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A Dynamic Model of Demand for Houses and Neighborhoods

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v MC<br />

�<br />

j (sit, ζit) = uijt − MCitI [j�=dit−1] + βE<br />

where<br />

log � J �<br />

k=1<br />

log � J �<br />

k=1<br />

exp(v MC<br />

k (sit, ζit)) � �<br />

� �<br />

= Eɛ V (sit, ζit, ɛit) = Eɛ<br />

exp(v MC<br />

k (sit+1, ζit+1)) �� �<br />

�<br />

�sit, dit = j<br />

maxk[v MC<br />

k<br />

�<br />

(sit, ζit) + ɛikt]<br />

Similarly to the per-period utility, we break out the full choice specific value function into a<br />

component capturing the lifetime expected utility <strong>of</strong> choosing neighborhood j ignoring moving<br />

costs <strong>and</strong> another component involves moving costs.<br />

4 Estimation<br />

v MC<br />

j (sit, ζit) = vj(sit) − MC(Zit, Xdit−1t, ζit)I [j�=dit−1] (6)<br />

�<br />

vj(sit) = uijt + βE log � J �<br />

exp(v MC<br />

k (sit+1, ζit+1)) �� �<br />

�<br />

�sit, dit = j<br />

k=1<br />

The estimation <strong>of</strong> the primitives <strong>of</strong> the model proceeds in four stages. In the first stage, we<br />

recover the non-moving cost component <strong>of</strong> lifetime expected utility. In the second stage, we<br />

recover moving costs. We also recover an estimate <strong>of</strong> the marginal utility <strong>of</strong> wealth. While<br />

a number <strong>of</strong> st<strong>and</strong>ard options <strong>for</strong> estimating the marginal utility <strong>of</strong> wealth are available, we<br />

identify the marginal utility <strong>of</strong> wealth by utilizing outside in<strong>for</strong>mation on the financial costs <strong>of</strong><br />

moves. Having recovered moving costs <strong>and</strong> the marginal utility <strong>of</strong> wealth in the second stage, we<br />

recover fully flexible estimates <strong>of</strong> the per-period utility in the third stage. With estimates <strong>of</strong> the<br />

per-period utility function, it is straight<strong>for</strong>ward to decompose per-period utility as a function<br />

<strong>of</strong> observable states in the fourth stage. A key feature <strong>of</strong> our estimation strategy is its low<br />

computational burden.<br />

18<br />

(5)<br />

(7)

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