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New Program - National Committee on United States-China Relations

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The <str<strong>on</strong>g>Nati<strong>on</strong>al</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Committee</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>United</strong> <strong>States</strong>-<strong>China</strong> Relati<strong>on</strong>s<br />

71 West 23rd Street, 19th Floor<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>New</str<strong>on</strong>g> York, NY 10010-4102<br />

The <str<strong>on</strong>g>Nati<strong>on</strong>al</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Committee</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong><br />

<strong>United</strong> <strong>States</strong>-<strong>China</strong> Relati<strong>on</strong>s<br />

USTR Robert Zoellick Gives Keynote at<br />

Annual Meeting, c<strong>on</strong>tinued from page 2<br />

loans, is not destabilizing the<br />

Chinese ec<strong>on</strong>omy and that others’<br />

c<strong>on</strong>cern over inflati<strong>on</strong> is “somewhat<br />

overstated.” Added Malpass: “My<br />

expectati<strong>on</strong> is that there will<br />

c<strong>on</strong>tinue to be massive n<strong>on</strong>performing<br />

loans, and that the<br />

system will c<strong>on</strong>tinue to be stable.”<br />

On <strong>China</strong>’s pegged exchange<br />

rate, he suggested that changing the<br />

yuan/dollar exchange rate would<br />

pose difficulties for both the <strong>United</strong><br />

<strong>States</strong> and <strong>China</strong> – to a degree that<br />

neither side will actually materially<br />

change the exchange rate.<br />

He applauded <strong>China</strong>’s recent<br />

efforts that allow foreign banks,<br />

foreign investment banks, and<br />

other types of instituti<strong>on</strong>s to do<br />

business directly in <strong>China</strong>. Such<br />

liberalizati<strong>on</strong> in the financial system<br />

encourages <strong>China</strong>’s private sector to<br />

flourish, as it can be used to bypass<br />

the state-owned banking system.<br />

Malpass c<strong>on</strong>cluded his remarks<br />

with a review of where he thought<br />

current trends were heading: “Fast<br />

GDP growth, higher interest rates,<br />

str<strong>on</strong>g n<strong>on</strong>-urban c<strong>on</strong>sumpti<strong>on</strong><br />

growth, financial market<br />

innovati<strong>on</strong>, liberalizati<strong>on</strong> of capital<br />

outflows, and more regulatory<br />

c<strong>on</strong>straints <strong>on</strong> fixed investment. I<br />

expect the currency to remain<br />

relatively stable and trade tensi<strong>on</strong>s<br />

to increase a bit as the U.S.<br />

c<strong>on</strong>tinues to run a large bilateral<br />

trade deficit with <strong>China</strong>.”<br />

Following the panelists’<br />

remarks, John L. Holden, <str<strong>on</strong>g>Nati<strong>on</strong>al</str<strong>on</strong>g><br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>Committee</str<strong>on</strong>g> president, moderated a<br />

lively discussi<strong>on</strong> that engaged all<br />

three panelists and the audience. ■<br />

NON-PROFIT<br />

ORG.<br />

U.S. POSTAGE<br />

Paid<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>New</str<strong>on</strong>g> York, NY<br />

Permit No. 1598

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