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price level). Of course, many other factors<br />

contribute to electricity consumption,<br />

such as economic activity (GDP),<br />

<strong>in</strong>dustrial structure, temporal behaviour<br />

patterns and weather. This expla<strong>in</strong>s why<br />

<strong>in</strong> Figure 1, despite a clear trend, there<br />

are significant variations. Table 1 shows<br />

the <strong>in</strong>stalled capacity by type of generat<strong>in</strong>g<br />

units for six of the ten Canadian<br />

prov<strong>in</strong>ces.<br />

But strong public ownership does<br />

not necessarily entail price regulation, as<br />

Ontario, and to a lesser extent Alberta,<br />

prove. Both prov<strong>in</strong>ces have important<br />

prov<strong>in</strong>cial or municipal government own<strong>in</strong>g<br />

electricity companies and an hourly<br />

spot market, fix<strong>in</strong>g the electricity market<br />

price. All other prov<strong>in</strong>ces use a pric<strong>in</strong>g<br />

policy based on average cost, <strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g a<br />

return on <strong>in</strong>vestment, with very little concern<br />

for marg<strong>in</strong>al costs (and consequently,<br />

for economic efficiency). New<br />

Brunswick has a bi-lateral contract system,<br />

where prices are not regulated and<br />

where there is no open hourly spot market.<br />

November/December 2007<br />

Figure 2. B.C. electric generat<strong>in</strong>g units by marg<strong>in</strong>al generation cost and demand data,<br />

$/MWh, 2006<br />

1.2 Market outcomes<br />

The different prov<strong>in</strong>cial electricity<br />

market structures allow very different<br />

market outcomes to be observed across<br />

21

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