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population ecology ii - Biology

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Estimating Population Density<br />

Quadrat methods<br />

Quadrat: a sampling area<br />

of any shape<br />

Quadrats can be contiguous<br />

or random<br />

Capture-recapture methods


Quadrat Methods<br />

Mean density =<br />

Total individuals<br />

Total area of quadrats


Quadrat No. Individuals (y)<br />

1 9<br />

2 15<br />

3 7<br />

4 4<br />

5 8<br />

6 6<br />

7 11<br />

8 5<br />

9 11<br />

10 8<br />

N = number of<br />

quadrats<br />

= 100<br />

n = number of<br />

quadrats<br />

sampled<br />

= 10


Sample Mean<br />

Sample Variance<br />

Sample Standard Deviation


Mean Density<br />

Estimate Total Population<br />

Estimate Variance of T


Capture-recapture methods<br />

Key assumptions of the capturerecapture<br />

method:<br />

<strong>population</strong> closure<br />

mark integrity<br />

equal catchability


Marked animals in Marked animals in<br />

second sample first sample<br />

------------------------ = ----------------------------<br />

Total caught in Total <strong>population</strong> size<br />

second sample<br />

5 / 20 = 16 / T<br />

T = 64<br />

Density = T / total area


Dispersion: the spatial arrangement of<br />

individuals within <strong>population</strong>s<br />

Three patterns:<br />

Uniform<br />

Random<br />

Aggregated<br />

or clumped


Estimating Population Dispersion<br />

Quadrat methods<br />

Poisson Probability Distribution<br />

Are individuals randomly distributed among<br />

quadrats?<br />

Distance methods


Poisson Probability Distribution<br />

Let X = number of individuals in a quadrat<br />

µ = <strong>population</strong> density<br />

Expected value of X<br />

Variance of X


Are moss shoots randomly distributed?


=[P(Y=0)]N<br />

N


Poisson distribution and natural sampling<br />

units<br />

Are corn-borer larvae<br />

randomly distributed among<br />

corn stems?


Test Statistic


Variance-to-Mean Ratio is a measure of<br />

dispersion<br />

E(X) = µ Var(X) = µ<br />

V/M = 1 Random dispersion<br />

V/M < 1 Uniform dispersion<br />

V/M > 1 Aggregated dispersion


The pattern of dispersion exhibited by a group of<br />

organisms depends on the spatial scale on which the<br />

organisms are studied


This association is clearly demonstrated by<br />

the relationship between the V/M and<br />

quadrat size<br />

Caveat: If the true<br />

pattern is random,<br />

then the V/M is<br />

unaffected by<br />

quadrat size<br />

Quadrat size V/M Ratio<br />

10 0.939<br />

15 1.057<br />

20 0.996<br />

25 1.134<br />

30 1.393<br />

35 1.567<br />

40 1.634


Distance methods<br />

F(r) = Pr(distance to nearest neighbor < r)<br />

= probability that a circle of radius r is not empty<br />

A= area of study region<br />

N= number of points<br />

r


Test for randomness<br />

Refer Z to the Standard<br />

Normal Probability<br />

Distribution<br />

Sample mean of nearest<br />

neighbor distances

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