Calibration Report for the TPB Travel Forecasting Model, Version ...

Calibration Report for the TPB Travel Forecasting Model, Version 2.3
Table 7 External Auto/Truck Attractions by Year
HBWIX HBSIX HBOIX NHBIX ComvIX HBWIX HBSIX HBOIX NHBIX ComvIX MedTkIX HeavyTkIX AutoIX TruckIX
Year AutoDrvs Auto Drvs AutoDrvs AutoDrvs AutoDrv AutoPsns Auto Psns AutoPsns AutoPsns AutoPsns Drv Totl Total
2000 146,581 41,644 164,738 56,400 32,983 168,568 68,297 265,229 72,193 42,219 3,637 23,520 442,347 27,157
2001 148,926 42,318 167,565 57,289 33,559 171,265 69,402 269,780 73,330 42,956 3,700 23,929 449,658 27,629
2002 151,314 43,004 170,447 58,194 34,146 174,011 70,526 274,419 74,488 43,707 3,765 24,346 457,104 28,110
2003 153,744 43,702 173,384 59,115 34,744 176,806 71,670 279,148 75,667 44,472 3,831 24,771 464,688 28,601
2004 156,218 44,411 176,378 60,053 35,354 179,650 72,834 283,968 76,867 45,253 3,898 25,204 472,413 29,102
2005 158,736 45,133 179,430 61,007 35,976 182,546 74,019 288,882 78,089 46,049 3,966 25,646 480,281 29,612
2006 161,299 45,868 182,541 61,979 36,609 185,494 75,224 293,890 79,333 46,860 4,036 26,096 488,296 30,132
2007 163,909 46,616 185,712 62,968 37,256 188,495 76,450 298,997 80,600 47,687 4,108 26,555 496,460 30,663
2008 166,565 47,376 188,946 63,976 37,915 191,550 77,697 304,203 81,889 48,531 4,180 27,024 504,777 31,204
2009 169,270 48,150 192,242 65,001 38,586 194,661 78,966 309,510 83,202 49,391 4,254 27,501 513,250 31,756
2010 172,024 48,938 195,603 66,046 39,271 197,827 80,258 314,921 84,539 50,267 4,330 27,989 521,882 32,319
2011 174,828 49,739 199,030 67,109 39,970 201,052 81,572 320,439 85,900 51,161 4,407 28,486 530,676 32,893
2012 177,682 50,554 202,525 68,192 40,682 204,335 82,909 326,064 87,286 52,073 4,486 28,992 539,636 33,478
2013 180,589 51,384 206,088 69,295 41,409 207,678 84,270 331,801 88,698 53,003 4,566 29,509 548,765 34,075
2014 183,549 52,228 209,721 70,418 42,149 211,082 85,655 337,651 90,135 53,951 4,648 30,037 558,067 34,684
2015 186,564 53,088 213,426 71,562 42,905 214,548 87,064 343,616 91,600 54,918 4,731 30,574 567,545 35,306
2016 189,633 53,962 217,205 72,727 43,675 218,078 88,498 349,699 93,091 55,904 4,816 31,123 577,203 35,940
2017 192,760 54,852 221,058 73,914 44,461 221,673 89,958 355,904 94,610 56,910 4,903 31,683 587,045 36,586
2018 195,943 55,758 224,988 75,123 45,263 225,335 91,443 362,231 96,157 57,936 4,992 32,254 597,075 37,246
2019 199,186 56,680 228,997 76,354 46,080 229,064 92,955 368,685 97,733 58,982 5,082 32,837 607,296 37,919
2020 202,488 57,618 233,085 77,608 46,914 232,861 94,493 375,267 99,338 60,050 5,174 33,431 617,713 38,605
2021 204,447 58,176 235,490 78,351 47,404 235,114 95,408 379,138 100,290 60,677 5,228 33,780 623,868 39,009
2022 206,426 58,740 237,921 79,103 47,900 237,390 96,333 383,053 101,251 61,311 5,283 34,133 630,089 39,416
2023 208,426 59,309 240,380 79,862 48,401 239,690 97,267 387,012 102,223 61,953 5,339 34,490 636,378 39,829
2024 210,448 59,885 242,867 80,629 48,908 242,015 98,211 391,015 103,206 62,602 5,395 34,851 642,736 40,246
2025 212,490 60,466 245,381 81,405 49,420 244,364 99,164 395,064 104,198 63,258 5,451 35,217 649,163 40,668
2026 214,554 61,053 247,924 82,189 49,939 246,738 100,127 399,158 105,202 63,922 5,509 35,586 655,659 41,095
2027 216,641 61,646 250,496 82,981 50,463 249,137 101,100 403,299 106,216 64,593 5,567 35,960 662,227 41,527
2028 218,749 62,246 253,097 83,781 50,993 251,561 102,083 407,486 107,240 65,272 5,625 36,338 668,866 41,963
2029 220,879 62,851 255,727 84,591 51,530 254,011 103,076 411,721 108,276 65,958 5,685 36,720 675,578 42,405
2030 223,032 63,463 258,388 85,408 52,072 256,487 104,079 416,004 109,323 66,652 5,745 37,107 682,363 42,852
2031 225,208 64,081 261,078 86,235 52,621 258,989 105,093 420,336 110,380 67,355 5,805 37,498 689,223 43,304
2032 227,407 64,705 263,799 87,070 53,176 261,518 106,117 424,716 111,450 68,065 5,867 37,894 696,157 43,761
2033 229,630 65,336 266,551 87,914 53,737 264,074 107,151 429,147 112,530 68,783 5,929 38,294 703,168 44,223
2034 231,876 65,973 269,334 88,768 54,304 266,657 108,196 433,628 113,622 69,510 5,992 38,699 710,255 44,691
2035 234,146 66,617 272,149 89,630 54,879 269,268 109,252 438,160 114,726 70,245 6,055 39,109 717,421 45,164
2036 236,440 67,268 274,996 90,502 55,459 271,906 110,319 442,744 115,842 70,988 6,119 39,523 724,665 45,642
2037 238,759 67,925 277,875 91,383 56,046 274,573 111,397 447,380 116,970 71,739 6,184 39,942 731,989 46,126
2038 241,103 68,589 280,788 92,273 56,640 277,268 112,486 452,068 118,110 72,500 6,250 40,366 739,393 46,616
2039 243,471 69,260 283,733 93,174 57,241 279,992 113,586 456,811 119,262 73,269 6,317 40,795 746,879 47,111
2040 245,865 69,937 286,713 94,083 57,849 282,745 114,697 461,607 120,427 74,047 6,384 41,229 754,448 47,612
2.3 Miscellaneous and Airport‐Passenger Trip Forecasts
2‐6
Ref: I:\ateam\mod_inputs\externals\2010_07_13_Rnd80Based\ Rnd8Based_Ext_Summary.xlsx
I:\ateam\docum\FY11\Ver2.3\modelDoc\ Rnd8Based_Ext_AutTrk_CV.xlsx, (IXTrips)
The remaining exogenous travel markets consist of taxis, school, and visitor/tourist auto driver trips
(collectively referred to as “miscellaneous trips”) and airport‐passenger auto driver trips. The
miscellaneous trip totals, shown by year on Table 8, are based on surveyed travel patterns that have
been growth factored through time. The airport‐passenger forecasts are shown on Table 9. The airport
trips have been recently updated using the 2007 COG Air Passenger Survey. The trip tables represent
auto travel to each of the three major airports serving the Washington/Baltimore area.