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educe the quality of dwellings. Therefore, they are consistent with the theoretical predictions<br />

of cases I and S.<br />

Table 2 Probit coefficients and marginal effects (total effect)<br />

Variable Coefficient Standard error Marginal effect<br />

Intercept 1.41 ∗∗∗ 0.056<br />

Tenant-owned housing −0.12 ∗∗∗ 0.036 −0.02<br />

Landlord-owned housing −0.34 ∗∗∗ 0.034 −0.06<br />

Built pre–1970 −1.33 ∗∗∗ 0.039<br />

Built 1971–1980 −0.90 ∗∗∗ 0.039<br />

Built 1981–1990 −0.46 ∗∗∗ 0.041<br />

SRC 0.13 ∗∗∗ 0.046<br />

Block −0.20 ∗ 0.118<br />

Others 0.07 0.086<br />

Room 0.04 ∗∗∗ 0.005<br />

Story 0.16 ∗∗∗ 0.020<br />

Income 0.05 ∗∗∗ 0.005<br />

Number of observations 44772<br />

Log-likelihood 4012.12<br />

∗∗∗ indicates significance at 1%; ∗ indicates significance at 10%<br />

Table 3 reports probit coefficients and marginal effects for tenure security on housing<br />

quality. In line with the theoretical predictions of both cases I and S, tenure security has an<br />

ambiguous effect on tenant-owned housing quality. For example, consider housing built before<br />

1970. Housing moved into between 1991 and 1998 is more likely to be unsound than is housing<br />

moved into before 1970 (with respective probabilities of 27% and 17%). The same is true of<br />

housing built between 1971 and 1980. Consider landlord-owned housing. The more recent the<br />

move-in date, the smaller the absolute value of the coefficient (except for housing moved into<br />

between 1981 and 1990 constructed before 1970). This implies that the longer the tenancy<br />

duration, the greater the extent of deterioration. Thus, tenure security further reduces the<br />

quality of landlord-owned housing. This result confirms the theoretical predictions of both<br />

cases I and S.<br />

21

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