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Toril Bosoni (IEA) - Clingendael

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© OECD/<strong>IEA</strong> 2012<br />

Consequences of Refinery Rationalisation on<br />

Stock Holding<br />

Industry Stock Levels<br />

• Refinery shutdowns reduce level of commercially held<br />

stocks<br />

– Crude oil and unfinished product stocks will be reduced in<br />

proportion to refinery closures<br />

– Reduction of finished product stocks is minimal<br />

• However, location of refinery plays a very important role<br />

Composition<br />

• Share of commercial crude oil stocks down and share of<br />

commercial product stocks up<br />

– The higher the share of crude before refinery closure, the<br />

larger the shift in composition<br />

– If lowered input fuel stocks are compensated by higher<br />

stocks of finished products, the shift is even larger

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