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C. Forero-Pineda / Research Policy 35 (2006) 808–824 811
global welfare rationale for resisting global unification
of IPR regimes. But the characterization of research and
development (R&D) and diffusion processes has been
criticised as insufficiently grounded on empirical information
and, therefore, misleading in terms of the critical
policy implications that can be drawn from the models. 3
Deardorff (1992) follows the same line in questioning
a universal standard for IPR, with a simple static twocountry
model, where all inventions take place in one of
them. His main conclusion is that, for a wide set of circumstances,
it is not optimal to extend patent protection
to all countries in the world. His argument is based on
the analysis of the trade-off between higher incentives
to invention and the distortion of consumer choice by
monopoly pricing. At some point the incentives to generate
new inventions are offset by the costs of monopoly
pricing over existing technologies.
Helpman (1993) analyses the impact of tightening
intellectual property rights on terms of trade, production
composition, available products and inter-temporal
allocation of consumption. For that, he develops a tworegion
general equilibrium framework partly based on
Krugman (1979), 4 and uses alternatively exogenous and
endogenous rates of innovation. He limits the technological
activity of the less developed region to imitation.
Also, as the author explicitly recognises, the two-region
division is not adequate to deal with the heterogeneity of
less developed countries (Helpman, 1993, p. 1250), but
he claims it deals best with newly industrialised countries
interacting with developed countries. In different
ways, Helpman shows that, in the absence of foreign
investment, ‘southern’ countries tightening intellectual
property rights do not obtain benefits. Even when the
rate of innovation is responsive to IPR, its initial rise
is temporary and does not compensate for the ensuing
decline. With foreign investment by multinationals,
Helpman shows conditions for which the reallocation
of manufacturing, resulting in higher prices for larger
fractions of products, brings welfare losses to the less
developed region; and he identifies circumstances (no
foreign investment and low rate of imitation) where both
regions may benefit from relaxation of IPRs.
Lai and Qiu (2001) address the issue asking comparable
questions in a setting with both innovation and imitation.
They measure the level of protection by the length
of patents, and compare two stylised situations that are
3 For one such critique, see David (1997).
4 Krugman (1979) analysed a north-south situation where the north
led in technology development, but the issue of IPR was not addressed
directly.
assimilated to those standing before and after the Trade-
Related Intellectual Property Agreements (TRIPs). In a
two-region, stationary-state, partial-equilibrium setting
they calculate the Nash equilibrium before the agreement,
and analyse the impact of increasing the level
of protection of southern countries on north, south and
global welfare. They propose a way of relating tariff
barriers in the north with technological and industrial
development in the southern region. One result they
obtain is that the higher the protection in the north, the
lower the optimal protection in the south.
Other conclusions advanced by Lai and Qiu are not
likely to be so robust. Despite some assumptions ensuring
the asymmetry of the two regions, the model depicts
trade and technology relations between a large and a
small-developed country, rather than between one developed
and one developing country. Their results depend
critically on this structural similarity between the two
regions. One surprising and questionable conclusion
(due perhaps to the extreme partial equilibrium restrictions
they impose) is that, though the south loses when it
unilaterally increases its level of protection, global welfare
is enhanced, even when the south adopts a level of
protection higher than the north’s. Assumptions about
market size and elasticity of innovation in the south are
also critical to obtain this result. Lai and Qiu also address
north–south distributional issues of TRIPs in the context
of trade. They are discussed below.
Grossman and Lai (2002) follow the same line of discussion,
focusing on the incentives of north and south to
extend the protection of IPRs, in a non-cooperative scenario.
They assume that human capital and labour are
the factors of production of inventions. Also, the production
function for new inventions is homogenous of
degree one and the same in north and south. This would
imply that the physical marginal productivity of human
capital is larger in the developing country, where there is
less human capital. Externalities and scale economies are
excluded from the production of knowledge. Since they
do not make assumptions about structural differences
between the two innovation systems, besides a plausible
assumption of a larger human capital stock in the north,
they require an ad hoc market-size assumption to predict
longer protection of patents in the north.
Several empirical studies have addressed the same or
related issues. McCalman (2001) estimates the increase
in present value of patent protection granted to foreigners
and of patents outstanding abroad for a set of 29 developed
and developing countries. A striking result of his
calculations, based on imputed patent values, is that all
developing and some developed countries in the studied
set lose with the application of TRIPs. One of the lat-