Biuletyn RPO Materiały nr 68 - Ochrona dzieci a przyszłość ...

Spis treści 9BULLETIN OF THE HUMAN RIGHTS DEFENDER – Materials.SCIENTIFIC JOURNALSSPECIAL ISSUE ON THE OCCASION OF THE 20 TH ANNIVERSARY OF THECONVENTION ON THE RIGHTS OF THE CHILDPROTECTION OF CHILDREN AND DEMOGRAPHIC FUTURE OF POLANDTABLE OF CONTENTSEditor’s Note . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 17PART ISOCIAL AND ECONOMIC CONSEQUENCES OF THE DEVELOPMENTOF DEMOGRAPHIC PROCESSES BY 2035. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 21Introduction – Janusz Kochanowski, Human Rights Defender . . . . . . . . . . 23Chapter IPopulation projection for 2008–2035 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 31“Demographic projections – significance, usefulness and limitations”– Janusz Witkowski (Central Statistical Office) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 32“Assumptions of the population projection – fertility, mortality”– Małgorzata Waligórska (Central Statistical Office) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 35“Assumptions of the population projection – migration”– Zofia Kostrzewa (Central Statistical Office) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 49“Demographic prospects of Poland” – Zbigniew Strzelecki (GovernmentPopulation Council), Janusz Witkowski, (Central Statistical Office),Lucyna Nowak (Central Statistical Office) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 61Chapter IIDemographic future and the society and family . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 85“Demographic future and education”– Urszula Sztanderska (University of Warsaw) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 86“The problems within the social security scheme in Poland in the contextof demographic challenges” – Gertruda Uścińska(University of Warsaw, Institute of Labour and Social Studies) . . . . . . . . . . 95“Demographic future and the pension system”– Hanna Zalewska (Social Insurance Institution) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 103“Demographic future and health care” – Grażyna Marciniak(Central Statistical Office), Janusz Szymborski (Office of the Human RightsDefender, Wszechnica Polska – Higher School of the Universal EducationSociety, Warsaw) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 113