New Program - National Committee on United States-China Relations
New Program - National Committee on United States-China Relations
New Program - National Committee on United States-China Relations
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Preventive Defense Project<br />
Visits Taipei, Shanghai,<br />
and Beijing<br />
Since 1998, the <str<strong>on</strong>g>Nati<strong>on</strong>al</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Committee</str<strong>on</strong>g><br />
has been pleased to work with the<br />
Preventive Defense Project (PDP), a<br />
joint program of Stanford and Harvard<br />
Universities, <strong>on</strong> security issues in<br />
Northeast Asia. In late January of this<br />
year, the eighth such cooperative effort<br />
took place: a weekl<strong>on</strong>g series of meetings<br />
with senior officials, military leaders,<br />
academics and businessmen in Taipei,<br />
Shanghai and Beijing. The discussi<strong>on</strong>s<br />
focused <strong>on</strong> the issues of cross-Strait<br />
relati<strong>on</strong>s, North Korea, and U.S. relati<strong>on</strong>s<br />
with both the People’s Republic of <strong>China</strong><br />
and Taiwan. Former U.S. Secretary of<br />
Defense William J. Perry led the tenmember<br />
American delegati<strong>on</strong>.<br />
The first stop was Taipei, where the<br />
Ministry of Foreign Affairs, which hosted<br />
the group, arranged an excellent – and<br />
packed – two-day schedule, highlighted<br />
by a meeting with President Chen Shuibian.<br />
The group was briefed by the<br />
Minister of Defense Lee Chieh, and had<br />
Fr<strong>on</strong>t Row (L to R): Dr. Kurt Campbell, Center for Strategic and Internati<strong>on</strong>al Studies; Dr. Elizabeth Sherwood-Randall,<br />
Stanford University; Dr. David M. Lampt<strong>on</strong>, School of Advanced Internati<strong>on</strong>al Studies, Johns Hopkins University; Adm. Joseph<br />
Prueher, U.S. Navy (retired); Gen. Xi<strong>on</strong>g Guangkai, People’s Liberati<strong>on</strong> Army; Dr. William Perry, Co-Director, Preventive Defense<br />
Project (PDP), Stanford University; Premier Wen Jiabao; Dr. Michael H. Armacost, Stanford University; Dr. Asht<strong>on</strong> B. Carter,<br />
Co-Director, PDP, Harvard University; Secretary to Premier Wen; Mr. John L. Holden, <str<strong>on</strong>g>Nati<strong>on</strong>al</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Committee</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> U.S.-<strong>China</strong><br />
Relati<strong>on</strong>s; Amb. Robert D. Blackwill, Barbour Griffith & Rogers Internati<strong>on</strong>al.<br />
Back Row (L to R): Mr. Chen Zhiya, <strong>China</strong> Foundati<strong>on</strong> for Internati<strong>on</strong>al and Strategic Studies; Ms. Jan Berris, <str<strong>on</strong>g>Nati<strong>on</strong>al</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Committee</str<strong>on</strong>g><br />
<strong>on</strong> U.S.-<strong>China</strong> Relati<strong>on</strong>s; Ms. Deborah Gord<strong>on</strong>, PDP, Stanford University; Ms. Gretchen Bartlett, PDP, Harvard University;<br />
General Qian Lihua, Ministry of <str<strong>on</strong>g>Nati<strong>on</strong>al</str<strong>on</strong>g> Defense; Gen. Erik K. Shinseki, U.S. Army (retired).<br />
a series of discussi<strong>on</strong>s with Speaker of the<br />
House Wang Jing-pyng, KMT Party<br />
Chairman Lien Chan, People First Party<br />
(PFP) Vice Chair Chang Chao-hsiung and<br />
a c<strong>on</strong>tingent of the PFP, various<br />
Legislative Yuan members, the head of<br />
the <str<strong>on</strong>g>Nati<strong>on</strong>al</str<strong>on</strong>g> Security Council, AIT head<br />
Doug Paal, and representatives of the<br />
American Chamber of Commerce.<br />
The next stop was Shanghai for a twoday<br />
c<strong>on</strong>ference organized by the PRC<br />
host, the <strong>China</strong> Foundati<strong>on</strong> for<br />
Internati<strong>on</strong>al and Strategic Studies<br />
(CFISS). Delegati<strong>on</strong> members were very<br />
pleased that former Shanghai mayor<br />
Wang Daohan was present to open the<br />
c<strong>on</strong>ference and to listen attentively to the<br />
c<strong>on</strong>cerns and messages the delegati<strong>on</strong><br />
relayed. As chairman of ARATS<br />
(Associati<strong>on</strong> for Relati<strong>on</strong>s across the<br />
Taiwan Strait), Wang has been a senior<br />
advisor to Chinese presidents about cross-<br />
Strait issues. He has also been the<br />
moving force behind the CFISS-PDP-<br />
<str<strong>on</strong>g>Nati<strong>on</strong>al</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Committee</str<strong>on</strong>g> relati<strong>on</strong>ship.<br />
The delegati<strong>on</strong> made full use of its<br />
<strong>on</strong>e day in Beijing, meeting with Premier<br />
Wen Jiabao, Foreign Minister Li<br />
Zhaoxing, Deputy Chief of the PLA<br />
General Staff Xi<strong>on</strong>g Guangkai, and<br />
Minister of Defense Cao Gangchuan.<br />
The trip took<br />
place against the<br />
backdrop of a number<br />
of important<br />
developments:<br />
Taiwan’s December<br />
legislative electi<strong>on</strong>s<br />
had returned an<br />
oppositi<strong>on</strong> majority,<br />
likely thwarting pan-<br />
Green initiatives that<br />
would have provoked<br />
Beijing;<br />
Taipei and Beijing<br />
had worked out<br />
arrangements for<br />
direct charter flights<br />
between the island<br />
and the mainland<br />
(the first of which<br />
lifted off during the<br />
group’s meeting with<br />
the deputy director<br />
of the Taiwan Affairs<br />
Office of the State<br />
Council); shortly<br />
after the visit, the<br />
PRC sent two high level envoys to the<br />
memorial service of Koo Chen-fu,<br />
chairman of Taiwan’s Straits Exchange<br />
Foundati<strong>on</strong>; and <strong>China</strong>’s Anti-<br />
Secessi<strong>on</strong> Law was set to be passed at<br />
the upcoming meeting of the <str<strong>on</strong>g>Nati<strong>on</strong>al</str<strong>on</strong>g><br />
People’s C<strong>on</strong>gress. Other developments<br />
relating to DPRK nuclear weap<strong>on</strong>s,<br />
deteriorating Sino-Japanese relati<strong>on</strong>s,<br />
and Sino-American trade<br />
tensi<strong>on</strong> added to the rich c<strong>on</strong>tent of<br />
these Track II discussi<strong>on</strong>s. ■<br />
11<br />
NOTES