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Lecture_7_CVA_201820180402201111

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Introduction

Counterparty Risk

Counterparty Risk Management

Counterparty risk is the risk that one bank faces in order to be able to lend money

or invest towards a counterparty with relevant default risk.

The bank needs to measure that risk and cover for it by setting capital aside.

Credit VaR is calculated through the following steps:

1 the basic financial variables underlying the portfolio, including also defaults of

the counterparties, are simulated under the historical probability measure

P, up to the risk horizon

2 at the risk horizon, in every simulated scenario of the basic financial variables,

the portfolio is priced, eventually obtaining a number of scenarios for the

portfolio value at the risk horizon. “Priced”means that discounted future cash

flows of the portfolio after the risk horizon are averaged, conditional on each

scenario at the risk horizon but under the (pricing) risk neutral measure Q

Paola Mosconi 20541 – Lecture 10-11 14 / 86

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