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2010 full-year results 3 March 2011 - UCB

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Attrition rates of failed Phase 3 candidates<br />

reveals POC Paradigm benefits<br />

OBJECTIVITY AND AND ROBUSTNESS OF<br />

REGISTERABLE OF BIOMARKER ENDPOINT<br />

H<br />

Source: Evaluate; Pharmaprojects; Factiva;<br />

literature search; McKinsey analysis; I. Kola<br />

High Biomarker<br />

Low POC<br />

Attrition rate 63%<br />

LEAST DESIRABLE QUADRANT<br />

FOR PORTFOLIO IN LATE STAGE<br />

DEVELOPMENT<br />

42% of Phase 3 trials fail*<br />

DESIRED QUADRANT FOR MOST<br />

OF PORTFOLIO<br />

Attrition rate 25%<br />

High POC<br />

Low Biomarker<br />

Attrition rate 70% Attrition rate 37%<br />

L<br />

P.O.C IN MAN<br />

H<br />

Note: Includes aggregate attrition rates for following TAs: CNS, Endocrine, CV, ID, Oncology, and<br />

Respiratory. All figures are rounded<br />

49

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