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High quality papers on theoretical, empirical and applied topics ...

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m o n d a y 1 8 a p r i l<br />

t u e s d a y 1 9 a p r i l w e d n e s d a y 2 0 a p r i l<br />

2011 s p e c i a l s e s s i o n s<br />

Special Sessi<strong>on</strong> A1: Date: April 18, 2011<br />

Probability Forecasts <strong>and</strong> M<strong>on</strong>etary Policy Time: 17:45 - 19:15<br />

Martin Weale (External member, MPC, Bank of Engl<strong>and</strong>) Locati<strong>on</strong>: Arts Building AB LT1<br />

Predicting Inflati<strong>on</strong>: Professi<strong>on</strong>al Experts Versus No-Change Forecasts<br />

By Tilmann Gneiting; Heidelberg University<br />

Thordis Thorarinsdottir; Heidelberg University<br />

Presented by: Tilmann Gneiting, University of Heidelberg<br />

GDP <strong>and</strong> Inflati<strong>on</strong> Probability Forecasts Derived from the Bank of Engl<strong>and</strong> Fan Charts<br />

By Sim<strong>on</strong> van Norden; HEC M<strong>on</strong>treal<br />

John W. Galbraith; McGill University<br />

Presented by: Sim<strong>on</strong> van Norden, HEC M<strong>on</strong>tréal<br />

Short-term Inflati<strong>on</strong> Projecti<strong>on</strong>s: a Bayesian Vector Autoregressive Approach<br />

By Domenico Giann<strong>on</strong>e; ULB<br />

Michele Lenza; European Central Bank<br />

Daphne Momferatiou; European Central Bank<br />

Luca Onorante: European Central Bank<br />

Presented by: Domenico Giann<strong>on</strong>e, ULB<br />

Special Sessi<strong>on</strong> A2: Immigrati<strong>on</strong> <strong>and</strong> Crime Date: April 18, 2011<br />

Sessi<strong>on</strong> Chair: Christian Dustmann, Time: 17:45 - 19:15<br />

University College L<strong>on</strong>d<strong>on</strong> Locati<strong>on</strong>: Arts Building AB LT2<br />

Immigrant Incarcerati<strong>on</strong> in the United States 1900-1930<br />

By Carolyn M. Moehling; Yale University; Anne Morris<strong>on</strong> Piehl; Rutgers University <strong>and</strong> NBER<br />

Presented by: Anne Piehl, Rutgers University<br />

Migrati<strong>on</strong> Restricti<strong>on</strong>s <strong>and</strong> Criminal Behavior: Evidence from a Natural Experiment<br />

By Giovanni Mastrobu<strong>on</strong>i; Collegio Carlo Alberto<br />

Paolo Pinotti; Bank of Italy<br />

Presented by: Paolo Pinotti, Bank of Italy<br />

Crime <strong>and</strong> Immigrati<strong>on</strong>: Evidence from Large Immigrant Waves in the UK<br />

By Brian Bell; CEP, LSE<br />

Francesco Fasani; IAE, CSIC <strong>and</strong> CReAM<br />

Steve Machin; UCL <strong>and</strong> CEP, LSE<br />

Presented by: Francesco Fasani, UCL<br />

Special Sessi<strong>on</strong> A3: Immigrati<strong>on</strong> <strong>and</strong> Crime Date: April 18, 2011<br />

Sessi<strong>on</strong> Chair: Omer Moav, Time: 17:45 - 19:15<br />

Royal Holloway University of L<strong>on</strong>d<strong>on</strong>; Hebrew University Locati<strong>on</strong>: Windsor Auditorium<br />

State Capacity <strong>and</strong> Military C<strong>on</strong>flict<br />

By Nicola Gennaioli; CREI-UPF, Barcel<strong>on</strong>a<br />

Hans-Joachim Voth; Universitat Pompeu Fabra <strong>and</strong> ICREA<br />

Presented by: Hans-Joachim Voth, Universitat Pompeu Fabra <strong>and</strong> ICREA<br />

Weak States <strong>and</strong> Steady States: The Dynamics of Fiscal Capacity<br />

By Tim Besley; L<strong>on</strong>d<strong>on</strong> School of Ec<strong>on</strong>omics<br />

Ethan Ilzetzki; L<strong>on</strong>d<strong>on</strong> School of Ec<strong>on</strong>omics<br />

Torsten Perss<strong>on</strong>; Stockholm University<br />

Presented by: Tim Besley, L<strong>on</strong>d<strong>on</strong> School of Ec<strong>on</strong>omics<br />

Asymmetric Informati<strong>on</strong>, Malthus <strong>and</strong> the Early State<br />

Joram Mayshar, Hebrew University<br />

Omer Moav, Hebrew University <strong>and</strong> Royal Holloway, University of L<strong>on</strong>d<strong>on</strong><br />

Zvika Neeman; Tel Aviv University<br />

Presented by: Omer Moav, Royal Holloway University of L<strong>on</strong>d<strong>on</strong>; Hebrew University<br />

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