HBJ Capital - Ganesh Polytex Ltd
HBJ Capital - Ganesh Polytex Ltd
HBJ Capital - Ganesh Polytex Ltd
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<strong>Ganesh</strong> <strong>Polytex</strong> <strong>Ltd</strong>.<br />
- <strong>Ganesh</strong> <strong>Polytex</strong> <strong>Ltd</strong>, the Largest PET waste recycler in India manufactures Recycled/<br />
Speciality Polyester Staple Fibre (Fibrefill) through recycling of post-consumer pet bottle<br />
waste. Company has a capacity to produce 57,600 tonnes per annum (TPA) of Recycled<br />
Polyester Stale fibre, which is more than Reliance Industries Limited’s capacity.<br />
“Business Insight” stock for the month of May 2010
Best Buying Price…<br />
2 Phase Buying Strategies Suggested [Always buy in SIP ways]<br />
�1st �1 Phase : Buy at the current price range Rs 50-54 [60% of investment]<br />
st Phase : Buy at the current price range Rs 50-54 [60% of investment]<br />
�2 nd Phase : Add if the price falls down to Rs 40- 44 [40% of investment]<br />
>>>Expect at least 8-10 times return in next 2 years time frame!!!
Table of Contents<br />
� From the Desk of CEO, <strong>HBJ</strong> <strong>Capital</strong> – (Page – 5#)<br />
� Overview : <strong>Ganesh</strong> <strong>Polytex</strong> <strong>Ltd</strong> – (Page – 7#)<br />
�� <strong>Ganesh</strong> <strong>Polytex</strong> – Waste Recycling Company– (Page – 12#)<br />
� <strong>Ganesh</strong> <strong>Polytex</strong> – Product Category – (Page – 17#)<br />
� <strong>Ganesh</strong> <strong>Polytex</strong> – Expansion Plans (Page – 24#)<br />
� Forward Revenue Estimates & Financial Statements – (Page – 28#)<br />
� The Management – (Page – 33#)<br />
� Shareholding Pattern – (Page – 35#)<br />
� Buying Strategy – (Page – 38#)<br />
� Investment Rationale – (Page – 41#)<br />
� Risks and Concerns – (Page – 43#)
From the desk of CEO, <strong>HBJ</strong> <strong>Capital</strong><br />
Non Bio Bio-Degradable waste,<br />
especially the PET bottles<br />
pose serious threats to our<br />
environment. Considering the<br />
humongous growth in<br />
consumption, there successful<br />
recycling is extremely<br />
important. I have selected the<br />
Largest PET bottles recycler in<br />
India and would like to share<br />
the same.<br />
Dear Investors,<br />
�� The use of Plastic products has been a major cause of<br />
concern since long. We have seen people, organizations<br />
clamoring about reducing the usage of Plastic products.<br />
�� These days as we move across streets, parks, etc, we see<br />
many PET bottles littered around giving not just a bad<br />
look but also posing serious threats to our environment.<br />
�� �� PET is one of the fastest growing segments in plastics<br />
providing a hygienic, durable and user friendly<br />
packaging solution for all kind of bottled drinks,<br />
beverages, liquor, pharmaceuticals, chemicals, and other<br />
liquid products.<br />
�� As the consumption of PET is growing, so as the quantum<br />
of its waste is increasing at rapid pace. PET bottle waste<br />
being Non-Biodegradable, its recycling is inevitable else<br />
piling of it will be the biggest threat to the environment.
Contd..<br />
� Taking note of the mentioned factors we have selected “<strong>Ganesh</strong> <strong>Polytex</strong> <strong>Ltd</strong>” (GANPOLY) as our BI pick for<br />
the month of May 2010.<br />
� <strong>Ganesh</strong> <strong>Polytex</strong> <strong>Ltd</strong> is a waste management company & is one of The Largest PET Waste Recycler in India<br />
<strong>HBJ</strong> <strong>Capital</strong> & MPS is proud to bring you the “Business Insight” pick of the<br />
month – <strong>Ganesh</strong> <strong>Polytex</strong> ltd.<br />
� Company Business model is interesting as it transforms post-consumer pet bottle waste (which is otherwise<br />
hazardous for environment being non bio-degradable in nature) back again into environmental friendly,<br />
hygienic, and comfortable fibers which are more economical in comparison to virgin fibers.<br />
� The company has charted out aggressive capex plans for the next three years. We expect the company’s<br />
impressive business module coupled with aggressive expansion plans to translate into healthy growth with<br />
increased profitability in the near future.<br />
Happy Investing!<br />
Regards,<br />
Kumar Harendra, CEO, <strong>HBJ</strong> <strong>Capital</strong> Services Pvt <strong>Ltd</strong>, www.hbjcapital.com,<br />
#141, 5 th Main, Girinagar, BSK 3 rd Stage, Bangalore – 85<br />
Call : 098867 36791 or Mail : Info@hbjcapital.com
Overview – <strong>Ganesh</strong> <strong>Polytex</strong> <strong>Ltd</strong>
<strong>Ganesh</strong> <strong>Polytex</strong> <strong>Ltd</strong> – Overview
Basic Details..<br />
� <strong>Ganesh</strong> <strong>Polytex</strong> <strong>Ltd</strong> (GPL). was incorporated as a Public Limited company in the year 1988. At Present<br />
Company is the largest PET waste recycling company with prominent presence in recycled Polyester Staple<br />
Fibre (RPSF) and largest to recycle PET bottle waste in the country, with forward integration to manufacture<br />
RPFY.<br />
� The company is having two production units:<br />
o One at Raipur, Rania, Kanpur Dehat (U.P) which is on the main highway- Kanpur Jhansi Road.<br />
o Second unit, where the company has done major expansions, is located at Rudrapur (Uttarakhand).<br />
This unit is entitled for exemption from Central Excise and Income Tax for a period of 10 years.<br />
� The company went into diversification in the year 1994 to produce Regenerated Polyester Staple Fiber in<br />
India. This was the first venture of its type in India to produce PSF from polyester waste & bottle flakes.<br />
� In the year 2006, the second unit at Rudrapur (Uttarakhand) was set up with a production capacity of 6000<br />
MT per annum which was subsequently increased by installing three more lines. The total aggregate capacity<br />
of the Kanpur & Rudrapur plant is 4800 MT per month or 57600 MT per annum.
Milestones..<br />
Year Achievements<br />
1987-88<br />
1989<br />
1991<br />
1992-93<br />
1993-94<br />
1994-95<br />
1996-07<br />
2007-08<br />
2008-09<br />
Incorporation and commencement of business<br />
Creation of Dyeing and Doubling facilities for 360 TPA<br />
First public issue of 2.10 lakh shares and Capacity expansion<br />
Dyeing 1080 MT<br />
Creation of Texturising capacity – 216 spindles<br />
Rights issue of 34.50 lakh shares<br />
Expansion of Dyeing capacity to 1150 TPA.<br />
Expansion of Dyeing capacity to 1800 TPA and recycled PSF to<br />
10800 TPA. Equity <strong>Capital</strong> expanded to Rs.9.37 crore<br />
Set up Rudrapur Unit for recycled PSF with an capacity of 21600 TPA and<br />
Expanded dyeing capacity to 2400 TPA.<br />
Expanded Capacity of Kanpur Unit for RPSF to 18000 TPA.<br />
Equity <strong>Capital</strong> expanded to Rs.9.87 Crores
Some key stats..<br />
� CMP = Rs 51.15 (May 27 th 2010) – The stock is<br />
in the uptrend phase & is looking strong on<br />
charts as it is making new top highs & top<br />
bottoms.<br />
� 52 week’s high/low = Rs 54/7.6 –The stock<br />
recently made a new 52 week high. As it is in<br />
the strong bullish phase it can continue to make<br />
new highs.<br />
� Peak share price = Rs 54 (7th April ‘2010) –<br />
Always when the stock reaches its life time high<br />
it goes into a strong bullish phase in the<br />
absence of any resistance present, and at cmp<br />
<strong>Ganesh</strong> <strong>Polytex</strong> is very close to its life time<br />
peak of 54.<br />
� Trading volume = Min 0.46 lacs shares (approx)<br />
per day –These are early days for a company<br />
which is soon going to create a huge impact in<br />
the Waste Recycling sector. The stock is liquid<br />
This shall help investors to get in and out of<br />
stock easily.<br />
� EPS = Rs 6.50 – The company is expected to end<br />
the FY 2009-10 with a net profit of Rs 8-9 crore<br />
on the equity base of Rs 12.3 crore, culminating<br />
into an EPS of Rs 6.5<br />
� PE = 7.69 Going forward, the revenue is expected to<br />
increase multi-fold due to the major capacity expansion.<br />
At present the company commands very low multiple on<br />
account of low visibility. However, it should be able to<br />
command a very high multiple once the investors<br />
understand the business model.<br />
� Shareholdings : No Of shares [% Share Holding ]<br />
� Total Foreign: 0.3lakhs [0.3%]<br />
� Total Institutions: 0.1 lakh [0.1%]<br />
� Total Non Promoter Corporate Holding 25.1lacs<br />
[20.3%]<br />
� Total Promoters 0.586 crore [47.6%]<br />
� Total Public & others 39.2lacs [31.8%]<br />
� Total Outstanding Shares 1.23crore [100 %]<br />
� Debt/Equity = 2 [Mar’10]<br />
� ROCE = 14.2% [Mar’10]<br />
� ROE = 17.6% [Mar’10]<br />
� Current Ratio = 1.0 [Mar’10]<br />
� Delivered Volume per day = Approx 58%<br />
� BSE Code 514167
<strong>Ganesh</strong> <strong>Polytex</strong> -Waste Recycling Company
Waste Recycling company..<br />
� <strong>Ganesh</strong> <strong>Polytex</strong> <strong>Ltd</strong> is the largest PET waste recycling<br />
company with prominent presence in recycled Polyester<br />
Staple Fibre (RPSF) and largest to recycle PET bottle waste<br />
in the country, with forward integration to manufacture<br />
RPFY.<br />
� <strong>Ganesh</strong> <strong>Polytex</strong> is market leader in this segment of<br />
manufacturing of Recycled polyester staple fibre (RPSF)<br />
& has been in the field of Recycled PSF for over 15 years.<br />
� Besides procuring the Waste from vendors, the company<br />
has set up its own procurement centers in different cities to<br />
insulate itself from raw material shortage as well as price<br />
fluctuations.<br />
� Finished product finds application for spinning of yarn,<br />
stuffing in toys and other life style products like pillows,<br />
quilts, mattresses and furniture, non-woven carpets and<br />
fabrics, medical & packaging textile, geo textile, fur fabrics,<br />
construction and paper industry and other technical<br />
textile.
Raw Material..<br />
� The major raw material required for Recycled PSF is post- consumer PET bottle waste.<br />
� PET is one of the fastest growing segments in plastics providing a hygienic, durable and user friendly<br />
packaging solution for all kind of bottled drinks, beverages, pharmaceuticals, liquor, chemicals, and other<br />
liquid products.<br />
� As the consumption of PET is growing, so as the quantum of its waste is increasing.<br />
� PET bottle waste is non bio-degradable in nature (takes thousands of years in decomposing) and hence, poses<br />
a serious threat to soil, water sources and forests and thus harmful for human being and other living<br />
creatures. Therefore, its recycling is inevitable else piling of it will be the biggest threat to the environment.
Increase in consumption of PET bottles<br />
Region PET Resin Capacity Demand<br />
Global 17.5 million tonnes 14.0 million tonnes<br />
India 0.80 million tonnes 0.40 million tones and the rest is being exported<br />
due to price advantage<br />
� Domestic demand of PET is expected to grow to 0.50 million tonne by 2010.<br />
� With life style changes and higher disposable income, demand of PET bottles is set to grow at much faster<br />
pace as the per capita PET consumption in India is 0.22 kg. as compared to the world average of 2.1 kg. in<br />
2008.<br />
� As per industry estimates, about 65% of PET bottles consumption is available for recycling. That means,<br />
indigenous availability of PET bottle waste would be 3.0 lakh tone during 2010, which is much more than the<br />
overall requirement of entire domestic recycling capacity (aggregate installed capacity of about 1.75 lakh ton<br />
per annum during 2010) in the country.<br />
� The consumption of PET bottles is expected to grow to 0.60 million tonne by 2012, availability of waste will<br />
also increase correspondingly.<br />
� The present installed capacity of Recycled PSF in India is about 1.63 lakh tonne, <strong>Ganesh</strong> <strong>Polytex</strong> <strong>Ltd</strong> has a<br />
capacity of 57600 MT per annum & is at the first position in the sector.
Collection of Raw Material..<br />
� Availability of Raw material is almost free of cost, but the critical<br />
issue is collection of waste and transportation / processing cost.<br />
� <strong>Ganesh</strong> <strong>Polytex</strong> <strong>Ltd</strong>. is in this line of business since last 15 years and<br />
has a well-streamlined network of its collection centers (operating<br />
on franchisee module) of PET waste spread all over the Country at<br />
strategic locations.<br />
� It has also developed a network of traders over the periods who<br />
exclusively supply the material to the Company.<br />
� Further there is huge possibility of imports of PET bottle waste from<br />
foreign countries and this avenue is still to be tapped by the<br />
Company as imported bottles are little bit costly due to<br />
transportation factor. In case of need, the company may plan to set<br />
up a raw material processing /washing unit in near future at Europe<br />
or USA, where abundant quantity of raw material is available.<br />
� Company also uses other types of polyester waste viz. Waste<br />
undrawn fibre, POY/ PFY waste, polyester film waste etc., which is<br />
also available in small quantities.
<strong>Ganesh</strong> <strong>Polytex</strong>- Product Category
Product Category..<br />
Recycled Polyester Staple Fibre (RPSF)<br />
<strong>Ganesh</strong> <strong>Polytex</strong> Products Category<br />
Raw Material Used<br />
Dyed Texturised / Twisted Filament Yarn<br />
Post Consumer PET bottle Waste and POY/FDY and Grey Texturised Yarn<br />
other kind of industrial Waste of Polyester<br />
Application/ End use<br />
Textile Sector : Spun Yarn; Hosiery Yarn etc.<br />
Industrial Sector – Filter Fabrics; Geo textile;<br />
Non-woven carpets and Fabrics; Medical and<br />
packaging textile etc.<br />
Fabrics, Saree, Dress Material,<br />
Upholstery and furnishing fabrics,<br />
Sewing Threads, Cords etc.
Recycled Polyester Staple Fibre (RPSF)..<br />
� <strong>Ganesh</strong> <strong>Polytex</strong> (GPL) product includes low-end basic segment to mid<br />
and high-end premium segment.<br />
� Recycled PSF replaces 100% virgin PSF in textile sector due to its most<br />
distinctive advantage of cost-effectiveness and it replaces Foam,<br />
Cotton, P.P. fibre etc. in other industrial sectors due to its durability,<br />
comforts and hygienic characteristics besides cost-effectiveness.<br />
� Polyester has now become common man’s fabrics in terms of prices,<br />
durability and comforts in comparison to cotton and other fibres.<br />
� With growth in the economy and growing middle class, the per capita<br />
consumption of polyester fabric is also set to increase both for clothing<br />
and non-clothing applications. In fact, with growing per capita income<br />
consumption of non-clothing fabric will grow at much faster rate than<br />
clothing fabric.<br />
� As Recycled Polyester Fibre is suitable both for clothing and nonclothing<br />
applications, its demand is improving both in textile and<br />
industrial sector. This bodes well for GPL as it has strong presence in<br />
both the sectors.
Market Demand & Industry Scenario..<br />
Non-woven/technical<br />
textile<br />
Major User Industry Of Recycled PSF<br />
Yarn spinning Stuffing
Non-woven/Technical textile..<br />
� Textile for non-clothing applications is classified in non-woven and technical textiles, which are growing<br />
roughly at twice rate of textiles for clothing applications and now account for major chunk in total textile<br />
production.<br />
� The large Indian population of over one billion with nearly 48% in the age group of 18-35 and 250 million<br />
strong middle class which has high purchasing power and living standards presents a potential huge market<br />
for non-woven products & with the Indian economy poised for a rapid growth of more than 8% during the<br />
next five years, non-woven production and consumption is expected to see rapid growth.<br />
� Areas of non-woven applications like infrastructure, automotive textiles, carpets, interlinings and wading,<br />
furnishings and beddings, agricultural textiles, medical textiles, sports textiles etc are already seeing a lot of<br />
activity and are bound to grow at rapid rate in order to catch up with the developed world.<br />
� The market size of technical/non-woven textile in India grew from Rs.31,000 crore during 2003-04 to Rs.44,000<br />
Crore during 2007-08. Further, as per an internal document prepared by the textile ministry, it is estimated<br />
that the technical textile market would grow to Rs.78,060 Cr. by 2014–15 with an annual growth rate of 14%.
Yarn spinning..<br />
� Recycled PSF is used in yarn spinning in replacement of virgin grade PSF, which is about 15% costlier that<br />
recycled PSF.<br />
� Recycled PSF can be used 100% in coarse counts of yarn (up to 30 count – which account for almost 40% of<br />
the total yarn consumption in India), and for fine counts (above 30, which are mostly used in apparels &<br />
wearing cloths), it is blended with virgin grade PSF.<br />
� Due to cost & sale price equation as well as growing demand for non-apparels fabric, use of virgin grade PSF<br />
is being replaced by Recycled PSF.<br />
� This has opened up a large window for Recycled PSF in spinning sector because present domestic market<br />
size of coarse denier spun yarn is about 4.00 lakh tonne per annum.
Stuffing..<br />
� With improvement in life style and urbanization coupled with<br />
increasing disposable income, use of home furnishing<br />
products like quilts, comforters, mattresses, pillows, furniture<br />
etc. is increasing and growth in their market size is in double<br />
digit.<br />
� Traditionally these products were stuffed with cotton, foam,<br />
coir etc. with increasing prices and decreasing availability,<br />
cotton is almost out for such uses.<br />
�� Recycled PSF is now being preferred over other traditional<br />
products like foam and coir because of its inherent qualities<br />
like hygiene, wash-ability, light-weight and user friendly<br />
characteristics.<br />
� Likewise there is phenomenal growth in market of soft toys,<br />
where there is no substitute of Recycled PSF in stuffing.<br />
� Estimated market size of all these products in India is over<br />
Rs.15,000 crore.
<strong>Ganesh</strong> <strong>Polytex</strong> <strong>Ltd</strong>- Expansions Plans
Players In Recycled Polyester Staple Fibre…<br />
Rank Company In this Sector (RPSF) Place Present Capacity<br />
MTPA<br />
1. <strong>Ganesh</strong> <strong>Polytex</strong> <strong>Ltd</strong> Kanpur &<br />
Rudrapur<br />
57600<br />
2. Reliance Industries <strong>Ltd</strong> Hazira 42000<br />
3. Shiva Tex Fab (P) <strong>Ltd</strong> Ludhiana 18000<br />
4. Rishiraj Filaments <strong>Ltd</strong> - 12000<br />
5. Allainz Fibres Gujrat 6000<br />
6. Arora Fibres <strong>Ltd</strong> Silvassa 6000<br />
7. Himalaya Fibres Baddi (H.P) 6000<br />
8. K.K.Fibres Baddi (H.P) 6000<br />
9. <strong>Capital</strong> Fibres (P) <strong>Ltd</strong> - 600<br />
10. Nirmal Fibres Gajraula<br />
(U.P)<br />
3600<br />
TOTAL 1,63,200 MTPA
Economies of Scale…<br />
� <strong>Ganesh</strong> <strong>Polytex</strong> <strong>Ltd</strong>. has the largest capacity in the industry, which has enabled the company to optimize per<br />
unit cost of production and ward off the competition due to economics of scale.<br />
� Since the product is replacement of downstream virgin PET product market, it has ever increasing demand<br />
from both - the replacement market and growing uses from consumer market.<br />
� PET recycling has drawn the attention of many big business houses including Reliance Industry. Company<br />
would not be affected by the presence of large players like Reliance because of enough wide market and<br />
multiple uses.<br />
� Rather their presence is beneficial for the development of down stream consumption of recycled PET and<br />
products .<br />
� <strong>Ganesh</strong> <strong>Polytex</strong> <strong>Ltd</strong> is having the largest product range in the industry on the one hand and source of raw<br />
material (PET bottle waste) is open market which can’t be influenced.
Expansion Plans..<br />
� GANESH POLYTEX LTD is encouraged to expand its production to match with the demand and diversify<br />
into forward integration for value added products. Company has a ambitious growth plans which includes<br />
enhancing the recycling capacity to over 100,000 TPA in stages over the next 2 years.<br />
� Aggressive Capex Plans Over The Next Three Years.<br />
� <strong>Ganesh</strong> <strong>Polytex</strong> has charted out expansion plan with a capital outlay of Rs.850millions over the next<br />
three years. The company shall invest Rs.250millions for ramping up of Recycled PSF capacities by<br />
14,400 MT/pa. The project shall be operational in FY11.<br />
� The company has expanded additional capacity of Recycled Polyester Staple Fiber (RPSF) by 18,000<br />
TPA at Rudapur with an estimated cost of Rs.250mn.<br />
� The company has also firmed up plans to set up a facility for manufacturing Recycled Partially<br />
Oriented Yarn (POY) as a part of forward integration for value added product. The plant will have a<br />
capacity of 18000MT/pa and shall entail an investment of Rs.350 millions. The new facility shall be<br />
operational in FY12.
Forward Revenue Estimates & Financial<br />
Statements
Revenue forecast..<br />
FINANCIAL MATRIX 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12<br />
Actual Projections<br />
Net Sales (Cr) 51.94 62.67 105.42 135.37 190 234 400<br />
Other Income (Cr) 0.2 0.33 0.38 0.08 0 0 0<br />
EBDITA (Cr) 5.77 7.01 12.35 17.1 26 35 75<br />
EBDITA Margin (%) 11.1 11.18 11.71 12.63 14 15 17<br />
CAGR Growth (%) 28.25% 35%<br />
Depreciation (Cr) 1.4 1.81 3.6 5.66 7 10 17<br />
PAT (Cr) 1.46 1.89 3.75 4.35 9 13 30<br />
PAT margin(%) 2.81 3.01 3.55 3.21 4.35 9 13<br />
PAT margin(%) 2.81 3.01 3.55 3.21 4.35 9 13<br />
Cash Generation (Cr) 2.86 3.7 7.35 10.01 16 23 47<br />
Equity Share <strong>Capital</strong> (Cr) 9.37 9.37 9.86 9.86 9.86 13.38 19<br />
Net worth (Cr) 14.2 15.99 20.2 23.98 31 48 108<br />
Total Borrowing (Cr) 14.19 27.91 46.6 61.35 82 68 82<br />
Gross Block (Cr) 32.45 47.29 66.97 85.83 111 116 175<br />
Debt Equity Ratio 0.36 0.78 1.11 1.29 1.37 0.66 0.51<br />
EPS (Rs) 1.57 2.03 3.62 4.35 8.01 8.78 15<br />
Book Value (Rs) 15.16 17.07 20.5 24.33 31.7 35.86 54<br />
RONW(%) 9.92 11.5 16.33 16.26 25.29 24.46 27.36
Income Statement(Last 4 years)<br />
� The Company’s sales and net<br />
profits have grown at healthy<br />
compound annual growth rate<br />
(CAGR) of 28% and 30%<br />
respectively in the past four<br />
years.<br />
� The Revenue and Profitability<br />
grew exponentially from Rs 52<br />
crore to Rs 135 crore and Rs<br />
1.47 crore to Rs 4.35 crore<br />
respectively.<br />
� Its EBIDTA improved to Rs.<br />
10.91 crore in FY08-09 from Rs.<br />
4.77 crore in FY06 on the back<br />
of improved product mix.<br />
� Growth plans are likely to<br />
propel CAGR of 35-40% in its<br />
top and bottom lines during<br />
next five years.
Quarterly Results<br />
� In FY 2008-09 the company recorded revenue of<br />
Rs 136 crore, while the company has already<br />
recorded revenue in excess of Rs 136 crore for 9<br />
months ending Dec’09.<br />
� The net profit for the Nine months ending Dec’09<br />
stands at about Rs 5.89 crore which is already<br />
higher than Rs 4.35 for the entire previous fiscal.<br />
� In the December’09 quarter, sales grew by 39% to<br />
Rs.52.56 crore. EBIDTA rose by 33% to Rs.6.16<br />
crore. Net profit grew by 169% to Rs.2.85 crore.<br />
� The company is likely to close this fiscal reporting<br />
40% growth in revenues along with 52% rise in<br />
EBIDTA and 105% rise in net profits.<br />
� The company should be able to record a net EPS<br />
of Rs 7, while at CMP range of Rs 48 - 52, it is<br />
available extremely cheap at a P/E multiple of<br />
approx. 6-7.
Balance Sheet (Last 6 years)<br />
� For the last 5 years the Gross Block of the company has witnessed continuous expansion from Rs 28 crore to<br />
Rs 85 crore. The company has been expanding its capacity on a consistent basis enabling the company report<br />
higher sales and profitability.<br />
� As per the projected estimates, the company intends to bring down its Debt/Equity ratio to almost 0.5 in the<br />
next two years, while it will still continue with capacity expansion through internal accruals and limited<br />
equity dilution.
The Management
<strong>Ganesh</strong> <strong>Polytex</strong> <strong>Ltd</strong>.- Management<br />
Management..<br />
� Mr. Shyam S. Sharma - Chairman and Managing Director - He is a textile engineer. Served the Birla Group<br />
for 25 years in various senior positions and promoted the said company in the year 1987. He is well versed<br />
with the fibre and textile technology with an experience of more than 45 years.<br />
� Mr. V.D Khandelwal - Executive vice president - He is a post graduate in commerce and having experience<br />
of more than 36 years in trading of different types of textile yarns. He is one of promoter director of the<br />
company and looking after the affairs of the company since inception.<br />
� Mr. Sharad Sharma - Joint Managing Director - He is a commerce graduate and having more than 17 years<br />
in marketing of yarns and fibre. He is engaged with the company since 1992.
Shareholding Pattern
Shareholding– Promoters & Non-Promoters<br />
� At the end of Mar’ 10 the Promoter holding stands at 47.55%, which is reasonable and the increase in stake<br />
further reflects the confidence of the management in the prospects of the company.<br />
� The Promoter’s have been increasing their stake consistently for the last 5 quarters.<br />
� The total Paid-up Equity Share <strong>Capital</strong> of the Company has been enhanced from Rs. 9,85,50,000/- to Rs.<br />
12,32,00,000/- because of allotment of 24.65 lakhs Equity Shares to the Promoters and Others, consequent<br />
upon the exercise of conversion option of warrants.
Mar’10 – Promoters and Non - Promoters<br />
� An early entry into this<br />
stock, can give huge<br />
returns, with major<br />
institutions coming in<br />
later, thereby giving<br />
exposure to the company.<br />
� As the largest player in the<br />
segment among all big<br />
players like Reliance and<br />
Sector being highly<br />
scalable, company should<br />
be able to command<br />
higher multiples.<br />
� As the Promoter are<br />
consistently increasing<br />
their holding in the<br />
company, this shows the<br />
faith they have in the long<br />
term prospect of the<br />
company.
Buying Strategy
Uptrend Pattern…<br />
Huge volumes coupled<br />
with increase in share<br />
price, strong bullish sign<br />
� The stock is in the uptrend phase & is looking strong on charts as it is making new (top) highs & bottoms.<br />
� As illustrated in the chart , the stock price of <strong>Ganesh</strong> <strong>Polytex</strong> was dull & underperformed for a long period of<br />
time , but as the company started churning out good number & successfully completed its capacity<br />
expansion program , the stock reacted positively to it.<br />
� The recent highs scaled by the company have been backed by larger volumes, thus validating the recent<br />
upward move.
Near Lifetime high…<br />
Stock Price is Moving upwards and is<br />
currently inside a channel.<br />
� As illustrated in the chart, the stock price has been moving upwards and is currently inside a channel.<br />
� Increase in share price comes along with the higher volumes , immediate support comes at around 43.<br />
� The stock price is very near to its lifetime high of 54, when the stock reaches its life time high it goes into a<br />
strong bullish phase in the absence of any resistance.
Investment Rationale
Investment Rationale<br />
� The company is the leader in its area of operations and recently surpassed the annual production capacity of<br />
Reliance Industries <strong>Ltd</strong>.<br />
� The investors lack the understanding of the Business Model of the company. Once the investors realize the<br />
true potential and the main area of operation i.e. Waste Recycling, the stock will command very high<br />
multiples.<br />
� The company is contemplating a change in the name of the company to reflect the true operations. A change<br />
in name will lead to better visibility and a change in perception, which will result in Re-rating.<br />
� The company has chalked out an aggressive expansion for the next two years, which will not only increase<br />
the profitability and sales but also result in margin expansion.<br />
� Based on the Projected income and sales, the company is available at low valuations thereby ensuring safety<br />
of margin.
Risks and Concerns
Risks & Concerns…<br />
Risks:-<br />
� A change in the manufacturing technology of PET bottles may affect the<br />
company’s ability to recycle the waste<br />
� Availability of Raw material is almost free of cost, but the critical issue is<br />
collection of waste and transportation / processing cost.<br />
Concerns:-<br />
�� The strong performance in the past is not a bullish sign and doesn't indicate the<br />
same or better performance in the future. Each year is different from the<br />
previous one!<br />
� Do not let representative bias win over your common sense! Always do your<br />
homework and do not forget to do a research before you invest your money!<br />
� As and when there is a change in the Government, there might be a change<br />
in its policies too. Any adverse changes in its policies may affect the business<br />
operations of the company
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