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New Program - National Committee on United States-China Relations

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Preventive Defense Project<br />

Visits Taipei, Shanghai,<br />

and Beijing<br />

Since 1998, the <str<strong>on</strong>g>Nati<strong>on</strong>al</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Committee</str<strong>on</strong>g><br />

has been pleased to work with the<br />

Preventive Defense Project (PDP), a<br />

joint program of Stanford and Harvard<br />

Universities, <strong>on</strong> security issues in<br />

Northeast Asia. In late January of this<br />

year, the eighth such cooperative effort<br />

took place: a weekl<strong>on</strong>g series of meetings<br />

with senior officials, military leaders,<br />

academics and businessmen in Taipei,<br />

Shanghai and Beijing. The discussi<strong>on</strong>s<br />

focused <strong>on</strong> the issues of cross-Strait<br />

relati<strong>on</strong>s, North Korea, and U.S. relati<strong>on</strong>s<br />

with both the People’s Republic of <strong>China</strong><br />

and Taiwan. Former U.S. Secretary of<br />

Defense William J. Perry led the tenmember<br />

American delegati<strong>on</strong>.<br />

The first stop was Taipei, where the<br />

Ministry of Foreign Affairs, which hosted<br />

the group, arranged an excellent – and<br />

packed – two-day schedule, highlighted<br />

by a meeting with President Chen Shuibian.<br />

The group was briefed by the<br />

Minister of Defense Lee Chieh, and had<br />

Fr<strong>on</strong>t Row (L to R): Dr. Kurt Campbell, Center for Strategic and Internati<strong>on</strong>al Studies; Dr. Elizabeth Sherwood-Randall,<br />

Stanford University; Dr. David M. Lampt<strong>on</strong>, School of Advanced Internati<strong>on</strong>al Studies, Johns Hopkins University; Adm. Joseph<br />

Prueher, U.S. Navy (retired); Gen. Xi<strong>on</strong>g Guangkai, People’s Liberati<strong>on</strong> Army; Dr. William Perry, Co-Director, Preventive Defense<br />

Project (PDP), Stanford University; Premier Wen Jiabao; Dr. Michael H. Armacost, Stanford University; Dr. Asht<strong>on</strong> B. Carter,<br />

Co-Director, PDP, Harvard University; Secretary to Premier Wen; Mr. John L. Holden, <str<strong>on</strong>g>Nati<strong>on</strong>al</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Committee</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> U.S.-<strong>China</strong><br />

Relati<strong>on</strong>s; Amb. Robert D. Blackwill, Barbour Griffith & Rogers Internati<strong>on</strong>al.<br />

Back Row (L to R): Mr. Chen Zhiya, <strong>China</strong> Foundati<strong>on</strong> for Internati<strong>on</strong>al and Strategic Studies; Ms. Jan Berris, <str<strong>on</strong>g>Nati<strong>on</strong>al</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Committee</str<strong>on</strong>g><br />

<strong>on</strong> U.S.-<strong>China</strong> Relati<strong>on</strong>s; Ms. Deborah Gord<strong>on</strong>, PDP, Stanford University; Ms. Gretchen Bartlett, PDP, Harvard University;<br />

General Qian Lihua, Ministry of <str<strong>on</strong>g>Nati<strong>on</strong>al</str<strong>on</strong>g> Defense; Gen. Erik K. Shinseki, U.S. Army (retired).<br />

a series of discussi<strong>on</strong>s with Speaker of the<br />

House Wang Jing-pyng, KMT Party<br />

Chairman Lien Chan, People First Party<br />

(PFP) Vice Chair Chang Chao-hsiung and<br />

a c<strong>on</strong>tingent of the PFP, various<br />

Legislative Yuan members, the head of<br />

the <str<strong>on</strong>g>Nati<strong>on</strong>al</str<strong>on</strong>g> Security Council, AIT head<br />

Doug Paal, and representatives of the<br />

American Chamber of Commerce.<br />

The next stop was Shanghai for a twoday<br />

c<strong>on</strong>ference organized by the PRC<br />

host, the <strong>China</strong> Foundati<strong>on</strong> for<br />

Internati<strong>on</strong>al and Strategic Studies<br />

(CFISS). Delegati<strong>on</strong> members were very<br />

pleased that former Shanghai mayor<br />

Wang Daohan was present to open the<br />

c<strong>on</strong>ference and to listen attentively to the<br />

c<strong>on</strong>cerns and messages the delegati<strong>on</strong><br />

relayed. As chairman of ARATS<br />

(Associati<strong>on</strong> for Relati<strong>on</strong>s across the<br />

Taiwan Strait), Wang has been a senior<br />

advisor to Chinese presidents about cross-<br />

Strait issues. He has also been the<br />

moving force behind the CFISS-PDP-<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>Nati<strong>on</strong>al</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Committee</str<strong>on</strong>g> relati<strong>on</strong>ship.<br />

The delegati<strong>on</strong> made full use of its<br />

<strong>on</strong>e day in Beijing, meeting with Premier<br />

Wen Jiabao, Foreign Minister Li<br />

Zhaoxing, Deputy Chief of the PLA<br />

General Staff Xi<strong>on</strong>g Guangkai, and<br />

Minister of Defense Cao Gangchuan.<br />

The trip took<br />

place against the<br />

backdrop of a number<br />

of important<br />

developments:<br />

Taiwan’s December<br />

legislative electi<strong>on</strong>s<br />

had returned an<br />

oppositi<strong>on</strong> majority,<br />

likely thwarting pan-<br />

Green initiatives that<br />

would have provoked<br />

Beijing;<br />

Taipei and Beijing<br />

had worked out<br />

arrangements for<br />

direct charter flights<br />

between the island<br />

and the mainland<br />

(the first of which<br />

lifted off during the<br />

group’s meeting with<br />

the deputy director<br />

of the Taiwan Affairs<br />

Office of the State<br />

Council); shortly<br />

after the visit, the<br />

PRC sent two high level envoys to the<br />

memorial service of Koo Chen-fu,<br />

chairman of Taiwan’s Straits Exchange<br />

Foundati<strong>on</strong>; and <strong>China</strong>’s Anti-<br />

Secessi<strong>on</strong> Law was set to be passed at<br />

the upcoming meeting of the <str<strong>on</strong>g>Nati<strong>on</strong>al</str<strong>on</strong>g><br />

People’s C<strong>on</strong>gress. Other developments<br />

relating to DPRK nuclear weap<strong>on</strong>s,<br />

deteriorating Sino-Japanese relati<strong>on</strong>s,<br />

and Sino-American trade<br />

tensi<strong>on</strong> added to the rich c<strong>on</strong>tent of<br />

these Track II discussi<strong>on</strong>s. ■<br />

11<br />

NOTES

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