-Free,<br />
Quota-Free Market Access for Poor<br />
Countries: Who and What Matters, Anto<strong>in</strong>e<br />
Bouët, Kimberley Elliott, David Laborde<br />
Debucquet, Elisa Dienesch, Center for Global<br />
Development, Work<strong>in</strong>g Paper, March 2010,<br />
www.cgdev.org<br />
Do<strong>in</strong>g Bus<strong>in</strong>ess <strong>in</strong> the East African<br />
Community 2010, Report prepared as part<br />
of the EAC Investment Climate Program<br />
supported by the World Bank Group and DFID,<br />
24 May 2010, www.do<strong>in</strong>gbus<strong>in</strong>ess.org<br />
Are Simplified Customs Procedures for<br />
Imports Effectively Controlled? European<br />
Court of Auditors, Report, 7 June 2010, eca.<br />
europa.eu<br />
Leverag<strong>in</strong>g World Bank Resources for the<br />
Poorest: IDA Blended F<strong>in</strong>anc<strong>in</strong>g Facility<br />
Proposal, Benjam<strong>in</strong> Leo, Center for Global<br />
Development, Work<strong>in</strong>g Paper, 08 June 2010,<br />
www.cgdev.org<br />
Our Common Strategic Interests Africa’s<br />
Role <strong>in</strong> the Post-G8 World, Tom Cargill<br />
Chatham House Report, June 2010, www.<br />
chathamhouse.org.uk<br />
LDCs Terms of <strong>Trade</strong> dur<strong>in</strong>g Crisis and<br />
Recovery, International <strong>Trade</strong> Centre, ITC<br />
<strong>Trade</strong> Map Factsheet #3, June 2010, www.<br />
<strong>in</strong>tracen.org<br />
July<br />
5-7 <strong>Trade</strong> Policy Review Body — Ch<strong>in</strong>ese<br />
Taipei<br />
26-28 <strong>Trade</strong> Policy Review Body — The Gambia<br />
29-30 WTO General Council<br />
September<br />
15-17 WTO Public Forum 2010<br />
19 WTO Open Day 2010<br />
29 - 1/10<br />
<strong>Trade</strong> Policy Review Body — United States<br />
How imports improve productivity and<br />
competitiveness, OECD Report, May 2010,<br />
www.oecd.org<br />
<strong>Trade</strong> and the economic recovery: why<br />
open markets matter, OECD Report, May<br />
2010, www.oecd.org<br />
<strong>Trade</strong> Policy and the Economic Crisis,<br />
OECD, Report, May 2010, www.oecd.org<br />
Sixth Report on Potentially <strong>Trade</strong><br />
Restrictive Measures, EC <strong>Trade</strong> Report, 28<br />
May 2010, trade.ec.europa.eu<br />
Africa Resists the Protectionist Temptation.<br />
The 5th GTA Report Simon Evenett, 5th<br />
Global <strong>Trade</strong> Alert Report, May 2010, www.<br />
globaltradealert.org<br />
The Myth and Reality of Ch<strong>in</strong>ese Investors:<br />
A Case Study of Ch<strong>in</strong>ese Investment <strong>in</strong><br />
Zambia’s Copper Industry, South African<br />
Institute of International Affairs, Ch<strong>in</strong>a <strong>in</strong><br />
Africa Project, May 2010, www.saiia.org.za<br />
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