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1<br />

<strong>Trade</strong> Negotiations<br />

Insights<br />

Regulars<br />

1 Editorial<br />

A home grown approach<br />

to development: A special<br />

issue on the fiscal implications<br />

of EPAs and <strong>domestic</strong> <strong>resource</strong><br />

<strong>mobilisation</strong><br />

2 News and publications<br />

In brief<br />

15 WTO<br />

Roundup<br />

17 EPA<br />

Update<br />

20 Calendar and <strong>resource</strong>s<br />

Features<br />

3 Taxation for development<br />

<strong>in</strong> Africa: A shared<br />

responsibility<br />

Henri-Bernard Solignac<br />

Lecomte<br />

5 <strong>Why</strong> <strong>enhance</strong> <strong>domestic</strong><br />

<strong>resource</strong> <strong>mobilisation</strong><br />

<strong>in</strong> Africa?<br />

Roy Culpeper and<br />

Aniket Bhushan<br />

8 Economic Partnership<br />

Agreements – How severe<br />

(and how urgent) is the fiscal<br />

challenge?<br />

Jean-Jacques Hallaert<br />

10 Address<strong>in</strong>g the fiscal<br />

challenges of an EPA: Some<br />

prelim<strong>in</strong>ary considerations<br />

ECDPM<br />

12 Fiscal impact of the<br />

Economic Partnership<br />

Agreement (EPA) <strong>in</strong> West<br />

Africa<br />

David Laborde<br />

14 Mapp<strong>in</strong>g donors’<br />

<strong>in</strong>volvement <strong>in</strong> the area of<br />

taxation and development:<br />

The case for better<br />

coord<strong>in</strong>ation and division of<br />

labour<br />

International Tax Compact<br />

Secretariat<br />

ICTSD<br />

International Centre for <strong>Trade</strong><br />

and Susta<strong>in</strong>able Development<br />

Issue 6 | Volume 9 | July / August 2010<br />

Issue 6<br />

Volume 9. July/August 2010<br />

Available onl<strong>in</strong>e<br />

www.ictsd.net/news/tni<br />

www.acp-eu-trade.org/tni<br />

A home grown approach to<br />

development: A special issue on<br />

the fiscal implications of EPAs and<br />

<strong>domestic</strong> <strong>resource</strong> <strong>mobilisation</strong><br />

In the recent <strong>in</strong>ternational economic context,<br />

marked by global crises and <strong>in</strong>stability,<br />

budgetary and fiscal matters have ga<strong>in</strong>ed<br />

greater prom<strong>in</strong>ence on the economic recovery<br />

and growth agenda. In the develop<strong>in</strong>g<br />

world, greater attention has been given to<br />

<strong>domestic</strong> resilience to external shocks, types<br />

of <strong>in</strong>tegration to the global economy and<br />

the pursuit of sound macroeconomic and<br />

susta<strong>in</strong>able budgetary policies conducive to<br />

equitable growth and development.<br />

An important dimension is the need for<br />

governments to focus on generat<strong>in</strong>g revenue<br />

at home more effectively. For one, the<br />

contract it forms between taxpayer and state<br />

can make governments more accountable<br />

to its citizens, thus contribut<strong>in</strong>g to improved<br />

economic and political <strong>domestic</strong> governance.<br />

It can also free governments from the str<strong>in</strong>gs<br />

attached to donor aid, or the self-<strong>in</strong>terest of<br />

foreign <strong>in</strong>vestors.<br />

It is not surpris<strong>in</strong>g then, that <strong>domestic</strong><br />

<strong>resource</strong> <strong>mobilisation</strong> has been receiv<strong>in</strong>g<br />

<strong>in</strong>creased attention. In recent months, for<br />

<strong>in</strong>stance, the African Development Bank,<br />

together with the OECD, launched their<br />

African Economic Outlook 2010, with a focus<br />

on “Public <strong>resource</strong> mobilization and aid <strong>in</strong><br />

Africa”. Even more recently the <strong>EU</strong> Council<br />

adopted a communication on “Tax and<br />

Development - Cooperat<strong>in</strong>g with Develop<strong>in</strong>g<br />

Countries on Promot<strong>in</strong>g Good Governance <strong>in</strong><br />

Tax Matters”.<br />

In this special issue of <strong>Trade</strong> Negotiations<br />

Insights, we focus on two highly topical<br />

questions: what degree of fiscal revenue<br />

loss do the African, Caribbean and Pacific<br />

(<strong>ACP</strong>) countries face due to the Economic<br />

Partnership Agreements (EPAs) with the<br />

European Union; and second, how can<br />

<strong>ACP</strong> governments compensate such losses<br />

through adjustment measures, engage<br />

<strong>in</strong> fiscal reforms and ensure a better<br />

<strong>mobilisation</strong> of their <strong>domestic</strong> <strong>resource</strong>s?<br />

Neither question is straightforward.<br />

Estimat<strong>in</strong>g revenue loss from trade<br />

liberalisation is an <strong>in</strong>exact science, given the<br />

multiple variables and the poor data <strong>in</strong> many<br />

<strong>ACP</strong> countries. Yet the estimates are gett<strong>in</strong>g<br />

closer to the mark. This is partly because<br />

the methodologies are improv<strong>in</strong>g. It is also<br />

because a number of countries have now<br />

signed up to tariff cuts <strong>in</strong> the EPAs (or <strong>in</strong>terim<br />

agreements), and so economic modellers can<br />

base their estimates on actual agreements<br />

rather than assumptions.<br />

So how drastic is the revenue loss faced by<br />

the <strong>ACP</strong>? In fact, it appears that while for<br />

some countries the fiscal consequences of an<br />

EPA are not very significant, for some others<br />

they can be a major cause for concerns,<br />

either because of their economic impact or<br />

because of the political sensitivity of the issue<br />

or the capacity and <strong>in</strong>stitutional constra<strong>in</strong>ts.<br />

More fundamentally, the capacity and<br />

will<strong>in</strong>gness of countries to engage <strong>in</strong> fiscal<br />

reforms, as well as the accompany<strong>in</strong>g support<br />

they receive to do so, can play a much more<br />

critical role <strong>in</strong> ensur<strong>in</strong>g fiscal stability.<br />

Aga<strong>in</strong>st this backdrop, we have asked<br />

experts to highlight strategies for African<br />

governments to improve <strong>domestic</strong> <strong>resource</strong><br />

<strong>mobilisation</strong>, as well as the role the<br />

<strong>in</strong>ternational community should play <strong>in</strong><br />

this regard, and to assess the possible fiscal<br />

implications of EPAs.<br />

It is our <strong>in</strong>tention that this special issue<br />

launches an ongo<strong>in</strong>g discussion <strong>in</strong> the pages<br />

of TNI on both of these important issues. 1<br />

Notes<br />

1 ECDPM has been work<strong>in</strong>g on these issues and will cont<strong>in</strong>ue to<br />

stimulate an <strong>in</strong>formal dialogue on these themes. Comments<br />

and suggestions are most welcome, and should be sent to San<br />

Bilal at sb@ecdpm.org


2<br />

News and publications<br />

In brief<br />

EC launches public consultation on future<br />

trade policy<br />

Follow<strong>in</strong>g the ‘Europe 2020’ paper adopted<br />

by the European Commission <strong>in</strong> March this<br />

year, the Commission has now launched a<br />

broad public consultation on the future<br />

direction of <strong>EU</strong> trade policy. The consultation<br />

is <strong>in</strong>tended to gather views from relevant<br />

stakeholders with<strong>in</strong> the <strong>EU</strong> and <strong>in</strong> third<br />

countries regard<strong>in</strong>g the rationale, scope and<br />

strategic objectives for a future <strong>EU</strong> trade<br />

policy. An ‘issues paper’ is <strong>in</strong>tended to set the<br />

scene for this consultation exercise. The<br />

Commission expects to set out its policy <strong>in</strong><br />

autumn 2010, expla<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g how trade policy<br />

can help achieve the objectives of the ‘Europe<br />

2020’ Strategy. The consultation will run from<br />

2 June 2010 to 28 July. For more <strong>in</strong>formation,<br />

see: trade.ec.europa.eu/doclib/html/146220.<br />

htm<br />

The Commission has<br />

now launched a broad<br />

public consultation on<br />

the future direction of<br />

<strong>EU</strong> trade policy.<br />

G-20 agree to tackle deficits<br />

Leaders from the world’s biggest economies<br />

agreed to a timel<strong>in</strong>e for reduc<strong>in</strong>g their budget<br />

deficits and debt levels, as well as to plans for<br />

new regulations aimed at enabl<strong>in</strong>g banks to<br />

withstand severe f<strong>in</strong>ancial crises. At a summit<br />

<strong>in</strong> Toronto over the 26-27 June weekend, the<br />

Group of 20 lead<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>dustrialised and<br />

develop<strong>in</strong>g countries said that solidify<strong>in</strong>g the<br />

still-fragile economic recovery required<br />

governments to strike an appropriate balance<br />

between fiscal stimulus and restor<strong>in</strong>g health<br />

to battered public f<strong>in</strong>ances. The G-20 also<br />

pledged to avoid specific protectionist<br />

policies. “We renew for a further three years,<br />

until the end of 2013, our commitment to<br />

refra<strong>in</strong> from rais<strong>in</strong>g barriers or impos<strong>in</strong>g new<br />

barriers to <strong>in</strong>vestment or trade <strong>in</strong> goods and<br />

services, impos<strong>in</strong>g new export restrictions or<br />

implement<strong>in</strong>g World <strong>Trade</strong> Organization<br />

(WTO)-<strong>in</strong>consistent measures to stimulate<br />

exports, and commit to rectify such measures<br />

as they arise,” said the statement, echo<strong>in</strong>g a<br />

pledge from last fall’s summit <strong>in</strong> Pittsburgh.<br />

For more <strong>in</strong>formation, see “G-20<br />

Compromise on Deficit Reduction, But<br />

Spectre of Mercantilism Looms”, Bridges<br />

Weekly <strong>Trade</strong> News Digest, Volume 14,<br />

Number 24: http://ictsd.org/i/news/<br />

bridgesweekly/79230/<br />

<strong>ACP</strong> assesses the potential impact of the<br />

Lisbon Treaty on <strong>EU</strong>-<strong>ACP</strong> relations<br />

The <strong>ACP</strong> Secretariat, together with ECDPM,<br />

organised a workshop on 27 May to discuss<br />

the impacts of the Lisbon Treaty on <strong>EU</strong><br />

development and trade policies, <strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g the<br />

Economic Partnership Agreements. The <strong>ACP</strong><br />

Secretary General and Chairman of the<br />

Committee of Ambassadors stated the<br />

groups’ concerns over the impact of the<br />

Treaty on the long-term development<br />

partnership with the <strong>EU</strong> and the group’s<br />

desire for the Treaty to strengthen the key<br />

pillars of the <strong>ACP</strong>-<strong>EU</strong> partnership. They also<br />

emphasised the importance of rema<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g<br />

open-m<strong>in</strong>ded about the chang<strong>in</strong>g landscape<br />

of global politics and whether the purpose of<br />

the <strong>ACP</strong> group<strong>in</strong>g is still relevant to its<br />

long-term perspectives. For more<br />

<strong>in</strong>formation, see the ECDPM’s website at:<br />

http://www.ecdpm.org/<br />

Food prices cont<strong>in</strong>ue to rise<br />

Growth <strong>in</strong> global agricultural output is<br />

expected to slow down <strong>in</strong> the com<strong>in</strong>g<br />

decade, while production <strong>in</strong> Brazil, Ch<strong>in</strong>a,<br />

India, Russia and the Ukra<strong>in</strong>e will likely<br />

<strong>in</strong>crease, accord<strong>in</strong>g to the UN Food and<br />

Agriculture Organization (FAO) and the<br />

Organisation for Economic Cooperation and<br />

Development (OECD). High food prices and<br />

market volatility, however, rema<strong>in</strong> a concern<br />

for food security, accord<strong>in</strong>g to the OECD-FAO<br />

“Agricultural Outlook 2010-2019”. OECD<br />

Secretary-General Angel Gurría described this<br />

year’s report as “cautiously more positive,” <strong>in</strong><br />

comparison with recent years. However, he<br />

warned that, given the likelihood of future<br />

shocks to the market, governments would<br />

need to implement policies to help farmers<br />

be prepared for these situations. Barr<strong>in</strong>g any<br />

market shocks, however, the expected<br />

slowdown <strong>in</strong> the rate of growth of<br />

agricultural yields is unlikely to steer the<br />

world off track from reach<strong>in</strong>g a 70%<br />

<strong>in</strong>crease <strong>in</strong> agricultural production. That<br />

figure is what experts have said will be<br />

necessary to susta<strong>in</strong> the world population <strong>in</strong><br />

2050. For more <strong>in</strong>formation, see: http://www.<br />

agri-outlook.org/pages/0,2987,en_36774715<br />

_36775671_1_1_1_1_1,00.html<br />

Issue 6 | Volume 9 | July / August 2010<br />

In the first ever overview<br />

on the state of access to<br />

raw materials <strong>in</strong> the <strong>EU</strong>,<br />

the experts identify 14<br />

raw materials as<br />

“critical” out of 41<br />

m<strong>in</strong>erals and metals<br />

analysed.<br />

<strong>EU</strong> report forecasts shortages of 14<br />

critical m<strong>in</strong>eral raw materials<br />

Raw materials are an essential part of both<br />

high-tech products and every-day consumer<br />

products such as mobile phones. But their<br />

availability is <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>gly under pressure<br />

accord<strong>in</strong>g to a report by an expert group<br />

chaired by the European Commission. In the<br />

first ever overview on the state of access to<br />

raw materials <strong>in</strong> the <strong>EU</strong>, the experts identify<br />

14 raw materials as “critical” out of 41<br />

m<strong>in</strong>erals and metals analysed. The grow<strong>in</strong>g<br />

demand for raw materials is driven by the<br />

growth of develop<strong>in</strong>g economies and new<br />

emerg<strong>in</strong>g technologies. The list was<br />

established <strong>in</strong> the framework of the 2008 <strong>EU</strong><br />

Raw Materials Initiative <strong>in</strong> close cooperation<br />

with Member States and stakeholders. The<br />

results of the report will be used for the<br />

draft<strong>in</strong>g of a communication on strategies to<br />

ensure access to raw materials, which the<br />

Commission will publish <strong>in</strong> the autumn. For<br />

more <strong>in</strong>formation, see: http://europa.eu/<br />

rapid/pressReleasesAction.do?reference=ME<br />

MO/10/263&format=HTML&aged=0&langua<br />

ge=EN&guiLanguage=en


Issue 6 | Volume 9 | July / August 2010 3<br />

Taxation for development <strong>in</strong> Africa:<br />

A shared responsibility<br />

Henri-Bernard Solignac Lecomte<br />

Africa needs more effective, efficient<br />

and fairer taxation systems. As several<br />

African nations celebrate 50 years of<br />

<strong>in</strong>dependence <strong>in</strong> 2010, it is time for a<br />

cont<strong>in</strong>ent that still relies too much on<br />

often volatile and unpredictable<br />

external flows to take a new look at<br />

taxes – a potential untapped source of<br />

billions of dollars. While the primary<br />

responsibility lies with African<br />

governments, the <strong>in</strong>ternational<br />

community must also play its part. And<br />

this time, it’s hardly about aid.<br />

The global economic crisis has shown, yet<br />

aga<strong>in</strong>, how vulnerable Africa rema<strong>in</strong>s to<br />

fall<strong>in</strong>g commodity prices and export<br />

revenues, uncerta<strong>in</strong> future aid flows and<br />

decl<strong>in</strong>es of foreign direct <strong>in</strong>vestment (FDI),<br />

which resulted <strong>in</strong> a general shortfall of<br />

external f<strong>in</strong>ance. At the same time, the<br />

cont<strong>in</strong>ent cont<strong>in</strong>ues to suffer from an acute<br />

hemorrhage of capital. Indeed, Kar et<br />

Cartright-Smith (2008) estimate that Africa<br />

lost US$854bn, at least, <strong>in</strong> illicit f<strong>in</strong>ancial<br />

outflows from 1970 through 2008. In other<br />

words, while Africa is overly-reliant on<br />

external f<strong>in</strong>anc<strong>in</strong>g, it is a net creditor to the<br />

world. The case is clear: African economies<br />

need to mobilise their <strong>domestic</strong> <strong>resource</strong>s<br />

better. This is <strong>in</strong> large part the job of<br />

governments, who mobilise public <strong>resource</strong>s<br />

through taxation (and debt) to fund<br />

<strong>in</strong>vestment <strong>in</strong> roads, power plants, schools,<br />

health facilities, etc. Over the long term,<br />

effective taxation can not only reduce a<br />

country’s dependence upon aid and largely<br />

unpredictable external f<strong>in</strong>ance flows, but it<br />

will also <strong>in</strong>crease its ownership of the<br />

development agenda, and lay the foundation<br />

of a social contract between state, citizens<br />

and firms.<br />

The good news is that the 2010 African<br />

Economic Outlook f<strong>in</strong>ds that the average<br />

African tax revenue as a share of GDP has<br />

been <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g s<strong>in</strong>ce the early 1990s, from<br />

US$113bn <strong>in</strong> 1996 to 479bn <strong>in</strong> 2008. The<br />

bad news is that this has been mostly<br />

<strong>in</strong>duced by taxes on the extraction of natural<br />

<strong>resource</strong>s: oil-related taxes alone for the top<br />

ten export<strong>in</strong>g countries totalled US$275bn <strong>in</strong><br />

2008. Focus<strong>in</strong>g on natural <strong>resource</strong> rents<br />

distracts governments from more politically<br />

demand<strong>in</strong>g forms of taxation, <strong>in</strong> particular<br />

direct forms of taxation, such as corporate<br />

<strong>in</strong>come taxes on other <strong>in</strong>dustries, personal<br />

<strong>in</strong>come taxes, as well as Value Added Taxes<br />

(VAT) and excise taxes. Indeed, <strong>in</strong>come taxes<br />

(ma<strong>in</strong>ly personal and non-<strong>resource</strong> corporate)<br />

have stagnated over the same period, and<br />

trade liberalisation and regional <strong>in</strong>tegration <strong>in</strong><br />

Africa have reduced revenue from trade<br />

taxes. Further trade liberalisation may leave a<br />

critical gap <strong>in</strong> public <strong>resource</strong>s if it is not<br />

purposively sequenced with <strong>domestic</strong> tax<br />

reform.<br />

What can African governments do?<br />

In the short-run, strategies towards more<br />

effective, efficient, and fair taxation <strong>in</strong> Africa<br />

must complement efforts to deepen the<br />

current tax base. This does not mean try<strong>in</strong>g<br />

hard to br<strong>in</strong>g small, <strong>in</strong>formal activities <strong>in</strong>to<br />

the tax net: chas<strong>in</strong>g the myriad of selfemployed<br />

or micro-shops would cost more<br />

than it it would generate <strong>in</strong> tax revenues.<br />

Besides, many <strong>in</strong>formal entrepreneurs already<br />

contribute, as they pay VAT on the <strong>in</strong>put they<br />

purchase from retailers. Neither are small and<br />

medium enterprises (SMEs) <strong>in</strong> the formal<br />

sector the target of choice to extract more<br />

tax revenues: too visible to escape taxation<br />

and not big enough to obta<strong>in</strong> exemptions,<br />

African SMEs—the ‘miss<strong>in</strong>g middle’ <strong>in</strong> most<br />

economies—are not only subject to some of<br />

the highest nom<strong>in</strong>al corporate tax rates <strong>in</strong> the<br />

world, they too often are the victims of<br />

abusive practices by the tax adm<strong>in</strong>istration.<br />

By contrast, focuss<strong>in</strong>g on the large economic<br />

actors that pay less tax than they should<br />

could generate high revenues at a small cost.<br />

This strengthens the classic case for review<strong>in</strong>g<br />

and remov<strong>in</strong>g tax preferences and<br />

exemptions, which mult<strong>in</strong>ational companies<br />

benefit from, and <strong>in</strong> particular for tax<strong>in</strong>g<br />

extractive <strong>in</strong>dustries more fairly and more<br />

transparently.<br />

In addition, governments need to crack down<br />

on fraud and corruption, and remove<br />

exemptions—sometimes as political favours—<br />

to powerful patrons with large, <strong>in</strong>formal<br />

trad<strong>in</strong>g activities. The objective should be to<br />

levy taxes at low and relatively flat rates on<br />

bases that have been broadened through the<br />

elim<strong>in</strong>ation of exemptions and other<br />

loopholes. Lower, simpler taxes are not only<br />

easier to collect and adm<strong>in</strong>ister but are a<br />

more effective policy to stimulate the<br />

development of the private sector. As for the<br />

reform of trade taxes, this should be built <strong>in</strong>to<br />

the medium-term overall fiscal reform<br />

agenda, <strong>in</strong>stead of com<strong>in</strong>g as an<br />

afterthought once tariff cuts have been<br />

decided, as is too often the case.<br />

<strong>Why</strong> aren’t African governments tax<strong>in</strong>g better?<br />

A key challenge of African tax adm<strong>in</strong>istrations is to overcome the large capacity<br />

constra<strong>in</strong>ts that make it difficult to assess and collect taxes. Other constra<strong>in</strong>ts <strong>in</strong>clude:<br />

• Weak fiscal legitimacy. A general lack of trust on the part of citizens <strong>in</strong> the quality of<br />

public spend<strong>in</strong>g.<br />

•<br />

•<br />

Shallow tax base. Governments are unable to widen the tax base and br<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>formal<br />

actors—large and small—<strong>in</strong>to the tax net. In addition, the exist<strong>in</strong>g tax base is<br />

eroded by excessive tax preferences and <strong>in</strong>efficient taxation of extractive activities.<br />

There are potentially large untapped tax sources, such as urban real estate and<br />

property taxation.<br />

Unbalanced tax mix. Many countries rely excessively on a narrow set of taxes to<br />

generate revenues for their state and some stakeholders are disproportionally<br />

represented <strong>in</strong> the tax base.<br />

Source: African Economic Outlook 2010, AfDB/OECD/UNECA.


4<br />

Figure 1. Public sector f<strong>in</strong>ancial management as a share of technical cooperation to<br />

Africa <strong>in</strong> 2008<br />

2%<br />

98%<br />

Source: OECD Development Assistance Committee (DAC) Aid Statistics (2010).<br />

In the longer-term, the capacity constra<strong>in</strong>ts of<br />

African tax adm<strong>in</strong>istrations must be alleviated<br />

to open up policy space and allow for the<br />

generation of tax revenues through a more<br />

balanced tax mix. A wide tax base is more<br />

stable because it relies on a diversified set of<br />

tax revenues. It is also more efficient by<br />

help<strong>in</strong>g to keep the tax burden mild on each<br />

type of taxpayer and each type of economic<br />

activity. Additionally, it engages a wide range<br />

of stakeholders <strong>in</strong> the national political<br />

process. Urban property taxes, for example,<br />

are progressive and can scale up with Africa’s<br />

explosive pace of urbanisation and the<br />

correspond<strong>in</strong>g need for urban <strong>in</strong>frastructure.<br />

Morocco is a good example of a<br />

comprehensive fiscal reform, successful <strong>in</strong><br />

improv<strong>in</strong>g the balance <strong>in</strong> its tax mix and<br />

broaden<strong>in</strong>g the tax base, lower<strong>in</strong>g the<br />

average tax share gradually over several years.<br />

As a result, new sectors were <strong>in</strong>corporated<br />

<strong>in</strong>to the fiscal net, such as construction,<br />

bank<strong>in</strong>g and telecom services. The<br />

government modernised tax adm<strong>in</strong>istration,<br />

enabl<strong>in</strong>g it to implement the planned reform.<br />

This resulted <strong>in</strong> a 10% <strong>in</strong>crease <strong>in</strong> the share<br />

of direct taxation, while VAT realised its full<br />

potential after a wide range of exemptions<br />

were elim<strong>in</strong>ated.<br />

What can the <strong>in</strong>ternational community do?<br />

The <strong>in</strong>ternational community can do more to<br />

support susta<strong>in</strong>able forms of development<br />

f<strong>in</strong>anc<strong>in</strong>g through <strong>enhance</strong>d <strong>mobilisation</strong> of<br />

<strong>domestic</strong> <strong>resource</strong>s <strong>in</strong> African countries. Aid<br />

used to stimulate public <strong>resource</strong> <strong>mobilisation</strong><br />

can have a ten-fold multiplier effect on a<br />

country’s <strong>resource</strong>s. Yet, donors have <strong>in</strong> some<br />

cases neglected the support to tax policy and<br />

adm<strong>in</strong>istration: a mere 2% of DAC-funded<br />

technical cooperation is spent on public<br />

Technical cooperation to “Public Sector F<strong>in</strong>ancial<br />

Management” In Africa<br />

Total technical cooperation to other sectors <strong>in</strong><br />

Africa<br />

sector f<strong>in</strong>ancial management, of which<br />

taxation systems are only a subset (Figure 1).<br />

Tax revenues should not be seen as an<br />

alternative to foreign aid, but as a<br />

component of government revenues that<br />

grows as the country develops. Greater<br />

ownership of the development process, one<br />

of the development dividends of effective tax<br />

systems, helps governments shape an<br />

environment that is more conducive to<br />

foreign and <strong>domestic</strong> private <strong>in</strong>vestment,<br />

susta<strong>in</strong>able use of debt and effective foreign<br />

aid. The challenge is therefore for African<br />

countries and their partners to reverse the<br />

vicious circle of aid dependence, which shifts<br />

government accountability away from citizens<br />

towards donors, and trigger a virtuous circle<br />

of aid becom<strong>in</strong>g redundant by support<strong>in</strong>g<br />

public <strong>resource</strong> <strong>mobilisation</strong>.<br />

One Africa-led <strong>in</strong>itiative that receives strong<br />

donor support is the African Tax<br />

Adm<strong>in</strong>istration Forum (ATAF), a platform for<br />

articulat<strong>in</strong>g African tax priorities and build<strong>in</strong>g<br />

the <strong>in</strong>stitutional capacity of the cont<strong>in</strong>ent’s<br />

fiscal adm<strong>in</strong>istrations through peer learn<strong>in</strong>g.<br />

The importance of such dialogue cannot be<br />

understated on a cont<strong>in</strong>ent where countries<br />

often compete for tax revenues and<br />

<strong>in</strong>vestment from mult<strong>in</strong>ationals.<br />

Yet the responsibility of Africa’s partners<br />

extends far beyond aid. More efficient and<br />

fairer <strong>mobilisation</strong> of <strong>domestic</strong> <strong>resource</strong>s by<br />

African countries critically depends on<br />

<strong>enhance</strong>d <strong>in</strong>ternational cooperation <strong>in</strong> tax<br />

matters. The fight aga<strong>in</strong>st tax evasion and<br />

avoidance through tax havens, or aga<strong>in</strong>st the<br />

abuse of transfer pric<strong>in</strong>g (whereby<br />

mult<strong>in</strong>ational firms declare profits <strong>in</strong> low-tax<br />

Issue 6 | Volume 9 | July / August 2010<br />

jurdisdictions, and losses <strong>in</strong> countries where<br />

operations actually take place 1 ), the<br />

rationalisation of fiscal <strong>in</strong>centives and tax<br />

exemptions that are erod<strong>in</strong>g African tax bases<br />

can only be tackled <strong>in</strong>ternationally. The<br />

<strong>in</strong>terests of Africa and of richer developed or<br />

emerg<strong>in</strong>g economies can therefore converge<br />

on the <strong>in</strong>ternational tax agenda, a priority of<br />

the G20. While significant progress has been<br />

made <strong>in</strong> combat<strong>in</strong>g bank secrecy, tax evasion<br />

and tax havens <strong>in</strong> recent years, the challenges<br />

ahead rema<strong>in</strong> considerable. The European<br />

Commission’s Communication on Tax and<br />

Development issued last April therefore<br />

provides welcome political impetus to the<br />

debate, <strong>in</strong> particular by support<strong>in</strong>g “the<br />

adoption and implementation of the OECD<br />

transfer pric<strong>in</strong>g guidel<strong>in</strong>es <strong>in</strong> develop<strong>in</strong>g<br />

countries”, as well as “ongo<strong>in</strong>g research on a<br />

country-by-country report<strong>in</strong>g requirement as<br />

part of a report<strong>in</strong>g standard for mult<strong>in</strong>ational<br />

corporations, notably <strong>in</strong> the extractive<br />

<strong>in</strong>dustry”.<br />

Author<br />

Henri-Bernard Solignac Lecomte is Head of Unit,<br />

Africa, Europe & Middle East, OECD Development<br />

Centre. Henri-Bernard.Solignac-Lecomte@oecd.org<br />

Notes<br />

1 Although models for assess<strong>in</strong>g the loss of tax revenues<br />

to improper transfer pric<strong>in</strong>g are still be<strong>in</strong>g developed,<br />

Holl<strong>in</strong>gshead (2010) estimates a yearly average of USD<br />

3.8 billion would have been lost <strong>in</strong> Africa between<br />

2002 and 2006.<br />

Related read<strong>in</strong>g<br />

1 African Economic Outlook 2010, by the African<br />

Development Bank, the OECD Development Centre<br />

and the United Nations Economic Commission for<br />

Africa.http://www.africaneconomicoutlook.org/en/<br />

<strong>in</strong>-depth/<br />

2 European Commission (2010) Tax and Development<br />

- Cooperat<strong>in</strong>g with Develop<strong>in</strong>g Countries on<br />

Promot<strong>in</strong>g Good Governance <strong>in</strong> Tax Matters,<br />

Communication from the Commission to the<br />

European Parliament, the Council and the European<br />

Economic and Social Committee, COM(2010)163<br />

f<strong>in</strong>al, Brussels, 21.4.http://ec.europa.eu/development/<br />

icenter/repository/COMM_COM_2010_0163_TAX_<br />

DEVELOPMENT_EN.PDF<br />

3 Kar et Cartright-Smith, (2008) “Illicit F<strong>in</strong>ancial Flows<br />

from Develop<strong>in</strong>g Countries, 2002-2006”, Center for<br />

International Policy, Wash<strong>in</strong>gton DC.http://www.gfip.<br />

org/<strong>in</strong>dex.php?option=com_content&task=view&id=3<br />

00&Itemid=75<br />

4 Holl<strong>in</strong>gshead, A. (2010), The implied Tax Revenue Loss<br />

from <strong>Trade</strong> Mispric<strong>in</strong>g, Center for International Policy,<br />

Wash<strong>in</strong>gton DC.http://www.gfip.org/storage/gfip/<br />

documents/reports/implied%20tax%20revenue%20<br />

loss%20report_f<strong>in</strong>al.pdf


Issue 6 | Volume 9 | July / August 2010 5<br />

<strong>Why</strong> <strong>enhance</strong> <strong>domestic</strong> <strong>resource</strong> <strong>mobilisation</strong><br />

<strong>in</strong> Africa?<br />

Roy Culpeper and Aniket Bhushan 1<br />

Develop<strong>in</strong>g countries that have<br />

achieved and susta<strong>in</strong>ed high rates<br />

of growth have typically done so<br />

largely through the <strong>mobilisation</strong> of<br />

their <strong>domestic</strong> <strong>resource</strong>s. Domestic<br />

<strong>resource</strong> <strong>mobilisation</strong> (DRM) at a<br />

significant level is essential to<br />

solidify ownership over<br />

development strategy and to<br />

strengthen the bonds of<br />

accountability between<br />

governments and their citizens. In<br />

effect, DRM provides “policy<br />

space” to develop<strong>in</strong>g countries<br />

which is often constra<strong>in</strong>ed under<br />

the terms and conditions of<br />

external <strong>resource</strong> providers.<br />

Foreign aid comes with conditionality or<br />

policy str<strong>in</strong>gs attached, not to mention<br />

procurement restrictions that accompany<br />

“tied aid”. Aid also tends to be pro-cyclical<br />

and volatile. 2 Foreign direct <strong>in</strong>vestment<br />

typically flows <strong>in</strong>to sectors and projects<br />

dictated by the commercial <strong>in</strong>terests of the<br />

foreign <strong>in</strong>vestors – for example, natural<br />

<strong>resource</strong> extraction. Moreover, governments<br />

that are heavily dependent on foreign aid, or<br />

on shar<strong>in</strong>g the profits of foreign <strong>in</strong>vestors,<br />

have less <strong>in</strong>centive to raise taxes and less<br />

reason to pay attention to the demands of<br />

taxpay<strong>in</strong>g citizens.<br />

It is <strong>in</strong> Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) that some of<br />

the steepest challenges to DRM are<br />

encountered: sav<strong>in</strong>gs rates are low,<br />

dependence on foreign aid is chronically high,<br />

and <strong>in</strong>stitutional capacity to mobilise<br />

<strong>domestic</strong> <strong>resource</strong>s is weak. In light of these<br />

challenges, the North-South Institute recently<br />

exam<strong>in</strong>ed possibilities for <strong>enhance</strong>d DRM <strong>in</strong><br />

Sub-Saharan Africa through the lens of five<br />

countries: Burundi, Cameroon, Ethiopia,<br />

Tanzania and Uganda. 3 These five countries<br />

represent a breadth of circumstances <strong>in</strong> SSA:<br />

Burundi is a post-conflict country; Cameroon<br />

is experienc<strong>in</strong>g decl<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g oil revenues;<br />

Ethiopia is transition<strong>in</strong>g from a planned to<br />

market-based economy; and, Tanzania and<br />

Uganda both have longer records of reform<br />

and <strong>resource</strong>s revenues (m<strong>in</strong>eral and oil) that<br />

are expected to play an <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>gly<br />

important role.<br />

Pathways to <strong>enhance</strong>d revenue <strong>mobilisation</strong><br />

Most low-<strong>in</strong>come countries (LIC) are heavily<br />

dependent on trade taxes as a source of<br />

revenue, <strong>in</strong> large part because they are the<br />

easiest taxes to collect. About a third of<br />

non-<strong>resource</strong> tax revenue <strong>in</strong> SSA comes from<br />

trade taxes; however, this figure is <strong>in</strong> decl<strong>in</strong>e<br />

(from over 6% of regional GDP <strong>in</strong> the early<br />

1980s to 4% by early 2000s). In keep<strong>in</strong>g with<br />

global trends, the average tariff rate <strong>in</strong> the<br />

Sub-Saharan region has decl<strong>in</strong>ed from over<br />

20% <strong>in</strong> the 1980s to 13% by 2005.<br />

The share of trade taxes <strong>in</strong> total tax revenue<br />

across our five case study countries has been<br />

decl<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g (see Figure 1). While the overall tax<br />

to GDP ratio has <strong>in</strong>creased (see Figure 2), it<br />

rema<strong>in</strong>s far below the Sub- Saharan average<br />

at around 18%. The ratio <strong>in</strong> <strong>resource</strong>-rich<br />

countries is substantially higher at around<br />

25%. Resource-related taxes are responsible<br />

for most of the <strong>in</strong>crease <strong>in</strong> revenue<br />

<strong>mobilisation</strong> <strong>in</strong> the region (1980-2005). Tax<br />

legislation <strong>in</strong> most African countries is<br />

complex and the tax rules <strong>in</strong>comprehensible,<br />

even to well-educated taxpayers. In many tax<br />

codes, a large number of exemptions and<br />

derogations exist, represent<strong>in</strong>g a stagger<strong>in</strong>g<br />

opportunity cost <strong>in</strong> terms of forgone revenue.<br />

Exemptions complicate tax systems and open<br />

the door to political capture. Too often they<br />

are viewed as costless because opportunity<br />

costs are not analysed and they are offered<br />

on an ad-hoc basis. Once <strong>in</strong> place,<br />

exemptions have a ratchet<strong>in</strong>g effect and are<br />

difficult to remove. Despite little evidence<br />

that exemptions drive <strong>in</strong>vestment decisions,<br />

the number of Sub-Saharan countries<br />

offer<strong>in</strong>g tax holidays, reduced corporate<br />

rates, and ‘free zones’ has <strong>in</strong>creased<br />

substantially between 1980 and 2005.<br />

The prevalence of exemptions significantly<br />

underm<strong>in</strong>es duty revenues. In 2006/7 <strong>in</strong><br />

Tanzania, import tax exemptions amounted<br />

to 32% of total duty revenue. In 2006 <strong>in</strong><br />

Burundi, 60% of imports were exempted<br />

either <strong>in</strong> part or <strong>in</strong> full from pay<strong>in</strong>g tax or<br />

duties result<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> a loss equivalent to 65.5%<br />

of duty revenues. In Ethiopia <strong>in</strong> 2007,<br />

customs exemptions amounted to 4.5% of<br />

GDP.<br />

Because trade-related taxes are such<br />

significant contributors to tax revenues <strong>in</strong><br />

most African countries, trade liberalisation<br />

and tariff reduction measures to encourage<br />

greater economic openness should be<br />

gradual, paced and sequenced with other<br />

reforms aimed at revenue replacement. Aid<br />

donors should play a role to this end by<br />

press<strong>in</strong>g their trade negotiators to take a<br />

more holistic view of trade liberalisation <strong>in</strong><br />

low-<strong>in</strong>come countries. As it stands now, that<br />

is not happen<strong>in</strong>g frequently enough. For<br />

example, Cameroon’s Economic Partnership<br />

Agreement with the European Union will<br />

reduce tariff revenues by 70% or US$149<br />

million (equivalent to 0.8% of 2006 GDP). In<br />

order not to underm<strong>in</strong>e the revenue base,<br />

tariff reduction should be sequenced with the<br />

<strong>mobilisation</strong> of offsett<strong>in</strong>g revenues (VAT or<br />

<strong>in</strong>come taxes).<br />

In general, tax systems <strong>in</strong> Sub-Saharan<br />

countries need to be broadened from their<br />

narrow base and compliance must be


6<br />

Figure 1<br />

80.00%<br />

70.00%<br />

60.00%<br />

50.00%<br />

40.00%<br />

30.00%<br />

20.00%<br />

10.00%<br />

0.00%<br />

<strong>Trade</strong> Taxes (% total tax revenue)<br />

1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004<br />

Burundi Cameroon Ethiopia Tanzania Uganda<br />

Source: New Revenue Database for Sub-Saharan Africa (Keen and Mansour, 2009)<br />

<strong>in</strong>creased. Typically taxes are levied at very<br />

high rates on a limited number of wealthy<br />

taxpayers, <strong>in</strong>cit<strong>in</strong>g widespread tax evasion<br />

and fraud. Lower <strong>in</strong>come tax rates on the<br />

wealthy, along with the gradual <strong>in</strong>troduction<br />

of <strong>in</strong>come taxes for those less wealthy, are<br />

more likely to <strong>in</strong>crease revenue generation<br />

and <strong>in</strong>culcate a more healthy taxpay<strong>in</strong>g<br />

culture <strong>in</strong> the longer run.<br />

Value-added or sales taxes are relatively new<br />

to many develop<strong>in</strong>g countries, and are likely<br />

to be broadened <strong>in</strong> their coverage and<br />

generate more revenue over time. However,<br />

there is scope to contemplate the<br />

<strong>in</strong>troduction of yet other taxes which are<br />

conspicuous by their absence <strong>in</strong> develop<strong>in</strong>g<br />

countries. As countries become <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>gly<br />

urbanized, for example, there is the<br />

opportunity to levy taxes on urban properties<br />

that are owned and/or which generate rental<br />

<strong>in</strong>come. If property taxes were levied and<br />

collected, they could support urban and<br />

municipal authorities <strong>in</strong> provid<strong>in</strong>g or<br />

ma<strong>in</strong>ta<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>frastructure and other services,<br />

<strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g transportation. Research <strong>in</strong> Tanzania<br />

and other countries has repeatedly shown<br />

that citizens, <strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g the poor, are will<strong>in</strong>g to<br />

pay taxes when they see their taxes work.<br />

Property taxes at the municipal level can help<br />

engender the virtuous l<strong>in</strong>k between<br />

<strong>enhance</strong>d <strong>mobilisation</strong> and more accountable<br />

expenditure, vital to develop<strong>in</strong>g taxpayer<br />

culture.<br />

In some countries a property tax already<br />

exists, <strong>in</strong> pr<strong>in</strong>ciple, but it is not collected <strong>in</strong><br />

reality. For example, the annual property<br />

assessment <strong>in</strong> Cameroon’s urban areas is<br />

0.1% of the value of the property, but there<br />

is little concerted effort from tax officials to<br />

collect this tax or tax on rents. Similarly,<br />

property taxes could be strengthened <strong>in</strong><br />

Tanzania and should be <strong>in</strong>troduced <strong>in</strong><br />

Uganda.<br />

Reform<strong>in</strong>g tax systems and adm<strong>in</strong>istrations<br />

As mentioned, <strong>in</strong> many African countries tax<br />

legislation and rules are overly complex. Not<br />

only do they encourage evasion, but they also<br />

provide too much latitude for discretion and<br />

hence corruption on the part of tax collectors<br />

and taxpayers. In Uganda, for example, 43%<br />

of firms pay bribes to tax officers. For this<br />

reason alone tax systems should be simplified<br />

and made more transparent.<br />

Look<strong>in</strong>g beyond simplify<strong>in</strong>g and rationaliz<strong>in</strong>g<br />

tax systems, tax adm<strong>in</strong>istration capacity and<br />

<strong>in</strong>tegrity are key to <strong>enhance</strong>d revenue<br />

mobilization. This means elevat<strong>in</strong>g the<br />

competency of revenue authorities and their<br />

officials and root<strong>in</strong>g out corruption. This is<br />

already recognized <strong>in</strong> the countries we<br />

studied. For example, <strong>in</strong> Ethiopia enhanc<strong>in</strong>g<br />

the capacity of the revenue authority is a<br />

central part of the public sector reform<br />

programme. In Cameroon, adm<strong>in</strong>istrative<br />

reforms were <strong>in</strong>troduced <strong>in</strong> 2004 and the<br />

Issue 6 | Volume 9 | July / August 2010<br />

2007 Fiscal Reform Commission made similar<br />

recommendations.<br />

However, there is a sense of déjà vu – such<br />

reforms have been <strong>in</strong>troduced <strong>in</strong> the past and<br />

have yet to tackle some of the fundamental<br />

underly<strong>in</strong>g problems. For example, <strong>in</strong> Uganda<br />

there has been a series of reforms from 1991-<br />

2007, but tax officials still have wide<br />

discretionary powers, sometimes abused, and<br />

there is widespread tax evasion. Similarly the<br />

Government of Tanzania has implemented<br />

reforms to strengthen tax adm<strong>in</strong>istration but<br />

there are still extensive loopholes and<br />

rampant corruption.<br />

Africans tak<strong>in</strong>g ownership over DRM and<br />

the role of donors<br />

The global f<strong>in</strong>ancial and economic crisis of<br />

2008-9 prompted African leaders across the<br />

cont<strong>in</strong>ent to re-exam<strong>in</strong>e their economic<br />

strategies and vulnerability to external shocks.<br />

The crisis has eroded donors’ aid budgets as<br />

well as remittances from overseas migrants<br />

and export earn<strong>in</strong>gs due to the recession <strong>in</strong><br />

Europe and North America. It is already<br />

evident that the OECD donors have fallen<br />

short of their aid commitments made at the<br />

Gleneagles G-8 Summit <strong>in</strong> 2005. Only<br />

U$11bn of the US$25bn <strong>in</strong> the additional aid<br />

promised for Africa by 2010 will materialize.<br />

African countries have been here before – <strong>in</strong><br />

periods of prosperity, aid donors make<br />

promises they cannot subsequently keep, and<br />

rosy forecasts of expand<strong>in</strong>g trade and foreign<br />

<strong>in</strong>vestment <strong>in</strong>flows are drastically revised<br />

downwards by recession. The current<br />

f<strong>in</strong>ancial crisis has aga<strong>in</strong> underl<strong>in</strong>ed the<br />

vulnerability of SSA to external shocks.<br />

However, this time the critical importance and<br />

timel<strong>in</strong>ess of enhanc<strong>in</strong>g DRM was clearly<br />

acknowledged by African f<strong>in</strong>ance m<strong>in</strong>isters<br />

and central bank governors when they met <strong>in</strong><br />

January 2009 <strong>in</strong> Pretoria.<br />

Subsequently, <strong>in</strong> November 2009 the African<br />

Tax Adm<strong>in</strong>istration Forum was formally<br />

launched, br<strong>in</strong>g<strong>in</strong>g together 25 African<br />

revenue authorities with a shared conviction<br />

that “efficient and effective tax<br />

adm<strong>in</strong>istration is key to build<strong>in</strong>g capable<br />

states.” 4 The Forum will provide peer support<br />

toward <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g the capacity and <strong>in</strong>tegrity<br />

of African revenue authorities.


Issue 6 | Volume 9 | July / August 2010 7<br />

Figure 2<br />

20.00<br />

15.00<br />

10.00<br />

5.00<br />

0.00<br />

1988<br />

1989<br />

1990<br />

1991<br />

Tax Revenue (% GCP)<br />

1992<br />

1993<br />

1994<br />

1995<br />

1996<br />

1997<br />

Burundi Cameroon Ethiopia Tanzania Uganda<br />

Source: New Revenue Database for Sub-Saharan Africa (Keen and Mansour, 2009)<br />

While it is appropriate for Africans to play a<br />

leadership role, donors can also help. To<br />

beg<strong>in</strong> with, they can adopt more coherent<br />

policies toward develop<strong>in</strong>g countries. In<br />

particular their non-aid policies can be made<br />

more consistent with their aid policies.<br />

Reference was made to the need to slow<br />

down and sequence trade liberalisation and<br />

tariff reduction <strong>in</strong> African countries,<br />

commensurate with their ability to replace<br />

lost revenues <strong>in</strong> a susta<strong>in</strong>able manner. Equally,<br />

African countries need to review tax<br />

<strong>in</strong>centives offered to foreign <strong>in</strong>vestors <strong>in</strong> their<br />

attempts to create a more bus<strong>in</strong>ess-friendly<br />

climate. Such <strong>in</strong>centives often lead to huge<br />

and unnecessary tax losses. Better<br />

coord<strong>in</strong>ation of <strong>in</strong>vestment <strong>in</strong>centives,<br />

especially <strong>in</strong> the context of ongo<strong>in</strong>g regional<br />

trade <strong>in</strong>tegration such as <strong>in</strong> the East African<br />

Community (EAC), is essential to ensure<br />

countries are not underm<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g one another. If<br />

donor countries had a coherent and<br />

supportive approach to development, their<br />

aid, trade and <strong>in</strong>vestment policies would be<br />

work<strong>in</strong>g together to help build capacity and<br />

the self-reliance of their develop<strong>in</strong>g-country<br />

partners.<br />

Donors can also support African revenue<br />

authorities <strong>in</strong> their attempts to build their<br />

capacity. To date technical cooperation to<br />

1998<br />

1999<br />

2000<br />

2001<br />

2002<br />

2003<br />

2004<br />

2005<br />

‘public sector f<strong>in</strong>ancial management’ <strong>in</strong> the<br />

Sub-Saharan region is only about 2% of total<br />

technical cooperation. In our research, we<br />

found no significant relationship (positive or<br />

negative) between aid levels and tax<br />

<strong>mobilisation</strong>. This suggests there is much<br />

room for improvement <strong>in</strong> support for<br />

tax-related capacity build<strong>in</strong>g. Donors can<br />

provide support <strong>in</strong> the form of both hardware<br />

(<strong>in</strong>formation-technology systems) and<br />

software (organisational support, skills<br />

tra<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g and technical assistance, and legal<br />

support to make legislation and tax codes<br />

more user-friendly and re<strong>in</strong>force revenue<br />

<strong>mobilisation</strong>). More importantly, they can<br />

help <strong>enhance</strong> the capacity of <strong>domestic</strong> policy<br />

communities work<strong>in</strong>g on taxation. Improv<strong>in</strong>g<br />

taxpayer education is vital <strong>in</strong> creat<strong>in</strong>g<br />

<strong>in</strong>formed barga<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g and negotiation around<br />

tax issues and central to democratic<br />

governance.<br />

While they can make significant contributions<br />

to development, external aid or trade and<br />

<strong>in</strong>vestment opportunities alone will not be<br />

sufficient for Sub-Saharan Africa to achieve<br />

susta<strong>in</strong>able, equitable growth and poverty<br />

reduction. Development success depends<br />

primarily on the efforts of develop<strong>in</strong>g<br />

countries themselves – which ultimately<br />

means enhanc<strong>in</strong>g their ability to mobilise<br />

their own human and f<strong>in</strong>ancial <strong>resource</strong>s.<br />

Author<br />

Roy Culpeper is President, and Aniket Bhushan<br />

Researcher, at The North-South Institute <strong>in</strong> Ottawa,<br />

Canada. This article is based on a research project on<br />

Domestic Resources Mobilization <strong>in</strong> Sub-Saharan<br />

Africa. More <strong>in</strong>formation about this research is<br />

available at: http://www.nsi-<strong>in</strong>s.ca/english/research/<br />

progress/58.asp<br />

Notes<br />

1 The authors would like to acknowledge the<br />

contributions of the DRM project team through the<br />

five country case studies: Tsegabirhan Giorgis Abay<br />

(Ethiopia); Astere Girukwigomba (Burundi); Sunday<br />

Khan (Cameroon); John Matovu (Uganda); and<br />

Nehemiah Osoro (Tanzania). The authors thank<br />

Yiagadeesen Samy for helpful comments.<br />

2 Aid is found to be four times as volatile as <strong>domestic</strong><br />

<strong>resource</strong>s, and aid volatility is greater <strong>in</strong> more aid<br />

dependent countries.<br />

3 The authors would like to acknowledge the support of<br />

project funders and partners: the African Development<br />

Bank, African Economic Research Consortium,<br />

Canadian International Development Agency,<br />

Department for International Development (UK) and<br />

International Development Research Centre (Canada).<br />

4 For more details on the ATAF launch and<br />

communiqués see: http://www.oecd.org/document/55<br />

/0,3343,en_2649_33749_44109943_1_1_1_37427,0<br />

0.html<br />

Select Bibliography<br />

1 Bulír, Aleš, A. Javier Hamann. Volatility of<br />

Development Aid: From the Fry<strong>in</strong>g Pan <strong>in</strong>to the Fire?<br />

World Development, 36 (10), October 2008.<br />

2 Culpeper, Roy, and Aniket Bhushan. “Reorient<strong>in</strong>g<br />

Development F<strong>in</strong>ance through Enhanced Domestic<br />

Resource Mobilization <strong>in</strong> Develop<strong>in</strong>g Countries.”<br />

Canadian Development Report, 2009.<br />

3 Culpeper, Roy, and Aniket Bhushan. “ Domestic<br />

Resource Mobilization – A Neglected Factor <strong>in</strong><br />

Development Strategy.” Project Backgrounder, April<br />

2008. (Onl<strong>in</strong>e at: http://www.nsi-<strong>in</strong>s.ca/english/pdf/<br />

NSI%20Background%20paper%20DRM%20SSA%20<br />

project%20%5B2008%20%5D.pdf ).<br />

4 Eifert, B. and A. Gelb, A. “Cop<strong>in</strong>g with Aid Volatility.”<br />

F<strong>in</strong>ance and Development, 42 (3), 2005.<br />

5 Keen, Michael, and Mario Mansour. “Revenue<br />

Mobilization <strong>in</strong> Sub-Saharan Africa: Challenges from<br />

Globalization.” International Monetary Fund Work<strong>in</strong>g<br />

Paper WP/09/157, July 2009.<br />

6 Le, Tuan M<strong>in</strong>h, Blanca Moreno-Dodson, and Jeep<br />

Rojchaichan<strong>in</strong>thorn. “Expand<strong>in</strong>g Taxable Capacity and<br />

Reach<strong>in</strong>g Revenue Potential: Cross-Country Analysis<br />

- Policy Research Work<strong>in</strong>g Paper 4559.” The World<br />

Bank, March 2008.<br />

7 Moore, Mick. “How Does Taxation Affect the Quality<br />

of Governance?” IDS Work<strong>in</strong>g Paper 280, Institute of<br />

Development Studies, April 2007.


8<br />

Issue 6 | Volume 9 | July / August 2010<br />

Economic Partnership Agreements –<br />

How severe (and how urgent) is the fiscal challenge?<br />

Jean-Jacques Hallaert<br />

The relations between the African,<br />

Caribbean, Pacific (<strong>ACP</strong>) countries<br />

and the European Union (<strong>EU</strong>)<br />

are evolv<strong>in</strong>g dramatically with<br />

the phas<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> of the Economic<br />

Partnership Agreements (EPAs). 1<br />

The EPAs are meant to cover a long<br />

list of topics but their cornerstone<br />

is trade relations. They replace the<br />

three decade-long non-reciprocal<br />

preferential treatment granted<br />

by the <strong>EU</strong> with WTO-compatible<br />

reciprocal preferential agreements.<br />

As a result, the <strong>ACP</strong> countries<br />

that concluded an (<strong>in</strong>terim or<br />

comprehensive) EPA by the end of<br />

2007 deadl<strong>in</strong>e will elim<strong>in</strong>ate their<br />

customs tariff on at least 80% of<br />

their imports from the <strong>EU</strong>. 2 Such a<br />

dramatic change triggered many<br />

fears, most notably related to the<br />

fiscal shock.<br />

Many studies have tried to measure the<br />

potential fiscal revenue losses stemm<strong>in</strong>g<br />

from the EPAs. As they were conducted<br />

before the EPA negotiations were<br />

concluded, their authors had to make<br />

assumptions on key parameters of the<br />

agreement such as the list of products that<br />

would not be subject to tariff cuts. Moreover<br />

they overlooked the transition period and<br />

thus could not give any <strong>in</strong>dication of the<br />

time profile of the fiscal revenue losses—a<br />

crucial element for the design of the policy<br />

response. Aga<strong>in</strong>st this background, it is not<br />

surpris<strong>in</strong>g that the estimated potential fiscal<br />

revenue losses for a given <strong>ACP</strong> country can<br />

vary substantially from one study to another.<br />

Therefore, there is a great <strong>in</strong>terest at<br />

estimat<strong>in</strong>g the potential fiscal revenue losses<br />

us<strong>in</strong>g the tariff cuts actually agreed. This<br />

analysis is limited to six sub-Saharan African<br />

countries: Burundi, Côte d’Ivoire, Ghana,<br />

Madagascar, Rwanda, and Tanzania.<br />

Direct fiscal revenue losses varies<br />

substantially across countries<br />

The fiscal impact of the EPAs varies across<br />

countries. The revenues from customs<br />

duties could be lower, at the end of the<br />

transition period, by about 8% <strong>in</strong> Rwanda<br />

and Tanzania, 16% <strong>in</strong> Burundi, 21% <strong>in</strong><br />

Madagascar and up to 28% <strong>in</strong> Ghana. The<br />

severity of the fiscal shock from these losses<br />

depends on the importance that customs<br />

duties have for government revenue. The<br />

fiscal challenge of the EPA is likely to be<br />

large for Madagascar where taxes on<br />

<strong>in</strong>ternational trade account for half the<br />

government’s revenue. It is likely to be<br />

more limited for Tanzania where taxes on<br />

<strong>in</strong>ternational trade account for only 10% of<br />

the government’s revenue.<br />

Estimat<strong>in</strong>g the potential fiscal loss on the<br />

basis of the customs duties revenue is<br />

common <strong>in</strong> the literature. However, this<br />

method tends to underestimate the actual<br />

fiscal shock as it ignores the spillover of the<br />

customs tariff cuts on revenues from other<br />

taxes. Customs duties are usually part of<br />

the tax base for excise and value-added tax<br />

(VAT) levied on imported goods. Therefore,<br />

a tariff cut also reduces these revenues.<br />

Another shortfall of this method is that<br />

it ignores the fact that the <strong>ACP</strong> countries<br />

provide tariff preferences to partners <strong>in</strong><br />

preferential trade agreements, to foreign<br />

<strong>in</strong>vestors, and to enterprises located <strong>in</strong><br />

Special Economic Zones.<br />

Thus, a more accurate estimate of the fiscal<br />

revenue losses should consider taxable<br />

imports rather than total imports. This<br />

requires detailed trade data that were only<br />

available for Madagascar. Us<strong>in</strong>g taxable<br />

imports, the potential loss <strong>in</strong> customs duties<br />

revenues is revised from 21% to 30%.<br />

Tak<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>to account the spillover of tariff<br />

cuts to other taxes suggests that the total<br />

revenues of the Malagasy government could<br />

drop by 5% at the end of the transition<br />

period. This loss could have substantial<br />

repercussions because Madagascar<br />

suffers from one of the lowest revenue<br />

performance <strong>in</strong> the world (the tax to GDP<br />

ratio is only 10%). 3<br />

<strong>Trade</strong> diversion as an <strong>in</strong>direct source of<br />

revenue loss<br />

Although more accurate, this revised<br />

estimate of the impact of the EPA on<br />

Madagascar fiscal revenue still understates<br />

the magnitude of the fiscal shock because it<br />

ignores the fiscal loss from trade diversion.<br />

Elim<strong>in</strong>at<strong>in</strong>g customs duties on <strong>EU</strong> goods<br />

rather than on all imports will encourage<br />

consumers (households as well as firms


Issue 6 | Volume 9 | July / August 2010 9<br />

that use imports as an <strong>in</strong>put) to shift<br />

their purchase from non-<strong>EU</strong> imports to<br />

<strong>EU</strong> imports. Indeed, because of the tariff<br />

preference, some of the tariff-free <strong>EU</strong> goods<br />

will appear of better value than the tariff<strong>in</strong>clusive<br />

goods imported from the rest of<br />

the world. In other words, the EPA will give<br />

<strong>EU</strong> goods a price advantage over non-<strong>EU</strong><br />

goods and as a result duty-free <strong>EU</strong> goods<br />

will replace other taxed imports, lead<strong>in</strong>g<br />

to an additional revenue loss for the <strong>ACP</strong><br />

governments.<br />

Estimat<strong>in</strong>g the magnitude of this secondround<br />

revenue loss is difficult as it depends<br />

on many factors such as the will<strong>in</strong>gness<br />

of <strong>ACP</strong> consumers to shift their source of<br />

imports, the capacity of <strong>EU</strong> firms to supply<br />

the additional demand, the reaction of the<br />

traditional suppliers (they may choose to cut<br />

their prices to rema<strong>in</strong> competitive), and the<br />

strategic behaviour of <strong>EU</strong> exporters (some<br />

may pass the tariff cut to their customers<br />

while others may choose to keep their retail<br />

price unchanged and <strong>in</strong>crease their profits).<br />

One th<strong>in</strong>g is sure though: the bigger the<br />

gap between the most-favored-nation (MFN)<br />

tariff and the f<strong>in</strong>al tariff levied on <strong>EU</strong> goods,<br />

the larger the trade diversion and thus the<br />

fiscal revenue loss. In many <strong>ACP</strong> countries<br />

this gap will be large because, despite recent<br />

trade liberalisation, MFN tariffs rema<strong>in</strong> high<br />

<strong>in</strong> <strong>ACP</strong> countries. In all the Sub-Saharan<br />

Africa countries considered <strong>in</strong> this article<br />

they are above 12% on average.<br />

Rather than estimat<strong>in</strong>g the fiscal impact<br />

of trade diversion—an exercise that would<br />

be driven by the assumptions regard<strong>in</strong>g<br />

the various actors’ behaviour—it is better<br />

to assess the potential scope for trade<br />

diversion. Aga<strong>in</strong> the choice of excluded<br />

products largely determ<strong>in</strong>es the impact.<br />

In the case of Madagascar, 13% of the<br />

tariff l<strong>in</strong>es are excluded from tariff cuts.<br />

These l<strong>in</strong>es account for 38% of total<br />

taxable imports. Thus trade diversion could<br />

potentially affect 62% of the countries<br />

taxable imports. However, the actual trade<br />

diversion is more limited as for many l<strong>in</strong>es<br />

the <strong>EU</strong> and other countries benefit (because<br />

of preferential trade agreements) from a<br />

duty-free access accounts for all imports.<br />

Tak<strong>in</strong>g this fact <strong>in</strong>to account, trade diversion<br />

could affect 49% of Madagascar’s taxable<br />

imports. This is substantial, although it is<br />

impossible to predict ex ante the size of the<br />

trade diversion on these imports.<br />

The fiscal impact is <strong>in</strong> most cases<br />

substantially delayed<br />

The estimates presented so far focused on<br />

the total losses, i.e. when all tariff cuts are<br />

implemented. However, the shock will be<br />

progressive: tariff cuts will be phased <strong>in</strong> over<br />

a long transition period rang<strong>in</strong>g from 10<br />

years for most Southern African <strong>ACP</strong>s to 26<br />

years for the members of the Eastern African<br />

Community (EAC) and of the Caribbean.<br />

Moreover there will be no fiscal shock <strong>in</strong> the<br />

short run for two reasons:<br />

•<br />

•<br />

First, for most <strong>ACP</strong> countries, there<br />

will be no tariff cuts before several<br />

years. Tariff cuts will only start <strong>in</strong> 2013<br />

for Ghana and Madagascar and 2015<br />

for the EAC counties. However, Côte<br />

d’Ivoire agreed start<strong>in</strong>g elim<strong>in</strong>at<strong>in</strong>g<br />

some of its tariff as early as 2009<br />

(though it has not done so yet).<br />

Second, the African <strong>ACP</strong> countries<br />

considered <strong>in</strong> this article have chosen to<br />

start elim<strong>in</strong>at<strong>in</strong>g the tariff start<strong>in</strong>g with<br />

the lowest tariff rates (Côte d’Ivoire is<br />

aga<strong>in</strong> an exception).<br />

This liberalization pattern limits the risk<br />

of trade distortion <strong>in</strong> the short run and<br />

smoothes the adjustment shock (<strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g<br />

the fiscal adjustment cost).<br />

Conclusion: How to cope with the fiscal<br />

challenge<br />

The estimates presented <strong>in</strong> this article show<br />

that the fiscal impact of the EPAs differs<br />

significantly across countries but can be<br />

substantial especially when the potential<br />

impact of trade diversion is taken <strong>in</strong>to<br />

account. However, long transition periods<br />

mean that <strong>in</strong> most cases the fiscal shock will<br />

be delayed and progressive.<br />

There is therefore ample time to implement<br />

policies and reforms that will help address<br />

the fiscal shock of the EPAs. <strong>ACP</strong> countries<br />

should take the opportunity of the transition<br />

period to cut their MFN tariffs. This would<br />

reduce the welfare cost of trade diversion<br />

and simplify the often complex customs<br />

regime. The additional revenue losses<br />

could be offset by a rebalanc<strong>in</strong>g of the tax<br />

regime from taxes on <strong>in</strong>ternational trade to<br />

<strong>domestic</strong> taxes. Past experience shows that<br />

such reform is unlikely to allow governments<br />

to fully recoup the revenue losses from<br />

tariff cuts under the EPAs but has value on<br />

its own as <strong>domestic</strong> taxes are less distortive<br />

than taxes on <strong>in</strong>ternational trade. Moreover,<br />

this reform appears to be important to<br />

secure some <strong>EU</strong> budget support. Indeed,<br />

<strong>in</strong> its 2007 Aid for <strong>Trade</strong> Strategy, the <strong>EU</strong><br />

has committed itself to “contribute to the<br />

absorption of net fiscal impact result<strong>in</strong>g<br />

from tariff liberalization <strong>in</strong> the context of<br />

EPAs <strong>in</strong> full complementarity with fiscal<br />

reforms.” 4<br />

Author<br />

Jean-Jacques Hallaert is associated with the Groupe<br />

d’Économie Mondiale de Sciences-Po (GEM). The<br />

article summarises the ma<strong>in</strong> f<strong>in</strong>d<strong>in</strong>gs of the research<br />

project “Economic Partnership Agreements: Tariff<br />

Cuts, Revenue Losses and <strong>Trade</strong> diversion <strong>in</strong><br />

sub-Saharan Africa” published <strong>in</strong> the “Journal of<br />

World <strong>Trade</strong>” <strong>in</strong> February 2010 (vol. 44, no. 1, pp.<br />

223-250). The full article is available at:<br />

http://www.kluwerlawonl<strong>in</strong>e.com/toc.php?area=Journ<br />

als&mode=bypub&level=6&values=Journals%7E%7EJ<br />

ournal+of+World+<strong>Trade</strong>%7EVolume+44+%282010%<br />

29%7EIssue+1.<br />

Notes<br />

1 Thirty five of the seventy five <strong>ACP</strong>s have <strong>in</strong>itialled an<br />

<strong>in</strong>terim agreement that <strong>in</strong>clude a schedule of the tariff<br />

cuts that these countries will implement. Only the<br />

Caribbean countries have reached an agreement on<br />

the full list of topics of the EPAs. As of mid-2009, the<br />

Dom<strong>in</strong>ican Republic was the only country to have<br />

ratified its EPA.<br />

2 This share can go as high as 97.5% <strong>in</strong> the case<br />

of Seychelles<br />

3 However, the <strong>domestic</strong> tax reform implemented <strong>in</strong><br />

2008, follow<strong>in</strong>g an IMF technical assistance, may help<br />

alleviate the fiscal shock of the EPAs by reduc<strong>in</strong>g the<br />

reliance on taxes on <strong>in</strong>ternational trade.<br />

4 The “<strong>EU</strong> Strategy on Aid for <strong>Trade</strong>: enhanc<strong>in</strong>g <strong>EU</strong><br />

support for trade related needs <strong>in</strong> develop<strong>in</strong>g<br />

countries” is available at: http://register.consilium.<br />

europa.eu/pdf/en/07/st14/st14470.en07.pdf


10<br />

The debate around the impact of EPA tariff<br />

liberalisation on government revenues<br />

<strong>in</strong> <strong>ACP</strong> countries has been particularly<br />

controversial throughout the negotiations.<br />

A great deal of the opposition to EPAs<br />

has focused on the argument that the<br />

agreements are likely to have serious effects<br />

on government revenues, and therefore<br />

on social expenditures geared towards<br />

the achievement of broader development<br />

objectives, such as the Millennium<br />

Development Goals. The f<strong>in</strong>ancial and<br />

economic crisis, comb<strong>in</strong>ed with recurrent<br />

food and energy crises, has only heightened<br />

these concerns. Attempt<strong>in</strong>g to quantify the<br />

fiscal impacts of EPAs has therefore been an<br />

important, yet sometimes difficult, exercise.<br />

In terms of reach<strong>in</strong>g a comprehensive<br />

assessment of the fiscal impacts of EPAs, the<br />

picture rema<strong>in</strong>s relatively unclear despite a<br />

grow<strong>in</strong>g number of regional and countrylevel<br />

studies on the subject. Differences <strong>in</strong><br />

methodology, data and assumptions have<br />

contributed to a mixed picture, although<br />

it is also important to acknowledge that<br />

comparison and debate between various<br />

studies is healthy, and no forecast is likely<br />

to be def<strong>in</strong>itively accurate <strong>in</strong> light of the<br />

uncerta<strong>in</strong>ties <strong>in</strong>volved <strong>in</strong> mak<strong>in</strong>g them. One<br />

overall conclusion, however, is that there has<br />

been a general tendency to overestimate<br />

the direct fiscal losses result<strong>in</strong>g from an<br />

EPA, at least <strong>in</strong> some of the earlier studies<br />

as compared to more recent analysis.<br />

Nonetheless, the implementation of an EPA<br />

can have significant, and <strong>in</strong> some countries<br />

very serious, consequences for government<br />

revenues.<br />

Beyond efforts of researchers to quantify<br />

the tariff revenue losses that might result<br />

from EPAs, surpris<strong>in</strong>gly little discussion has<br />

taken place thus far on the more practical<br />

and policy-related questions of how to<br />

address the fiscal impact of the agreements.<br />

While giv<strong>in</strong>g estimates of the impact that<br />

liberalisation will have on revenues, most<br />

studies do not delve deeper <strong>in</strong>to implications<br />

of this work, and ask how trade taxes might<br />

be replaced as implementation proceeds. For<br />

some countries, replac<strong>in</strong>g rema<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g trade<br />

taxes might become a press<strong>in</strong>g concern<br />

<strong>in</strong> the next few years, especially given the<br />

substantial liberalisation that has already<br />

taken place over the last few decades.<br />

Issue 6 | Volume 9 | July / August 2010<br />

Address<strong>in</strong>g the fiscal challenges of an EPA: Some<br />

prelim<strong>in</strong>ary considerations<br />

ECDPM 1<br />

The case of Tanzania<br />

With regard to fiscal losses as a result of implement<strong>in</strong>g EPAs, Tanzanian officials familiar<br />

with the negotiations emphasise the significant proportion of revenue that cont<strong>in</strong>ues<br />

to be derived from taxes of all k<strong>in</strong>ds (i.e. not just customs duties) on imported goods:<br />

currently some 43% of total revenues orig<strong>in</strong>ate from imported goods. Not all of this<br />

revenue is under threat however, s<strong>in</strong>ce much of the tax collected comes from taxes<br />

other than import duties, such as VAT and excise taxes also levied on imported goods,<br />

which are not affected by EPA liberalisation requirements, at least directly. Furthermore,<br />

flexibility <strong>in</strong> the EPA liberalisation schedule means that some goods are excluded from<br />

liberalisation – <strong>in</strong> Tanzania’s case, these amount to around 17% of imports, <strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g<br />

some ‘big ticket’ revenue-generat<strong>in</strong>g products on which import duty will cont<strong>in</strong>ue to be<br />

applied.<br />

Conversely, it is important to understand that the elim<strong>in</strong>ation of duties will not just lead<br />

to lower customs revenue itself, but also reduce the basis for calculations of other ad<br />

valorem taxes, most notably VAT, which are generally levied after duties have already<br />

been applied. In addition, the issue of VAT has <strong>in</strong> recent years been a sensitive item on<br />

the reform agenda <strong>in</strong> Tanzania, with a reduction <strong>in</strong> the rate from 20% to 18% to br<strong>in</strong>g<br />

it closer <strong>in</strong>to l<strong>in</strong>e with regional EAC partners, further reduc<strong>in</strong>g fiscal revenues.<br />

More generally, many Tanzanians fear the potentially adverse effects that trade<br />

liberalisation may have on the economy and tax base as a whole. They are worried that<br />

<strong>in</strong>creased competition with <strong>EU</strong> suppliers may result <strong>in</strong> the collapse of some <strong>domestic</strong><br />

<strong>in</strong>dustries, <strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g some major tax-pay<strong>in</strong>g firms, lead<strong>in</strong>g to decl<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g levels of<br />

corporate <strong>in</strong>come tax collections, as well as lower collection of personal <strong>in</strong>come taxes as<br />

a result of reduced levels of employment.<br />

In terms of the policy responses that will be<br />

needed, these are likely to be fairly context<br />

specific, depend<strong>in</strong>g naturally on the scale<br />

of expected losses but also on a range of<br />

other factors, such as the exist<strong>in</strong>g tax mix,<br />

the strength of the economy and breadth<br />

of the tax base, tax-rais<strong>in</strong>g capacity (<strong>in</strong><br />

terms of the ease of implement<strong>in</strong>g new<br />

taxes or strengthen<strong>in</strong>g the collection of<br />

others), or even whether there is scope<br />

for current spend<strong>in</strong>g levels to be reduced<br />

as government services are delivered<br />

more efficiently. The debate should thus<br />

shift away both from theory and rhetoric,<br />

towards more concrete actions to address<br />

the potential revenue shortfalls, with a role<br />

for all stakeholders, <strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g governments,<br />

the private sector, researchers and donors.<br />

What strategies can <strong>ACP</strong> countries and their<br />

partners adopt to mitigate the negative<br />

consequences of liberalisation and take<br />

advantage of opportunities for wider reform<br />

or consolidation <strong>in</strong> the area of taxation?<br />

Below are some prelim<strong>in</strong>ary considerations,<br />

with illustrations from Tanzania and<br />

Mozambique that highlight the differences<br />

and similarities at the country level between<br />

different <strong>ACP</strong> countries on the revenue<br />

consequences of EPAs.<br />

The reform context: vary<strong>in</strong>g expectations<br />

and perceptions<br />

Given that the various models of EPA<br />

revenue losses lack perfect foresight and<br />

can offer only tentative <strong>in</strong>dications on what<br />

to expect, it is perhaps unsurpris<strong>in</strong>g that<br />

op<strong>in</strong>ions amongst officials on the issue<br />

also tend to differ amongst and with<strong>in</strong><br />

<strong>ACP</strong> countries. In some parts, the views of<br />

officials and stakeholders at the country<br />

level often cont<strong>in</strong>ue to reflect long-held<br />

positions on the consequences of EPAs more<br />

generally, with ‘EPA sceptics’ highlight<strong>in</strong>g<br />

the potential negative effects of EPAs on<br />

revenues and competitiveness. In contrast,<br />

‘EPA supporters’ put greater emphasis on<br />

the dynamic opportunities and gradual<br />

transition process. Underp<strong>in</strong>n<strong>in</strong>g such views,<br />

however, is the fact that the context of<br />

reform is very different <strong>in</strong> <strong>ACP</strong> countries,<br />

depend<strong>in</strong>g on factors like the <strong>in</strong>itial basel<strong>in</strong>e<br />

position, ongo<strong>in</strong>g dynamics of regional<br />

<strong>in</strong>tegration, and the available options for<br />

reform.


Issue 6 | Volume 9 | July / August 2010 11<br />

The reform context <strong>in</strong> Mozambique<br />

In contrast to their counterparts from Tanzania, officials from Mozambique who have<br />

followed EPAs tend to view the revenue consequences of the agreements for their<br />

country as be<strong>in</strong>g relatively limited, for a number of reasons that illustrate the diversity<br />

of countries’ experiences. In the first <strong>in</strong>stance, Mozambique’s officials po<strong>in</strong>t to their<br />

lower reliance on tariff revenue over recent years – and the fact that regardless of the<br />

controversies surround<strong>in</strong>g an EPA more generally, the agreement fits well with<strong>in</strong> the<br />

pursuit of economic reforms, <strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g trade and tariff liberalisation and tax reform,<br />

result<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> a lower reliance on customs duties and a more open and liberalised<br />

economy, which is a key element of the government’s development policy.<br />

Secondly, officials po<strong>in</strong>t out that regional <strong>in</strong>tegration, pr<strong>in</strong>cipally <strong>in</strong> the SADC context,<br />

will have an important <strong>in</strong>fluence on customs duty revenues <strong>in</strong> com<strong>in</strong>g years, <strong>in</strong><br />

many ways regardless of EPA liberalisation. SADC (and ma<strong>in</strong>ly South Africa) is now<br />

Mozambique’s foremost trad<strong>in</strong>g partner, with around 40% of imports com<strong>in</strong>g from the<br />

region – by contrast imports from the <strong>EU</strong> represented 12% of total imports <strong>in</strong> 2007,<br />

fall<strong>in</strong>g from 15% <strong>in</strong> 2005.<br />

F<strong>in</strong>ally, Mozambique officials po<strong>in</strong>t out that many of the goods actually be<strong>in</strong>g<br />

liberalised under the EPAs – such as capital goods or <strong>in</strong>termediate <strong>in</strong>puts – typically<br />

enter Mozambique under special duty exemptions given to large <strong>in</strong>vestment or aid<br />

projects. One consequence of this is that while some theoretical models might po<strong>in</strong>t<br />

to Mozambique los<strong>in</strong>g fairly significant amounts of revenue based on assumptions<br />

about how much customs duty is collected, and on data that does not reflect recent<br />

shifts <strong>in</strong> the structure of trade – <strong>in</strong> reality the losses could likely to be less severe. Even<br />

where liberalisation of such goods does result <strong>in</strong> revenue losses, officials po<strong>in</strong>t out that<br />

at the same time the reductions <strong>in</strong> prices are more likely to encourage development<br />

rather than create negative competition, <strong>in</strong> l<strong>in</strong>e aga<strong>in</strong> with Mozambique’s general<br />

development strategy.<br />

From a political po<strong>in</strong>t of view, the difficulty<br />

for hesitant governments fac<strong>in</strong>g the<br />

prospect of trade liberalisation is that the<br />

potential for revenue losses are immediately<br />

apparent, while the benefits will only be<br />

seen over time. While the dynamic effects<br />

of an EPA are unpredictable, opponents to<br />

an EPA can easily highlight the potential<br />

revenue losses through simple calculations<br />

of forgone import duties. Comb<strong>in</strong>ed with<br />

parallel trade liberalisation processes at the<br />

regional level and global crises (economic,<br />

food, energy, etc.), some political leaders<br />

might be reluctant to engage <strong>in</strong> a far<br />

reach<strong>in</strong>g agreement with the <strong>EU</strong> whose<br />

benefits are uncerta<strong>in</strong>.<br />

One potential first step <strong>in</strong> such cases would<br />

be to conduct more <strong>in</strong>-depth assessments of<br />

the impacts of EPAs – at the country level,<br />

perhaps jo<strong>in</strong>tly commissioned – with a focus<br />

not on specific estimates, but rather on the<br />

robustness or fragility of countries’ revenue<br />

base, or the overall economic costs and<br />

benefits.<br />

Strategies to address fiscal losses related<br />

to EPA implementation<br />

Solutions that have so far been identified for<br />

deal<strong>in</strong>g with the revenue consequences of<br />

EPAs <strong>in</strong>clude those that have been proposed<br />

<strong>in</strong> the context of negotiations – seek<strong>in</strong>g to<br />

establish close l<strong>in</strong>ks between liberalisation<br />

commitments and some compensatory<br />

f<strong>in</strong>ancial assistance comb<strong>in</strong>ed with support<br />

to fiscal reforms, as part of Aid for <strong>Trade</strong>.<br />

Beyond this, an emphasis should also be put<br />

on more general reform measures aimed at<br />

<strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g the tax-rais<strong>in</strong>g capacity of <strong>ACP</strong><br />

countries, which are further removed from<br />

the specific issue of EPAs and form part of a<br />

broader fiscal reform and <strong>domestic</strong> <strong>resource</strong><br />

<strong>mobilisation</strong> agenda. Measures here can<br />

range from build<strong>in</strong>g the adm<strong>in</strong>istrative<br />

capacity of tax adm<strong>in</strong>istrations to target<br />

specific groups of taxpayers, to tackl<strong>in</strong>g<br />

<strong>in</strong>ternational tax issues – such as tax evasion<br />

by mult<strong>in</strong>ational actors and (illegal) capital<br />

flight – at a bilateral or global level. Different<br />

approaches are often complementary, and<br />

<strong>in</strong>clude:<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

F<strong>in</strong>anc<strong>in</strong>g mechanisms for ‘direct<br />

compensation’ of EPA net fiscal<br />

losses: here it is <strong>in</strong>terest<strong>in</strong>g to note<br />

some precedents where the EC has<br />

undertaken to provide direct support<br />

to provide partial compensation for<br />

fiscal losses due to trade liberalisation,<br />

either <strong>in</strong> the context of EPAs – as <strong>in</strong><br />

West Africa2 , or <strong>in</strong> the context of<br />

regional trade liberalisation – as <strong>in</strong> East<br />

Africa through the Regional Integration<br />

Support Mechanism (RISM) programme.<br />

EPA ‘accompany<strong>in</strong>g measures’ lead<strong>in</strong>g<br />

to higher tax collection through<br />

economic growth: Aid for trade for EPA<br />

implementations and adjustments will<br />

be key to allow <strong>ACP</strong> economies to reap<br />

the potential benefits of an EPA, which<br />

<strong>in</strong> turn would lead to higher economic<br />

growth and associated tax collections.<br />

Wider tax reform to broaden the<br />

tax base and <strong>in</strong>crease compliance:<br />

EPAs need also to act as a catalyst<br />

for or build on wider reforms <strong>in</strong> <strong>ACP</strong><br />

countries, <strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g on fiscal reforms,<br />

<strong>in</strong> particular as part of a strong<br />

emerg<strong>in</strong>g agenda on <strong>domestic</strong> <strong>resource</strong><br />

<strong>mobilisation</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>ACP</strong> countries. 3<br />

Go<strong>in</strong>g forward, one key challenge will<br />

be the need for political leadership and<br />

commitment to address EPA-related fiscal<br />

adjustments and broader fiscal reforms,<br />

as an <strong>in</strong>tegral part of a <strong>domestic</strong> <strong>resource</strong>s<br />

<strong>mobilisation</strong> agenda, with appropriate<br />

development and technical support.<br />

Notes<br />

1 This article draws on some <strong>in</strong>itial analysis conducted by<br />

ECDPM for a project funded by IrishAid on the fiscal<br />

adjustments result<strong>in</strong>g from EPAs. The f<strong>in</strong>al study,<br />

written by San Bilal, Dan Lui and Melissa Dalleau, will<br />

be published <strong>in</strong> the com<strong>in</strong>g weeks. Comments and<br />

suggestions are welcome; contact: San Bilal: sb@<br />

ecdpm.org<br />

2 See the article by David Laborde <strong>in</strong> this issue.<br />

3 See the article by Henri-Bernard Solignac-Lecomte <strong>in</strong><br />

this issue.


12<br />

Fiscal impact of the Economic Partnership<br />

Agreement (EPA) <strong>in</strong> West Africa<br />

David Laborde<br />

Will trade liberalisation bear an<br />

adjustment cost for <strong>ACP</strong> countries?<br />

If so, how much and who will pay<br />

for it? What are the strategies<br />

for reduc<strong>in</strong>g or even elim<strong>in</strong>at<strong>in</strong>g<br />

these costs? These are all sensitive<br />

questions fac<strong>in</strong>g <strong>ACP</strong> and European<br />

negotiators <strong>in</strong> the context of the<br />

negotiations of the Economic<br />

Partnership Agreements (EPAs).<br />

Qualitatively and quantitatively def<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g<br />

the “net fiscal impact” of an EPA: a<br />

complex undertak<strong>in</strong>g<br />

In West Africa - one of the most important<br />

regions <strong>in</strong> demographic and economic<br />

terms among the <strong>ACP</strong> - European and<br />

African negotiators decided to <strong>in</strong>form their<br />

discussions with a regional Computable<br />

General Equilibrium model led by a<br />

jo<strong>in</strong>t committee. Indeed, answer<strong>in</strong>g the<br />

above questions required a common<br />

tool to quantify certa<strong>in</strong> key issues <strong>in</strong> the<br />

negotiations, especially the notion of net<br />

fiscal impact. The loss of customs revenues<br />

has been a major concern for West Africa’s<br />

governments, which face tense budgetary<br />

situations and economies with an extensive<br />

<strong>in</strong>formal sector, present<strong>in</strong>g a challenge for<br />

replac<strong>in</strong>g border taxes with a <strong>domestic</strong><br />

tax system. The <strong>EU</strong> committed itself to<br />

accompany and support the <strong>ACP</strong> partners<br />

dur<strong>in</strong>g the liberalisation phase <strong>in</strong> order<br />

to protect aga<strong>in</strong>st the negative effects<br />

result<strong>in</strong>g from trade reform, which is why<br />

it is necessary to assess and determ<strong>in</strong>e the<br />

forms of this support. Nonetheless, three<br />

important po<strong>in</strong>ts must be borne <strong>in</strong> m<strong>in</strong>d.<br />

First, this is an unprecedented commitment.<br />

While the <strong>EU</strong> has negotiated numerous free<br />

trade agreements, until the EPAs it has not<br />

committed to pay the adjustment costs of<br />

its partners. 1 Second, the very concept of<br />

“net fiscal impact” is new, and must be<br />

def<strong>in</strong>ed before any quantification can be<br />

undertaken. F<strong>in</strong>ally, one should note the<br />

orig<strong>in</strong>ality of the approach, which revolves<br />

around the notion of partnership between<br />

the <strong>EU</strong> and ECOWAS, as the parameters<br />

and hypotheses of the model have been<br />

determ<strong>in</strong>ed jo<strong>in</strong>tly by the two parties, <strong>in</strong><br />

order to avoid politicis<strong>in</strong>g the exercise.<br />

<strong>Trade</strong> liberalisation and its fiscal effects<br />

The fiscal effects of trade liberalisation are<br />

numerous. First, the abolition of customs<br />

duties leads to a loss of the custom revenues<br />

derived from European imports. Moreover,<br />

the replacement of imports com<strong>in</strong>g from<br />

non-<strong>EU</strong> countries (e.g. the United States)<br />

subject to multilateral customs duty by<br />

non-taxed European products will lead to<br />

additional revenue losses. At the analytical<br />

level, it is important to make a dist<strong>in</strong>ction<br />

between theoretical revenues (nom<strong>in</strong>al<br />

rate multiplied by the value of imports)<br />

and the level of tax actually collected. The<br />

latter is sometimes significantly lower (less<br />

than 60% for some countries), because<br />

of tax avoidance, corruption or legal tax<br />

exemptions (i.e., sector-based <strong>in</strong>itiatives,<br />

tariff suspension, imports by government or<br />

<strong>in</strong>ternational agencies). Moreover, customs<br />

duties are not the only type of tax levied<br />

at the border: excise duties or value-added<br />

tax (VAT), for example, are also applied<br />

on imports. If those taxes are not directly<br />

affected by liberalisation, their tax base is.<br />

For <strong>in</strong>stance, the volume of (and therefore<br />

revenue from) imports will <strong>in</strong>crease, but<br />

the value of imports, <strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g the value<br />

of custom tariffs, which is the basis of<br />

calculation for the VAT, can be reduced. In<br />

the case of a perfect substitution of taxed<br />

local products by imported products, the<br />

net impact will be negative. However, if<br />

the imports replace the production of the<br />

<strong>in</strong>formal sector, which previously evaded the<br />

tax system, the impact will be positive. The<br />

comb<strong>in</strong>ation of the different mechanisms<br />

will therefore depend on the consumers’<br />

sensitivity to prices and on the efficiency of<br />

the <strong>in</strong>itial tax collection. 2 By chang<strong>in</strong>g the<br />

growth path at the macroeconomic level,<br />

liberalisation will also have an impact on<br />

<strong>in</strong>come derived from VAT.<br />

Issue 6 | Volume 9 | July / August 2010<br />

Indirect taxation is not the only channel to<br />

be considered. Income tax – both corporate<br />

and <strong>in</strong>dividual – will also be modified by<br />

changes <strong>in</strong> the levels of profit, wages<br />

and employment. Moreover, changes <strong>in</strong><br />

profitability will also affect public – or quasipublic<br />

– companies and have consequences<br />

on the consolidated budget of public<br />

authorities.<br />

Adoption of a Computable General<br />

Equilibrium Model<br />

To be able to take all these effects <strong>in</strong>to<br />

account, particularly with<strong>in</strong> the scope of<br />

commercial liberalisation spread over 15 to<br />

20 years, requires a model as comprehensive<br />

as possible. In this respect the regional<br />

Computable General Equilibrium model<br />

seems to be the best choice: it can<br />

determ<strong>in</strong>e the “net” impact on the<br />

government’s total tax <strong>in</strong>come, consider<strong>in</strong>g<br />

all the effects previously discussed.<br />

This def<strong>in</strong>ition of the “net” fiscal impact can<br />

seem <strong>in</strong>complete, however, because it does<br />

not address the level of public spend<strong>in</strong>g<br />

that will also react to trade liberalisation.<br />

Nevertheless, the spend<strong>in</strong>g aspect entails<br />

difficult questions. For example, how will<br />

spend<strong>in</strong>g on social services and public<br />

<strong>in</strong>vestments be affected? For this reason, we<br />

have decided to focus on the “revenue” side<br />

of the equation.<br />

Def<strong>in</strong>ition of the analytical framework<br />

Once the net fiscal impact has been<br />

def<strong>in</strong>ed, an important question rema<strong>in</strong>s:<br />

what should be the po<strong>in</strong>t of comparison?<br />

At the beg<strong>in</strong>n<strong>in</strong>g of the EPA negotiations,<br />

the African negotiators <strong>in</strong>sisted that the<br />

old Cotonou preferences should to be<br />

used as the reference po<strong>in</strong>t (i.e., the cost<br />

or benefit of the EPA should be compared


Issue 6 | Volume 9 | July / August 2010 13<br />

to the “current” situation). On the other<br />

hand, European negotiators <strong>in</strong>sisted on the<br />

fact that the reference po<strong>in</strong>t should be the<br />

Generalized System of Preferences (GSP),<br />

s<strong>in</strong>ce after 2007 the unilateral preferences<br />

could not exist anymore and this alternative<br />

was thus irrelevant.<br />

The second option obviously leads to a<br />

more optimistic assessment of the EPA.<br />

S<strong>in</strong>ce 2008, the European position is de<br />

facto the most relevant, even if some<br />

observers th<strong>in</strong>k that it does not follow the<br />

<strong>in</strong>itial commitment’s spirit. Yet this does<br />

not necessarily mean that the debate on<br />

this question is closed. In fact, we now<br />

need to know if the actual base for the<br />

negotiation of a regional EPA should be<br />

the GSP applied to exports to the <strong>EU</strong>,<br />

while also ma<strong>in</strong>ta<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g the actual pric<strong>in</strong>g<br />

structures of Western African countries,<br />

or if the temporary agreements signed,<br />

and the associated concessions, must be<br />

used as a reference for Ghana and the<br />

Ivory Coast. In the latter case, the regional<br />

EPA usually results <strong>in</strong> a reduction of the<br />

liberalisation granted at a bilateral level and<br />

thus <strong>in</strong> a fiscal ga<strong>in</strong>. F<strong>in</strong>ally, the question of<br />

ECOWAS’ common external tariff arises:<br />

fixed at an <strong>in</strong>termediate level between<br />

the UEMOA (West African Economic and<br />

Monetary Union) level and the Nigerian<br />

level, for example, it would <strong>in</strong>crease the<br />

tax loss of French-speak<strong>in</strong>g countries and<br />

reduce that of Nigeria. We also have to keep<br />

<strong>in</strong> m<strong>in</strong>d that the tax impacts will depend<br />

on the degree and the sequenc<strong>in</strong>g of the<br />

liberalisation. Greater market open<strong>in</strong>g will<br />

result <strong>in</strong> higher losses from foregone custom<br />

duties. The very composition of the list of<br />

sensitive products plays an important part,<br />

and also presents a difficult choice for the<br />

African negotiators: should they protect<br />

the products that generate tax revenue or<br />

products considered critical to the rural or<br />

<strong>in</strong>dustrial development?<br />

Prelim<strong>in</strong>ary results: a mixed picture<br />

S<strong>in</strong>ce the negotiation process is not over yet,<br />

it would be a premature to present specific<br />

numbers on the fiscal impact of the <strong>EU</strong>-West<br />

Africa EPA. However, bas<strong>in</strong>g our judgment<br />

on the exist<strong>in</strong>g outl<strong>in</strong>es of the agreement,<br />

we can give a couple of rough estimates.<br />

Overall, customs revenues should be<br />

reduced by 30% at the most 3 for the whole<br />

ECOWAS, and between 20% and 40% for<br />

the different countries, which represents<br />

10% of total <strong>in</strong>direct tax revenue. Therefore,<br />

the impacts are not the disaster claimed<br />

by some, but at the same time cannot be<br />

ignored. The distribution of these losses is<br />

an important issue and Nigeria itself would<br />

represent a third of this amount.<br />

Tackl<strong>in</strong>g the challenge: possible<br />

strategies<br />

The evaluation of the net fiscal impact is<br />

just one step of the negotiation process. It<br />

is also advisable to consider solutions to the<br />

problem. First, one could consider the option<br />

of “fiscal neutralisation” through a transfer<br />

from the <strong>EU</strong> under the form of budget<br />

support. In this respect, it is important to<br />

note that the amounts to be <strong>in</strong>vested are<br />

less important than the net fiscal impact<br />

previously assessed. In fact, if the transfer<br />

programme is implemented at the same<br />

time as liberalisation is undertaken, public<br />

spend<strong>in</strong>g will not have to decrease and<br />

economic growth will not slow down (which<br />

generated additional losses). Secondly,<br />

national fiscal policy can be reformed and<br />

adapted. For example, some customs duties<br />

can be replaced by excise duties, the VAT<br />

can be <strong>in</strong>creased or direct taxes modified to<br />

get back a part of the lost customs taxes.<br />

Indeed, the suppression of customs duty<br />

results <strong>in</strong> a decrease <strong>in</strong> <strong>domestic</strong> prices of<br />

imported goods, which benefits consumers<br />

and firms but triggers a loss for the state.<br />

In response, governments can ma<strong>in</strong>ta<strong>in</strong><br />

tax pressure and <strong>in</strong> do<strong>in</strong>g so, retrieve the<br />

amounts earned by other economic agents.<br />

If this strategy is the most logical <strong>in</strong> the<br />

long term, it is also difficult to implement<br />

<strong>in</strong> countries that have set up numerous<br />

tax reforms and are confronted by a large<br />

<strong>in</strong>formal sector that escapes official taxation.<br />

Any <strong>in</strong>crease of the tax rate would then<br />

only encourage a switch to the <strong>in</strong>formal<br />

sector, worsen<strong>in</strong>g the situation even more.<br />

Thirdly, the development policy associated<br />

with the EPAs, the PAPED (EPA Development<br />

Program 4 ), could sufficiently re<strong>in</strong>force<br />

economic growth and generate additional<br />

tax <strong>in</strong>come that will cover the direct losses<br />

due to trade liberalisation. This scenario is<br />

more optimistic, but its success will depend<br />

on the exact characteristics of the PAPED.<br />

Conclusion<br />

Western Africa offers a very relevant<br />

example of the use of economic models<br />

<strong>in</strong> free trade negotiations. Even when<br />

<strong>in</strong>complete, these tools can help quantify<br />

some of the questions that are of critical<br />

<strong>in</strong>terest to political decision-makers and help<br />

clarify the consequences of various options.<br />

Well used, they offer a coherent framework<br />

for the negotiat<strong>in</strong>g parties, which force<br />

participants to expla<strong>in</strong> their offers and<br />

expectations. In the context of estimat<strong>in</strong>g<br />

the fiscal impact of the EPAs, the selected<br />

approach allows the parties to tackle the<br />

problem head-on and to immediately def<strong>in</strong>e<br />

a tailored and negotiated strategy, <strong>in</strong>stead<br />

of deny<strong>in</strong>g the reality or allow<strong>in</strong>g utopian<br />

fantasies obscure the debate.<br />

Author<br />

David Laborde is an economist at the International<br />

Food Policy Reseach Institute (IFPRI – Wash<strong>in</strong>gton DC)<br />

and has collaborated with the ECOWAS-EC Regional<br />

Preparatory Task Force <strong>in</strong> the context of ECOWAS EPA<br />

negotiations s<strong>in</strong>ce 2007.<br />

Notes<br />

1 It is necessary to note, however, that <strong>in</strong> the past, the<br />

<strong>EU</strong> did help West African countries to deal with the<br />

revenue loss related to their own regional <strong>in</strong>tégration.<br />

2 It is important to keep <strong>in</strong> m<strong>in</strong>d that <strong>in</strong> certa<strong>in</strong> cases,<br />

the efficiency of this collection can be endogenous to<br />

the deregulation process, if the latter comes with a tax<br />

reform or <strong>in</strong>vestments <strong>in</strong> customs adm<strong>in</strong>istration, etc.<br />

3 We take the upper bound of the open<strong>in</strong>g rate, with<br />

an 80% threshold.<br />

4 See on this subject our issue of <strong>Trade</strong> Negotiations<br />

Insights dedicated to the PAPED/EPAD : <strong>Trade</strong><br />

Negotiations Insights, Vol9, No5, June 2010. See also :<br />

ECDPM. 2010. The <strong>EU</strong> Commitment to Deliver Aid for<br />

<strong>Trade</strong> <strong>in</strong> West Africa and Support the EPA<br />

Development Programme (PAPED). (ECDPM Discussion<br />

Paper 96). Maastricht: ECDPM


14<br />

Mapp<strong>in</strong>g donors’ <strong>in</strong>volvement <strong>in</strong> the area of<br />

taxation and development: The case for better<br />

coord<strong>in</strong>ation and division of labour<br />

International Tax Compact Secretariat<br />

Strengthen<strong>in</strong>g tax systems and support<strong>in</strong>g<br />

develop<strong>in</strong>g countries’ efforts to <strong>in</strong>crease<br />

<strong>domestic</strong> revenue is receiv<strong>in</strong>g grow<strong>in</strong>g<br />

attention with<strong>in</strong> development cooperation.<br />

The declarations of Monterrey (2002)<br />

and Doha (2008) have emphasised<br />

the importance of <strong>domestic</strong> <strong>resource</strong><br />

<strong>mobilisation</strong> for susta<strong>in</strong>able development.<br />

Numerous <strong>in</strong>ternational and national<br />

<strong>in</strong>itiatives and platforms have also<br />

emerged <strong>in</strong> recent years, underly<strong>in</strong>g the<br />

importance of the topic (e.g. EITI, Tax Justice<br />

Network, International Tax Dialogue, S4TP,<br />

International Tax Compact, Task Force of<br />

OECD/DAC on Taxation and Development,<br />

etc.). The African Development Bank has<br />

dedicated its African Economic Outlook<br />

2010 to the topic of “Public <strong>resource</strong><br />

mobilization and aid <strong>in</strong> Africa ”. 1 And<br />

most recently the <strong>EU</strong> Council adopted a<br />

communication on “Tax and Development<br />

- Cooperat<strong>in</strong>g with Develop<strong>in</strong>g Countries<br />

on Promot<strong>in</strong>g Good Governance <strong>in</strong> Tax<br />

Matters”, which was elaborated by the<br />

European Commission under the Spanish<br />

Presidency. 2<br />

Thus, the importance of efficient systems of<br />

taxation and <strong>domestic</strong> revenue <strong>mobilisation</strong><br />

<strong>in</strong> develop<strong>in</strong>g countries is <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>gly<br />

recognised. To ensure that efforts aimed<br />

at improv<strong>in</strong>g cooperation, collaboration<br />

and alignment <strong>in</strong> the area of taxation are<br />

well targeted, it is first and foremost critical<br />

to survey what is be<strong>in</strong>g done, where and<br />

how. A mapp<strong>in</strong>g of world-wide activities<br />

<strong>in</strong> the area of taxation and development<br />

reveals that quite a number of actors are<br />

already work<strong>in</strong>g on these issues. Although<br />

each of these actors has different priorities<br />

and modalities of work, geographic and<br />

thematic overlaps are frequent.<br />

Much engagement <strong>in</strong> taxation, but also<br />

regional overlap<br />

Indeed, a country-specific mapp<strong>in</strong>g exercise<br />

conducted with<strong>in</strong> the framework of the<br />

International Tax Compact (ITC), and as<br />

part of a broader mapp<strong>in</strong>g survey, <strong>in</strong>dicates<br />

generally good worldwide coverage of<br />

tax-related assistance projects by donors.<br />

However, these activities are at times very<br />

<strong>in</strong>tense, with many donors work<strong>in</strong>g on<br />

tax issues <strong>in</strong> the same country, while other<br />

countries are not supported at all. Asia and<br />

Central and South America seem to be<br />

quite well covered by donor engagement,<br />

for example, while coverage of the African<br />

cont<strong>in</strong>ent seems to be slightly less extensive.<br />

This is alarm<strong>in</strong>g as the tax revenue to GDP<br />

ratio is especially low <strong>in</strong> Africa, <strong>in</strong>dicat<strong>in</strong>g<br />

weak revenue rais<strong>in</strong>g capacities and,<br />

consequently, the necessity for <strong>in</strong>tensive and<br />

long-last<strong>in</strong>g assistance. The <strong>in</strong>itial impression<br />

that the regional coverage of support <strong>in</strong><br />

Africa is not yet sufficient is confirmed when<br />

only long-term projects, last<strong>in</strong>g for at least<br />

several months, are taken <strong>in</strong>to account and<br />

mission-based cooperation of IMF Regional<br />

Technical Assistance Centers (RTACs) is left<br />

aside. While there is <strong>in</strong>tensive donor activity<br />

<strong>in</strong> many parts of Africa, 17 out of 53 African<br />

countries - a third of the entire cont<strong>in</strong>ent -<br />

still do not receive long-last<strong>in</strong>g tax-related<br />

assistance.<br />

The International Tax Compact (ITC)<br />

As an <strong>in</strong>formal platform of donor<br />

and partner countries and <strong>in</strong> close<br />

communication with NGOs and the<br />

private sector, the ITC br<strong>in</strong>gs together<br />

the relevant actors <strong>in</strong> the area of taxation<br />

and development <strong>in</strong> order to strengthen<br />

revenue rais<strong>in</strong>g capacities. Launched by<br />

the German Federal M<strong>in</strong>istry for Economic<br />

Cooperation and Development<br />

(BMZ), the ITC aims to promote tax<br />

systems that allow partner countries to<br />

be more effective <strong>in</strong> fight<strong>in</strong>g tax evasion<br />

and <strong>in</strong>appropriate tax practices with<br />

the <strong>in</strong>tention to achieve national and<br />

<strong>in</strong>ternational development goals. BMZ<br />

has commissioned GTZ and KfW to<br />

support the <strong>in</strong>itiative’s implementation.<br />

The secretariat is based <strong>in</strong> Bonn.<br />

Issues broadly treated but weak division<br />

of labor<br />

On the other hand, the topical-mapp<strong>in</strong>g<br />

conducted as part of the same survey and<br />

cover<strong>in</strong>g thematic characteristics of the<br />

organisation’s work related to taxation show<br />

that tax-related activities cover a broad<br />

range of issues, <strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g <strong>domestic</strong> and<br />

<strong>in</strong>ternational taxation, areas of expertise<br />

(tax systems reforms, tax adm<strong>in</strong>istration<br />

Issue 6 | Volume 9 | July / August 2010<br />

and organisation reform, tax laws, etc)<br />

and country groups (develop<strong>in</strong>g countries,<br />

emerg<strong>in</strong>g market economies, transition<br />

countries). Yet activities are often carried<br />

out by all organisations with only slight<br />

concentration on specific issues. Thus, the<br />

division of labor between the different<br />

actors is here aga<strong>in</strong> rather weak.<br />

Enhanc<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>ternational cooperation<br />

As a result, the f<strong>in</strong>d<strong>in</strong>gs of both the regionspecific<br />

and the topical mapp<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>dicate<br />

a high potential of duplication of work,<br />

<strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g projects of multiple donors <strong>in</strong> a<br />

specific country, as well as identical work<strong>in</strong>g<br />

areas with regards to the content of the<br />

programmes undertaken. Although it is not<br />

clear whether duplications actually occur,<br />

it is obvious that organisations need to<br />

<strong>in</strong>crease the level of <strong>in</strong>formation shar<strong>in</strong>g<br />

to guarantee that assistance is <strong>in</strong>deed<br />

complementary and aligned. Moreover,<br />

an improved division of labour would<br />

encourage <strong>in</strong>-depth expertise - both with<br />

respect to the regional or country-specific<br />

background as well as <strong>in</strong> terms of technical<br />

knowledge. Also, a more focused approach<br />

and division of labour would unleash forces<br />

<strong>in</strong> areas and regions not well covered so far.<br />

Author<br />

International Tax Compact Secretariat. This article is<br />

based on the Map<strong>in</strong>g Survey on Taxation and<br />

Development by Daniel Köhnen, Thorben, Kundt and<br />

Christiane Schuppert, realized by ITC and super-vised<br />

by the Deutsche Gesellschaft fur Technische<br />

Zusammenarbeit (GTZ) on behalf of the Federal<br />

M<strong>in</strong>-istry for Economic Cooperation and Development<br />

(BMZ). Further <strong>in</strong>formation on the ITC can be obta<strong>in</strong>ed<br />

at: www.taxcompact.net<br />

Notes<br />

1 See Henri-Bernard Solignac Lecompte, “Taxation for<br />

Development <strong>in</strong> Africa: A Shared Responsibility”,<br />

pages 3-4 of this issue.<br />

2 This Communication is available at; http://ec.europa.<br />

eu/development/icenter/repository/COMM_<br />

COM_2010_0163_TAX_DEVELOPMENT_EN.PDF


Issue 6 | Volume 9 | July / August 2010<br />

WTO<br />

Roundup<br />

Brazil, US strike framework deal <strong>in</strong><br />

cotton dispute<br />

<strong>Trade</strong> officials from Brazil and the United<br />

States reached a place-holder accord <strong>in</strong> June<br />

that delays until 2012 the imposition of<br />

trade sanctions <strong>in</strong> a protracted dispute over<br />

Wash<strong>in</strong>gton’s cotton subsidies.<br />

The ‘framework’ deal that was announced<br />

on Friday outl<strong>in</strong>es a new set of negotiations<br />

and consultations that will take place over<br />

the next two years as US lawmakers revise<br />

the Farm Bill, the omnibus legislation that<br />

governs the form and value of subsidies<br />

for US farmers, which will expire on 30<br />

September 2012.<br />

The framework agreement obligates the US<br />

to fork over US$147.3 million per year <strong>in</strong><br />

the form of a “technical assistance fund”<br />

to help Brazilian farmers. Wash<strong>in</strong>gton<br />

officials have also agreed to work toward<br />

benchmarks for specific changes to its<br />

controversial GSM-102 programme and to<br />

establish “a limit on trade-distort<strong>in</strong>g cotton<br />

subsidies,” accord<strong>in</strong>g to a statement from<br />

the Office of the US <strong>Trade</strong> Representative.<br />

Officials from both sides will meet four times<br />

a year as the next Farm Bill takes shape.<br />

“This is not a f<strong>in</strong>al solution, but it lays out<br />

elements that will allow for consultations<br />

and reforms to the Farm Bill that will take<br />

place by the end of 2012,” said Roberto<br />

Azevedo, Brazil’s ambassador to the WTO,<br />

accord<strong>in</strong>g to a report <strong>in</strong> The F<strong>in</strong>ancial<br />

Times. “Brazil doesn’t rule out tak<strong>in</strong>g<br />

countermeasures at any moment.”<br />

The United States’ cotton subsidies have<br />

long been a stick<strong>in</strong>g po<strong>in</strong>t <strong>in</strong> the Doha<br />

Round of world trade talks at the WTO. A<br />

number of develop<strong>in</strong>g countries, <strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g<br />

Brazil, have urged the US to reform the<br />

support it offers its cotton farmers, but US<br />

officials have so far failed to <strong>in</strong>dicate what<br />

changes they might be will<strong>in</strong>g to adopt.<br />

Wash<strong>in</strong>gton’s failure to overhaul its cotton<br />

programme has had important implications<br />

for cotton farmers <strong>in</strong> Brazil and other<br />

develop<strong>in</strong>g countries, accord<strong>in</strong>g to a recent<br />

study conducted by Mario Jales, a graduate<br />

resident fellow at Cornell University. 1<br />

The analysis found that world cotton prices<br />

would have jumped by 6% if the US had<br />

agreed to make cuts outl<strong>in</strong>ed <strong>in</strong> proposals<br />

that African nations have put forward <strong>in</strong><br />

the Doha talks. Such an <strong>in</strong>crease could have<br />

brought significant ga<strong>in</strong>s to cotton farmers<br />

<strong>in</strong> the develop<strong>in</strong>g world.<br />

A number of develop<strong>in</strong>g<br />

countries, <strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g Brazil,<br />

have urged the US to<br />

reform the support it<br />

offers its cotton farmers,<br />

but US officials have so<br />

far failed <strong>in</strong>dicate what<br />

changes they might be<br />

will<strong>in</strong>g to adopt.<br />

WTO officials frustrated over lack of<br />

momentum on Doha<br />

WTO Director-General Pascal Lamy<br />

attempted to <strong>in</strong>ject a positive tone <strong>in</strong>to<br />

a meet<strong>in</strong>g of the <strong>Trade</strong> Negotiations<br />

Committee on 11 June, which saw<br />

delegations express their frustration at<br />

the Doha Round’s slow progress. While<br />

members all reaffirmed their commitment to<br />

the prompt conclusion of the Round, many<br />

were concerned about political tensions<br />

among delegations that seem to be hold<strong>in</strong>g<br />

the talks back.<br />

Lamy rem<strong>in</strong>ded the delegations of the<br />

Round’s potential benefits, referr<strong>in</strong>g to it as<br />

a “stimulus package that has a susta<strong>in</strong>able<br />

and last<strong>in</strong>g impact” and call<strong>in</strong>g trade “an<br />

eng<strong>in</strong>e to generate growth and contribute<br />

towards the recovery.”<br />

Along with call<strong>in</strong>g up members to avoid<br />

fall<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>to complacency, Lamy also spoke<br />

about the need to pursue a “cocktail”<br />

approach to negotiations, an approach<br />

that he first referred to <strong>in</strong> his report to the<br />

General Council <strong>in</strong> May of this year.<br />

The cocktail approach, accord<strong>in</strong>g to Lamy’s<br />

earlier report, <strong>in</strong>cludes the follow<strong>in</strong>g<br />

three <strong>in</strong>gredients: meet<strong>in</strong>gs organised<br />

by negotiat<strong>in</strong>g group chairs, prelim<strong>in</strong>ary<br />

contacts between trade m<strong>in</strong>isters, and<br />

Lamy’s own consultations with delegations.<br />

Lamy reiterated that these three <strong>in</strong>gredients<br />

must be comb<strong>in</strong>ed to produce an effective<br />

result.<br />

15<br />

Lamy added, however, that the tim<strong>in</strong>g still<br />

was not right to do a “horizontal give and<br />

take” on the Doha issues that are still open,<br />

given that “we need all these issues to be<br />

at the same level of technical maturity, and<br />

this is not the case yet.” He <strong>in</strong>sisted that any<br />

horizontal discussions would have to <strong>in</strong>clude<br />

all topics that were still outstand<strong>in</strong>g.<br />

Given the pr<strong>in</strong>ciple of “s<strong>in</strong>gle undertak<strong>in</strong>g,”<br />

nearly every item of on the Doha<br />

Development Agenda needs to be treated<br />

as part of the whole. As Lamy has frequently<br />

rem<strong>in</strong>ded delegates, “Noth<strong>in</strong>g is agreed<br />

until everyth<strong>in</strong>g is agreed.”<br />

Zambia, however, speak<strong>in</strong>g on behalf of<br />

the group of Least Developed Countries,<br />

or LDCs, asked that members consider an<br />

“early harvest” for the follow<strong>in</strong>g four areas:<br />

quota-free, duty-free market access for LDC<br />

exports; preferential trade <strong>in</strong> services for<br />

LDCs; an ambitious package on cotton; and<br />

simplification of rules-of-orig<strong>in</strong>.<br />

At the TNC meet<strong>in</strong>g, Lamy described “extra<br />

quantum” - a term he used <strong>in</strong> a meet<strong>in</strong>g<br />

<strong>in</strong> Paris recently - as a “comb<strong>in</strong>ation of<br />

ambition and balance for all participants,”<br />

call<strong>in</strong>g upon countries to give the talks<br />

added momentum so that the Doha process<br />

can move forward.<br />

Some delegations took the TNC meet<strong>in</strong>g as<br />

an opportunity to challenge Lamy’s use of<br />

this language. India, for <strong>in</strong>stance, stated that<br />

they did not believe phrases like “added<br />

quantum” were helpful for the Doha<br />

Round. Rais<strong>in</strong>g the bar <strong>in</strong> these negotiations<br />

would be counterproductive and should be<br />

avoided, the Indian delegate said. Some of<br />

the other countries present also reiterated<br />

this concern.<br />

Delegations at the TNC meet<strong>in</strong>g also spoke<br />

at length about whether the current Doha<br />

package was balanced, and about how big<br />

of a role the agriculture and <strong>in</strong>dustrial goods<br />

talks should play <strong>in</strong> the Round.


16 Issue 6 | Volume 9 | July / August 2010<br />

Brazil, speak<strong>in</strong>g on behalf of the G20<br />

group of develop<strong>in</strong>g country farm exporters<br />

(not to be confused with the G20 group<br />

of major economic powers), stated that<br />

the December 2008 draft modalities text<br />

set the appropriate level of ambition and<br />

balance, and that there was no need to<br />

make additional concessions regard<strong>in</strong>g these<br />

issues. The US, however, claimed that there<br />

was never the balance that other members<br />

say exists.<br />

Members lament lack of progress on<br />

cotton<br />

WTO Director-General Pascal Lamy told<br />

trade delegates <strong>in</strong> a fax on 12 May that<br />

cotton has become a “litmus test” for the<br />

“development dimension” of the Doha<br />

Round. However, at a recent review of<br />

the issue’s stand<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> WTO talks, some<br />

countries, such as Tanzania, alleged that no<br />

progress has been made s<strong>in</strong>ce 2005.<br />

Leonce Kone, the trade m<strong>in</strong>ister from<br />

Burk<strong>in</strong>a Faso - a cotton-export<strong>in</strong>g Least<br />

Developed Country (LDC) - jo<strong>in</strong>ed Genevabased<br />

trade delegates <strong>in</strong> consult<strong>in</strong>g with<br />

WTO Deputy Director-General Harsha<br />

S<strong>in</strong>gh on 7 June. These consultations are<br />

part of the work of a Sub-Committee on<br />

Cotton, which was mandated <strong>in</strong> the General<br />

Council’s July 2004 framework agreement to<br />

conclude the Doha Round. The committee’s<br />

remit is to review “all trade-distort<strong>in</strong>g<br />

policies affect<strong>in</strong>g the sector <strong>in</strong> all three<br />

pillars of market access, <strong>domestic</strong> support,<br />

and export competition.”<br />

The consultations are <strong>in</strong>tended to feed<br />

<strong>in</strong>to a broader process that allows WTO<br />

members and donors to gauge progress on<br />

cotton - specifically with regards to trade,<br />

development, and the need for <strong>domestic</strong><br />

reforms. Many develop<strong>in</strong>g country members<br />

used the 7 June meet<strong>in</strong>g to express concern<br />

over the lack of attention that the issue has<br />

received <strong>in</strong> recent years.<br />

Brazil, which is engaged <strong>in</strong> negotiations to<br />

settle a WTO dispute with the US on cotton,<br />

called developed country subsidies an<br />

unfair source of competition for develop<strong>in</strong>g<br />

country farmers, while suggest<strong>in</strong>g that<br />

consultations <strong>in</strong> the negotiations have<br />

backtracked.<br />

The United States, the world’s largest<br />

subsidiser of cotton, repeated on Monday<br />

its position that WTO agriculture talks <strong>in</strong> all<br />

other major areas should be resolved before<br />

negotiators turn to cotton.<br />

Tanzania <strong>in</strong>sisted that development<br />

assistance without cuts <strong>in</strong> <strong>domestic</strong> support<br />

would lead nowhere, a common refra<strong>in</strong><br />

among other develop<strong>in</strong>g country members.<br />

Director-General Lamy, <strong>in</strong> a letter to WTO<br />

ambassadors, rem<strong>in</strong>ded them of the<br />

grow<strong>in</strong>g amount of development assistance<br />

that is be<strong>in</strong>g offered on cotton, even dur<strong>in</strong>g<br />

the global economic and f<strong>in</strong>ancial crisis.<br />

Accord<strong>in</strong>g to the WTO, the disbursement<br />

of funds for cotton-related assistance has<br />

<strong>in</strong>creased by 24% to US$266 million from<br />

the last such report.<br />

Tanzania <strong>in</strong>sisted that<br />

development assistance<br />

without cuts <strong>in</strong><br />

<strong>domestic</strong> support would<br />

lead nowhere, a<br />

common refra<strong>in</strong> among<br />

other develop<strong>in</strong>g<br />

country members.<br />

US, <strong>EU</strong> <strong>in</strong>k deal to end banana dispute<br />

The United States and the European Union<br />

signed an agreement that should br<strong>in</strong>g to a<br />

close their long-runn<strong>in</strong>g dispute over trade<br />

<strong>in</strong> bananas on 8 June, on the heels of a<br />

related pact that was signed by the <strong>EU</strong> and<br />

a group of Lat<strong>in</strong> American countries a week<br />

earlier.<br />

Under the agreement, the European Union<br />

pledged to implement a non-discrim<strong>in</strong>atory,<br />

tariff-only regime for its banana imports.<br />

“I am pleased that we, together with<br />

the Lat<strong>in</strong> American banana-produc<strong>in</strong>g<br />

countries, have taken one more significant<br />

step toward ensur<strong>in</strong>g that the <strong>EU</strong>’s bananas<br />

import regime is consistent with its WTO<br />

obligations,” said US <strong>Trade</strong> Representative<br />

Ron Kirk.<br />

The deal, which was <strong>in</strong>itialled <strong>in</strong> Geneva<br />

<strong>in</strong> December of last year, serves as a<br />

complement to the Geneva Agreement on<br />

<strong>Trade</strong> <strong>in</strong> Bananas, the pact that was signed<br />

by the <strong>EU</strong> and a group of Lat<strong>in</strong> American<br />

countries on 31 May.<br />

The United States soon jo<strong>in</strong>ed the Lat<strong>in</strong><br />

Americans <strong>in</strong> their suits aga<strong>in</strong>st Brussels.<br />

The US is not a major banana exporter, but<br />

several large banana companies - Chiquita,<br />

Del Monte and Dole - operate <strong>in</strong> Lat<strong>in</strong><br />

America but are headquartered <strong>in</strong> the US.<br />

This <strong>in</strong>formation has been summarised from<br />

ICTSD’s Bridges Weekly <strong>Trade</strong> News Digest.<br />

Notes<br />

1 How Would A <strong>Trade</strong> Deal On Cotton Affect Export<strong>in</strong>g<br />

And Import<strong>in</strong>g Countries?, Mario Jales, International<br />

Centre for <strong>Trade</strong> and Susta<strong>in</strong>able Development, May<br />

2010, http://ictsd.org/i/publications/77906/


Issue 6 | Volume 9 | July / August 2010<br />

EPA<br />

Update<br />

Melissa Julian<br />

African regions seek common positions<br />

on EPAs<br />

The European and African Union (AU)<br />

Commissions held a meet<strong>in</strong>g, attended for<br />

the first time by the African Regional<br />

Economic Communities, on 8 June where<br />

one of the issues discussed was the Economic<br />

Partnership Agreements (EPAs). The meet<strong>in</strong>g<br />

followed an AU EPA negotiations<br />

coord<strong>in</strong>ation meet<strong>in</strong>g on 20- 21 May, aimed<br />

at achiev<strong>in</strong>g synergy and coherence <strong>in</strong> the<br />

EPA negotiations. The AU also presented a<br />

paper to the EC highlight<strong>in</strong>g contentious<br />

issues <strong>in</strong> the EPA negotiations. These were<br />

identified as:<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

The EC’s position that the World <strong>Trade</strong><br />

Organization (WTO) def<strong>in</strong>ition of<br />

substantially all trade coverage and<br />

transitional time frames requires that all<br />

African countries and customs territories<br />

under the EPA have to liberalise at least<br />

80% of their value of trade with<strong>in</strong> 15<br />

years. African countries and regions have<br />

proposed to liberalise 60-70% of their<br />

trade dur<strong>in</strong>g periods of over 20 years,<br />

argu<strong>in</strong>g that this is necessary for Least<br />

Developed Countries (LDCs). The AU<br />

also notes that there is no clear<br />

def<strong>in</strong>ition at the WTO on this question.<br />

African countries’ position that the EC’s<br />

proposal to prohibit the use of export<br />

taxes and quantitative restrictions under<br />

EPAs is an unnecessary WTO-plus<br />

requirement that would limit the policy<br />

space to use these measures for value<br />

addition, diversification, <strong>in</strong>fant-<strong>in</strong>dustry<br />

promotion, food security, revenue and<br />

environmental considerations.<br />

The EC’s proposal to <strong>in</strong>clude a Most<br />

Favoured Nation Clause (MFN) <strong>in</strong> the<br />

EPAs, which would require African<br />

countries to extend to the European<br />

Union any more favourable treatment that<br />

it would give to any other “major trad<strong>in</strong>g<br />

partner”. African countries feel this limits<br />

their scope to sign ambitious trade<br />

agreements with emerg<strong>in</strong>g economies.<br />

EC hesitance to allow for future tariff<br />

modifications, which African countries<br />

argue are necessary to take account of<br />

the evolution of regional <strong>in</strong>tegration<br />

programmes.<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

•<br />

African countries’ proposals for<br />

asymmetry <strong>in</strong> the rules of orig<strong>in</strong> to take<br />

account of the differences <strong>in</strong> the level of<br />

development between African countries<br />

and the <strong>EU</strong>. African governments want<br />

unconditional cumulation with all <strong>ACP</strong><br />

and neighbour<strong>in</strong>g countries.<br />

African countries’ proposal to allow<br />

agricultural safeguards, on the grounds<br />

that products orig<strong>in</strong>at<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> the <strong>EU</strong> can<br />

cause serious <strong>in</strong>jury <strong>in</strong> African markets.<br />

The EC’s proposal that African<br />

community levies should be phased<br />

down, which the Africans feel<br />

underm<strong>in</strong>es f<strong>in</strong>anc<strong>in</strong>g for regional<br />

<strong>in</strong>tegration programs.<br />

African countries’ proposals for legally<br />

b<strong>in</strong>d<strong>in</strong>g measures to ensure additional<br />

<strong>EU</strong> <strong>resource</strong>s are provided and effectively<br />

implemented to support EPA<br />

implementation.<br />

Central Africa EPA meet<strong>in</strong>gs delayed<br />

aga<strong>in</strong><br />

A meet<strong>in</strong>g of the Central Africa EPA contact<br />

group, which plans to establish a work<br />

programme for EPA negotiations, has yet to<br />

be held. The Central African EPA Regional<br />

Negotiat<strong>in</strong>g Committee is due to meet <strong>in</strong><br />

mid-July <strong>in</strong> K<strong>in</strong>shasa to flesh out negotiat<strong>in</strong>g<br />

positions.<br />

EC officials were expected <strong>in</strong> the region from<br />

16-23 June to meet with trade m<strong>in</strong>isters from<br />

Congo Brazzaville (the current president of<br />

the Economic Community of Central African<br />

States), Gabon and the General Secretary of<br />

the Economic Community of Central African<br />

States (ECCAS). No further <strong>in</strong>formation has<br />

been provided, but expectations were that<br />

discussions would focus on the details of the<br />

conclusions of the February Central Africa<br />

m<strong>in</strong>isterial meet<strong>in</strong>g on EPAs.<br />

Contentious issues rema<strong>in</strong> follow<strong>in</strong>g<br />

latest round of West Africa-<strong>EU</strong> EPA<br />

negotiations<br />

An <strong>EU</strong>-ECOWAS (Economic Community of<br />

West African States) m<strong>in</strong>isterial-level meet<strong>in</strong>g<br />

held on 15 June reiterated the commitment<br />

of both sides to resolve the outstand<strong>in</strong>g areas<br />

of divergence and swiftly conclude a regional<br />

EPA cover<strong>in</strong>g trade <strong>in</strong> goods, EPA-related<br />

cooperation and other trade-related issues by<br />

the end of 2010 1 . M<strong>in</strong>isters also welcomed<br />

the conclusions of the <strong>EU</strong> Council regard<strong>in</strong>g<br />

the West African EPA Development<br />

Programme (EPADP) adopted on 10 May.<br />

Both parties agreed on the need to ensure<br />

the availability of f<strong>in</strong>anc<strong>in</strong>g from the <strong>EU</strong> and<br />

other parties as soon as possible.<br />

17<br />

Jo<strong>in</strong>t technical-level EPA negotiations were<br />

held <strong>in</strong> Ouagadougou from 2-11 June. 2<br />

Based on the results of the ECOWAS Council<br />

of M<strong>in</strong>isters meet<strong>in</strong>g on 31 May, 3 West Africa<br />

ma<strong>in</strong>ta<strong>in</strong>ed its market access offer of 70%<br />

coverage with a transition period of 25 years<br />

start<strong>in</strong>g after a 5-year moratorium. The<br />

region also rejected the EC’s proposal for the<br />

<strong>in</strong>clusion of MFN and non-execution clauses<br />

<strong>in</strong> the EPA. Some progress was made on the<br />

formula for tariff dismantl<strong>in</strong>g and the<br />

correspond<strong>in</strong>g calendar, although there is<br />

uncerta<strong>in</strong>ty over the Common External Tariff’s<br />

(CET) def<strong>in</strong>ition, classifications and<br />

completion (issues which were discussed at a<br />

CET regional meet<strong>in</strong>g between the ECOWAS<br />

and the West African Economic and<br />

Monetary Union Commissions from 24-28<br />

May and will be raised aga<strong>in</strong> <strong>in</strong> July). As a<br />

result, there is currently no clear start<strong>in</strong>g po<strong>in</strong>t<br />

for tariff dismantl<strong>in</strong>g. West Africa also called<br />

for the ma<strong>in</strong>tenance of regional levies.<br />

There was an <strong>in</strong>itial discussion on West<br />

Africa’s proposal for a protocol on the<br />

modalities for implement<strong>in</strong>g EPADP. The first<br />

substantial discussion on proposals from both<br />

parties on rendezvous clauses was also held.<br />

There was also a constructive exchange on<br />

rules of orig<strong>in</strong> (ROI) based on a paper from<br />

the <strong>EU</strong> on asymmetries with respect to the<br />

rules applied to agriculture and fisheries<br />

products. Negotiations will cont<strong>in</strong>ue <strong>in</strong> all<br />

areas.<br />

East and Southern Africa cont<strong>in</strong>ue<br />

preparations for July-August round of<br />

EPA negotiations<br />

There have been no EPA meet<strong>in</strong>gs over the<br />

past month, but the East and Southern<br />

African (ESA) region cont<strong>in</strong>ues to prepare for<br />

the next round of technical and political-level<br />

negotiations to explore ways of resolv<strong>in</strong>g the<br />

contentious issues based on a reality check of<br />

what is feasible <strong>in</strong> a full and <strong>in</strong>clusive EPA that<br />

goes beyond trade <strong>in</strong> goods (i.e., cover<strong>in</strong>g<br />

services, <strong>in</strong>vestment, government


18 Issue 6 | Volume 9 | July / August 2010<br />

procurement, competition etc). The ESA will<br />

write to the EC summaris<strong>in</strong>g the region’s<br />

position on the way forward.<br />

Seychelles f<strong>in</strong>alised their ratification process<br />

for the IEPA on 21 May. 4<br />

East African Community and EC agree to<br />

focus on sign<strong>in</strong>g comprehensive EPA<br />

An East African Community (EAC)-<strong>EU</strong><br />

m<strong>in</strong>isterial meet<strong>in</strong>g, preceded by a senior<br />

officials meet<strong>in</strong>g, took place <strong>in</strong> Dar es Salaam<br />

on 9 June. 5 Ahead of the meet<strong>in</strong>g, there were<br />

<strong>in</strong>dications that the Framework EPA (FEPA),<br />

<strong>in</strong>itialled <strong>in</strong> November 2007, would be signed<br />

by EAC m<strong>in</strong>isters, but <strong>in</strong> the week prior to the<br />

negotiations, a letter from the EAC’s WTO<br />

coord<strong>in</strong>ator to EAC governments, Tanzanian<br />

Ambassador Dr. Matern Lumbanga, reported<br />

serious reservations about the content and<br />

tim<strong>in</strong>g of the FEPA, particularly its<br />

compatibility with the flexibilities already<br />

provided to EAC countries <strong>in</strong> the WTO. For<br />

this reason, Lumbanga urged governments<br />

not to sign the FEPA <strong>in</strong> its current form.<br />

Progress was made <strong>in</strong> the negotiations <strong>in</strong><br />

relation to sanitary and phytosanitary<br />

measures, technical barriers to trade, and<br />

customs and trade facilitation. Text was also<br />

agreed for the articles on dispute settlement.<br />

In other areas - export taxes, the MFN clause,<br />

and allowance for future tariff modifications<br />

to take account of the evolution of regional<br />

<strong>in</strong>tegration programmes - no consensus was<br />

reached.<br />

The EAC also wanted to <strong>in</strong>clude a reference<br />

to the development matrix - which had been<br />

expected to be completed before the summer<br />

- <strong>in</strong> the EPA to make it a legally b<strong>in</strong>d<strong>in</strong>g<br />

commitment. However, the EC wants to<br />

<strong>in</strong>clude this only <strong>in</strong> the comprehensive EPA.<br />

The EAC ma<strong>in</strong>ta<strong>in</strong>ed its position that its<br />

proposed changes rectify factual errors <strong>in</strong> the<br />

FEPA text and the <strong>in</strong>itialled FEPA should be<br />

amended to reflect these before sign<strong>in</strong>g and<br />

mov<strong>in</strong>g on to negotiations on a<br />

comprehensive EPA. For its part, the EC<br />

argues that the proposed changes would<br />

alter the substance of the <strong>in</strong>itialled agreement<br />

and that it has no mandate to amend the<br />

FEPA. Instead, the EC wants the EAC to sign<br />

the November 2007 FEPA and then move to<br />

<strong>in</strong>clude any changes <strong>in</strong> the eventual<br />

comprehensive EPA. The EC also emphasised<br />

that the current situation is untenable s<strong>in</strong>ce it<br />

provides duty-free, quota free access for the<br />

EAC to the <strong>EU</strong> market with no commitments<br />

from the EAC.<br />

The parties, therefore, agreed to accelerate<br />

negotiations for a comprehensive EPA –<br />

which could <strong>in</strong>clude revised texts on<br />

contentious issues and also services,<br />

<strong>in</strong>vestment, <strong>in</strong>tellectual property rights,<br />

government procurement and competition<br />

– with a view to reach<strong>in</strong>g agreement so that<br />

a full EPA could be ready for signature by the<br />

end of November 2010, prior to the AU-<strong>EU</strong><br />

summit. <strong>EU</strong> <strong>Trade</strong> Commissioner Karel De<br />

Gucht made it clear that he would do his<br />

upmost to ma<strong>in</strong>ta<strong>in</strong> applied tariffs provided<br />

that both parties conduct negotiations <strong>in</strong><br />

good faith.<br />

SADC and EC hold first round of EPA<br />

negotiations <strong>in</strong> nearly a year<br />

On 3 June, the <strong>EU</strong> Council adopted its<br />

position to be taken with<strong>in</strong> the <strong>EU</strong>-South<br />

Africa Cooperation Council on amendments<br />

to the <strong>EU</strong>-South Africa agreement on trade,<br />

development and cooperation, <strong>in</strong> order to<br />

align certa<strong>in</strong> sensitive tariffs with those<br />

applied to <strong>EU</strong> products by Botswana, Lesotho<br />

and Swaziland. 6<br />

On 25 and 26 May, technical and senior<br />

officials’ from the EC and Southern African<br />

Development Community (SADC) met <strong>in</strong><br />

Brussels, for the first time <strong>in</strong> nearly a year, to<br />

discuss the way forward <strong>in</strong> the EPA<br />

negotiations. 7 The EC stressed the need to<br />

proceed with sign<strong>in</strong>g, notification and<br />

implementation of the IEPA <strong>in</strong> order to<br />

provide legal security to the <strong>EU</strong> market access<br />

enjoyed by the SADC EPA states. In parallel, a<br />

comprehensive EPA should be negotiated,<br />

says the EC. For its part, the SADC underl<strong>in</strong>ed<br />

its commitment to move towards notification<br />

and provisional application of the IEPA and to<br />

negotiate a comprehensive EPA by the end of<br />

2010, but considers it necessary to first<br />

address the outstand<strong>in</strong>g issues <strong>in</strong> the IEPA.<br />

SADC requested stronger guarantees and<br />

reassurances that the Swakopmund texts<br />

agreed <strong>in</strong> March 2009 would replace exist<strong>in</strong>g<br />

IEPA provisions. The EC reiterated that the<br />

agreement of Swakopmund would prevail<br />

and the new provisions would be <strong>in</strong>tegrated<br />

<strong>in</strong> the comprehensive EPA once concluded.<br />

Follow<strong>in</strong>g the meet<strong>in</strong>g, Botswana’s chief<br />

negotiator, James Masisi, said that the EC<br />

confirmed this commitment <strong>in</strong> a letter.<br />

“Thus, there is legal assurance to say the <strong>EU</strong><br />

has agreed to this,” said Masisi. 8<br />

SADC <strong>in</strong>sisted on the need to solve tariff<br />

alignment issues. The EC <strong>in</strong>dicated that the<br />

SACU CET is not under risk until the <strong>in</strong>terim<br />

EPA is applied, s<strong>in</strong>ce the South African <strong>Trade</strong><br />

and Development Cooperation Agreement<br />

(TDCA) is de facto applied by all SACU<br />

countries. The EC ma<strong>in</strong>ta<strong>in</strong>s that once the<br />

IEPA is implemented, tariff alignment is<br />

possible. The EC also <strong>in</strong>dicated that another<br />

option is to move directly to the<br />

comprehensive EPA with the whole region, <strong>in</strong><br />

which case any alignment on tariffs and rules<br />

of orig<strong>in</strong> would be unnecessary.<br />

The SADC requested modifications on the<br />

rules of orig<strong>in</strong> provisions <strong>in</strong> the IEPA –<br />

<strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g an alignment of the TDCA and IEPA<br />

provisions, cumulation, maritime issues, tuna<br />

derogation and adm<strong>in</strong>istrative cooperation<br />

agreement.<br />

South Africa repeated its <strong>in</strong>terest to improve<br />

its access to the <strong>EU</strong> market beyond the<br />

current TDCA provisions. Given that other<br />

SACU states already enjoy duty and quota<br />

free access, the <strong>EU</strong> considered that there<br />

seems to be limited scope for further<br />

liberalisation, s<strong>in</strong>ce an adequate level of<br />

reciprocity is required from South Africa. Both<br />

sides agreed that these tariff negotiations<br />

should not h<strong>in</strong>der the rapid conclusion of a<br />

comprehensive EPA.<br />

Both sides <strong>in</strong>dicated they are ready to resume<br />

negotiations on services and <strong>in</strong>vestment. The<br />

SADC suggested that the <strong>in</strong>vestment chapter<br />

should be limited to cooperation, while the<br />

EC is seek<strong>in</strong>g liberalisation commitments.<br />

The SADC suggested elaborat<strong>in</strong>g jo<strong>in</strong>t<br />

modalities and conclud<strong>in</strong>g services<br />

negotiations with<strong>in</strong> 5 years, while the EC<br />

would like a faster process. The EC suggested<br />

a ‘differentiated’ approach whereby each<br />

SADC member could negotiate provisions<br />

<strong>in</strong>dividually with the <strong>EU</strong> and potential<br />

<strong>in</strong>compatibilities for the region to develop a<br />

common set of provisions could be<br />

addressed. SADC will consider this proposal.


Issue 6 | Volume 9 | July / August 2010<br />

SACU and SADC senior officials and<br />

m<strong>in</strong>isterial meet<strong>in</strong>gs were held from 16-18<br />

June to discuss the outcome of the latest<br />

round of EPA negotiations and clarify the pros<br />

and cons of sign<strong>in</strong>g the IEPA. M<strong>in</strong>isters<br />

approved the strategy to conclude the EPA<br />

negotiations on outstand<strong>in</strong>g issues, <strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g<br />

on tariffs and rules of orig<strong>in</strong>, and chapters on<br />

services and <strong>in</strong>vestment, so that the EPA can<br />

be signed and notified by the end of the year.<br />

Negotiations on services and <strong>in</strong>vestment<br />

liberalisation commitments should be<br />

completed <strong>in</strong> 2014.<br />

Caribbean implementation still fac<strong>in</strong>g<br />

challenges<br />

EC officials <strong>in</strong>dicate that <strong>in</strong>ternal<br />

arrangements between the CARICOM<br />

(Caribbean Community and Common<br />

Market) Member States and the Dom<strong>in</strong>ican<br />

Republic are still pos<strong>in</strong>g problems for effective<br />

EPA implementation, but could be solved<br />

with the necessary political will. 9 No further<br />

<strong>in</strong>formation has been provided to TNI.<br />

The CARICOM Council for <strong>Trade</strong> and<br />

Economic Development met from 17-18 June<br />

<strong>in</strong> Guyana, but no <strong>in</strong>formation on the<br />

outcome of the meet<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> relation to EPAs<br />

was available as TNI went to press.<br />

Pacific<br />

Pacific <strong>ACP</strong> trade officials and m<strong>in</strong>isters were<br />

scheduled to meet <strong>in</strong> Nadi <strong>in</strong> June to discuss<br />

EPAs, but no <strong>in</strong>formation on the outcome of<br />

the meet<strong>in</strong>g was available at press time. This<br />

marks the first EPA meet<strong>in</strong>g for the Pacific<br />

s<strong>in</strong>ce September 2009. Outstand<strong>in</strong>g issues <strong>in</strong><br />

the regional negotiations towards a<br />

comprehensive agreement <strong>in</strong>clude the rules<br />

of orig<strong>in</strong> applied to fishery products and a<br />

fisheries chapter, the MFN clause, export<br />

taxes, provisions to protect <strong>in</strong>fant <strong>in</strong>dustries<br />

and the non-execution clause. Services would<br />

be covered by a rendezvous clause. Sources<br />

<strong>in</strong>dicate that given the slow progress, a<br />

comprehensive regional EPA is unlikely<br />

anytime soon. An alternative be<strong>in</strong>g<br />

considered is to have more countries sign the<br />

exist<strong>in</strong>g IEPA and gradually expand its scope.<br />

Author<br />

Melissa Julian is Knowledge Management Officer with<br />

ECDPM.<br />

Notes<br />

1 <strong>EU</strong>-ECOWAS Political Dialogue at M<strong>in</strong>isterial Level.<br />

Communiqué. 15 June 2010.<br />

http://www.consilium.europa.eu/App/NewsRoom/<br />

loadDocument.aspx?id=360&lang=EN&directory=en/<br />

er/&fileName=115295.pdf<br />

2 <strong>EU</strong> and West African hold EPA talks <strong>in</strong> Ouagadougou.<br />

EC press release. 16 June 2010.<br />

http://www.acp-eu-trade.org/library/library_detail.<br />

php?doc_language=en&library_detail_id=5320<br />

3 Results of ECOWAS Council of M<strong>in</strong>isters on status of<br />

implementation of regional <strong>in</strong>tegration programmes<br />

and Economic Partnership Agreements with the <strong>EU</strong>. 31<br />

May 2010. http://news.ecowas.<strong>in</strong>t/presseshow.<br />

php?nb=094&lang=en&annee=2010<br />

4 <strong>EU</strong> welcomes ratification of <strong>in</strong>terim EPA by Seychelles.<br />

EC Press Release. 21 May 2010.<br />

trade.ec.europa.eu/doclib/html/146180.htm<br />

5 <strong>EU</strong> <strong>Trade</strong> Commissioner meets East African<br />

Community <strong>Trade</strong> M<strong>in</strong>isters. EC. 9 June 2010.<br />

http://trade.ec.europa.eu/doclib/press/<strong>in</strong>dex.<br />

cfm?id=583 and EAC-EC Economic Partnership<br />

Agreement Negotiations Held. EAC. 9 June 2010.<br />

Jo<strong>in</strong>t declaration http://www.eac.<strong>in</strong>t/component/<br />

content/451.html?task=view and<br />

<strong>EU</strong> sets November deadl<strong>in</strong>e for new trade pact with<br />

EAC. tralac. 11 June 2010. http://www.tralac.org/<br />

cgi-b<strong>in</strong>/giga.cgi?cmd=cause_dir_news_item&news_<br />

id=88407&cause_id=1694<br />

6 <strong>EU</strong> Council adopts decision on South Africa-SACU<br />

customs duties alignment. <strong>EU</strong> Council. 3 June 2010<br />

http://www.consilium.europa.eu/App/NewsRoom/<br />

loadDocument.aspx?id=352&lang=EN&directory=en/<br />

jha/&fileName=114900.pdf See also: http://register.<br />

consilium.europa.eu/pdf/en/10/st09/st09393.en10.pdf<br />

7 <strong>EU</strong> and SADC EPA Group hold EPA negotiations <strong>in</strong><br />

Brussels. EC press release. 25-26 May 2010.<br />

http://www.acp-eu-trade.org/library/library_detail.<br />

php?doc_language=en&library_detail_id=5311<br />

8 Botswana <strong>in</strong> fragile balanc<strong>in</strong>g act at EPA talks. Mmegi.<br />

20 June 2010.<br />

9 European Parliament International <strong>Trade</strong> Committee to<br />

discuss EPAs. 1 June 2010. State of Play on Economic<br />

Partnership Agreements. Presentation by the European<br />

Commission.Watch a record<strong>in</strong>g onl<strong>in</strong>e at: http://www.<br />

europarl.europa.eu/eng-<strong>in</strong>ternet-publisher/eplive/<br />

public/default.do?language=en<br />

TNI is published by<br />

The International Centre for <strong>Trade</strong> and<br />

Susta<strong>in</strong>able Development<br />

Chief Executive:<br />

Ricardo Meléndez-Ortiz<br />

Editor:<br />

Damon Vis-Dunbar<br />

Address:<br />

7 Chem<strong>in</strong> de Balexert<br />

1219 Geneva, Switzerland<br />

Tel: (41-22) 917-8947<br />

Fax: (41-22) 917-8093<br />

Email : periodicals@ictsd.ch<br />

Web: www.ictsd.net<br />

European Centre for Development Policy<br />

Management<br />

Editor:<br />

Sanoussi Bilal<br />

Address:<br />

Onze Lieve Vrouweple<strong>in</strong> 21<br />

6211 HE Maastricht,<br />

The Netherlands<br />

Tel: (31-43) 3502 900<br />

Fax: (31-43) 3502 902<br />

Email: tni@ecdpm.org<br />

Web: www.ecdpm.org<br />

Editorial team:<br />

Melissa Dalleau<br />

Isabelle Ramdoo<br />

Design:<br />

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This monthly publication is made possible through<br />

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The op<strong>in</strong>ions expressed <strong>in</strong> the signed contributions<br />

to TNI are the authors’ and do not necessarily<br />

reflect the views of ICTSD or ECDPM. Manuscripts<br />

offered for publication are expected to respect<br />

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Material from TNI can be used <strong>in</strong> other publications<br />

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© <strong>Trade</strong> Negotiations Insights<br />

ISSN 1682-6744<br />

Unless stated images are sourced from<br />

istockphoto.com<br />

19


20<br />

Issue 6 | Volume 9 | July / August 2010<br />

<strong>Trade</strong> Negotiations Insights<br />

Calendar and <strong>resource</strong>s<br />

<strong>ACP</strong>-<strong>EU</strong> Events WTO Events<br />

July<br />

1 Belgium takes over the<br />

Presidency of the European<br />

Union, Brussels, Belgium<br />

4-7 Thirty-first Conference of<br />

the CARICOM Heads of<br />

Government, Jamaica<br />

7-9 EESC regional sem<strong>in</strong>ar of<br />

<strong>ACP</strong>-<strong>EU</strong> Economic and Social<br />

Interest Groups. Addis Ababa,<br />

Ethiopia<br />

12-16 (TBC)<br />

<strong>EU</strong> – WA technical<br />

negotiations on Rules of<br />

Orig<strong>in</strong>s, (place TBC)<br />

15-16 Workshop on civil society and<br />

the Africa-<strong>EU</strong> Strategy, Addis<br />

Ababa, Ethiopia<br />

19-20/22(TBC)<br />

<strong>EU</strong> - SADC EPA technical<br />

negotiations, Brussels,<br />

Belgium<br />

19-27 Summit of the African<br />

Union (possibly preceded<br />

by civil society pre-summit),<br />

Kampala, Uganda<br />

26-27 EPA-related sem<strong>in</strong>ar for<br />

Malawi, Malawi<br />

Resources All references are available at: www.acp-eu-trade.org/library<br />

<strong>Trade</strong> relevant provisions <strong>in</strong> the Treaty<br />

of Lisbon. Implications for Economic<br />

Partnership Agreements, Koeb, E. and M.<br />

Dalleau, Discussion Paper 98, Maastricht:<br />

ECDPM, June 2010,www.ecdpm.org<br />

U-<strong>ACP</strong> Economic Partnership Agreements:<br />

State of Play at June 2010, European<br />

Commission, State of Play at June 2010, 15<br />

June 2010, trade.ec.europa.eu<br />

Commissioner De Gucht’s Speak<strong>in</strong>g Po<strong>in</strong>ts<br />

on the Future <strong>Trade</strong> Policy, European<br />

Commission on <strong>Trade</strong>, European Parliament,<br />

Committee on International <strong>Trade</strong>, 22 June<br />

2010,trade.ec.europa.eu<br />

European Parliament decision of 15 June<br />

2010 on the sett<strong>in</strong>g up and numerical<br />

strength of the Delegation to the<br />

CARIFORUM-<strong>EU</strong> Parliamentary Committee,<br />

European Parliament decision, 15 June 2010,<br />

register.consilium.europa.eu<br />

Official text - <strong>EU</strong>-US-Lat<strong>in</strong> America banana<br />

agreements, <strong>EU</strong> Official Journal. 9 June 2010,<br />

eur-lex.europa.eu<br />

Council conclusions on the Millennium<br />

Development Goals for the United Nations<br />

High-Level Plenary meet<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> New York<br />

and beyond, Council Conclusions, Council of<br />

the European Union, 3023rd FOREIGN AFFAIRS<br />

Council meet<strong>in</strong>g, Luxembourg, 14 June 2010,<br />

www.consilium.europa.eu<br />

Pr<strong>in</strong>ted on 100% recycled paper<br />

TBC SACU Council of M<strong>in</strong>isters<br />

and Heads of Government<br />

Summit, South Africa<br />

TBC ESA-EC EPA meet<strong>in</strong>g and<br />

technical round (place TBC)<br />

TBC Central African EPA Regional<br />

Negotiat<strong>in</strong>g Committee<br />

meet<strong>in</strong>g, K<strong>in</strong>shasa, RDC<br />

August<br />

23-25 ESA-EC Senior Officials<br />

EPA negotiations, Manz<strong>in</strong>i,<br />

Swaziland (TBC)<br />

25-27 28th meet<strong>in</strong>g of COMESA<br />

Council of M<strong>in</strong>isters (place<br />

TBC)<br />

27 ESA EPA Council, Manz<strong>in</strong>i,<br />

Swaziland (TBC)<br />

31-1 14th COMESA Heads of State<br />

and Government Summit,<br />

Swaziland<br />

September<br />

13-14 EPA <strong>in</strong>formation sem<strong>in</strong>ar<br />

(South Africa), Capetown, SA<br />

13-17 <strong>EU</strong>-West Africa technical<br />

and senior officials EPA<br />

meet<strong>in</strong>gs, Brussels, Belgium<br />

Proposal for a Council Decision on the<br />

signature of the regional Convention on<br />

pan-Euro-Mediterranean preferential rules<br />

of orig<strong>in</strong>, Proposal for a Council Decision,<br />

Council of the European Union, 8 June<br />

2010,register.consilium.europa.eu<br />

Proposal for a Regulation (<strong>EU</strong>) of<br />

the European Parliament and of the<br />

Council amend<strong>in</strong>g Council Regulation<br />

(EC) No 732/2008 apply<strong>in</strong>g a scheme<br />

of generalised tariff preferences for<br />

the period from 1 January 2009 to 31<br />

December 2011, Proposal from the European<br />

Commission, 27 May 2010, register.consilium.<br />

europa.eu<br />

Global Economic Prospects 2010- Summer<br />

2010 ‘Fiscal Headw<strong>in</strong>ds and Recovery’,<br />

World Bank Report, 10 June 2010,<br />

site<strong>resource</strong>s.worldbank.org<br />

Assess<strong>in</strong>g Regional Integration <strong>in</strong> Africa<br />

IV Enhanc<strong>in</strong>g Intra-African <strong>Trade</strong>, UNECA-<br />

AfDB-AU Report, May 2010, www.uneca.org<br />

Economic Development <strong>in</strong> Africa Report<br />

2010, UNCTAD Report, 18 June 2010, www.<br />

unctad.org<br />

<strong>Trade</strong> Regionalisation and Openness <strong>in</strong><br />

Africa, Lelio Iapadre, Francesca Luchetti,<br />

European University Institute, Robert Schuman<br />

Centre for Advanced Studies, Work<strong>in</strong>g Paper,<br />

June 2010, erd.eui.eu<br />

24 SACU Council meet<strong>in</strong>g, South<br />

Africa<br />

20-23 SACU Commission meet<strong>in</strong>g,<br />

South Africa<br />

TBC SADC-<strong>EU</strong> senior officials EPA<br />

meet<strong>in</strong>g (place TBC)<br />

TBC EPA technical workshop,<br />

Nadi, Fiji Islands<br />

TBC <strong>EU</strong> - SA Jo<strong>in</strong>t Cooperation<br />

Council, South Africa<br />

TBC <strong>EU</strong>-EAC EPA Information<br />

Sem<strong>in</strong>ar, Kigali, Rwanda<br />

TBC Jo<strong>in</strong>t <strong>ACP</strong>-<strong>EU</strong> M<strong>in</strong>isterial <strong>Trade</strong><br />

Committee (place and event<br />

TBC)<br />

The Costs and Benefits of Duty-Free,<br />

Quota-Free Market Access for Poor<br />

Countries: Who and What Matters, Anto<strong>in</strong>e<br />

Bouët, Kimberley Elliott, David Laborde<br />

Debucquet, Elisa Dienesch, Center for Global<br />

Development, Work<strong>in</strong>g Paper, March 2010,<br />

www.cgdev.org<br />

Do<strong>in</strong>g Bus<strong>in</strong>ess <strong>in</strong> the East African<br />

Community 2010, Report prepared as part<br />

of the EAC Investment Climate Program<br />

supported by the World Bank Group and DFID,<br />

24 May 2010, www.do<strong>in</strong>gbus<strong>in</strong>ess.org<br />

Are Simplified Customs Procedures for<br />

Imports Effectively Controlled? European<br />

Court of Auditors, Report, 7 June 2010, eca.<br />

europa.eu<br />

Leverag<strong>in</strong>g World Bank Resources for the<br />

Poorest: IDA Blended F<strong>in</strong>anc<strong>in</strong>g Facility<br />

Proposal, Benjam<strong>in</strong> Leo, Center for Global<br />

Development, Work<strong>in</strong>g Paper, 08 June 2010,<br />

www.cgdev.org<br />

Our Common Strategic Interests Africa’s<br />

Role <strong>in</strong> the Post-G8 World, Tom Cargill<br />

Chatham House Report, June 2010, www.<br />

chathamhouse.org.uk<br />

LDCs Terms of <strong>Trade</strong> dur<strong>in</strong>g Crisis and<br />

Recovery, International <strong>Trade</strong> Centre, ITC<br />

<strong>Trade</strong> Map Factsheet #3, June 2010, www.<br />

<strong>in</strong>tracen.org<br />

July<br />

5-7 <strong>Trade</strong> Policy Review Body — Ch<strong>in</strong>ese<br />

Taipei<br />

26-28 <strong>Trade</strong> Policy Review Body — The Gambia<br />

29-30 WTO General Council<br />

September<br />

15-17 WTO Public Forum 2010<br />

19 WTO Open Day 2010<br />

29 - 1/10<br />

<strong>Trade</strong> Policy Review Body — United States<br />

How imports improve productivity and<br />

competitiveness, OECD Report, May 2010,<br />

www.oecd.org<br />

<strong>Trade</strong> and the economic recovery: why<br />

open markets matter, OECD Report, May<br />

2010, www.oecd.org<br />

<strong>Trade</strong> Policy and the Economic Crisis,<br />

OECD, Report, May 2010, www.oecd.org<br />

Sixth Report on Potentially <strong>Trade</strong><br />

Restrictive Measures, EC <strong>Trade</strong> Report, 28<br />

May 2010, trade.ec.europa.eu<br />

Africa Resists the Protectionist Temptation.<br />

The 5th GTA Report Simon Evenett, 5th<br />

Global <strong>Trade</strong> Alert Report, May 2010, www.<br />

globaltradealert.org<br />

The Myth and Reality of Ch<strong>in</strong>ese Investors:<br />

A Case Study of Ch<strong>in</strong>ese Investment <strong>in</strong><br />

Zambia’s Copper Industry, South African<br />

Institute of International Affairs, Ch<strong>in</strong>a <strong>in</strong><br />

Africa Project, May 2010, www.saiia.org.za<br />

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